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Ray Bradbury's Reasons to Go to Mars

An anonymous reader writes "Ray Bradbury's testimony to the Presidential blue-ribbon Commission, 'Moon to Mars and Beyond', covers a range of rather optimistic space-related topics, including why three Italians should be the first on Mars. But at age 83, Bradbury's next book, entitled 'Too Soon From the Cave, Too Far From the Stars' seems to set an overall vision that this is an in-between generation caught between the brutal and primitive and the advanced."

104 of 387 comments (clear)

  1. We have to go... by stecoop · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sooner or latter we have too expand our knowledge and return to the moon or journey to Mars. Nothing will stop man from seeking adventures and knowledge.

    1. Re:We have to go... by meringuoid · · Score: 5, Funny
      Nothing will stop man from seeking adventures and knowledge.

      Except a largish cometary impact.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    2. Re:We have to go... by AllUsernamesAreGone · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Or our own shortsightedness and stupidity.

    3. Re:We have to go... by Tenebrious1 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Nothing will stop man from seeking adventures and knowledge.

      Nothing, perhaps, except marriage.

      "Honey, I'm going out to explore Mars."
      "Not before you clean out the garage.

      --
      -- If god wanted me to have a sig, he'd have given me a sense of humor.
    4. Re:We have to go... by pgnas · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I agree, we have to go. I hate to sound so cliche, but it is the "final frontier". It is ridiculous when put in perspective the amount of money that is spent for other things, and not see the money go into future development.

      Others have pointed out and I agree, It is HIGHLY short sighted and extremely selfish to NOT continue pushing further into space.

      Are we Selfish? Yes. We tend to only think about ourselves, or maybe one generation, we must adopt and ideology that extends beyond our own lifetimes and taking the money (taxes) we have now and applying them to the future.

      Space travel IS necessary, we must reach beyond the local boundries, I agree with Bradbury, we never should have left the moon. Why did we go to the moon? was it merely a political statement?

      It is all about seeing the BIG picture, instead of 50 years, just start thinking 100 years, thinking beyond our own lifetimes and start thinking about making multi-generation advancements.

    5. Re:We have to go... by dave420 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Sorry if I come off as an idiot for saying this. I have the best intentions at heart, you have to understand.

      <rant>You don't think, for one second, that there are things more important to do right now than in 20 years go to a planet which we'll just eventually screw like we have done our own (so far)?

      There are billions of people around the world starving, and you're talking about a thirst for knowledge and adventure? How about a thirst for water? Ever known that? Unfortunately, large swathes of Africa know it only too well, and their idea of adventure is getting shot at going to get a drink. Think about that next time you climb into your SUV sippin' a big gulp.

      I know it sounds like a hippy tree-hugging perfectionist attitude, but right now the world is SCREWED. I'm not talking about "could be better" screwed, but "if we don't do something soon it's gonna get a whole lot worse, very quickly" screwed. If we spent the money on the space program now, on people who actually need it to survive, we could actually do something good for our planet.

      I'm all for space travel, but seeing as our forays into space so far have been rubbish, I think we should let that cake bake for a bit longer before we try again. I want star trek as much as the next person, but our technology is too limited to do anything actually practical in space short of looking at stuff (maybe with a bit of prodding), and communications. Moving stuff physically around our solar system is a really, ridiculously laborious and expensive procedure. It would be like discovering the vacuum tube valves and deciding to make 125 million of them to create a Prescott core. We shouldn't confuse being in space with being able to do important stuff in space. First steps first, people.</rant>

      phew.

    6. Re:We have to go... by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2, Funny
      Or our own shortsightedness and stupidity.
      Speak for yourself ;-)
      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    7. Re:We have to go... by mcwop · · Score: 2, Interesting
      A) How will not going to Mars contribute to a solution to the problems you have cited?

      B) Go here to view the positive contributions from the space program.

      --

      "I don't think it's selfish, to eat defenseless shellfish." -NOFX

    8. Re:We have to go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Book Dealer: I hear you have 1st edition Fahrenheit 451 you wish to sell.

      Seller: Yes. It's in great condition

      Book Dealer: Well, there's not much call for Bradburys... they generally aren't very rare.

      Seller: But mine is UNSIGNED!

      Dealer: (drooling) Would you take a cashier's checks? I don't have that kind of cash on hand!

    9. Re:We have to go... by yotto · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Cool, so in 2 months all those people will die anyway, we won't have any innovations, and the money will be gone.

      Great plan, to whom do I sign the check?

    10. Re:We have to go... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I'm all for space travel, but seeing as our forays into space so far have been rubbish,

      Obviously, you don't live anyplace that hurricanes come ashore.

      and no, it isn't necessrily "ridiculously laborious and expensive" to move things around the solar system. Just rather more expensive than the pittance NASA (and other space agencies) have had to work with. Which, in the big picture, isn't much. Let's see, NASA's budget this year is ~$16B - that means my family's share is ~$160. Which is less than I spend at the movies in a given year. And less than I spend eating out in a given month.

      And "billions of people around the world starving"??? Where? China exports food to the USA. So does India. Leaving those two and Europe out (I don't think anyone believes the Europeans are starving), "billions" would imply more than half the people left over. Where are these billions of starving people? Africa? There aren't even ONE billion in Africa. South America? Not a billion there either. Nor are most of the people in either place starving.

      and the problem of being shot at while trying to get some water isn't one that can be solved by throwing money at it. You'd have to do something like invade the country, take control of it, and stop people from shooting at each other over water. And, that, as we see in Iraq, isn't a trivial exercise.

      Now, it can be argued that there are better things to do with NASA's money. Fund Rutan, for one. I expect if we REALLY wanted to get to Mars, give a billion a year to Rutan with the instructions to get to Mars with a crew of six within 20 years, we'd be doing the smartest thing regarding space travel that's ever been done....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    11. Re:We have to go... by 01dbs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is HIGHLY short sighted and extremely selfish to NOT continue pushing further into space.

      This may be true, but it's just as short-sighted to rush into space before we're prepared to do it, and at a time when the benefits will be outweighed by the costs. Just as you wouldn't try to teach a one-year-old who can't walk how to ride a bicycle, there's no point in throwing $500 billion into a Mars mission that won't serve any particular purpose outside of PR.

      Let me provide one example of why we should wait to go to Mars that's particularly close to me as a member of the space physics community. In order to fund this Mars initiative, they've pulled a big chunk of NASA funding from the solar-terrestrial science and diverted it to spaceflight. But this funding is really important, since understanding the mechanisms that drive solar flares, coronal mass ejections, the solar wind, and the earth's magnetosphere is absolutely critical to protecting any hardware we have in space, and a lot of earth-based technology too. The more we depend on these things, the more important good space-weather forecasts and damage prevention protocols will become. Cut this funding now, rush a Mars expedition, and your explorers -- unprotected once they leave the magnetosphere -- could end up stranded or dead when some massive solar storm hits. This could happen to any probe of course, but losing a $500 million unmanned probe won't hurt nearly as much as losing a $100 billion dollar craft with seven crewmembers aboard.

      If you think public sentiment is against space exploration now, just wait until people die in space and a big chunk of their tax dollars has been flushed.

      Of course we need to go into space eventually. But we shouldn't do it prematurely, just because it's cool. Wait 50 or 75 years, until propulsion is cheap and efficient, space-weather forecasting is a near-exact science, and the the expedition can be mounted cheaply, quickly, and safely; and can do some kind of really useful science or pave the way for permanent colonization.

      If we're going to Mars, we should wait and get it right on the first try. Like the previous poster said:
      It is all about seeing the BIG picture, instead of 50 years, just start thinking 100 years, thinking beyond our own lifetimes and start thinking about making multi-generation advancements.

    12. Re:We have to go... by ultranova · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Because this is so obviously useless. At least the bogus war had objectives, like "freeing iraq" and "getting rid of tyranny in iraq" etc. Why do we go to mars? "To look around!". Even though the reasons to go to war were rubbish, the reasons to go to space are even worse.

      We go to Mars to revive the interest in space exploration and hopefully cause a boom in space technology development. This, in turn, gives us the following benefits:

      Space mining. Asteroids are full of precious metals and other materials, just waiting for miners. And once you've finished strip-mining one, you can convert the empty shell to a space colony.

      Space manufacturing. In micro- or zero-gravity, one can manufacture several substances which simply cannot be manufactured when not in freefall. This means huge economic gains. The fact that a space factory can't pollute Earth is a nice plus, as is the availability of endless free energy in the form of sunlight.

      Solar energy satellites. Collect sunlight in space and beam it down to Earth in the form of microwave radiation. Say goodbye to dependency on oil.

      Safety. In case something nasty happens to Earth, self-sufficient space colonies can help in rebuilding or, should worst come to be, keep humanity alive. Really big planetary colonies might even act as locations to evacuate to.

