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Astronauts Should Fix Hubble

Re-Pawn writes "NASA urged to send shuttle to Hubble - Astronauts, not robots, should fix the Hubble Space Telescope, says a new report by the US National Research Council (NRC). That conclusion is directly at odds with NASA, which is opposed to a human mission on safety grounds, following the Columbia disaster."

67 comments

  1. Manned flight is unsafe by Safety+Cap · · Score: 1

    Let's never speak of this again.
    -- NASA

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    Yeah, right.
    1. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by zev1983 · · Score: 1

      Well it isn't safe as long as the management that was in charge during the Columbia mission is still in place. "They might burn up on re-entry!" "Oh well, nothing we can do about it..."

    2. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by Isak+Ben · · Score: 0

      The X prize has been won.....maybe NASA should start a "Repair Hubble race".....could be cheaper, more cost effective AND save a few lifes ;)

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      -- Isak Ben.
    3. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by agentk · · Score: 1

      Of *course* manned space flight is unsafe.

      It's actually completely insane.

      That's no reason not to do it. But I say let's send manned missions where they're most valuable: to the moon, to mars. Not to swap batteries on Hubble.

      --

      VOS/Interreality project: www.interreality.org

    4. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by sarlen · · Score: 2, Insightful
      But I say let's send manned missions where they're most valuable: to the moon, to mars. Not to swap batteries on Hubble.

      The Hubble has taught us 100x more about space and it's origins than that one trip to the moon. It just nearly killed a few guys so Kennedy (posthumously) could laugh at the Russians.

    5. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you think that at some time in the future, the Hubble Telescope could teach you the FUCKING DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ITS AND IT'S, MOTHERFUCKER?

    6. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by gstoddart · · Score: 1
      But I say let's send manned missions where they're most valuable: to the moon, to mars. Not to swap batteries on Hubble.


      The Hubble has consistently returned useful stuff, and continues to do so.

      I think we could sent a bunch more rovers to Mars if it meant losing out on the Hubble. 'Changing the Batteries' as you put it is far more useful than a PR trip.

      Sure, in the long term Mars and the Moon might have something useful. But dollar for dollar, I'd bet that the Hubble returns far more valuable data.

      What new utility can we get out of more men on the Moon for example?

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      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    7. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      space and it's origins

      "its".

    8. Re:Manned flight is unsafe by sarlen · · Score: 1
      Do you think that at some time in the future, the Hubble Telescope could teach you the FUCKING DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ITS AND IT'S, MOTHERFUCKER?

      I don't imagine that it could since it teaches us about space.

  2. O'Keefe (!NASA) is opposed, safety not the issue by Attitude+Adjuster · · Score: 4, Informative
    It is NASA's administrator that is opposed to a shuttle mission to Hubble, but that is not a consensus opinion, nor is it based on any scientific or engineering recommendation. We could discuss why that is - the answer is his career in politics. Word is O'Keefe may be rewarded for his loyalty and ability to make tough unpopular decisions by the WH and get a higer profile job in the administration...

    Furthermore, as the National Academy of Sciences panel, and other panels before it, have said, the difference in safety (or chance of disaster, which ever way you want to look at it) of a single shuttle mission to Hubble is essentially the same as that of a single mission to the space station. The astronauts, when asked, all were in favor of going to fix Hubble. And they're much more likely to get the job done than the robotic mission, which is rather unlikely to work (read the NAS press release)

    Of course, the plan is for 25-30 missions to the ISS, so the chances of horrendous disaster doing that is far higher cumulatively.

  3. Cheaper to replace it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The NASA FAQ says:
    How much does Hubble cost?

    Initially Hubble cost $1.5 billion to build and put into orbit.
    The linked article has a higher pricetag to save it:
    And though they differ in many respects, both a human and a robotic mission share similar price tags. The Aerospace Corporation and the US Government Accountability Office estimate that each type of mission would cost about $2 billion.
    Seems like we could just send up a new one for significantly less.
    1. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Omkar · · Score: 1

      Maybe components and things are more expensive now?

    2. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by insanecarbonbasedlif · · Score: 2, Interesting

      More likely it's cheaper, as they've already invested the time in developing Hubble and learning what worked and didn't work, they can simply replicate that. Prototypes and one-offs are always more expensive do to the research and design work that goes into them. Theoretically, there are plans sitting somewhere that they could simply follow, and save a pretty penny.

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      Just because I doubt myself does not mean I find your position compelling.
    3. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      30% more expensive, after 15 years of R&D, than when invented by NASA? Of course not. Maybe the defense and aerospace contractors who make the parts have more clout to overcharge now than they did in the early 1990s? Hmm, there is intelligent life in the universe - at Raytheon marketing.

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      make install -not war

    4. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      One potential problem is that they still have to pay to send a mission to deorbit Hubble safely.

    5. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1
      30% more expensive, after 15 years of R&D, than when invented by NASA? Of course not.
      You're assuming that things get less expensive over time. That's only true of things that are mass-produced. If you build one of something, then twenty years later you want to build a second one, you definitely should expect the second to cost more.
    6. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, if you are NASA, the first one will cost the most: including the R&D. The second one, while not as much cheaper as a mass produced item, won't require repeating the R&D. Even if it did, it would cost less to do it the second time around. Not 50% more.

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      make install -not war

    7. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1
      That might be true if NASA built exactly the same thing again. But they generally don't.

      And even if they tried to build exactly the same item again twenty years later, much of the knowledge of how to build it is lost. Unfortunately not all the important knowledge gained from the designing and building a complex system gets recorded in a form useful for posterity. And twenty years later, many of the people that worked on the first one and have the necessary knowledge and skills are long since moved on to greener pastures. So building it again involves a lot more research than you might think.

