Slashdot Mirror


Will The Next Generation of Spacecraft Land In the Water?

Reservoir Hill writes "Work is progressing on the design of the new Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV), the next generation of NASA spacecraft that will take humans to the International Space Station, back to the Moon, and hopefully on to Mars. One major question about the spacecraft has yet to be answered. On returning to Earth, should the CEV land in water or on terra firma? After initial studies, the first assessment by NASA and the contractor for the CEV, Lockheed Martin, was that landing on land was preferred in terms of total life cycle costs for the vehicles. Getting the CEV light enough for the Ares rockets to be able to launch it, and therefore eliminating the 1500 lb airbags for landing has its appeal. A splashdown in water seems to be favored."

56 of 318 comments (clear)

  1. Thought about something like this by pkadd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Something i used to think of as a kid was: How about using the propulsion you get from the water for initial thrust of the spacecraft? Sort of like the effect you get from releasing a bottle of air under water, couldn't that be utilized in a cheap way of getting that initial upwards thrust, or would it be too cumbersome to make a vessel that is light enhough for it to actually float?

    1. Re:Thought about something like this by 427_ci_505 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'd imagine that would be insanely hard to control even if it was possible.

    2. Re:Thought about something like this by gentimjs · · Score: 2, Informative

      You'd spend more energy getting the buoyant "rocket" down deep underwater and keeping it there, and then it probably wouldnt 'bound' more then a few feet out of the water. Check out a video of a submarine doing an "emergency surface" then consider if it would help get the submarine into space. Interesting idea, but No-go.

    3. Re:Thought about something like this by pkadd · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, when people say something like "hard to control" i thing this: 1% chance of it actually working as intended 99% chance of it failing horribly 100% chance of it still looking incredibly awesome :D

    4. Re:Thought about something like this by sholden · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes you wouldn't get enough velocity to make a it worthwhile, but spending more energy on the ground (well under the water...) doesn't matter. If you could come up with a way to use ten times as much fuel (for a given total weight) to launch a rocket than the standard approach, but have that fuel be used on the ground and not be lifted by the rocket it would be used in a flash (it's what a rail gun launch would be after all) - assuming you manage to not turn the people inside to smears on the wall...

    5. Re:Thought about something like this by Shakrai · · Score: 3, Funny

      1% chance of it actually working as intended 99% chance of it failing horribly 100% chance of it still looking incredibly awesome

      Adam? Is that you?

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    6. Re:Thought about something like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Seeing as how this is slashdot, he's probably either a glass twice as large as needed type of guy or a guy with a diminutive problem.

    7. Re:Thought about something like this by IdeaMan · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually the submersion idea is brilliant. The piece missing is the launch tube.
      Build a 30 foot diameter tube 2 miles deep, with a piston on the bottom. Put brakes on the piston that will limit the acceleration down to about 5G. Empty the piston of water, lower spacecraft onto piston, when you launch just let the piston rise. The thousands of PSI of water pressure should give the spacecraft a significant amount of speed by the time it reaches the surface, light off rocket at a higher altitude than normal so the nozzle can be optimized for a higher altitude burn. I'll work on the math for this.

      --
      They ARE out to get you simply because They are in it for themselves and they don't care about you.
    8. Re:Thought about something like this by jackpot777 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Isaac Asimov used that idea in The Martian Way (short story, Martian colonists solve their water shortage problem by going to Saturn and bringing icy ring chunks back). He had a 'micropile' heat some of the ice to steam, then have it shoot out at extreme pressure. As acceleration = force / mass, and the force was great, the acceleration was equally as great, and the constant acceleration got the colonists back to Mars in a matter of weeks.

      To use that to escape Earth gravity, though ...think of the power of a chemical rocket, and now try to duplicate that with steam!

      --
      Shiny. Let's be bad guys...
    9. Re:Thought about something like this by IdeaMan · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The setup:
      30 mile long tube buried at a shallow angle, say 5-20 degrees. This lowers the pressure requirements at the bottom end of the tube.
      Pressure (every 33 feet per 14.7 psi) Depth = sin(20)*length in feet = 24,100 psi
      Acceleration = 5G, d = 1/2*a*t^2, therefore T = 44.5 seconds.
      V = Acceleration * time, therefore V = 7110 ft/s
      1 m/s = 3.28 ft/s
      Delta-v to low orbit is 8600 M/s, or 28000 ft/s

      So this method will give us 1/4 of the delta-v needed to get to low orbit.

