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Investing in Open Source?

echrist1 asks: "I'm in my school's investment club, and I'm in charge of investing $10,000 (real money) into technology equities. Clearly I want to make a profit, but I also want to do something to help the Open Source movement. Does anyone know of mutual funds that invest specifically in companies that further Open Source?"

77 comments

  1. Fiduciary obligations by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm assuming two things that are implied but not clearly stated in your question: 1) The money that you are investing - or at least some of it - is not yours, and 2) You like open source, but the owners of the money have not specifically requested an open source preference. If either of these are false, please ignore my post.

    Assuming those two to be true, you should not even be considering the issue. If you are playing with someone else's money - even as a learning exercise - you have an obligation to act in their best interests. Otherwise, you're just doing a Halliburton on a smaller scale. Save your good intentions for your own money.

    BTW, Sorry to criticize. I like the idea of supporting open source. It's just not the legally or morally proper thing to do here.

    1. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 3, Interesting

      if you are playing with someone else's money - even as a learning exercise - you have an obligation to act in their best interests.

      Maybe he's setting up a social responsibility fund. Maybe he's setting up a fund around companies that will have positive impacts in the Third World. Maybe he's given a chunk of change for speculative investing in up and coming technologies.

      We don't know.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    2. Re:Fiduciary obligations by NineNine · · Score: 1

      Maybe he's setting up a social responsibility fund.

      It doesn't matter. It's still morally wrong to invest other people's money in thing that you know are not good investments. Actually, it's criminal too, I'd have to guess. If real fund managers did this, they'd be fired, sued, arrested, and ripped apart by mobs in the streets (as they should).

    3. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It doesn't matter. It's still morally wrong to invest other people's money in thing that you know are not good investments.

      Who's advocating that? Open Source contributing companies can make money.

      Actually, it's criminal too, I'd have to guess. If real fund managers did this, they'd be fired, sued, arrested, and ripped apart by mobs in the streets (as they should).

      So there are no speculative funds or ones that have down periods? You seem to be saying Open Source companies do, always have, and always will lose money but offer no evidence to back that up.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    4. Re:Fiduciary obligations by dch24 · · Score: 1

      If you are playing with someone else's money - even as a learning exercise - you have an obligation to act in their best interests. Otherwise, you're just doing a Halliburton on a smaller scale. Save your good intentions for your own money.

      You are spot-on, but this doesn't answer the question he asked. Assuming (hypothetically) you were ordered to invest in Open Source, what company would you invest in? Novell?!?! (SARCASM THERE!)

      It's not hard to understand a mutual fund's interest in Open Source. The PHB's hear that buzzword as often as they hear web2.0, right? Okay, so people want Open Source to work for them, make them money, you know, just like everything else.

      This is where I get off the train, so the rest of this post is a tangent. But the question is valid, and I'm choosing not to answer it either. Someone else feel free to jump in with options like Google, Red Hat, even Oracle... Now let me explain why Open Source is not a part of my investment strategy

      (Standard disclaimer that the following is not to be construed as investment advice and I am not liable for your financial losses -- or gains.)

      I think that looking at the whole point of the FSF's Free Software (intentionally narrowing the definition, since the BSD license makes things more complicated for this discussion) -- Free Software is not only liberated from closed-source restrictions such as copyright and IP laws so that it can be shared openly, but this also means the act of copying it can be performed at zero cost. Zero-cost copies are an inherent element of the internet and commodity computing. Therefore, although Free Software makes great sense in business plans, it is the antithesis of business!

      Free Software provides the same thing that other communities provide: donated goods and services that have market value but have been "given back" to the community. Thus, Novell faces serious repercussions if they are booted from the community -- and that could hurt their balance sheet. However, even though the community involves sales, transactions, etc., where a customer pays money (e.g. Red Hat support contracts), the donated goods and services produce a segment of the market that has zero market value. Whether we are talking about Free Software, with the technology to give the donation to everyone in the world, or other communities where hospitals are sometimes willing to write off medical expenses when the patient is completely overwhelmed by medical bills -- the effect is to make the goods and services (software or medical bills) of zero value. Why would a hospital do this? Why would a "hobbyist" (Bill Gates' term) or programmer give away software? Some would argue this threatens the very livelihood of the one giving away stuff.

      But the hospital or programmer receives intangible goods and services in return. Put simply, it's a return to a basic barter system. I, the hospital director, authorize certain "free care." In return, I receive the goodwill of members of my community. If I am overwhelmed with immigrants from far-away communities who demand my free care, and then depart, the economics of medical care might overwhelm me. (But many hospitals are so well-funded that this really isn't a problem.) Any marketing student will tell you that the goodwill of your community can have a concrete impact on your balance sheet. As a contributor to Free Software, I receive the goodwill of members of the community. In this technology realm, though, there can be as many leechers as kernel.org and sourceforge.org can handle before hypothetically the community would start to suffer.

      Thus companies like Google have exactly the right business plan. By investing in open source software, they invest in the community goodwill where the community is the entire planet. Then they capitalize on this by asking the community to view their advertisements, use their online office tools, se

    5. Re:Fiduciary obligations by xenocide2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's only immoral if you honestly think that these are a "bad" investment. They've already stated a technological preference, so absolute return on investment is not the number one priority. I would imagine the biggest priority is for students to learn to research a sector, and make informed investing decisions. Otherwise, they should just all be investing in high yield junk bonds or boring index funds. If you have evidence that companies are likely to do better than average, and that the market doesn't value things this way (yet), you should be able to weight your investment towards companies that write or use open source technologies.

      I've no idea why you feel that open source and profits are intrinsically misaligned.

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    6. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bogjobber · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, in his question he implies that his desire to promote open source is influencing his decision. That should not happen. The only thing you should think of as an investor (especially with other peoples' money) is how to make the greatest profit. If you happen to think companies depending on open source software are undervalued, then that's great. However, if the people have given him money expecting him to turn a profit (even on a student investment firm) then he is in fact acting immoral by even considering a secondary goal.

      The whole point of investing is to make a profit. If you want to help open source then donate your time or money directly to the actual projects. Buying Redhat on the secondary market and in the process making it overvalued will not help them a single bit.

    7. Re:Fiduciary obligations by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Well, in his question he implies that his desire to promote open source is influencing his decision. That should not happen. The only thing you should think of as an investor (especially with other peoples' money) is how to make the greatest profit

      No, there are other things you should think about, such as risk level and safety factors.

      You can make a big profit once, but still be in trouble, if you took on too much risk to make that profit, you could lose it all and then some the next day.

      The author is looking for mutual funds. Obviously his/her goal is to turn over actual management to some fund that knows what they're doing, and pay an expense ratio. If author is forced to use mutual funds that have some diversity, obviously risk is an issue.

      It's just that there may not be any such funds, and there are technology equities that may be worth owning, that have some Open Source exposure, but selling open source software is not central to their business model, I.E. in some cases, maybe the OSS is primarily a way to push hardware, and other products that are not free, and not easily replacable by a competitor. I'm sure there are technology funds out there that have a little IBM, some Sun, or Apple, in their holdings for instance.

