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Mir To Crash Into Pacific

b0z writes "According to an article on Yahoo! the Russians are planning to dump Mir into the ocean in February. According to the article, the $40 million that MirCorp has raised is not enough to save Mir. Also, it is noted that Mir has been in use much longer than the engineers that made it intended." Of course, I'll believe this when I "see" it - the saga of Mir continues.

45 of 188 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Fungus by Bob+McCown · · Score: 2

    try "peace"

  2. price raised from $40M to $100M by peter303 · · Score: 2

    It hasn't been ruled out, but the price figure is now 2.5 times the previously "agreed" figure. This may be an atempt to get things closer to true costs or bribery. In the FSU you never know.

  3. Re:There goes another bit of the ecosystem... by kevlar · · Score: 2

    It'd cost much more to get MIR out of Earth orbit. Look at the cost of apollo relative to the size of Mir.

    If they boosted it to a higher orbit, they'd only be post-poning the inevitable.

    Dropping it in the ocean is much better than dropping it on NYC, Paris, Moscow Beijing, etc.

  4. Re:Destination Mir by Mindwarp · · Score: 2

    Easy - they're going to have to plan on training the contestants on deep-sea diving techniques rather than that whole cosmonaut program.

    --

    --
    The gift of death metal does not smile on the good looking.
  5. Re:Wouldn't it be cool if... by LLatson · · Score: 2

    I agree, that would be cool, but I think the reentry is violent enough and the space station is fragile enough that a) communications wouldn't work (isn't there a radio blackout during reentry?), b) the antenae will break very quickly, or c) both.

    But it would be cool.

    LL

    --
    "If you are falling, dive." -Joseph Campbell
  6. Spend that $40 million by gorilla · · Score: 2

    Spend the money on making a large target, which we can put selected people on. When mir crashlands, it will take out those people.

  7. Re:There goes another bit of the ecosystem... by drudd · · Score: 2

    Considering the number of Aircraft carriers, destroyers, merchant vessels, and the like we dumped in there during WWII, MIR is like a speck of cosmic dust in comparison.

    It's a nice thought, but the ocean is really FAR FAR too large a system to be affected by MIR's impact... if it were, consider what the Bikini Atoll atom bomb tests in the 50's would have done.

    Doug

    --
    Venn ist das nurnstuck git und Slotermeyer? Ya! Beigerhund das oder die Flipperwaldt gersput!
  8. Re:There goes another bit of the ecosystem... by raytracer · · Score: 2
    If you don't think that is going to have a measurable effect on a large chunk of
    water, you haven't taken any thermo or bio classes...

    Puleeze. Mir is a pretty big chunk of metal as metal chunks go, but it is insignificant when compared with the mass of the ocean. Try heating a spoon to red hot, and plunking it into a glass of water. Sure, the water around it sizzles for a second, then the spoon is cold, and so for the most part is the water in the glass. Do the math comparing their mass and the delta T. If you have some thermo classes, it's pretty evident that Mir won't do squat to raise the temperature of the earth's oceans.

  9. Re:This is really sad. by Bouncings · · Score: 2
    It seems obvious to me: when the government does everything, there are a few things it does well. For solving social problems, the government is about the least effective institution possible. But, for scientific research and militarization, it's very effective.

    I really like how in this country we keep moving more and more socialist in regard to our social problems, but cut the military budget. Keep doing what doesn't work. :)

    On a side note, it's important to keep in mind that the USSR was pouring all its money into its military and space program. In its now democratic system, all the money goes toward corruption. :) That's terrific.

    --
    -- Ken Kinder ken@_nospam_kenkinder.com http://kenkinder.com/
  10. Destination Mir by alee · · Score: 2

    How does this affect Mark Burnett (the creator of Survivor) and his plans for Destination Mir?

  11. Chernobyl Reactors, ect. by Teancum · · Score: 2

    What is truly sad is that the reactors at Chernobyl are still being used in the Ukraine. According to the Ukrainian government, they can't really afford to shut down the reactors that didn't go through the melt-down. I've seen documentaries of the place, and it is kinda spooky to see people taking trains to the reactor to work, and people deliberately trying to avoid the "hot spots" that are still there.

    I did hear some talk of international help to shut it down, and possibly build a more modern nuclear plant (western style) to replace it, but I havn't heard anything since then.

