Slashdot Mirror


The Arctic's Tropical Past

140Mandak262Jamuna writes "The BBC reports on findings that the arctic/polar region was tropical some 55 Million years ago." From the article: "Although the data tells us how the world changed from one with green house conditions to one with ice house conditions millions of years ago, it may also help scientists to predict what will result from the present changes in climate. Appy Sluijs points out that the data reveals that some of the climate models used to detail the Arctic's history got things wrong, and as they are the same models that predict our future climate they may need adjusting. " The reader pointed out that this may have had as much to do with continental drift as it did climate change.

54 comments

  1. I knew it! by Ligur · · Score: 4, Funny

    That's how that polarbear fits into Lost!

    --
    Smoke me a kipper, I'll be back for breakfast.
    1. Re:I knew it! by CRCulver · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The blast door map Locke discovered in the episode "Lockdown" explains why the polar bear was there.

  2. Global cooling... by HankYarbo · · Score: 2, Funny

    anyone?

  3. Models are just that by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 2, Insightful
    They function based on the input they have. The more input they have the better they work. Just because the current models don't work with a piece of information totally new and unexpected doesn't mean that they are broken. It means that they need to be updated.

    Besides which when it comes to global warming, humans are either helping it along, or not. If we cut pollution and other environmental damages, then we could help slow or stop global warming if its the former. If its the latter, then we still get the benefits of a cleaner environment. So why not take the steps?

    --
    If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
    1. Re:Models are just that by Distinguished+Hero · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If its the latter, then we still get the benefits of a cleaner environment. So why not take the steps?
      CO2 (and other greenhouse gases) are not particularly toxic. If we're only concerned about pollution, we should probably focus on things which are a bit more toxic e.g. mercury in the water which enters the human body through tuna, etc. And remember, there is no such thing as a free lunch. If you do impose heavy restrictions on companies in the "developed world," they'll simply move whatever tiny amount of manufacturing is still left to China or any other country which is business friendly and does not limit CO2 production of companies.

      --
      Uttering logically derived and empirically supported truths to the disciples of the orthodox establishment.
    2. Re:Models are just that by qbzzt · · Score: 1

      If we cut pollution and other environmental damages, then we could help slow or stop global warming if its the former. If its the latter, then we still get the benefits of a cleaner environment. So why not take the steps?

      If it's the latter, then our pollutants might be what is stopping another little ice age. An ice age that will seriously hurt food production.

      Also, nothing is without cost. If we cut on CO2, we'll have to do something else to compensate. We could, for example, move closer and live in high rise apartment buildings instead of suburbs. Overall, pollution will drop - but since you'll have more humans close to you, the pollution you suffer from would increase.

      --
      -- Support a free market in the field of government
    3. Re:Models are just that by hawkfish · · Score: 1
      CO2 (and other greenhouse gases) are not particularly toxic
      That depends on how you define "toxic". Sure, folks in the US who have a temperate climate reasonably far above sea level with a food surplus may be more concerned about some heavy metal toxins in their high-protein diet, but if you are a subsistence farmer in Bangladesh whose very life is sensitive to the monsoon schedule and how far above sea level you are, you might have a different set of priorities.

      If you do impose heavy restrictions on companies in the "developed world," they'll simply move whatever tiny amount of manufacturing is still left to China or any other country which is business friendly and does not limit CO2 production of companies.
      China's national academy of sciences just issued a report showing that their recent rash of dust storms is being driven by the receding of the glaciers on the Tibetan plateau. If the glaciers dry up completely, there goes the water supply for Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Indochina and China itself. While I have no illusions about their leaders' humanity, I suspect that survival of SOME of their population will figure into their calculations in the near future.
      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
  4. No! by bahwi · · Score: 3, Funny

    Climate changes aren't caused by humans! So it's irrelevant to study them, whether they are happening or not! There's no proof humans are causing them! ARGH!!!!

    Sorry, had to condense anti-global warming people's stuff down to a few lines. =P

    1. Re:No! by Distinguished+Hero · · Score: 1

      From TFA: Fifty-five million years ago the North Pole was an ice-free zone with tropical temperatures, according to research.

      Are you (though your trollish post) trying to insinuate that humans are responsible for converting the North Pole into an ice filled zone without tropical temperatures?

