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New Solar Panel Technology Gaining Momentum

jessiej writes, "Even though copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS), a newer type of solar panel, is less efficient than its silicon counterpart, millions are being invested in manufacturing. From the article: 'CIGS panels use far less raw material than silicon solar panels and the factories themselves cost less to build,' $25 million compared to $230 million in one example. These types of panels could even be made into a t-shirt logo."

181 comments

  1. I can see it now by also-rr · · Score: 5, Funny

    A debian logo on your shirt powering a small bewulf cluster of wearable computers computing Pi to many, many decimal places. What a talking point! How will the girls resist!

    1. Re:I can see it now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      They won't need to resist, they would be busy with solar powered toys of their own...

    2. Re:I can see it now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      And the women who wear it?

      "Nice... um... solar panels.."

    3. Re:I can see it now by aplusjimages · · Score: 0

      I thought the parent was referring to solar powered vibrators. Am I wrong?

      --
      Can I bum a sig?
    4. Re:I can see it now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      Until they put them where the sun doesn't shine....

    5. Re:I can see it now by Simplulo · · Score: 2, Funny

      more easily than men resist women's old-fashioned silicon-based enhancements.

    6. Re:I can see it now by Herger · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's a great idea, until the girls start throwing themselves at you, blocking the panels and crashing your cluster. New tech is so fraught with peril!

    7. Re:I can see it now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that means they'd have to play with those toys out in the sunshine, where everyone can watch. BRING IT ON!

    8. Re:I can see it now by ViciousAndCruel · · Score: 1

      Oh Please. Computer users in sunlight?

    9. Re:I can see it now by Burz · · Score: 1

      Unless you're a solar-panel inventor from South Africa who's name is Vivian.... then your groupies will arrive somewhat confused. :)

      In all seriousness, the above article is highly recommended. Germany and SA are already jointly manufacturing a CIGS cell that is a direct competitor to the one mentioned in TFA.

    10. Re:I can see it now by tinkertim · · Score: 1

      "I think our relationship may be in perl .. err, peril .. "

    11. Re:I can see it now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are not wrong. As for the other comments, they'd charge it in the light ahead of time. Then they'd have a private moment until it lost a charge. Perhaps one of you could get lucky and be around when she needs to finish up :)

  2. Silicon shortage? by in2mind · · Score: 2, Insightful
    FTA,
    Shortages of silicon have crimped sales in the solar industry.

    I thought silicon was abundant ..

    1. Re:Silicon shortage? by Zarniwoop_Editor · · Score: 4, Informative

      It is. Unfortunatly, to build solar cells you need crystalline silicon. These crystals have to be carefully grown and are quite expensive to produce.

      There is more info at ... http://www.howstuffworks.com/solar-cell.htm

      --
      - F1 NEWS
    2. Re:Silicon shortage? by hankwang · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I thought silicon was abundant ..

      I suppose it is the production capacity of the 99.99999% purity grade silicon they're talking about.

    3. Re:Silicon shortage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought silicon was abundant

      Silicon only makes up 25% of the mass of the Earth's crust. It is not like you can go down to the beach and find some. Or grab a rock with quartz in it (like granites, sandstones, basalts, etc.). Or dig up any piece of dirt anywhere on the planet. You have to search carefully or it will run away and hide from you.

      Btw, you are looking directly at some SiO2 right now.

      Cheers

    4. Re:Silicon shortage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes. Si is the second most abundant element on the surface of the Earth, next to oxygen.

      And that's the crux of the problem too. Silica (SiO2) is abundant (quartz sand), but SiO2 is a BITCH to break apart (the usual reaction is with carbon in an almost 2000 deg C arc furnace), you have to partially melt it or transform it into gaseous silanes (e.g., HSiCl3) to remove impurities, and then you have to grow the Si crystals in high temperature furnaces in very clean conditions. Some of the impurities have to be reduced to the parts per billion range for some applications. It is an energy-intensive and expensive process, and the demand for Si for computer chips cuts into supply for solar cells.

      Here's some info on making polycrystalline silicon, and wafer production, including crystal growth. All of that happens before the solar cells or chips get made.

      If we lived on a planet without any oxygen, maybe it would be easier :-)

    5. Re:Silicon shortage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Whats happening is shortages of silicon in the US. As is starting to happen with most large scale production, the cost of US labor is too high. US factories have less and less money to spend on raw materials because the cost of labor is going up.

      My father in law used to work for a solar panel manufacturer and had to find another job because the plant was on the verge of shutting down. Their German silicon provider cut their supply to the US to provide it to either Japan or China who was offering over 4 times the amount of money for the same amount resources.

      It all boils down to how much the US is able to pay for raw materials and keep their employees living the American lifestyle.

    6. Re:Silicon shortage? by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 4, Informative
      but SiO2 is a BITCH to break apart (the usual reaction is with carbon in an almost 2000 deg C arc furnace)

      You are partially right... I worked on a project where we were testing a new arc furnace design for smelting silicon (it was a DC furnace as opposed to AC). Wearing one of my hats on that project I wrote a computer model program of the mass and energy balances that took place in the furnace.

      My application of the physical chemistry and calculus have passed the haven't used it/lost it point, but if I remember some of the basic things correctly... basically yes it is a real bitch to actually split the silicon (Si) from the oxygen (however, silanes are not involved). It takes a tremendous amount of energy to do so. One of the reasons silica (SiO2) is so abundant is that it is so stable. Being so stable means that it is hard, thermodynamically and every other way, to break it apart. So while Silicon (Si) in the form of Crystaline Silica (SiO2, e.g. quartz, silica sand) is VERY abundant, Si on its own is VERY VERY rare. SiO2 is so much more stable than Si.

      • Typically the furnace at its hottest point will be around 5000 degrees C (a carbon monoxide plasma forms there).
      • The silicon metal at the furnace spout where it is tapped/poured from, is typically around 1400 - 1500 degrees C
      • The reaction is SiO2 + 2C -> Si + 2CO
      • The intermediate product includes SiO (silicon monoxide which only exists in gas phase at greater than 1400 degrees C) and SiC (silicon carbide).
      • Most of the actual reaction steps forming the silicon (from silica) happen in gas phase at obviously very high temperature.
      • The actual smelting process (chemically) is similar to smelting iron: reducing the base metal (removing the oxygen) using carbon as the reducing agent at very high temperatures. (Silicon higher than for iron.)
      • There are no silanes involved as you describe in the initial smelting process from SiO2 to Si.
      • With respect to the parent post about silanes: they are possibly created/used later if the silicon needs to be refined to semi conductor grade, but I don't know. I was not involved in this aspect of silicon refining, which is highly proprietary, and which I believe is (or was) protected by laws relating to national security).
      • The greatest use of silicon is not in electronics. It is in the making of synthetic rubber. e.g. silicone
      • Technically silicon is a metalloid... at room temp: non-conductive, 1200 - 1400 C, conductive, for example.
      • When it cools, it forms a metallic silvery solid that is very brittle, similar to bituminous or anthracite (hard) coal... which makes sense as it is in the same family as carbon. If you hit it with a hammer it breaks or shatters.
      • The main raw materials in smelting silicon are typically quartz, coal, and charcoal (and sometimes other more porous carbonaceous materials to improve gas permeability in the reaction bed. The coal and charcoal is for carbon content, not heat. The quartz needs to be quite pure... e.g. no or very very little iron etc in it (brown stains on quartz are typically from iron... not from wayward hikers.
      • In most silicon furnaces the top of the furnace mix is exposed to atmosphere, and is so hot the carbon monoxide (CO) off gas burns to CO2, which is inert/non poisonous (CO is as flammable as methane, but it is so poisonous that it is not practically safe to do so). Granted the large volumes of inert CO2 created is bad, but better than highly poisonous CO.
      • An interesting point is if you spill enough molten silicon onto a piece of iron/steel so that the iron starts to melt, the resulting reaction forming Ferro Silicon is so hot that it keeps reacting until one of the reactants is used up (e.g. until no more silicon or iron), or it hits enough of a heat sink to cool to solidification. We had a spill once that took out about 10 yards of the rail tracks some of our equipment rolled on, as well as some other pieces of steel equipment. All of which we needed to re-install or re-build in a couple of hours. Quite exciting, and a huge pain in the ass.
      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    7. Re:Silicon shortage? by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      It also has to do with environmental issues (the labour issue is very true as well). Smelting silicon is fairly dirty, releasing large volumes of CO2, carbon volatiles from the coal and charcoal, and often dusts (which they try to capture...). Other countries have cheaper labour, lower labour standards, and lower environmental standards. Yep... it's a level playing field. ;-) We just need to lower our standards and we can compete.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    8. Re:Silicon shortage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well it is like this the Computer industry gets priority for silicon since it is widely used in smallish quantity, The Solar power industry needs large quantities to make their big solar panels On average I would bet the amount of pure silicon used to make one computer is .01 percent that is needed to make a single solar cell.

      It seems to me that Oil companies would go out of their way to prevent solar power from gaining any advantage over coal, gas, and oil. The computer industry has the most inefficient designs that use mechanical storage devices when digital devices are powerful enough to do the job that use less power. CD's DVD's can be replaced now with digital media. The power supplies that can go to 500 watts of power, poor designed motherboards, and CPU's suck the power bills as well and contribute to global warming.
      There are so many issues that contribute to the so called Silicon shortage not one person will be able to cover it all.

      What is needed is an Apollo style program for power generation.
      We must seek out new ways to generate power that do not damage the environment, Solar currently is the leader of the pack for green energy after it is produced.
      www.apolloalliance.org

    9. Re:Silicon shortage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "It is an energy-intensive and expensive process, and the demand for Si for computer chips cuts into supply for solar cells."


