And I'm not normally for the police being able to turn off their own video but I can see a reason here. It's a challenge you don't see with dash mounted cameras.
And much less likely to wander off into bad behavior.
I personally think policemen should put a camera on when they put on the uniform and keep it on until they take it off.
We also need to recognize that they are human and have more training and suspensions instead of firings for emotional failures as a balance against full time surveillance.
But the apple that went for that much was one of less than 200 ever made.
And I don't see copies of "Pest Patrol" or Superscribe going for tons of money. If they do, it will be the media in good condition (not just a copy of the game).
I'm saying we don't have lots of races with 1967 formula one racing cars any more.
And in my parent post I was referring to console games more than PC games. However, I don't know many folks that play the original team fortress any more, the original quake in multiplayer mode, etc. And those copies of those games are not particularly valuable.
If they set up a city of heroes game (as they have for everquest and wow), then a couple thousand people may play it- but not a million people.
No because in a few years the hardware will be horribly outdated. Only a few will want to play the games. And a lot of the games these days depend on being popular with a lot of people. What's the point of playing a massive multiplayer game with 3 people.
Short of a retina display, the screen will always look jaggier without AA than with AA. Once you hit resolution finer than your retina can discern, then AA makes no sense.
And I knew a guy who could see the difference between 57fps and >60fps reliably (below 60fps looked "choppy" to him but glass smooth to the rest of us.
And I know one person who can truly tell the difference between a 60 dollar bottle of wine and a 30 dollar bottle of wine. The rest of us topped out at about 25 dollars a bottle and in one case preferred a 12 dollar bottle over the 30 and the 60 dollar bottles.
And I know a guy who has 20/15 natural vision.
Grants on your great eyesight. Most of the rest of us can't tell the difference.
It's would still be true that 10 people could transcribe 10 books in the time it would take each of them to read 10 books.
And in my prime- pre carpal tunnel, I typed 120wpm. I could transcribe a 50,000 word book about 8 hours with breaks.*
Scanning is even faster.
---- For reference, Harry Potter has 1,084,170 words...
Sorcerer's Stones: 76,944 Chamber of Secrets: 85,141 Prisoner of Azkaban: 107,253 Goblet of Fire: 190,637 Order of the Phoenix: 257,045 Half-Blood Prince: 168,923 Deathly Hallows: 198,227
Total: 1,084,170
The entire series could be transcribed by a fair typist like myself in a little under 18 days, working 8 hours a day without any machine assistance. It would take two typists 9 days and three typists 3 days.
This seems like it would negate the value of DRM on books and merely make them annoying to potential paying customers. But- there are some customers who will buy the books because they are DRM'd and they would leech them if the books were not DRM'd.
I don't think you can say "many of those people will go on to buy your next book."
I think it's reasonable to say, "some people who consume your entertainment will purchase more from you."
From what I've seen, a lot don't.
Advertisements work much better than word of mouth.
But people who use advertisements start min/maxing the entertainment. Autotuning- not supporting anything fringe, dropping 17 products and only keeping the 3 most popular products on the shelf, only printing/publishing books/music/movies, etc. which is extremely likely to sell. And it almost always becomes pap and homogenized because they have to be sure they get a predictable return on their investment.
If you can read it, you can transcribe it as fast as you can read it (less than a day?)
With good OCR, books can be transcribed even faster.
Some people will read your book without buying it. You can't stop that. A lot of people are going to check your book out from the library and read it free too.
So DRM especially just prevents your legal readers from reading your book.
Assuming it was a builtin model with at least 1000 watts and 1.2cubic feet of space, 36" form factor and it had a "nice" finish?
If not -- still grats- I had a 700 watt white microwave oven that went 10 years before I gave it away since I remodeled and got a builtin. I was happy with it but wanted the counter space. I don't expect the new one to last 20 years.
Of course Foxxcon plans to replace 1,000,000 of their workers with machines.
I hear it's not going as well as they wanted but it is not going to badly.
Robots are going to change the basic rules of our economy. A human being can't survive on what a robot costs unless prices on food and living spaces come down.
And with ever increasing population, that doesn't seem so likely.
Somethings got to give in the next 20 years or so.
(and the new apple plant in the US will be almost totally automated too).
Just realize that the GE dishwasher you paid $300 for in 1992 would cost $900 today adjusted for inflation today but you are paying $450. Most consumers will buy the $450 because it's cheap because they don't realize it actually will cost them more money in the long run.
We went through this with a microwave.
You have two options.
An ugly commercial model for a moderate price ($350 to $500) or a consumer model with a 25 year warranty (like "miele" brand) which will cost you $1000.
It's ironic, but it seems worth it to me to buy the ugly commercial model and then figure out a way to dress it up with a facade.
Electronics are a big problem. One power surge and they are toast. So putting in some kind of power conditioning on your house will protect modern appliances.
And for cases when the long run doesn't matter-- go cheap.