      --
      Uttering logically derived and empirically supported truths to the disciples of the orthodox establishment.
    2. Re:No! by Gat0r30y · · Score: 1

      When your entire argument is a glorified "uhn uh, no way man" it's hard to make it any longer than two lines.

      --
      Prediction: The real iPhone killer is going to be sex robots from Japan. Think about it.
    3. Re:No! by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      Are trying to set up a straw man and ignore that the global warming debate is inreference to the past couple millenia, no more? And that humans didn't even exist 55 mil years ago?

      I understand what you're implying -- if the climate could change without us then, surely it can change now without human input. But the fact of the matter is that we're contributing to some extent, which may or may not have dire consequences.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    4. Re:No! by MrFlibbs · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The sad thing about all this is that both sides are pointing to the same data and claiming it proves their point:

      a) "This proves that global warming is a natural phenomenon! We're free to burn all the fossil fuels we want! We need change nothing!"

      b) "It's worse than we thought! This proves that runaway greenhouse gases will thoroughly devastate the planet! We have to take drastic steps at once!"

      TFA actually concludes by mentioning both points:

      "Today's warming of the Arctic can, in all likelihood, be attributed to mankind's impact on the planet, but as our data suggest, natural processes operating in the past have also resulted in a significant warming and cooling of the Arctic."

      It sure would be nice if someone could figure out exactly what causes the natural temperature swings. Maybe then we'd know how best to stop or reverse the human factor.

    5. Re:No! by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      Well, the best way to stop the human factor is to eliminate the humans. The second best would be to eliminate human-produced greenhouse gases, and allow 'natural' greenhouse gas production to return to it's normal state. Oh, and maybe sequester a bunch of the carbon we've mined/welled.

      The trick is to figure out how to do these things without destroying (or even temporarily devastating) human civilization.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    6. Re:No! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let us know when you get a visit from PigBearMan.

    7. Re:No! by JC1X · · Score: 1

      a) "This proves that global warming is a natural phenomenon! We're free to burn all the fossil fuels we want! We need change nothing!"


      Asteroids plunging into the earth destroying all life as we know is a natural phenomenon! We're free to do anything we want! We need change nothing!



      ... for the less tuned in ...
      A natural phenomenon is not an excuse to do nothing when it impacts human life.

    8. Re:No! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't you mean ManBearPig? I hear Al Gore is looking for him.

  5. Not continental drift by uncleO · · Score: 2, Informative
    Continental drift occurs much too slowly to have the effects indicated by the core samples in this study. Over the last 55 million years, the arctic has been about where it is now.

    Also, it is ridiculous to suppose that the region moved towards and away from the pole to match the wild temperature fluctuations revealed in the data.

    Some of the other speculation I have read on this story is also suspect to me. Namely, trees ringing the Arctic Ocean. I find it difficult to believe that trees would flourish with long periods of darkness annually. But I could be wrong here; there are some plants native to the region today--but they are dormant for most of the year.

    1. Re:Not continental drift by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Informative

      "I find it difficult to believe that trees would flourish with long periods of darkness annually."

      Why is that? Deciduous trees in temperate areas now thrive without photosynthesis for many months each year. I'd even speculate that extremely northern (or southern) origin of deciduous trees helps explain their seasonal metabolic extremes -- whereas coniferous trees probably evolved an a latitude with less seasonal variation (and less moisture).

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    2. Re:Not continental drift by spun · · Score: 4, Informative

      From the wikipedia article on continental drift: "South America and Africa are moving apart at an average of 5.7 cm per year, due to the seafloor spreading along the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. This is comparable to the growth speed of a fingernail. The fastest recorded seafloor spreading takes place along the East Pacific Rise at 17.2 cm per year"

      Using the lower number gives us a distance of 2850 kilometers in 50 million years. Not quite far enough for major climate change just based on distance. However, this amount of drift could severely alter the Atlantic Conveyor, a heat pump that moves tremendous amounts of heat from the equator to the poles. It is also enough distance to affect the amount of light available to trees.

      It should also be noted that using the higher figure would result in a movement of 8600 kilometers, nearly the distance from the equator to the poles.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    3. Re:Not continental drift by Pfhreak · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Continental drift occurs much too slowly to have the effects indicated by the core samples in this study. Over the last 55 million years, the arctic has been about where it is now.

