Indeed. A solution needs to be found. What solution that will be will decide how history will remember this time. The range is unfortunately pretty broad and starts (at the lowest moral end) with internment camps for those that cannot earn money (in doubt, just put barbed wire and mine-fields around entire city-parts) and goes up to a guaranteed reasonable share of the wealth of society for everybody and a lot of offers for self-improvement, education and arts, all not driven by a desire to make more money.
Personally, I think the only way to prevent the dystopic scenario is some form of UBI that is significantly above the poverty-line.
You confuse automation and AI. AI worth that name might never happen, as it is not even on the distant horizon (i.e. there are not even credible theories how it could be implemented at this time). Automation is limited in what it can do. In particular, excluding brute-force effects, automation can generally only do less than its creators as it has no understanding of what it does. That does not make it useless, but the, say, 10% of all jobs that require the highest level of understanding and insight are completely inaccessible to automation. That is not really an issue, as many of the people doing these jobs would do them for free, if cost-of-living was provided to everybody. But for the average person, there will soon mostly only be jobs left that require a person to do it, because it is a service rendered to other persons. This includes things like teaching things people do for fun (where teaching is required, e.g. private piloting), and things like waitressing or cooking. These jobs will however not be enough to give everybody a job and most certainly will be unsuitable as way to distribute wealth. The other challenge will be what people that currently fall back to watching TV and drinking when they have free time will do with their lives. You can only drink and watch TV so much before it becomes problematic.
Well, we do not know that. It is reasonable to think that eventually people will learn to cope with not having that job to fill their time, but it is just a guess. I do fully agree that everybody eventually needs to have the wealth required for living reasonably available unconditionally. There are a few hurdles on the to that though. One thing is that the human races is still expanding and this absolutely must stop. Another is that there are a lot of people that are deeply into elevating themselves above others on material wealth. Many of those actually have no worthwhile skills and hence will oppose anything that gives anything for free to people they perceive as beneath them. Yes, that involves a strongly inaccurate self-perception, but there are a lot of those people around. There are other problems.
Actually, he is probably less of an expert than a random person, because he does not realize he is incompetent. The Dunning-Kruger Effect also applies to highly intelligent and intellectually accomplished people when they venture out of their field of expertise.
You are trying to hold back progress. While I respect your motivation, this does not work. All it does is make the place where it is done fall behind and have a worse starting position when they finally realize that resistance is futile.
There are no underpaid "very smart guys" in India or China, because all of these are either not in India or China anymore or are not underpaid. Fact is, the only application for high-quality off-shoring is if you literally cannot find a qualified expert any other way. It is also universally either more expensive than a local expert or a scam that does not perform on the claimed levels.
Basically the only good applications for Watson in the diagnostic field is as a 2nd (or 3rd) opinion and for doing medical statistics. It is unclear whether Watson will ever be able to do more, because all cases he got to work on were already pre-classified by actual MDs.
You greatly overestimate what "AI" can do (what is used is not really AI, it is pretty dumb automation and statistical analysis). Strong/true AI is not even on the distant horizon. Do not forget that Prof. Hawking has not clue about the real state-of-the art in AI research. What he does (like most other non-experts) is look at what "AI" can fake doing and then deduces that the amount of intelligence if doing this non-faked is present. That is not the case. The outcome is similar, but the process is not. None of the "AI" available these days or that can be created in this universe on what is currently known is "general". These are all special-purpose only automation, and each one needs to be created separately. That does not mean they are not useful. But they are also not "AI" in any meaningful way.
The actual state is that we do not know whether true/strong AI (i.e. one with actual understanding what it does and some generality as a consequence) is even possible in this universe and we have quite some indicators that it may not be. Still, there are a lot of jobs that do not require much insight or understanding, and many of those will go away in the next decades and that will be a very serious problem.
Seriously, this is not news or surprising. It also does not need true/strong AI (which is not even on the distant horizon, despite what non-experts like you claim). Simple automation with some dumb learning capabilities is quite enough. The problem is that many middle-class jobs do not require much sophistication.
Maybe you should stick to physics, where you have proven to be a brilliant mind, instead of saying redundant and frequently wrong things about a field you are not an expert in?
