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Cold Fusion Back From The Dead

misterfusion writes "Looks like the IEEE is warming up to cold fusion with the latest story "Cold Fusion Back from the Dead". This has been a good year for this field with several leading science journals (Physics Today, MIT Technology Review, etc) contributing stories. Things are warming up and if science Research & Development funding can be stimulated with a positive DoE report (due soon), it might be an interesting rebirth."

142 of 635 comments (clear)

  1. Almost had a heart attack! by skrysakj · · Score: 5, Funny

    I thought the article was referring to Macromedia Coldfusion!
    Phew!

    1. Re:Almost had a heart attack! by Cylix · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's what I thought too...

      I thought why?

      There are some many better things now.

      Let it stay dead man... just die a noble death.

      --
      "You should always go to other people's funerals; otherwise, they won't come to yours." -- Yogi Berra
    2. Re:Almost had a heart attack! by bk_veggie · · Score: 3, Informative

      bleh. i did CF development for 6 years before moving into IT security. CF is still quite qidely used in the private (bank of america, etc) and is extensively used in public sector shops. the majority of DoS and many DoD sites use it (and they port it to linux, so pbbt.) don't confuse their questionable products like flash and shockwave with a really solid, open standard web application language.

    3. Re:Almost had a heart attack! by techsoldaten · · Score: 2, Funny

      See, when I hear about a site powered by ColdFusion , I want that to mean the server runs in a large building somewhere getting all it's energy from within a glass jar stored in the basement.

      Moreover, when I hear about a site written in C# , I want that to mean a composer orchestrated the score for the site in a beautiful, somber key evocative of Brahms later symphonies.

      Also, when I hear about a site written in java , I want that to bring to mind a picture of some nut on the floor of a coffee house writing hundreds of pages of a manifesto by hand using stale coffee beans before publishing his rants on the Web.

      For that matter, when I hear there is a site powered by Perl , I want that to mean there is a site solely financed by the pearl trade.

      And when I hear about a site powered by ASP , I want it to be an Egyptian site that changes ownership every few months due to the unexplained deaths of previous owners.

      Further, where I hear about a site powered by PHP , I want to know that no user has a clue what scripting technology I am using.

      The point to all this: I develop in all of the scripting languages listed above. Users don't care what language was used to write a site, they only care whether or not the site does what they need it to do.

      M

    4. Re:Almost had a heart attack! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Wow, you people really have no idea, at all, what you are talking about. ColdFusion 4? Uh, that was 6 years ago you fools. ColdFusion MX is a Java/J2EE application that runs on JRun, WebSphere, Tomcat, etc. and utterly trounces other web development languages. It has tags that make all common needs simple to solve (create a web service with one line of code?!) and if you need to do anything complex, call anything in the Java API straight from your CFML code. Any statements about lack of scalability or security are utterly false and are clearly coming from someone who has no clue about what CFMX is. I've been a CF developer for 6 years and do very well at it, building extremely large and complex ecommerce and data warehouse systems. It's just hilarious to see people show their ignorance by saying things as "facts" that are actually totally incorrect.

    5. Re:Almost had a heart attack! by stephanruby · · Score: 3, Insightful
      "There are so many better things now. "

      Right now, CFML is the only language that will run on either a Java Server or the .NET framework

      Sure, there are better cheaper tag-based languages out there, but CFML is still one of the easiest languages I've ever come across. If anything, it's too easy, that's why there is so much disdain for it, in many ways, it's so easy -- it doesn't feel like a real computer language.

  2. Come on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    You guys could've fit at least ONE MORE "warming up" pun in the summary. It's like you weren't even trying!

    1. Re:Come on... by Spankophile · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I never seem to have modpoints when I want them.

  3. What if Slashdot was right... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 3, Funny

    Given the history of cold fusion, the Nothing for you to see here. Please move along. notice seemed strangely appropriate. :)

    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    1. Re:What if Slashdot was right... by garcia · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Too bad Elizabeth Shue isn't spearheading the research. At least she's something to see.

    2. Re:What if Slashdot was right... by Jason+Ford · · Score: 5, Informative

      Insightful? Would wondering if Val Kilmer might steal her research from her get me a '+1, Informative' moderation?

      --
      I did not become a vegetarian for my health, I did it for the health of the chickens. --Isaac Bashevis Singer
    3. Re:What if Slashdot was right... by Rei · · Score: 2, Interesting

      1) Palladium is hardly the only metal that will conceivably work; it is just the metal that has had the most use thusfar, and since people are still trying to understand what is going on, they keep working on it. I believe titanium is another candidate; there are several.

      2) Palladium coated carbon spheres, according to the Wired article from 1998 discussing the progress on Cold Fusion that really revived popular interest, have been used a number of times with success. Also, even in a pure palladium setup, the situation isn't bad: a device that produces 1kw of power per cubic centimeter of palladium ran for 50 days - and this on minimal research funding.

      Well, the fire alarm is going off, so I better flee. Ciao.

      --
      I'm you from the future! We have to finish our time machine before the Angels of Destruction find the portal!
  4. Better title... by TopShelf · · Score: 2, Funny

    How's about "Cold Fusion warmed over" instead?

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    Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    1. Re:Better title... by Lt+Cmdr+Tuvok · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Indeed. 'Back from the dead' would seem to imply that the subject in question was once a living entity, while it is plainly apparent that cold fusion is a permanently nonliving phenomenon.

      However, I'm afraid that 'Cold fusion warmed over' is also an illogical statement. This has connotations with hot coffee, or some other drink or food item that is customarily hot, that has gone cold and has once more been made warm.

      Both statements fail abjectly to address the issue at hand. The optimal statement here would be 'Cold fusion might yet be viable'.

      Regarding this particular issue, I can only state that I, along with many of my contemporaries, know various facts about cold fusion that are yet unknown in your time. This includes the fact whether it is viable. However, reporting these facts here would be a direct violation of the Prime Directive.

      --
      Without the darkness, how would we recognize the light?
    2. Re:Better title... by Josh+Booth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Though it appears that he may be right in the end -- cold fusion does exist -- that is how science works. It was extremely difficult for people to reproduce it and since the success rate was on par with anomolous behavior, it was regarded as a fluke. Now that it is understood slightly better, some people are getting results. Usually if the theory behind the experiment is understood, the experiments, no matter how inaccurate, are repeated and made better. But nobody understands the theory. I'm still skeptical, but if this pans out in the end, it would be awesome! Imagine sticking it to oil companies with nuclear cars and planes.

    3. Re:Better title... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Imagine sticking it to oil companies with nuclear cars and planes.

      Oil companies would be richer than ever if this pans out. The oil won't stop being needed, it'll just stop being burned. And quite a few "oil companies" have figured out that they are in the energy business, not the oil business. And would probably be in the forefront of providing high-grade deuterium for your cold fusion units.

      "Mr. Fusion", anyone?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    4. Re:Better title... by Martin+Blank · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Though it appears that he may be right in the end -- cold fusion does exist -- that is how science works. It was extremely difficult for people to reproduce it and since the success rate was on par with anomolous behavior, it was regarded as a fluke.

      The same thing happened to Henry Bessemer when he produced high-quality steel by blowing air through it. When others couldn't reproduce it on a regular basis, he had to go back and review what he had done. It nearly broke him, but in the end he found that by pure chance, he had used low-phosphorus steel in his experiments. Once this was shown, uptake was initially slow, but as soon as it was proven to be reproduceable, it caught on and allowed the widespread use of modern steel -- and allowed Bessemer to become very wealthy.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    5. Re:Better title... by BgJonson79 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I thought it was the Senate who chose not to ratify the treaty. If so, wouldn't they need to change their biz model to, "Let's bribe the whole Senate?"

      --

      There are four boxes used in defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order.

    6. Re:Better title... by Rostin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, I worked for a bit for "Esso," and while I was there I was told that it owns the mineral rights to more uranium ore than any other entity (whether government or no) in the world.

      They also own massive amounts of coal and oil shale. And, believe it or not, they've done solar cell research in the past.

      The only difference between ExxonMobil and the friendlier "oil majors" like BP is marketing. BP has gotten incredibly good at fooling gullible people into think that it cares about something besides making money.

    7. Re:Better title... by tsa · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oil companies would be richer than ever if this pans out. The oil won't stop being needed, it'll just stop being burned.

      So plastic will be much cheaper than it is now in the future. And that us a good thing, since plastic is fantastic!

      --

      -- Cheers!

  5. Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by PingKing · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Apart from the fact that there were problems reproducing the cold fusion effects, it's very easy to see why cold fusion has always been given the cold shoulder. It would effectively end the fission power-based business aswell as fossil fuel generated electricity.

    --

    Patriotism - the last resort of scoundrels.
    1. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Insightful
      The fission power business depends on massive subsidy, at least in .uk. As for fossil-fuel energy, that may have the clout to squash new technologies in .uk and .us, but I suspect that in .jp, where they're wholly dependent on imported power, any alternative would be welcomed.

      Cold fusion was dropped because it could never be replicated, and perhaps because of Pons and Flesichmann's attitude. Science is not done by press conference, and you don't call an anomalous heat effect 'cold fusion' and cause a global hoo-hah without some damn good evidence.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    2. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by hairykrishna · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It may have been a real nuclear efect in your mind but we're concerned witg the real world, not your delusional fantasy. No fast neutrons = no deuterium fusion You can get fast neuts without a fusion reaction but you sure as hell can't have a fusion reaction with no fast neuts. Give me a link to a peer-reviewed paper describing a reputable, repeatable experiment on cold fusion which showed a clear neutron reading above background and I'll strip naked and shout the praises of cold fusion from the roof tops.

      --
      "Physics is to math as sex is to masturbation." -R. Feynman
    3. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by Aragorn+DeLunar · · Score: 2, Funny

      Quotations - the last resort of people without a valid argument.

      --
      Cynicism, like dogmatism, can be an excuse for intellectual laziness. - Susan Shirk
    4. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by mcbevin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, just like every other new technology around the world which makes old technologies redundant gets given the cold shoulder. Thats why we're still cooking over fire stoves (after the wood industry prevented any electrical ovens ever being developed), still riding horses (after the horse industry quashed those people trying to invent the automobile), using Windows (after Microsoft quashed Linux and the Mac OS) etc .... although hold on, that one might turn out to be true ....

      Anyway, lets just judge the science on its merits, not on conspiracy theories. If it has merit, you can be pretty sure theres lots of investors are going to start seeing the potential for a lot of zeroes after those $$$ signs and jump on it, and that probably the first companies to jump on the bandwagen will be the energy companies you claim are holding it up.

    5. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why should there be a "war surcharge"?

      Fossil fuels are not subsidized in the USA, just taxed at a lower rate than European countries choose to tax gasoline.

      Price at the pump is based on the owners of the oil selling it profitably. If they can do so even during a war, more power to them.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by gilroy · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Blockquoth the poster:

      I take exception: Cold fusion has always and
      obviously been a real nuclear effect, in my mind,

      Well, that's the rub, isn't it? It doesn't matter if it's a nuclear effect "in your mind". Your mind doesn't enter into it. Neither does Pons or Fleischmann's minds. What matters is whether nuclear fusion is actually occurring, and that is to be settled by experiment.