      Goal. Either people are working for some grand goal, or they are working for themselves. Much of the current problems of the world grow from the simple fact that we don't have anything better to do than fighting with each other over control of Earth's natural resources. Space exploration would be a grand goal, giving at least some incentive to put aside petty rivalries.

      There's no immediate gain (we went to war to "stop saddam using WMDs on us, at any second", which at least gives us a REASON, fictitious even though it is), so at best it's a long-term investment.

      I find it very disturbing whenever people imply that long-term investments are worthless, and that only immediate gain is worth pursuing. Still, that attitude does explain quite a lot about politics, economy and civilization as a whole.

      People are dying now, and there's no plausible reason why we need to invest now.

      If people are dying now, then obviously a lack of a space program doesn't help them much, now does it ?

      Seriously - it promises NOTHING, yet costs TRILLIONS.

      It promises everything, and costs almost nothing compared to the money wasted on petty wars here on Earth.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    13. Re:We have to go... by Requiem · · Score: 2, Funny

      Only royalty may speak in the royal plural.

  2. Braces self by XMyth · · Score: 3, Funny

    For all the Martian Chronicles related jokes....too bad I couldn't think of any.

  3. Why? by robpoe · · Score: 4, Funny

    Why go to Mars, except maybe to have someone ON SITE to push the "RESET" button??

    --
    = Grow a brain...
  4. But Ray stays home by AtariAmarok · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is the same Ray Bradbury who was afraid to fly in airplanes until recently. Could we get him on a spaceship?

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    1. Re:But Ray stays home by Mukaikubo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is an irrelevant comment at best, and misleading at worst.

      Just because someone is personally afraid of something does not translate to that thing being bad for people. I personally am terrified of bees, but that doesn't mean I won't eat honey!

  5. So where's Marco Polo? by MrIrwin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Mind you, he didn't go anywhere interesting did he!

    --

    And if you thought that was boring you obviously havn't read my Journal ;-)

  6. Who to send out there by Woogiemonger · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well, if we do send someone on a deep space exploration mission, let's make sure it's a poet this time.

    1. Re:Who to send out there by Theresa1 · · Score: 5, Funny

      yes poets, management consultants, hairdressers, telephone sanitisers. Send the lot of em.

      --
      This is a manual signature virus. Copy to your signiture file and help me spread.
    2. Re:Who to send out there by Theresa1 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Whoops I did miss the reference, but I'm not disgruntled. I'm happy to be alive. I've just got over a terrible virus that I caught from a dirty telephone.

      --
      This is a manual signature virus. Copy to your signiture file and help me spread.
    3. Re:Who to send out there by nlindstrom · · Score: 2, Informative
      Ummm, leave it to generally disgruntled slashdotters to miss a reference. See the movie "Contact".
      What? Wrong. The original reference is to The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, in which the Earth is first colonized by a crashed spaceship filled with management consultants, hairdressers, telephone sanitizers. Of course, the planet that sent them goes extinct from a very rare virus which is picked up from an unsanitized telephone.

      I can't believe I'm explaining this to you! This stuff is Geekdom 101, and calling yourself a "Slashdotter" without knowing this stuff by heart (and knowing where your towel is) is truly frightening. :-)

  7. Cave life by spellraiser · · Score: 4, Funny

    'Too Soon From the Cave, Too Far From the Stars'

    Yeah, much too soon. One minute you're an ape triumphantly hurtling a bone into the air under the theme of 'Also Sprach Zarathustra', and next thing you know, the bone turns into an orbiting satellite in the year 2001. Also, you've become human and there's this weird monolith on the moon.

    Talk about culture shock ...

    --
    I hear there's rumors on the Slashdots
    1. Re:Cave life by JaimeZX · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you read the book by Arthur C. Clarke, that's actually an orbiting nuclear weapon. Which I guess is a satellite, but the transition in the film was supposed to be more poignant because it was between two weapons (the bone and then the nuke) separated by millions of years.

      - Jim

  8. Didn't Arther C. Clark say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "The missing link between apes and man . . . is us."

  9. Too Soon From The Cave by blackholepcs · · Score: 2, Funny

    I still live in a cave, you insensitive clod!

    --
    Halitosis - (n.) Halle Berry's Camel Toe.
    1. Re:Too Soon From The Cave by DChristensen · · Score: 3, Funny

      Osama, that you?

      --

      --
      Mac OS X--Unix without the assholes^Whassles.

  10. What wrong with traveling to Mars? by Jason+Hood · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I really dont see what the big fuss from some politicians about going to Mars. 500 years ago sailors went to the New World (risking their lives) with really no garunteed return on investments.

    It ended up working out ok for some countries but not for 50-75 years after the initial voyages. There wasnt really a need or reason to go, but some naval officers and private sailors convinced the people with cash otherwise.

    Although these "discoveries" didnt work out to well for Indians I suppose.

    You have to start somewhere. We will do it eventually, why not now?

    --
    Are you intolerant of intolerant people?
    1. Re:What wrong with traveling to Mars? by justforaday · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I really dont see what the big fuss from some politicians about going to Mars. 500 years ago sailors went to the New World (risking their lives) with really no garunteed return on investments.

      What about the possibilities of finding the shortcut to India, or the fabled Fountain of Youth(TM)? Sure, there weren't any guaranteed returns, but if they were successful then they certainly would've been well worth the investment...

      --
      I'll turn into a supernova and burn up everything. Well I'll turn into a black little hole and you'll turn into string.
    2. Re:What wrong with traveling to Mars? by fewnorms · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The difference this time round is this: Back then people with money could simply invest in stuff like that, and send out people on their own. Say for instance you had a billion bucks right now, there is no way in hell you would be able to privately fund a mission to Mars. Look at the Azanti (?) X Prize, every team needs special licenses from the FAA (or something like that), they need a launchpad, etc etc. Stupid Government regulations would sadly kill any such venture .....

      --
      Veni, Vidi, Velcro!
    3. Re:What wrong with traveling to Mars? by Unregistered · · Score: 2, Informative

      Part of it is that mars isnt self-sufficient. No food, hell, no air, and even h2o is proboby gonna be a long way away.

    4. Re:What wrong with traveling to Mars? by Jason+Hood · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The plan to send a crew to Mars involves creating a new craft. If we dont create it, we can't use/test it. The space shuttle is a "joke" because it is 25 year old techonology (A polished terd?). Re-Entry and lift off are the two most dangerous pieces of a space mission. Niether of which will be an issue if we throw a ship to Mars.

      Mars aside. The next generation of reusuable space craft will be capable of horizontal takeoffs and landings. Instead of creating a craft with such an enourmous payload, unmanned rockets will be delivering cargo, with manned craft flying up to install, configure or test it. These will be inherently safer vehicles. I would hardly say our current techonology is "crap". The main reason why we use the shuttle is because NASA doesnt have enough resources to develop a new, cheaper one. They have just enough to continue sending the shuttle up.

      Some useful techonlogies that came out of early space development, velcro, teflon, medical monitoring instruments, and navigation equipment. The last two have in turn led to advancements in countless other areas (HA planes for example) . Besides its only a plan now. Resources are only being gathered to research the trip. The total cost of this will be spread out over 10-15 years (if they even decide to move forward).

      It sounds like you have issues with something more than the Mars mission. Your mention of politics confirms that.

      --
      Are you intolerant of intolerant people?
  11. Re:Beat The Chinese by divirg · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I, for one do not want to see this fascist, totalitarian state score a propoganda win by landing humans on Mars first.
    You mean China, or the United States?

  12. I believe it was Clark who said... by clichekiller · · Score: 4, Interesting
    no child can live in the cradle forever. At some point we're going to have to spread to the moon and other planets, if for no simpler reason then it's going to begin to get awefully crowded down here.

    Other reasons to go:
    • Spreading humanity to other planets so as not to have all our 'eggs' in one basket
    • The potential discoveries are out there, new materials, etc.
    • It's just plain Cool!
    --
    Sir, there is a dragon outside with an armful of armor. He's inquiring if we offer free refills.
    1. Re:I believe it was Clark who said... by divirg · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You forgot a reason:
      • Distract millions from record debt and a rapidly deteriorating situtation in the Middle East during an election year
    2. Re:I believe it was Clark who said... by gatkinso · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Space travel will not allievate overcrowding on earth.

      Remember the story about the Chinese all getting in line and marching past a given point and how the line will never end?

      There are compelling reasons to explore space - but population control is not one of them.

      --
      I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    3. Re:I believe it was Clark who said... by Azghoul · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sorry to tell you but the population bomb myth has been shot down. Developed nations are already slowing down their growth or even shrinking. Maybe this is the "correction" you speak of, though I expect you're suggesting a more cataclysmic one.

