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Sony Promises 1M PS3s This Year

Joystiq reports that Sony is still promising 1 Million PS3 units in North America for this year. This, despite much lower estimates as released yesterday. From the article: "basically, these numbers don't mean anything. Despite what appears to be gross incompetence to much of the gaming press and the hardcore industry watchers (that's you guys), the mainstream gamer is blissfully unaware of reductions in shipping estimates. To him, it will appear that the PS3 is the hottest thing this holiday -- just like the Xbox 360 appeared to be last year and the PlayStation 2 back in '00 -- and may have no problem waiting for the demand and/or price to go down. People are still buying PS2s today, remember? Just a reality check before the hype consumes us all." For more on this, 1up has analyst reaction to the release news, and comments from GTA creator Dave Jones on his reaction to the news.

123 comments

  1. They only need 999,999 by TomatoMan · · Score: 4, Funny

    I won't be buying one.

    Thanks for thinking of me though!

    --
    -- http://frobnosticate.com
  2. I'm praying for a shortage by Travoltus · · Score: 1

    I'm so evil.

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
  3. What is Sony thinking? by BlahMatt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And where are they getting these numbers? It's like they're saying look over here at these magically appearing numbers while over in the corner they sit and hope like hell that we're all entranced by them and we won't remember when no PS3's ship this year. You'd think after all the screw ups in the past they might just try telling the truth for once.

    So, I wish them luck in reaching their goal, but also, I am calling BS on them.

    You heard me Sony... BS. http://games.slashdot.org/search.pl?query=sony+lie s

    --
    To understand recursion, one must first understand recursion...
    1. Re:What is Sony thinking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny
      And where are they getting these numbers?
      Now that's just BEGGING for a goatse link!
    2. Re:What is Sony thinking? by generic-man · · Score: 1, Funny

      Yes. The weight of Slashdot comments will crush Sony just like they crushed Microsoft. If you need me I'll be playing Tux Racer on my Indrema.

      --
      For more information, click here.
    3. Re:What is Sony thinking? by timster · · Score: 3, Funny

      You're defending a vaporware console that "runs linux" by bringing up the Indrema? Perhaps this is irony, but I'm not a Qualified Ironist (IANAQI).

      --
      I have seen the future, and it is inconvenient.
    4. Re:What is Sony thinking? by generic-man · · Score: 1

      After Linux conquered the desktop (all my friends use Linux, so I'm pretty sure Linux has 100% market share) the next logical step was gaming. With more than 75,000 games including Tux Racer, gsolitaire, kpat, and xmines, the Indrema is the unparalleled leader in Linux gaming.

      --
      For more information, click here.
    5. Re:What is Sony thinking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
  4. The Numbers DO Mean Something by Babbster · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The lower the shipping (and, hence, sales since most are assuming the thing will sell out) numbers, the less chance any given person will actually see a PS3 playing on someone's TV this year and well into the next.

  5. PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by Brenin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    For a price point that high, I don't see many parents buying this for their kids. Only folks with a disposable income will fork over the cash for that and the (hopefully decent) launch titles. They should have dropped the Blu-ray and come down on the price point to be in line with the Xbox 360 at least. The main competition will only be between the Wii and the 360 for some time coming until Sony decides it needs to take a hit in the wallet to move the product.

    1. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by gabebear · · Score: 0

      To be fair, $100 more for a High-Def player is cheap. The $300 360 is a bad joke and the $500 PS3 is comparable feature wise to the $400 360. The 360 is WAY overpriced, although maybe they will drop the price for Christmas.

    2. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by pittuck · · Score: 1

      One thing people seem to be overlooking is the possiblilty (although ive not kept up the latest development) of running linux on a ps3. If sony can sell the ps3 as a fully functional desktop pc (as in allowing word processing and research to be done for the price of a usb keyboard and mouse) then they might have a good hope at the lower income people.

      I mean they have a monitor of some sort, so its $530 for a next gen console, br player and desktop pc. Rather than $300 for a 360, $400 for a PC...

      Sony have a good shot, doubt they will use it tho!

    3. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      To be fair, $100 more for a High-Def player is cheap. The $300 360 is a bad joke and the $500 PS3 is comparable feature wise to the $400 360. The 360 is WAY overpriced, although maybe they will drop the price for Christmas.

      Anyone who would consider the $500 PS3 as a High-Definition player is pretty foolish to begin with because (although some content providers have promised not to use the IC tolken) the IC tolken will probably be enforced as soon and you start seeing a decent number of HD movie Torrents; as a guess mid 2007. Thus you'll get (essentially) a DVD player for *only* $500.

      Now, the problem I see for Sony is that (even by their analysis) few people buy consoles that cost more than $200 and it will be years (by my guess 3 years) before the PS3 is in that price range.

    4. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by MBCook · · Score: 1
      I don't know, I think the blu-ray is one of the most important parts of the PS3. I think it's good they keep it there. I don't predict sales to be very good until the drop the price, but it will still sell some. The blu-ray drive will give the system a much longer longevity than the 360 (assuming MS sticks to their no-HD-DVD-games position) because it will let the developers put more content/higher resolution content on a disc (no stuppid swapping).

      This is a console that may do well, but it will grow into sales. There is no way on earth this is going to be a PS or PS2 that just takes off like a rocket. The DS is probably a more apt comparison (although the high PS3 price make that a bit of a stretch).

      One this is for sure, this next round of consoles should be interesting. Huge power/price vs. High power/price vs. Innovation/low-price. It's not 3 nearly identicle horses in different colors: it's a rhino, a horse, and a gazel.

      --
      Comment forecast: Bits of genius surrounded by a sea of mediocrity.
    5. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by burnetd · · Score: 1

      The price of a Xbox 360 will not drop until the PS3 is out and reduced to a similar price. Sony may be Evil(tm) but they are Darth Vader to Microsoft's Emperor.

    6. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by iroll · · Score: 1

      Won't that make it Sony's TurboGrafix?

      Because I don't remember Dreamcast being outrageously priced, like the TurboGrafix 16 was.

      --
      Repetition does not transform a lie into the truth. - FDR
    7. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 1

      Erm, too bad I already have a DVD player that does 720p. I don't really care about 1080p anyway, which is the only real advantage of BluRay. I suspect anyone with a TV that does 1080p already has a really nice DVD player. For HD gaming, well, I can hook a PC up to my TV with DVI and play with a wireless keyboard and trackball at 1280x900. It's actually a pretty comfortable rig.

      Screw the PS3, the reason I want a Wii is because it actually has games I'm interested in. No fanboy crap here (ok, I'm a Zelda fanboy, blame it on the shiny gold cart I got for my 8th birthday...)

    8. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by tomhudson · · Score: 1

      They can buy a laptop for that price, and get both the convenience, AND the "built-in monitor".

      The whole PS3 concept is DOA - the WII is where the hype, and the price point advantage, are.

    9. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called fanboy FUD. It doesn't have to make sense. They're idiots.

    10. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

      To be fair, $100 more for a High-Def player is cheap.