      Probably very true, but: until about 55—40 million years ago Australia and Antarctica were joined together as the last piece of the supercontinent Gondwana (itself a piece of the former Pangea, which slowly broke up over the course of the Mesozoic). When Australia rifted off, the first Antarctic ice sheet started forming. Australia-Antarctica together had formed a longish, north-south oriented continent that deflected east-west ocean currents, forcing warm and cold water from the various latitudes to mix. (This is similar to how North America today deflects the Gulf Stream—a warm current—north, until it ends up wrapping around a little and points at Europe from the north-west, which contributes a lot of the moisture that the British Isles are so famous for.) As the two were separated, the currents were no longer deflected, and a cold current was allowed to form around Antarctica.

      Of course, that means that Australia's moved as far as it has in 40—55 million years, but I vaguelly remember reading somewhere that that particular plate is a world-record holder as far as speed of drift goes.

      --
      The U.S. Constitution needs to be ammended with a "separation of business and state" clause.
    4. Re:Not continental drift by tdemark · · Score: 3, Informative

      Using the lower number gives us a distance of 2850 kilometers in 50 million years.

      You mean the lower number that is the relative speed between two plates that are moving away from each other?

      Read what you posted again:

      South America and Africa are moving apart at an average of 5.7 cm per year

      The implication is that South America is moving 2.85 cm west each year and Africa is moving 2.85 cm east each year.

      Since you are dealing with the absolute speed of a single plate (not its relative speed to another), you could "get away" with 2.85 cm per year.

      However, since we are talking about either North American plate or the Eurasian plate, you should use 1.15 cm/year or 0.95 cm/year. This would be a worst case of around 600 km.

      - Tony

    5. Re:Not continental drift by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Of course, that's their motion NOW- they could have sped up or slowed down in the last 50 million years or so....

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    6. Re:Not continental drift by uncleO · · Score: 1
      Because sunlight affects other processes in the biosphere. It seems to me that months of darkness at 60 degrees F might promote mold and the like that would kill trees and other plants.

      The evidence you cite is for deciduous trees in sunlight and cold temperatures--a very different scenario.

      Then there are other factors to consider. Even in the Summer when there is light all day long, the light is generally sideways, not from above. The trees on the edge a forest would shade those on the inside all day long.

      And trees require darkness every day. They actually grow in the night using the sugars produced during the day.

      It just seems lazy to assume that Florida temperatures in the Arctic would simply mean Florida conditions and vegetation would exist in the Arctic, which is the speculation I have seen. There doesn't seem to be fossil evidence to corroborate it.

    7. Re:Not continental drift by chill · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that the pole is NORTH and Africa/S America are moving away from each other EAST/WEST. Your estimates, either high or low, assume almost straight north/south movement.

      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
  6. Re:No! or don't watch An Inconvenient Truth by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Climate changes aren't caused by humans! So it's irrelevant to study them, whether they are happening or not! There's no proof humans are causing them! ARGH!!!!

    Sorry, had to condense anti-global warming people's stuff down to a few lines. =P

    I'll go tell that to all the glaciers that melted in the last 20 years here in WA, OR, ID, MT, and BC.

    Oh, wait, they're gone - only 40 percent of these glaciers that have existed since wooly mammoths roamed here are left now.

    Now, if we were looking at such changes over many centuries, one would expect adaptations, but even the salmonids are dying off, as they can't migrate north to colder streams in time.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  7. Atlantis found? by mdecarle · · Score: 1

    So, that guy claiming Atlantis is in the North Sea may be right after all?

    1. Re:Atlantis found? by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      No this is all prehistorical times. So No humans and No atlantis in the warm ocean period. Nice though though.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    2. Re:Atlantis found? by mdecarle · · Score: 1

      So Atlantis had to have been build by aliens ? Even cooler!

      That gets me wondering how the Greek knew about it though.

  8. Calling Mr. Methane... by iminplaya · · Score: 1

    "Basically, it looks like the Earth released a gigantic fart of green house gases into the atmosphere..." But seriously, the Earth is "farting" all the time. And the oceans used to be able to filter it and make it smell more...um...pleasant.

    --
    What?
    1. Re:Calling Mr. Methane... by grammar+fascist · · Score: 1

      And the oceans used to be able to filter it and make it smell more...um...pleasant.

      That doesn't work for me in the bathtub, so I don't see why it should work for the Earth.

      --
      I got my Linux laptop at System76.
    2. Re:Calling Mr. Methane... by arivanov · · Score: 1

      Is your tub cooled down to 4C and at 20+bar pressure?

