An anonymous reader writes "The Economist has an article proclaiming the death of the PDA. Smart phone sales are predicted to overtake PDA sales this year."
Gotta love Slashdot's incendiary headlines. "DEATH" of the PDA, indeed.
Well, in this particular case the Economist's own headline was "PDA, RIP". If anything, Slashdot added a ? at the end, meaning it's a debatable opinion, instead of just stating it as a fact.
Cheers,
-j.
Re:Yeah, so?
by
Mac+Degger
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· Score: 2, Insightful
True...and maybe a little graphical calculation on the side.
But until I can read books and do matrix calculations on a phone with a decent sized screen (which is why the Treo 600 fails miserably for me...sob), I'm keeping to a seperate phone/PDA...my jacket pockets are big enough (especially seeing as my phone damn near fits in the lighter pocket of my jeans:)).
In other words, what gets me is that all these companies are trying to give PDA functionality to a phone (which kyocera and samsung seem to be doing best)...but what about the people who want a PDA with phone functionality!?
I'm not a huge PDA user, or cell phone user, so a combined solution make sense.
You may want to rethink that.
Pop quiz: What's the core functional difference between a phone and a PDA? Answer: One you tap on and write on; the other you jam up against your ear. As a result, each is physically designed with different goals. Phones are getting smaller and more curved to match the contours of your head (e.g., the clamshell design that's arisen in the past five years.) PDA design is centered around maximizing screen size - only the dinkiest PDAs, like Palm M100s, have tiny screens. Larger screens are better for "computer-like" applications - seeing lots of text in Excel, Reader, etc. Indeed, modern screens are still too small for effective web browsing, so expect that trend to continue.
Similarly, look at how each one handles power. My iPaq 5550 PDA, with its bright screen, fast processor, and 802.11/Bluetooth adapters, is a huge power hog - it's always complaining that it wants juice. It's not an issue, though, because when I need to use it, it's only for short periods of time - just long enough to find an email address. My phone, though, must be reliable, since it's a more necessary device - so it serves me better by being more reliable, as a low-power, long-battery-life device. (Unless battery technology works itself out of this rut of stagnant improvement, the only alternative is a higher-capacity battery, which is heavier... and no one wants that.)
So the current type of evolution is divergent, not convergent. That makes sense, because PDAs are becoming less like organizers and more computer-like in computing power and end-user functionality.
Three follow-up points:
1) I'm all for eliminating redundant devices, because it reduces cargo, data sprawl (having your data spread over multiple devices), and batter charging.
(Case in point: If any portable electronics market is on the verge of extinction, it's the MP3 player market - once portable media reaches 20gb capacities, your whole MP3 collection will fit on one (or a few) small card usable in any small device, and a dedicated device for that storage will be pointless.)
2) If you really want to eliminate a device, then instead of a phone that provides portable computing on a tiny, unusable screen, how about a traditional PDA that provides phone functionality over a headset attachment? Unfortunately, PDA manufacturers don't offer this yet, but I suspect (OK, hope) that it's in the pipe.
3) Long-term, this entire debate is moot. In a decade, we probably won't use either device. We'll probably carry around one relatively dumb device that serves as a communications portal.
Think of it this way. Wireless providers will eventually wise up and realize that people actually do want high-speed Internet connections in portable devices. This will become especially true as Internet telephony/voice-chatting gains ground, because then wireless Internet will be a superset of traditional cellphone service: it does everything cellphones do, and more. No more "phone me at 215-427-8931"; instead, "phone me at joesmith.com".
Anyway, consider what happens when wireless Internet becomes fast, affordable, widespread, always-on, and reliable. Now, you have the potential to have your PDA connect to your home server at all times. At that point, you've gotta ask: Why do you need a mobile processor? Would you rather use a dinky 50MHz processor on your PDA that burns a bunch of battery power and requires a separate data store? Or would you rather just let your home-based 50-gigahertz Pentium-7 send you a broadband video and audio stream?
So your PDA is now just an input/output portal to your home computer, providing access to all the same data as if you were sitting at home. Hell, the uber-powerful 3D video card on your home PC could even render gorgeous graphics and send them to your PDA! (Counterstrike 2012 on your PDA, w00t!) And since the only functions your PDA provides are input and output, you can ditch the
-- Computer over. Virus = very yes.
I don't think so...
