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Hard Drive Memory Lane

Chabil Ha' writes "CNET has gathered together some good old nostalgia from the photo vault. What high-tech product advances the fastest? It's probably the hard drive. The capacity doubles easily every two years and sometimes every year, faster even than the chip progress described by Moore's Law. The first drives took up storage closets. Now, a 5GB drive can fit in a phone."

38 of 156 comments (clear)

  1. Stupid Comparisons by Chmarr · · Score: 5, Insightful
    From the article:
    The going rate was $7.81 a megabyte, 38 percent more than the price of oil at the time.

    Huh? What kind of comparison is that?
    1. Re:Stupid Comparisons by Erik+Fish · · Score: 4, Funny

      Totally useless. Why don't they put it in sensible terms everyone can understand: How many Libraries of Congress is it?

    2. Re:Stupid Comparisons by Neil+Blender · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From the article:

              The going rate was $7.81 a megabyte, 38 percent more than the price of oil at the time.

      Huh? What kind of comparison is that?


      It's a stupid comparison but if they added 'a barrel' in there it might add a little perspective. Oil was going for about $4/barrel in 1973. Consider now the cost of a barrel of oil gets you 140 gigs of storage. Oil is roughly 20 times more expensive today but efficiency has probably only increased by about a few fold at best. Today's storage dollar goes many, many thousands of times farther than today's oil dollar, as compared to 1973.

  2. depends on how you measure improvements by GenKreton · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The capacity of harddrive has steadily improved over the years but the performance of harddrives has improved at an abysmally slow rate. Five years ago I would have not like to see the average desktop harddive at 7200 rpm with some into 10,000. I know better options are available, but those aren't in your average home computer either.

    1. Re:depends on how you measure improvements by Karma+Farmer · · Score: 2, Informative

      They can actually break the sound barrier?

      No. The speed of sound at sea level is about 340 meters per second, or about 13,400 inches per second. On a 3.5" disk, that works out to about 1200 revolutions per second, or 72,000 revolutions per minute.

      So, a 3.5" disk would need to spin about 10 times as fast as they do now to break the sound barrier.

    2. Re:depends on how you measure improvements by prophase_j · · Score: 2, Informative

      It might be worth reminding everybody that the head rides a minute cushion of air as the platters whiz by below them. Take the air out and you will certainly see "werid things happen". Ever read the specs to a harddrive as far as the operating conditions go? Has a lot due with air pressure. Drives even come with holes so that they can "breath" at different altitudes and temputure. Back in the day... with my Tandy 2000 and 20 meg drive, you had to run a program telling the drive to park the head; meaning to place the head in good spot to land as the disk slows down when you turn it off. If or anyone takes upon themselves to operate a dirve in a vaccum, take pictures and/or video. I wanna see it.

      J

    3. Re:depends on how you measure improvements by cowbutt · · Score: 2, Interesting
      For the majority of use the speed of even slow drives is plenty fast. The main problem is that most computers have way to little RAM which means the system has to swap which slows the system in general.

      Actually, I'd dispute that. Even el-cheapo Dell models now come with 512MB of RAM. I have 512MB on my FC3 workstation and that still leaves me with ~200MB for buffers/cache in normal usage (Windows XP is a different matter, however).

      I'd argue that these days, architecturally speaking, the front-side bus is probably the greatest bottleneck, relative to the speed of CPUs. You can work around it by making caches larger and larger, but those caches need to be filled from somewhere, and meanwhile, it makes caching the wrong thing through mis-prediction even more expensive. This is even more pertinent to SMP systems that don't have dedicated memwory buses for each CPU.

    4. Re:depends on how you measure improvements by GuyWithLag · · Score: 2, Informative

      The actual problem is that there is an upper limit of (relative) flow speed vs the platter, above which heavy turbulence starts. It's the same reason CD's have a max speed of about 52x or so. While both platters and R/W head are much more stiff than the CD equivalents, this does set a limit on the maximum rotational speed.