      If an ocean contour could be found that somewhat matched the angle involved, the tube buoyancy and alignment problem could be solved by anchoring it to the sea floor.

      12G at 50 miles, 20G@30 miles give 14kft/s (1/2 low orbit delta-v)
      50G @ 50 miles gives 29kFt/s, more than enough for LEO if you ignore drag.
      This class of launch tubes would be suitable for refueling geo-synch shuttles.

      62 mile tube @ 10 degrees (similar idea as the 100km launcher proposed for Antarctica) gives 25kPSI, 9k deltav @ 4 g.

      I'm not sure if it would be easier to build a straight tube in Antarctica or in the Ocean.
      One other problem is that once you surpass the speed of sound in a medium you no longer receive thrust from it. Speed of sound in water is 1482 m/s, or 4862 feet/s, so you would need to start pumping a hot gas, either rocket exhaust or hot hydrogen into the tube once you passed 4.8kft/sec.

      --
      They ARE out to get you simply because They are in it for themselves and they don't care about you.
    10. Re:Thought about something like this by Bombula · · Score: 2, Insightful

      HEY! Put a warning on that accursed, godforsaken, nightmare-causing site in your sig, you bastard, you almost got me fired!

      --
      A-Bomb
    11. Re:Thought about something like this by mapsjanhere · · Score: 2, Interesting

      there is a serious flaw in this set-up: To do this you need a tight seal between pug (aka spacecraft) and tube. This works fine at low speeds, but once you get into the area of the speed of a high speed bullet, lets say 3000 ft/s your friction will kill any further acceleration. And you also have to account the ability to feed water into your tube, at 10 ft diameter and 3000 ft/s you need to get 6,700 m^3 of water into that tube - every second. That's two and a half Olympic size swimming pools. Oh, and after "lift-off" you better get your engines going fast - otherwise that aircraft carrier weight of water moving at 3000 ft/s behind you might catch up and shoot you straight out of the air.

      --
      I'm aging rapidly, I bought a new game and had no idea if my machine was good for it.
    12. Re:Thought about something like this by IdeaMan · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are absolutely right.
      Instead of using water as the propellant directly, have the water press against a piston that compresses hot hydrogen.
      The seal issues have been addressed for the HARP gun:
      http://www.dunnspace.com/harp.htm
      http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/sharp.htm
      http://www.astronautix.com/lvfam/gunnched.htm
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Light_Gas_Gun

      I don't know if heat buildup is more of an issue with a longer, lower G force tube.

      --
      They ARE out to get you simply because They are in it for themselves and they don't care about you.
    13. Re:Thought about something like this by TempeNerd · · Score: 2, Informative

      This group is trying the next step from that - they want to use a balloon to rapidly accelerate to the edge of the atmosphere and passing beyond (like a whale jumping from sea).

      http://www.jpaerospace.com/ascender175.html/

  2. Simple Answer by gentimjs · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Re: "Getting the CEV light enough for the Ares rockets to be able to launch it," .. the solution is simple .. buy/license/whatever the Energiya booster from the ruskies instead, and you'll have much more weight to play with.... OH sorry, I forgot, the Energiya isnt build in the correct congressional district... my bad.

    1. Re:Simple Answer by ianare · · Score: 4, Informative

      The planned Ares V has a mass to LEO of 130,000 kg, the energia has 'only' 88,000 kg, so the solution isn't that simple. Besides, any weight savings on any system is obviously an advantage when the cost per kg is so high.

    2. Re:Simple Answer by p0tat03 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There are some very good reasons for building an all-American rocket beyond mere politics. It has everything to do with developing domestic expertise in the field, and encouraging R&D in the country for these technologies, which can only serve as a foundation for developing even more.

      Beyond what the other posters have mentioned, brute forcing the problem is also rarely a good solution. Instead of spending tens of million each launch to lift a huge, heavy spacecraft into orbit, its weight should be optimized, both for the sake of proper engineering and for the sake of cost cutting. I won't presume to know the specific technical difficulties of a project as complicated as the CEV, but there's a balance between more lift power and reducing spacecraft weight.

