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Intel Chips For The Near- And Semi-Near Future

Brian writes "This article reports that Intel will release new chips at the Comdex trade show, its first low-power designs for super-thin servers. The new Pentium III model is a gussied-up chip taken from the company's product line for portable computers, which share many of the same constraints as ultradense servers. These systems can't consume as much power or give off as much heat as ordinary CPUs because overheating causes processing errors. The systems are the first swing of a one-two punch against Transmeta, whose low-power designs caught Intel flat-footed, first in the mobile market and then in the low-power server market. Intel now is fighting back just when most server companies using Transmeta chips are on the ropes." And albat0r writes: "Intel says that it will hit 3GHz on the mainstream Pentium 4 by the end of 2002. Intel will advance its Celeron line, currently based on Pentium III technology, with Pentium 4 technology by mid-2002." I look forward to good values on eBay when 2GHz is "obsolete."

35 of 105 comments (clear)

  1. nVidia nForce just about to hit the market by Robotech_Master · · Score: 2

    In other, slightly unrelated chip news, ZDNet reports that motherboards with the new nVidia nForce chipset will hit the market next week. Boy howdy do I want me some of that!

    --
    Editor Emeritus and Senior Writer, TeleRead.org
    1. Re:nVidia nForce just about to hit the market by GodEater · · Score: 2, Informative

      Interestingly, I've just read a review of the first system (to my knowledge) that uses the nForce board as it's core. It's from Mesh and was reviewed in the December issue of Personal Computer World in the UK. The review slateted it quite badly, saying that it's 3D performance was down even on Budget versions of the GeForce 2 card on which the gfx engine on the board is based. Mesh also seemed not to have bothered wiring up the cool onboard sound system the nForce carries. My advice : Wait a while folks - the first nForce systems are going to take a while to run really swish!

      --

      Gentlemen, start your penguins

  2. Wall Clock time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    who cares what intels chips can get up to in MHz. I can design a chip that runs at 200GHz, does some useful processing and is slower then a 486.

    Transmeta wasn't originally meant as a low power processor. They tried to optimize transistors vs performance and did a good job. Unfortuneately they forgot that nobody really cares about it. They then decided to try the low power market, but since Intel made a chip specific to lower power of course Intel will beat them out.

  3. Speed? by jkellmer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Who cares about speed?

    From the various fans inside (motherboard, graphics card, power supply (2x)), my machine sounds like a twister.

    Bring down the power consumption or I will stay with my "Low-End" 1GHz machine forever.

  4. Re:On the ropes by sigwinch · · Score: 2
    What does the expression "on the ropes" mean?
    Literally, leaning against the ropes around a boxing ring. Used as a metaphor for being worn out and near defeat.
    --

    --
    Kuro5hin.org: where the good times never end. ;-)

  5. Speed Kills by ll5 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Low power is great, there is a definite need for using less power and producing less heat in some systems. As for MHZ increases, I truly wonder what is driving the need for speed anymore other than media types and gamers. Where are the next generation apps that will utilize this kind of firepower? Media producers, avid gamers, engineers, and server roles excluded, who else needs or even wants this kind of power? What will you do with it, besides *everything* you do today "faster"?

    --
    Wanna get high?
    1. Re:Speed Kills by AntiNorm · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Low power is great, there is a definite need for using less power and producing less heat in some systems. As for MHZ increases, I truly wonder what is driving the need for speed anymore other than media types and gamers. Where are the next generation apps that will utilize this kind of firepower? Media producers, avid gamers, engineers, and server roles excluded, who else needs or even wants this kind of power? What will you do with it, besides *everything* you do today "faster"?

      The same thing was said ten years ago.

      --

      I pledge allegiance to the flag...
      of the Corporate States of America...
    2. Re:Speed Kills by onion2k · · Score: 2

      The same thing was said 3 months ago.. :)

    3. Re:Speed Kills by jtdubs · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, but that doesn't make it true. I honestly feel that in the near future. Maybe even the recent past, we hit the point where home users will NEVER need more Mhz power. I think the future is SMP, not Mhz. I don't mean dual-proc machines. I mean 32 processor machines and 256 processor machines. Multiprocessing is the future. Threaded applications running across several CPUs is the future. I think.