      Pons and Fleischmann might have seen a real effect. Certainly, carefully-constructed experiments have consistently given hints of excess heat. But that doesn't make them "right". Lucretius wrote about "atoms" centuries before Dalton. That doesn't mean the ancient Greeks invented modern chemistry.

      Pons and Fleischmann violated just about every tenet of the open, peer-reviewed scientific process. In so doing they abandoned any claim to legitimacy. If this effect turns out to be real, they didn't "get it right". They just got lucky. And if this effect turns out to be real, it will be the paintstaking, not-by-press-conference slow work of real researchers who understand how science works, that will ironically provide actual justification.
    7. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by afabbro · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Bwaaaahahahaha! The reason cold fusion got the "cold shoulder" is that it has no reproducible results and is very bad science. If you can't reproduce results and publish your work in a peer-reviewed journal, you are not doing science.

      The only people who claim there is a conspiracy to shush up cold fusion are crackpots.

      The physics community would have carried Pons and Fleischmann on sedan chairs to Sweden if they'd really discovered cold fusion. But they didn't, and they ignored all scientific process. They refused to share details of their experiment and refused to acknowledge errors in their experiments.

      Read Taubes' _Cold Fusion_ or Huizenga's book for a clear understanding.

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    8. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by hairykrishna · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This isn't "cold" fusion. It's "hot" fusion. It just uses direct electrostatic acceleration of the ions instead of the techiniques used in tokamaks (heating with current, neutral bean injection etc) Trust me- I built one. According to my uni lab supervisor it was the coolest 2nd year project he'd seen in ~30 years! They're damn good fun- check out "farnsworth fusor" on wikipedia or google. I even got a neutron count out of mine on a couple of pure deuterium runs. The thing about these fusors is that they work based on known physics principles and many people have repeatable results for them. Unlike cold fusion.

      --
      "Physics is to math as sex is to masturbation." -R. Feynman
    9. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by Solder+Fumes · · Score: 2, Funny

      No, it's because the opposite of hot fusion is not cold fusion: it's ugly fusion.

    10. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Did you read your first link?

      Hmm, Not sure what the first deduction is all about, so really couldn't say.

      The second they mention is a "cost of doing business" thing. Every company in the USA gets to deduct that sort of thing from their taxes (when my employer buys me a new test box, it gets the same kind of deduction).

      The third is the tax credit for alternative fuels! So you're complaining because oil companies are making ethanol/gasoline mixtures, and getting tax credits for it?! Wow, if you were to take that tax credit away, then there'd be LESS alternate fuels, not more!

      Sorry, tax deductions aren't subsidies. Or do you consider the deduction for your children on your individual income taxes a "subsidy"? If so, you should refuse to accept it, by the simple expedient of not declaring your child(ren) as dependents.

      Tax credits are a lot more like a subsidy. Not entirely, but more. In this case, the credit is for making alternate fuels. Which means that the oil companies are making MORE EXPENSIVE fuels and selling them at below cost. And making up the difference with the tax credit.

      Wouldn't want to have oil companies making any efforts to develop alternate fuels, would we? They're "evil", so no doubt if they made alternate fuels, it would be just a trick, right?

      I don't consider free roads a gasoline subsidy. We had roads before we had cars. If you consider free roads to be a gasoline subsidy, perhaps you should stop using them, until the price of gasoline is raised to support them. However...

      I note on checking old Federal highway funding reports that ~84% of HIghway funding comes from oil/gas taxes, motor vehicle taxes, and tolls. But some of that is eaten up in subsidizing Mass Transit system, rather than maintaining the Highways.

      That rate might argue for a 20% increase in gasoline taxes, to meet the shortfall (assuming we first removed the subsidy for mass transit). Which would push gasoline prices up by ~$0.04. I have no problem with paying an extra four cents a gallon for my gas. Hell, normal price fluctuations this summer have been far greater than that.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    11. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by Colazar · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Pons and Fleischmann violated just about every tenet of the open, peer-reviewed scientific process. In so doing they abandoned any claim to legitimacy.

      To be fair to them, I think that the media storm that erupted from their first press conference took them completely by surprise, because I never saw it as being pushed by traditional media. I was in college at the time, and Cold Fusion was the first big 'internet phenomenon' that I can remember. If you were a reader of Usenet (as a great many scientists were), it was inescapable for a good month, at least.

      Lots of information (of widely varying quality) circulated almost instantly, and so people were able to argue about it and hash it out and make their minds up much sooner than had been the case before.

      Nowadays we expect that, and know how to filter appropriately. I don't think it's fair to have expected P&F to foresee that, since it had never happened before.

      --
      He decided to just watch the government, and kind of scale it down to size, and run his life that way. --Laurie Anderson
    12. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by Bourbonium · · Score: 3, Informative

      Ahem, RTFA. The point of the article is that the excess heat effect HAS been replicated now plenty of times, and the researchers are trying to figure out how it happens and why. Also, why they so rarely detect the generation of helium and tritium that one would expect from an actual fusion reaction. What is happening may not be fusion, but the point of the whole article is that it would be beneficial to understand what is going on here with the Pons/Fleischmann effect. If it isn't fusion, then what the hell is it? And can this really be developed into an inexpensive source of energy?

      I agree that Pons and Fleischmann essentially sabotaged their careers with the ill-conceived press conference, rather than have their work peer-reviewed as most scientific research is done, but the point of the article (again RTFA) is that quite a few well-credentialed researchers have been working on this for the past decade and have come up with some startling results. And they are doing it right by presenting their peer-reviewed work at scientific conferences.

    13. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by Gewis · · Score: 2, Informative

      On the contrary, it had several reproducible results, immediately, at MIT, Texas A&M, and many others. But the /rate/ of reproducibility remained low and the conditions in which it occurred were and still are poorly understood. Since then, reproducibility rates for deuterium-deuterium and deuterium-metal reactions have climbed really high (some Japanese researchers with Mitsubishi have near 100 percent).

      What we do know is that nuclear cross sectional areas increase dramatically at lower energies, 10 keV or less. We suspect that, in very general terms, the electronic structure of metal lattices is playing a role in reducing the Coulomb barrier. And we know that palladium, like used in the Pons-Fleischman experiments, doesn't work if it's pure, and it's the addition of impurities like calcium oxide that contribute to the reaction.

      As for a conspiracy to shush it up, it's somewhat true. It's more like mob behavior and fear. Hot fusion research has been extremely threatened, as well as parts of the energy sector, and both have a lot of clout with the DoE. That matters if you're a researcher trying to get funding.

      The history of cold fusion really needs some clarification. It was really discovered in 1986, not 1989, by Steven Jones of BYU. If you want, you can request a copy of the relevant minutes from the research group meetings back then: they even called it cold fusion, which might be somewhat of a misnomer, now that the processes are understood a bit better. Pons and Fleischman came across it independently, and the DoE asked Jones to review their work. Their avenue of approach focused a lot on calorimetry, while Dr. Jones had been focusing on looking for nuclear products (neutrons, tritium, helium-3, etc).

      Since the two groups had been working on it at the same time and Jones had looked over Pons and Fleischman's stuff, they had made an agreement to publish simultaneously. BYU being so close to the UofU, they were going to meet at SLC Int'l Airport and send in their papers to Nature together. That was to be on March 24th, 1989. Instead, Pons and Fleischman had a press conference on March 23rd, completely stabbing Jones in the back. And worse, they were extremely sloppy, and later unethical. They had a data chart which showed an energy spike at 2.5 MeV, and when somebody pointed out to them that it should have been 2.2 MeV for a d+d reaction, they adjusted the chart downward for their next presentation. The ensuing aftermath nearly completely crippled the field and gave everybody working in it a black eye.

      Gratefully, there have been quite a few who decided to continue working in the field. Researchers from Los Alamos, MIT, Naval Research, all over Japan and Italy, BYU, for a good while Texas A&M (there was some controversy there), and elsewhere have made significant progress in the 15 years since that fiasco. I've been working in the BYU group for a year now, and we've had elemental transmutation in varied experiments Sr --> Y, Mo, and I can assure you, the effect is real. And it HAS been published in peer-reviewed journals. Unfortunately, most peer-reviewed journals, because of the stigma the field had gained, automatically rejected anything that sounded like it had anything to do with cold fusion.

      For more information about research that's been happening in the field itself, see www.lenr-canr.org

    14. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by hairykrishna · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I thought it was intriging - it appeared that they had found a way to do small scale hot fusion and (not cold fusion - collapsing bubbles producing high temperatures and pressures in a room temperature medium). Unfortunately when the experiment was repeated with different detectors they didn't get a neutron count. This seems a bit dodgy- there is much debate between the various parties even now. Having personally experienced how tricky it is distinguising small neut counts from background i'm going to sit on the fence over this one until someone (or a couiple of people) repeats the experiment again. My gut feeling is that if the reactions were taking place as they claim they'd get a much bigger neutron signature but this is no place for feelings- we'll just have to wait and see I guess.

      --
      "Physics is to math as sex is to masturbation." -R. Feynman
    15. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I am curious why you believe that you should pay less taxes just because you actively chose to increase the number of people you have to support on your salary.

      Consider: if I were to hire my wife to keep house, and pay her 40% of my salary, and hire my daughter as her assistant, at 20% of my salary, and deduct those salaries from my income (which I can do if I incorporate, and cause my salary to be "corporate income"), the three of us would be paying considerably less taxes than I do now. So I'm paying MORE than I would have to, if I chose to treat my wife as a servant. I'm paying extra taxes for treating the mother of my child with some respect ;-)

      Well, they come out of every one of my paychecks, so I have to assume that "Pay as You Go" has some specific meaning I don't know since I have no idea what could be said to the contrary.

      Social Security and, to a lesser extent, Medicare were sold to the American public as an investment into retirement. The theory was that you put money into the system, that money comes back to you later on when you get old enough to take money out of the system.

      This was done, mostly, because back then, taking handouts from the government was considered embarrassing. So it was dressed up as an annuity that you invested in.

      It is possible that it was so treated early on, but very quickly, the Social Security taxes were just tossed into the General Fund, and IOU's written to the Social Security Administration.

      This, by the way, is why the "budget surpluses" of the Clinton years were illusory - the government was balancing the budget by ignoring future liabilities (which is a crime if you are a business and have a pension plan), and lending money to itself. Taking a few dollars from the left pocket, putting them in the right pocket, and calling it extra income.

      Just curious, assuming you believe that taxes are necessary at some level (I do), what kind do you approve of?

      Income taxes are pretty much the only acceptable taxes, though it is arguable that sales taxes (which tax the income in a different way) are just as usable. Taxes on capital are bad, as it is possible to be "land-poor" (own a lot of things, not have a lot of money), and thus find yourself really strained to pay property taxes of any sort.

      Actually, other than arguing rates, I have no real problem with our current income tax system. You pay, essentially, whatever the going rate is on your income over the poverty level. So it pretty much guarantees that taxes won't be sufficient to drive people into poverty (you stop paying taxes at that point). Note that the taxes imposed by the States change that whole picture, though most are patterned after the Federal tax structure to a certain extent.

      As an aside, I was pretty surprised how much that varies from state to state.