      To be fair, $500 for a home entertainment device--ANY home entertainment device--does not qualify as "cheap" to me.

      To be fair, I have no desire to own a High-Def player at this point in time, so that $100 would be wasted money if I were to buy a PS3.

    11. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by gabebear · · Score: 1

      Ya, and $400 is also way too much. Only crazy people will be buying a 360 or a PS3 anytime soon($300 is the sweet spot). If you were in the market for a High-Def player the PS3 would be a good deal and anyone crazy enough to shell out $400 for a 360 you would probably shell out $100-$200 more for a high-def movie player which retail for $500+.

    12. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by MikeFM · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      The PS3 is the Lexus while the XBox 360 is a Scion and the Wii is a Toyota Civic. All have their markets and are decent products for the price they're available for. All of them sell well and are profitable. Any market has this stratification.

      The PS3 is nothing like the Dreamcast. The DC was fine but had bad timing, a lack of features, and a lack of games to let it stand up against the competition. If anything the Wii is at risk of becoming the next Dreamcast. The PS3 is pimped out and has the huge legacy library of PS games available for it.

      I won't buy a Wii or 360 until they hit the bargin rack, the same thing I waited for with the Dreamcast and GameCube, but I'll buy the PS3 at release regardless to the price. It's all part of getting the most pimped out toy to mess with and I can excuse it because it'll let me give my PS2 to my younger siblings while still having full access to play my existing game library.

      I doubt many parents will bother buying their children a PS3 but does Sony care? These are the people who don't buy enough games and add-ons to make back the loss Sony has on every console they sell. The people who will buy the PS3 are the people likely to buy a lot of extra toys so Sony is pretty sure about making back any loss from the actual sale of the console. The PS3 price of $700 really doesn't make much difference to me. I spend that much on toys every month anyway.

      --
      At what price learning? At what cost wisdom? The price is a man's peace of mind, and the cost is his life.
    13. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by R.D.Olivaw · · Score: 1

      Let's accept your analogy for the time being.
      This means that the PS3 will become an elite system that is only bought by men in a mid-life crisis or very rich people.
      It works for the lexus because they actually make loads of money on each car sold. The PS3 on the other hand is sold at a loss. The idea is to sell enough units to make developping for the console highly profitable and consequently make lots of money on licences and sold games.

    14. Re:PS3 will be Sony's Dreamcast by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi MikeFM,

      Every point in your post is a troll.

      You lost it with the last paragraph. No control. You need more practice chump.

      Why would you - a fine upstanding wealthy, successful person spending US $700-1k/mo on trinkets, with a low UID - troll Slashdot? Are you 14? heh - Slashdot ~12k UID applied for by an 8 year old :-) I'm going to tell your father what you did to his account.

  6. Reality Distortion Field by E-Rock · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's amazing. I think they're research into duplicating the Steve Jobs Reality Distortion Field have backfired. Instead of projecting a delusional field of product love outward towards the consumer, like Apple, instead the field has inverted and Sony staff are the ones with the warped sense of reality.

    1. Re:Reality Distortion Field by steveo777 · · Score: 1

      It's dangerous to mess with those distortion fields. Personaly, I think it would be just better wisdom if they included SEP Fields with every PS3 and throw in DVD drives. That way, they wouldn't have a shortage and the consumer would never notice they didn't have Blu-Ray drives. That would clear up most of the hype problems.

      --
      This sig isn't original enough, it's time to come up with something witty...
  7. Also consider... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    ...that they won't start selling in Europe before March 07. In other words, a lot of people will do whatever they can to get one, either from the US or Japan. And since more people know people in the US than Japan, that's likely where they will go shopping.

    In short, don't think that more than 750k of those boxes will actually stay in the US.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Also consider... by LoverOfJoy · · Score: 1

      Will buying from the US be a problem for them if they don't have a NTSC tv? I have heard there are converters out there to convert PAL to NTSC but I have no idea how common or expensive they are.

    2. Re:Also consider... by Babbster · · Score: 1

      From what I've read - at least from UK Interweb posters - most new (particularly digital) TVs over there will support both NTSC and PAL. It's certainly not a concern for someone willing to pay a premium to import a game console.

    3. Re:Also consider... by tepples · · Score: 1
      Will buying from the US be a problem for them if they don't have a NTSC tv?

      Not if most TVs sold in PAL and SECAM regions have a SCART (standardized RGB connector) input and can sync to 50 Hz or 60 Hz.

    4. Re:Also consider... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have a USian DC and need a PAL convertor even when I connect it through SCART.

    5. Re:Also consider... by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 1

      Interesting... But the Blue Ray disks will also be region encoded. Does that mean that the NTSC PS3 will require NTSC blue ray disks? Do those have to be imported or are they sold over there in both NTSC an PAL?

      --
      Demented But Determined.
    6. Re:Also consider... by robosmurf · · Score: 1

      NTSC and PAL are standard definition standards.

      I highly doubt anyone going to the effort of importing a PS3 is going to be running it in standard definition.

    7. Re:Also consider... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      People who shell out the dough to get a console shipped overseas are very likely to have a TV with SCART, which doesn't care about petty things like color standards.

      Also, yes, you will need RC1 BluRays. But you can rest assured that people will just have them shipped as well. Although, and here's a problem for Sony, they will choose very carefully which games to buy because those games will cost about 1.5 times what they "really" cost, due to shipping and customs. In other words, they will sell fewer games.

      Since they're not willing to sell those RC1 discs here... well, their loss!

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  8. As Sony says: by monopole · · Score: 2, Funny

    "There is only one PS3" and they're sticking to that production target. But it isn't expensive enough.

  9. Re:so what they're saying is by Xymor · · Score: 1

    True, only hardcore games keep track of console news, 80% of game conumers only care about the games. But, damn, they had promissed 6mi by launch and 2mi every month. That's major disappointment.

  10. If you hate Sony... by paladinwannabe2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Shouldn't you be hoing for a surplus? A shortage means that they are selling all the PS3's that they are making. While they are technically losing money on each unit sold, they lose even more on each unit that doesn't sell. If there is a surplus of PS3s, that would be a deathblow to Sony's counsole dreams.

    --
    You are reading a copy of my copyrighted post.
    1. Re:If you hate Sony... by soft_guy · · Score: 1

      No matter how many they make, there won't be a surplus during the first holiday season given all the pent up demand. After the holidays and after people have gotten bored with the idea that they must buy a PS3 right now even if it means death fighting and being gouged, then that's when the surpluses kick in and screw sony.

      --
      Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  11. Don't forget Third Parties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't forget the consequences of having lower shipment numbers in terms of third party support.

    Third partie publishers who are providing support for the PS3 in the first 3-6 months have been told by Sony several times that there would be 4 Million PS3s shipped in 2006, and 6 Million shipped by March 2007; if Sony doesn't intend to meet these numbers (or it is unlikely that they will) then third partie publishers will start delaying games in hopes that the user base will grow. If EA/Activision/Ubisoft/etc. start believing that Sony can not release 1 Million PS3s in time for consumers to purchase them over the holiday season, expect to see several launch games delayed until Q1 2007 (and current Q1 2007 games to become TBA 2007).

