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NASA Finds 4-5" Crack in Shuttle Insulation

PresidentKang writes "Spaceflight Now is reporting that a large crack has been found in an external tank foam of Space Shuttle Discovery on the launch pad. According to the article: "Engineers inspecting the shuttle Discovery's external tank following Sunday's launch scrub found a crack in the tank's foam insulation near a bracket holding a 17-inch oxygen feed line in place. Some engineers believe the crack must be repaired but senior managers say a variety of options are on the table, from fly as is to making repairs.""

55 of 193 comments (clear)

  1. And what about the pilots? by DHalcyon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "...but senior managers say a variety of options are on the table, from fly as is to making repairs."

    I wonder what those managers would say if they had to fly the shuttle.

    1. Re:And what about the pilots? by `Sean · · Score: 4, Funny
      I wonder what those managers would say if they had to fly the shuttle.
      "Hello, ISS, yes, we'd like to make reservations arriving July 4th. Departure date? Uhm...we're not sure...how quickly can Russia get a lifeboat up here?"
    2. Re:And what about the pilots? by jonnythan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      From what I hear, the actual astronauts are much, much more accepting of risk than the engineers or management.

      So, I don't think you'd hear the astronauts being the most conservative on this decision just because they're in the ship.

    3. Re:And what about the pilots? by bsartist · · Score: 4, Interesting
      From what I hear, the actual astronauts are much, much more accepting of risk than the engineers or management.
      Yes - it takes a certain daredevil mentality to go sit on top a barely-controlled bomb. Most of them also have an engineering, physics, or other technical background too, and stay closely involved with every step of the planning and preparation. They're very well informed about the exact level of risk they're taking. Actually, I think I do remember something about the astronauts being able to stop the launch on their own say-so at any time - the idea being that since they're right there on the spot, they may recognize a problem and react to it far faster than Ground Control could.
      --
      Lost: Sig, white with black letters. No collar. Reward if found!
    4. Re:And what about the pilots? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They're very well informed about the exact level of risk they're taking. Actually, I think I do remember something about the astronauts being able to stop the launch on their own say-so at any time

      Yes, but who keeps them informed?

      For example, for the Challenger's last liftoff, there was a "discrepancy between management claiming a 1 in 100,000 chance of serious failure and the engineers claiming 1 in only 100" [ref]. Which one did the astronauts hear? Did they know about the trouble with the O-rings, and the solid rocket booster assembly, and so forth?

      I'm a software developer, and I'm pretty well-informed about how my computer works, but I'm not an expert at everything -- nobody is, or could be. And I've fixed my car before, and I'm pretty well-informed about how it works. But I can't say with any certainty the odds of my computer or my car barfing today. Is spacecraft construction so simple that astronauts can be experts at everything?

  2. Patch it by tygerstripes · · Score: 4, Funny
    The current intention is to patch the crack. However, senior officials insist that unless the problem grows "significantly worse" over the next few days then they see no reason to issue the patch until the second Tuesday of the month.
    --
    Meta will eat itself
  3. Crack hidden away in the insulation? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Did they get posession charges or was there enough crack that they got booked for traffiking?

  4. DNF, Vista, or Shuttle by Belgarion89 · · Score: 5, Funny

    So now the real question becomes, which will launch first, DNF, Windows Vista, or the Shuttle? I say the Shuttle, it's cracks aren't nearly as big as Vista's (an M$ product) will be.

    1. Re:DNF, Vista, or Shuttle by damburger · · Score: 4, Funny

      You are assuming they are unrelated.

      If the shuttle needs to have its heatshield repaired, Astronauts must spend longer in orbit. They require a stimulating game to stop themselves going space crazy - and NASA have decided that must be DNF.

      And, of course, DNF was designed from the outset to take advantage of the new features of Vista...

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    2. Re:DNF, Vista, or Shuttle by Kesch · · Score: 3, Funny

      Me, I'm all for Duke Nukem Vista in Space!

      --
      If this signature is witty enough, maybe somebody will like me.
  5. BBC: Shuttle Upgraded for Time Travel by damburger · · Score: 3, Funny

    Look at the 'Latest' news on the right

    Surely they should just get the thing working before they add extra features like that?