    3. Re:Simple Answer by GreggBz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How is this modded insightful? Just because it poo-poos America? The Energiya is not in production. We don't know if the larger (theoretical) models are worth anything. They may be based on prior proven technology but so is the Ares. There are certain to be major engineering differences (fuel, electronics, avionitcs) that we don't have the support infrastructure for. And lastly, even though NASA has a pretty good history of cooperating with foreign agencies in space, what is wrong with building something ourselves, giving Americans jobs and bolstering our economy (and those of foreign contractors) in the name of space exploration?

      I understand it's not all black and white, and that there is a big fat contract waiting for Lockheed Martin, but I can't see contracting a big rocket from the Russians as anything but more trouble. At least if we fail, we are the only ones to blame.

      If a big Energiya was ready to go, reliable and we had the support systems to deal with it, you'd have a point.

    4. Re:Simple Answer by vought · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Apollo program that sent men to the moon had a much better safety record than the Shuttle, which lost two crews, one on takeoff and another on re-entry. It also had a much smaller crew module and in part, was built to scare the crap out of the Soviets.

      Part of the goal with Ares is to use what worked from the man-rated Shuttle program (inexpensive and expendable main tank, reusable, recoverable SRBs) and what worked from Apollo (updated and enlarged crew module) with refinements that mean the vehicle will be flexible and have room for growth. Saturn V was a nice rocket, but didn't meet these goals. You have to build a whole new one every time.
    5. Re:Simple Answer by timster · · Score: 2, Informative

      Obsolete means it's just not a very good rocket compared to what can be built today. As for the parts, sure there are custom parts, but there are plenty of off-the-shelf parts also, and even the existing plans for manufacturing the custom parts call for the use of off-the-shelf parts or equipment to build.

      Here's a quote from http://www.space.com/news/spacehistory/saturn_five_000313.html:

      "There is no point in even contemplating trying to rebuild the Saturn 5. Having a complete set of Saturn 5 blueprints would do us no good whatsoever. True, we would still be able to bend the big pieces of metal fairly easily. But they are not the problem.

      "The real problem is the hundreds of thousands of other parts, some as apparently insignificant as a bolt or a washer, that are simply not manufactured any more. Everything would have to be redone. So a simple rebuild would be impossible. The only real answer would be to start from scratch and build anew using modern parts and processes. Yet another immense challenge!"

      --
      I have seen the future, and it is inconvenient.
  3. Water or land? by GenKreton · · Score: 4, Informative

    As someone who worked partially on the CEV, it has been decided. it is in the requirements that Lockheed Martin furnish a vehicle that is capable of both. One of the design limitations now is that it must actually be stable in swells of up to 14 feet, which are not uncommon in the cold North Atlantic - emergency abort scenarios land all launches there during early lift-off stages. There are huge problems with ill-effects of ocean landings for crews and they really are looking to avoid it, but even with parachute and pillow systems, they are looking at potential damage,

  4. Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by trolltalk.com · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "One if by land, two if by sea ..."

    Seriously, why not just do the moon mission, then pick up the landing bags as the ISS on the way home. Better yet, why not have a specialized vehicle just for orbit-to-moon-and-back, and transfer to a special-use re-entry vehicle at the ISS?

    1. Re:Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by 2short · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why involve the ISS (besides politics)?

      Just put whatever you want to rendezvous with in whatever orbit is convenient, it won't go anywhere.

    2. Re:Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Seriously, why not just do the moon mission, then pick up the landing bags as the ISS on the way home.

      Because that would actually _increase_ the mass boosted towards the moon by a factor of a thousand of more. (It takes a lot of fuel to brake into Earth orbit, and yet more to change orbital planes to match up with the ISS.)
       
      The next poster posited simply leaving the required module in a convenient orbit not at the ISS. This is a little better as it only requires increasing the mass boosted towards the moon by a factor of seven hundred or so.
    3. Re:Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by 2short · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, sending it "randomly flying" is exactly what I proposed.