  12. PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by ConfusedSelfHating · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sony made a decision to sacrifice the Playstation3 on the altar of Blu Ray. If they had released the PS3 with a standard DVD-ROM, it would cut their cost by about $300 dollars (it's estimated by Merrill Lynch that Sony's cost for a Blu Ray drive is $350 a unit). They could easily sell the PS3 for $350 taking less of a loss than they are currently taking per unit. They could have released it at the same time as the Xbox 360 and kicked Microsoft's teeth in. Instead we witness the delays and dramatically cut production. When most companies release a new product, they don't risk their bread and butter products that make their profits. Microsoft doesn't put the Windows franchise on the line in order to sell their music player (which will probably fail terribly). Nintendo didn't risk the DS on the release of the Wii. If the Wii fails, Nintendo will still have the DS as a profitable part of their company. If the Playstation3 is brought down by Blu Ray format, it will be a very messy situation for Sony. Sony has setup a situation where the Blu Ray format must succeed. No rational company does this.

    1. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by joe+155 · · Score: 0

      interesting point and for the most part right, although I think your examples viz MS and Ninty are a little off. The DS is tied to the Wii, it wouldn't be good for either if one failed, there will be link-ups etc. and MS can't risk windows - no matter what MS seems to do windows keeps going strong, there are thousands of viruses they keep shafting people over patches/WGA etc... and still on top!

      but that's just life!

      --
      *''I can't believe it's not a hyperlink.''
    2. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your post doesn't make much sense to me, for a few reasons:
      - Maybe Blu-ray is actually necessary for PS3 gaming, as we've been told? PS3 promises complex game worlds with high resolution graphics, maybe the greater storage capacity is actually necessary for this?
      - Maybe Blu-ray is part of the competitive advantage of the PS3 over the XBox 360, and Sony wouldn't be able to kick Microsoft's teeth in without it?
      - What does it mean for Blu-ray to succeed or fail, anyway? It's a storage medium. If it's used for PS3 games, and the PS3 succeeds, but Blu-ray movies fail, then did Blu-ray succeed or fail? Economies of scale won't allow Sony to bring down the price of the PS3 as fast, or to recoupe their losses as quickly from other revenue sources, but does that really mean doom for Sony?

    3. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Volante3192 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The successes of the DS and the Wii are mutually exclusive though. Sales of one does not adversely affect the other, while they may drive additional sales.

      On the other hand, Sony is explicitly tying together Blu-Ray with the PS3. You can't get it without it. I guess the best way to put it would be if MS bundled Windows with Zune (so the only way to get Windows is to get a Zune, even if you didn't want the Zune...and you're paying for it as well)

    4. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by SydShamino · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The executives of Sony's hardware development groups see their hardware products as an opportunity to force some new, proprietary format down consumer's throats (see also beta, ATRAC, memory stick, blue-ray, etc.). The executives of Sony's content group see their proprietary formats as a way to force new content restrictions down consumer's throats.

      As an electrical engineer and hardware designer, I feel really bad for the actual developers of the PS3 console. I can't imagine they want to develop a product that won't meet sales expectations, and they'd probably prefer to design the kind of product that we, too, want to see. I know from personal experience that it is depressing to design products where, before release, it becomes obvious to us developers that they cannot meet their sales forecasts.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    5. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by jizziknight · · Score: 1

      I think what the parent meant was that MS and Nintendo aren't banking the success of one product on the success of a another. The Wii doesn't need the DS to succeed, nor does the DS need the Wii. They can succeed on their own. Same with MS and Windows, though Office is tied pretty closely, but those are both already successes (let's not debate it, there's more of them out there than anything else). The PS3 needs Blu Ray to succeed in order for it to succeed (at least as a HD movie player). Sony also is using the PS3 to help Blu Ray succeed by providing a cheaper entry player. The success of each product is more than marginally dependant upon the other.

      --
      Everything I say is a lie. Except that... and that... and that, and that, and that, and that... and that.
    6. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by ivan256 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      it's estimated by Merrill Lynch that Sony's cost for a Blu Ray drive is $350 a unit

      It is estimated by just about everybody that the lone Merril Lynch analyst that made that estimate has reached maximum shit capacity, and is now overflowing with shit.

      Sony read the market correctly when they determined that the market wasn't read for a new console yet last christmas, and is presently eating Microsoft's lunch with last generation's hardware. What sane company kills a profitable product that is leading the market with sales, and replaces it with an unproven product that they expect to sell at a loss?

      Even if you don't take into account that Sony had time to wait for Blu-Ray because the CPU wasn't ready either, I think you are reading the situation incorrectly. No matter what you think of Sony or the PS3 (personlly I have no current plans to buy one), given what has happened with the 360 so far it's not very difficult to figure out which company's console division is going to have a better cumulative bottom line at the end of Q2 2007. There is approximately zero chance that the PS3 isn't going to sell out this holiday season since there at least a million idiots that are willing to pay a premium on release day anyway, the PS2 is going to outsell everybody except maybe Nintendo again this Christmas (just like the PSOne outsold the PS2 the first season), Sony has one less year of losses on the books than Microsoft, and they're taking advantage of their competitior dropping the ball with the 360 to put some weight behind their other technologies. What's not sane about that?

    7. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Babbster · · Score: 1

      Given the announced pricing for Windows Vista, I'll be severely pissed if they don't include a Zune with every purchase!

    8. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by ivan256 · · Score: 1
      troll n.

                          An {electronic mail} message, {Usenet} posting or other
                          (electronic) communication which is intentionally incorrect,
                          but not overtly controversial (compare {flame bait}), or the
                          act of sending such a message. Trolling aims to elicit an
                          emotional reaction from those with a hair-trigger on the reply
                          key.


      Unless saying something true, but anti-Microsoft in a pro-Microsoft forum counts, can somebody please explain to me how this was a troll?
    9. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe Blu-ray is actually necessary for PS3 gaming, as we've been told? PS3 promises complex game worlds with high resolution graphics, maybe the greater storage capacity is actually necessary for this?

      I don't think anyone can (successfully) argue that Blu-Ray/HD-DVD is necessary for next generation gaming because with the limited ammount of system memory avaiable to next-generation system there is a celing to the ammount of content that can be included into a scene at any given time; most of the storage space on these discs will be filled with HD video at 1080p which could easily be replaced by in engine cinematics or lower resolution (720p) videos (which should enable the game to fit on 1 or 2 DVDs).

      Now, I think it's fair to say that Blu-Ray is a nice feature to include in a system but at $300 per system, and $10 per game it is probably too expensive for what it is worth.

      Maybe Blu-ray is part of the competitive advantage of the PS3 over the XBox 360, and Sony wouldn't be able to kick Microsoft's teeth in without it?

