Slashdot Mirror


The United States Space Arsenal

ntmokey writes "When China tested a missile on its own satellite in January, the nation's aggressive statement immediately raised eyebrows among the world's other space-faring nations. Popular Mechanics looks at the implications of a conflict in space — including debris that could render space unusable for decades — and examines the United States' own space arsenal."

297 comments

  1. Star Wars by nlitement · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Whatever happened to the Strategic Defense Initiative?

    1. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      Whatever happened to the Strategic Defense Initiative?

      Forget that! What happened to the other 49 states?!

    2. Re:Star Wars by 2.7182 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What happened ? It worked. It broke the economy of the Soviet Union. Of course, the technology largely didn't work. Like the x-ray space weapon proposed by Edward Teller.

    3. Re:Star Wars by colganc · · Score: 1

      The article makes it sound like it is now called the MDA. Missile Defense Agency.

    4. Re:Star Wars by timeOday · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It worked. It broke the economy of the Soviet Union.
      What a convenient post-hoc rationalization for a monumental waste of money that is. I guess that may have accelerated the fall of the Soviet Union by a month or two, at a cost of billions, but I'll bet the ROI from giving Stingers to the Afghanis was at least a million times better. (Just imagine how things would be in Iraq now if the insurgents had more than RPGs and light machine guns to bring down our helicopters and airplanes).
    5. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      I guess you think Jimmy Carter was a great president too. And giving the Afghanis weapons was a good idea ? Where have your been since 9/11/2002 ?

    6. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jar-Jar Binks became president.

    7. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The end of the cold war wasn't a "victory", it was an inferior economic system collapsing on itself.

    8. Re:Star Wars by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Informative

      I happen to know several people who were on the citizen's committee that came up with the idea. The whole point was for it to look like something we just might be able to pull off so that the Soviet Union would have no choice but to try to copy it and bankrupt themselves in the process. You see, we could afford to build all that stuff, provided we could get it to work, but they couldn't. When they tried, it brought their creaky economy crashing down, and their government soon followed. Believe or not, I don't care, but the people I know who were involved in the planning all tell the same story.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    9. Re:Star Wars by jollyreaper · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What happened ? It worked. It broke the economy of the Soviet Union. Of course, the technology largely didn't work. Like the x-ray space weapon proposed by Edward Teller. To elaborate on the previous reply directed your way, read this:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Rise_and_Fall_of_ the_Great_Powers

      He compares the Great Powers at the close of the twentieth century and predicts the decline of the Soviet Union (the book was originally published on the cusp of the Soviet collapse, the suddeness of which Kennedy did not predict), the rise of China and Japan, the struggles and potential for the EEC, and the relative decline of the United States. He highlights the precedence of the "four modernizations" in Deng Xiaoping's plans for China--agriculture, industry, science and military--deemphasizing military while the United States and the Soviet Union are emphasizing it. He predicts that continued deficit spending, especially on military build-up, will be the single most important reason for decline of any Great Power. If you read the book, you'll see the fact-based analysis showing that the USSR was in serious trouble going into the 80's. As Kennedy describes it, the USSR struggled to support a first-rate military on a third-rate economy. The sorry state of Soviet-style agriculture was telling. A third of the harvest rotted in the field, a third rotted in transit, and a third rotted on the shelves awaiting purchase.

      And before you go promoting Ronnie Raygun as the conqueror of the USSR, read up on Able Archer. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Able_archer

      Able Archer 83 was a ten-day NATO exercise starting on November 2, 1983 that spanned the continent of Europe and simulated a coordinated nuclear release.[1] It incorporated a new, unique format of coded communication, radio silences, participation by heads of state, and a simulated DEFCON 1 nuclear alert. The realistic nature of the exercise, coupled with deteriorating relations between the United States and the Soviet Union and the anticipated arrival of Pershing II nuclear missiles in Europe, led some in the USSR to believe that Able Archer 83 was a genuine nuclear first strike.[1][2][3][4] In response, the Soviets readied their nuclear forces and placed air units in East Germany and Poland on alert.[5][6] This relatively obscure incident is considered by many historians to be the closest the world has come to nuclear war since the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962.[7] The threat of nuclear war abruptly ended with the conclusion of the Able Archer 83 exercise on November 11, which, coincidentally, was also Armistice Day (alternatively called Remembrance Day).[8][9] Reagan was incapable of understanding how the Russians could possibly think we'd plan to shoot first in a nuclear war. "Don't they know we're the good guys?"
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    10. Re:Star Wars by shiftless · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That was a ploy used by Reagan to worry and bankrupt the Soviets. (It worked.)

    11. Re:Star Wars by mi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you read the book, you'll see the fact-based analysis showing that the USSR was in serious trouble going into the 80's.

      Of course it was — just as Reagan was taking the office (in 1981). USSR's attempts to keep up the arms-race, including SDI — duly decried by the Soviet newspapers daily — helped kill it, instead of allowing it to survive (again) on higher oil prices and slave labor.

      Millions of people of the former USSR, myself included, have a lot to thank Ronald Reagan for. The fact, that various Commies (and Commie-sympathizers) still hate him, only adds to the guy's credits.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    12. Re:Star Wars by jollyreaper · · Score: 4, Funny

      Of course it was -- just as Reagan was taking the office (in 1981). USSR's attempts to keep up the arms-race, including SDI -- duly decried by the Soviet newspapers daily -- helped kill it, instead of allowing it to survive (again) on higher oil prices and slave labor.

      Millions of people of the former USSR, myself included, have a lot to thank Ronald Reagan for. The fact, that various Commies (and Commie-sympathizers) still hate him, only adds to the guy's credits. Thanking Ronald Reagan for his leadership is like thanking Mr. Magoo for his driving.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    13. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      We did a lot of this sort of thing, like intentionally leaking information about incredible technology that we had developed (but we thought was impossible to make), but was the kind of thing the Soviets would spend a whole bunch of money on to keep up.

      In some cases, it backfired, and the Soviets came up with creative ways to develop technology that we were only pretending we had. I wish I could think of a specific example, but it slips my mind at the moment.

    14. Re:Star Wars by Max+Littlemore · · Score: 1

      It worked. It broke the economy of the Soviet Union.

      That's a bit of a stretch. Event if it had any effect on the USSR whatsoever, it scared other nations to the point where China, having pushed for treaties banning space weapons, felt nervous enough to develop their own.

      This will in turn cause those Americans who view any attempt by any other country to have close to equal millitary power as an affront to God to develop the next generation of space weapons, kicking off another arms race. Violence begets violence, fear begets fear, stupidity begets stupidity.

      Star wars, the program not the movie, was short sighted and stupid, like so many other millitary activities.

      --
      I don't therefore I'm not.
    15. Re:Star Wars by salimma · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Star wars, the program not the movie, was short sighted and stupid

      is, not was. Remember the ABM interceptor tests where the target was only hit when they fitted a beacon on it? Forget about sifting through decoys, they had a hard time hitting even a single target.
      --
      Michel
      Fedora Project Contribut
    16. Re:Star Wars by MarsDefenseMinister · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Inferior when measured against what? Oh wait, that must be US. As in, the USA. And last I checked, we're still here (just got to keep it safe from Hillary and Captain haircut).

      --
      No weapon in the arsenals of the world is so formidable as the will and moral courage of free men.-Ronald Reagan
    17. Re:Star Wars by myth_of_sisyphus · · Score: 1

      Christopher Hitchens said it best:

      "Ronald Reagan was neither a fox nor a hedgehog. He was as dumb as a stump. He could have had anyone in the world to dinner, any night of the week, but took most of his meals on a White House TV tray. He had no friends, only cronies. His children didn't like him all that much. He met his second wife--the one that you remember--because she needed to get off a Hollywood blacklist and he was the man to see."

      "Ronald Reagan used to alarm his Soviet counterparts by saying that surely they'd both unite against an invasion from Mars. Ronald Reagan used to alarm other constituencies by speaking freely about the "End Times" foreshadowed in the Bible. In the Oval Office, Ronald Reagan told Yitzhak Shamir and Simon Wiesenthal, on two separate occasions, that he himself had assisted personally at the liberation of the Nazi death camps."

    18. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whatever happened to the United States of America?

    19. Re:Star Wars by Enlightenment · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Of course, it helped that the enemy that we faced was morally bankrupt and couldn't have possibly won the cold war. It frightens me that people actually associate "morally bankrupt" with "couldn't have possibly won." The two don't necessarily go together.
    20. Re:Star Wars by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Nice way to not address the poster's points, and instead resort to rhetoric.

      The Soviet Union collapsed because of a coup, a radically reformist government, and breakaway republics. The Soviet Union's economic might declined radically from the sixties to the eighties. The Soviets themselves recognized this and wrote about this. It's one of the main issues that brought Gorbachev to power. There was already wide discontent because their industrial production couldn't provide their people the sort of standard of life that the west's did, because of widespread corruption, repression, and so forth. Soviet military spending during Reagan didn't even match their inflation rate. After the 1982 Afghanistan disaster, Andropov made it an economic strategy to disengage from foreign conflict. The big military expenditure boosts in the late Soviet Union's history were the waste that was Afghanistan and their two-way Cold War with China as well as America (largely because the two couldn't agree on what was the "right" form of Communism).

      Here's an article from 1991, published in International Affairs, analyzing the (already circulating) claim that the US military spending increase caused an increase in Soviet military spending, bringing about the country's downfall. The full article isn't online but you can read the abstract.

      --
      "99 dead duelists of Dios on the wall. 99 dead duelists of Dios! Take one's ring, pass it around..."
    21. Re:Star Wars by tftp · · Score: 5, Insightful
      When they tried, it brought their creaky economy crashing down

      Your theory is fine, and your friends are entitled to their own views; however USSR never "tried" to make its own Star Wars hardware. USSR's ABM efforts were identical to USA's work and resulted in the ABM-limiting treaty that stood for decades, until Bush tore it up. The reason is that USSR's scientists did some calculations on a napkin and concluded, correctly, that it's impossible to build such a system at this time that would actually work (1000's US's missiles flying in and 100% intercept.) It's still impossible, decades later. Given the number of missiles that both camps had, the system indeed had to have very impressive reliability, or else it would be complete waste of money. So USSR never built one. After Reagan announced his SDI USSR just sent more money to shipyards and built a bunch more of nuclear submarines, that's it. After Bush's démarche Putin also did the same - ordered a bunch of warheads that make zigs and zags at reentry speed.

      And if you are interested in why the USSR fell, it's not even because of economy. It was bad, but there was no hunger yet. It might have been, though, if the USSR was allowed to rot some more. But it never happened, and "the people" in the street were as surprised with these developments as anyone in the West. The real reason is that when Gorbachev wanted to liberalize economy he accidentally liberalized the political life, and there were plenty of opportunists waiting and ready to insert themselves into the corridors of power. That's what they did, and that's where all the independent republics got their leaders from. Russia got Yeltsin, and that was not even the worst outcome. Gorbachev saw it happening but wasn't ready to defend the old way. For that he was briefly detained, and the conspirators tried to involve the army to put the toothpaste back; it did not work. So that's how it happened, and I did not even need to talk to anyone to offer you this overview.

    22. Re:Star Wars by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      It was dropped as soon as the Soviet Union fell. The primary purpose of the program was to tempt the Russians into a spending war by uping the ante in the arms race and waiting for them to call our bluff (sort of like going all-in for a decisive hand in a game of high stakes poker). The United States gambled (correctly) that the Russians would not be able to call the bet as the defense budget spiraled into the hundreds of billions of dollars. The Soviet Union would have collapsed eventually anyway (by the early 1980s they were already in dire economic straits), but Strategic Defense Initiative probably hastened the process (by adding even more pressure to keep up with the Joneses at the worst possible time for the Soviets). The project itself wasn't useless, other technologies came out of research conducted by the United States, but the Strategic Defense Initiative, as envisioned in the pentagon promotional films, never would have worked. In, fact the movie, Spies Like Us focus on the humorous and wasteful extravagence of a program which ultimately fails to shoot down a single missile (they blow up the MTV satellite instead).

    23. Re:Star Wars by hengist · · Score: 2, Funny

      > And giving the Afghanis weapons was a good idea ? Where have your been since 9/11/2002 ?

      Probably the same place he was 9/11/2001.

    24. Re:Star Wars by techno-vampire · · Score: 0, Redundant

      You're entitled to your view of the process, and I'd never try to persuade you that you were wrong, or that I'm right. However, SDI was intended to break the USSR's economy and was sold to the president that way.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    25. Re:Star Wars by tftp · · Score: 1

      I do not know how the SDI was sold and what it was meant to do; others may know that. I only can specifically comment on what it didn't achieve. Many posters, as I see, are quite convinced that USSR was developing its own SDI, and I only indicate that it wasn't so.

    26. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You're a fool. Reagan's paranoid weaponization of space had nothing to do with the bankrupting of the Soviet Union, the price of oil did that. Thank the Islamofascists in Saudi Arabia for that. Republicans desperate to cover up the crimes of the Reagan Administration like to harp on the fact that the Soviet Union collapsed when he was slouching in the President's chair. The nominal effect "Star Wars" had on the Soviet Union really makes up for the death squads in Nicaragua, supporting Islamofascists in Afghanistan, and selling arms to the Islamic Republic of Iran, doesn't it?

      Is it a good thing that the Soviet Union collapsed? Of course, but now both sides have become authoritarian. The US sure loves freedom, don't they? Illegal invasions, wiretapping of everyone on the planet, kidnapping of anyone deemed an "enemy combatant," torture camps in Eastern Europe. I'm so glad the world is safely in the hands of the fascists that mouth platitudes about "Freedom and Democracy" instead of the fascists that mouth platitudes about "Equality."

      Enjoy the police state, it's coming to a country near you in the coming decade, if it isn't there already. The United States is already there.

    27. Re:Star Wars by MarsDefenseMinister · · Score: 1

      In some cases, the good are the strong, and the strong are the good. If that frightens you, maybe you're not a part of either group.

      --
      No weapon in the arsenals of the world is so formidable as the will and moral courage of free men.-Ronald Reagan
    28. Re:Star Wars by timeOday · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The whole point was for it to look like something we just might be able to pull off so that the Soviet Union would have no choice but to try to copy it and bankrupt themselves in the process
      But of course both sides were playing that game: see for instance the (fictitious) missile gap that prompted an ICBM buildup by us (and therefore afterwards by them). Maybe we felt the need to "psych" the USSR with Star Wars (by wasting billions of dollars) because we fell for their ploy of appearing to be a worthy adversary, when in fact their economy was already circling the bowl. Of course this works out for certain parties on both sides; defense contractors get lots of money and the President gets an external enemy to rally the subjects. It's just like a couple of bullfrogs inflating themselves to scare off enemies and attract mates.

      The problem is, A) it's wasteful, and B) it's risky; brinksmanship can lead to actual conflict.

    29. Re:Star Wars by cryptoluddite · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah that might be true, but it sure seems convenient to me that there's this SDI to blame the fall of the soviet union on and make Reagan a hero. I mean come on, the Soviets were failing to keep up for a long time and if it was so obvious that it was bogus then they could have done a bogus copy that didn't work. So how would it bankrupt them again? Because they were too stupid to put on a dog and pony show instead of actually trying to build it? I mean do you really think the Soviets are so stupid.

      Maybe if somebody could post some actual evidence that this was the goal of it and that it was actually the reason the ussr fell, say quotes from the national archives and some reports with numbers.

      Time and isolation caught up with them. Reagan killing communism is just a wet dream some people have.

    30. Re:Star Wars by sien · · Score: 1

      That's no troll. That's a joke. A good one even.

    31. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative
      > We did a lot of this sort of thing, like intentionally leaking information about incredible technology that we had developed (but we thought was impossible to make), but was the kind of thing the Soviets would spend a whole bunch of money on to keep up.
      >
      > In some cases, it backfired, and the Soviets came up with creative ways to develop technology that we were only pretending we had. I wish I could think of a specific example, but it slips my mind at the moment.

      Here's one. "Hi, watchers! Even though the story's been in the public domain for years, if you're reading this, your automated filters are just barely better than I thought!"

      Never mind the military tech, how about the civilian tech? Your economy's in shambles, and the capitalist pig-dogs' economy isn't. You have lotsa oil in the ground, but no way to get it where it's needed. Hmm. Capitalists seem to do pretty good have lots of pipelines to cold and frozen place where they do have oil. So you tell Boris Badenov to go steal Yankee pipelineski info.

      Somewhere in Yankeestan, top Yankee spy-dude (with total wankstain of a son) signs off on plan that says "Hey, if Boris wants plans for our industrial tech, I'm sure we can arrange for him to find some!"

      Boris Badenov steals plans for pipelines/pumps/control systems. Russkies spend gazillions of rubles on massive project, flip switch to "on". Some time later, anybody in orbit over Siberia gets to see history's largest non-nuclear fireworks display as the whole thing explodinates. Yankee spy-dudes giggle knowingly. Russkies took bait hook, line, sinker.

      Top Yankee spy-dude's wankstain son says he wants his Dad's job when he grows up. Well, fuck, we couldn't win 'em all. Wouldn't surprise me if 20 years from now, we hear about how some former Russkie top-spy-dude was laughing his ass off at how we fell for that!

    32. Re:Star Wars by LeoHat · · Score: 2, Funny

      If you are talking about episodes 1-3 then the movies not the program, was short sighted and stupid.

      --
      The mistakes of a clever man are equal to the mistakes of a thousand fools.
    33. Re:Star Wars by TK2216UKG · · Score: 0

      "United State's"

      Whatever happened to the United States? Have they disbanded overnight? :(
      --

      - Jonathan :)

      No tuna is safe.

    34. Re:Star Wars by olman · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Soviet Union collapsed because of a coup, a radically reformist government, and breakaway republics. The Soviet Union's economic might declined radically from the sixties to the eighties. The Soviets themselves recognized this and wrote about this. It's one of the main issues that brought Gorbachev to power. There was already wide discontent because their industrial production couldn't provide their people the sort of standard of life that the west's did, because of widespread corruption, repression, and so forth. Soviet military spending during Reagan didn't even match their inflation rate.

      That's doubleplus good doublespeak you have there, comrade.

      First off, soviet economy was about to "collapse" late sixties already but they were bailed out by the oil crisis. Yeah. They ran the circus for additional 20 years with the oil income when the crude prices quadrupled due to the middle east oil czars getting their act together. Economic collapse is not quite that straightforward in the planned economy either as the value of goods was strictly controlled by the goverment. In any case sovs economy was in better shape late 70s than late 60s, cf age of stagnation in Brezhnev era. Interestingly enough to soviet citizens this may be the "golden era" since the system "worked" at that time.