      You put the package in whatever orbit is convenient (as opposed to the ISS, which isn't convenient), and you know its position as surely as you know that of the ISS, or any other sattelite. Space navigation doesn't involve any "finding", ever.

    4. Re:Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by delta407 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Why not pick up the landing gear on the way back? Let's investigate.

      Recall: Apollo's flight plan was an initial burn to get into earth orbit, another burn to leave orbit on course for the moon (trans-lunar injection), another burn to get in orbit of the moon, and another burn to leave orbit on course for earth (trans-earth injection). That's it. They didn't return to orbit after leaving the moon. They left the moon, coasted for a couple days, hit their entry interface, then hit the Pacific.

      Why? Going back into orbit requires adding two more burns: one to enter Earth orbit, and another to leave it. Adding a rendezvous with the ISS (or any other floating payload) means an additional 1-2 burns to match the orbital planes, an additional burn to raise or lower your orbit, and God knows how long until the orbits of the two vehicles sync. Look at the space shuttle: even with matching the orbital planes and scheduling launch for an ideal rendezvous profile, it takes them 36-48 hours to catch up with the space station.

      Trans-earth injection is complicated enough without adding all that. Extra burns means extra propellant, which means extra weight, which is exactly what you're trying to avoid. Not to mention, each of those steps is another opportunity for failure, and how do you abort if you don't have landing gear?

      This is why they are Rocket Scientists(TM).

    5. Re:Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by Robonaut · · Score: 2, Informative

      When returning from the moon, a spacecraft has significant excess velocity. Entering back into an Earth orbit (like rendezvousing with the ISS) means that the CEV would need to make a burn to slow down. This would consume a significant amount of fuel (that very well could weigh as much or more than the airbags). Instead, the Apollo CM and the CEV are designed to plunge directly into the Earth's upper atmosphere, literally burning off the excess velocity through atmospheric drag. This requires a larger heat shield, but lowers the mission complexity and fuel the spacecraft needs to carry.

    6. Re:Theyy could always ask Paul Revere ... by Mercano · · Score: 3, Informative

      Based on my understanding, you're going to "break into earth orbit" upon return anyway; it's a matter of whether you keep breaking and re-enter, or orbit a bit first..

      No, not really. The Apollos didn't preform any breaking maneuvers on the way back to Earth, they just hit the atmosphere at full speed and scrubbed off their speed there. If you enter shallow enough, you can burn off more speed in the upper atmosphere before you start getting into the thicker air, and a sufficiently durable heat shield turned out to be lighter then the fuel that would have been required to slow the ship down. In fact, even orbiting spacecraft generally burn as little fuel as possible to get themselves just bellow orbital velocity and then do the rest as atmospheric breaking.

      --
      #include <signature.h>
  5. I understand NASA is on a short budget... by explosivejared · · Score: 4, Funny

    So... I don't really understand the whole disposable crew idea. It would make sense to reuse the crew rather than feeding them to sharks after re-entry, or did I miss something.

    --
    I got a catholic block.
  6. Bad Summary? by 2short · · Score: 2, Insightful


    "landing on land was preferred in terms of total life cycle costs for the vehicles."

    Landing on land is cheaper, check.

    "eliminating the 1500 lb airbags for landing has its appeal"

    Landing on land lets it be lighter, check.

    "A splashdown in water seems to be favored."

    Huh? WTF? Am I supposed to go RTFA or something?

  7. surface of earth is mostly water by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's much easier to hit the water, and in theory you should be able to get a softer landing on water. However, if you land in the middle of the south pacific, it's a bit more difficult logistically to pick you up from there and get you home, vs. landing on some runway with roads connecting it to the regular highway system of your homeland.

    --
    stuff |
    1. Re:surface of earth is mostly water by GenKreton · · Score: 2, Informative

      They want to land on land for recovery reasons and to save the crew the effects of being stuck out in the ocean in a waving buoy. With that said, you hit the nail on the head, finding land and aiming at it is significantly harder. That's why both systems are in the engineering specifications NASA gave us, and will be built into the final design, tentatively. The system for placing the capsule at a good location is not one of the design challenges facing Lockheed Martin's contract.

