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History To Repeat Itself With PS3?

Dr. Eggman writes to mention a 1up article looking at the way things were when the PS2 launched vs. next week's PlayStation 3 launch. The question: can history repeat itself? From the article: "PS2: Released one year after the lower priced Dreamcast, lauded for its great games, ease of development, and superior online service. PS3: Releasing one year after the lower priced Xbox 360, lauded for its great games, ease of development, and superior online service. PS2: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.' PS3: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.'" The article also looks at how things have changed for Sony since the last time around.

25 of 390 comments (clear)

  1. The Other side of the coin by rednip · · Score: 5, Informative
    It's a good article, in particular because the link at the end of the page gives a link to 10 reasons the PS2 won't be able to repeat the success of the PS2.

    For me it's all about the price

    --
    The force that blew the Big Bang continues to accelerate.
    1. Re:The Other side of the coin by MaXiMiUS · · Score: 3, Funny

      That's the exact same article, and I think you mean the PS3 won't be able to repeat the success of the PS2.

      --
      It's never just a game when you're winning. - George Carlin
    2. Re:The Other side of the coin by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's funny. I'm reading "Just for Fun: The Story of an Accidental Revolutionary" by Linus Torvalds that was published in 2001. Linus predicted that Sony would be the next big thing after Microsoft -- if Sony got its act together. A few million laptop batteries and an overpriced game console later, I don't think Sony has a clue. Nintendo might if they get their act together.

    3. Re:The Other side of the coin by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I was reading the USA Today this morning, and they had an interesting outlook on the PS3 vs. the Wii vs. the XBox 360. It basically came down to:

      PS3: You're not getting one. Ha!
      Wii: Risky, but inexpensive.
      XBox: Just fork over the cash for instant gratification.

      I think that says a lot about the mainstream views on this generation of console.

      The article can be read online here:

      http://www.usatoday.com/tech/gaming/2006-11-09-con sole-cover_x.htm

    4. Re:The Other side of the coin by fistfullast33l · · Score: 3, Funny

      $600 doesn't leave much room for any games

      Of course, Sony not having many launch titles (Oblivion, I'm looking at you) means you don't need any games for your $600 videogame system!

    5. Re:The Other side of the coin by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You have a valid point, but in this case, both the Wii and the PS3 look like gourmet products. I think kids would appreciate any 3 of the systems, as long as they get a few games too. $600 doesn't leave much room for any games, but $250 certainly does.

      You'd think that, but the other way of thinking would be, if you're going to spend $600 you'll damned sure buy some games for it! It's also effective market segmentation - restricted supply at the beginning with a high price tag, followed by increased supply and lower prices later.

      I think what happened is they saw what went down with the Xbox 360. They see every unit being scraped up and sold on Ebay for between $600 and $1000. Sony probably figures if anyone is going to profit from the craze, it's going to be them. And if they have the sorts of supply problems that has plagued nearly every console launch in the history of mankind, demand WILL drive the price there anyway. No sense in watching someone else make the money instead.

    6. Re:The Other side of the coin by BagOBones · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Only two of the launch titles are unique to the PS3 as well, the rest are already available on the 360

      --
      EA David Gardner -"... but the consumers have proven that actually what they want is fun."
  2. summary: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny


