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The Hidden Swing State?

rwiedower writes "What if all the Nader voters lived in a single state? Kerry would have to court them and their electoral votes just like he pursues union workers in Ohio and senior citizens in Florida. Now, in the two weeks before the election, Nader's 1% might well be a deciding factor. And Nader voters, sick of being told that a vote for Nader is a vote for Bush, have formed a loose coalition demanding to be treated for what they are--a swing state."

24 of 290 comments (clear)

  1. Um...reality? by Gothic_Walrus · · Score: 1, Insightful
    Yes, there might possibly be enough Nader voters throughout the country to make up a state's worth of votes.

    They're spread throughout the country, though. It doesn't matter what they believe...they aren't a swing state.

    Really...are they going to take all of the Nader votes and count them for one state? Hell, how about we give him Rhode Island?

    That won't happen. Remember our Constitution?

    Nader voters aren't a swing state. Case closed.

    --
    Goo goo g'joob.
    1. Re:Um...reality? by Lord+Kano · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They're spread throughout the country, though. It doesn't matter what they believe...they aren't a swing state.

      Tell that to Gore. If he had been able to woo Nader voters in Florida, he'd be the president.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
  2. I signed the petition by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    UNLIKE the headline, this isn't necessarily about Nader or Cobb- while they are pushed in the 2nd "e-mail your friends", the general push of this petition is to let Kerry know that a large number of people voting for him have other agendas- like actually letting families survive, preserving the environment, rejecting corporate control over our lives and so on. I urge anybody who has ever supported a third party candidate in their lives and who doesn't support Bush to sign this petition- let's get a slashdot of signatures on this list!

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  3. time for a real fix by egomaniac · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's time to start pushing for vote reform. America has the dumbest voting system on the planet, one that only works when there are only two candidates. As soon as you have more than two, you have this crap.

    I would vote for Nader if it weren't for the fact that it would essentially be throwing my vote away. I'm sure that there are a lot of people out there who feel the same way. Stop bitching about it and do something. Write your congresscritters and tell them about the joys of other voting systems, such as instant runoff and approval voting.

    And more importantly, the third parties should present a unified front on this if they ever want to win an election. Libertarians, Greens, hell even Communists, the first and foremost issue for you should be the voting system. We need to abolish this two-party crap and allow our voices to really be heard.

    --
    ZFS: because love is never having to say fsck
    1. Re:time for a real fix by CashCarSTAR · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Your voices CAN be heard.

      One of the big problems, is for too long people have limited their voices to the ballot box.

      That's just not good enough. You're not going to trick/fool enough people to change their minds in order to have anything come even close to a majority. You actually have to change hearts and minds. And that involves a lot of work, and a lot of..well..to be honest, disappointment.

      The other big problem that well..in particular the Nader people have is that they tend to miss the forest for the trees. The problem with the media isn't consolodation (althouth that doesn't help), but it's actually the journalistic culture that teaches that "accuracy" is all about giving both sides of the issue equal focus. Without any concern for any sort of accuracy or anything like that.

      Nader in particular actually used that in 2000 to his advantage, in order to present the race as being no difference between the two major candidates...an obvious LIE to anybody actually follows these things, but it allowed Bush to have success in presenting the election as in strictly personality/culture issues.

      Finally, the big problem with American democracy is that for such a long time, there was no real cultural opposition to the Republicans. The Democrats were basically motivated by their own special interest groups. Nader's rationale for running, in fact is NOT to change that. It's to MAINTAIN that. He makes a lot of meony from those groups, and he doesn't want to kill his cash cow.

    2. Re:time for a real fix by squiggleslash · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I'm not the GP, but I'll take a stab: Gore had a history of environmentalism, which even continued while he was VP; I seriously doubt he'd have renounced Kyoto in the same way as Bush did immediately on taking office.

      I always thought that was the most ironic part. Nader was standing as the Green Party candidate against Gore, saying there was no difference between Gore and Bush, when one of the most fundamental, most obvious, differences between the two were their policies on green issues.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    3. Re:time for a real fix by finkployd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In my opinion (while I am not voting for nader), the only way to truly throw your vote away is to vote for the candidate who only cares about his political career.

      You know the one, he is a Yale frat boy who was in the "secret" skull and bones society. He had a questionable service record that has been in the news lately. You know which guy I mean, the one that according to factcheck.org lied repeatedly throughout all three debates. Yup, that guy. The one that in his recent years of civic service has not improved this country at all, in fact has been accused of neglecting duty.

      Yup, you know which one I am talking about. Don't vote for him. This country will go down the tubes if he wins the election.