      I'm not sure if it would be a good move to invest in companies whose future depends on their ability to develop free/open source software and sell support for it. Maybe you think so, and that would be good motivation, if you think Open Source development thrives as a business and Proprietary software dies in the long run. I'm extremely doubtful.

      Wanting to help open source is not a good motivation for making this choice. When it comes to investment, if you are responsible: you set aside personal desires to help a cause. Buying $10,000 in equities isn't going to make a difference to any worthwhile company to invest in, but it will certainly become worthless, if the company's product turns out to not be in demand for customers (since a competitor has added to it and is giving away a better version now).

    8. Re:Fiduciary obligations by miyako · · Score: 1

      Bullshit.
      I think that a lot of problems with the way the corporate world operates these days is down to exactly that attitude.
      Granted, it's not a wise idea to invest in a company that is probably going to lose money. That does not mean, I don't believe, that we should always go after the highest yield investments.
      People bitch and moan about how companies are always looking to do anything to make a short term profit increase, and the reason is because that's what stockholders want. If stockholders valued other things, companies would pursue those things as well.
      Now, I know that there is still the point of it being other peoples money. There are a few things that I would consider here as well.
      1: I would imagine that, as he isn't a professional broker or investor, he will almost certainly have to consult the other members of the club before investing the money.
      2: As others have said, he may honestly believe that there is a lot of money to be made in open source.
      2 isn't as ridiculous as it might sound to some people. If the major players like IBM, Oracle, Sun, and Google think Open Source is a business plan worth putting time, money, and effort into, then it seems not unreasonable for an investor to think that it could be a fruitful long term investment.
      It is reasonable to think that even though investing in open source might not have the best immediate returns, that helping open source based companies through investments could lead to growth in the tech industry, which will mean higher returns on many other tech based investments.
      Finally, all other things aside, it's smart to invest in what you know. I'm certainly no market analyst, so when I invest I want to stick to companies whose business I can understand well enough to see how their business decisions could affect my investment. If the submitter is entrenched in the F/OSS community, then he may be able to best manage the investment by sticking to companies within that community, so that he can better manage the investment.

      --
      Famous Last Words: "hmm...wikipedia says it's edible"
    9. Re:Fiduciary obligations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sigh.

      You are, of course, ignoring the strong correlation between an ethical and excellent business philosophy and long term earnings.

      Typical.

    10. Re:Fiduciary obligations by toddbu · · Score: 1

      I think that you're missing the point. When you bring a bias like "I like open source and want to support it" into the equation, you're placing restrictions on what you'll invest in. If you've disclosed that information up front then there are no issues. That happens all the time with funds that try to be socially responsible. Beyond that, the adviser has a duty to meet the investor's objectives. In many cases this is maximum return on the investment, but not always. Some investors, like myself, want a balance between return and safety. Regardless, the advisor is responsible to meet whatever objectives I set for my portfolio. To do anything different is at the very minimum unethical.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    11. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      When you bring a bias like "I like open source and want to support it" into the equation, you're placing restrictions on what you'll invest in. If you've disclosed that information up front then there are no issues.

      Every professional investor has biases he brings to the table. These largely determine how you pick a financial services advisor.

      Regardless, the advisor is responsible to meet whatever objectives I set for my portfolio. To do anything different is at the very minimum unethical.

      There are probably hundreds of equities that would meet your criteria on paper - your investor is going to use his biases/judgment to chose among them. If you just want a broad investment, buy an index fund.

      This guy is saying, firstly, "clearly I want to make a profit". Given that, he sees value in Open Source. Where there is value, more often than not you find profit. RHAT is down over the past couple years, and Novell just gave lots of people reason to go back to RedHat. One might decide that ought to affect the stock price. These kinds of judgments are what drives investment into particular vehicles. Apple is doing great by leveraging Open Source. AAPL is on a ferocious upward trend. Same with Google.

      We might be different in this regard, but I'd much rather have an investor putting my money into something he knows about than something that just has good position against its Bollinger bands.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    12. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bogjobber · · Score: 1
      Granted, it's not a wise idea to invest in a company that is probably going to lose money. That does not mean, I don't believe, that we should always go after the highest yield investments.

      Your personal responsibility as someone working with other people's money is to go after the highest yield investments. That is the only thing you should be considering (as someone else pointed out it should be within whatever risk factors that you can tolerate).

      People bitch and moan about how companies are always looking to do anything to make a short term profit increase, and the reason is because that's what stockholders want.

      You have a point here, but it is irrelevant to this conversation. This is a personal investment decision. If you think a company is going to do well over the long term as opposed to the short term, then it is a good decision for you to invest in that company and hold it for the long term. This is very common, and generally speaking it is a prudent and safe strategy. However, that decision should be made independent of any other factors (such as wanting to advance OSS).

      2: As others have said, he may honestly believe that there is a lot of money to be made in open source.

      If there is money to be made by investing in companies that advance open source, then that is great. As I said, if he thinks that companies such as Redhat, IBM, Novell, etc. are undervalued then he should invest in them. However, the goal of furthering open source should not be dragged into the investment plan. It has no place there. I'm not saying it is bad to invest in these companies. I'm just saying that he has a responsibility to make a profit. If he has any other goals other than to make a profit, he is in fact acting irresponsibly and immorally in his position.

      The reason why you invest is to make a profit. That is the only purpose. There simply is no other reason. That money does not go to the companies, it is simply a trade with another investor on a secondary market. If you actually want to help open source, as I said, donate your time or money directly to projects. Otherwise, you are just wasting money by directing it into a non-optimal investment.

    13. Re:Fiduciary obligations by toddbu · · Score: 1

      "Every professional investor has biases he brings to the table." - Experience does play a big role in investing, and I don't disagree that an advisor will bring biases to the table. I guess the issue is the level to which these biases restrict the investment strategy. For example, an advisor may recommend stocks from companies whose name begins with the letter "M" (Merck, Microsoft, etc). Wouldn't you expect your advisor to reveal that bias, even if the strategy has been effective in the past?

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    14. Re:Fiduciary obligations by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      For example, an advisor may recommend stocks from companies whose name begins with the letter "M" (Merck, Microsoft, etc). Wouldn't you expect your advisor to reveal that bias, even if the strategy has been effective in the past?

      That would probably be nice but he probably wouldn't, any more than most hedge funds keep their methodology secret. Just try to get a hold of Renaissance Technologies's algorithms...

      If he had data to support the superior value of M equities or a good reason to believe M equities were about to go up, he'd probably talk about it with a client but he wouldn't advertise the strategy to his competitors. And if he was my advisor and had good data I'd say go for it.

      But we're not even talking about the subject in question hiding his methodology from anybody so this strawman is mostly an innocent bystander.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  2. First mistake is... by imaniack · · Score: 4, Informative

    limiting yourself just to tech stock.

    1. Re:First mistake is... by ewl1217 · · Score: 1

      He just said that he's in charge of investing in technology. There are probably other people investing in other areas, considering that it is an investment club. Don't jump to conclusions like that.

