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Preview of Moon-To-Mars Report

schnarff writes "Space.com has obtained a sneak preview of the Moon-To-Mars commission report, which will be officially released June 16. The report calls for spinning off NASA centers as FFRDCs, establishing an independent cost estimation bureau, and otherwise streamlining NASA's bureaucracy."

170 comments

  1. Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by Skyshadow · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Here's how the Moon-to-Mars report should actually read:

    "It's not going to happen. This whole deal is just election-year BS from your friends at the Bush Administration who are still trying to distract you from the gigantic fucking mess they've created in the middle east by waving around some cool-sounding ideas that they have no intention of following up on. Oh sure, we'll spend a whole lot of tax dollars coming up with reports (like this one!) and let some worthwhile science projects fall by the wayside, but in the end absolutely jack will come of it. Hey! Look at that shiney thing! And have a nice day."

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    1. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by Deflagro · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I don't see how this is a troll. Sure it's a little rough but the truth ain't pretty. How many times have we seen this kinda thing?

      --
      Der Tod ist der einzige Weg hier raus!
    2. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      I agree. The parent post is not flamebait.

    3. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While your political analysis is generally correct, I think that we should remember that the famous speech given by president Kennedy to the joint session of Congress in May 1961 - "I believe that this nation should commit itself, before this decade is out, to landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth", can also be translated in your way to:

      "Well, a month ago the Soviets launched Gagarin to the first manned orbital flight and all the PR spin doctoring in the world cannot make Alan Shepard's flight a match for that. Also just a few days ago the guys from CIA made complete morons of themselves in Bay Of Pigs, Cuba. It looks like we'll count another humiliating defeat in Indochina. To make things worse to me, I won the election by a very narrow margin and the Republicans can hit me that I'm soft on communism. Oh, and I need that whole civil rights movement on the South like a pain in the a** - if I'll support them, the Southern Democrats no longer support me, if I'll oppose them, all the other Democrats no longer support me. Damn, I have no movement. To the left, to the right, to the north, to the south, obstacles everywhere. So maybe I'll just move up, up and away?".

      Yeah, for Kennedy the Apollo Project was nothing but a clever PR-stunt, a brilliant escape from his political problems. But decades ago all that counts is that it was one of the greatest achievements of mankind in the twentieth century. In politics, major achievements are often made thanks to petty reasons. Even if the Moon-to-Mars project is also a PR-BS for Bush, it doesn't prove nothing will come of it.

    4. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by alienw · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, it isn't even that. It's simply a way for the GOP to give more tax money to large, influential corporations such as Boeing and Lockheed Martin. NASA is already doing most of its work through private companies like this, and look where it got them.

      For-profit companies are not interested in space exploration, they are interested in making money. Therefore, they will find loopholes in NASA contracts (which will be there on purpose), abuse the hell out of programs, and so on. Basically, this is a plan to dismantle NASA and to give the money to various campaign donors instead.

    5. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by jest3r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > For-profit companies are not interested in space exploration, > they are interested in making money.

      Given some fresh ideas I think there is money to made by private companies shooting for Mars. I mean beyond the "space tourism" niche which the Russians could be making a killing from if they had a decent spacecraft for the journey up I think alot of different industries would love a chance to cash in on the exploits of Mars.

      Seriously a good business plan, management, and some unique ideas and technology with attainable deliverables would probably be a good investment IPO-wise ...

      Furthermore it seems to me that if the US government doesn't start embracing, funding, and clearing the path for the private space ventures to flourish it will happen in Russia, China, or India where they don't have to climb a mountain of lawyers, rules and red tape ...

    6. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by harborpirate · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      What exactly are you suggesting?

      Beware: that old spectre Echelon is watching.

      Of course I'm not actually serious. Only a crazy, paranoid lunatic would suggest that a gobal electronic intellence gathering system would pick up on your insinuated plot to kill the president.

      Oops, did that just get posted?

      Better start digging a hole for my concrete shelt-

      --
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      // Slashbots off the starboard bow!
    7. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by Rei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The big difference is that Kennedy actually put real *budget* into the space program. Bush gave them an extra billion a year; that should get us to Mars by, say, the year 2200.

      --
      Carbon, made, only wants to be unmade.
    8. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      Unfortunately, it isn't even that. It's simply a way for the GOP to give more tax money to large, influential corporations such as Boeing and Lockheed Martin.

      And do Lockheed and Boeing employ people or not? I mean I am so sick of people bashing the companies who create jobs as being evil because those that run them (note I said run not own because they are corporations) are rich, of course their rich would you hire a bum off the street to handle your multi milloin dollar company?

      WOrking with the government I can tell you that we treat the Fed the same way we treat our private partners, in a way that will make them want to retain us. Are they in it for the money? heck yea but making money means not screwing your customers..

      --
    9. Re:Don't worry, I got a copy of the *real* report: by Spunk · · Score: 1

      if I'll support them, the Southern Democrats no longer support me, if I'll oppose them, all the other Democrats no longer support me. Damn, I have no movement. To the left, to the right, to the north, to the south, obstacles everywhere.

      What an amazing president, predicting the 1973 hit by Stealers Wheel:

      Clowns to left of me
      Jokers to the right
      Here I am
      Stuck in the middle with you

  2. Acronym abuse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    FFRDC? WTF?

    (JK. I RTFA.)

    1. Re:Acronym abuse by GileadGreene · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Federally Funded Research and Development Center.

      As it happens, JPL runs as an FFRDC, and as a result is, IMHO, the best of the NASA centers (they pay real money instead of the paltry GS salaries, and thus are able to get some of the sharpest engineers).

    2. Re:Acronym abuse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      here are all the FFRDCs, you should recognize some of the names:

      http://www.nsf.gov/sbe/srs/nsf04309/start.htm

  3. rumor by maxbang · · Score: 5, Funny

    I heard a rumor that R. Daneel Olivaw will be helping out here and there, especially with a new technology that can capture approaching comets and mine them for minerals. Can anyone confirm this?

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    1. Re:rumor by Mad_Rain · · Score: 2, Funny

      I heard the rumor that instead of building a base on the moon, they were going to lease Dr. Evil's base for a low low price of -

      [dr.evil]
      one million dollars! mwahaha!
      [/dr.evil]

      Can anyone confirm this rumor too?

      --
      "What do you think?" "I think 'What, do you think?!'"
    2. Re:rumor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but he can only commit to it if he invokes the little-used negative-1th law of robotics.

    3. Re:rumor by forkazoo · · Score: 1

      I've heard a bit about this negative-1th law of robotics, but it don't understand why it was implimented. it seems very irrational. anybody know what the root of that law is? whenever i ask somebody, they claim it's them. they just say "i." :)

      I'm actually trying to find time to finish robots and empire right now... if only it weren't for this damned slashdot sucking up all my reading time. :)

    4. Re:rumor by DaneelGiskard · · Score: 1

      Rumors regarding this are greatly excellerated ;-)

  4. I assume... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait
    I assume that by "spin-off" they mean "slowly decrease funding and kill off sometime in the next few years."

    Bastards.

    1. Re:I assume... by Spyffe · · Score: 0
      If the organization can't make its case to the public directly and attract funds that way, perhaps it shouldn't be getting through "under the radar" by siphoning off taxpayer funds.

      I think spinning-off portions of government is reasonable. It decreases taxpayer burden and leaves more money in the hands of individuals. If a group of citizens wants to support an organization like this, then more power to them; I might even participate.

      However, bellyaching about government cutting your favorite program is myopic. Remember that other people would like to spend your money on projects of theirs, projects you might be very unhappy to fund.

      --
      Sigmentation fault - core dumped
    2. Re:I assume... by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1
      If the organization can't make its case to the public directly and attract funds that way, perhaps it shouldn't be getting through "under the radar" by siphoning off taxpayer funds.

      I think spinning-off portions of government is reasonable.

      I vote for the FBI, followed by the state department and then maybe HHS. And since private contractors have proven themsleves so effective, do we really need a Pentagon?

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    3. Re:I assume... by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1

      Except that defence happens to *be* one of the governments jobs where as education, healthcare, ..., ..., (insert green party cause here), ..., ... are remanded to the states.

      --
  5. Obligatory Chappelle "Balck Bush" quote by MightyPez · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Y'all need to stop worrying about the middle east and the economy. I got that under control! And we aint stoppin' at the moon. Write this down. M-A-R-S, Mars bitches. We're going to Mars. Red Rocks!"

    "Yeai yeaaaaii!"


    /very ad-libbed

    1. Re:Obligatory Chappelle "Balck Bush" quote by commodoresloat · · Score: 3, Funny

      Doesn't the last line technically make this a Howard Dean quote?

  6. Article Text before ./ Mars Attacks by bigdady92 · · Score: 3, Informative

    commission chartered by U.S. President George W. Bush to advise him on implementing a broad new space exploration vision is recommending streamlining the NASA bureaucracy, relying more heavily on the private sector, and maintaining more oversight of the nation's space program at the White House.

    The President's Commission on Implementation of U.S. Space Exploration Policy is scheduled to release its final report June 16. A copy of that report, "A Journey to Inspire, Innovate, and Discover", was obtained by Space News .

    The 60-page report outlines the organizational changes the commission says NASA needs to make if it is to achieve the space exploration goals laid out by Bush in January. Those goals include returning humans to the moon by 2020 in preparation for eventual human expeditions to Mars.

    The nine-member commission, headed by former U.S. Air Force Secretary Edward (Pete) Aldridge, said if those goals are to be met, the nation needs to commit to space exploration for the long haul, and that the private sector must be given a much larger role in the U.S. space program.

    "The Commission believes that commercialization of space should become the primary focus of the vision, and that the creation of a space-based industry will be one of the principal benefits of this journey," the report states. "Today an independent space industry does not really exist. Instead, we have various government funded space programs and their vendors. Over the next several decades -- if the exploration vision is implemented to encourage this -- an entirely new set of businesses can emerge that will seek profit in space."

    The commission calls upon NASA to reach out to small, entrepreneurial firms through business opportunities targeted to them. The commission also endorses NASA's plans to award large cash prizes to encourage technological innovation. And the commission encourages the U.S. Congress to enact tax incentives, provide regulatory relief and clarify and protect property rights in space to encourage commercial exploitation of the final frontier.

    In the more immediate future, the commission wants NASA to turn over nearly all launch activity to private firms.

    "The Commission believes that the private sector is willing and capable of providing the initial boost into low-Earth orbit for the payloads associated with the vision," the report states. "To foster the continued development of this emerging market, the Commission believes that NASA should procure all of its low-Earth orbit launch services competitively on the commercial market."

    The commission specifically exempts the launching of human crews from this recommendation, saying in the report that it realizes this responsibility "will likely remain the providence of the government for at least the near-term."

