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iPod To Eventually Hold All the Video In the World?

An anonymous reader writes "A senior Google exec has been talking up the prospect of iPods that can hold all the world's media due to the plummeting price of storage and its increasing volume-to-size ratio. Google's VP of European operations, Nikesh Arora, predicts that in as little as just over a decade's time, iPods will be capable of storing 'any video ever produced.'" From the article: "Arora believes, mobile is likely to follow the same path. 'Mobile is not going to be a different thing,' he added — and if the mobile industry is to capitalize on the growth of content, it would be wise to ape the development of the internet. He said: 'The mobile industry has to go through the same phases the internet has gone through... Mobile will have the same learning curve. It would be somewhat foolish to leapfrog the stages the internet went through.'"

37 of 230 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Really? by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 4, Funny

    Yes, but we'll be stuck watching it on those teeny tiny screens.

  2. Backwards by Trails · · Score: 2, Insightful
    increasing volume-to-size ratio.

    Something in there isn't right. I think this is meant to be either

    decreasing volume-to-size ratio.

    OR

    increasing size-to-volume ratio.
    1. Re:Backwards by lordb42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It is correct as long as the ratio is storage volume / physical size. It is a bad choice of terms since it could also mean physical volume / storage size.

    2. Re:Backwards by smitty97 · · Score: 2, Funny
      increasing volume-to-size ratio.

      the phrase is correct, theyre making them louder again.

      --
      mod me funny
  3. Apple and the Google by spellraiser · · Score: 4, Funny

    Apple: Gee, Google, what are we going to do tonight?

    The Google: The same thing we do every night, Apple ... Try to hold ALL THE VIDEO IN THE WORLD!

    --
    I hear there's rumors on the Slashdots
    1. Re:Apple and the Google by mrchaotica · · Score: 4, Funny

      Somehow that mental image lends itself more to Microsoft, don't you think?

      Ballmer: Narf! Poit!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    2. Re:Apple and the Google by Josh+Lindenmuth · · Score: 5, Informative

      This is just as funny as the story is ridiculous.

      Historically and mathematically Google's claim just doesn't add up. Apple's iPod site claims that their 80GB video iPod can store "up to 6 1/2 hours" of video. Let's be very aggressive and assume that hard drives continue doubling in capacity every 2 years for the next decade. Here's where'd we be after 10 years:

      2006 - 80 GB, 6.5 hours
      2008 - 160 GB, 13 hours
      2010 - 320 GB, 26 hours
      2012 - 640 GB, 52 hours
      2014 - 1.28 TB, 104 hours
      2016 - 2.56 TB, 208 hours

      A 2.56 TB iPod would be quite impressive, but wouldn't even hold every season of The Simpsons, let alone "All the video in the world". Even if they ignored power/size requirements and used full 3.5 inch desktop drives, capacity would only be ~25.6TB or 2080 hours. This isn't even enough space to hold 1 year's worth of network soap operas.

      --
      Huh? Don't mind me, I'm just the new guy.
    3. Re:Apple and the Google by tempestdata · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, but he didn't talk about compression, resolution, frame rate or even how many colors in which you'll get to see it. :P

      Seriously though, I agree with you. I think its just some guy making bold predictions to get attention. Like predicting flying cars, or colonies on the moon, plastic disposable houses, or android helpers, etc. Do what I do, and go 'yeah, maybe.. but I'll believe it when I see it.'

      --
      - Tempestdata
    4. Re:Apple and the Google by aftk2 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Heh, that's 6 and a half hours of video playback, on one battery charge.

      Sheesh.

      --
      concrete5: a cms made for marketing, but strong enough for geeks.
    5. Re:Apple and the Google by timeOday · · Score: 2, Informative
      You're criticising the slashdot mis-quote instead of what the guy actually said. Here it is from the article:
      Around 10 years down the line that could be expanded, creating iPods that can hold all the music ever sold commercially.

      He said: "In 12 years, why not an iPod that can carry any video ever produced?"

      So, it seems pretty clear to me that he's discussing all (music) video, and not "all the video in the world" such as simpsons and soap operas. He still may be wrong, but but ~30,000 music videos would at least cover everything that hit the top 100 in the charts for many, many years.
  4. Everyone having every video? by ryanov · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But what a stupid idea. Why have millions of copies of everything when theoretically networks will allow there to be a few replicated copies? Seems a pointless waste of disk space to me.

    Besides, there will be many more videos ever produced by that time than there are now... I doubt technology will keep pace with the rolling-themselves-off-a-cliff-in-a-shopping-car-v ideo crowd.