      Finkployd

    4. Re:time for a real fix by Krow10 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      There really wasn't much of a forseeable difference between the two candidates. I mean, maybe Gore wouldn't have gone into Iraq, but he certainly didn't run on that issue. What is the significant difference which you saw between Gore and Bush other than personality/culture?
      The major difference (at least in my view) was the difference between Ruth Bader Ginsberg and Clarence Thomas. Granted President Bush didn't make any Supreme Court appointments this term, but he has made quite a few lesser court appointments. And some have said that the next president could fill up to three vacancies. If that's Bush, then this could lead to Scalia and Thomas leading a majority on the court.

      I voted Libertarian in 2000, since I was in Virginia and Gore didn't stand a chance, and Brown was closest to my ideal candidate. This time, I find this difference significant enough that I'm going to hold my nose and vote for Kerry. It probably stands a chance in hell of making a difference, but any non-zero chance is better than zero chance.

      Cheers,
      Craig

      --
      Corollary to Clarke's Third Law: Any technology distinguishable from magic is insufficiently advanced.
  4. Re:Why are Nader voters and his party so cluess? by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why is it that Ralph Nader and his supporters are doing thier best to ingore how the US Electoral system acutally works?

    You mean the part where he's allowed to vote however he likes, even for Nader? Oh, that's right, the democrats and republicans are colluding to make sure you have no choices but them... nevermind.

  5. ObSimpsons by thelenm · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Time for the obligatory Simpsons quote from Treehouse of Horror VII:

    Homer: America, take a good look at your beloved candidates. They're nothing but hideous space reptiles! [audience gasps in terror]
    Kodos: It's true, we are aliens. But what are you going to do about it? It's a two-party system; you have to vote for one of us.
    Man1: He's right, this is a two-party system.
    Man2: Well, I believe I'll vote for a third-party candidate.
    Kang: Go ahead, throw your vote away!

    --
    Use Ctrl-C instead of ESC in Vim!
  6. The real hidden swing state by Hard_Code · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What about the 50% of eligible voters that don't vote at all.

    --

    It's 10 PM. Do you know if you're un-American?
  7. Re:Why are Nader voters and his party so cluess? by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The chance that Ralph Nader will be elected president is exactly 0. In spending his political capital running for an office he can not posibly win he is insuring a minimal return on investment.

    I think the Democratic party has shifted to the left since 2000, and I think that is in no small part due to Ralph Nader. Almost 5% of Democrats were so frustrated by Gore that they were willing to risk letting Bush into office to send that message. Nader may have 0 chance of being elected, but in 2000 Nader sure was heard.

  8. Can't do it. by dtfinch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The optimal electoral strategy is to attempt to invade your opponent's territory on the political spectrum, stealing his supporters while keeping your own. A candidate can be as far upleft as Nader, but they stand to lose more votes by pissing off the opposition's supporters than their own, so to win they must hide their true colors. It sucks but that's how our shitty electoral system works.

    Nader's best chance at the presidency is to join the democratic party and act like a 90% republican after he wins the primaries, by doing his best to avoid talking about the on the split issues. Then once/if elected, he can do whatever he wants.

  9. This is something I've always wanted to know by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How exactly is Kerry a "traitor?"

    I know it can't be Vietnam, since he was the face of those so grievously harmed by the political meddeling in a pointless war. He simply repeated what many had publically confessed to congress. And absolutely crushed O'Neal (head of the Swift Boat Vets organization) on the Dick Cavett show, getting O'Neal to admit to having commited war crimes un the Geneva conventions. To say nothing of the story of Hugh Thompson and the well documented excesses of Lt. Calley.

    I know it can't be his votes on arms reductions, since most of them were for reducing stockpiles of nuclear weapons (unless MX missles with 10 Mirvs and 5 decoys were weapons essential to winning the war on terror), and creating programs encouraging cost savings in weapons programs such as those built into the Joint Strike Fighter. The others were cuts championed by the likes of Cheney in continuing Clinton's pursuit of a lighter more agile military that could deploy more quickly. Not to mention Al-Queda doesn't have an advanced interlocking air defense network that needs a B-2 to penetrate it. I know it can't be the 87 Billion dollars, because Kerry voted for it when it wasn't going to be put on a high interest credit card, even though he thought the administration was low-balling and cutting corners, which has later been proven to be accurate.

    So I'd really like to know what it is that makes him a traitor.

    1. Re:This is something I've always wanted to know by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How do you figure? That the US forces commited great attrocities is a matter of the public record, see Calley, who served four years of a life sentence for his role in the brutal murder of more than 500* innocent Vietnamese villagers. (OJ should have had his lawyer.) And read that link in my post. Hugh told his crew to fire on Calley's men, US Soldiers just like his crew, if they advanced on where other Vietnamese had escaped to. Is he a traitor. He was decorated for his heroism. The army seems to think that Thompson's order to his crew was more than legal, it was so in keeping with Americans ideals that is was deserving of special distinction and recognition.

      Did the Communists do worse? Absolutely, and once more, they don't put it in their textbooks. But were not so small and weak a people that we aspire to be a small irrelevant totalitarian state. We share our excesses, success and sins with one another, in full public view so that others might be better than ourselves. That honesty, and integrity is what makes us great. Without it our professed ideals are meaningless, as we'll never approach them, never having tried, content to eternally proclaim our imminent arrival.