      More cycles will NOT make Word run faster. Word is I/O bound, not CPU bound. It won't make Internet Explorer run faster either. It's bandwidth bound, not CPU bound. It won't make games run faster. Game's have become bandwidth bound as well, only different bandwidth. Specifically, AGP and North Bridge bandwidth.

      There are things that will benefit infinitely from more Mhz though. Specifically AI and Physics simulations spring to mind. Haha, spring to mind, that's great, a figure of speach that combines both physics and AI. Whew. I kill me.

      Anyway.

      Faster memory, faster buses, more CPUs, that's what I think the future is like, not more Mhz.

      But, I've been wrong before. Almost too consistantly to be coincidence :-). So, we'll see.

      Justin Dubs

    4. Re:Speed Kills by jedrek · · Score: 2

      The same thing was said ten years ago.

      But in the era of the n86 machines, people would say 'why would I ever need more speed?' and buy the fastest or 2nd fastest machine on the market.

      On the other hand, right now, I'm shopping for a celeron 600-700 for my mom, buying a p120 for $20 to use as a firewall/router/mailserver at home. Celerons and Durons are selling like hotcakes, people are buying used computers like never before.

      A good friend of mine just upgraded to a blazing fast dual celeron 433 system, like the one I've been happily using for the past 2 years. I've upgraded it a lot, but extended it's functionality, not performancem, adding expansion cards for sound, firewire, iRDA, SCSI. Adding RAM (which I expect to start seeing in cereal boxes).

      It is fast enough.

      The only reason I actually use a GHZ+ machine is because I work on print at work and it's the machine my company gave me. I don't plan on upgrading until I can get a dual Athlon 1.4 for ~$250 here in europe. It'll be a vanity upgrade: I don't need the extra power, I just want to have it.

    5. Re:Speed Kills by smittyoneeach · · Score: 3, Funny

      Maybe some day they will be able to do a brute-force speech analysis of 'Louie Louie' with all of those extra MHz.

      --
      Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
    6. Re:Speed Kills by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2

      I honestly feel that in the near future. Maybe even the recent past, we hit the point where home users will NEVER need more Mhz power.

      For home users we hit that point at 200MHz. Now we're at the point where developers don't even care. I have an 866MHz Pentium III and I do hardcore commercial software development (read "games"). No one where I work is running out and buying the latest 1.4+ GHz machines. It just doesn't matter to us; we don't see a noticible difference. Most of the games that run slow on so-called midrange machines are just because of sloppy coding, not because they really need 900MHz, and I think consumers are starting to pick up on this. Game X may require a 1GHz processor. Game Y may require a 500MHz processor and have noticibly more sophisticated visuals. Hmmm.

      More cycles will NOT make Word run faster.

      Again, this has been true since the original 200MHz Pentium.

    7. Re:Speed Kills by bgarcia · · Score: 2
      I think the future is SMP, not Mhz....

      Word is I/O bound, not CPU bound. It won't make Internet Explorer run faster either. It's bandwidth bound, not CPU bound. It won't make games run faster. Game's have become bandwidth bound as well, only different bandwidth.

      And you know what? SMP will do absolutely nothing to fix bandwidth problems. Instead, it will make them worse.

      I agree that the greatest bottleneck in modern PC's is I/O bandwidth between the components, but how you jumped to SMP as the solution just escapes me.

      --
      I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar.
    8. Re:Speed Kills by bugg · · Score: 3
      Assuming the pattern of the home user's usage doesn't change.

      Lots of people, myself included, are now playing with hardcore audio manipulation- capturing albums/cassettes with their sound card and then digitally enhacning it to remove tape hiss and other noise...

      Any idea how long this takes? For the last 45 minute cassette I did (Beatles' Get Back LP Compilation #1, if anyoen cares), I tally up the total computation time at around 7-8 hours on my 400MHz Celeron. Of course, I probably could have shaved 4 hours off if I did everything in 44.1KHz (I used 48 for the editing), but hey..