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 5, Insightful
So many people missed the point of the article. The point is this... In today's wired world, why buy a small personal computer (PDA) that cannot connect seamlessly to the network? Gadget freak that I am, I've held off PDA's because there is no reasonably priced PDA that has wireless (no, not bluetooth or WiFI) -- cell wireless -- capabilities built in that also integrates well with the phone.
You want to be in the middle of a cornfield in Idaho and so long as you have cell service, you ought to have seampless data service as well. I mean data service that can grab stuff from your desktop computer, or a website (I don't mean WAP stuff), to update the data in the PDA/Phone.
None of the devices that I have seen have a good way of remotely syncing to a web service or a desktop computer without connecting via cable or dock. Why can't I get press a button on my computer, and get my address book there to sync/backup/update with my wireless phone -- wirelessly? Is this so hard?
Right now, my standard circa 2003 cellphone is useless. USELESS!! I can't get numbers in and out of it unless its hardwired to my WINDOWS computer. Why can't I just send the whole database in the phone to an email address or something via the cell network? Why? How come no one has come up with maybe an XML standard or something to easily update PHONE and PDA databases wirelessly transported via Text message or email?
My guess is, until there's simple software that REALLY makes TRUE integration -- not just tacked on stuff, not just standalone browsers or standalone emails -- with the phone or PDA, these devices are going to be relegated to their usual roles. Phones and diaries.
A few months ago, i had one of my clients nattering about how he wants one of them new fancy phones that has everything built in. On our way back from lunch, we stopped at the phone store. I had him pick up the phone, and emulate a phone conversation (phone held up to ear). Now the next step of the exercise, look up an address in it's address book, while maintaining the conversation with the client.
He still carries a phone in the left pocket, and a palm pilot in the right pocket, and fully understands why he does NOT want to merge them into a single unit. Most folks that really NEED the dayplanner and address book functions of a pda, need to access it while talking on the phone, and that's real hard to do if the screen is pasted to your ear in a phone conversation.
Most PDA's are used just for appointments. Normally these appointments only contain 1-4 words IE "see Doctor" or "meet friends at bar". As this is generally what they are used for why do I need to carry one more model device than I need to when my phone will do?
I am a contract programmer and I flight from Sydney to Perth and back on a weekly basis (Equivalent of LA to New York) so the less stuff I have to carry, watch out for and remember at 5 AM the better
-- It said "windows 98 or better" so I installed Linux
Death of the PDA? Not quite.
by
ajuda
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· Score: 4, Insightful
The article is really predicting the death of PDAs that aren't integrated with phones. This is quite different that the death of ALL PDAs.
All the article is saying is that PDAs will include another feature. PDAs are evolving. Very few things stay the way their were originally intended. Did computers die when we switched from punch cards to keyboards? Not quite. They're still computers, they just aren't exactly what they used to be.
Wait, the Video Phone succeeded?
by
Anusien
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· Score: 2, Insightful
"The PDA is dead," says David Levin, the boss of Symbian,
the leading maker of smartphone software.
Is it just me, or does this source seem biased? But having just applied a new screencover to my Palm m515 (free upgrade when I warrantied my 505), I think he's wrong. Does this guy mean the nGAGE which seems to be both a bad gaming platform and a bad phone (it's ergnomically bad for both -- you have to remove the battery to change the game, and you have to turn it sidewise to use as a phone). And not to be flame biat, but there are many things the PDA can do that the phone can't. And I have a phone for 1 reason, and it isn't an organizer or a gaming platform -- to call people!
Merge, not death
by
axxackall
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· Score: 2, Insightful
That's not a death of PDA. That's a merge of two product lines - PDAs and cell phones. The functionality of PDA is not dying - it's being combined with functionality of the cell phone. In a same way we can pro-claim "the death of non-smart cell phones".
Besides, I doubt that PDAs will merge ONLY with cell phones: PDA functionality is usefull and will be used virtually in all personal devices. And some of those devices will be far away from being called "a cell phone": watches, MP3 players, cameras.
Also, I am sure PDA functionality will expand from wearable devices to... drivable one? I always wanted to have my Palm being built-in to my car dashboard instead of being lost anywahere in my car.
--
Less is more !
Too funny...
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 1, Insightful
First, there were the "brick" phones, the ones that weighed 20 pounds and had an antenna like a foot long.
Then over time they shrank all the way down until the hottest thing going were these tiny digital hamster pellet phones that people keep could barely find in their cavernous shirt pockets.
