Yes some money was made in gold. But during the stick crash in 2008 both Bonds and Gold did great. During that time I had to rebalance and sold both and had to buy quite a bit of S&P 500 in the 800 range. There has been a good return in that.
Also gold has stopped in the last year or so. But bond prices are going up with the low interest rates.
I'm assuming that the power will eventually be electric. If you look at energy/density storage curves it's inevitable. Tech can get rid of noise concerns too.
Individual transportation will always be superior because time is a very scarce resource for most people. The actual travel time on public transport can be fast but door to door personal transportation for almost all travel is better. Plus eliminating maintaining hundreds of thousands of miles of maglev will be more expensive.
I use a method by the late great Harry Browne he called failsafe investing.
Here is the summary. Divide your investment into quarters. 25% S&P 500 stocks 25% 30 year Treasury Bonds 25% 100% Treasury Money Market (If you can find one. They pretty much all went under after they put FDIC on money markets) 25% Gold Bullion Coins
As you save add your funds to the Cash (Money Market) portion. Every once in a while check the balances. If any gets above 35% or below 15% of your total portfolio re-balance it to 25%.
The beauty of it is that when anything bad happens it is usually people running from one of these to another. This allows you to automatically buy low and sell high.
I've averaged about 12% per year for the last 10 years. You don't get as good of a return long term as the S&P 500 but it's also less scary.
Imagine if you did have VTOL personal transports. You could eliminate roads. It would be like what is happening with cell phones eliminating land lines. You would save all of the money currently spent on maintaining infrastructure. Also sprawl would explode as people buy land without worrying about infrastructure. Land prices would plummet in most places.
If you think Amazon is fast now wait until you place an order and a VTOL drone drops off a package on your front door 10 minutes later.
You really don't know what you are talking about. Sure the market can get volitile but most companies in the S&P 500 actually do have value. If you don't panic and cash out during the crash you will be fine. All of the financials in the S&P 500 are about 15%.
If you are investing long term and are diversified these panics are a good time to buy.
I have to admit I am a bit afraid every time I post a pro liberty message. I have to travel by plane in a few weeks and it will be my first trip since 9/11. I am a bit curious if I'm flagged by the TSA. I'll let you know.
As someone who values liberty I find posts like yours a bit disturbing. There really was never a time in the past where everyone had liberty. There have been times where certain people had more than today. There were even times when the total liberty was greater. But unfortunately those times were also repressive for many. Talking about going back to a certain time is going to alienate a lot of people.
I suggest talking about liberty as an unknown ideal that we should progress towards. Talk about a government that respects people's lives and property will end up protecting everyone's rights. Talk about how law (force) should only be used to protect life and private property and how that will protect everyone's rights.
It would get rid of that and also the 3 months of no work between the end of the fiscal year and the calendar year. Congress has been gong down to the wire so no money can be allocated to projects until the budget is approved. When this happens at the end of September it takes a couple months to get the money turned on. Then nothing happens between Thanksgiving and New Years since so many people are using their vacation time that is use or lose.
Also most projects have a spending curve where in the preliminary phases there aren't too many people working on them. When you are building and integrating hardware there are lots of people and lots of hours. If the schedule slips but you can't slip the budget you are setting things up for failure. If you could hold over your budget based on where the project is you would be much better off.
Same. Here. I found a great old drafting table with a top that adjusts up and down and for tilt. I stand all day but I have an industrial anti-fatigue mat. I agree with your observations. People give me strange looks because it looks like I'm doing yoga while working. Sometimes I'm standing straight. Sometimes hunched over. Sometimes I put a carboard tube on the floor and balance on it.
I am 5'9" and used to be 210 lbs and my legs hurt from poor circulation and my back hurt. I decided I was getting old and I needed to make changes now before it was too late. That was in January. I am now 170 lbs and my legs and back are all better.
You are missing a vital piece of information. You explain what a bubble is but not why it forms. The reason for most large bubbles is when currency is inflated and rates are set below a market rate by a central bank. This new money has to go somewhere and wherever it goes it causes a misallocation of resources. This can happen without a central bank but without an endless source of new money those bubbles tend to be small and burst quickly.
Also there is no such thing as the true value of anything. Value is completely subjective. Everyone values things differently. In fact that is the only reason anyone trades. I value the gallon of milk more than the price while the store values the money more than the milk. Nobody goes around trading things of equal value.