    What I'm trying to say is that your analogy is flawed, and yes, people are running the Chernobyl reactos for nostalgic reasons as well. Maybe we should talk about Three-mile Island... oh wait, that's still there as well. However, I don't think it is in current operation.

  12. Re:I wish... by psergiu · · Score: 2

    > for a piece of space history.....

    and for the METAL EATING FUNGUS FROM OUTER SPACE !

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  13. Plea... by psergiu · · Score: 2

    Please mr. Russian president - dont't kill all the cute fish and the corals in the pacific ocean. We, the /.errs know a better place for you to drop the MIR:
    One Microsoft Way - Redmond VA.

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    1. Re:Plea... by wesmills · · Score: 4
      One Microsoft Way - Redmond VA

      I pity whoever in Virginia has this address ... Washington might be a better state to ditch it in, anyway. :)

      ---

  14. Re:I wish... by wowbagger · · Score: 2
    and then auction the old clunker off on ebay

    No, what I want is for Max Ary of The Kansas Cosmosphere to get it. He's grabbed more Soviet/Russian gear than anybody else in the free world. If the Russians crash Mir into the ocean, expect Max out there with a big catcher's mitt.
  15. Re:Wouldn't it be cool if... by Yo_mama · · Score: 2

    You'd have to put it in a special re-entry black box.... there are times during reentry when the charged ions block communication and the signal wouldn't get through...

    --
    Never understimate the power of human stupidity -Lazarus Long
  16. Space Fungus by anacron · · Score: 2

    Does anyone know the impact of bringing biological life back down to the planet that has existed in space for over 10 years? The /. article here talked about it -- but has it been studied?

  17. Umm... by Greyfox · · Score: 2

    That's assuming the heat of reentry kills it. If it doesn't, we'll be getting a great firsthand opportunity to study that fungus...

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  18. yessssss by jbridge21 · · Score: 2

    Hoooray! Now I can show my kids the fireworks show I've always promised them!

    Anybody know where it's gonna be?

    On another note: Goodbye Mir, it's been a good time.

    (Side note: I don't actually have kids... it's a joke, anyway.)
    -----

  19. Re:This is really sad. by TheCarp · · Score: 2

    > Massive shortages of consumer goods, poverty,
    > crime, housing problems, political
    > corruption/oppression. Oh yeah but a they had
    >a good space station.

    Which goes to show something else entirely.

    The political/economic system doesn't matter much. If you give smart people lots of resources, they can build some really cool things.

    It also goes to show the major failing of ALL political systems - resources will get allocated according to political process rather than according to logic and common sense.

    If russia was truely communistic, and truely believed in "the people" (afterall, isn't the basic tennant of socialism that the welfare of the people is paramount?) then maybe they would have allocated resources to raising the standard of living and producing enough food and goods for their entire populace - rather than trying to shoot cool toys into space and engaging in an insane arms race?

    Of course the same could be said of the US. Armed forces Generals have been saying for years "We have enough nukes, we can stop making them" yet every year congress allocated more money to making new nukes.

    Politics in action!

    -Steve

    --
    "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
  20. Re:What about the radiation? by foistboinder · · Score: 2

    Apart from the disruption caused by a large weight dropping into water

    My guess is that it will be a bunch relatively small "weights" dropping into the water

    the fact that inevitably, the structure of Mir will begin to decay, especially at the pressures encountered at the bottom of the ocean.

    I bet their won't be any part of Mir intact enough for pressure to be an issue

    The end result - radioactive contamination will poison the ocean.

    Any potential radioactive contamination will be far less then the contamination from all the nuclear tests that were conducted in the Pacific.

    If they have to get rid of Mir by dropping it into the ocean, then they should damn well get rid of the hazardous material it contains first.

    Anybody have any idea of how much "hazardous material" is on Mir? I would guess it is pretty small compred to other sources of pollution.

  21. Another endangered species bites the dust... by KlausBreuer · · Score: 2

    ...no, not MIR. The weirdo fungus it's infested with will die on reentry! Hey, it's AFAIK the only space-borne fungus we have, and we're heartlessly going to kill it?

    Join the SPWSF now! The Society for the Protection of Weird Space Fungi needs your help!