      Yeah, but this "advantage" has also given Microsoft a 12-18 month head start (which leads to a larger and more complete game library) as well as a $100-$200 price advantage; not to mention that Microsoft can (at a low cost) drastically improve the "value" of the XBox 360 by bundling PGR, Kameo and Perfect Dark Zero and will be able to drop the price of their system in May (to $300) for almost no loss per unit.

      What does it mean for Blu-ray to succeed or fail, anyway? It's a storage medium. If it's used for PS3 games, and the PS3 succeeds, but Blu-ray movies fail, then did Blu-ray succeed or fail? Economies of scale won't allow Sony to bring down the price of the PS3 as fast, or to recoupe their losses as quickly from other revenue sources, but does that really mean doom for Sony?

      Part of the reason Nintendo has survived as long as they have in the console buisness is that they don't lose money in the hopes of making more money later; this means that although the Gamecube, N64 and SNES all lost market share Nintendo was still profitable in the console side of the buisness. SCE on the other hand will be losing a ton of money per unit (possibly for several years if MS and Nintendo can force price cuts) at a time when most of Sony's divisions are not profitable; SCE has kept Sony in the black for several years and if they start losing enough money Sony as a whole will start losing money. Sony may (or may not) be the most popular system in the next generation but it will probably cost them billions of dollars to do so. If Sony lost $4 Billion - $8 Billion (like Microsoft did with the XBox) the entire company would be in grave financial trouble, and the sad fact is this may be what is going to happen.

    10. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by ConfusedSelfHating · · Score: 1

      I don't think it was a troll comment, but I do disagree.

      I think the major reason that the Xbox 360 is not selling as well as it could is that it is too expensive at $399 for the Premium version. Very few people want to get the inferior one (even though it is upgradeable), so a lot of people are waiting for the price drop.

      Despite a small install base, the games are doing quite well. You often see a new Xbox 360 title at number 1 on the console charts (not in Japan of course).

      You are correct that people will continue to buy a product that is obsolete. After all I've still seen advertisements for GeForce 5500s even though they are terribly obsolete at this point.

      And if Sony didn't want to launch the PS3 around the same time as the Xbox 360, why did they originally state a Spring 2006 launch?

    11. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

      I don't know, I doubt they would have gotten it out the door any sooner. Look how much the Wii hurt them. Basically, they can't bear to not have every single feature everyone else has, and then some.

      That, and Blu Ray does make sense here. I don't want to have a scenario like the old Final Fantasy games, where you needed four discs for one game. But then, I guess if the four discs combined cost less than a fourth of one Blu-Ray disc, not to mention savings on the price of the whole console, you may have a point...

      --
      Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
    12. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by ivan256 · · Score: 0

      And if Sony didn't want to launch the PS3 around the same time as the Xbox 360, why did they originally state a Spring 2006 launch?

      See, I would ask that question differently:

      If Sony wanted to launch the PS3 around the same time as the Xbox 360, why did they originally state a Spring 2006 launch?

      The difference between Q3 2005 and Q2 2006 in the retail world is an eternity.

      I would also argue that the PS2 is not obsolete, and won't be until the stream of new games for it dry to a trickle (which won't happen for a few years still). In my mind, this is the big factor that the pundits overlook. Consumers and investors are both quite aware though. There are plenty of annoyed Xbox owners that have a system with no new games coming out, and plenty of new-ish PS2 owners who know that Sony has their back at the end of their console's lifespan. The investors can see that Sony has the more diverse retail offering, as well.

      If Sony doesn't cut the price of the PS3 as soon as availability ramps up, then you may be right. Until we know what happens in the second half of 2007, though, I think the jury is still out. Don't underestimate the number of people who are reading this saga in Playstation Magazine, and Sony friendly websites, and not on message boards like this one.

      From my perspective, I would like to see both Sony and Microsoft fail this time around, as I don't want either of their DRM technologies to gain a strong foothold in the living room. It just seems to me that even dispite the blunders, Sony has the stronger position at this point.

    13. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The decision to sacrifice the PS3 on the altar of BluRay probably had something to do with the PS2's sales numbers compared to the Xbox360. Given that the 360's sales haven't made much of a dent (if any) in the PS2's numbers, it gives Sony the luxury of trying to make the PS3 as future-proof as possible, even if it means making them ridiculously expensive in the initial launch phase.

      Why should Sony care about low PS3 sales numbers when people are buying PS2s instead? Why not try to use this opportunity to give BluRay a leg up on HD-DVD?

    14. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by alienw · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think Merrill Lynch is full of shit. There is no way in hell the blu-ray drive costs that much. I doubt the bill-of-materials cost is more than $50, since it's roughly the same thing as a regular CD/DVD drive. The vast majority of the cost is probably due to yield problems with their custom chips.

    15. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by WilliamSChips · · Score: 1

      For the last time, Blu-Ray is NOT PROPRIETARY!

      --
      Please, for the good of Humanity, vote Obama.
    16. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to Slashdot, a place where you get modded down for making reasonable arguments against popular opinion.

      It's like Church only fun.

    17. Re:PS3 sacrificed for Blu Ray by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes it is.

  13. Can we please, please, PLEASE by antifoidulus · · Score: 3, Funny

    start referring to them as "Son¥" now?

    1. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by Yvan256 · · Score: 3, Funny
      start referring to them as "Son¥" now?
      No we can't. Simply because most non-Japanese users don't know how to type/insert the Yen sign.
    2. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by jizziknight · · Score: 1

      Why not go one step farther and call them "$on¥"?

      Really, this sort of thing is retarded. Saying things like Windoze, Winblows, Internet Exploder, Linsux, Nutscrape, etc. just makes you look more and more like an idiot.

      --
      Everything I say is a lie. Except that... and that... and that, and that, and that, and that... and that.
    3. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

      Wow, someone doesn't know how to detect sarcasm. It was meant as a slight on the whole M$ thing which I personally detest. The reason I asked is because slashdot seems to have a bigger and bigger anti-Sony bent as of late, and thus if they are a company on slashdot's groupthink hate list, then I was sure slashdot would come up with someway to communicate that in an immature fashion. I just decided to try to get a "funny" mod by accelerating that process....

    4. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by jizziknight · · Score: 1

      Oh, I know how to detect it quite well. I knew exactly what you were doing there. I one-upped your sarcasm, and then went on a rant. I apologize for not enclosing it in tags. No personal offense to you intended.

      --
      Everything I say is a lie. Except that... and that... and that, and that, and that, and that... and that.
    5. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was brilliant! : )

    6. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You guys are gay.

    7. Re:Can we please, please, PLEASE by McCaliber · · Score: 1

      Ever¥one knows how to t¥pe the ¥en sign -- ctrl-v.

  14. More meaningless numbers from Sony. by Yvan256 · · Score: 1

    After the CPU clock speeds, the GPU polygons-per-second (or whatever), the price tag, we now have a number for the units shipped to america (I'm guessing that 1M number is also for Canada, or do we have another 100K extra units for Canada alone?)

    Nintendo still hasn't revealed anything: price, release date, number of units. If the Nintendo DS is any sign, however, there won't be a shortage in my town.