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
  6. How can they fix this by DeviceDriver · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I know the shuttle is at the end of life, but the follow on will still need insulated tanks. The early Atlas had no insulation and needed to be fueled in the final minutes of the countdown. Clearly a problem. But any means of making the insulation crack free, thus flexable, and still able to withstand the launch, thus stiff, would require significent added mass. Mayby an outer shell of carbon composite.

    1. Re:How can they fix this by CosmeticLobotamy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The early Atlas had no insulation and needed to be fueled in the final minutes of the countdown. Clearly a problem.

      I ain't quite a rocket scientist, so maybe the answer is obvious to others, but why is that a problem?

    2. Re:How can they fix this by sparky555 · · Score: 5, Informative

      The only reason why the foam is a problem is because the orbiter hangs from the side of the tank and can be hit by the foam when it falls off. In future generations of manned spacecraft, the crew vehicle will be on the top again, like in Apollo, Gemini and Mercury. In that case, it really doesn't matter what falls off.

    3. Re:How can they fix this by Zinnian · · Score: 4, Informative

      The way I understood the replacement is that the module will be sitting on top of the tank instead of piggybacking as the current shuttle is. If it does, do we really care if insulation falls off during launch? It won't hit the part that comes back into the atmosphere anyways. I remember those old Apollo films where the chunks of ice were just dropping off in huge chunks.

    4. Re:How can they fix this by wowbagger · · Score: 3, Informative

      The early Atlas had no insulation and needed to be fueled in the final minutes of the countdown. Clearly a problem.


      I ain't quite a rocket scientist, so maybe the answer is obvious to others, but why is that a problem?

      Because of the volume of fuel that would have be transferred to the shuttle - compare filling a moped (the Atlas) and a Peterbuilt tractor unit (the Shuttle). It is not hard to fill a moped in a few minutes, filling the Peterbuilt takes quite a bit longer. Meanwhile, fuel is evaporating, leaking, and filling the launch area with a flammable mix of hydrogen and oxygen, AND water is condensing on the fuel tanks, freezing, and turning into nice hard chunks suitable for breaking things, like, say, fragile heat-resistant tiles.
    5. Re:How can they fix this by Nimey · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But if NASA does the sensible thing and mounts the Shuttle's replacement on top of the stack like they did for Apollo, you don't have to worry about ice falling and hitting heat-resistant tiles, because all that's mounted above the fuel tank.

      I wouldn't be suprised if the external tank is insulated just because of how the shuttle is mounted on the assembly.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    6. Re:How can they fix this by 0123456 · · Score: 5, Informative

      "I wouldn't be suprised if the external tank is insulated just because of how the shuttle is mounted on the assembly."

      It's more complicated than that. It is needed to stop ice forming that would trash the shuttle, but it also reduces fuel boiloff, protects the tank from aerodynamic heating, and keeps the metal cold... the metal in the tank gets stronger as it cools down, and that means they've been able to cut back on the amount they use. Since the tank goes most of the way to orbit, saving a pound of mass in the tank gives you close to a pound of extra payload in the shuttle.

    7. Re:How can they fix this by Mirlas · · Score: 3, Informative

      The space shuttle runs on cryogenic fuel and oxidizer (liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen) in the main tank. If the tank were not insulated, water vapor in the air would condense forming a think layer of ice which would fall off during the vibrations of launch. If foam striking the orbiter caused a loss of vehicle on reentry, just think what ice could do. If I remember correctly liquid oxygen boils at between 70 and 80 Kelvins. Liquid Hydrogen is even colder, so cold that the nitrogen and oxygen in the air would condense on the hydrogen tank if it were not insulated.

    8. Re:How can they fix this by jwagner95 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think that's the point, but you still have to take it part of the way.

      By keeping the tank's metal stronger you don't need as much metal. The metal's density is much greater than that of the ice. Like the previous poster stated a pound saved on the tank almost directly relates to an extra pound of payload or less fuel required for said pool. That's part of the reason only the first shuttle's ET (external tank) was painted white. I don't remember the exact weight but they were using Titanium based paint that weighed into the thousands of pounds for something like eight coats.