    Klaus
    ---
    "What, I need a *reason* for everything?" -- Calvin
    --
    Free PC version of ChipWits at http://www.breueronline.de/klaus/chipwits/
    1. Re:Another endangered species bites the dust... by sulli · · Score: 2

      Maybe when they send up the Progress ship with the fuel and so on, they can take samples of the fungus. It certainly would be interesting to study in the lab at home!

      --

      sulli
      RTFJ.
  22. Wasn't that.. by Dr+Caleb · · Score: 2
    supposed to land in South Park, CO, and kill Kenny? Then they all come back as flesh eating zombies?

    Or was that an acid flashback again :-(

    --
    "History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme." Mark Twain
  23. They`re good at that... by pallex · · Score: 2

    ...Crashing things in oceans...

  24. This is really sad. by karzan · · Score: 2

    Despite all its shortcomings, Mir is a remarkable piece of engineering to be able to last this long, and is also proof that alternative systems to capitalism can really produce high quality technology. It's far more impressive than Skylab ever was, and it's been home to the longest human space missions in history. To just let it crash into the ocean is a tragedy--you'd think enough people would be able to spare the money to save it. Incidentally, I wonder if it would have had a far better fate under the communist government.

    1. Re:This is really sad. by bat'ka+makhno · · Score: 2

      Well, it's not as if the Soviet Union had just one company the government would use. Various powerplants manufacturers, electronics firms, design bureaus and so on would compete with each other for funding and, very importantly, prestige. The latter especially would help them attract the best graduates from good engineering schools and have the political clout to secure even more contracts. I'm honestly too lazy to look up the names of particular bureaus in the current space program, but the competition between the Chelomei and Yangel bureaus in the 1960s springs to mind.
      --
      Violence is necessary, it is as American as cherry pie.
      H. Rap Brown

    2. Re:This is really sad. by Anne+Marie · · Score: 2

      It'd be nice to keep it up there for nostalgic reasons, but that's like saying we should keep the Chernobyl reactors running for nostalgic reasons. It vastly exceeded its projected lifespan and it's coming apart at the seams. Far better is it to bring it down in the ocean than on some populated location (no matter what the MS/Redmond snickers say to the contrary).

      Might it have kept running longer under a communist regime? Perhaps, in that reality is a little slower to seep in when making decisions that have a large political component. But at the same time, under a communist regime, there'd probably be a whole new space station up there replacing MIR by now. So either way, it's a moot point.

      --
      -- Anne Marie
  25. damn! by zentex · · Score: 2

    and i wanted to win the Destination Mir show, go up there and lick the psycadelic fungus!

    my dreams are squashed because of money *boohoo*

    anywhoo...if it goes into the pacific, that's international waters right? and if i recall, if something in/on the water has nothing living on it then its free game? Can you imagine the amount of precious metal on that thing? nor to mention the nifty gadgets?!

    where's coustou's number at?

    NO SPORK

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    Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
  26. There goes another bit of the ecosystem... by Arimus · · Score: 2

    Hmm... how much longer can we go on dumping our junk in the oceans without seriously screwing up our ecosystems... Wouldn't some of the $40million be better spent attaching powerful boosters to the station and firing it off into space, or boosting into a geosynch. orbit and keeping it there... I know it would be a hazard to other misions if it's in a geosync orbit but atleast its position would be know and so avoidance could be taken.

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    1. Re:There goes another bit of the ecosystem... by karma_policeman · · Score: 2
      Hmm... how much longer can we go on dumping our junk in the oceans without seriously screwing up our ecosystems...

      With junk like this, indefinitely. Think about the volume of the ocean. Then think about the size of this space station. Then think about what the space station will go through on re-entry. Then tell me there will be measurable harm to the ecosystem.

    2. Re:There goes another bit of the ecosystem... by mmontour · · Score: 4

      Now, imagine a space station crashing through the atmosphere, heating up to insane temperatures, and falling into the middle of the ocean, where the water temperature stays mostly constant. If you don't think that is going to have a measurable effect on a large chunk of water, you haven't taken any thermo or bio classes...

      Oh, please! Let's imagine that when Mir hits, it is at the same temperature as the surface of the sun (5700 K), while the ocean where it lands has a temperature of 280K. Let's say that Mir is made of steel with a total mass of 100,000 kg.