      Too bad, because it'd be fun to watch from the confines of the richest nation on earth. :-P

    4. Re:I believe it was Clark who said... by Surt · · Score: 3, Informative

      The US is permitted to borrow so much because they continue to be able to pay out the interest.

      The US will be continued to allow to borrow so long as people believe that the government can repay those loans in the long term. During the Clinton administration, there was hope that we might actually pay down the debt in 15-20 years.

      If the debt reaches a level where the US cannot make an interest payment, there will be serious repercussions in the world economy. A depression worse than any previous is a likely outcome of that situation. Hopefully we'll be smart enough to raise taxes and cut spending before that happens.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    5. Re:I believe it was Clark who said... by e1618978 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It looks like there is no longer a population control problem. I googled HIV and population, and the estimates I found show that HIV will trim 2 billion people off the current estimates. So the world population will peak at 7 billion in 2050, and then start going down.

  13. Quote from Ray Bradbury by Woogiemonger · · Score: 4, Funny

    "If we can find any living relatives of Columbus, and Caboto, and Verrazzano - wouldn't that be remarkable if we could send them on the first manned rocket to Mars."

    Descendants of Columbus?! Oh sure, so we're going to send out another white man to treat the native Martians as slaves. Great idea!

  14. Why Ray Bradbury? by jstave · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Don't get me wrong, I love the guys writing, but what, exactly, qualifies a fiction writer to be giving advice to the gummit on this subject?

    1. Re:Why Ray Bradbury? by AllUsernamesAreGone · · Score: 5, Insightful

      He's a popular author. He knows how to tell a story, a story that can include some fairly complex ideas, to the general population. If a scientist stood up there and tried the same thing, half the audience would be asleep within five minutes while most of the rest wouldn't understand how anything he said had any real importance.

      You need someone who can put some fire behind the ideas. non-scientists just can't see any reason to do things just for the science, you need someone who can appeal to their sense of adventure, excitement and mystery.

    2. Re:Why Ray Bradbury? by Minwee · · Score: 3, Funny

      Are you saying that writing fiction and working for the government are somehow different?

    3. Re:Why Ray Bradbury? by King_TJ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Ah... you know how it is. We're always taking our purchasing advice from professional athletes and Hollywood celebs too....

      But seriously, plenty of science-fiction writers turned out to do a pretty decent job of predicting things that eventually became real science. If nothing else, you're dealing with people who made a career out of thinking things through and imagining what things could be like, based on the present. That may not qualify them to give advice to the govt. - but they probably have more interesting input to offer than many people.

    4. Re:Why Ray Bradbury? by CXI · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you read the story, they are asking him how to "sell" the idea to the public so they will be willing to pay for it.

    5. Re:Why Ray Bradbury? by sckeener · · Score: 3, Insightful

      there are many armchair scifi nuts...he is just one that captures the imagination of the many and can explain it to the masses.

      --
      "Only one thing, is impossible for god: to find any sense in any copyright law on the planet." Mark Twain
    6. Re:Why Ray Bradbury? by Dr_LHA · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or maybe its because no scientist can find a compelling reason to divert almost all of NASA's funding from the current excellent science its to the underfunded pipe-dream of sending a man to Mars?

  15. Re:Beat The Chinese by Kainaw · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I, for one do not want to see this fascist, totalitarian state score a propoganda win by landing humans on Mars first.

    This really doesn't sit well with me. Why does patriotism always seem to require hatred for everyone else? Isn't it enough to be proud of your country without considering a different culture fascist and totalitarian? Or, is 'pride' just a nice way of saying 'hate', as in "I'm black and I'm proud of it" = "I hate whites"? I don't think so. I think that you can be proud without being hateful.

    Have you considered this option: Become friends with the Chinese and work together to get to Mars using the best minds and resources of each country.

    --
    The previous comment is purposely vague and generalized, but all of the facts are completely true.
  16. Re:Beat The Chinese by A.+Pizmo+Clam · · Score: 3, Funny

    If the Chicoms make it to Mars first, American industry is doomed.

    Our IT companies are losing out to cheap foreign competitors from countries that are poor but have highly-educated workforces. A newly colonized Mars would be extremely poor (no natural resources!) and everyone who lived there would be a MENSA-level scientist!. There's no way a patriotic John Q. MSCE could compete with that kind of competition competitively.

    Also, if some Chicom "hacker" outfit wanted to publish stolen source code or red-blooded American credit card passwords over the World Wide Web, a Mars-based broadcasting rig would be unreachable by current missile technology!!!

    Our national security and livelihoods are in danger. We must colonize Mars immediately and render it a Chicom-free zone.

    --

    Thank you for your support.
  17. Bradbury needs a history lesson by tgd · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If he thinks those three Italians were, regardless of what we're taught in Kindergarten, at all significant in the history of global exploration, he needs to do a lot more reading.

    When you were the first to perform a voyage of discovery like that, thats significant. Of course they weren't... the Chinese, Vikings and others of course were doing it long before.

    When you set out as a representative of your country to explore, well thats significant I guess to your country. But we all know the history around Columbus and who was supporting him, right? Being the first of your people to get somewhere when it was an accident of timing isn't all that significant either.

    And all of that is completely ignoring the (hotly contested, but significant enough to be interesting) evidence that Columbus set sail knowing exactly what he was going to find, with charts of the Carribean and Gulf of Mexico drawn by people who had already been there.

    I think if you were going to honor the nationality of the people who really were the first to do global exploration in an organized manner by having them land on Mars first, it would be the Chinese, not the Italians.

    And, the way China is moving with their space program, that might just happen.

    1. Re:Bradbury needs a history lesson by STrinity · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When you were the first to perform a voyage of discovery like that, thats significant. Of course they weren't... the Chinese, Vikings and others of course were doing it long before.

      No, such voyages are significant when something comes from them. The Viking settlement in Vinland lasted, what, less than a generation, and the most that came out of it was a saga; and the Chinese voyage was so earth-shattering that no one'd even heard of it until this last decade.

      Nope, the pre-Columbian voyages are like the Apollo flights -- interesting footnotes, but ultimately unimportant.

      --
      Les Miserables Volume 1 now up with my reading of
    2. Re:Bradbury needs a history lesson by tgd · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well if one buys the evidence that the Chinese did in fact get to the Americas before the Europeans, and they did, in fact, produce the original charts that were the basis for the charts used by the Portuguese (sp?) to nagivate to North America, and the records of what resources were there to actually motivate those trips, then that makes the Chinese exploration massively important.

      Either the Chinese didn't get here, and you're absolutely right, or they did and they were of primary importance to the exploration that followed. The fact that its existance, if it happened, wasn't understood until recently and the fact that, if true, the Europeans were going to American knowing it was there and what they would fine wasn't fully understood until recently is irrelavent to its significance. Lots of critically important discovery over the centuries has inspired later discovery, and the sheer importance of the original was not appreciated until much later.

    3. Re:Bradbury needs a history lesson by Politicus · · Score: 2, Funny

      Think of the audience for this report. Cheney may read it to Bush at some point.

      --
      Politicus
  18. Bradbury's Dreams by pilotofficerprune · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It's an odd document. You can imagine the commission members looking at each other and asking: "what's Ray on?" He sells the Outreach as a romantic, almost religious experience. But I have trouble imagining how romance in and of itself is enough to power man to Mars.

    The parallels with American colonization do not stand up. Once America had been discovered and the seas charted, it was a matter of affordable logistics and courage, not technology, to get people to the US. But the logistics of a Mars mission require the exchequer of a major nation state and the technology is far from perfected. Courage is not enough. And unlike America the lure, the promise of a commercial harvest is so much slimmer. This is not 1482 any more. Those rules no longer apply.

    My heart agrees with Bradbury. But my head... it says no.

    1. Re:Bradbury's Dreams by Paulrothrock · · Score: 5, Insightful
      And unlike America the lure, the promise of a commercial harvest is so much slimmer.
      Have you any idea what kind of resourcesHave you any idea what kind of resources are in space? Everything you could ever want (Iron, nickel, cobalt, platinum-group metals, He-3) in effectively infinite supply. And because there's no tectonic motions or air resistance (and because we live at the bottom of a gravity well) it costs almost nothing to harvest, and is in extremely pure forms. The value of one asteroid is over $10 TRILLION. How's that return for a $10 billion investment?

      The rarest thing in the universe isn't petroleum or gold or diamonds or iridium, it is life.