  3. hmmm....no! by ILuvRamen · · Score: 1, Informative

    I'd stay far away from open source in the realm of investing. Open source naturally just has a disadvantage that...you know...it's FREE! Depending on how long you can keep it invested, I would put the majority of it in holographic storage technology like from InPhase http://www.inphase-technologies.com/investors/inde x.html. I personally have followed the development for years since I first heard of the technology and it's going to be commercially available within a very short time and with even just the experimental read/write speeds they've actually accomplished, it's gonna blow quantum, flash, and advanced magnetic storage away. Put at least some in google too if you wanna risk it but that's what people have been saying for years and it's never turned out bad :P And whatever's left over, put it in anything related to anti- global warming/mass starvation/weatger natural disasters technologies cuz you know those are gonna be huge in the next couple years.

    --
    Google's Super Secret Search Algorithm: SELECT @search_results FROM internet WHERE @search_results = 'good'
  4. Invest in something proven by knuxed · · Score: 4, Informative

    Invest in something proven,opensource does not have a trackrecord that i know off.Put it in other equities based on financial research and ratios.

    1. Re:Invest in something proven by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Open Source" has just as much of a track record as "Closed Source"... they are both methods, not companies. Whether a company is successful or not depends on the company, not whether they're using open source or closed source or not even using software at all.

  5. Use the software by Foofoobar · · Score: 1

    The best way to support open source is to use the software and encourage others to use the software. Investing in open source is a long term benefit not a shot term one and what you get out of it is hard to put a value on; most companies invest because they themselves directly benefit from the labors of open source developers and it is mostly an investment in their own prosperity. If you are not in a software company and do not directly benefit from any open source product, I'd say invest elsewhere. Because I assume you want a return and you probably won't see a monetary one unless you have a product that directly benefits from an open source project.

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  6. Investment goals by dtfinch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe you've decided that open source will be the most profitable type of investment, but I think you chose open source for more ideological reasons. If your goal is simply to make as much money as possible, then pick your investments according to that goal.

  7. IBM/RedHat by quanticle · · Score: 4, Informative

    Both of these companies invest heavily in open source, and are pushing Linux. I'd have recommended Novell as well, but I don't know what effect the Novell-Microsoft deal will have in the long term.

    --
    We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    1. Re:IBM/RedHat by NineNine · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Red Hat? Are you serious? Red Hat is about to get slaughtered by both Oracle and Microsoft! Ouch. I'd sell Red Hat short before I bought any.

    2. Re:IBM/RedHat by bcrowell · · Score: 2, Informative

      If the point of the club is to learn about investing, then they need to learn that one of the basics is to diversify your portfolio. You can't do that by buying only two stocks.

      In general, it also makes sense to weight your investments according to the market capitalization of the companies. According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model, this is what all rational investors do. Although the CAPM is only a model, and like any model it's only an approximation to reality, it captures something essential, which is that you want the minimum variability for a given expected return, and that means investing more heavily in big companies, because their profitability is less variable. So you look at the market capitalization of IBM (138 billion $) and Red Hat (3 billion $), and you conclude that if those are the only two stocks you're going to own, the default would be to put 98% of your money in IBM, and 2% in Red Hat. Oops, that investment in two stocks became an investment in one stock.

      I'm all in favor of socially responsible investing, but you do it by taking a broad set of stocks, and then weeding out maybe half of them. You don't do it by setting some social criterion so tight that it narrows you down to one or two stocks.

      Also, if the assumption is that you want to invest in some small-cap or microcap tech stocks in order to have a portfolio that will perform better over the very long term, again, it's worth looking at the CAPM as a baseline. The CAPM says that if you want better long-term expected returns, and you're willing to accept higher variability, your optimal way of doing that isn't to buy a bunch of high-risk stocks; your optimal way of doing it is to leverage your investment, and then invest in something like an index fund. Many people do in fact leverage their investment in the stock market by buying stocks when they haven't yet paid off their mortgage; they're essentially borrowing money, with their house as collateral, in order to invest it in the stock market.

    3. Re:IBM/RedHat by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  8. The new guy on the block by Salvance · · Score: 3, Funny

    You could always invest in Microsoft. Oh, I'm sorry, I can't even type that with a straight face.

    --
    Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
    1. Re:The new guy on the block by mrscorpio · · Score: 1

      If you're one of the people that thinks people are stupid, therefore Microsoft will turn it around just because the new office and Vista are new and shiny and don't run on old hardware, Microsoft stock could be considered one helluva bargain right now**

      **Note - the above does not constitute investment advice. Consider your own personal tolerance to risk before choosing any investment. Etc etc other disclaimers.

  9. Free SW works because it doesn't need your money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Free Software works because it doesn't depend on your money. Flush your money down the toilet, guess what, I keep hacking -- because I need that software to make my own money.

    I also question the very premise of a "school investment club". Organized gambling in a national lottery system designed to fund and encourage greed and crime is one thing when done by adults, but do we need to encourage this in our children ? I think school activities should be limited to those that meet the ethical standard of not harming others.

    My advice is to invest the money in BOOZE and HOOKERS.

  10. Start an open source business!! by traindirector · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Here's the plan:

    1. Find a blossoming open source project that could be helpful in a business setting
    2. Start a Nevada company with a name that suggests you can handle even the most troublesome of a client's problems with ease. Suggestions: WeSolvium Technologies, Integrated Business Mechanics
    3. Invest the $10,000 in said company
    4. Spend $5,000 on creating marketing materials to convince businesses that your company is a friend they can trust who will save them lots of money
    5. Spend $5,000 to hire the open source project's developer to do tech support for your clients for two months
    6. ???
    7. Get kicked out of the investment club, lose all credibility at your school, move in with mom and pops, and don't invest your allowance in open source!
    1. Re:Start an open source business!! by mrscorpio · · Score: 1

      This is called "private equity". High risk, high reward.

  11. Follow the institutional ownership by greg1104 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    One approach to finding out which funds might meet your needs is to look at which institutional investors have large blocks in the open-source companies you consider worthwhile. For example, we can look at the data for Redhat (and, yes, I'm laughing too at who is providing that data) and see that there are large positions in the company held by Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, etc. From that, you can check out the various funds that company offers and see if you can find one that matches your requirements. Taking a glance at our host's ownership information shows a large Fidelity block as well, but no other overlap I noticed. From this limited look, I conclude you should be looking at Fidelity's funds. That approach should get you on the right path. You can do the rest of the legwork--you're the student here, after all; I already know how to invest.

  12. Here are a few suggestions by Daath · · Score: 1

    Red Hat
    Google
    Novell (hmmm?)

    They are all solid, and all "good to open source", in some way.

    --
    Any technology distinguishable from magic, is insufficiently advanced.
    1. Re:Here are a few suggestions by bcrowell · · Score: 1

      Google is not an open-source company.

      Novell, aside from their current deal with MS, should be looked at with suspicion because it's trading at about $6. A lot of people recommend that individual investors stay away from stocks that trade below about $3-5 a share, and Novell is pushing that limit. When you get down close to the penny stock range, you can run into problems with liquidity. Stocks with very small market capitalization are also vulnerable to insider trading, pump-and-dump scams, and every other kind of shady dealing.