      Yah, taxes vary wildly from state to state. I've lived in ten that I can think of off the top of my head, and all of them different from the next. Some states believe in investing more in infrastructure, assuming they will get a return in the long run. I can't argue with that idea, I wish more states would do it. Some states believe that if the state gets involved in more than it absolutely has to, it will just get intrusive, annoying, and generally ruin more than they improve. Can't argue with that either. A middle ground is ideal, but how to get the government bureaucrats to stop building their little empires?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    16. Re:Easy to see why this has had so much resistance by afabbro · · Score: 2, Interesting
      On the contrary, it had several reproducible results, immediately, at MIT, Texas A&M, and many others.

      No, it didn't. MIT retracted when they realized the errors in their calorimetry. By Texas A&M I assume you mean Bockris, you who is a crank with tenure. Regardless, there were some spotty "confirmations" - but no sustainable experimental confirmation. The essence of science is that I can write down how to do an experiment and you can go and do it and we get the same results. No one in cold fusion was getting five or even four sigma events based on recreating the P&F paper or anything else - they'd do 1000 experiments and in one of them there was an anomaly and that was a "confirmation".

      The history of cold fusion really needs some clarification. It was really discovered in 1986, not 1989, by Steven Jones of BYU.

      Jones was working on peizonuclear fusion and his lab books make it pretty obvious that he glommed on to P&F's work after hearing about it.

      Their avenue of approach focused a lot on calorimetry, while Dr. Jones had been focusing on looking for nuclear products (neutrons, tritium, helium-3, etc).

      Yeah, from inside volcanos...uh-huh...

      That was to be on March 24th, 1989. Instead, Pons and Fleischman had a press conference on March 23rd, completely stabbing Jones in the back.

      True enough. Pons is slime - he later tried to bilk the state of Utah for hundreds of thousands in special equipment to do CF experiments...which conveniently only his company made.

      They had a data chart which showed an energy spike at 2.5 MeV, and when somebody pointed out to them that it should have been 2.2 MeV for a d+d reaction, they adjusted the chart downward for their next presentation. Exactly - it's fraud. Gratefully, there have been quite a few who decided to continue working in the field. Researchers from Los Alamos, MIT, Naval Research, all over Japan and Italy, BYU, for a good while Texas A&M (there was some controversy there),

      What a charitable way to put it! Dr. Bockris was walking around spiking cells with tritium to get positive results...

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  6. Would that rebirth include... by Weaselmancer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...apologies to the pioneers of cold fusion, like Pons and Fleischman? Seems to me like a positive finding in a DoE report would at least be some verification that they might deserve one.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:Would that rebirth include... by pete-classic · · Score: 5, Informative

      I haven't made any great study of what happened, but I'm not sure any apology is in order.

      As I understand it, they made an astonishing scientific claim. That claim, while it might be absolutely true, was not substantiated by the experiment they describe.

      There is more to good science than turning out to be right.

      -Peter

    2. Re:Would that rebirth include... by scottennis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Pons and Fleischman were liars who fabricated results to get media attention. If that's pioneering then that wacked out cult that claims to have cloned a human ought to get a Nobel prize for their work in "pioneering" genetics.

    3. Re:Would that rebirth include... by Shadowlion · · Score: 4, Informative

      As I understand it, they made an astonishing scientific claim. That claim, while it might be absolutely true, was not substantiated by the experiment they describe.

      If you read the article (I know, this is Slashdot...), you'd note that some of the problems in reproducing the effect have been discovered. One problem turned out to be the "density" of deuterium atoms in the palladium electrodes. Above a certain threshold, you'd see the excess heat every time. Below that, even by only 10%, you'd only see excess heat in one out of every six trials.

      From this, it seems like the problem wasn't that the experiment was made up, but that the problem was the researchers had no precise concept of what steps and requirements were necessary to repeat it accurately.

    4. Re:Would that rebirth include... by sphealey · · Score: 4, Interesting
      As I understand it, they made an astonishing scientific claim. That claim, while it might be absolutely true, was not substantiated by the experiment they describe.
      Understood and mostly agreed. But it is instructive to read Enrico Fermi's account of how he and his team missed out on a second Nobel prize because they couldn't reproduced the results of one experiment. Turned out that the original experiment was done on a lab table made of wood and the attempts to reproduce were done on a lab table made of granite. The wood had a much higer index of neutron moderation, but they didn't know that and never thought that such a factor might affect the experiment.

      sPh

    5. Re:Would that rebirth include... by LauraScudder · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They didn't fabricate results, their results just became public too quickly, and so when there was trouble duplicating the results, there was serious backlash against them.

    6. Re:Would that rebirth include... by pete-classic · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I did read the article.

      Allow me to reiterate; turning out to be right is not the sole pillar of good Science.

      I did not assert that their "experiment was made up," but that it was not reproduceable.

      the problem was the researchers had no precise concept of what steps and requirements were necessary to repeat it accurately.


      I suppose whoever "made" them hold a press conference in spite of this fact does owe them an apology.

      -Peter
    7. Re:Would that rebirth include... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If you can't describe the environment in which an experiment can be reproduced reliably, you don't understand the phenominon properly enough to be calling press conferences.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    8. Re:Would that rebirth include... by srleffler · · Score: 4, Insightful
      From this, it seems like the problem wasn't that the experiment was made up, but that the problem was the researchers had no precise concept of what steps and requirements were necessary to repeat it accurately.

      Unfortunately, that is precisely the hallmark of junk science: experiments that appear to show amazing results that cannot be explained by conventional theory and as a result the exact requirements to duplicate the experiment are unclear. The crackpots are then free to argue that negative results by other researchers are due to a problem with their experiment. Scientists have good reason to be skeptical of discoveries with these characteristics.

      Now, Pons and Fleischman may have just been unlucky in having discovered a real effect that happened to have these characteristics. On the bright side, if they turn out to have been right their place in history is secure.

    9. Re:Would that rebirth include... by Idarubicin · · Score: 2, Insightful
      ...apologies to the pioneers of cold fusion, like Pons and Fleischman?

      Nope. Apologies are for scientists who publish their work in good faith in peer-reviewed journals. Apologies are for scientists who submit a short manuscript to Phys. Rev. Lett. saying that under such-and-such conditions we observe extra heat and neutrons.

      Apologies are not for scientists who first present a phenomenon they don't understand at a press conference and enjoy being media darlings until other people can't replicate their results.

      If you're going to short-circuit proper peer review and go straight to the lay press, you have to accept the risk of being badly burned. If this effect does turn out to be real, by their profound lack of restraint they probably held back any research in the field by a decade or more.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
    10. Re:Would that rebirth include... by MrScience · · Score: 2, Informative

      It gets better. Pons et al had figured out a way to make a denser pellet, and had a trade secret worked out with a palladium supplier that provided their samples. They were trying to make money off their discoveries, and in so doing, didn't disseminate their trade secrets. Of course, when the hot-fusion-funded universities tried to reproduce expirements based on photographs and interviews, they failed and cried FRAUD! The media, feeling they had been suckered, promptly turned and smeared Pons-Fleischmann.

      Of course, if I remember correctly, Pons-Fleischmann didn't help things by exaggurating their claims and having inaccurate graphs.

      Can't find the link just yet where I read that tidbit. Here's a good one, though, at wired. Just how do you explain an excess of Helium with anything but nuclear processes?

      --

      You quitting proves that the karma kap worked. The most annoying of the whores shut up. --CmdrTaco

    11. Re:Would that rebirth include... by Rasta+Prefect · · Score: 2, Insightful
      They didn't fabricate results, their results just became public too quickly, and so when there was trouble duplicating the results, there was serious backlash against them.

      Yeah, but that didn't exactly happen by accident...

      --
      Why?
    12. Re:Would that rebirth include... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In the same era, the first "high temperature" superconductors were invented/discovered. Not all of the early attempts to duplicate the original results were successful, although when early confusion was cleared up, repeatability improved. In the P&F case, it has taken longer to clear up the confusion.

      Cold fusion does not deserve the label "junk science", which refers to pseudoscience and experiments performed in defiance of known standards and practices. At worst, early cold fusion experiments were "science performed poorly", with inadequate control of variables that were not known at the time to be important.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    13. Re:Would that rebirth include... by Christopher+Thomas · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They didn't fabricate results, their results just became public too quickly

      Oh? I seem to recall hearing about a neutron emission energy spectrum plot with a peak that kept wandering around between press conferences, until they finally withdrew it.

      I'm going to have to pick up a copy of "Yes, We Have No Neutrons" one of these days so that I can have all of the questionable bits at my fingertips for situations like this.

  7. Article Summary for lazy people by PatrickThomson · · Score: 5, Informative

    Waffle waffle

    Cold fusion regarded as a joke for ages

    waffle waffle

    "THE FIRST HINT that the tide may be changing came in February 2002, when the U.S. Navy revealed that its researchers had been studying cold fusion on the quiet more or less continuously since the debacle began. "

    waffle waffle

    "At San Diego and other research centers, scientists built up an impressive body of evidence that something strange happened when a current passed through palladium electrodes placed in heavy water. "

    waffle waffle

    "Other researchers are finally beginning to explain why the Pons-Fleischmann effect has been difficult to reproduce. Mike McKubre from SRI International, in Menlo Park, Calif., a respected researcher who is influential among those pursuing cold fusion, says that the effect can be reliably seen only once the palladium electrodes are packed with deuterium at ratios of 100 percent--one deuterium atom for every palladium atom. His work shows that if the ratio drops by as little as 10 points, to 90 percent, only 2 experimental runs in 12 produce excess heat, while all runs at a ratio of 100 percent produce excess heat. "

    Summary: Cold fusion wasn't reproducible because not all factors were accounted for, and millitary scientists think they nailed it.

    --
    I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
    1. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by TrentL · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Other researchers are finally beginning to explain why the Pons-Fleischmann effect has been difficult to reproduce. Mike McKubre from SRI International, in Menlo Park, Calif., a respected researcher who is influential among those pursuing cold fusion, says that the effect can be reliably seen only once the palladium electrodes are packed with deuterium at ratios of 100 percent--one deuterium atom for every palladium atom. His work shows that if the ratio drops by as little as 10 points, to 90 percent, only 2 experimental runs in 12 produce excess heat, while all runs at a ratio of 100 percent produce excess heat. "

      Does this mean Pons-Fleschmann used the 100 percent ratio? Why in the world didn't the other scientists use this exact same setup when trying to reproduce the results? If you're trying to repeat a result, don't you make sure all variables are the same?

    2. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think this is a good summary.

      IMNSHO (see profile for why I don't have a humble opinion on this) fusion may or may not be happening, but energy might be released by some mechanism, so it's certainly worth funding proper research into it as a possible energy storage or generation mechanism.

    3. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by PatrickThomson · · Score: 2, Funny

      Ok, this is beyond a joke. My last 3 posts have all been modded overrated in a matter of seconds. SHOW YOURSELF, STALKER!

      --
      I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
    4. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, maybe you decide you understand what's going on, and therefore that particular variable can't possibly be important, or you overlook it, or the variable isn't reported correctly etc.

      Scientific papers and experiments are just as susceptible to bugs as software. Generally peer review and repetition and further work on the subject of the papers catches these eventually, but it can take time. The claims of cold-fusion were so startling (and hyped), there wasn't an awful lot of attempts to sort mistakes and understanding out before it was declared unscientific.

