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User: SPickett

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  1. Oil cleanup method on Quantifying, and Dealing With, the Deepwater Spill · · Score: 1

    An interesting cleanup proposal:

    1. Blow hay on the ocean surface in the middle of the slick.
    2. Wait a short while as the waves mix the oil and hay. The oil attaches to the hay.
    3. Skim the hay from the surface.
    4. Any hay that gets to shore is easier to pick up than raw oil on the sand.

    Here's a video demonstration.

    http://www.wimp.com/solutionoil/

  2. Re:Funny thing about these trades on Sudden Demand For Logicians On Wall Street · · Score: 1

    And you haven't implemented this and become wealthy beyond your wildest imagination because ... ?

  3. Re:If he isn't already rich then he's lying on Bruce Bueno de Mesquita Uses Games To See the Future · · Score: 1

    His model works if there are small number of GROUPS have influence. There are many stock market situations where this may be useful.

    For example, a stock in play for a takeover. You have groups within the takeover target - management, institutional shareholders, public shareholders. You have the acquiring company management and acquiring company shareholders. Maybe you have a second potential acquiring company out there for a possible bidding war. You have two groups of speculators, one betting on the takeover, one betting against it.

    It seems like you could use game theory in predicting such a situation.

  4. Re:Oh my God... on Fastest (and Most Compact) Stellar Spinner Confirmed · · Score: 1

    From the last line of the article neither of us read:
    "It is thought that the white dwarf pair are reaching the end of their frenzied dance. As more gravitational waves are generated, energy is lost from the system, making them spiral closer together until they collide, possibly exploding as a type 1a supernova."

  5. Re:Doesn't mean anything on 2010 AL30, Asteroid Or Space Junk, To Pay a Close Visit · · Score: 1

    Also, detecting objects depends a great deal on the direction it is coming from. If it's coming from the vicinity of the Sun, it's much harder to see.

  6. Re:Ooooh... Intercontinental on Jetman Attempts Intercontinental Flight · · Score: 2, Informative

    When I read your post, I thought you were nuts. I always learned there were seven continents, two of which were North America and South America. I went to get a Wikipedia link (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continent) and read it's taught differently in different parts of the world.

    The seven-continent model is usually taught in China and most English-speaking countries. The six-continent combined-Eurasia model is preferred by the geographic community, Russia, the former states of the USSR, and Japan. The six-continent combined-America model is taught in Latin America, and some parts of Europe including Greece, Portugal, Spain and Italy. This model may be taught to include only the five inhabited continents (excluding Antarctica)[20][21] -- as depicted in the Olympic logo.

    It sounds like you may be from an area that has a 6-continent model.

  7. Re:Uniquely ID 87% of 300 million Americans? on Why Anonymized Data Isn't · · Score: 1

    Whoops. Birthdate (not birthday). Never mind.

  8. Uniquely ID 87% of 300 million Americans? on Why Anonymized Data Isn't · · Score: 1

    "in 2000, [researcher Latanya Sweeney] showed that 87 percent of all Americans could be uniquely identified using only three bits of information: ZIP code, birthdate, and sex"

    That doesn't seem right. IIRC, there are somewhere around 60,000 zipcodes. (Obviously there are under 100000.) If the population is 300 million, that's an average of about 5000 people per zipcode. Male/female splits it in half, so you have 2500 birthdates to distribute uniquely over 365 days.

    Looked at another way, 365 days *times* 2 sexes *times* 60000 zipcodes totals less than 44 million. How do you uniquely ID 300 million people?

    Add the problem that many people could have given you either their work or home zipcode. How does she do that?

  9. More doctors = Lower medical costs on US Life Expectancy May Have Peaked · · Score: 2, Informative

    There's an elephant in the room that is being ignored. The AMA artificially limits the number of doctors and nurses available, which drives up prices. As the baby boomers age, it is going to get worse.

    If you increase the supply of doctors and nurses, the shortage will decrease and prices will drop. Unfortunately, the AMA would switch from being a strong supporter of health-care reform to a strong opponent and it would be more difficult to pass.