      You could have told me when I got my 486 DX4/100 (coming from a 386 DX/33, which felt like a speed daemon compared to my 4.7MHz 8088...) that I'd never need more processing power, and I would have agreed. And that's true, too, if I don't use my computer to do anything that I wasn't doing in the early-mid 90s.

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      -bugg
    9. Re:Speed Kills by jtdubs · · Score: 2

      I wonder how much of that speed difference can be attributed to the 200Mhz CPU though.

      I bet it is also running on old 66Mhz or worse, 33Mhz (maybe even paired) RAM. Yuch.

      I bet the Hard Disk is running in damned PIO Mode 4 rather than UATA/anything.

      Sure, if you could stick a 200Mhz CPU in my current machine with PC2100 DDR and an ATA/100 EIDE RAID 0, it would slow my box down. Windows would boot more slowly. But not NEARLY as slowly as with the slow buses as well.

      Anyway, you are right. 200Mhz is too slow for many things. Just thought I should point out the numerous other factors involved. Have fun,

      Justin

    10. Re:Speed Kills by Graymalkin · · Score: 2

      Media producer and gamer are broad catagories. A couple years ago only a speed freak gamer would think of owning a 500 MHz machine, now my grandparents own a 500 MHz Gateway and a 700 Mhz HP and all they really do is type up greeting cards and use the internet. It is alot easier to do any sort of graphics work on a 700 MHz Celeron then it is trying to do it on a 66 MHz 486. On that point now all "media producers" are professionals. Lots of people are make their own audio CDs, touching up old family photo albums, and getting creative with home movies on their computers. More and faster are keys to these sorts of applications. I used to do video editing work on old PowerMac 8500AVs and it took forever to do even the simplest things with small video clips, you wouldn't think of doing a major project without access to a machine with a several thousand dollar hardware video card. With a 799$ iMac people can do in an afternoon what it would take me a week to do.

      --
      I'm a loner Dottie, a Rebel.
  6. Re:Intel performance by Murdock037 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Somebody correct me if I'm getting my dates wrong here, but...

    It strikes me that the 3Ghz should be out sooner than the end of next year. It's been a couple months since the 2GHz was out, and so the total time in between there would be somewhere around a year, a year and three months.

    The leap from 1Ghz to 2Ghz took considerably less time than that. I know we're all sick of hearing about the widely-misunderstood Moore's Law, but shouldn't somebody out there be screaming bloody murder at this, that it should be out much sooner, that Intel is going to cave in, etc.?

    When AMD and Intel first hit the Ghz mark, they both announced that they were going to slow down their schedules, so they weren't left with a bunch of 600Mhz chips laying around while everybody wanted a shiny new 1.xGhz in their box. But there's shortages everywhere right now, so we know that Intel probably doesn't have a warehouse full of unsold P4s somewhere.

    Just pointing it out. Maybe we're all getting a bit too spoiled when it comes to speed. Anybody know what's up here?

  7. But who's going to buy them? by Pathetic+Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The economy is in the toilet, no one is working, the machine you bought two years ago is just fine for your needs: revising your resume and dialing up Monster ...

  8. Still only 32-bit by morbid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    3GHz is all well an good, but we're coming up against the 4GB RAM addressing limit of 32-bit machines. Granted, the Pentium architecture can address 36-bits using segments, but we're back to the bad old days of LIM Expanded Memory and segments (who could ever need more than 640k?).
    I think AMD are on to a reall winner with their 64-bit Hammer architecture since that's completely backwards compatible and has a flat, 64-bit address space.

    --
    I'm out of my tree just now but please feel free to leave a banana.
    1. Re:Still only 32-bit by jmauro · · Score: 2

      If both products were available today at the same price, and if applications were available, I'd have to go with the Itanic. Intel has thrown away the last 20+ years of legacy crap that has been slowing development for so long. AMD, in an effort to ease migration and appease the masses of consumers, has retained those old roadblocks and built new roads around them.

