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Optical Recognition System To Foil Card Counting?

Adair writes "Wired is running this article about a new Optical Recognition System by MindPlay being evaluated by some casinos to keep constant track of table game play in order to identify card counters by their patterns of play. The software, using 14 digital cameras around the table, can keep track of every card played, amounts bet, and even tell the difference between your drink, napkin, cards, chips, and ashtrays."

67 of 427 comments (clear)

  1. heh by K. · · Score: 3, Funny

    They're going to use a card counting system to defeat card counters. Oh the irony.

    --
    -- Proud descendant of semi-nomadic cattle-herders.
    1. Re:heh by maharg · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, they're going to identify regular players (i.e. players who lose), so that they can then encourage them to keep on losing by giving them free drinks and so on. From the article:

      Instead, they say the true value of the system is giving casinos an accurate way to rate and comp regular players, who get free rooms, meals, show tickets and the like in return for routinely dropping small fortunes at the casino. That's extremely important, the casinos say, because these days, loyal players demand to get something back.

      --

      $ strings FTP.EXE | grep Copyright
      @(#) Copyright (c) 1983 The Regents of the University of California.
    2. Re:heh by CGP314 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They're going to use a card counting system to defeat card counters. Oh the irony.

      From the article:

      "We've been telling the casinos not to use the computer to count the cards," says Nevada Gaming Control Board member Scott Scherer. "If players aren't allowed to use a computer to count, then the casino shouldn't be allowed to."

      I think the key word there is shouldn't. I don't doubt the casino will use every advantage they can get.

    3. Re:heh by little1973 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      In Austria, a regular player sued a casino and got back half a million euros after losing 2 million. Apparently there is a law in Austria which states the casinos can't let a player to play games if the player can't allow it. In this case the player asked the casino to ban him from playing and the casio complied. Later, the player asked to lift the ban which the casino did, but it should not have. The casino should have investigated the matter first.

      --
      Government cannot make man richer, but it can make him poorer. - Ludwig von Mises
    4. Re:heh by dreamchaser · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There is a similar case going on in the States, I'm not sure what it's status is. In this case though, it's alleged that after the player asked to be banned, the casino agreed but continued to send him coupons and promotions to entice him back.

      That being said, suits like that should be thrown out. People need to start taking some responsibility for their own actions rather than blaming others. There is help available for compulsive gamblers should they really want to stop.

    5. Re:heh by mosch · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Actually, the one really nice thing about this system is that it can detect dealers who don't pay bets correctly, dealers with a tendancy to misdeal and other such common screwups.

      Anybody who has been to the casino more than a few times knows that you need to make sure the dealer is good before you stop paying attention to the dealer.

  2. Why track the players? by 91degrees · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Why not track the cards? Simply shuffle when the odds favour the player too much.

    1. Re:Why track the players? by gfxguy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So the question is why they don't use a single deck and shuffle every hand?

      The answer is that play is then too slow and they don't make as much money. Also, it's easier to card count - yes, you can apply it to a single hand if there are enough players at the table and you can see their face up cards, or if you are seated so as to go last you can see all the cards played.

      So they use mulitple decks and only shuffle when they are getting low.

      But card counting in your head shouldn't be illegal, it's part of the game. Even if you're bad at it, you should be able to think to yourself "gee, a lot of face cards have been played already, it's doubtful I'll get another one", or "gee, hardly any face cards have been played, maybe I should split my nines because the dealer's only got an 8 showing".

      The only difference between "casual" play like that and counting is how sure you are of how many and which cards have played.

      It shouldn't be illegal if you can do it in your head - that's like thought police or something. They shouldn't be able to kick you out, either, but I guess it's a privately owned business. Still, when news gets out that a casino is regularly kicking out winners (who haven't been cheating - just winning) then it can be a huge loss for the casino.

      --
      Stupid sexy Flanders.
    2. Re:Why track the players? by Webere · · Score: 2, Informative

      However, the casinos do reserve the right to refuse service to anyone, and they do to card counters.

      Actually, this varies from city to city. According to this article, casinos in Atlantic City aren't allowed to bar people for counting cards.

  3. They already do this by Surak · · Score: 4, Informative

    They already do this to an extent with the video cameras. Video cameras are placed to watch every card that is dealt. They can see it on the monitors if they suspect someone of card counting. An experienced pit boss knows the difference between someone who is card counting and someone who isn't.

    The problem with automating this system is what about false positives? There's a difference between patterns being identified by humans and patterns being identified by computers.

    1. Re:They already do this by MoobY · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What about the false positives? I don't think casinos care about a winning visitor who is mistakenly seen as a card counter. They should be worried more about the false negatives, those who can trick the computer system into thinking he's not card counting.

      --
      --- Sigmentation Fault - Comments Dumped
  4. Card Counters by utdpenguin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    are, if I recall, and I may not, people who pay a whole lot ofattention to the game rihgt? I mean,. it's not like they are using loaded dice or subistuting in the ace thats hidden int he their sock. They are jsut palying intelegent. Damn them!!!! We mustn't allow that!!