    9. Re:How can they fix this by technos · · Score: 2

      touch a oxygen tank under preassure and its cold

      Nope.

      Liquified gasses can exist at any temperature. The higher the pressure, the higher the boiling point of the liquid.

      It works just like how water boils. In Denver, water boils at about 203 F. Increase the pressure, by moving to Boston, it now boils at 212 F.

      Letting some of the gas out a tank will, however, make it cold.

      --
      .sig: Now legally binding!
    10. Re:How can they fix this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >> Liquified gasses can exist at any temperature. The higher the pressure, the higher the boiling point of the liquid.

      Nope. There is a maximum temperature at which gases can exist as a liquid. Check out the concept of critical temperature and critical pressure, and phase diagrams. Above a temperature of -118.4C there simply is no such thing as liquid oxygen.

      http://www.scienceclarified.com/Ga-He/Gases-Liquef action-of.html

  7. Shuttle is a political project by Crashmarik · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not an engineering project or a business enterprise.
    This type of thing is to be expected in political endeavors. Their purpose is never to satisfy the stated goals but to advance constituencies political agendas. For a political project failure is not only an option but often the most desirable one.

    1. Re:Shuttle is a political project by bsartist · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Exactly so. Mercury, Gemini, and Apollo were no exceptions. They were essentially ballistic missile development programs with a very thin layer of space exploration paint applied over them. The moon landing itself was a demonstration of aeronautics and missile technology, and the political message was crystal clear: "We can specify a small target a bajillion miles away, and hit it with a missile." The implication being, of course, that hitting a city-sized target that's only a few thousand miles away would present no difficulties whatsoever.

      The shuttle was part of Reagan's gambit to goad the Soviets into bankrupting themselves trying to keep up with our military spending in the 80s. That's why high-tech and expensive was chosen over cheap and reliable. Essentially, it was a weapon for economic warfare. Problem is, the war it was designed to fight has been over for a couple of decades, so we should have went back to cheap and reliable a long time ago.

      --
      Lost: Sig, white with black letters. No collar. Reward if found!
  8. Quick Fix by Plocmstart · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Fix it later? Aren't they running out of time before the July 4th launch? Wrap it in duct tape... that seems to work well for other insulated pipes installed at public institutions (at least from my observations).

  9. Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by wowbagger · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Does anybody at NASA have a working memory? Don't they remember the results of the Challenger inquest, wherein plenty of evidence of engineers saying "DON'T LAUNCH! BAAAAD!" was ignored?

    I fear we may very well get a "fourth to remember", and NOT in a good way! It is all very well for a bottlerocket to explode in flight, NOT A MANNED SHIP!

    I fear that NASA is going to launch, come hell or high water, and damned be the consequences.

    1. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 2, Interesting

      On my way to work today I was reading Edward Tufte's The Cognitive Style of PowerPoint, in which he presents an interesting breakdown of the communication structure at NASA. Basically, it seems that many of the technical reports within NASA are now being given as PowerPoint presentations, with formal write-ups being supplanted by lists of bullet points. Needless to say, this means that very important technical information is being distilled to easily-consumable fragments that don't contain much information. The furthur up the chain you go, the more filtered it gets. Is it any wonder why there are so many problems there?

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    2. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by Jim+Hall · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've always felt that the shuttle crew (the astronauts that are about to go up in the thing) should have at least 50% say in go/no-go decisions based on findings like this. If engineers find a 5" crack, it's the crew that suffer the consequences of a bad go/no-go decision. One assumes the crew are already part of the data-gathering process. If the shuttle crew say "Low risk - okay to fix on the pad and launch", then that should carry a lot of weight in the final decision. If they instead say "Too risky - I'd rather not bet my life on this particular problem" then that should carry just as much weight.

      Of course, NASA may already have such a decision structure in place. But this is Slashdot .. I can posit without the facts very easily here. :-)

    3. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >they could not offer a coherent case for changing their stance.

      Didn't Boisjoly say that the seals weren't qualified for the temperature on launch day?

      "Qualified" is a specialized term related to the adage "Test what you fly, fly what you test". It means that a part has proven itself for a particular use and environment. It's kind of like "rated", but with radically more testing and traceability.