      Absolutely correct, and that's the reason solar "energy" is 100% dependent on the existing cheap oil energy infrastructure we have in place now. In other words, you can't make solar cells using only solar cell energy sources. You might as well stop building those stupid solar cells and their factories (can you even build a factory with solar cell energy?) and just hang on to that oil and just reduce your energy footprint.


      Cuz oil truly is a magical energy source that packs a wallop of energy usable in many forms. Solar energy is just a temporary feel-good stopgap for the naive.

    10. Re:Silicon shortage? by Octopus · · Score: 1

      In LA, they even wear it! How decadent!

    11. Re:Silicon shortage? by arminw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      ....Solar energy is just a temporary feel-good stopgap for the naive......

      Perhaps not solar energy per-se, but just the idea of converting light directly into electricity with expensive to produce materials. Plants have perfected the process of capturing solar energy and converting it into useable energy forms. It seems utilizing this tried and true process to make some kind of bio-fuel would be a preferable way to go for large scale energy production, especially for transportation. Making a flexible fuel, such as bio-diesel from plant material grown on land or sea and then using the existing fuel handling and distribution infrastructure is a more viable way to go for now. Perhaps, 20 years from now (historically ALWAYS 20 years from now) local fusion reactors will become the means of providing abundant energy. Until then, using the fusion reactor which is 93 million miles distant is the only practical long term alternative to the fossil fuels.

      --
      All theory is gray
    12. Re:Silicon shortage? by catprog · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Current the energy to make a solar panel is about 2 years of the panel's output.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
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  3. How long to repay their energy debt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    If manufacturing of these panels also costs less energy to produce the panels then this is undoubtedly a better option. Currently, I believe a typical setup takes around 2 years best case to start producing power rather than just paying back what it cost to make.

    1. Re:How long to repay their energy debt by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      No, it starts producing power immediately. What you meant is it doesn't show any ROI for 2 years. Big difference.

    2. Re:How long to repay their energy debt by Locutus · · Score: 1

      I thought the comment was about how long it takes for the solar panel to generate the amount of energy which equals the total energy required for the manufacturing of that panel. This point is when the device starts actually being environmentally 'friendly'.

      LoB

      --
      "Anyone who stands out in the middle of a road looks like roadkill to me." --Linus
    3. Re:How long to repay their energy debt by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      Eh, semantics. It's not producing any emissions so it's environmentally friendly from day one in my opinion. Anyways, we're just quibbling over split hairs here :)

    4. Re:How long to repay their energy debt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, producing solar cells requires a huge amount of raw materials, chemicals, and energy- which in the US, likely means it will come from coal and the release of a large amount of emissions.

      The solar panel needs to run around 5 years to produce enough elecitity to make up for the electricty used to make it, and several more years to make up for the emissions produced in transporting, installing, mantaining, and disposing of the device.

      The total emissions released in the entire lifecycle of an energy source, divided by the energy produced, is what you have to look at when comparing the environmental impact energy sources. And in those meaures, current solar and wind technology is not particularly attractive, especially in comparison with hydroelectricity or nuclear. Significant breakthroughs are needed before solar energy can be a viable energy source, and as the original poster said, this technology looks like it will significantly reduce the energy requirements to produce solar cells, and thus reduce its enivronmental impact.

    5. Re:How long to repay their energy debt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does solar thermal (essentially advanced plumbing and some black paint, to a first approximation) stack up in terms of the pay-back time for
      energy used in construction (plus maintanenance and disposal)? I notice that in the UK one of the major home improvement chains has started stocking
      wind generators and solar thermal, but not photovoltaics. Ultimately I'd like to consider some renewable microgeneration for my house, but would
      like to select what is most appropriate based on the widest possible set of measures.

    6. Re:How long to repay their energy debt by nnnneedles · · Score: 1

      Well, if we use coal to build solar panels, we are slowly replacing coal with solar cells. Which should be worth it. The further down the road we go, the more power used to construct a solar panel will be coming from green sources.

      --
      Will code a sig generator for food
  4. So in fact... by Channard · · Score: 1

    .. you could have 'Solar Panel for a sex machine' on your T-Shirt and not be lying.

    1. Re:So in fact... by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      Apart for all the sex-toy jokes, that would be cool if I could plug my cell phone to this.

      And no, I am not thinking about the vibrator mode....

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    2. Re:So in fact... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that, by wearing that t-shirt, you are lying.

  5. Indium shortage? by in2mind · · Score: 3, Informative
    FTA
    Shortages of silicon have crimped sales in the solar industry. Although some analysts have said indium--the "I" in CIGS and a material used in LCD TVs--could be in short supply at some point, executives in the CIGS business have downplayed these concerns. Indium is actually fairly common in the earth, according to Schuyler.


    From Wikipedia:

    The use of indium increases the bandgap of the CIGS layer, gallium is added to replace as much indium as possible due to gallium's relative availability to indium. Approximately 70% of Indium currently produced is used by the flat-screen monitor industry. Some investors in solar technology worry that production of CIGS cells will be limited by the availability of indium.

    Iam not sure about where Wiki got the figure from though.

    1. Re:Indium shortage? by brunes69 · · Score: 3, Funny

      I am not sure about where Wiki got the figure from though.

      Me either, but the truthiness of it is undeniable!

    2. Re:Indium shortage? by starseeker · · Score: 1

      Given current raw material supply lines, I believe there might indeed be some limitations on raw materials. However, what I'm not sure of (and the really important question) is whether raw materials supplies could scale to meet the demand while remaining cost effective.

      Most materials involved with production of computers have had their refinement processes perfected over a long period of time. Indium, at least in the quantities needed for large scale solar panel construction, may still be an open question. How much is there on the Earth? Of that, how much is usable/obtainable economically? Once the first generation of panels is done, can they be recycled effectively?

      It is a concern, but I would like to see real hard core studies done of available raw materials availability and extraction costs before I conclude Indium is or is not viable in the long run.

      --
      "I object to doing things that computers can do." -- Olin Shivers, lispers.org
    3. Re:Indium shortage? by Truekaiser · · Score: 0

      not to mention gallium is mainly a by-product of aluminum production.
      aluminum is very energy intensive to produce, so much so that plants have to put next to hydro-plants or other power plants to get enough power.

    4. Re:Indium shortage? by Shajenko42 · · Score: 1

      You know, I heard that the population of elephants has tripled over the last six months. I read it somewhere, I think.

    5. Re:Indium shortage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      70% currently produced - common in earth.
      Means the increased demand for indium will force increase of production.

  6. Cheaper high-purity silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
  7. Are they messing with units again? by jamesh · · Score: 2, Funny

    First they measure the factory's output in megawatts per year, presumably because a 1m^2 CIGS panel is not the same as 1m^2 Silicon panel (reminds me of a time when it started dawning on CPU marketers that Mhz wasn't a good selling point when your CPU could crunch more numbers at a lower speed than your competitors).

    Then they use megawatts as a measure of how much power a large coal plant could produce in a year.

    Why can't they just stick to libraries of congress? Eg the unit of measure would be that released by burnt all of the books (and furniture) in a library of congress.

    1. Re:Are they messing with units again? by GotenXiao · · Score: 1

      Wow, you guys have a library now? So how come the average American is still so uneducated? :P

      --
      Goten Xiao
    2. Re:Are they messing with units again? by antifoidulus · · Score: 1, Troll

      Can we include just "congress" in your pyre as well?


      Oh hi friendly federal agent, of course I would love a cuban vacation let me just pa.............

      Remember kids, congress is better than you! Do everything they say without question.

    3. Re:Are they messing with units again? by xehonk · · Score: 1

      They are actually measuring the output in solar panels not in MW. They can produce enough solar panels in one year, to get a power of 100MW from them. Nothing wrong with that at all.

    4. Re:Are they messing with units again? by fizzup · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This has got to be the first reasonable usage of the unit megawatts per year. TFA says that they can build a factory to produce "100 megawatts of solar panels a year".

      The astute among us at slashdot always say, "Megawatts per year, eh? Does that mean they increase electric power production by 100 megawatts every year? Duh."

      Well, in this case, yes. Yes it does.

    5. Re:Are they messing with units again? by deficite · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      The library of congress was built in another day and time. Back when knowledge was a Good Thing (TM). Nowadays in the US, we have people in office who disregard education altogether and will show up to read books to elementary students (possibly because A. That's the reading level of many of our politicians these days, B. No chance of a 1st grader criticizing the way congress has become a marketplace for selling laws). It's really dumb, but effective (since most parents are even more dumb). "Oh, he read books to little Tommy! Who cares about the fact that this guy completely devastated a town as mayor and now wants to run for mayor!"

      Look at the way the government gives the shaft to the public education system. My school doesn't even have enough money to buy the basic necessities for our teachers. The teachers have to dig in their own wallets (which aren't very thick, considering teachers are for some reason not valued in this country. I think teachers should be some of the highest paid workers) to buy basic classroom supplies. On top of that, we have the stupid stupid Every Child Left Behind BS that really screws over the few good teachers we have left, because now they are forced to teach by government mandated curricula. I remember my biology teacher venting to us about how she was require to teach more about plants than humans. She felt that a portion of the class should deal with a certain mammal called Homo Sapiens and the gov said "No!"

      All I know, is my child (if an unfortunate being has to endure me) is going to private school, tutoring, or plain home schooling. If he/she wants to go to public school, I'll let him/her. Otherwise, I'm willing to dish out the dough to keep them out of the government prisons for youth. Our schools are prison institutions and patriot academies for the youth. Because we are just SO scary that the old folks don't want us doing something more productive. 12 years just to graduate? BS! I could obtain the same amount of knowledge in 8, maybe even less than that.