    --
    In Soviet Russia you dant have to put up with these crappy jokes
    1. Re:Card Counters by Surak · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Casinos don't like to lose. Casinos are setup on the premise that you are basically stupid, that you basically are going to spend wayy more money than you win. The odds in every game except for one favor the house: blackjack. That's where you get the most card counters because that's where counting cards makes the most sense. And card counters tip the odds further in favor of the player. If casinos can't eliminate card counters they will simply eliminate blackjack.

    2. Re:Card Counters by utdpenguin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's just more convenient to cheat the blackjack system than the others because you don't need an electronic device to help you out. But it doesn't make it very fair to the casino or the other players.


      So PAYING attention to the game and being creafull is CHEATING. I hope this idea never makes its way into Chess!!

      And since I am playing to win. how am I cheating other players when I do my best to win. If they aren't doing their damn best to beat me then they are morons.

      --
      In Soviet Russia you dant have to put up with these crappy jokes
    3. Re:Card Counters by R.Caley · · Score: 2, Insightful
      So PAYING attention to the game and being creafull is CHEATING.

      Of course it is.

      They could essentially make card counting not be an advantage just by playing with a really huge deck (say take 1000 packs and shuffle them together, then start dealing from the top, stop after dealing 52 cards and reshuffle. They don't do this because they are trying to pretend you are playing a card game, and hence there is some skill involved, when you are actually playing a game of chance.

      However, they can't actually allow it to degenerate into a game of skill. The only way they can prevent this, while keeping up the pretense, is to throw out anyone who shows any signs of life from the neck up.

      Casinos are in the business of selling 10[currency] bills for 100[currency]s, everything else is smoke and mirrors to distract you from this. Think of them as a public service which keeps the terminally stupid off the streets. Obviously anyone not terminally stupid is in the wrong place, and so it is perfectly reasonable that they be kicked out.

      --
      _O_
      .|<
      The named which can be named is not the true named
    4. Re:Card Counters by mosch · · Score: 3, Informative
      the odds in blackjack do favor the house unless you're counting cards, and even then they usually still favor the house.

      As far as "wayy more money than you win", blackjack basic strategy will have a player losing approximately $500 per $100,000 of bets. Craps pass line bets will have a player losing $1,300 per $100,000 of bets. (those figures are excluding short-term variance)

      Casinos do want you to win some of the time, otherwise you won't go back.

  5. Ob. quote by sonicattack · · Score: 4, Funny

    Charlie: Now casinos have house rules: they don't like to lose. So you never show that you're counting cards. That is *the* cardinal sin, Ray.

    Raymond: Counting cards is bad.

    Charlie: Yes.

    Raymond: I like to drive slow on the driveway.

    Charlie: If you get this right, Ray, you can drive anywhere you want as slow as you want.

  6. What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by gd23ka · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why should I make stupid bets at the table when I know better?!?!

    1. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by javiercero · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well casinos get to make the rules, as long as there are suckers who actually beleive that they have a chance in hell to make a buck off the house...

      Counting is a way of turning the odds in your favor, hence it defeats the whole purpose of the house. Almost every game in Vegas is designed to have favorable odds for the house, maybe all except poker in which the house just takes fee. Couting levels the playing field somewhat, and well.... did you expect the casinos to leave it like that?

    2. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by frovingslosh · · Score: 5, Insightful
      even 5% gain, you should GET UP AND WALK

      Bullshit. Why are so many people who think they know something about gambling so bad at math? If you're going to play, for example, 100 hands of blackjack, it doesn't improve your odds one damn bit to spread those 100 hands over several days or weeks rather than play them at the same sitting. And if you are in any way keeping track of cards that have been played (even some of them) and you know the remaining deck is in your favor, then the GET UP AND WALK logic is extremely flawed, since when you do come back you will not have important knowledge that you have now and it will cost you some number of bets that favor the house before you can get that information again.

      Walking with small gains might keep you from playing as much as someone who does not, and in that sense it would lower your losses over time based on a favorable house percentage, but walking away from a favorable player percentage when you have determined that it is there is extremely bad play, particularly if your intention is as you expressed to come back and fight another day.

      --
      I'm an American. I love this country and the freedoms that we used to have.
    3. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Zan+Zu+from+Eridu · · Score: 3, Insightful
      If you want to earn money by housing a gambling game you should accept the odds, not make up rules to change the odds even more to your favor. (This is even illegal in some countries, and I argue rightly so.)

      Simply put, if a casino or gambling house changes the rules of blackjack so card counting is no longer allowed, they shouldn't be allowed to still call the game "blackjack", because its got different rules. Also, if you want to cheat on your customers by changing the odds, you should be bound by law to inform those customers of your intent before you invite them to play your game.

    4. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by The+Lord+of+Chaos · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Get a grip, man. He's not talking about improving his mathematical odds when he says "get up and walk". He's talking about not getting noticed by the casino manager. If you double their buy-in in the first half-hour you walk in the casino you're going to get noticed and they will ask you to leave. If you keep winning big they'll send your mug around Las Vegas and no one in town will let you gamble.