The mass of curiosity is much more than Viking if you include the mass of the sky crane. If you put it all in the surface it would be about 2-3 times more massive.
I think it all came down to mass. You could of had the exact same system with 3 legs on the sky crane and just wait until after landing to lower the rover. But that would add the mass of some very large structure which due to the damn rocket equation would push them beyond what they could launch.
Thanks for the feedback. Part of NASA's mission is to educate. But most of the stuff you see publicly is aimed at younger kids. They gloss over the real work and give a CSI view of engineering.
The university stuff is usually better but most of the process is hidden from public view.
I always thought it would be interesting to have a real open project where all of the work is made available for public review. So many times everyone is so busy review arent that useful. If it was made public there are people that would wlly like to delve into the details. What fun to find an error a NASA enginner made. I would of loved that when I was in school.
On the plus side we only owe $15 trillion of those pieces of paper that SAY "money" on them. And like you said they are worthless. So we really owe nothing and are in fact broke.
Thr while purpose of stealth was to convince Americans we could go to war without risking lives. This was considered important by those who like an active foreign policy because after the Vietnam War Americans lost their taste for war. Overwhelming air power in The Gulf War showed Americans are fine with war as long as other people are doing the dying. Stealth fit this purpose.
It seems now after 9/11 Americans are fine with losing thousands of lives in War. If that's the case we should switch back to lots of dumb cheap fighters. If we don't cry over thousands of soldiers a few dozen pilots aren't going to matter. Go back to F-16, F-15, F,18 and A-10's.
Just curious. If someone at NASA put out some requirements for a small subsystem how many people here would work on helping develop it in their spare time? I've tried to make this point. There are some things that can be crowd sourced. I think the public could get involved if the ITAR stuff could be avoided.
For example let's say a bracket was needed to hold a sensor. NASA could post the mass, size and Interface for the sensor and list the shock and vib requirements. Then let whoever wants to submit a design with analysis. Then the responsible engineer could review them and pick a design.
You are missing the point. You can buy everything but the receive online without a background check as a replacement part. The receiver is the part that is considered a gun.
I think the purpose of this site is to look at how the original data is collected and check the quality of it. I read through the paper and all they did was re-evaluate the sites to a new standard Leroy (2010). The previous standard looked just at how close heat sources/sinks were from the thermometer. The new standard takes into account not only the distance but area of the heat source/sink. This makes sense to me. It also brings up questions about the roles that shade and vegetation will have as something that needs more study.
This isn't about a large scale heat island effect. It is about a much more local one. If you had a thermometer in a field for 100 years and then built an asphalt parking lot around it you will have an increase in temperature even if it is still in a rural area.
Also it brings up a problem with a sensor that was installed at airports and used for automated data gathering.
I think the importance of this study lies more with how those in the field receive it. A real scientist would be interested if someone pointed out an error in their data collection. A politically motivated individual would brush it off without a second thought saying it isn't relevant. Time will tell.
I have a half way solution. Keep the FDA but make it an advisory board. This way you can still sell any herb or crazy therapy you like but those that want things that are proven to be effective can look for things that are FDA approved. If you tried every approved treatment with no results you might be desperate enough to try some crazy stuff.
Here is the thing. All of these types of incidents are counterbalanced by how insanely inefficient our government is. This is where I laugh at conspiracy theorists. There is no one secret group controlling everything. Everyone in power is a lying conniving criminal. The one thing they can be counted on is to hang their fellow criminals out to dry if it suits their purpose. That is the secret to the success of the US. I like to think of most politicians like mob bosses. They want to maintain control over their turf so they can keep collecting the protection money. But the Mafia isn't the worst form of government. The Mafia wants businesses to succeed in order to keep the protection money rolling in. They want to keep violence under control for the same purpose. Now they will never allow real freedom and always want to keep a base level of crime in order for people to accept them in control. If we had real freedom people might see that we actually get along pretty well without the Mafia. This is why the politicians keep finding issues to divide us.
Slashdot Mirror
What's the return and volitility of your suggested portfolio? I'm always open to suggestions.
