More on Leopard, AOL, Reuters and the Universe
About yesterday's story about a recalculation of the Hubble constant that indicates the Universe is much older than the current conventional wisdom that it's about 14 billion years old, reader Toby Haynes (tjwhaynes) writes
I love it when I see reports like this. Stating that the age of the universe is 15.8 billion years old gives the impression that this is accurate to around 1 percent or better. The error bars on this sort of figure are probably closer to +/- 2 billion years or more, implying that the 99% percentile answer is something in the range 12-20 billion years. Most of the "measurements" over the last 20 years fit into that range. There is a tendency for the more recent publications to fall into the 14-16 billion year mark and that may simply be a reflection that that is the "accepted" answer.
I actually used to work on a team measuring the Hubble Constant using Radio Telescope data ten years ago — actually the same group who came up with 42 km s-1 Mpc-1 value which caused all the Douglas Adams H2G2 references (that was shortly before I joined). There was a lot of controversy over the value of the Constant back then and it is still a hot topic. Back then, the Hubble Constant was thought to have values anywhere from 30 km s-1 Mpc-1 up to 120 km s-1 Mpc-1 . The smaller the value of the Hubble Constant, the older the Universe is. Having a smaller value was desirable because it meant that the Universe was old enough to account for the oldest objects observed (about 16 billion years old). Think about that.
One of the points that struck me then was that the value of the Hubble Constant measured tended to be higher when measured using "more local" techniques and tended to be lower as techniques using more distant measurements were used. The Radio Telescope information gave us measurements based on object around or beyond a redshift of 1 (or, to put it another way, these clusters of galaxies observed were about half the age of the universe when the light left them).
Anyway, we'll be seeing more measurements of the Hubble Constant for many more years. Just remember the error bars!
Reader habig disagrees, writing
To that, Haynes repliesNo, the startling thing about recent cosmological work is that we do know this number to ~percent. The flagship for this new "precision cosmology" are the WMAP [nasa.gov] results [nasa.gov]. The number is weighing in at 13.7+/-0.2 billion years. Take a look at the tables of cosmological parameters in this paper and the carefully calculated error bars.
This particular press release's sweeping claims do overreach, as nicely summarized by Michael Richmond in a post above. M33 isn't at a cosmological distance, the observations being done by this project help to understand the lower rungs of the distance ladder, from which you can figure out distances to far-off galaxies and try to calculate numbers to independently compare to the microwave background fits. These results are one of many such distance calibrations, and have to be factored in statistically with the others. On the whole, several other means of figuring out cosmological parameters (such as the Age of the Universe) agree with the WMAP results within errors. You only get TFA's 15% increase if that is the only measurement you use to calibrate distances, throwing out all the rest.
Chewing through that paper (interesting one by the way) shows that those error bars are based on analysis of the data after processing. Therefore, those error bars on the age of the universe are assuming that the removal of foreground sources and fluctuations due to the Sunyaev Zel'dovich effect have been done absolutely correctly. No attempt (that I can see) has been made to model the errors arising from that procedure. That alone suggests that there are systematic effects which are not accounted for in those results.
I'm extremely skeptical of a lot of error bars on a lot of data. Confusion is a huge topic in radio astronomy (and I don't mean the chaotic, running-around, headless-chicken type of confusion) and I see paper after paper that really doesn't understand it, deal with it or present any full explanation of how errors in confusion analysis would propagate into the answers.
Of the several announcements from Apple's World Wide Developers Conference yesterday, the most controversial seemed to be the introduction of "Spaces," an implementation of virtual desktops for Mac OS X's next version, Leopard.
Reader bandrzej welcomed the introduction of virtual desktops, but pointed a finger at Apple for taking so long to introduce them:About time with the virtual windows! Took them long enough...all other major *nix based window managers have them. Makes their "photocopying" comment at WWDC seem double edged, eh?
mblase has a mitigation defense for Apple's tardiness, writing
In all fairness, Leopard's Spaces implementation looks like a quantum improvement on other virtual desktop managers I've used. (Granted, it's been awhile since I tried any since I was never very satisfied.) None of the other VDMs I recall were quite "Mac-like" enough — by that, I don't mean flashy and animated, but easy to use and understand.