But now they've got to be "smart" so we're back to putting these "heavy flow maxi"-sized things against our head again, with a complete qwerty keyboard rubbing on our five-o-clock shadow.
So when do we get back down to peanut-size again? Presumably this time it will be a color LCD peanut with a stylus the size of a sewing needle.
Smart phones have bigger screens
by
Namarrgon
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· Score: 4, Insightful
The screensize on my SE P800 is most of the size of the phone (the phone keypad flips down for full access), and the resolution is better than most Palm devices. It's certainly good enough for most PDA things, and anything I do. Any larger, and it wouldn't fit in a pocket.
If I want to do something that requires a bigger screen (like watch a movie and actually enjoy it), I use a 15" laptop. I'm sure there's room for devices inbetween - bag-size rather than pocket-size, but a decent resolution display can be very usable even on a pocket-sized device.
--
Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
A smartphone isn't smart enough . . .
by
Anonymous Coward
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· Score: 1, Insightful
until it includes: 1. Telephone 2. PDA 3. GPS
and fits comfortably in my hip pocket.
Other features like FRS, waterproof/resistant, rugged (hip pocket == sat on), bluetooth wireless modem for laptop, camera, etc. would serve to differentiate models.
Cellphones will become extinct as PDAs with cellphone capabiltiy become common!
--
Introducing the new Occam Fusion! Now with sqrt(-1) fewer blades!
Re:Now, death of PDA, two years later ...
by
cmoney
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· Score: 2, Insightful
You miss the point of smartphones. It's not that they are gonna replace the paper and pencil or the PS2 or digital cameras. It's that it gives you basic functionality in those areas, all in one device, which you can have with you all the time.
If I'm out one night with friends and we're walking around the city looking for something to do, it's easy enough to go online on a phone and find local spots and even reviews. Or during the train ride, I can take care of replying to emails for work, while listening to streaming Internet radio. I can access my corporate phone and email directories.
So no, I'm not using my phone for decoding DNA sequences but smartphones do alot to untether you.
I think convergence will eventually happen, but I wish it would look somewhat different and take advantage of some useful technologies. You still want a large screen to view lots of info, so convergence towards phone-size displays is bad. You also want a SEPARATE handset so you can read the screen and talk at the same time. How about moving the communications guts of the phone into the PDA and connecting a separate handset to it via Bluetooth? Perhaps make an oversized pen than also doubles as a handet. That would still make taking notes during a call pretty difficult, so maybe just use a regular old Bluetooth headset instead.
"The PDA is dead" says...
by
iamhassi
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· Score: 5, Insightful
""The PDA is dead," says David Levin, the boss of Symbian, the leading maker of smartphone software."
LOL. Is this like Bill Gates declaring Linux dead? Actually no, it's the opposite since smartphone is the underdog. This is more like Linus Torvalds or Steve Jobs declaring Microsoft dead. Why is this newsworthy?
-- my karma will be here long after I'm gone
Power (handset vs phone)
by
hughk
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· Score: 2, Insightful
I agree with you one hundred per cent over the handset issue. However that leads me to the next problem and that is battery power. A modern phone can easily last a week if used very lightly and three days or so with moderate use. Bluetooth increases the drain significantly (of course only when the phone is used).
However a PDA doesn't usually have much stamina. It last three days or so with light use, and like the phone - it is usually running in a standby mode rather than being comeletely off. If you start to make much use of the PDA, the power consumption needed can drain the battery within a day (especially if its a Microsoft operating system). End result of combining the two is something that doesn't want to go to far from a charger.
A combined phone/PDA *sounds* like a good idea...
by
C+A+S+S+I+E+L
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· Score: 2, Insightful
...until the battery runs flat while you're on the move, or the machine crashes and loses data. (I've been using Psion PDA's for ten years, so I haven't had any problems with software crashes, but the machines tend to have chronic mechanical failures.)
Whenever I'm travelling, I always have important phone numbers and meetings on both phone and PDA.
Re:Ahh.... Forgetting the main thing...
by
NanoGator
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· Score: 2, Insightful
"Everybody is forgetting the main cost... AIRTIME!"
