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MMOG Subscription Analysis Provides New Insights
Thanks to jer0 for pointing to SirBruce's updated MMOG Subscription Growth analysis page, which tries to "chart the trend in active subscriptions" for major MMO titles using public and private data. This "major revision" has the "chart separated into three tiers" dependent on subscription size, and shows Lineage as the worldwide MMO leader at "just under 2.7 million" (though this may be reliant on bulk 'PC Baang' subscriptions in countries such as South Korea, and the game has "only 7,000 [subscribers] in the United States.") Other notable entries include City Of Heroes ("surpassed 180,000 subscribers... proof that a well-executed MMOG can still garner substantial numbers even in the current competitive climate"), and the also recently launched, but less successful Horizons ("After peaking at around 35,000 subscribers, they have since fallen to somewhere between 20,000 and 25,000 subscribers.")
graph #3 reports 100k Runescape "active subscribers" in Jul 04. Either I'm hugely underestimating how many people pay for Runescape, or they're counting _all_ accounts, of which the majority are neither 'subscribers' or 'active.'
But I'm kinda interested in the Matrix online game.
I'm wondering how they will incorporate bullettime into the online/realtime arena.
I'm afraid it will suck though, but if it's cool, that will be the first online game I will pay a subscription for.
For me the other online MMOPROPRFPRFRPGR's are too boring in the long run.
This is the sig that says NI (again)
By requiring a paid subscription, you virtually eliminate the industry-standard scapegoat of "piracy" when your game fails...
When modding "Informative", please make sure it both has a source and IS actually informative.
does anyone here play any of those Asian based MMORPG's? I'm just curious, do they have enough english-speaking players or english language servers so that playing doesn't become a chore of finding something you can understand??
Most of the people are the same. Jumping from one addiction to the next. See, you thought Everquest wasn't very addictive, so you took that first hit...er... month for free. Then when you got into that second month, they asked for money. Soon that got expensive, so you switched from crac...errr... Everquest to cocai.... errr... city of heros. Its a little cheaper to pay for, but the high you get is a little better.
Yes, I feel that in 10 years we will see a sharp decline of subscribers from ALL MMOGs due to OD'ing or parents kicking their 30 year old kids out of the house and force them to get jobs.
Seriously, though, I don't get it from the players perspective. You pay $30-$50 a shot to BUY the game and the first month. Then you pay $10 a month to play. You, then, PAY (?!?!?) for major updates to the system (cleverly named 'expansions')???
What does that $10 go to? Just playing on the servers?
The other sad thing is that the games aren't fun to a casual gamer. You have to be a teenager or college kid without any outside distractions to do well in these games. Once you are good enough, its your duty to be an ass to all casual gamers so they eventually quit and never play again.
What MMOG really need is a 'death' time. You 'age' in the game, and once you hit like 60 you die. That way kids that play the game 8+ hours a day can start at level 16 and work to super massive skills, but the casual gamer can start at 30 when a few skills have been mastered and they can play without fear of some child named 1337 d00d smacking them around and being an ass.
</rant>
Good quote, too many chars. Seriously, the slashdot 120 char limit sucks!
If you haven't tried the A Tale in the Desert Beta you really should.
It's just hard to describe.
http://www.atitd.net/ Current - Non Beta version
http://www.atitd2.com/ Beta Version
http://www.atitd.info/ Info on the game
In the game: Karsus
I don't know how well EQ would do in Korea. Korea only recently removed the bans on importing "cultural" items such as cds and games from Japan. Sony, being a Japanese company, may have trouble setting up a Korean EQ server. It also explains why Koreans love American games such as Warcraft and Quake, but don't seem to be so supportive of Japanese games....
I actually just registered for Second Life last night. It's kinda interesting. I don't think it qualifies as a conventional "roleplaying" game, although you do have an avatar in a massive multiplayer online world, and you can configure how you look and amass all sorts of objects in an inventory... as well as virtual money. But there's no "experience", per se.
;)
One aspect that may definitely disqualify it as a MMORPG for sure, is that it actually has women in it.