    NASA Administrator Sean O'Keefe said June 9 that he had neither seen the commission's report nor been briefed on its recommendations. But during a speech delivered at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce earlier that same day, O'Keefe pledged to heed the commission's recommendations on transforming the space agency.

    "The Aldridge commission has given a great deal of thought to how we should be organized in order to achieve these objectives," O'Keefe said. "We will be willing participants in implementing their recommendations. We are determined to transform the agency and our way of doing business to put these goals within reach."

    The report says NASA needs to transform its organizational structure, business culture and management processes "all largely inherited from the Apollo era" if it is to accomplish the multi-decade exploration agenda laid out by the president.

    The commission wants NASA to transform itself into "a leaner, more focused agency" starting with a major headquarters reorganization that reduces the number of mission-focused departments or what NASA calls enterprises.

    Planning for such a reorganization is already well underway at NASA. A draft organ

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    1. Re:Article Text before ./ Mars Attacks by anzha · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The FFRDCs can be good and bad. I work for one. I have worked for another. I'm lucky that I work for one run by a university with a rather good track record. However, ones run by private companies as contracts often get uber paranoid about the almighty dollar. The oversight of the contractor gets to be insane. The research in the end suffers.

      I worked at a DOD equivalent of the DOE lab. Not so fun. At all. Defense contractors are evil to work for and the blood sucking that I saw to get as much money out of the contract made me sick.

      If NASA can get past the problems associated with the privately run labs, then kewl, go for it.

      However, wasn't there a problem with this legally? Something to do with the NASA employees being unable to do the same job when transitioning straight from being a government employee to a contractor (which technically they'd be if they worked for a FFRDC). IIRC, it had to do with this bill waaaay back: hence why teh bill died. I might be just misremembering though.

      --
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    2. Re:Article Text before ./ Mars Attacks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just in case anyone wonders, the article is not slashdotted yet, and after this many comments, it probably won't. Nice of you to copy the article, but next time confirm it's slashdotted before posting it.

    3. Re:Article Text before ./ Mars Attacks by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      Let me get this right. They want to privitize the space industry, EXCEPT for the manned missions.

      Last I checked, the manned missions are by far the biggest and most expensive programs. The funding from the unmanned missions is used to offest it.

      I'm sure industry would LOVE to take the juicy low-cost stuff, and leave the Government with the expensive risky stuff.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    4. Re:Article Text before ./ Mars Attacks by el-spectre · · Score: 1

      try 'free will' or 'mind you own fucking business' next time then.

      --
      "Faith: Belief without evidence in what is told by one who speaks without knowledge, of things without parallel." - A.B.
  7. Why not... by bigattichouse · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Why not run it like Venture capital? Where each project is like a "business" that has to develop and sell a plan, with intended payoffs (exactly what kind of information they will be looking for), potential bonus performance beyond the life expectancy, etc.

    --
    meh
    1. Re:Why not... by maxbang · · Score: 1

      They could, but then I'd feel bad for the astronauts. In addition to the already rigorous training, they'd have to add another four months of hard-core VC buzzword brain reprogramming. And their little jet-powered PDAs would have to contain at least an extra ten GB of storage to handle the lexicon. I don't know about you, but I'd hate to have a VC 'analyst' peering over my shoulder as I manipulated a robotic arm around a $10 MM piece of high tech equipment.

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    2. Re:Why not... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      Will the surviving companies from our last bought of VC funding please step forward. Really. Anybody? What happened to the damn sock puppet?

      Space launches aren't supposed to be profitable. Heck, do the airlines build the airports, or even the terminals, themselves? Hell no, they get the city or state to pay for them. Do the trucking companies pay for highway repair and upgrades? No, they expect the feds to do that. Do shipping companies pay to dredge shipping channles and construct ports? Not usually.

      Private industry doesn't generally like plunking a few billion dollars down in infrastructure without an immediate return. A cruise line may spend close to a billion to float a new ship, but it's expected to pay for itself in less than 10 years.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    3. Re:Why not... by jafac · · Score: 1

      Hell yeah!

      WHy not? In fact, let's hand it all over to Enron. And Microsoft. And De Beers too, they really know how to make a great product!

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    4. Re:Why not... by bigattichouse · · Score: 1

      geez. did half of you not actually read my post? Let me spell it out: The Information you seek *IS* the payoff. If you go to mars to look for water, then you spell that out as the payoff: "We find conclusive proof of the existance or non existance of water". It has NOTHING to do with actual money, but it is a clear and concise payoff. Then in the "extras" you say, "and we think we might be able to get the rover to preform AFTER the job is done to go do some sightseeing", that falls under the "gravy" category. It had NOTHING to do with corporations or VCs actually being involved. but changing the way you run the projects, so they become like little companies.

      --
      meh
    5. Re:Why not... by DerekLyons · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Why not run it like Venture capital? Where each project is like a "business" that has to develop and sell a plan, with intended payoffs (exactly what kind of information they will be looking for), potential bonus performance beyond the life expectancy, etc.
      Here's a free clue for you. That's *exactly* how mission selection and planning has worked for oh, nearly fifty years now.
    6. Re:Why not... by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 1

      Heck, do the airlines build the airports, or even the terminals, themselves? Hell no

      Hell yea..

    7. Re:Why not... by burns210 · · Score: 1

      because discovering things about the big bang, the inner works of a star, or other science stuff, while critical, is not nearly as glamorous as developing a pod fit for longterm mars habitation.

    8. Re:Why not... by los+furtive · · Score: 1
      Oh yeah, 'cause there's a whole wack of profit to be made from outter space...like slave labour from the other planets, and getting breadfruit trees that grow on the small moons, and lord knows we need better spice routes.

      Bah, the vastness of space doesn't elude my imagination, and I can't see why any business would want to do it beyond the tourist/wow-bang factor. There's plenty of things to invest in here on earth that are closer to being fruiteful (e.g. biotechnology and nanotechnology) and profitable than anything to be had above the earth.

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    9. Re:Why not... by ACPosterChild · · Score: 1

      Umm, that's exactly how it works now.

      And, if you don't meet your goals in your Readiness Design Review (the first major prototype review), or Pre-ship review (where you're supposed to be done and ready to fly), your project can get cut.

      It's not like they hand Fred $10 million and ask him if he feels like doing something and to report back when he's done.

    10. Re:Why not... by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      Okay, so you get the payoff of information. I agree that really is very significant and totally worth the effort in almost all cases.

      But now what? You're many billions of dollars in debt, and the thousands of people you hired (directly or indirectly) can't buy food or make mortgage payments with "information"... that's a big part of the equation you seem to be missing.

      Unless of course you're still federally funded, in which case I can't see how running NASA like a "venture capitalist" will increase effort. Something tells me the people at NASA are already as gung-ho as can be about exploring the universe, and the only things holding them back are money and poltics (bad politics = public thinks "money is being wasted on space exploration" = decreased funding).
      =Smidge=

    11. Re:Why not... by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      No but Airlines *rent* use of airports. as as that is usually a city or county decision anyway its out of the scope of this conversation.

      I dont want the government doing healthcare we dont need Canada's mess here. That being said I dont give a rats behind what Colorado does with health care cause I dont live there..

      --
  8. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    NASA announced today that with the privatization effort in full gear, Halliburton had been awarded a no bid contract to adminster the entire US Space Program...

    1. Re:In other news... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      Actually DuPont used to run the US's nuclear program for $1/year over cost. They ran it from the end of WWII until the 90's.

      They dropped the project because the Government insisted that DuPont be liable in lawsuits.

      Talk about killing the golden goose.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:In other news... by worst_name_ever · · Score: 1

      Okay, imma have to call BS on this one. Got a link to this information?

      --

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    3. Re:In other news... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Assuming this is not TOTAL B.S. it is at least mostly B.S. $1 over cost? Over the cost as announced, maybe.

      Of course, it might be possible since DuPont still owes the government for making hemp cultivation all but illegal.

      --
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    4. Re:In other news... by ACPosterChild · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but what's "cost"? It probably includes some nice fat paychecks for at least management. Heck, the company cars leased for management directly involved could easily be part of the "cost of doing business" charged back.

      Sounds, good, but I'm too cynical to automatically think that that's a good deal.

      Reminds me of commercials like:
      Save $20 when you buy a pack of Juicy Fruit today for only $5!

    5. Re:In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      NASA announced today that with the privatization effort in full gear, Halliburton had been awarded a no bid contract to adminster the entire US Space Program...

      I bet they could still do it cheaper than NASA.

    6. Re:In other news... by DrJimbo · · Score: 1

      I bet they could still do it cheaper than NASA

      Yeah, maybe so, but they'd probably end up torturing the astronauts.

      --
      We don't see the world as it is, we see it as we are.
      -- Anais Nin
  9. Re:Obligatory Chappelle "Black Bush" quote by MightyPez · · Score: 1

    Ummm....I mean Black Bush. Next time I need to preview everything.

  10. Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russia by Andy+Mitchell · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Perhaps I'm just to cynical but I tend to think that the USA decided to go to the moon to make the USSR look weak.

    In a sense it was a competition between the USA and USSR over who had the bigest "dick", and phallic objects don't get any bigger or more powerful than a Saturn 5 rocket :-)

    Now the enemy is Islamic fundamentalists, and none of them are going to compete in a race to Mars.

  11. Sorta disappointed by kippy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was hoping for something more along the lines of a mission plan but I guess that's really up to NASA or whatever they will call themselves to do.

    At least they didn't make the mistake that the first Bush's commission did by putting a crazy (and rather arbitrary) $400 billion price tag on it.

    I just hope that NASA and JPL will be able to get some actual work done on getting to Mars while they move people around and change their workflow. I can see a few years wasted on that easily.

  12. Summary by k4_pacific · · Score: 4, Funny

    Basically, the report concludes that moving the Moon to Mars is both impossible and pointless.

    --
    Unknown host pong.
    1. Re:Summary by maxbang · · Score: 1

      We'll see what's pointless when
      1) New York is flooded and subsequently frozen
      2) I have nothing with which to wipe my bottom but an old grocery bag found under my stove
      3) We start envying the homeless for all the great living space they have in their boxes and assorted refuse bins, and
      4) My asthma finally overtakes my will to live.

      I ain't really no envarnmintlist, but I reckon the day will come when we have no choice but to colonize other worlds. I just hope there is a prior alien civilization which builds enormous oxygen reactors to keep my eyes from bulging out of my head in a most ugly fashion. And girls with three breasts are a plus, right?

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    2. Re:Summary by red+floyd · · Score: 1

      You missed the OP's point. He said that "moving the Moon to Mars" is pointless.

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  13. To infinity and beyond! by CommanderData · · Score: 3, Interesting

    While I don't have any love for the Bush administration I would really like to see a Mars mission happen. It doesn't necessarily need to be a national budget buster, as Robert Zubrin has pointed out in his detailed plans in the books 'The Case For Mars' and 'Entering Space'...