    6. Re:Are they messing with units again? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Read the post you replied to again: They use the library to get energy from burning books.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    7. Re:Are they messing with units again? by msevior · · Score: 1

      The comparison to a coal power station is misleading. A large coal fired power station can operate for some large fraction of the year at peak power, say 85%, whereas the solar panel only produces peak power during optimum condistions, which doesn't include the night :-)

      Generally the best solar sites get 20% availability, so 500 Megawatts of production produces about the same amount of energy as a 100 MegaWatt coal fired power station.

    8. Re:Are they messing with units again? by megaditto · · Score: 1

      This depends entirely on what you use the power for.

      Air-conditioning, for example, is mostly on during the day, so using solar panels to supplement mains power to the AC would be a good thing.

      The problem, of course, is that the solar panels just cost way too much right now.

      --
      Obama likes poor people so much, he wants to make more of them.
    9. Re:Are they messing with units again? by msevior · · Score: 1

      I agree they're currently too expensive but these developments are *really* interesting. The nanosolar plant is meant to have a Captial cost of less than $100 million for an annual production of 430 MW (peak). At 20% average availability that works out at $1200 per KW for the initial capital. There is no information about the running costs. Still this is in the ballpark of grid produced electricity. This is just the first plant so in principle there is plenty of head room for further cost reductions.

      All in all it will be very interesting to see the quality of the cells these guys produce next year. I notice that they're very cagey of efficiency and price etc. If they're anything like what they claim, they'll have huge margins given the massive world wide market for PV at prices 5-10 times higher than their costs. 400 MW of peak production currently sells for over 2 billion dollars!

      With those sort of profits they could easily afford to build new manufacturing capacity from existing cash flow and expand exponentially.

      All in all, watch this space in 2007.

  8. tshirts powering iPods by krell · · Score: 1

    There you go. Just stay out in the sun.

    --
    Where were you when the voynix came?
  9. bad units by marvinglenn · · Score: 1

    As an EE, when TFA uses phrases like "[...] 500 megawatts a year.", it gives me that warm fuzzy feeling that the writer really knows science and engineering. (Sarcasm intended) It makes me wonder how good the rest of the information in the article is.

    For those who are honorably ignorant of what I'm splitting hairs on (honorably in that you're not trying to write about something you don't know about): A 'watt' is already a rate of something per unit time. If the energy produced was to be quantified in units per year, it should be joules per year.

    --
    The whores get mad when the sluts give it away for free.
    1. Re:bad units by Watson+Ladd · · Score: 1

      Able to output panels with total capacity of 500 megawatts every year? That would work.

      --
      Inventions have long since reached their limit, and I see no hope for further development.-- Frontinus, 1st cent. AD
    2. Re:bad units by brunes69 · · Score: 1

      I imagine he is using the term as in "mega-watt-years-" just like "kilo-watt-hours".

    3. Re:bad units by andykuan · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think they intended those measurements to mean they are capable of manufacturing an aggregate number of solar panels capable of generating X megawatts in total annually. In other words, they're stating the total amount of power output they can output in a year. The confusion arises when the writer attempts to equate the annual output by a CIGS factory (measured in megawatts of power) with the annual output of a coal power plant (measured in megawatt-hours of work). My guess is that they are really stating that a coal power plant can produce 500 MW of power. Of course this indicates a deeper flaw in the discussion in that a coal power plant can continuously produce 500MW of power (presuming a constant supply of coal). Whereas a solar plant can only produce 500MW of power for half the day.

    4. Re:bad units by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's wrong to even make the comparison between the maximum output of a solar cell against the maximum output of a coal plant. 500 MW of solar will not replace 500 MW of coal. Unless of course the 500 MW is mean output, and you have a magical way of storing or transporting electricity without losses.

    5. Re:bad units by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Of course, in order to compare correctly, you'd also have to account for the energy needed to mine the coal and to transport it to the coal factory. And of course for the energy needed to build/install the solar panel and the coal plant, as well as the energy you need to get rid of both, of course taken over the expected lifetime of the panel/plant.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    6. Re:bad units by amorsen · · Score: 1

      As an EE, when TFA uses phrases like "[...] 500 megawatts a year.", it gives me that warm fuzzy feeling that the writer really knows science and engineering. (Sarcasm intended)

      He does seem to know what he is talking about. Perhaps you should learn to read before you criticise?

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    7. Re:bad units by xs650 · · Score: 1

      The problem is that they aren't clear what they mean. I interpret it to mean that they can produce enough photocells in a year to produce X megawatts peak power.

      I submit that it the more likely meaning because it would be a bigger number and make them look better, while still being a legitimate measure.

      A more meaningful number would be $/peak kW of raw DC output for a ready to use array.

    8. Re:bad units by jcaplan · · Score: 1

      Yes, the solar panels produced the first year would have a maximum output of 430 MW on a sunny day, but remember that this plant is producing solar cells with a fairly long life. The combined peak power would increase by 430 MW every year. The coal plant comparison given is useful for a sense of scale. Run this solar cell factory for 20 years and you have substantially reduced need for other sources of power.

      Having power available when demand is highest is very useful. Solar panels do this nicely. Peak load is on hot summer days, days when the sun is out and people are running their AC at full tilt. Although it would be nice to think that this solar would directly replace coal burned, it might tend to replace fossil fuel plants that can be "turned on" and "turned off" more quickly, such as natural gas turbines or, to a lesser extent, oil-fired plants. (Hydropower is also good for managing peak load.) Coal plants tend to be used for "base load."

      Unfortunately coal is our dirtiest source of fossil fuel energy for two reasons. First, it has a lot of impurities such as sulfur and heavy metals such as mercury which are released as coal is burned. (Expensive "scrubbers" can help to mitigate these problems and are require on new coal plant. Consequently old plants are kept in service for very long periods of time.) The second problem is carbon dioxide. For a given quantity of energy produced, burning coal will release more CO2 than other fossil fuels, such as natural gas, because

      CH4 + 2(O2) -> CO2 + 2(H2O)

      natural gas has hydrogen-carbon bonds, and gives water as one of its by-products, compared to coal which, being almost pure carbon, mainly has CO2 as its by-product. CO2 is, of course, one of the primary greenhouse gases, so replacing coal would help reduce global warming.

    9. Re:bad units by Dantu · · Score: 1

      The confusion arises when the writer attempts to equate the annual output by a CIGS factory (measured in megawatts of power) with the annual output of a coal power plant (measured in megawatt-hours of work). My guess is that they are really stating that a coal power plant can produce 500 MW of power. Of course this indicates a deeper flaw in the discussion in that a coal power plant can continuously produce 500MW of power (presuming a constant supply of coal). Whereas a solar plant can only produce 500MW of power for half the day.

      There is a bit deeper problem than that. He is comparing how quickly the CIGS factory can produce generating capacity (ie MW of Capacity/year) to how quickly the power plant generates energy (MWH/year or MW). A reasonable comparison would be the CGIS factory against a company that builds coal power plants, or how long it would take the CGIS factory to produce enough pannels to replace 1 coal power plant.

    10. Re:bad units by thisislee · · Score: 1

      The article really doesn't catch the point. Assuming that single plant keeps up production at the same rate, in 20 years there would be 20*430 MW = 8.6 GW of solar cells out there produced by the single factory. Once it's been around for the life of a solar cell, (lifetime)*430, would be the amount of in service solar power from the factory. The coal plant would still be 500 MW.

    11. Re:bad units by TastyCakes · · Score: 1

      No, the author is making a mistake. Andykuan above explains what it is. A 500MW coal plant produces 500MJ every second. "500MW per year" doesn't make sense.

    12. Re:bad units by TastyCakes · · Score: 1

      That or sequestering CO2 from coal plants.

    13. Re:bad units by ScaredSilly · · Score: 1

      Actually this is the standard measure of factory capacity for the solar industry, and is explained in TFA.

    14. Re:bad units by WhatDoIKnow · · Score: 1

      The figure I'd like to see is acres/megawatt.

      :wq

    15. Re:bad units by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think its you who aren't getting it right. What the author says is that the said factory is able to make so many panels in one year as to produce the said amount of Watts. It makes perfect sense to use this unit as a measure for the factory's productivity. Read it like: the factory will produce in one year so many panels as to yield -if used simultaneously, under good conditions...- five hundred Megawatts.
      Oh, you could read it as "wattage of panels produced by year"

      Sorry

    16. Re:bad units by swordfishBob · · Score: 1

      That's the way I saw it, but it would have been clearer to say the CIGS factory produces y MW of generation capacity each year.

      --
      -- All your bass are below two Hz
    17. Re:bad units by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 1
      For those who are honorably ignorant of what I'm splitting hairs on (honorably in that you're not trying to write about something you don't know about): A 'watt' is already a rate of something per unit time. If the energy produced was to be quantified in units per year, it should be joules per year.

      Now that you want to start split hairs, I inform you that in the field of civil engineering the unit of measurement for energy consumption (for heating a home, for example) is calculated in Watts per hour. Certain countries even incorporate that unit of measurement in their construction code tables. So it is easy to see that it isn't all that farfetched to calculate something in Watts per year, specially when the person doing the calculations wishes to put out a very big number to describe his product's power generation. You know, similar to the whole Gibibyte Vs Gigabyte thing.

      --
      Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
    18. Re:bad units by ColaMan · · Score: 1

      A 500MW coal plant produces 500MJ every second. "500MW per year" doesn't make sense.

      Makes the same sense as as kilowatt-hours.

      500MW-years is an output of 500MJ per second, for a whole year, giving a total output of 500 x 60 x 60 x 24 x 365 million Joules.

      So in the case of solar, and saying that the maximum output is for 8 hours a day, you'd need to put out 1500MW for 8 hours a day every day of the year to get the equivalent of a 500MW plant running 24/7.

      Storing that energy for use in non-generating times is an exercise left for the reader.