They borrowed some design ideas from Expose, it looks like; you can view all four of your desktops at once; you can drag-and-drop windows from one to the other; and they all use the same Dock instead of using different Docks for each desktop, which is the one thing I always wanted.
Reader CatOne mostly agrees and adds some details:
I've played with Spaces briefly; it's nice.
You can configure as many virtual desktops if you want — the default is 4 (2x2) but you can add rows or columns as you see fit. I went to 16 (4x4) and that was fine... I don't know whether 36 or heck 81 would be manageable. I'm sure it would be RAM heavy ;-)
The ability to bind applications to individual "spaces" is nice, as is the ability to dynamically drag windows between them. Clicking on an application icon automatically moves you to the appropriate space; this should mean much less (where is that damn window, it's buried!) that I still experience, even on my 30" Cinema Display. I thought this would be enough space for that to not happen anymore; all I have now is *huge* browser and mail windows.
Is it a quantum leap in virtual desktop managers? No. But switching between them is quick, efficient, and easy (you can use control-space # to go to it, or control-arrow key)... so it really just gives you a desktop space many times your actual space... that's what it feels like. None of the cube effects a la You! desktops, which is slow and mostly eye-candy-esque.
On the disclosure by America Online that the company had inadvertently released more than a half million customer search records stripped of names but not otherwise sanitized (and thereby possibly exposing individuals to snooping), reader ivan256 wants to know
To that question, reader schwaang writesWhy were you ever under the delusion that aggregate data about your searches would be kept private? You don't even have an implied right to privacy when you send un-encrypted data across the internet. Not only are people stupid if they're upset about this, they're stupid if they're surprised.
Calling this is a consumer rights issue is a joke. There are no rights involved here other than ones that people made up after the fact because they were irrationally upset.
Maybe because AOL's privacy policy says so? First because it defines Member Information to include:
"information about the searches you perform through the AOL Service and how you use the results of those searches;"
And then it says:
"AOL will only share your AOL Member information with third parties to provide products and services you have requested, or when we have your consent"
"Keep reading," says ivan256:
Get down to the part about AOL Search, which has additional privacy terms. It is implied that they have your consent unless you opt out of the data collection.
While some commenters scoffed at privacy concerns in aggregated, semi-anonymized data, reader geekotourist says it's time to revisit "personally identifying information."
When AOL apologized today, the spokesperson said'"Although there was no personally-identifiable data linked to these accounts, we're absolutely not defending this."
Back in January, related to the story on how the DoJ demands and gets ISP data, AOL had said that "We did not comply with the request made in the subpoena," spokesman Andrew Weinstein said. "Instead, we gave the Department of Justice a list of aggregate anonymous search terms that did not include results or any personally identifiable information."
AOL- you need to rethink that phrase personally identifiable, because it doesn't seem to mean what you think it means. You're hiding behind one technical definition of PII, without concern about whether or not the results actually have PII. If you're releasing results with personally identifying information, then you cannot say you're not releasing PII. I'd written in January "I question this assumption by Yahoo, AOL, etc. that search terms, by themselves, have no privacy considerations because they've been separated from personal info. What if the search itself contains personal information? Are the search companies deleting the timestamps and randomizing the order of the search terms themselves? Because otherwise I could see personal info showing up." Obviously, half a year later, they still think that replacing a name with a number takes away the PII. They need to have a talk with, say, the Census Department, about why the department will withhold data about groups of businesses in a region. Grouped data can easily become PII data if you can tease out characteristics. AOL didn't even group the data!