      As for military spend. GROWTH may not have exceeded their inflation rate, but so what? First off, the real inflation value was astronomical due to the central banks printing money with prices of goods fixed by the goverment. Yeah, you may have got cheap shoes from the shops but the tricky bit was finding the shop that actually had any shoes. Secondly, USSR military spending of their GDP was huge. See for reference the soviet tank production figures and other conventional munitions.. They could have fairly easily overrun NATO in 70s and 80s (Please, no red storm rising fantasies here. Yes, Leo 2A4 is much better tank than T-72, but if you have 10x the numbers in strategic reserve in one side, you can concentrate them on 1:100 numbers locally) if not for the pesky first strike and the whole mutually assured destruction-deal. So mainly soviets were exceeding military production combined NATO countries with economy that was basically crap. Doesn't leave much room for decent consumer goods production there. Plus, well, since prices were goverment sanctioned and there was waiting list of years for the crappy car, what for improve the product?!

    35. Re:Star Wars by coaxial · · Score: 2, Informative

      What happened ? It worked. It broke the economy of the Soviet Union. My god! That's some Cold War Reagan is Genius bullshit.

      SDI was laughable at the time, because the fundamental problems of Rods for God, Brilliant Pebbles, space and ground based lasers, and kinetic kill vehicles were unsolvable at the time, and easily defeated by incredibly inexpesive counter-measures (everything from mylar baloon decoys, to liquid nitrogen jackets, to -- my personal favorite -- simply detonating one warhead in space, and then sending the rest through. Most importantly to this conversation, is that the Soviet Union realized this, and so did NOTHING!

      The idea that Gorbechev ramped up military spending to counter the perceived threat from SDI is simply untrue. The Soviet Union's military spending growth held steady at 1.3% per year since 1975. In 1985, spending increased to 4.3% per year for two years. During the growth, offsenive strategic weapon spending only grew at 1.4%. By 1988, the Soviet defense budget had dropped to 1980 levels. Meanwhile, the Reagan instituted the largest peastime military spending in history, growing the DOD at 8% per year, leading to the largest budget deficits and national debt in the history of the United States. In the words of Rush Limbaugh, "Reagan left us a debt we can never repay."

      So, what caused the collapse of the Soviet Union? Simple. The economy collapsed -- completely unexpected by the West mind you -- due to structural deficencies in the command economy of the Soviet Union. The American Enterprise Institute (hardly a "leftist" organization) recently outlined the economic collapse of the USSR. Far from being the imminent threat and the power hourse conservatives were saying the Soviet Union was, the Soviet Union was falling apart as early as the 1970s. They produced no finished goods, save for weapons, that could be sold on the world market. Instead they relied on selling raw materials, most importantly oil. The Soviet economy was on the virge of collapse since the 1970s, however whenever the situation looked the most dire, the oil market managed pickup just in time, and bail them out. Eventually, their luck ran out.

      If you want to thank anyone for the West winning the Cold War without firing a shot, thank Josef Stalin. His nationalization of the agricultural sector of the Soviet economy set the country on the course to ruin.

    36. Re:Star Wars by sunwukong · · Score: 1

      One alternative I rarely see discussed is the view of SDI (by the USSR) as an offensive shield rather than a defensive one, i.e., one meant to enhance aggressive capability. Use the shield to give one the tactical edge in a first strike scenario ...

    37. Re:Star Wars by MACC · · Score: 1

      The USSR was very good at containment.
      Remember the Cuba Crisis?
      It started with US missile launchers in
      Italy and Turkey.
      6 month after the Cuba crisis these were
      dismantled ( silently ).

      What lead to the USSRs demontage was
      German Ostpolitik and thus detente.
      Via opening of the borders and
      economic contact isolation and thus
      keeping the other side as enemy could
      no longer be maintained.

      Another thing was the war in Afghanistan.

      Gorbatschev actually did a brilliant thing:
      In a matching of two giants one giant
      separated himself into a myriad of agile
      dwarfs hacking at the legs of the remaining
      giant.
      Currently the remaining giant gets dismembered
      in the same arena the other one retracted from
      before being destroyed.

      G!
      MACC

    38. Re:Star Wars by Stachel · · Score: 1

      insurgents I guess you are referring to the patriotic freedom fighters who want to rid their great country of the capitalist, heathen invaders?

      --
      Stachel
    39. Re:Star Wars by Holmwood · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "however USSR never "tried" to make its own Star Wars hardware."

      Well, at the time it was widely believed that they did.

      See "Soviet Star Wars", Time Magazine, Monday October 14, 1985:

      "While few people doubt that the Soviets have an aggressive program comparable to SDI and have scored impressive advances in basic technology, some critics -- even within the Pentagon -- point out that translating those achievements into battle-ready equipment is a very long step."

      and

      "Soviet efforts to develop laser beams as warhead-killing weapons 'would cost roughly $1 billion per year (to duplicate) in the U.S.'"

      This doesn't mean that the Soviet Union was actually doing all these things; it does mean that the CIA believed they were. Of course, with the CIA's track record on predictions... (and sure, some of that could well have been to boost US willingness to spend. Absolutely).

      It might well be that some people pushed SDI/Star Wars to bankrupt the Soviet Union, but I tend to doubt that's why Reagan backed it. (It also sounds a bit like post-hoc justification, to be honest).

      Reagan was a 'big idea' guy. It seemed pretty clear at the time that he really thought nuclear weapons were evil, and wanted to eliminate them if he could. I remember conservatives quietly fuming at what they regarded as strategic naivete on his part.

      -Holmwood

    40. Re:Star Wars by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      You mean, giving weapons to the terrorist bastards that nowadays are committed to destroy America? What ROI are you talking about?

    41. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is not true. In the 1970s and 1980s, the government of the USSR was very concerned about perceived US military capabilities and invested a lot of money and talent to surpass them. See also: Buran program

    42. Re:Star Wars by vtcodger · · Score: 1, Flamebait
      ***Of course, it helped that the enemy that we faced was morally bankrupt and couldn't have possibly won the cold war. It frightens me that people actually associate "morally bankrupt" with "couldn't have possibly won." The two don't necessarily go together***

      To which one might add, that if moral bankrupcy will inevitably destroy a political system, the United States itself may be in considerable trouble. It's not like the Bush administration has turned out to be a shining beacon of good behavior

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    43. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're off by nearly 2 months too. Its 11/9

    44. Re:Star Wars by ABCC · · Score: 1

      Nor any of the previous administrations, for that matter.

    45. Re:Star Wars by moeinvt · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "You see, we could afford to build all that stuff . . ."

      Considering the fact that we haven't paid off any of the national debt we accumulated in those days, I think the question of whether or not we could afford it remains to be seen. It will be rather ironic if, after congratulating ourselves for 20 years about "winning" the cold war, we end up bankrupting ourselves due to debt financed military spending.

    46. Re:Star Wars by Rufty · · Score: 1

      The morally bankrupt *never* win. However, after most victories the concept of "morally bankrupt" is retrospectively redefined.

      --
      Red to red, black to black. Switch it on, but stand well back.
    47. Re:Star Wars by jollyreaper · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      That's no troll. That's a joke. A good one even. I like the moderation system for the most part but it does allow for a sort of cowardice that wavers between craven and pathetic. If someone says something you disagree with, say something back, don't just mod him down. That's no different from Bill O'Reilly cutting a guest's mike when he's at a loss for words. Weak.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    48. Re:Star Wars by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      I wonder who we'll give weapons to this time around and become our next adversary? Bin Laden was a "friend of convenience" in the 80's because the Soviet Union was considered a threat to both the US and Bin Laden. The Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan because they wanted to break the extremism there. Two decades later, the US is doing what it stopped the Soviet Union from doing.

    49. Re:Star Wars by netr00t · · Score: 1

      If you had a weapon that could take out such ICBM's and Space faring missles, would you waist exposing its existance on a test? Some of the most effective rules of combat is to take them by supprise, and ALWAYS keep your arsenal a secret. Now im not confirming such a system exists, but ponder it for a second.

    50. Re:Star Wars by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 1

      Well Teller's didn't but little know to most ppl Tesla's did...

      But it was not based on X-rays, it was particle beam fusion.

      --
      google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    51. Re:Star Wars by Mo+Bedda · · Score: 0

      This doesn't mean that the Soviet Union was actually doing all these things; it does mean that the CIA believed they were. Of course, with the CIA's track record on predictions...

      You really think that what the CIA believes about secret enemy weapons programs shows up in Time magazine in near real time? I think what shows up in Time magazine is what the CIA/government want the U.S. people to believe. Manipulating the political will of the people through misinformation via the press has been a feature of our government for quite some time. Given some of the people working in that administration, I wonder if this information didn't originate from something like the Office of Special Plans

      Reagan was a 'big idea' guy. It seemed pretty clear at the time that he really thought nuclear weapons were evil, and wanted to eliminate them if he could. I remember conservatives quietly fuming at what they regarded as strategic naivete on his part.

      Perhaps Reagan was that big of an idiot, but it seems like in the best case, SDI would simply change the delivery mechanisms for nuclear weapons. It never stood any chance of eliminating them.

    52. Re:Star Wars by Ex-MislTech · · Score: 1

      Well Teller's didn't but little know to most ppl Tesla's did...

      But it was not based on X-rays, it was particle beam fusion.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teleforce

      --
      google "32 trillion offshore needs IRS attention"
    53. Re:Star Wars by jollyreaper · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oh, I see. Excellent moderation. How droll.

      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    54. Re:Star Wars by Ash+Vince · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually the USSR version of SDI was likely to be much more effective at protecting the leadership than anything us in the West would come up with.

      Basically the idea as to build a huge centralised bunker under moscow. Then aim loads of nukes at moscow but set them to airburst in the upper atmosphere. This would have created a huge superheated nuclear fallout cloud that would cause any incoming nukes to detonate before they reached the ground. It would probably also have killed people all over Russia and the world when it fell to earth but the Russian leadership would have survived.

      I have just tried searching for some links about this plan but found nothing. I originaly heard about it from some post cold war documentary about Russia's nuclear capability. If anyone else knows anything about it could they post some links?

      --
      I dont read /. to RTFA, I read /. to offend people in ignorance.
    55. Re:Star Wars by tbfee · · Score: 1

      SDI aka Star Wars was a program of BMDO, the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization. Pretty much chopped during the "peace dividend" years, but you're right -- it's been re-cast as MDA, the Missile Defense Agency, spending about $10 Billion in tax dollars a year, since Bush took up occupation of the White House. As a reference point, that's almost the budget of NASA. Lots of money, and not much success to show for it.

      --
      It's not the heat, it's the futility.
    56. Re:Star Wars by JudgeFurious · · Score: 1

      Assuming that it's true and that one of the major intents of SDI was to attack the economy of the USSR in the way it's described then it was only part of a much larger strategy to put pressure on them economically. The enormous defense build up of the Reagan years was another part of this as was the agreement with a number of Arab states to basically open the pipe wide and let the oil flow cheap for a few years. In doing that we sacrificed our own domestic oil and gas industry but at the same time removed a source of income from the Soviets who could little money at the prices oil was selling for in the mid 80's as well as fueled our own economy. That helped to give us our guns and our butter as we left the Russians in our economic dust.

      --
      Appended to the end of comments you post. 120 chars.
    57. Re:Star Wars by encoderer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well said. You're exactly right about the oil crises. It just so happened that huge oil reserves were found in Siberia at the same time as global increases in oil prices. This kept them going for a while.

      And you're also right about the huge ratio of military spending to the GDP. And about the T72. I believe this was said best by Stalin: "Quantity has a quality all its own."

      But one thing that you didn't touch on that led to their crippled industrial production is just a horribly inefficient system. For example, steel mills were graded only on their output tonnage, and the commanders of these factories were promoted up the party ranks if they did well. (And you can only imagine what happened to them if they didn't). So you had a common problem of every steel mill creating only 1/2" or 1/4" thick sheeting despite the fact that what the downstream factories really needed was much thinner more pliable steel. So their auto factories, for example, had to mill down the thick steel into a workable dimension before they could use it. (Which also led to cars that were MUCH heavier than their US counterparts, which creates scores of problems in itself).

      Anyone interested in this stuff (and the Soviet collapse in particular) should read Armageddon Averted by Steven Kotkin which looks at the collapse as happening between 1970 and 1990.

      Another interesting tidbit that I remember from the book: In the Soviet Union typewriters were more closely regulated than handguns. You had to register each typewriter with your local government. Just in case anyone ever doubted that the pen is, indeed, mightier than the sword

    58. Re:Star Wars by kalirion · · Score: 1

      What, you mean you missed the news about us giving weapons to the insurgents provided they "promise to only use them on Al Quaeda"?

    59. Re:Star Wars by hanshotfirst · · Score: 1

      page 3 of the article. Still operational and renamed to Missile Defense Agency.

      --
      Why, oh why, didn't I take the Blue Pill?
    60. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you are wrong.

    61. Re:Star Wars by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

      This is part of the rationalization for the "Reagan beat the commies!" argument. The CIA was predicting back in '73 that the Soviet Union would economically collapse. I think it was Truman who originally came up with the "outspend 'em" Cold War strategy anyway.

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    62. Re:Star Wars by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Summary:
      We let them steal pumps and other oil field parts and designs that had subtle flaws resulted resulted in a huge-oil explosion.
      ---
      It was on purpose and we were really sneaky about it.
      And the people who did it couldn't even say anything about it for a couple decades or more.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    63. Re:Star Wars by PPH · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And now, a few guys living in caves have figured out how to trick us into an increase in spending on homeland security (and other nonsense) which will have a similar effect on our economy.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    64. Re:Star Wars by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      I like the moderation system for the most part but it does allow for a sort of cowardice that wavers between craven and pathetic. If someone says something you disagree with, say something back, don't just mod him down. That's no different from Bill O'Reilly cutting a guest's mike when he's at a loss for words. Weak.

      The moderators have a hell of a job to do, and for the most part they do it with skill and a sense of humour. I salute them!

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    65. Re:Star Wars by FishWithAHammer · · Score: 0, Troll

      Enjoy the police state, it's coming to a country near you in the coming decade, if it isn't there already. The United States is already there.

      Here's a hint. When you are not dragged into the street and shot for calling your government a police state, it's not a police state.

      Troll.

      --
      "You can either have software quality or you can have pointer arithmetic, but you cannot have both at the same time."
    66. Re:Star Wars by UseTheSource · · Score: 1

      SDI != anti-satellite missiles

      I dunno if that's where the parent was going with this or not, but SDI was supposed to be a particle beam to detonate ICBMs as they reentered. A huge waste of money and never worked. We're talking anti-satellite missiles here though, which the US has had for many years anyway. These do work. See the ASM-135 ASAT, air-launched by F-15s.

      The Chinese test was crude compared to these.

      --
      "Ein Volk, ein Reich, ein Führer." -Adolf Hitler
      "We are one Nation, we are one People." -The One 'leader'
    67. Re:Star Wars by dpilot · · Score: 1

      The Soviet economy was already broken. Star Wars merely accelerated the realization that it was broken - and forced them to realize it, too.

      I'm not so sure the rapid dissolution of the Soviet Union in the late 80s was such a good thing, either. Look at the mess formerly known as Yugoslavia, or the uncertain fate of nuclear assets, for instance. IMHO a slower, more measured breakup would have been better. But the whole thing was already under sufficient stress that the first visible crack would have caused the rapid breakup, and it just couldn't happen any slower.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    68. Re:Star Wars by CFTM · · Score: 1

      Please, kind sir, support your statements with actual facts; you are currently contradicting many of my history professors from college. I know full well that these individuals are not infallible but they were able to present well thought out arguments and factual evidence to support their claim that the SDI was a huge factor in bankrupting the USSR.

      All I see in your post is a claim that it was actually oil, although nothing backing it up and then a rant about how the US is already a police state. Moreover, we're looking at the USSR not the USA thus I'm at a bit of a loss to why that is even in this discussion besides you having another agenda.

    69. Re:Star Wars by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I'm not so sure the rapid dissolution of the Soviet Union in the late 80s was such a good thing, either. Look at the mess formerly known as Yugoslavia, or the uncertain fate of nuclear assets, for instance.

      It was great for arms dealers. The USA is the world's largest arms dealer.

      The US government is, as you know, largely beholden to special interests with lots of money. That means big oil, the military-industrial complex, et cetera.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    70. Re:Star Wars by ender81b · · Score: 2, Informative

      That wasn't just the USSR's idea. The United States also had a functional ABM system operating on the same principle - using Nike Zues (or Nike X) rockets with a few kiloton warhead strapped on top. I don't believe it got deployed anywhere but Guam however.

      The USSR's system was called Galosh, or A35. The missile was in operational use around Moscow from 1971 on. It has since been replaced, although by what I don't know. I think the Gorgon but I could be wrong. The system was only used to protect Moscow as per the terms of the 1972 ABM treaty.

    71. Re:Star Wars by Miseph · · Score: 1

      Congratulations on falling into that same trap.

      The great moral lesson of human history is that dogmatism, refusal to cooperate with others, and cultural narrow-mindedness are the downfall of all societies. Labeling all opposition to your own power greed as evil is ultimately far more destructive to oneself than anyone else, it is cheapening and belies despair and desperation... call enough people evil, and YOU wind up on the outsider lunatic fringe. Do unto others and they will do unto you.

      I just don't see what makes this so hard to understand.

      --
      Try not to take me more seriously than I take myself.
    72. Re:Star Wars by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      Maybe we felt the need to "psych" the USSR with Star Wars (by wasting billions of dollars) because we fell for their ploy of appearing to be a worthy adversary, when in fact their economy was already circling the bowl.


      Possible, of course, but I doubt it. The signs were there to be read, and my impression is that the citzen's advisory committee knew it. If nothing else, the regular crop failures that strangely stopped right at the boarder showed that their managed economy was being run into the ground by micromanagement.

      The whole point of "wasting billions of dollars" was that by doing so we'd force the Soviets to do the same. We could afford to throw that money away, but they couldn't. And, as much of those funds went into research, were they really wasted?

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    73. Re:Star Wars by techno-vampire · · Score: 1
      At the time, it wasn't obvious to people with open minds that it couldn't work. It was crafted to be within the bounds of possibility, even if unlikely. The idea was that the Soviets would say to themselves, "I don't think they can do that, but I'm not sure. All I know is that if they pull it off, they're safe and we're not." At that point, they had little choice but to try to copy it, even though there was no way they could have funded it.

      You need to remember that no army ever limits its plans to what it thinks an enemy will do, they have to consider everything that enemy can do, even if it's unlikely. It's rather like in a trial, where the defense doesn't need to prove that the accused is innocent, just create a reasonable doubt of guilt.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    74. Re:Star Wars by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      Yes, it would be ironic, except for one thing: most of SDI was never built, so that money was never spent. I also seem to remember that we were running a surplus in those days, although I'll be the first to admit my memory might be wrong.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    75. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The word you have failed to spell correctly is "people", shithead.

    76. Re:Star Wars by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't be at all surprised if Truman had the idea first. Also, please not that I don't claim that Reagan came up with the idea. He just recognized its merits when it was suggested to him.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    77. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The great moral lesson of human history is that dogmatism, refusal to cooperate with others, and cultural narrow-mindedness are the downfall of all societies. Labeling all opposition to your own power greed as evil is ultimately far more destructive to oneself than anyone else, it is cheapening and belies despair and desperation... call enough people evil, and YOU wind up on the outsider lunatic fringe. Do unto others and they will do unto you.