      By aerospace standards, as soon as the seals were outside the conditions for which they were tested, they should have been considered untested and barred from flight.

      >their decision did not occur in a vacuum.

      Thanks for the chuckle!

    4. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by EvanED · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There was a small number of engineers who tried to say "Don't launch" at the eleventh hour

      You mean the standardly organized preflight meeting?

      this represented a near complete reversal of their previous stance

      The one formed before the shuttle had been cold soaking in 28 degree weather?

      they could not offer a coherent case for changing their stance

      Besides the clear evidence that blow-by increased at lower temperatures within the range that they were familiar, that there was one shuttle flight already that had come dangerously close to having the ring burned entirely away, and the 28 degree point being well outside the area they knew about?

    5. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by TubeSteak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That might not be such a good idea.

      Other than their lack of specific technical knowledge, the astronauts are also somewhat biased. They live to go into space. They have to be hypercompetitive to get where they are.

      It's like asking an injured athlete if he wants to play. The answer is going to be something like "Yes, but the doctor won't let me."

      Take out the doctor (engineers) and what are you left with?
      "Yes"

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    6. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Informative
      they could not offer a coherent case for changing their stance

      Besides the clear evidence that blow-by increased at lower temperatures within the range that they were familiar, that there was one shuttle flight already that had come dangerously close to having the ring burned entirely away, and the 28 degree point being well outside the area they knew about?

      The problem is the engineers had supported the position that "even though the primary o-ring is burning - the secondary is holding, so were are OK to fly". (Despite the fact that the spec said "there shall be no blow by, period".) It wasn't until the eleventh hour that they changed their stance and became concerned about the secondary O-ring - without being able to (in managements eyes) justify and articulate that concern. The key insight to understanding the attitude of management is to remember the evidence as presented by the engineers prior to the Challenger's launch campaign *wasn't* as clear as it is presented ex post facto with 20-20 hindsight. (Edward Tufte and the Rogers Commission examine this failure of presentation, communication, and understanding at some length.)
       
      That's the key to understanding (not condoning!) the whole decision process - first, the engineers failed to clearly communicate the issue (contrary to urban legend version that has arisen over the last twenty plus years); and second, that management had become conditioned to thinking of the Shuttle as an operational vehicle vice an experimental one. This lead the managers to believe that since they had flown with this problem, and that since the problem was understood by the engineers (which it wasn't[1]), that it was an acceptable risk to continue to fly.
       
      [1] The cause of the failure isn't clearly articulated even today. The cause of the failure was joint rotation - there was blowby even at temperatures that were within the nominal spec, not faulty O-rings.
    7. Re:Does anybody at NASA have a MEMORY? by x2A · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Err, the astronauts get a 100% say whether they go up or not. Think about it, if you thought your life was in serious unacceptable risk getting onto the shuttle and launching, all you have to do is not get onto the shuttle! They're not gonna be chained to the cockpit while NASA go "stop being a bunch of sissies".

      If I'm wrong here please someone correct me - but I don't think anybody's ever been forced into going into space against their will.

      --
      The revolution will not be televised... but it will have a page on Wikipedia
  10. Cold? Maybe. Still needs to be said. by voice_of_all_reason · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you can't take a little bloody nose, maybe its time to go home and crawl back under your bed. It's not safe out here. The galaxy is wonderous -- with treasures to satiate desires both subtle and gross -- but it's not for the timid..."

    -Q, "Q Who?"

  11. Now what? by Billosaur · · Score: 5, Interesting

    On the one hand, shuttles flew forever shedding foam and it only became a real problem when a large enough piece tore off to actually damage the shuttle in flight significantly. Engineers accepted the risks with many reservations, because damage was never really that severe. Of course hindsight is 20-20 and this problem could have been rectified if the foam was located interior to the tank as opposed to externally. I think they were worried that if they tried that, there would be voids in the insulation that would allow heat to enter and cause problems, but that was a manufacturing issue which probably could have been resolved with a little ingenuity.

