Slashdot Mirror


US Missle Interceptor Tests a Success

An anonymous reader writes to mention that the U.S. Missile Defense Agency and Lockheed Martin recently reported success in the test flight of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile system. "THAAD is designed to defend U.S. troops, allied forces, population centers and critical infrastructure against short- to intermediate range ballistic missiles. THAAD comprises a fire control and communications system, interceptors, launchers and a radar. The THAAD interceptor uses hit-to-kill technology to destroy targets, and is the only weapon system that engages threat ballistic missiles at both endo- and exo-atmospheric altitudes."

63 of 391 comments (clear)

  1. Mission Accomplished? by cashman73 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Obligatory.

    1. Re:Mission Accomplished? by cashman73 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Try telling that to the Commander-in-Chief. Apparently, being only partially done with something is enough for him to declare success,... ;-)

    2. Re:Mission Accomplished? by mi · · Score: 3, Interesting

      How about the mission defined in the Authorization for Use of Military Force in Iraq, defend the security interests of the US from the threat in Iraq?

      That's done too. Iraqi Army, which used to threaten our aircraft patrolling North (Kurds) and South (Shia) of the country, is disbanded. The threat to our allies in the region (Kuwait, Israel, Saudi Arabia) is gone too, thank you very much...

      ... hottest threat center in the world, probably part of Greater Iran.

      Iran now has 100+K American troops next to it, which is good if we want to contain it. USSR (so contained earlier) is gone — America's decades-long presence in Western Europe accomplished its purpose. Now it is Middle East's turn...

      We have the most effective military in the world, pointed at our own head.

      Only if "your head" is somewhere in Najaf's orchards plotting to kill prominent Iraqis or US soldiers...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re:Mission Accomplished? by CajunArson · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > independent event, therefore they have nothing to do with each other and you can't add up their probablities.

      Take a coin with a 50/50 chance of turning up heads. Each flip is independent of all the others. Now, what is the chance that for 100 flips EVERY flip will come up tails with 0 flips coming up heads?
          (0.5) ^ 100 = 7.8 * 10^-31 (0 for any chance this side of hell of not getting a heads)

      If the chance of a hit is only 5% (meaning a miss is 95%):
            (0.95) ^ 100 = 0.0059205292203339975 (0.59% chance of a miss, or about a 99.4% chance of a hit)

      Killing the missile only requires 1 hit. The parent may be optimistic in some ways, but he is completely right with his figures, and you need to go back to probability 101.

      --
      AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    4. Re:Mission Accomplished? by SnowZero · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Dear statistically challenged: 1-(1-0.05)^100 ~= 0.994 = 99.4%

      because each defensive rocket they fire is an indepedent event, therefore they have nothing to do with each other and you can't add up their probablities.
      Yeah, that's why you multiply them.

      The likelihood of each of those rockets successfully destroy the incoming missile is 5%, and they can all fail at the same point as each other.
      So, now you are saying they aren't independent? A sentence earlier you claimed they were.

      So, in the end, the chance to stop the incoming missile is only 5%.
      I await your assumptions and calculation that comes up with this result. Then we can discuss it.

      There's nothing wrong with not knowing something, but there is something wrong when you try to spread your incorrect view. I suggest taking a stats class, or sitting down with a book, and learning.
    5. Re:Mission Accomplished? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Pretty convenient for you to ignore the Iraqi Civil War we precipitated which will turn Iraq into Iranian territory, a new terrorist hothouse, or most likely both. That's a worse threat to our "allies" (Saudi Arabia? Only to Cheney) than Iraq was. Including when Saddam was tracking our aircraft with radar over his country, as we tried to provoke him into war while he slid into total impotence from our various forces against him. Including the provocation Bush worked by illegally diverting Afghanistan money and forces before Congress even debated an Iraq AUMF.

      Or are you going to pretend that we're doing a great job in Iraq, so we should do it again in Iran?