  10. Re:Presence of Restoration Effects in These Subjec on Genetic Mutation Enables Less Sleep · · Score: 1

    It might be sleeping for eight night-time hours kept you safe from predators with low-light adaptations. Only sleep for 6 hours, move around during 2 dark hours, get eaten and don't pass on your genes.

  11. Re:How will they know.. on Can Bill Gates Prevent the Next Katrina? · · Score: 1

    You start with a model that predicts hurricane strength based on many input parameters, one of which is surface temperature of the water. They already have this. They use it to create the projected storm track and strength of hurricanes that you see on TV all the time.

    They create (or already have) models that project how much Gates' method drops ocean surface temperatures. The reason I suspect they already have such a model is it would be useful for optimizing the number and placement of boats.

    Plug Gates' projected temperature drop back into NOAA's hurricane model and you have a projected reduction in strength of the hurricane. After the hurricane passes, they could use the actual track/wind speeds/temperatures to check the accuracy of their models.

    How many hurricanes it would require to get statistical significance would depend on how effective the method is. If the method only drops the max sustained wind speed 1 MPH, it would take forever to show significance. But, his invention wouldn't be very useful anyway. However, if it dropped speeds by 10 or 20 MPH, it would show up much quicker. It would also be obvious and encourage them to continue from the models even before they reached a 90% or 95% significance.

  12. Re:Hello! You get both operating systems. on $50 to Get XP On a New Dell · · Score: 2, Informative

    Look folks, the reason for the extra $50 is simple. You get both Vista AND XP. I think you're wrong.

    I'm trying to buy a Dell laptop today. Here are my operating system options:
    Genuine Windows® XP Professional, SP2 with Media add $0
    Genuine Windows Vista® Business Bonus-Windows® XP Professional loaded [Included in Price]
    Genuine Windows Vista® Ultimate Bonus-Windows® XP Professional loaded [add $50]
    Genuine Windows Vista® Business Service Pack 1, With media add $0 (Dell Recommended)
    Genuine Windows Vista® Ultimate Service Pack 1, With media [add $50]

    You'll notice that (1) XP loaded, (2) Vista Business loaded, and (3) XP loaded plus Vista Business on media are all the same price. It sounds like beginning tomorrow either of the XP options will carry an additional charge.
  13. Taking a long nap on GM Says Driverless Cars Will Be Ready By 2018 · · Score: 1

    Saint Peter at the pearly gates early in 2018: So, how did you die? New car owner: Well, the new, full-featured, driverless cars were too expensive. So, I bought the cheaper version, turned it on and hopped in the back seat for a short nap. Turns out it was just a cruise control and the nap turned out to be longer than I expected.

  14. Google as a spell checker on Wikia Search Engine to be Launched on January 7th · · Score: 1

    I agree with your agreement. If I'm not sure how to spell a word, I don't go to a dictionary, online or otherwise I go to Google, type it in and get the correct spelling from the "Did you mean" line at the top of the results.

  15. Re:11 years to switch between 2.0 and 3.0 on GNU Octave 3.0 Released After 11 Years · · Score: 1

    So, maybe you can standardize open source version numbers across as many packages as possible. It could be they year then the existing version number. For example, KDE 2007.3.5.8 or Linux 2003.2.6.0. Yes, they are long version numbers, but you don't need to use the entire number just as you don't today. You probably say you run Firefox 2 or KDE 3.5 unless the full version number is important. You could continue to abbreviate the version number. The advantage would be people who run a couple of open source programs, say OpenOffice 2007.2.3.1 and Firefox 2007.2.0.11 might notice the similarity and wonder if they were from the same company. With a little probing, they might discover there is an open source world out there and start searching for more such programs. (A consistent versioning system would also give you quicker info on the age of each of the products you're using.)