Second Life has a scripting language (C++-based) and basically allows anyone to create freeform objects with behaviors and properties. The economic model is interesting. You can do things like create an automated dispenser which charges people to create copies of objects you have created. You can also own virtual real estate.
Someone has created an adventure-within-a-world in it that tracks experience. I haven't checked it out yet, but it sounds interesting. You have to "buy" an Adventurer's Pack which gives you all the relevant objects.
So I don't know if it counts. What do you think?
My name in it is Roark Spinnaker, in the event you run into me while I'm flying around in it. I haven't decided yet if I will stay after the free week trial is over.
I've been toying around with writing me own games for a bit now, and I've been thinking about writing them much longer than that. And I've gotten into no small number of arguments on various IRC #gamedev channels about MMORPG's in particular lately.
Though I don't claim that it's foolproof or that it's guaranteed sucess, I don't think it's a guaranteed failure either. Here is my idea:
A smaller, more focused MMORPG, perhaps even the "massive" part needs to be removed. Target subscription is 500-1500 subscribers, with a set upper limit of probably 1500. Target subscription fee $50 a month (read on before you just dismiss everything outright). Before anyone explodes over that rate, consider that for every other product, there are people interested in paying a premium for just about anything. (Also consider that the hardcore gamer has a bigger game budget than that anyway... but will he devote so much of it to this?)
Not sure about the world itself, but I will admit that it probably has to be either a starwar'ish space thing, or medivieval fantasy (dragons, elves). If you wanted to play, you'd submit an application, and assuming it's not all booked up, you'd be given a choice of up to 2 dozen characters to play, complete with biography summaries of those (and if they were completely unsuitable... wait another day, while we find some other choices for you). I'd also try to weed out all the obnoxious players, too, for that matter. People who want to play in character are important, and if you chalked up more than a few infractions (talking about monday night football in game, using too much modern slang, etc) I'd probably end up canceling the subscription.
Player death would be permanent (choose another character). There would be skill levels, but this isn't pacman and they aren't power pellets (numbers hidden from the player). There would be a true storyline/plot going on, but it's up to the players what happens with it (will the evil lord dominate the known world, blah blah). Also (and I'm still conceptualizing what the tools would have to be to allow this) the DM's in the game would work hard to come up with alot of subplots for players, while encouraging players to not only maintain the plots, but invent/help out/ grow them.
For instance, let's take a very boring character that no one would choose to play. An owner of a small bookshop in the village that passes for a major city in the kingdom. One day walking to the market, a DM uses his "godlike" powers to put a old hag in his path, in a way that he can't help but walk into her, knock her down. She casts a curse, which the player might not even choose to believe (I tend to go for the flavor of story where magic is truly rare, though this world may or may not be that way). That DM flags that player, so that if another DM takes over, they can keep a fairly close watch on him. For the next week of play, whenever he logs in, bad (but not really evil) things happen to the character. Keeps stepping in horse turds, or if he walks past a candle, his head catches on fire (though not allowing it to do significant damage). Let the player decide how to handle it. Will the player seek someone out to reverse it? Will he seek out the old hag and apologize? I don't know.
And I could cook up a few dozen other subplots, for this *boring* character. Town guards extorting protection from him (which is actually an intersecting plot for another character I use an example). Some evil creepy stranger asks you to track down a rare book. Etc.
Among other things, each player would be flagged as to what subplots had been used with him, and maybe the software should even keep track (suggest?) of possible subplots. With at most 300 simultaneous players, it just might be possible, if everything were automated well for the DM. (They'd have to be good typists though, to keep up with everyone, talking through so many NPCs).
Anyone care to comment on how stupid all of this is?
I still play ClanLord, been playing 4 1/2 yrs now. It's still going but it'll never be high in subscribers, they don't advertise, it's Mac only, and most of the work on it is volunteer. I would guess there are about 2-3k subscribers. It's still fun to play tho!
It's something that can and will work - it's like EQ legends taken to the next level.
