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Rules Set for $50 Million America's Space Prize

An anonymous reader wrote in to say that The rules have been set for Robert Bigelow's $50 million 'America's Space Prize'. The gist of it is that the winner needs to get a crew of five people up 400km, complete two orbits of the Earth, and then do it again within 60 days. I've got a gremlin and a huge rubber band... now if I only had 4 friends!

98 of 548 comments (clear)

  1. How long... by webroach · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ..until Rutan does this?

    1. Re:How long... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 2, Informative
      I'm tempted to point out the incredible amount of kinetic energy involved to ORBIT versus simply gain alititude. (dY*mG=400,000 vs .5 m (17,000km/s)^2

      But then again, Rutan has done some amazing things.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
    2. Re:How long... by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 2, Informative
      Yes, I know I screwed up the equations.
      Altitude = (400,000m) * m * 9.8m/ss
      Orbit = 0.5 * m * (v^2)
      Where v=(G(m*M)r) ^ 1/5

      I'm still drinking my early morning coffee

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
  2. Hah! by metlin · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I've got a gremlin and a huge rubber band... now if I only had 4 friends!

    The confessions of a true geek, eh Taco? ;)

    That said, the time frame for this thing seems a little too high -

    And one more thing. They have to do it by Jan. 10, 2010.

    I'm not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing -- 3 years might have been nice, but 5 years seems a little too long to me.

    Anyway, this is really good. Hopefully, the space race has started again!

    PS - why the _HELL_ is Slashdot having an applet in the ads? It freezes up my browser in Windows for a while. It's getting to be a pain. At the very least, provide some way of turning off Applet ads.

    1. Re:Hah! by Peyna · · Score: 2, Funny

      They even have ads for Microsoft for cripes sake.

      It's like taking money from the enemy. MS can waste their money here all they want, I doubt it does them much good.

      --
      What?
    2. Re:Hah! by julesh · · Score: 4, Interesting

      3 years might have been nice, but 5 years seems a little too long to me

      Sorry, 3 years is infeasible for the kind of development this will take. How long was SS1 in development? This is at least an order of magnitude more complicated.

      I'm not sure 5 years is possible, but I'm hoping to be proved wrong.

    3. Re:Hah! by EvilTwinSkippy · · Score: 2, Funny
      Well, considering that both the Soviet and American space programs were built on the fundimental research done by the Nazis on ballistic missile technology...

      I declare Godwin's law.

      --
      "Learning is not compulsory... neither is survival."
      --Dr.W.Edwards Deming
  3. To little? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It seems like spaceship one spent significantly more than 10 mil on their first ship. Is 50 mil a large enough reward for other participants?

    1. Re:To little? by JDevers · · Score: 5, Insightful

      My take on these type of awards is that the cash prize is just there to try to encourage both the small and inventive teams as well as help pay back some of the bills accrued by the big teams. The real reward will come a few years AFTER the competition, but the award will help keep the company solvent from point A to B.

      Basically, this isn't like a lottery or something where if you spend $11 to make $10 you loose, instead you got to do $11 worth of science for only $1 and more importantly you might be able to move your company/team towards a future where you can make 10x-100x times the award per year or more...

    2. Re:To little? by akgunkel · · Score: 2, Informative

      If you RTFA, you'll see that Bigelow has a plan to use this spacecraft with his inflatable habitats. The 50 Mil is just to take the edge off the development costs, the real money is in carrying tourists to Bigelow's space hotels.

  4. Technicality Smechnic..thingy by Clappingman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The spacecraft must reach a minimum velocity sufficient to complete two (2) full orbits at altitude before returning to Earth; It doesn't say that it actually has to orbit twice though, just reach the velocity necessary to do so.

    1. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by Phanatic1a · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Please explain.

      If you achieve the velocity sufficient to achieve orbit, then you've achieved the velocity sufficient to orbit twice. And three times. And 17 times.

      I must be missing something.

    2. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Informative

      Low Earth Orbit is not frictionless. It's just EXTREMELY thin air. Anything that stays in LEO for an extended period will require an occasional boost to maintain its orbit. That's why NASA occasionally gives the ISS a boost or two.

    3. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by Enigma_Man · · Score: 2, Informative

      All of those rocks orbiting Saturn are _really_ far away from Saturn. There is effectively zero drag up there, however there is still a non-zero amount of drag, and after many billions and billions of years, yes Saturn will have no rings because they all will have fallen inward, just like how eventually all of the planets would fall into the sun (if the sun didn't blow up first). It has been thought that the earth had a very slight ring at one point in history, though I can't remember why it was thought that, or when exactly.

      -Jesse

      --
      Nothing says "unprofessional job" like wrinkles in your duct tape.
    4. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by IPFreely · · Score: 3, Informative
      The spacecraft must reach a minimum velocity sufficient to complete two (2) full orbits at altitude before returning to Earth; It doesn't say that it actually has to orbit twice though, just reach the velocity necessary to do so.

      I suppose there could be reasons that you would not actually want to perform the orbits even though you've reached the appropriate speed.

      Orbits take time. If you just pop up to altitude and speed, then immediately fall back down then the total trip is probably an hour or so. In order to orbit, you have to have to support several hours in space, maybe a day:
      1. Air supply and air tightness of cabin to maintain the crew for the duration of the orbits.
      2. Depending on length of time you spend in orbit, you might need other "human" facilities on board, food, water, restrooms.
      3. Radiation and debris shielding. There's less debris in the upper atmosphere, but lots in orbit.
      There may be fuel considerations to actually entering and exiting orbit rather than just passing through and falling back down.

      --
      There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
    5. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by xnot · · Score: 2, Informative

      A low altitude orbit experiences drag due to Earth's atmosphere, so it's important to specify how many orbits, because that will dictate the amount of station-keeping thrust (= fuel) required to maintain the orbit. Also, for a circular orbit, the velocity is directly proportional to the distance from the Earth (see two-body problem in orbital mechanics), so the previous poster is correct in saying that if you achieve some velocity associated with an orbit, you achieve that orbit.