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    6. Re:Mission Accomplished? by Danse · · Score: 4, Insightful

      but -- I repeat -- the original military mission of defeating the enemy's armed forces was accomplished...
      That's just semantics. We rolled in and defeated their military in a matter of days. Except we actually didn't since a bunch of them ran off and became part of an insurgency that has hooked up with other like-minded folks and has been wreaking havoc for the last couple of years now, and which we are no closer to defeating now than we were then. Saying we defeated their military is absolutely meaningless when our people are getting blown up daily by guys with guns and bombs. So what if their formal military is gone, they have something much more effective now, obviously.
      --
      It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
    7. Re:Mission Accomplished? by benevixit · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually you were sort of right, though perhaps not for the reason you intended. While the 100^0.95 calculation assumes that the missile interception attempts are independent events, they will not be for any practical situation. Any factors that thwart your first interception - bad weather, solar noise disrupting your radar, a particularly tricky target trajectory, whatever - can persist to complicate the 99 other interception attempts. So depending on the way the "5% hit rate" is calculated, lots of interceptors still might not work to bring down a sufficiently difficult target.

  2. it's an advancement, by User+956 · · Score: 5, Funny

    The THAAD interceptor uses hit-to-kill technology to destroy targets

    This is far superior to the "miss-to-kill" technology they were employing in previous models.

    --
    The theory of relativity doesn't work right in Arkansas.
    1. Re:it's an advancement, by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 2, Funny

      This is far superior to the "miss-to-kill" technology they were employing in previous models.

      Which in turn beat the crap out of the "hit-to-annoy" technology used before that.

  3. IT'S SPELT MISSILE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    download Firefox and you'll see the big fucking red line /spelling nazi

  4. Whoa, Dude! by DittoBox · · Score: 3, Funny

    THAAD is RAADical!!

    Sorry, very poor taste in pun choices there.

    --
    Good. Cheap. Fast. Pick Two.
    1. Re:Whoa, Dude! by harp2812 · · Score: 2, Funny

      THAAD is not a pun.

      In fact, THAAD has no sense of humor whatsoever. THAAD is not amused.

      --
      I've found that nurturing one's Zen nature is vital to dealing with technology. Violence is pretty damn useful too.
  5. New arms race? by caitriona81 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now the question is whether this will just be a defense against missile threats from rogue states, or the start of another arms race. How long before we start to see missiles with the kind of sophisticated countermeasures against interception that military aircraft have against missile threats?

    1. Re:New arms race? by Dunbal · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Now the question is whether this will just be a defense against missile threats from rogue states

            The system works on short and intermediate range missiles - the kind presumably launched from submarines.

            The arms race isn't new - it's an ongoing thing if you have an army. The only option is to do away with it to get out of the race. But if you're a large nation with many useful resources - stuff other people might want - you're stuck in the race.

            Still the danger here is if you (temporarily) have a way to avoid taking damage from an enemy, that makes it MORE likely that you will strike with less hesitation. Frankly I look forward to the day that this technology can be defeated. A little fear and hesitation is good for foreign policy once in a while. It begets respect.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    2. Re:New arms race? by megaditto · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No, this is convincingly aimed at the rogue states (with 1-2 missiles), and not at, say Russia or China.

      That's because the system is nearly impossible to scale up or upgrade effectively, and it is very vulnerable to countermeasures.

      Therefore, there's simply no reason for the arms race.

      --
      Obama likes poor people so much, he wants to make more of them.
    3. Re:New arms race? by Jack9 · · Score: 4, Informative

      There is no question as the technology is perhaps the worst kind. A lucrative defense contract that produced a system that doesnt work in real world scenarios. Are you so misled by a defense contractor's press release to ask a followup question or are you being sarcastic?

      http://www.davidsuzuki.org/about_us/Dr_David_Suzuk i/Article_Archives/weekly07250301.asp to give you a high school primer on the physics of distance vs speed, which is noticeably independent of the targetting concerns. We wont hear about this until the system " unfortunately fails to counter" a simple rocket launched from a truck somewhere near Washington D.C.

      "If you build a missile defense that is so fragile almost anything an adversary does will cause it to collapse, then you invite a weak adversary to (attack)" - Theodore A. Postol

      --

      Often wrong but never in doubt.
      I am Jack9.
      Everyone knows me.
    4. Re:New arms race? by jfengel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That may have been true with respect to Mutually Assured Destruction, but I think that this is aimed more at modern asymmetrical warfare. These days the US doesn't really fear massive barrages from the Soviet Union or China as much as it fears a single missile from North Korea or Iran with a nuclear warhead. Something which can inflict tens of thousands of casualties.