Though your statement isn't wrong, it is a little misleading. Today the primary purpose of a PDA is for scheduling appointments and keeping contacts. Though the popularity of using a PDA for web browsing is on the rise, it's really not at a saturation point yet. Worse, the point of using your cell phone to get on the net is that 802.11 coverage isn't exactly ideal. So you get airtime charges (or just not use the net at all) when you're nowhere near an 802.11 hotspot. On top of that, the PDA phone I played with (I think it's made by Siemens or something like that) had an SD slot. There is a company who built an 802.11 card for that slot. If PDAs and cell phones merge more intimately, you can bet that 802.11 will be a serious consideration.
I think your other points (screen size, RAM, etc) are quite valid. I agrued in an earlier post in this thread that PDAs won't die because their slightly larger size affords them capabilities that a cell phone/PDA cannot accomdate. In other words, I agree with you. Just wanted to nitpick your airtime comment.:) I have a cell phone I use as a PDA and I pay $7 a month for the internet service (which can be funneled down to my PDA or laptop via bluetooth) but I don't pay actual air time.
-- "Derp de derp."
Missing the point
by
SuchaGoombah
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· Score: 3, Insightful
I think the whole PDA vs. phone argument is missing the point. Just like there was the old 'battle for the desktop', there will now be a new 'battle for the pocket' or purse or whatever. The point is that the human-wearable technologies are converging to a new standard configuration. This includes telephony, traditional PDA functions (calendar, task lists, address books, etc.), music and gaming in a portable, wearable, wireless package.
you do realise that customer lock in freebie phones have nothing to do with the _real_ price of the phone? the freebie aspect was/is there to get the customer in and then leech him on the plan. the phone is not FREE, you pay for it dearly(but not up front).
gprs phones start from somewhere under 200$ new, average nokia costs 200$-300$ i guess(ngage being cheapest that runs symbian apps that are for series60, 3650 is around 350$ or so.). locked phones are illegal here so instead of luring the customers in with "free" phones the operators have to do things like build a decent coverage network and have cheap calls to get the customers(the result? everyone has a cell phone.).
and the trend has been that people ARE willing to pay 300$+ for a new phone.
-- world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
Too small ... too big
by
Midnight+Thunder
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· Score: 2, Insightful
Having friends who have these sort of devices and also seeing the Handspring Treo, I feel that they are usually too big as a phone or too small as a PDA. I don't doubt that one day a PDA-Phone will come out at the manages to solve the size issue correctly, but I am yet to see something that does.
If the phone has all the properties of a PDA, isn't this a moot point?
.
By the way. .
FIRST POST!!!!
"No beer until you finish your tequila!" -Leela's Dad
Palm Zire 21 - $99 USD
Kyocera 7135 Smartphone - $499 USD.
Until they can close this gap, PDAs aren't going to be dead. And a $400 difference is going to take more than 1 year.
Propz to GNAA
Why the hell would you want to do PDA type stuff on a PHONE that is the size of a peanut with a screen the size of a stamp?
'Standards' in computing only impress those who are impressed by things like 'standards'.
The article is really predicting the death of PDAs that aren't integrated with phones. This is quite different that the death of ALL PDAs.
All the article is saying is that PDAs will include another feature. PDAs are evolving. Very few things stay the way their were originally intended. Did computers die when we switched from punch cards to keyboards? Not quite. They're still computers, they just aren't exactly what they used to be.
Besides, I doubt that PDAs will merge ONLY with cell phones: PDA functionality is usefull and will be used virtually in all personal devices. And some of those devices will be far away from being called "a cell phone": watches, MP3 players, cameras.
Also, I am sure PDA functionality will expand from wearable devices to... drivable one? I always wanted to have my Palm being built-in to my car dashboard instead of being lost anywahere in my car.
Less is more !
First, there were the "brick" phones, the ones that weighed 20 pounds and had an antenna like a foot long.
Then over time they shrank all the way down until the hottest thing going were these tiny digital hamster pellet phones that people keep could barely find in their cavernous shirt pockets.
But now they've got to be "smart" so we're back to putting these "heavy flow maxi"-sized things against our head again, with a complete qwerty keyboard rubbing on our five-o-clock shadow.
So when do we get back down to peanut-size again? Presumably this time it will be a color LCD peanut with a stylus the size of a sewing needle.
If I want to do something that requires a bigger screen (like watch a movie and actually enjoy it), I use a 15" laptop. I'm sure there's room for devices inbetween - bag-size rather than pocket-size, but a decent resolution display can be very usable even on a pocket-sized device.
Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
until it includes:
1. Telephone
2. PDA
3. GPS
and fits comfortably in my hip pocket.