      Once America had been discovered and the seas charted, it was a matter of affordable logistics and courage, not technology, to get people to the US.
      It isn't a matter of technology. We have the technology *right now* to go to Mars, and colonize it at the same rate as America was colonized in the 1500s. Heck, we could have done it with Apollo-era technology. The chemical reactions for processing Martian and lunar materials have been used for almost a hundred years and are very robust. All it takes is someone willing to take the risk. I'm willing, but I don't have the money. The only reason it takes a major nation-state to foot the bill isn't because the technology is all that expensive, but because the fuel costs are so high. Solve the problem of lifting 100 tons to earth orbit for the cost of electricity, and it's relatively economical. Cost-plus accounting is mostly to blame for the myth that space flight is monetarily expensive.

      Why limit ourselves to this planet when we could easily (and cheaply, compared to the cost of blowing each other up) spread throughout the solar system and universe? Once you get to orbit, the cost of going to the moon or mars or anywhere else in terms of energy is very, very cheap. Focus our energies on getting to orbit cheaply and then humanity will take over.

      For more information check out Mining the Sky and The Case for Mars. And for more information about the best way to get to Mars, check out Mars Direct.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    2. Re:Bradbury's Dreams by STrinity · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Once America had been discovered and the seas charted, it was a matter of affordable logistics and courage, not technology, to get people to the US.

      1787-1492=295.

      So are you saying that space travel won't improve at all in the next three centuries, or do you just not know the difference between the continent of America and the United States thereof.

      --
      Les Miserables Volume 1 now up with my reading of
    3. Re:Bradbury's Dreams by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Informative
      Space activity actually takes very, very little energy. When you push something in space it doesn't stop moving unless it runs into something or you expend energy to stop it. As for moving about on the surface of a planet, the Mars rovers (Spirit and Opportunity) need 100 watts of continous power a piece. The most expensive part of any space program is the infrastructure and the fuel to get objects off of this planet.

      With the same amount of energy that you send equipment to a nearby meteor, you could have simply extracted these resources from the earth itself.
      Yes, but what about the energy needed to reclaim the land where you took the resources for human habitation? And what about the increasing energy that is being used to extract ever more rare material? Is it more efficient to dig two miles into the earth to get at gold ore than to launch a robotic spacecraft toward a gold-bearing asteroid and send some home? And what about cleaning up the mercury that's used in processing gold ore? Or reclaiming the mines once they are out of easily-retrievable ore? And protecting the environment around the mines?

      Not pursuing space resources is very short-sighted. Why wait until resources are nigh-exhausted on Earth (which they one day will be) to develop the technologies to mine asteroids and planets?

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
  19. Re:Beat The Chinese by drakaan · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Dammit...you just made me waste the mod points I spent on this topic. Ah, well...

    Two things. First, who cares if it doesn't sit well with you (aside from you, that is)? Second, the parent post never mentioned anything about hate, although you did.

    It's interesting how some people will go out of their way to make a comment about political systems something seemingly personal. You don't need to 'consider' China to be fascist and totalitarian, you can look up the definitions of those words in the dictionary and say "oh...China is a fascist totalitarian state...interesting".

    Pride, to a certain extent, IS just another way of saying hate, just not in every instance. I think it would be fair to say that the author of the parent post may actually hate totalitarian fascists.

    It is equally true that people will think very differently about the statements "I'm black and I'm proud", and "I'm white and I'm proud".

    Does the first one mean "I hate whites"?

    Does the second one mean "I hate blacks"?

    I don't think you honestly say that using the first example without the second isn't just baiting, plain and simple.

    Finally, a government and the people of a given country are not the same thing. You assume the parent's author has no Chinese friends and has no desire to work with them, rather than taking his comment at face value, and assuming he took issue with the Chinese government.

    If you're going to criticize someone on their point of view, at least come back with something more substantial than "I bet you HATE them, don't you?"...it just comes off childish.

    --
    "Murphy was an optimist" - O'Toole's commentary on Murphy's Law
  20. Oh no! by Galvatron · · Score: 4, Interesting
    But if we go to Mars, the first two expeditions will be slaughtered by the Martians, and the third will arrive to find that the Martians have been wiped out by chicken pox carried by the first two waves of astronauts.

    Seriously, I enjoy Bradbury's books as much as the next guy, but he's not exactly a scientist. His testimony is more of the same philosophy expressed in The Martian Chronicles, that Mars is no different from the New World. Unfortunately, it IS very different, because whereas the Americas are perfectly habitable, Mars is quite hostile, to say nothing of the unbelievable expense of getting even a single person out of Earth's gravity well. His only real argument is "if we want to do it, we can." He's right of course, but he fails to give a convincing explanation for why we should want to. For us here on Slashdot, he's preaching to the choir, but he's going to have to do a lot better than that if he wants to convince the population at large.

    --
    "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
    1. Re:Oh no! by cristofer8 · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'd argue that the Americas were not quite "perfectly habitable," especially since the first couple colonization attempts disappeared without a trace, and it took decades for the rest to gain a decent foothold.

    2. Re:Oh no! by Galvatron · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'd argue back that there were already people living there! Saying that the first waves of settlers were unprepared for the challenges of colonization is not the same as saying the land was uninhabitable.

      --
      "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
  21. Re:escapism by tgibbs · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Perhaps for humans to spread across the galaxy like a bunch of rats or cockroaches would allow us to avoid facing our problems: we could keep breeding with impunity and consume resources.

    Not to worry. There is no conceivable technology that would allow us to send people elsewhere fast enough to have nay significant effect on population growth or pollution. So going to space will not relieve us of the need to solve our problems. More likely, it will do the opposite. It is not a coincidence that the ecology movement really began to take off once pictures of the earth from space became available. How often have you heard the term, "Spaceship Earth." There's nothing like managing life aboard a space ship or colony to make people acutely aware of the importance of resource management and recycling. Indeed, technological advances arising as spinoffs of space travel are likely to do more indirectly to help us deal with those problems on earth than throwing the same amount of money at their problems here on earth--because in space, if a solution doesn't really work, you find out in a hurry.

  22. it makes no sense by hak1du · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I really dont see what the big fuss from some politicians about going to Mars.

    No big fuss, other than that it is hugely expensive. Is Bush going to raise taxes for it in order to pay for it? Are scientists willing to sacrifice the potential scientific results from 200 robotic probes in order to pay for a couple of people getting to Mars? It just makes no sense: not economic, not scientific.

    500 years ago sailors went to the New World (risking their lives) with really no garunteed return on investments.

    They thought they were going to find a route to India. It was a high-risk investment, but would have been hugely profitable if they had succeeded. So, it wasn't some shot in the dark, it was a business plan that could have made people fabulously rich.

    What they actually found was even more valuable: a sparsely populated, fertile continent with incredible natural and biological resources. That didn't help the original investors much, but it helped Europe as a whole in the centuries to come.

    With Mars, we already know what we are going to get, since we have studied it extensively: there is nothing there of economic value to us. Establishing a colony there would be hugely expensive and it would be centuries before anything could become self-sustaining, if it ever could. The only value Mars seems to have is scientific, and that value is largely destroyed by putting people on it.

  23. We should not go by pilotofficerprune · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm a romantic who is caught up in the notion of the Outleap to space, but Bradbury's Pollyannish predictions are difficult to swallow. Space travel as a catalyst for political epiphany? Mars as the place where democracy is finally perfected and poverty solved?

    This is quite some form of cosmic transferrence. We have failed here on Earth so somehow a new world will be better? The cynic in me is stamping all over my romantic side with large boots.

    I recall an Arthur Clarke's novel where he predicts that cheap international telephone calls will bringing down many of the world's political barriers because of the improvement in communication. Well, we've seen a version of this come true with the internet and the jury is still out as to whether improved global comms has made mankind unite as one, or ever will. Humanity, if anything, seems more polarized and divided into tiny like-minded niche communities than ever, and if anything the internet has facilitated that. If the internet can't bring man together, why should I believe a trip across the inky black would do it?

    We are, it must be said, well into Bill Hicks territory here. He finished his gigs with a wish that mankind would climb spaceships into the void and somehow the world's insanity would be cured. Life in infinite space would drain us of all our hatred and rottenness. I loved Bill's comedy but I always felt this was a cop-out. Maybe the REAL romantic solution would be to forget Mars and think about spaceship Earth. Get this little baby fixed first. Because going somewhere else certainly ain't going to cure it.

    1. Re:We should not go by Sgt+York · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Although I agree that the idea that going into space will not cure all the ills of mankind, I disagree that we should require that we get Earth completely "fixed" before we go.

      I put that in quotes because it brings the question to mind: "What is fixed?" Most of the things we are talking about are social ills. So what is "fixed"? I mean, how do you define it? No crime? No poverty? I doubt that's possible, ever. There will always be those willing to exploit weaker individuals (crime, at all levels), and there will always be the myriad of reasons for poverty (from purely lazy to the exploited).

      Saying we need to fix Earth before going elsewhere hamstrings us. Why not set up an experiment in a new place, with no history to tie you back?