  13. So Sayith Futurama by Arceliar · · Score: 1

    "If you're an investor you can dump your money in the hole there."

    That about sums it up. If you must invest in open source, look at the companies which offer tech-support: that's where lot most of the profits are.

  14. stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by nido · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Clearly I want to make a profit...

    Recently found a copy of the 1974 book, The Screwing of the Average Man. One of the early chapters is about how average folk got screwed in the late-60's stock market - funny accounting, etc. As I read it tonight, some 32 years after it was first released, I amazed at how "history repeats itself." The exact same things happened in the late-90's tech bubble.

    The U.S. stock markets may be at or near record highs, but adjusted for teh inflation they'd still have to advance another 25% or so to match their bubble peaks. Where are the fundamentals that would justify another 25%? Corporate profits may be at record highs, but average folk are getting squeezed. The housing bubble has burst, foreclosures are going up. Ford recently got 35,000 employees to take a buyout aka paycut. What is the growing industry that will offer jobs that offer comparable pay?

    The U.S.-China economic relationship is a highly unusual one between a First World and a Third World country. Moreover, the U.S. trade deficit with China in manufactured goods and advanced technology products is growing rapidly. What explains the U.S. dependence on a poor country for First World products?

    The answer, and the key to China's rapid development, is that corporations in First World countries--American businesses chief among them--use China as an offshore location where they produce for their home markets. More than half of U.S. imports from China, and as much as 70 percent from some of China's coastal regions, represent offshore production by American firms for U.S. markets.

    What economists overlook is that when we speak of the Chinese economy, we are speaking in large part of the relocation of American manufacturing to China. Those millions of lost domestic manufacturing jobs were not lost. They were moved. The jobs still exist, only they are not filled by Americans.

    In a world where capital and technology are highly mobile internationally, these critical factors of production flow to countries with the lowest cost of labor. China has attracted manufacturing, and India has attracted professional services. This has left the American work force with job growth only in lower-paid domestic services, which provide no export earnings.

    -Who Owns the Dollar? (emphasis added)

    Most Americans live in a media-induced Never-Never Land, where the American economy, stockmarket and military machines are invincible because they always have been. Never mind that this is demonstrably false (great depresion, 1970's inflationary recession, Vietnam, Iraq, etc) - we're conditioned via compulsory government schooling and the idiot-box (television) to have a short memory.

    More on the Screwing of average folk...

    I gave people $1 (1 ounce) silver coins last Christmas. Think I traded around 10 or 11 "Feral Reserve Notes" for each one. Silver is now up to $13.75 or so, so I'm looking at having to put out about 50% more funny-money paper if I want to do the same thing this year (coin dealers typically charge spot + $2, iirc). Inflation at work.

    If I had another $10k, I'd split it between metals and Euros... As it is, I'm sitting on a couple hundred ounces of silver and a couple ounces of gold. Not a sure thing, but the economy we know is doomed. The stock market is terminal too, but the big money will be sure to get out first, in keeping with the traditional screwing of the masses (that's 'us' - me, you, and everyone who reads this comment who doesn't pull in $1million/year).

    Actually, I'd buy more Earthboxes, potting mix, and fertilizer (already have plenty of seed). $10k could get me two pallets worth (200), and all the potting mix and f

    --
    Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
    www.teslabox.com
    1. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by dch24 · · Score: 1
      Good post. But about that crash thing:
      Not a sure thing, but the economy we know is doomed. The stock market is terminal too, but the big money will be sure to get out first, in keeping with the traditional screwing of the masses
      One problem is that if enough of the masses believe this, it becomes reality. Heh, from "Sneakers:"

      Cosmo: While in prison, I learned everything in this world, including money operates not on reality...
      Bishop: - But the perception of reality.
      Cosmo: Posit: People think a bank might be financially shaky.
      Bishop: - Consequence - People start to withdraw their money.
      Cosmo: - Result: Pretty soon, it is financially shaky.
      Bishop: - Conclusion: You can make banks fail.
      Cosmo: Bzzzt! I've already done that. Maybe you've read about a few? Think bigger.
      Bishop: - Stock market?
      Cosmo: - Yes.
      Bishop: - Currency market.
      Cosmo: - Yes.
      Bishop: Commodities market.
      Cosmo: - Yes.
      Bishop: Small countries? Cosmo nods.
      Cosmo: I might even be able to crash the whole damn system.

      So I think we should hold onto the free market system for a little longer at least.
    2. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by wikinerd · · Score: 1

      Commodity markets, especially metals as silver and gold, have great potential. The stock market is, after all, just a game of beliefs: You believe that a share will go well and you invest based on that belief. No wonder it's so volatile. Metals have inherent value, and even if people stop liking gold, it will still have its value as it has practical and industrial uses as well.

    3. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by Eivind · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Earthboxes are good (assuming you can sensibly use the output), precious metals are bad.

      The reason is simple: Money represent opportunity. Opportunity to do something you couldn't do without. Stuff you do is, on average, productive. (if it wasn't humanity would be better off doing nothing, which is obvioulsy not the case).

      Earthboxes produce something. Food. Pretty flowers. Spices. Whatever you want. They *contribute* to the wealth of humanity.

      Precious metals sitting in a box or in a safe, however, don't produce anything. A single ounce of gold placed in a safe today will still be a single ounce of gold a decade or a century from now.

      A earthbox (or any other productive thing) will in a decade produce stuff worth many times its initial cost.

      Precious metals are only a positive investment if you believe humanity in sum will be poorer by the time you need the money than we are now. Not a good bet, honestly.

      If you're convinced that we'll see global meltdown, go for it. But honestly, the odds are against the doomsday-scenarios by a very large margin.

      Even the biggest crashes and disasters we've experienced (such as the 3oies depression or WW-2) didn't change the general trend. Humanity was better off in 1940 than in 1929 -- despite the depression. And better of in 1960 than in 1940 - despite WW2.

      So, if you're convinced the next crash is near (I'm not, but I agree it'll happen), buy stuff of lasting value -- but stuff that is *useful* in the meantime, not stuff that is simply stored in a safe.

      Storing gold in a safe is essentially a bet that doing *nothing* productive will give a better return than doing ones best to do something that *is* productive. And that is not a good bet.

      Furthermore the amount of gold *grows* over time, more is found and dug out all the time, only small amounts of gold are lost or consumed. Land is a much better option; they don't make any more of that, and it can be *used* without the value sinking. You can *rent* out land, not many are all that interested in *renting* cold. (why would they want to?)

      Land has *one* drawback: if you believe in total collapse of government, then the "ownership" of land can be completely worthless, you can't take your land with you if you have to flee the country, for example. (would be tricky with gold too, but atleast you could try) Hiding land is also not really doable.

    4. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by nido · · Score: 1

      A single ounce of gold placed in a safe today will still be a single ounce of gold a decade or a century from now.

      And that is exactly the point. I don't watch much T.V., but someone had the history channel on last night, and the show was on 'pizza'. Mr. Lombardi, an itallian immigrant, had opened the first pizza shop in New York City in 1905. In 2005 the shop celebrated a century of being in business by selling pies for the original price: $0.05.