    6. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by Suidae · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If I remember correctly the Earth's moon is being slowly boosted outwards/upwards in its orbit by bleeding off small amounts of Earth's rotational energy. Eventually it may leave Earth orbit.

      Does the same effect apply to the bodies in Saturn's rings or other planetary moons?

    7. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by logpoacher · · Score: 5, Informative
      consider the fact that if you fired a bullet from a decent rifle a thousand miles up, it would go into orbit, but obviously bullets don't go into orbit here on the ground.

      Well, careful here. That's the big misconception - that orbital velocity is anything like the speed of a bullet. Ok, ok, it depends on your definition of "decent rifle" :-), but no Earth rifle even comes close to firing at 5 miles a second - a tenth of that is more likely.

      Similarly, SpaceShip One only achieved about 0.6miles/sec. That's why - amazing though it is that they achieved what they did on such a small budget - the orbit challenge is so much harder than just "touching space". When you consider that chemical rockets project propellant at about 2 miles/sec, you'll see that a single-stage rocket's mass must be almost entirely fuel (>85%) to achieve orbital speed alone - and that's after you've reached a suitable height! Multi-stage boosters help with the physics, of course, but they slaughter the economics. :-)

      Anyway, achieving height is just the easy "Part 1" of the problem. Speed's the hard part. Try doing the momentum sums yourself - it gives you serious respect for people who can build machines to overcome the problems, and it shows how close Earth is to being completely un-escapable (at least using chemical rockets)!

      Of course, re-reading your post, the rifle thing does illustrate your point rather well. Oh well ...

    8. Re:Technicality Smechnic..thingy by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Think of what the space shuttle does. If everything goes well, it's in orbit. As you say, if you get there, you can orbit as much as you want to.

      But, when the shuttle has a problem, there are several abort modes, including RTLS, ATA, ATO, and AOA

      RTLS - return to launch site. Early in the flight, but after the SRB's are done burning, the shuttle can return to the runway at Kennedy if there's a problem.

      ATA - Abort Trans Atlantic. If the shuttle is going too fast to get back to Kennedy, it can land an emergency airfields in Spain or Morocco.

      ATO - Abort To Orbit. Orbit is actually a relatively safe place to be. If you can get there, you have a lot of time to solve the problem, in a stable environment. The ATO abort mode has actually been used by the space shuttle, due to a loss of one main engine on ascent. The other two engines simply burned longer to compensate, and the orbit wound up being lower by a few dozen miles. The mission wasn't compromised, because when the ATO was complete, mission control decided not to end the mission.

      AOA - Abort Once Around. If the shuttle has an emergency that precludes it landing in Spain AND getting to orbit, it can do a an abort once around. The shuttle goes around the Earth once, and lands in California (Edwards) where the runways are nice and long. Presumably in the event of an AOA, you want nice long runways. It should be noted that with just a little extra velocity, the external tank would go all the way around the earth, but still wouldn't have enough velocity to get around a second time. Right now the tank burns up over the Indian ocean (I think, might be the Pacific). The external tank doesn't have enough velocity to go around twice, but it could go around once.

      So, there's an actual flight path that a rocket can take which would allow it to fly all the way around the earth, but only once. Presumably by stipulating that the velocity required to achieve two orbits is required, they are precisely defining what they mean by "get into orbit". Once around is an orbit, but isn't _in_ orbit by their thinking.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
  5. That's a big meatball by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wow, no more than 20% expendable and attain a real orbit. I have a feeling this money is safe.

    1. Re:That's a big meatball by Gil-galad55 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah -- that having been said, I was fairly sure the X-Prize wasn't going to be claimed, and I ended up having to eat my shirt. So I'm not going to be so quick to write this one off. But you're right; the orbital requirements are hard enough, and then the extra docking requirements... highly non-trivial, in my ignorant opinion.

      --

      To follow knowledge like a sinking star, / Beyond the utmost bound of human thought. ("Ulysses", Tennyson)

    2. Re:That's a big meatball by timeOday · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Has the shuttle ever achieved a turnaround time of anything like 60 days?

  6. The rules specify the 5 people... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...must be Bush, Rumsfeld, Rove, Ashcroft, and Oreilly. Successful reentry is not required to receive your prize.

    1. Re:The rules specify the 5 people... by dfung · · Score: 2, Funny

      :-)

      Perhaps mixing Tim O'Reilly with the others was intended to cause a combustion to power the spacecraft. Why, just mixing Tim O'Reilly with Karl Rove alone would produce enough heat to light Sebastopol for 6 months.

    2. Re:The rules specify the 5 people... by JavaLord · · Score: 4, Funny

      ...must be Bush, Rumsfeld, Rove, Ashcroft, and Oreilly. Successful reentry is not required to receive your prize.

      Yes, but with those people in the Rocket, successful re-entry is likely since they are very succssful people. Now, if you are shooting for failure try putting in Kerry, Edwards, Gore, Nader and Sharpton

  7. Re:Better Idea by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Space Travel is exciting - but everyone who wants to experience space is already a scuba diver - and the experience is largely the same.

    Cost effective Wind Power (Kilowatts/Construction costs) would mean the end of middle east conflict, global warming, rural poverty in developing countries, lung disease in Beiging.

    How else could you solve so many problem with a 10 million dollar prize. If Burt Rutan was focused on a lightweight scalable wind turbine - My guess is we'd be there by now. Instead we've invented a private version of the vomit comet.

    AIK

  8. Re:Better Idea by Ender_Stonebender · · Score: 4, Interesting

    No.

    The basic problem is not that we do not have enough power, it is that we have too many people stuffed in a limited volume (I'm going to avoid having to have two meanings of "space" in this comment, dammit!). Getting to space efficiently allows us to have a larger volume in which humanity can live.