    On the other hand, a 4-5 inch crack is nothing to sneeze at and with the aerodynamic forces that batter a shuttle on its way into LEO, any number of things could cause that crack to widen and eventually spilt, teraing off a really large section of foam. It has to be repaired; I don't see how NASA management can ignore this. If they do, and the shuttle is damaged or heaven forbid, destroyed, that's the end of the space program. And probably rightly so. Like to many things, NASA was created due to Cold War concerns, namely that the Russians were going to grab the "high ground" of space and show us up in technical endeavors, weakening our position on the world stage. Like other Cold War relics, it too either needs to change or be dismantled.

    I'm a NASA booster (forgive the pun) -- my dream from childhood was to walk on the Moon. But I can say that I find it hard to trust the NASA I see now; it has become hamstrung by indecision, beaureaucracy, and lack of imaginative leadership (with apologies to Dan Goldin, Sean O'Keffe, and Mike Griffin). I wanted John Young to become NASA Administrator -- tough talking, smart, no-nonsense, and imaginative. He might have (and still could if he wanted the job) lit a fire under NASA and got them thinking straight. The problem is, NASA was not prepared for life after Apollo and it shows. The STS was a compromise (no engineer in the early 70's thought solid rocket boosters were a good idea) and a poor one at that.

    I think a) NASA needs to be saved from itself and b) the American people have to learn what a truly great resource they have in their space program. Barring either of those, it will be up to private industry to carry the torch.

    --
    GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
    1. Re:Now what? by jwagner95 · · Score: 2, Informative

      On the one hand, shuttles flew forever shedding foam and it only became a real problem when a large enough piece tore off to actually damage the shuttle in flight significantly. Engineers accepted the risks with many reservations, because damage was never really that severe. Of course hindsight is 20-20 and this problem could have been rectified if the foam was located interior to the tank as opposed to externally. I think they were worried that if they tried that, there would be voids in the insulation that would allow heat to enter and cause problems, but that was a manufacturing issue which probably could have been resolved with a little ingenuity.

      It's not as easy as it seems to insulate the shuttle from inside. Remember, the insulation is really just a tweaked version of that "Great Stuff" foam in a can you can pick up at any home improvement store. The stuff is a great insulator but it's not that resilient to a beating and I'm not sure it could stand the force of thousands of gallons per minute of fuel swirling across it. Sure they put the baffles near the opening inside the tank to cut down on the swirling effect, but it still gets pretty violent in there.Perhaps an insulated layer between two metal skins would work but then you're adding weight which is already at a premium.

      The foam was never seen as a major problem until a shuttle didn't come home. Also probably less foam came off that ET than a lot of missions prior to that. The first ETs were notorious for their foam shedding when the foam was hand brushed on. Going to an automated spraying technique solved a lot of the problem as it avoided air pockets present in uneven applications. Still, there were a few places on the ET which still had/have the foam manually applied due to the curvature of certain areas. Lockheed Martin's Michoud Operation has done a lot to refine the process, but as long as there are manually applied sections of foam, there will be air pockets which explode during sudden temperature changes experienced during liftoff which cause parts of the foam to "pop" off.

  12. Shouldn't Fuel under uncertain Weather conditions by DumbSwede · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Well they've fueled the Shuttle twice already, Tuesday will be the third. Thermal stress was indicted as a contributing factor in foam detaching. Everything probably would have been fine if they had launched the first time, I suspect their cloud distance tolerances are too tight these days compared to thermal stress from fuel cycling on the parts for later lift off.

    I'm not saying NASA should have launched the first time, but with only a 30% chance of launch due to weather, why did they even fuel the bird up? Weather should have a least an 80% chance window I would think think to decrease the likelihood of one fueled up scrub after another leading to excessive thermal stress on tank components.

    Also while many may see July 4th as a feel-good day to launch (National pride and all that) if anything goes wrong there are religious types both Christian and Muslim that will see it as a sign validating whatever their view of the world is.

  13. Oooooh foam by particle_fizax · · Score: 3, Interesting

    When I was studying at Fermilab, Osheroff [link to:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Douglas_D._Osherof f] gave a lecture about the Space Shuttle Columbia. He was selected to head up the review panel, and I'm pretty sure that I remember hearing that the foam was almost certainly the cause of the explosion.