      Response to such an event would be difficult. To prevent it from happening again we'd have to inflict massive, disproportionate damage on the enemy, thus incurring truly epic international hatred. We wouldn't even be 100% certain of being able to identify the enemy.

      This throws the balances of MAD out of whack. I can actually believe North Korea would try such a thing and believe they could get away with it. It knows that the first thing China would do is insist that the US take no retaliation, and back it up with real MAD. Shooting down that one missile (or at least making North Korea believe we could) dramatically reduces the risk.

      (Note: I'm not an expert in international relations. There are plenty of people who would say that the US is busily making the world a more dangerous place, and has been since before our latest Iraq debacle. I'm just trying to explain the actions in terms of our own perceptions. "Truth", if there is such a thing, may well differ.)

    5. Re:New arms race? by Martin+Blank · · Score: 3, Informative

      Submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) are not intermediate-range ballistic missiles (IRBMs) from a technical sense, and usually not from a practical sense, either. Trident missiles used by the US and UK have a range of 12,000km, more than double the maximum range used by the State Department when describing IRBMs. Russia has used SLBMs with ranges of 7000km or more (up to about 8000km) since the early 1960s). Only the French and Chinese field SLBMs with ranges that fall within the State Dept's definition of an IRBM (3000km-5500km).

      THAAD is intended for use against tactical weapons, such as those that might be deployed over a theater. Mixing eras, it would be used against weapons with V-1 and V-2 missile ranges. It's also far less expensive (and apparently far more effective within its given role) than the more well-known ABM system, and will be complementary to the eventual deployment of the ABL, which itself sort of straddles the divide, being dependent more on the curvature of the earth than anything else for its range.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    6. Re:New arms race? by RxScram · · Score: 2, Funny

      National Organization for Women?

    7. Re:New arms race? by Dunbal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not an expert in international relations.

            That was cute: Don't worry, looking back at history I'd say there is *no such thing* as an "expert in international relations" ;)

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    8. Re:New arms race? by tsotha · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Okay, first of all your link doesn't support your argument at all. Suzuki is talking about boost phase interception, which is a whole different kettle of fish. You can't really use missiles for boost phase interception unless they're stationed in orbit. And why do you say this technology is "the worst kind"? Technology isn't good or bad, it just is. Pretty much every first-world country plus China and India is doing ballistic missile defense research - we would be foolish not to.

      THAAD isn't designed to be part of some national missile defense shield. It's a navy designed to be "theater" defense, which is much different and much easier. It's supposed to defend the fleet and, presumably, beachheads from balistic missile attack.

      Conventional short and medium range balistic missiles will be more and more a feature of the modern battlefield because GPS makes them much more cost-effective than they used to be. Think of this system as a navy version of Patriot. Will it intercept nukes? Probably, but just because it's not 100% effective doesn't mean it's useless.

    9. Re:New arms race? by twiddlingbits · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That technology already exists and has for decades. Dummy warheads, faked heat signatures, electronic countermeasures and others exist as defenses to the ABMs. THAAD has counter-counter-measures built into the terminal phase package. Countermeasures and how to defeat them are some of the most sensitive aspects of any missile program. THAAD has been around for about 15 yrs now, and is just getting to the testing stage.At one time, back in the mid-90's I worked on this program for about 6 months designed simulation software for a very early version. Cool software, we used a software message passing "bus" to interface all the parts of system (C4I, Launcher, GBR, Missile, Seeker). Basically it was what would be called an ESB/SOA technology today.

  6. Sounds great but... by common+middle+name · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...how many tracking devices was the "target" running so that the projectile could find it and hit it? I really don't think enemy missiles will do the equivalent of waving a banner and screaming "Hey defense system! I'm right here!"

    1. Re:Sounds great but... by kaiser423 · · Score: 5, Informative

      That's actually how the THAAD tests work. Same with Aegis, and the GMD (ground-based on the coast).