      I doubt that they even have all of the correct engineering drawings for the Hubble. A report last year indicated that NASA doesn't even have all of the correct engineering drawings for ISS!

      When they built the fifth Space Shuttle, even though they used a lot of leftover parts from the construction of the first four, and didn't need to do any research, it still cost more than any of the first four did.

    8. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Well, without the budgets and the blueprints, we're both speculating plausibly. Since the final answer is that the new budget is indeed 150% of the original, your scenario is credible, unless they've found another way to pay their vendors more money that conflicts with it. In any case, this is yet another reason why all NASA designs should be in the National Archives, with only a tiny percentage with actual exclusive National Security classification kept secret. The rest should be available to the public. On top of the increased auditability, this would multiply the effects of NASA's tech transfer budget. So we'd get more for our bucks - which is why I like NASA to begin with, compared with other government subsidies.

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      make install -not war

    9. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You apparently do not appreciate the level of time and expense that goes into large optics production, let alone spacecraft engineering and design. It ain't like you can just go to the LensCrafters and say get me another Hubble lens just like the last one. And it ain't like there is a warehouse full of Hubble spacecraft busses that you just pull off the shelf and populate. Geeze, just the mirror itself will take a year to polish, and that is assuming that you can get the time on the one or two facilities that can do it. Good luck getting the same make and model gyros and sensors that were spec'ed back in the mid-seventies. You need to select new ones, which are space-qualified, and re-engineer all the interfaces (software as well as hardware) to them. These are all just tip-of-the-iceberg stuff.

      It is a lot easier to throw together another communications satellite because they are designed to use standard parts (GlobalStar busses, etc.) and interconnects. Something like the Hubble you have to do from scratch each time.

    10. Re:Cheaper to replace it? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      You're just repeating a bunch of nonsense. BTW, the Hubble was launched in 1990, so the ancient epoch of specs from the "mid-seventies" is irrelevant. They did all those hard things in the 1980s, inventing certain processes. Unless your saying that optics engineering from 15 years ago is a lost art, that the Hubble drew on knowledge for free back then that must be reconstructed at great cost now, it should cost either exactly the same to redo the entire project, or less, drawing on knowledge they paid to create 15 years ago, but now free. Sure, there's a few points added on for inflation, but not 50% - and this repair is *far* from a from-scratch restart. Stop rationalizing NASA waste because you like their work. That extra money could be spent on more NASA projects, rather than O'Keefe's favorite contractors' retirement plans.

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  4. Robosapien's by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Aw hell, just launch a cargo hold of Robosapiens and let them fix it... hell'va lot cheaper

  5. What is the shuttle for, anyway? by VernonNemitz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm pretty sure the original description of the Shuttle was to be a kind of "space truck", for both transport and servicing missions. To say it is too unsafe to use for its intended purpose just underscores the incompetence of whatever committee it was that bollixed the design. Get rid of them, and post a big sign in EVERY meeting room that (A) describes the debacle, and (B) recommend that it never, ever happen again. (Now, if only somebody in those meeting rooms actually paid attention to the sign....)

    1. Re:What is the shuttle for, anyway? by bcattwoo · · Score: 1

      Well, seeing as the idea for the shuttle was originally conceived more than 30 years ago, I am sure that most of the people overseeing its initial design have since retired. Besides, it is difficult to blame just one group of engineers, when it is likely the entire culture of NASA that got the project in trouble. I don't know the whole story of the shuttle's design but I am sure there was plenty of compromises made in its design due to politics and budget constraints. Then there are the pitfalls of contracting out to the lowest bidder.

    2. Re:What is the shuttle for, anyway? by m.h.2 · · Score: 1

      Exactly. If you'll notice, all shuttles are marked with the letters "STS," which is an acronym for "Space Transportation System." Hell, the word "Shuttle" was used for a reason:

      According to Dictionary.com:
      shuttle (shtl) n.
      a. Regular travel back and forth over an established, often short route by a vehicle.
      b. A vehicle used in such travel: took the shuttle across town.
      c. A route used by a vehicle in such travel: the Washington-New York air shuttle.

      If it can't do what it's supposed to do, why do we have it?

      FWIW, I don't think this is a design issue (faulty parts/installation notwithstanding) as much as it is a political one. What needs to happen is for politics to get the hell out of science.

    3. Re:What is the shuttle for, anyway? by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      the shuttle was originally conceived more than 30 years ago, I am sure that most of the people overseeing its initial design have since retired. Besides, it is difficult to blame just one group of engineers, when...

      Then launch their dentures and bedpans into space. That'll teach 'em!

    4. Re:What is the shuttle for, anyway? by Mark+of+THE+CITY · · Score: 1

      The shuttle was originally conceived as the earth-to-earth orbit and return part of a 3-part transportation system. Part 2 was a earth orbit to lunar orbit and return vehicle, Part 3 was a lunar orbit to lunar surface and return vehicle. Think of a crude oil tanker too big to dock, with transfer vessels at either end.

      The shuttle was supposed to have a reusable liquid fuel only booster vehicle. As both accidents originated in the alternative boost system (solid rocket joint, external tank insulation), von Braun's condemnation of it seems spot-on, although of course it did work something like 98 percent of the time.

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      The clearance system sounds logical. It is not. It is completely arbitrary. -- John Bolton
    5. Re:What is the shuttle for, anyway? by anubi · · Score: 1
      "Retired" my ass.