      Best analogy I can think of is a software project that launches, claiming it will revolutionise user interface or something, but that only works on the developers own system, as they've hacked up much of their OS and hardware. It could be years before the software would work on a general computer, but if nothing works to start with, then most people won't be interested in developing and improving it.

      Look how long it took to get the linux kernel reasonably mainstream supporting common hardware, and compare to Hurd...

    5. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I suspect that, if this was the case, it was accidental. That is, P&F didn't set out to saturate their electrodes with D, but it just so happened that they were. So they were unaware that they had achieved a special case condition prerequisite for cold fusion.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by schon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Does this mean Pons-Fleschmann used the 100 percent ratio?

      Not necessarily. They could just have been extraordinarily lucky.

    7. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by Minwee · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You can't make sure all the variables are the same if you don't know what all the variables are.

      If you believe that you are studying the effects of an electrical current on two metal electrodes submersed in water then you would make note of the current strength, the composition and dimensions of the electrodes, the temperature of the water and that kind of thing. You don't often record what kind of shoes you are wearing when you set up the equipment, what you ate for lunch or how long the fluorescent lights in the room had been on before you started taking measurements. Why not? Because it never occurs to you that it would be important.

      Good experimental procedure is to document everything as well as you can, but if you are investigating something entirely new you can't always know what matters.

      Sometimes even very smart people overlook small things that turn out to be important. Ask Gus Grissom, Ed White and Roger Chaffee about that if you see them.

    8. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by vtolturbo · · Score: 2, Informative

      maybe P&F didn't know how to measure the saturation of their electrodes. McKubre is using 2002 technology, not 1989 technology. He's also using laser light to stimulate the activity in the electrodes, which (at 780nm) seems to have a significant impact on the reaction rates. Remember, also, that if it is fusion and the modern theories on fusion products are accurate, the reaction would produce parts per billion trace amounts of tritium, free neutrons, and the ever-ellusive neutrino. It's hard enough to measure neutral particles when they're in abundance, and damn near impossible to measure them in trace amounts.

      I'm not saying I think the MIT consortium should have lied to Congress about their results, but I understand their argument for suspicion of those results. It can be difficult to convince hot fusion research scientists that the thing they have struggled with for 20 years can be done much easier and cheaper in a few years with high voltage and heavy water.

      There are a few scientists (Mizuno and Manarev, for example http://guns.connect.fi/innoplaza/energy/story/Kana rev/coldfusion/) who believe the reaction does not require heavy water, but rather can be achieved through advanced electrical control techniques and an iron electrode. I have most of the parts to replicate their work, but no lab space or time to do it just now.

    9. Re:Article Summary for lazy people by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful
      And you can prove that?

      I have no personal stake in this. It is an interesting bit of physics if it turns out to be true, but it is a very long way from a workable power source. And I'm not in the energy business anyway. I've never heard that P&F spent a lot of time trying to keep things secret. Nor that they tried to prevent others from duplicating their work.

      You seem to be assuming that they were scammers, who, upon hearing that people insisted on proof of their claims, quietly gave out bogus information so that noone COULD prove their claim, then gave up on the claim when people failed to duplicate it. Which they had ensured themselves by withholding information. A bizarre picture of reality, to say the least. Frankly, if *I* were trying to scam someone this way, I'd not make a Press COnference, I'd quietly approach some reasonably rich person who wanted to be even richer, make a few carefully doctored "demonstrations", and ask for a few hundred thousand a year to develop the idea. I expect that with a little care in choosing the sucker, and not too much greed, I could get 5-10 years of comfortable living out of someone that way. Then "discover" what had really been happening, tell the sucker "Sorry, turns out that there was something else going on, and we have nothing".

      Then go look for another sucker.

      Going public is not the action of a conman. The conman wants to keep a low profile, because there's more chance of someone crying "Bullshit!" if there are more people aware of what is happening.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  8. Unlimited Energy by Prince+Vegeta+SSJ4 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Now I can power my car for free, and for an indefinite period of time with all of those unused AOL CD's I saved. Not to mention all of the junk mail that has increased exponentially since the DO NOT CALL list came into being.

  9. Slow Already, Article Text (No Karma Whoring) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Cold Fusion Back From the Dead

    U.S. Energy Department gives true believers a new hearing

    Later this month, the U.S. Department of Energy will receive a report from a panel of experts on the prospects for cold fusion - the supposed generation of thermonuclear energy using tabletop apparatus. It's an extraordinary reversal of fortune: more than a few heads turned earlier this year when James Decker, the deputy director of the DOE's Office of Science, announced that he was initiating the review of cold fusion science. Back in November 1989, it had been the department's own investigation that determined the evidence behind cold fusion was unconvincing. Clearly, something important has changed to grab the department's attention now.

    The cold fusion story began at a now infamous press conference in March 1989. Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann, both electrochemists working at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, announced that they had created fusion using a battery connected to palladium electrodes immersed in a bath of water in which the hydrogen was replaced with its isotope deuterium - so-called heavy water. With this claim came the idea that tabletop fusion could produce more or less unlimited, low-cost, clean energy.

    In physicists' traditional view of fusion, forcing two deuterium nuclei close enough together to allow them to fuse usually requires temperatures of tens of millions of degrees Celsius. The claim that it could be done at room temperature with a couple of electrodes connected to a battery stretched credulity [see photo, "Too Good to Be True?"].

    But while some scientists reported being able to reproduce the result sporadically, many others reported negative results, and cold fusion soon took on the stigma of junk science.

    Today the mainstream view is that champions of cold fusion are little better than purveyors of snake oil and good luck charms. Critics say that the extravagant claims behind cold fusion need to be backed with exceptionally strong evidence, and that such evidence simply has not materialized. "To my knowledge, nothing has changed that makes cold fusion worth a second look," says Steven Koonin, a member of the panel that evaluated cold fusion for the DOE back in 1989, who is now chief scientist at BP, the London-based energy company.

    Because of such attitudes, science has all but ignored the phenomenon for 15 years. But a small group of dedicated researchers have continued to investigate it. For them, the DOE's change of heart is a crucial step toward being accepted back into the scientific fold. Behind the scenes, scientists in many countries, but particularly in the United States, Japan, and Italy, have been working quietly for more than a decade to understand the science behind cold fusion. (Today they call it low-energy nuclear reactions, or sometimes chemically assisted nuclear reactions.) For them, the department's change of heart is simply a recognition of what they have said all along - whatever cold fusion may be, it needs explaining by the proper process of science.

    THE FIRST HINT that the tide may be changing came in February 2002, when the U.S. Navy revealed that its researchers had been studying cold fusion on the quiet more or less continuously since the debacle began. Much of this work was carried out at the Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center in San Diego, where the idea of generating energy from sea water - a good source of heavy water - may have seemed more captivating than at other laboratories.

    Many researchers at the center had worked with Fleischmann, a well-respected electrochemist, and found it hard to believe that he was completely mistaken. What's more, the Navy encouraged a culture of risk-taking in research and made available small amounts of funding for researchers to pursue their own interests.

    At San Diego and other research centers, scientists built up an impressive body of evidence that something strange happened when a current passed through palladium electrodes placed in h

  10. Perpetual motion ... by Dark$ide · · Score: 5, Funny

    In the next Slashdot story perpetual motion is shown to be possible.

    --

    Sigs. We don't need no steenking sigs.

    1. Re:Perpetual motion ... by maxume · · Score: 2, Informative

      perpetual: Lasting for eternity.
      there is no 'until' in eternity. The Universe is more of a 'motion for a very very long time that is almost perpetual but not quite machine'. Just to split hairs.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  11. Let science work. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It is good to finally see a fair balance in the study of this idea. It may not generate anything usable, but then agin, it might. I think that is the key... to get real science studying the situation, not having the ideas tested and approved through the media.

    With ITER in a political freeze, there is ample time to study cold fusion concepts further. I don't see how one can create fusion conditions at room temperature. But if we understand how to control the collisions of the atoms better, then we may lower ignition temperatures. If the temperatures required were only several tens of thousands of degrees, then we do away with the complex containment systems and have a very viable energy source without multi billion dollar energy stations.

    Bottom line: Let real science work. The worst case scenario is that we have a better understanding of the atomic interactions that will be used in whatever fusion reaction processes that we eventually use.

    1. Re:Let science work. by gilroy · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Blockquoth the poster:

      And no, I'm not saying that all science should explore the bizarre but some level of exploration is healthy to the field in general.

      The issue was not that "mainstream science" crushed down those noble researchers explorer "the bizarre". Contrary to popular myth, most scientists are delighted at the unexpected discovery of new phenomena, even if they pose a threat to established theory. But there are rules that have been evolved, over several centuries of painstaking effort, to give us some hope of knowing the validity of claims -- which is the root of all scientific progress.

      Some of these rules involve repeatability (which even Pons and Fleischmann, with their own equipment, could not reliably achieve), open publication, peer review, and so on. The original researchers and their rabid fans felt that the process of science slowed them down too much, so they ignored that process. They were doomned not by the "hostility" of "the establishment", but by the failure of other labs to reproduce their results in any significant and reliable manner.

      If honest, peer-reviewed work shows excess heat, it will be an interesting and possibly tremendous discovery. But Pons and Fleischmann will remains just as wrong.
  12. Back from the dead? by surprise_audit · · Score: 3, Funny

    Heh... Cold Fusion Back From The Dead is almost as good as Stealing Fire from the Gods

    1. Re:Back from the dead? by chill · · Score: 4, Funny

      Heh... Cold Fusion Back From The Dead is almost as good as Stealing Fire from the Gods

      For the last time we did not steal it, we borrowed it. We fully intend to give it back one of these days.

      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    2. Re:Back from the dead? by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Funny

      Fire isn't physical property, it's knowing how to make fire that's valuable, and that's intellectual property. In other words, we're all engaged in acts of pyrotechnic piracy. Sooner or later the DFA (Deistic Fire Alliance) will come down on us...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Back from the dead? by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 2
      You got to think about that for a minute. Sure having your liver torn out by an eagle would be horrifying for the first couple of weeks. But there has to be a point, after the 5000th day in a row, that you start cracking jokes about it.

      Heck, I'd think that after the first century or two the eagle would start to think it was getting old.

      "Hey Bird."

      "Dude. Wazzup?"

      "Same old same old, chained to a rock."

      "Man Zeus is such a cheap ass. He could have at least sprung for cable."

      "Are you kidding, 80 channels with nothing on. I'd rather have a giant bird suck my liver out!"

      Uncomfortable laughter.

      "All right, lets get this over with. It's my turn to watch the clutch tonight."

      "What on Earth does your wife do at night. I thought Eagles were blind in the dark."

      "Have you been chained to a rock for eternity or something. We have lights these day."

      Uncomfortable laughter.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
  13. Probably not fusion . . . by Haertchen · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Something there is producing some serious heat. Nobody ever denied that. But if it were fusion that were doing it, the researchers would be dead from radiation poisoning. I think that the phenomenon needs research, but I wouldn't hold my breath as to actually getting fusion out. There could still be a chemical basis for the energy.