No problem at all. These do not have data-lines and 220V is not enough to jump any relevant distance. (Don't you love the general stupidity of the vandalist mind-set?) Carrying one of these into an airplane may get you a few years behind bars though, as they are close in design to a stun-gun.
Unless you own the hardware or have explicit permission. Using this otherwise is the equivalent of taking a hammer to a computer without permission. As this device has no purpose except destruction, it may even be criminal to own in some places.
More likely he sees his views validated and then has a clearly defined enemy. But French politics would likely welcome more domestic terror and the population is too dumb to see what those in power are doing.
My guess is that they want more domestic terrorism, as that apparently has served the ruling elite well. Hence they try their best to radicalize people and imprisoning them for thought-crimes is a tried-and-true way to do so.
The color "magenta" is protected in Germany as a trademark for Deutsche Telekom. (Yes, these fuckers need to die, but the have government backing and money.)
That is just a copycat on the primary thing. They could only demonize marijuana because of the war on drugs. Or is a causality-chain with two steps in it too complicated for you?
Symptoms of a country in decline: There is no connection anymore with what the government thinks is real and actual reality. You can do that for a few decades and watch the lawyers getting fat, but eventually this always backfires badly.
Indeed. There is quite a bit of content you cannot actually buy in most of the world. They should stop whining and actually make those mythical "legal alternatives" a reality.
Matches my experience. Fortunately, where I am this is actually legally tolerated they cannot make it fully legal, as that apparently violates some copyright-anti-terrorism-treaties), as they looked at the actual problem before making laws (rare for lawmakers) and found that there indeed were no legal alternatives and that it did not harm but help domestic content producers. Of course the country where I live is on the US watch-list for states allowing piracy now. The amount of extreme stupid expressed in this is staggering.
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Indeed. A solution needs to be found. What solution that will be will decide how history will remember this time. The range is unfortunately pretty broad and starts (at the lowest moral end) with internment camps for those that cannot earn money (in doubt, just put barbed wire and mine-fields around entire city-parts) and goes up to a guaranteed reasonable share of the wealth of society for everybody and a lot of offers for self-improvement, education and arts, all not driven by a desire to make more money.
Personally, I think the only way to prevent the dystopic scenario is some form of UBI that is significantly above the poverty-line.
You confuse automation and AI. AI worth that name might never happen, as it is not even on the distant horizon (i.e. there are not even credible theories how it could be implemented at this time). Automation is limited in what it can do. In particular, excluding brute-force effects, automation can generally only do less than its creators as it has no understanding of what it does. That does not make it useless, but the, say, 10% of all jobs that require the highest level of understanding and insight are completely inaccessible to automation. That is not really an issue, as many of the people doing these jobs would do them for free, if cost-of-living was provided to everybody. But for the average person, there will soon mostly only be jobs left that require a person to do it, because it is a service rendered to other persons. This includes things like teaching things people do for fun (where teaching is required, e.g. private piloting), and things like waitressing or cooking. These jobs will however not be enough to give everybody a job and most certainly will be unsuitable as way to distribute wealth. The other challenge will be what people that currently fall back to watching TV and drinking when they have free time will do with their lives. You can only drink and watch TV so much before it becomes problematic.
You seem to have no clue how capitalism works...
Well, we do not know that. It is reasonable to think that eventually people will learn to cope with not having that job to fill their time, but it is just a guess. I do fully agree that everybody eventually needs to have the wealth required for living reasonably available unconditionally. There are a few hurdles on the to that though. One thing is that the human races is still expanding and this absolutely must stop. Another is that there are a lot of people that are deeply into elevating themselves above others on material wealth. Many of those actually have no worthwhile skills and hence will oppose anything that gives anything for free to people they perceive as beneath them. Yes, that involves a strongly inaccurate self-perception, but there are a lot of those people around. There are other problems.
Actually, he is probably less of an expert than a random person, because he does not realize he is incompetent. The Dunning-Kruger Effect also applies to highly intelligent and intellectually accomplished people when they venture out of their field of expertise.
You are trying to hold back progress. While I respect your motivation, this does not work. All it does is make the place where it is done fall behind and have a worse starting position when they finally realize that resistance is futile.