      Heat capacity of steel = 447 J/(kg*K) , heat capacity of water = 4169 J/(kg*K).

      So the heat energy supplied by the station is (447)*(100000)*(5700 - 280) = 2.42*10^11 J. Dividing by the heat capacity of water, we get a result of 5.8*10^7 kg*K.

      In order to calculate a temperature rise, we need to decide how much of the ocean's volume to consider. For the first calculation, consider a cube of water 100m on each side. I hope you will all agree that this is an absolutely tiny fraction of the entire Pacific ocean.

      The volume of water in this 100m cube is (100^3) =10^6 m^3, and the density of water is 1000 kg/m^3. Therefore, the mass of water in this cube is 10^9 kg.

      So, (deltaT)*(10^9 kg) = 5.8*10^7 kg*K

      deltaT = 0.058 K (or 0.10 degF for Americans).

      Now take a look at http://www.icess.ucsb.edu/geos/1112.html , a page studying the El Nino phenomenon. Look at the satellite photos on that page, and figure out for yourself how much impact a 0.058 degree temperature rise in a 100m section of the Pacific ocean is going to have. Also note the section in the text which says "On warm sunny days, the surface waters can heat up by as much as 1-2 degrees C during the daytime hours".

      Granted, any fish which happens to be at "ground zero" is going to get cooked, but the ecosystem is going to be completely indifferent to the event (at least from a thermodynamic perspective).

      p.s. The environmental damage caused by industrial cooling-water is real. However, there you have a continuous source of heat energy rather than a one-time addition of a heated space station.

  27. Space Fungus Revisited by empesey · · Score: 2

    I'm curious if all the space fungus will adapt to the ocean life and start propogating and thriving, before they are able to clean up the mess, or if they reentry will sizzle the little rascals before hitting the ocean. Also, for as long as its been in space, it has to have soaked up a large amount of radiation. Any hints as to what the outcome of all this will be?

  28. The REAL scoop by empesey · · Score: 2

    Geraldo will host a live 3 hour TV show, to see what mysteries are locked away in the Mir spacestation. He'll drone on about aliens that visited Mir, and secretly helped with some of the missions. They'll be talk about Einstein-Rosen brige experiments. Speculations will be made about Zero-G sexual activities. They have plans to plant a small little boy named Kenny donning an orange jump suit about Mir, just before reentry. If there's a lull in the show, they have backup plans to talk about Jimmy Hoffa and Timothy Lear.

    It will make broadcasing history.

  29. 40 Million? by AlphaOne · · Score: 2

    I hate to say this, but couldn't MirCorp just launch another "space station" for the sole purpose of housing people? $40 million obviously wouldn't be enough, but it seems they don't have much trouble raising money to fund a battered and unreliable Mir, so why not raise enough to blast another habital environment into space?

    If their purpose is to get civilians into space, I'm sure they'd have a more warm reception if it were on a platform that wasn't prone to random catastrophic failure (and if the tickets were less expensive, thank you).

    -C
    --

    --
    All opinions presented here aren't mine.
  30. Re:Destination Mir by b1t+r0t · · Score: 2
    How does this affect Mark Burnett (the creator of Survivor) and his plans for Destination Mir?

    I know that if I won a chance to go on Mir, and Mir was being decomissioned, I would have no problems taking the ISS as a substitute prize.

    On the other hand, Destination Mir probably wouldn't be quite as interesting an idea if it weren't for Mir being so rickety. Where's the fun in competing to get on a brand new, safe space station?

    --

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    "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
    "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
  31. Get Sally Struthers on this! by b1t+r0t · · Score: 2
    The solution is obvious. Call in Sally Struthers on this. This poor, fuel-starved space station needs YOUR help. Won't you please give? Only another 40 million dollars, and we can save Mir for all of humanity. And if you won't give for Mir, then please give to save the innocent fungus barely clinging to life on it, in a hostile, airless environment.

    Or at least save Mir so we can have more "reality programming".

    --

    --
    "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
    "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
  32. Re:What about the radiation? by StrontiumDog · · Score: 2
    Is this a troll? Where do you think spent boosters from the ESA or NASA are dumped? In addition, when the Russians say they are going to dump the Mir in the Pacific they don't mean it is going to survive re-entry structurally intact; they just want to avoid an incident like the time a chunk of Skylab fell to ground on Australia when Skylab was being, er, retired.