      Land's other drawback is that it's currently overpriced, as a result of the housing bubble. If I had anything to say about my grandparents' farmland I'd hold onto it, as it produces something of value *and* they own it free and clear. A relative thinks it's a bad investment because it "only" returns 5%/year.

      So, if you're convinced the next crash is near (I'm not, but I agree it'll happen), buy stuff of lasting value -- but stuff that is *useful* in the meantime, not stuff that is simply stored in a safe.

      I mostly agree with most your points in this post, which is why I'm considering diversifying. I only view gold as a short-term wealth holding device, as technology has made it less-scarce than it used to be (the cost to dig it out of the ground has dropped exponentially over the last 200 years).

      The collapse of the economy as we knew it is well underway, with housing leading the charge.

      Furthermore the amount of gold *grows* over time, more is found and dug out all the time, only small amounts of gold are lost or consumed.

      Silver gets used up, for all sorts of industrial processes. Mirrors are made with a thin layer of silver, electrical switches use silver to prevent sparking, film photography uses silver, digital cameras use silver, electronics use silver. Silver reserves are quite low (much of the silver that's ever been mined has been used up), and the reason the price of silver is still low is apparently due to manipulation. I have much more silver than I do gold, for this very reason.

      --
      Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
      www.teslabox.com
    5. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by MooseTick · · Score: 1

      Even if there is a gloval meltdown, who's to say that precious metals will have value?

      If civilization falls tomorrow, I'd rather have a huge supply of gasoline, food, water purifiers, and other necessities. Gold, silver, diamonds, and jewels might be pretty to look at but aren't of much practical use.

    6. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by everphilski · · Score: 1

      Your kinda right, kinda wrong...

      A relative thinks it's a bad investment because it "only" returns 5%/year.

      5% is crappy, it is barely beating inflation. I mean, its not bad for an investment you don't have to do anything for (I'm assuming you aren't farming the land yourself, subletting it, correct?) but my 401k / Roth IRA's are both around 12% and we aren't even at the end of the year yet.

      The collapse of the economy as we knew it is well underway, with housing leading the charge.

      The price of land and housing is relative. I purchased a house a year ago, after my son started crawling we decided we couldn't stand the 1-bedroom apartment any longer. We moved into a relatively new community, a new house actually. A few months ago one of the homes, identical layout to ours, sold for 20% more than we paid for it. Housing prices are relative to the economy. Some areas of the country are doing crappy right now - including most of the ones included in your blog link, the rust belt. Other areas are the exact opposite, like where I live (Huntsville, AL ... lots of high-tech workers and lots of growth)

      I do agree with your comments on gold. It isn't for investment purposes, just barter if the dollar were to collapse. Same with silver, although, I think it will be recovered more easily than you envision. There are already companies that have processes to scavenge "tech graveyard" (landfills of computer waste) for silver, mercury, platinum and other "precious" metals, the hold factor right now is getting the price on the process down to where it is profitable (this was features in Fast Company three issues ago).

    7. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mr. Lombardi, an itallian immigrant, had opened the first pizza shop in New York City in 1905. In 2005 the shop celebrated a century of being in business by selling pies for the original price: $0.05.

      But that's just inflation. Even if your gold increases in value, the price of everything else also increases, and you're no better off. You need to invest in something that beats inflation, not just keeps up with it.

      If you want concrete numbers: an ounce of gold in 1905 was worth $20, that would buy you 400 pizza pies back then. An ounce of gold today is about $650. You can't buy 400 pizza pies with that same ounce of gold today, even with no toppings. Gold actually lost its value between 1905 and today, by this measure.

    8. Re:stock markets are for screwing 'the masses' by Eivind · · Score: 1
      Mr. Lombardi, an itallian immigrant, had opened the first pizza shop in New York City in 1905. In 2005 the shop celebrated a century of being in business by selling pies for the original price: $0.05.

      That's just inflation. What's the equivalent price today ? $5 ? If so, that means the dollar has had an average of 4.7% inflation over the last century.

      So, any "investment" would have to do better than that, or it'd have been a loss. Gold, for example, has *not* done better than that, the value of gold has gone up with aproximately 3.5% pro year in average over the last century. So, holding gold for the last 100 years would've actually netted you a 65% loss.

  15. Market investing doesn't help the company by Maple+Syrup · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You seem to be under the impression that if you buy $1,000 worth of Red Hat stock (for instance) that the money somehow goes to Red Hat. This is not correct.

    The issuing company got their money at the IPO. When you buy that $1000 worth of stock, your $1000 goes to the previous stockholder, and *none* of it - not a dime - goes to the issuing company.

    The only benefit the issuing company has - and it's an indirect benefit - is that if you buy that $1000 worth of stock you create a slight upward pressure on the stock price, which, in turn, will increase the "market capitalization" value of the company.

    Frankly, if you want to help Open Source financially, your best bet is to take a percentage of the profits and donate it to your favorite non-profit Open Source entity.

      -Maple Syrup

    1. Re:Market investing doesn't help the company by cide1 · · Score: 1

      This is very true, and often forgotten. I believe the majority of the public (techies included) do not, and do not really wish to, understand the stock market.

      --
      -- the computer doesn't want any beer, no matter how much you think it does. NEVER, EVER feed your computer beer.
    2. Re:Market investing doesn't help the company by hazem · · Score: 1

      This is very true, and often forgotten. I believe the majority of the public (techies included) do not, and do not really wish to, understand the stock market.

      Hell... a majority of the American public doesn't even understand how toxic carrying credit card balances is to their financial health - and that's something really easy to understand.

      At the next level, so few Americans invest in their retirement plans - they even give up company matches by not putting in a contribution.

      When people cannot even see how vitally important these two things are, how can you expect them to understand more complex things like where the money actually goes when you buy and sell stocks/

    3. Re:Market investing doesn't help the company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly! Jeez! Blah! We're in a position to help these people, but let's just point out that they can't take care of themselves! There must be no reason!! Everyone must just be stupid!!1@$!one#%one! My complaining helps further society and culture!!!!TR#@)%I@MG4g3gmop34mo1 I AM TEH BEST~~#$!@

    4. Re:Market investing doesn't help the company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      You seem to be under the impression that if you buy $1,000 worth of Red Hat stock (for instance) that the money somehow goes to Red Hat. This is not correct.

      The issuing company got their money at the IPO. When you buy that $1000 worth of stock, your $1000 goes to the previous stockholder, and *none* of it - not a dime - goes to the issuing company.

      I wish this fact were more public knowledge. This is also why tax breaks for the rich do not stimulate the economy.
    5. Re:Market investing doesn't help the company by hazem · · Score: 1

      You're an AC, so this reply probably doesn't matter. But, I am, in fact, trying to help. I volunteer with Junior Achievement to teach Personal Finance to middle-schooler students. What have you done today (besides drool on your keyboard)?

  16. OK here goes.. by joshier · · Score: 0
    Hello

    I'm going to go ahead and copy what I wrote the other day on the official ubuntu forum and see what you guys think of it

    Hello

    Now, I'm going to try my best to explain my idea, I am not great at executing ideas I have to people, so please bare with me.