      From what I saw, back in the 60's and 70's, NASA and the aerospace contracting community was a helluva neat and challenging place to work. Geek heaven.

      Yes, we weren't the most efficient people when it came to dollar measurement, but the way we saw it, we were pioneers, blazing new paths into the unknown. No one had done the things we were trying to do before, and generally, we succeeded.

      But it took a lot of time to understand how to do this, especially when human lives were involved. Much time ( read man-hours ) were invested by many of us developing models and what-if scenerios.

      In the late 80's, with the collapse of the Soviet Union, the US, as a nation, seemed to completely lose its technological drive. Economics seemed the ultimate goal now. Dan Goldin took the reins of NASA. Everything now micromanaged. Spin-Doctoring. "Faster, Better, Cheaper". And lots of layoffs. Yes, lots of layoffs.

      We lost millions of man-hours worth of knowledge because it was economically less expensive to give our workers their walking papers than to keep them around and use their experience. Most people I knew from my aerospace experiences did not retire. They were told they were no longer wanted and their managers had the security force escort them to the door.

      The stuff we learned on the job is not in any textbook, and not taught in any college I know of.

      My guess is the new guys the managers brought in will have to learn the same way we did - by making mistakes.

      In my case, I got mixed up in the layoffs too because of a "lack of flexibility". Over many years, I had accumulated many mathematical models of the phenomena I worked with. These were synthesized from empirical data, as the nature of the models was so complex I could not find any clean mathematical formulas that were a sure fire thing. Most were curve fits and statistics.

      Managers transferred me into another division which used another CAD system and thought they could just order me to use it. Sure, I could use it - but would it give me the correct results? The new CAD system was all laced with proprietary models, software, and rights protection crap which literally rendered the whole thing useless to me, as I had identical copies of my old DOS based analyzers running on machines at work and at home, and had the source code - so I knew exactly what my analyzer was telling me. I had not the foggiest idea how the new analyzer I was mandated to use worked.

      It took me over ten years to get my DOS models running to any degree of accuracy, even given I knew the source codes and exactly how the simulator worked.. how the hell was I gonna even start with a system I was to be blindfolded with? To me, asking an engineer to use a DRM-encumbered system would almost be akin to putting blinders on a surgeon and still expecting the same level of surgical expertise demonstrated on the previous patient.

      So, who do you think the top executives of the nation's leading aerospace corporations take seriously - an old engineer fart whining about being coerced into using something he is not allowed to understand, or a sharp executive manager's reports detailing insubordination and employee's failures to "become a team player"?

      Just relieve me of the responsibility of having the thing work, and I will do it any which way you tell me to do it. If I am mixing concrete for you, and you want 1 part concrete to 50 parts sand, fine! Just don't hold me responsible for the bridge holding up!

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      "Prove all things; hold fast that which is good." [KJV: I Thessalonians 5:21]

  6. Bigger problems abound by ksemlerK · · Score: 1

    We as a civilisation have even more of an issue to deal with, what will replace petrolium once peak oil has happened? The growth rate will continue to increase, yet actual supply will forever diminish. How are we as a globe supposed to combat the "War On Poverty" if there is not enough cheap energy available for even the current base of first world nations? Follow link in my sig for further details.

    1. Re:Bigger problems abound by maxume · · Score: 1

      The likely answer is that we will start burning uranium. I am convinced that this will certainly be the mid-term solution. It might not be the solution in 500 years, but it sure as hell will be in 100.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:Bigger problems abound by ksemlerK · · Score: 1

      http://tinyurl.com/4rjza is a very interesting read. Oil affects much more than the ability to move products via internal combustion engine. Less oil=less food=involintary population adjustment

    3. Re:Bigger problems abound by vettemph · · Score: 1

      Perhaps Oil will 'out live' humans. Thats the truly big picture here.
      thank you, thank you, I'll be here to keep you uplifted all week.

      --
      The government which is strong enough to protect you from everything is strong enough to take everything from you.
    4. Re:Bigger problems abound by ksemlerK · · Score: 1

      Considering the age of the planet, versus the age of the Human species, it will. Oil takes several tens of millions of years to form while under great pressures while the human species has only been on this earth for maybe 3 million years. Millions of years from now, oil will renew its self, and chances are heavily in favor of an extinction event occuring some time before them regarding the human race. So yes, petrolium will eventually renew, and will outlast the human race, because we will not be inhabiting the planet to extract the oil.

      If you are reffering to the current oil reserves, (which I assume you are), then it is almost inevitable the impact on the human species due to inadequate oil supplies will take hold. Ranges on the peak date vary somewhat, with 2007 being the earliest generally accepted date. The USGS predicts peak extraction will occur around 2025, and this is considered a "best case" scenario. One only needs to look at previous data to confirm that M. King Hubbert was correct in his 1970 peak extraction date for the contidental United States. The CIA also performed a study in 1977 regarding the upcoming Soviet Oil Crisis (doc ER 77-10147). Interesting to note is the fact that this report was not declassified until January 29, 2001 even though the USSR had collapsed almost 10 years earlier.

      Peak Oil is a well known phenomenon, only this time, it is taking place on a global scale, and not only on a reigonal basis. Due in part to the lack of sufficient energy, the Soviet Union no longer exists. The United States also outspending the USSR also contrubuted significantly to thier collapse. This situation is also being repeated with OPEC reducing the amount of funds held in USD in favor of the Euro and Pound Sterling, as well as Japan threatening a "Huge Dollar Sell Off". Enjoy the good times while they last, for they may not last long.