  8. Probably both, it turns out by Thagg · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Lockheed, the Orion prime contractor, has expressed significant reservations about carrying the heavy airbags to the moon and back -- those 1500 lbs can better be used in other ways. On the other hand, there shouldn't be a problem with the weight on the more common missions to the space station and low-earth orbit, and the ability to reuse the capsule will be far greater if they put it down on land.

    The speculation in this week's Aviation Week was that they would have bolt-on airbags for the earth-orbit flights, and would recover those missions on the land, and would recover at sea for the moon-return missions.

    The reentry profile for the moon missions is really quite amazing. Recently Aviation Week had an article about it, describing how to get all the capsules to recover to the same spot on Earth. Do you recall way back in the Apollo days, they always described the narrow re-entry corridor? Too steep and you'd burn up, to shallow and you'd skip back into space forever? Well...

    For Orion, they plan to use a skip back into space to bleed off some of the speed coming back from the moon, and to align the craft to re-enter at the correct place to land where they want, off the coast of California. It's an incredibly audacious plan, with tolerances that have to be measured in tenths of a degree of entry angle. Very cool.

    Thad

    --
    I love Mondays. On a Monday, anything is possible.
  9. What is the downside? by BlueParrot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    To be honest in principle I don't see the downside of a water landing. The craft has to have a sufficiently low density to float, which could increase air resistance, but a certain degree of air resistance will be needed for re-entry anyway, too little of it and the majority of the slowdown will occur in lower ( i.e denser ) parts of the atmosphere. You want to decelerate over as long a distance as possible tor educe the requirements on the heat-shield. I guess you must test the whole thing for water-compatibility, but if it is to deal with vacuum, intense heat, and solar wind, I would imagine it should be able to deal with some water. I suppose there may be investment costs associated with developing new technology for water based landings, but it does seem like it should be the easier and more fault-proof way to do it, so I wouldn't be surprised if it will work out cheaper in the end.

    1. Re:What is the downside? by CompMD · · Score: 2, Informative

      Its not the water that is a problem, its the salt in that water. You run into accelerated corrosion problems with exposure to ocean water.

  10. One vote in favor of landing on land by timeOday · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Gus Grissom:

    "Following the splashdown of "Liberty Bell 7, the hatch, which had explosive bolts, blew off prematurely, letting water into the capsule and into Grissom's suit. Grissom nearly drowned but was rescued by helicopter, while the spacecraft sank in deep water. Grissom maintained he did nothing to set off the explosives to blow the hatch, and NASA officials agreed. The craft was recovered in 1999 but there was no evidence of how the hatch had been opened. However, later experience showed that the force necessary to trigger the initiator for the explosive egress system would leave a major bruise, and Grissom had no such injury."
    Actually I'm not sure this episode has any direct relevance to the present. Just thought it worth mentioning that the first manned space missions did land in water.
    1. Re:One vote in favor of landing on land by Hemlock+Stones · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, the first manned missions landed on land. The Soviet Union (now Russia) landed and continues to land all of their manned missions on land. If they can do it surely we can too.

  11. What I don't get by BorgDrone · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What I don't get is the continued use of rockets. Is going straight up (the brute force & ignorance method) really the most efficient method of getting up there ? Isn't an approach like SpaceShipOne uses more efficient in terms of amount of energy needed per kilo of launched mass and thus costs ?

    1. Re:What I don't get by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you're talking about air launch, it only gives you a minor improvement, and if you're talking about a heavy launch vehicle like Ares V, you're not going to find an aircraft capable of launching it. The Orbital Sciences Pegasus rocket launches off of an L-1011 aircraft, and has a fairly small payload.

      Remember that most of your energy is spent with energy in the direction of the orbit rather than going straight up, and thus why orbital flight is an order of magnitude more difficult that the suborbital flight that SpaceShipOne did.

    2. Re:What I don't get by Robonaut · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In theory, yes you are right. A couple things to remember however:

      1)SpaceShipOne was sub orbital (did not reach orbital velocities) and launching into orbit would require a couple orders of magnitude more energy/fuel.

      2) Everything else being equal, a spaceplane will cost more to develop than a rocket (aluminum tubes vs a plane airframe capable of hypersonic flight). Development costs are rather significant for spacecraft as the number of units produced is very low.