      I just don't see what makes this so hard to understand. Oh I understand. The US has refused to cooperate with others unless they have something to gain and the others have something to lose and they are also narrow-minded. How are they narrow minded? They have been labeling all opposition to their own power and greed by calling them evil in some way. First it was heathen (Native Americans), then communism (Cold War, Korea, Vietnam), now its terrorists (Iraq, Afghanistan, Former Yugoslavia) and illegal aliens. The US always wants to go to war. Even some USians admit to the US pushing Japan into attacking them. I wonder if Hitler had support from the US like Osama Bin Laden and Saddam had. Hell, their involvement in the middle east long ago created the terrorists today.

      I don't how it is so hard to understand either, but the USians seemingly fail to understand it like they do everything else.

      Go ahead USians, you can once again prove me right by either flaming, ignoring me, and/or modding me down. I love the flamebait mod, it shows you are super pissed as a result of being able to handle the truth.
    78. Re:Star Wars by olman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, Gorbachev made lots of noises about reforming the way the performance is measured but of course for him it was impossible task with entrenched interests of people who later become the robber baron oligarchs.. Another good example is nails - They were measured by the output weight, so the factory could easiest meet and exceed the quotas by producing only big honking nails that are not really appropriate for most things you'd want to use nails for in the construction or manufacturing industries. And in more refined products such as, say, buckets, they measured performance in units so it was best for the factory to produce small buckets that were not appropriate for most things you'd want to such thing for!

      I believe in essense they wanted a regulated system that'd simulate supply and demand of an open market.. And as the theorists realized the equation cannot work, they naturally decided that the problem is with the people. So enter nonsense about "new socialist man" (or person) who they will educate to behave in a way that makes socialism work.

      As for soviet military industry, they actually did have real outside pressure to produce better products that also reacted to what they manufactured. So probably that's why their arms industry is so much better in comparison to the rest of their industry. For example, Israel demonstrated that F-15 can take on much larger enemy air force comprised of Mig-21s and Mig-23s and sweep the skies.. So they came up with Mig-29 and Su-27 that were really ace products in the 70s.

      Interestingly when India put interest into fielding Su-30 (essentially upgraded Su-27) it took Sukhoi and the indian arms industry ten years to make decent user-friendly avionics package for it. The pilot's user interface if you like.

      here is what they basically started with, user-hostile mess of dials and buttons and controls that are very hard to master - http://www.aeronautics.ru/img002/su30-302-cockpit. jpg

      And this is what http://www.ausairpower.net/000-Su-30MKI-Fwd-Cockpi t-1S.jpg it evolved to, eventually.

      I suppose the user-friendliness bit didn't really take, they just looked at the performance.

    79. Re:Star Wars by sjwaste · · Score: 2, Funny

      Just in case anyone ever doubted that the pen is, indeed, mightier than the sword

      You're selling penis mightiers?
    80. Re:Star Wars by Max+Littlemore · · Score: 1

      Excellent point, although not 100% accurate.

      Episodes IV - VI were also short sighted in that they created a situation whereby the last half hour of episode III was forced into a load of lame plot twists so that thay made sense.

      Episodes I - III were definitely stupid.

      --
      I don't therefore I'm not.
    81. Re:Star Wars by hackingbear · · Score: 1

      So USSR never built one. After Reagan announced his SDI USSR just sent more money to shipyards and built a bunch more of nuclear submarines, that's it. After Bush's démarche Putin also did the same - ordered a bunch of warheads that make zigs and zags at reentry speed. We tried to build it not because it was possible or useful but because the contractors got tons of money. I'm not saying that the now-a-day Russia or Chinese governments were/are cleaner. Most of their state-sponsored military projects are not there to be useful or even threatening the world. They are there to enrich the officials and the contractors, ripping off tax payer money. The US is not much better.
    82. Re:Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Got something to back that up, bub?

  2. I think you mean by Inoshiro · · Score: 5, Informative

    The United States' Space Arsenal.

    It really makes no sense for one state to be united.

    --
    --
    Internet Explorer (n): Another bug -- that is, a feature that can't be turned off -- in Windows.
    1. Re:I think you mean by Icarus1919 · · Score: 2

      Actually, if you want to be pedantic, the proper grammar is The Space Arsenal of the United States. According to The Elements of Style, the grammar bible, one is to use the form -Chris's book- rather than -Chris' book-, unless the entity is famous or well known, in which case it's much better to use something like -the Book of Moses- rather than -Moses's book-. However, that is still preferable to -Moses' book-.

    2. Re:I think you mean by g0dsp33d · · Score: 2, Funny

      I totally agree, I promote civil unrest and anarchy in my state too.

      --
      lol: You see no door there!
    3. Re:I think you mean by Lije+Baley · · Score: 1

      Washington State: You'll never get the Easterners to unite with the Westerners. And you'll never get the Westerners to understand that their crowded little, tree and water-filled slice is not the entire state.

      --
      Strange things are afoot at the Circle-K.
    4. Re:I think you mean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You misunderstood. The reason you don't say "Chris' book" is because Chris is singular.
      The apostrophe does indeed follow a plural "s". "United States' space arsenal" is correct.

    5. Re:I think you mean by Dr+Tall · · Score: 1

      You're right, except that "States" in "The United States" is not plural, it is a part of a singular, compound noun. "The United States" is a singular entity so its possessive is "The United States's".

    6. Re:I think you mean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The United States! Space! Arse 'n' all!

    7. Re:I think you mean by Alioth · · Score: 1

      The editors should heed Dave Barry. He said, "An apostrophe doesn't mean 'Yikes! Look out! Here comes an S'"

      Article tagged 'apostropheabuse'.

    8. Re:I think you mean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More appropriately, the United States government's space arsenal. You do realize there is a difference between the government and the people, don't you?

      If you could actually choose which government programs to support -- paying on a per-progam basis -- would you still choose to pay for the programs you don't approve of? Of course not. That's the difference between government and you: they have the special right to employ coercion as their business model -- using force or threat thereof to make you pay for their business -- and you don't.

    9. Re:I think you mean by loconet · · Score: 1

      No kidding. United, Arsenal .. for a second I thought were were discussing the EPL and got excited.

      --
      [alk]
  3. not a threat....yet by mastershake_phd · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Most spacecraft -- including spy sats -- are in low Earth orbit, which stretches 1240 miles into space. As the Chinese test proved, such targets could be hit with medium-range missiles tipped with crude kill devices. GPS satellites are far higher, orbiting at about 12,600 miles. Many communications sats are in the 22,000-mile range. Destroying them requires a much more powerful and sophisticated long-range ballistic missile

    Most of the strategic targets are in a much safer place, sure they could easily knock out our spy satellites, but there are alternatives to those.

    1. Re:not a threat....yet by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      Most of the strategic targets are in a much safer place, sure they could easily knock out our spy satellites, but there are alternatives to those.
      Like what?
      Spy planes?

      Do you really want to give the Chinese another opportunity to dissect a surveillance aircraft? Or maybe we could fly 'em over Russian airspace... I'm sure Putin would love that.

      Perhaps I'm being overly snarky, but I don't really see any other good alternative to the existing network of spy satellites.
      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    2. Re:not a threat....yet by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

      Most of the strategic targets are in a much safer place By that, do you mean higher orbit? If we can put something in an orbit, there ought to be little doubt that we could take something in that orbit down.

      And what are these alternatives you speak of? Naval vessels with radio interception equipment? Those won't reach inland signals, and are vulnerable to everything from bombers to torpedoes to a couple guys in a speedboat full of explosives.

      And the SR-71 isn't nearly as invulnerable as it once was.
    3. Re:not a threat....yet by Dahamma · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Like what?
      Spy planes?

      Do you really want to give the Chinese another opportunity to dissect a surveillance aircraft? Or maybe we could fly 'em over Russian airspace... I'm sure Putin would love that.

      Perhaps I'm being overly snarky, but I don't really see any other good alternative to the existing network of spy satellites.


      If we ever get to the point where China is actually shooting down US spy satellites, I wouldn't worry about it much anyway, because we'd probably be in WW3.

    4. Re:not a threat....yet by Grave · · Score: 1

      Agreed. In the article, they postulate that if China wanted to retake Taiwan, they might shoot down a few of our spy sats first to confuse us. Make no mistake, we would see the launches the moment they happened and be able to track the missiles right up to hitting our spy satellites -- the other satellites that track that sort of thing are way too far out to be easily hit, precisely for that reason. Regardless of the confusion it could theoretically create, China would never risk actually attacking us just to take back Taiwan. While they might well be able to invade Taiwan and secure it before we could decide what to do, I'm pretty sure our response would end up as, "Get out or die" -- full nuclear retaliation on mainland China. Prepare the missiles for launch, make sure China's own spy sats pick up on it, and send a single warning message. If China refuses, nuke 'em. Or at least, I would hope whoever is in the White House if such a situation occurs is smart enough to realize that is the safest response, as to roll over and accept it would mean that China is now the one in charge. And quite frankly, I trust our corrupt leaders, or even those in the European Union, a bit more than I trust China's corrupt leaders. In the long term, allowing a communist superpower to go unchecked would do more damage and kill more people than forcing China to evacuate Taiwan (they know we could wipe them out entirely, and their own nuclear deterrent isn't reliable enough to know for certain that it would reach us).

      Besides, China needs the US. Without our money flowing back to them from all the goods they export to us, their economy would grind to a halt. Of course, they would just dump all the US dollars they have bought up and cripple our own economy, but I think we'd probably come out of it with a bit less long-term damage than they would.

      Getting back to the topic of the article, the whole debris field thing is something I never really thought much about. Sure debris is a problem, but in LEO does so little of it get pulled back into the atmosphere that 80% remains after a century? I thought gravity would pull more of it down than that.

    5. Re:not a threat....yet by mastershake_phd · · Score: 1

      While they might well be able to invade Taiwan and secure it before we could decide what to do, I'm pretty sure our response would end up as, "Get out or die" -- full nuclear retaliation on mainland China. Prepare the missiles for launch, make sure China's own spy sats pick up on it, and send a single warning message. If China refuses, nuke 'em. Or at least, I would hope whoever is in the White House if such a situation occurs is smart enough to realize that is the safest response, as to roll over and accept it would mean that China is now the one in charge.
       
      If they call our bluff nuke'em? Full nuclear retaliation, kill a billion people? You can't be serious. Why not just wipe out their air force, navy, and any fixed targets with conventional weapons? Sounds a lot better than genocide and nuclear fallout.
       
        China needs the US. Without our money flowing back to them from all the goods they export to us, their economy would grind to a halt.
       
      I agree that without their exports to our country (and our allies) their economy would be in trouble. However, we have exported a lot of our manufacturing capability to China. What would we do if we were cut off from their exports? We both need each other at this point. I think that fact will keep the peace for the immediate future.

    6. Re:not a threat....yet by TheLink · · Score: 1

      If the USA nukes China, there's a lot they can do in retaliation.

      If I were China, I'd already have a fair number of special forces people staying in the USA and other places. I mean we're supposed to believe a small bunch of people managed to take down the WTC etc. So how much could a trained elite team backed by China do?

      Also, if China wanted to cause major damage to the USA in retaliation and didn't care about honourable methods, they don't even need to nuke a place in USA. They could nuke/attack some other places and make it look like the USA did it (after all who's been doing the nuking so far?). There are already lots of people who are anti-USA who'd believe that the USA did it, and they just don't hate the USA enough _yet_. After the "retaliatory strikes" there'd be tens of millions _actively_ willing to destroy the USA in revenge.

      The USA would then need to find new sources of oil, and totally close its borders (a huge cost).

      Go figure.

      --
    7. Re:not a threat....yet by Grave · · Score: 3, Interesting

      See, that's the thing about international politics. China wouldn't attack us in the first place because they know we would wipe them out. Just as we wouldn't attack China because they could do substantial damage to us. The entire point of the nuclear arsenal is that it never has to be used, but it must be understood by all parties that it WILL be used if given no other real option. It's called mutually assured destruction (MAD). As it stands, our military is stretched too thin to take on China conventionally right now, and even if we weren't mired in Iraq, the only thing we could ever do to them would be air and naval strikes. China knows they are safe from ground attack. We would need months to build up enough conventional forces in the region for a land invasion that would pit a few hundred thousand US soldiers against a couple million Chinese soldiers and a few hundred million citizens armed with whatever China is willing to give them.

      As for needing China because of manufacturing, we could always just return millions of jobs to our fellow citizens, pay them decent wages, and be able to purchase higher-quality, untainted products again. Gee, what a novel concept. I don't give a hoot about people having to pay a tiny bit more for their goods, because the overall economic strength of any country is founded on jobs, not imports. Bring back the manufacturing base and watch the middle class recover.

    8. Re:not a threat....yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I were China, I'd already have a fair number of special forces people staying in the USA and other places. I mean we're supposed to believe a small bunch of people managed to take down the WTC etc. So how much could a trained elite team backed by China do?


      Uh, are you dense? You don't remember the Japanese in WWII? Do you think it would happen so fast that everybody of Chinese descent wouldn't be shot on sight or detained?

      The first couple of special ops teams would do their deeds, no doubt.. but after that the US population along with an unhealthy dose of mob mentality would take care of the rest.
    9. Re:not a threat....yet by DDLKermit007 · · Score: 1

      The only people who would really fall for such a farce are land locked (with China), have little technology, or means to strike back, and have people further up the chain who would direct their anger to the correct destination upon learning they had been played the fool. You think China bases allot of it's actions upon it's outward appearance, they are nothing next to the crazy people they could piss off. Not to mention China needs their oil a hell of allot more than the US. The US has been actively holding on to oil deposits, and capping it's oil supplies for the eventual day that OPEC tries to tell us to shove off, or they just can't keep the stream coming. It won't be too much longer before the US has more oil available to it within it's own borders than the rest of the world put together. Heck I have friends who's family is old money, and oil, yet they are going bankrupt because the US government has capped their oil reserve for the past decade. I can go scoop the oil directly out of the ground with my hand, but they can't touch it, and we honestly didn't stop ocean oil drilling for the Greenpeacers. We'll be right back out there the moment we need it.

    10. Re:not a threat....yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sr-71 has been out of service for awhile, the offical reason being that it was no longer needed because of sat*cough*bullshit*cough*. make what you will out of that statement.

  4. United State? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's that?

    1. Re:United State? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      I the person, of the United State, in order to form a more perfect identity...

  5. sad but inevitable by wizardforce · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Judging by how humanity acts on Earth it was a logical step to bring war to space as sad as that is. what happened was China took out one of their clunky near-dead weather satellite with a missile [kinetic warhead I believe] which basically tore the hell out of it with sheer speed and mass. They failed a few times before but by the rate their military spending is going it wont be long before they actually out pace us [if not already] this combined with their long standing rivalry with us on economic, political and cyberspace issues we very much need to watch this a lot closer than Iraq/war on terror because of the real implications of possible future conflict.

    --
    Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
    1. Re:sad but inevitable by cyanyde · · Score: 1

      It's not exactly hard to imagine lasers and missles and ye olde Rod's of God's helping keep control of the population. Remember, the only way to expand our investment in space exploration is when it involves defending our country.

    2. Re:sad but inevitable by QuantumG · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Could also be the best thing that ever happens to mankind.

      In order to fight a war in space, you need a launch capability that is beyond what we have today.

      You need it to launch space stations that are bigger and stronger than the flimsy tin cans that we have in orbit now.

      All the arguments that have been presented for not putting nuclear reactors into space suddenly become irrelevant.. Nuclear propulsion will become a standard feature of spacecraft. Big fat military dollars would then be poured into research to develop better than nuclear propulsion systems, not to mention weapons.

      To fight a war in space you really need a working space-based economy. Which also happens to give you something to fight about: control of that economy. A working space-based economy is a necessity to colonization of the solar system - also something to fight over. Colonization of the solar system is essential to the survival of the species.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:sad but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is the odd thing. Real war time is normally very good for innovations. Khan, Alexander, Roman Empire, Napolean, Hitler, and FDR spurred some of the best economies and innovations known. Even now, a number of us remember what the 60's were like and know that the cold war was a waste of money, but pushed us in numerous ways that were good.

    4. Re:sad but inevitable by Cadallin · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Which is really yet another way Bush royally fucked us over. Yes this is off topic, but I don't give a shit. There are countries we actually needed to keep an eye on. Iran, North Korea, the PRC, etc. Iraq was not one of them. Now we've pretty much blown our hegemonic wad over this bullshit, leaving us in an extremely vulnerable military position. Let alone our economic situation which is poised to collapse any day now (even more than it already has, starting with the hedge fund market). Of course none of the responsible parties are ever going to be brought to justice (i.e. spend the rest of their lives in the Military Prison for International War Criminals at Hague in the Netherlands). Bush is going to piss off to his Ranch in South America. I'd guess the rest of them have similar arrangements made.

    5. Re:sad but inevitable by imkonen · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's an interesting theory, but I think you're way too optimistic. It's an incredibly unstable situation, because combat in orbit involves almost no defensive options. There are no land formations to hide behind, and no air resistance to slow down projectiles, which is why satellites can be taken down without bothering to mount explosive warheads on the missiles (it's my understanding that is why they are called "kinetic kill vehicles"). Then all the debris created by space conflict becomes a danger to everyone's satellites. The result is that if the player with a satellite disadvantage has satkill technology, they can level the playing field and make it so nobody has any space capabilities. It doesn't help at all to be better at space combat than your opponent as long as your opponent is above a minimum technological threshold (which China is essentially at right now).

    6. Re:sad but inevitable by sumdumass · · Score: 3, Insightful

      WTF world are you on and what drugs have you been taking. My god, I haven't heard that much easily refutable bullshit in a generic Bush bash in a long time. Are you forgetting that the people your talking to have the internet and can look some thing up? Or that the economy isn't tanking, We have the capacity to deal with North Korea and Iran even with Iraq.

      We are in not more of a vulnerable position the we were before Iraq. We have more then half our military force free to do whatever if absolutely needed. Sure, we would need help from other countries, but even if they refused, we have weapons not even in the arena currently that would put an end to anything that threatening. Our goal in the cold war was to fight a world war on two fronts. We have scaled the military down a bit but not that much. We also had a goal that is being realized even more today were we could fight the war without risk to solders.

      Now, don't take what is happening in Iraq to mean it would happen anywhere else. The only Reason we aren't waisting Iraq is because we are trying to save it. If another country starts something, we aren't going to be worried about saving it. We won't be worried about rebuilding it. We won't be worried about much of anything outside not losing at that point in time. This means the big guns come out and we kick some ass. You act like we are defenseless. We aren't, we aren't even close. So go pull your little skirt up over your head and cry somewhere else.

      Something to note, even if we disarmed the nuclear warheads and loaded conventional explosives, we have enough ICBMs to wipe Iran or N. Korea clean. Sure, we would have some get away, but it would be small enough and dispersed enough the police forces could deal with it.

      Life isn't all rosie with peaches and cream. But it isn't bad either. give it a break and just fucking look around man.