      Think about the Americas in the late 1700s. The Great Experiment was the government of the US. Granted, it's far from perfect, but it was a helluva lot better than anything else around at the time (emphesis to prevent misunderstandings). Moving to a new place was the catalyst that allowed the experiment to occur. Personally, I think the relative stagnation and degredation of most of society (globally) since then is the result of the lack of new places to try things like this out. When the disenfranchised have no place to go and do things their own way, they fight the system, and the system fights them back out of reflex, without regard to the merit of the ideas.

      If, however, the disenfranchised have a new place to go and do things their own way, they can demonstrate to the system that they have a better or improved system. It's like evolution: you need a niche to grow. If a new species fights an entrenched one for a niche, it will lose unless it is vastly superior. Normally, the improvement is too small to be considered an overwhelming advantage. If, however, the new species (or system) is capable of exploiting a new niche, it will thrive and eventually be able to demonstrate its superiority by thriving, or its inferiority by its demise.

      --

      There is a reason for everything. Sometimes that reason just sucks.

    2. Re:We should not go by pgnas · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Who doesn't get caught up with the romanticism of space exploration? Space exploration is exciting, it somehow sparks the inner child in us all.

      I believe the concept of space travel ending poverty and perfecting democracy to be complete rubbish.

      I don't think that the original settlers of the US felt that way. I know that is a *very* looong reach!

      What I am thinking about is simply this: Think about our FUTURE, think about our future on "Spaceship Earth" and think about our future in space exploration.

      I would like to see people begin to think beyond their own lifetimes. In addition to placing a higher priority on fixing our planet, reaching out to further destinations and taking small steps that bring us further.

      It is short-sighted and selfish to not invest our money into exploring beyond earth.

    3. Re:We should not go by rsclient · · Score: 2, Informative

      Exect for the already-existing democracies, Switzerland and Holland. And Iceland.

      The Dutch war for independence was every bit as exciting and important as the American one; it's just not taught in America. At all.

      --
      Want a sig like mine? Join ACM's SigSig today!
    4. Re:We should not go by Sgt+York · · Score: 2, Insightful
      If you are referring to the Parliament there, it's been around longer than that. What, a thousand years or so? Well, not really. It was founded that long ago, but it's been dissolved & reformed.

      It was also not exactly a democratic setup, if memory serves. It's been a while since I read about it, but wasn't it a gathering of local lords? Besides, prior to 1944, Iceland wasn't even a nation for 500-600 years. It was part of Denmark or that Scandanavian united kingdom....I can't remember the name.

      But we nitpick. My original contention was that when placed in an open area, people were able to try out new ways of doing things, without being actually tied to their past. You got a new setup in the US, a new combination of things that had not been seriously considered together before.

      Regardless, I can't believe nobody's jumped on the fact that first of all, the US is NOT a democracy, it's a representative republic. And second, if you want to find an old democracy, I can think of a REALLY old one that no one's mentioned for some odd reason. Think Zeus.

      --

      There is a reason for everything. Sometimes that reason just sucks.

  24. bad luck by hak1du · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, but while that might happen tomorrow, statistically, we have a long time before that will happen. We can pretty safely put off manned space travel for a hundred thousand years or even a million years. If it hits us before then, that's just bad luck. But, frankly, if we get out into the galaxy the way we are behaving right now, that would be really bad luck for the galaxy.

  25. "new thing", democracy? by AmicoToni · · Score: 2, Informative

    And I quote from Bradbury's testimony: "would found a nation of 300 million people that would become the center of civilization, the center of a new thing called democracy".

    Excuse me, but wasn't democracy invented in ancient Greece? Granted, with a somewhat different connotation, but definitely *not* a new thing.

    Patriotism is fine, but when it deliberately ignores facts it becomes more like an ideology. It is an unfortunate trend, to put it mildly.

    1. Re:"new thing", democracy? by dave420 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      "Patriotism is fine, but when it deliberately ignores facts it becomes more like an ideology."

      That's America through and through. Read American history books, and you'll see this is an insitutionalised phenomenon, not a new trend. America has always portrayed itself as the model upstanding, truthful, altruistic, fair nation. It isn't. Lies about how America have been spread ever since its founding. Back in the day, it was probably essential to its surviving ("taxation without representation" nonsense, etc.).

      Now, we can see this ideology manifested in some darker contexts - PATRIOT act, etc. Names created to instill feelings of patriotism in all who hear them. With many people, it works. Ever notice how many times Pres. Bush mentions "America" by name? Ever wondered about the pledge of allegience? What about the national anthem at every ball game (and movie, a while back)? What about the ubiquitous US flag fluttering everywhere? It's all part of the same racket - getting everyone hell-bent on being American. The problem is, attach that flag to anything you want, and people instinctively defend it as being "American". That's what we're seeing now, with all these republican loonies running around saying how everything's unAmerican for criticising pres. bush. unAmerican simply because it's doubting the word of the leader. That's hardly sound logic. I've seen it face-to-face, and people who believe that crap are dangerously deluded.

      This is something that's so painfully obvious to the rest of the world, yet somehow completely overlooked in mainstream US culture. It's the scariest thing in the US, more scary than Bush. And he's scary!

    2. Re:"new thing", democracy? by Laxitive · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I understand where you're coming from. And you have a point.

      And just as a note, I'm the kind of person that would get dismissed as commie left wing whacko by most Americans, and a Canadian to boot.

      But let's give credit where credit is due. The Americans were crucial in revitalizing, and bringing to the fore, the concept of democracy in the modern world. The US has done a lot of horrible things in the name of democracy, and in the name of freedom, from the distant past to the present. There is a fundamental conflict in the US between the principles that they want to hold themselves to, and their inherent desire to be prosperous and powerful. This leads to a lot of hypocrisy.

      However, this does not detract from the fact that the concept of the modern democratic state derives largely from the American example. This is partly because they are powerful enough to project it across the world, but also because Americans have a fundamental need to see themselves as good people living by just rules. Double standards and hypocrisy is human nature.. as is abuse of power.

      That doesn't mean that Americans are worthless. We should understand them for what they are - their faults and their strengths.

      -Laxitive

    3. Re:"new thing", democracy? by dave420 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I hear ya, brother.

      I have to step in and say that America has only championed democracy when it suited it. Hitler did some pretty undemocratic things, and the US stood by and watched. If the US was so much about democracy as it says it is, it would have been first into WW2, not last. It also wouldn't have charged its allies for help, but that's another story ;) The spin in the US is that the USA is a global champion of democracy, which comes back to my point - the media says the USA is good, so most people thing that to be true. There's a huge trend in the US at giving Pro-US arguments/stances the benefit of the doubt. That fact alone is frightening. Lets not mention the US's invading of many countries and replacing democratically-elected leaders with US-friendly cronies.

      I know Americans aren't worthless (heck, I'm married to one), but I know there's a huge, HUGE problem with the American mentality, a problem that has serious repercussions for the entire world.

      American insularity has furthered the idea that the US is the champion of democracy, simply because Americans aren't exposed to any history stating otherwise. Americans aren't bought up knowing the truth about the first few presidents of the US, or their rather interesting views on the Indian "problem". They weren't raised knowing about what the founding fathers rebelled against. Their history lessons were rose-tinted, and highly cherry-picked.

      I think Greece has more to do with modern democracy than the US. Britain's done more, too. There was a parliament in London long before the first Indians got offed by overzealous pilgrims. Ever since the last US election, the US has given less and less in terms of democratic influence on the world. They ignored the UN, and no-one's even looked into impeaching Bush for a fraudulent election. If the US wasn't as big as it was, it would have been pulled up for these transgressions ages ago.

      (ps - i was called a lefty commie pinko by some republicans at a protest in LA - people actually think like that :) scary!)

    4. Re:"new thing", democracy? by vidarh · · Score: 3, Interesting
      That bullshit. The drive towards democracy has lasted thousands of years. The US was just one step among many that increased the level of freedoms further. From ancient Greece, through Italian city states, the Magna Carta, the oldest proper parliaments (look at Iceland, for instance, for a parliamentary tradition around a thousand years old), and the rise of the British parliamentarism, to the French revolution, the German revolution of 1848, the Paris Commune of 1871, the original Russian revolutions (starting in the 1800's and ending with the introduction of parliamentary democracy before the Bolcheviks gained control in the October revolution), the peaceful transfer of power to parliaments in the Scandinavian countries, the African and Asian liberation movements after World War II that meant the end of colonialism and brought democracy to at least a few of them.

      The US is only one of many countries that have pushed the boundary of democracy and freedom. It wasn't the first, and it isn't the country that has pushed it the furthest. By modern standards, the US electoral system is for instance fairly bad at providing a representative government, grouping it with a few of the other of the early democracies as countries that still stick to one man circuits for many types of elections.