      They use nothing but the actual hardware that's in the field. No special stuff to track the target. This is actually a working, real-world style system. Typically, they put the operator on alert for a couple of days or a week (at least in Aegis tests), and they fire it sometime during that window without notifying anyone. They also usually fire a couple of other missiles at the cruiser (well, near misses) that the crew also has to destroy while launching their interceptor.

      It's a neat, nearly totally mature capability and it is currently a real deterrent.

  7. THAAD? by brouski · · Score: 5, Funny

    Is that better than THAC0?

    --
    Proud member of the American Non Sequitur Society. We might not make much sense, but boy do we love pizza!
  8. Translation by everphilski · · Score: 5, Informative

    It uses kinetic energy to destroy a target (1/2 * m * v**2), no explosives onboard.

  9. Whew... by Lord_Slepnir · · Score: 4, Interesting

    At first, I was thinking "Great, now all we can defend ourselves against all of those ICBMs that Al-Queda has laying around". But then I realized that there are countries that don't have the luxury of having a few thousand miles of ocean between them and their enemies. I think this technology would be great if deployed to South Korea, Japan, Tiawan, or Isreal. Nothing says "Screw you, Kim" like a system to completely nullify the technology that he's spent years and an equivalent of about his entire country's GDP to develop. Or a note from the IDF to hezbollah: "Can you please stop shooting missiles at us? I'm getting tired of re-loading the launcher".

    1. Re:Whew... by kfg · · Score: 4, Funny

      I realized that there are countries that don't have the luxury of having a few thousand miles of ocean between them and their enemies.

      Tell me about it. I can damn near see Canada from here.

      KFG

    2. Re:Whew... by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The threat from North Korea TO South Korea, yes.
      The threat to Japan, Hawaii, or maybe even Alaska or Seattle is another matter. Why do you think Kim has been trying to shoot those missiles out into the Pacific? Not much success so far, but he may get it to work eventually.

    3. Re:Whew... by Lord_Slepnir · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Conventional artillery takes a while to do it's work. Not to mention that South Korea probably has a ton of counter-battery artillery trained on every known artillery park within range of Seoul. A nuclear tipped missile, however, can flatten a city with only a few minutes notice, and it's likely that (If the North Korean military is smart) there are no stationary launch sites; When the word comes, a tractor-trailer will drive out of a mountain tunnel somewhere north near the border with China, shoot, and then retreat.

      On top of that, there's a huge psychological effect that a nuclear bomb carrys that conventional attacks don't. Every schoolchild knows about the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Few know about the fire bombings on Dresden, even though more people were killed that night than in both Atomic bombings combined.

  10. Missle ??? by Salsaman · · Score: 5, Funny

    Is that the American word for "missile" or something ?

  11. Next up.... by Lord_Slepnir · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hezbollah has announced they have developed an anti-anti-missile missile. "Take that, you zionist pigs!" said one spokesman. Currently Lockheed Martin is developing an anti-anti-anti-missile-missile missile to counter this new threat.

  12. Testing for more testing, not for use... by RyanFenton · · Score: 3, Informative

    From TFA:

    'Lockheed Martin's program manager and vice president for the THAAD program... "On the expansive range at PMRF, the THAAD missile can fly greater distances, increasing our testing options and creating a realistic tactical environment"'

    The article seems to indicate that this testing is not to allow for use, but to allow for further testing. This wasn't the "prove it works" test, but rather the "we could possibly get it to work" test.

    I'm personally against the political use of such systems - it defeats the progress we've made in terms of MAD over the REAL threats to humanity in terms of nuclear weapons - politicians are already eager enough to justify use of weapons when in "this new terrorist era" or whatnot. But if it DOES work, and it does save lives, then it's development is still a net good - I'd just still be against deployment until we have direct evidence it would be necessary to save humanity. I'd much rather put 10000 times the effort into not needing such a tool, rather than spend all our efforts on a new arms race.

    Ryan Fenton

    1. Re:Testing for more testing, not for use... by kaiser423 · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, it actually means that out on white Sands they could only shoot short-range targets. They hit those regularly. Out in the ocean by Hawaii they can shoot much longer range missiles since it's not flying over land, so they're testing the mid-range capabilities and those are working also.