      --

      You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
      There is a lot of hype here.
    19. Re:bad units by TastyCakes · · Score: 1

      A MW-year isn't the same as a MW per year. The article says "A major, coal-burning power plant can churn out about 500 megawatts a year." The "year" at the end of that sentence is not needed, and it would seem from him putting it in there that the author doesn't realize a MW is not a unit of energy but a unit of energy per time. That's all anyone is saying here... It (sort of) makes sense to measure the output of solar panels in MW/year, since the generating capacity is increasing over time. It's like saying "I'm making coal plants at a rate of 500MW per year", when you mean that you build one 500MW coal plant per year.

    20. Re:bad units by catprog · · Score: 1

      MW is a unit of energy. MWh is a unit of energy per time everything else seems correct

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    21. Re:bad units by TastyCakes · · Score: 1

      Is this a troll? That is exactly backwards..

    22. Re:bad units by catprog · · Score: 1

      No not a troll.

      a 1 MW device that runs for 1 hour will use 1 MWh

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    23. Re:bad units by TastyCakes · · Score: 1

      That's true. And a MWh is a unit of energy. But you said

      "MW is a unit of energy. MWh is a unit of energy per time everything else seems correct".

      A MW is a unit of power, aka a unit of energy per time. A MW-hour is a unit of energy. (joules/time * time = joules)

    24. Re:bad units by catprog · · Score: 1

      Checked it out on wikipedia and yes you are correct.

      I was used to a device draws __ W and if you run it for 1 hour it uses Wh.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  10. Which logo + no more bribing needed? by BeeBeard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Or Universal Studios might go after you! Seriously, this is a wonderful innovation. In the past, making a new roof out of solar cells was so prohibitively expensive that states such as California had to offer homeowners incentives in the form of buy-down rebates, tax breaks, and so on--basically footing part of the bill just to get them using the technology. With the advent of CIGS, these kinds of environmentally-conscious bribes may not even be necessary. Cheap solar technology will now be far more accessible to people, companies, and governments. That is a Good Thing[tm].

    1. Re:Which logo + no more bribing needed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is in part due to those bribes that the technology has been driven to this point; it created demand, demand created profit, and profit drives investment.

      The investment in large scale plants will drive prices down, making the technology not only affordable, but actually price-effective. Unlike those solar panels which were put on the roofs in california even 5 or so years ago.

      It sounds like the combined output of all the new plants which are already planned will create about a GW worth of solar panels a year, starting around, oh, call it 2010. While this won't replace baseline power (e.g. those coal plants), it may just prevent a few of them from being built; after all, most power *is* used during the day. What it will do is replace (or prevent from being purchased) a bunch of peaking plants, e.g. natural gas and oil plants. In certain countries (e.g. most of them on the continent of Africa), a large amount of the peaking power is produced by small (kess than 10MW) diesel generators -- solar would be *MUCH* preferred.

      But even a GW a year is below our rate of increase in usage, I think. I don't recall the numbers, as it has been a while since I worked in power modeling. Regardless, this is a *wonderful* thing, and it was driven, in part, by governments bribing people to use the technology.

    2. Re:Which logo + no more bribing needed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "It is in part due to those bribes that the technology has been driven to this point; it created demand, demand created profit, and profit drives investment."


      "Regardless, this is a *wonderful* thing, and it was driven, in part, by governments bribing people to use the technology."


      This is bullshit. All those bribes of stolen tax money did nothing but deprive true solutions (such as this technology might turn out to be) from real investment, because it diverted funds into the manufacture of old-style photovoltaics, which until very recently didn't even produce as much electricity IN THEIR LIFETIME as they consumed in manufacture.


      Solar power can only be good for the environment if it also good economically -- that's because the economic cost of the installations roughly equates to the amount of enviromental damage done in manufacture and construction. And we all know that industries that have REAL economic potential don't need government help to survive, in fact, as in the case of smuggling and other activities, they will often thrive regardless of the face of every effort to exterminate them.


      The photovoltaic subsidies have acheived nothing more than:

      • help the thriving chip industry by providing a market for silicon that would otherwise be waste
      • transfering money from working people's taxes to rich yuppie's property values and electric bills
      • transfering money from working people's taxes to billionaire venture capitalists
      • damage the environment by encouraging the polluting production of silicon wafers
      • damage the environment by using up lots of electricity in the production of photo cells that never paid that electricity back
      • damage our scientific resources by diverting the best years of many smart people's lives into a dead end technology

      In short, I place your solar subsidies argument in the same basket as the "NASA paid for itself through spinoffs like Tang drink" and "if we use public funds to build this sports stadium we will get it all back in sales tax on the concessions" arguments.


      The waste basket.


      Hopefully the success of the technology from Helio Volt and other places will put those subsidies in a well-deserved grave. Now only if we could convince the government to stop paying farmers not to grow peanuts.

  11. About solar cells and raw materials... by imsabbel · · Score: 1

    You dont actually need that much material for solar cells, if you produce them the right way.
    The whole concept of those thin film solar cells is that you can get nearly perfect absorption of the light in less than 5 um thickness. Add a base layer, a tin-oxide contact layer on top, and some surface protection, and its entirely possible to make a cell 0.1 mm thick, only 1/10 of it using potentially rare materials.

    --
    HI O WISE PRINCE. WHT TOOK U SO DAM LONG?
  12. But can you make roads with it? by gsyswerda · · Score: 3, Interesting
    What we need is a solar panel technology that we can pave roads with. There would be many advantages:

    - The land is already available

    - An industry already exists for keeping it cleared

    - Roads already extend to most places where people need power

    - Electric cars could be charged, and "gas" stations could service them. Same for electric trains.

    - Roads would become revenue producing

    --
    Make a difference: move to a swing state.
    1. Re:But can you make roads with it? by niceone · · Score: 1

      Yeah, then all we'd need to develop would be transparent cars.

      I'm joking!

    2. Re:But can you make roads with it? by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Even with the improvements in manufacturing, it's hard to see this being economical, especially counting wear and tear.

      However, roads are _black_. In some places you can fry an egg on them at noontime. Why not some kind of heat exchange pump that converts the noontime heat differential into electricity by using the heat differential between the road and some kind of heat reservoir? Then at midnight, when your photovoltaics are useless, you run your heat exchanger in reverse. This might work in places like Arizona, which have a large daytime/nightime temperature differential.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    3. Re:But can you make roads with it? by ShakaZ · · Score: 1

      In fact this method has already been used in energy efficient house projects sponsored by the EU. What amazed me when i read the paper was that that was the measure which had produced the biggest energy output.

    4. Re:But can you make roads with it? by cliffski · · Score: 1

      you dont need panels that you can actually drive over in the normal sense. the panels could be mounted a few centimeters below the surface with some kind of replacebale grid over the top that the car tyres actually travel on.
      or you could sue them for the lane diviers in long strips, to minimise the extent to which they are driven over.

      im talking nosnense, but I really like your idea. If I was a billionaire, I'd bung you 10 million to develop a prototype.

      --
      DRM-free indie games for the PC and Mac: Positech Games
    5. Re:But can you make roads with it? by Halo1 · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, I can't find a link to it, but recently I read an article about a new social housing project in Belgium where the houses in that neighbourhood would get their warm water in this way. I don't believe it was used for electricity though.

      --
      Donate free food here
    6. Re:But can you make roads with it? by jbengt · · Score: 1

      I know! What we really oughta do is tie together the heat exxchanger under the road and the line of solar panels along the side with batteries and thermal storage so when it snows, we can pump the stored energy into the road to melt the snow.
      Seriously, I've worked on several homes with gas-fired boilers where the biggest load on the boilers was for snow melt of the driveway and sidewalks. Seems to me like an awful waste compared to hiring someone to plow or shovel.

    7. Re:But can you make roads with it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a lot of area on roofs away from the mechanical stress of roads that
      it might make more sense to use first. Microgeneration is inefficient in some
      ways if not connected via a microgrid too, but does mean a reduction in losses
      due to transmission. The issue really becomes the maintenance of many, many
      installations and the risk that too high a proportion will be maintained badly
      if at all, but then that argues for offices, shopping malls, sports stadiums,
      and so on to be the primary focus as there tends to be more focused maintenance.

      In sunny places there should be an effort to implement whichever solar
      technologies offer a good benefit for any costs.

      This having been said energy efficiency is still probably the way to go.
      Decent roof insulation reduces losses of heat in winter or unwanted solar
      gain in summer, can be made from recycled materials and the pay back period
      is typically very short (as short as a year or two).

    8. Re:But can you make roads with it? by gbjbaanb · · Score: 1

      Yes you can, and they do. I can't find the link to the full story I read, but there is this which is being used now, partly to heat water and party to ensure that you don't need to de-ice the road in winter (as in this link, all originally designed by this Dutch company.

      Alternatively, there is a bit about what you can buy and use today in your back garden (not for tarmac road heatpumps, but ground heatpumps) here

    9. Re:But can you make roads with it? by misleb · · Score: 1

      Maybe if you're out in the desert with little wear, no weather damage, and no plowing/salt/sand. Most places I've lived (northern US) they can barely maintain plain ol' asphalt. I'd hate to see how poorly solar panels on roads would be maintained. They'd have to be extremely rugged.

      I'd rather see house shingles made from small solar panels. You know, something that doesn't have trucks diving over it daily..:P

      -matthew

      --
      "THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS ONLY ME." -Death
    10. Re:But can you make roads with it? by crhylove · · Score: 1

      I've said this SO many times. Even if the roads were much, much less efficient than the crystalline silicon panels, the vast expanse of them would more than make up for that.

      --
      I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  13. Yes and no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm fighting this battle all the time. But in this case it is correct.

    Watson Ladd is right. "100 Megawatts per year" means "solar cell capacity corresponding to 100 megawatts leaving factory each year", which makes perfect sense.