      The US weren't crucial at revitalising the concept of democracy any more than France or England or Germany or any other of the countries that had growing movements pushing for democracy were. The US was a result of an ongoing movement all over the industrialised world for liberation from feudalism, that heavily influenced your founding fathers, as it influenced thinkers, politicians and rebels everywhere.

      Trying to pretend the US is some kind of beacon for freedom and democracy is an insult to the millions of people all over the world who fought, and died, to protect and extend democracy long before the US was conceived, and who has fought, and died, since then to expand democracy and freedom often in the face of international intervention to keep them down - including US government supported oppression (Chile, Indonesia, Nicaragua to name a few).

      Nobody should have any reason to discredit the importance of the founding of the US and the US constitution as a step towards a more democratic world, but neither is it fair to ignore the shortcomings of the US and disregard everyone elses accomplishments and participation either.

    5. Re:"new thing", democracy? by Laxitive · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm not trying to downplay the efforts and trials that others have gone through to bring democracy to the state that it is in now.

      The point is, nobody else was the fucking powerhouse of the 20th century. The Americans were the biggest, and the baddest (in both senses of that word). You may not like that. But the last century has been the American century. And when I say 'modern concept of a democratic state'.. that means the 20th century. Modernism is a 20th century thing.

      I'm not saying that the Americans are perfect. They have serious fucking problems. It's pretty obvious right now. It was obvious back in Vietnam. It's obvious with their treatment of Cuba. It's obvious with their fundamentalist trends in religion. It's obvious with the ease with which they blithely ignore their own principles when it suits them. I'm not trying to dispute that.

      All I'm saying is that in the last century, they provided the power with which the idea of democracy as the just and right way of any state to function, into the global consciousness. That credit belongs, in a large part, to them. You can hate what the Americans do all you want - I do - but you can't deny them their due.

      -Laxitive

  26. Because... by Iowaguy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I will blow a nice string of +5 posts on this, but here it goes since it is important....



    As much as it may pain some to admit it, China really is a facist /totalitarain state. It may be trendy or cool to hate the Bush admin or US bash, but at the end of the day, it is a democracy, people do have a free voice, and by any rational measure, it is not totalitarian or facist. If you don't agree, then please go to China, become a citizen, and post anti-Chinese statements everywhere you can. When you are finished, please write back and tell about real totalinarism from the comfort of prison cell, if you are still alive. Disagree? Ask someone who practices falun gong about voicing different opinions. Or, is it easier to behave like a child? Rational people can disagree with out hyperbole.

    We should cooperate with when we can, and especially with the other great free counties, such as those found in Europe.. But when dictors become greater than you, it is not a happy day for civilization.

    -My two cents, -Iowa

    --
    "He who laughs last, didn't get the joke."-Cap
  27. Martian Chronicles by Pope+Raymond+Lama · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There are were Ray Bradbury opinion Mars are - we are gonna kill all the Martians, and moreover, all creatures of Myth that exist in our imagination who have moved there.

    Someone must have brainwashed him into saying it is a good idea to go there. :-)

    Seriously - the early chronicles about Mars from Ray Bradbury made me cry several times while reading them.

    --
    -><- no .sig is good sig.
  28. Later than sooner by Iowaguy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I am afraid that we may end up exploring later than sooner. I sad trend I have noticed is that in the engineering classes that I teach, students are showing increasing disinterest in space travel. In general, they feel it is a waste of time, non-interesting, and too dangerous. At some point, the younger generation (god, am I that old?) has made the transition from a Can Do to Can't Do nation. To me, what makes this more sad is that I am in the department of Chemical Engineering, for which the fences really are closing in on the fronteir. Really, almost all is known about fluid flow through pipes and how to make polyethelyne. I try to impress upon students that Chem. E. in space adds quite a bit of room for real, novel engineering. Afterall, current plans call for chemical plants on the moon. How does one do that? But when I survey, non-plan to work for NASA or other organizations. Sad, really.

    My two cents
    -Iowa

    --
    "He who laughs last, didn't get the joke."-Cap
  29. I like the way Commandar Sinclair put it. by Conspiracy_Of_Doves · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "Is it worth it? Should we just pull back, forget the whole thing as a bad idea and take care of our own problems at home?"

    "No. We have to stay here and there's a simple reason why. Ask ten different scientists about the environment, population control, genetics and you'll get ten different answers, but there's one thing every scientist on the planet agrees on. Whether it happens in a hundred years or a thousand years or a million years, eventually our Sun will grow cold and go out. When that happens, it won't just take us. It'll take Marilyn Monroe and Lao-Tzu and Einstein and Morobuto and Buddy Holly and Aristophenes .. and all of this .. all of this was for nothing unless we go to the stars."

    1. Re:I like the way Commandar Sinclair put it. by roman_mir · · Score: 3, Funny

      All of this was for nothing anyway, in about 10^32 years from now all of the universe protons will decay and everything will disappear anyway.

  30. Stupid Government regulations would sadly kill any by dpilot · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Think government regulations would be stupid if some incompetent idiot tried an X Prize launch too close to a populated area, and crashed it on your house?

    I won't defend what government regulations have become, but I can understand how they got to where they are.

    Example: Guys at work were griping about septic systems, and how it takes an engineer to "certify" that the thing is correctly done. Yet the septic system isn't really "designed", but rather taken from some tables out of a book. X type of soil, household for Y people, therefore use Z sized tank and W feet of leach line.

    But the regulation, engineer, and inspector most likely (IMHO) have their roots in an unscrupulous builder who put in an undersized tank, then ran the output into an arbitrarily-sized pit filled with some gravel - no leach lines at all. After selling houses in the neighborhood, the contracting company reorganized, or otherwise became 'unavailable' by the few years afterward when the homeowner discovered he didn't even really have a septic system, but a fake.

    There will always be people trying to sleaze others. Sometimes they can be caught through the Law, but (IMHO) as often as not those sleazy people know how to sleaze the Law, too. Hence new regulations.

    Sometimes you can substitute incompetent or thoughtless for sleazy. From what I've read of the X-Prize contestents, non of them are any of the above. But remember that they ARE playing with high explosives.

    Finding the comfortable middleground for regulations is difficult, perhaps impossible, considering the way the sleazes try to game the system. Again, I realize that the sleazes are not currently a factor in the X-Prize, but just wait until the concept is proven, and space tourism becomes a growth industry. Then you'll seem them crawling out of the woodwork.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  31. there's more than one way to skin a cat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Space travel will not allievate overcrowding on earth.

    I don't think anyone believes that we'll be ferrying billions of people off the planet anytime soon, but that's not the only way to control population. Citizens of first world countries have much lower birthrates, including some, like Italy, which essentially have negative birthrates. When human beings live in a rich environment with the resources to pursue their own happiness, most people delay having children or don't have them at all.

    So providing a first world standard of living for third world countries isn't just a moral imperative but the most practical way of controlling population growth.

    The problem is that bringing the entire planet up to first world standards of living requires more energy and natural resources than we have available on Earth.

    Orbital or lunar solar power is one way we could provide the energy this sort of economy would need. Farther out, robotic mining of asteroids would be another way of bringing needed resources home. But we're going to have to look beyond our planet if we want to meet the challenge of bringing prosperity to everyone, and not just an elite group of nations. Population reduction is just an added benefit.

  32. Re:Beat The Chinese by drakaan · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Chairman Mao led a fascist and totalitarian state. That is true and I do not argue with it. However, contrary to most American beliefs, Chairman Mao is no longer in charge of China. It is now a republic. They have elections. The people have the power to vote on who runs their government.

    Your first argument may be that they are technically a republic, but the people only have a choice between two evils in each election - not a true choice. I feel the same way about our electorial process, so am I to believe that the United States is a fascist totalitarian state?

    Again with the baiting. Sure, if you agree with the obviously false statement that in the USA, you are only allowed to vote for one of two candidates for president (let alone any of the other myriad offices and issues that appear on the ballots you may vote on), then you may state that the USA is a fascist, totalitarian state.

    You'd be wrong to say so, though, since you can vote for the individual of your choice, regardless of whether their name appears on the ballot. If you want to equate the governments of the USA, and China, then go right ahead, but I reserve the right to vehemently diagree about the degree of control these governments excercise on their citizens.

    Since you believe that the comment about China being totalitarian and fascist is untrue, lets take a trip to the dictionary, shall we?

    fas&#183;cism n.
    1. often Fascism
    a. A system of government marked by centralization of authority under a dictator, stringent socioeconomic controls, suppression of the opposition through terror and censorship, and typically a policy of belligerent nationalism and racism.
    b. A political philosophy or movement based on or advocating such a system of government.
    2. Oppressive, dictatorial control.