    1. Re:Everyone having every video? by From+A+Far+Away+Land · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's not so far fetched - and think of the bandwidth savings. Bandwidth will go to new content only, and our "video past" can be mass produced. If storage of that magnitude becomes real, it will revolutionize more than just the mobile video market. Datacenters could possibly look as different as computers from the 1960s do, compared to today's PCs.

  5. It already can! by aarku · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ....At 2x2 pixel resolution, 1 bit color, 1 fps... Where do you draw the line on video quality?

    1. Re:It already can! by Ingolfke · · Score: 2, Funny

      No silly, with advances in carbon nanotubes, quantum computing, and encyption and compression schemes the 1-bit compression system is nearly available to everyone.

    2. Re:It already can! by mgblst · · Score: 4, Funny

      The compression scheme has been available for years. It is the decompression that has proved to be a little tricky.

  6. Personal storage by SatanicPuppy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Personal storage is something we do now, because networking isn't cool enough. In ten years, it's entirely possible that networking will have increased to the point where the idea of keeping a local copy of ANYTHING will seem weird.

    --
    ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
  7. What then? by Billosaur · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Let's suppose you can in fact cram all the audio/video in the world onto an iPod? What then? How could you conceivably use all that information? There aren't enough hours in the day as it is, let alone to work your way through all that.

    Personally, I don't see how this could be useful. The rapid expansion of memory capacity coupled with the falling price has led to bloat, whereby content is trying to expand to fill up these enormous memory spaces. To what end? Isn't there some kind of inverse Moore's Law for memory?

    --
    GetOuttaMySpace - The Anti-Social Network
  8. Capacity. by commo1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What exactly is the estimated capacity for "all the world's [media]". This sounds like one heck of a bold statement when the numbers at the moment are unfathomable for holding a back catalogue of everything broadcast on network television and everything from blockbusters to B-movies from 1890 on, let alone net-generated videos, cable and alternative delivery methods.

    1. Re:Capacity. by grnbrg · · Score: 5, Interesting
      What exactly is the estimated capacity for "all the world's [media]".


      Interesting question... IMDB currently has records on:

      • 363,000 movies released theatrically. (Average of 2 hrs)
      • 367,000 TV episodes. (Average of 30 minutes)
      • 57,000 made for TV movies. (Average of 90 minutes)
      • 51,000 direct to video movies. (Average of 2 hours)
      • 5,300 mini seris. (Average of 3.5 hours)
      Averages are wild-assed (but somewhat reasonable) guesses. Given that the MPEG2 encoding used by DVDs runs at about 25MB/minute or 1.5GB/hour this works out to about 2,000 terabytes for all current known video.


      Assuming storage capacity continues to double every 18 months ( big assumption!), and that we currently have 500G drives commercially available, we can expect to see this capacity in a single drive in less than 20 years.



      grnbrg.

  9. Media files will keep growing by linuxci · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I doubt that there'll ever be an iPod that can hold everything, but then again I doubt the author truly believes it. The more space we have the more we make use of it. 15 years ago a 4GB hard drive would be seen as enormous, now for many people 100GB ain't enough.

    New content is produced all the time, content is also likely to be stored at a better quality as long as space keeps increasing. I'm looking forward to the day of 80GB nanos, to me the nano is the ideal size, any smaller and it'd be awkward to control.

  10. 640k is enough for anybody by jandrese · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm really tempted to save that article just so I can pull it out and show how naive people were back in 2006. If there is one thing time has taught me, it's that the volume of information expands in relation to your available storage. I mean 10 years ago one of our 500GB modern hard drives could have probably stored all of the video available on the internet with room to spare.

    I do agree that an iPod like device could probably hold enough video (high quality video at that) to well exceed its battery life however (modern iPods have no trouble doing that with music).

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
  11. Questionably useful? by Toby+The+Economist · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Imagine a video iPod with a nice little screen (640x480) and enough store for your entire video and music collection.

    You can carry it with you anywhere.

    Useful?

    I can usefully take music with me, because I can *listen* while I physically perform other tasks - like being at the gym, sitting down at work while I code.

    But *video?*

    Video is much less useful, because to *watch* you can't be doing other things - your eyes are occupied.

    So I think it's only useful for being portable in situations where you have to sit and *wait* and cannot do other things.

    For me that means just one thing; waiting for the bus and maybe when I'm on the bus, if it doesn't make me feel ill.

    For others, I can only imagine similar situations, e.g. being stuck on a mode of transport.

  12. Paging the **AA by Rob+T+Firefly · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Carrying a drive with all the video in the world sounds like a great way to become the target of all the lawsuits in the world. Unless, of course, you have already paid all the money in the world for all the proper licensing rights in the world.