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    1. Re:To infinity and beyond! by maxbang · · Score: 1

      Right on brother! Even more so if Carrie-Anne Moss is the pilot. Whooo-eee!

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    2. Re:To infinity and beyond! by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      While I don't have any love for the Bush administration I would really like to see a Mars mission happen. It doesn't necessarily need to be a national budget buster, as Robert Zubrin has pointed out in his detailed plans in the books 'The Case For Mars' and 'Entering Space'...
      I agree it does not have to be a budget buster, but be very careful of using Zubrin's numbers. For the most part they range from the mildly to wildly optimistic, and he also relies on too many things that are currently on the lab bench.

      For example; There are multiple practical problems with in-situ fuel production. Also, the technology hasn't been tested beyond lab bench mockups as of yet. Zubrin acknowledges niether of these in his books.

      Zubrin is an inspiring leader, but he's also a PHB who handwaves away the deep problems with his schemes.

    3. Re:To infinity and beyond! by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1

      In situ propellant production has been done for decades for other reasons. The reactions are well known. How hard would it be to set up a pseudo martian atmosphere and test it?

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    4. Re:To infinity and beyond! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Another advantage of Zubrin's idea is that the Fuel production is done FIRST, ahead of time. A manless lander is sent to Mars FIRST, just to start making fuel.

      We'd know way in advance if there are any problems with fuel production before we sent humans there.

    5. Re:To infinity and beyond! by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      In situ propellant production has been done for decades for other reasons. The reactions are well known. How hard would it be to set up a pseudo martian atmosphere and test it?
      The reactions aren't the problem. The problem is building equipment light enough to be transported, and reliable and heavy enough to last through it's service period. The problem is that dust in the atmosphere will clog the works, and it's a non-trivial problem to be able to clean/change the filters without building up contaminants in the guts of the machine.
    6. Re:To infinity and beyond! by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1
      So why not launch a mission to test it? If we're actually going to Mars, it won't be a big deal to develop a small system and test it.

      And don't we know enough about the Martian environment to create a test chamber for systems?

      I guess this is the real problem I have with NASA's solutions. Yeah, there are a lot of issues with going to Mars. But it's like everyone at NASA's saying "Oh, it's too hard. So let's not do it."

      Get off your asses and figure out the solutions! Figure out ways to figure out the problems! Don't just throw up your hands and assume that it's not worth it.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    7. Re:To infinity and beyond! by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Is this thing on? Have you read what I wrote?
      So why not launch a mission to test it? If we're actually going to Mars, it won't be a big deal to develop a small system and test it.
      It's not even remotely ready to send to Mars. It's not even ready to sit in the JPL parking lot and run for a few months. No development work has been done at all. Even if we are actually going to Mars, development of such a major system will indeed be a big deal, because if it fails the whole concept fails.

      And Zubrin mentions none of these in his books. It's a detail and he is famously dismissive of possibly inconvient details.

      I guess this is the real problem I have with NASA's solutions. Yeah, there are a lot of issues with going to Mars. But it's like everyone at NASA's saying "Oh, it's too hard. So let's not do it."
      This has nothing to do with NASA. This thread is about Robert Zubrin and the level of inaccuracy in his books. A lot of people know how hard it will be to go to Mars, NASA and most folks knowledgeable and interested in going to Mars will be quite clear about how hard it is and what needs to be done to clear those hurdles. Bob Zubrin pretends the hurdles don't even exist.
      Get off your asses and figure out the solutions! Figure out ways to figure out the problems! Don't just throw up your hands and assume that it's not worth it.
      No one ever claimed it was not worth it.
  14. Contracts to private industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "The Commission believes that commercialization of space should become the primary focus of the vision, and that the creation of a space-based industry will be one of the principal benefits of this journey," the report states.

    If I could, I would mod this "+1 Insightful". When government research is done only in-house, the trickle-down effect of new technology is slower. I think that by harvesting the efforts of private industry you can drive down the costs of space exploration while opening up that technology for use in the private sector. And given that one of the main ways people justify space exploration is through the use of space tech for other applications, I see this as a good move.

    (Disclaimer: Being an astrophysics student, I'm all for the exploration of space for it's own sake, but I'm not the one funding it...)

    1. Re:Contracts to private industry by Rob+Carr · · Score: 1

      We must have been typing at the same time.

      --
      This sig seemed like a good idea at the time....
    2. Re:Contracts to private industry by ACPosterChild · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sorry, but "Huh?".

      By "harvesting the efforts of private industry", do you mean "licensing patented technology"?

      The point of government research is that they often (especially when it comes to NASA) do research that is cost prohibitive for private industry to do. And, since all taxpayers contribute to the development, the results are freely available to all citizens. For example, NASA has large air tunnels and tons of specialized equipment to do research on icing (on airplanes, especially the wings). Their results are freely available to anybody who wants them (like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Delta Airlines, you and me). I have a very hard time believing that you'd get better results for lower cost using private industry. Even assuming that PI would 1) take on the high-expense (possibly low-yield) research, and 2) produce results more cheaply than NASA, you can be sure that they're not going to give away the results. Maybe I'm too cyincal, but I'm convinced that the few dollars of my taxes that go to NASA every year would be less than all the Intellectual Property fees I'd be paying on my first private industry-provided space service.

      My other problem with the PI view is, what the hell are they going to commercialize? Space tourism? Only for a very few damn wealthy. I don't know of any vacations that the wealthy typically spend $200 million on for a few weeks time. The cost per person to make all that research and development (years and years, all operating at incredible losses) profitable would be astronomical. And for what? To float around a bit and have nothing to show for it except a memory? Maybe...

      Mining? More likely, in my opinion.
      Research? Yeah, some companies still do pure research.
      But, does each one want to develop their own launch vehicles and platforms? No. They want to focus on their core business, and buy launch space. They already can get that from NASA, often for free. So, the question is whether PI can provide launch and mg-housing services for less than NASA (to the ones who actually pay NASA). I'm not holding my breath.

  15. Nail. Head. by Rob+Carr · · Score: 5, Insightful
    From the article:

    "The Commission believes that commercialization of space should become the primary focus of the vision, and that the creation of a space-based industry will be one of the principal benefits of this journey...."

    This one point seems so obvious. It has been said many, many times. Yet it's so hard for "The Powers That Be" to implement.

    When the history of the airplane is considered, one has to be thankful that the Wrights did not work for the National Aeronautic Administration in 1904.

    I am grateful for all that NASA has given us. But if we are to truly make the next step, the financial incentives for space must be given a chance to exercise their power.

    It's hard to allow a child to move out on it's own, but for the good of both the child and the parent, it must be done. Yes, there will be mistakes and risk and danger. But the alternative is a stunted, deformed life that is nothing but tragedy.

    --
    This sig seemed like a good idea at the time....
    1. Re:Nail. Head. by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The obvious rebuttal, which has also been said many times, is that businesses are not going to commit significant amounts of money to space until they see the profit potential, and we're not there yet.

      Look, I'm a huge believer in the commercial possibilities of space, and I don't mean just for the people who build the rockets. I want, and hope, to see space tourism, 0-g manufacturing, asteroid mining, and eventually permanent colonization, and I even have some hope of seeing these things before I'm too decrepit to have a chance of getting on a rocket myself. But the suits aren't going to pour their money into making these things possible, no matter how much we might wish otherwise. NASA, or something like it, has to build the infrastructure. And we've got a lot of infrastructure to go before corporate investment on a massive scale is even a remote possibility. At the very least, we need launch vehicles that can reliably move people to and from orbit for no more than a few thousand dollars per trip per passenger, and can haul cargo at similarly reduced rates.

      IIRC, the Wright Brothers' first paying customer was the Army ...

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Nail. Head. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      I am grateful for all that NASA has given us. But if we are to truly make the next step, the financial incentives for space must be given a chance to exercise their power.
      And that's precisely the problem. There aren't any financial or economic incentives to go into space.
      • Essentially the only significant market for sattelites is GEO, and that market already is suffering from overcapacity.
      • There is a theoretical market for smaller birds if launch costs fall far enough. (Theoretical enough that few investors are willing to invest the upfront cash to develop the required launchers.)
      • There is a theoretical market for tourism, but unlike tourism on Earth, there is no place for the tourists to go. (Even a tenfold drop in launch costs is still too expensive to build such destinations.)
      • Launch and support costs would have to drop a thousandfold or more to make aquiring resources in space even faintly competitive with current terrestrial sources.
      Etc. Etc. Etc..

      The goverment could subsidize some of these ventures, but does not solve the basic problems, and subjects them to the whims of Congress as well as of the market.

    3. Re:Nail. Head. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

      "The obvious rebuttal, which has also been said many times, is that businesses are not going to commit significant amounts of money to space until they see the profit potential, and we're not there yet."

      You want profit?

      NASA's budget is what? 16 billion dollars? Say we just closed it all down and instead stuck half of that in the bank every year. 10, 11 years thats nearly 100 billion dollars just waiting to be collected if some enterprising companies or individuals manage to achieve whichever goals are set. 200 billion in 20 years.

      --
      Deleted
    4. Re:Nail. Head. by MenTaLguY · · Score: 1

      When the history of the airplane is considered, one has to be thankful that the Wrights did not work for the National Aeronautic Administration in 1904.

      Instead, they attempted to use their patents to lock everyone else out of the aircraft industry while making few major advances themselves, nearly setting back the progress of aviation by a couple decates.

      --

      DNA just wants to be free...
    5. Re:Nail. Head. by gilroy · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Blockquoth the poster:

      And that's precisely the problem. There aren't any financial or economic incentives to go into space.

      I always shake my head when I see this. It's essentially the same verbiage used in 1957. Now, of course, we know that GPS and comm sats make near-Earth orbit valuable ... but, you see, that market is mature and clearly there aren't any other ways to make money in space...

      I don't know what the other ways are, but I'm pretty sure they're there. And it's always easy to see how the nay-sayers from the past were so shortsighted without somehow noticing that we parrot their arguments.

      No successful market is seen as such until someone goes and does it.
    6. Re:Nail. Head. by wjwlsn · · Score: 1

      I would not want NASA to be in charge of commercializing space, not even so far as setting up the infrastructure. Public agencies, by their very design and mission, are too risk averse for that to work. Stakeholders (and there are a buttload of them) would demand absolute safety... not a low probability of adverse events, not managed risk, but absolute safety. And that just can't happen without absolutely enormous costs. Another factor is that innovation is most often driven by constraints, and the need to get around them. You would never see NASA doing some of the things that X-prize contestants are doing... they don't have to, they don't have any of the same constraints. Let NASA do what they're best at, science and exploration. Let private interests do what they're best at, generating inventive solutions and taking risks in the hopes of making big bucks down the road.