    I will stipulate that under the first definition, the "dictator" prerequisite is not strictly met, but if it looks like a duck, and quacks like a duck...

    Return trip to the dictionary:

    totalitarian adj.
    Of, relating to, being, or imposing a form of government in which the political authority exercises absolute and centralized control over all aspects of life, the individual is subordinated to the state, and opposing political and cultural expression is suppressed: &#147;A totalitarian regime crushes all autonomous institutions in its drive to seize the human soul&#148; (Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr.).

    You could attempt to argue that China's government ecourages political and cultural expression of all viewpoints, but I doubt you'd make a lot of headway. To be fair, things there are changing slowly, and I admire the fact that they are, but right now, the two labels mentioned in the original post appear applicable. Since I disagree with your view that the labels are untrue (perhaps not completely, but they are true enough that attempting to point out that they are not strictly true seem trivial), I disagree with your conclusion that any statement of opinion that reflects this view is necessarily born of hate.

    Second, I equate the statement that China is fascist and totalitarian to hatred because both terms are highly negative and untrue. I stand by my opinion that the original post was hateful. It could have been: "Let's get to Mars before China so we will have more to be proud of in our great country." instead of "I, for one do not want to see this fascist, totalitarian state score a propoganda win by landing humans on Mars first."

    Or, it could have been "I for one don't want to see those damn chinese do something that WE should be doing first!"...had the sentiment been along those lines, I would be inclined to agree with your analysis. If the people had been referred to rather than the state, I'd say there was probably a problem with emotion related to something other than political ideology.

    Be careful of analyzing a statement that makes you angry, and bear

    --
    "Murphy was an optimist" - O'Toole's commentary on Murphy's Law
  33. Should we not go? by pilotofficerprune · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I also agree that 'fixing' Earth may be unachievable and I don't profess to have all the answers.

    However, Bradbury talks about new lands and new opportunities and promises much for them. However, I still don't see how we will not export many of our problems with us. After all, what is now the United States was ruled by a British monarch for a good chunk of its history following the initial colonisation. If a few battles had gone differently, the experiment with American democracy might have become a footnote in the history books. It is not a given that the American experiment would have succeeded.

    Who is to say that a Martian colony might fail to slough off its past and remained chained to Earth as a slave vassal? Or what if it creates something new and dangerous? What if the harsh frontier of Mars did not produce new democrats but a fascist oligarchy instead?

    This is not to say such a thing would happen, but to question the notion that the drive into space automatically results in social progress, which is what Bradbury claims. There are lots of 'ifs', 'ands' and 'buts' here. The optimist will say 'well, that's no reason NOT to try the experiment', and they'd be right. However, it's not unreasonable to approach the prospect of space colonisation cautiously. Instead of the new frontier we might get a new race of Teutonic knights - interplanetary crusaders conquering all before them in the name of America and its allies.

    The future is not always bright.

    1. Re:Should we not go? by Sgt+York · · Score: 3, Insightful
      The future is not always bright.

      And it is not always dark. In the abscene of change, improvement is impossible. In the presence of change, improvement or degredation is possible. I guess it depends on wether or not you're a gambler, or are willing to take the chance. But I do agree the "approach with caution" sentiment. I just think we should focus on the "approach" part of the statement right now. The caution is irrelevant if you aren't approaching

      I've been thinking about the analogy of evolution...I like it. It removes motivation, purpose, and all other factors of the like from the equation. It just looks at what winds up making a better society. Whatever works, beats out the rest as long as true competition is allowed. Right now, true competition is waning. Someday, it will be gone and the selective process will no longer work.

      --

      There is a reason for everything. Sometimes that reason just sucks.

    2. Re:Should we not go? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "However, it's not unreasonable to approach the prospect of space colonisation cautiously. Instead of the new frontier we might get a new race of Teutonic knights - interplanetary crusaders conquering all before them in the name of America and its allies. The future is not always bright."

      When people decide to have children, they don't know whether their children will grow up to be humanitarians or criminals. But most people give their kids an opportunity at life, knowing that most people turn out alright.

      We don't know whether humanity's child will be good or bad. But we believe, based on past experience, that we should take this chance, knowing that human settlements are more likely to be good.

    3. Re:Should we not go? by Rei · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well... at least whoever colonizes mars won't be committing ethnic cleansing of its natives. Ya know, that little piece of American History that is typically conveniently ignored.

      --
      "99 dead duelists of Dios on the wall. 99 dead duelists of Dios! Take one's ring, pass it around..."
  34. The "new world" was already inhabited by kencurry · · Score: 2, Interesting

    as a consequence, luck, resourcefulness, and help by natives played vital roles in survival. Without these, no expedition party would have made it.

    None of the above applies to the moon or to Mars; survival would rely on technology alone, and at our current capability, odds are too low to overcome.

    Need an outlet for imagination? how about renewable energy, climate stabilization, global economic theory, etc?

    Plenty of huge challenges right here to work on that we'll need solved in order to survive on this planet.

    --
    sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
  35. Sweden and Spain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Sweden being invaded by Spain"???
    there goes quite a bit of his credibility. ;)

  36. Re:escapism by Richthofen80 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The universe is so practically infinite, your silly concerns are of no value. We could populate every planetary system in the milky way, create Trillions of humans, maybe even 10^100 humans, and take up MAYBE .005 % of the available planetary sytems in the universe.
    Probably not even that much.

    Even now, on earth, you could have every human, now alive, live in the state of texas, with the population density of, say, paris.

    --
    Reason, free market capitalism, and individualism
  37. Ray Bradbury rocks by Laxitive · · Score: 3, Informative

    I love Bradbury. He's one of my favourite scifi (and other stuff) authors. It's not that he's a good science fiction author - he's a good author period (read some of his non-scifi stories - The Wonderful Ice-Cream Suit, A Medicine for Melancholy).

    The thing about Bradbury is that what he focuses on is not the science, but more the social aspect of humanity. He writes about people, not spaceships.

    For example, some of the earlier short stories use SciFi as backdrop against which to express more immediate social concerns. There are stories in which a population of black people build their own rocket, and quietly depart for Mars, where they can live in peace.

    In the context of the civil rights movement and equality rights, this is a powerful and strong statement. It strongly reflects the simple sentiment that these people just want to be left alone to live their lives in peace.

    Bradbury is a wonderful and imaginative author. He was a large influence on my views and perspectives. What he beleives and says deserves respect - because he is a respectable man.

    -Laxitive

  38. Cassini/Hyugens by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I don't get how people can be not fascinated by space exploration. I mean, how can someone look at the Cassini/Hyugens mission, for example, and not wonder what it's going to find? What sort of pictures will we get on these unprecedented close flybies, including passing right through gaps in Saturn's rings several times? Will there be a drizzling ethane rain falling into lapping hydrocarbon seas with huge ice mountains on Titan? Why do we have such stark features as Iapetus's two faces, and how did Mimas manage to survive such a huge impact as created Herschel?

    Etc... unless people simply don't care about learning unknown knowlege (which I have trouble believing - people have done that throug history), space will always have a strong draw. I can't wait until the data from some of our upcoming planet-finding missions starts coming back. If we can find a planet out there with an atmosphere that contains the spectral signature of O2.... it'll be a complete paradigm shift in public thinking about space exploration.

    --
    "99 dead duelists of Dios on the wall. 99 dead duelists of Dios! Take one's ring, pass it around..."
  39. I've heard all this before from Ray by Spatula+Sam · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Bradbury spoke at our college graduation in 2001. Most of his address was centered on the need for manned space, starting with a colony on mars. (not an actual quote:) "Now go forth, graduates, and colonize mars," pretty much sums it up. Much of the content in the article seems familiar from there, especially the part about space needing an audience. He also stressed the need for science fiction writers to act as visionaries guiding society towards space.

    Many of us graduates were a little dissappointed in the speach, accurately pointing out that there were likely not any future astronauts or SF writers in the audience that day. While I thought it was kind of neat to get to hear a literary icon speak at a graduation, I am skeptical of the role that these writers should play in influencing public policy on these issues. People like Bradbury are driven by their emotions and immaginations, noble characteristics, but I think that a solid cost/benefit analysis is the only reasonable way to decide what to do with the billions of taxpayer dollars at stake here.

    Still, he seems like a nice guy. It would be nice to give him his mars mission while he's still arround.

  40. Whatever happened... by brainstyle · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...to the idea of colonizing space itself? O'Neill habitats and that whole thing. It seems to me to be a much better idea than colonizing other planets: why would you want to go back down into the gravity well once you've gotten out of there? And why would you want to live somewhere where you're stuck with whatever gravity the planet gives you?

    Okay, so there's the small matter of building the things, but still. I want my grandkids to grow up with lakes and forests overhead.

    At least someone at NASA seems to think it's still a good idea.