      White Sands proved that they could shoot down short range missiles, and the PMRF testing is ensuring that they can hit medium range missiles. It's just another step. Now they'll try more complex geometries. But the test was nearly 100% valid as a real-world training exercise. The system works now; they're not saying "we could make it work." They're saying that it just did.

    2. Re:Testing for more testing, not for use... by Ironsides · · Score: 4, Insightful

      it defeats the progress we've made in terms of MAD over the REAL threats to humanity in terms of nuclear weapons

      MAD became obsolete the moment an opponent showed up that didn't care whether they lived or died so long as you didn't survive. It was useful against the USSR and China, but not against anyone that we would not qualify as 'sane'.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    3. Re:Testing for more testing, not for use... by frogstar_robot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      MAD became obsolete the moment an opponent showed up that didn't care whether they lived or died so long as you didn't survive. It was useful against the USSR and China, but not against anyone that we would not qualify as 'sane'.

      These people who blow up themselves up in markets and crash airplanes are mostly sexually frustrated, indoctrinated young hotheads. The older ones writing the checks and ranting and raving in these madrassas can damn well be threatened. Anyone who has enough loot to develop or buy nukes doesn't want to die either. Those who would sell nukes are also accessible to threats. I think we are being faked out by the militant muslim world to some extent. If they can get us thinking of them as maddog bomb throwing lunatics who could do anything then they've more than half won already. Look how much milage they got out of that stupid cartoon. Incidentally, Old Yeller tells us what the correct answer is when faced with a mad dog.

      All that said, I'm not some jingoistic idiot. We were incorrect to invade Iraq but we were correct to attack the Taliban. Notice the lengths Osama goes to stay alive or at least indeterminately dead? That hosebag doesn't want to die. I have no doubt that the Ayatollah of Iran has plenty of kamikazes just itching to man the planes but the leadership of that country doesn't want to die either.
  13. Re:did they change the name? by User+956 · · Score: 4, Funny

    It used to be Theater High Altitude Area Defense.

    When President Camacho is elected, it will be changed to "Totally Huge Awesome Area Defense".

    Brought to you by Carl's Jr.

    --
    The theory of relativity doesn't work right in Arkansas.
  14. The article fails to mention... by Codename46 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    whether or not the system can defend against the recently developed random-trajectory missile developed by Russia.

  15. Not anymore. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 4, Informative

    I thought that the President had basically annulled that treaty, by saying that it was with a country that no longer exists, and thus is not in force anymore (or something like that).

    If you look on the top of the page you linked to, it says "The State Department web site below is a permanent electronic archive of information released prior to January 20, 2001. Please see www.state.gov for material released since President George W. Bush took office on that date."

    A quick Google search reveals that the U.S. dumped the 1972 ABM treaty in December of 2001.

    There are a lot of things that I take issue with Bush for, but this frankly isn't one of them; I've always been of a mind that it's lunacy to prevent nations from defending themselves. If the world is getting dangerous because of ICBMs, maybe that should be the focus of restrictions, not systems that protect from them. But then again, I've never been down with the whole "MAD" concept in general.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Not anymore. by shawn(at)fsu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've never been down with the whole "MAD" concept in general.
      I think MAD only works when both sides are somewhat rational and realize how much they stand to lose. It is foreseeable that all your opponents will not be so rations or won't have as much to lose as an entire nation/state. Say what you will about the US vs USSR in the cold war but at least both sides had sence enough to keep it a cold war.

      --
      500 dollar reward for tip(s) leading to the arrest of the person(s) who stole my sig.
    2. Re:Not anymore. by Martin+Blank · · Score: 4, Informative
      You should read your own link more carefully.

      President Bush said Thursday the United States has notified Russia that it intends to pull out of the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, starting a six-month timetable for withdrawal and opening the way for the creation of an anti-missile defense system.
      He did not annul the treaty, but rather went through the process detailed in the treaty for withdrawing from it by providing six months of notice to the president of Russia. He went on to say that the Soviet Union and the hostility that it had towards the United States no longer existed, and so the ABM had become a hindrance to new threats, losing its value.
      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    3. Re:Not anymore. by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 2, Funny

      > He went on to say that the Soviet Union and the hostility that it
      > had towards the United States no longer existed

      What a slap in the face to Putin, eh, in spite of his best efforts!