      Intel has traded a bunch of old road blocks and legacy crap for an entire new set of crap. Intel's developement of this new architecture has been bogged down for a while. You've said it your self that you've been hearing about it since the mid-nineties. Besides AMD's solution is really the same as Intel's. They both can execute IA-32 code on the chip, they both introduce a new instruction set which causes compilers to be re-written for. They both have their problems in design and manufacturing. If anything AMD has taken an approach where there is less to go wrong than in Intel's.

    2. Re:Still only 32-bit by VAXman · · Score: 2

      First of all, Hammer does not have a flat 64 bit address space. Its address space is 48 bits (linear) and 40 bits (physical). Second, Intel's 36 bit addressing does not require segments, it requires paging. It's a flat space from a process's point of view (limited to 4GB per process, of course).

  9. Low powered chips are the way forward. by Anton+Anatopopov · · Score: 2, Informative
    I cannot help thinking that Transmeta's innovative technology has been overlooked. The cool thing about the transmeta architecture is not its low power consumption, rather it is the way it can do all kinds of translation on the fly. I hope this does not get buried just because people think transmeta is all about low power, and Intel come along and transmeta sinks without a trace.

    I wonder what Linus would think ?

  10. SMP? by skroz · · Score: 2

    Anyone know when intel plans to release SMP enabled versions of the P4 and/or chipsets that support it? I've seen SMP P4 Xeons on their roadmaps, but nothing about the P4. They were supposed to announce something about it at microprocessor forum, but didn't. Any clues?

    --
    -- Minds are like parachutes... they work best when open.
  11. Watch out: MHz+, IPC- by sethamin · · Score: 2, Interesting
    This looks like the beginning of the next phase in PC CPUs. It's possible that instead of seeing lots of innovation to give us better IPC because of speed limits, the major chipmakers will start to go the route of just denser and higher speeds, i.e. pump that MHz and make 2-way, 3-way, 4-way, etc. systems. Forget about re-architecture, just make a core and try to get as many of them in there at as high a speed as possible.

    I think the P4 was an especially telltale sign of the times ahead for the PC chip industry. While the AMD rivalry has helped to spark fierce pricing competition, I also think that it has prompted Intel to go the "MHz at any cost" route. Don't be suprised to see the P4 as the first in a long line of "let's increase that pipeline to pump up the clock speed!" While undoubtedly this can make a chip faster if IPC is not just cut equivalently, it also smacks of "MHz at all" marketing strategy.

    Intel has realized (more than AMD, who is still trying to "educate" those consumers) that the general mass of people don't pay attention to SIMD instructions, double clocked FPU units, superscalar speculative execution, full speed caches, or any of that other jive that gives you higher IPC. They look at MHz and just want to see higher numbers. And also more CPUs can't = bad either, can it? I mean, that's the next marketing blitz campaign once MHz stops working.

  12. P4 architecture. by Dwain_Snyders · · Score: 5, Informative

    The P4 architecture is not brilliant, pushing up the clock speed won't help the fundamentally stunted technology. There are major problems with the architecture, the worst of which is probably their decoder implementation.
    The new architecture implements the U-V pairing and 4-1-1 in a nonsensical way. Multiple decoders have been eliminated and only one functioning decoder operates... the result of this is that just one instruction can be processed per clock cycle. Intel's theory was that the trace cache would eliminate the need to decode an instruction every clock cycle.


    However, this falls apart when a set of instructions is put forward that does not go into the trace cache.... the processor must call upon the L2 cache or put all that code into memory to pull in another 64 bytes of memory for each instruction - and then decode the 64 bytes of code each time! The end result is that the P4 takes a lot more cycles to decode these instructions. Compared to the AMD Palomino XP processor (the fastest Athlon chip at the moment, in fact, the fastest X86 chip at the moment!), the P4 performance is a bit underwhelming.


    The new Thoroughbred line of processors will introduce even better performance and completely blow Intel's offerings out of the water.

    --

    2DUP * ;

    1. Re:P4 architecture. by steveha · · Score: 2

      Intel's theory was that the trace cache would eliminate the need to decode an instruction every clock cycle.

      But they made the trace cache way too small, which made this even less likely to work.

      I agree with you: the P4 is broken in many ways.