    I love ubuntu, and it's coming on fantastically, I see new specs added daily and they are very exciting to hear about.

    I also love the fact that many ideas are incorporated into this system, such as bounties which offer money to devs making that particular feature come into ubuntu with a reward to the coder who covers it.

    Personally, I have a small part-time job and do freelance design work.. I have done some work to ubuntu, such as GUI concepts to help pitch my ideas, but wish to do more in the future.

    I have been thinking a lot about ubuntu and ways to quicken the pace of development and getting more people involved in the project.

    Many people are doing a great job already, and every time I hear about another developer switching across to ubuntu it makes me very excited.

    I have a proposition to pitch to you guys, I feel very strongly about this idea and really believe it could work brilliantly.

    In simple terms, the idea is just an enhanced bounty system - with a few more features within the forum/launchpad to help the idea come to life.

    In complex terms it goes like this:

    First, we make a special place where specifications are able to be voted for once they have been approved, a bit like how the feisty forum allows people to post their idea / explain it and then other users are able to cast their vote / talk about it.

    Well, this is great and I think it's doing a fine job - I'd like to still have this within the idea I'm explaining, but I'd like to take those ideas the users submit and explain, then allow people to vote for them as specifications in the launchpad. (a bit like digg.com)

    These specifications get some advertisement, a bit of hype.. the popular ones get the most coverage of course because they are the highest ones in the list, and people are able to add cash to the one(s) they like the most via paypal (easily and quickly).

    This would generate popularity and of course developers would notice this.

    The second part of the idea is improving the actual way the people who cover the bounty-sponsored specifications are paid.

    Instead of one person being paid the full sum of the bounty for doing all the work, the bounty cash is split up within sub-sectors, allowing people to get paid a little for each bug / needed feature implementation for the final spec to be covered and finalised.


    Say a particular specification is suggested in the forums, the people discuss this - give constructive criticisms, and just the general behaviour the forum ideas cover. If the idea is good and many people feel it would work, a specification is made and a person under the authority to approve it does so. If the spec is approved, it carries onto the normal process to go into the launch pad under 'approved status'. Now, instead of this spec sitting there, it is allowed to be voted upon and donated with it's own donation box and people are able to see this total price worth within launchpad/another system.

    Each little bug that is addressed will come with a bounty of a realistic price for the total outcome of the actual bounty .. so for example, if the bounty total sum is 50$, then expect each bug to be quite small.

    I also want to mention that people should be able to donate to ubuntu via a 'paypal' button on the front page, to help distribution of CD's/merchandise, but the money would also go into the features/bug fixing in the launchpad, so that the money is distributed to every single specification.

    Even though not directly related, wouldn't this fuel development?

    Say if this guy wanted to invest in ubuntu, couldn't his money really help if put into the above example I quoted?
  17. Skip it by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I have been watching it as well. In fact, I remember it from the late 80's. The simple answer is that if you are investing OTHER peoples money, you must pay attention to what will make money. In fact, if you are here asking, then you really MUST pay attention to what will make money shortly. Considering the world situation, tech can be blown out in 100 different ways.

    Try energy. Oil is a good one. It is almost certain that W's tax cuts will be removed (and soon), but the simple answer is that China and India are are on a tear. They will be increasing demand on ALL oil resources. I would look heavily at any oil company. In addition, consider nukes AND alternatives. High Oil prices combined with Global warming will force us down this path. Wind energy companies are good ones. GE and westinghouse power are interesting.

    Finally, consider looking more around the globe. America is heading towards a major slow down. W has ran up a major deficit like Reagan did. In addition, he is spending all sorts of money on funding the war, tearing apart EPA, buying the most expensive drugs for seniors, etc, and even cutting alternative energy research WHILE giving tax cuts to oil. Combine with moving core manufactuering to China, and you will soon see a collapse in our money policies. It is only a matter of time before the dollars starts to sink and we will be forced to raise interest rates AND taxes to keep foreign money flowing into America. This would normally induce a major global depression (think 1930s), but enough business is globalized as to allow the other markets to move forward without us.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  18. You are correct by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    And considering that companies like Amazon, Google, and Redhat have done better than companies such as MS over the last 5 years, perhaps, he should invest in them. Of course, a very good bellweather would be IBM since they are heavily diversified.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:You are correct by cide1 · · Score: 1

      Ummm, have you looked at RHAT lately? Its at 17.40. It was at $26 60 days ago. It was at three digits in the not too far past.

      --
      -- the computer doesn't want any beer, no matter how much you think it does. NEVER, EVER feed your computer beer.
    2. Re:You are correct by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      3 digits was during Clinton's time AND that was LONG ago. About 1 years ago, rhat was at 10. And yes, it hit 26. Right now, ppl are running scared because of Oracle. That is when you buy.

      As to the MS threat, well, they have been after Redhat for over a decade. And considering that MS could not do it BEFORE their conviction and sentencing, they are not likely to do it now. As it is, MS is focused on Google, not Redhat.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:You are correct by cide1 · · Score: 1

      I bought RedHat the day it went from $26 to $19. Mgmt didn't even acknowledge the move. 25% or so of the value of the stock gone in a day. I thought surely it will bounce back. It seemed obvious that RHAT was in a great position to form some strategic parnerships especially with Oracle, similar to Sun and Oracle. What we got a week after the fact was a change of a single vice president. A week later, Oracle announced their intent to compete, and RHAT dropped to $13. It has oscillated greatly since then. I don't mind that RHAT has volatility or competition. What I do mind is the way management has not responded. There are a lot of poorly run companies, there aren't many well run companies. I try to invest more in the latter than the former.

      --
      -- the computer doesn't want any beer, no matter how much you think it does. NEVER, EVER feed your computer beer.
    4. Re:You are correct by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      lol. Yeah, I could not get my father to invest into Rhat at first until just before the split (at 240). It was right after that, that it took a HUGE dive. Overall, Redhat is in pretty good position. But they have their issues, like any other.

      Btw, saw that you are at GE-Med. I taught there in Waukesha, WI back in 2000. IIRC, it was for a java class. In addition, grew up in Wonder Lake, IL. Great area. I miss the winters there.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  19. Not exactly what you want but.... by antifoidulus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Consider waiting till early next year and investing in the Spectra Green fund, a fund set up by Bill Clinton whose goal is to invest in, and actually make money using, environmentally friendly alternatives to fossil fuels. It's tech, it's a good cause, it will(hopefully) make money.

    1. Re:Not exactly what you want but.... by RAMMS+EIN · · Score: 1

      But...but...Clinton is a TERRIBLE SEX OFFENDER!!!! He was the worst president, EVER! Don't give him your money!

      --
      Please correct me if I got my facts wrong.
  20. why mutual funds? by wikinerd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why do you seek to invest in mutual funds? I am also an investor, but I never invest in mutual funds. Choose index shares wisely and you won't be disappointed. Why pay for analysts's salaries when we all know that the economy is more or less a chaotic system that no one can predict its behaviour? What is your time horizon? If you can wait for many years, then use the method of the Sage of Omaha, as described in Buffettology: Buy shares of undervalued companies in markets with good economics, and keep them for years (be reluctant to sell, as in buy and hold). This may not work if your time horizon is short, however, so you might like to pay some attention to seasonality and perhaps sell in May and go away.