    And no, residual radiation from the Mir (if there is any; it was primarily solar powered) will not be significant.

  33. I wish... by xtermz · · Score: 2

    there was some way to control the crash of Mir and then auction the old clunker off on ebay. Im sure some rich person wouldnt mind shelling out big bucks for a piece of space history.....

    "sex on tv is bad, you might fall off..."

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  34. Actually, land by Anne+Marie · · Score: 2

    It's US's NASA which has always been good at crashing things into oceans -- the US is surrounded by two, so they make convenient landing targets.

    Russia/USSR never had much in the way of navagable ocean -- Vladivostok is frozen for half the year, and that's as far south as they can get on the Pacific, while Europe blocks most of the Atlantic (and the Black Sea is too shallow). So whereas the US could just aim for an ocean, Russia had to land on terra firma, a much greater challenge.

    (As for your quip that they're good at *crashing*, per se, that's simply not true. Most of their failures either blew up on the ground or blew up in mid air. Very few were successful up-until attempted landings.)

    --
    -- Anne Marie
  35. Re:Those mutant fungi... by Anne+Marie · · Score: 2

    They'll just adapt to their new environment and find new employment singing in Disney adaptations of Hans Christien Andersson stories. There's precedent, you know.

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    -- Anne Marie
  36. At least they're being responsible. by Sangui5 · · Score: 3

    A lot of space junk has just been left up there, creating a navigation nightmare, and a hazard for the ISS.

    At least the Russians are resposible enought to spend the money to down Mir properly. They are really squeezed, and it says something that they are going to blow a bunch of cash when they don't really _have_ to clean up.

    Also, this is one less chance for the producers of those awful voyeristic TV shows. I know a lot of people may have liked Survivor, but I'd rather watch something else, thank you...

  37. Proof: Throwing $ at a problem doesn't work by MousePotato · · Score: 3

    Sad that Mircorp coudn't make this happen. The premise of being the first commercial space hotel could have been very good for Russia. Thier economy could use the boost and so could the Russion people. They really need something to foster a sense of nationalism as it appears thier esteem is at an all time low and we have not heard any good news out of there in a long time. It looks like the Russians figured out what the US hasn't been able to: throwing lots of money at problems doesn't make them go away. Maybe now with their focus back on ISS we will enjoy the benefit of their extensive knowledge in extented duration spaceflight. I feel for them. The road to capitalism is a long and hard one from a communist state. It will take many lessons like this before they really get back on thier feet. I just wish that they wouldn't deorbit Mir. As expensive as it is to get things into orbit we should find some solution where we can recycle the massive amount of materials instead of dropping them back down to us. I'd rather entertain the idea of pushing Mir into a higher orbit until we can get a program going to take advantage of the raw materials that could be salvaged. NASA had an article not to long ago where they were discussing the idea of assembling satelites in space to save on the weight that over construction for launch adds to them. Combine that idea with some sort of recycler project and there wouldn't be any more deorbits required.

  38. If this thing stays up much longer... by small_dick · · Score: 3

    ...I'll start suspecting an Amiga involvement.

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  39. Re:What about the radiation? by dnnrly · · Score: 5
    Um? Where did you get the idea that Mir was radioactive? To start with, there is no nuclear pile aboard. a) it's too heavy and inconvenient to put up their (not only the pile but all that shielding as well) and b) it wasn't strictly necessary since it's easier to work things so that they draw less power and stick a couple of photoelectric cells (albeit big ones) to side of the station!

    Before you go on about it being irradiated in outer space, I'd just like to point out that cosmic radiation just isn't strong enough there and any solar winds are mostly deflected by the earths magnetosphere. Anyway, even if Mir gets a good dose of beta radiation (free electrons for the uninitiated), any charge that builds up will just be 'absorbed' by the atmosphere. You probably get more extra electrons form solar wind in a second than you would form Mir no matter how long it had stayed up! As for alpha particles I think their only dangerous if their fast moving.

    Not as if any less radiation is put into the sea by you average Nuclear power station or sunken nuclear submarine in the baltic sea.

    dnnrly