    It doesn't solve every problem in the world, but being to run very very far away from your problems helps. It's how the U.S.A. got started.

    --Ender

    --
    Loose things are easy to lose. You're getting your hair cut. They're going there to see their aunt.
  9. America's Space Prize? by levell · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm a little disappointed with the name. Even if the money is put up by Americans and will almost inevitably be won by an American it just seems a little well clique-y to put America in the title. I'm aware this is private enterprise and they have the right to call it what they like, I'm just a little sad about their choice.

    --
    Struggling to find a day everyone can make? WhenShallWe.com
    1. Re:America's Space Prize? by 91degrees · · Score: 3, Informative

      Read the rest of the article. The winner has to live and do business in the US.

    2. Re:America's Space Prize? by TopShelf · · Score: 4, Informative

      quoth the article:

      "Another set of the rules for the prize require that any contestant reside and do business in the United States."

      Hence the name...

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    3. Re:America's Space Prize? by gzunk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Another set of the rules for the prize require that any contestant reside and do business in the United States."

      If you can only win it if you live and do business in The United States of America, then calling it "America's Space Price" isn't that misleading - so many people call "USA" "America". Well except if you live elsewhere in the continent of America.

    4. Re:America's Space Prize? by ultramk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If it makes you feel any better, you can consider this payback for the EU nixing the Boeing/McDonnell Douglas merger just to give Airbus a leg up.

      That was dirty pool.

      m-

      --
      You catch enchiladas by picking them up behind the head and holding them underwater until they don't kick anymore -VeGas
  10. Make an orbit by freeze128 · · Score: 4, Funny
    I've got a gremlin and a huge rubber band... now if I only had 4 friends!
    Your taun-taun will freeze before you reach the first marker!
  11. Re:Better Idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, sure, and the moment you start sucking gigawatts of wind power out of the atmosphere, you'll be shifting the climate in new and interesting ways. Then you'll get a new generation of enviro-nutters on your case.

  12. Finally, a REAL space challenge by csoto · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's a huge difference between flying a neato rocket plane like "SpaceShipOne" and actually achieving Low Earth Orbit. This will be a much more difficult challenge!

    --
    There exists no way of exchanging information without making judgments. --Bene Gesserit Axiom
  13. Sounds like a recipe for disaster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The risks involved increase polynomially the longer the craft is active.

    If people die in the course of attaining this prize, say goodbye to private space travel and hello to new laws and regulations. The chilling effect from "Columbia" is nothing compared to what will happen if a private attempt goes wrong.

    This contest also has the potential to create an international incident.

    1. Re:Sounds like a recipe for disaster by rdurell · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This kind of thinking amazes me. I wonder if DeSoto, Columbus, Magellan or Marco Polo had to worry about such ramifications.

      Humans, by thier very nature, are explorers. If someone wants to strap a raocket to thier butt and blast themsellves into space, so be it. People will die in the name of exploration... Five hundred years ago losing five men on an expedition would mean relatviely little (impact to thier families notwithstanding). Why is it so different today. Do our lives now mean that much more than then?

      Of course, I understand the need to keep others safe. If the aforementioned butt-rocket man were to accidentally explode over my house and injure my family I'd be pissed. But let's not take this to the extreme.

      Exploration and risk go hand in hand. Something tells me there is a happy medium between the two that will allow us to explore while mitigating the risk to others.

      For the record, yes I would strap a rocket to my butt in a heart beat if I thought I could get into space, orbit and return safely.

    2. Re:Sounds like a recipe for disaster by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 5, Insightful
      If people die in the course of attaining this prize, say goodbye to private space travel and hello to new laws and regulations.
      Yep. Just look at what happened when people first died in a private automotive accident. The government stepped in, and now we're all back to horse and buggy.
      --

      How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
    3. Re:Sounds like a recipe for disaster by mr_snarf · · Score: 2, Funny

      Don't go outside! Theres germs everywhere! Don't go for a walk, you could trip over and hurt yourself! Don't open your eyes, you might go blind! Don't ....

      Risk is part of life. Some people can deal with greater risks than other people. Nothing will get done if no one takes any risks.

      --
      printf("Goodbye cruel world!\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b\b");
  14. 80% reusable? by bulletman · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The rules say that only 20% of the vehicule can be expendable. Why have this requirement at all? If someone can send a ship cheaply and reliably that doesn't meet this rule, then why not?

    Stephen

    1. Re:80% reusable? by Detritus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It forces the builder to design something new, instead of just another overgrown ICBM from the 1950s.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    2. Re:80% reusable? by tepples · · Score: 5, Funny

      Then begin your rationalizing by claiming that the part that lifts off is the 20 percent, and the launch pad is the 80 percent.

    3. Re:80% reusable? by FatherKabral · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Expendable = unnecessary = wasteful

      Perhaps the organizers wish to not pollute or rape the earth to get this task completed, but instead want to see it done in the most efficient way possible.

    4. Re:80% reusable? by Zarniwoop_Editor · · Score: 5, Funny
      Can the crew be part of the expendable 20%?

      Might save on life support overhead for the two orbits. ;-)

      --
      - F1 NEWS
  15. Learner Drivers... by RobertTaylor · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Bigelow Aerospace will be hiring astronauts, as well as conduct the training of "space novices""

    NASA does intense training; will these new spacecraft pilots have heat resistant learner plates?! ;)

  16. restrictive condition? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The contestant must have its principal place of business in the United States of America.

    Isn't this is very restrictive and unfair?

    1. Re:restrictive condition? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      He's the one running the contest with his money, so he gets to make the rules.

      If you've got some spare $millions laying around, you can create your own contest and set the rules as restrictive or broad as you want.

    2. Re:restrictive condition? by Have+Blue · · Score: 4, Insightful

      When you have $50 million dollars, you can run your own space contest and demand that the winner perform their orbit attempts while wearing "I'M WITH STUPID" T-shirts. Bigelow has the $50 million right now so he gets to make his own rules.