    For geeks: it is an acceleration, the rate of a rate, like metres per second squared :-)

    OTOH you are right too -- TFA busts it with coal plants: "A major, coal-burning power plant can churn out about 500 megawatts a year" is, of course absolutely bogus, since the coal plant produces power and not "devices which produce power".

    Grrr.

  14. Or line the roads with it by BeeBeard · · Score: 1

    I can tell you're a "big picture" kind of person. But in regards to this technology, I think that the more doable implementation would be to line roads with it--perhaps finally allowing for road markings that light up at night and improve driver safety.

    1. Re:Or line the roads with it by thePig · · Score: 1

      I guess a lowly fluorescent marker will also do the job as well.

      --
      rajmohan_h@yahoo.com
    2. Re:Or line the roads with it by BeeBeard · · Score: 1

      I think you're thinking about road signs, whereas I'm talking about a substitute for the paint that is used to line roads and mark lanes. Fluorescent paint is not half as good as active lighting. The paint is subject to the elements and fades over time, becoming less and less safe in the process. Something that is only fluorescent is not as noticeable and safe as something that is both fluorescent and emits its own light.

      But now that you mention it, there are many places in the U.S. that don't light their road signs (even the big green ones you see on interstates and beltways) and driving in those places at night is difficult as a result. The fluorescent markers don't do a good job, they just do a job that is commensurate with their cost. This new technology will bring down the cost of better alternatives in whatever field you can imagine. That was the whole point of the article.

  15. Dangers of solar power by edxwelch · · Score: 5, Funny

    If you deploy too many solar panels in one place you could use up all the sunlight. This has already happened in nothern Scandinavia and during part of the winter they now are in total darkness.

    1. Re:Dangers of solar power by hey! · · Score: 4, Funny

      If you deploy too many solar panels in one place you could use up all the sunlight. This has already happened in nothern Scandinavia and during part of the winter they now are in total darkness.

      Silly. You're getting free electricity. Just set up a bunch of bright lights to replace the lost sunlight.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    2. Re:Dangers of solar power by ByteSlicer · · Score: 4, Funny
      Just set up a bunch of bright lights to replace the lost sunlight.
      Yeah. And if you point the lights at the panels, you won't need sunlight anymore!
    3. Re:Dangers of solar power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But as we all know, if you point the electric lights at the panels, part of the energy is lost as heat. To recover that, you need to install a heat engine next to the solar panel. But even the heat engine loses part of the energy as heat. So, you need another heat engine next to the first one. And then a third one and so on. In order not to lose any energy, you need to have people increasing heat engines next to each other all the time, and this is why it's called perpetual motion.

      Of course, perpetual motion is impossible because the people who'd have to keep installing heat engines are required by law to have breaks and vacations. That's how the laws of thermodynamics limit energy production. Personally, I think we should have repealed those laws a long time ago.

    4. Re:Dangers of solar power by snicho99 · · Score: 1

      Ah hah! I've heard this argument before. But I can do one better. You all gotta watch a film. It was called "The Matrix". I think a bright young chap named Guano or Keno or something was in it.. It's obvious that we don't need the sun at all because we can get all the power we need from our own bio electrics! Get with the program people. Sheesh....

      --
      -Steve http://www.stevennicholson.com
    5. Re:Dangers of solar power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It might sound funny, but here in Bihar (India), we use gas lanterns to power Television Sets during power blackouts (which is more as frequent as sunrise).

      The TV is fixed with Solar Panels to run on Solar Power during daytime.

  16. What about amorphous silicon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought that was going to take the world by storm for precisely the reasons you give.

  17. Is anyone working on this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is such an incredible package of benefits that you'd think people would be actively pursuing it.

    In particular, "Roads would become revenue producing" is the bit that ought to be attracting the entrepreneurs and venture capitalists.

    It's a terrific idea, even better than piezo-electric power generation in roads from passing vehicles (most roads are empty most of the time, after all, so piezo would be inefficient).

    1. Re:Is anyone working on this? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      I guess in big towns, the piezo roads would be more efficient than solar roads. First, there's usually a lot of traffic on city roads, which is good for piezo roads, but bad for solar roads (shadows from cars). Moreover, in towns, the roads tend to get lots of shadow from the buildings. That's assuming sufficient efficiency of the respective technology itself, of course.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    2. Re:Is anyone working on this? by aXis100 · · Score: 1

      You cant get energy for nothing. Piezo roads would suck energy from cars (due to the peizos compressing) and thus cars would use more fuel (at a really sucky efficiency level)

    3. Re:Is anyone working on this? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Yes, but that fuel is payed for by the car owners, not the road owners. :-)

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  18. kdawson is a hippie! by BeeBeard · · Score: 1

    This solar energy story combined with previous gratuitous use of the "enlightenment" icon all point to one conclusion: Our own kdawson has gone granola! Make love, not wars, man. Peace in the Middle East! :)

  19. Finally, a solar article about something real by starseeker · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I used to know one of the guys who went to work at Miasolé. He was a sharp guy with a lot of experience in CIGS and related materials.

    Slashdot has had a habit of posting the "next big solar breakthrough" which, in the fine print, is not so big yet but will be RSN. CuInGaSe2, on the other hand, has a long track record and previous commercial attempts have produced some solar panels with usable efficiencies (not great, but usable).

    CIGS has the advantage of being a direct band gap material, but there are some limits to how far you can push it in efficiency as a single layer device that have not been overcome. One serious advantage is that this material has a fairly wide tolerance on relative elemental composition - different ratios of material in the film will still produce a working cell within a fairly wide range. This is important because industrial process control has tolerances, and wider tolerances mean less expensive production. CuInSe2 and related compositions have some rather interesting electrical properties with respect to defect behavior that allow them to work in this fashion. Anyone with a real interest in this should look at some dense but extremely interesting work by Zunger at NREL.

    The biggest problem with CIGS as a production material is probably that it can't "piggyback" on the industry built up for the computer industry. I know that sounds strange, since its lack of reliance on that source of material is also its advantage, but tools to work with CIGS have to be developed more or less from scratch. That's expensive, and the reason that these initial investments are important. The process must be bootstrapped.

    CIGS of course doesn't address other problems with solar adoption, such as durability over time, public acceptance and investment, etc. But CIGS is a real material with real potential, and not simply IPO vaporware.

    Also of longer term interest is the idea of multijunction solar cells, which use different wavelengths of light on each layer and thus can push efficiencies much higher. Unfortunately they are also an EXTREMELY difficult practical challenge for production. However, there is a lot that can still be done. We REALLY need more funding for solar research in this country, and more basic research in general, but that's another post.

    Good luck to the Miasolé team!

    --
    "I object to doing things that computers can do." -- Olin Shivers, lispers.org
    1. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      And don't overlook the two problems with solar generated electricity over and above deploying the technology -- storage and distribution. It is well and good to generate a gazillion Megawatt hours somewhere between Mojave and Boron California, for maybe an 8 hour production day in July. But some years in December, we are only going to get power for six hours a day and some weeks only three days because it is overcast and drizzling the other four days (yes, some years it drizzles in the Mojave). How do we deal with not having the massive solar plants on line when folks on the East Coast start up the machinery of commerce at 0500 AM PST? There are plenty of possibly feasible storage technologies that could allow us to use excess power today or this week, to generate power tomorrow or next week. but, I believe, there are essentially no meaningful storage facilities currently on line.

      There is also the non-trivial problem of getting electricity from where the sun shines a lot to where people need to use it. The US grid is pretty fragile and nowhere near being up to shipping massive amounts of power across the country. During the California power crisis five years ago, they couldn't even get power between the Northern and Southern parts of the state. That problem is probably solvable using existing technology. But it might take a decade or two to solve it. I don't see anyone solving it or any leadership from either political party in the US toward getting it solved.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    2. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by ScaredSilly · · Score: 1

      The biggest problem with CIGS as a production material is probably that it can't "piggyback" on the industry built up for the computer industry. I know that sounds strange, since its lack of reliance on that source of material is also its advantage, but tools to work with CIGS have to be developed more or less from scratch. That's expensive, and the reason that these initial investments are important. The process must be bootstrapped. I would argue, however, that this is actually partly an advantage. The semiconductor industry is based on batch processes for the most part. That usually means slow. Miasole's factory uses reel-to-reel manufacturing, and will be able to exploit the high volume equipment designed for this type of manufacturing.

    3. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by cyberscan · · Score: 1

      I have been anxious for products for several years. However, I have been sorely disappointed by so called advances in alternative energy. I will be happy when I can spend a couple of thousand of dollars on this stuff and have no power bills for about 10-20 years. If this technology is as promising as many say, then it would be a very good investment towards improving national security. Imagine taking a small part of the money being used to bomb a country into oblivion and using it to get the U.S. off of the oil tit. We would not even have a power grid crisis if everyone all of the sudden became able to produce their own power. If this technology is as cheap as people say it is, why is it not on the roofs of every Tom Dick and Harry's homes.

      I am not optimistic. I do not see the entrenched corporate interest allowing this type of independence. What we need is for someone to come up with a cheap and easy way of producing alternative energy that can be manufactured in the homes of any reasonably competent Tom Dick or Harry. WHen that happens, then we will see real advances in technology and freedom.

    4. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by misleb · · Score: 1
      CIGS of course doesn't address other problems with solar adoption, such as durability over time,


      Doesn't the relative cheapness of the panels address this? Say they aren't particularly durable. If they are cheap... and even better, recyclable... then maybe durability is moot.

      -matthew

      --
      "THERE IS NO JUSTICE, THERE IS ONLY ME." -Death
    5. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by Shajenko42 · · Score: 1

      An alternative is to simply reduce the amount of electricity you need to generate in the first place. For instance, switching to geothermal heating and cooling would drop your electricity usage a good amount. Solar thermal water heating will take out another chunk.

      The major cost is up front, but that can be compensated for with equity loans - as you'll be saving on electricity bills over time, if the monthly payments are low enough you might just be paying less money monthly right from the beginning.