    1. Re:More meaningless numbers from Sony. by Tim_sama · · Score: 0

      Nintendo has revealed that they intend to ship 6 million units by March 2007, but yeah, they haven't revealed the rest of that stuff yet.

  15. I'm neutral on Sony by Travoltus · · Score: 1

    but if there's a shortage, I'm gonna buy up as many as I can via reservation and sell all but one on ebay. I made a KILLING... a texas chainsaw massacre ... doing that with the 3 extra 360's. Sold two for $1100 and one for $779. Others made $1600-$2000 on those things. I expect that I could make a pile even selling them at flea markets.

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
    1. Re:I'm neutral on Sony by soft_guy · · Score: 1

      Why in the world would you sell all but one? Need I remind you that you are posting to Slashdot, so you are supposed to want a Wii, not a PS3? Haven't you seen this video?

      --
      Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  16. I still don't understand the market for this box by the+computer+guy+nex · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What demographic are they aiming for?

    Teenagers don't have this kind of money, and most parents won't buy it for them.

    Adult gamers will prefer to Wii, due to their Nintendo roots, innovative design, and cheaper price.

    Home theater enthusiasts will have a separate professional high definition player.

    The only market I see is the 20somethings out-of-college with disposable income. But even then, the bulk of this market already has a 360 and may not want both.

    Just don't see where the demand will be coming from.

  17. Let's see...should I buy Sony ... by shoma-san · · Score: 0

    ...when I've been locked in or out so many times by their proprietary products...hmmmm...yeah....I won't be adding a cent to the $600,000,000 Sony plans to generate off those units.

    1. Re:Let's see...should I buy Sony ... by jizziknight · · Score: 1

      You mean the $600,000,000 they'll lose, either by selling at a loss, or not selling at all (which would probably be more).

      --
      Everything I say is a lie. Except that... and that... and that, and that, and that, and that... and that.
  18. On Shortages by antialias02 · · Score: 1

    Maybe they expect a shortage to work in their favor, if one were to occur: as they have a few months to bolster production, the media will be able to broadcast that "The PS3 has sold out across America! Not one can be found, except on eBay for $2000!" Sony will give the illusion that everybody wants one - when, in reality, everybody who wanted one already had it. But will anyone buy it? I dunno. I'm just anxious to see how it plays out. When I'm not busy playing with my Wii. (Obligatory Nintendo joke - but the sad part is that I'm serious).

  19. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by steveo777 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Well, I know my brother were very interested before the price tag (I'm a huge Gran Turismo fan). Both of us would have bought it at $400, my brother just because it's a Playstation. But we are appaled. That and the news that gamew will cost 60-90 according to many reports... completely unacceptable.

    I still know a few very single guys who have the money saved up for the PS3 already (one guy has about $1000 stashed away so he can buy a few games). But other than that, nobody I've met is interested in a $600 console.

    OTOH everyone I know is saving a few extra pennies for the Wii.

    --
    This sig isn't original enough, it's time to come up with something witty...
  20. maybe you should keep track a little closer... by Manmademan · · Score: 1

    Sony promised 2 million during the launch period, 4 mil by the end of 2006, and 2 mil more by March 31st 2007.

    NOT 6 million at launch with 2 million per month after. Big difference.

  21. Swapable Optical Drives by sottitron · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Game consoles should use swapable optical drives so when the machine gets Disc Read Errors, I can just go to the store, pick up a slimline slot loading DVD drive or Blu Ray drive or whatever and pop it in there.

  22. Interesting test case... by yakhan451 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How much do online rumors, reports and criticism really effect sales of any particular product? We have folks on both sides of the argument saying how much it will or won't effect the PS3.

    Obviously as more folks get more information from the web the effects will increase... I think the PS3 will be a great help in gauging where we're at, as far as online marketing.

    We had one other big testcase this year with "Snakes on a Plane" and it seemed to boost ticketsales if just a little bit. However with the PS3 there are two differences... one, it's negative press instead of positive... and two, the videogamer crowd might be more prone to get news from the web, because they're slightly geekier than the movie-goer crowd.

    I'm interested to see how it all turns out. Whichever way it goes, it'll probably be a lesson for the next generation of consoles.

    1. Re:Interesting test case... by springbox · · Score: 1
      Most if not all of the "hype" on the Internet for Snakes on a Plane appeared to be making fun of the movie itself. I don't know how that would be considered positive. I think the situation that the PS3 is in now is similar to that of Snakes on a Plane as there are groups that enjoy ripping on Sony's various blunders (if you didn't already notice from reading Slashdot.)


      P.S. Giant enemy crabs FTW!

  23. Re:so what they're saying is by SEMW · · Score: 1

    Reminds me of this...

    --
    What's purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.
  24. In Other News... by TheGreatHegemon · · Score: 1

    Duke Nukem Forever will ALSO be shipping One Million Copies by the end of this year. OH, and it's European release date will be the first quarter of 2007.

    1. Re:In Other News... by j00r0m4nc3r · · Score: 1

      I've already pre-ordered my copy of DNF for the Indrema and Phantom consoles. This is going to be one awesome Christmas!!

    2. Re:In Other News... by amaupin · · Score: 1

      Duke Nukem Forever will ALSO be shipping One Million Copies by the end of this year. OH, and it's European release date will be the first quarter of 2007.

      Wow, one million copies just for Ohio.

  25. No! I want my Blu-ray! by SEMW · · Score: 1

    I think I speak for all of us when I say the saddest part of all this, for me, is that my plan to convert entirely from DVD to the wonderful technology that is Blu-ray will be tragically delayed...

    --
    What's purple and commutes? An Abelian grape.
  26. Sony Delays PS3, NASA Delays shuttle launch... by dieth · · Score: 1

    Are Sony's exploding batteries powering the Shuttle? Maybe they require some blinky Blue LEDs!

  27. Cube toons predicted this by pembo13 · · Score: 1
    --
    "Thanks for all the money you paid to us. We've used it to buy off ISO among other things" -Microsoft
  28. I think you're confused by hudsonhawk · · Score: 2, Informative
    Erm, too bad I already have a DVD player that does 720p.


    You may have a DVD player that upscales to 720p, but that isn't really the same thing as what you're saying. I mean, I can take my 1 megapixel camera and scale an image from it to 5 megapixels - but that doesn't mean i suddenly have a 5 megapixel camera. Upscaling DVD players don't magically make the content be 720p.

    I don't really care about 1080p anyway, which is the only real advantage of BluRay.


    HD-DVD does 1080p as well. I think you're confusing the fact that the PS3 is capable of 1080p (though games aren't required to support that resolution and most probably won't) with the fact that the Xbox 360 isn't. In terms of resolution, HD-DVD and BluRay share the same capabilities; the main difference between them is disc capacity.
  29. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Adult games generaly had their start with the Atari or a computer. But that hardly dictates what console they will buy now. What usualy drives the older groups is the quality of product. You're not going to find many adults driving lowered Cyvics(the Wii equivalent of cars), they'll buy something good, which sadly also means expencive.
     