Other features like FRS, waterproof/resistant, rugged (hip pocket == sat on), bluetooth wireless modem for laptop, camera, etc. would serve to differentiate models.
Cellphones will become extinct as PDAs with cellphone capabiltiy become common!
Introducing the new Occam Fusion! Now with sqrt(-1) fewer blades!
You miss the point of smartphones. It's not that they are gonna replace the paper and pencil or the PS2 or digital cameras. It's that it gives you basic functionality in those areas, all in one device, which you can have with you all the time.
If I'm out one night with friends and we're walking around the city looking for something to do, it's easy enough to go online on a phone and find local spots and even reviews. Or during the train ride, I can take care of replying to emails for work, while listening to streaming Internet radio. I can access my corporate phone and email directories.
So no, I'm not using my phone for decoding DNA sequences but smartphones do alot to untether you.
I think convergence will eventually happen, but I wish it would look somewhat different and take advantage of some useful technologies. You still want a large screen to view lots of info, so convergence towards phone-size displays is bad. You also want a SEPARATE handset so you can read the screen and talk at the same time. How about moving the communications guts of the phone into the PDA and connecting a separate handset to it via Bluetooth? Perhaps make an oversized pen than also doubles as a handet. That would still make taking notes during a call pretty difficult, so maybe just use a regular old Bluetooth headset instead.
LOL. Is this like Bill Gates declaring Linux dead? Actually no, it's the opposite since smartphone is the underdog. This is more like Linus Torvalds or Steve Jobs declaring Microsoft dead. Why is this newsworthy?
my karma will be here long after I'm gone
However a PDA doesn't usually have much stamina. It last three days or so with light use, and like the phone - it is usually running in a standby mode rather than being comeletely off. If you start to make much use of the PDA, the power consumption needed can drain the battery within a day (especially if its a Microsoft operating system). End result of combining the two is something that doesn't want to go to far from a charger.
See my journal, I write things there
Whenever I'm travelling, I always have important phone numbers and meetings on both phone and PDA.
"Everybody is forgetting the main cost... AIRTIME!"
:) I have a cell phone I use as a PDA and I pay $7 a month for the internet service (which can be funneled down to my PDA or laptop via bluetooth) but I don't pay actual air time.
Though your statement isn't wrong, it is a little misleading. Today the primary purpose of a PDA is for scheduling appointments and keeping contacts. Though the popularity of using a PDA for web browsing is on the rise, it's really not at a saturation point yet. Worse, the point of using your cell phone to get on the net is that 802.11 coverage isn't exactly ideal. So you get airtime charges (or just not use the net at all) when you're nowhere near an 802.11 hotspot. On top of that, the PDA phone I played with (I think it's made by Siemens or something like that) had an SD slot. There is a company who built an 802.11 card for that slot. If PDAs and cell phones merge more intimately, you can bet that 802.11 will be a serious consideration.
I think your other points (screen size, RAM, etc) are quite valid. I agrued in an earlier post in this thread that PDAs won't die because their slightly larger size affords them capabilities that a cell phone/PDA cannot accomdate. In other words, I agree with you. Just wanted to nitpick your airtime comment.
"Derp de derp."
I think the whole PDA vs. phone argument is missing the point. Just like there was the old 'battle for the desktop', there will now be a new 'battle for the pocket' or purse or whatever. The point is that the human-wearable technologies are converging to a new standard configuration. This includes telephony, traditional PDA functions (calendar, task lists, address books, etc.), music and gaming in a portable, wearable, wireless package.
you do realise that customer lock in freebie phones have nothing to do with the _real_ price of the phone? the freebie aspect was/is there to get the customer in and then leech him on the plan. the phone is not FREE, you pay for it dearly(but not up front).
gprs phones start from somewhere under 200$ new, average nokia costs 200$-300$ i guess(ngage being cheapest that runs symbian apps that are for series60, 3650 is around 350$ or so.). locked phones are illegal here so instead of luring the customers in with "free" phones the operators have to do things like build a decent coverage network and have cheap calls to get the customers(the result? everyone has a cell phone.).
and the trend has been that people ARE willing to pay 300$+ for a new phone.
world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
Having friends who have these sort of devices and also seeing the Handspring Treo, I feel that they are usually too big as a phone or too small as a PDA. I don't doubt that one day a PDA-Phone will come out at the manages to solve the size issue correctly, but I am yet to see something that does.
Jumpstart the tartan drive.