    7. Re:sad but inevitable by jollyreaper · · Score: 3, Informative

      There are no land formations to hide behind, and no air resistance to slow down projectiles, which is why satellites can be taken down without bothering to mount explosive warheads on the missiles (it's my understanding that is why they are called "kinetic kill vehicles"). Nope. The reason why missiles have explosives on them is because a direct hit is very difficult to achieve. What's more likely to hit a bird flying by, a solid slug or a pellet spray from a shotgun? With proximity-fused weapons (cannon shells, missiles) the idea is that the weapon is not likely to hit the target but will pass very close. The proximity system uses radio waves to detect the object and will explode the weapon the moment the range increases. To show the likelihood of a direct hit, the Air Force would conduct live fire exercises with real missiles against real drone targets like remotely controlled F-4's. The training missiles had the warheads removed. Most missiles would pass within proper kill proximity of the drone and very few would actually strike it, causing damage.

      Newer missile designs are becoming accurate enough that the warhead can be dispensed with, the impact of the weapon alone will be sufficient. The Brits have found their smart bombs so accurate, they are replacing the actual bomb with a concrete casting, leaving the guidance system and fins the same. This kind of weapon can be used to plink tanks in civilian areas. 2 tons of concrete dropped on a tank from 10,000 feet means no more tank, an explosion would be overkill at that point. It also means that you can hit a tank sitting outside a school and not even break the windows. That's a win for any civilians unlucky enough to be nearby.

      As for space weapons, the insane velocities involved with orbital speeds is what also makes an explosive redundant. A fleck of urine almost took out the cockpit window on a previous shuttle flight. Nothing is likely to survive the impact of a kinetic kill vehicle, assuming the defense contractors can get the thing to hit without having to rig the demo.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    8. Re:sad but inevitable by jollyreaper · · Score: 3, Funny

      Which is really yet another way Bush royally fucked us over. Yes this is off topic, but I don't give a shit. There are countries we actually needed to keep an eye on. Iran, North Korea, the PRC, etc. Iraq was not one of them. Now we've pretty much blown our hegemonic wad over this bullshit, leaving us in an extremely vulnerable military position. Let alone our economic situation which is poised to collapse any day now (even more than it already has, starting with the hedge fund market). Of course none of the responsible parties are ever going to be brought to justice (i.e. spend the rest of their lives in the Military Prison for International War Criminals at Hague in the Netherlands). Bush is going to piss off to his Ranch in South America. I'd guess the rest of them have similar arrangements made. Oh, dear. You must really hate America. Only someone who hates America could have such nasty things to say about the patriots leading our fine country. I will pray for Jesus to open your eyes and make you love your nation again.

      *this post doesn't need a sarcasm tag, it needs a sarcasm suppository*
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    9. Re:sad but inevitable by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Gah. You're talking about space warfare as if we have already tried it. The reason why it's so easy to knock out a satellite is because they are designed with no defensive capabilities. The reason why debris is such a hazard to spacecraft today is because they are made as light as possible to reduce launch costs. Why is it that people always equate changing the status quo with the sky falling. We can adapt.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    10. Re:sad but inevitable by Jarjarthejedi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "It's an incredibly unstable situation, because combat in orbit involves almost no defensive options"

      I'm sure someone said that about Sea Warfare once, and it was true until Aegis anti-missile and torpedo decoys were developed. Every battlefield has it's differences and there are many for which defending is difficult without technology. The only real area where you can hide behind things is land battles, and I don't think anyone would suggest that Sea and Air warfare 'Involve almost no defensive options' as there are possible options, they're just not natural to the terrain.

      Combat in orbit is no more unstable than combat in air, or combat at sea. The only difference is that the wreckage can remain in orbit. That seems at first to be a big deal however there are ways to deal with that, just as there are ways to deal with sat-kill vehicles. Combat in orbit will be no different than any other battlefield once countermeasures are deployed, I seem to recall an attitude of 'We shouldn't try to combatify air because of (list of reasons) which will inevitably make it a more dangerous and horrible place to fight and end humanity' which seems to be how many people treat space right now. As Fallout once said, "War. War never changes."

      --
      There are two kinds of fool One says 'This is old therefore good' Another says 'This is new therefore better'- Dean Ing
    11. Re:sad but inevitable by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      You gotta understand how arms races work. Stealth is great, and yes, it would be an approach that is taken, but that's just one direction. To defend against a Big Fucking Laser you just need a mirror.. and dumb ballistic weapon will just be intercepted with another dumb ballistic weapon. So, pretty soon you need fighters.. and that will always mean people (no matter how much people want to claim UAVs are the future). You can't launch them from the ground to space whenever you need them.. that takes at least 12 minutes. You need to station them in space. Which means you need proper space stations. Which means you need a force to defend them, etc.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    12. Re:sad but inevitable by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "The reason why debris is such a hazard to spacecraft today is because they are made as light as possible to reduce launch costs."

      In the early 80's a 0.3mm speck of paint travelling at 17,500mph punched a hole 3/4 of the way through the space shuttle's windshield - what sort of shielding material were you thinking of using to prevent more substantial chunks of debris from vaporizing the entire spacecraft?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    13. Re:sad but inevitable by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Windows are a luxury.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    14. Re:sad but inevitable by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

      You know, I'd love to see you participate in one of my projects. You're obviously interested in giving this sort of conversation thought.

    15. Re:sad but inevitable by TufelKinder · · Score: 1

      ...because combat in orbit involves almost no defensive options.
      Someone hasn't watched enough Star Trek...
      --
      If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear. -- George Orwell
    16. Re:sad but inevitable by flashmorbid · · Score: 1

      As Fallout once said, "War. War never changes." Fallout? Ron fucking Perlman said that!
      --
      "Civilization is all about beating the environment into forms that suit us better." - John Carmack
    17. Re:sad but inevitable by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      Although I agree with your overall conclusion -- I think space warfare would just lead to the weaker party polluting near space with a whole truckload of hex nuts; goodbye space exploration for the next few generations -- I'm not sure if the 'no defensive options' line is really a good argument.

      You could say the same thing about undersea submarine warfare. If a submarine gets hit by a torpedo, it's pretty much Game Over. They don't bother giving them a lot of armor plate for a reason: it wouldn't work and it would just make them easier targets. Instead, they try to be invisible and sneaky, and most of the tactics seem to revolve basically around killing your enemy before he knows your there and has the time and opportunity to kill you, too. (Or, launch your missiles and complete your mission before your enemy can find and kill you.)

      I think that's a paradigm that could be applied to space warfare; defense-through-stealth rather than defense-through-terrain, or even through maneuver.

      However, to imagine such a war, you'd have to somehow come up with magic solutions for why an enemy, as soon as they started to lose, wouldn't just (A) pollute space with debris, and (B) use their last bit of launch capability to drop nuclear weapons (or superflu, or airborne AIDS, or whatever) on enemy cities, leading to a strategic nuclear exchange. On one hand, you're talking about resource allocations to space-weapons research that are indicative of planning for a total war, but I'm not sure how you can discuss total war and not also just have it devolve into nuclear/biological annihilation.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    18. Re:sad but inevitable by Kangburra · · Score: 1

      Windows are a luxury.


      I never thought I would read that on /.! ;-)
      --
      Common sense is not so common
    19. Re:sad but inevitable by Cervantes · · Score: 2, Funny

      A fleck of urine almost took out the cockpit window on a previous shuttle flight. Please don't say that in public, next thing you know The Shrub will be sending geriatrics into space for their rapid-fire abilities.
      --
      If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
    20. Re:sad but inevitable by khallow · · Score: 1

      In the early 80's a 0.3mm speck of paint travelling at 17,500mph punched a hole 3/4 of the way through the space shuttle's windshield - what sort of shielding material were you thinking of using to prevent more substantial chunks of debris from vaporizing the entire spacecraft?

      Look at tank armor some time. You get a long ways with thickness and deflection. As I see it, a single dense object (like a tungsten rod) would probably take out anything smaller than a few hundred meters in thickness. But it has to hit first. OTOH, you can armor against a spray of small objects, perhaps with a conical or wedge shaped vehicle so that most of their kinetic energy isn't transfered to you.
    21. Re:sad but inevitable by janrinok · · Score: 1

      we have weapons not even in the arena currently Either you already have the weapons, in which case they are in the arena (i.e. your arsenal), or you haven't, in which case I can smell bovine waste material. Are you suggesting that you, personally, know of weapons that are kept secret from everyone else? Or perhaps you mean that there are plans for weapons but, as yet, the weapons are under development and not yet tested, and therefore not available for use? I am not saying that you are wrong, but the statement is meaningless unless you clarify the claim.
      --
      Have a look at soylentnews.org for a different view
    22. Re:sad but inevitable by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      ***Nope. The reason why missiles have explosives on them is because a direct hit is very difficult to achieve.***

      It's only difficult if you don't know exactly where your target will be at any given time. Satellite positions are highly predictable, and maneuver options are somewhere between slim and none. Hitting a satellite in orbit is rocket science, but it's not difficult rocket science.

      With the velocity differences that will be present in collisions between a satellite and a satellite killer object, explosives would be unecessary. Kinetic energy will do the job without further assistance. We're talking closing velocities of 25000 or even 50000 fps here. And -- guess what -- it's possible to design anti-saellite weapons such that if you some how miss the first time, you get a second chance with the same 'warhead' on the next revolution of the satellite, and the third ....

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    23. Re:sad but inevitable by Weedlekin · · Score: 3, Informative

      "Look at tank armor some time. You get a long ways with thickness and deflection"

      This used to the case with thickness, but deflection has never been used. The reason sloped tank armour replaced flat planes was because it prevents a thicker cross section to an incoming projectile, and not (as many seem to believe) because it has any deflection value against high speed projectiles. Modern tank armour on the other hand is a series of almost flat planes, much like that of WWII tank armour, although for very different reasons.

      Modern tanks basically face three types of threats (from other tanks and infantry -- the likes of hellfire missiles are beyond the scope of this topic): high-energy anti-tank (HEAT), high-explosive squash head (HESH), and APDS (armour-piercing discarding sabot, i.e. long-rod kinetic energy penetrators). Each works differently, so armour incorporates several different mechanisms, each of which is specifically designed to counter one of these.

      1) HEAT rounds use plasma jets to burn their way through armour (the classic RPG uses this system). There are four possible counters:
      a) Spacing. Armour has multiple air spaces in the hope that the jet will consume some layers, leaving the rest intact. It isn't very effective against modern HEAT rounds, but is still much better than a solid layer of equal thickness.

      b) Stand-off plates / cages. These have been used for years to protect tank wheels from older, less powerful infantry HEAT weapons, and appeared on the bodies of the less heavily armoured German tanks during WWII. Some infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) in the current Iraq conflict carry "cage" versions, proving that it's still effective against weapons that don't carry tandem-charge warheads.

      c) Explosive-reactive armour (ERA). Tanks are covered with small explosive-filled boxes with a metal face-plate. The plasma jet detonates the explosive, and the face plat is thrown laterally in its path to consume it. Not effective against tandem-charge warheads.

      d) Ceramic pyramids that remain solid at extremely high temperatures are set inside the armour to dissipate the jet. This is the mechanism used by "Chobham" armour (originally a British design, hence the name); it is effective even against tandem charges, but is extremely costly to manufacture, and also very heavy.

      2) HESH. This round flattens against the surface of the tank, and then detonates into the armour, sending a shock wave through it that causes the inner surface of the vehicle to "spall" (i.e. become shrapnel that ricochets around inside it, turning the crew into human sushi). It's fairly easily defeated by a combination of spaced armour and spall liners, which are layers of adhesive plastics on the inside surface of the armour. For this reason, it's primarily used against infantry fighting vehicles nowadays, whose thinner armour has little room for effective air spacing, and therefore spalls very well indeed.

      3) APDS / APFSDS. A sabot is used to carry a long, thin, extremely heavy penetrator rod with a point that converts its considerable kinetic energy into very high pressures and temperatures where both the rod and armour become fluids (a process that's analogous to squirting a jet of water into a bucket of oil). The length of the rod must be more or less that same as the armour it's intended to penetrate because the solid rear moves "through" the liquid front (which loses kinetic energy rapidly), becoming liquid itself in the process. A rod that's too short will therefore simply "bore" a hole in the armour, leaving a "hot spot" on the inside that would be likely to burn anyone who touches it rather badly, but has no other effect. Note that DU penetrators are also pyrophoric, i.e. they burn inside the armour in addition to becoming liquid (sintered tungsten doesn't do this, and is also more prone to shatter than DU, although it's far less toxic to both tank crews and the post-battle environment). It can be countered in two ways, both of which are present in the best modern composite ar

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
    24. Re:sad but inevitable by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      ***I'm sure someone said that about Sea Warfare once, and it was true until Aegis anti-missile and torpedo decoys were developed. Every battlefield has it's differences and there are many for which defending is difficult without technology. The only real area where you can hide behind things is land battles, and I don't think anyone would suggest that Sea and Air warfare 'Involve almost no defensive options' as there are possible options, they're just not natural to the terrain.***

      Someone did say that. Rear Admiral Hyman G Rickover. He told the Senate armed services committee in the 1970s that the carriers would last about two days in an all out war with the Soviet Union.

      You have a lot more faith in the Navy's defensive capabilities than many of us do. One notes that on the rare occasions since World War II where someone has taken serious umbrage at the presence of a naval vessel, the vessels often have not fared well. e.g General Belgrano sunk by a torpedo during the Falklands war and the HMS Sheffield sunk two days later by an Exocet missile. As recently as last Summer Hezbolah guerillas in Lebanon used some sort of antiship missile to severely damage the INS Hanit.

      As for Aegis -- best known for shooting down Iran Air flight 655 flying at constant altitude in a well defined commercial corrider -- under the misapprehension that it was firing at an fighter aircraft on an attack run -- I'm inclined to go with Rickover. Mean lifetime of about two days if someone really wants an Aegis equipped vessel gone.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    25. Re:sad but inevitable by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I'm suggesting that we would use weapons that we aren't using today that are public knowledge that we have. Our ICBMs can be launched from inside the US with a basic maintenance staff. It wouldn't take much for a non military staff to change the warheads out to something non nuclear. But we even have the nuclear option.

      We won't lose a war for lack of using a weapon when someone thinks we are easy prey because we are in Iraq. The bottom line is, we are not defenseless and could fend off an attack by anyone attacking us. Then we have the idea of the draft and all too. But somehow, i don't think we would have trouble recruiting personnel if we were attacked again. Even if the democrats walk around telling everyone how stupid they are for joining the military or fight over the funding of the troops unless we put a planned defeat in writing and give it to the enemy. They will just become irrelevant in that situation.

      Now, If your talking we can't defend ourselves as in we cannot walk into another country and start another Iraq if we feel like it, Who cares. We don't need to occupy another country. Again, we aren't defenseless.

    26. Re:sad but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Strategically speaking, you're a frickin' moron.

      First, you can't "not lose" a military conflict. It's not a coincidence that the economy has been doing steadily worse since the invasion of Iraq.

      Second, it doesn't matter how much firepower America possesses. Weapons are only "defensive" up until the point they are put into use. After which the act of violence nullifies the threat of violence.

      Third, you've severely underestimated the rest of the world in terms of economic, political, and military power.

    27. Re:sad but inevitable by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Newtonian physics says: kinetic energy increases with the square of the speed.

      A quick google says a locomotive weighs ~100 metric tons. Travelling at 30 meters/sec (~60mph) it has 45Kj of kineteic energy (re: Newton). Now if we take a 1kg object travelling at 7800m/s (~17,500mph) it has 30,588,148Kj. Roughly 680,000 of said locomotives packed into a projectile the size of a grapefruit. For comparison a 1kg projectile fired from a tank has ~30 locomotives of KE.

      I agree a lot of energy can be disapated with thoughtfull design but a lost hammer in space is akin to a "bunker busting missile".

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    28. Re:sad but inevitable by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Bugger, the train has 45,000Kj not 45 but the ratio of 680,000:30 for hammer:tank still holds.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    29. Re:sad but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The Shrub"

      How out of touch with reality are you that you don't realize calling him "The Shrub" makes you look like a retarded 9 year old?

      Jesus, act like a fucking adult please, and try to converse at a level that indicates you've left primary school.

      Unless you haven't, in which case I retract my all too accurate comments.

    30. Re:sad but inevitable by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Couldn't you use explosives to fragment the missile though? It seems like if the closing velocity is so high, you don't need the whole missile to impact to get a kill. So if you blew it to bits prior to impact you'd have a cloud of shrapnel travelling at the same speed. The cloud could be pretty big too. I can imagine a missile made out of mostly tungsten spheres but with explosive mixed in that exploded prior to impact that turns into a hundred meter wide cloud of projectiles, all of which could penetrate any conceivable armour.

      Ok for a satellite in free orbit you could do hit to kill, but what happens if the satellites start to maneuver to avoid anti satellite missiles? That seems like the obvious counter measure - just fire a few compressed air jets to make the satellite move unpredictably when anti satellite weapons are incoming. And for missiles are presumably not completely ballistic due to maneuvering jets and deploy mutiple guided warheads a shotgun gun approach seems much more likely to work.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    31. Re:sad but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "fucking adult"

      How out of touch with reality are you?

      Jebus, try not to fly off the handle into Coulter-mode at the slightest jab.

    32. Re:sad but inevitable by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      ***Couldn't you use explosives to fragment the missile though?***

      Maybe. You'd have to preignite the explosive charge. Explosions operate on millisecond time scales, and the objects are moving at 25 feet per millisecond. You'd also have to be careful about the thrust vector from the explosion. Don't want to cause the interceptor to miss by pushing it off somewhere.

      ***but what happens if the satellites start to maneuver to avoid anti satellite missiles? ***

      As a practical matter, a satellite probably can't carry much reaction mass for maneuvering. A missile designed entirely to do damage probably can carry a lot more fuel for maneuvering. The difference between a 747 and a heat seeking missile ... sort of.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    33. Re:sad but inevitable by An+ominous+Cow+art · · Score: 1
      Nice writeup.

      The reason sloped tank armour replaced flat planes was because it prevents a thicker cross section to an incoming projectile, and not (as many seem to believe) because it has any deflection value against high speed projectiles. I know that you know this, but for anyone else: replace "prevents a thicker..." with "presents...".

    34. Re:sad but inevitable by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

      "I know that you know this, but for anyone else: replace "prevents a thicker..." with "presents..."."

      Thanks for the correction. Unfortunately, typos are easy to make in long posts, and tend to sneak past several proof-readings!

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
    35. Re:sad but inevitable by An+ominous+Cow+art · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't normally bother, but that particular one reversed the meaning of the sentence :-).

      Back in the 80's, I played a lot of wargames and was very interested in these things. It was very interesting to read a summary of what's been going on since then. Thanks.

    36. Re:sad but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There are two kinds of ship in the US Navy: subs and targets." http://www.exile.ru/2002-December-11/war_nerd.html

    37. Re:sad but inevitable by Weedlekin · · Score: 1

      "I wouldn't normally bother, but that particular one reversed the meaning of the sentence :-)."

      I'm glad you did, for precisely the reason you stated. This actively demonstrates why published material needs to be proof-read by several people.