      If they really can push its clock rate much faster than AMD can, the P4 might start to win just on sheer clock speed; but so far AMD has been keeping up. Since AMD's chips do more per clock, they don't need as high a clock rate.

      steveha

      --
      lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  13. Re:Who cares if its plagarized? by CaseyB · · Score: 2
    I don't see a mod rating for "original", do you?

    I also don't see any attribution to the original author.

  14. More speed due to OS being more powerful by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2

    The reason why machines are getting faster and faster is simple: every operating system I know are adding more and more functionality as standard, and that requires more and more computing power.

    Sure, you can run Linux in command line mode quite well on older machines, but if you plan on running either the KDE or Gnome graphical environments better plan on something a bit more modern. This is especially true if you want to be involved with digital media content in any serious fashion.

  15. err by RainbowSix · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I look forward to good values on eBay when 2GHz is "obsolete."

    Why??
    Let's see... you can wait a year until the 2ghz P4 drops to $100 and get one used on ebay, OR, you can take that $100 today and buy a new 1.4ghz AMD Thunderbird. You get similar performance... but on yea, you don't have to wait a friggen year!

    How much you pay = amount of money + transaction cost. A years worth of computing sure has value to me!

    --
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    It's OK to be social, just don't tell anyone about it.
  16. Low power - long term savings by ezs · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Low power CPUs certainly can help drive down the costs in less than obvious ways. With a CPU running at maybe 20W less power - a data centre of 500 dual processor servers will be saving an incredible amount of power - both in terms of electricity required to power and aircon to cool. My bad math says maybe 20kW, 24x7...

    --
    Evil ZEN Scientist
  17. I agree! :-) by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2

    Dwain,

    What makes the AMD CPU's extremely good compared to the Intel CPU's is the fact that because AMD designed their CPU's with more much efficient FPU units (no Pentium Pro FPU legacy) and also more efficient access to L2 cache, the result is extremely high performance on a per MHz basis. Indeed, the Athlon XP 1800+ on a DDR-SDRAM motherboard will run rings around the Pentium 4 2,000 MHz on most apps except those that are optimized specifically for SSE2 multimedia extensions.

  18. It already is... by mikeage · · Score: 2

    I look forward to good values on eBay when 2GHz is "obsolete."
    For almost all purposes, it is. AMD's top chips blow it away, for a lot less cash...

    --
    -- Is "Sig" copyrighted by www.sig.com?
  19. Re:Good Values When 2 Ghz Obsolete? by Junks+Jerzey · · Score: 2

    Are you currently searching EBay for that "steal" on a 486-DX4-100?

    At one time the difference between, say, a 386-33 and 486-66 were astounding, in terms of *feel*. But a few years ago I used NT on the job running on a 200MHz Pentium. Today I use an 866MHz Pentium III and it feels about the same. Compiles are faster, sure, games run better, yes, but it's not astounding. If I upgraded to a 1.4 GHz processor I doubt it would even matter to me.

    So I can profit from silly people who think that "1.4 GHz is slow" and constantly have to upgrade to whatever comes along next. The rest of us, the people doing actual work, have given up caring about CPU speed.

  20. Interestingly not represented... by ackthpt · · Score: 2

    Any mention of an Itanium counter to AMD's Hammer. With mid-2002 not so far away this would be the time for them to be drumming up interest in it. To be fair, I've checked the Comdex site for news or presskit from AMD and nothing so far, but I expect they must have something there, as this is where they'd run it up the flagpole and try to get potential customers to salute it.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  21. Re:Good Values When 2 Ghz Obsolete? by ncc74656 · · Score: 2
    The rest of us, the people doing actual work, have given up caring about CPU speed.
    Define "actual work." Those of us who work with digital video (editing, compression, or whatever) will take all the speed we can get.

    That said, even if Intel does produce a 3-GHz processor, what will its real-world performance be like? We know their current 2-GHz P4 runs no faster than an Athlon running somewhere between 1.4 and 1.5 GHz, and I doubt that AMD will be standing still for the next year. It's also worth remembering which company actually had 1-GHz processors to sell and which company was only able to announce future availability.

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    20 January 2017: the End of an Error.