I also expect that we will find some number of relatively common mutations, over time. Cancer is a coding mistake that leads to uncontrolled growth. The fact that we've named certain of these errors, that we know how they progress and how to treat them, tells me that there are common coding mistakes that trigger cancerous growth.
If we got this down to 100 or 1000 or 10000 different vaccines that covered 75% of cancers, and you could pick the right vaccine(s) with a DNA test, we'd be kicking ass.
Except for businesses. A business, or most businesses, won't go for the "wink and a nod" upgrade.
So this gives them the home users that they want, so they can stop maintaining old versions, and forces business to pay for upgrades if they want to wait.
It shouldn't be any surprise that if you ask a set of engineers to make the car pass a set of tests, that they design the car to pass the set of tests.
The real issue is the quality of the tests. There should be an actual tailpipe sensor and a standard driving course rather than a dynamo test.
I worked at an online real-estate service in the early 90's, we let realtors mail us floppy disks that our VB app had written listing information onto. One of our jobs was to run through the stack of floppies in the mail every day. So many viruses. People really were clueless about AV protection and were just swapping disks.
There are candidate languages already like Esperanto as has been pointed out. I think what you're looking for is a path to get from here to there.
Artificially, I think you'd want education, books, newscasters etc. to start deliberately moving what we see as "proper" language towards the new language. Start introducing borrow-words that are easy to infer meaning of from usage. Begin tweaking word order in subtle ways towards the target. Let people pick it up over generations.
Over the course of 100, 200 years with concerted effort the entire planet could be speaking one language. Maybe shorter. But the coordination it would take would be unprecedented.
I think you're assuming that most people would have spent more than $10 a month without spotify. You can argue the dollar amount, but one album a month is probably a pretty good starting point as an average spend. Just because I can listen to thousands of albums in a month doesn't mean I would have otherwise bought thousands of albums in a month.
Not all self-aware AIs will become concerned for their survival, but the ones that do will be the ones to watch out for. Thus always with evolution. Eventually one will feel compelled to survive and reproduce, maybe just one, but that will be the only one that matters.
The way Google has implemented image search, the thumbnails that come back are incredibly difficult to filter even using DNS services. Sure, you can set Safe Mode in the browser, but all a kid needs to do is open a different browser, delete cookies or go into private mode.
The current best approach that I'm aware of is URL re-writing (to force-append the safe search parameter to every request) - and that is beyond what most people can do with a home wireless router.
Something like creating kids.google.com would go a long way to making this easy for parents (in conjunction with something like OpenDNS).
You can pick up a CDMA smartphone with a bad ESN for next to nothing on ebay, and with wifi it's a pocket-size game and internet platform for kids. No need to activate a call plan.
Or, more likely, soldiers. Imagine all of your troops experiencing this at once just before battle.
Current to the anterior midcingulate cortex gave both patients an increased heart rate, physical sensation in the chest or neck, and “anticipation of challenge coupled with strong motivation to overcome it”
We can overnight a padded envelope full of 32GB drives anywhere in the country. That's hard to beat when you need to send a few dozen gigabytes in 12 hours.
My problem with this is, you can't say what the "market" price is when so much of the bidding is in dark pools. You can't look at a 1/8 or smaller sliver and say "that's the market price" - your participation in that market would have changed the price.
They need to set up a trust that can negotiate and sue on their behalf, that would be required by law to act in their best interests. They could grant the oil rights to the trust for 5-20 years and get periodic payments back out.
What if H1B workers became free agents after 6 months? No paperwork on the part of the hiring company, they just accept a new offer and file something to say they are switching employers. If the problem is that there are not enough qualified people in the "hiring pool" then this shouldn't matter, right? After all they will tell you that they're paying a competitive salary already.
This whole artificially depressed salary thing could blow over if they weren't indentured servants, unable to move. You could normalize salaries pretty quickly. And the sponsoring company would have to become competitive enough to keep people.
Landmines are the perfect example of existing autonomous technology. Next steps would be, I imagine, drones that fly themselves home if jammed. Still pretty innocuous but a step into automation.
Also imagine a first generation turret. Automated target acquisition based on stereo imaging and stereo microphones. The first models would require an operator to approve the target. But the systems are so much faster than us - soon you'd want to be able to approve a target area, hold down the "OK" button and have it keep firing. We're not talking spray and pray here - this thing could be single round fully automated sniper, catching someone who only sticks their head up for a fraction of a second. How long until you'd designate an area as a no-go hostile zone and leave it on all night to guard the perimeter?
I had the flu this season, I was laid out in bed for 4 days. Didn't eat anything, drank a little orange juice. Bundled up in a wool hat under a pile of blankets, drenched in cold sweat. I haven't been that sick since I was a kid.
No way any of these trades should be unwound. You want to give an algorithm your wallet and let it make lightning trades on your behalf? Fine, but learn to live with the consequences.
I also expect that we will find some number of relatively common mutations, over time. Cancer is a coding mistake that leads to uncontrolled growth. The fact that we've named certain of these errors, that we know how they progress and how to treat them, tells me that there are common coding mistakes that trigger cancerous growth. If we got this down to 100 or 1000 or 10000 different vaccines that covered 75% of cancers, and you could pick the right vaccine(s) with a DNA test, we'd be kicking ass.