    5. Re:Bigger problems abound by ksemlerK · · Score: 1

      The above article was directed at this post, I clicked the wrong reply link :(

    6. Re:Bigger problems abound by g0bshiTe · · Score: 1

      Completely interesting read and yet so pointless. You miss the big picture here, yes one day our SUV's gas tanks will run dry. The crux here is "one day", but not today. The mass don't care if it happens or even when it happens as long as it's not in their lifetime. You taught a mass extinction event as wiping out humans within 3 million years, that's great by then we'll infect another world and rape it untill it's doomsday.

      Life is a cycle, enjoy your ride. For you get but one.

      --
      I am Bennett Haselton! I am Bennett Haselton!
    7. Re:Bigger problems abound by ksemlerK · · Score: 1

      IEA Predicts (Entire) US Peak by 2010. That is only 5 years away, which is concevably within the lifetime of most persons now living. The only exempt persons would be those close to death, or accidental deaths/homicides before then.

    8. Re:Bigger problems abound by ksemlerK · · Score: 1

      Also, you may be interested in this: ASPO Newsletter 48, December 2004. If the ASPO is right, then we only have a couple months before reaching global peak for conventional oil, and only a little over 2 years for all non-conventional oil and gas fields globally. On a scale of months, this is almost 100% within most people's lifetime, and 2007 is very close to 100% of the population's lifetime. This event will not only effect your children when they are old, it will affect you near in the future. Renember the 1973 gas lines? What is coming will make 1973 look like a walk in the park on a Sunday afternoon. For more indepth, but dated), reading I highly reccomend visiting this site.

    9. Re:Bigger problems abound by RsG · · Score: 1

      So we'll start using uranium and biodiesel, and in the long term maybe hydrogen, fusion or non-uranium fissile fuel.

      So what was your point exactly?

      There will always be a fuel source running out, there will always be a looming humanitarian crisis. There will be war, in five years or fifty or five hundred. There are always national powers rising and others failing; nationialism replaces religion, replaces tribalism, replaces greed. Human history dictates this. Barring $event (where $event refers to some never-before-seen shift like tranhumanism, interstellar spaceflight or extintion) these emergencies are always going to be the facts of our world.

      Does this mean we should abandon everthing not related to solving the myriad dangers we now face? In fact, who's to say that pure scientific research won't somehow connect to solving seemingly unrelated problems? Medical technology has come out of unrelated space reseach in the past. Should we drop everything and focus on oil? What about nuclear proliferation, or the AIDS epidemic? What about impending global ecological disasters? Your problem is not the be all and end all, nor is it unsolvable without panicking. Space research, and other pure science endeavors, benefit us as a species, even if they never yield anything. And the peak oil problem is an economic and technological one, not a scientific one; modern tech and the global will to use it can get us out of this crisis.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    10. Re:Bigger problems abound by g0bshiTe · · Score: 1
      Renember the 1973 gas lines?

      Seeing as how I was one twelve months old, no.
      --
      I am Bennett Haselton! I am Bennett Haselton!
  7. Re:O'Keefe (!NASA) is opposed, safety not the issu by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    The Shuttle program, and NASA in general, is dead in the water, with O'Keefe at the helm. So of course he'll be promoted by Bush, along with his buddies running Iraq, the economy, the North Korea watch, education, the environment, energy supplies...

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  8. Why? I'll tell you why! by Fyz · · Score: 1

    It'll CREATE JOBS!
    Possibly as many as 50, and only at a price of around 200000000 McDonald's value meals. Think about it...

  9. So what else is new? by fm6 · · Score: 1
    The fact that the design was bollixed became very obvious back in 1980 when the first flight of Columbia kept getting delayed by strange technical issues. As for the design committee, I imagine they've long since retired.

    Besides, what were they supposed to do? Congress told them to build a reusable shuttle, but didn't want to spend enough money to do it properly. So they kludged up a design that pretended to fit their budget constraints and still work. In the end it did neither, of course.

    Perhaps the designers should have refused to go ahead without a proper budget. But that's a career ending move. No doubt there were individuals who did just that -- quit NASA rather than go through the motions. But can you really blame those who stayed? They just wanted to keep the project alive.

    The right direction to look at this point is forward, not backward. If the current shuttle doesn't work, time to design one that does. I doubt if its politically feasible, but it's still a more worthy goal than finding scapegoats for decisions made a quarter-century ago.

  10. Safe haven approach proposed by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    How a 'safe haven' could help save Hubble: Study suggests launching module to shelter astronauts in emergency

    Some snippings:

    An "out-of-the-box" plan to put a new space habitat in orbit could be a leading contender for saving the Hubble Space Telescope, private-sector analysts say in a proposal being prepared for NASA. The habitat could be used as an emergency safe haven during the Hubble servicing mission, and then could serve as a base for wider commercial and exploratory space travel.

    The full proposal is being handed over to the space agency this week, sources told MSNBC.com on condition of anonymity. Independently, the National Academy of Sciences is due on Wednesday to release its own recommendations for repairing Hubble. ...
    In its study, the Aerospace Corp. developed a proposal aimed at keeping astronauts involved in the mission while addressing the space agency's post-Columbia concerns about safety, by adding the provision for the safe-haven module. ...
    The Aerospace Corp. study doesn't confine itself to criticizing NASA's robotic plan, however. It suggest that the shuttle repair option could be restarted with one modification: To accommodate the safety concerns caused by lack of a "safe haven" at the telescope, a special supply module should be launched into space near the telescope "just in case." ...
    As a space haven, the Aerospace Corp. proposes to use a carbon copy of the space station's first Russian-built module, known as the FGB. The FGB-1 was launched into orbit in November 1998 and is now known as the Zarya cargo module. A backup flightworthy spare, FGB-2, is still in storage. For years, the Russians have tried to market it as a commercial module for the space station, and their current plan is to use it as a future space research lab.