    The 20 somethings will buy a PS3 just because; or just because snake/GTA is on it.
     
    So, yah, there's deffinetly a market out there, it's just not on /. Just like there's a market for PCs and and Microsoft made operating systems. The fact that /.ers don't want to admit to it, it does not mean that it does not exist.

  30. You know what would have been something? by realinvalidname · · Score: 1

    It would be more impressive if Sony were promising two original, non-sequel, non-license, and actually entertaining games to ship with the PS3.

  31. Shortages by CodemasterMM · · Score: 1

    So let's only ship 1 million to create a shortage (sound familiar, XBOX 360?).
    This means that we'll have a repeat of having people trampled, simply trying to snag a PS3 (given that it sells at all).

    With a $600 price mark, only 1 million consoles being made (read: a large shortage of the consoles), and very expensive games, the PS3 is as good as dead already; before it's actual launch.

    Sony's in some serious trouble here.

  32. The installed base of the PS2 is not so important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am a casual gamer and I bought a PS2 slim two years ago, but I didn't buy
    it because of the brand. I bought it because it is the best system to own:
    it is cheap, small and quiet. It is the most popular system by far.
    Whatever you want to buy new/buy used/rent, PS2 is your best option.

    Should I spend money on a next generation system this Christmas? Of course not!
    But let me tell you this: if I buy a new system in a couple of years,
    I won't care if it is a Playstation, I will just pick the winner.

  33. A Wii? You're kidding, right? by Travoltus · · Score: 0, Troll

    [flamebait] I kind of liked it when it was the "Revolution". But the "Wii"? That sounds like what a mage would say as he's casting an erectile dysfunction spell on some poor unsuspecting /. poster! [/flamebait]

    Ok, seriously... the wii has far less power than the PS3 or 360, and frankly I'm not much of a fan of Mario Brothers style platformer games (that includes you, God of War for the PS2). I'm not interested in another Legend of Zelda remake. I like open free range games like Morrowind, Oblivion (and I hear that'll be coming out for the PS3), Half Life 2, Far Cry, and all of that stuff. I don't imagine that'll come out for the Wii.

    Why, oh why did they rename the "Revolution" to the "Wii"?

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
    1. Re:A Wii? You're kidding, right? by Dance_Dance_Karnov · · Score: 1

      far cry is coming to the wii.

    2. Re:A Wii? You're kidding, right? by somersault · · Score: 1

      3D games have been fine ever since Quake, when everything was rendered in full 3D, and you could look up and down. I'd still have a blast playing Quake DM. It's nicer if texture resolutions are high, and everything is realistically lit, but it's not essential.

      But as you say, if Far Cry is going to be on the Wii then that shows that just because it's less powerful than a PS3 doesn't mean it will be crap. Does anyone know how the Wii compares to todays PCs?

      --
      which is totally what she said
  34. Everyone likes to rip on sony =( by Joe_someone · · Score: 1

    I want to see who will be ripping into Sony if it does well. We don't even know if it will do good or bad, but everyone is predicting that it will fail. I have faith in Sony, and I believe they can put a good product out there for consumers. All I see here on slashdot is a lot of people jumping on the "Anti-sony" bandwagon...

  35. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

    Your metaphor doesn't work, because the Wii is simply more fun. You don't buy a car for fun, you buy it to get to work. You buy a game console for fun, not for eye candy and assorted BS.

    The 20 somethings already bought a 360, just because Halo 3 will be on it. They don't want to have to buy a PS3, too, but they might still buy a Wii, because it's going to be so much cheaper.

    PCs and MS operating systems do get bought by slashdotters -- at least 50% of us. But there isn't any sort of monopoly forcing us to buy a PS3. I know if I do, it'll be because Sony has made significant good-faith efforts (the onboard Linux should include ALL source code), the system is every bit as awesome as it's hyped to be (yay Cell), and the price has gone down significantly to where I won't just be upgrading my PC.

    See, gamers actually have choices.

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  36. Apt comparison... -except- ... by *weasel · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...there was no current-gen competitor for the PS2 or the 360 when they launched.
    They were the only game in town, which allowed them to survive an otherwise precarious launch.

    This year, the PS3 is launching itself into the market alongside the dramatically cheaper, more numerous Nintendo console, and a 360 with a very respectable foothold.
    These are hardly comparable situations.

    Furthermore, the PS3 is not notably more powerful than the 360, and it's advantages are a moot point for all but a tiny segment of the -hardcore- gaming audience.

    It would take twenty minutes to explain to Joe Consumer why the PS3 is better on paper.

    -Then- you'd have to spend another ten explaining the theoretical advantage is moot unless he's spending several thousand dollars on a TV, and planning on spending another thousand on an HD video player in the very near future.

    If he doesn't have an HDTV, the marginal theoretical performance advantage and 1080p capability don't matter.
    If he isn't planning on buying a blu-ray player in the next year, then the 'cheap' BR player capability doesn't matter either.

    All that 'potential' for $200-$300 more than last generation's price hike, and all ignoring one very large elephant in a very small room: by the time either of those advantages -truly- matter, the PS4, 720, and Wii Too will be in the hype machine.

    --
    // "Can't clowns and pirates just -try- to get along?"
    1. Re:Apt comparison... -except- ... by buzzzz · · Score: 1

      What you are forgetting is that the end consumer doesn't really care for those numbers. PS3 only has to appear significantly better than the 360.

      All Sony has to accomplish is the consumers going - "oooh ... it's also a Blu Ray DVD Player" and "Guys, it's much faster than XBox" and "Look at how many cool games there are on it". In the end, a single major title on PS3 that is not on other consoles could make it a success as could a significant number of DVD releases on Blu Ray.

      In the end, it's a risky deal for Sony but they do have some chance for success despite the high cost and the cost vs benifit analysis that you are talking about.

    2. Re:Apt comparison... -except- ... by *weasel · · Score: 1

      The end consumer doesn't care about spending $200 for 'potential' they can't access without spending $2000 -more-?

      I think you woefully underestimate the masses.
      They certainly can be dumb and impressionable, but they're more canny than you estimate, for major entertainment purchases.

      Spending more than a few hundred bucks for a TV is not something the casual market has -ever- gone for.

      --
      // "Can't clowns and pirates just -try- to get along?"
  37. Don't be a sucker, don't be fooled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sony had cut their launch shipments for the PS2 (I think it was 500K for the US) and promised to deliver more before the end of the year. They ended up having to cut their promised quantities in half several times because of "manufacturing difficulties" (they couldn't make enough EMOTION ENGINE chips).

  38. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by rjung2k · · Score: 2, Funny

    "What demographic are they aiming for?"

    People With More Money Than Brains.

    Hey, it works for the GOP...

  39. Re:No! I want my Blu-ray! by cowscows · · Score: 1

    I think the potential benefits of Bluray in the PS3 are way bigger for Sony than they are for gamers, and that the Sony management has either convinced themselves otherwise, or they think consumers are too stupid to notice.