      --
      Getting tired of Slashdot... moving to Usenet comp.misc for a while.
    7. Re:Nail. Head. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      I always shake my head when I see this. It's essentially the same verbiage used in 1957.
      Not in this ficton. Here on Earth everyone was convinced that it was raining soup and we had to do is build rockets to carry the buckets up there.
      I don't know what the other ways are, but I'm pretty sure they're there.
      Sure they are. You are much smarter than the folks who believe the market is there, who have studied the issue, who have thought long and hard about the issue... And still can't come up with a market thats anything but a theoretical possibility.
      And it's always easy to see how the nay-sayers from the past were so shortsighted without somehow noticing that we parrot their arguments.
      Problem is, I'm not parroting arguements. I'm making statements based on the facts of the matter, while you are parroting the fanboy point of view.
    8. Re:Nail. Head. by GuyFawkes · · Score: 1


      You know what I find most interesting about Wilbur and Orville Wright?

      Everyone has heard of them, everyone knows they invented and built the first aeroplane.

      Except they didn't.

      Do a google on the Wright brothers and try and find a reference to Charles Taylor.

      At the VERY LEAST his input was equal to both the wright brothers combined, sure, they may have had a back of the envelope idea but only a true Genius like Charlie Taylor ( http://www2.hmc.edu/www_common/aviation/images/tay lor.jpg ) could have taken those ideas and literally gotten them off they ground.

      Leonardo da Vinci's glider designs were recently built here in the UK and flew, he, unlike the wrights, didn't have a Charles Taylor to take his drawings and make them into a working 3 dimensional full scale object.

      Give me a copy of autocad and 3dsmax and I will design your Mars rocket for you, in 100 years time should my name go down in history as the inventor of the Mars ship ir inventor of the warp drive? Or should the credit go to those clever bastards who actually build these things and make them reality?

      --
      http://slashdot.org/~GuyFawkes/journal
    9. Re:Nail. Head. by ACPosterChild · · Score: 1

      When the history of the airplane is considered, one has to be thankful that the Wrights did not work for the National Aeronautic Administration in 1904

      No, NASA wasn't there in the workshop helping produce something that you could build then and today in your own garage. And, they weren't there when Marshall was launching rockets in his back yard, either.

      But, they do lots of research that industry won't do for itself and provide the results to any citizen. Take wing icing as an example, and this consolidated research approach is most assuredly saving you money every time you fly on an airplane.

      I won't consider it a happy day when NASA produces cheap space flight, hands it over to industry, and packs its bags. NASA needs to stay around to keep research results flowing and to make sure that the IP derived from that research stays in the public domain.

      Also, what financial incentives are there that have industry chomping at the bit to get to space? Corporate lobbiests definitely have more power than NASA in congress. If industry was so anxious to get to space, they'd be there already; it's been 40 years. Obviously, I don't mind corporations taking NASA's results and making a profit. But, when corporations have had no vision in the space arena and havn't been proactive about developing it, I feel like saying "cry me a fucking river" when I hear things like "the financial incentives for space must be given a chance to exercise their power". Hell, Hawaii is a state only because of sugar lobbyists. I've got a damn hard time believing they can't override any opinions in NASA that might try to keep private industry out of the space business. NASA has a hard enough time even keeping its budget.

      FWIW, it seems that the point of a troll nowadays isn't to get responses. It's to get modded to +5 Insightfull. Asinine comments and cliches? Yay! It's got MY vote!

    10. Re:Nail. Head. by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Holy crap. With a straight face, you're actually claiming that the government is *more* risk averse than corporations?

      Okay, here's a clue: corporations only care about the bottom line. Worse, in the last 15-20 years, it's all been about the bottom line in the next, oh, 1-3 years (hell, these days, it's all about the next 2 quarters). Corporations will *never* "[take] risks in the hopes of making big bucks down the road". Why? Because they're incredibly risk averse regarding their bottom line. After all, the responsbility of a board of directories is to protect their shareholder's investment. Sorry, but in this case, capitalism is not the magic bullet you wish it to be.

      Oh, and before you mention the X-Prize, keep in mind that going from 100km and returning to 150km and orbiting is *immense*, and probably not within reach of a small, private firm without massive amounts of venture capital (which they won't be able to get, because the investors are too risk averse to sink their money into something that has no immediate return).

    11. Re:Nail. Head. by wjwlsn · · Score: 1

      Yes, I am. You seem to share the popular, commonly-held view that the only types of investor in the private sector are money-grubbing, profit-worshiping, short-sighted venture capitalists that shun all risk. As if capitalist was a bad word. As if big payoffs could be had for little to no risk. Bullshit. What kinds of risks were taken during the dot com boom? Do you think a public agency would ever take those kinds of risks? You seem to lump all types of private corporations together into one pile, regardless of age, experience, profitability, goals, product. Bullshit. Not all companies are the same. With a straight face, you're actually ignoring the financial risks taken by all kinds of corporations over the past 10 years? Oh, and before YOU mention the X-prize, and the risk-averse nature of venture capitalists, why don't you try thinking a little bit about how much those same venture capitalists are putting in RIGHT NOW with very little forseeable short-term gain? You can actually sit there with a straight face and claim that *government* takes more risks than the *private sector*?! Bullshit. Bullshit. Bullshit.

      --
      Getting tired of Slashdot... moving to Usenet comp.misc for a while.
  16. independent cost estimation bureau by MagicM · · Score: 1

    ROFL!

    Thank you. That is the funniest thing I have heard in a long time.

  17. Re:Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russi by aron_wallaker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Now the enemy is Islamic fundamentalists, and none of them are going to compete in a race to Mars.

    China announced they were going to put a man in space and on the moon. Suddenly the US announced they were going to the moon and to Mars. It's not hard to connect the dots when there are only two.

  18. They're trying to! by Pi_0's+don't+shower · · Score: 4, Funny
    Did you RTFA? Check this out, from the link, taken from the lips of head-of-commission Pete Aldridge:
    "The Commission believes that commercialization of space should become the primary focus of the vision, and that the creation of a space-based industry will be one of the principal benefits of this journey," the report states. "Today an independent space industry does not really exist. Instead, we have various government funded space programs and their vendors. Over the next several decades -- if the exploration vision is implemented to encourage this -- an entirely new set of businesses can emerge that will seek profit in space."
    This is almost truly like the obligatory /. joke: 1. Go to Moon 2. Go to Mars 3. Profit! Too bad it doesn't come with a plan on how industry will benefit from space applications.
    1. Re:They're trying to! by Loudog · · Score: 3, Insightful

      [SNIP]

      Too bad it doesn't come with a plan on how industry will benefit from space applications.

      [SNIP]

      Too bad the Internet didn't either. And after quite a bit of hype, folks are actually making money on it in ways that no one ever anticipated.

      Do you know what the "killer app" is for space? I can assure you NASA doesn't. The civilian sector initially saw that communications was the big thing and now they're making money on it. Imagine that. What will happen if we can radically drop the cost of getting to LEO?

      I worked as a contractor to NASA for a year. I have friends that worked there for almost a decade. We were all unsurprised that NASA is having the safety problems it is. Inevitable, really. It's the most ineffective org I've ever seen -- and I've been in the USAF and worked for DOE for a few years. Corporate politics is polite conversation in a tea room to the full combat that is NASA.

      One of the most useless things I've ever seen is a NASA civil servant. Not that they aren't nice, but useless. Now look at what Rutan is doing over at Scaled Composites, how badly the Air Force shocked NASA when they ran the Clemantine mission, and tell me why we shouldn't get NASA out of the way and put the space program where it belongs: the universities, the private sector, and the military.

      Find out how many people got fired for the shuttles blowing up and you'll start to get the picture.

      -- Lou

    2. Re:They're trying to! by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      I agree with most of what you said, except for the first part about funding.

      The people that developed the internet made no money off of it (or very little). The goverment (DARPA) funded the initial development until businesses could use it.

      We're close, but not quite there in the space program.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  19. Streamlining bureaucracy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    The report calls for spinning off NASA centers as FFRDCs, establishing an independent cost estimation bureau, and otherwise streamlining NASA's bureaucracy.

    Only in the federal government would "streamlining bureaucracy" involve "FFRDCs" and a "cost estimation bureau."

  20. Don't bother RTFA.... by Unnngh! · · Score: 4, Insightful
    ...all you need to see is:

    [the commission] is recommending streamlining the NASA bureaucracy, relying more heavily on the private sector, and maintaining more oversight of the nation's space program at the White House.

    My leap to a conclusion leads me to believe that this is just another chapter in killing NASA completely. This means that more funding previously routed to NASA/JPL will go to the private sector. Whitehouse oversight further implies that the administration does not trust NASA with what little self-governance it has remaining to it, particularly after the most recent shuttle disaster.

    Which all just points to the private sector being the future of spaceflight for all practical applications. Hopefully companies will do a better job than our government has been doing.

    1. Re:Don't bother RTFA.... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 1
      Nah.

      They just want to turn NASA into the MIC once congress nixes SDI.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:Don't bother RTFA.... by jabberjaw · · Score: 1

      Practicality is nice, really it is, however we need NASA to do the things that corporations will not. As an example let us consider LISA, it's main purpose is to detect gravitational waves. How many corporate investors do you think care about gravitational waves? Like it or not we need NASA.

    3. Re:Don't bother RTFA.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what about universities?

    4. Re:Don't bother RTFA.... by Paulrothrock · · Score: 1

      More oversight at the white house? Let's just make sure it also removes the oversight from congress.

      --
      I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    5. Re:Don't bother RTFA.... by GileadGreene · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Uh, JPL is an FFRDC. Which is what the commission is apparently recommending should be done with the other NASA centers.

      That said, I agree that more Whitehouse oversight is probably a bad idea. Having worked at an FFRDC (not JPL) involved in the DoD side of the space game, I've witnessed first hand what happens when the idiots at the executive level try to make trench-level decisions. The folks at the executive level should be making strategic decisions, and evaluating the results of trade studies and analyses to make those decisions. Instead, they had a tendency to try to make decisions at the level of individual projects (often overriding those they had appointed to run the project in the first place), and to mandate their pet designs instead of looking at what the results of the trade studies actually showed. I'd hate to see NASA get stuck in the same kind of mess.

  21. Re:Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russi by maxbang · · Score: 1

    ... phallic objects don't get any bigger or more powerful than a Saturn 5 rocket...

    *looks in pants...*
    Speak for yourself, pal.

    --
    I also reply below your current threshold.
  22. time to payoff by kippy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The problem with space exploration is that even if you go out to space with the most greedy intentions, the payoff is decades (asteroid mining) or centuries (terraforming) off. I'm all for it but getting capitalists to buy into it will be tough. Of course there is Microsoft with it's $40 billion nest egg.