    Seems like an unwise decision to let it run without repairing it even if it is unlikely that anything will happen, no?

  14. Meanwhile monitoring the astronauts... by TheStonepedo · · Score: 3, Funny

    Mission control: "Astronaut this is mission contol. We have a problem. Over."
    Astronaut: "Mission control this is Astronaut. What is the problem. Over."
    Mission control: "Astronaut we're looking at the live biosigns from your transmitter and have come across a concern. Did your mother drop you as a child? Over."
    Astronaut: "I don't believe so. Why? Over."
    Mission control: "Because..."
    *general snickering from mission control*
    Mission control: "Because there's a big crack in your butt! Over and out."

    --
    I'll be your candy shop of infinite deliciousity if you'll be my discotheque of endless rump-shaking.
  15. Re:Shouldn't Fuel under uncertain Weather conditio by aevan · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wellll....
    7 is heavenly perfection, and July is the 7th month.
    4 is earthly perfection, and it's the 4th day.

    ..but that isn't the connection he was going for I think. The connection would be God giving the Americans a bloody nose on the day that is their nation's pride day. The significance of it wouldn't be the religious properties of the day, but the secular one.

  16. Re:Punctuation! by mph · · Score: 4, Funny
    Punctuation is your friend, I had to read that last sentence 4-5 times before I could parse it correctly.
    Choose your friends wisely. May I introduce you to my friend, the semicolon?
  17. Not surprising by ClosedSource · · Score: 3, Insightful

    NASA commited itself to solving the foam problem but when it turned out to be difficult they decided they didn't have to solve it. So they found evidence that the problem wasn't solved. How could this be in any way surprising?

  18. Re:Shouldn't Fuel under uncertain Weather conditio by Aladrin · · Score: 4, Informative

    Because in Florida (I live here) it doesn't matter what the weather report says, there's always a 50% chance of rain. I gave up listening to the weather reports long ago.

    The only time they are right is when they say 'It's raining right now' or 'It's sunny outside.' We don't even need dark clouds for rain, lightning, or both. Sunny showers are not that uncommon.

    In short, 30% is just as good as 80% here.

    Oh, and btw, if the weather report says 'in 12 hours, a hurricane will hit your town' you can safely sit at home and eat popcorn. It's not going to hit you.

    --
    "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
  19. Why is changing one's mind automatically bad? by Moraelin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I remember some anecdote about Gandhi. Someone asked him how come his stance on something is now the exact opposite of what it was last week. Gandhi said something like, "because this week I know better."

    Now I'm no Gandhi, but I can think of a lot of situations when learning something new made me reverse my stance on something. In fact, I consider it to be what every sane human does all the time. Only zealots have one absolute truth and stick to it for ever, no matter what. A scientist (either theoretical or engineer) should have no such things by definition. If you learn some new fact, or do another calculation, or run another simulation, or whatever, and it contradicts what you previously believed, yes, as an engineer I'd _expect_ you to be ready and willing to change your mind about it. Maybe you'll run some extra tests, do more calculations or whatever first, that's ok, but you shouldn't ever have the last week's stance as something set in stone and unchangeable for any reason.

    So, well, I won't argue a your point B for lack of enough data, but point A leaves me scratching my head in disbelief. So someone decided that those engineers aren't trustworthy... because they changed their mind? Seems like a pretty weird attitude. I definitely expected that at NASA even management would be a bit more open-minded than that. They're pretty much one continuous experiment and using experimental equipment, so it's exactly the kind of thing that should be _expected_.

    We're not talking stuff like designing a bike, where you can just do it all by the book and know the same today as you knew last week. We're talking crazy experimental stuff that noone else has done before, and a lot of it is tried for the first time. Someone calculated that this valve should be perfectly safe, or that foam can't break this time, but essentially it's the first time anyone actually put that valve or that new foam on a rocket and blast it into space. There's a lot of stuff that could act differently than in the simulation, or than in whatever lab tests were done.