    As other comments have noted, some analysts are saying around half the cost of a PS3 is going to go towards the bluray drive. If you're going to add $300 to the cost of a console when the average cost for a console has only been around $300 historically, you've got quite a task ahead of you to convince buyers that they're getting value for their money. In this case, Sony needs to convince me that Bluray is going to make my PS3 at least twice as useful/fun for me.

    The best argument that I've heard so far for spending an extra $300 for the PS3's bluray drive is that all the other bluray players are $1000+. I guess that's a deal, but it's still not very compelling. A $10,000 diamond encrusted toilet seat selling for only $8,000 is a pretty good deal, but I don't want a diamond encrusted toilet seat. $300 for $1000 worth of bluray player is pretty good percentage-wise, but unfortunately for Sony, I haven't seen any good reason why I should consider any blu-ray player worth even $50. Especially when I know that if the format is succesful, I'll be able to buy a player for that price in a couple years.

    Basically Sony is trying to pull the same thing that Microsoft did by bundling IE with Windows. They're trying to use a monopoly to force a new product onto the market. The problem for Sony is that video game console lock-in isn't very strong, most consumers are aware of the alternatives, and Sony doesn't really have a monopoly anyways.

    This whole thing seems like a bad risk for Sony.

    --

    One time I threw a brick at a duck.

  40. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by Ender+Ryan · · Score: 1

    The 20 somethings already bought a 360

    We did? Where's mine? In fact, I don't know a single person who owns a 360, and I'm a 20-something with tons of gamer friends.

    I'm sorry, but you're being ridiculous; Microsoft has not shipped that many units to claim "the 20 somethings already bought a 360."

    --
    Sticking feathers up your butt does not make you a chicken - Tyler Durden
  41. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by poot_rootbeer · · Score: 1

    Adult gamers will prefer to Wii, due to their Nintendo roots, innovative design, and cheaper price.

    I don't think we can assume that the entire adult-gamer market has roots in Nintendo's classic systems anymore.

    There's a new generation of post-adolescents about to come of age that weren't even BORN during Nintendo's 8-bit heyday. Their first tastes of console gaming weren't with Mario and Zelda, but rather with Cloud Strife and Lara Croft. Their nostalgic allegiance is with Sony. It is this type of gamer, the ones who just got a $50k/year job out of college and still live with Mom and Dad, to whom the PS3 seems to be targeted.

    That being said, I don't think there's nearly enough of that type of gamer to sustain the PS3. Especially not, as you point out, when Microsoft has already had a console that targets the same type of gamer out for almost a year now.

  42. The occasional gamer by MemoryDragon · · Score: 1

    will go into the store for a PS3, will see its price tag and will leave the store with a Wii.

  43. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by SanityInAnarchy · · Score: 1

    Maybe the 20 something gamers with the disposable income? I don't imagine there are that many who didn't buy a 360 so they could afford a PS3.

    --
    Don't thank God, thank a doctor!
  44. You know what else would have been something? by Myria · · Score: 1

    It would be even more impressive if Nintendo were promising two original, non-sequel, non-license, and actually entertaining games to ship with the Wii.

    Don't get me wrong though: I want Twilight Princess and Mario 256. Some of the best games have been sequels. SNES had A Link to the Past, PS1 had Nocturne in the Moonlight and Final Fantasy 7, DC had Marvel vs. Capcom 2. Even World of Warcraft is from the franchise.

    --
    "Screw Sun, cross-platform will never work. Let's move on and steal the Java language." - Visual J++ Product Manager
    1. Re:You know what else would have been something? by catprog · · Score: 1

      What about Project H.A.M.M.E.R. and Disaster: Day of Crisis.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  45. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by MoriaOrc · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Being a 20 something (21 specifically) who is going to be finishing college in a year or so, and working at an internship this summer that (if it were year round) would be only a little below 50k, I believe I fit your bill.

    And let me say that, while I don't have much history with the 8-bit console generation besides playing duck hunt on my neighbors NES from time to time, my first big generation was the 16-bits (SNES and Genisis). Among my friends, it's mostly the same way, and those that didn't start in 16-bit mostly started in 8 bit. I think sony is going to need to wait untill they get to the PS4 at least to be able to claim that a goodly percent of those "just out of college" + "money to burn" types grew up on Playstations.

    And for the record, I have absolutely no desire to get a PS3 and am waiting to see how the Wii does with interest.

  46. Here's how it's gonna go down by MadAndy · · Score: 2, Insightful
    With so few PS3s available, they'll all sell out, despite the high price - there are enough suckers that will buy them. They could really do with a killer game though. Or in my case, a decent copy of Ubuntu on the beast might do the trick ;)

    In a way the high cost of the BD drive is a good thing - it gives Sony room to move. As more drives are made the cost will inevitably fall, and quickly - say by $100 or more. Having creamed the die-hards, Sony would pass some of the lower costs on in 2007. PS3s going for $349 next year?

    Microsoft is the main fly in Sony's ointment, and what they're able to do with the 360's price and game set will make a big difference in this war. But they're going to hurt later on for not including HD-DVD built-in. Sure, it's available as an add-on but can they seriously expect major buy-in from a couch-prone consumer base? I doubt it. On the other hand they could've included it like Sony did but then they'd be in the same pricing situation as Sony.

    Add to that the controller (blatant rip off from Nintendo, bless Sony's black little heart), and there you have it: PS3 has everything built-in, but is presently more expensive; 360 is cheaper but you have to buy extras. Game makers will have to produce to the lowest common denominator, which is going to be that much lower on the 360. A large game that's a single disc on the PS3 will have you swapping discs part way through on the 360.

    I don't like Sony one bit, continually trying to foist their proprietary formats and DRM on us - but long term I still think they're generally doing the right thing with the PS3. Time will tell.

    1. Re:Here's how it's gonna go down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no, they arent going to hurt later on for not including hddvd. why? in 3-4 years hddvd players will be so cheap people won't even think of using a lousy console as a player. just as they don't think of using an xbox or ps2 as dvd players these days.

  47. Re:No! I want my HD DVD! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think I speak for all of us when I say the saddest part of all this, for me, is that my plan to convert entirely from DVD to the wonderful technology that is HD-DVD will be tragically delayed...

  48. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

    Your metaphor doesn't work, because the Wii is simply more fun.

    It's not even OUT yet. For all you know, it's about as fun as the Virtual Boy. Criminy.

  49. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by 7Prime · · Score: 1

    Eh, the only difference in idea of what Nintendo means to that demographic is that Link played the flute, and Mario had a cap with wings on it and battled head to head with Pikachu. Seriously, Nintendo's "classics" didn't die with the SNES.

    Anyway, all these games that we're describing are not even 10 years old (FF7 was released in 1997), we really haven't entered the generation that were young children after the SNES yet, anyway. I'm 25, sure I grew up with "A B Select Start", but a 15 year old grew up with Mario riding a green dragon.

    --
    Multiplayer Gaming (defined): Sitting around, discussing single-player games with my friends, at the bar.
  50. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by dracocat · · Score: 1

    Why do I keep seeing teenagers with 60GB Video iPods?