    But the Aerospace Corp. study suggests that the FGB-2 could be shipped from Russia for blastoff from a more southerly launch site -- perhaps Cape Canaveral in Florida or the European space base in Kourou, French Guyana.

    Once in space, small thrusters could keep the module in a trailing orbit, a few hundred miles behind Hubble. At that range, the shuttle could fly between the Hubble and the space module in about a day, with minimal fuel cost.

    In this scenario, the shuttle would head for the Hubble as originally planned, inspecting its heat-shielding tiles and panels on the way. If fatal damage is discovered, it would dock with the safe haven instead, and the crew would use the supplies on board to wait out the time it would take to launch a rescue shuttle.

    If the shuttle mission proceeds smoothly, the safe haven would be left in orbit.

    The open-ended scenario has sparked speculation about further opportunities for orbital space travel. Even if the FGB-2 turns out to be unavailable, some observers say it might be profitable to build the space haven from scratch, then use it for other purposes if NASA doesn't need it.

    In fact, one rumor claimed that Robert Bigelow, the Las Vegas hotel magnate who is developing plans for orbital tourism, would build the haven for free, with the caveat that it would revert to his ownership if not needed. Michael Gold, corporate counsel for Bigelow Aerospace in Washington, told MSNBC.com this was untrue. ...
    European and Russian space concerns are among other parties who might make use of an extra orbital module. France and Russia already have made a deal to build a Soyuz launch pad at Kourou, where the European launch consortium Arianespace puts satellites into orbit. Although the deal does not currently extend to human spaceflight, this remains a possibility, Philippe Berterottière, a senior vice president at Arianespace, recently told a White House space commission.

    Commercial space companies could conceivably turn such a module into a destination for high-paying, high-flying orbital tourists.

    Looking farth

  11. Time for Hubble, Shuttle, ISS To Go by reallocate · · Score: 2, Interesting

    O'Keefe is following the recommendations of the CAIB. Would you have him ignore those recommendations only to lose another shuttle and crew trying to sustain an instrument that should be replaced, not repaired?

    Hubble has been an extraordinary tool, but it was never intended to last forever.

    The Shuttle has never had a serious purpose since NASA's preferred design was killed in the 1970's. It exists to sustain ISS, and ISS exists to sustain the Shuttle. Neither project serves the fundamental purpose of space travel, which is to take people from this planet to other places. Shuttle and ISS don't do that. They go in circles a few miles above the atmosphere. It is as if Prince Henry confined his ships to sailing in Portuguese waters within sight of land.

    We need to admit that both ISS and Shuttle are bad ideas poorly implemented and move on. When the need for space stations and space trucks arises, organically, from efforts to explore space, then we will have a reason to build them.

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    -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
    1. Re:Time for Hubble, Shuttle, ISS To Go by Attitude+Adjuster · · Score: 2, Interesting
      O'Keefe is following the recommendations of the CAIB. Would you have him ignore those recommendations only to lose another shuttle and crew trying to sustain an instrument that should be replaced, not repaired?

      Not at all - I wish O'Keefe would actually base his decisions on reviews by qualified personel, such as the CAIB. The Columbia Accident Investigation Board did not recommend against using the shuttle to service Hubble ( large PDF report here). It made return to flight recommendations on what needed/needs to be done to the shuttle before it can be used again. It specifically discusses missions that are not to the ISS, and does not nix them, as you suggest. O'Keefe is quote in some (badly written) articles as basing his cancellation on the CIAB report, but that is not factually true.

      Furthermore, O'Keefe is quite happy to have lots of shuttle missions to the ISS, even though the total chances of more astronaut deaths are higher than for a single Hubble servicing mission, and the practical rewards of continuing with the ISS much less than servicing Hubble. My point was to point out that the common assumption (expressed even with the ./ article description) that O'Keefe's decision is really based on astronaut safety is clearly bogus.

      In general I agree with you, but just to clarify things a bit...

      Science is probably the one thing NASA has done well, largely by letting scientists choose the priorities and directions to take rationally. Hubble is only one part of that science, but its still important, and can still provide valuable results. No one has ever expected Hubble to last for ever. But without servicing it there will be a significant gap before JWST get launched (bearing in mind JWST can not really replace all of the things Hubble can do, although it does other stuff better). If a pre-JWST replacement for Hubble can provide better science bang-for-buck than servicing Hubble then you'll find most scientists will be for it. I like the idea of replacing rather than servicing, but comparing the procs and cons of the various options has yet to be made.

      The robotic servicing is the least likely option to succeed (according to multiple studies by experts), and bears the risk of sucking up all-too-scarse science money. Yet its likely O'Keefe will press on with a robotic mission regardless.

      And I agree that the ISS (in its present incarnation) has been a great failure - but much of that blame can be laid on congress (who scrapped Bush I's stupid Mars plan but redirected some of the funds into an unwanted, and unrequested, expansion of the ISS plans). The shuttle hasn't been as good as hoped either, but the one thing it did well was servicing Hubble.

      I too want a sustainable, cost-effective space program, and the Shuttle and the ISS are neither. But the current presidential Moon-Mars manned space plan is even less workable, and it directly harms the historically effective and efficient space sciences programs. The results and further developments of X-prize commercial programs aren't going achieve the launch capabilities to help science for decades.