    So, yes, stuff like someone doing some new calculations and deciding, "teh oops, this thing is gonna blow up" are the kind of thing I'd _expect_.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Why is changing one's mind automatically bad? by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
      So, well, I won't argue a your point B for lack of enough data, but point A leaves me scratching my head in disbelief. So someone decided that those engineers aren't trustworthy... because they changed their mind? Seems like a pretty weird attitude. I definitely expected that at NASA even management would be a bit more open-minded than that. They're pretty much one continuous experiment and using experimental equipment, so it's exactly the kind of thing that should be _expected_.

      The issue is more complex than simply "changing their mind".
       
      If they had new data - you'd be correct, the managers would have been insane to have launched Challenger. But they *didn't* have new data - they had a new interpretation, which is what makes point B crucial to understanding the whole issue. They were taking the same data that lead to conclusion 'black' and now claiming it supported conclusion 'white' - but were unable to articulate and justify their change in stance.
  20. video of talk by mzs · · Score: 3, Informative

    Here are the slides and video from the talk. It was one of the good ones.

  21. Re:Shouldn't Fuel under uncertain Weather conditio by Lord+Ender · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The problem with religious fanatics (and anyone who takes Revelations seriously is a fanatic), is that they will use any evidence as a validation of their delusions. It would be pointless to worry about such people.

    Just last night there was a program broadcast on DayStar (a christian tv station) in which a preacher and his obviously strung-out-on-drugs assistant were showing clippings from newspapers, then reading passages from the bible, and crying with joy as they showed this proof that "the rapture" is near.

    And yes, I watch that station because it makes me laugh more than comedy central. Good stuff.

    --
    A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
  22. It makes sense, but it's not right by arete · · Score: 2, Informative

    GP makes sense, but is not right. Note: I'm not an authority on the Shuttle program by any means, but this is just basic science. What I'm saying below is even more true for the hydrogen, but I used the oxygen as an example. There are two basic reasons it would be quite cold.

    1. To make Liquid Oxygen at room temperature does require extremely low temperatures. But they aren't keeping it THAT cold, because it would be prohibitively difficult.

    It doesn't need to be that cold, because under pressure the temperature where it stays liquid goes up. You can keep a strong tank of O at room temperature and it will still be liquid. So they likely keep it cold to reduce the pressures they have to maintain somewhat, but it's not required.

    2. Whenever you reduce the pressure on a gas (or especially when a liquid becomes a gas) this is a very endothermic (heat absorbing) process. So a home oxygen tank IN USE is cold, but one being stored isn't. (Random metal at room temp will FEEL cold, but the tank isn't _especially_ cold)

    When you pour the liquid oxygen into a large temperature tank - even if you do it really fast and in a sealed way - any room left in the tank instantly becomes filled with much higher-pressure gaseous Oxygen. This expansion makes it very cold. And there is a lot of room in the tank when you START filling, even if by the end you filled it all.

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  23. Re:Now it's partly MS's fault? by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 2

    Thanks very much for that response. I was going to write something very similar as soon as I returned from lunch. Had the GP even looked at the article in question, he would've seen that in the first paragraph Tufte mentions that this bullet-point presentation culture was witnessed and commented on by Feynman after Challenger. Since then, however, PowerPoint has worked it's way onto just about every single corporate/office/government/whatever desk in the world. It's not particularly a problem with the software itself (and hence not MS's fault at all), but rather the way in which people use the software for purposes that it's not well suited.

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  24. Re:Shouldn't Fuel under uncertain Weather conditio by Matt+Perry · · Score: 2, Informative
    7 is heavenly perfection, and July is the 7th month.
    ...in the Gregorian calendar. In the Islamic calendar, which is lunar based, it is currently only the sixth month.
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  25. Re:Shouldn't Fuel under uncertain Weather conditio by x2A · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Oh, and btw, if the weather report says 'in 12 hours, a hurricane will hit your town' you can safely sit at home and eat popcorn. It's not going to hit you"

    Unless they also say "the levvies will hold", in which case, you know you're in trouble

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  26. Re:Now it's partly MS's fault? by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 2, Interesting

    That issue is addressed in the essay as well (the link above is only a 3 or 4 page excerpt from the 30 page essay). Tufte makes mention of how many students are being taught to prepare a 7 or 8 slide presentation on a topic. Of those slides, there are maybe 10 words or so on each of them. Total time to sit down and silently read through the slides: under 30 seconds. Total time that the student spent preparing the presentation: 1 week.