    1. Re:why mutual funds? by Eivind · · Score: 2, Insightful
      There's some situations where it makes sense.

      Because of various fees, you cannot sensibly invest much less than say $1000-$2000 in a single stock. If you want to invest abroad, especially outside of west-europe/north-america the fees tend to be higher, I looked into it, and for me, for example, I found no cost-effective way of investing less than about $5000 in a single south-american stock.

      This poses a problem if you want good geographic spread, and don't have a fortune to invest. 5-10 stocks in different sectors tend to be enough to have a high chance of following the index, more or less.

      Buying 5-10 different stocks from Norway is trivial. It's easy, and the fees are low. Total cost $10K - $15K (on the norwegian stock-exchange stock is sold in "lots" that each cost $1k-$2k, smaller investments are possible, but it costs extra and is not cost-effective)

      So far fine. But then let's say I'd want to diversify into western europe. I could get another 5-10 stocks from say Germany, UK and Russia. Here trouble starts. Russia is not easily accessible in a cost-effective way for small sums. Germany and UK is, but the fixed-fees are higher than for Norway. I'm figuring, I'd need $50K or more to reasonably cover Europe, even then it'd have to be "pick 2-3 stock-exchanges, ignore the rest"

      So, I use mutual funds for covering those areas and exchanges where I'm not heavily enough invested that *can* spread alone.

      For me, this means Norway:stock. Nordic-countries:stock. Germany,UK:Stock. USA:Stock. All other parts of the world:funds. I go for index-funds with low provisions, I'm not *interested* in paying for the crack-consumption of some "I can beat the market" whiz-broker that, in the end, on the average, doesn't end up beating the market. Good spread. Low fees. Those are my *only* 2 criteria.

      I generally buy-and-hold. I'd only drop a stock either if I needed the money (did drop some when buying a house this summer) OR when the company does something terminally stupid that I either can judge better than the market, or that makes it impossible ethically for me to hold the company. I shorted SCO at $18, for example, which is speculaction, which I normally don't do. However, in this particular case I was 100% convinced that they where full of crap and suing IBM would lead to bankruptcy. I cached in when they passed $5 on the way down, today they're at $2 (but the short would've expired anyway)

      My time-horizon is long. It's unlikely I'm gonna need the cash before the kids need to get established and/or I don't feel like working anymore. This means 20-30 year horizon. I don't *care* what the stock did this week. I care how it's gonna do this *decade*.

    2. Re:why mutual funds? by wikinerd · · Score: 1

      i also have this problem and I hate high fees. But there are other markets too apart from the stock market, like the commodity and metal markets. it makes sense to invest not only on papers, but also on tangible goods where the fees are much lower if you choose the right provider. i do distrust investment schemes like mutual funds, though, where someone takes your money to 'invest it' and you effectively pay for their salary.

    3. Re:why mutual funds? by Eivind · · Score: 1
      But the commodity and metal-market is fundamentally not productive.

      You buy 100 barrels of oil today, and then at some point in the future you can *sell* 100 barrels of oil. Actually, you can sell sligthly less than 100 barrels of oil, because *storage* of oil is not free.

      You could *transport* the oil, which would be productive (if demand was higher on the destination than on the departure), but then you are in the shipping-business and not in the commodity-market.

      Over time, nearly all commodities have lost value. A barrel of oil, an ounce of gold, a kilo of silver, a ton of iron, a ton of coal, they're ALL worth significantly less average work-hours today then they where a century ago. Which is a nessecary consequence of increasing wealth.

      Short-term, trough a collapse, when wealth is *decreasing* holding commodities will give you a profit. But long-term, where wealth tends to increase, you'll get a loss. (work for a *month* in 1905 and buy gold. Store it up until today. Discover that the value of that gold is today only the equivalent of 1 *week* of work, if that, which is a sucky investment.

      In short, investing in something with constant value is only a good idea if you expect people to get, on the average, poorer.

    4. Re:why mutual funds? by wikinerd · · Score: 1

      Your reply is insightful. You are right that investing in gold, silver, oil, and other commodities is sane only when the investor expects the people to get poorer. Your fundamental logic is correct. But you also made a fundamental factual mistake: People get poorer all the time, and the world economy constantly crashes. The governments print obscene amounts of paper money to pay their war debts, and every few decades the control over the economy is lost and another crash follows.

    5. Re:why mutual funds? by Eivind · · Score: 1
      Yes. Short-term setbacks occur, as you say, "all the time".

      There's been quite a few of those, and odds are those will continue to occur in the future.

      But here's the thing, it's *still* mostly a question of 3 steps forward, 1 backward kind of thing.

      USA is more wealthy today than it was 100 years ago *despite* the US economy having tanked several times in those years. There was the severe depression in the 30ies, there where world-war-2, there where the dot-com-bust. And there's some indication you guys may be entering another recession at this very moment. (though the jury is still out on the latter)

      Still -- you've progressed a lot more than you've recessed.

      The same is true for the world as a whole, only more so, because with a diversified portofolio, during a recession some economies are harder hit than others, so geographic diversification serves to smoothen the dumps.

      I certainly see no reason whatsoever for believing that USA, or the world as a whole, will be poorer 20, 50 or 100 years from now than we are today.

  21. MySQL by BortQ · · Score: 1

    MySQL is an established and growing open-source company that operates as a for-profit business. Seems like a good fit.

    --

    A Multiplayer Strategy Game for Mac OS X, Windows, and Linux
    1. Re:MySQL by PHPfanboy · · Score: 2, Informative

      All businesses operate for-profit, that doesn't make them an inherently good investment.
      MySQL is venture funded, so you can't put any money in until they go public (which could be quite a way off)

      --
      29 mpg. YMMV.
    2. Re:MySQL by 6031769 · · Score: 1

      Actually, no. Not all businesses operate for-profit, not even all tech businesses do. Consider, for example, Nominet.

      That's not to detract from your assertion that just because a particular business operates for-profit does not necessarily make it a good investment. Businesses that operate(d) in this way include Enron, Boo.com, SCO, etc.

      --
      Burns: We're building a casino!
      McAllister: Arrr. Give me 5 minutes.
  22. Microsoft by skinfitz · · Score: 1

    No company has done more to further Open Source than Microsoft. Look at Windows for example - would you want that to be the only OS on the market?

    Consider also the Monkey Boy video - I'm being deadly serious when I say I saw that, then immediately switched to Mac.

    If Microsoft didn't suck, there would be no alternatives.

  23. Work backwards... by WoTG · · Score: 1

    Not sure if I agree with your Open Source investment plan, but, if you really want to find mutual funds that invest in Open Source companies (how many public companies fit THAT criteria anyway?), you can look up the institutional shareholders (i.e. big guys) for the company. For example Red Hat, the Yahoo Major Holders page (http://finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=RHAT) tells us that the "FIDELITY GROWTH COMPANY FUND" owns about 10% of RHAT shares. I can't name very many publicly trading Open Source related companies... I rather doubt that you'll find a fund that has is primarily OSS focused.

