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Preventing Epidemics with STEM

Anonymous Coward writes "IBM has released a Linux based technology enabling spatiotemporal modeling of infectious agents across the United States, providing scientists and public health officials with a powerful tool for understanding, and potentially preventing, the spread of infectious diseases. The new STEM technology provides Geographic Information System (GIS) data for every county in the United States supplied by TIGER files."

14 of 114 comments (clear)

  1. Intelligence an asset by skomes · · Score: 4, Funny

    Anybody who understands 100% of the article should get an automatic 15 points.

  2. Linux... by 0x461FAB0BD7D2 · · Score: 3, Informative

    it is not only immune from viruses, it stops them too!

    Note: this technology is based on Java2. It should run on any Java-supported platform, although IBM only lists Win2000 and Linux as supported platforms.

    1. Re:Linux... by aussie_a · · Score: 2, Funny


      it is not only immune from viruses, it stops them too!


      It's virii damnit! Not viruses.

  3. Awesome, but there are some roadblocks by Dancin_Santa · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This type of tracking system is sorely needed in order to prevent little outbreaks from turning into pandemics. Knowing where the hotspots are and using that information to take measures to prevent the spread of a pathogen is of increasing importance as we become more and more mobile as a species.

    However there isn't a way to track some problematic pathogens. For many diseases, there is a political aspect that prevents authorities from excercising their ability to contain the germ. HIV is the most obvious example of a virus that is so inherently related to a specific set of behaviors that it ought to be a simple matter of monitoring infected persons and preventing the disease from spreading. Unfortunately, the bearers of the virus claim that their right to these behaviors trumps the public health and safety risk posed by the virus.

    If there were an outbreak of Capt. Tripps, would the government have the political will to actually put all those infected under quarantine, dooming them and essentially stripping them of all human rights, in order to prevent the spread of the disease? They have shown in the past that they are not willing to contain infected groups. What is to say that they will be in the future?

    1. Re:Awesome, but there are some roadblocks by 0x461FAB0BD7D2 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The problem is that many diseases now are coming from Asia and Africa, more than the US. And this application seems to support the US as a model only.

      As for diseases like AIDS, many like Thabo Mbeki refuse to acknowledge the link between AIDS and HIV. And President Mbeki is seen by many as the voice of Africa. His views on AIDS are more disturbing than those who put politics over safety.

    2. Re:Awesome, but there are some roadblocks by nametaken · · Score: 2, Informative


      Actually, when I unpacked it, I noticed all the data was just xml. If you can compile the source data for other countries, the program should work with that.

  4. Interesting Project by ianturton · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I haven't had a chance to play with this yet, but it certainly seems interesting. This sort of tool is becoming ever more useful as a way of dealing with natural and man made epidemics. While of no real use during an epidemic, they do provide a useful tool to help emergency planners decide what strategies will be best when it does happen. It has to be better to carry out these experiments before hand rather than during an emergency.

    Ian

  5. Modelling != understanding by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Of course I didn't RTFA, but this package is, it seems, a modelling tool. Models don't always help understanding because they're based on assumptions. If the assumptions don't fit reality then they break down. The bad thing is that often the people start believing the models more than reality and if the field evidence starts to disagree with the models (which look very scientific with graphs etc) people start to doubt the field data.

    While the models (assumptions) hold true, they can provide some nice "what if" input, but they can never replace field data.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  6. Brief Tiger Explanation by ShyGuy91284 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    For those that don't know, Tiger is a geographic information systems package that allows the management of geograpical information that can be based on a variety of different statistical data. I haven't done too much with it, but when I was in early HS, my uncle (Who is an imaging science person, and did mapping related stuff at the time for surrounding counties) had me work for him one summer updating address ranges and directions that would be used by various county functions including emergency dispatch services. I remember I used Tiger GIS software. Interesting how much of that stuff works for geographical information management.

    --
    In undeveloped countries, the consumer controls the market. In capitalist America, the market controls you.
  7. Zombie Infection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Can it stop Zombie Infection?

  8. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Funny

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  9. other uses by sfcat · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Not that disease modeling isn't a good use of technology, but Tiger is a modeling tool that integrates geographic and temporal data (spacio-temporal is just a fancy word for that). But I think there are alot of other good uses for it. Some more popular and some much less. Let's see here:

    • Modeling historic data about
      • economic development
      • spread of religons
      • spread of political organizations
    • Modeling the spread of specific ideas
    • Modeling company sales data
    • Modeling battlefield deaths
    • Modeling a crime spree

    Basically any thing that spreads over time can be modeled and viewed this way. Kinda neat.

    --
    "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
  10. Re:Governments in denial by 0x461FAB0BD7D2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Intriguingly, Muslim nations and peoples have always had a strong interest in the sciences, from astrology to zoology, as their religion forbade them from other professions, such as bankers (who charge interest) and religious artisans.

    While there is undoubtedly a conservative social agenda in many Muslim nations, their affinity for the natural sciences would hopefully make it easier for moderate and liberal Muslims, and Muslims as a people, to take on AIDS as a problem, from the perspective of science.

    North Korea aside, China isn't as closed or sensitive to medical information as it once was. The recent inquiries into the handling of SARS shows that it is at least willing to tackle its problems.

  11. Stem Cells by Soul-Burn666 · · Score: 3, Funny

    So if this new "STEM" technology runs on IBM's CELL processors, will we get STEM CELLs?

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    ^_^