  13. The barriers are political, not technical by defile · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We could already be watching all of our TV shows over the internet on-demand.

    The average person isn't watching the bulk of their TV this way because the networks don't want to give up that kind of control. To say nothing about the people who don't even want to control their TV experience. Some people are just happy to flop onto the couch and let a gigantic media corporation design their entire evening's entertainment experience.

  14. Re:Really? by Furmy · · Score: 5, Funny

    "I think that enough space to hold all the world's video should be enough for everyone"

  15. News Flash by Darth+Muffin · · Score: 2, Funny

    Daton, Ohio, Dec. 2nd, 2017. John Smith, a plumber by trade in Ohio, accidentally plugged in his new 20Petabyte iPod into an unfirewalled port on his home router. As a result every video and movie ever made was unintentionally shared out to the Internet. The MPAA is suing for $14 Trillion.

    --
    Real programmers use "copy con program.exe"
  16. Off by a factor of a bajillion by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2, Informative

    As an exercise in DVR-ology I worked out that by 2016 I should be able to buy enough hard drive space for &lt $500 (today's dollars) to hold all the video I'd want to watch for most of my life online, using a RAID mirror, by just scaling up Moore's Law. OK, so that much data could be un-RAID'ed on an iPod by then.

    But that's just me. Given HD camcorders, YouTube and 6 Billion people on earth, rapidly becoming technological, "All the Video in The World" is about 6 billion times larger than what we can do next decade - that's several more decades of Moore's Law to contend with.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  17. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  18. Re:First, the MPAA would be pissed by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I remember the olden days when we called that "getting an education."

    It used to be doctors personally knew about all the drugs you could give a person. Nowadays we have the PDR, and we don't think doctors are worse for it.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  19. Re:Am I a villager? by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 2, Informative

    I spend three hours a day commuting on trains to/from Chicago. At this point, I would estimate that 65% of "regulars" (i.e. monthly ticket holders) are using iPods or portable CD players. Another 25% are reading (newspapers, novels, the Bible). Only about 10% actually talk to each other. The rest of us hate them and wish they'd STFU.

    --
    No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
  20. Oblig. by Tmack · · Score: 2, Funny
    Finally! A place to store all my pr0n!!!
    Seriously though, do they realize how many anime tentical rape videos are out there???

    blah

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  21. Article needs more context for those quotes by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Summary:
    iPod to Eventually Hold All the Video in the World?


    Article:Arora said, by 2012, iPods could launch at similar prices to those on sale now and yet be capable of holding a whole year's worth of video releases. Around 10 years down the line that could be expanded, creating iPods that can hold all the music ever sold commercially.Article, II (emphasis mine):
    He said: "In 12 years, why not an iPod that can carry any video ever produced?"

    Any != all. I get the weird feeling that either he's tossing speculation around (most likely), or there was a part skipped in the article, where Arora discusses distribution methods, and how video content will be just as (or more) available in digital format as music is now.

    As to his question of "why not" an iPod that can hold all video ever produced (if that is what he was asking), the answer is that there will be no demand for a personal player with that much storage -- and since it will be more expensive than a smaller-storage device that meets the demand for storage volume, the smaller-storge device will win the pricing/distribution war. In light of this, why bother developing an expensive product with little demand?
    --
    "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  22. Let's hope they leave YouTube's content off... by Channard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    .. because I sure as hell don't need six hundred gigabytes of random footage spliced with various unrelated songs. Think I'm kidding? Do a search on YouTube and half the results that come up are those crap. Of course, bearing in mind that much of the content on youtube is, despite Google's best efforts to remove it, made up of copyrighted material, that may be a good enough reason to keep it off.

  23. You forgot pr0n by slagell · · Score: 2, Funny

    Add porn, and it will take another order of magnitude more storage!

  24. Re:How about this? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I completely agree. Local storage is a temporary solution to the problem of not enough bandwidth. Latency is often an issue too, and a local cache is good, but why bother storing all the music ever if I will only ever listen to 0.001% of it? Just stream me the tracks I want, when I want them. That way, my collection will never go out of date.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  25. Re:Really? by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If by "beautiful" you mean Analog NTSC Composite Video, then I suppose you're right.

    Pity they don't have Firewire or some other digital output...course the MPAA would never allow that. Lord, no.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  26. Re:exactly! Mod Parent +10 by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Exactly. This is why I will never sign up for remotely hosted anything, pretty much.

    There is a need for backups. However, they may not be online. In fact if you want them secure they should be in your safe deposit box or something. Having them in your house doesn't save you if your house burns down, for example.

    If your backups aren't offsite, then I can't possibly take you seriously. If they are, then never mind :)

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"