      Continuing on the political rant... We all want decisions to be made that are realistic, and cost-effective. You need to rely on experts to make those decisions, i.e. not pork-barrel-stuffing politicians. The problem is the recent habit in all the sciences, not just NASA, of ignoring well-defined well-reasoned recommendations, and instead basing decisions purely on political grounds (politics has always played a part to be sure, but this adminstration is taking this to unprecendented levels).

    2. Re:Time for Hubble, Shuttle, ISS To Go by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Would you have him ignore those recommendations only to lose another shuttle and crew trying to sustain an instrument that should be replaced, not repaired?


      I guess I'd rather have that than lose another shuttle crew trying to build what sounds like a fairly useless space station. The Hubble is at least proven to return very valueable scientific data. If safety vs usefullness is the big concern, I don't see O'Keefe trying to say we should dump the whole idea of the ISS since there's no point in risking lives for something of questionable scientific merit.

      The only forseeable benefit to a space station is the ability to study different ways of combatting the long-term effects of zero-G on humans. If we're ever going to go father into space we need to figure out how to avoid the bone density loss and other changes to the human body suffered from long-term zero-G exposure. One of the big problems with going to Mars is the astronauts won't be able to stand up on the surface when they get there due to muscle/bone atrophy. The Russians did some of this, but I never heard that they were very successfull.

      To use your analogy if Prince Henry just invented the sailing ship, he just might confine his ships to waters within site of land until Portugal mastered the whole sailing long distances thing.

      --
      AccountKiller
    3. Re:Time for Hubble, Shuttle, ISS To Go by reallocate · · Score: 1

      I'd prefer not risking any lives. I'd prefer replacing Hubble by carrying to fruition current plans for a new telescope. There's no reason to risk lives on a Hubble mission simply because lives are at risk on every Shuttle flight. The Hubble mission is significantly riskier because only one of the Shuttle vehicles is capable of reaching it. That means no possibility to rescue the crew if the Orbiter can't make reentry.

      As for zero-G, the best solution is to dramatically shorten the amount of time it takes to get to Mars, or anyplace else. We desparately need a propulsion breakthrough that can produce speeds an order of magnitude faster than currently possible. Until then, the juryrigged solution will be lots of exercise and simulated gravity via centrifugal force.

      As for Prince Henry, the only way for his sailors to learn to navigate on the ocean was to sail on the ocean. (In point of fact, they did tend to stay within sight of land.)

      --
      -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
    4. Re:Time for Hubble, Shuttle, ISS To Go by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      I'd prefer not risking any lives.

      Then you should go home and sit in bed all day. Living life is a risk for death. Exploring space is especially dangerous and will be for the forseeable future. Doing great things people haven't done before sometimes costs lives. How many people died trying to climb Everest? People _still_ die trying to do it? The astronauts are willing to risk their lives working in space, who are you to say they shouldn't?

      As for zero-G, the best solution is to dramatically shorten the amount of time it takes to get to Mars, or anyplace else. We desparately need a propulsion breakthrough that can produce speeds an order of magnitude faster than currently possible. Until then, the juryrigged solution will be lots of exercise and simulated gravity via centrifugal force.

      Sure, faster propulsion would solve the problem. That's a big order to fill though. Arificial gravity via spinning is possible too. Maybe a drug can be developed that will slow the de-calcification of bones and/or atrophy of muscles. To do either of the last two options we need somewhere to put people or animals that has zero-G.. like say a space station.

      As for Prince Henry, the only way for his sailors to learn to navigate on the ocean was to sail on the ocean. (In point of fact, they did tend to stay within sight of land.)

      And that's pretty much what we're doing. Stay close enough to home until we can venture out further.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:Time for Hubble, Shuttle, ISS To Go by reallocate · · Score: 1

      As you well know, I did not say we should abandon space travel because it is too risky. I said I'd rather not risk any lives to repair an instrument that needs to be replaced, not repaired. I would not spend the money for a robotic repair mission, either.

      The impetus to repair Hubble is coming from people who have a career stake in its survival and from lay people reacting emotionally to the images it produces. They would have us believe that the choice is between Hubble and nothing. That's wrong. Let Hubble go and replace it with something better. That's been the plan all along.

      --
      -- Slashdot: When Public Access TV Says "No"
  12. What is more important? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To keep the space scuttle from ever flying again so that it can stop Sucking $$$ from useful space stuff,

    OR

    Let the space scuttle do one last flight which will be the second flight that a shuttle has made which has actually contributed to science ( the first being the first time it was used to repair hubble, orbiting the Hubble could have been done more cheaply via rocket ). True, it will set a precedent that the space scuttle is flyable and hence may allow the horrible sucking of fund$ to continue into other ( useless ) future flights to the ISS ( a program as useless as the space scuttle )
    We do need a manned space program. But manned flights should be done rarely, and only when they are absolutely neccessary. No going on week long trips to study effects of zero g. A modular and maneuverable space capsule with a detachable robot arm seems appropriate. There is never a need to bring something sizeable back from earth orbit so no cargo bay that can handle reentry is needed, but cargo to orbit including rations, air, water and hardware should be in a modular section that can be extended as needed. The ability to use the capsule alone with a small booster to orbit, or with extra cargo using a large booster should be available. A disposable ( or even something that stayed in space and required a rendezvous and hookup ) Extended Living Quarters module should be able to make trips to high orbit or the moon possible. Why not have some fuel up there in LEO for use whenever it might be needed? Need to send out a space probe to Neptune with a narrow launch window? Launch the probe into LEO.
    Robotically connect with orbiting Fuel. Wait for launch window and shoot for Neptune when it's time. No need to worry about the weather at Cape Canaveral. And if the robotic hookup goes wrong, send up the Capsule loaded with people to fix it. ( or just send up the duplicate probe that they always make for the smithsonian, whichever is cheaper )

  13. But we already have guys up there. by pragma_x · · Score: 1

    I know it's pretty far-fetched, but can anyone tell me why the possibility of moving the telescope close to the ISS hasn't been brought up? If you're going to intercept the craft anyway (by man or machine), why not vector it so future ISS astonauts can get the job done now? For that matter, future repairs would be greatly simplified.