  17. Orbital Mechanics by hugg · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Now, using a rubber band would be impractical -- when you apply an impulse to an idealized orbit, the trajectory will change but it will always return to the same point at which you applied the impulse. Therefore your Gremlin would crash into the Earth's surface. You would need a second rubber band floating in space to actually reach orbit.

    Now, this is *unless* you take advantage of perturbations of a second body -- like the Moon -- to alter your trajectory enough to bring the perigee up to 400 km. This is what I am assuming you meant.

    Sincerely,
    Pedant McGee

  18. Prize money not enough... by mOoZik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't think the prize money is enough. It cost about half that to attain something much less by SpaceShipOne. My guess is that it will cost closer to $100 mil to do such a thing and claim the prize. Furthermore, I think the timespan is too short. It took 8 years for someone to claim the Ansari prize. How can we expect something much difficult to be accomplished in much less time? Sure, some of the development is in place by the teams that lost, but there are many hurdles to be overcome for orbital flight.

  19. Probably much more useful than SS1 by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Rutan's accomplishment was impressive, but as has been pointed out in other discussions, it was essentially a high-flying airplane rather than a true spaceship, and doesn't scale well. Anyone who wins this prize will have built something much more directly applicable to real space travel.

    Which isn't to say I don't want Rutan, or someone else whose approach is essentially aviation-based rather than big-boom-straight-up-based, to get it. When I was a kid, I spent endless hours reading my Dad's old 50's sci-fi collection, and somewhere in the back of my mind is the idea that a real spaceship has a needle nose and delta wings ...

    --
    The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    1. Re:Probably much more useful than SS1 by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 3, Informative

      How do you know SS1 doesn't scale well? Did you see the documentary on Scaled that was on the Discover Channel? Scaled has plans for an orbiter vehicle with a big old booster.

  20. Re:America only? by Quixote · · Score: 2, Informative
    It is not Burt Rutan who's offering this prize but Bob Bigelow. RTFA, please.

  21. Re:Better Idea by ceejayoz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The end of Middle East conflict? In your dreams...

    When the Arab nations realize they can't eat sand and can't afford to import food because their oil is worthless, there'll be hell to pay.

  22. Lighten up. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    " The risks involved increase polynomially the longer the craft is active."

    I don't mean this the way this sounds, but I think you made this up completely. You may be right. But I don't see any data to support this.

    "If people die in the course of attaining this prize"

    People die skydiving, scuba diving, bungee jumping, skiing... all the time. Unlike many people, I don't think the loss of a spacecraft with 6 people on board is any more tragic than the loss of 6 people in a minivan accident on the freeway.

    "say goodbye to private space travel and hello to new laws and regulations."

    New laws and regulations are inevitable anyway. Or did you think Virgin Airlines (Branson) is just going to fire up Spaceship one and start taking reservations? Its really hard getting FCC certified for any kind of commercial flights.

    "The chilling effect from "Columbia" is nothing compared to what will happen if a private attempt goes wrong."

    What chilling effect? The space shuttle is a piece of crap; it should be grounded because its too expensive.

    "This contest also has the potential to create an international incident."

    So does fingerprinting and retina scanning all foreigners entering the country, but that doesn't seem to have stopped us.

    Stop worrying about the sky falling.

    1. Re:Lighten up. by bmorris · · Score: 2, Funny
      Its really hard getting FCC certified for any kind of commercial flights.
      Yeah, I suspect it's _very_ difficult to get the Federal Communications Commission to certify any sort of flight, commercial or private. Perhaps it would be easier through the FAA?
  23. Re:America only? by mOoZik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    WTF are you talking about? What does Burt have anything to do with this? Also realize that by moving the contest rules to the U.S., this will have the potential to bring great minds at one central location to tackle the task. It's a fact that materials, services, and general cooperation is much better in the U.S. than abroad. But yes, it is also very America-centric, but hey, if you have $50 mil, start your own contest with your own rules, instead of bitching about someone else's. It should also be noted that Bigelow is doing this for the promotion of his own inflatable modules, not for the betterment of humanity.

  24. Re:Better Idea by magarity · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How else could you solve so many problem with a 10 million dollar prize. If Burt Rutan was focused on a lightweight scalable wind turbine - My guess is we'd be there by now. Instead we've invented a private version of the vomit comet.

    Let's see:
    Invention #1, if it can be invented, will provide cheap and unlimited energy to the world population. Profit value: Gajillions.
    Invention #2, if it can be invented, will provide trips to low Earth orbit for the lucky few who can afford it. Profit value: a few million a year.

    Seems to me the key phrase here is "if it can be invented" and not "10 million dollar 'prize' for inventing it". There is a heck of a lot more of a prize in cash terms waiting for invention #1 without a group of hobby enthusiasts offering anything. Doesn't appear you thought before you ranted.

  25. Re:Better Idea by nels_tomlinson · · Score: 2, Informative
    Cost effective Wind Power (Kilowatts/Construction costs) would mean the end of middle east conflict, global warming, rural poverty in developing countries, lung disease in Beiging.

    We're agreed that cost-effective wind power would be a good thing, however unlikely it may be. I'm not sure that I agree with your list of miracles it would cause.

    the end of middle east conflict,
    Does that mean that you think the Muslims are fighting the Jews and Christians for oil? Better think again: they've been killing each other, and us, since about 624 AD.

    global warming,
    You might be right on this one, but us Northeners like global warming.

    rural poverty in developing countries,
    Wish you were right on this. It should help, but poverty is caused more by government corruption and lawlessness than by lack of infrastructure. Given good government, Uganda would soon be more like Canada than Uganda. Unfortunately, no one knows how to ``give'' good government.

    lung disease in Beiging.
    This one we can agree on.

  26. So entirely stupid reasons by tod_miller · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The idea that we should escape the world and live in space...