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    4. Re:Not anymore. by Greyfox · · Score: 2, Informative
      Yeah except that it's another red herring that lulls us into a false sense of security. None of the guys currently developing nuclear weapons will use a missile to deliver them to the USA. For one thing they'll nuke Israel, India, South Korea or Pakistan. For another, even if they DID want to nuke the USA they'd put the "device" on a shipping container on a boat, not on a long range missile.

      The MAD concept, as insane as it was, worked rather nicely. If either side thought they could survive a nuclear exchange (Say, because they had a working anti-missile system) they would have nuked the other side in a heartbeat. Then everyone in the world would have had to deal with fallout from several thousand nuclear devices exploding. I suspect that a "limited nuclear exchange" between two countries in the next 20-40 years is unavoidable and we can only hope that the devistation that results from that is enough to persuade the rest of the world that pursuing these weapons is a losing proposition.

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    5. Re:Not anymore. by EtherealStrife · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Reminds me of how a previous leader basically annulled the Treaty of Versailles, before going on a global war against the infidels, and those who threatened his nation. His name escapes me. He too saw the limitations placed on his country's defenses as lunacy. Déjà vu.

    6. Re:Not anymore. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      --Israel is the most free nation in the Middle East, not Iran

          not if you are from palestine

    7. Re:Not anymore. by s20451 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Of course the united states would never go for this as nuclear weapons are big business. so basically we're screwed.

      Yes. Only the United States is to blame. India, Israel, the UK, and France would gladly give up their nukes because the only thing they are afraid of is an American attack.

      --
      Toronto-area transit rider? Rate your ride.
    8. Re:Not anymore. by mi · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The current nuclear powers should disarm and the united nations should resolve that the mere development, construction or preperation to construct or develop nuclear weapons is itself a crime against humanity. Nuclear weapons should be utterly understood by all concerned to be off the table.

      Why? They have their uses and are not that inhumane — supposedly, the Hiroshima and Nagasaki nuclear bombings have taken less lives, than the weeks of conventional bombings before them (something like 150K lives per night is allegedly attributable to the latter).

      And they ended the war, possibly several months earlier...

      Today, for another example, using "tactical" nukes to bust Iran's nuclear-research bunkers would, likely, be quite efficient and kill fewer people than any alternative... It would, of course, be a political barrel of worms with anti-Americans world wide screaming their heads off (I wish they did!), but in cold blooded objectivity, it would be rather beneficial for all concerned, including Iranians (tough love and all).

      It should be patently obvious to virtually anyone that a nuclear arms race is utterly immoral.

      Arms race is just a part of the general race (technological, cultural, scientific). There is nothing particularly immoral about it. Killing people sucks (and is often immoral), but it sucks even more to be killed — or seeing someone dear being killed...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    9. Re:Not anymore. by Nutria · · Score: 2, Insightful
      For one thing they'll nuke Israel, India, South Korea or Pakistan.

      That's why we've installed Patriot batteries in Japan and Israel. (I would not be surprised if they are also in ROK, but they have more to worry from massed artillery 20KM from Seoul.)

      This world is so economically interconnected that an attack on Japan, ROK or Taiwan (and even Israel) would in essence be a attack on America and the EU that would hurt them more than you can probably imagine.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    10. Re:Not anymore. by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That isn't actually how it started. The really 'big' shooting started after this leader you speak of reached a mutual non-aggression treaty with Russia in which the two parties essentially agreed to divide Poland between them. Then this leader invaded Poland, which drew the Allies into war in defense of Poland.