    --
    "Why can't everyone just be straight with me?"
    "Because we live in a bendy world, dear."
  41. Was history ever well taught? by inacoffeebuzz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Can't help but notice Ray Bradbury constantly reminicing on why we should go "because life wants to exist, wants to survive, wants to be free of the conflicts of Earth, even as America, when it was created, was free of the conflicts of Europe". Free of the conflicts of Europe? Did he never hear of the French-Indian war (http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h608.html)? Or any of the other wars, conflicts and turmoil between the European powers fought in the New World over the same old world rivalries? Wow, I guess he also really believes when Columbus, et al "discovered" the new world they found it empty. Hopefully Mars really is empty - or we'll just have to Americanize it!

    --
    I saw it. I stepped on it. My bad, but other life forms are likely to visit our planet at some point.
  42. Must... Resist... Obvious... Jokes... by CrystalFalcon · · Score: 4, Funny
    ...ARGH! I can't stop it coming!

    including why three Italians should be the first on Mars
    • They need to set up the pizza parlor for when others land, so we'll have some decent place to eat.

    • It's pretty much the only way to safeguard the future of the Italian language.

    • These particular three individuals are just fleeing from the Italian Mob in a new creative way.

    • Italian culture involves measuring large distances as the required number of spaghetti straws. They are also bringing a very large kettle for the feast afterwards.

    • They were banished from Italy for speaking calmly and not even gesticulating in the slightest while asking for some everyday item, like a subway ticket.

    • They are ordinary Italian drivers who just need a little extra room for parking maneouvers.
  43. "Final Frontier"? by tomzyk · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I hate to sound so cliche, but it is the "final frontier".

    Several hundred years ago they probably said the same thing about the Atlantic Ocean. The same was probably said about leaving the Fertile Crescent many thousands of year before that too....

    There is still plenty of exploring to be done here on Earth (ie. deep ocean trences, rain forests). Granted, we would require space travel to explore other planets, but our physical universe isn't necessarily the last place to go spelunking. What about the possibility of extra dimensions and alternate realities that we can't even conceive of at this time?

    --
    Karma: NaN
  44. Deficits Don't Matter by sybert · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Interest on the debt is income for US bond-holders (except for the foreign debt, and foreigners investing in US bonds is a good thing). Most will simply save the interest in more US bonds, unless they have better use for the money. Then they can sell the bonds to others who have less need for their money. As long as the economy is growing, you can always borrow more money to pay off current bond-holders and interest on the debt.

    The government already "defaults" on all of the money it collects in the form of "taxes". The less money that is taken away as taxes and the more the economy grows, the more money will be available to lend to the government. With the revised current deficit figure (3.1% and falling) less than the growth rate of the economy (4.2% and growing), we can easily afford more than the current debt, another tax cut, and trips to the Moon and Mars.

    All of the depressions in the US have happened during or immediately following periods of budget surpluses. The last thing I want the government to do is raise taxes to buy bonds.

  45. Is Space Exploration Worth the Cost? by solarlux · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Select quotes from Is Space Exploration Worth the Cost?"

    "For instance, this year, total pet-related sales in the United States are projected to be $31 billion - the double, almost to the cent, of the $15.47 billion NASA budget. An estimated $5 billion worth of holiday season gifts were offered - not to the poor - but to the roving family pets - six times more than NASA spent on its own roving Martian explorers, Spirit and Opportunity, who cost the American taxpayer $820 million both."

    "Instead of betting on the future, Americans spend $586.5 billion a year on gambling. It is perhaps immoral to criticize one's personal choice, so instead of kicking the habit and feeding the poor with this money, one should stop instead the enormous waste in space who stands at a scandalous amount of 40 times less than gaming tokens."

    "Speaking about personal choice, $31 billion go annually in the US on tobacco products - twice the NASA budget -, and $58 billion is spent on alcohol consumption -almost four times the NASA budget. Forget space spin-offs - here are genuine tangible benefits: $250 billion are spent annually in the US on the medical treatment of tobacco- and alcohol-related diseases - only sixteen times more than on space exploration."

    These figures represent how, as a society, how lowly we value space exploration. If we spent 50% as much on space exploration as we spent on Hollywood entertainment, Orbitz would selling weekend passes to the most popular lunar resorts.

  46. Re:We Like Tha Moon by Paulrothrock · · Score: 3, Informative
    Alright, here goes:

    The moon suffers from three main issues. First, it has no atmosphere. Second, it has a 28 day light-dark cycle, and third, it is very resource poor, from a survival standpoint.

    Not having an atmosphere is a big problem. Experiments have shown that C02 can be cheaply made into hydrogen and oxygen, with little more than hydrogen feed stock. From hydrogen and oxygen you can get air, fuel, and water; three of the four things you'll need on a colony. Mars has a lot of C02. Plants also use C02 to function. This means that a Mars base can use pressurized greenhouses to grow food. On the moon you would have to create a biosphere, which we've never succeeded at on Earth, let alone on the Moon. Also, the atmosphere on Mars provides protection from a lot of radiation. This means that a Lunar base would have to be underground in order to work, making construction that much more difficult.

    The 28-day 'day' on the moon presents another problem. Plants have been growing on earth with a 24-hour light-dark cycle for billions of years. To get them to grow like heck during the 14 days of light and then to lay dormant for 14 days of darkness on a lunar greenhouse would be very difficult, not to mention the glass would also have to provide protection from radiation as well as thermal extremes of ~400 degrees. Growing them underground would require having enough light bulbs to last for a few years and a nuclear reactor or solar panels and enough batteries to run for 14 days straight, unless it was a polar station (which limits the amount of space we have to build on considerably). Martian greenhouses could use construction much like terrestrial greenhouses, and with the Arean (Ares, Mars. Get it?) day only about 30 minutes longer than that of Earth's, the plants would adjust quickly. Not to mention that the Martian colonists wouldn't be out of direct communication for half the time they are there.

    Finally, there is no atmosphere and very little water on the surface of the moon. Most of the water has been evaporated away. Unless we find a lot of water, there's no economical way we could colonize the moon: I'm not going to pay to ship water to a colony on the moon. Mars has recently been shown to have lots and lots of water, as evidenced by the Free Shrimp Give-Away from Long John Silvers. This is easily processed on the surface into all the things needed for life.

    Also, space is such that the total cost of going to the Moon is only slightly smaller than going to Mars, because most of the cost is from getting off of Earth and out of our gravity. And since we have to ship everything to the moon (air, food, water) the cost rises quickly compared to the needs of a self-sufficient Martian colony. Not to mention that Mars is closer to the asteroid belt, which is where all the really great stuff is, like raw materials.

    So, as you can see, a Martian colony, though farther away, is a better option than a lunar colony, unless you want a nice, quiet place to set up a major astronomical station. (The far side of the moon is always radio-silent and has lots of ready-made craters for radio telescopes and no atmosphere to interfere with visual/IR/UV observation.)

    --
    I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
  47. 10^100 humans impossible by David+Jao · · Score: 2, Interesting
    We could populate every planetary system in the milky way, create Trillions of humans, maybe even 10^100 humans, and take up MAYBE .005 % of the available planetary sytems in the universe.

    10^100 is more than .005 % of the planetary systems. In fact, 10^100 is several dozen orders of magnitude larger than the estimated number of atoms in the known universe, and as far as we know every planetary system must contain at least one atom.

    You might try to argue that the universe is much larger than the portion that we can detect right now, but that is a purely unscientific opinion with (by definition of the term "known universe") no data to back it up.

  48. When I was your age, people looked AHEAD to 1969! by Myrmidon · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ...students are showing increasing disinterest in space travel. In general, they feel it is a waste of time, non-interesting, and too dangerous. At some point, the younger generation (god, am I that old?) has made the transition from a Can Do to Can't Do nation.
    No, they aren't a "Can't Do" generation. They are a "Done it Already, Seen it, Taped it, Watched it Reenacted by an Aging Tom Hanks" generation.

    Space travel is old news. Didn't you hear? Mankind went to space. People went all the way to the moon, before I was born -- before some of your students' parents were born. And the photos must have been really great at the time. But the kids you teach have spent years looking at similar photos (taken -- much more easily, safely, and cheaply -- by robots and satellites). They've spent years watching people like Jerry Doyle and Leonard Nimoy and Ben Affleck and Ahhhnuld walk around on Mars. They've explored Mars themselves, in games. If the games aren't realistic enough for them, they wait a couple of years for Moore's Law to supply them with more polygons and better sound. (Though it doesn't take a lot of simulator to accurately represent a lifeless desert.) Younger people prefer to dream of a future that isn't 35 years in the past.

  49. Re:From the link by dillon_rinker · · Score: 2, Funny

    It was published 4 years after 1984

    Why not just say it was published in 1988?

    Grinning, ducking, and running...