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PS3 - Lateness With Linux?

ZombieRoboNinja writes "The New York Times is reporting that Sony's press conference has confirmed the delay of the PS3, which is now slated to come out in November. More interestingly, the article claims that PS3 will ship with a 60-gig hard drive, built-in network card, and Linux!" Serious stuff here, with Sony's shares falling on the delay confirmation. There was a lot more news handed out at the conference than just the delay. Next Generation has details from Ken Kutaragi's 10 Point Breakdown. From the NYT article: "'We were discussing selling it in September, and some even said put it out in July,' Mr. Kutaragi said. Some analysts were immediately skeptical of this explanation, saying Sony needed to get the console out as soon as possible to combat Microsoft's head start, and the expected release this year of Nintendo's next game console, Revolution. They said Sony may be trying to buy time to bring down the production cost of key components, particularly untested technologies like Blu-ray and Cell. While Mr. Kutaragi did not reveal a price on Wednesday, analysts say Sony will likely try to sell PlayStation 3 for about $500." Please see related links and commentary below for more coverage. My two quick cents -

  1. If they're not releasing in Japan until November, I find it highly unlikely they'll be releasing in the states until 2007. Previous PlayStation launches have always been staggered Japan first, U.S. second. I don't care if they say they're launching worldwide; At this point I think they're spinning to keep people happy.
  2. If they're not out in the U.S. until 2007, they'll probably be the last next-gen console to do so. So far Nintendo says it's on track to launch this year. Sony isn't getting finalized dev kits out until June. Even just with that metric on the table, Nintendo looks to be in a better position than Sony at the moment.
  3. At $500, there are going to be a lot of indifferent customers come March of '07. This will be especially true if, over a year after launch, Microsoft cuts the price of the 360 to coincide with the PS3 launch. If you have to choose between a solid platform that costs $300 (and already has a stable of games available) and a brand-new system that is two hundred bucks more with far fewer games, which one do you think most people will buy?
Regardless of what happens a year from now this is a major blow for Sony, a coup for Microsoft, and breathing room for Nintendo. What do you think the console market will look like this time next year?

26 of 364 comments (clear)

  1. Article Access by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Interesting

    A functioning link to the NYTimes article.

    Also interesting is the component pricing total that reveals why Sony will most likely have to take a loss of hundreds of dollars per console to remain competitive.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Article Access by adisakp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I agree with you there. Even if the price is high to begin with, Sony has a win/win with PS3 mass production driving down the overall cost of BluRay in a much shorter time.

      But then again this is Slashdot so who cares about facts. I'm an actual PS3 and XBOX360 developer and I made a comment on the last PS3 article to refute someone who didn't know what they were talking about (using only publically available knowledge but stuff I still know to be true as a registered developer who has both systems on his desk RIGHT NOW). The clueless parent was modded "Insightful" and I was modded "Troll" for refuting him.

  2. Will there be an emotion chip too? by hal2814 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Sounds to me like Sony shot themselves in the foot by muffing a Christmas release of the PS3 so they're gearing up the speculation by promising the kitchen sink like they did with the PS2 to try and keep anybody from buying something else in the meantime.

    1. Re:Will there be an emotion chip too? by Overly+Critical+Guy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm pissed at them for a weird reason, too. I don't want Microsoft and its crappy console to gain any foothold. The only reason the XBox exists is to push the Windows platform into the living room--originally Microsoft offered their platform libraries to Sony and Nintendo and only made the X-Box when both companies refused to ship Windows on their consoles. Microsoft cares nothing at all about games or quality of games, which is why we get commercials espousing the wonders of sweat on a basketball player mesh. They only care about extending Windows and tying people to it in some way.

      So with the Playstation 3 delayed--arguably the only sure bet to crushing and stomping out the XBox for good--this gives more time for the XBox 360 to actually gain a foothold, even despite their pathetically slow start (Nintendo sold more Gamecubes last Christmas than Microsoft sold XBox 360s).

      I expected the Playstation 3 to dominate once more, with Nintendo coming on the side as the cheaper "add-on" gaming console that everyone buys to play Zelda and Mario Kart on the side.

      --
      "Sufferin' succotash."
    2. Re:Will there be an emotion chip too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I never thought I'd refer to Microsoft as the "good guy" but if it's only between Microsoft and Sony, Microsoft is the "good guy"....