    1. Re:Probably not fusion . . . by Montreal+Geek · · Score: 4, Informative
      If you had, in fact, RTFA you would have seen that there is some evidence of helium generation during the reaction.

      While apparently hard (but not impossible) to reproduce, and not well understood, there is now credible evidence that something happens that generates heat and helium out of hydrogen.

      If the phenomenon is real, and we manage to reproduce it reliably, it probably is fusion, albeit only a couple of atoms at a time (which has the side effects of (1) no harder-to-control chain reaction over vast amounts of fissible material and (2) trivial to contain generation).

      Might not be too easy to use, though. I could see how the heat could be made to give energy to a conventional steam turbine though.

      At any rate, your quip about dead from radiation poisoning is a strawman. Even if all is as the researchers hope, we are observing the fission of minuscule amounts of atoms at a time (hence the manageable heat) and what little radiation escapes from the reaction medium unabsorbed and unconverted into heat is most likely unmeasurably small and completely drowned out by the background radiation we live in.

      -- MG

    2. Re:Probably not fusion . . . by MustardMan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But if it were fusion that were doing it, the researchers would be dead from radiation poisoning.

      What is with this idiotic groupthink that if its nuclear it must be radioactive? Not everything involving a nucleus is radioactive, and not everything radioactive causes cancer and kills people. For example, at princeton plasma physics labs, they deal a lot with fusion experiments, and there is radiation present... FROM THE TRITIUM AND DEUTERIUM THAT THEY STARTED WITH. The beginning materials in this case are radioactive. It's all this kneejerking nonsense about radiation that makes people pissy every time you try to discuss fusion research with a layman.

      And for the record, until I see better results otherwise, I still think cold fusion is horseshit

    3. Re:Probably not fusion . . . by CoronalPendragon · · Score: 2, Informative

      You know, you would think that. But Julian Schwinger pointed out that there is no good reason to come to that conclusion ie. that the same nuclear reactions that are favored at high temperatures are favored at low temperatures. There is no reason, per se, to expect neutrons.

      Further more, he pointed out, that because of the spin state of the nucleus, dipole transitions would be forbidden - read no gamma rays.

      Here is where you can find a lot of the last 15 years of research - If you are the sort to read scientific papers.
      http://www.lenr-canr.org/

    4. Re:Probably not fusion . . . by ciroknight · · Score: 2, Insightful

      let's not be retarded. the scientists found HELIUM and excess energy coming from these devices, not hydrogen gas and excess energy.

      secondly, if it were as simple as this chemical reaction, then we would have known by now. We're incredibly knowledgable about studying chemical reactions, and could simply look at the terminal to tell if it were oxidized. Plain and simple.

      --
      "Victory means exit strategy, and it's important for the President to explain to us what the exit strategy is." G.W.Bush
  14. How do they know it's fusion? by dspacemonkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From the article it seems like Fleischmann saw more energy coming out than he put in (up to 250% apparently) and thought to himself:

    "Aha! This must be cold fusion."

    Is it just me, or does that seem to be a bit of a leap of faith? After all, if one sets light to petrol one gets more energy out than a match puts in. Surely there are other possibilities.

    Occam's razor anyone?

    I'm not sure about "strong evidence" from a single research laboratory either...

    1. Re:How do they know it's fusion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You are very correct. This is why we publish results, and have peer review. We are in the infancy of this branch of science. Worst cast scenario: it doesn't work period. We have at least investigated another possiblity. We learn and apply to other endevours into fusion power.

      Will anything major pop out of this research? Maybe, maybe not. But we are learning. At the very least, this should train another generation of people to not buy into hype one way or another. First it was "COLD FUSION IS HERE!" then it was "COLD FUSION IS A TOTAL SCAM!". Neither is correct. But with the attention span of the media this is all you will get.

      Be patient. Let science work.

    2. Re:How do they know it's fusion? by radtea · · Score: 5, Interesting


      The thing that we know with certainty is that whatever is going on, it is not a nuclear effect.

      It goes like this: in any nuclear effect, you wind up with lots of energy being dumped into a single nucleus. That energy can come out in only a small number of ways, because no matter what process produced the energy, all energy is created equal. And the nucleus is a well understood system.

      So either you get gamma rays, neutrons, or nuclear recoil. The suggestion that you get lattice recoil, as occurs in the Mossbauer effect, does not hold water as it would require the lattice to behave in ways that are contrary to known physics, and again: all energy is created equal. Simply because an exotic process produces the energy does not allow us to suspend the rest of the laws of physics once that energy has been created.

      If you have gamma rays or neurtrons, particularly in the quantities implied by the rate of energy creation, they are easily detectable. If you have nuclear recoil, you also, necessarily have neutron creation, because given the energies involved you'll knock nuetrons off the recoiling nucleus or the lattice nuclei. Again, it does not matter what exotic unknown process makes the nucleus move: once it is in motion in the lattice we can predict quite accurately how many neutrons will be produced.

      Nothing like the expected numbers of neutrons or gamma rays are produced. Ergo, whatever is happening is not a nuclear process.

      For what it's worth, IAANP, I have heard Fleishmann speak, and was peripherally involved in some early experiments to (in)validate the 1989 results. I've not thought much about the subject in the past decade, and hope not to do so for another decade. There's too much real science to think about instead.

      --Tom

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    3. Re:How do they know it's fusion? by MrScience · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How do you explaine the generated Helium that some researchers have produced? There's no chemical reaction that I'm aware of that can raise helium ratios in a sealed environment.

      --

      You quitting proves that the karma kap worked. The most annoying of the whores shut up. --CmdrTaco

    4. Re:How do they know it's fusion? by samhalliday · · Score: 2, Insightful
      the nucleus is a well understood system.

      LOL! you just keep living that dream. (yes, i AM a particle physicist)

    5. Re:How do they know it's fusion? by Gewis · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Unfortunately, most of our models for fusion involve bare nuclei and we don't really know what's going on when it's not in a plasma state. The presence of an electron cloud can do funky things with the coulomb barrier, and we know that nuclear cross sectional areas are increased dramatically at low energies, 10 keV or less.

      It's certainly been interesting that the rate of neutron creation has been so low, but that doesn't rule out nuclear processes. It just rules out d+d --> He3 + n + gamma as the dominant reaction. d+d --> He4 is, even in conventional nuclear physics, very possible, and indeed that's what we see the most of. The underlying mechanism for why this is the favored reaction isn't fully understood, but the data does fit with a nuclear process.

      Our present lack of a cogent theory widely accepted in the community is definitely a point against us, but having a theory like that is not a prerequisite to believing what you're seeing. Elemental transmutation in d+Z reactions is common, and if you're turning Cs into Pr, and the amount of Cs is decreasing proportional to the increase in Pr, you're going to have a VERY hard time arguing that it's not a nuclear process. (See Iwamura, www.lenr-canr.org )

      Apparently, the nucleus isn't such a well understood system after all, and we'd all be smart to not assume we know that much about anything. The field really does deserve more credence than you mainstream NPs have been willing to give it.

    6. Re:How do they know it's fusion? by radtea · · Score: 4, Informative


      You've missed my point entirely.

      I am focussed completely on the question of "How does the energy wind up as heat?"

      I will grant you any number and type of exotic processes to create the energy in the first place.

      But I will not grant you any new physics with regard to converting that energy into heat, because all of the scenarios posited ultimately involve either excited nuclei, or nuclei moving in the lattice, and we know with as much certainty as we know anything what happens when we have excited nuclei or nuclei moving in the lattice.

      So you have two completely unrelated problems: one is that there is no known mechanism that can produce the energy in the first place. The second is that once the energy is created, there is no known mechanism that can convert it into heat without a clear-cut radiation signature. That is, even if you have pure d+d->4He fusion, you will always still get both nuetrons and x-rays (and gamma rays, in some cases) due to standard slowing down processes or de-excitation.

      No matter what process produces 4He plus a few MeV, the same physics governs the thermalization process, and you have to invoke entirely new physics to govern this process in this case, as well as entirely new physics to govern the generation of the energy in the first place.

      So it isn't the lack of explanation of the generated energy that is the big concern for most nuclear physicists. It is the fact that once the energy has been generated, the reaction products have to behave in ways that are completely contrary to a huge body of existing knowledge, both theory and observation.

      --Tom

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  15. Should be looked at regardless by nizo · · Score: 5, Informative
    Thus spake the article:

    Over the years, a number of groups around the world have reproduced the original Pons-Fleischmann excess heat effect, yielding sometimes as much as 250 percent of the energy put in.

    (snip)

    Other researchers are finally beginning to explain why the Pons-Fleischmann effect has been difficult to reproduce. Mike McKubre from SRI International, in Menlo Park, Calif., a respected researcher who is influential among those pursuing cold fusion, says that the effect can be reliably seen only once the palladium electrodes are packed with deuterium at ratios of 100 percent--one deuterium atom for every palladium atom. His work shows that if the ratio drops by as little as 10 points, to 90 percent, only 2 experimental runs in 12 produce excess heat, while all runs at a ratio of 100 percent produce excess heat.

    Something is going on here that we don't understand, and it looks like it can be reproduced. Yeah I would say it would be worth looking into further. The 250% heat output sounds like a good thing (especially if no toxic by-products are produced) so how does that compare to other types of heat generation I wonder?

    1. Re:Should be looked at regardless by NichG · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Since when is deuterium toxic?

    2. Re:Should be looked at regardless by dspacemonkey · · Score: 3, Informative
      It has been suggested that deuterium water (heavy water) should be considered toxic because if consumed in isolation it would displace light water and disturb the rate of biochemical reactions in the body.

      From Wiki
  16. Re:Aaargh, not again! by meringuoid · · Score: 4, Insightful
    There isn't some clever get-out clause that allows you to jump it without paying the full fare!

    Yeah. Physically impossible. It would be cool if you could just, oh, 'tunnel' through the barrier or something, but that would be absurd...

    --
    Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  17. Bob Park by paugq · · Score: 4, Informative

    Oh, shit! This again and again.

    Cold fusion is impossible and Physics have long demostrated it.

    Robert L. Park, the President of the American Physical Society, wrote a book that deals with this and explains it clearly: Voodoo Science. He will probably treat this "rebirth" of the hype on his What's new science column.

    How long until the USA Government understands they cannot beat the Second Law of Thermodynamics?

    1. Re:Bob Park by Vengeance · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I read a rather interesting report some months back, which attempted to explain the 'cold fusion' phenomenon through use of localized time-reversal zones, which were in fact proven a year or three ago. Essentially, the line of argument was that in a temporary time-reversal zone, the forces which keep nuclei apart would act to bring them together, and that when the time reversal went away, the combined 'supernucleus' (or whatever they called it) would spontaneously fuse. Of course, at the time I was following a variety of links, some quite reputable, some much less so, while reading on another topic. However, I can understand that ill-understood low-level physics could conceivably be doing something here we just don't understand.

      I always go by the adage that when a distinguished scientist says something is possible, (s)he is generally right, but that if they say something is not possible, (s)he is generally wrong. To this end I am willing to be skeptical, not only of the looneys, but of the skeptics as well.