As always, relevant quotes from the best.essay.evar on why privacy is a fundamental human right: "If information that is actually about someone else is wrongly applied to us, if wrong facts make it appear that we've done things we haven't, if perfectly innocent behavior is misinterpreted as suspicious because authorities don't know our reasons or our circumstances, we will be at risk of finding ourselves in trouble in a society where everyone is regarded as a suspect. By the time we clear our names and establish our innocence, we may have suffered irreparable financial or social harm..."
Yesterday's post about news agency Reuters' admission that it ran a digitally manipulated photo depicting the effects of Israeli bombing in Lebanon drew more than 500 comments. Joining many others in pointing out the obvious manipulation of the photograph, reader plover wants to know "Is Reuters complicit?"
The photo was so obviously manipulated as to be laughable. Anyone who's ever used the Clone Brush tool would immediately recognize it as having been manipulated, and anyone who's completely unfamiliar with digital photography would still question the regularity of the blobs of smoke.
Sure, this photographer is at fault, and you can make assumptions about his political motives for Photoshopping this image. But what's worse is how did Reuters let such a piece of crap into the system? The guys on SomethingAwful [somethingawful.com] or Worth 1000 [worth1000.com] all do a much better job, and that's just for the glory of the contest. They're not trying to pass their stuff off as "news." Even the guys at Fark [fark.com] aren't this bad (not even Heamer :-) No, this Photoshop was of "The Daily Show" quality — comically bad.
The only conclusion I can come up with is that Reuters isn't actually looking at the images that come in the door. Even if someone at Reuters had the same political agenda as the photographer, he should have had the good sense to deny that picture because the Photoshopping was so obvious. Actually, neither conclusion is good news for Reuters at all.
Piling on one last insult, Megane writes
It was done so badly that I could tell it was clone tooled by looking at the thumbnail of the picture.
Many thanks to the readers (especially those quoted above) whose comments informed each of these discussions.
I'm sure the number 6000 ties into the scientific age of the universe somehow. Using numerology, this provides a link between science and religion, proving their compatibility.
destroy http://www.twofo.co.uk/
Comments that are stupid. Things that don't really matter.
The real problem about the Astronomy is that they only know slightly more than the Astrologers. The plasma scientists here on earth know more about how the stars really work than the Astronomers.
http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/00archive.htm
The plasma scientists can create the common Spiral Galaxy in simulations with ease. They don't have to create any dark matter or dark energy to do it, or even black holes.
Until the Astronomers catch up to what the Plasma scientists know about magnetism and electric currents, everything we're told about is wrong. Red shift very little to do with distance.
IMarv
Trusting software vendors is no smarter than trus
Doesn't it? AaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaRrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrGgggggggggggggggg gggg!!!!! Hey, that looks like a piece of cake.
(p.s. stupid caps checker... Bah!)
Cliff Claven
K.E.G. Party Chairman
Founding Leader of: Koncerned for Egalitarin Governance
"More on Leopard, AOL, Reuters and the Universe"
Oh, come off it, who really cares about the universe?
After all the years of owning Macs, 10.5 is the first OS release that not only am I not excited about, but I pretty much don't care about at all.
I get the strange feeling that I won't be a Mac user for much longer. Despite the delays, Vista looks to be pretty solid and cool, and Linux appears to be advancing rapidly.
If either Microsoft or Linux distros could just manage to hire a few graphics designers of the same competence as Apple for their desktops/systems I would be done with Apple for good.
Just look at the insane numbers of posts some of the Linux desktop discussion boards get with people trying to setup their desktops to use OS X types of UIs. Yes, the Apple people are talented, but the vast majority of what makes OS X look and feel so good is easily replicated rules for shading and spacing and highlighting.
Now that AOL has released the search data, numerous sites to search through the data have appeared.
http://www.aolsearchdatabase.com/
http://aoldb.unwieldy.net/
http://aol.6brand.com/
http://www.aolstalker.com/
http://www.dontdelete.com/
Is this good, bad, or otherwise?