Yes some money was made in gold. But during the stick crash in 2008 both Bonds and Gold did great. During that time I had to rebalance and sold both and had to buy quite a bit of S&P 500 in the 800 range. There has been a good return in that.
Also gold has stopped in the last year or so. But bond prices are going up with the low interest rates.
I'm assuming that the power will eventually be electric. If you look at energy/density storage curves it's inevitable. Tech can get rid of noise concerns too.
Individual transportation will always be superior because time is a very scarce resource for most people. The actual travel time on public transport can be fast but door to door personal transportation for almost all travel is better. Plus eliminating maintaining hundreds of thousands of miles of maglev will be more expensive.
I use a method by the late great Harry Browne he called failsafe investing.
Here is the summary. Divide your investment into quarters.
25% S&P 500 stocks
25% 30 year Treasury Bonds
25% 100% Treasury Money Market (If you can find one. They pretty much all went under after they put FDIC on money markets)
25% Gold Bullion Coins
As you save add your funds to the Cash (Money Market) portion.
Every once in a while check the balances. If any gets above 35% or below 15% of your total portfolio re-balance it to 25%.
The beauty of it is that when anything bad happens it is usually people running from one of these to another. This allows you to automatically buy low and sell high.
I've averaged about 12% per year for the last 10 years. You don't get as good of a return long term as the S&P 500 but it's also less scary.
Imagine if you did have VTOL personal transports. You could eliminate roads. It would be like what is happening with cell phones eliminating land lines. You would save all of the money currently spent on maintaining infrastructure. Also sprawl would explode as people buy land without worrying about infrastructure. Land prices would plummet in most places.
If you think Amazon is fast now wait until you place an order and a VTOL drone drops off a package on your front door 10 minutes later.
It would be a VERY disruptive technology.
You really don't know what you are talking about. Sure the market can get volitile but most companies in the S&P 500 actually do have value. If you don't panic and cash out during the crash you will be fine. All of the financials in the S&P 500 are about 15%.
If you are investing long term and are diversified these panics are a good time to buy.
I won't be detained. But I may get extra
scrutiny.
I have to admit I am a bit afraid every time I post a pro liberty message. I have to travel by plane in a few weeks and it will be my first trip since 9/11. I am a bit curious if I'm flagged by the TSA. I'll let you know.
As someone who values liberty I find posts like yours a bit disturbing. There really was never a time in the past where everyone had liberty. There have been times where certain people had more than today. There were even times when the total liberty was greater. But unfortunately those times were also repressive for many. Talking about going back to a certain time is going to alienate a lot of people.
I suggest talking about liberty as an unknown ideal that we should progress towards. Talk about a government that respects people's lives and property will end up protecting everyone's rights. Talk about how law (force) should only be used to protect life and private property and how that will protect everyone's rights.
It would get rid of that and also the 3 months of no work between the end of the fiscal year and the calendar year. Congress has been gong down to the wire so no money can be allocated to projects until the budget is approved. When this happens at the end of September it takes a couple months to get the money turned on. Then nothing happens between Thanksgiving and New Years since so many people are using their vacation time that is use or lose.
Also most projects have a spending curve where in the preliminary phases there aren't too many people working on them. When you are building and integrating hardware there are lots of people and lots of hours. If the schedule slips but you can't slip the budget you are setting things up for failure. If you could hold over your budget based on where the project is you would be much better off.
Same. Here. I found a great old drafting table with a top that adjusts up and down and for tilt. I stand all day but I have an industrial anti-fatigue mat. I agree with your observations. People give me strange looks because it looks like I'm doing yoga while working. Sometimes I'm standing straight. Sometimes hunched over. Sometimes I put a carboard tube on the floor and balance on it.
I am 5'9" and used to be 210 lbs and my legs hurt from poor circulation and my back hurt. I decided I was getting old and I needed to make changes now before it was too late. That was in January. I am now 170 lbs and my legs and back are all better.
These are fuels you can make easily on mars.
It's not just they are cleaner but we can easily make these fuels on Mars.
The real reason for using this fuel an oxidizer is because they can be made on mars.
The KSC firefighters are currently on strike.
You are missing a vital piece of information. You explain what a bubble is but not why it forms. The reason for most large bubbles is when currency is inflated and rates are set below a market rate by a central bank. This new money has to go somewhere and wherever it goes it causes a misallocation of resources. This can happen without a central bank but without an endless source of new money those bubbles tend to be small and burst quickly.