    Why not jsut say lets live on water? Sure as heck easier to get to, and you can have sub-aqua settlements for those hoping to have gone to space.

    Benefits of living on water:

    No rocket accidents
    Cheaper to ferry supplies
    Less Gamma radiation
    If the global warming occurs, water prices (like land prices, get it!) will plummet! Coastal regions will always be prime real-estate! (for the land views)
    You can use desalinisation to drink sea water, you can use devacuumisation to magic up water in space.
    You can have solar power and wind power and wave power.
    You have a comfortable 1G, and sea level air pressure, and a salty air that will put a healthy hue in your cheeks.
    Topless sunbathing.
    Can move around the oceans, and fish.

    Benefits of being in space:

    0g sex
    wearing silver clothing

    Well I can think of a few more arguments, but going to space 'to live there' is so dumb, living in the desert is easier and cheaper than living in space. Many poor people with camels already do it!

    Recycling and filtering our pollution is easier than recycling and rebreathing space station air.

    Terrorist attacks are worrying on a space station, which brings us to the question:

    So why do people want to go to space and offer prizes for new space technology?

    Not for living! not for Star Trek/Wars/n!

    But for commercial flights, transports, satellites, RIAA, Micheal Jackson and Military purposes.

    So there, I hope we are all done pandering to the space race, as we will be living int he oceans before we live on mars.

    Actually, we will all be dead from all the new space weapons.

    --
    #hostfile 0.0.0.0 primidi.com 0.0.0.0 www.primidi.com 0.0.0.0 radio.weblogs.com
    1. Re:So entirely stupid reasons by tod_miller · · Score: 2, Funny

      So now I know why Buzz Aldrin was grinning, it was all that viagra he was poppin' before he went on there, his pupils were dilated and everything...

      I appreciate the nerd-boy comment, I really do!

      The best thing about 0g sex, is there are no arguments about who is on top.

      And you can pretend to be superman and louise lane... and erm... other things... :-)

      --
      #hostfile 0.0.0.0 primidi.com 0.0.0.0 www.primidi.com 0.0.0.0 radio.weblogs.com
  27. Re:Better Idea by CriX · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Apples and Oranges.

    They should pursue both inventions. Why does everyone think that a space program is the entity stopping other inventions from happening? It's not. NASA is not stopping the creation of efficient wind power. God damnit. Bitch about the military's budget instead. Stop messing with the real estate investment opportunity of a lifetime.

    --
    Moderation: +1 pwnage
  28. Re:Better Idea by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 4, Insightful
    And if their oil is worthless, they will pay for a war... how?
    People were fighting over the middle east for thousands of years before oil even became an issue. I don't see that changing anytime soon.
    --

    How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
  29. Re:America only? by the_weasel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Others have already pointed out that you have attributed the prize to the wrong person.

    The rest of your statement is absurd. Don't like an American contest like this? Scrounge together your own 10 million and offer a contest of your own. Surely there are rich companies and coporations in your part of the world that can pony up the cash?

    When I look to donate money to a cause, I don't donate to an "adopt an african child" program, I donate to a local foodbank. When I volunteer time, I don't go to South America and build schools, I help Habitat for Humanity.

    I can't help the whole world, and these charities and organizations focus on my neighbours and the people in my community. One could even say that my actions are not altruistic, as these are the same neighbours and community my children and family live in. They may one day need the help of these services.

    Not every action and event has to be balanced for some metric of global fairness.

    A desire to foster innovation and advancement in your own country is only reasonable. Since this is private money, it can be used any way he wants to.

    --
    - sarcasm is just one more service we offer -
  30. I think you are missing something. by Gorphrim · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think his point is that the way it is worded, the winner must achieve that velocity, but they don't actually have to complete two orbits around the Earth. It's the velocity that is required, not the orbiting. So maybe they could orbit just once, then land, because they did achieve the required velocity.

    --

    Queens of the Stone Age - they rule
  31. Re:Better Idea by Harinezumi · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Wind power is not practical for large-scale power generation. Never was, never will be. We already have a clean, efficient, and safe source of power that would last us for centuries even if we we used it for all our power generation needs, and its name is nuclear.

    What we really need to do is offer a prize for someone to convince all the myopic NIMBY types to give the pebble bed reactors a try. And yes, if you want to build one in my backyard, go right ahead.

  32. Re:Better Idea by nels_tomlinson · · Score: 4, Informative
    The negatives outweight the positives by several orders of magnitude, at the minimum.

    The Earth has been warm before, and it was good.

    From that link:

    By 5000 to 3000 BC average global temperatures reached their maximum level during the Holocene and were 1 to 2 Celsius warmer than they are today. Climatologists call this period the Climatic Optimum. During the climatic optimum many of the Earth's great ancient civilizations began and flourished. In Africa, the Nile River had three times its present volume, indicating a much larger tropical region.

    From 3000 to 2000 BC a cooling trend occurred. This cooling caused large drops in sea-level and the emergence of many islands (Bahamas) and coastal areas that are still above sea-level today. A short warming trend took place from 2000 to 1500 BC, followed once again by colder conditions. Colder temperatures from 1500 - 750 BC caused renewed ice growth in continental glaciers and alpine glaciers, and a sea-level drop of between 2 to 3 meters below present day levels.

    The period from 750 BC - 900 AD saw warming up to 150 BC. Temperatures, however, did not get as warm as the Climatic Optimum. During the time of Roman Empire (150 BC - 300 AD) a cooling began that lasted until about 900 AD. At its height, the cooling caused the Nile River (829 AD) and the Black Sea (800-801 AD) to freeze.

    The period 900 - 1200 AD has been called the Little Climatic Optimum. It represents the warmest climate since the Climatic Optimum. During this period, the Vikings established settlements on Greenland and Iceland. The snow line in the Rocky Mountains was about 370 meters above current levels. A period of cool and more extreme weather followed the Little Climatic Optimum. A great drought in the American southwest occurred between 1276 and 1299. There are records of floods, great droughts and extreme seasonal climate fluctuations up to the 1400s.