      P.S. I hope Nintendo crushes them both.

    3. Re:Will there be an emotion chip too? by raquor · · Score: 2, Interesting

      With supply shortages of course they arent selling as many 360s as PS2s. I've yet to see an actual 360 for sale anywhere as I wander through the video game sections of my local retailers. Lots of accessories and games, but not once have I spotted a console. Whereas PS2 has been around for a while and there is a steady stream of consoles getting to retail. Think before you speak.

    4. Re:Will there be an emotion chip too? by Manmademan · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The only reason the XBox exists is to push the Windows platform into the living room--originally Microsoft offered their platform libraries to Sony and Nintendo and only made the X-Box when both companies refused to ship Windows on their consoles. This is completely false. Microsoft created the trimmed down version of Win2k for the Xbox exclusively. They never made any such offer to Nintendo or Sony.
      Minor nitpick- Microsoft DID offer windows to Sega for use on the Dreamcast. Early models of the DC even have a "windows CE" logo on the casing. However from what I understand it was pretty clunky, few developers used it and windows CE was dropped towards the end of the console's lifecycle.
    5. Re:Will there be an emotion chip too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The Nintendo DS is throughly pounding the crap out of the PSP. the REvolution is going to be very different instead of being a "mee too" upgrade like the Xbox 360 and the PS3.

      Nintendo is intent on grabbing back the crown and the others will flounder with the remains of sega. I know of many that are still pissed off at the stund that Sony records pulled and have changed their plans to buy a PS3.

      Nintendo is planning a price mark for the REvolution games to be from $19.95 to $50.00. If they do this they will kick the crud out of Xbox and Sony as that is nearly 25% cheaper than what they are. The DS already is typically 40% cheaper in game prices than the PSP and it is hurting them.

      Sony is dead, Xbox is dead. Nintendo will kick their arses once again.

    6. Re:Will there be an emotion chip too? by aichpvee · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Have you seen how huge the PS2 library is? I finally picked up a PS2 last spring and since then I've been amazed at just how large it is, especially by how many good games there are. Sony definitely doesn't have the AAA percentage that Nintendo has, but their A+ games dwarf the numbers of playable games on GameCube and xbox combined.

      If you look at the exclusive games for each console there isn't even a competition. Sony's got stuff. Nintendo's got stuff. And microsoft has what, halo and Ninja Gaiden? And halo isn't even very good.

      I don't know where all these microsoft fanbois are coming from (not considering parent as one, mind) but microsoft gaining any dominance in the console business will be bad for everyone. I think you've got to go with Sony in any Sony vs microsoft battle. They pretty much suck as a first party developer, but kick ass at bringing top quality third parties on board. They don't have the personal computer monopoly that will further enslave us if they take over the living room. As long as they don't put in the outrageous drm that has been rumoured, and if Nintendo can't take the top spot, I don't see how any reasonable person can be against Sony in this. microsoft can't be allowed to be the dominant player in console games, and that's just because of the huge amount of crap they will dump on us as players.

      Feel free to mod me into oblivion. But go check out the 9.99$ and under bin at your local gamestoop first. There's more quality games there than you'll find on xbox and GameCube combined, which has consistently managed to shock me.

      --
      The Farewell Tour II
  3. What a coincidence... by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sony seems to use Linux for the PS3 - and at the same time, Linus says he won't use GPL3 for Linux due to the DRM clauses.

    Interesting coincidence, don't you think?

  4. Like I've always said by tomstdenis · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'd be willing to pay more for a gaming console if I had control to produce my own content [e.g. programs, games, whatever].

    I'd pay 800$ for a PS3 if it meant I could ssh to the thing and play with the cell processor or beam media to it or something.

    If all I can do is play games then I wouldn't pay more than 200$ for it. Cuz at that point I'd just play my xbox1 out of spite.

    Tom

    --
    Someday, I'll have a real sig.
  5. Re:Well well well... by Ayaress · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Not just too late, but probably counterproductive. With the level of DRM Sony has hinted at in the past for the PS3, I think a lot of Slashdotters will consider the fact that Linux is facilitating it to be more of an insult than anything.

  6. Should Be Clear Why Developers Choose Sony :) by GameEngineer · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Boom!!!

    If there was any question about just how dead the 360 was yesterday, today it should be perfectly clear. With sales falling to only 160k units last month, I can't imagine how far they will fall by next month.