      IIRC that was what took methane to become gas-hidrate.

      --
      Baker's Law: Misery no longer loves company. Nowadays it insists on it
      http://www.sigsegv.cx/
    3. Re:Calling Mr. Methane... by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      Let the water sit until you get a good layer of algea and other lifeforms growing in there. Throw in some planton and some kelp. Some corral to make it look nice, maybe a clown fish or two(don't forget to add salt), and it should work. To make it more exciting, put in some baby sharks, lobsters, electric eels, and some jelly fish.

      --
      What?
    4. Re:Calling Mr. Methane... by grammar+fascist · · Score: 1

      I'd have, like, the most amazing bathtub ever.

      Thanks. Take an LOL - that was awesome.

      --
      I got my Linux laptop at System76.
  9. Scientific Term? by rmjohnso · · Score: 3, Funny

    FTA - "'Basically, it looks like the Earth released a gigantic fart of green house gases into the atmosphere - and globally the Earth warmed by about 5C (9F).'"

    I didn't know that fart was a scientific term. I'll have to include it in my next science assignment. :-)

    --
    "Extremism in the pursuit of liberty is no vice. Moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue." --Barry Goldwater
    1. Re:Scientific Term? by identity0 · · Score: 1

      Okay, so if a (Fart * Greenhouse = Earth * 5C), how many Volkswagons Of Exhaust equals the heat generated by a Burning Library Of Congress?

      Is it anything like a 747 Full Of Encyclopedias crashing into a Football Field per Second? (and if so, is it a European or American Football Field?)

  10. trees grow in soil by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    The thing that puzzles me is this whole bit about reeds and trees. Where where they growing. Unlike Antratica, which is built on rock, the arctic is an ocean with no rocks above the water. Or so I have read. Hence the term artic ocean.

    So where were these trees growing?

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:trees grow in soil by MrFebtober · · Score: 3, Informative

      The northernmost parts of Canada, Russia, and Alaska, as well as all of Greenland are considered to represent the Arctic Region of the Earth. The Geographical pole itself is just ice, but there is plenty of Arctic Tundra up there.

  11. the motivation issue by GregStevensLA · · Score: 5, Insightful
    "If you do impose heavy restrictions on companies in the 'developed world,' they'll simply move whatever tiny amount of manufacturing is still left to China or any other country which is business friendly and does not limit CO2 production of companies."

    I have a friend who has terrible motivation. Whenever he has a problem, it totally makes him freeze up... and it really hinders him in life. I tell him: "Well, why don't you try [solution X]?" To which he always responds, "Oh, if I do that, then all that will happen is [new speculated obstacle Y]."

    Sometimes I want to grab him and yell, "Maybe. Maybe not. But you could at least try!? Why talk yourself out of trying? If you try and fail, you're certainly no worse off than if you just sit around on your ass wishing the problem would disappear!!"

    .... and this is how I feel about many of the arguments against environmentalism. People poo-poo any specific action that is proposed, saying: "Oh, if you do that, then companies will just do this" or "If you do that, then you'll just see these other problems" or (my favorite) "If you do that, it might not make a difference." But why spend all this energy talking yourself OUT of even trying to solve a problem that needs (ultimately) to be solved, anyway?

    Sure, manufacturing companies might move oversees to China. But not all of them can afford to, and for some of them, they might calculate that the cost of moving overseas exceeds the cost of complying to environmental regulation. And in the end, more companies will still be more compliant, than if you just throw your hands up in the air and say "oh noes! nothing can be done-zo!"

    1. Re:the motivation issue by crabpeople · · Score: 1

      nothing at all to do with environmentalism, (i believe global warming to be FACT) but...

      "If you try and fail, you're certainly no worse off than if you just sit around on your ass wishing the problem would disappear!!""

      This is true in theory. This is different though in practice because if you try and fail, then not only are you indecisive but a failure as well. Failing at things depresses most people, so the lesson, as homer simpson put it, is not to try.

      I dont really know if or how that applies to global warming, just thought i would mention it.

      --
      I'll just use my special getting high powers one more time...
    2. Re:the motivation issue by Omkar · · Score: 1

      Trying things has a nontrivial cost. Trying things in order to be busy is not a great idea.

    3. Re:the motivation issue by cow-orker · · Score: 1

      If you try and fail, you're certainly no worse off than if you just sit around on your ass wishing the problem would disappear!!

