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The Myth Of The 100-Year CD-Rom

Toshito writes "Are we putting too much faith in the ubiquitous "recordable CD", or CD-R? A lot of manufacturer claims 100 years of shelf life for a CD-R. But in real life, it can be much less. Expect failure after only 5 years... Personnaly I just discovered 6 audio cassettes with the voice of my late grandfather, talking about old times. These tapes are copies of reel to reel recorded in 1971, and they are still in excellent shape. I was thinking about digitizing everything, do a little noise reduction, and burning this on CD's, for my childrens and great grand-childrens enjoyment, but it seems that old analog tech from the '70 is more reliable than digital. The full story at Rense. Other links about the subject: Practical PC, Mscience, and an excellent reasearch by the Library of Congress (warning! PDF): Study of CD longevity, html version (google):Study html."

24 of 671 comments (clear)

  1. Nonsense! by Kris+Thalamus · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I was thinking about digitizing everything, do a little noise reduction, and burning this on CD's, for my childrens and great grand-childrens enjoyment, but it seems that old analog tech from the '70 is more reliable than digital.

    Record it to your HDD in an non-lossy format and store copies of it on various friends' and family members' computers. Back up frequently and your recordings won't suffer from the kind of decay and generation loss that analog tape does.

    1. Re:Nonsense! by penguinstorm · · Score: 5, Interesting

      This is, of course, the very thing the comment points out can be a problem.

      Who's really going to remember this schedule? /. maybe; my mother - not.

      This is my beef with digital photography: I found a negative for a photo that was taken sometime between 1891 & 1934 - prints were beautiful. This negative was not stored properly at all. No special effort to preserve.

      With digital photography & CD-R disks I'm not so sure that we're not just creating a set of transient memories which will disappear into the ephemera in 10 years time.

      --
      Skot Nelson music is my saviour / i was maimed by rock and roll
    2. Re:Nonsense! by SEWilco · · Score: 4, Interesting
      What happens when the amount time it takes to transfer all the data from one medium to another is longer than the life time of the media on which it currently resides?

      Then obviously you couldn't have copied all the data to the "current" medium in the first place.

      • He might still be writing the current backup.
      • He might have such a huge amount of old data that the remaining life time is the problem.
        • Reports are that NASA has huge amounts of data on magnetic tape which is fading, and copying to new media will take longer than the remaining life time of the magnetic data. Obviously they need to start shipping out tape drives and tapes to volunteers who will have their computers copy tapes in their spare time, and let them see if they can find anything odd in the data at the same time; a Distributed Search for Earth Intelligence.
        • For years old films have been degrading faster than they have been copied to more stable media. Part of the problem is money, part is the time required for the delicate task.
    3. Re:Nonsense! by Safety+Cap · · Score: 5, Interesting
      In effect, you have to keep running just in order to stay in the same place. (I believe there's a reference here to the Alice books of Lewis Carroll)
      That is a condition known as "The Red Queen's Race":
      Alice never could quite make out, in thinking it over afterwards, how it was that they began: all she remembers is, that they were running hand in hand, and the Queen went so fast that it was all she could do to keep up with her: and still the Queen kept crying "Faster!" but Alice felt she could not go faster, though she had no breath to say so. The most curious part of the thing was, that the trees and the other things round them never changed their places at all: however fast they went, they never seemed to pass anything. "I wonder if all the things move along with us?" thought poor puzzled Alice. And the Queen seemed to guess her thoughts, for she cried, "Faster! Don't try to talk!"

      Not that Alice had any idea of doing that. She felt as if she would never be able to talk again, she was getting so out of breath: and still the Queen cried, "Faster! Faster!" and dragged her along. "Are we nearly there?" Alice managed to pant out at last.

      "Nearly there!" the Queen repeated. "Why, we passed it ten minutes ago! Faster!" And they ran on for a time in silence, with the wind whistling in Alice's ears, and almost blowing her hair off her head, she fancied.

      "Now! Now!" cried the Queen. "Faster! Faster!" And they went so fast that at last they seemed to skim through the air, hardly touching the ground with their feet, till suddenly, just as Alice was getting quite exhausted, they stopped, and she found herself sitting on the ground, breathless and giddy. The Queen propped her against a tree, and said kindly, "You may rest a little now."

      Alice looked round her in great surprise. "Why, I do believe we've been under this tree all the time! Everything's just as it was!"

      "Of course it is," said the Queen: "what would you have it?"

      "Well, in our country," said Alice, still panting a little, "you'd generally get to somewhere else -- if you ran very fast for a long time, as we've been doing."