    Space exploration is really a public works project. This is a pretty interesting paper on the subject. The thing is that it ends up being a benefit to the entire human race but some the up front costs are so much, the payoff so distant and the effort so demanding, it's basically relegated to government bodies (or perhaps Bill Gates).

  23. Re:Obligatory Chappelle "Black Bush" quote by MightyPez · · Score: 1

    The last part was one from of Black Bush's aids eating a basket of chicken. Right before the sketch ended he yells it out. Doesn't sound anything like Deans outburst. Though my spelling probably lends a lot of different pronunciations of the onomonopia.

  24. Launch services! by Lord+Grey · · Score: 5, Insightful
    In the more immediate future, the commission wants NASA to turn over nearly all launch activity to private firms.
    This is a great step in the right direction, and it should have been done long ago. Allowing private businesses to supply launch services will dramatically increase our use of space. The current demand for getting things into orbit far outstrips NASA's ability to send them there. The competition among the private companies supplying those services will drive the costs down and force innovation at breakneck speed, compared to what we have now.

    As an added bonus, people who complain about their tax dollars being "wasted on space" will have much less to bitch about.

    --
    // Beyond Here Lie Dragons
    1. Re:Launch services! by dfn5 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      This is a great step in the right direction

      Perhaps, but if these private firms run security at their launch facilities like the airlines do at the airport, we are going to have rockets flying into stuff instead of planes.

      But it really isn't their fault. They would be running a business and security costs money which eats at the bottom line. The natural thing to do is to cut it. And there in lies the problem.

      --
      -- Thou hast strayed far from the path of the Avatar.
    2. Re:Launch services! by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

      I thought there already was competition between Titan, Delta, Ariane, Pegasus (for smaller payloads) and the Russian launchers. Am I missing something?

      --
      Drill baby drill - on Mars
    3. Re:Launch services! by GileadGreene · · Score: 1

      Right, because the government-run TSA is doing a much better job than the private security firms were. I don't know if you've been following the news at all, but you may have noticed that there have been a large number of documented cases of TSA guards letting all sorts of "risky" items through, being asleep on the job, etc. The most well-known example is probably the kid that hid various "dangerous" items on a bunch of different aircraft, just to test security, and only got caught when he reported what he'd done so that they could fix the security holes.

    4. Re:Launch services! by Lord+Grey · · Score: 1
      I thought there already was competition between Titan, Delta, Ariane, Pegasus (for smaller payloads) and the Russian launchers. Am I missing something?

      No, I'm just not being clear.

      If NASA gets out of the launch services business then the implication is that it will sell off a large part of its launch service infrastructure. This infrastructure, now owned by the private sector, will undoubtedly be used for more than what NASA is doing with it, for profit reasons if nothing else. A for-profit company, one not encumbered by Congressional budgeting, would likely find far more things to do with all that neat space stuff. At any rate, "dumping" that infrastructure into the private sector increases the competition immensely, considering how small that group is.

      Also, "launch services" is a slightly nebulous term. It could mean "get the payload into space" or "help us launch our own rocket/shuttle into space." I think it probably means the former, in this case. If so, then some company may wind up with a couple of space shuttles to play around with. That could be an interesting development, at least until the shuttle's replacement comes along.

      On a related note: At one time NASA (somehow) explicitly denied any private company from returning a payload to Earth. Does anyone know if that restriction is still in place? I did the Google thing but couldn't find a definitive answer.

      --
      // Beyond Here Lie Dragons
    5. Re:Launch services! by Mad+Marlin · · Score: 1

      I thought there already was competition between Titan, Delta, Ariane, Pegasus (for smaller payloads) and the Russian launchers. Am I missing something?

      Yes, you are missing something.

      • Titan: NASA
      • Delta: NASA
      • Ariane: unreliable, and run by a baby NASA that speaks French
      • Pegasus: NASA
      • Russian launchers: you're kidding right?
      To put it in terms understandable to this crowd, that is like saying you have competition between Windows 98, NT, and XP.
    6. Re:Launch services! by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1
      Ariane: unreliable, and run by a baby NASA that speaks French
      NASA baby? Speaking French is a problem? I'm even more confused now!
      Russian launchers: you're kidding right?
      No.
      --
      Drill baby drill - on Mars
    7. Re:Launch services! by Mad+Marlin · · Score: 1
      NASA baby? Speaking French is a problem? I'm even more confused now!

      I am referring to the ESA as a "Baby NASA", since it is basically the same thing as NASA, even basically the same acronym, just much smaller. Speaking French isn't a problem in itself, but I listed it since it is one of the few noticable differences.

    8. Re:Launch services! by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Well, not exactly but the E.S.A. is run much like NASA, bureauacracies and all. France is the major contributor for the agency, and indeed French is a leading language at the agency.

      So yes, ESA == Baby NASA (French speaking)

      or in other words, NASA scaled down to a European size.

      While the Russians are also trying to compete for launch business, it is still largely the official government-sponsored launch sites and designs. They are more responsive to private industry simply because the Russian government can't really pay for these space launches, except for massive subsidies from NASA (this is a part of the NASA budget, and earmarked for foreign aid) and the few launches that they get from usually American companies going into space.

      You seemed to miss the Chinese BTW. They are very cautious in their approach to going to space, but they are clearly capable of LEO launches, particularly thanks to the Clinton administration giving them all of the components and technology necessary to get this accomplished. Still, this is a government-run operation as well, so even more like NASA than what a private space launch would be like.

      Private space launches are coming though, and this push to privatize the space industry will accellerate this trend.

    9. Re:Launch services! by jfoust · · Score: 0

      If NASA gets out of the launch services business then the implication is that it will sell off a large part of its launch service infrastructure.

      NASA has been out of the "launch services business" for some time. The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 requires NASA to purchase launches of satellites from the private sector expect in those cases where unique attributes of the payload require it to be launched by the shuttle. The only launch vehicle that NASA operates is the shuttle, and had already been forbidden from launching commercial payloads by an executive order in the aftermath of the Challenger accident.

      At one time NASA (somehow) explicitly denied any private company from returning a payload to Earth.

      NASA has no regulatory authority over commercial spaceflight. That responsibility lies with the FAA's Office of Commercial Space Transportation.

    10. Re:Launch services! by jfoust · · Score: 1

      Titan: NASA

      While the Titan 2 has been retired and the Titan 4 is being phased out, those vehicles are not operated by NASA, nor are they commercially avaiable. They are built by Lockheed Martin for the US Air Force.

      Delta: NASA

      The Delta is built and operated by Boeing.

      Ariane: unreliable, and run by a baby NASA that speaks French

      Ariane is operated by Arianespace, although they do receive some funding from ESA to support development of the Ariane 5.

      Pegasus: NASA

      Pegasus is built and operated by Orbital Sciences Corporation.

      Russian launchers: you're kidding right?

      Russian launch vehicles, built by a number of Russian firms, are often an economically-attractive alternative to US and European boosters. Nothing funny about it.

    11. Re:Launch services! by Teancum · · Score: 1

      My attitude about the TSA is that they simply replaced the private security guards with government security guards. There really wasn't that much difference other than the really awful security companies were gone, together with the very good ones. It averaged out the quality across the entire air traffic system, which by itself really isn't that bad of a thing (the particularly lousy security at Boston Logan airport was largely to blame for the 9/11 events).

      I wish that the TSA would have been given more holistic authority for general airport security, included the Air Marshall service, and even given ticketing authority for parking around the airport. The point here is that the baggage screening is indeed rather boring, and it could have been the military equivalent of K.P. duty for the guards that are screwing up, or a place to stick the new recruits before giving them other duties. Also, require everybody in the TSA at the airport (even the managers) to spend at least some time screening baggage.

      I'd go on further, but this is alrady gone off-topic enough as it is.

    12. Re:Launch services! by GileadGreene · · Score: 1
      the particularly lousy security at Boston Logan airport was largely to blame for the 9/11 events

      I call bullsh*t on this. The security at Boston Logan did exactly what it was supposed to do. It even flagged some of the hijackers as security risks, and searched them. But the hijackers didn't have bombs, so they were considered ok to let on board. That wasn't a security contractor decision, that was an FAA decision (i.e. the federal government - just like the TSA). Boxcutters were not considered a threat, and thus were not banned from airlines. 9/11 was not the result of poor security practices, it was the result of a change in terrorist tactics (hijacking for suicide missions versus hijacking for hostage releases), and a lack of foresight on the part of the federal government.

    13. Re:Launch services! by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I stand corrected here.

      I would also like to point out that S.O.P. (Standard Operating Procedure) for hijackings prior to 9/11 was to give the hijacker whatever they asked for and often fly them to whatever destination the plane was capable of going to, with places like Cuba being a typical destination. Indeed, in television programming this became almost a running joke with people getting a convient unexpected "vacation" to exotic places due to some hijacker. There were some exceptions, but it was primarily aimed at Israel, not America (which is why El Al has always taken security much more seriously.)

      After 9/11, the S.O.P. for hijackers is to beat the living daylights out of them, if not kill them in the air, and if that fails to crash the plane into sparsly populated areas. IMHO, there will never be another plane attack in the U.S.A. because of this, and I for one will gladly commit "suicide" when flying on a plane if that mean that some idiot won't succeed in using a place as a bomb again. Most other people I talk with have the same attitude. Airport security really is more to comfort the general population of America rather than to really prevent airplane takeovers now (not withstanding the tin-hat crowd that points out abusive domestic militarization of America, which I think is also happening).

  25. Selling the Drama of Spaceflight by FearTheFrail · · Score: 1

    ---American astronauts and spacecraft suppliers demand tremendous amounts of money for "NASA" brand supplies and missions. Venture capitalists respond by waiting no less than 10 months for generic supplies to hit the market at bargain prices (pick up a Southwest Space Shuttle today!) or by venturing to Canada to get those brand-name "NASA" parts at far less than they would from the American conglomerates of GlaxoMcDonnellDouglas and Lockheed-Merck.

    However, keep in mind, the government will be bringing in subsidies for the poor and elderly to experience the wonders of spaceflight! Look for Spaceaid and Spacecare, coming soon to an aviation office near you!

    --
    ___ In the words of Gen. Douglas McArthur: "I'll be right back."
  26. Not NASA's fault by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While I agree that the Moon To Mars mission is just a PR stunt, and that they haven't even approached a reasonable budget for it, I have some real problems with the report. Namely, the "NASA As A Punching Bag" style.

    I'm probably going to get jumped on for this, but *every* national space agency has had huge problems of every type. NASA being the biggest, it's no shock that we seem to have more than our share. But seriously - look at the ESA. Ariane has been a disaster. How many more bailouts are they going to need? How many more times is Ariane 5 going to explode? The Soviets, in their hayday, were even more unsuccessful than us; look at their appalling mars record, for example. We've got some newcomers on the scene - China, Japan, and India - for whom it is too soon to judge. However, don't hold your breath for a miracle.