    6. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, because the costs of human beings needed to do installations is a limiting factor. Installing a solar panel roof is likely to be equally or more complex than a regular roof.

    7. Re:Finally, a solar article about something real by gunpowder · · Score: 1
      CIGS of course doesn't address other problems with solar adoption, such as durability over time, public acceptance and investment, etc.

      According to the first article linked in TFA:
      "CIGS also doesn't degrade in sunlight like other thin-film technologies."

      Actually I own a rollable CIGS solar panel (not longer produced, and not to be confused with this one that uses amorphous silicon). Whenever those panels pop up on eBay they create a ot of interest and are sold at a high price.
      I doubt there will be a problem with public acceptance, if the price gets to the same level or lower level as current solar panels. The primary reason why solar technology is not so successful in being adopted is the high initial investment. Of course we all would also like to see a increase in efficiency, but in all fairness ... even with 100% efficient energy conversion we'll get at most 350W/sqm

      The sources I found claim that CIGS cells last 40+ years. Another advantage over mono-/polycrystalline silicon is that CIGS can also operate quite well under cloudy conditions. AFAIK such solar panels have been in use by NASA for many years already, one major reason is their stability and longetivity, but NASA now prefers even more efficient, specialised solar cell technology.
      IIRC compared to other thin-film solar panel technologies CIGS is the one with the highest efficiency (at least it used to be), but it is still far short what a ordinary (non thin-film/flexible) mono- and polycrystalline silicon cells can archive.
  20. Unlikely in the short term by starseeker · · Score: 2, Informative

    If you look at road surfaces, you will see that they are "clean" only in the sense of being free of large scale obstacles. Tire marks, dirt, oil, and other random stuff is all over the road surface.

    Solar panels need optical transparency in their protective layer. Keeping roads clean enough to provide that level of optical clarity is just not going to be workable, except possible with nanotechnology.

    When we get self rebuilding roadbeds then solar roadbeds might be practical, but for now roofs are much more practical as targets - most are slanted, don't have cars running over them, and get rained on periodically to help with self cleaning.

    --
    "I object to doing things that computers can do." -- Olin Shivers, lispers.org
    1. Re:Unlikely in the short term by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you looked how clean your roof is recently? :)

      Mind you, it would be an incentive to clean it if your PC wasn't working ...

  21. Volkswagens are much more appropriate by bigtrike · · Score: 2, Funny

    The unit of weight of the media, the Volkswagen, is much more appropriate

  22. How will they resist? by gringer · · Score: 3, Funny

    By using a resistor, of course.

    --
    Ask me about repetitive DNA
    1. Re:How will they resist? by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Ohm my God, you went there.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    2. Re:How will they resist? by thegameiam · · Score: 1

      It is useless to be a resistor!

      --
      Need Geek Rock? Try The Franchise!
    3. Re:How will they resist? by andy_t_roo · · Score: 1

      don't you know resistance is futile?

    4. Re:How will they resist? by ppc_digger · · Score: 1

      >don't you know resistance is futile?
      if <1 ohm, of course.

      --
      Of all major operating systems, UNIX is the only one originally meant for gaming.
    5. Re:How will they resist? by dfries · · Score: 1

      And what does a resistor do when you put power through it? It gets hot! Somehow I don't think a T-shirt full of low grade solar cells will be able to make a resistor hot enough to matter.

  23. Cost vs Efficiency by sfm · · Score: 3, Informative

    It is not the efficiency (W/m^2) that needs to go UP in order to make fixed solar generation facilities common, it is the cost ( $/W) that needs to come DOWN.

    I'll argue that for a typical small house (1500 sq-Ft) there is more than enough roof area to generate all the electricity for the house, even with 6-7% efficient solar panels. Unfortunately, buying current solar panels, this much energy would cost you >$35,000 !! (And that doesn't include batteries, tracker, inverter.... etc)

    If these guys can make lower efficiency panels that also have lower cost/Watt, it is a winning situation for everyone. Where do I buy their stock ?

    1. Re:Cost vs Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      If the 1500 ft^2 house is two storey then this is about 75m^2 plan area. The roof area, if pitched, will be somewhat more than that, but the angle of
      the sun at various points will also affect the energy per square metre. A full analysis would involve latitude, pitch angle, etc., but let's assume
      that the roof area and sun angle is such that it is perfect all day. At 6% efficiency it might generate 4kW. This would be enough to run the peak
      demand of an air conditioning unit in a house in a warm part of the USA if the house was not well insulated. This is with the entire roof covered in
      panels, which would be very expensive. So at 6% efficiency it doesn't look to be a good bet. At 20% efficiency then you'd be generating more like
      12kW, which is respectable, except that your roof/weather/orientation/latitude would be such that you would not achieve this over the whole day and
      every day.

      So the first measures should be effective insulation (walls and ceiling) and energy efficient appliances and systems. The $ return per $ spent
      is better.

      Having done this it is then worth looking at what residual power needs you have. If you need hot water than you'd be better off with
      solar thermal on part of the roof as the efficiency is higher, and a well insulated hot water tank is a very cheap way of storing energy. If you
      are almost never in during the day then PV panels might not make sense as they would be generating power when you are elsewhere, unless you either
      have a storage mechanism, or you are exporting your power to a grid or microgrid. If you live in a windy area then for windy winter nights then
      a roof-mounted wind generator might be appropriate.

      On the other hand if you are retired and home most of the day but go to bed early then on top of the solar thermal PV panels might make sense.

      It all depends. There's a good case for microgeneration of electricity on offices, malls, etc., that are in use during daylight hours, possibly
      more so than solar thermal as you'd never use all that hot water. For a health spa, though, solar thermal to warm that swimming pool would be
      ideal.

      It's all about appropriate measures, but almost always the first measures need to be energy efficiency - insulate, and reduce power usage in
      appliances (e.g. fridges, which are improving dramatically, and LCD TVs which now use about half the power compared to an equivalent screen
      size CRT).

    2. Re:Cost vs Efficiency by Perp+Atuitie · · Score: 1

      One of the blocks to getting more interest in solar tech is the lack of real comparisons. The article says a plant to produce 1000 megawatts worth of panels a year would cost around $25 million. By comparison, a nuke power plant of the same size costs $3 billion or more. But how long will the panels last compared to the nuke? Is the 1000 megs an average for the US or world climate, or a best-case scenario? And how does the cost of building a panel manufacturing plant relate to the end cost of the panels themselves? And what about related costs -- obvious in the case of nukes, but in the case of panels, stuff like energy storage and conversion, maintenenance and replacement, etc.? I know this is all early days and all, but if they're looking for financing they already have ballpark numbers in answer to questions like these. That they apparently don't make those answers public gives their efforts the smell of hype. I want to believe, but faith-based economics is too much to swallow. Has anybody found some real comparative projections?

    3. Re:Cost vs Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just think about what you're saying. Let's assume you quadruple the efficiency but at the same time the cost double. So yes, it'll cost twice as much to cover your roof. But wait, you've quadrupled your efficiency. This means you only need a quarter of the space and thus it ends up being half the price (not to mention you need less space for the solar panels). Obviously I've made up the numbers on the spot, but I'm just saying that you're argument about cost being more important than efficiency is complete bullcrap.

      Not to mention that tech, historically, gets drastically cheaper as time progresses.

    4. Re:Cost vs Efficiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      more than enough roof area .... batteries, tracker, inverter

      If you are doing a roof mount....you don't have trackers.

      Many systems lack batteries - grid intertie

    5. Re:Cost vs Efficiency by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Yes, but that's not how it typically works. Usually it goes the other way. It's more like double the efficiency at four times the cost. The poster is saying that it's not really the specific efficiency of the panels that ultimately matters, but the monetary efficiency.

      If you have to cover a half acre with panels just to get enough energy to run a 2000 ft^2 house, that might sound like a bad idea. But suppose it cost less than the lawnmower to do the whole thing?

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    6. Re:Cost vs Efficiency by khallow · · Score: 1

      Two things, first you're off by a factor of ten. The factory in question would produce 100 megawatts of solar cell generation capability. Second, the article doesn't actually say how much the solar panels will cost, but only mentions how much the factory would cost.

  24. Nano Solar by hey · · Score: 1

    Of course a company called "Nano Solar" would get funding.

  25. Road signs and such would be easier. by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    In the US try putting panels on the backs of or mounted elsewhere on billboard signs.

    Also, the signage on bridges could be used for power generation as well.

    The only problem, if the stuff is recyclable someone will steal the materials.

    All rest areas should have solar powered facilities, or at least augmented.

    I think you are using the right of way that freeways have incorrectly. We could use that same right of way to put panels on poles down the centers of freeways or on the sides. The only issues are causing distraction, but that would amend itself as people would become accustomed to them. The other problem is accidents. Poles tend to do a lot of damage.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  26. But whats the marginal cost of producing panels? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Right so 25 million dollars gets you 100mw a year. So build 15 billion dollars worth of factories and you get enough panels every year to provide about 10% of the United Kingdoms annual power use. In ten years your entire country is solar powered. Sounds suspiciously cheap. How much does each panel cost to produce? Somehow I suspect a lot.

    Why just tell us the factory cost? Without know the production costs its meaningless? Grr irritating.

  27. $1.37 and sub $1 a watt panels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    The nanosolar people claim the panels can be done in a web-press like machine. (Web presses, the way all thoes unsolicited catalogs you get are made, so buying in bulk from the Chinese makes it cheap!) They claim a 20+ year lifespan. And they would be WAY cheaper than the Ovonics Uni-Solar products.

    The only 'problem' is the back-end electronics are still "expensive" and will remain so, even if panels drop from the present price of $5+ per watt to $1. The panels will just be the cheapest part in such a system. Now, if you were powering, oh say, 48 VDC or 12VDC computers, the interface electronics could be as simple as a diode.