      Well, this is wrong. If you try, you lose whatever effort you expend trying. If you fail, that's wasted. Therefore you shouldn't try unless you are reasonably sure the expedted outcome is better than the expended effort. If you're not sure, you should gather more information. Don't forget that any poorly understood "solution" might actually make the problem worse. There comes a point where gathering more information is likely to be more expensive than just trying what is best according to current knowledge, and that's when you actually try something. Until then, the best advice is

      Don't just do something, stand there!

    4. Re:the motivation issue by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      My answer to that specific objection is "well, then why should we allow Chinese companies to sell here?". That usually stymies them....

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  12. In other news by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 1, Informative

    The BBC finally figured out this Internet thing and found it to be a wonderful resource for news. information and education.

    Duh!, I could have told you the Arctic was once a tropical region. I live in Canada and in school we discussed and saw videos of how there are petrified remains of entire large tropical trees in the artic, proof that there once was a tropical environment up there. Continental drift IS the exlpanation for it being a tropical region, along with changes of the tilt of the Earth's axis over time. This is hardly a mystery or news.

    I don't understand where the BBC is coming from, they keep posting stories about the Arctic like it is going to melt and destroy the world (to be fair, England won't fair that well in that scenario, but the world WILL live on without the Queen) and now new and mysterious evidence that the Arctic was once tropical. Someone over at the BBC must have some facination boner for the Arctic.

    I think that BBC reporters should be forced to look at Wikipedia before they start posting stories like "This just in: The Arctic was once a tropical paradise! It could happen again!".

    --
    I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
    1. Re:In other news by Mantorp · · Score: 1

      It's easy to sit in Canada and not worry about a few degrees of warming each year :)

    2. Re:In other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I live in Canada and in school we discussed and saw videos of how there are petrified remains of entire large tropical trees in the artic, proof that there once was a tropical environment up there. Continental drift IS the exlpanation for it being a tropical region, along with changes of the tilt of the Earth's axis over time."

      No, you have the details wrong. You are right that the fossil forest you are thinking of (the famous one on eastern Axel Heiberg Island) is a demonstration that the climate was warmer there, but it wasn't due to continental drift. That forest is currently at about 80 degrees north. When it formed back in the Eocene, it was at perhaps 70 degrees north paleolatitude. That still puts it at the latitude of, oh, modern Baffin Island or so, and above the Arctic Circle. That doesn't account for the difference in climate. This isn't Boreal Forest like covers most of the northern part of the country. We're talking about plants that live, in modern times, at latitudes typical of further south than *all* of Canada. The continents have not moved that far since the Eocene, and there is no evidence of axial tilt being a factor either.

      You are right that the occurrence of some tropical fossils in the Canadian arctic and other areas are indications of continental drift, but this fossil forest and other indicators from the Eocene aren't examples. They aren't old enough. Older fossils such as corals found in the Arctic from rocks of Carboniferous and Permian age used to be on the equator. The Eocene fossils are showing something else -- that the whole Earth was warmer at the time, even the poles.

      "I don't understand where the BBC is coming from, they keep posting stories about the Arctic like it is going to melt and destroy the world"

      The prediction *is* that all the entire Arctic Ocean sea ice will melt in the summer by about 2080 or so, and vast amounts of permafrost are expected to melt on land too. As you note, this isn't going to destroy the world. Past examples such as the climate of the Eocene demonstrate it won't be the end of the world. It is somewhat reassuring to know that.

      Unfortunately, human systems take far less climatic disturbance than this to cause plenty of human suffering along the way. In Canada, for example, it wouldn't be pretty if most of the farmland in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba became unfarmable desert, or if sea level rose enough that much of the Fraser Delta (on which large parts of Vancouver are built) submerged due to sea level rise. The words "economic catastrophe" and "food crisis" come to mind. And that's just in Canada. It isn't all bad -- shipping across the north polar ocean will become easy, but it wouldn't matter as much if there's no grain to ship.

      So, you're right that it won't be the end of the world, but for some reason I don't find that much of a consolation. Earth history gives us the perspective to know that life will survive extreme climate changes. That doesn't mean human life will be comfortable as the changes occur.

  13. Why is it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    ...that if anybody questions the Global Warming model, it's some kind of heresy, yet any kind of study, evidence or experimental result which could possibly be construed as contradicting at least some aspects of the Global Warming model is always instantly dismissed by GW fans as a mere...model?