      On the other hand, heat generation/dissipation is also a big problem, especially with bigger data densities, where on-disk bits are easier to flip.

    5. Re:depends on how you measure improvements by mrchaotica · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's not nitpicking. Floppy discs are close to "paper thin;" that's why they're called "floppy." Hard drive platters are solid metal, at least 1mm thick, and quite rigid. They're probably either the heaviest or second-heaviest part of the drive (the cast metal casing might be heavier). And as far as resonance goes, hard disks can actually be used as speakers.

      --

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  3. Get Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    " Now, a 5GB drive can fit in a phone."

    That's nothing. Maxwell Smart could fit a phone in his shoe.

  4. Simple: by atrader42 · · Score: 5, Funny

    At that time, oil was going for $4.84 a megabyte.

    1. Re:Simple: by Tordek · · Score: 2, Funny

      Actually, no... more like 5,659420289855072463768115942029 Dollars per... megabyte.

      But yes, your mathematically inadequate post did perform its appointed task in causing in my emotion sensor a humorous response.

      Yours Truly,
      Correction unit 6

      --
      Tordek, Dwarven Warrior - Juegos de Rol en Argentina
    2. Re:Simple: by trackguy · · Score: 3, Funny

      Er.... At $7.81 per Mb I make it $1.9m (1.1m GBP) for a 80Gb HD at 2006 prices (based on 5% annual inflation for 34 years), although this doesn't include the building to keep it in and the small power station needed to power it (and the aircon).

      --

      --
      But I'm Conroy's plant!
      --
    3. Re:Simple: by skogula · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yes, but how many Megs per gallon does your car get now?

  5. Scoffing Posts Are From Those With Sort/No Memory by Kozar_The_Malignant · · Score: 3, Interesting

    First hard drive my emplopyer paid for was 5MB. First one I paid for with muy owm money was 40MB, and that was a trade-off for a whopping 4MB of RAM. If I'd gone with 1MB of RAM, I could have had a 110MB drive at the same price. At that time, RAM cost way more than drivespace, and that RAM let me multitask Quattro Pro and Paradox under DR DOS (I think you could actually do it with 2MB). Life was good!

    --
    Some mornings it's hardly worth chewing through the restraints to get out of bed.
  6. Re:Why oh why??? by Dysproxia · · Score: 2, Informative

    Linear? (FirstHDCapacity * 2^x) where x is number of years, looks a lot like exponential growth.

  7. 1000x every 10 years by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 4, Funny

    Drives increase about 1000 times in 10 years, for the same rough price, not counting inflation. For the price of a 500 gigabyte drive today, you'll be able to get a 500 terabyte drive in 2016. 10 years ago, you were buying 500 megabyte drives.

    It still won't be enough to store all your holographic porn.

    --
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    1. Re:1000x every 10 years by WuphonsReach · · Score: 2, Interesting

      you'll be able to get a 500 terabyte drive in 2016

      Not unless something bigger then perpendicular recording comes along. Today's GMR drives are roughly 60 gigabits / square inch, PR drives are shipping at 100-130 gigabits / square inch and are expected to top out at around 230-245 gigabits / square inch.

      Which puts the upper limit at around 2TB in a 3.5" drive.

      Anyone know what the next "big" thing is in magnetic storage? Or have they driven PR past the 245 gigabit / square inch level?

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
  8. the old school by rilister · · Score: 2, Funny

    "The first drives took up storage closets. Now, a 5GB drive can fit in a phone."

    ahh. well.... if you're *really* old school, you remember when a mobile phone was virtually the size of a storage closet.

    (heck. That wasn't even that long ago, come to think of it....)

    --
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    1. Re:the old school by Mathiasdm · · Score: 2, Funny

      Pheh, that's nothing!

      Back in my days, we had Zippo lighters the size of storage closets, and matches were heavy as bricks!