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  27. Moot point by StarKruzr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Either way, the STS needs to go. It's 30-year-old technology, is not truly reusable, and can't do anything at all out of LEO.

    We can do far, far better. End the Shuttle program, put the orbiters into museums, and put its operating budget into R&D for a new spacecraft.

    --

    +++ATH0
  28. Status Update by iamlucky13 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Sorry to piggyback on a joke. This is the actual status, copied from NASA's shuttle page

    Status Update
    During a routine inspection overnight after the draining of the external fuel tank, a crack was discovered in the foam near a bracket that holds the liquid oxygen feedline in place. This piece of foam has been estimated to be 0.0057 pounds. It is believed that the rain experienced during yesterday's launch attempt caused water to run down the feedline and form ice near the top of the strut next to the feedline bracket. As the tank warmed and expanded, the ice that formed most likely pinched the foam on the top of the strut, causing a crack and eventual loss of the small piece of foam.

    At a Mission Management Team meeting this morning, a decision was made to continue analyzing available data before making a final decision regarding tomorrow's launch attempt. The question is whether there needs to be a hands-on inspection of the area around the foam crack before launch.

    The Mission Management Team will meet again at 6:30 p.m. EDT to hear the results of the analysis and make a decision on whether we will attempt to launch tomorrow or Wednesday. Currently, there is a 60 percent of favorable launch weather for tomorrow and a 40 percent chance of favorable weather for Wednesday.

    It sounds like "crack" isn't a very descriptive term. A small piece broke off, probably due to the weather-related causes. They're trying to decide if they need to erect a platform to do a hands-on inspection.

    On the source page there's a picture that took me a minute to figure out, so I'll explain it. The solid orange to the left is the main body of the external tank. The round orange vertical item in the center of the picture is the LOX feed line. The big metal piece is probably part of the tripod mount. Just below and to the right of the mount is one of the brackets that holds the LOX line in place, covered in foam. Looking closely, you can see a little triangle of white where the little chunk (about 4 long) of foam spalled off. I assume the T-shaped feature to the right of that is the so-called ice/frost ramp, which they're concerned may be at risk for falling off in flight. It's much clearer in the high res picture linked on that page.

    At first glance, it doesn't look like a concern at all, but obviously NASA wants to make sure of that. If anybody has serious reservations, they'll setup a platform to get somebody who knows what to look for up close to it and look for evidence that this may increase chances that the ice/frost ramp or other pieces of foam may fall (smaller cracks, loosening of the frost ramp, etc).

    For comparison, this piece of foam is estimated at 0.0057 pounds and may be as large as a cellphone. The piece that struck Columbia's wing weighed an estimated 1.67 pounds and was described as "briefcase-sized"

    (Also, the joke is 2nd Tuesday of next week. Your rendition makes about as much sense as a screen door on a battleship) :p
  29. Re:And what about the pilots? Russian vehicle by iamlucky13 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Soyuz has an ablative heat shield. It's probably made of some sort of ceramic, formed into 8 layers called "blankets" (I think they're only flexible enough to allow for expansion and contraction of the spacecraft, not like a quilt). The capsule is single use, so the heat shield only needs to survive one re-entry, and the exposed surface area is small, reducing overall weight. The ablation (burning away of small particles) carries heat away from the capsule. A similar system has been used on pretty much every entry system except for the shuttles, even the Mars rovers. The Russians did use a system nearly identical to the space shuttles for their Buran shuttle, which was abandoned after one flight due to budget problems.

    The weight and maintenance of an ablative heat shield were prohibitive in a very large reusable system like the shuttle. Instead, the leading wing edges and nose of the shuttle are protected by reinforced carbon-carbon tiles, the underside by ceramic tiles that are in some ways similar to aerogel, and other sensitive areas by a heat resistant cloth. The carbon-carbon is the most effective and actually pretty strong, but about 6 times more dense than the other options. Read more.

    In short, no the Russians haven't had fatal problems with their thermal protection, but it's not feasible for a vehicle like the shuttle.