      --
      It was a joke! When you give me that look it was a joke.
    2. Re:Bob Park by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I guess I need to bow down to Robert L. Park as God. If he says that "cold fusion" is impossible, then it must be. Physics, of course, knows all -- there's no more problems to solve, and the theories explain everything. If there's an effect observed in some experiment which seems to violate all the theories (that cannot be explained in any way), then the effect DOES NOT EXIST and those who observe it must be executed at dawn for their apostasy and unorthodoxy. Of course, no one will be allowed to reproduce the experiment, and those who attempt to do so will also stand against the wall.

      All hail Robert L. Park, the keeper of scientific orthodoxy!

      I think the article sums it up -- there is clearly *something* going on to produce the excess heat. Apparently the researchers have now figured out how to get more reproduceable results, so others may now verify the effect and thereby focus on studying the effect itself rather than just trying to reproduce it.

      Now what that *something* is, is another matter. Maybe it is a chemical reaction of some sort, or maybe some other energy-release mechanism based on the thermophysical or thermochemical properties of the palladium substrate. Or maybe it is some unusual type of catalyzed nuclear reaction ("cold fusion".) Or maybe it is something else heretofore unknown. Now that the effect appears to be more reliably reproducible, it will now be possible to study the effect itself and solve the mystery. Although I am skeptical it is "cold fusion", it nevertheless appears to be interesting enough to study it in earnest.

      Regarding "the Second Law" as Mr. paugq mentions, I suggest he brush up on his thermodynamics since I assume he is uttering it with respect to energy conservation, which comes under the First Law.

    3. Re:Bob Park by Havokmon · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Cold fusion is impossible and Physics have long demostrated it.

      Nothing is impossible. If you think the limit of our knowledge is already in textbooks, you have quite a rude awakening coming.

      --
      "I can't give you a brain, so I'll give you a diploma" - The Great Oz (blatently stolen sig)
    4. Re:Bob Park by Xoro · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The second law of thermodynamics is more abused on slashdot than copyright law.

      Or do you think fusion bombs have to use five million tons of TNT as primer to release the other five megatons of energy?

      --
      Kill, Tux, kill!
    5. Re:Bob Park by Proteus · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nothing is impossible.

      Oh yeah!?! What about Cold Fusion! Hah!

      --
      We may not imagine how our lives could be more frustrating and complex—but Congress can. – Cullen Hightower
    6. Re:Bob Park by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What, "entropy tends to increase in a closed system"? I think you mean first law of thermodynamics. "When _all_ energy forms are taken into account, energy is neither created or destroyed in a closed system".

      This isn't about creating energy from nothing, it's about finding a suitable high entropy form of energy to convert to lower entropy kinds, thus allowing physical processes to occur. Physics cannot prove anything impossible by the way, but it can measure how unlikely something is.

    7. Re:Bob Park by srleffler · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I'm skeptical about cold fusion too, but unlike most "free energy" schemes, if cold fusion worked as claimed it would not violate the second law of thermodynamics, for the same reasons other nuclear reactions don't.

      It is impossible to say with scientific rigor that cold fusion is "impossible". It doesn't seem likely under current theory, but one can never rule out errors in our current theoretical understanding. The quantum mechanics of solids (like the palladium lattice) are complicated. It's possible (though unlikely) that there is something going on there that we don't yet understand.

      I don't think cold fusion is likely, but if researchers are now getting reproducible results, the effect they are observing merits a second look. It might not be fusion. It might be some other interesting effect. Whatever is going on, if it is reproducible it can be studied by science, and will become better understood with time. If the effects turn out not to be reproducible still it will quickly die again, and little will have been lost by checking.

    8. Re:Bob Park by cmefford · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Pretty much all technology that we currently take for granted was at one time considered impossible by rational people working with the tools of the time, which were not too bad. And, they were usually first postulated by folks who were not widely held to be rational. So, 'the mere impossibility of a task, is a poor excuse for a lack of enterprise in it's undertaking.'

  18. Pseudoscience Warning Signs by Critter92 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    1) The research will only go forward with more funding 2) SRI International is involved ("No, really, Uri Geller *is* a psychic!") 3) "Mike McKubre from SRI International, in Menlo Park, Calif., a respected researcher who is influential among those pursuing cold fusion" is not the same as "Mike McKubre, a respected researched who is also working on cold fusion" 4) It's an election year and DOE, hardly a bastion of good science under Bush, is about to announce Cold Fusion is workable at a time of record world oil prices?

  19. Utah Connection by Mateito · · Score: 4, Funny

    Pons and Fleischmann, the original perpertrators of Cold Fusion, were from the University of Utah.

    What's the bet that this "re-birth" of Cold Fusion has something to do with SCO?

    Judge: Mr McBride, do you have anything to say before the jury adjourn to find you guilty and sentence you to death by stoning?

    Darl: Look! Excess neutrons!

    Jugde: Where? [Looks away]

    Darl: [Exit, stage left]

  20. Re:This statement always scares me... by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If your that sure, you've obviously never worked in academia. An absolute minimum of half of all proposals for funding of experiments get rejected in entirely noncontentious fields. In fields that suffered all the hype and disappointment of cold-fusion (I can't actually think of an example that faired quite so badly in the press) I can't imagine any government research organisation funding research, and they control most of the academic funding. There's not a lot of opportunity for publishing papers either, which is the key factor in securing research funding.

    Only a few companies have a large enough R&D budget to do basic research in areas directly related to their core businesses, and the power companies have much more plausible, if less groundbreaking research to do, as well as hot-fusion research.

  21. Good news / Bad news by HungSoLow · · Score: 2, Insightful
    This is great news to hear more research and interest into Cold Fusion. We need to remove dependancy on polluting / expensive resources, and we all know gas and oil is a double culprit.

    What worries me is the military interest. It's all a push to build bigger and better ways to kill people, now powered with more efficient means! Don't get me wrong, historically we have many great things coming from military driven technology (space program, wireless comm., nuclear power, etc.) but at what cost?

    1. Re:Good news / Bad news by Ignignot · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well I have karma to burn so I'll respond to the troll:
      News flash HungSoLow - energy production will always be expensive and produce pollution. There are no magic ways to avoid paying the toll for power! There is simply no way that a couple of electrodes (the production of which produce quite a bit of pollution) and some carefully refined heavy water (the process of refining produces quite a bit of pollution) produce more energy than goes in. Right now this is all pie in the sky science - some fusion is taking place maybe (cold fusion is not new to science, but producing energy with it would be) but there is simply no way that this will ever turn out to be some sort of magic power source that never runs out. And then your segue into military technology is priceless - if somehow we did create power from basically nothing, your worry is that the military might use it??? You're not worried about the fact that every economy would probably crash overnight, that war would almost certainly follow, and that it wouldn't be a dinky war but something along the lines of WWIII?

      --
      I submitted this story last night, and it didn't get posted.
  22. Slow down by Oligonicella · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Palladium, tritium? Even if they can consistently get more heat out than energy in, that only describes the current event.

    It does not describe the entire economic input. That palladium and tritium has to come from somewhere, and it's expensive.

    Until this can be done with non-exotic materials, it will probably be a push as its worthiness.

    1. Re:Slow down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Tritium is a byproduct of the reaction, not a required fuel source. What they need it deuterium. Also moderately expensive to produce, though.

    2. Re:Slow down by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful
      As I understand, the palladium is a catalyst to whatever happens, and is not consumed in the process. Question is whether it generates more energy than (input + extraction of deuterium from H2O + saturation of Pa electrodes).

      Actually, even that isn't the question. The question is "can we come up with a theory to explain "cold fusion"?"

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  23. Perpetual motion ... by Dark$ide · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... In the next Slashdot story perpetual motion is shown to be possible.

    --

    Sigs. We don't need no steenking sigs.

  24. Science working again? by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 5, Informative
    Here's an interesting article, written about 10 years ago, by David Goodstein of Caltech, pointing out that the scientific process was not working correctly with cold fusion. (Basically, almost all CF was junk, but there were a couple of results by careful and competent experimenters, that should have been examined more deeply, but were dismissed as part of the "it's all junk" reaction).

    The article is a good look at the whole CF phenomenon as of 1993.

  25. Technology Review by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The article blurb referred to Technology Review as a "leading science journal". It isn't. It's a magazine. I like to think it's a good magazine, as I've written for it, but it is most definitely not a scientific journal.

  26. Re:Aaargh, not again! by jklein · · Score: 3, Informative

    Think quantum mechanics/quantum probabilities. 'Tunneling' is a very real possibility. Electron tunneling is widely used in electronics.

    My thinking is that the palladium matrix is somehow modifying the quantum probability functions such that when the matrix is sufficiently saturated with deuterium nucleii, it allows superposition, which gives rise to fusion. I actually came up with this explanation years ago when some people had success and others failed, now it turns out there may actually be evidence to support it.

  27. Conspiracy theories by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I love this notion that "the POWERS THAT BE suppressed the IRREFUTABLE EVIDENCE for their own evil ends!" It's such a charming fantasy.

    The Evil Vested Interests of the world are regularly blindsided by new technology. The usual pattern (*cough*RIAA*cough*) is that they ignore it until it really starts to hurt them, and then they try to make it go away through legal action. Those folks do not have a magic ability to predict the future. In fact, they demonstrably suck at it.

    When "cold fusion" was announced, the people who discredited it were academics who tried like hell to reproduce the effect, and found it to be irreproducible based on the information they had at the time. This is called "peer review". Scientists are supposed to be profoundly skeptical. In that respect, they differ from conspiracy theorists.

    If you RTFA, you'll notice that no extravagant claims are being made. If it turns out that there's something there which really is both reproducible and interesting, we'll hear more about it.

  28. Re:This statement always scares me... by Biff+Stu · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I find you statement scary. Public funding for basic research is critical for development of new technology.

    Research costs real money. Salaries must be paid, and equipment must be purchased and maintained. State of the art scientific equipment isn't cheap, and neither are Ph.D. researchers. (Well, OK, grad students, post-docs are cheap but that's another story.)

    Where do you think these "well funded" universities you write about get their money? While many of these universities, especially the private universities have large endowments and alumni donations, this money typically goes to bricks and mortar infrastructure. That's where the buildings come from. The truth is that the bulk of the day-to-day operating resources for scientific research come from the Federal Government. Without federal funding, the science buildings at even the most richly endowed ivy league institutions would be empty shells.

    Furthermore, most research is high-risk. Even if the payoff is potentially high, the probability of hitting a commercial home-run from basic research is low. Most companies and private investors are averse to that level of risk, and their tolerance for such risk is no longer what it was in the good old days. Bell Labs, for example, is no longer the institution that generated Nobel prize winning research decades ago.

    The bottom line is without federal funding, science in the US would stagnate, and we would no longer be a world leader in science and technology.

  29. Stop the scientific madness! by WormholeFiend · · Score: 2, Funny

    The fission power business depends on massive subsidy, at least in .uk. As for fossil-fuel energy, that may have the clout to squash new technologies in .uk and .us, but I suspect that in .jp, where they're wholly dependent on imported power, any alternative would be welcomed.

    We all know that these kinds of experiments opened a blackhole in .cx

  30. Re: use of exotic materials by Zinho · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I beg to differ. Palladium only costs about as much as gold, and is used commonly for things like spark plugs and catalytic converters for cars. It's also not consumed by the reaction, so it's a one-time cost.