      Every game is always watched at a casino. Looking out for big winners helps them identify the counters that are really costing them. You want to be somewhere below the casino's alert threshold.

      Get down from your Ivory Tower for a minute and see how the real world works.

    5. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Scratch-O-Matic · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I was amazed that there was any game at a casino that would give me more than a straight 50% chance of winning.

      A friend once told me: the casino doesn't make money when they win a bet. They make money when they lose a bet.

      And he was right. The casino doesn't make money because they win more often than they lose. They make money because they don't pay you as much as you deserve when you do win. So the 50% chance of winning is moot. It could be 70% or 90%, as long as they pay you something less than the odds say you deserve. Over time your losses will outweigh your gains.

      As an aside, I once sat down at a roulette wheel and started playing the same method you described. I was doing so well that at one point I asked the dealer if it was legal. After a while, I started thinking about my chance of winning versus the payoff, and I realized that the casino still had a substantial advantage. At that moment, I started losing, and walked away empty handed.

      And by the way, the best bet in the whole house is the "odds" bet on the craps table, because it pays you what the odds say you deserve, as I described above. The house has no advantage on the odds bet. But you can't make that bet without making another type of bet first, so you can't freeload.

      --


      Evil is the money of root.
    6. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by n1nj4k3n · · Score: 2, Informative
      Well casinos get to make the rules...

      Well, not exactly. The individual states where the casinos are make the ground rules for gambling (such as the Nevada Gaming Commission). Most states don't allow the casinos to stack the odds too much, as the article implies. I belive the house odds restrictions for Nevada are somewhere in the Nevada Gaming Regulations. But that's too much legalese for me to wade through.

      But obviously, if the casinos use this technology to change the odds of the game, there will be a lot of upset counters out there. Even non-counters will be effected, as Blackjack is about the only game that occasionally has odds in the player's favor.

    7. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Zan+Zu+from+Eridu · · Score: 4, Interesting
      They aren't changing the rules. Card counting has never been allowed.

      Then show me the rules that say card counting isn't allowed in blackjack.

      Hint: not here, not even in the rules according to the Casino Control Act 1992. As far as I know, no official ruleset says card counting is prohibited, its the casinos that add those "rules".

    8. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Fungii · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Eh, calm down there budddy.

      I think that you've completly missed the point - The reason you should walk after 5% is so the casino won't throw you out (as they like to do to anyone who happens to be up at black jack).

      Before you start criticising people and saying they are ".. so bad at math..." you should take 5 minutes to actually read what they said.

    9. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by untaken_name · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Get a grip, man. He's not talking about improving his mathematical odds when he says "get up and walk". He's talking about not getting noticed by the casino manager. If you double their buy-in in the first half-hour you walk in the casino you're going to get noticed and they will ask you to leave. If you keep winning big they'll send your mug around Las Vegas and no one in town will let you gamble.

      That's what I've never understood about Vegas. The whole premise is 'come to vegas and win big!' and yet, when you do, you're barred from Vegas?
      That's like being kicked out of Aspen for skiing too well. Why would I want to go to Vegas when I can't improve my chances (without *influencing* the cards, just with math and observation) or I'll be put on some kind of hit list? They rig every damn game to strongly favor the house, but I can't use innate skill? That's just bullshit. I'm sorry, but why does the law support this crap? It's like saying 'you know how to putt, get off my golf course!' It's just stupid. If I just wanted to waste money while being surrounded by loud drunken idiots and half-naked women, I'd just go to New Orleans. At least then I wouldn't have to worry about being banned from the whole damn town.

      Looking out for big winners helps them identify the counters that are really costing them.

      Costing them? That's a laugh. Any big casino in Las Vegas makes more profit every day than I will likely see in my whole life. I'm sure that the 10k you could win counting is really going to offset the 3mil in cash they took in in a single night. Whatever. I'm all for catching people who are unfairly influencing a game, cause that's what cheating really is. A knowledge of odds/good memory/simple arithmatic skills; these things ARE NOT CHEATING. They'd make merely insane profits with a straight game, not ludicrous. Well, that just gives me less incentive to patronize that city. Fuck Las Vegas. Greedy casino bastards. I'll just practice my system on pogo.com or something.

    10. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by StormCrow · · Score: 2, Informative

      Not "odds" as in odd numbers, but "odds" as in the add-on bet to pass/come bets you can make after the point which pay exactly the odds of the point being made, instead of the slightly deflated payment that every other bet on the table carries.

    11. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Oliver+Wendell+Jones · · Score: 4, Informative

      Has anybody but me ever even been to Vegas?

      I saw a guy sit down and hit 6 blackjacks in 10 hands. Of the remaining four hands he won two and lost two. He got up and walked and took his winnings with him. Noone gave him a second look - not the dealer, not the pit boss, not the casino manager - noone.

      The truth is that all games are set up to the house's advantage. Some games are better for the player (Blackjack ~1% house advantage, Craps Odds bets - 0% house advantage) and some are *much* better for the house (Roulette - ~12% house advantage, Big Six wheel - up to 30% house advantage). In all cases, though, the house will take your money over a long run of time, how fast they take it depends on the game you play.