    From 1550 to 1850 AD global temperatures were at their coldest since the beginning of the Holocene. Scientists call this period the Little Ice Age. During the Little Ice Age, the average annual temperature of the Northern Hemisphere was about 1.0 degree Celsius lower than today. During the period 1580 to 1600, the western United States experienced one of its longest and most severe droughts in the last 500 years. Cold weather in Iceland from 1753 and 1759 caused 25 % of the population to die from crop failure and famine. Newspapers in New England were calling 1816 the year without a summer.

    Those who don't know history will only repeat the bad parts of it.
  33. Better Idea by Ancil · · Score: 3, Funny

    I've got a gremlin and a huge rubber band... now if I only had 4 friends!
    Wile E.Coyote once tried something similar.. For the first launch, I'd suggest five enemies instead.
  34. Re:Better Idea by Gadzinka · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Look at it this way: he/them could build another $50M house with 20 bedrooms, 50" plasma display in each room and five swimming pools, instead of funding this prize.

    For one, (very) efficient Wind Power Station itself would give immediate cash prize to any inventor. From the market. If it doesn't happen, perhaps it can't be done in foreseable future.

    And, perhaps for someone "putting your eggs in more than one basket" is more important goal than taking care of energy distribution. I understand that "worthy goals" are not universal, but you're free to set your own prize, or nag the wealthier of us to set one.

    Robert

    --
    Bastard Operator From 193.219.28.162
  35. Re:It is in *America* after all... by whats_a_zip · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Is it wrong for America just to care just about itself?" Nope. If America doesn't care about America, no one else will. It's human nature to want to see the mighty fall. Nationalism isn't a bad thing. And besides, is anyone saying there is nothing Euro-centric? That all things should be global?

  36. Re:Better Idea by logpoacher · · Score: 2, Insightful

    True - but the trade-routes went through there too, so it was worth fighting for. The only bit that matters in that respect now is the Suez Canal; otherwise, we have lots of alternatives these days for importing Eastern goods!

  37. friends by Fr05t · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ok since noone has said it:

    Who wouldn't be able to find 4 friends when you have a gremlin and a huge rubber band!

  38. Re:Better Idea by Somegeek · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How is this a better idea? Bigelow needs a way to get tourists into orbit to visit his space hotels; his dream. Can you think of a more cost effective why of achieving this goal? A better wind power station would not help one bit.

    If you are saying that in general money could be spent on more altruistic goals, then that may be true, but it has no relevance to this conversation. You might as well go bitch at people for spending money on new SUVs instead of funding wind research. It's their money, they can spend it how they wish.

    If you truly believe in a prize for wind power then you should found an organization to fund a W-Prize and start stumping for donations, much like the founder of the X-prize did when he wanted to help further space travel. Corporate donations for such a concept might not be that hard to obtain, I can see big oil companies signing up for the good advertising, for example.

    --
    And as you tread the halls of sanity, You feel so glad to be, Unable to go beyond. I have a message, From another time..
  39. Earth's Space Prize by zentinal · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Others have already expressed dismay at the USA-onlyness of the prize. The solution, of course, would be for a Non-USA billionaire or corporation or consortium thereof to offer a similar, but better, prize. Keep most of the rules the same, except that the corporation couldn't be American, and development & launch would have to take place outside of the United States. I agree that $50 million seems too low. How about €100 million to €150 million?

  40. Re:Better Idea by AmericanInKiev · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think the math suggests that 2000 difference may be better spent on sustainable power generation because it indicates that the affordable-effeciency gains for the current refridgerator have been exploited. If the remaining choice is non-cost effective exploits or more cost effective generation - then the smart money goes with the higher cost/benefit.

    AIK

  41. pretty good, but... by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...why is it open only for Americans?

  42. Rutan is leading contender to win, though. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think people forget that Burt Rutan's company is probably the leading candidate to win this US$50,000,000 prize.

    Scaled Composites did a lot of development work for both the McDonnell-Douglas Delta Clipper and Lockheed Martin Venture Star projects. This means Scaled Composites already has enough technical knowledge to start work on a space vehicle to win this prize as soon as they get enough funding to pull it off (Paul Allen's Vulcan Ventures could easily part with the US$200,000,000 estimated development cost; Allen's group paid US$30,000,000 to develop the X-Prize winner).

  43. Re:An X-prize for energy production? by DerWulf · · Score: 2, Insightful

    if there was an X-prize for finding the tooth fairy, it still couldn't be found.

    --

    ___
    No power in the 'verse can stop me
  44. No way ! by Thomas+Miconi · · Score: 4, Funny

    ... Schröder, Chirac, Blair, Sharon and Berlusconi on the second trip?

    Schroder will attract hordes of angry east German protester who will block the launch, Blair will give the plans of the ship to the US government with offers of complimentary sexual gratification to any senior member of the administration, Sharon won't get in the ship because it will probably fly over a moslem country at some point, Chirac will ask for United Nations meetings, counter-meeting, commissions and detailed reports on the size and orientation of every single joint in the fuselage, and Berlusconi will just run away with the prize !

    Thomas-

  45. Re:Better Idea by mr_z_beeblebrox · · Score: 4, Funny

    Wish you were right on this. It should help, but poverty is caused more by government corruption and lawlessness than by lack of infrastructure. Given good government, Uganda would soon be more like Canada than Uganda. Unfortunately, no one knows how to ``give'' good government.

    Give them the Canadian government. Canadians are basically good people and would behave without their government.

  46. Re:Better Idea [OT] by interiot · · Score: 2, Informative

    This piece discusses some of the reasons for the decrease in influence of the Middle East starting in the 18th century, one of them being the shift of world trade from the Mediterranean Sea out to the oceans, but also the unwillingness to be involved in the Industrial Revolution, and several other internal issues.