      3) It has been tried before, rather unsuccessfully: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rockwell_X-30

  12. Lack of understanding. by LWATCDR · · Score: 2, Informative

    "eliminating the 1500 lb airbags for landing has its appeal"

    "Landing on land lets it be lighter, check."

    The airbags are used for landing on LAND.
    They are not flotation devices. Any thing that can fly is going to light enough float on water if it doesn't leak.
    The airbags are to reduce the impact.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  13. no! by Scrameustache · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm 111% confident that it cannot land in water.

    Because it's water, not land, DUH!

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  14. Skip water recovery weight by Chairboy · · Score: 4, Informative

    For the folks saying "use the ISS!': Won't work. When coming back from the moon, the approach speed is far too high to enter the orbit that the ISS or any other reasonable future space station is in. The braking is done through friction as the spacecraft enters the earth's atmosphere, and provides MUCH more delta-v than would be feasible by using rockets.

    To use the ISS, the spacecraft would need to perform a complex aerobraking maneuver (basically, a partial re-entry), then have the fuel needed to circularize its new orbit so that it can rendesvous with the ISS. By the time this is done, the design for the capsule is far heavier than the 1,500lb penalty that airbags impose.

    My idea, make the water landing a known 'capsule loss' scenario, the same way it is with the Shuttle. If things go _so wrong_ that a water landing is unavoidable (say, launch failure) then design the capsule for quick-egress after a water landing. Airplanes ditch in water and people have time to get out before they sink. My Piper Cherokee will float long enough for me to climb out onto the wing, and for a real shock look at the survival training that helicopter passengers go through in the military, that's some pretty intense worst case scenario stuff.

    With Rogallo steerable parachutes, landfall should be available at all times except the first few minutes of launch. Skip the airbags, make the capsule so it stays afloat just long enough for egress, and train the astronauts on how to get out fast.

  15. SpaceshipOne * 30 by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 4, Informative

    Spaceship one was good for getting to the 'edge of space' and back. Being in orbit is a different thing. As a general rule, it takes 30 times as much energy to get into orbit as it does to just get up there. ( the number varies with altitude, of course, but 30 is a good back-of-the-envelope approximation ). The energy that has to be bled off when coming down is roughly 30-fold. So spaceshipOne is not even close to being able to do it. It requires new materials and/or a new design. Or stick with the high maintainence and unpleasant failure rate of the shuttle.

    Or you can stick to the simple way of doing it with rockets and parachutes.

  16. Stupid Answer Re:Simple Answer by Brett+Buck · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Oh, good lord. What Energiya would that be? The prototypes corroding away somewhere, never having been launched? There is no such thing as an Energiya, aside from old photos with a Buran attached, and some blueprints. You'd do better to start from scratch than with Energiya plans.

          And of course, you overlook the many domestic alternatives that *actually exist*. Like EELVs (Delta and Atlas). Or those that could be restarted since they just quite making them a few years ago (Titan IV - roughly equivalent to a Saturn 1B).

            Brett

  17. A stupid simple answer by Criton · · Score: 2, Interesting

    A brain dead simple answer would be to use direct launcher http://www.directlauncher.com/ as the crew launch vehicle. Direct launcher makes use of existing four segment srbs and existing RS68s plus it lifts 50tons in it's most basic form vs 25 for Ares I mass problem solved and 2 billion saved on Constellation. The only answer I can think of right now is the fire Griffin it's the only way to save the project. That or kill Orion outright and give all the budget to COTS type programs. I see no hardware for Orion yet but spacex is now building and testing falcon 9 and Dragon.

  18. Constellation, Orion, Ares, and the VSE are Dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    While Netcraft may or may not confirm it, the real truth is that this program is in a death spiral and is well on its way to cancellation, just like every major NASA program to replace the shuttle over the past two decades (SEI, NASP, X-30, X-33, X-38, OSP). For the gory insider details, read the recent GAO report, or the forums at nasaspaceflight, or the postings at spacepolitics or the rocketsandsuch blog. To sum it up, Ares I doesn't have enough performance to lift the Orion, so systems are being discarded off Orion to try and get its weight down - including safety and backup systems, and systems critical to containing operational costs such as the airbags for touchdown on land. NASA thinks they have a 65% chance of getting this system operational by late 2015 if they get enough funding, but the congressional GAO is recommending that NASA postpone the program indefinitely until its problems are resolved.