The trick is, it needs to piggyback on a successful service. You can't develop a game for 1500 people @ $50/mo. Even if you could provide the service at that rate (and I think $75/mo would be more likely, or $30 + a per hour rate), that still won't nearly cover development. But you can have a standard service and have some custom content on the premium service as well as route all content through a period of exclusivity there. The key is the GM/DM intervention to set up quests, make the world come to life, and do things like reward good roleplay.
It's a lot like what you'd get if you were able to join an NWN server with good content and a dedicated DM any time you wanted. I'd happily pay a *ton* of money for it... certainly $100/mo.
I'm waiting for MMOFPS's or a massively multiplayer GTA3.. Yeah, I know about the online mod, but 64 players isn't "massive".
Huge technical challenge to try and get 1000's of people onto the same FarCry (for example) map, but it would really be cool.
I think of GTA because it has to be somewhat pointless. Not like a RTCW:ET setup where you have teams and roles. I can't play that, I have no idea what to do and the knobs who play it can't tolerate a "noob".
I want to just run around, shooting guys, throwing rocks, smashing up cars, flipping the bird, etc..
I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
I have to agree with parent's sentiment - ATITD2 (I just started playing the beta) is amazingly well done, but p0w3rg4m3rz will be bored within minutes...a plus as far as I'm concerned.
The game takes place in the Egypt of antiquity, and all players begin as peasants. The goal of the game is to build "the perfect society" according to the Seven Virtues. You learn how to build structures, and learn new skills at "state sponsored" schools dedicated to the Seven Virtues, eventually completing tests to move higher in the tech tree.
Three things I find of particular interest: cooperative learning (wherein citizens donate materials to Universities in order to unlock higher skills for *all* their region), the ability to teach skills to other players, and player-written laws.
If you don't like the way something works in the game, propose a law. If it has enough votes (and doesn't break game mechanics), the "law" is written into the game by the devs. And speaking of the devs, they seem *very* responsive to player ideas. You really get the sense that they care about the enjoyment factor.
I still play EQ and CoH, but ATITD2 looks like it will appeal to people who like a challenge, but want to go a different route.
- Jack
I would say it was the 35 year occupation(1910-1945) and colonial Japan's attmept to wipe out the Korean language and culture(people were given Japanese names, the Japanese language was the only language allowed in schools and official forums), Korean comfort women etc. Plus the fact that unlike Germany, Japan made very few renumerations to the victims. The youth of Korea seem a lot less angry at Japan than their parents/grandparents. Off topic but if you do get the chance, I recommend you talk to both Germans and Japanese about the war, you will get some very interesting opinions...
Yet the sims online was a total failure. I think the reason for this is both simple and important.
What was the difference between The Sims and The Sims online?
The sims is a non-competitive game. It is totally impossible to compare the "performance" of one player vs another. The Sims as played by those still playing it is perhaps even a coorperative game. Most of the content is not created by Maxis/EA but by the users and shared by the users. I even think that people don't by the expansions for the extra content but for the extra capability it gives the community to create their own content.
Compare this with the sims online where there is no user created content and that introduces competition with other players. Plus now you gotta work for every credit in game (Many The Sims player use the moneycheat to get the money they need for their family). The Sims is a game where you let your creative juices flow. The Sims online is a grind to compete.
The Sims is also a good example because the sales figures show that the people that play it are not afraid to spend money. Even content downloaded is often paid for as most of the "free" content is hosted from a central site that requires a subscription to offset hosting costs. Add the constant expansions and The Sims player have easily spend hundreds of dollars.
Most MMO games seem obsessed with adding competition even PvP. Sure online combat games are popular but is it popular with the right crowd? Is it possible that people who like Counter Strike will never pay for a MMO version of it? After all why should they, they got their MMO free.
Paid for MMO games perhaps should aim at a different audience. An audience that prefers to have something more then just a grind to compete on a ladder game. Competition gives winners and losers. People are not going to pay money each month to loose to some 12 yr old kid that can afford to spend 24/7 learning every exploit in the game.
Game industry take note. With every leet counter stike kiddie you attract to your game you loose 10 people that just want to have fun.
I am not saying the a massive CS game won't work or sell. Just that at their is a different market as well. Second Life is an example of this.