Also there is no such thing as the true value of anything. Value is completely subjective. Everyone values things differently. In fact that is the only reason anyone trades. I value the gallon of milk more than the price while the store values the money more than the milk. Nobody goes around trading things of equal value.
The mass of curiosity is much more than Viking if you include the mass of the sky crane. If you put it all in the surface it would be about 2-3 times more massive.
I think it all came down to mass. You could of had the exact same system with 3 legs on the sky crane and just wait until after landing to lower the rover. But that would add the mass of some very large structure which due to the damn rocket equation would push them beyond what they could launch.
Thanks for the feedback. Part of NASA's mission is to educate. But most of the stuff you see publicly is aimed at younger kids. They gloss over the real work and give a CSI view of engineering.
The university stuff is usually better but most of the process is hidden from public view.
I always thought it would be interesting to have a real open project where all of the work is made available for public review. So many times everyone is so busy review arent that useful. If it was made public there are people that would wlly like to delve into the details. What fun to find an error a NASA enginner made. I would of loved that when I was in school.
On the plus side we only owe $15 trillion of those pieces of paper that SAY "money" on them. And like you said they are worthless. So we really owe nothing and are in fact broke.
Thr while purpose of stealth was to convince Americans we could go to war without risking lives. This was considered important by those who like an active foreign policy because after the Vietnam War Americans lost their taste for war. Overwhelming air power in The Gulf War showed Americans are fine with war as long as other people are doing the dying. Stealth fit this purpose.
It seems now after 9/11 Americans are fine with losing thousands of lives in War. If that's the case we should switch back to lots of dumb cheap fighters. If we don't cry over thousands of soldiers a few dozen pilots aren't going to matter. Go back to F-16, F-15, F,18 and A-10's.
Just curious. If someone at NASA put out some requirements for a small subsystem how many people here would work on helping develop it in their spare time? I've tried to make this point. There are some things that can be crowd sourced. I think the public could get involved if the ITAR stuff could be avoided.
For example let's say a bracket was needed to hold a sensor. NASA could post the mass, size and Interface for the sensor and list the shock and vib requirements. Then let whoever wants to submit a design with analysis. Then the responsible engineer could review them and pick a design.
You are missing the point. You can buy everything but the receive online without a background check as a replacement part. The receiver is the part that is considered a gun.
I think the purpose of this site is to look at how the original data is collected and check the quality of it. I read through the paper and all they did was re-evaluate the sites to a new standard Leroy (2010). The previous standard looked just at how close heat sources/sinks were from the thermometer. The new standard takes into account not only the distance but area of the heat source/sink. This makes sense to me. It also brings up questions about the roles that shade and vegetation will have as something that needs more study.
This isn't about a large scale heat island effect. It is about a much more local one. If you had a thermometer in a field for 100 years and then built an asphalt parking lot around it you will have an increase in temperature even if it is still in a rural area.
Also it brings up a problem with a sensor that was installed at airports and used for automated data gathering.
I think the importance of this study lies more with how those in the field receive it. A real scientist would be interested if someone pointed out an error in their data collection. A politically motivated individual would brush it off without a second thought saying it isn't relevant. Time will tell.
I have a half way solution. Keep the FDA but make it an advisory board. This way you can still sell any herb or crazy therapy you like but those that want things that are proven to be effective can look for things that are FDA approved. If you tried every approved treatment with no results you might be desperate enough to try some crazy stuff.
Here is the thing. All of these types of incidents are counterbalanced by how insanely inefficient our government is. This is where I laugh at conspiracy theorists. There is no one secret group controlling everything. Everyone in power is a lying conniving criminal. The one thing they can be counted on is to hang their fellow criminals out to dry if it suits their purpose. That is the secret to the success of the US. I like to think of most politicians like mob bosses. They want to maintain control over their turf so they can keep collecting the protection money. But the Mafia isn't the worst form of government. The Mafia wants businesses to succeed in order to keep the protection money rolling in. They want to keep violence under control for the same purpose. Now they will never allow real freedom and always want to keep a base level of crime in order for people to accept them in control. If we had real freedom people might see that we actually get along pretty well without the Mafia. This is why the politicians keep finding issues to divide us.