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  9. Re:Scoffing Posts Are From Those With Sort/No Memo by aussersterne · · Score: 5, Interesting

    In the '80s I paid thousands for a 5MB hard drive that sounded like an airplane engine and required three controllers: the servo/logic board, an MFM-to-SASI adapter board (yes, these really existed, for RLL and ESDI and to and from SCSI too), and a SASI/SCSI-to-host-bus board.

    I remember benchmarking the thing in excitement and getting a speed of 1 megabyte read in 96 seconds. A-W-E-S-O-M-E!

    Later I replaced it with a 5MB SyQuest removable drive (yes, there was a time when SyQuest made 5.0MB removable disks that were 5.25" to a side by about 1" high) that had a window on the front and weatherstripping on the door to keep the dust out. Unfortunately, all of those disks eventually developed bad sectors (despite the weatherstripping!) and by the mid-'80s I was running my BBS on an ST-213 10MB half-height (what we'd now call "huge") MFM hard drive in a PC, having become fully commodified in my computing self. ;-)

    --
    STOP . AMERICA . NOW
  10. Maximum speed by earnest+murderer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Not wholly on topic, but this BBC article discusses the theoretical maximum speed of (modern) magnetic media.

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/3647055.stm

    2.3 picoseconds is pretty quick, at least until someone makes a faster material.

    --
    Platform advocacy is like choosing a favorite severely developmentally disabled child.
  11. Holographic pr0n? by quokkapox · · Score: 2, Interesting
    It still won't be enough to store all your holographic porn.

    Even today, I can store essentially all the music I've collected over the years that I really care about having at my fingertips all on my laptop, backed up on a handful of DVDs and my other machines if I'm paranoid about losing it.

    I can store everything I've ever written and all the digital images I've ever taken or scanned on another handful of DVDs. A few dozen hours of my childhood were filmed in Super-8, and have been converted to a bookshelf's worth of VHS tape in the late 1980s (which are now collecting dust) and digitized again to a handful of DVDs which are geographically backed up among several family members. Recordings of my grandparents singing folk songs, maybe that's another DVD worth of MP3 data. My dad and mom have separately scanned virtually all of the family photos back to the late 1800s. I could easily back up all of this content on my laptop and still have room to store the TV shows that are downloaded for me automatically and then normally deleted after watching.

    I'm not sure I will ever need more than a few terabytes. I'm not into holographic pr0n and I don't want a TV-quality recording of my life archived for posterity. Nobody is ever going to watch it. I can barely keep up with current reality as it is.

    --
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    1. Re:Holographic pr0n? by evilviper · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I'm not sure I will ever need more than a few terabytes. I'm not into holographic pr0n and I don't want a TV-quality recording of my life archived for posterity.

      Music is still only stereo, and most people are only storing lossy copies of it. When you have lossless 48 channel music at 384KHz, then we'll talk.

      How about video? Even with lossy MPEG-2, you can still only store a few dozen hours of HDTV on the largest hard drives. Switch to lossless video, or perhaps holographic, and you'll need a hell of a lot more space.

      We don't know what will develop. In a few years, will we all have full-fledged Earth Simulators running on our desktops, deciding when the next rainstorm will be?

      How about wearing a device that monitors EVERY neuron, every muscle fiber, etc., to be analyzed to determine if we are beginning to develop any health problems?

      Maybe a full copy of your own genome, which can be analysed in-detail by software.

      Perhaps with the development of software radio, we'll just set our computers to record ALL of the electromagnetic spectrum, and pick out anything we might want to watch/hear later.

      Maybe computer control of cars and servant robots will be possible, not because of wonderful A.I., but because every single possible senario being mapped to an appropriate response, and stored on a gigantic hard drive.

      Maybe we'll have our own personal "Hitchiker's Guide to the Galaxy", that detects that you're looking at a specific car, and automatically tells you everything there is to know about it, the company that made it, the driving record of the person associated with the license plate number, etc. Personal histories of every person you look at. Reviews of the movie poster you glanced at. etc.

      Or maybe a Matrix-like senario... You'd want to have a lot more movies if you could watch each of them each in a fraction of a second.