      (Later, Russia became one of the 'good guys' kinda-sorta. But they kept Poland in the end. And they got away with a lot more. Since they were among the 'winners,' camera crews didn't roll into their territory to film the crimes-against-humanity which they were committing, which were on the order of ten times worse than those the 'loser' had committed)

      Katyn, dude. (homework assignment)

    11. Re:Not anymore. by baldass_newbie · · Score: 3, Interesting

      not if you are from palestine

      Bull. Palestinians have been on the Knesset (whereas the PLO didn't even have an elected body until after Arafat died.)
      Also, the Palis had trade and stores, etc. until the homicidal amongst them got them removed from most of Israeli society.
      But Palis could vote and own land. In fact, until Iraq the only place Arabs had ever been democratically elected in the Middle East was in Israel.

      --
      The opposite of progress is congress
    12. Re:Not anymore. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've been to Hiroshima. I've seen what's left of the Industrial Promtion Hall (so clean, it's eerie...). I heard a survivor recount how flesh peeled from people's bodies, the black rain that burned, wounds that didn't bleed but wouldn't heal. Anybody who thinks atomic bombs are "humane" has some serious functional difficulties, and literacy isn't even at the top of the list.

      Ever seen napalm? White phosphorous? Thermite? They'll all melt the flesh off your bones, too, and more people met their ends that way, than have ever died in nuclear blasts. Why so much less outrage there? More people died in a night of fire-bombings of wooden cities, than in the atomic bombings; they're just more spectacular.

      Nuclear weapons aren't particularly unique. Several of the invasion plans that were tossed around prior to the use of nuclear weapons on Japan involved saturating the islands with nerve gas, and just taking it by default after the population had been decimated.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  16. New Name.. by rjpear · · Score: 3, Funny

    Originally the System was "My name is Earl"..but NBC filed suit... Next was the "iThaad" but Apple had that... (And I think Cisco had that first...depending on what lawyer you talk to).. So now we are stuck with Thaad. They were going to paint it Brown and call it "Thune"... but the marketing folks at Lockheed thought a Brown "Thune" would be fiscal disaster even the pentagon wouldn't go for...

  17. Re:ok for us by trongey · · Score: 2, Insightful

    why is it ok for us to have these missiles, but not ok for other countries?
    We're bigger and stronger than the other countries. It's kind of like you and your lunch money during middle school.
    --
    You never really know how close to the edge you can go until you fall off.
  18. Re:Just a few quibbles... by Dionysos+Taltos · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I suggest you review the entire program before you ask further irrelevant questions about the THAAD test. THAAD is just one part of the entire program. Specifically, look at Medium Extended Air Defense System (MEADS).

  19. Re:Just a few quibbles... by Shaolas · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This sort of reasoning always bugs me with missile defense. The "it's a waste of money if it doesnt stop every possible thing in the world right now, oh and slice and dice and juelienne." Its about building a capability over time, you start with one capability and then add more. You integrate additional systems, like the PAC3, Aegis, X-Band radar in the Adac etc. And you gain a capability over time. For instance we already shoot down theater missiles very well, its called a PAC3. We right now have the POTENTIAL to shoot down an ICBMs from NKorea with inteceptors in California and Alaska, I'll take the POTENTIAL over nothing. Aegis ships have a theater intercept capability and their tracking data can be uploaded and used by other systems. Its about defense in depth. Right now ICBM missile defense has a limited capability, that we are continuously expanding and increasing. And there are additional systems, upgraded inteceptors, the airborne laser, all these individual components will build into a bigger more robust system. Is it expensive, yes, take a lot of time, yes, a lot of R and D, yes. But we now have a POTENTIAL of shooting down a crazy rogue nations ICBMs, decreasing their blackmailing options, I'll take that any day of the week.

  20. Re:Just a few quibbles... by Kandenshi · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How does this help against low-trajectory ICBM's, sub-launched IRBM's, or cruise missles, all capable of carrying sizeable WMD's?

    Clearly there's a reason[maybe 'cause I'm a big dumb Canuck] why no one else seems to worry about it, so why don't one of you supersmart slashdotters explain this to me... :D

    How expensive is a civilian-type ship, capable of crossing the pacific ocean? Something big enough that it could carry a medium-sized nuke. I'm not talking something able to take out LA or San Francisco in one hit, but big enough to do some serious dirty damage to those capitalist pigs? I'd think that LA would be a good target for this sort of thing. Right next to the Big Pond, and it's pretty full of freaks(*insincere apologies to those of you from there*).

