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Software Companies - Merge or Die?

pillageplunder writes "This article in Businessweek points out that large software companies like Siebel, BMC and Veritas are all warning that 2nd quarter results would be lower, and predicts a shakeout. According to the article, 'Investment bankers say half of the sector's 600 publicly traded companies are likely to be eliminated.' Ouch!"

10 of 278 comments (clear)

  1. Microsoft by mboverload · · Score: 5, Funny
    So that means Microsoft has a 1 out of 2 chance of being eliminated.

    Oh...wait....

  2. Half? by Neil+Blender · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Once that happens, won't that mean about 75% of publicly traded companies will be gone since the dot com bust? A second round, I guess.

    I hope the company I work for never goes public. I'd rather stay small and slightly profitable than get a whole bunch of money and blow it.

  3. No Competition by LeoDavinci578 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Without competition software will just get worse, with no need to improve.

  4. One argument by Unnngh! · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The one compelling argument the article mentioned as to why this may happen is that larger companies' only means of expanding their customer base is through acquiring smaller companies. From what I've seen, however, a lot of businesses/individuals go with smaller companies because they have a personal contact there, and the people are local or have some other affiliation with the customer. This can be really nice for custom development and support, even on a medium scale.

    Large companies have a tendency to acquire smaller companies and keep them as a separate department, but they inevitably get phased out over time and absorbed into the larger entity. How many people really want to deal with the software giants past a point?

  5. Why don't some companys just change their values? by Cyberhwk · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Why don't companys just change their values instead of trying to screw people? There was an article about bad customers on slashdot earlier and I think a bigger problem is poor treatment of customers. Seriously look at all the marketing where there are large rebates instead of just marking the product down to a more reasonable rate. All the rebates done hoping the people won't be able to collect on them later. This isn't exactly friendly business. Large companies who's values are supposed to be integrity and people are firing their workers and trying to cut every corner just to raise their own stock options. Wouldn't it be better business to make better products and hire people from the countries that you are selling to instead of making products that break and sending your money to other countries. Aren't large companies in effect draining the economy that they are trying to tap with their current business plans? I think business should just try to do a few things to improve their products. 1)Make things right the first time. I can't tell you how many companies I've stopped buying from cause their products are flawed. 2) Value people. Give friendly customer support and stop trying to give every excuse in the book not to work. If you offer a warrenty you should honor it for everyone and not just big business.

  6. Car industry by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Went from 400 firms in the 20s to less than ten major conglomerates. And this is in an industry that can be "open sourced"...

    Its going to be ugly in software. 75% of firms are on borrowed time.

  7. Evolution in action... by Gordonjcp · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The way we use software is changing, so the companies that produce software must change. It's like the British motorcycle industry. Right up until the 1960s, you could buy one of a broad range of British bikes, or little scooters from Italy. When the Japanese motorcycles started to be imported, people realised that they could own a motorbike that was fun, cheap, went round corners, stopped, didn't piss oil everywhere and didn't need near-continuous maintenance.


    Open-source is the Japanese motorcycle industry. At the moment, we're about where motorcycles were in the late 1970s - they're pretty good, and they work and work well. But we haven't reached the Honda CG125 (a million pizza-delivery boys can't be wrong), or the mighty mighty Fireblade, yet...

  8. And the lesson is ... by goatstuffer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Don't ever make your company public. Once you do, it stops being a company and instead a money-collector. Instead of a commercial entity which produces (hopefully) a superior product, you are controlled by people who more than likely don't give a rat's ass about what is made, unless it's money. This is the problem, they don't care how the money is made, so they'll press for cutting corners at every opportunity, and make a prime target for "mergers". Mergers are just an excuse to cut even more corners, by taking advantage of economy of scale. However, once one player in the field does this, the others must follow or be eaten up. Thus is perpetuates until we reach a number of large companies which are too large and bloated to react to demand and conditions, and fudge the books, or stifle innovation in order to keep what rightfully should be a corpse alive. True innovation will always be carried out by dedicated individuals or small groups, possibly in a private company, but these large ones are just disasters waiting to happen.

  9. stupid execs by gphinch · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I really have a tough time relating to an article that has to explain that IT is an accronym for info-tech. Stupid analysts are just guessing anyway, half of software companies being gobbled up seems a bit overstated.

    --
    in bed.
  10. Re:Great! by cynic10508 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe the mergers will lead to more jobs, but my guess is that most mergers will be followed by layoffs (and possibly more overseas outsourcing).

    The hemorraging of outsourced jobs will stop once the first big security problem arises. Be it, proprietary code stolen, trojan horse inserted (perhaps by a foreign government), etc. Unfortunately, it'll take something of this magnitude to make companies realize that the short-term dollars saved in outsourcing will cose them long-term when the real problems arise.