Right. Ultimately it would depend on how true, the red, blue and green components of the display are. IIRC, most standard CRTs are around as poor as LCDs at displaying green, and probably worse than decent LCDs.
But crashes will get to a point so low, that it may as well be zero. Yes people will steal cars, and random rocks may destroy windscreens and tires, but insurance will be much lower - and here's the important bit - optional - unlike today.
All of that said, I would love for you to have it 100% correct, because I fucking loathe insurance companies
The vast majority of accidents are caused by bad judgment from the driver, and to a lesser extent - poorly maintained vehicles (which will be mostly resolved when EVs are mainstream anyway). It was probably originally enforced due to potentially wrecking an innocent's car (as you decide if you want to risk things if it was just your car at stake).
Yes, okay, car insurance will still exist (contrary to my initial post), but it will be like say, buildings insurance - very low, and non-forced (people won't have to insure if they don't want to).
Maybe you've been ripped off so much by the car insurance companies that you're missing the obvious. There in principle cannot be a car insurance market if cars don't crash anymore. If the reduction in accidents is one tenth of the what is was before, then the insurance premium will be about one tenth too (all else being equal, with maximum automation). At that point, the sheer paperwork will more than cancel out any benefit gained to anyone.
If it still exists, it will be next to nothing. Being next to nothing means that there's no benefit to anyone, unless you like doing unnecessary paperwork. Which granted, most business seem to love a lot.
Noise and battery capacity are far bigger problems. We can have a proper driving test and it won't be trivial to pass. Worst comes to worst, AI can control the car.
But even without AI control, each flying car can be repelled from each other flying car, using a 3D radar system. A sort of magnetic field where the closer you get, the stronger the repelling force. That alone would prevent catastrophic collision.
That's okay - we can have a proper driving test, one which you don't necessarily pass first time!
Also, each flying car can be repelled from each other flying car, using a 3D radar system. A sort of magnetic field where the closer you get, the stronger the repelling force. That alone would prevent catastrophic collision.
This is true in the DIY world too with screw heads. Most use Phillips, or flat head, but Torq, Robertson, and many others are popular too.
If only we would all switch to the Frearson screw type - it'd save so many headaches (good torque, one bit covers all screw sizes).
Every so often, Slashdot comes up with these very witty, clever, and somewhat lengthy posts. Kudos to you - I never see stuff as good this on say Reddit.
Disagree, it's one of the funniest things I've read on Slashdot. The comment about WWJD leads up nicely to the stuff about energy sources and healthcare. It's summarizing, and then he goes into detail about why WWJD is the 'right' starting point.
Thrill: Fair enough, but there's always off-road or video games.
Safety: AI will only get better, and eventually beat even the most skilful drivers. It's inevitable.
Privacy: AI controlled cars may make it easier for outside control, but THAT'S what we should fight. We should never allow our freedom of AI controlled cars to be sacrificed because we're scared of big brother taking over. That in itself is a breach of freedom if we can't do what we want (have AI-controlled cars).
What you say seems to imply that the best design for a heatsink is a 3D fractal of some kind, where a big chunk of metal splits off into smaller chunks which themselves split off.
At first I thought you cared about the thrill of the experience being taken away. Then I thought you worried about the safety issues. And then finally, you seemed to care about the privacy issues.
mAh only tells half the story. You need the voltage in combination to determine the true energy capacity of the battery. Ideally we're looking at the 'watt-hour'. Only in a world where the voltage stays the same in all devices and conditions does it make sense to talk about amp hours as if that was the total energy.
I'd be happy going down to say 50% (assuming 200 mile range). I do around 10,000 miles each year, so doing the math, it'll take me over 500 years before I replace the battery. Okay, the sheer lifetime degrades the battery too, but I doubt it will kill it before say, 50 years.
An MOT is just something in the UK we need to have yearly so that a car is legal to drive on the road.
I hope you will now consider that batteries really have improved greatly, and can only better.
You're right there, but they will care about fuel cost - could be up to 5x cheaper to go with electricity for the same mileage.
> you know what people do care about? range and convenience time.
I agree. It's just as well then that Tesla's Model S can do 200-300 miles, and their cheaper $35,000 Model 3 (due out 2017) will do around 200 miles.
You want convenience? How about an MOT every 5 years instead of every year? EVs are incredibly simple, and have very few moving parts. They're as close to a solid state device as you're gonna get. Wouldn't surprise me to see the Teslas going for more than 50 years with very little servicing to speak of (apart from tyre changes, and window wipers).
But then going back to my original point, if it takes the same energy to accelerate... *in space*...from 0 to 10mph as it does from 90 to 100mph, then aren't we creating more energy than we put into the system by crashing? What gives?
And how about Aero Glass? Do we get that back too?
I don't want spartan overly minimalist buttons, windows and dropdowns that hinder more than they help. I want delineated areas that indicate boundaries with beveled widgets that say "click me". I also don't want white-washed backgrounds that strain the eyes when I'm trying to work productively - I want various shades so I can see that the menu, taskbar or URL bar is not part of the main page.
Right. Ultimately it would depend on how true, the red, blue and green components of the display are. IIRC, most standard CRTs are around as poor as LCDs at displaying green, and probably worse than decent LCDs.
But crashes will get to a point so low, that it may as well be zero. Yes people will steal cars, and random rocks may destroy windscreens and tires, but insurance will be much lower - and here's the important bit - optional - unlike today.
You hardly ever have to worry about brakes/pads because the Model S's regen is used most of the time for braking.
