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Bob Cringely's Predictions For 2005

Posted by timothy on from the this-year-will-be-shorter-than-last-year dept.

An anonymous reader writes "Bob Cringley publishes his predictions for developments in the world of IT every year. His latest column contains his predictions for 2005 and a brief look back at his predictions for 2004."

7 of 440 comments (clear)

  1. Some of these predictions are -1 redundant by MrRTFM · · Score: 5, Insightful

    - Microsoft sues
    - SPAM increases
    - RIAA sues users

    Even my Aunt Nellie predicted these to happen!

    I'd be interested in what major software is going to take off - spam filters, chat, music?

    --
    You can't expect to wield supreme executive power, just because some watery tart threw a sword at you
  2. Who's Bob Cringely anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Someone care to explain why we should be so interested in this?

  3. Crossing Over by kajoob · · Score: 5, Insightful


    "I wrote that spam would get worse"

    "Microsoft would propose proprietary technologies"

    "Apple will take a big risk in 2005...though I am at a loss right now for what that might be."

    Well at least he goes out on a limb and his predictions aren't vague or anything. If John Edward stops hosting Crossing Over, I know where they can get a new host. ;)

    --
    Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur
  4. eh? by ikea5 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    FTA:"I predicted that all kinds of software companies would abandon support for older products, thus forcing us to upgrade to new operating systems and new hardware. Bingo." This is a prediction? why?

  5. A $249 Mac? by Fortunato_NC · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Although I doubt we'll see it, whether we see it or not, I'm going to make the bold prediction that in 2005, Slashdot users will continue to complain that Apple hardware is too expensive.

    --
    Blogging Weight Loss, Distance Education, and more at verlin.com
  6. Re:Duh... by roseblood · · Score: 5, Insightful

    YOUR CLAIM: Bring the PC to nearly everyone's home.

    Credit: IMB PC/AT and it's clones

    YOUR CLAIM: Give them a platform that is virtually universal in the industry.

    Credit: uhm...yeah... I've got 5 diffrent platforms here on 5 diffrent processors (only 1 machine is a x86)

    YOUR CLAIM: Make computing easy

    Credit: Those boys over at Apple

    YOUR CLAIM: Make computing cheap via making it everywhere and driving down the cost of hardware.

    Credit: All the makers of PC clones

    YOUR CLAIM: Managing to get on the internet truck late and yet still be the driving force that brought it to home users via making it so easy to get on and use.

    Credit: They didn't get on late, but AOL did all this.

    --
    There are lies, damned lies, and statistics.
  7. Re:making predictions is hard... by fiftyfly · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Worthless punting by Cringely - obvious predictions about obvious things, useless predictions about useless things. Just like a "Best of year X", everybody needs to do a "Predictions for year X+1" - and Cringely's predictions are as good as anyone else's (i.e. worthless).

    Except, of course, that they aren't - they're just obvious. Actually they're only obvious to those already informed and following developments in the industry. What makes them usefull is the fact that Cringly has exposure outside of the industry and, therefor, significantly more influence upon the mindshare of the general population. Something I can't (and assume you can't) claim.

    --
    "Sanity is not statistical", George Orwell, "1984"