This is a fucking diaster for AOL. There will be lawsuits, and I'll bet you someone will die because of this (due to stalking, spouse finding out secrets, etc.). Use your imagination. This data is chock full of so much personal information, it's scary. I'm terrified that everything I've ever searched for in google is similarly logged in a data center somewhere and could be just as easily revealed but for whatever security they have in place, along with a dubious "don't be evil" guarantee.
If you're an AOL user you need to zcat this through grep ASAP for one of your unique searches, ASAP, to make sure you're not in the dataset. They can't ever "unrelease" this data.
This could take down AOL quicker than you can say "retention specialist". This is like Merck's VIOXX problem. THIS IS REALLY REALLY BAD. Got TWX? SELL SELL SELL. Holy fucking shit.
it's a blue bright blue Saturday hey hey
Here is a screenshot of Leopard that a friend gave me, yes, it dosent show much besides the icons, but here it is: http://paulmer2003.com/Leoparddesktop.jpg
Two of them were really big at one point of time..enough to dwarf everything around them...then they imploded and became quite insignificant..now they are again showing signs of expanding back...
Come to think of it..even the Universe does the same..just over billions of years..
Notice what the desktop is missing.
Join Tor today!
number 339461, he's on the second collection. That guy is freaken obsessed with tranny and transgender porn.
I currently use 'Virtue Desktop' on my Mac OS X system. It is ALMOST as good as Spaces, minus the Exposé-like effect of showing all of your desktops at once. The closest it has is an overlay that shows the relation of your desktops, and what programs are running in each (with a 'shadow box' showing the size of any open apps.) But you can't drag-and-drop rearrange apps between desktops, nor can you as easily switch desktops. As it is, you use Control-Shift-Arrow to switch desktops (they are in a grid that you can rearrange,) and Shift-Tab to show the 'desktop manager'. It both preserves your dock, and swaps desktops when you switch apps to go to the 'proper' desktop for that app. (Unfortunately, it means it automatically swaps desktops when an app steals focus.)
The fun thing is if you have a tit or light-sensor PowerMac or MacBook Pro, you can download a hack that lets you use either of those sensors to trigger desktop switching. So, for example, I have two desktops, one for my Mac OS apps, one for running Parallels in full screen. By simply waving my hand over the light sensor, I switch from Mac OS to Windows. (The app is called either 'SmackBook' or 'ShadowBook', depending if you want the tilt or light sensor version.)
Another non-functioning site was "uncertainty.microsoft.com."
The purpose of that site was not known.
After all the years of owning Macs, 10.5 is the first OS release that not only am I not excited about, but I pretty much don't care about at all.
Actually I am as excited abouit this release as anything. First of all, we don't even know about major new features they are not talking about yet.
But just out of what has been released, while there is nothing earth shattering what there si are a lot of really impressive upgrades across the board. Being able to just define a cropping of a webpage as a gadget? Boolean searches through the Spotlight API? ToDo functionality that might actually be useful? Document versioning finally rising to ascendancy? Being able to do slideshows or help someone with a computer remotley while I can see thier face to read body language? All very, very exciting... and that's on top of DTrace being included in OS X and XCode getting some great features!
As a user and a developer Leopard is a release with a lot of very cool things that ride atop the stable base that Tiger delivered. I honestly cannot see how someone could not be excited about this - unless of course they were an AC who in fact did not even own a Mac.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
But we have borrowed Expose in return.
Maybe once they have taken focus-follows-mouse (sorry, pet axe to grind - but it triples in value with translucent desktop objects) they can also copy the rest of the cutting edge eye candy in Compiz, like the insane yet cool cube thing and the rather more useful copacity.
Think of the Children; Sleep with your Sister
Plainl7 state5 that Paranoid conspiracy lubrication. You
The parent post is a quote from the Hitchhiker's Guide second series. The mod who rated it "Troll" should be ashamed.