    This holiday season is going to be a battle between Sony and Nintendo the likes of which have never been seen before in the console market.

    The holdup of the AACS stuff for BluRay means that Sony is stockpiling the components for the PS3 and will have millions of units ready to ship by November this year. Sony could have shipped about 500k to Japan in June/July but decided to go with a worldwide release in November. Too bad for Japan, no change for the US, and good news for Europe.

    Linux being standard on all PS3s is wonderful. There are going to be 120+ million Linux machines out there serving as people's media servers over the next five years. Nice.

    E3 is going to be insane with Sony and Nintendo focusing on showing off their system's games for launch.

    The final bit of info for the battle between Sony and Nintendo is what price is the Revolution going to be released at.

    We are about to enter the golden age of console gaming in a few months...

    1. Re:Should Be Clear Why Developers Choose Sony :) by InsaneGeek · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Do you have any idea how expensive it is to "stockpile" components? If Sony was doing what you are saying, it would cost them millions (with the S). Heck if Sony were to simply put that cash they would spend to "stockpile" components this early, into a very low interest personal saving bank account they could probably make a couple of million on that by itself. The cost of stockpiling components early would cost Sony dearly to do, there's a reason that the average lifespan that Dell "owns" a component is measured in minutes rather than hours or days.

      Everybody is saying that Sony can't buy components today for $500, and has to sell it at a loss. So using the number that people say of $800 for today's component cost and using your 500k units number for June that means; Sony would dump out 400 million dollars to sit on equipment for 5 months. I can get 6 month CD's between 4-5% APY, just sticking that cash into a CD for half a year would yield them ~8 million dollars (won't go into calculating APY on intervals, because you get the picture). That much cash for basically doing nothing, by simply not purchasing anything for a month they get more than a million dollars in benefit, you can even double the effect as by spending the money early not only did you not gain a million from the bank, you have a million dollars less than before in equipment that aren't using.

      Linux.... yeah, I'm sure they are going to come out with a linux media server that works with the DRM... OK you just go along with that. Linux is going to be a niche option that won't allow you to use the benefit of high-def digital output, blu-ray, or gaming. It's going to be niche and stay niche.

  7. Re:FUBAR summary....again by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Kutaragi said that that the PS3 will require a hard drive, which will have a 60 GB capacity and support Linux OS. No word on if it will be included.

    Oops.

    If you don't need a special 'Linux Kit' to run Linux on the thing, it hardly matters whether or not it's included. THAT is the question which must be answered.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  8. Re:Interesting non-PS3 point in the article... by Rob+T+Firefly · · Score: 2, Interesting

    But will our old PS1 games be freely portable to use on this emulator, or will we have to buy them again in order to get them onto a memory stick via the indicated "e-distribution?"

  9. Blaze of Glory by blueZhift · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I actually love how Kutaragi-san is putting it all on the line. Global launch, standard hard drive, free online service... Oooh Weee! Sony is either going to astound the analysts with one of the most successful product launches ever, or go out in a blaze of glory that may cripple the company. Either way, you gotta love the balls to the wall attitude. This is going to be really interesting to watch.

  10. Re:will they do the smart thing? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Will it also be a PVR? Will it have a memory stick slot so you can take your show straight from the PS3/PVR and put the on the PSP? Any chance that the PS3 will play UMD movies so you don't have to buy two versions? Just some ideas that could really help Sony do better. Of course what they really need to do is drop this DRM crap like a hot potato.

    They will probably try the PVR thing again, but for less money. The unit almost assuredly is not coming with video capture hardware.

    There is little to no chance that the PS3 will play UMD movies, which are on UMD, which you can't put in a CD/DVD/Blu-Ray/HD-DVD player, which all use a classical CD form factor.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  11. YAPP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Your post made me think these things are long overdue for an acronym:

    YAPP - Yet Another PS3 Post

    YAPA - Yet Another PS3 Article

    YAPS - Yet Another PS3 Story

    I think YAPP takes the cake.

  12. the ADAM computer by mrpeebles · · Score: 4, Interesting

    More and more, the PS3 is reminding me of the ADAM computer. For those who don't remember, it was the successor to the colecovision video game system, and it was going to be both a video game system, AND an affordable home computer system. Unfortunately, it tried to do too many things, didn't do enough of them well enough for the money, and flopped. (Also, the controllers attached to the SIDE of the main box, so that when you pulled them out, little kid that you were, you broke the machine.) Anyway, these similarities may only be superficial, but a much better comparison may be the LISA computer by apple. We will see...