    same games, better graphics, pay us again

    1. Re:summary: by twistedsymphony · · Score: 4, Interesting
      have you used the 360? MS is doing a whole lot of innovative things with the 360, some of it had rudimentary versions implemented on the Xbox 1 that have evolved into more refined features on the 360. The Dreamcast and the Saturn had a few minor innovative features, but there is more to innovation then hardware changes. Would you consider innovation in the PC space dead because we're all still using a keyboard and mouse? MS is innovating in the software arena and with their online service. Some of the things they've done that I consider to be innovative and Nintendo and Sony seem to be copycatting with their latest offerings:
      • A unified online profile that contains all of your stats and setting across all of your games
      • The ability to access and modify that profile online bringing your console presence to the PC
      • An online feedback system that links to your unified profile that allows you to avoid or prefer players allowing you to keep playing others you enjoy playing with and avoid others you don't enjoy playing with
      • The ability to access a set of controls with the touch of a button at any time allowing you to adjust various console and profile settings, adjust custom soundtracks, send and receive messages, view information about your profile and the profiles of the gamers you're playing against, etc.
      • The ability to set your preferred controls... axis inversion etc. and have it be used for every game
      • The "TrueSkill" skill raking algorithm for match making online with people at your skill level
      • "Custom Soundtracks" that allow you to easily replace the in-game music with music from from a storage device, an iPod, or a networked computer
      • Achievements which add replay value to games by suggesting goals and setting challenges that a gamer might not otherwise attempt
      • Gamerscore derived from achievement that creates a sort of Meta-game that encompasses all games on their console
      • The Xbox Live Arcade (which was started with the Xbox 1) for downloadable games and content delivery directly to the console
      Some of these ideas start on the Xbox 1, and PC but have been really fleshed out and turned into really solid, beneficial and most importanly universal features. None of these have been done on other consoles to my knowledge.
  3. History doesn't repeat itself... by Total_Wimp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... because today is not like yesterday. For example, online game play wasn't as important when the Dreamcast was released. Also, sales were sluggish from the beginning as people held their money for the PS2 launch which was not the case with the 360.

    The PS3 might still dominate, but it's not likely to be for the exact same reasons as in the past.

    TW

  4. Repeating history? I hope not.. by Channard · · Score: 4, Informative

    ... otherwise we can look forward to the PS3's lens giving out shortly after the warranty period and refusing to read half of the discs. The PS2 lens problems made the 360's failure rate look like a drop in the ocean? Nope, this isn't intended as flamebait - it happened to me, and I was only able to get it working, sort of, by cracking the PS2 open and changing the lens angle. What Joe Public who's never even opened a PC was supposed to do, other than buy a new one, I don't know.

  5. Re:Wrong? by tempestdata · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think you're parsing that sentence wrong. Read it as :

    "PS3: Releasing one year after the lower priced Xbox 360, [with the Xbox360 being] lauded for its great games, ease of development, and superior online service."

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    - Tempestdata
  6. Re:Online service? Don't forget to get the update! by Control+Group · · Score: 4, Funny

    Now that's what I call bootstrapping: you'll be able to get online only after you get online to download the patch.

    --

    Reality has a conservative bias: it conserves mass, energy, momentum...
  7. Sony doesn't much care how they compare to Xbox... by rilister · · Score: 4, Insightful

    i think people are a little confused about what Sony are trying to achieve with the PS3. Sure, it's going to be up against the Wii and XB360, but I'm guessing that's a secondary concern to Mr Stringer.

    The PS2 sold 105million units. Let's say the PS3 is a disaster - how bad could it be? 50million? 25million?

    Those are all Blu-ray devices. At least an installed base of 25million Blu-ray players sold in a few years time. Versus how many HD-DVD players? How can HD-DVD compete with that kind of a headstart?

    Owning the next-gen DVD format is the prize here. HD-DVD is only 33% ahead of Blu-ray today, before the PS3 even hits the market. I think that's more precious to Sony than losing a bit of ground to Microsoft. Maybe they calculated on losing gaming market share this time round.

    --
    'This writing business. Pencils and what-not. Over-rated if you ask me. Silly stuff. Nothing in it' - Eeyore
  8. History To Repeat Itself? by Rik+Sweeney · · Score: 4, Funny

    So basically it'll boil down to:

    1. The naysayers will say that it'll suck
    2. It'll sell beyond expectations
    3. The naysayers deny the first statement and claim they knew all along

  9. That's not the real reason by mcvos · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The real reason why the PS2 was such a success, is that it was a very cheap DVD player, and DVDs had just become established technology.

    The PS3 is a cheap Blu-Ray player, but Blu-Ray is by no means established. Instead of using the DVD to launch the PS2, they're trying to do the reverse: using the PS3 to launch Blu-Ray. I don't think that will work nearly as well. In fact, I expect it to fail miserably.