      It is possible to get on a 'winning streak' where lady luck seems to be helping you out, and when that happens the smart thing to do is ride that streak until it ends and you lose a hand or two and then take your winnings and leave. It's that simple.

      Winning streaks are few and far between, and the chances of you hitting a second streak before you give back all of your winnings (and more!) is very, very slim.

      There are two ways to come away a winner in a casino - one is to follow the advice I list here (which you will find in any reputable book on betting strategies), the other is to get extraordinarly lucky and hit a huge payout in a slot machine. Either way, take your money and go. If you stay, you will give it back.

      --
      A computer once beat me at chess, but it was no match for me at kick boxing -- Emo Phillips
    12. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by uXs · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's not wrong, but it still doesn't work. The amount of cash you need to be able to overcome bad streaks is far too large to be able to win a reasonable amount.

      --
      What our ancestors would really think, if they were alive today, is: Why is it so dark in here? (Terry Pratchett)
    13. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Sabotage · · Score: 2, Informative

      What you're describing is called the Martingale system (Google for it).

      The problem with your idea is that the roulette wheel has the green spaces (typically two of them, 0 and 00). Those spaces steer the odds in the house's favor. Instead of a .5 (18/36) chance of hitting your color, you only really have an 18/38 chance, which is .473684. That slight deviation will cause you to slowly lose over time.

      The other problem with your system is you have table maximums. You might be playing at a table with a $5 minimum and $500 maximum, for example. That means you can only double your bet 6 times (10,20,40,80,160,320), and after that your system breaks down. You can no longer win back all of your losses in a single bet, and it's not that hard to flip a coin six or seven times and get heads every time.

    14. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by PK_ERTW · · Score: 2, Informative
      OK, there is no rule in blackjack that says card counting isn't allowed.

      However, in Vegas they can bar you from playing in their casino for any reason. This is part of the gaming laws in Nevada. They don't need a good reason, and in there mind card counting is a fine reason. For the record, they will often let a suspected card counter stay besause most of them just think they know what they are doing but screw up enough that the odds arn't turned in their favour.

      When you move on to Atlantic City, the rules there state that casino games must be games of chance. If card counting exists, and it can affect the odds, then blackjack would no longer be a game of chance. For this reason, they are very careful with card counters and want to ensure that a case involving them never goes to court. They won't kick card counters out of the casino, but what they will do is make the card counters play miserable (and ineffective) by doing things like shuffling after every hand.

      I am not sure about other the rules in other places

      PK

      --
      Engineers arn't boring people, we just get excited about boring things.
    15. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by b!arg · · Score: 2, Informative

      Oh boy did I lose a lot of money very quickly with that method. And it is because of the occurence of a long streak of the other color. I believe statistically speaking it doesn't matter if you switch colors or stick with one though. I think that is more of a mental game you play with yourself. The problem with this method is that you need unlimited funds. The really big problem is the fact that most roulette games have a maximum as well as a minimum so the multiple can only go up so high and you are bound to run into it sooner or later. That's when this method is shot to pieces. But given unlimited funds and no maximum it's infallible. Unfortunately that's just a fantasy world. :)

      --

      Everybody dies frustrated and sad and that is beautiful
    16. Re:What's wrong with counting anyway...?!?! by Jucius+Maximus · · Score: 4, Funny
      "It is possible to get on a 'winning streak' where lady luck seems to be helping you out, and when that happens the smart thing to do is ride that streak until it ends and you lose a hand or two and then take your winnings and leave."

      I'm riding a winning streak right now!

      Interesting Thing about Sobig... (Score:5, Funny)
      a biased opinion (from an undergrad) (Score:5, Insightful)
      strangely enough (Score:5, Funny)
      zealot vs. fanatic (Score:5, Funny)
      someone had to say it ... forgive me please ... (Score:5, Funny)

      I reckon I should pop down to a casino after work... this could be my lucky day!

  7. Cards and drinks by CGP314 · · Score: 4, Funny

    The software ... can keep track of every card played, amounts bet, and even tell the difference between your drink, napkin, cards, chips, and ashtrays

    Well if its supposed to be counting cards, I would hope it could tell the difference between a jack of spades and a jack of daniels.

  8. Eye in the Sky by AtariAmarok · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Reminds me of the Alan Parsons-based musical "The Gambler" that reveals that the "Eye in the Sky" is merely one of those monitors over casino tables.

    The lyrics in the original become more ominous:

    "i am the maker of rules
    dealing with fools
    i can cheat you blind "

    This development is sure to turn Ocean's 11 into Ocean's 0.

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
  9. Marked Deck! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The optical equipment registers every card in play by reading special invisible ink printed on them.

    So the house is allowed to use a marked deck!! Surely that can't be allowed, and even if it is how long before someone else works out how to read the cards.

    1. Re:Marked Deck! by Merk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The house can do anything they want. They own the building, they own the cards, and they probably own the people enforcing things too.