      * Calley was charged directly with murders of more than 100 people, one of whom was a man begging for mercy with his hands raised, and one of whom was a child fleeing a ditch where he murdered 70 people. A jury of six officers found him guilty of murdering 22.

  10. Re:Why are Nader voters and his party so cluess? by Ohreally_factor · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Yeah, you guys are in great shape, politically, over there in Israel. Your government is basically hostage to extremists. Any time the extremists don't get their way, they threaten to leave the coalition, and then the government falls. And if that doesn't work, they use assassination.

    Now, here in the U.S., we have. . . . oh, wait a minute. I forgot. The Republican Party is basically hostage to extremists, too. And it's unlikely that the extremists would assassinate Bush, since he is one of them. It's sort of like Yossi Kadourie is our president.

    --
    It's not offtopic, dumbass. It's orthogonal.
  11. Kerry tortured POWs? by JavaRob · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For starters, he's a traitor to those POWs who endured years of torture to get them to say they committed war crimes even if they didn't.

    I still don't understand the whole traitor thing, but I haven't really heard it in a coherent way yet. What exactly are you accusing Kerry of?

    From your post it sounds like you're saying he tortured POWs, to get war crime confessions out of them. Is that it? Or they were tortured while POWs, then later he somehow forced them to confess war crimes they didn't do? What exactly did Kerry do that made him a traitor?

    Pointing out a website that at least tries to be fact-based on this issue would be helpful. Thanks.

    1. Re:Kerry tortured POWs? by Noel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How does telling the truth about our wrong actions, however unpalatable, provide aid and comfort to the enemy? Is it better to just lie and cover them up?

      I contend that the war crimes themselves are what give aid and comfort to the enemy, since they support the enemy's portrayal of us as evil.

      IOW, it's the actions that are wrong, not the admission.

      Also, do you have any documentation confirming that the US accusations or admissions of these actions had significant effects on the treatment of our POWs? It's hard to imagine that the VC wouldn't know what was happening, even without any admissions by the US.

  12. Re:Libertarians? by rwiedower · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is probably why the Kerry folks might take the Naderites more seriously than the Badnarikians. The whole purpose of the Free State Project is to have less government pandering and intervention. The libertarians don't want promises from Bush or Kerry, besides the idea of respecting everyone's rights. The Nader folks, on the other hand, do want the government to step in and legislate solutions to problems over the environment, corporate law, etc.

  13. Re:Why are Nader voters and his party so cluess? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Heh heh. It's great to be moderated troll in a political argument. If the fool moderator had any intelligence, he might see the parallels in the power of coalitions in both systems.

    Reagan and Bush I were beholden to the religious extremists. Bush II is one of them. He believes in the rapture, which is clearly an extreme fringe belief that allows him to act recklessly and without fear of consequences.

  14. Re:Why are Nader voters and his party so cluess? by jdiggans · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What Nader consistently fails to take into account is that shifting the Democratic party further to the left will only increase the fequency with which Republicans get into office. Both parties don't pander to the middle because they like it; they pander because it's the middle that holds all the voters.

    Viewed as a distribution, Nader is asking the Democratic party to shift to the left to more accurately suit his own views (and those of, say, 10% max of the Democratic party). Were this to happen, the GOP could easily grapple a few percentage points in the center-left category and nearly force the Democrats out of government entirely.

    Not only is Nader's current quest Quixotic at best; his long-term goal is in no part realistic, intelligent or informed. He wouldn't enjoy living in the country that would result from the Democratic Party shifting hard to the left.

  15. Vote Badnarik or Peroutka to weaken the GOP by cryophan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Either Badnarik or Peroutka is OK. THat way it helps build the Libertarian and Constitution parties for the future, which will weaken the GOP in the future. Here in Texas, Kerry is out of the running, and the only presidential candidates who made it on the ballot. So I will be voting for Badnarik, the better to build the future Libertarian party, and take future votes from the GOP. I plan to do this even though I find most of the Libertarian party platform irrational and even revolting in some areas. The Constitution party is the one that can really really hurt the GOP if they get any real publicity in 2008....

  16. Well Nader votes arent votes for bush by Crashmarik · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The polls are showing bush up anywhere from 4 to 9 points. Its not going to be close in the electoral college its not going to be close in the popular vote. As nader pointe out he is not going to have the slightest effect on kerrys chances.

    On the other hand voting for Nader is a real protest to the democratic party. If they aren't representing your views. If you feel we shouldn't have bush and bush lite running. If you feel that there should be a real choice Nader is your man.

    BTW I probably don't agree with you about Nader as I will be voting my conscience for Badnarik.

  17. Re:Libertarians? by rhakka · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ballot access, funding, visibility and media coverage... all things that vote counts affect.