    Sadly, NASA already have existing medium lift (Delta IV, Atlas V) and heavy lift systems (STS via DIRECT SDLV) that could be modified for launching crews at a cost that would be a fraction of the Constellation plan. But heckuva job Mikey G at NASA won't budge from his over-budget, behind-schedule, and under-performing vision. In the process, he's going to end NASA's manned space flight program for at least the next decade while we recover from this debacle, and he's throwing away our once in a generation chance for a new launch system that will enable manned exploration of the Moon and Mars.

    Check out the directlauncher.com site to see what NASA should be doing, and once you've realized how maddening this situation is, write your congresscritter about it.

  19. Uh, because that's completely infeasible? by p3d0 · · Score: 2, Insightful


    Seriously, why not just do the moon mission, then pick up the landing bags as the ISS on the way home.

    The moon and the ISS are orbiting in planes 45 apart. It would require a prohibitive amount of fuel to get from the moon to the ISS. They'd pretty much need another fuel tank and another pair of solid rocket boosters to get there.

    Traveling in space is not like traveling on the ground. On the ground, if you want to go somewhere, you only have to move to its position. In space, getting to a given position is the easy part; it's getting to the right velocity at that position that is hard.

    For instance, if you want to go from Earth to the Moon, you can do it with no fuel whatsoever if you don't care about your starting or ending velocity: a Hohmann transfer orbit lets you coast to the Moon and back without any effort at all. The hard part of the journey is that when you're in low Earth orbit, you're not going the right velocity to be on a transfer orbit; and then when your transfer orbit gets to the Moon, you're not going the right velocity to land there. You need a burn at Earth and another one at the Moon to get your velocity right.

    This is not like travel on the ground. In general, you can't just accelerate your car, shut off the engine, and coast to your destination. On the ground, travel is dominated by friction and obstacles. Distance is what costs. The fuel required to get up to highway speed is tiny compared with the fuel required to travel even one mile. Because of that, we talk about miles per gallon. If you want to calculate your fuel cost for a trip, you base it on how many miles you'll travel.

    In space, there are no friction or obstacles. You get up to the right velocity, coast for some time, then slow down again. The fuel required during the coasting phase is insignificant compared with the fuel required to change velocity. To plan the fuel cost for a chemical rocket trip, you base it on the total "delta V", or total change in velocity. Distance and duration don't figure into the calculation.

    Changing the plane of an orbit is one of the most expensive maneuvers there is. With some exceptions (like sun synchronous orbits), there are no shortcuts: you just have to burn enough fuel to cancel your velocity in one direction and gain velocity in the desired direction.
    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  20. Actually... by p3d0 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Having taken the time to write all that, I'm not sure it's true now. I think it takes about the same fuel to get from the Moon to pretty much any low Earth orbit you want, including the one with the ISS in it.

    Too bad. I thought that was a pretty good explanation, except that it's wrong. :-)

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
    1. Re:Actually... by AJWM · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually your explanation is mostly right -- you just omitted the fact that the gravitational force of a large body (the Earth, Moon, or Jupiter for outer solar system missions) can be used to change velocity (either direction or speed) too, as can aerobraking.

      Approaching the Earth from the Moon at a slight angle, ie aiming toward one pole or another rather than the equator, lets you use Earth's gravity to help change the orbital plane. You still need to shed a lot of velocity to establish Earth orbit, but can use some of that to change the orbital plane.

      Going the other way (ISS to Moon) you have the opposite problem, you have to add energy to change the orbit and add more to extend that orbit to the Moon, and that all requires fuel. So ISS may be okay for returns (except that it's easier to just do a direct entry anyway) but is in wrong orbit for departure.

      --
      -- Alastair
  21. Breaking the water by AlpineR · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There was a MythBusters episode about this. They were testing the myth that a construction worker falling off a bridge into water could soften the impact by throwing a hammer to break the surface tension. Their conclusion was that the change in force of impact was neglible.

    I don't think it's the surface tension that gets you, it's the inertia. Still, the mobility of water means that you're decellerating from 200 MPH to zero in 0.2 seconds instead of 0.1, so it's a big reduction of force.