    Private industry? What a laugh. First off, much of NASA's work *IS* done by private industry. The company I used to work for, Rockwell-Collins, had a major shuttle contract when it was being developed. They abused the hell out of it. Whenever any project ran out of hours, they charged it to the shuttle, even if it was unrelated. Private industry is supposed to *save* us money?

    Small startups? Not even the slightest bit of success. Hundreds of millions of dollars were poured into private space startups during the dotcom boom, and all they have to show for it is a bunch of loping along companies and half-completed projects of bankrupt companies.

    Is everyone just doing a bad job? Of course not. The problem is that the engineering challenges are *massive*, and there are so many variables that it is almost impossible to see what realistically could go wrong. On the really big projects, it gets even worse: not only do you have so many more things that could get wrong, but you have so many more people who have their ideas of what could pose a problem, most of which are not real threats. And now, if you don't investigate each of them, you're accused of suppressing whistleblowers.

    This probably isn't going to be a popular post. I'm OK with that. But I don't like the typical Bash-NASA threads that these usually turn into, so I thought I'd add my two cents. Mod me as you will.

    --
    Carbon, made, only wants to be unmade.
    1. Re:Not NASA's fault by Xzzy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > Whenever any project ran out of hours, they
      > charged it to the shuttle, even if it was
      > unrelated. Private industry is supposed to *save*
      > us money?

      It will when private industry is footing the bill. There's a difference in the situation you described of a contractor stealing money from a government agency, and a company being paid by customers to get something into space, competing with other companies offering to do the same thing.

      It will at that point be in their best interests to spend less. Not that it would matter, because if they experience overruns it won't show up in our taxes.

      At least until they gets so large and integral to the economy that the government bails them out with huge grants whenever the economy goes tits up, aka the airline industry. ;)

    2. Re:Not NASA's fault by wronkiew · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Private industry? What a laugh. First off, much of NASA's work *IS* done by private industry. The company I used to work for, Rockwell-Collins, had a major shuttle contract when it was being developed. They abused the hell out of it. Whenever any project ran out of hours, they charged it to the shuttle, even if it was unrelated. Private industry is supposed to *save* us money?

      Government contractors are not the end-all and be-all of private industry in space. Plenty of companies, for example XM Radio, are making money in space, and they aren't tied to cost-plus contracts. The kind of waste you are talking about is what happens when privatization goes bad, but it isn't any worse than what is happening right now inside of NASA. What the article was talking about looked to me like a new direction for private participation in the space program: NASA stops building and owning billion dollar spaceships, and instead buys rides from "spacelines". A subsidized airline industry did wonders for the prosperity of the world in the last century, and a real space launch industry, freed from reliance on government interest, will do the same in this one.

    3. Re:Not NASA's fault by N3WBI3 · · Score: 1
      There's a difference in the situation you described of a contractor stealing money from a government agency, and a company being paid by customers to get something into space, competing with other companies offering to do the same thing.

      One you can not "steal money" from the government, its not theirs in the first place. When the US Army Corps of Engineers sold off its fleet of equipment and began using contractors to dredge and maintain US waterways there was a significant savings to the tax payer (again its not the Governments money, they have it in trust).

      --
    4. Re:Not NASA's fault by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the government bails them out with huge grants whenever the economy goes tits up, aka the airline industry.

      "e.g., the airline industry".

      "AKA" is an acronym for "also known as", which doesn't fit in your sentence. "e.g.", which is an abbreviation for a Latin phrase meaning "for example", fits better.

  27. Re:Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russi by Kirill+Lokshin · · Score: 1

    Now the enemy is Islamic fundamentalists, and none of them are going to compete in a race to Mars.

    Well, neither are the Islamic fundamentalists a superpower in any real sense of the term.

    China, on the other hand, is gearing up economically, and has a stated desire to expand its space program. A Chinese landing on moon would cement their superpower status, so a US mission to Mars is the logical step in a (potential) space race with them.

    And of course if the EU ever manages to form into a cohesive body (possibly a political counterweight to the US), it could also become a competitor in space.

  28. Ahh, streamlininfh by phliar · · Score: 0, Troll
    [The commission] is recommending streamlining the NASA bureaucracy... maintaining more oversight of the nation's space program at the White House.
    Great!! Turn over the controls of a science and technology group to a bunch of religious wack-jobs!
    --
    Unlimited growth == Cancer.
  29. Naah, you're just an idiot by daniil · · Score: 1

    There was a race between the US and the USSR, but until Buzz Armstrong set his foot on the surface of the Moon, USSR had taken pretty much all the trophies: first man in space, etc (the list of USSR "space firsts" is quite long -- if you're the first then who gives a shit about the fact that your technology isn't really that great?). Sending a man to the Moon was pretty much the last chance to score a PR victory for the US.

    --
    Man is a slave because freedom is difficult, whereas slavery is easy.
    1. Re:Naah, you're just an idiot by nebaz · · Score: 1

      Buzz Armstrong?

      I think you mean Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin

      --
      Rhymes that keep their secrets will unfold behind the clouds.There upon the rainbow is the answer to a neverending story
    2. Re:Naah, you're just an idiot by daniil · · Score: 1

      D'oh.

      --
      Man is a slave because freedom is difficult, whereas slavery is easy.
    3. Re:Naah, you're just an idiot by Andy+Mitchell · · Score: 1

      It's very true to say that the USSR was winning the space race for a long time, in fact they started it and got a very good start. The propaganda value was also immense showing the "superior" nature of the communist system.

      The ammount of effort that went into putting a man onto the moon was huge. The fact that we have not gone back since even though technology has advanced so far gives us some idea of the effort involved.

      Just as with the Reagan era arms build up the USSR just could not compete with the USA, once fully mobilised to the task in hand. These things in a very real sense did help bring down communism in much of the world.

  30. Re:Another interesting story... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ewwww. If this is true, it's really a yucky thing to have happened. I feel sad for Rob.

  31. Distraction? Where's the elements? by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So if this program is all a distraction, where are all the ads? Where is the heavy press covering the thing?

    If one in a hundred people in the US could not even tell you anything about the program, could you really consider it a "distraction"? Or instead is this just another mindless attack agaist Bush, the content of which you post weither the topic is caterpillar reform or what kind of hot dog to include in the national school lunch program?

    Perhaps you should get off your high horse and read the report to see if it's a good idea, regardless of who is elected. NASA needs an overhaul and at least this is a start. Otherwise you are really just an off-topic wanker.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  32. i don't know who i feel sorry for by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting


    the scientists who will lose funding from other projects to fund this pork barrel Bush PR stunt or the people that actually believe this project is gonna happen

    still Iraq's going well (if you are haliburton/hired mercanaries) so why should this be any different ?

  33. Re:So True! by kfg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "oh-my-God-it's-a-conspiracy"

    No, not a conspiracy. A plot. It's just Bush's attempt to make himself appear "Kennedyesque," ingnorant of the fact that Kennedy launched the space program because he was already Kennedyesque. It doesn't work the other way around.

    Not that it matters, because a project of this magnitude is going to take the continued support of multiple administrations, these aren't Kennedy's times either, and that continued support will not be forthcoming. This project is essentially doomed. It's a shame, but that's the reality on the ground. We'll get to Mars when a canditate runs on the "We're going to Mars" platform and wins, and not before.

    But that's ok. The point of the project is exactly where you say it is, and where the real conspiracy lies. Spinning off tax dollars into the private sector, into the hands of cronies.

    Make hay while the sun shines, as it were.

    KFG

  34. Re:Another interesting story... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, this story's view on space travel is simply riviting.

  35. Re:Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russi by I+confirm+I'm+not+a · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Slightly off-topic, but when the USA and the USSR were planning to dock two space-craft for the first time, neither power would agree to their craft being "penetrated" by the other - if I remember correctly a "female-to-female" adaptor was the eventual diplomatic solution.

    Ironically, the Soviet Union was reasonably progressive in terms of putting women in space.

    --
    This is where the serious fun begins.
  36. Re:Distraction? Where's the elements? by gl4ss · · Score: 1

    *preview*

    remember when bush started this 'new' program and direction? HUGE publicity, little of actual content/plans.

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  37. Moon First? by Paulrothrock · · Score: 3, Interesting
    How is there any logic in going to the moon BEFORE going to Mars? If we're going to Mars, we can build a ship in LEO with four or five shuttle flights. Why build a base on the moon to get a craft to Mars? The moon isn't anything like Mars; you can't grow your own food without a big nuclear reactor, the temperature swings are greater, dust is less of a problem, it's bombarded with radiation half the time, and the methods for using local materials are extremely different.

    We can't learn anything about living on Mars by living on the moon, except maybe how people respond to being so far away from Earth.

    Going to Mars AND going to the moon makes more sense, since the only related operations are leaving Earth orbit. Of course, since the moon is close enough for unmanned craft to do really good, long-term science, maybe we should set up unmanned craft on the moon, and send people to Mars where they can do the most good.

    --
    I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
    1. Re:Moon First? by Decaff · · Score: 1

      Why build a base on the moon to get a craft to Mars?

      The moon has low gravity and no atmosphere, and experiences strong radiation. Its a good place to practise building a place for people to live off-Earth. After all, mars has very little atmosphere, low gravity and lots of radiation. The advantage of the Moon is that the colony would only be a couple of days travel away from Earth in case of problems.

      The moon isn't anything like Mars

      it is - see the comments above.

      you can't grow your own food without a big nuclear reactor.

      Yes you can - there is loads of solar energy.

      and the methods for using local materials are extremely different.

      No better or worse than Mars.

      We can't learn anything about living on Mars by living on the moon, except maybe how people respond to being so far away from Earth.

      We can learn a lot about setting up solar/nuclear powered habitats, how to grow food by solar energy and hydroponics in closed systems and indeed how people respond to distance from Earth. And, its only a few days away.... and the Moon is a pretty awesome resource.

    2. Re:Moon First? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I've been hearing the Mars-Direct crowd, and while there are some very compelling arguments, it seems as though it turns out to be Mars or the Moon. I say let's have both.

      Each world has its own strengths/weaknesses and offers unique resources as well. The Moon has H3 (which Mars does not in substantial quantities), and Lunar mining can provide the raw resources for LEO activities that Mars simply would not find practical.

      Besides, I think that Lunar activites would also be useful for eventual waystation development on Phobos and Demos, which would eventually have to be done for any sort of bi-directional communication and transportation activities. Transit between Phobos & the ISS (or some other similar LEO space station) would work well in inter-planetary space, with ship that wouldn't need all of the atmospheric reentry equipment that going directly to the surface of Mars or the Earth would need.

      This is really a part of a larger vision that says instead of taking a few rock samples and pretty pictures, we are going to be there to stay. Current activities at the South Pole Research Station would be a good comparison to what it would take to support research and exploration bases on the Moon.