All of that said, I would love for you to have it 100% correct, because I fucking loathe insurance companies
The vast majority of accidents are caused by bad judgment from the driver, and to a lesser extent - poorly maintained vehicles (which will be mostly resolved when EVs are mainstream anyway). It was probably originally enforced due to potentially wrecking an innocent's car (as you decide if you want to risk things if it was just your car at stake).
Yes, okay, car insurance will still exist (contrary to my initial post), but it will be like say, buildings insurance - very low, and non-forced (people won't have to insure if they don't want to).
Because it wouldn't be a liability to anyone anymore. Imagine zero crashes. That's an extreme, but let's assume that for the sake of argument.
Insurance at that point would be seen as pointless, and so the government would not require insurance like the 'good ol days' (read "bad old days").
Maybe you've been ripped off so much by the car insurance companies that you're missing the obvious. There in principle cannot be a car insurance market if cars don't crash anymore. If the reduction in accidents is one tenth of the what is was before, then the insurance premium will be about one tenth too (all else being equal, with maximum automation). At that point, the sheer paperwork will more than cancel out any benefit gained to anyone.
Send my best wishes then to the middlemen who WON'T exist when Tesla Motors and companies like them eventually sell direct.
If it still exists, it will be next to nothing. Being next to nothing means that there's no benefit to anyone, unless you like doing unnecessary paperwork. Which granted, most business seem to love a lot.
Yeah, just like dealers will lobby hard against companies like Tesla. It won't be enough, they'll die off too.
I'm so sorry that there will be hardly any accidents, and so the number of claims will nose-dive. It's tragic, but you can't stop progress.
Car insurance companies will die off when car AI becomes mainstream.
Noise and battery capacity are far bigger problems. We can have a proper driving test and it won't be trivial to pass. Worst comes to worst, AI can control the car.
But even without AI control, each flying car can be repelled from each other flying car, using a 3D radar system. A sort of magnetic field where the closer you get, the stronger the repelling force. That alone would prevent catastrophic collision.
That's okay - we can have a proper driving test, one which you don't necessarily pass first time!
Also, each flying car can be repelled from each other flying car, using a 3D radar system. A sort of magnetic field where the closer you get, the stronger the repelling force. That alone would prevent catastrophic collision.
This is true in the DIY world too with screw heads. Most use Phillips, or flat head, but Torq, Robertson, and many others are popular too. If only we would all switch to the Frearson screw type - it'd save so many headaches (good torque, one bit covers all screw sizes).
Every so often, Slashdot comes up with these very witty, clever, and somewhat lengthy posts. Kudos to you - I never see stuff as good this on say Reddit.
Disagree, it's one of the funniest things I've read on Slashdot. The comment about WWJD leads up nicely to the stuff about energy sources and healthcare. It's summarizing, and then he goes into detail about why WWJD is the 'right' starting point.
Just a pity you posted anonymous. Can you reveal who you are?
Thrill: Fair enough, but there's always off-road or video games.
Safety: AI will only get better, and eventually beat even the most skilful drivers. It's inevitable.
Privacy: AI controlled cars may make it easier for outside control, but THAT'S what we should fight. We should never allow our freedom of AI controlled cars to be sacrificed because we're scared of big brother taking over. That in itself is a breach of freedom if we can't do what we want (have AI-controlled cars).
What you say seems to imply that the best design for a heatsink is a 3D fractal of some kind, where a big chunk of metal splits off into smaller chunks which themselves split off.
At first I thought you cared about the thrill of the experience being taken away. Then I thought you worried about the safety issues. And then finally, you seemed to care about the privacy issues.
mAh only tells half the story. You need the voltage in combination to determine the true energy capacity of the battery. Ideally we're looking at the 'watt-hour'. Only in a world where the voltage stays the same in all devices and conditions does it make sense to talk about amp hours as if that was the total energy.
I think the battery is more like $20k to 30k. I also think the battery will last a LOT longer than 5 years.
Here's a couple of ideas how long:
0.5% battery loss after >30K miles: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
93% after 75K miles:
http://www.reddit.com/r/teslam...
I'd be happy going down to say 50% (assuming 200 mile range). I do around 10,000 miles each year, so doing the math, it'll take me over 500 years before I replace the battery. Okay, the sheer lifetime degrades the battery too, but I doubt it will kill it before say, 50 years.
An MOT is just something in the UK we need to have yearly so that a car is legal to drive on the road.
I hope you will now consider that batteries really have improved greatly, and can only better.
> nobody cares about mathematical efficiencies.
You're right there, but they will care about fuel cost - could be up to 5x cheaper to go with electricity for the same mileage.
> you know what people do care about? range and convenience time.
I agree. It's just as well then that Tesla's Model S can do 200-300 miles, and their cheaper $35,000 Model 3 (due out 2017) will do around 200 miles.
You want convenience? How about an MOT every 5 years instead of every year? EVs are incredibly simple, and have very few moving parts. They're as close to a solid state device as you're gonna get. Wouldn't surprise me to see the Teslas going for more than 50 years with very little servicing to speak of (apart from tyre changes, and window wipers).
Okay, fair enough.
...from 0 to 10mph as it does from 90 to 100mph, then aren't we creating more energy than we put into the system by crashing? What gives?
But then going back to my original point, if it takes the same energy to accelerate... *in space*
And how about Aero Glass? Do we get that back too?
I don't want spartan overly minimalist buttons, windows and dropdowns that hinder more than they help. I want delineated areas that indicate boundaries with beveled widgets that say "click me". I also don't want white-washed backgrounds that strain the eyes when I'm trying to work productively - I want various shades so I can see that the menu, taskbar or URL bar is not part of the main page.