  16. Re:Trademarks on Is a Domain Name an Automatic Trademark? · · Score: 1

    IANAL I tried to look up "simpledog" and "simple dog" at the USPTO web site but found nothing registered. As others have pointed out, he could still have an unregistered trademark. Also, trademark is a Law of Equity, which means it generally tries to just make things right, rather than give crazy monetary damages. My understanding is that even if you lose, the most common result would be that you would just lose the name. Of course, you would also be out your legal fees. But, you could wait and see if goes to the trouble to actually file a suit and cave in then. IANAL

  17. Self Organizing Maps on Evolution and the 'Wisdom of Crowds' · · Score: 2, Informative

    His netflix is very similar to a standard methodology called Self Organizing Maps (SOM). It's cool to implement because it is automatic. You can use it to map 3 or more dimensions onto 2 dimensions and look at it. The output also changes depending on how you start it. Map the same data set in reverse or some other order and you end up with different clustering. You can use it to solve a problem as the author described. Or, you can use it to simplify complex input before you feed it into a further model, neural net, or whatever.

  18. AI link on Trans-Atlantic Robots · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Evolving neural network for sailing project http://annevolve.sourceforge.net/

  19. Re:Swarm Theory and Economics on Swarm Theory Makes National Geographic · · Score: 1

    I read an interesting book called "The Selfish Gene." The premise was that Survival of the Fittest doesn't refer to individual actors, but rather individual genes. In the case of swarm theory, it's irrelevant if the action of an individual is unselfish, but rather whether the action (the gene) improves the chance of that gene surviving. So if a colony consists of many ants with the gene that says, "Go out, follow the pheromone trail and bring back the food," that colony will tend to thrive and so will that gene. It's the individual gene that survives and what happens to each particular individual is irrelevant. If a quail is hiding and is flushed out by a predator (like a man with a gun), he makes an alarm sound that causes other quail to fly off at the same time. The other quail have a better chance of surviving by leaving the area while the hunter is busy shooting the original quail. Assuming the group share the alarm-sounding gene, that gene will survive despite the fact that the original quail decreased his individual chance of survival by attracting attention to himself.

  20. Re:Fine... on 6 Months On, Vista Security Still Besting Linux · · Score: 1

    Following your link and clicking on his "Bio", you see the following: Jeff has been a security guy for 19 years. Some of the more interesting jobs he's done: ... and a director in the Microsoft security group.

  21. 2 girls for every boy on Boys with Longer Ring Fingers are Better at Math · · Score: 5, Funny

    The beach boys gave boys all the math they'll ever need. And, it isn't related to the index finger or ring finger, but rather to the finger in between.

  22. Re:Actually it's just pipelined on Is Parallel Programming Just Too Hard? · · Score: 1

    No, raednig is atuclaly dnoe in prelaell. You can tlel tihs bcuasee it is esay to raed tihs msgesae eevn tohguh its all jmlbuled up.

  23. Re:Sampling? on Hybrid Cars to Get New Mileage Ratings · · Score: 1

    Where do you get the gallons of gas used? Is that stored in the on-board computer and is it accurate?

  24. Dynamic cruise control can eliminate these jams on Chaos and Your Everyday Traffic Jam · · Score: 1

    Some newer cars have dynamic cruise control that maintains a certain distance behind the car ahead of you. Cars with this technology conteract the domino effect of each car braking harder than the previous one because it initiates the braking very quickly and brakes slightly less aggresively than the car ahead, allowing the inter-car gap to close as the vehicles slow. This has a dampening effect on the entire reaction.

    I've read that once a certain percentage of vehicles have this technology, it will eliminate these traffic jams. I don't remember what that percentage was, but I remember it surprised me at how low it was, something like 25% or less.

  25. Casinos can change the rules and eliminate this on Cheating At Roulette May Be Legal In UK · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This isn't the first system invented that can beat the house. Before card counting was invented and described in Edward O'Thorpe's book "Beat the Dealer," he had discovered and capitalized on a couple side-bets with positive expectation he found in Bacarat. The casinos simply eliminated them. When card-counting arrived, casinos introduced multiple decks (which don't eliminate the edge, but does decrease it) and early shuffling. Early shuffling costs them money by decreasing the hands played per hour, but they can employ it only when they suspect a counter at the table. A simple solution for removing the edge for roulette is for the coupier to re-touch the center wheel once after closing the betting, either accelerating or decelerating a little. Easy to do, effective, and no decrease in the amount bet/hour.