There are no underpaid "very smart guys" in India or China, because all of these are either not in India or China anymore or are not underpaid. Fact is, the only application for high-quality off-shoring is if you literally cannot find a qualified expert any other way. It is also universally either more expensive than a local expert or a scam that does not perform on the claimed levels.
Basically the only good applications for Watson in the diagnostic field is as a 2nd (or 3rd) opinion and for doing medical statistics. It is unclear whether Watson will ever be able to do more, because all cases he got to work on were already pre-classified by actual MDs.
You greatly overestimate what "AI" can do (what is used is not really AI, it is pretty dumb automation and statistical analysis). Strong/true AI is not even on the distant horizon. Do not forget that Prof. Hawking has not clue about the real state-of-the art in AI research. What he does (like most other non-experts) is look at what "AI" can fake doing and then deduces that the amount of intelligence if doing this non-faked is present. That is not the case. The outcome is similar, but the process is not. None of the "AI" available these days or that can be created in this universe on what is currently known is "general". These are all special-purpose only automation, and each one needs to be created separately. That does not mean they are not useful. But they are also not "AI" in any meaningful way.
The actual state is that we do not know whether true/strong AI (i.e. one with actual understanding what it does and some generality as a consequence) is even possible in this universe and we have quite some indicators that it may not be. Still, there are a lot of jobs that do not require much insight or understanding, and many of those will go away in the next decades and that will be a very serious problem.
Seriously, this is not news or surprising. It also does not need true/strong AI (which is not even on the distant horizon, despite what non-experts like you claim). Simple automation with some dumb learning capabilities is quite enough. The problem is that many middle-class jobs do not require much sophistication.
Maybe you should stick to physics, where you have proven to be a brilliant mind, instead of saying redundant and frequently wrong things about a field you are not an expert in?
No problem at all. These do not have data-lines and 220V is not enough to jump any relevant distance. (Don't you love the general stupidity of the vandalist mind-set?) Carrying one of these into an airplane may get you a few years behind bars though, as they are close in design to a stun-gun.
Personally, I hope they will raid the vendor for the customer list after a while and then pay a visit to everyone that bought one.
Unless you own the hardware or have explicit permission. Using this otherwise is the equivalent of taking a hammer to a computer without permission. As this device has no purpose except destruction, it may even be criminal to own in some places.
Sounds like they've got bigger problems than the forked name and the color of their new logo though...
Indeed.
This is a thought-crime, the hallmark of a totalitarian state.
More likely he sees his views validated and then has a clearly defined enemy. But French politics would likely welcome more domestic terror and the population is too dumb to see what those in power are doing.
"The Law" on one side and right and wrong on the other are two very different things. He is referring to right and wrong.
My guess would be they know that and they _want_ that effect. Ruling with emergency powers is so much easier than doing it the hard way...
My guess is that they want more domestic terrorism, as that apparently has served the ruling elite well. Hence they try their best to radicalize people and imprisoning them for thought-crimes is a tried-and-true way to do so.
The color "magenta" is protected in Germany as a trademark for Deutsche Telekom. (Yes, these fuckers need to die, but the have government backing and money.)
That is just a copycat on the primary thing. They could only demonize marijuana because of the war on drugs. Or is a causality-chain with two steps in it too complicated for you?
Symptoms of a country in decline: There is no connection anymore with what the government thinks is real and actual reality. You can do that for a few decades and watch the lawyers getting fat, but eventually this always backfires badly.
Indeed. There is quite a bit of content you cannot actually buy in most of the world. They should stop whining and actually make those mythical "legal alternatives" a reality.
Matches my experience. Fortunately, where I am this is actually legally tolerated they cannot make it fully legal, as that apparently violates some copyright-anti-terrorism-treaties), as they looked at the actual problem before making laws (rare for lawmakers) and found that there indeed were no legal alternatives and that it did not harm but help domestic content producers. Of course the country where I live is on the US watch-list for states allowing piracy now. The amount of extreme stupid expressed in this is staggering.
I currently only download stuff, where there are none (no, I do not think badly dubbed versions 3 years later and only on DVD are an "alternative").