      Gambling in a casino is generally a passtime for people with poor math skills, and poor business sense. Nearly anybody who thinks that in the long term they have any hope of winning more than they lose is deluding themselves.

      Now it's true, that maybe one of every million casino visitors does actually have some means of tilting the odds in their favour. Sometimes it's a truly illegal cheat, sometimes it's just some real skills, like the ability to count cards. It's in the casino's best interest to make sure none of these people play.

      If you think that this makes a casino unfair, here's a hint, casinos have never been fair. If they were fair they wouldn't make a profit! Don't worry though, in the end, nothing will change. You'll still lose 52% of the time, just like you always have.

    2. Re:Marked Deck! by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 2, Funny


      Of COURSE the deck is marked -- it would be hard to tell how well you're doing if every card were blank.

  10. Pit bosses are remarkably accurate... by winkydink · · Score: 4, Interesting
    For years, casinos have relied on pit bosses to personally watch the tables and do their best to manually figure out who was playing how much. But that process is extraordinarily imprecise, El Dorado's Mouchou said.

    As one who has played blackjack as both a nickel-dimer ($5-$10 bets) and as a high roller, I have noticed that pit bosses have an uncanny ability to tell how much you are up or down. I often ask pit bosses to guess how much I am up or down. They can usually tell within about $100.

    So, I have a hard time swallowing that this is a device to figure out how to comp players.

    --

    "I'd rather be a lightning rod than a seismometer." -Ken Kesey

  11. This might catch the egregious/greedy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
    If MindPlay -- which knows the cards that have been played -- detects a player continually adjusting his betting pattern coincident with a preponderance of undealt high cards, it can trigger an alert.
    In other words, the smart card-counter will cut out the "powerbetting" and relax his strategy a bit. They practically admit as much:
    "The chances of you actually playing in a way, by luck only, that matches one of those (counting) strategies is almost nil," Soltys said. "It may match up after 20 hands, but after 100, there's no chance that it's just luck."
    So the card-counter will back off a bit so that he's not playing every hand using the technique. It's the same with any cheater detection: lose a few every now and then, and you'll probably slip under the radar. Get greedy and you get caught.
  12. A lot of bull... by krystal_blade · · Score: 4, Informative

    I can't possibly see why casinos would want to attempt to put the few "scorers" out of commission. After all, a "lucky" guy at blackjack (who counts cards) probably brings more people in to play the game. More people= more money.

    On top of all that, most professional card counters use the greatest weapon of all to count cards. Their heads. So, all this will do is to put out the small time amateurs.

    A friend of mine is a tech at a Casino in Detroit, and beleive me, any appropriately sized/layed out Casino is certainly not losing money, regardless of the people who play the game to earn a wage.

    krystal_blade

    --
    It will be easy to motivate our fellow man; there is hardly anything people treasure more than not being annihilated.
  13. Great! by rylin · · Score: 5, Funny
    "The software .. even tell the difference between your drink, napkin, cards, chips, and ashtrays."

    Great!
    Hopefully it'll warn me the next time I try drinking from an ashtray

  14. Lone Wolf vs a Pack? by CGP314 · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is interesting, but it sounds as though it is only useful against individual card counters. What could it do against a team of counters like in this older story by wired?

  15. Has anyone else ever tried card counting? by ODD97 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Even the *simplest* system (assigning -1, 0 and +1 to certain cards) is hard enough to keep track of when you practice. Doing so at the casino is incredibly difficult. I can't imagine that the casino would frown upon one guy that can do it walking out with $1,000, when watching his winning streak will inspire 50 people to lose $100 each at the table.
    It just doesn't make sense to kick an individual out. Any pit boss will see a table running up using card counting, and can (by casino rules) ask them to leave.

    --
    The emperor is naked.
    1. Re:Has anyone else ever tried card counting? by simong_oz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think card counting is one of those things that some people just have a knack of. Of course you can practise, but some people have a fantastic memory for this sort of thing.

      I used to know a guy who was one of those people who could do numerical calculations to 10 significant figures faster than a calculator (couldn't do algebra/calculus, but he could sure count!). He was able to count cards with 8 decks, and I'm not talking about the simple system described by the parent - he counted the entire deck, including suits.

      This isn't your average person though, just someone with a knack for this sort of thing. As far as I'm aware he never actually went to a casino, but I can imagine others would.

      --
      "Because it's there." - George Mallory, when asked why he wanted to climb Mt Everest, March 18, 1923 (New York Times)
    2. Re:Has anyone else ever tried card counting? by dagoalieman · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually, yes. For some people, card counting isn't that hard. For others, it's damn near impossible. They're kinda like a miniature idiot savant (no, not mini-me you fools...)

      The problems with your analogy is that the GOOD cardcounters walk out with much more than $1k if they're not caught. Think in the schemes of $100k minimum. I've actually counted 5 decks shuffled together before. It sucked major bungs for sure, but I did it fairly accurately, and not at a slow pace either. And I'm what would be considered an amateur by the casinos. Consider this, and think what a good person could do.