    1. Re:But we already have guys up there. by cjameshuff · · Score: 1

      It's in the wrong orbit...it's higher than the ISS, and at a different inclination. Lowering its orbit would put it further into the atmosphere, degrading its capabilities and requiring reboost operations more often. It would also require a fairly large booster to make such a big shift in orbit. Also, the ISS is rather dirty, it releases gas and debris which could damage or interfere with the Hubble. Then, once you got it there, you'd have to use thrust periodically to keep the two nearby...they will tend to drift apart. And then, the nearby sunlit ISS would obstruct a fair amount of sky.

      This isn't even a complete list of the reasons not to do it...but I think it's more than enough.

      Now, the Hubble was a huge success. It has shown us some really incredible things which ground telescopes are simply physically incapable of doing. However, technology has advanced significantly since it was built. I believe it would be a far better use of the money to build a Hubble II, with better resolution, more modern instruments, etc.

    2. Re:But we already have guys up there. by p3d0 · · Score: 1
      It's an absurd proposal. Changing orbits like that takes impossible amounts of fuel. It would be easier to launch a new Hubble than to move the current one. (Something like how it's easier to go from 0 to 60 on the highway than to turn around from going 60km/h in the wrong direction.) Besides, once the Hubble is in ISS's orbit, it wouldn't function properly anyway because of atmospheric drag.

      What would have been smarter would have been to put the ISS in a useful orbit in the first place. It's in a bizarre highly-inclined orbit just so the Russians can get there from Russia. From all other perspectives, the ISS's orbit is useless.

      --
      Patrick Doyle
      I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  14. Not a chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    He's probably the product of a school system that believes Darwin's Origin of Species is "just a theory" (just like how electricity is "just a theory" and the fact that the Earth orbits the sun is also "just a theory") and pushes "Intelligent Design" as a viable alternative.

    Now, we shouldn't be too hard on this guy. Someone needs to be outsourced, just so I can keep my job and then "get fries with that" at lunch, and who better than the sad sack product of Red schools?

    1. Re:Not a chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      He's probably the product of a school system that believes Darwin's Origin of Species is "just a theory" (just like how electricity is "just a theory" and the fact that the Earth orbits the sun is also "just a theory") and pushes "Intelligent Design" as a viable alternative.

      Now here's a true product of a horrid school system that teaches pseudoscience. Electricity is just a theory--why do you think they call it Theory of Electrodynamics? And Origin of Species (in lieu of its full title) is not "just a theory," idiot--it's title of a book. Theory of evolution is just a theory--what the heck do you think it is, Fundamental and Holy Tenets of Modern Biotheological Sciences?

      And who said anything about earth orbiting the sun? Learn the Kepler's Laws and Law of Universal Gravitation correctly--both the earth and the sun orbit around their mutual center of mass (of course, this is a (horrible) two-body approximation of what is a very complicated multi-body problem, but let's not pretend to be intelligent when you are just a piece of crap).

      I'm not going to pretend that Creationism (so-called "Intelligent Design") ought to be taught in science classes--it's not even pseudoscience, it's a nonscience. But I'm not going to let science be misrepresented either. After all, physics, the true science, has no reason to defend (or be used to defend) biology, a prodigal son. (i.e. Biology is not science, and all biologists are bunch of losers who just couldn't cut it in math classes--probably failed out of multivariable calculus, couldn't become the engineer he wanted to be, so decided to major in biology.)

    2. Re:Not a chance by ivano · · Score: 1
      LOL! wish I had mod points to spare.

      Apart from the (funny) scarcasm the poster is true. All of the above are theories, whether we like it not, but at the same time there's nothin' wrong with that. (Another nice example is "The Laws Of Gravity" not a law, still just a theory, but historically such ideas were called laws - well it was the beginning of modern science).

      Ciao

  15. Re:O'Keefe (!NASA) is opposed, safety not the issu by amightywind · · Score: 2, Interesting

    O'Keefe is indeed reluctant to veer from the Columbia Accident Review Board recommendations. The fact is the orbiter is just as vulnerable to debris strikes as it was 2 years ago. It is hoped that debris shed from the tank is reduced but it cannot be eliminated. Vulnerability to debris strikes is yet another flaw in the design of the shuttle that cannot be undone. Since the shuttle has no on orbit thermal protection repair capability or safe abort option, using the ISS is the only (and tenuous at that) option for a shuttle disabled on ascent. I think Mr. O'Keefe is doing the prudent thing. If I were NASA administrator and an exact repeat of the Columbia disaster was still a possibility, I would be cautious too. Do you think any NASA administrator would relish 2 shuttle disasters on his watch? If there is another shuttle disaster, that is the end of US manned spaceflight until the CEV era sets in. Milking the shuttle for 30 flights to finish ISS is ambitious enough. Risky billion dollar manned missions to an observatory already scheduled to be replaced is foolhardy.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
  16. But.. but.. the Hubble only had a 10-year mission. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    The Hubble was only designed to last 10 years. By the time of it's projected failure given no more servicing missions - it will have accomplished 90% of it's mission.