    1. Re:That's not the real reason by johnpaul191 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      i did know some people that justified the price of the PS2 because it had a DVD player. at the time a DVD player was what, $200+? whatever the price was, people (i knew) thought of it like: (PS2 cost) - (DVD player cost) = acceptable increase if they were going to buy a standalone DVD player anyway. i suppose a test of this is knowing how many of those DVD remotes they sold.

      i agree that the PS3 does not have the same bonus appeal. DVDs were so much better than VHS, the jump to the new formats does not seem to have the same upgrade feel. if you dropped the money on a HD flat panel TV etc etc and care that much to upgrade all your movies.... the cost issue is probably insignificant.

      i agree that this is going to be the opposite effect..... people will now just happen to have a Blu-Ray compatible player so they may start buying some movies on that format (if there is some special edition or something). i have a feeling the quality issues won't be enough at this point, for this audience at least.

  10. History's not repeating by Volante3192 · · Score: 4, Informative

    PS2: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.' released one year after the PS2

    PS3: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.' released concurrently with the PS3."


    Fixed your article. Where's my co-author credit?

    1. Re:History's not repeating by meringuoid · · Score: 3, Interesting
      PS3: Competition from Nintendo: A smaller, cheaper 'family friendly' console with a 'focus on gameplay.' released concurrently with the PS3."

      In Europe, Wii is getting released Before Christmas, PS3 is getting released After Christmas, which I'd guess will be hugely important. That said, from what I hear from my contacts in the school playground (which is to say my little sister) the DS Lite is the must-have Christmas gift this year...

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
  11. Simple Answers to Slashdot Questions by vought · · Score: 5, Funny

    History To Repeat Itself With PS3?

    No.

    This has been another episode of Simple Answers to Slashdot Questions.

  12. Sega Issues by therage96 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One important item to make note of here is that while the Sega Dreamcast was itself a decent system, Sega had already burned a lot of its customers with their numerous "1.5 systems." What I mean by that is, all of the many systems they created as extensions of current systems (Sega CD, 32X, etc..) that they sold as the next big thing, but completely failed on when it came to supporting them. I myself bought the 32X for $130 when it came out, and how many games were made for it? Less than 60. Same with the Saturn, the ultimate 2D system, suddenly found itself floundering when the Playstation focused solely on 3D games and Sega dropped it, and went on with the Dreamcast. After all of those, you could be sure I wasn't about to spend another dime on a Sega system, because how do I know its not another "1.5" system than will have its support cut out from under it in only a few months time.

  13. Playing DVDs on the PS2 is very nice! by MS-06FZ · · Score: 5, Funny

    I agree! It's very convenient to be able to use my PS2 to play my DVDs, I don't need to have another machine hooked up or worry about video swit-

    DISC READ ERROR

    --
    ---GEC
    I'm but the humble pupil, seeking to snatch the scratchbuilt pebble from the master's fully articulated hand
  14. $300 a "very cheap" DVD player in 2000?! by PoderOmega · · Score: 3, Informative

    You could get good DVD players (Panasonic brand) in $150 in late 2000. That's half the price of the PS2 when it came out. I didn't have a DVD player and I thought it was a good selling point when I got my PS2 in 2001, but I did not think it was a "very cheap" DVD player.

    The DVD player contributed it, but it is by far the "real" reason it was so successful.

  15. Re:Sony doesn't much care how they compare to Xbox by Black+Pete · · Score: 3, Interesting
    How can HD-DVD compete with that kind of a headstart?

    Easily. HD-DVD has the letters "DVD" in it. That has an immediate meaning in the average consumer's head: It's like DVD, but now it's in HD! Just like how a HD-TV is like a TV but in HD!

    HD-DVD, regardless of how well it actually performs, has an immediate name recognition. The name "Blu-ray" really doesn't convey any meaning to the average Joe Blow -- unless s/he already did the homework. It doesn't exactly scream, "This is better than DVD!"
  16. One Major Comparison Left Out by superdan2k · · Score: 3, Insightful

    PS2: Released in the middle of a booming economy when a large number of twentysomethings had either more money than god, or at least enough to warrant spending hundreds of dollars on a video game console.

    PS3: Released in the middle of a shitty economy when a large number of twentysomethings have less money, more bills, and enough to worry about that a $700 game console isn't in the cards.

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    blog |