I wonder when we will realize that a 6 million drone is as effective as a 120 million dollar airplane-- and you can fly 20 of them for the same price- and lose half of them and still be ahead.
Yes. The reduced virulence has less to do with the virus and more to do with the surviving hosts.
If a virus truly kills 100% of the host, then that doesn't happen.
But if it kills 50% of the hosts, then within a short time, the virus isn't fatal to the descendents of those survivors. And the reason the survivors made it can be different random factors (sickle cells, thicker mucous, more hairy noses, better white killer T cells, less responsive immune system, etc.).
There is some evidence that we didn't really "beat" diseases in the 1940's with wonder drugs so much as we developed some herd immunity and the wonder drugs and vaccines helped just helped.
When robots work as well as humans (and they do in an increasing number of places) and they are depreciatable, and the company doesn't have to pay social security, unemployment and other overhead costs, there is a very high incentive to go to robots.
It's a classic "tragedy of the commons" situation.
If one company automates to over 90%, then it makes huge profits, the remaining employees get huge salaries.
If all companies do it, then you have mass unemployment.
Retiring american, european, and chinese boomers will hide the trend in the short run (guessing up til about 2020- to 2024).
But past there, only jobs involving creative thinking will survive. And most people are not that creative nor that intelligent.
Unless we provide basic living quarters and food, you are look at brazil or worse (london where the police are currently stealing the food and shelter of the unemployed to drive them away-- but there is no where for them to be driven away to anymore so it's almost disquised genocide).
They had tried. They said they would cut business rules- and then realized they couldn't when multimillion dollar customers started leaving and threatening to leave. The business analysts and the programmers who were talking to the customers tried to tell the business this 24 months earlier.
Then they got overly sensitive and had a weird mixture of "COTS but with every custom feature previously supported.. except when we arbitrarily decide to drop it as too expensive except when we re-include it because customers are complaining" all while holding resources and schedule fixed.
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To be fair, I was proposing 100% coverage above.
And I'm not normally for the police being able to turn off their own video but I can see a reason here. It's a challenge you don't see with dash mounted cameras.
I had that exact thought after I posted the post above.
It's a challenge. They could be accidentally videoing other guys in the restroom at the stalls in the mirror even if it were shoulder mounted.
It would need to be addressed but it is an exception.
It seems like these cameras might produce a lot of accidental porn.
No false accusations.
And much less likely to wander off into bad behavior.
I personally think policemen should put a camera on when they put on the uniform and keep it on until they take it off.
We also need to recognize that they are human and have more training and suspensions instead of firings for emotional failures as a balance against full time surveillance.
But the apple that went for that much was one of less than 200 ever made.
And I don't see copies of "Pest Patrol" or Superscribe going for tons of money.
If they do, it will be the media in good condition (not just a copy of the game).
Not really,
I'm saying we don't have lots of races with 1967 formula one racing cars any more.
And in my parent post I was referring to console games more than PC games.
However, I don't know many folks that play the original team fortress any more, the original quake in multiplayer mode, etc. And those copies of those games are not particularly valuable.
If they set up a city of heroes game (as they have for everquest and wow), then a couple thousand people may play it- but not a million people.
No because in a few years the hardware will be horribly outdated.
Only a few will want to play the games.
And a lot of the games these days depend on being popular with a lot of people. What's the point of playing a massive multiplayer game with 3 people.
Analog monitors back about 2002. Playing "Shogo" and "Team Fortress" and "Doom".
Good times.
Short of a retina display, the screen will always look jaggier without AA than with AA.
Once you hit resolution finer than your retina can discern, then AA makes no sense.
And I knew a guy who could see the difference between 57fps and >60fps reliably (below 60fps looked "choppy" to him but glass smooth to the rest of us.
And I know one person who can truly tell the difference between a 60 dollar bottle of wine and a 30 dollar bottle of wine. The rest of us topped out at about 25 dollars a bottle and in one case preferred a 12 dollar bottle over the 30 and the 60 dollar bottles.
And I know a guy who has 20/15 natural vision.
Grants on your great eyesight. Most of the rest of us can't tell the difference.
Even granting your point,
It's would still be true that 10 people could transcribe 10 books in the time it would take each of them to read 10 books.
And in my prime- pre carpal tunnel, I typed 120wpm. I could transcribe a 50,000 word book about 8 hours with breaks.*
Scanning is even faster.
----
For reference, Harry Potter has 1,084,170 words...
Sorcerer's Stones: 76,944
Chamber of Secrets: 85,141
Prisoner of Azkaban: 107,253
Goblet of Fire: 190,637
Order of the Phoenix: 257,045
Half-Blood Prince: 168,923
Deathly Hallows: 198,227
Total: 1,084,170
The entire series could be transcribed by a fair typist like myself in a little under 18 days, working 8 hours a day without any machine assistance. It would take two typists 9 days and three typists 3 days.
This seems like it would negate the value of DRM on books and merely make them annoying to potential paying customers. But- there are some customers who will buy the books because they are DRM'd and they would leech them if the books were not DRM'd.