  24. Dumb joke of the day by thc69 · · Score: 1

    Mutual Funs? That's when everybody has a good time! Nyuk nyuk nyuk...

    --
    Procrastination -- because good things come to those who wait.
  25. Dude, priorities! by eagl · · Score: 1

    Dude, you're investing someone else's money... That means you have a bigger responsibility to those people than you do to any number of open source companies.

    If it was your own money, I'd say go ahead and invest wherever you want. But since you're just "in charge" of someone else's money, you have an obligation to invest it wherever you'll get the best return.

    It was a nice thought, but in this case you really should try to make money instead of social policy.

  26. Novell by extremescholar · · Score: 1

    Here beginth the sarcasm.

    I hear Novell does linux and I hear there stock is going to soar due to some deal they made with Microsoft. That's gotta be a win-win combination!

    Here endeth the sarcasm.

    (/me ducks from the flying penguin thrown at me)

    --
    Using the Freedom of Speech while I still have it.
  27. General guidance by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Having just gone through a corporate acquisition, businesses that make money primarily off the labor of their employees are not considered attractive investments.

    Theoretically, the value of a business should be the net present value of its future income, discounted by risk. Consulting and services are perceived as more risky than revenues from intellectual property, therefore an open source company is likely to be valued less than a proprietary software company of equal profitability. In fact, a money losing intellectual property (IP) based business may have greater attraction to investors than a moderately profitable service business.

    Personally, I think the risk differential is exaggerated, but in fairness the IP of a proprietary software company is an asset that could, in the worst case, be liquidated. Also, labor is expensive and it is difficult to grow labor intensive businesses quickly. A well run consultancy usually can be characterized by conservative growth goals and high efficiency. This places constraints on achieving high ROI. However, within those constraints you may find a solid, undervalued investment.

    Of course the fun of investing is finding exceptions to the rule. I think most people who like to do their own investing think of themselves as contrarians. The flip side of the bias towards proprietary business is that service businesses may offer the chance to buy a share of future income that is relatively undervalued. However, this requires more homework, because you're placing relatively more faith in the management and sales team.

    There is one kind of intellectual property that an open source company can avail itself of: trademark. Red Hat was for many years practically synonymous with Linux in the minds of many managers. It is still a name that commands immediate attention. If you are looking to make a killing, as opposed to merely outperforming the market by a bit over a long period of time, I think this means that you are looking for an outfit that has a plan that will create a brand that will command respect.

    Brand is an instance of a broader class of assets: things which give you an unique competitive advantage with customers. Perhaps you are looking not for a software company, but some kind of consumer facing retail or service outfit that is an open source contributor. Maybe you are looking for a company that has uses open source in an unique hardware device. If you had enough money to place VC (which you don't), you could look for companies with innovative plans to entrench themselves in a vertical market -- a difficult but underexploited path for F/OSS.

    You have to decide what kind of investor you want to be. All investors who hope to beat the market are contrarians, but you can be contrary in different ways. Some investors are like the tortoise in the fable: they beat the market by focusing further down the path to the finish line than most. Me, for example. I like money, but I have other things I'd rather be occupying my attention with, so I check in on my investments maybe twice a year tops. While the open source movement as a whole is something that will continue to grow and prosper, I don't think a single company that is highly dependent on F/OSS is an appropriate investment for the tortoise except as a part of a diverse portfolio.

    Other investors are hares looking to beat the market by finding something before others have noticed it. Maybe that's you. The important thing is to be very critical of your argument for investing in something on that basis. Creative people can envision virtually anything working, and are very good at selling blue sky scenarios to others like themselves, and ready to buy the scenario when it piques their imagination. Mark Twain was no sucker, but he lost his fortune investing in high tech printing equipment.

    Remember you are not investing in "open source" or "technology", you are backing a specific business plan. Is the data in that plan verifiable and correct? What way

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    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  28. Bullshit indeed by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    Bullshit.
    I think that a lot of problems with the way the corporate world operates these days is down to exactly that attitude.

    Bullshit indeed. Two wrongs don't make a right, and you can't be the "good guy" by using immoral means. Whatever problems you have with corporate morals or behaviour, turning into an immoral asshole yourself and blowing other people's money to reward people you like (whether it's your girlfriend or your favourite OSS developper) is _not_ a moral high ground.

    Now, I know that there is still the point of it being other peoples money

    No, I don't think you fully grasp that, seein' as you promptly handwave it as some secondary consideration. That is the _whole_ point.

    A corporation, in the end, uses its own money. And it is _supposed_ to use them in whichever way it benefits itself. Be it charity to polish its PR image, or encouraging developpers for their system, or just buying friends, or whatever. Even when we buy their shares we do so, basically, on the assumption, "go do something good for yourself with these money, and incidentally I'll benefit too from your growth and good fortune."

    An analyst is _not_ dealing with his own money. He's acting on behalf of other people, and under the implied relationship of trust that he'll act in their best interest. Anything else is violating that relationship of trust. Unless those people explicitly aggreed to use their money for the global good of the economy or whatever noble goals you may have, it is simply wrong to basically steal from them to pursue those noble goals.

    If you will, consider the following two cases, because they're _fundamentally_ different: (A) corporation X gives $10,000 to charity, vs (B) stock market analyst Y takes $10,000 from other people's money and gives them to charity. The former is good and commendable, the latter is plain old theft and morally wrong. You cannot be the good guy, when that "good" is based on theft and dishonesty.

    We're not talking even some kind of Robin Hood taking from the oppressors and giving to the poor oppressed peasants. We're talking about blowing $10,000 out of some kid's college fund or out of some grandma's pension fund, to pursue your own bullshit ideals instead of their interests.

    It is reasonable to think that even though investing in open source might not have the best immediate returns, that helping open source based companies through investments could lead to growth in the tech industry, which will mean higher returns on many other tech based investments.

    Which is still bullshit if those people didn't explicitly aggree to use their money for that. Just because something is some vaguely defined "greater good" or "common long term good", doesn't make it right to use dishonesty and theft to forward that goal. See the charity example again. Charities are good for society too, but that doesn't make it right to steal someone's college fund or pension fund to support your favourite charity. If you want to forward the "greater good" or "common good", do it with your own money, not by stealing other people's money.

    I would imagine that, as he isn't a professional broker or investor, he will almost certainly have to consult the other members of the club before investing the money.

    "Probably someone else will block it anyway" is not an excuse for dishonesty. I'm sure that if someone from your bank emptied your account and gave them to a charity, you wouldn't think it's ok if they say, "oh, I thought they'd catch me and stop me in time."

    2: As others have said, he may honestly believe that there is a lot of money to be made in open source.
    2 isn't as ridiculous as it might sound to some people. If the major players like IBM, Oracle, Sun, and Google think Open Source is a business plan worth putting time, money, and effort into, then it seems not unreasonable fo

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    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  29. Where? by Wolfger · · Score: 1

    Where the heck do you go to school that people in the investment club have $10k to play with?

  30. Someone has to say it... by Elektrance · · Score: 1

    1. Invest in Open Source
    2. ????
    3. Profit!