      "Back in the 80's, I played a lot of wargames and was very interested in these things. It was very interesting to read a summary of what's been going on since then. "

      Everything I wrote is public information, so by definition it's not new (new stuff is classified). Most of the armour and penetration technologies I mentioned were already in place by the mid 1960s, and some of them (e.g. APDS, HEAT) were being used in WWII, although they've obviously been refined considerably since then.

      --
      I'm not going to change your sheets again, Mr. Hastings.
    38. Re:sad but inevitable by hypnagogue · · Score: 1

      ***Couldn't you use explosives to fragment the missile though?***
      Maybe. You'd have to preignite the explosive charge.
      Why worry about the timing? Just salt equatorial LEO with a hundred tons of buckshot. All you need the explosives to do is provide 2000 fps delta v for the shot in every direction.
      --
      Liberty you never use is liberty you lose.
    39. Re:sad but inevitable by An+ominous+Cow+art · · Score: 1

      Indeed I knew about much of what you wrote, but had never heard of 'laterally reactive face plates' for defeating penetrators. Also, to a high school kid in 1982, 'Chobham' was magic, since none of the game designers knew anything more than that it was some sort of composite armor (and its true effectiveness was completely unknown, and very classified I'm sure). ERA I'd heard of in the intervening years, on the Merkava (and some of the later model Soviet tanks, if I recall right). Oh, and I had never heard about the adhesive plastic to protect against spalling. So, I learned a bit!

    40. Re:sad but inevitable by Plekto · · Score: 1

      Of course, the best two options are not even that technical.

      1: Put a really big bomb in a satellite. The bigger the better, preferably nuclear. Line the case with 100-200lbs of fine graphite powder.(few inches thick) When the bomb goes off, the graphite, being pure carbon, is unaffected by the intense heat and you get a cloud of microscopic particles. If this was done at geostationary orbit, it would essentially take out every object, most notably, our communications and GPS. Without communications, we are no better off than we were in WWII. Probably worse because we have become so dependent upon technology. What doesn't blow up gets knocked around and sent in every direction by the blast. In Low orbit, this would essentially work the same, though you'd need a big target like the ISS to spread enough junk quickly enough.

      2: The easier way, though, is a laser. Just shoot the offending object down. Can't dodge, and can't be detected, either, if it's made correctly. Nice little 2-3 inch hole in the satellite. Bonus points if you hit something critical and it explodes.

      Eventually it will happen because of how dependent upon space based technology we have become. And we'll all be stuck on Earth for several decades. I know if I was a rogue state, I'd seriously think about it as a tactic to level the playing field somewhat.

      P.S. This is why Iran is so dangerous. They have the missiles. All the need is something to put into them. They've got little to lose by attacking our satellites if we invade them.

    41. Re:sad but inevitable by Valdrax · · Score: 1

      Your post is filled with so much delusional machismo and factual inaccuracies as to make me sick to look at it. It's a sad thing that people actually believe this kind of sheer propaganda.

      Or that the economy isn't tanking, We have the capacity to deal with North Korea and Iran even with Iraq.

      The GDP is growing. That much is irrefutable. Taken as an average, the economy is growing. However, this is not affecting the majority of Americans because the lion's share of the benefits are going to the wealthy. Wages are still pretty stagnant, the mortgage default rate is going up, the rate of new home construction is falling, and inflation in the cost of fuel and food (two goods that increase in proportion of budget inversely to income) is growing at a fast clip.

      These are reasons why people are still worried about the economy. The class divide is yawning wider and wider right now. Executive pay is at an all-time disproportionate high compared to workers wages. The number of US millionaires increased at three times the rate of the growth of the economy. In the meantime, the subprime lending market is in a crisis, and the cost of healthcare spending is jumping up at twice inflation while percentage of uninsured citizens is very slowly climbing.

      We don't have the ability to deal with North Korea or Iran except to bomb them into the Stone Age -- which will have absolutely no repercussions, I'm sure, in your fantasy land because we're just so badass. However, in the real world, a unilateral nuclear assault against North Korea or Iran would probably provoke military reprisal from China and Russia. In addition, the economic ramifications of such a move would see the end of the US economy if trade with China shut down and China focused its manufacturing base on goods for war instaed of goods for Wal-mart.

      We can't fight a ground war against Iran or North Korea right now, and any such attempt to attack either would have terrible ramifications for Israel and South Korea. But, hey, can't make an omelet without breaking a few eggs, right?

      We are in not more of a vulnerable position the we were before Iraq. We have more then half our military force free to do whatever if absolutely needed.

      Really? Then why are we extending tours of duty via stop-loss if we could just send some more troops to Iraq. What exactly are all those troops doing that so vital that we can't spare them for Iraq but could spare them for a two-front war... I mean a three-front war. You're forgetting Afghanistan, aren't you?

      Now, don't take what is happening in Iraq to mean it would happen anywhere else. The only Reason we aren't waisting Iraq is because we are trying to save it. If another country starts something, we aren't going to be worried about saving it.

      Oh, good. The only reason we aren't fighting a good old genocidal war is because we don't feel like it. I mean, there's no real long-term ramifications to just knocking over a nation and killing large chunks of its population and leaving it in chaos, is there? I mean, it's not like that's a recipe for terrorism or for religious or other dictatorial movements to sweep into power. A nation left in ruins always turns into a nice, democratic ally, right? Or maybe you're just of the opinion that we can just bomb the snot out of anyone who gets out line, if we'd just "man up" to it.

      Man, the world would sooooo be a safer place if people with the balls to commit genocide and leave countries in chaos would just step up to the plate and shut up all the sissy liberals out there. 'Cause America can just go it alone if we get some freaking testosterone, right?

      Psh. Violent military fantasies like this are why we've lost so much cache in the rest of the world. And you people wonder why anti-Americanism is on the uprise. "Why can't everyone see how wonderful we are? We should go kick their asses until they see the light."

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    42. Re:sad but inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correction: you "just need a mirror that is perfectly reflective at the laser's wavelength".

      Plenty of lasers exist which pass right through silvered (and other metal-leaf/liquid-metal) mirrors -- try finding something that reflects in the x-ray or gamma-ray spectrum.

      "Perfectly reflective" is also tricky, since even at wavelengths where mirror construction is straightforward, one can use very short-duration pulses to take advantage of nonuniformities in the mirror.

      It is exceptionally difficult to protect against a high-peak-frequency modelocked laser through reflection.

      Refraction and diffraction, on the other hand, or "plasma shuttering", can be amazingly effective against pulsed lasers. In fact the latter effect is a difficult design problem for civil researchers doing ultrafast chemistry experiments, however that is mostly because spatial-angle accuracy is often critical to these experiments, whereas precision slicing is probably not a military requirement.

  6. How can we clean it up? by nebaz · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What I'd like to know is what can we do to clean up the space junk that is already up there? I know eventually everything will burn up in the atmosphere, but that could take hundreds of years. Maybe I've watched a few too many Sci-Fi shows, but could they send up a satellite to look for some debris and zap it with a laser to vaporize it?
    What happens if we set of a nuke in the upper atmosphere? Will debris be vaporized? Would it cause other problems? Maybe I'm just being naive, but I think we need to think about this.

    P.S. Space Roomba?

    --
    Rhymes that keep their secrets will unfold behind the clouds.There upon the rainbow is the answer to a neverending story
    1. Re:How can we clean it up? by edgr · · Score: 1

      What happens if we set of a nuke in the upper atmosphere? Will debris be vaporized? Would it cause other problems?
      Yes, of course it would cause other problems. It would vapourise some debris, but also cause other debris by destroying a whole lot of the useful satellites up there.
    2. Re:How can we clean it up? by wizardforce · · Score: 5, Informative
      space tethers take care of larger space junk see here: http://www.technovelgy.com/ct/Science-Fiction-News .asp?NewsNum=264

      but could they send up a satellite to look for some debris and zap it with a laser to vaporize it?
      nice idea but think about how precise you would need to be to take out chunks the size of a pebble spaced out [they are not clumps anymore they drift] from anywhere with any efficiency without blinding higher satellites.

      What happens if we set of a nuke in the upper atmosphere?
      This: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_altitude_nuclear _explosion
      --
      Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
    3. Re:How can we clean it up? by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      Once space junk does become a real problem, we'll just make stronger satellites that can get hammered and survive.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    4. Re:How can we clean it up? by weighn · · Score: 1
      There's a bit of thought gone into that problem.

      Apart from the technology not being ready yet, we are faced with the usual trouble of how to get heavy hardware up there. Laser systems, magnets and giant Hoovers are not generally lightweight items. There's also the issue of whether we want to have nuclear stuff in orbit.

      --
      Mongrel News all the news that fits and froths
    5. Re:How can we clean it up? by MorderVonAllem · · Score: 1

      Why not just push it all towards the sun? It'd take a bit to get there but would burn up long before it got close. Like a big fishnet capture them and fire it off...instantly vaporized

    6. Re:How can we clean it up? by CNTOAGN · · Score: 2, Interesting
      In one of my Aerospace classes we looked at this problem for a semester. Several designs were discussed, and I don't remember the ones that were instantly discarded due to cost, material science inadequacies, and the ability to actually deploy the system.

      The obvious problems are: Space is big - lots of room up there the debris isn't all going in the same direction, they are hauling ass and can't be tracked A good portion of the debris isn't metallic - paint, plastic, even organic (the russians dumped their shit into space for 15 years)

      What we came up with was a 3 tier approach - very strong magnets placed on hardened satellites would act as beacons for roughly 40% of the space junk. Large expandable surfaces (think solar arrays x 100) that were carbon fiber based would act as sweepers catching maybe another 20%, and lastly for satellite protection, you would simply deploy many redundant systems and even dummy systems leading the satellites to catch the severe hits when it is a head on collision.

      One of my professors, who worked at the JPL for many years and retired to teach, said our approach was going in the right direction in what NASA and other space agencies were working on, but the simple fact is, there isn't a solution - unless we invent some magical substance that can take the extreme energies that are generated in 20000 kph impacts even with the extremely low masses of the particles.

      I remember when the Chinese did this 6 months ago - I said, "Thanks assholes - you just dumped a shit load of crap into LEO"

    7. Re:How can we clean it up? by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

      very strong magnets placed on hardened satellites would act as beacons for roughly 40% of the space junk. Wouldn't any magnet strong enough to catch a significant amount of junk also slingshot it into eccentric and less-predictable orbits? Not only that, but what wouldn't it decrease the orbital lifetime of other satellites that pass nearby?
    8. Re:How can we clean it up? by __aawkdb2598 · · Score: 1

      A nuke in the upper atmosphere?
      Holey Rusted Metal, Batman! That's the worst idea I've heard all week. And I've heard some doozies. Here.

    9. Re:How can we clean it up? by __aawkdb2598 · · Score: 1

      wizardforce [slashdot.org] already has a better response to your question.

    10. Re:How can we clean it up? by mythar · · Score: 1

      a sponge the size of texas.

    11. Re:How can we clean it up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      im no mathematician, but isnt the surface of the planet rather large? so then, isnt the lower and upper-most atmosphere yet even larger?

      wouldn't it take A LOT of debris to render such a large space impassable?

      and if "space" became impassable due to metallic debris, do we not invent lighter and lighter super-magnets every other day?

  7. Why is it shocking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    China shocked the world with its recent antisatellite missile test. What is so shocking about an obvious method of warfare? Did people really think that space could be a conflict free zone? Even if a country has signed treaties to ban use of such weapons, they still do it (or have the capability to do it within short notice after canceling their agreement).

    What -could- be considered shocking is that they'd litter their own skies with junk debris, thus making it harder for them (and everyone else) to use space in the future.
    1. Re:Why is it shocking? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      First off, no one knew that China was going to do it. Not even most of the politicians in China. They were as shocked as the rest of the world. There are many stories of Chinese ambassadors being called in to explain what happened with their only answer being, "I don't know." Normally they are briefed on these things so that when/if it happens they can give answers. Effectively, the military was able to hide this operation from the rest of the government. A rather frightening development from a country pushing 'responsible expansion'.

      Another major concern was derbies. This one incident has put more space junk in orbit then any other single activity. This has annoyed pretty much any country that has anything in space. Japan, Russia, India, EU, US, EVERYONE. The fact that they were willing to do something like that with out consideration for even their allies is more then a little concerning.

      Truth be told though, the actual shooting down of the satellite wasn't that big of a deal. They intentionally maneuvered an old weather satellite into a path that they could hit, then moved it again during the test because their launch missed. So it was more like of a 'rendezvous' operation then a 'shoot them down' operation. That is still no small feat, but it was hardly the resounding success that all the noise would lead you to think it was.

    2. Re:Why is it shocking? by delt0r · · Score: 1

      What -could- be considered shocking is that they'd litter their own skies with junk debris, thus making it harder for them (and everyone else) to use space in the future. Perhaps not. Both the former USSR and the US have tested anti-satelite missiles.
      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  8. Space junk? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why worry so much about space junk? Just push for affordable private sector space flight, and before you know it, you'll have soverterestrial salvage crews!

  9. I wonder if this would work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Take a sheet about a mile wide and hold it at all 4 corners and basically grab everything while you set up an orbit that basically covers a big part of the earth.

    Then when it's full, you tie four corners together, and drop it on china.

    Frickin' commies.

  10. War in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Better there than here.

  11. Ronald Reagan said no, began arms reduction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Reagan was a moderate who stopped the hardliners like his vice-president Bush from arming space. Instead he listened to his people and worked towards arms reduction which ended the cold war.

    He also didn't change his policy when he was shot by a complete looney.

    Where did all the moderates go? Even Obama seems like a hardliner to me.

    1. Re:Ronald Reagan said no, began arms reduction by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      Someone please mod parent funny.

      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    2. Re:Ronald Reagan said no, began arms reduction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So who started the arms reduction talks then, Bush? The guy starting the new space war? Did you know a single war satellite powered with Tritium falling to the earth could end civilisation as we know it? I guess thats fine for you if you already live underground and travel around in an armored car with filtered air.

  12. our feature presentation ... by weighn · · Score: 2, Funny

    it was a logical step to bring war to space as sad as that is. Look on the bright side, there's gotta be some great film ideas in these developments.
    a war in space ... a far far away star ... wars ... ok it needs some work, maybe some dialog, character development, kooky monsters for the kids. Come and see me in a few years.
    --
    Mongrel News all the news that fits and froths
  13. One page - karma whoring for fun by tqft · · Score: 1
    --
    The Singularity is closer than you think
    Quant
  14. Our duty is clear... by sharkey · · Score: 1

    To build and maintain those robots.

    --

    --
    "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
    1. Re:Our duty is clear... by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      China is taking over the tops of very tall mountains?

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
  15. USA tests by timmarhy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    so if china does it it's shocking, i wonder what it'd be called if you yanks did it

    --
    If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
  16. nothing like a bit of historical revisionism by weighn · · Score: 1
    What about how he left office with a budget deficit larger than the combined total of all of his 39 predecessors, the icy freeze in relations with the Soviet Union, sending military supplies to Iran in blatant contradiction of stated policy, having no clue about what his national security advisers were doing and the human rights abuses in Central America?

    But I guess he looks pretty good compared to the current fella.

    --
    Mongrel News all the news that fits and froths
    1. Re:nothing like a bit of historical revisionism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right on. Making a Saint out of Reagan is one of the sadder spectacles in modern politics. I mean, the "Most Popular President of Our Times" (according to all the pundits, anyway) had miserable approval ratings throughout his last year in office -- up until the revelations came out that he had Alzheimer's, at which point a lot of people decided that maybe he really wasn't aware of all the shit going on at the White House, and his final month's approval ratings came up just short of the last-term approval ratings garnered by Bill Clinton, the Man Whose Penis Destroyed America, according to the same pundits. But truth was he had been a demagogic right-winger since his days as governor of California. He was never the moderate he sometimes claimed to be, and anyone with half a brain knows what he meant when he said the Democratic party "left him" and not the other way around. (*cough!*civilrights*cough!*)

  17. Yellow Journalism? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And not because it is about China so don't assume the comment is rascist.

    Look it up in wikipedia.org and who owns the magazine.

  18. Covert wars on earth extend to space by jihadist · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Right now the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Eurasia and Asia are jockeying for who will be the next big power, the next Pax Romanum of the modern world.

    It's clear to everyone but Americans that the USA will become a cross between Brazil, Mexico and Russia, e.g. dysfunctional, within the next 25 years, and so a successor is needed.

    No one wants to acknowledge this little war of ours on earth, but we're getting ready with spying, infowar and infoterror units, military hacking units and of course virtual realities.

    Who's going to win? Whoever can stop playing pussyfoot and acknowledge the goal first, of course. My money is on the Chinese or Europeans.

    1. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by feepness · · Score: 1

      It's clear to everyone but Americans that the USA will become a cross between Brazil, Mexico and Russia, e.g. dysfunctional, within the next 25 years, and so a successor is needed.

      Wait a second. I was specifically told I would be receiving Social Security benefits. Is this not the case?

      Who's going to win? Whoever can stop playing pussyfoot and acknowledge the goal first, of course. My money is on the Chinese or Europeans.

      Ok, you had me up until there. I don't think the Europeans are fed up with global war for awhile.

    2. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by Cosmic+AC · · Score: 1

      Please explain the Brazil/Mexico part to me. Is it the Latin-Americans that are coming into the US?

    3. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by geekforhire · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "Who's going to win? Whoever can stop playing pussyfoot and acknowledge the goal first, of course. My money is on the Chinese or Europeans."

      I think the Americans have already acknowledged this point and are moving to do something about it...unlike Europe. It will be China or USA. I don't see any European country being a factor. That ship sailed 100 years ago.

    4. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by photomonkey · · Score: 1

      Let's go over a few things here:

      Pax Romana: A period of Roman history in which there was little forceful expansion, few wars, a decline in the size of the military and a pronounced growth of arts and culture.

      Although I agree that the US is on a path towards recession, you really think that the EU has it 'more together'? Germany has more than 10% unemployment, France is fighting their own labor war, the Brits are every bit as batty as the Americans and the Spanish and Italians are trying to figure out how to operate under their recently acquired first-world status. Who did I leave out here? The Swiss, generally neutral and happy in being filthy, filthy rich, the militarily insignificant Belgians (although I LOVE Brussels), and for that matter the militarily insignificant Portuguese, and the pacifist Low Countries. So much of Europe is, unfortunately, as industrially impotent as the US.

      I agree with you on the Chinese count. They have the industry, the resources and the 'new kid on the block' want to earn some street cred. They start playing extra nicey-nicey with the Middle East and we all have some real problems on our hands.

      However, so long as the members of the EU and North America remain vast numbers of mindless consumers of Chinese exports, continuing to develop the Szechuan and Cantonese Nouveau Riche, they have no reason to kill us all.

      When resources required for survival become scarce, that's when the Chinese will overpower America, and basically everyone else. Likely by that time, America will have killed itself in debt and civil war, and Europe will have returned to fascist city-states bent on annihilating each other for one reason or another.