What I would like to see in a game. No PvP except maybe in arena's with very clear rules and no cheats. A low lvl/irregular player is not worthless, read this as not making it compulsery to first grind to lvl X before you can do anything fun/usefull. Police that constantly checks for assholes ruining it for everyone else. Ban people that can't behave. 1 asshole can easily turn of dozens of players.
Growth would be nice too, you start as a kid with no skills and weak stats, then grow up and eventually grow old and then die. Give the option to retire and make the next character related to the first. A child an apprentice or similar. This neatly would avoid insanely high characters but a child would inherit money and some basic skills avoiding you to start a new low lvl character once you reached the XP ceiling.
But most importantly the game should still be fun when you remove the multi player element.
To many games now are very basic Diablo clones. Nothing wrong with diablo but not everyone likes it and there is no market for dozens like it.
MMO Quests are like orgasms:
You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.
That's not wholly true. A game can be a success without having generated a large draw at launch certainly, but if in 90 days of launch you're game has paid off it's investment and prepared you to empower your company for the forseeable future and next project, that you are a success even if most of the people aren't playing in a few months. Which, I might add, is a common, yet entirely unfounded argument that elitist MUDheads use in the industry when something is successful that doesn't match their idea of what a good game is.
A good game is one that 140k (the number from cryptic and thier place on the top 10 sales lists for several weeks says this number is low) pay to play, no matter how you slice it.
Hi. I am a former Artifact Entertainment (Horizons) employee. I was a systems administrator for their production server and networking equipment. If you have questions, post them and I will answer, so long as it won't get me into trouble.
What I don't get it why there aren't any smaller coding / artwork groups doing really well with MMORPGs.
Release the client for free, make it open source even, ditto for the server, and then charge, say, $10 a month to use a centrally hosted 'world' (which has all the good stuff). Even a 25,000 players (less than most of the games in this study) would rake in $250,000 per month.. and imagine what, say, 15 hardcore people (who might ordinarily be working on free software anyway) could do with that!
Okay, I'm not saying this is an easy venture by any means, but it strikes me as odd that I haven't heard of anyone trying this. There seems to be so much money and opportunity in it.
Horizons is hands down my favorite of all of those. I foresee myself playing this game for years to come.
The game has a much more mature player base than any other I have seen, a complete lack of d00ds/griefers (the lack of a PvP element probably is a part of this). The game certainly is less attractive to power-levelers who do become bored with it rapidly. The game is also the most "solo friendly" of anything I've played since AC1. I have always hated forced-grouping games, and Horizons gives you both the ability to participate in a community, as well as a chance to be self-reliant if you choose.
For me the attraction is the very immersive world. The world itself is a beautiful one, the player models from Dragon to Dryad are great, the crafting system is first-class, and the multi-schooling system is much more enjoyable and intriguing for me than rigid class systems like EQ/DAoC had. I love the *process* of playing Horizons, and just interacting with the world. If you are a goal-oriented person in a race to level 100, then yes this game may not be for you.
There ARE issues with the game at this time, and they ARE making some major improvements, which I expect to really transform the game over the next 6-12 months. For a game like Horizons, I am willing to give this game the time it needs to fully mature. I currently play mainly on the Blight test server and there are a LOT of changes coming in the very near future.
Visit Tazoon.com to see a greater amount of positive feedback from CURRENT players who really love this game, and learn WHY they like it. It has a loyal diehard fanbase that I have not experienced since my three years with AC1.
But most of all, try the 7-day free trial and make up your own mind about this game.