  13. Re:Bah Sony. Bah... by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Shipping with Linux does not balanace out unlawful virus DRM root kits.

    Think about it though: shipping with Linux might just create a vector for undermining the DRM on the Blu-Ray HD movies playable on this console.

    Face it: consumer electronics running Linux is a big neon "hack me" sign that you don't get with other proprietary consumer electronics operating systems.

    --
    Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  14. Curious by RyoShin · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If Linux support is going to be native (instead of requiring a bunch of hacking and modding), does this mean they are open to indie game development?

    With their PSOnline service (or whatever they're calling it,) they could give low-brow development kits (or sell them for a small fee,) and all people to upload games to a server. Having a lot of free, smaller games would really add to the service.

  15. Re:Sony really dropped the ball here by Whyte+Panther · · Score: 2, Interesting

    With Sega releasing the Dreamcast as early as they did (relatively), Sony is really fighting an uphill battle here. Whether or not the PS2 is better than the DC, the "next-gen" war is already heavily favored to those who actually make their products available.

    Sure there are some Sony fanboys who would refuse to buy Sega products I'm sure, but then factor in the Nintendo Gamecube release later this year and well... I just don't see how they can really expect to win major market share with this platform.

    Not a fanboy, but look how that worked out last time.

  16. MS vs Sony? More likely, Sony vs Nintendo by Opportunist · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Does anyone know how the XB360 sold in Japan? According to what I hear, Japanese customers are quite loyal to their local manufacturers, so I would consider it likely that (unless that changed with the X360) Sony tries to pick up the battle with Nintendo instead. The one against MS is pretty much over by the time they could push the console on the market.

    By then, the X360 will be "old" already. It's more likely that they will try to match with the Nintendo Revolution instead of trying to fight the X360. Simply because those 2 consoles will be the ones to share the XMas market for this year.

    For the X360, you either already have it, you're going to buy it within 6 months or you don't care about it. Who's gonna get a 360 for XMas? Hardly anyone. It's "old" by then.

    On the other hand, both the PS3 and the Rev are going to hit the market roughly around XMas this year. And usually people only buy ONE console per XMas, not both.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  17. Re:Where's the GPL source code to the Linux kernel by dusik · · Score: 1, Interesting

    What does E17, a window manager, have to do with being able to run Duke Nukem Forever? Maybe you mean Wine will have been able to run Duke Nukem Forever if it will have been released?

    Also, it's unlikely that E17 will be officially stable by then. I keep up with the mailing lists and I know there's way to much work left (even though no new features will be added).

  18. Re:It *IS* released Nov 2006 worldwhile by default+luser · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Agreed. People who don't believe this need a touch of history.

    Back in the 1980s, most TVs were much smaller than what they sell today, and much lower quality. You had a lucky few with big screens (greater than 30"), a significantly larger slice with screens in the 20-30" range, and the majority of the population with screens ranging from 12-20".

    It's absolutely amazing how times change. My computer monitors even going back to the mid-1990s dwarf my family's old 14" TV, and have much better sharpness, bandwidth and color fidelity. You can buy 27" TVs at Walmart for less than 150 bucks that have visual quality most of us could only wish for in the 80s.

    So, it's no surprise that VHS was considered good in the 1980s, when you consider that the average TV of the era was tiny and crappy. The 1990s started the wave of cheaper, larger, higher-fidelity televisions that showed the limitations of VHS, and by the end of the decade the market was hungry for DVD.

    Unfortunately, the market hasn't changed much since DVDs were introduced. Screen sizes are up a bit, but HDTV technology is still too expensive for your average Walmart buyer. Even if HDTV suddenly dropped to the price range of your average Walmart buyer, you'd still have to wait 5 years or so for a potential market to build up.

    HD-DVD and Bluray are in a very similar position to Laserdisc...not a huge improvement over the cheaper alternative, and selling to a very limited market. When only 5-10% of the market even owns equipment good enough to tell the difference, and they have to shell out $500+ to experience it, you've got limited room for growth.

    --

    Man is the animal that laughs.
    And occasionally whores for Karma.