      --
      Message contains 1 attachment: spam.gif
    5. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by HRogge · · Score: 1

      > Although I agree that the US is on a path towards recession, you really think that the EU has it 'more together'? > Germany has more than 10% unemployment, Old data... Germany is at 8.8% unemployment and we might hit 8% in a few years...

    6. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Please explain the Brazil/Mexico part to me.

      I'm not the guy you're asking, but I will try to answer.

      First of all, the U.S. federal government is looking more and more like a one-party state (with two factions), very much like the Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI) was in Mexico for many decades.

      And perhaps the reference to Brazil is alluding to the likelihood of hyperinflation in the U.S. thanks to the gigantic debt piled up by Reagan, Bush I, and Bush II.

    7. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by rcg40 · · Score: 1

      I think the Americans have already acknowledged this point and are moving to do something about it...unlike Europe. It will be China or USA. I don't see any European country being a factor. That ship sailed 100 years ago. Happy June 28th, the anniversary of the Treaty of Versailles of 1919. That treaty ended one sandbox fight between two of Queen Victoria's grandchildren. The winning grandchild and his friends got to divide up the backyard of the losing grandchild. We're still playing in that sandbox.

    8. Re:Covert wars on earth extend to space by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 1

      It's clear to everyone but Americans that the USA will become a cross between Brazil, Mexico and Russia, e.g. dysfunctional, within the next 25 years, and so a successor is needed.
      If you're trolling then, Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter. If not, do you honestly believe in 25 years Europe will be any less dysfunctional than the US? Perhaps you should take a look at the Paris suburbs for a preview of the next 25 years.

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
  19. Re:USA tests by ErikZ · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Today the United States blew up one of it's satellite creating an expanding cloud of debris. It's purpose was to show to the world it's military might and not to fuck around with them."

    Yeah, I think shocking would cover it.

    --
    Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  20. Re:USA tests by barry99705 · · Score: 1

    The 4th of freaking July!

  21. Re:USA tests by LabRat · · Score: 2, Informative

    we would call it history We yanks have had the demonstrated ability to shoot down satellites for more than 20 years.

    What's shocking about the Chinese effort is that most folks tend to underestimate them in the progress they've made in their space program. What they don't take into account is that they are able to stand on the shoulders of giants...they won't need nearly as much time to develop theirs as we did since most of the "hard work" of basic designs and calcs has already been done and is readily available in textbooks. All it takes is money and will at this point...something they have plenty of due to the trade imbalance and their desire to be taken seriously as a world power.

  22. Re:USA tests by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course. "We Have Always Been At War With Eurasia."

  23. my favorite cold war short story by jollyreaper · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I forget the name but it was written years and years ago. It's from the perspective of a young canadian watching the first return trip to space since WWIII. He thinks back to how things were before the war, the assumptions made around the globe. The US and USSR were so intent on mutually annihilating each other that no concern was given to any other nation, including the one most of the warheads would be flying over. The Canadians developed a secret WWIII plan. Special tunnels were carved into mountains, angled at the trajectories the missiles would be sure to follow over the pole. Gigantic atom bombs were created in a secret program. These bombs were placed at the bottom of the tunnels and the intervening space was filled with aerodynamic shrapnel. When the button was finally pushed and the missiles flew on their way, the Canadians pressed a button of their own. Their bombs went off and powered what were essentially giant shotguns, blasting debris into unstable orbits. The blast destroyed most of the warheads in the first exchange and continued to remove large fractions of each subsequent exchange. There was a bit of luck with bombers being more vulnerable to interception than prewar doctrine had anticipated with the net result being both sides running out of weapons before civilization was destroyed.

    So our narrator is watching the first rocket trying to get back into space in the twenty years since the war. The night sky is still full of shooting stars as the debris comes back down into the atmosphere. All but the highest of the pre-war satellites were destroyed and nothing new has been able to survive making it through the shrapnel cloud. The thought is that most of it will deorbit in the next hundred or so years. The hope is that armored rockets might be able to survive impacts. The narrator sees this new rocket struck by debris and destroyed, the astronauts lost along with it. Mankind survived the war but lost space in the process.

    The story probably isn't as scientifically accurate as one could hope but it still has emotional impact, an visceral truthiness.

    --
    Kwisatz Haderach
    Sell the spice to CHOAM
    This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    1. Re:my favorite cold war short story by apathy+maybe · · Score: 1

      I have read this too. I can't remember the name of it either... (that's the trouble with reading some much, the authors and titles tend to fade rapidly, even if the ideas stay).

      One thing you missed out of your review, the Canadians were vilified by everyone for doing such a thing as making the ICBM's useless. Humans lost space, and they lost their ability to use ICBM's as well. Shit happens hey.

      --
      I wank in the shower.
    2. Re:my favorite cold war short story by jollyreaper · · Score: 1

      One thing you missed out of your review, the Canadians were vilified by everyone for doing such a thing as making the ICBM's useless. Humans lost space, and they lost their ability to use ICBM's as well. Shit happens hey. I think you mean "Shit happens eh?" :)

      Yeah, damn good short story.
      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    3. Re:my favorite cold war short story by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      So THAT's where all those billions of dollars "wasted" during the construction of Montreal's Olympic Stadium (ex-Expos home, AKA, "The Big Owe") went!

  24. Debris only weapons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think the threat from a debris only weapon (small tungsten carbide balls/cubes?) is something a rogue nation can do cheaply .. no need to develop sophisticated technology other than being able to get up into space.

    1. Re:Debris only weapons by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      ***I think the threat from a debris only weapon (small tungsten carbide balls/cubes?) is something a rogue nation can do cheaply .. no need to develop sophisticated technology other than being able to get up into space.***

      At 25000 fps closing velocity, the material won't matter much. Dust bunnies, chicken feathers, or Twinkie fragments would all be about as devastating as tungsten carbide.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    2. Re:Debris only weapons by secPM_MS · · Score: 1
      I did strategic defense system modelling ~ 20 years ago. In addition to working on basing of land based missiles for the American Physical Society, I also considered anti-satellite weapons in the context of disabling orbital SDI platform systems. The cheapest weapons against relatively low orbital platforms was water-rich sub-surface very high yield (100 MT +) bursts. The first ~ 25 MT of yield has enough energy to displace the atmosphere in a 45 degree halfcone above the weapon. The energy above that allowed the lofting of megatons of debris into low space, where the orbital platforms would run into it at orbital velocities. A dirty, but cheap and effective technique. Of course, you don't want to be very close to the launching explosions. In the context of a nuclear war, such an approach is reasonable. Note that if you use borated water immediately around the device and have no uranium shell, the radioactive fallout would be modest, as there would be little neutron activation of the material and minimal actinide mass.

      A slower but non-radioactive approach was to place kilotons of debris into ~ equatorial orbit. The reconisance satellites cross this every 90 minutes at delta V's or 4 to 6 Km/sec. The launchers could be very cheap and have a high failure rate. As the platforms / satellites were destroyed, they would add to the debris mass. Of course the affected regions of space would be destroyed for all usage for a long time.

      Unfortunately, the debris problem will get much worse even without any intentional generation. There is enough material in orbit and enough existing debris that we are at the start of a (hopefully) slow exponential climb in debris density. NASA did a lot of work on this.

    3. Re:Debris only weapons by vtcodger · · Score: 1
      ***A slower but non-radioactive approach was to place kilotons of debris into ~ equatorial orbit.***

      That'll work of course. But won't it also take out your own surviellance satellites? And, of course if anyone knows you plan to do that, there will be a new generation of surviellance satellites in elliptical orbits that cross the equator at relatively high altitudes. No more sun-sychronous orbits of course, but I'm sure the spooks can work around that.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    4. Re:Debris only weapons by secPM_MS · · Score: 1

      We are already moving our satellites much further out. There isn't much being said about it in public, and I wouldn't expect much to be public. Those who know aren't talking and it appears that most of the others who could deduce the probable configurations aren't saying much either. There are reasons for this. Welcome to the world of shadows and mirrors.

  25. Future jobs? by Ub3rT3Rr0R1St · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Parting a little from the premise of the article's main idea, I can't help but point this out...

    With the mention of "space debris", making space unusable: Well, wouldn't this give us a brief glimpse into the possible job descriptions of the future? Crews of "space garbagemen" drifting off into the abyss to clean up this debris.

    It seems quite interesting to think about it. What new occupations will arise if space, or another planet were conquered and colonized? Would there be scores of men, eager to become a part of this great new frontier? Will they become unionized?

    We can only speculate.

    1. Re:Future jobs? by MasamuneXGP · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Funny you should bring this up. If you're interested in a quite realistic story about the eventual necessity of space debris collecting, you may want to check this out.

    2. Re:Future jobs? by AndyboyH · · Score: 2, Interesting

      mod parent up.

      Planetes is Science Fact in a lot of ways - admittedly the story sometimes goes into the zany (as is necessary to keep an anime about space garbage collectors fun) but for every zany episode, there's 2 or 3 serious, intelligent and sometimes even touching episodes where a lot of actual thought and science has went in - amazingly, it does work really well, and there's very little treknobabble or convenient inventions in sight.

      And, as you see in the anime, space debris does threaten lives.

      --
      Baka Drew
  26. It's not often on Slashdot... by symbolset · · Score: 1

    ... that I get to reference a nearly 50 year old article as insightful commentary on the issue of today.

    In the Feb 4, 1958 issue of The Atlanta Constitution noted historian Arnold J. Toynbee wrote about just this issue. He represented that the competition with china over space as if it were a game of football was a perilous and ill considered game.

    Now if some kind soul would just tell me where to get the text of that article I would be immensely grateful.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  27. Your pedantry is weak by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2, Funny

    it's much better to use something like -the Book of Moses- rather than -Moses's book-. However, that is still preferable to -Moses' book-.

    Actually, The Elements of Style expressly contradicts you. It states that one should use the form "Chris's book" unless the proper noun is a biblical persona. So "Moses' book" or "Jesus' book" is proper.

    --
    Your ad here. Ask me how!
    1. Re:Your pedantry is weak by Dr+Tall · · Score: 3, Funny

      I'm of the opinion that the Biblical personas already have it pretty good, being immortalized in the Bible and all. To give them and only them a special exception in a language they never even spoke is a bit much for me. I'll stick to "Jesus's" :P

    2. Re:Your pedantry is weak by 2008 · · Score: 1

      Good point. However, in the Elements of Style format we get to write great sentences like "After Jesus used the bathroom of Jesus, he used the toilet paper of Jesus to wipe the butt of Jesus."

      --
      I quit!
  28. Re:USA tests by flyingfsck · · Score: 0

    A US fighter pilot has accidentally shot down a LEO satellite some years ago with a regular air to air missile.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  29. debris by blindd0t · · Score: 1

    ...debris that could render space unusable for decades

    I can hear Farnsworth already: "Maybe we bring all that debris down with some sort of space elevator!"

    (I'm not aiming for this to be flamebait)

  30. The true genius of Reagan by jmorris42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    > Of course, it helped that the enemy that we faced was morally bankrupt
    > and couldn't have possibly won the cold war.

    Yup, but the genuis of RWR was in realizing that the way to defeat the Soviets was by breaking the taboo on SAYING that. Before Reagan 'all right thinking people' believed: (or were too afraid to disagree with in public)

    1. That socialism was the future.

    2. That the Cold War was either just a dick size contest between two 'great powers; equally bent on world domination' or just the death rattle of the West as we finally accepted the socialist future. Basically either a moral equivelence or the West as villian.

    Reagan was having none of that crap, he pronounced the Soviets as "The focus of evil in the modern world", "destined for the dustbin of history" and summed up the Cold Was simply as "We win, they lose."

    By actually saying these things it forced people to either accept it or argue against it. Because when the Cold War was just a dick size contest most of Europe could straddle the fence or even dangle their feet over the wall onto the Soviet side. But once Reagan called em 'Evil" those people had few choices. Argue that they weren't evil (a very hard argument to make) or admit it and say "yay evil!" Morally bankrupt people (the French come to mind) don't mind making a deal with the devil, so long as people don't KNOW they are making a deal with the devil, appearances matter.

    So yes, SDI, the defense buildup, the 600 ship navy, etc. helped financially bankrupt the Soviets. Arming the Afgans and causing the 'invincibility' of the Soviet military machine to come into question helped defeat the Soviets. But the biggest weapon was the Will & the Word. Ronald reagan's having the courage and clarity of moral vision to speak truth to power forced Evil to retreat.

    The current problem's solution is equally obvious.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
    1. Re:The true genius of Reagan by __aawkdb2598 · · Score: 1

      You say "The Will and the Word", capitalized. Have you read the Belgariad by David Eddings?

    2. Re:The true genius of Reagan by mgabrys_sf · · Score: 1

      re:". But once Reagan called em 'Evil" those people had few choices. Argue that they weren't evil (a very hard argument to make) or admit it and say "yay evil!"...

      Yay EVIL!

      Give me my silver jumpsuit and one miiilion doolllars, and sharks with FRICKIN LASER BEAMS ON THEIR HEADS!

      http://youtube.com/watch?v=Pozlp_wnkRk

    3. Re:The true genius of Reagan by G-funk · · Score: 1

      You do realise they weren't *actually* evil right? They just tried to do it a different way, and it didn't work out. Sure you see all the government oppression, propaganda posters, etc etc... No different to the US, just different people being oppressed and imprisoned, and different viewpoints being supressed.

      --
      Send lawyers, guns, and money!
    4. Re:The true genius of Reagan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
      > You do realise they weren't *actually* evil right? They just tried to do it a different way, and it didn't work out. Sure you see all the government oppression, propaganda posters, etc etc... No different to the US, just different people being oppressed and imprisoned, and different viewpoints being supressed.

      You've been living in post-9/11 America too long. Back in the 80s, at least within the borders of the Continental US, we really were pretty much the good guys. The Crown Jewels pretty much bear this out. We did some nasty stuff to a few hundred people within our borders; the Soviets did the same stuff to millions.

      Post-9/11 America, of course, totally different story. Andropov himself would have envied the surveillance state we ended up building. Putin's still a step ahead of us, but we've almost caught up. Makes me wonder who really won the cold war.

    5. Re:The true genius of Reagan by mollymoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The Soviet regime may have been evil, but that doesn't mean socialism is evil any more than Pinochet's being evil means capitalism is evil.

      --
      Chernobyl 'not a wildlife haven' - BBC News
    6. Re:The true genius of Reagan by inviolet · · Score: 1

      Well said.

      I went to 'friend' you, and saw that I had already done so. :)

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    7. Re:The true genius of Reagan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know... me working for lazy people's gain seems fairly evil to me. Maybe it's just Ayn Rand talking though.

    8. Re:The true genius of Reagan by Arterion · · Score: 1

      You mean working to the rich people can sit around and spend money all day? Yeah!! Oh wait! That's capitalism! Sorry!

      --
      "That which does not kill us makes us stranger." -Trevor Goodchild
    9. Re:The true genius of Reagan by Kattspya · · Score: 1

      Capitalism: 2 dictatorships: Chile and perhaps China after Deng Xiaoping. Wonderful progress in those two countries in spite of the dictatorships. Good progress in all other capitalistic countries which also happen to be democracies. Also don't forget that Pincohet actually bloody resigned without a counter revolution and left a country that is substantially better off than its neighbors. The jury is still out on China though.

      Communism/socialism: Cuba, CCCP, China under Mao and Cambodia. Hundreds of millions dead, destroyed economies and not one single democracy among them.

      To compare those two ideologies as if they were even close to each other is such bullshit that it makes me sick. Perhaps you should start offering excuses for national socialism as well. I mean it didn't kill more than 5-10% of the ammount socialism/communism did and according to you Socialism is about the same as capitalism. National socialism isn't half bad by those standards. If a theory has evil consequences every time it's implemented is it not evil by default?

      I was going to post this as AC but fuck it.

  31. Oh I know what it is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Peace makes for bad press and doesn't sell newspapers. At first there was a huge discussion in the media and such about putting weapons in space. So when Reagan began arms reduction talks after the Star Wars program was cancelled it barely made news...?

  32. Re:USA tests by clragon · · Score: 1

    so if china does it it's shocking, i wonder what it'd be called if you yanks did it
    they already have, back in 1985...

    This is probably just to justify the increasing military spendings in the US. If anything, the Americans should be celebrating that the Chinese is around 20 years behind in this field of weaponry.

    Please also look at this article I found:

    China's destruction of an obsolete weather satellite, similar to past tests conducted by the US and the Soviet Union, exploits this failure. Both China and Russia have for years urged the US to agree to a ban on space weapons and the use of force against satellites, but the US refused to negotiate, instead announcing a policy last year that boldly asserts US national rights in space.
    According to Wikipedia, too, China has been trying to negotiate with the US on banning space weapons. Yet the US would rather not do it.
    Of course, don't expect any of this to be on your local newspaper...
  33. Re:sad but maybe not inevitable by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 1

    ...their long standing rivalry with us on economic, political and cyberspace issues we very much need to watch this a lot closer than Iraq/war on terror because of the real implications of possible future conflict. Why are we assuming it's all about us? Could the Chinese have other concerns than trying to match the US militarily?

    If I were the Chinese leadership, I'd be more scared of my own people. Look at it from their point of view: the US does not seem to be able to get it's political leadership together to really crush someone since WWII. Vietnam, Korea, Iraq 1, Iraq 2, etc. ( Ok, we crushed Grenada, but they could have been taken out by the SWAT team from any major US city )
    But their own people are becoming more educated, wealthier, and more connected. They are slowly becoming a middle class, which as any historian can tell you, is the group that usually starts successful revolutions. The current leadership remembers Tienamin Square. The people who survived that are starting to reach middle age, and maybe thinking of trying again, but this time with better planning and better communications. If they start a revolution, it would sure be nice to be able to cut of all communication with the rest of the world in 24 hours.
  34. Han Solo said it best.... by martin_henry · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...when he said "Great, kid. Don't get cocky"

    --
    www.purevolume.com/martyd
  35. Far bigger problems by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Popular Mechanics looks at the implications of a conflict in space -- including debris that could render space unusable for decades

    If there is a conflict big enough to F-up space, I am sure that there will be far worse problems back home such that space junk would be the least of our worries.

  36. Re:USA tests by LabRat · · Score: 2, Informative

    Heh, no. There are no air-to-air missiles in the U.S. inventory with enough energy to do it "accidentally"...the AIM-54 (phoenix) would be the only one that would *remotely* have a snowball's chance in hell of making it that high, and you'd have to put the plane into a ballistic profile at max attainable altitude to do it..hardly an "accidental" scenario. Even then, there's no way the phoenix would have enough umph to go the additional 100+ miles straight up (I'd have to do the calcs to figure it's max altitude, and I'm feeling lazy tonight...but since it only has a max *horizontal* range of a little over 100 miles it's pretty clear that traveling 100 miles vertically against gravity isn't going to happen)...especially considering it only has aerodynamic surfaces for guidance so there'd be no way for it to maintain course at extreme altitude and would corkscrew wildly like an inflated balloon that's been let go to fly about the room while the solid booster was burning. Not to mention the F-14 (the only plane that carried the missile) doesn't have an optimal thrust/weight ratio that would provide best initial energy to the missile. The YF-12 was to carry a predecessor phoenix called the AIM-47 that had a bit longer range, but it's basically the same story besides the fact that both were very short-lived projects. The Soviets, on the other hand, had a couple of missiles that might have come closer...the ones that were designed to kill the SR-71. A decent write-up on several of these missiles can be found here though I haven't cross-checked all the facts for accuracy.