      "A slow sort of country!" said the Queen. "Now, here, you see, it takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place. If you want to get somewhere else, you must run at least twice as fast as that!"

      -- Carrol, Lewis. Through the Looking-Glass and What Alice Found There. Peter Pauper Press edition, Mount Vernon, New York 1940. 45-47.
      --
      Yeah, right.
  2. CD Rot by Liselle · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The story about the Rot of Death seems to come up every once and a while. My fun strategies for longevity:

    - If you can rub the top of a CD and have your finger come back silver, that's a bad sign. I avoid cheap CD-Rs. Sorry, CompUSA.
    - I burn at 2x, always, unless I am burning something that I don't care about. Someone showed me the difference in color, I was convinced.
    - Sticker on top = CD death.
    - Take care of your media. Had a friend who left a CD on the windowsill and forgot about it. Many months later, you could see right through it. Nice corrosion.

    I find it weird that anyone can stick a 100 year lifespan on a product that hasn't been around that long. I know that they have processes that supposedly accelerate the process and give you a rough estimate, but I am skeptical. Maybe they really are that durable, and people are just careless/cheapskates. You know what they say about malice and idiocy.

    --
    Auto-reply to ACs: "Truly, you have a dizzying intellect."
    1. Re:CD Rot by Yewbert · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I've been a consistent audio CD-R hobbyist/trader since 1997, have burned upwards of 5000 discs, and the ONLY CD-Rs I've ever had go bad on me were ones with labels stuck on 'em - and MOST of the ones I've acquired with labels HAVE gone bad. A long time ago, I thought labels would protect the more delicate top coating of a CD-R - and over the SHORT term, for discs that are handled regularly/carelessly, maybe it's so - but over the long-term, I observed this speculation to be quite wrong. Buy a brand with a good top-coating already on it (Verbatim, Mitsui), and you're far better off.

      I've successfully used BlindRead/BlindWrite (www.blindread.com) to perform raw reads of otherwise unreadable discs - and I'm talking CD-Rs that can't be ripped in a CD-ROM, played in a stereo CD player or *anything*. BlindRead instructs the reading device to ignore the error-correction encoding, which may only confuse matters when the disc is mechanically damaged/degraded. Once read in (as an "image") and burned to a second (usually RW, to conserve resources) disc, I could frequently recover the content in sufficiently flawless (for audio, at least) condition for material for which I had no other source. A few discs were just lost completely. (Taught me to NEVER erase or record over the master DAT.)

      A note on manufacturers: It's getting more difficult all the time to find blanks sourced from reputable manufacturers. a) most "brand name" blanks [Fuji, H-P, Imation, etc.] are actuallly manufactured by other companies [Ritek, CMC Magnetics, Taiyo Yuden, etc.]; b) the "name brand" companies change their sources to minimize cost at whim and with no notice to the consumer; c) there's usually little outward indication of the actual manufacturer to tell you, when looking at spindles of blanks on a store shelf, who made them, in order to decide which to buy.

      Up till sometime last year, Fuji and H-P sold re-branded Taiyo Yuden blanks. T-Y blanks have tested (in BLER tests similar to the Library of Congress studies cited in the story) as competitive with the best quality brands, FAR better than Ritek-manufactured discs and those of other mfrs. (Sorry, I don't have a ready reference for that data at hand,...) But recently, both Fuji and H-P have gone to another source - the only outward evidence of which on their packaging is a "Made in Taiwan" where there used to be a "Made in Japan" legend, and the spindles look a little different; SOMETIMES the label side of the disc is different, but not always.

      In order to determine the actual manufacturer of a blank, you need to use (on the Windows side) a utility program such as CDR-ID or Feurio (www.feurio.de), the latter of which displays the manufacturer in a pre-burn dialog box.

      As a side note, other brands whose blanks tested at the top of the curve, were those manufactured "in-house" - Verbatim, Mitsui and Kodak all make/made their own blanks, and they tended to have better quality control. Of course, they also tended to be more expensive, and Kodak has since stopped making their own blanks.