    In regards to tritium, I'll agree that it's expensive now. This may not always be the case, though, especially if there's a use for it besides thermonuclear devices and glowing keychains. The article seemed quite optimistic about the possiblity of getting the needed heavy water from the sea ("Much of this work was carried out at the Space and Naval Warfare Systems Center in San Diego, where the idea of generating energy from sea water--a good source of heavy water--may have seemed more captivating than at other laboratories." - emphasis added).

    If cold fusion turns out to be the Real Deal (TM), then there will be scientists and engineers falling over themselves to find economical ways of producing the fuel, I guarantee it.

    --
    "Space Exploration is not endless circles in low earth orbit." -Buzz Aldrin
  31. Re:Aaargh, not again! by Solder+Fumes · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yes, but think of the scale here. On the atomic level, it may be possible to have tiny, localized areas where particles can be accelerated to very high speeds. Granted, it would be extremely rare and definitely not generate energy on the scale of hot fusion, which basically depends on having a "nuclei soup".

    How could we get a massive acceleration using only objects that repel each other? This is an interesting experiment: http://www.scitoys.com/scitoys/scitoys/magnets/rin g_launcher/ring_launcher.html. Only a small force is actually added to each element, but the whiplash effect accelerates the last object to high speeds. What if the forces between palladium and deuterium are such that the deuterium atoms are arranged in straight rows and matrices on the surface of palladium? And what if the applied electrical current tugs each atom slightly, which when released allows a cascading whiplash effect on rows millions of atoms long? Pure conjecture, but it illustrates a mechanism by which a few atoms might be accelerated to very high speeds, and in a somewhate accurate linear way (as opposed to hot fusion which hopes for accidental collisions between randomly moving nuclei).

  32. Re:Aaargh, not again! by Efreet · · Score: 2, Informative

    No, they don't magically get around the coulomb barrier. Its just that the potential across the surface of an electrolytic cell is enough, in theory, to overcome it. We did the calcs in freshmen materials science.

    --
    This sig wasn't worth reading, was it.
  33. Wikipedia by Efreet · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'd highly recomend the wikipedia article on cold fusion, here.

    --
    This sig wasn't worth reading, was it.
  34. Re:Aaargh, not again! by BytePusher · · Score: 2, Informative

    There is a huge difference though. Most fusion research focuses on the plasma state of the fuel, cold fusion focuses on the liquid state. I don't think anyone is saying that the electric forces do not need to be overcome, but that the probability of overcomming them is great in a liquid. Essentially, imagine 3 people in a 10'X10'x10' room running and jumping around blindfolded as fast as they can. That's "hot fusion". Then imagine 100 people being piled into a 10'x10'x10' room maybe they don't run fast, but there is a lot greater chance one of them is going to get a bloody nose. That's "cold fusion". It doesn't mean it's cold, it just means it's not plasma.
    Aside from that, the charges balance out in cold fusion thus effectively removing the need to add energy for the majority of the collision path, once the nuclei get close enough the cancelling effect becomes very small and then you need to increase the pressure... which is exactly what the electricity is doing.

  35. This stuff is real... by Ezmate · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Back in the early 90's I was a personal assistant to Dr. John O'M. Bockris (Professor of Electro-Chemistry at Texas A&M University). His laboratory was the first in the world to "verify" the results of Pons & Fleischmann.

    During my year and a half as a personal assistant (one of several), one of my main responsibilities was to help with correspondence with other scientists. I'd open their mail, scan it for importance, and act on it (usually forward it to the Dr. Bockris if it was personal correspondence or reply back to the sender with relevant publications if it was a request for information). Needless to say, I saw a lot of unpublished information about "cold fusion".

    Among many, one particular hand-written note stands out in my mind: it described the palladium cathode melting during the course of the experiment, with no apparent cause, other than "cold fusion". I don't remember the researcher, but I do remember that this particular guy had tons of papers to his name & was a highly respected scientist.

    Of course among the correspondence, there was also some petty squabbling. I was most disturbed by the fact that anyone that researched "cold fusion" was regarded as a wacko by the entrenched scientific community. The attitude that normal physicists seemed to have was that "cold fusion" was a hoax & that further investigation was an entire waste of time. They'd cry "But where are all the neutrons", or "You'd be dead by now if that much excess heat were actually being produced." What most of these so-called entrenched scientists failed to realize was, this was something entirely new. Maybe it doesn't follow the laws of nuclear physics as we understand them now. But the same thing can be said for almost any major change in our understanding of the universe (relativity and quantum physics certainly fit the bill). But the effect of their collective crying, bitching, and moaning was to make funding for "cold fusion" research a difficult thing to acquire. All this did was slow down progress on research on something that could radically alter our understanding

    Anyway, the constant influx of reports during those years ('92-'93?) showed that there was something new going on. The problem was that nobody could reliably reproduce their results. But regardless, in the decade since I worked there, "rogue researchers" kept pounding away at the problem & the damned problem just won't go away. In fact, it seems (from this article and many other publications: http://www.defusion.com/ & http://www.infinite-energy.com/) that people are making real progress on the problem.

    I still read some of the lighter publications & summaries, but to tell you the truth, I'm a programmer with a BS in engineering and that stuff is WAY over my head. But progress is being made. It's about freakin' time the main-stream science community stopped their bitching & started taking a good, long, hard look at this problem.

    As my grandma says, "Many hands make light work."

  36. Re:Why cold fusion? by Optics+Geek · · Score: 2, Informative

    I also am not a nuclear physicist, but I think I know the answer to your question (if I'm wrong, hopefully someone will correct me.) There are two, interrelated problems. The first is that the plasma where the fusion occurs is incredibly hot, so as you said it needs to be contained. In tokamaks this is done with a toroidal magnetic field. The problem with this is that, since plasma have very low densities (basically a necessity for it to be a plasma) there's not really all that many nuclei in the contained volume that can undergo fusion. So, the reactions tend to be very short, and we don't get back as much energy as we put in. That's why the tokamaks they're building to get to break even are so huuuge--larger contained volume means more fuel means more energy out for the amount we had to put in. Some researchers are also trying to figure out how to continually inject more fuel into the contained volume and keep the reaction running that way.

    Anyway, this is my understanding of the main problems in the field from the outside looking in.

  37. Have ANY of you naysayers... by absurdist · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ...ever bothered to pick up a copy of Infinite Energy magazine?

    If you had, you might have noticed that there have been papers posted from labs around the world with consistent, reproducible results, for the past 10 years. I realize it's fashionable in some circles to read Skeptical Inquirer and be devotees of The Annoying Randi, but an open mind and a real scientific inquiry is actually sometimes needed. Rejecting something out of hand because you don't understand what's occurring doesn't qualify as objective scientific inquiry, no matter what experts are doing the rejection. (And yes, that's exactly what the reaction was of many of the experts in both the fusion and fission communities... "I don't understand what's happening here and it contradicts all my pet theories, and, more importantly, may affect my sources of funding and research grants... so it MUST be a lot of crap. Even though I've never investigated it, I just know it.")

    BTW, for the tinfoil hat crowd, shortly after the DoE announced that they going to reinvestigate the published research, the founder and editor of Infinite Energy magazine, Dr. Eugene Mallove, was found murdered in his home. Make of it what you will.

  38. Cold Fusion probably from experimental mistakes by Jon+Kay · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I was at the APS meeting where Cold Fusion was officially debunked.
    About five different highly respected labs, including at UMD and
    Caltech, tried and failed to reproduce the results.

    BUT.

    Here's the thing: at least one (maybe two?) of the labs noted that
    Pons & Fleischmann's results could be reproduced if one neglected one
    of the steps needed to reproduce it (stirring?). If one failed to do
    that step, you would get a chemical reaction of about the magnitude
    P&F described.

    Note well that the likeliest reason for any other researcher to
    observe the reaction P&F describe would be a similar carelessness.

    Could it be cold fusion? Could be. But it's very, very, very
    unlikely. The chances of human error are alot higher than the
    chances that physical theory is so wrong.

    There was one embarrassing mistake. The funding agencies had already
    promised funding for cold fusion. Thus, a (sometimes persuasive)
    constituency was created for keeping cold fusion research dollars
    flowing. That constituency is basically being paid to keep the cold
    fusion myth alive. That's anothing thing you should keep in mind when
    you hear about cold fusion nonfailures (because it's as likely that
    you'll see cold fusion generators as it is that you'll get a real
    opportunity to own the Brooklyn Bridge...)

  39. Re:Serious Question: by Mr_Dyqik · · Score: 2

    D2O production takes a reasonably large amount of electrical power and a lot of water to produce.

    Pd is used all over the place as a catalyst (in car exhausts for one) so isn't particularly hard to get hold of. It's also believed to be a catalyst in the alleged reaction, so it isn't used up.

  40. Impossible? I call BS by michaelepley · · Score: 3, Informative
    By impossible, I assume you mean according to the 2nd law of Thermodynamics (given your reference).

    Cold Fusion is simply Fusion at a lower macro-temperature (as in a room-temperature room). Fusion clearly is possible, unless you care to explain atomic weapons, stars, nuclear power another way (do I hear giant government conspiracy maybe? matrix-like pseudo-reality?).

    Cold fusion may or may not be possible, but clearly science hasn't proven it either way. And as another form of Fusion, it certainly does not violate the 2nd law.

  41. Other uses for oil by FooAtWFU · · Score: 2, Informative

    Let's not forget the other uses for oil, such as plastics, lubrication, and just about anything in organic chemistry.

    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  42. Decentralized Electricity by Esion+Modnar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Does anybody really think that the providers of centralized x would not be threatened by the prospect of decentralized x? And that, threatened, they would do nothing to stop or delay it? Has the cold war between proprietary and open source software taught us nothing?

    --

    They say the first thing to go is your penis. Well, it's either that or your brain. I forget which...
  43. No... by schon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Oil companies would be richer than ever if this pans out.

    I disagree.

    The oil won't stop being needed, it'll just stop being burned.

    The question isn't "will oil still be needed", it's "HOW MUCH oil will still be needed?" And the answer (quite obviously) is "much less than is needed right now."

    Yes, some oil will still be needed, but the fact that a great deal of it is burned means that the *demand* side of the "supply and demand" equation will drop. Significantly.

    And guess what happens then?

    quite a few "oil companies" have figured out that they are in the energy business, not the oil business.

    Oil companies currently have it pretty good - why would they want to actually have to go out and *compete* if they don't have to? It's just like the RIAA and the MPAA - when new technology comes out that creates competition for their current business model, they're more inclined to fight the technology, rather than embrace it, even if embracing it would provide a new revenue stream that will dwarf their current profits.

    1. Re:No... by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Informative

      Oil companies currently have it pretty good - why would they want to actually have to go out and *compete* if they don't have to?

      Oil companies do compete, and heavily so. There are a lot of oil companies out there, and all of them want to make a profit. Unocal got out of the post-extraction business in the mid 1990s (though they licensed the trademarks such as the 76 logo to Tosco, who also bought much of the refining and retail operations) because competition in that arena was simply getting to be too difficult. Other companies work solely in refining, or solely in retail, because competition is so fierce in the industry.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    2. Re:No... by koreth · · Score: 2, Insightful
      It's just like the RIAA and the MPAA - when new technology comes out that creates competition for their current business model, they're more inclined to fight the technology, rather than embrace it

      Then explain to me why the solar panels on my roof are made by British Petroleum.