    Instead, I think you are referring to the ASAT tests conducted by the Air Force using a F-15 in the 1980's (I linked it in my post above, but here it is again: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-satellite_weapon ). That was a specially-made missile for the task..and its success was no accident.

  37. David Parnas: It didn't work. That's what. by BillGatesLoveChild · · Score: 2, Informative

    David Parnas, a Software Scientist, who formerly served on SDI Committees and who had no moral qualms about death and destricion ended up quitting SDI and debunking it when he realized the whole program wasn't plausible and a huge waste. It still isn't BTW, but politicians don't get science: billions of dollars regularly flushed down the toilet after it.

    http://klabs.org/richcontent/software_content/pape rs/parnas_acm_85.pdf
    http://www.wordyard.com/2007/01/05/parnas-sdi/feed /

  38. could render space unusable for decades by exp(pi*sqrt(163)) · · Score: 4, Funny

    What? All of it?

    --
    Doesn't it make you feel good to know that our freedoms are protected by politicans, lawyers and journalists.
  39. Re:USA tests by feepness · · Score: 1

    so if china does it it's shocking, i wonder what it'd be called if you yanks did it

    Decades old history?

  40. Re:sad but maybe not inevitable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wasnt aware the chinese public could privately build anything that the chinese government would consider worthy of building an anti-satellite defense system.

  41. Rhetorical Hairsplitting by DynaSoar · · Score: 4, Informative

    > so if china does it it's shocking, i wonder what it'd be called if you yanks did it

    Successful. If by "you yanks" you mean the US Air Force. They launched the Vought ASM-135A ASAT against a "retired communications satellite" from an F-15 in 1985 and killed it. Note this was an air launched weapon (the "could this be next?" question on the article), not rocket launched as was the Chinese weapon.

    If by "you yanks" you mean the US scientists who were at the time using the Solwind research satellite that the USAF actually shot down, I suppose it'd be called "what the fuck happened to our satellite?", until they figured out what happened. At that point it probably became "what the fuck did you do that to our satellite for?"

    Since the official story is still that they shot down a retired communications satellite, rather than acknowledging the actual kill (the answer to the above questions being essentially "What satellite? Shut the fuck up."), we've no way to know if they missed their target and the ASAT locked onto Solwind by mistake, or if they just took out a target of opportunity that wouldn't cost them anything. Both are disturbing in their own way.

    There's also no word on how much debris was created by Solwind's destruction. The US Space Surveillance Network knows they answer, but they're not saying. They are, after all, operated primarily by the USAF.

    Although the ASM-135A ASAT project was cancelled soon after the Solwind kill, there's no reason to expect the USAF stopped ASAT development. The ASM-135A was built from an AGM-69 SRAM and Vought Scout B fourth stage (a Thiokol Altair III motor). These had both been operational for more than a decade when they put the ASAT together. They could have used much newer and more powerful, already operational hardware the very next day, taking it off the active armament shelf, bypassing the messy PR problem of using a defense contractor directly and so having to admit they launched something. The Vought project proved the feasibility based on older hardware. The US military doesn't readily let go of a proven idea they deem necessary unless it has something better to replace it.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    1. Re:Rhetorical Hairsplitting by Brett+Buck · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This story is complete horseshit. The target was known weeks in advance. I was actually in the printer room of the ops complex shortly before the test and the guys who ran the spacecraft were certainly well aware of the situation and had all gathered around to watch.

              Moreover, the spacecraft was barely functional enough to maintain despin and a telemetry downlink (which was iffy at best because antenna had degenerated years before). No one was getting much useful data due to multiple failures in the payloads and the tape recorder. It was certainly no accident and there was no comsat that was ever intended or claimed to be the target. In fact, special spacecraft were constructed to act as targets but were never used after the program was ended - due to orbital debris concerns by the USAF. All the debris wa/is cataloged and tracked like all the rest.

      please see: http://www.svengrahn.pp.se/histind/ASAT/F15ASAT.ht ml for a correct, non-hysterical/paranoid story the way it really happened.

                Brett

    2. Re:Rhetorical Hairsplitting by DynaSoar · · Score: 2, Informative

      > This story is complete horseshit. [blahblah] http://www.svengrahn.pp.se/histind/ASAT/F15ASAT.ht ml

      Sure it is. Now. See also http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/asat.htm

      22 years ago it wasn't. Solwind was still downlinking data when it poofed. http://www.patricksaviation.com/wiki/F-15_ASAT I got the story from Astronomy magazine at the time.

      It was taking a lot of work to keep it synched, but USAF (its original owner) had not shut it down. http://franksblog.hoferfamily.org/2004/01/21/

      Usually very complete with their data, Vought is rather mute about it, naming the sat only by its designator. http://www.voughtaircraft.com/heritage/products/ht ml/asat.html

      Makes you wish they'd get their horse shit straight.

      I was wrong about one thing. The debris from Solwind was tracked and the data made available. 250 pieces. One almost hit ISS 8 years ago. http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/070124.htm So if the US says pieces of the Chinese test might hit ISS, we can assume they're correct because they have experience in these things.

      --
      "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
    3. Re:Rhetorical Hairsplitting by Archtech · · Score: 1

      "...the official story is still that they shot down a retired communications satellite..."

      I guess it *became* retired, right there.

      --
      I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
  42. Who's making a saint out of him? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even if he did invent the "I don't remember" defense from the drugs-for-arms Iran-Contra scandal which all the republicans use now. Do you remember Iran-Contra? Then how can you comment?

    If you don't believe he was a moderate, research the 1980 primaries. He ran as a moderate when Bush sided with the reactionary right wing. He chose Bush as his running mate because he knew it would cinch the elections and unite the republican party.

    Since Reagan, have you noticed all the vice presidents have been people nobody would ever want as president on either side?

    1. Re:Who's making a saint out of him? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you don't believe he was a moderate, research the 1980 primaries. He ran as a moderate

        Newsflash for the politically retarded: What a politician says he is during a campaign is not always what he turns out to be after he gets elected. I know, shocking, but true, and good old union-busting, race-baiting, red-scaring Reagan was far from moderate once he took office.

  43. Confusing Title..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

    So what is the story about? The United States' space arsenal, or the weapons tests conducted in outer space by China?

    There kinda is a difference between the two.....

    --
    Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
  44. United State's by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

    I read the article, and it failed to specify which state has united to build an anti-satellite weapons arsenal.

    Or perhaps the trained chimps who who are the editors/janitors for slashdot meant United States', but are too hampered by crippling illiteracy to know how to apply punctuation correctly so as to indicate plural possessive. That's OK though, because it's not like they're being paid to be editors, right?

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  45. Mod parent up - Funny by __aawkdb2598 · · Score: 1

    Come on guys.

  46. Re:USA tests by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    One big difference was the altitude of the test.

    The US ASAT test occurred at an altitude of approximately 530 Km - most of the debris re-entered withing 2-3 years.

    The Chinese ASAT test occurred at roughly 1400 Km - most of that debris will remain up there for decades.

    I don't really attribute this to a greater responsibility on the part of the US - it's simply the altitude band they chose to target due to the interesting stuff that flies there. On the other hand, I have no idea why the Chinese chose such a stupid target.

  47. Should have previewed... by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    s/"knows your there"/"knows you\'re there"/

    Mea culpa.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
  48. Nothing like a bit of historical forgetfulness by photomonkey · · Score: 1

    You're right that Reagan left office with the biggest deficit ever, but he also set in motion the policies (hint: NOT trickle-down economics) that birthed the boom-time 1990's.

    As for icy relations with Russia, after the Russian El Al bombing, Reagan had every chance to 'push the button' against Moscow, or if not go nuclear, start sinking ships and submarines. What did Reagan do? Talk to the Kremlin.

    Reagan was also one of the most staunch supporters of the Polish Solidarnosë movement, leading to the end of Polish dictatorship. The Poles, today, are talking about a Mount Rushmore-like memorial to those who spearheaded the movement. Reagan is to be enshrined there as well.

    Even Reagan's spending was marginally understandable in historical context. Because of MAD policies, the only way to avert nuclear holocaust was to out-spend the Russians and assure them that their destruction would be total and complete. And in doing so, Reagan served to stimulate the economy on many levels.

    He may not have been the best president, but he was certainly a good one; one of the best of the 20th Century.

    --
    Message contains 1 attachment: spam.gif
    1. Re:Nothing like a bit of historical forgetfulness by weighn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Reagan was also one of the most staunch supporters of the Polish Solidarnosë movement, leading to the end of Polish dictatorship. The Poles, today, are talking about a Mount Rushmore-like memorial to those who spearheaded the movement. Reagan is to be enshrined there as well. This had nothing to do with supporting the Polish Trade Union movement and everything to do with blocking Soviet influence in Poland. So please don't paint Reagan up as some altruistic leader. This ploy is exactly the reason that US troops face up against US weaponry and US trained militia in Afghanistan. Great policy!
      --
      Mongrel News all the news that fits and froths
    2. Re:Nothing like a bit of historical forgetfulness by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      You're right that Reagan left office with the biggest deficit ever, but he also set in motion the policies (hint: NOT trickle-down economics) that birthed the boom-time 1990's.

      Assuming you are correct, when his boom finally hit, it took a Democrat to actually use the boom to balance the budget (hint: every budget initially submitted by the Republican Congress did not balance the budget, Clinton had to shut down the government multiple times to get Congress to pass a balanced budget). If there was any plan (and I don't think there was, or else it was the most horribly executed plan in history), why would the Republicans fight against Reagan's plan by driving up the debt even in the most prosperous years?

      The debt hurts. If we had paid it down aggressively under Bush, rather than picking a trillion dollar fight in Iraq, our taxes would be lower and our buying power stronger. Instead, my money doesn't go as far when I travel and the world is faltering in confidence of the dollar. If it weren't for the large portion of the US T-bills owned by the Chinese Communists, we'd be having serious cashflow problems right now.

  49. Too much junk in LEO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    We need MEGAMAID!

  50. The need for -1, Wrong.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Since I already modded a different section of the topic, I'm forced to reply anonymously. I was thinking of just modding you as troll, but that would be incorrect - you're just flat out wrong.

    The economy isn't tanking, but the overall population isn't benefiting. Median salary has increased by less than inflation in the last 5-6 years, while average salary has gone up. Employees are taking on more risks by having to pay larger health insurance premiums with larger deductibles. What does this mean? The wealthy are getting wealthier, the middle class is getting squeezed. Not the epitome of a tanking economy, but it ain't pretty either.

    We don't have the capability of dealing with another war. According to the generals of the Army Reserve, we are at a breaking point with the troops - essentially, we can't stretch the troops any thinner than we are doing now without significantly lowering the quality of the overall force. Another war can only be fought by withdrawing troops from Iraq, which would mean we're essentially giving up on Iraq. Furthermore, just nuking a place is not a proper response either. You've apparently forgotten the saying "War is just diplomacy with other means." Nuking another country would mean we'd essentially be pariahs for the foreseeable future. Is that the price you want to pay? I suspect you'll be like every other warhawk who is now clamoring for a troop return because the war isn't working: too stupid to see the consequences of your actions, but not afraid of blaming others for when the chickens come home to roost.

    We're not defenseless. But we're also incapable of dealing with a significant challenge in another country - not unless we just pull up shop and move the troops elsewhere. And don't forget that those troops have been redeployed at least once, and are probably on an 18 months tour right now. Life is indeed not bad. But if you think that we can do anything to Iran outside of diplomatic pressure, you're just as ignorant as Bush was when he ordered the invasion of Iraq. And the consequences would be similarly disastrous.

    1. Re:The need for -1, Wrong.... by sumdumass · · Score: 1
      I was thinking about not replying to an AC on this subject. But what the hell.

      The economy isn't tanking, but the overall population isn't benefiting. Median salary has increased by less than inflation in the last 5-6 years, while average salary has gone up. Employees are taking on more risks by having to pay larger health insurance premiums with larger deductibles. What does this mean? The wealthy are getting wealthier, the middle class is getting squeezed. Not the epitome of a tanking economy, but it ain't pretty either.

      Inflation is inflated to some degree because of the Katrina relocations and such. This flooded the markets of several cities with labor and high unemployment causing the situation as your describe. However, the average wages aren't the only indicators of the economy either. Even with the housing bubble, we have low unemployment in several parts of the country which wasn't the case right after 9/11 and the 2 pr 3 year recession following it. We have a lot of things showing a great economy.

      As for people paying their own insurance and such, Well thats is the way it should be. And it is the way it was back when you could afford to goto the doctor. So what happened to raise the price? Ahh, the government got involved and started paying, and businesses start carrying insurance for their employees. Now, you cannot afford to goto the hospital without some sort of coverage. But seriously, Who's responsibility is it to take care of you? You mom's? Your neighbor's? your employer's? OR how about YOUR's. So I don't know why this is even coming into the debate unless your going to say that companied getting bulk discounts in insurance was a legit reason to underpay the employees. Think about that real good before replying to it.

      We don't have the capability of dealing with another war.

      We can deal with another war, we just cannot start it. By not starting it, it allows up to use weapons that we wouldn't think of using in an aggressive state. And any country who would get pissed because we used a nuke to stop an invasion probably deserves to the the next.

      According to the generals of the Army Reserve, we are at a breaking point with the troops - essentially, we can't stretch the troops any thinner than we are doing now without significantly lowering the quality of the overall force. Another war can only be fought by withdrawing troops from Iraq, which would mean we're essentially giving up on Iraq.

      Giving up on Iraq? Nah. Here is the problem. We might have to pull troops from Iraq to start another war, our defense is matched with stuff we wouldn't need to place troops in the ground for. But the situation in Iraq isn't near as bad as people are making it out to be. Well, it isn't good but you have to look at the motivators of why it isn't good. Right now it is because of all the opposition to the effort at home that is really opposition to Bush. You have democrats going over and countering the president, Pelosi blundered so bad, she committed the Israelis to something that they knew nothing about and had to publicly disclaim any connection to her. We have the president saying we will be there until you get on your feet and you have congress saying we are going to fight to abandon you. I have personally talked to men form the armed services and they say the attitudes towards the troops changed dramatically when this happened. It is because if we pull out, they know they will be killed by whatever waring faction that instills itself into power. They can't support us while we are talking about leaving them for dead.

      And on this same note, the entire situation in Iraq will turn around once Bush is out of office for two reasons. The first is, it will be someone else's war. The second is that all the opposition (or a major part of it)will simply stop. Most all the attempts to force us to do badly in order to gain political credit for the democrats will probably stop as o

  51. And what most of the world forget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is that those giant of yours were standing on the shoulder of a few genocidial mother fucker , otherwise named the Nazi. Ever heard of V2 and V1 ? The US and Soviet hand picked the scientist which were involved in those program and made their own space programs/ballistic missile programs out of it. Sure Von Braun after the fact said he was "forced" by the nazi but as far as we can tell between 1940 and 1944 he was not working on the "Vergeltswaffe" program with a revolver pointed in the back. He could very well have said that he would give up the program instead of entering the NSDAP (otherwise known as Nazi party). He could have given up way earlier. But at each point he continued. Which in my opinion make him as bad as his "masters" especially knowing the condition those stuff were built , tested. And what did he do after the war ? Continue working on wewaponry (primarly) this time for the US.

    The history of space and missile does not start with being on the shoulder of giant, it starts by being a really awful shame.

  52. Sense Reagan? No, Sense FDR! by HornWumpus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Truman was a surprise (though he was very low rated in his day). Sense then they have learned to select better (worse) V.P.s

    Johnson was another exception. Kennedy selected well, no one but a madman or Johnson himself would have considered assassinating JFK. But again lessons were learned, which is why no matter what happens Hillary will not be V.P. No one has that kind of death wish.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  53. If I get two hot blonds (one a clone) on the ship. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    I'll be happy to go around collecting space trash.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  54. Hardly shocking by kramulous · · Score: 1

    What's shocking about the Chinese effort is that most folks tend to underestimate them in the progress they've made in their space program
     
    Not shocking, nor were the Chinese ever underestimated from Australia's point of view. Our stock market has been mirroring China's more than the US markets for quite a while (read strongly in the past 3 years) now. Our current wealth has been generated by supplying them with raw materials, with a very high demand (they consume faster than we can supply) for the last 10 years. Our universities have had agreements in place for well over ten years now.
     
    At what point did it become shocking?
    --
    .
    1. Re:Hardly shocking by LabRat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It wasn't shocking to me personally...but it was shocking to a lot of folks in the West who fancy themselves "experts" in the capabilities and motivations of the Chinese...including the authors of the article cited. The same pundits who think China is still a land of rice farmers and bicycles when it is in actuality becoming quite the economic and military powerhouse paid for in large part by the generosity (or stupidity?) of the completely insane trade policies between China and the U.S. Personally, I'm surprised it didn't happen sooner...technologically it's not that difficult for a nation that has already figured out ICBMs and, as I stated previously, such an accomplishment really only takes money and will since the rocket technology is well-known and suitable guidance systems are practically commodities these days. I think the timing was chosen to coincide with a time of American weakness around the world...to usher in an era of "Here we are, take notice" by the Chinese.

      In the end, it's more shocking that it is shocking to anyone...shows the level of ignorance that permeates the folks whose job it is to actually know about this kind of stuff. But that seems to be a re-occurring theme as of late here the States...*sigh*

    2. Re:Hardly shocking by kramulous · · Score: 1

      Come on, chin up. I'm sure there were plenty of people that knew about the China agenda and a lot more. Probably knew this stuff before the Chinese did. Personally, I believe it is the fault of the journalists and media companies in not keeping their populations up2date. They do love to report the alarmist view. But don't worry, ours are just as bad, if not worse.

      So, the United States of America is currently having to re-evaluate global positioning tactics. There is still more than your fair share of intellectual property being generated. You just have a president that isn't exactly helping national pride, or that pride emanating worldwide.

      Still way ahead of what Australia could ever dream ... *sigh*

      --
      .
  55. United States' by Belacgod · · Score: 1

    Learn how to use a gorram apostrophe. This is pathetic. States is plural, the headline should read "The United States' Space Arsenal."

    1. Re:United States' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude... it's United State's arsenal. Do you say the United States are stupid for going to Iraq? Or do you say the United States is stupid for going to Iraq. Ladies and gentlemen, the war of Northern Agression is over and the United States is one country now. Thank you.

  56. Eh? United State? by Arimus · · Score: 1


    Which new country is this we're talking about?

    The United State's means the United State owns x not the United States' owns x

    Anyway it was China that shot the sat. down not the good ole Uncle Sam... I know I don't like Bush's policies but I'd rather trust the US with space weaponary than China. (Though not by a fat lot....)