      The loss adds up for the casinos. They're not worried about losing $5k or even $25k to a rookie. It's the big fish who pooches them for lots. That's what this system is out for (note that they seem to indicate that 100 hands are needed for a super-positive match...) The $25k cardcounters inspire. The $100k cardcounters though are a loss.

      See the post above you for a GREAT thought... Group cardcounting. Just rotate the team positions, and you'll take the house, based on the current system. I'd actually never thought of it before, and now I'm fascinated.

      --
      We don't need no Net Explorer We don't need no Thought control
  16. Beat the dealer by fruey · · Score: 4, Interesting
    A good dealer should be the only thing the Casino has, the counters cry.

    Face it, just because there's a computer there now, doesn't mean they're not screwing you every time anyway. The house always wins.

    What is interesting about this is that they are adding a cold precision to the perks they offer to big gamblers, in order to further increase their margins. What they appear to really be doing is tracking who's betting what and when. Forget the card counting part, anyone who gets a system that works will be tracked sooner or later and booted out. This may seem kind of unfair - you can't profit from genius in Casinos - but then the house can't afford to make a big loss consistently. Still, they can't take your winnings away before detection, so this system is tipping the scales back to the house's favour.

    Think more about the fact that Joe Gambler who drops a bit less each time he comes and demands more perks will get away with it for a while, but now he'll be tracked. I can't believe the opposite is true, where quiet but big losers will suddenly be allocated perks... but maybe they will, because it could be good for the casino business.

    To conclude : gambling is one of those things where you know the odds beforehand, and if you bet more than you can afford more than once against the odds, you're a sucker. What does need to be clear, with all this technology, is just what those odds are. Rigged odds are fine if they stay rigged the same, but I don't like the thought that a croupier could suddenly tell you, as the odds swing ever so slightly in your favour and you are ready to cut your losses, that your bets are no longer welcome. You want to know the solution? Don't bet at all, and invest your money in a guaranteed return scheme. That's the only way you can be sure to win. Then go get your thrills for much less money doing something like freefall parachuting.

    --
    Conversion Rate Optimisation French / English consultant
  17. Stacked decks by Savant · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not terribly surprising, but still disappointing. It will be interesting to see how gambling evolves, as casinos take ever more stringent steps to avoid giving out more money to someone than they paid in. Here's an interesting little exhibit from the UK dealing with the rigging of fruit machines.

  18. Of course... by echucker · · Score: 2, Interesting

    .... there's nothing really wrong about counting cards. Not like it's some kind of morally sickening activity. It simply gives the player a better chance to win.

  19. Re:Playing well = cheating by archeopterix · · Score: 3, Insightful
    So a good player is automatically a cheater? Doesn't sound fair too me.
    Mixing "fair" and "business" is so 19-th century... Casino is a factory producing money by extracting it from rich morons. In terms of technology you can think of this system as a filter that ensures good input material quality (filter out smartasses, leave morons).
  20. Re:What's the need? by the.pornlord · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually, yes we do. There are continous shuffles installed on most of the BJ tables in the casino I work in. I work as a supervisor, and believe me, these things completely eliminate any worry of patrons counting cards. After every hand, the cards that were used are loaded back into the machine and reshuffled. The machine uses five decks of cards, and although the cards just loaded will not be in the next hand dealt, they may be used in the one after. Therefore, it is basically an endless shoe, and makes it impossible to get and accurate count!

  21. So... by Cackmobile · · Score: 2, Insightful

    what we need is some glasses that can read the special ink and then we can win everytime.

    --
    -- Karma Karma Karma Karma, Karma Chameleon - Boy George
  22. Can they do this, and what if they do? by philipsblows · · Score: 3, Interesting

    On the one hand, the article points out,

    Counters allege, however, that Mindplay effectively alters the odds, something they say goes against regulations prohibiting anyone -- even casinos -- from using devices for such purposes.

    which is interesting, because casinos could always use the human-operated PTZ cameras that watch everything (even the players) on the gaming floor, and of course dealers and pit bosses are always on the lookout as well, but this does raise the bar into questionable territory if only because, like a red light camera, it is operating against you on its own and you really have nobody to "fight" if it decides you are nailed. Perhaps they might review the video of your 100 allegedly-counted hands?

    However, if a system like this does roll out into real use, it should be presumed that every MIT kid on their counting team read this,

    "The current state of technology in gaming had fallen way behind other industries," said MindPlay president and CEO Richard Soltys. "They're very slow to move forward. (Now) there's nothing players can do that MindPlay can't detect."

    and is already scheming. I would be to, and I don't even count cards. It's as though Mr. Soltys is looking right at the reader while he says, "Bring it on!"

    I knew a guy who counted cards and used chip-palming techniques to keep his chip count reasonable. Switch tables and even casinos frequently, be patient, and if possible play with a team. The camera system doesn't seem to have that stuff covered. I predict the primary way of catching rule-breakers will remain the old fashioned way... half instinct, half suspicious and watchful eye.

  23. In other news by Avian+visitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
    "The chances of you actually playing in a way, by luck only, that matches one of those (counting) strategies is almost nil," Soltys said. "It may match up after 20 hands, but after 100, there's no chance that it's just luck."