    1. Re:$1.37 and sub $1 a watt panels by Paolone · · Score: 1

      Our computers can run with 12V. Just get a DC-DC PSU instead of the whole AC-DC transformer.
      So, during the day you can run off-grid and "plug-in" the AC-DC converter at night.

  28. Solar Power is The Future by MrSteveSD · · Score: 1

    I find it amazing that given the enormous potential of solar power, there is so little money being invested. When it comes to fusion, governments invest billions in international programmes, yet invest virtually nothing for solar research. Why is that? Is it due to lobbying from oil companies?

    1. Re:Solar Power is The Future by toddhisattva · · Score: 1
      I find it amazing that given the enormous potential of solar power, there is so little money being invested. When it comes to fusion, governments invest billions in international programmes, yet invest virtually nothing for solar research. Why is that? Is it due to lobbying from oil companies?

      Why would oil companies care about solar power? Oil is a transportation fuel, not an electric power plant fuel (except in odd cases when the coal train is late and so on).

      Now coal companies, they would compete with solar. They probably don't care about it. Too small.

      I would guess that the reason for the research funding difference, is solar does not provide gigawattage. At least, not down here on a rotating planet with a thick atmosphere.

  29. Questions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) Can these solar panels be made in quantity effectively and without environmental pollution?

    2) Are the materials in these panels toxic, requiring special disposal (like batteries)?

    3) Are the materials in these panels toxic, being dangerous to have near the skin or risk leakage?

    4) Are they long lasting (how many years of use)?

    5) What is their efficiency? How much better are they than traditional panels?

  30. And Teddy Kennedy won't allow windmills... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do you think a culture where the rich and powerful put an end to wind farms near Martha's Vinyard would allow acres and acres of land to be covered with solar panels?

    Although it would probably be worth it to put a few tens of thousands of square miles of the Sonoran Desert in Arizona under solar panels just to see how it would cause the heads of ecofreaks to explode.

    Hey, if we could contain those exploding heads we'd be able to get even more energy!

  31. There are other promising techniques. by jelle · · Score: 2, Informative

    There are other promising techniques of harvesting sunlight, to only give a small sample: this one uses buckyballs and gets 5.2% efficiency, and something sort of similar using pentacene has similar promises, and this one uses the all-famous carbon nanotubes to convert it directly into hydrogen (but for now it only works with UV-light)

    If this keeps up, we'll probably have a choice from a whole range of efficiencies, and more importand $/watt.

    There already are companies out there that sell solar shingles. They're not economical yet for most applications, but it's starting to come.

    --
    --- Hindsight is 20/20, but walking backwards is not the answer.
  32. Easier to Manufacture by Original+Replica · · Score: 1

    Great, does this mean we can cover the already flat, already ugly roofs of most commercial buildings with them? Can attractive "solar shingles" be made with them? Can them make up for less efficency with wide scale adaptablity/adoptiblity?

    --
    We are all just people.
    1. Re:Easier to Manufacture by sillybilly · · Score: 1

      I think functional things are some of the most beautiful things in the world. Beauty is always in the eyes of the beerholder.

  33. Must be asked. by kahrytan · · Score: 1

    But will the t-shirt sized solar panels power a Linux tablet pc?

    --
    \
    1. Re:Must be asked. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well sure. Everyone with a Linux tablet pc wears a size XXXL, right?

    2. Re:Must be asked. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that another way of asking, "but will it run linux?"

  34. Miasole by ScaredSilly · · Score: 4, Informative

    I've seen the Miasole production facility and had a chat with the CEO and one of the engineers at the end of the summer. There're a few interesting things that TFA doesn't mention. First, Miasole claims the low $25M price tag for a 200MW factory because they build all of their equipment from scratch. When I was on the floor, they were building a single 25MW line which they turned on for testing last month. That cost them a grand total of $4M (in parts) to build. E.g. they've already done one, so the pricing is reasonably accurate. Subsequent lines will be cheaper. This will give them a huge cost advantage over other similar companies.

    Secondly, their production process is cheaper not only because material costs are lower, but also because they use a "reel-to-reel" process in which the semiconductor material is deposited on a sheet of steel which unrolls into the line, and then rolls back up on a reel on the other side. The steel sheets can then be cut and woven into a vinyl enclosure which can be rolled out on your roof like regular roofing shingles. Cool stuff. (They're probably going to attack industrial markets first though...)

    Third, the management team comes from the disk drive industry, and built the Seagate facility that is responsible for ~30% of the world's hard drives (could have the percentage slightly wrong, but is in the ballpark). Hard drives use a similar thin film deposition process, and they have built several other manufacturing systems based on thin film processes. This is why the are able to get such a low cost on their equipment: they have the contacts and expertise to build from scratch.

    For the record, I have not talked with their competitors, so I don't know the whole story, but Miasole seems very well positioned, and their facility is certainly real.

    1. Re:Miasole by khallow · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Assuming that you can get the equivalent of 8 hours of full power for 300 days a year at $10 per MwH, that appears to generate $600k of power from a $4 million investment. A 15% return (not including inflation) on investment looks decent assuming they can actually deliver on that.

    2. Re:Miasole by sillybilly · · Score: 1

      I been thinking about setting up my own, homebuilt solar panel factory, and then I can save a lot of money by not having to buy the overpriced panels from these guys, just like they save money by not having to buy overpriced equipment from industry experts such as Applied Materials.

  35. Indium in FPD by waveman68 · · Score: 1

    One person commented about Indium in the Flat Panel Display (FPD) industry. It is true that it is used in all LCD displays in Indium Tin Oxide (ITO), a Transparent Conducting Oxide. The industry has been searching for a replacement, since it is expensive and constrained, but has been expensive. My credentials: I worked for a company which made the machines to coat ITO on glass for the LCD manufactures (one of the hardest steps in the process).

  36. The next new thing effect by ipsender · · Score: 1

    Another article which mentions capitalisation of a new technology, but for which the editor has not done any homework on the current state of trends in silicon development. See here http://www.csgsolar.com/pages/technology.php?lang= en and http://www.originenergy.com.au/environment/environ ment_subnav.php?pageid=1233 for announcements of factories already in production of variants of silicon technology.

  37. Not labor intensive. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    What are you picturing?

    1000 third world workers pumping bellows while the smith hammers on the silicon?

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  38. It's all about the heat by dino213b · · Score: 1

    As a point of amusement, you should look into just how much energy it takes to just purify raw ore into something usable. Abundant? -Yeah. Usable? -Not until you blow more energy on it than the solar panel might collect in 7 or so years of average daylight. Sucks.

    1. Re:It's all about the heat by tehdaemon · · Score: 1
      7 years or so, Yea, takes a long time.


      But, solar panels last a lot longer than 7 years. Most are under warranty for twice that.


      Now, this is harldy ideal, it means that solar is at worst half as bad CO2-wise as just burning the coal or whatever, but it is better.

      --
      Laws are horrible moral guides, moral guides make even worse laws.
    2. Re:It's all about the heat by catprog · · Score: 1

      try 2 years

      --
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  39. No, no it does'nt by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    100 megawatts of panels is 100 MW peak.

    Unless all are in the same longitude and weather they won't see co-incident peaks. So there will never be an actual increase of 100MW.

    Using average gen would be much lower.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  40. Not everywhere is summer daytime peaking. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    IIRC it's about the Mason-Dixon line in the USA (of course it's not a straight line).

    South of there the system is built to handle the summer daytime AC load.

    North of there it's built to handle the winter nighttime heating load.

    It's a good thing that southern areas are where you'd sensibly put the solar panels.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    1. Re:Not everywhere is summer daytime peaking. by jcaplan · · Score: 1

      That used to be true, but the situation has changed. According to ISO New England (http://www.iso-ne.com/genrtion_resrcs/snl_clmd_ca p/index.html), which manages my part of the grid, the peak demand for the past year was in July at 27,332 MW. Winter demand peaked in December at 21,733 MW. April had the lowest peak demand at around 17,000 MW. This indicates that lots of my neighbors are buying air conditioners and that not too many folks around here are heating with electric, which has about twice the cost of heating oil, the most common heating fuel in this part of the US. (Part of the increased winter demand is due to greater lighting needs in the short winter days.)

      Fortunately we get a nice increase in summertime daylight, too. In fact our summer days are longer than those in the South. This may seem strange at first, but consider Alaska, the "land of the midnight sun" or anywhere above the Arctic Circle which get days (should I call them 24-hour periods?) where the sun never sets. This is offset by the fact that the sun is lower in the sky and its rays more oblique. The peak summertime insolation (cumulative sunlight energy per day) is fairly constant between 30N (Morocco and Florida) and 60N (Stockholm, Sweden and Achorage, Alaska), because of these competing effects. Its wintertime when we get seriously short on light.

      I agree that the South is the best initial for PV solar systems, though mostly because of higher summertime peak demand, greater wintertime power generation and areas with few clouds and cheap land, such as Nevada and Arizona. Unfortunately, it becomes expensive to transport power too far due to resistance losses. If low-cost PV solar hits the right price point we might see these installations in the northern latitudes as well.

  41. Alternative energy mixup? by QuantumFTL · · Score: 1
    New Solar Panel Technology Gaining Momentum
    Actually I think that's flywheels that are gaining momentum. Alas, they don't get to keep it...
  42. $500 a sq foot for land by heroine · · Score: 1

    It costs $500 for 1 square foot of land in most of the world. Compared to the cost of open space, the cost of the solar panel is nothing. It's far cheaper to use more expensive and efficient solar panels than printing enourmous amounts of money for more land. In terms of the raw materials, the energy required to make a solar panel, and the land to store it on, you're better off still using natural gas and dumping the solar panels.