      Another thing I've noticed recently about "off-brand" CD-RW blanks (and I'd guess it's the same for CD-Rs, but I've never bought any CD-Rs branded by these low-budget outfits), is that it appears that ValuDisc (ValueDisc? Valu-Disc?) and possibly KHypermedia blanks are REJECTS from other re-branders. I snagged a spindle of Valu-Disc CD-RWs on a free-after-rebate deal at OfficeMax a couple weeks ago. On close inspection, the top coating appears to be a thick blue dye/paint layer, made from many, many skewed layers of logo-print, all in the same color, and augmented with a few solid layers, apparently in order to disguise a logo that had originally been applied to the surface of the disc. Anybody know anything about this? Are they selling blanks that were labelled for one reseller, rejected "en batch" by that seller's QC, and then painted over to cover the original branding? I've not written data to any of them yet, and so don't know how they perform,...

  3. Doooom(esday)! by llamaguy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Factor that in with the project the BBC did in the mid-1980s (A digital Domesday book, designed to be a snapshot of life at that particular moment of time) that was unreadable withing 20 years because of the fast pace of technology and no way will CDs last 100 years.

    --
    HAH! I just wasted a second of your life making you read this, but I wasted a minute of mine thinking it up. DAMN.
    1. Re:Doooom(esday)! by EpsCylonB · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Wasn't that because the format they recorded it on was quite obscure and they couldn't find a player to read back the data ?. That is related to this I guess but the first hurdle is to ensure the integrity of the data in the first place.

  4. date, reburn, rinse, repeat by wren337 · · Score: 5, Interesting


    Blank CDs in bulk are cheap. For archival stuff I make a new copy every 5 years. I have a bunch of scanned photos I don't want to lose, so I re-copied them all onto new CDs.

    You aren't supposed to write on the CDs either but I've not had any trouble with that, probably because I'm not trying to keep them very long.

  5. Another 6 months, another CD longevity article by Pedrito · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What's the deal? This same article with a slightly different look shows up every 6 months, it seems.

    Besides the fact that CDs DON'T have a 100 year shelf life, we've also discussed the CD eating fungus several times here, which for people in hot and humid environments (particularly, it seems, Mexico, Central, and South America) can reduce a CDs lifespan to months or a couple of years.

    And then you have the fact that rewriteables have an even shorter lifespan.

    One thing that's rarely mentioned is the fact that most CDs are defectively manufactured. I say this because the metalic layer between the plastic is supposed to be sealed. But the fact that the aforementioned CD eating fungus enters through the two layers of plastic says to me that CDs are generally defective in that they fail to properly seal this layer.

    I personally lost about 25% of my CD collection to this fungus over a 2 year period in Mexico, so I speak with some experience. These CDs were not abused. Most were in plastic cases, some were in sleeved carriers.

  6. Why 100 years ? by da_reboot · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I don't get this obsession with hoping to keep media for 100 years. Technically punch cards are forever. Do you still use them ? No, because their storage capacity is ridiculous by today's standard. In five years you will store your data probably on your solid-state 200 g key-chain.... move with the times..

  7. FUD by polyp2000 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    All this about CD's not lasting very long is just FUD by the RIAA. In the next few years or so they will want to bring out a new type of media so that everybody has to restock their cd collection with the new media format.

    Bottom line, buy cheap media then you will suffer the consequences. Buy decent media; buy a reputable brand and you can expect reasonable lifespan.

    Hey, and wasnt this a dupe? albeit one with a twist ?

    nick ...

    --
    Electronic Music Made Using Linux http://soundcloud.com/polyp
  8. CD RW are better ??? by iMaple · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The article says Not all optical media is vulnerable. The rewritable variants (RW) use metallic materials that change the phase of the light, rather than light-sensitive dyes. Commercial magneto-optical and ultra-density optical systems are different too. Do they mean to say that CD RW's are resistant to aging compared to CD-Rs ??

    I always thought that CD-R s are more reliable than the RW's and genrally back up my data to CDRs ( and of course CDRW are more expensive)

  9. Risk of data loss for nth generation copies? by zerosignal · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Many people seem to suggest reburning data every few years. But each time you do this, are you not risking corrupting a small number of files? I know OSs and hardware have error correction, but when you're dealing with gigabytes of data isn't there a risk that eventually an error will go through uncaught?

  10. best bet... by Byteme · · Score: 4, Interesting
    ...is to cut your own vinyl and then play it on a laser turntable. Isn't vinyl the preference for the Library of Congress?

  11. Re:CD-Rs can last longer by hankwang · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I have found that writing very lightly with a soft, dark graphite pencil works well.

    I wouldn't be so keen on having particles of electrically conducting graphite being spun off the disc inside the drive... But you're right that it probably won't damage the disc.

    If you're very paranoid, you might consider not labelling the CD at all

    Or write in the data-less area around the center of the disc.