  51. From the "I'm an idiot department" by old-lady-whispering- · · Score: 1

    Although your comparison is ridiculous I have seen worse. So could you please come up with a more assinine metaphor. I also thought that your jackassery was a bit mis-guided and lost its context in the middle of your argument, you should work on that too. I suggest adding a cup more of BS and a titilating lie or two and your horror of a post will be made perfect.

    P.S.:
    You do get a gold star for motivating me to login and write this.

    --
    The truth suffers more from convictions than from lies.
  52. Nintendo? Plx. SEGA roots here by Nursie · · Score: 1

    Don't forget those of us who have been gaming for 20 or more years and have never owned a Nintendo system and don't really intend to start here. Sega all the way until the PS2.

    I'll be buying a PS3, as soon as Sony start to sell the damned things here that is.

  53. "where are they getting these numbers? " by PhoenixOne · · Score: 2, Funny

    If you reach around behind you, you'll find an area right beneath your tail bone. There is a hole there which can contain all sorts of interesting stuff (depending on your diet).

    From the smell of things, this is the area Sony is getting their numbers from.

    --
    Spell cheek you've failed me four the last thyme!
  54. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by debrisslider · · Score: 1

    1. Teenages have insane amounts of money (or goods and services equivalent to an insane amount.) How many get cars for their 16th birthday? Their own computers in their bedroom separate from their parents'? Cell phones, digital cameras, ipods, musical instruments? Or for that matter, massive game collections? Spoiled brats are the exception rather than the rule, but name a teen without some combination of at least three of the above. Not every teen has these luxuries, but the conspicuous spenders at the top are the ones who'll do the buying/begging so you have to weight their smaller number more heavily. $600 (more like $800) at Christmas isn't that much for many teens. Anyway, with this past console generation, the primary spenders became the 18-34 year old males, which is probably large enough to eat up the 1 million in its entirety already. When the prices come down, then teens will become more of a factor.

    2. Your second point is too blatantly biased for me to even need to consider.

    3. Considering the reports saying Sony is stopping shipment of blue lasers to other companies in order to have enough to install into those million PS3, there may not really BE a separate market yet. And don't think that just because they are an "enthusiast" that they automatically want to spend as much money as possible - many audio-videophiles love to brag about their used equipment bargains or home-built speakers and cabinets. $600 is a pretty good deal for a Blu-ray player alone - they may hesitate to spend almost double that amount due to the format wars (just because you have a nice tv and stereo doesn't mean you can afford to throw out $500), and enough may be interested in actually having the PS3 for a video game system as well (especially since it will the one best able to show off their setup with its HDMI capability).

    4. The "twenty-somethings" are a larger demographic than you seem to give them credit for. When you start throwing around terms like "145 million Americans play video games" and "60% of all gamers are 25 to 44 years old" you see the video game world is much larger than you might have thought, and a million consoles (between the two largest markets) is a drop in the bucket. When my brother got his 360 back in April, there was only 1 core system left in a town of 150,000 (we checked seven different places). We asked the salesmen about sales patterns - they were still selling out within a few days of shipment, we would have had to wait another week or so, if not two, until another batch was available. It wouldn't surprise me if 360s were still that unavailable. Remember, Microsoft had its own trouble reaching expected shipment amounts last year too and there were almost as many "$500 is too much for a console" complaints as there are now - and the launch titles were just as poor. PS3s are going to sell out like mad until Sony can ramp up their production to a point where they can actually reach demand.

    The real focus shouldn't be on the guaranteed 1 million sales at the launch - there is a demand much greater than the supply for probably the next six months - it should be on what happens in a year or so when all three consoles are fully available to anyone that wants one, when all three are trying to expand past their core market into the general public. I think the early lead is going to go to whoever can manufacture the most consoles in the next year. In the long run, the $100 price difference between the 360 and PS3 isn't going to matter as much as the game selection - 2007 will be determined by how many people will pay $200 for Metal Gear Solid 4 or Final Fantasy XIII versus $150 for Halo (counting a year's worth of Xbox live and any costs for wireless adapter and headset. Yes you can play other games on it, but once you pay the Sony tax you can play other games besides MGS4 for "free" as well). Where Nintendo fits in is anyone's guess - I think they'll do pretty well for themselves, because they're aiming for the largest slice of the demographics: everyone. But like I said, it's going to take a year or two to see which console is the first to break out of the "3 million sold" pack.

  55. Re:I still don't understand the market for this bo by nateman1352 · · Score: 1

    I think your quite right, there isn't much of a market for a $600 game console. My expectation is that only the hardcore gamers that MUST have a PS3 will buy it.

    But I personally think that most of the industry is shortchanging Sony, I think they have much more market insight than they let on. What if even though it launches at $600, the price of the console follows a steep negative slope as time goes on? What if the price is down to $300 by March? Sure call me crazy, but I can cite a few reasons why this might be the stragy.

    First consider something called the learning curve, the general idea is that as you manufacture a specific good, over time you make your process more effiecient, lowering the cost of production. Given all we have heard about diode shortages, there is probably a large oportunity for cutting costs as time goes on.

    Second consider the idea of consumer surplus. Consumer surplus has to do with your maximum willingness to pay for a paticular good. Let say you see an apple being sold for $1, the maximum you would be willing to pay for such an apple is $1.50, therefore, (assuming you are hungry) you will buy the apple, and hence not only get the apple but a consumer surplus of $0.50 as well, because you paid $0.50 less than what you would had paid if you needed to. By setting the price of the PS3 at $600 at the beginning, only the people who would be willing to pay $600 or more for a PS3 will buy one (not that many people.) By steadily lowering the price over time, you begin to reach more and more consumers, since the price is now at their maximum willingness to pay. This way, everyone ends up paying close to the absolute maximum that they would be willing to spend on a PS3, and hence Sony milks all the consumer surplus out of thier customers, and make as much as they can on thier new console.

    At this point you are probably saying "damn those Sony bastard, what a ripoff!" But realize this kind of marketting tactic is used in many more places, look at Inkjet Printer (Or rather, the price of the cartridges,) look at cell phones, razors with replacable blades, electric toothbrushes... Ripping your customers off and making them think they are getting a good deal at the same time happens a lot more than you think.

  56. Late reply... but... by yakhan451 · · Score: 1

    SoaP was ripped on as "camp." Which to many, sayyy the Rocky Horror and MST3k crowd, makes it more interesting than a typical B-grade action flick... Even the studio saw this as positive, and repositioned themselves. The started [viral]marketing it as camp, and even reshot some scenes to make them _more_ ridiculous.

    PS3 is different. A gadget is either considered a value or it isn't. You don't see people buying UMDs _because_ they're a ripoff... only possibly _in spite_ of it.

    The closest thing to "camp" in the gadget world is "retro." For instance, buying an old Intellivision or whatever... but i don't think Sony can effectively market the PS3 this way unless they plan to have another PS3 rollout in 20 years. =)