I must agree with the first comment that the whole thing is anything but revolutionary as even the common Dock (a.k.a. taskbar) has been around for many years in KDE and I also believe in Gnome. Heck, even XP has had, in addition to third-party solutions, a native applet that does exactly that for quite some time (although obviously with a lot less eye-candy). Personally, I prefer Xgl's implementation (http://www.novell.com/linux/xglrelease/)which has a single desktop wrapped around 4 faces of a cube (this can be configured to use more than 4, of course). Not only do you not have to disengage from the desktop view to move windows around (you can use small viewport which is in the bottom right corner by default and in which all windows are visually represented), but the windows can coexist on two spaces at once (see screenshots on the link provided). This in and of itself feels a lot more organic to me than the constant switching back and forth between two views.
Firstly, a huge Leopard preview site is up at Apple's "sneak preview" site
But I don't know why everyone's so focused on Spaces. Yes, it's a great implementation of an old concept, but it's hardly the most significant feature announced in 10.5. That would have to go to the insanely innovative Time Machine.
Most Slashdot posters completely missed the point with Time Machine. Watch the video on Apple's site (or the WWDC keynote) to see... but a basic use case of what's cool:
1. Open Address Book and search for a person
2. Note that the person doesn't exist, but you knew you had them around at some point
3. Click the "Time Machine" icon...
4. Now Address Book appears in the Time Machine view, with the query still live
5. Click the "Back" arrow... and Time Machine zips back in time to a point at which the query returns something
6. Click on the record then the Restore button, and everything snaps back to the current, with the record now appearing in Address Book. No file system, calendars, or even leaving the current app involved, and the data was still directly selectable from within the current app's UI in the historical version.
This is something that hasn't been done by anyone, and isn't really comparable to Windows' new restore feature. Doing live queries through time? All while staying in your currently open app's UI? And having the historical data directly manipulable in the application's UI? This is really innovative stuff, and I don't think it got enough love in the Slashdot forums yesterday.
E pluribus unum
Dork, most astronomers who go to school learn in fine detail what a plasma is and how it works. Speaking as an astronomer, if you don't understand plasma physics then you don't have any right to call yourself an astronomer. Do you think Astronomy is just a bunch of lessons on how to use a telescope?
This theory buries the needle of my crackpot-o-meter. Grandiose claims: check. Delusions of persecution by mainstream science: check. Favorable comparison of the author to major science luminaries, suggesting they were on the right track, but not nearly as bright as the author: check. "Everything we know is wrong:" check. Creation of a whole new field of science out of whole cloth (plasma scientists?): check.
The theory is that stars don't make energy through nuclear fusion, but some wacky kind of electrical process. 'Nuff said.
- None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
This is the longest slashdot article I've ever seen.
All I can say is.... wow.
The easiest way to tell if a person is a fanboy is to look at their sig. You replied to an Apple fanboy, but it could have just as easliy been a Linux or Windows fanboy.
Would this be considered a Slashbackslash or Backslashback?
Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
come on guys, what with wireless laptops, just pull up outside some 'innocent's' house and use thier unprotected wireless modem and search/download away - my mate's ntl(UK) wireless modem came completely unprotected (default setup) and was easily used from outside, so is any of this actually legally traceable and is it down to the modem owner for whatever searches/downloads are performed - these default setups must be manna from heaven for people who want to disguise their habits/practices.
I think Rueters needs to lay off the crack... heck just label the images fake and call it satire. http://www.freakingnews.com/default.asp
This /. digest is someone out of left field... I read most of the comments gratuitously repeated above *in the story they are connected with*. Maybe it's just me, but what's the benefit of this new digest (or did I just miss something)?
If it becomes commonplace, please provide a category for it so we can opt-out.
The universe is not something you just dump something on. It's not a big truck.
It's a series of bubbles.
And if you don't understand those bubbles can be red-shifted and if they are red-shifted, when you look at it, it gets in line and it's going to be delayed by anyone that puts into that bubble enormous amounts of speed, enormous amounts of speed...