    Is it really the case that one couldn't drive a ship from NK to the states, maybe with fabricated ID saying you're Japanese/South Korean/Whatever? I just ... I have a hard time believing that they search(while hundreds of kilometers out to sea) any ships that from asia before they get in close.

    Sure, it's a slower delivery mechanism, but why aren't we worried about this too? Just too annoying/expensive to bother with? Not as showy a show of power and technological awesomeness?
  21. Re:Yet more killing technology... by drpimp · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Your assuming they don't hit them ALL. But you are right in the aspect that it's sort of a crap shoot when it comes to this kind of tech. I expect you have a better answer to stopping these kinds of missile attacks correct? (An invisible force field??) I mean seriously they could spend a shitload of money ***TRYING*** to come up with a solution to a REAL potential problem, OR save a shitload of money and just wait and see if the missles actually hit their targets if and when it happens. It's like wearing a condom as opposed to not wearing one, your odds are just better. Sex is not free (risks / costs), just like freedom.

    --
    -- Brought to you by Carl's JR
  22. And nuclear weapons by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 2, Informative

    This is far superior to the "miss-to-kill" technology they were employing in previous models

    Joke all you want, but that's what we've actually been doing. Didn't anybody ever tell you that close counts with hand grenades?


    And nuclear weapons.

    Which, unfortunately, was exactly the "big boom" "kinda close" that had been contemplated in some previous ABM designs.

    After all, if it has blossomed, MIRV style, into a cloud of decoys and multiple real nuclear bombs on independent trajectories, spread out by quite a bit by the time your missile gets there, you need a BIG boom to disable all of them that matter. And without an atmosphere to carry a shockwave it helps if you can irradiate with heat, gammas, and neutrons, and can vaporize the whole antimissile and hit the targets with the vapor.

    Problem with that is you're setting off your OWN nukes above your OWN targets - and high enough above the atmosphere to do a major electromagnetic pulse when the gamma burst makes a sheet of electrons the size of a continent jump upward by a few miles. (With defenses like that who needs an enemy missile with a real warhead? Other than to provoke the defense.)

    So, yes, "hit to kill" is a BIG improvement over the "miss-to-kill technology they were using in previous models". (Assuming you have at least as many anti-missiles as they sent warheads and convincing decoys.)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:And nuclear weapons by Rommsey · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There are multiple stages in the flight of a ballistic missile for which you can target it. The layered system the US is working towards designing and implementing aims to cover launch, boost, orbit, and re-entry phases of flight.

  23. Missle? by Artifex · · Score: 5, Funny

    Obviously, someone managed to shoot an i out with the thing.

    --
    Get off my launchpad!
  24. The threat isn't ICBM by aepervius · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ICBM, or even Balistic or even simple missile is one thing. A city buster transported by conventional means (hidden in a truck, in a wood crate, in a car, or in a plane or whatever does not look like a threat) is another. THAAD might be interresting for theater of operation, or even zone like israel where hezbollah terrorist use katuschia rocket daily (used to?), but a determined nation with nuclear capability, can certainly in an insane moment flatten any city in the world with a bit of time and a conventional method. HECK, the wood-crate with lead lining method has another big advantage : you can't easily trace back from where it came, on the contrary to a balistic missile. If you all US-ian quake in fear at NK nuke capability then instead of such anti balistic system, I would recommend searching through all goods coming in your seaport.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  25. that too by r00t · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Choosing just one option would be suicidal.

    We can use hit-to-kill like THAAD. We can use ground lasers, orbiting lasers, and airborne lasers. We can use sabotage of the enemy equiment, physically or by screwing up the software. We can use diplomacy. We can use the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. We can have a sneaky sniper on enemy territory shoot an ICBM right at launch -- a hole in the boost rocket will do the job. We can use an X-ray laser. We can use economics as both carrot and stick. We can export out culture to reduce misunderstanding and general hatred in the long term. We can use radar-controlled heavy machine guns to stop incoming devices.

    As a final protection, there is always the cave 10 feet underground stocked with calcium and iodine supplements.

    Nothing is 100% perfect. Every little bit helps.