    "The chances of a gambler actually winning the jackpot on our slot machines is almost nil. They may get some minor wins, but when they strike a jackpot, there's no chance that it's just luck"

    Seriously, why do casinos allow games (like blackjack) that can be cheated by counting the cards and knowing some laws of probability? It's like running software that has a known exploit and just hunting down crackers that know how use it instead of fixing the software.

  24. Re:At the risk of being modded down -1, Redundant. by admbws · · Score: 2, Informative

    After a little bit of googling...

    What is Blackjack?

    What is card counting?

  25. Technology marches on by worst_name_ever · · Score: 3, Funny
    ...and even tell the difference between your drink, napkin, cards, chips, and ashtrays

    And thus, the robots have finally surpassed the cognitive abilities of drunken gambling addicts.

    --

    In Soviet Rush, today's Tom Sawyer gets high on you.
  26. Human factor, back counting. by Gregoyle · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Okay, first there's the human factor, which is everpresent in any situation involving humans. Perviously casinos would have to suspect someone before they tried voice activated tracking software on them. Now they will be tracked by default. This isn't necessarily a bad thing, although it could be annoying to counters.

    The thing is, especially if the system works (which they often don't), once it gets a reputation people will begin to rely on it more and more instead of gut instinct. What could easily evolve from this is an over-reliance on the computer. A pit boss might suspect that something's fishy but the higher-ups will think he's full of it because "the computer says no".

    This system won't really work against one of the most popular methods of counting (as has been mentioned in a couple previous posts and I think the article) called "back counting". This is where the counter doesn't even enter the game until the deck is favorable. Of course, some casinos are banning mid-shoe entry as a result.

    Either way the thing to remember is that there will always be a way to fake out the casino personnel. The other thing to think of is that it could prove advantageous to "advantage" players who primarily rely on counting as a means to a free or paid vacation. The idea is that the little that they would normally lose while earning comps is offset by the counting advantage. These players routinely get shafted on comps because most casinos limit the "hands per hour" figure to 100. Many counters and just regular players routinely average 150. This means that they are supposed to be losing 50% more money; not insignificant.

    There are other well known methods that would beat tracking this way. Beating machines is almost always easier than beating people.

    --

    "He's more machine now than man, twisted and evil."

  27. Card Counting is a skill not a cheat. by Martin+Spamer · · Score: 2, Interesting


    Yep there is no doubt that Card Counting is about skill and strategy, but Casinos like to suggest that it is somehow cheating and illegal or fraudulant.

    They have been know to illegally detain (kidnap) ard counters, even take back (i.e. steal) their winnings. It is the Casinos that are usually crooks, many owned and operated in conjunction with organise crime and are involved with money laundering, fraud and deception.

  28. Outlawing thought? by HarryCallahan · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Isn't outlawing card counting kind of like outlawing a certain thought process? I mean even with kiddie molesters we still wait till they make take some kind of action the actual thinking about it isn't illegal (yet). It's like if someone can count cards they have to play stoopid to do it lawfully, "yeah I know there's lots of tens left, but I'll stand anyway don't want to cheat you guys". Maybe it should be casino policy that u has a sub 90 IQ or submit to a lobotomy before you can enter the casino.

  29. Aaawh Crap! by mrselfdestrukt · · Score: 4, Funny

    > and even tell the difference between your drink, napkin, cards, chips, and ashtrays.

    And I used to make quite a bundle by slipping in a ashtray or a drink into my cards and getting a full house and then blaming my napkin-looking wife for it...

    --
    "I used to have that really cool,funny sig ,but it got stolen."
  30. My one card-counting experience by sharv · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I enjoy playing blackjack, but I don't count. I am expert-level (99% accuracy) on the basic strategy tables, which can make a big enough difference over the short run. I play for fun and just want my money to last as long as it can; I don't expect to win.

    Anyway, I was playing one night in the Tropicana, listening to a pretty decent cover band. It was a Thursday night and the limit was still $5, which is good for low-rollers like me.

    I'd been playing for an hour or two, alternating between bottled water and the occasional beer. A tall, thin, Asian guy sits down to my left with a pile of assorted-colored chips, all of them mixed and disorganized.

    He doesn't speak to anyone, just pushes his red ($5) chip into the circle. Wins a few, loses a few, but always playing five. On one hand, he rolls out two green chips ($50) and wins the hand. The very next hand, he dropped right back to $10 and loses. Next hand, $5 and loses. $25, wins. Another $25, wins. $5, loses.

    I realize he's got to be counting cards. However, if I could recognize it, you could be damn sure the dealer, the pit boss, and the eye in the sky recognized it too.

    Anyway, I decide to piggyback this guy a little. He bets $50, I bet $15. He's playing to my left, which makes it awkward, since I've got to wait for him to wager before I can. We did this for a few hands and I may have won a few more chips than I would have normally, but I wasn't betting with the swing that this guy had.