  47. Re:Better Idea by syukton · · Score: 2, Interesting

    [rant]

    That's right, hell to pay and they'll have plenty of our money to pay it back to us with. Endless amounts of money are funneled out of the USA and into the Middle East without any real checks or balances. They've got oil, we think we need it. Once we stop thinking we need it, we'll stop buying it, then they'll have a little oil and a whole lot of money. What does one do with a little oil and a lot of money? Well buy/build airplanes that drop bombs of course!

    I'm sorry, but the Middle East is unfortunately a land beyond hope. There are too many people with too many conflicting ideas who are willing to kill one another over those ideas. The last part is the key, the part where they're willing to kill over their different ideas. We need to nuke them and turn the whole desert into a giant solar panel before the "conflict" in the Middle East will be resolved--I'm not saying we should, I'm saying that is what it would take for there to be peace in the middle east, as thousand-year wars don't just up and get resolved. By acting in the middle east though, we're no better than they are. We might be in a different PLACE but the whole philosophy is the same, you're forcing your ideas on somebody else by either controlling or killing them. A lot of people over there are after power, and they achieve it through instilling fear and committing murder. I don't know if power gives them a hard-on and they go home and stroke after gunning down some civillians or what, but there's some very strong driving force behind this perpetual power-seeking and idea-forcing. It's probably religious: they think that if they do certain things here they'll get certain things in return later from their deity. The Christians do it too, remember that Christianity CAME from the Middle East.

    (Parenthetically, Agnosticism/Athiesm/Religion-without-a-deity-who-g ives-you-cool-stuff-in-the-afterlife has to be the best thing since gays. Gays don't make babies, Athiesm doesn't make terrorists. We need more gay athiests (et al).)

    [/rant]

    In sum: I totally agree with you.

    --
    Reinvent the wheel only at either a lower cost, greater effectiveness, or your own personal enrichment and satisfaction.
  48. Orbital Gremlins by jshark · · Score: 5, Funny

    The aerodynamics of a Gremlin are such that the giant rubber band will give insufficient lift to attain orbital velocity. You'll be better off with a good strong plank and one of those weights from Acme that read 16 TONS on the side.

    The only drawback is that the sudden acceleration may cause your passengers to look like pancakes of mercury on the floormats, assuming they don't just flow through the rust holes in the floorboards.

    --
    If you're gonna be dumb, you gotta be tough.
  49. The formula is: by ICECommander · · Score: 2, Informative

    The formula for these space prizes seems to be very predictable:

    1. Build private spaceship funded by yourself and your startup.
    2. Bring X people up Y km, do it again in Z days.
    3. Profit.

    --
    All your Sybase are belong to us.
  50. Fierce Competition by Maniacal · · Score: 2, Funny

    Someone better check these ships for rockets and/or lasers. For $50 million these guys are going to be trying to take eachother out should they pass in orbit.

    --
    MG
  51. Re:Better Idea by tdemark · · Score: 3, Informative

    Most new installations are "bird friendly" - larger, slower rotating blades, turbines designed to prevent birds from landing or nesting on the housing, and placement taking into account migratory patterns.

    Using this as a reference, there are approximately 180 turbines in use or proposed by this provider. At full capacity, this would account for 1/3 of a percent of the US electrical demand.

    Using Altamont Pass (not included in the above calcuation) as a reference, and this page for kill rates, you get about .126 kills / year / turbine. This is a worst case, since it is generally accepted that Altamont Pass has an unusually high kill rate because it was built without taking into consideration migration paths and bird friendly engineering.

    So, 180 turbines * 300 (needed to supply the whole US) and you get 54,000 turbines. Which converts to:

    54,000 * .126 kills / turbine year = 6804 dead birds a year

    Sounds like a lot, right?

    Well, according to this (note: facts from a wind energy provider), 57 million birds are killed by automobiles each year, 97 million die from "sudden plate glass deceleration", and 1.5 million die from running into things that aren't even moving.

    I don't know about you, but 7000 birds a year to generate all US electricity via a renewable resource with no emissions seems to be a good deal. Especially when it only costs 2.54 cents / kWh above non-green power.

    - Tony

  52. Hmm by cascino · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We're all overlooking one key fact:
    It must also demonstrate the ability to dock with Bigelow Aerospace's inflatable space habitat and be able to stay docked in orbit for up to six months.
    This prize is not an act of goodwill - it is subcontracted commercial R&D! Presumably this "Bigelow Aerospace" (doesn't that sound like something out of the Jetsons?) company is in need of a launch vehicle, and finds it cheaper to launch a "contest" than to develop the vehicle themselves. Remember, Rutan & Co. spent well more than $10 million developing SS1... it's likely Bigelow will actually save money if the contest is completed successfully...

  53. A lot harder than it looks by Latent+Heat · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I think people will find 0-G sex to be either greatly overrated or at least a lot more difficult than you would think.

    Think of the early space walkers and how even the most simple tasks caused them to flail about and sweat buckets. You know, Newton's Laws, action and reaction, and how partners having sex will probably have to be tied down with Velcro or something similar.

    As far as solo sex, no one is admitting to that one either and whether there are any particular problem areas. Michael Collins said that the docs had recommended this activity for long-duration space station missions, you know, so a guy doesn't get prostate problems in space (one of the Apollo 13 guys got really, really sick with a UTI because he was holding it because there was some miscommunication whether they had enough electric power to take a leak), but the astronauts were indignant that the docs would even talk about such a thing.

    On the other hand, these guys on 90 day cruises inside of missile submarines, don't tell me that no one has had solo sex, although the Navy doesn't check to see if you are imagining it with a chick or a dude.

    1. Re:A lot harder than it looks by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Funny
      > Think of the early space walkers and how even the most simple tasks caused them to flail about and sweat buckets. You know, Newton's Laws, action and reaction, and how partners having sex will probably have to be tied down with Velcro or something similar.