The last MMORPG I played was Dark Age of Camelot. The last one before that was UO, and before that was Realm. I played Realm when I was maybe 11 years old. I played it for a few months, got to the max level, then they did this thing we called "The Big Update" where the increased the max level from 100 to 500 and changed the whole game. I quit after that, too many bugs. Then I played UO for years. Ultima Online was the best MMORPG there ever was hands down, when it FIRST came out. There was nothing better than it, there will never be anything better than the first UO. But then they started changing things. An old MMORPG proverb says "When the company starts changing things due to complaints from users, that's when the MMORPG starts to crumble" And it is true, I've seen it in every game I've played. The lesser skilled people complain, bitch, and moan, and they all bark at the company to change something to suit them, once that trend starts the game will die, I've seen it with over 4 different games. Ultima Online was amazing because it was unforgiving. When you died, you lost everything in your back pack. You could be PK'ed at any second outside of town, even if you just started. When the game was new and the first day I joined, some guy was like, want to go on an adventure? I was like sure! He took me out on my boat, stole all my money, killed me. I logged back in as a ghost, on an island, and it took hours for me to get back to town. There is nothing like that today, everything is too easy. Everyone wants their secure worlds where they won't be killed, that's just lame. You worked for weeks to get a house in UO, then when you finally got one, someone could come along, kill you, take the key, and it was their house. Being a PK was fun back then, because you could basically take over dungeons. I remember I was "leveling" in a dungeon and 2 blue portals appeared, out stepped 5 guys in jester hats with 2 pet dragons, they killed everyone and posted dragons at the entrance of the dungeon, killing everyone. Sounds lame maybe, but it was so fun compared to the bullcrap safety stuff today. Then they introduced a reputation system where when you killed enough people (like 4!!) you were permanently a murderer, you couldn't enter towns (which was how it was before however if you were good long enough you could get rid of bad status), and when you die you lost alot of your skill points, which took days and days and days and weeks to get back. They effectively killed PK'ing, especially when they introduced the "non pk world" and the "10 hour newbie invulnerability from pvp". I got my ass kicked constantly, but you learned how to get strong and kick butt back. Now everyone just bitches and moans, because they can't handle being weak. And the company listened to them, and UO started to fail. Dark Age of Camelot was a big thrill to me. I didn't play an online game for years after UO, as I thought they all sucked, but I played a hour of DaOC and I was sadly hooked. It was exciting because the world was so huge, and I loved the concept of 3 different countries where communication was impossible (different languages in the game), and the only place you could meet them was on the battlegrounds where you tried to take over their keeps and their treasurers. That was cool, and it had a very nice PVE (fighting NPC's) element. However guess what...people started bitching and moaning. DaOC was very responsive to people and they actually did a good job in keeping the game relatively good while changing stuff. But eventually it went a little too awry, hell go on the VN boards over at IGN and all people do is bitch. This ruins games if the company changes stuff for them. And it did. I was off of the game for 2 weeks due to computer repair, I come back, there was a major change, and the game was dead. Completely dead, all my friends quit. MMORPG's need to be hard, they need to be unforgiving. PVP is not only a good option it is essential in MMORPG's, because eventually fighting those NPC's becomes predictable, and easy. The game becomes boring.
Your perceptions are really distorted. I'm not saying there are no 20-30s loosers that do nothing but play, but they are not the majority. Last one I played was Star Wars Galaxies. I joind a big PA (collection of players, in other games a guild) that used voice chat. I discovered some things that many would consider supprising:
1) A good number of women. The stereotype seems to be all males and that wasn't true. Our PA was probably 30-35% women.
2) Lots of married people, with children. Some couples, some single, some father-son teams, and so on. It wasn't just the "single people with lots of time", the married people may have even been the majority. For them, this is what they did INSTEAD of watch TV or other more classic American persuits.
3) High median age, probably about 25, maybe 27. 18-25 was the biggest group, but there were plenty of 25+s. Not a bynch of teenagers, in fact under 18 was pretty rare.
4) Plenty of successful, skilled, people. I hung out with a group that knew eachother in real life, being all engineers for a JPL contractor. One guy was one of the designers for the Mars Rover communication system (the ground side).
5) Plenty of casual gamers, me being one of them. I lack the attention span to be hardcore in those kind of games. Even when I have loads of free time, I just can only play for so long. There were plenty of hard core ones, but plenty of casuals too.
So your stereotypes are not at all correct. No doubt there are plenty of people that do fit your description, but there are plenty that do not. I find MMORPGs entertaining in a way that other games are not, so I play them, as I do other games. However I own my own house, have a full time job, and spend time on other things.