    --
    --- Users are like bacteria -> Each one causing a thousand tiny crises until the host finally gives up and dies.
    1. Re:Eh? United State? by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 1

      Which new country is this we're talking about?
      Apparently Texas finally seceded and the Lone Star State is now it's own country, with its own internal unity.
      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
  57. No by RMH101 · · Score: 1

    A 0.3mm paint fleck nearly penetrated an armoured glass window. A ball bearing sized projectile is going to penetrate *any* conventional armour. If you were able to launch a spaceship that *did* have 10m thick armour in order to resist a ball bearing, then an attacker could use a bunch of projectiles the size of an apple. And so on. The point is that it doesn't scale: an attacker always has a huge advantage and it's easy and cheap for them to outgun you with something that'll put a hole in your assets...

  58. Debris cloud is a weapon too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People talk about the possibility of space debris as an unforeseen consequence of blowing up things in space. This is possibly a narrow focus. Currently, the US has a lot more to lose than China (or any other country) if space should suddenly become unusable. The possibility that most of the readers here are missing is that China may have been using this weapon in part to see how much junk they could generate from a single kill. In this respect, one of their contingencies may be "scorched space" policy where, if they know they cannot achieve dominance in space during a military conflict, they can now actually calculate a number of satellites that have to be blown up in order to level the playing field by choking it with debris.

  59. US "defense" spending compared to China's by Archtech · · Score: 2, Informative

    "...by the rate their military spending is going it wont be long before they actually out pace us [if not already]..."

    That turns out not to be the case. http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2007-06-11-mili tary-report_n.htm

    Note that the USA spent about $529 billion on armaments in 2006, whereas China spent nearly $50 billion - maybe 9 percent as much, 9.5 percent at most. When you bear in mind that China has about four times as many people as the USA, the disparity becomes even more glaring. At least the USA no longer spends more on arms than the rest of the world combined. In 2006 it contributed a mere 46% of the world total.

    As one reader of US Today's article ("The Mick") points out: "The United States spends $40 per person on defense for every $1 China does. I don't see why China's spending is such a big deal particularly because it not only has a large land mass to defend, but it borders on near-lawless Afghanistan and a few near-lawless former members of the Soviet Union".

    --
    I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
    1. Re:US "defense" spending compared to China's by ender81b · · Score: 1

      To be fair China's "official" military budget is horseshit. The military owns, in whole or part, a huge portion of the Chinese economy and derives allot of its income from profits from those businesses.

      Is it $529 billion? No. But it's a helluva lot more than $50 billion.

  60. *As heard from the sky* by jfekendall · · Score: 1

    "We are the Borg... Life as you know it has ended... Your purpose is now to service us... Your technological and biological distinctiveness will be added to our own... Resistance is futile..."

  61. battles lost by doug141 · · Score: 1

    Top dictionaries are listing a pronunciation of "nuclear" that rhymes with secular, so people who mispronounced it can now point to a respected dictionary and be vindicated.

    Same way "gigabyte" got a hard G.

    Same way "dissect" got a long I.

    Same way every word changed, and why we don't speak like we are from hundreds of years ago.

    Putting an apostrophe on the possessive of "it" is rampant on the internet. It'll lead the way for a change in the apostrophe rule. The new rule will be "do whatever you want, grammar is not important and we love your expression of individuality."

  62. One possible outcome... by billdar · · Score: 1

    Maybe all the high-energy debris will protect the earth from a killer-meteor better than an Areosmith-inspired Bruce Willis.

    --
    I am billdar, and I approve this message.
  63. WHY do we "save" it? -- Re:sad but inevitable by J_Omega · · Score: 1

    The only Reason we aren't waisting Iraq is because we are trying to save it. If another country starts something, we aren't going to be worried about saving it. We won't be worried about rebuilding it.


    What you say may indeed be true, but it nicely steps around WHY the US would do this.

    The US/Bush is trying to save Iraq for the US's/Bush's own benefit, not Iraq's. Over the past few years, more troops have been installed there, and more military infrastructure has been assembled. The US has basically controlled the Iraqi government to the point that the US will NOT be asked to leave. WHY? The US wants a major military base in continual operation in the middle East. (Saudi Arabia allowing the US some airfields doesn't cut it.)

    So... we (the US) wouldn't "save" Iran because we've already pumped an insane amount of time & money into our new base in Iraq. We wouldn't "save" North Korea because the US already has military might through bases in South Korea.

    1. Re:WHY do we "save" it? -- Re:sad but inevitable by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Man, you need to lay off the evil conspiracy shit.

      First, the US isn't waisting Iraq because we were the aggressors and we picked the terms of the war. It wasn't necessarily a immediate self defense as it was a strategic defense. This is the difference between Iraq and Iran. Now, if we march into Iran, or any other country, it will likely be the same. But if it is the direct response to an attack or invasion attempt, it is waisted with no holds barred.

      Distinguishing between the intent of the operation and the response of an attack is usually the first thing "after the fact ArmChair Generals" get wrong. I was responding to the notion that we couldn't defend ourselves. Defense has various stages and a direct defense is different then defense through attacks or preemptive defenses. It all depends on how immediate the threat is.

      Now, I have noticed that you prefixed the US with Bush when ever possible. I think you are stupid for even mixing that into the conversations. Bush didn't declare the war, congress did. Bush might be directing it, but congress had to have seen something that kept it to our benefit. In fact, they still do because the democrats have been attempting to use this as political leverage for a while now and were attempting to force a surrender by the US. It hasn't happened for more reasons then just Bush. If your not willing to let your hate for bush go long enough to be intellectually honest about the entire situation, then you shouldn't be attempting to discuss this. War and men and women Dieing are not cannon fodder for political meandering.

      I think it is interesting about how ignorant you are of the situation yet you think it is about having a military base. We don't need a base to wage war. Noticed I said ignorant and not stupid. Ignorant can be fixed, stupid can't. Maybe once this president is gone, you will see what is really going on. Maybe not, yet maybe you will see but not understand what it means. I'm banking on all of the above. I seriously suggest you look at it without Bush being in the picture.

  64. Re:USA tests by PPH · · Score: 1
    Hey! We're working on it. We've got a kinetic kill vehicle capable of (occasionally) knocking down a target equipped with a homing beacon. Give us (or rather our contractors) a decade or so and a few hundred billion dollars more and we'll be able to hit something that dosn't want to be hit.

    Perhaps China rigged their test to panic us into accellerating our defense spending in hopes of causing our economy to collapse. Where have I heard this one before?

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  65. I totally misread that headline... by catdevnull · · Score: 1

    I nearly sprayed coffee through my nose when I misread the headline as "Space Arse"

    --

    I might know what I'm talkin' about, but then again, this is Slashdot...
  66. Except... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I like your style, the condescension is palpable.

    The problem in that "United States" is SINGULAR not plural as you seem to think.

    Should you wish to retract your previous rant, I will allow you the opportunity to do so before I draw attention to the fact that you went through the process of constructing a particularly nasty rant that was, in fact, completely wrong.

    It's ok, I'm sure you're not the first person to say something so stupid.

    Here are some links you can read so you know why you're wrong, and can therefore avoid saying something stupid like this again in the future.

    www.bartleby.com/68/32/6232.html
    http://www.economist.com/research/styleGuide/index .cfm?page=805687
    www.uwm.edu/Dept/English/wcenter/WCO4/handouts/set vi/SETVI3AP.html

    Like I said, it's ok. You can't be expected to know everything, although you should know what the fuck you're talking about if you're going to rant like you did. Too bad you didn't know what the fuck you were talking about, huh? Now you look like a pedantic ass who is too stupid to be correct when he's engaging in pedantry.

    1. Re:Except... by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      I like your style, the condescension is palpable. Thanks, I've worked hard to develop it,

      The problem in that "United States" is SINGULAR not plural as you seem to think. ... Like I said, it's ok. You can't be expected to know everything, although you should know what the fuck you're talking about if you're going to rant like you did. Too bad you didn't know what the fuck you were talking about, huh? Now you look like a pedantic ass who is too stupid to be correct when he's engaging in pedantry. "United States" is singular. Application of punctuation to indicate possession, however, is not based on whether the noun it applies to is a two word collective noun or a single word, it is based on whether the last word ends in an 'S'. The rules for punctuating "States" to indicate possession are the same as whether the word "United" is there or not. If you exercise a little reading comprehension, you'll note that I never said "United States" was plural, I said that the "editors" do not know how to apply the rules for plural possessive, based on the fact that they changed "States" to the singular "State". They were operating under the plural/singular rules, not me. Knowing the rules would have gotten them the right punctuation (even if it was for the wrong reason) as they refer to the larger (and more applicable) rule of "Possessives Ending in S get only an apostrophe at the end".

      Talk about being a pedantic ass...
      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  67. Re:Star Wars, SDI BS what broke the USSR bank? by OldHawk777 · · Score: 1

    No it was not Ron's SDI plan to defend earth from us
    No it was not FDR's Lend-Lease plan for EU
    No it was not JFK's Domino/Containment plan you
    No it was not Bush's Fear-oppression plan for US
    YES! It was George C Marshall's "European Recovery Plan" [AKA: The Marshall Plan]

    Folks it really is all about economics and education to create or waste for the very-long-run.

    The past few to many decades we have waste economics for prophet (I know) and greed, but not for democracy and freedom from fear of our leaders and the demons they create in the world and themselves.

    --
    Unaccountable leaders are masters, and unrepresented people are slaves. How do US and EU fare?
  68. you aren't seeing the bigger picture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We can't just go nuke our enemies, lol, "as if". If we alienated China, our economy would tank and we probably wouldn't be able to afford keeping our nuclear stockpiles ready to go for very long...

    The world is changed. We DO care about fixing up other countries, think of WW2. The days when one country "wins" by raping and sowing salt in the other guy's fields are long past, at least for respectable first world countries.

    Do you have any idea how much it would cost us to clean up a mess as a result a large nuclear explosion? Let's say that we nuked Iran, a very large country, much bigger than Iraq. Europe would turn against us, as would likely China, not to mention that every moderate Muslim would turn against us.

    It would be like shooting the crook leaving your house with your laptop, but doing so through your own foot.

  69. No it shouldn't you stupid fuck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "United States" is a singular, compund noun. It is NOT plural, as you seem to think.

    Why would you be so fucking stupid as to attempt a grammar troll and GET IT WRONG?

    Kill yourself you loser ass, not able to use Google, attempting pedantry but too stupid to pull it off moron.

    Jesus idiot, there are a half dozen other posters who have pointed this out and given links. How fucking stupid are you that you post this, which is wrong, without bothering to check if it was already addressed?

  70. Why are you so stupid? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "'fucking adult'

    How out of touch with reality are you?"

    I'm an adult, I use adult language. How fucking pathetic are you that you post AC to defend yourself?

    And this

    "Jebus, try not to fly off the handle into Coulter-mode at the slightest jab."

    Way to verify the "I'm a stupid liberal so anyone who doesn't insult Bush must be a Conservative" stereotype. You nailed it.

    I see why you posted AC though, I wouldn't want stupid comments like that to be attributed to me either.

    Kill yourself.

  71. Idiots at PM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By their definition (and what they imply) the Space Shuttle is a huge ASAT. Wake up PM, every satellite can be an ASAT so is it neccesary to say XSS-11 could have been an ASAT? What about DirecTV? Is it a GEO ASAT? Oh no! Who will stop them?!

    Morons...

    P.S. I'm glad to see that Orbital has made their Pegasus rocket into a Single Stage To Orbit. Are the wings for added maneuverability on orbit?

  72. National debt balooned under Reagan by number6x · · Score: 1

    You are correct to doubt your memory. Ronald Reagan went on the largest spending spree of any president since FDR in WWII. We will be paying the interest on that debt for decades to come. Hopefully we will pay the principal off someday.

    Remember that when politicians say things lik 'I didn't raise your taxes'.

    If they increased the national debt, they increased your taxes. They may not have increased your tax rate, but they increased the amount you owe, as well as the amount of interest you will have to pay.

    If you look at how Republicans and Democrats spend your money, I mean really spend not what they say they are doing, you will come to two conclusions very quickly:

    • Democrats spend way too much of your money.
    • Republicans spend even more.
    1. Re:National debt balooned under Reagan by Thundersnatch · · Score: 1

      Republicans spend even more

      Yes, but Democrats spend money on things like the Department of Education, which has done nothing to stop (or has perhaps accelerated) a tremendous decline in the quality of public schooling in the US. This despite a $69.4 billion budget in 2006, with budget that increases faster than inflation every year. Thank you, Jimmy Carter. And the program is politically un-killable, because it is "for the children".

      It's amazing, but Democrats can't seem to figure out that throwing money at social problems almost never solves them. Federal Social programs are just as much "pork barrel" as a defense contract, except the beneficaries are bureaucrats and unions instead of Lockheed-Martin. Giving money to a homeless drug addict on the street suprisingly doesn't magically get him into rehab. The addict just buys more crack.

      At least the Republicans waste money on cool thinks like submarines and missles. They cost a lot, but they have at least some value (even if they're only sold a decade later on the arms market). Have you ever seen video of an MLRS lauch? As P.J. O'Rourke would say, "Now that's the way you waste taxpayer money!".

  73. Look at the Bright Side by StaticEngine · · Score: 1

    Sure, we may not be able to launch into LEO for a while, but hey, Earth would now have Pretty Rings!

  74. fixing the space debris problem is easy by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

    Just change the gravitational constant for the universe, sheesh -Q

  75. Illudium PU-36 Explosive Space Modulator by Froboz23 · · Score: 1
    Trivia tidbit: The "department" for this story is the Q-36-explosive-space-modulator, a reference to Marvin the Martian. If you check the wikipedia article on Marvin the Martian, you'll see that the correct name for the explosive is the Illudium PU-36 Explosive Space Modulator.

    The original reference to "Uranium PU-36" changed to "Illudium PU-36" in subsequent cartoons. Some people mistake the sound of "PU" for a "Q" and say "Q-36." However, the weapon's name is derived from the letters "PU" which coincidentally is the atomic symbol for Plutonium.

    I have always pronounced it as "PU-36", but I had to double check it with the infallible wikipeda, just to be sure.
    --
    Take off every Sig. For great justice.
  76. Obviously that works for the War on Terror too. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

    The current problem's solution is equally obvious.

    Yeah. So, umm, how's that reckless military spending and labeling of our enemies as evil going for us so far?
    Any chance that we're going to bankrupt our enemies or get everyone to flock to our side against them soon?

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  77. A bad oversimplification. by Valdrax · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In some cases, the good are the strong, and the strong are the good. If that frightens you, maybe you're not a part of either group.

    If you aren't frightened by people that confuse strength with righteousness, then you almost certainly can't be counted amongst be the righteous. Might doesn't not make right, nor does it prove it.

    The winner is not always the just, but history will do its best to remember them that way.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  78. I'll see your Ayn Rand. by Valdrax · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know... me working for lazy people's gain seems fairly evil to me. Maybe it's just Ayn Rand talking though.

    I don't know... me letting people starve in the street 'cause I consider them lazy seems fairly evil to me. Maybe it's just Jesus talking though.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  79. In Soviet Union, space arsenal examines YOU! by catmistake · · Score: 1

    no... that's not quite right...

  80. Re:USA tests by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Us and the Ruskies have been there and done that already. (We even have missiles in the currently in the arsenal for this task, if needed.) I think the difference is that we learned quickly to make anti-sattellite missiles that do the kill on a return trajectory as where China's does the kill on outbound. So instead of polluting the orbit with buckshot, our systems have the upper atmosphere quickly mop up the mess. But then again, fouling the orbitals probably isn't a big concern to China, while U.S. and Russia have quite a bit of their own respective assets that could be hurt by a "dirty" anti-sattelite weapon. And of course the U.S. is probably alone in having a working system to capture enemy sattelites intact, but it's impossible to deploy secretly, ridiculously expensive to operate, and would have little to gain in doing so.

  81. Re:USA tests by Shadowlore · · Score: 1
    Old news. History. Take yer pick.

    It was done during the Cold War - and nobody blinked because the reasons were obvious and accepted: the Nuclear Cold War involved heavy space based or space transiting resources. From ICBMs to famed orbiting lasers and orbital nuclear launch facilities.

    Now, the reason is not so obvious or clear. Is China engaged in a cold war with the US as the USSR was? Is China planning to have the capability to launch ICBMs a the US or carry out a large scale open war? Are they planning to attack Taiwan and want to be able to threaten CONUS in an attempt to cause the US to break it's agreements and defend Taiwan?

    Are any of those reasons acceptable?

    "But the US might...!". And so might anyone else. Someone perhaps with more incentive. Rational thought shows that the likelihood of the US attacking China is infinitesimal barring some major action by China - an act of war.

    Most of the defense against ICBMs is space based. Presumably China does not currently have the resources and capacity to meet the US in terms of nuclear ICBMs. If the US has an even partially successful ABM system (and we do), that amplifies the "need" for more missiles if you want to be able to make a first strike. If the US could knock down 20% of say Russian missiles, and China has 20% or less, the odds are pretty good a Chinese first strike would be ineffectual in terms of damage.

    So there are two ways to counter this. One is to build more missiles, the other to build an Anti-ABM system you take out immediately prior to first strike. The reasons for the US developing ASAT were clear and stated, and the two matched. China's claims do not match the systems developed and deployed, nor is the "threat" clear, nor stated to be.

    Now, some people say that China developing a combination of ASAT and increased ICBM capability is in counter to hypothetical US aggression. Yet most of the same people deplored the US increasing it's capabilities during the Cold War, and called for the end of such efforts after the end of it. A touch of hypocrisy? Or is it Alzheimers perhaps? Compare this to the more recent US response: more defense. More ABM capability, while still decreasing ICBMs.

    How many people know about China's increasing stockpile and garrisoning of offensive weapons off the coast of Taiwan? By October of last year China had garrisoned some 900 CSS-7 missiles opposite Taiwan in the straight. And that number is still increasing at a rate of 100 per year. Of it's 1.4 million military personnel, 400,000 are deployed to the military areas opposite Taiwan. Anybody care to tell me what military threat Taiwan is to China?

    It is "shocking" because everyone seems intent on keeping the underlying reasons out of the public eye. On this issue the Mainstream Press and the Pentagon are unwitting co-conspirators. China is the darling of the Press these days, so they don't want to expose the ugly underbelly of it, and the Pentagon doesn't want everyone spouting off about China as a threat. Not yet anyway. China is erfectly happy with this unwitting arrangement:

    "Observe calmly; secure our position; cope with affairs calmly; hide our capacities and bide our time;
    be good at maintaining a low profile; and never claim leadership."

    - Deng Xiaoping's "24 Character Strategy"

    China still claims much land that is not currently theirs. Significant parts of Japan, India (IIRC ALL of India), and various other SoPac neighbors. "Unification" is an explicitly stated purpose of their military upgrades and strategy. For the last two decades, China (The PLA at least) has explicitly stated it believes in pre-emption (i.e. first strike) for anything. They say they are only developing for their stated military objectives. While it is true from a literal standpoint that their stated objectives do not say they would initiate a war or offensive campaign, they do include "territorial unification".

    So with the combination of "territorial unification", a

    --
    My Suburban burns less gasoline than your Prius.