    1. Re:$500 a sq foot for land by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Farm land around here costs in the region of £20K per acre. Residential (developable) land costs more but we're nowhere near £250 a square foot. And this is the UK where land is particularly expensive. In the US I can't imagine a random square foot of Arizona or Texas really costs $500.

      In any case, cost of land is a non-issue. That $500 can be ameliorated over 100 years of rental. So it's about $5 a year. That makes solar cells seem expensive, which is why the cost of solar cells, not land, is the crucial factor.

      Of course once you ameliorate solar cells over 100 years the cost is also negligible which makes you wonder why we have such a reliance on oil today.

    2. Re:$500 a sq foot for land by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It costs $500 for 1 square foot of land in most of the world.

      Wow. Since 1 acre is 43560 sq. ft., then 1 acre costs $21,780,000? I'd like to sell you some land I have in Florida, or maybe some nice sunny land in Nevada. Hell, I'll even sell you the .3 acre I live on. If you act now, I'll discount it to $6,000,000. I'll even throw in the house for free.
  43. Peak electrical use is in daytime - A/C etc. by billstewart · · Score: 1

    While solar energy obviously won't produce power for you at night, without either storage or some amazing round-the-globe distribution system, it's still a major win, because most electrical usage is in the daytime, for air conditioning and for business uses. If you've got time-of-day pricing on electricity, you'll see it's more expensive in the daytime than at night, because if supply-and-demand issues. So at least for reducing peak loads and improving overall capacity, solar just wins. Additionally, production can be fairly decentralized - you'll make more power in LA than in Seattle, but you'll probably be using more power there as well, and you can add lots more power to the system than the amount of carrying capacity you need to add to the grid.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  44. Yess, the coal calculations are complex by billstewart · · Score: 1
    I don't think they meant to say Megawatts/year when they talked about coal plants, as opposed to just Megawatts. (They could have, e.g. $100M lets you build a 500-MW plant in a year, but I assume they didn't.)


    Fortunately, peak electrical demand is in the daytime, so solar actually does help. Most of it's for air conditioning and for business use, and it you've got time-of-day pricing for electricity, it's more expensive in the daytime when the demand is high. And the places that get the most sunshine are generally going to use the most electricity as well, so you get extra slack on your distribution system capacity. So until solar makes up a large enough fraction of our total electricity usage, the fact that it's daytime-only isn't a problem. For now, that coal plant probably wouldn't be running at 100% of capacity all day - they'd probably run it at some fractional capacity at night anyway.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  45. Pricing calculations are much different. Better? by billstewart · · Score: 1
    $10/MWH? I'm used to paying about $0.10 per kWH, which would be $100/MWH. Probably the price is lower in bulk, but I don't think it's that much lower.

    On the other hand, $25M is the cost of the plant - there's also the cost of the materials they use, which are presumably some reasonably high fraction of the cost of the panels. You're going to amortize the cost of building the plant over a few years, especially because it's probably most of a year before you're getting full production rates, and the cost of the research and development also gets amortized.


    And the economic return of the system as a whole is different from the economic return to the owners of the factory itself- that's going to depend on how much margin they can make on the sale price of the panels compared to raw material costs, though the sale price *will* be driven by the fact that it looks like a big win for the purchaser.

    It still looks like a big win.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  46. Fusion Reseach is military-driven. by billstewart · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Sure, they talk a bit about using Fusion for power generation and all that other Atoms For Peace hype, and there are a couple of astrophysicists who want to model the insides of stars, but almost all of the fusion research out there is really driven by the military. It's about learning how to build bombs differently or more efficiently or more tunably, and learning things to simulate in their supercomputers that can be used for better modelling of bomb behaviour.


    It would be nice if we could use fusion to generate power, though there are still radioactive waste issues because used reactor parts and containment domes are still likely to get hit with neutrons and therefore become radioactive, but there'd presumably be less of that that with fission. But that's not what most of the research is about.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  47. Indium by SamuelA1337O · · Score: 1

    Wikipedia says the price of indium has gone from $94/kg in 2002 to $900/kg in 2005. Is the price of indium a signifcant bottleneck for CIGS solar cells?

  48. Lower cost = Probably less energy debt by billstewart · · Score: 1

    This technology supposedly produces panels at much lower cost than competing silicon processes. Therefore, at least financially you'll have paid off the purchase debt much faster than the 5 years you're talking about. How much of that manufacturing cost translates to energy debt as opposed to toxic-waste debt or other kinds of ecological problems is TBD, but it's likely to be a much better deal. And once you're producing power from the panels, you're not only paying off the energy debt of the coal/oil/etc. that you're displacing, you're also reducing the other environmental damage from their production as well.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  49. Marginal Cost would be really informative by billstewart · · Score: 1
    The article describes the cost of producing this technology of panels as a lot less than conventional panels. So it's probably good, but as you say it would be really nice to know.


    On the other hand, if you're trying to decide about investing in the factory, a big issue is the granularity of the cost of producing factories (including the initial R&D). $25M is an amazingly low number - lots of investors could fund that, and assuming that the marginal costs are cheap enough to get customers, the technology should bootstrap nicely - more easily than with $100M startup costs. (I assume that some of the R&D gets paid off by licensing it to other investors.)


    Getting to high volumes would crank up the demand for indium, so the marginal price of materials would probably go up after a while, but the costs of the manufacturing technology would go down with increasing volume.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  50. Re:Pricing calculations are much different. Better by sfm · · Score: 1

    The going rate for electricity at the wholesale level is
    about $35/MWh. More in some areas, less in others but 35
    is a reasonable ballpark for calculations. This is also
    the rate at which the power company will buy back any
    excess power you produce with those panels (if you are
    doing the grid-tie option as opposed to storage on site)

    And yes, the power company is marking up the price
    significantly. To their credit, they also have to install
    and maintain all the equipment necessary to sell retail
    electricity to the "market" and these costs huge.

  51. Re:Pricing calculations are much different. Better by dbIII · · Score: 1
    The going rate for electricity at the wholesale level is about $35/MWh. More in some areas

    The real advantage of photovoltaics is you can use it in those areas where it is difficult to get in another power source or where it is just handy to not have cables everywhere - like portable equipment. Other possibilities will become apparent as well - I can see the advantage of treating it as part of a big UPS in areas with occasional power dropouts. A lot of commercial operations only run in daylight anyway and don't care if they lose power at night. In this case these photovoltaics are not competing against the base load stations - they are competing against the cost of getting fuel to small diesel generators and the ability of these generators to start up in time and complications such as maintainance. This form of solar energy has an expensive capital cost per MW but you have an extra advantage in that you don't have to plan for the future - you get enough panels for your current requirements and then just put another panel on a roof later if you need it. Thermal plants are complicated, take a long time to build and it is hard to increase capacity - build them big and they give you a low price per MW but you had better be thinking at least 10 years ahead and put them where fuel is cheap to ship in and water is plentiful. When I was in the power industry a lot of people were hoping for rain to avoid having to shut down a 2.6 TW coal fired plant which was using untreated sewerage for cooling water (there are two loops - highly treated stuff in the boilers which continues to cycle through and dam water in the condensers which evaporates in the cooling towers).

    You also have to remember that a lot of that price for electricity is for the transmission network and the losses - something you don't have to worry about at all if you have your power source on site.

  52. Re:Pricing calculations are much different. Better by khallow · · Score: 1

    You're right. I'm way off on my calculations. And you're right about the other stuff. I thought that they were talking about a 25 MW solar plant not a factory for making 25 MW of generation capacity per year (ironically I corrected someone else for making the same mistake with respect to the original story). Sigh, this doesn't sound that interesting any more.

  53. Mi-as-ole by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought this produced a slightly different form of green energy :)

  54. Shortages of silicon? by hicksw · · Score: 1

    Well, son of a beach!

  55. Check your math, please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This figure of $500 for 1 square foot of land "in most of the world" simply does not match reality. If so, then the 25x40 plot of land under a modest house (1000 square feet) would cost $500,000 just for the land. That's not counting the parts of the land not covered by the house in a typical lot, which would drive the price to well over a million. Maybe in Manhattan, high-rent districts of urban areas on the east and west coasts of the U.S., and in certain other high-density areas of the world, land could reach this price, but to claim this is true for most of the world is ridiculous.

  56. Recent CNNMoney.com article on solar energy R& by gsyswerda · · Score: 1

    This article has an overview of the companies doing R&D on solar panels and the VC firms that are funding them.

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  57. Maybe less than a year! by egghat · · Score: 1

    From an older posting:

    "One manufacturer of solar cells even claims 0.85 years with their "Dünnfilmtechnologie" (is flat film a suitable translation?), see on page 3 here (Energierückzahldauer = amount of time for energy payback) . "

    This is thin film technology (which btw is the correct translation) as well.

    Btw, the time in years is not what really matters. Much more interesting is the simple ratio of energy you need to produce to the amount of energy you can "harvest". Even oil needs oil to produce, to refine, to transport, etc. I don't have numbers, but I guestimate that you lose 20-30% of the energy until the gas is gobbled by your car.

    Bye egghat.

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    -- "As a human being I claim the right to be widely inconsistent", John Peel
  58. Here be dragons by vuo · · Score: 1

    I think you're using the classical "here be dragons" with further silicon purification, referring to national security. It's not really a secret.

    First, silicon is reacted with hydrogen chloride to given chlorosilane, which is a gas, and is distilled. Chlorosilane is reduced with hydrogen to give silicon. Silicon is crystallized into a large crystal, about 10 cm thick.

    Zone melting is used.

    1. Re:Here be dragons by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      When I was working on that project about 16 years ago, one of the guys working there used to be involved in refining ultra pure silicon. At that time, at least according to him, it was a fairly secret process (or maybe at the time he was working on it). I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't much of a secret now. I am familiar with zone melting too. Interesting to know. Thanks.

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