      The one thing that this report seems to be saying is that private enterprise is going to have to be much more closely involved, simply if we are going to be able to pay for all these fun toys flying through space. If we rely on government spending alone, the government will eventually be bankrupt trying to pay for these actitivities. I support this view as well. Just imagine if Queen Isabela decided that she would sponsor more expidition to the Americas under Christopher Columbus just for anthropologic studies and getting a few trinkets like chocolate and potatoes. Exotic, yes, but Europeans would have stayed in Europe and never ventured further. I'm glad that my ancestors decided they wouldn't stand for that attitude.

    3. Re:Moon First? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is there any logic in going to the moon BEFORE going to Mars?

      Maybe the idea is to test our equipment and methods in an ultra-hostile environment in our own backyard, where resupply is mere days away in the event some of our stuff doesn't pan out, vs. sending our stuff to another planet, with a larger gravity well, about a year away?

    4. Re:Moon First? by LaCosaNostradamus · · Score: 3, Informative
      If you anticipate the Mars flight to a one-off effort, then sure, going from Earth to Mars directly is the thing to do.

      If your Mars flight is one of many, then the Moon is the oply sensible place to setup such a thing. (There must be corresponding stations in Earth and Lunar orbits, too. Gotta do these things right, by damn.)

      The availability of vast Lunar regolith components can reduce Earth shipments to Luna to things like hydrogen, nitrogen, carbon and other trace elements, as well as specific equipment and personnel (who, you will note, are mostly made up of hydrogen, nitrogen and carbon). Very acceptable, even luxurious ships made from aluminum, steel and titanium can be built upon the Moon, stocked with oxygen and powdered aluminum as fuel components, and (more to the point) they can be launched from the Lunar surface via extremely long mass drivers, saving most of the fuel load for maneuvering and deceleration (although I'd like to see designs that use anti-slingshot and aerobraking). And the ships can be enormous to boot, avoiding a resource crunch that can kill a crew that is 110 million miles from the nearest assistance.

      I haven't run the numbers, but a line of accelerator/restraining EM rails can probably be built around the Moon's entire circumference, and the acceleration of the cradle holding a Mars ship can be very gentle before slinging the ship off on a Mars trajectory at many klicks per second. If we choose 30km/s (which could result in a 1-2 month trip to Mars) and 1g launch acceleration:

      V = AT
      X = (1/2)AT^2
      1g = 9.81 m/s^2
      lunar circum. = 10920 km = X
      30 km/s = V
      T = V/A = (30000 m/s) / (9.81 m/s^2)
      T = 3060 sec (almost an hour)
      X = (.5) (9.81 m/s) (3060 x 3060) s^2
      X = 45900 km (over 4 lunar circum. trips)

      ... well, this is too long. 1g is rather light, expecially since the launch phase is so short (about 50 minutes). Most Humans lose consciousness at 10g, so let's choose a 4g launch:

      V = AT
      X = (1/2)AT^2
      A = 4g = 39.2 m/s^2
      T = V/A = (30000 m/s) / (39.2 m/s^2)
      T = 765 sec (about 12 min.)
      X = (.5) (39.2 m/s) (765 x 765) s^2
      X = 11500 km

      ... which is about right. In fact, since the launch is only about 12 minutes at a little over (to compensate for the lesser X) 4g, we can try 6g for the same length (Lunar circum.) to get a higher launch velocity:

      V = AT
      X = (1/2)AT^2
      T = (2X/A)^.5 = [(2) (10920000 m) / (6) (9.81 m/s^2)]^.5
      T = 609 sec (about 10 min.)
      V = AT = (6) (9.81 m/s^2) (609 s) = 35800 m/s
      V = ~36km/s

      ... which is 20% faster.

      30km/s or more can get the craft to Mars in 1 to 2 months depending upon relative positions of Mars and the Moon, less braking time. Since the launch was 6g for about 18 minutes, I imagine that the deceleration could be done at 10g for about 11 minutes. Since it really didn't matter how much fuel load was launched (since the Lunar launch ring should be built to launch many thousands of tons at once), burning fuel to produce 10g for 11 minutes shouldn't be much of a problem, fuel-quantity wise.

      One thing that could be done is the construction of a launch system upon Phobos, which is about 20km long. It may be worthwhile using Phobos for this purpose. Since it's so tiny compared to the Lunar launcher, it would have to use higher force to be useful. Let's say we can use a 20km length (through it?) with various steering mechanisms to make sure of proper aim. Since it's so short, let's choose a relatively high force for launching: 8g. (Mercury program launches involved 6g, and 12g upon reentry.)

      X = 20000 m
      A = 8g = (8) (9.81) m/s^2 = 78.5 m/s^2
      T = [(2) (20000 m) / (78.5 m/s^2)]^.5
      T = 22.6 s
      V = AT = (78.5 m/s^2) (22.6 s) = 1770 m/s =~ 1.8 Km/s

      ... which is a little low, but the launch time is of very short duration. Let's try for a rough launcher at

      --
      [You have a stable society when some nut guns down a schoolyard and the law doesn't change.]
  38. Re:So True! by classic66coupe · · Score: 0

    you said it.

  39. Article synopsis (C version) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    gcc -O3 -D_OMIT_BUREAUCRACY -o nasa.2.0 -lpriv -lboost nasa.c

    1. Re:Article synopsis (C version) by jaywee · · Score: 1

      Why do you compile a C source with C++ library? (boost)

  40. my reaction now is... by zogger · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ... the same I have had for a few years now. I think the government is trying to gradually remove the civilian space program, turn that over to private sources at an almost "hobby" level, and concentrate on pure classified military useages of space. They can claim "streamlined government" and "grand opportunities for the private sector" and so on, then go back to space being the military's job, which has always been the real #1 reason to even have a "space" program, ie, it's the high ground, who rules there wins.. It also can have a blacker budget even beyond what they have now. In adition, we've gotten to the point that international "cooperation" has gotten seriously into the giving away the family jewels level, it is no longer prudent to do so.

    IMO anyway

    Private space launches will continue,like now, and the normal commercial satellites etc, but that is old hat tech now. I am guessing even the best of them will be at the grade B level of technology, grade A will be held closer by the mil complex guys, and that will be the stealthing of "man in space" to the public. they might blather on about some mars mission in 10-20 years, in the meantime I bet they will be doing a lot more manned missions using more exotic craft than what they let on to.

    1. Re:my reaction now is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree, that definately seems to be what's happening... But does it really make sense, even from the millitary point of view?

      Millitary engineers will have more resources to develop technologies, but all of it comes at the cost of basic science research. Sure, it will probably result in short-term boom technology, but where will the next generation of scientific discoveries for which future technologies will require come from?

      Combined with decline in scientific/tech education, and outsourcing of technological and manufacturing capabilities, i can't see the US remaining the world's superpower 50 years from now.

      Of course, this lack of foresight is expected from current millitary leaders like rumsfeld, who only see the short term stragic benefits of a missile shield without considering its destabilizing effects, or who choose using its military might to "transform the middle east" instead of persuing energy independence.

  41. "NASA as punching bag" by luxuryluke · · Score: 1, Interesting

    There are a few well placed comments about NASA in the recent book by Dan Brown: Deception Point. Yes it's fiction, but intriguing as well, considering NASAs track record (good and bad).

    Let's hope we can really focus on a space future that makes sense, is reasonable expectation-wise, over-estimate on cost, and pursue long-term.

    I work for an FFRDC.

    --
    --- Das einzige, das wir zu fürchten haben, ist die Furcht selbst. ...so drink a bier and relax!
  42. Huge publicity? by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I didn't see that much publicity. Something like one speech. I've seen no mention of it campain wise.

    I would be interested to know Kerry's stance on the whole issue.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Huge publicity? by Rei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You've seen nothing of it since because it was a complete flop. There was this big televised press conference, and it was all over the news. And it came across very poorly. A week later, in the State of the Union, after this big hullabaloo about presenting it.... .nothing. Not a word of mention. So, either they "accidentally" publicized it a whole lot, or they meant for it to win support, and were disappointed. Take your pick.

      --
      Carbon, made, only wants to be unmade.
  43. That's exactly my point!! by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The whole space thing is a non-event for most people - thus not qualifying for the term "distraction". And as you say it was not even in the state of the union. So the original posters premise, that this is just some lame attempt by Bush to distract the populace, is thus utterly incorrect.

    It's not nessicarily a flop, just ignored.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:That's exactly my point!! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Did you read what I wrote? Because you didn't dispute what I said: that there was a big well-publicized press conference about it, and it was all over the news when it happened. Do you think this was just "accidental"?

      --
      Carbon, made, only wants to be unmade.
  44. At this point... by bullitB · · Score: 1

    ...what's the harm in just lying? Why not just make this a matter of national security? Someone needs to start putting out information that Earth's atmosphere is going to turn into helium in 50 years, and everyone needs to get to Mars as soon as possible. You wouldn't even have to convince everyone, maybe just 25% of the population. They'd go off and buy the technology and make it work, then everyone else could follow suit.

    Well, that's what I'd do anyway.

    1. Re:At this point... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could start pointing out that the concentration of chemicals like DHMO is much lower on Mars, and global warming scenarios almost all involve large amounts of DHMO in either liquid or crystalline form being distributed around the world. That should get the law-makers jumping. :)

  45. Inducement Prizes by colonist · · Score: 2, Informative

    "The commission also endorses NASA's plans to award large cash prizes to encourage technological innovation."

    The inducement prize allows one-off profits.

    Profit = Prize - Cost

    1. Go to Moon/Mars
    2. Win prize
    3. Profit!

    The ANSARI X PRIZE and Centennial Challenges are the first steps.

    Robert Zubrin recently had the idea of 'a competition open to all the different NASA centers and national laboratories and companies to see who could develop the most efficient Mars plan'.

  46. Re:Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russi by jfoust · · Score: 1

    China announced they were going to put a man in space and on the moon. Suddenly the US announced they were going to the moon and to Mars.

    Actually, the Chinese government hasn't said they are planning to send humans to the Moon. Indeed, in recent weeks they have made it clear that they have no plans for human lunar missions for the foreseeable future.

    It's not hard to connect the dots when there are only two.

    I believe the aphorism you are looking for is, "If you want to draw a straight line, plot only two points."

  47. Wright brothers first contract was Mail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And even today the postal service is a significant subsidiser of the airline industry.

  48. What difference does it make Democrates... by AWHITEMAN · · Score: 0

    will work like hell to avoid funding space exploration. As for the middle east being a mess, better there than here...

    --
    -- Note to liberals, yes please flee to Canada.
  49. Where did that extra EEEEEEEE come from by AWHITEMAN · · Score: 0

    hmmmm

    --
    -- Note to liberals, yes please flee to Canada.
  50. Re:Going to the moon only happened to "hurt" Russi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    China, on the other hand, is gearing up economically, and has a stated desire to expand its space program. A Chinese landing on moon would cement their superpower status, so a US mission to Mars is the logical step in a (potential) space race with them.