I just the other day got, a universe appeared red-shifted, so what I saw yesterday was actually the universe at 10 o'clock in the morning on Friday. Why?
So... 64-bits. All the other x86 operating systems out there seemed to have a large hiccup during the x86-64 transition. Apple claims Leopard will run 32 and 64 bits side-by-side, top-to-bottom in one OS that supports everything. Maybe I missed something. Why was this so hard to do with XP and Linux? Did Apple do something exceptionally clever? Is it their lack of required legacy support? How did they pull this off? Or was this not as surprising or significant an announcement as it seemed to me?
E pluribus unum
It's not hard.. XP and Linux both run 32 and 64 bit apps side by side. The problem (and Apple will experience the same) is that plugins, drivers, etc, must be the same as their host application.
A 64 bit version of Safari will *not* have Flash support, since the plugin is a 32 bit plugin.
While I agree with you in principle, I really don't think it's Subversion in particular. Unless you have information that you feel substantiates that, I think that this is more like the old VMS file system than any type of SV/CVS/code-version-control scheme. It seems to be implemented on a much lower level, and with a greater degree of system integration than an SV-based system would provide.
Plus, using SV just doesn't seem consistent with other stuff they've done in the past; this seems like an in-house project. Apple has a tendency to only use existing codebases occasionally, and when they do, they make a big point of it. Since nothing has been mentioned, I think it's way more likely this is something proprietary they've cooked up (unless HP licensed them the old OpenVMS stuff).
"Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
It's a holdover from NextStep/OpenStep.
I honestly cannot see how someone could not be excited about this - unless of course they were an AC who in fact did not even own a Mac.
I own a Mac, and I am not interested, and I can't see how you ARE interested. I'm still running Panther because it does what I want it to do without extra bloat. My buddy has Tiger or whatever they named the newest OS, and I don't see any difference besides the Konfabulator thing which is almost completely useless and a waste of cycles. And I run Windows XP at work, and frankly, prefer that over OS X in many cases. I'd run Linux except my Apple wireless card (of course) is the least Linux friendly hardware known to man.
MOST people spend 90% of their leisure computer time doing email or surfing the web. The rest of this stuff is just unnecessary gimmicky crap that keeps keeners upgrading every year.
"...a lot of really impressive upgrades across the board. Being able to just define a cropping of a webpage as a gadget? Boolean searches through the Spotlight API? ToDo functionality that might actually be useful? Document versioning finally rising to ascendancy? Being able to do slideshows or help someone with a computer remotley while I can see thier face to read body language? All very, very exciting... and that's on top of DTrace being included in OS X and XCode getting some great features!..."
Do you hear yourself? Who uses this stuff? Are you the last true Slashdot nerd? Jeezus. There's a lot of Apple astroturfing going on here, but you're not one of them. Your stuff is way too weak.
Then why are there two separate versions of XP, one for 64-bit and one for 32-bit? Why couldn't Microsoft do what Leopard has apparently done in that respect?
E pluribus unum
Because not all PCs are 64 bit. Apple can put out a 64bit-only version of OSX because they manufacture the machines it comes with.
Apple does the whole fat binary thing - a single piece of software with both 32- and 64-bit code inside. A 32-bit machine will only see the 32-bit code. A 64-bit machine will see the 64-bit code.
... interestingly, Apple's fat binaries can be used as containers for any number of code variations. We could see a single fat binary that encloses 32-bit PPC code, 64-bit PPC code, 32-bit x86 code and 64-bit x86 code. There's no limit on this, and you end up with a single installable package for all versions.
It's not light on space, but since you're only doubling up on executable code (which is a small part of many applications) and drive space is cheap, it's a good solution.
Microsoft doesn't do this, although I'm not sure why not. Maybe they just want a 'cleaner' system, all 32-bit or all 64-bit and never the twain shall meet.
No, that's untrue. It's possible because they combine 32-bit and 64-bit versions into the executables. Identical copies of Leopard will be able to run on 32-bit and 64-bit processors.