      Wait a minute, I thought you were talking about bad things.

  54. Re:Better Idea by Rei · · Score: 2, Informative

    The whole bird thing is a red herring. In the US, glass windows kill 100-900 million birds per year. Housecats kill another 100 million. Cars kill 50-100 million. 174 million are killed in collisions with power lines. 67 million are poisoned by pesticides. An unknown number are killed by land development. 4-10 million are killed by communication towers. An unknown number die in stock tanks. 1-2 million die in oil and gas extraction. An unknown number die in logging and mining. An unknown number die in commercial fishing. More than 1000 raptors are electrocuted each year. 100+ million birds are hunted each year.

    Wind power kills a tiny amount in comparison to other human activities. About a third of sites studied thusfar have zero recorded bird fatalities. There is a strong standard deviation, however, so careful location selection can make a big difference.

    Source:
    http://www.currykerlinger.com/birds.htm
    http://www.currykerlinger.com/studies.htm

    --
    "Now we're getting to Science -- I love this!" -- Dr. Steven Chu, Energy Secretary confirmation hearings.
  55. Re:Better Idea by Alioth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The thing is Burt Rutan isn't into designing wind turbines - he's into designing airframes. If there had been a $10M wind turbine prize, Burt Rutan wouldn't have been a competitor - it's not one of his interests.

  56. Re:Better Idea by lobsterGun · · Score: 3, Funny

    500!!! that's all???

    I could run over that many scientists on my way home. Just one of the buildings I'm in every week easily has that many scientists in it.

    If you could only come up with 500 that agree with your hypothesis, then you may be doing something wrong.

    Perhaps you need to phrase your questions in a different way.

  57. This is a setup for SpaceX by dschmelzer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This prize appears custom-tailored for a win on a Falcon V, a new rocket aiming for first flight in 2005 carrying a Bigelow Aerospace test module. The Falcon V is manufactured by SpaceX, Elon Musk's new rocket firm. Assuming that the Falcon V is a successful rocket, all of the prize rules are within the design capabilities of the Falcon V.

    This appears to be part of Bigelow's demonstration to Musk that he will have a sufficient private market should Musk invest in designing a capsule plus ground infrastructure. Look at it as $50 million cash plus hundreds of millions in solid follow-on business. The prize reduces the risk of Musk's business case, which is important since the technical challenges of a capsule are certainly non-trivial.

  58. RTFA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny
    Jesus Christ, WTF is wrong with you moderators? This isn't an insightful question; it's an ignorant knee-jerk bash-the-American response.
    The contestant must have its principal place of business in the United States of America.

    Isn't this is very restrictive and unfair?
    No, you illiterate (or lazy) fool.

    Some American guy wants to get tourists up to a LEO inflatable space hotel his American company is going to build. He wants to deal with an American company - the article suggests that there are practical logistic reasons involved. It's just a guy investing domestically. There is nothing evil, arrogant, or ethnocentric about it.

    It's his $50 million. It's a business venture, and if he doesn't want to deal with foreign crybabies like you, more power to him.

    Don't like it? Make your own prize, then make your own rules.
  59. Re:You're right by Tackhead · · Score: 2, Funny
    > Bah, both are for woosies. REAL men strap scuba gear AND Satrurn IVs to their arses!

    Stop. Giving. The. Goatse. Guy. Ideas.

    That is all.

  60. Sub-contracted R&D by Teancum · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While this may seem like a rip-off, everything is much more open than a typical commercial R&D subcontract. Those are usually done like NASA has done things, or worse, especially for the sub-contractor.

    At least in this situation everything is going to be out in the open, you don't have to worry about missing deadlines, because the deadlines are something that you set personally. It may be influenced by competition, but even then it is quite straight forward, and if you miss the prize because somebody else beat you to that... that is simply the rules of the game. Normally if this were an R&D subcontract like you were implying, there would be the primary contractor or customer who would be breathing down your neck asking for status reports every couple of days, if not daily or hourly (depending on how anal the customer is and mission critical the project is).

    On the other hand, I agree that this is a very cost-effective solution in terms of getting needed components on a very visible project. It would be impressive if GM or Ford did something similar in terms of building a hydrogen-fueled engine or even a major utility company in regards to highly efficient power generation. Set the specific requirements and guarentee a certain minimum buy of the power generated from such a facility, such as a wind farm, geothermal vents, or even a nuclear power plant with an established maximum of nuclear waste generation. There is some real engineering that could be accomplished using this model that would be incredibly effective.

    This could even be done for software components that implement a certain technology. Just for instance, if you set up a contest to pay for the first implementation of a new audio or video codec that also has features X,Y,Z (like a plug-in to winamp, and LGPL libraries, etc).

    The main requirement here to do such a contest is that 1) the discussion of the project can be done publicly and 2) the resulting product while complimentary to your product line, does not directly compete with what you do for your main line business or with the industry (when a large number of corporate sponsors are involved).

    In this case with Bigelow Aerospace, they really need to have these spacecrafts available, but don't really intend to build and fly them.

    Not every engineering challenge can be solved this way, but there are a number than can be done. This is also why Thiokol won't be a sponsor (although perhaps a competitor?), because this does directly compete with what they do for a business.

  61. Re:Better Idea by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let me help further that point.

    Spreading the Word (w/photos)

    Col. Gary Brandl: Satan lives in Fallujah

    In preparation for the attack, Christian Heavy Metal.

    As for other interesting Iraq news for today:

    US forces demolish a hospital and target another for releasing casualty figures; 70 journalists are embedded for the invasion; mot of the troops doing the invasion have no major combat experience; and a Georgia man commits suicide at Ground Zero to protest Bush and the war in Iraq.

    --
    "Now we're getting to Science -- I love this!" -- Dr. Steven Chu, Energy Secretary confirmation hearings.
  62. Settle down by p3d0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is not a hidden agenda. It's the explicit goal of a company that wants to (gasp!) make a profit.

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....