    They are a 'megapower' already, with worldwide military reach (ICBMs), nuclear stockpile, a manned space program, a significant GDP, ...
    (other megapowers: France, Britain, Russia)

    To become a superpower, you'd have to knock the US down a notch from 'hyperpower'.

    (though a blue water navy would help, global airlift capability, and modern manned weapons systems, the only three things possibly missing, as they are already a permanent member of the security council (a good indicator of megapower status))

  51. Wouldn't happen these days by aussie_a · · Score: 1

    female-on-female action just isn't popular with bush administration. Or so they say ;)

    Post: Offtopic -1

  52. Set your sights low by aussie_a · · Score: 1

    If they say "we're only going to mars" they're more likely to fail. Why? Because there are more obstacles (food and water and air for one). But if they say they're going to the moon then mars, they can just stop at the moon and there be considered some success.

    I'd agree with you if the goal was to reach mars. But it's not. It's to look good.

  53. Well said... by RKBA · · Score: 1
    Something tells me the people at NASA are already as gung-ho as can be about exploring the universe, and the only things holding them back are money and politics (bad politics = public thinks "money is being wasted on space exploration" = decreased funding).

    Well said. I wish I had some mod points to give you. I used to work at an "FFRDC" (JPL) and can tell you from personal experience that most of the scientists and engineers work there primarily because of their interest in exploring space rather than anything else. IMHO what they need is less bureaucracy, and less politically motivated and more honest schedule and budget planning during the initial project planning phase. When I joined JPL the place was mostly ran by scientists and engineers, but by the time I left 26 years later it seemed to be mostly run by administrators with business degrees instead of science diplomas.

    I still laugh about the time during the turn of the last century when a bureaucratic proclamation was decreed that all JPL computers shall pass year 2000 compliance tests and have compliance stickers affixed to them. At the time I was doing the programming for a pair of embedded rad-hard 8051 family microcontrollers that were part of the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM). Apparently no one told the division bean counter in charge of the Y2000 compliance program that the proclamation only applied to desktop computers and workstations. Since I was the sole programmer for the SIU flight computers (the 8051's), she sent me a sticker with instructions to run JPL's Y2000 compliance test software on them and to affix the compliance stickers to the computers. I got a great laugh out of this and so did the other people on the project - at first. I sent the bean counter pictures of the flight equipment in the clean room that contained the rack of JPL designed and built SRTM electronics (which included the 8051's in question), and explained that the microcontrollers did not run Windows (nor did they have any operating system at all other than what I had written!), and they did not even have a floppy disk drive in which to insert the Y2000 compliance testing software. Furthermore, the only "clock" they used was a real time clock interrupt whose software counter overflowed every 10 milliseconds, and that even if we did want to affix the compliance stickers to the flight computers, the stickers would have to be tested for outgassing, flammability, etc. It was great fun for awhile, even though it wasted a lot of my time.

    I assumed that would be the end of it, and I ignored further entreaties and threats from the bean counter. Eventually my supervisor inquired about it because the issue wouldn't die, and unbelievably it ultimately escalated to two or three management levels above me, until finally someone in the program office (the people who designate money for projects) got involved and made the issue go away by getting a special waiver for us. The fact that such an idiotic issue should ever have arisen at all is totally astounding, especially since hundreds of man hours were probably wasted during the full course of events on this one issue. It boggles the mind.

    1. Re:Well said... by q-the-impaler · · Score: 1

      In case anyone is wondering, this is exactly what it is like to work on a government project. Parent knows what s/he is talking about! Mod this is +1 informative, please.

      --
      Sierra Tango Foxtrot Uniform
  54. Re:cost and risk of getting stuff into space by jayster · · Score: 1

    I have misgivings about our being able to get a real foothold in space using rockets (from the earth's surface) but is anybody working on any other approaches? Here's an article about the space shuttle, etc., that might elicit comment.

    --
    "Anybody can change the world, but most people probably shouldn't." -- Marge Simpson
  55. Why I'm cautiously optimistic... by Ariane+6 · · Score: 1

    One thing that I've seen nobody here discuss or even mention is the fact that we absolutely, desparately, need something to replace the shuttle, and soon. They're not getting any younger, and if we keep flying them (with all due respect to the remarkable maintainance and upgrades program), they'll all eventually be spread out in debris fields across the planet.

    Even if congress doesn't fund the ambitious vision of the whitehouse, I imagine that they will realize the above, and fund the CEV (now known as "project constellation") - which is great because this vehicle will at least have the capability to fly beyond low Earth orbit. This is orders of magnitude better than we can do now, where going any further is impossible even if the will were there. Even if Bush's plan amounts to nothing, having a fleet of potentially deep-space faring craft makes taking the next step, far easier, both in terms of funding and political support.

  56. put up your hand if you think by ivano · · Score: 1
    this is just another way of diverting tax dollars from the people to big fat corporations (yes I am in Michael Moore mode here).

    NASA is now a big pork barrel to allocate government funds from the tax payer (who would prefer - lets see - national health cover) to some nice (Republician?) states (Texan, Florida -anyone?). Yes, another way of bankrupting the government and selling its assets cheaply to big business making them even richer.

    Laugh! Nearly turned South African.

    Do people think that getting private enterprise is going to help some small guy who likes to tinker with rockets? Big surprise. The money will go where the most special interest groups are(remember them - they're not the Gay Marriage people or the Crack addicts for free drugs - they're...wait for it...big business. Jesus, we can't even get funding for how much sugar is too much due to their tactics. One person, one vote my ass)

    Ciao

    Err, whatever...

  57. i think he means that by ivano · · Score: 1
    "The president said some really cool things about space and stuff on the news and then we heard nothing." In a few weeks/months/years they'll be asking "why didn't NASA get off their fat butt and do something...gee the president gave you all the money you wanted."

    Anyway this will be the spin that Fox/CNN will put on it since they themselves can only make a story about things you already know. Hence there is a *positive* spin story for George W Bush for free. Bush did all this work and NASA fucked it up again. I guess the best thing to do is to break up NASA and sell it to...umm...big multinational (ie American) military companies. Welfare for the rich! Split the cake up that all Americans own and give it to the Hyena's of business

    Ciao

  58. a whole new ball game by alizard · · Score: 2, Insightful
    That transhumanist paper is cool, but the numbers they're working with are obsolete.

    $250/ton launch costs to low earth orbit sort of change things a bit. Even the Space Elevator no longer makes sense competing with something like this, and the problems with blimp-to-orbit projects are a hell of a lot easier to solve than the problems of getting carbon nanotube technology ready to build ribbons long enough and strong enough to carry freight by the ton to orbit.

    They make projects like solar power satellite networks look feasible. BTW, NASA's numbers that pointed toward feasibility were based on hypothetical $400/kg launch costs. The numbers look a lot better at $250/ton.

    Given the risk-averse nature of modern corporations, this still would be a hard sell.

    Perhaps government loan guarantees, liability caps like the ones given to nuclear power producers, and guarantees of X-million pounds of payload contracts to companies who prove the ability to deliver to orbit at $X or $XX dollars / pound would make it a lot easier to get private capital on board.

    More of that sort of thing is discussed on my technology page, check the sig.

  59. I have confidence in M. Garibaldi by vortexau · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I have more confidence in Jerry Doyle, the Republican candidate for the San Fernando Valley congressional seat, who is better known to the science fiction crowd as the actor who played irascible security chief "Michael Garibaldi" on the legendary television space opera Babylon 5 . . than I have in Bush himself!
    Space Powers Babylon 5 Star's Congressional Bid
    So, what happened? Did Jerry Doyle win office?
    .

    --
    (David Bowman, EVA near HUGE Monolithic Win-PC in orbit around Jupiter) "My God - its full of Malware!"
  60. It's being done on purpose by zogger · · Score: 1

    I think the public perception of incompetence is just a crude smokescreen for malevolence. I have zero faith that what you are seeing now geopolitically from the US is being done to benefit the US middle class, the older traditional backbone of the US economy. On the contrary, everything we are seeing appears to only benefit a few international conglomerates.

    The R&D now and into the future come from the same places it does now. 1/2 goes to uuniversities who get lucrative government grants and contracts, the other half go to private business contractors, with your usual secrecy, classified projects, and yada yada yada. It is changing slowly and going more international, either by putting the money outside the borders, or by similar to what they are doing now, importing the brains.

    As to what technology is out there now, who REALLY believes "they" don't have a successor to the sr71 up and flying? Personally, I think they are probably 3 generations beyond sr71 technology.

    And I agree,and not even in 50 years, try 10 to 15 years, I think the US will lose it's "public" top dog status, and I also think it's being done on purpose,completely on purpose, for a host of reasons,because it is part of an overall lofty heights connected elite globalism effort to make the planet a two class technofuedalistic big brother society. They also want to severely reduce the worlds population levels. I think it's fairly obvious, BTW, that this is happening. Governments by and large are increasingly irrelevent, they get *told* what to do, the rest is just soap opera for the peoples. That's a pretty involved subject and beyond some single post sized discussion, and a side issue, but it's my opinion on the subject.

  61. Centripetal acceleration of 50 Gs? by CreateWindowEx · · Score: 1
    Wouldn't the centripetal acceleration be a factor at the end of the launch? My numbers or math might be wrong, but I work it out to be:
    A = V^2/R =
    (30,000 m/s)^2/
    (1,700,000 m) = 530 m/s^2 = 53g
    I suppose you could construct your accelerator in a spiral shape to make the final section as straight as possible, but that would involve either a pretty crazy support structure or some big excavation...

    Another possibility would be to make a tiny capsule for just the people, and accelerate that to a smaller velocity using a shorter accelerator. Sling a series of rocket fuel tanks out at higher and higher speeds, so that the capsule can dock with each tank, use it to accelerate, and then meet the next one. Presumably the fuel tanks could use a short accelerator with very high acceleration.

  62. How does that relate to distractions from the comi by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    One evet does not a distraction make.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  63. Past the election then by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Then it still has no bearing as a tactic for distraction. Would it really have been better he do nothing and just let NASA drift? At least it's the start of a more realistic plan for getting to mars. It's better than what we did have, which was zero.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  64. M. Garibaldi is more on-topic than Bush by vortexau · · Score: 1

    Just answer me - what is so "off-topic" with an enquiry asking whether an actor, who portrayed a successful role in a well done Space Fiction TV series, has made it into a political seat; when asked in a thread concerning the possibility of US return to manned space exploration?
    .

    --
    (David Bowman, EVA near HUGE Monolithic Win-PC in orbit around Jupiter) "My God - its full of Malware!"
  65. Oh Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The last thing we need in space right now is the fascist Americans.