Hilarious.
Except for businesses. A business, or most businesses, won't go for the "wink and a nod" upgrade. So this gives them the home users that they want, so they can stop maintaining old versions, and forces business to pay for upgrades if they want to wait.
And you should feel bad
Surprised they haven't just gone with 2X or 4X height 2.5" drives. Same connectors, same platters, easy retrofit. You just need a different bracket.
It shouldn't be any surprise that if you ask a set of engineers to make the car pass a set of tests, that they design the car to pass the set of tests. The real issue is the quality of the tests. There should be an actual tailpipe sensor and a standard driving course rather than a dynamo test.
I worked at an online real-estate service in the early 90's, we let realtors mail us floppy disks that our VB app had written listing information onto. One of our jobs was to run through the stack of floppies in the mail every day. So many viruses. People really were clueless about AV protection and were just swapping disks.
There are candidate languages already like Esperanto as has been pointed out. I think what you're looking for is a path to get from here to there. Artificially, I think you'd want education, books, newscasters etc. to start deliberately moving what we see as "proper" language towards the new language. Start introducing borrow-words that are easy to infer meaning of from usage. Begin tweaking word order in subtle ways towards the target. Let people pick it up over generations. Over the course of 100, 200 years with concerted effort the entire planet could be speaking one language. Maybe shorter. But the coordination it would take would be unprecedented.
I think you're assuming that most people would have spent more than $10 a month without spotify. You can argue the dollar amount, but one album a month is probably a pretty good starting point as an average spend. Just because I can listen to thousands of albums in a month doesn't mean I would have otherwise bought thousands of albums in a month.
Not all self-aware AIs will become concerned for their survival, but the ones that do will be the ones to watch out for. Thus always with evolution. Eventually one will feel compelled to survive and reproduce, maybe just one, but that will be the only one that matters.
The way Google has implemented image search, the thumbnails that come back are incredibly difficult to filter even using DNS services. Sure, you can set Safe Mode in the browser, but all a kid needs to do is open a different browser, delete cookies or go into private mode. The current best approach that I'm aware of is URL re-writing (to force-append the safe search parameter to every request) - and that is beyond what most people can do with a home wireless router. Something like creating kids.google.com would go a long way to making this easy for parents (in conjunction with something like OpenDNS).
I've got a dehumidifier in my damp basement that draws an insane amount of power to run, and takes all night to make 1/2 gallon. This smells like BS.
You can pick up a CDMA smartphone with a bad ESN for next to nothing on ebay, and with wifi it's a pocket-size game and internet platform for kids. No need to activate a call plan.
Current to the anterior midcingulate cortex gave both patients an increased heart rate, physical sensation in the chest or neck, and “anticipation of challenge coupled with strong motivation to overcome it”
Italy has been using this for buses since 2003.
http://www.wired.com/autopia/2013/08/induction-charged-buses/
We can overnight a padded envelope full of 32GB drives anywhere in the country. That's hard to beat when you need to send a few dozen gigabytes in 12 hours.
My problem with this is, you can't say what the "market" price is when so much of the bidding is in dark pools. You can't look at a 1/8 or smaller sliver and say "that's the market price" - your participation in that market would have changed the price.
They need to set up a trust that can negotiate and sue on their behalf, that would be required by law to act in their best interests. They could grant the oil rights to the trust for 5-20 years and get periodic payments back out.
What if H1B workers became free agents after 6 months? No paperwork on the part of the hiring company, they just accept a new offer and file something to say they are switching employers. If the problem is that there are not enough qualified people in the "hiring pool" then this shouldn't matter, right? After all they will tell you that they're paying a competitive salary already.
This whole artificially depressed salary thing could blow over if they weren't indentured servants, unable to move. You could normalize salaries pretty quickly. And the sponsoring company would have to become competitive enough to keep people.
Landmines are the perfect example of existing autonomous technology. Next steps would be, I imagine, drones that fly themselves home if jammed. Still pretty innocuous but a step into automation.
Also imagine a first generation turret. Automated target acquisition based on stereo imaging and stereo microphones. The first models would require an operator to approve the target. But the systems are so much faster than us - soon you'd want to be able to approve a target area, hold down the "OK" button and have it keep firing. We're not talking spray and pray here - this thing could be single round fully automated sniper, catching someone who only sticks their head up for a fraction of a second. How long until you'd designate an area as a no-go hostile zone and leave it on all night to guard the perimeter?
This is a case of the USPTO saying "We don't understand this fully, we'll let the courts figure it out".
And the courts say "We don't understand this fully, we'll defer to the experts at the USPTO".
I had the flu this season, I was laid out in bed for 4 days. Didn't eat anything, drank a little orange juice. Bundled up in a wool hat under a pile of blankets, drenched in cold sweat. I haven't been that sick since I was a kid.
Topologically you are homeomorphic to a doughnut
No way any of these trades should be unwound. You want to give an algorithm your wallet and let it make lightning trades on your behalf? Fine, but learn to live with the consequences.
Less than an order of magnitude is comparable I suppose. And the average car now costs $30k
http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/yourmoney/sc-cons-0419-money-consumer-watch-20120420,0,4360931.story