      The RIAA and MPAA aren't selling a product whose source will eventually run out.

      Oil people might differ on when it'll happen, but every oil company CEO knows that eventually we'll run out of easy-to-reach oil and the rest will cost so much to pump out of the ground that it'll be economically impossible to use as a commonplace energy source.

      Any oil companies that haven't diversified into other, more sustainable businesses when that happens will be toast, no matter how much lobbying money they spend.

      Don't get me wrong, they'll fiercely defend their current business for as long as it's profitable! But there's a limited amount of life left in that business, and they all know it.

  44. This could have been decided a long time ago. by Baldrson · · Score: 2, Interesting
    In 1992 I circulated draft legislation that would have established a system of prize awards for milestones in fusion. Like the later Ansari X-prize, my inspiration was the Orteig prize that preceded Lindburgh's flight across the Atlantic.

    A former head of the Atomic Energy Commission's fusion program -- indeed one of the 3 primary founders of the Tokamak program, Robert Bussard, picked up that legislation and sent it to all members of the Congressional committees on energy as well as to the various physics labs. In his cover letter he admitted that the Tokamak program had been a sham program -- promoted in the wake of the Apollo program -- to try and get funding to try out all the "hopeful ideas" out there. The Tokamak program turned into a Frankenstein monster and instead started killing all the hopeful ideas they had originally set out to fund.

    It's taken quite a while for the government to lose its fixation on the Tokamak.

    Maybe now they'll reconsider my legislation -- especially now that the prize award approach has been largely vindicated.

    Or will it take another Viet Nam, or worse, WW III for them to wake up to the stupidity of their energy policies?

  45. Ballpark figure: by k98sven · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just as an example: Proton tunnelling has been observed over 0.5 Å with a 2E-23 J barrier. (as a contribting effect in hydroxyl group proton exchange)

    It takes 100,000,000 times that energy to get a proton just within 1E-13 m of another proton.

    Now consider that the tunneling rate is exponentially dependent on the barrier. Uh-huh.

  46. really.. by RayBender · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Physics Today, MIT Technology Review

    With all due respect to the above journals, they are not peer-reviewed journals where research results are reported. If the journals had been Nature, Science and Physics Review, then I'd be excited. But they aren't, so I'm not. Besides, I read the articles, and I didn't get the impression they were all that enthusiastic...

    --
    Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
  47. Re:RTFP: He said "aneutronic". by cardshark2001 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    pseudo-scientific pundits attacking creation science

    Oh please. "Creation science" isn't science at all. Science makes predictions based on theories, and often has applicable uses. "Creation science" just attacks an evolutionary strawman. Nothing useful has come out of it, and no predictions can be made from it, and its practicioners don't follow the scientific method of empirical research.

    To believe that crap, you have to discard physics (radioactive dating), astrophysics (age of the universe), biology (evolution and DNA), geology (age of the earth), paleoclimatology (ancient weather), and probably several other scientific disciplines that I just can't think of at the moment. Every one of THOSE sciences actually produce results. The atomic clock which you set your watch by in the morning is based on the same rate of radioactive decay which allows us to date rocks and sediment and fossils. The rockets that we send into space calculate their trajectory based on the same science which tells us how old the universe is. DNA and evolutionary research have given us new prescription drugs that are used to treat diseases. Paleoclimatology tells us what happens when the cabon dioxide levels get too high and cause global warming.

    Has "Creation science" contributed anything to mankind, other than a bunch of wrongheaded thinking? Can you use "creation science" to make a better retrovirus drug? No. It's not science, it's muddle headed philosophy, and it will never be any more than that because it is fundamentally wrong.

    When scientists say the earth is billions of years old, that theory is not based on pseudo-science, but cold, hard facts that "creation science" doesn't deal with, because it can't. If we used "creation science" geology to build our buildings, they would collapse. If we used "creation science" nuclear physics to build our nuclear reactors, they would explode. The only way you could possibly believe that crap is if you are woefully or intentionally ignorant of the facts.

    --
    WWJD? JWRTFA!
  48. Phew... by PhotoBoy · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought they meant Macromedia Cold Fusion was back from the dead.

  49. What may be needed here by randall_burns · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Is a more generic form of prize devoted to energy sources. It would be worthwhile to have a prize that would simply related to non-patented technological changes that make their way into energy sources-particularly power plants.

  50. These CF-bashers are totally clueless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Figured I'd move this to the top thread so that as many people saw it as possible. Wow, you people really have no idea, at all, what you are talking about. ColdFusion 4? Uh, that was 6 years ago! ColdFusion MX is a Java/J2EE application that runs on JRun, WebSphere, Tomcat, etc. and utterly trounces other web development languages. It has tags that make all common needs simple to solve (create a web service with one line of code?!) and if you need to do anything complex, call anything in the Java API straight from your CFML code. Any statements about lack of scalability or security are utterly false and are clearly coming from someone who has no clue about what CFMX is. I've been a CF developer for 6 years and do very well at it, building extremely large and complex ecommerce and data warehouse systems. It's just hilarious to see people show their ignorance by saying things as "facts" that are actually totally incorrect.

  51. Wrong, Re: Heavy water toxicity by titzandkunt · · Score: 2, Informative


    "...The only thing in the body that heavy water might affect is osmosis, so I think that is a very unlikely suggestion..."

    No Nobel prize. Not even a White Owl. Here's a more knowledgeable view of heavy water toxicity

    To quote:

    "When body deuterium reaches about 50%, it inhibits mitosis because spindle microtubules won't form (some hydrogen bond effect inhibiting self-polymerization, I think). So all eucaryotic cells are poisoned about about these concentrations, or a little higher (bacteria can survive full deuteration-- they just grow half as fast). The consequences of failure of cell division for an intact animal like a rodent, are somewhat like those of radiation or chemo-- the bone marrow and gut lining cells suffer. Animals die of infection or diarrhea. "

    T&K.

    --
    Political language ... is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable...
  52. Difficult to measure by SiliconEntity · · Score: 2, Informative

    I read a lot about cold fusion when the controversy first erupted and in the next few years. It's much more difficult to evaluate than you would think.

    The problem is that there is a pre-loading phase where you are running the current and nothing is happening. This is when the hydrogen is being taken up by the palladium electrodes. Then after a while you start to get some heat, often sporadically.

    But is it excess heat? Or are you merely recovering energy you spent in the pre-loading phase?

    This question is the subject of calorimetry, or heat measurement, and it is one of the most difficult types of measurements to do precisely. Making it harder is the fact that the experiments run for several days or even weeks and you have to monitor the energy spent and recovered throughout that time. Some of the early experiments went bad because the stirring of the water by convection wasn't properly taken into account. That's how subtle and difficult it is.

    It seems clear that at least some of the early cold fusion results were merely calorimetric errors. Now, it's possible that they have improved their experimental technique and that the new data is more convincing. But the nature of the experiment - long periods of feeding energy in, then short bursts of heat out - makes it inherently difficult to come up with convincing proof of what is happening.

  53. Ha! I linked to a cold fusion article last week! by TheNarrator · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I linked to a article about renewed DOE interest in cold fusion in one of my comments and was throughly ridiculed. Well just goes to show that being ahead of the curve is never easy.

  54. Re:Have ANY of you naysayers... by joshv · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "If you had, you might have noticed that there have been papers posted from labs around the world with consistent, reproducible results, for the past 10 years."

    Ok, I'll bite. Why aren't these people now all billionaires, having developed and sold their new fusion technologies as a practical energy source?

    If it is reliably reproducable, someone ought to be able to make a practical 'cold fusion reactor' and sell it, even if we don't entirely understand the effect. People were burning wood for energy long before we knew anything about combustion chemistry.

  55. Re:Dump the Scientists in the ocean. by jaoswald · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Twentieth-century physics also gave us the solid state (quantum mechanical) theories needed to understand semiconductor rectification and other phenomena used to make things like, oh, TRANSISTORS. And the atomic physics necessary to make LASERS. So that computer with its CD-ROM drive in front of you wouldn't exist without the efforts of 20th century PHYSICISTS.

    None of these were "technologists" working on something they didn't understand, but scientists who actually used the full power of modern physical theories to predict and discover useful phenomena.

    And I haven't even reached back to the 19th century to mention a guy by the name of Maxwell, and all the great things made possible by his theoretical research. Like, oh, I don't know, radio.

    Even Edison wouldn't have gotten very far if it hadn't been for Ampere, Coulomb, and Faraday. All that funky telegraph stuff that gave Edison his start depended on what was once cutting-edge physics.

    I'll freely admit general relativity hasn't (and almost certainly won't) lead to technological breakthroughs. But quantum mechanics has pretty clearly kicked ass.

  56. Credibility +4 by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 2, Informative

    Pons and Fleishman told of trying an experiment in a portable cooler; when no positive results were immediately apparent, the cooler was put into a closet and forgotten about for years -- until there was a fire which the arson investigators deduced started in the closet, in the cooler....

    Pons and Fleishman were clear (to me) in saying the "apparatus" had to spend years "charging." Their words.

    Right after their announcement, a Palo Alto, CA laboratory charged with trying to replicate their experiment used the same brand cooler and put it in a closet for years.... Students graduated, professors retired or moved on, and suddenly, there was a fire in the lab, which investigators reported started in a closet....

    (This based on contemporary news reports carried in the SF CHronicle.)

    I doubt the PA replication experiment was designed to start a fire inadvertently, but that appears to be what happened.

    Pons and Fleishman's explanation of their apparatus was MORE accurate than most of the doubters realized or even accepted.

    It appears to me (an interested amateur) that the battery uses time to somehow attract a Deuterium atom to each palladium atom, at which time, according to the article, energy amplification ("cold fusion") occurs 100 per cent of the time.

  57. And water has memory... by SunSaw · · Score: 2, Informative

    The big fuss over cold fusion came about the same time as the bogus theory that water had a memory. If you can believe that the water in your next can of Pepsi (or Coke) "remembers" that it was most recently in your bladder, more power to you, but it's this same quackery that gives us homeopathic remedies. Let's not confuse what we would like to be, with what is reality. Bad science is just that and wishing that it wasn't doesn't make it so.

    --
    --When it's my time, I want to die in my sleep like my grandfather -- not screaming like all the passengers in his car
  58. Theory and evidence by Dollyknot · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Causality, phenomena, hypothesis, evidence, predictability. Look at the evidence generate a hypothesis. Newtons hypothesis worked well for hundreds of years to explain the movement of the planets, the fact that his hypothesis could not explain the orbit of mercury was conveniently ignored. Along came Einstein and suddenly mercury behaved itself.

    I would prefer much more that they were going to the moon to harvesting helium 3 and trying to fuse it with deuterium, the fact that helium 3 lacks something and dueterium has bit to much of something could make a fusion reaction easier to achieve. A link here. http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/helium3_0006 30.html/

    --
    It's called an elephant's trunk whereas it is in fact, an elephant's nose, a nose by any other name would smell as sweet