    Given the phenomonal cost of fixing the hubble - when it is past it's end-of-life design date - it is my opinion that the effort (and money) is better spent on a new, much improved, replacement.

    Look at the cost of fixing Hubble (and extend it's life for maybe another 2 years) vs. cost of a new one (which will last at least 10 years). In the past 10 years, design and manufacturing costs of spacecraft have dropped - you'd get much better value with new modern technology rather than keeping the ancient tech. up and running.

    Using such necrotic deathtraps as the Shuttle to fix the Hubble is an unnecessary, extremely dangerous idea - not to mention foolish.

  17. Re:But.. but.. the Hubble only had a 10-year missi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's projected failure
    it's mission
    it's end-of-life design date
    extend it's life

    "its".

  18. you wouldn't want to build another to print by bitingduck · · Score: 1

    I doubt that they even have all of the correct engineering drawings for the Hubble

    The technology for space telescopes has changed quite a bit since HST was built-- you wouldn't want to build an exact copy.

    It's not like other agencies hadn't built similar things before Hubble, and those agencies haven't been sitting on their butts for 20 years. Even NASA has flown and is developing new telescopes based on much newer technology. The basic geometry would probably be the same, but the primary mirror (and whole telescope) would be lower mass, the avionics would probably be a lot newer, you might launch to an L2 orbit instead.

    A shuttle mission would ensure the least downtime for visible astronomy (assuming they can get back flying in a couple years), but it's probably cheaper to build a new one from scratch, even with all the new design that would have to be done.

    1. Re:you wouldn't want to build another to print by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1
      you wouldn't want to build an exact copy. Agreed. But I was just trying to refute the notion that building a second would be cheaper.
      you might launch to an L2 orbit instead
      AFAIK, that's exactly the plan for the Webb space telescope. But what will they do when its gyros need to be replaced?
      but it's probably cheaper to build a new one from scratch
      I don't buy it. A shuttle mission to the Hubble will cost about two billion. I don't think they can build another and launch it for that. Even though the technology has improved, most of the costs of designing, building, and launching have gone UP, not down.

      Building a new space telescope is a good idea, and they're planning to do it anyhow. But if they're going to spend another two billion dollars on the Hubble, they're better off with a manned mission with a better than 75% chance of success (and perhaps 2% chance of catastrophic mission failure) than a two billion dollar robotic mission with a sub-10% chance of success. Of course, it's easy for me to say that since I won't be risking my life on it, but I suspect that they can find astronauts willing to volunteer for a manned repair mission.

    2. Re:you wouldn't want to build another to print by bitingduck · · Score: 1

      But what will they do when its gyros need to be replaced?

      Let it fall out of orbit. It has a design lifetime, and it will probably last longer than that. It's only cost effective to service things when the cost of servicing is largely borne by someone elses budget line (e.g. the manned program subsidizing HST).

      Even though the technology has improved, most of the costs of designing, building, and launching have gone UP, not down.

      Sort of. If you want the replacement to push the state of the art today (e.g. JWST) you pay a premium. If you get largely "off the shelf" parts, and don't design anything that will require new capital facilities for testing then it can be much cheaper than $2B. The spacecraft bus market is quite competitive, as is launch (though launch is still cheaper with foreign LVs). A telescope like HST has doesn't push the state of the art today-- you can probably get lower mass for less money. The instruments are also already built and waiting for someone to install them on something.

      If you're referring to JWST as the new telescope, it isn't really a Hubble replacement-- it won't have good enough optics to do any of the UV stuff that HST does. It will still bring back great pictures and spectra.

      They can certainly find astronauts willing to take the risk to fix Hubble, and I agree that it's a better idea than the robotic mission. The worst case is that you sink a billion dollars or so into the robotic mission and then HST dies before you can get there.

  19. Why space-based? by gokeln · · Score: 1

    Somebody, remind me why we need a space-based scope. With adaptive optics and ground-based scopes being soooo much cheaper to build, shouldn't we be spending our money other places? Like, say the 30-meter project?

    --

    There's no time to stop for gas, we're already late.
    1. Re:Why space-based? by dave420 · · Score: 1
      That's where the smart money and effort is going... Adaptive optics pissed on hubble's visible-spectrum telescopy, making it relatively obsolete overnight...

      All the new techniques for ground-based are making it by far the best investment.

    2. Re:Why space-based? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, this is entirely not true. Adaptive optics on large telescopes is showing promise in the near-infrared, where Hubble's performance is not optimal. But Hubble was really designed to be an optical and UV observatory. Adaptive optics will not be able to complete in the optical for another twenty years at least, and will never be able to compete in the UV, if for no other reason than the fact large fractions of the UV spectrum cannot penetrate the atmosphere.

      It's not just about the stability of the point sources you're observing (though that is a MAJOR plus with Hubble), it's also about being able to see wavelengths you cannot see from the ground.

  20. If Columbia never went down.. by clem9796 · · Score: 1

    We wouldn't be having this conversation at all.

    Hubble would have been fixed by now and food would have been delivered to the ISS. I read a while back, and agree with it wholeheartedly, that just as populating the wild west a coulpe hundred years ago, space is dangerous too. Did people still go? Of course they did. It's the pioneer spirit that keeps us speading our wings. Does anyone believe that the astronauts going up think that the current methods of entering space are infallable? I'm sure they're well aware that they're basically sitting on a giant "controlled" bomb.

    There are risks inherent with everything and they're all relative. If i stuff envelopes all day, there's a chance i'll get a nasty papercut, if i'm an astronaut, there's a chance i could lose my life in an accident.

    --
    IANALOOA