  12. Re:CD-RW slow rot by doc+modulo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    CD-RW disks will last longer than CD-R because of the way it stores it's bits.

    CD-R uses a dye that changes color under influence of light. CD-RW uses a phase change material that changes it's properties because of heat. The phase change material won't change color but changes the way light passes through it. Differences in the duration of the laser hitting it will change a bit from one phase to another.

    CD-RW disc information is much safer because of these differences. The only problem with CD-RW is that you can accidentally overwrite files you wanted to keep.

    --
    - -- Truth addict for life.
  13. Reel to Reel WILL FAIL by SatanicPuppy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The number of things that can go wrong with old magnetic media is so long I won't even go there. If nothign else, the magnetic tape will get old and brittle. It also stretches slightly when you play it, which could leave granddad sounding like James Earl Jones in a few years. Certain types of mildew love it. AAAAAA! Make a copy! Make a copy!

    Add to that the cost of replacing r2r tech, and you've got a scary situation. I agree with the parent. CD may not be the answer, but digital sure as hell is. I'd be super paranoid having anything I cared about stuck on old tape.

    --
    ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
  14. Re:Writing speed by unorthod0x · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't claim to know much about this at all, but I know as a complete fact that the slower I burn Audio CDs on my 24x the less they'll skip when they're in my car. This has been true for me at least one hundred times over, and I drive the same route pretty much every day (same bumps).. How does this experience fit in to the above?

  15. Re:First of all... by unperson · · Score: 3, Interesting

    But I think the problem is that CD media doesn't have what most people consider "acceptable redundancy"

    When a CD ages, and the surface scratches, and the ink degrades, the data doesn't fade to yellow and get wrinkled like a newspaper, or it doesn't sound like its being pumped over a telephone like a record would, it is just gone. At least with analog data (especially newspaper) there isn't this working/not working parity...we can see the degradation and recopy the data before its too late.

    Of course we try to get around this by adding error detection/correction schemes, but I think the original post is about how (apparently) these aren't adequate.

  16. The Sharpie rumor again by Rex+Code · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Second, the biggest mistake most people make in CD archival is to write on the CDs with magic marker -- DO NOT DO THIS. The ink will, given several years, leach through the extremely thin plastic on the labelled side of the CD and pollute the optical layer, resulting in a ruined CD.

    Got some studies supporting that? I did my own little study after highly doubting this rumor. Here's how I think the rumor got started:

    1. Buy cheapest Taiwanese media
    2. Write on it with a Sharpie
    3. Down the road, blame the Sharpie for media failure

    My (unscientific, but the only data point I'm aware of) test:

    In 1996, I wrote all over a Japanese Taiyo-Yuden made, unbranded Sony CD-R. In 2003, I tested the data, which was fine. I then cleaned the Sharpie ink off the disc with carburator cleaner (harsh treatment, for sure). It wiped off in seconds with no trace whatsoever, so in 7 years the ink did not migrate into the disc at all. After this, the data was still good.

    Conclusion: Buy good media and quit worrying about writing on the discs. They'll take it fine, and if they die, it wasn't the pen that killed them.

  17. Re:Writing speed by bashamer · · Score: 3, Interesting


    It would be interesting to see if the difference between readin and writing speeds causes the problem. Since if you write at the same speed as you read both processes will see the same wobles in the disk. These wobles are caused since CD's are never quite round, and uniform desity.


    This would mean that for a normal CD player you want to write at 1x, and for a Car cd player, or a portable CD player you would want to write at what ever speed they sample (more than 1x since they have skip protection). If you check the site they meantion that you should write at more than 1x but less than 12x.


    So the question is at what speed they wrote and read the CD-R's, not just the writing speed. I checked the site but I didn't find any data on that.

  18. Re:Writing speed - audio vs. data by MikeMo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We burn about 200K CD-R's here per month. We have found, unequivocally, that you can burn data CD-R's at 40x, but the best we can do for audio is 12x. We don't really know why, but we think it has more to do with the error correction capabilities that the data format has. That's the theory, anyway. Of course, we use only the best drives and media.

  19. Magneto Optic by Ask-A-Nerd · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was one of the original developers for Magneto Optic for MaxOptics and Pinnacle Micro Systems approx 20 years ago. I still have media recorded back then on truly rewritable optical media that is 100% flawless to this day. And all this is on Plastic Media. I never did understand why magneto optic didn't catch on more. The Glass Media units I'm sure would go to 100+ years and were tested in Europe for the telephone and data companys 20 years ago, and the last I heard they still hadn't seen a single cartridge with glass media go bad.