I don't think you can say "many of those people will go on to buy your next book."
I think it's reasonable to say, "some people who consume your entertainment will purchase more from you."
From what I've seen, a lot don't.
Advertisements work much better than word of mouth.
But people who use advertisements start min/maxing the entertainment.
Autotuning- not supporting anything fringe, dropping 17 products and only keeping the 3 most popular products on the shelf, only printing/publishing books/music/movies, etc. which is extremely likely to sell. And it almost always becomes pap and homogenized because they have to be sure they get a predictable return on their investment.
If you can read it, you can transcribe it as fast as you can read it (less than a day?)
With good OCR, books can be transcribed even faster.
Some people will read your book without buying it. You can't stop that. A lot of people are going to check your book out from the library and read it free too.
So DRM especially just prevents your legal readers from reading your book.
Grats.
Assuming it was a builtin model with at least 1000 watts and 1.2cubic feet of space, 36" form factor and it had a "nice" finish?
If not -- still grats- I had a 700 watt white microwave oven that went 10 years before I gave it away since I remodeled and got a builtin. I was happy with it but wanted the counter space. I don't expect the new one to last 20 years.
Robots are cheap enough to replace the jobs of people making $2000 a year in china and they are widely considered for any job making $8000.
You'd starve or die of exposure in america on those wages of course.
Of course Foxxcon plans to replace 1,000,000 of their workers with machines.
I hear it's not going as well as they wanted but it is not going to badly.
Robots are going to change the basic rules of our economy. A human being can't survive on what a robot costs unless prices on food and living spaces come down.
And with ever increasing population, that doesn't seem so likely.
Somethings got to give in the next 20 years or so.
(and the new apple plant in the US will be almost totally automated too).
Just realize that the GE dishwasher you paid $300 for in 1992 would cost $900 today adjusted for inflation today but you are paying $450. Most consumers will buy the $450 because it's cheap because they don't realize it actually will cost them more money in the long run.
We went through this with a microwave.
You have two options.
An ugly commercial model for a moderate price ($350 to $500) or a consumer model with a 25 year warranty (like "miele" brand) which will cost you $1000.
It's ironic, but it seems worth it to me to buy the ugly commercial model and then figure out a way to dress it up with a facade.
Electronics are a big problem. One power surge and they are toast. So putting in some kind of power conditioning on your house will protect modern appliances.
And for cases when the long run doesn't matter-- go cheap.
Interesting fairly balanced, even skeptical article on the topic here:
http://singularityhub.com/2013/05/15/moshe-vardi-robots-could-put-humans-out-of-work-by-2045/
That's the problem.
"something productive"
If you say, "enjoy lifes of leisure, playing games"-- that's possible.
If it has monetary value and isn't creative, then it can be automated at lower cost than a human can perform the activity.
I wonder when we will realize that a 6 million drone is as effective as a 120 million dollar airplane-- and you can fly 20 of them for the same price- and lose half of them and still be ahead.
Perhaps we already have.
Thank you. That made me smile.
I'll donate one bucket of rocks.
Yea. I'm hoping I'm off on the time scale.
Be nice for it to happen in 30 years (2040ish) since I'm fairly likely to be dead by then.
It's going to be hard to move to other countries unless you have significant resources.
Yes. The reduced virulence has less to do with the virus and more to do with the surviving hosts.
If a virus truly kills 100% of the host, then that doesn't happen.
But if it kills 50% of the hosts, then within a short time, the virus isn't fatal to the descendents of those survivors. And the reason the survivors made it can be different random factors (sickle cells, thicker mucous, more hairy noses, better white killer T cells, less responsive immune system, etc.).
There is some evidence that we didn't really "beat" diseases in the 1940's with wonder drugs so much as we developed some herd immunity and the wonder drugs and vaccines helped just helped.
When robots work as well as humans (and they do in an increasing number of places) and they are depreciatable, and the company doesn't have to pay social security, unemployment and other overhead costs, there is a very high incentive to go to robots.
It's a classic "tragedy of the commons" situation.
If one company automates to over 90%, then it makes huge profits, the remaining employees get huge salaries.
If all companies do it, then you have mass unemployment.
Retiring american, european, and chinese boomers will hide the trend in the short run (guessing up til about 2020- to 2024).
But past there, only jobs involving creative thinking will survive. And most people are not that creative nor that intelligent.
Unless we provide basic living quarters and food, you are look at brazil or worse (london where the police are currently stealing the food and shelter of the unemployed to drive them away-- but there is no where for them to be driven away to anymore so it's almost disquised genocide).
They had tried. They said they would cut business rules- and then realized they couldn't when multimillion dollar customers started leaving and threatening to leave. The business analysts and the programmers who were talking to the customers tried to tell the business this 24 months earlier.
Then they got overly sensitive and had a weird mixture of "COTS but with every custom feature previously supported.. except when we arbitrarily decide to drop it as too expensive except when we re-include it because customers are complaining" all while holding resources and schedule fixed.