    I don't know if GW is really occurring or whether humanity is contributing to it if it is happening, and I recognise the obvious fact that outfits such as Bush Inc will lie and cheat to deny at all costs that it's happening, but I also note that GW-proponents are some of the least fucking tolerant of alternative possibilities.

    1. Re:Why is it... by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1
      I don't know if GW is really occurring or whether humanity is contributing to it if it is happening, and I recognise the obvious fact that outfits such as Bush Inc will lie and cheat to deny at all costs that it's happening, but I also note that GW-proponents are some of the least fucking tolerant of alternative possibilities.

      That it's occuring is not in any significant doubt, and the strong scientific consensus is that humanity is contributing to it.

      Are there alternative possibilities advocated by some? Yes. There are also those who argue for alternative possibilities to evolution by natural selection. Or to take examples where there has been actual controversy amoung learned and sane people in the past century, alternative possibilities to the inflationary Big Bang, the idea that tobacco smoke is carcinogenic, and the nebular theory of planetary fomation.

      If you want to see real scientific "intolerance", try advocating the Steady State theory or the near-collision hypothesis, or try recommending cigarette smoking to people who want to lose weight.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
  14. if arctic was tropical. then tropical was...? by bcrowell · · Score: 1
    There was an article on this in today's NY Times as well. What neither article really talked about was what this would mean for the rest of the world. Although some of the effect may have been specific to the arctic (the configuration of the continents, creating a fresh-water sea, etc.), it seems like if the arctic was that warm back then, then the rest of the planet would have had to be quite a bit hotter as well. So shouldn't their interpretation be testable if you look at the geological record in other places on Earth? What would conditions have been like at the equator? If daytime temperatures at the equator were, say, 130 F (55 C), you would think it would wreak havoc with the ecosystems there -- drive a lot of species extinct, and allow other species to flourish briefly because they were particularly well adapted to the heat.

    There's already evidence for the snowball earth hypothesis, which states that at certain times in the distant past, the earth kicked over into a qualitatively different equilibrium state, where everything was covered with ice and snow, and the high reflectivity of the ice and snow kept it extremely cold for millions of years, since so much sunlight was reflected back into outer space. I wonder if this is something similar to that (kicking into yet a third type of equilibrium, a hot one), or just a fluctuation about the planet's normal equilibrium.

  15. Continental drift? Not really... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The reader pointed out that this may have had as much to do with continental drift as it did climate change."

    No, not really. As others have mentioned, continents in the Arctic polar areas haven't changed their latitude that much in the last 55 million years or so. Much of the motion has been east-west rather than north-south.

    If you want to see the past positions, check out this plate reconstruction service. Set the time to 55My (million years ago). The other defaults are fine, but if you want a polar view, pick "Polar Orthographic" as the map projection, and change the "Boundaries" so that "South" is "0" degrees latitude. You might also want to turn on the present-day shorelines for reference ("Blue" looks better than "Red"). Set the time to 0My for comparison to the modern situation.

    The choice of reference frames (I'm not explaining them -- read the info on-line at the site) could make a slight difference, but even with that, the change in latitude since the Eocene is small, for most of the surrounding continents, perhaps 10 or 15 degrees latitude or so.

    No, the whole Earth was warmer back then.

  16. D'oh! (mod parent up, my gp down) by spun · · Score: 1

    Looks like I should have thought that through a little more. Mods will buy anything, though. "Looky! Numbers and linkies and like, facts and stuff! He must be right!"

    --
    - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  17. It's not about motivation by Illserve · · Score: 1

    The problem is that doing something significant about global warming involves very strict controls which will cripple the economies of developing nations. It's not "do this or nothing", it's "do this or do that".

    1. Re:It's not about motivation by hawkfish · · Score: 1
      The problem is that doing something significant about global warming involves very strict controls which will cripple the economies of developing nations.
      Nonsense. That was China nine years ago.
      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
  18. pole shift by nido · · Score: 1

    when I first read this story today, I thought it evidence of a pole shift. That's the theory that the north pole shifts around every so often. The last time it shifted, the new artic flash-froze a bunch of wooly mammoths that used to be in a much warmer area.

    The Chandler_Wobble is the name given to the unstable rotation on the axis.

    --
    Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
    www.teslabox.com
  19. Millions of years? Nah. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0