      Well, now I'm drawing a blank, but that's not bad for what I could come up with in a few minutes. I'm sure in a few years time I could have an incredibly long list.
      --
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    2. Re:Holographic pr0n? by swilver · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Although storing everything lossless will definitely fuel the need for greater capacity storage for decades to come, I think that at some point people will be very happy with their lossy MP3's, AVI's and so on.

      It all depends on how good the quality is of the lossy storage:

      1) Lossless

      2) Lossy, but in such a way that you can only distinguish it from the original by looking directly at a waveform / video-still and being able to tell "yes, they're different", but without knowledge of which is the original you wouldn't be able to pick which one of the two is the original.

      3) Lossy, but in such a way you would be in doubt whether you are listening to the original or not (no direct comparison allowed, just tell me if this song I'm playing is lossless or lossy).

      4) Lossy, but with artifacts that could be distinguished by experts if they knew what to look for.

      For most people, this last level is more than good enough. At some point, you're just trying to figure out new ways of wasting storage -- I think that space could be put to better use in the form of redundancy :)

  12. Differential equation by tepples · · Score: 2, Informative

    Doubling every year is linear?

    It's linear as in a first-order linear differential equation: dy/dt = k*y, whose solution is y = y(0)*e^(k*t).

  13. Re:Why oh why??? by NixieBunny · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The reason is that it's easier to redesign a gizmo to be just a bit smaller or faster than the current version. It's much harder to design something that's 10x better. The incremental improvements in technology are usually about 20-30%, which is a small enough improvement that the manufacturing people don't have to change their process too much. Think of it as an iterative process of making it just a little better; after 30 iterations you have an astounding increase in performance.

    --
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  14. Urban legend about magnet range by Flying+pig · · Score: 4, Informative
    I can assure you that two magents that fit into a 5.25 inch hard drive would not collide from a foot apart horizontally. The attraction law for magnets is very roughly inverse cube (NOT inverse square, because there are two poles not one). In fact (and I tested it) the magnets from an old WD SCSI drive would come together from between one and two inches apart, and believe me that is quite a lot for magnets with very close poles. However, it is perfectly true that if these ceramic magnets are allowed to come together they can shatter.

    In fact, the magnets are the most useful things in junk hard drives - they can be used for all sorts of little jobs - but as hard drives get ever lighter and more efficient the magnets get ever less useful. Old SCSI drives are the best. A standard IBM 9Gbyte drive contains two magnets with a holding capacity which would cost over $50 from the hardware shop.

    --
    Pining for the fjords
  15. Re:Why oh why??? by evilviper · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I mean, instead of releasing a hard drive 2x the size of last year, why can't they skip a generation and release one 10x the last year?

    Because we don't yet have the manufacturing technology to place each individual electron on a platter, heads that can read and write to those ultra-dense platters, or the circuitry to support it. Look at something like GMR. They couldn't possibly have used it in hard drives 5 years before it was discovered.

    It may sound ironic due to the above, but the computer revolution hasn't been about technological leaps. No, it's been about fast but incremental improvements to manufacturing.

    I guess the better answer is, computer technology is close behind current scientific discoveries... If there was a jump, it would have to be artifically created by holding back on developing products with new, slightly better, technology. I really don't see your problem with improvement. It's not as if they are forcing you to upgrade your hard drive every year. I'm using an older 40GB hard drive in this machine right now, and I'm perfectly happy with it. When it fails (out of warranty) I'll go buy one that is many, many times larger, so it's sure not incremental improvement for me.
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    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  16. Hard Drive Memory Lane by Aceticon · · Score: 2, Funny

    Sounds like a new technology to improve hard drive performance.

    Sata2 - Memory Lane mode

  17. Dual Head Hard Drive? by nbritton · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why not make hard drives with two heads per platter, It seems trivial to make it work? Just place the heads at opposite sides of the drive, shrink the platter a bit to accommodate the two heads, and implement a abstracted queueing algorithm so the two heads can work together.