    It was about this time that I noticed the heat. A pit boss in a shiny suit standing over the dealer's shoulder. Another guy in an equally shiny suit immediately behind me. I switched back to $5 bets and ordered a gin and tonic, pronto. I've seen "Casino" and I don't want them thinking me and this guy are a team.

    They frightened him off simply by offering him a comp (buffet). The poor guy was so rattled by the attention that he scooped up his chips and bailed, without taking the comp. The bosses smirked and went about their rounds.

    So, if you're gonna count, don't be so damn obvious about it. You've got to be good enough to count while laughing with the other players, chatting with the dealer, drinking club soda or water, whatever. But if you wildly fluctuate your bets while concentrating so hard the veins bulge out of your forehead, you're toast.

  31. He may have counted well, but he was inexperienced by HarveyBirdman · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Erratic betting is the first thing most counting system developers tell you to avoid. I've been counting in Vegas casinos for 15 years without a problem, even on good nights. If you're a solo counter, you have little to worry about because the casinos have bigger fish to fry, such as the team efforts you mentioned. The worst you want to do is let a win ride, so you never bet more than twice your previous bet, and if it comes after a win it looks natural.

    ObGamblingAnecdote: Winter of 1997. In town for CES. Horseshoe Casino, $25 single deck table. Me and three others playing at around 2am. Second deal after a new shuffle.

    All four of us get Blackjacks.

    I wasn't positive how many cards got dealt in the first hand after the shuffle (in a basic count system, you add or subtract their count values into a running total as fast as you can, so you don't really keep track of the raw number of cards played), but I figured a rough estimate of the four Blackjacks being a 40 million to one shot.

    But... there's probably millions of hands per day in Vegas, so I guess it had to happen somewhere.

    --
    --- Ban humanity.
  32. Quick course in card counting by JustAnotherReader · · Score: 3, Informative
    Computer programs have shown (after testing with hundreds of thousands of simulated hands) that the player has a slightly better chance of winning if there are more "Big" cards in the deck. Remember, the dealer has no choice. He has to hit to 17. If there are more big cards then he'll bust more often.

    Big cards are: 10, Jack, Queen, King, Ace Little cards are: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 At the end of each hand keep a running total. For every little card think "Plus One". For every big card think "Minus one". So if a lot of little cards come out of the deck then the "running count" will go positive. If a lot of big cards come out of the deck then the "running count" will go negative.

    Running count is not in itself a perfect indicator. It depends on how many decks of cards are still in the shoe. If you have a 6 deck shoe and it looks like there are about 4 decks left then divide your running count by 4. So if the running count is +8 and the number of decks in the shoe is roughly 4 then the actual count is 8/4=2. This is why you see dealers shuffling when the shoe is only half empty. A +10 with 5 decks is only a +2 actual count. A +10 with only 1 deck left in the shoe is a HUGE advantage.

    How do you use the actual count? If the actual count is 0, 1 or negative then you bet the minimum amount. If the actual count is 2 or better then you multiply the minimum bet by that number. So if the minimum bet is $5 and the actual count is 2 then you bet $10. If the actual count is +4 then you bet $20.

    ALL of this is also dependent upon you playing perfect basic strategy. If you have 15 and the dealer has a 4 showing what do you do? You need to know that strategy and play it perfectly every hand for card counting to give you any advantage at all.

    There are many more systems that are more complex than this, but you have to trade off the increase in complexity with the increase in odds that benefit you. This basic Hi-Lo system will give you the most bang for your buck.

  33. Re:I've always been amused... by Sloppy · · Score: 2, Insightful
    There's no asymmetry or unfairness in this relationship.

    The casino chooses to do business with people who go with the stochastic flow, since they are destined to give money to the casino. They choose to not do business with people who are there to make profit at the casino's expense, so if they can detect someone doing that, they'll ask them to leave. All this story is about, is that the casinos are trying to become more informed about who is who, so they can best exercise what little power they have.

    This power is perfectly balanced. A player can choose to go with the random flow, and they will lose money but maybe have an enjoyable time. Or they can choose to try to make money, and either they will make errors and lose anyway, or the casino will stop consenting to do business with them ("please leave, sir"), or maybe, just maybe, they will outsmart the casino, though that's quite unlikely.

    That sounds pretty bad and unbalanced, but that's because I left out the one final factor that makes the casino an impotent ant next to the player's awesome, almost God-like power: the player can choose to not visit the casino, and do something productive with their time instead of wasting it at a casino like an idiot. ;-)

    --
    As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  34. What about my friend John? by BoneFlower · · Score: 2, Interesting

    He had to concentrate to NOT count cards. It was a reflex for him. In a game where he wasn't trying, after a few hands, he could tell as many as five people what their hands were with better than 50% accuracy based solely on what cards had been played and when.

  35. Days of card counting are numbered ..... by bizitch · · Score: 3, Informative

    Last time I was playing (loseing at) blackjack, the dealer had a gizmo which could only be described as a perpetual shoe.

    It contiuously shuffled the multiple decks of cards inside it. After each hand, all the cards just went in the top.

    Try counting that!

    --
    ---- "Logoff! That cookie shit makes me nervous!" - A. Soprano