    With SCSI's command queueing a dual head drive would at the very least double random read/write performance and access times. This would also make the drive sorta more fault tolerant because you only need one working head to read data off the drive.

    I want a 15,000-RPM dual head Ultra320 hard drive!

  18. Drum memory by ribuck · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I was disappointed that the article didn't mention drum memory, which was popular in the 1950s. The magnetic surface was on the outside of a cylindrical drum.

    Sometimes there was even one head per track (fixed in position) which improved performance by eliminating seek times.

    There's a photo of drum storage about halfway down the following article (which I found more interesting and more informative than TFA): http://www.moah.org/exhibits/archives/brains/compu terage.html

    1. Re:Drum memory by matt_wilts · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Check out this story of how to use drum memory:

      "Mel never wrote time-delay loops, either,
      even when the balky Flexowriter
      required a delay between output characters to work right.
      He just located instructions on the drum
      so each successive one was just past the read head
      when it was needed;
      the drum had to execute another complete revolution
      to find the next instruction."

  19. 1990 Computer shopper magazine by suso · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I remember seeing the first consumer 4GB drive by IBM listed in Computer Shopper for a whopping $20,000. Looking back, its amazing they didn't list the price as "Call".

  20. Re:What about SCSI ? by 42Penguins · · Score: 2, Informative

    http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.asp?Item=N82 E16822116148
    NewEgg has a Fujitsu 300GB SCSI drive... for $730!

    SCSI drives are significantly more expensive than SATA or IDE, especially when you get into the high capacities. The makers are expanding their SCSI lines, but most individuals don't need/can't afford the big ones. If you're a big enough business or government agency, the game changes.

  21. Re:Scoffing Posts Are From Those With Sort/No Memo by Ratbert42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My first personal hard drive was a 40 meg full-height in my IBM PC.

    Every once in a while I catch myself throwing 50 or 500 meg files around like they're nothing and think back to how many hard drives that is.

    My favorite "making me feel old" machine is my Palm Zire 71. It's got more RAM (16m), more "disk" (1g SD card), a faster clock (144MHz), higher resolution (320x320x16-bit) than my first 5 computers combined. If I had a decent PC emulator for it, it'd emulate all of my first 5 computers too.

  22. Moore's Law by kidcharles · · Score: 2, Funny

    I swear if I hear someone invoke Moore's Law one more time I'll shoot myself in the head. I study electrical engineering and half our seminars start with someone mentioning or explaining in detail, Moore's Law. Always with the damn chart too.

    "Memory becomes more dense as time progresses, it's Moore's Law!"
    "Wasn't Moore a genius to roughly predict the pace of the increasing density of memory? Wasn't he?"
    "Have you heard about Moore's Law? It predicts the pace of memory density increase."

    Ahhhhh!

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une sig.
  23. Re:Scoffing Posts Are From Those With Sort/No Memo by aussersterne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Oh yeah, it was that slow. The machine was an old SSB machine and at the time you sort of had to get your own CPU and bus speeds working. It wasn't really overclocking, it was that the devices on your bus all had different characteristics or operating requirements and memory costs varied wildly depending on the speed of the chips you bought, so you often bought slow.

    So depending on the rest of your kit, you might desolder the stock CPU clock generator/crystal and solder in a slightly slower or faster one. I think I had mine with a 2.8MHz crystal (divided into two, meaning ultimately a reasonably snappy 1.4MHz machine), and this was an 8-bit machine with an 8-bit bus that had shared address/data lines (they'd alternate across clock cycles), so the drive and controllers (in spite of having three controllers in series doing bus conversion) were really still much faster than the CPU, system bus, and memory, especially with the 48k of 400ns memory I had installed in the machine.

    Hell, I could only do 1200 bps reliably on that system, which is one of the reasons I finally upgraded to a "new" PC in the mid-80s... I was seeking after that holy grail, 2400bps!

    --
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