  22. Re:Landing on a soft target by geekoid · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Houston, we are ready for approach"
    "Roger that. Approach the bean bag landing zone from 1 8 niner."
    "Copy that Houston."
    "You should see the Lava Lamps lighting your approach."
    "Thank you Houston, Please prepare the after flight debriefing bong."
    "grgrgrle"

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  23. Re:Goes without saying by geekoid · · Score: 2, Informative

    Anywhere, if you hit it hard enough.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  24. Missing Option: Cowboy Neal by iamlucky13 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Can't we simply vote for it to land on Cowboy Neal?

    Sorry, had to get that in there. I couldn't help but feel the summary was asking us for our uninformed opinion.

    It sounds to me like you're talking about the requirement that has been with the system from the beginning that it be able to ditch in the ocean, regardless of the nominal landing profile. What NASA is trying to decide now is if it should normally land in the ocean and face the added recovery hassle and risk, or on land and need to accomodate the added 1500 pounds of weight plus more complexity (it will either have to discard the heat shield in flight, which may be a falling debris hazard, or have dropout panels for the airbags to deploy through). Water landing is a requirement. Dry landing is an option.

    Until just recently, NASA and Lockheed had moved ahead with plans for touchdown on land. However, there's been a lot of discussion over the past two years about the need to keep the weight down. They already reduced the diameter of the capsule by half a meter to keep the capsule within the weight budget. I think also the service module is above its original weight targets, and either the SRB or the second stage performance is below its original goal.

    In the discussion section of the article, someone suggested doing an air capture, much like how the Air Force used to retrieve film capsules from the Corona spy satellites by snagging their parachutes and realing them in. However, I don't think he realized that those capsules weighed a few dozen pounds, while Orion will weigh around 8.5 tonnes. NASA also planned to do mid-air capture of the Genesis capsule, which was carrying solar wind particles. Unfortunately, the parachute failed to deploy and it dug a crater in New Mexico.

    For comparison, Soyuz lands on dry land in Kazakhstan. Instead of airbags, it has a set of small retrorockets on the bottom that fire just before touchdown to slow from the 24 ft/s rate of the parachute to just 5 ft/s (5.5 km/hr). I'm not sure how they deal with fire through or around the heat shield.

  25. dunno about that by Quadraginta · · Score: 2, Interesting

    First, of all, imagining that one guy at the top is bringing the whole enterprise to its knees is just classic populist wishful thinking. It never works that way. Herbert Hoover didn't cause the Depression, Joe Stalin didn't by himself cause the Cold War, Alan Greenspan didn't cause the dot-com bust or the mortgage meltdown, and your Mikey G isn't by himself blocking all future progress in manned spaceflight.

    Figuring out exactly how and why a program craps out is a matter for endless debate among historians, but as a general rule, it's probably reasonable to say that any government enterprise that doesn't enjoy phenomenally (and historically aberrent) high levels of public interest and support always craps out sooner or later.

    So the first real problem is not who's heading NASA, but the cold ugly fact that most Americans don't give much of a hoot what NASA is doing, would rather watch American Idol than a manned Moon (or Mars) landing, and aren't much interesting in sending their tax dollars to Huntsville for umpty years so that their grandchildren can watch Right Stuffers frolic on the Red Planet. A plain fact, which most folks in the spaceflight industry strenuously try to avoid dealing with by all different types of denial. (Including, incidentally, the paranoid delusion that one single factor -- or man -- stands in the way of the type of broad and deep public support that the space program enjoyed in the brief and historically unique period between 1945 and 1965.)

    But the second real problem is that a government program is almost certainly a dead-end nonroute to the kind of massive social and technological change that spaceflight enthusiasts hope spaceflight will produce. There is, actually, no recorded instance whatsoever in history of a government program doing anything more than starting off (at best) something like the colonization of other planets. The voyages of exploration during the 16th and 17th century, and the colonization of the New World in the 18th century, were weakly and inconsistently supported by national goverments: they were, in general, private enterprises, undertaken by individuals for individual dreams of wealth and glory.

    That is what is missing in space exploration. There is no individual -- or small entrepreneurial organization -- path to space, and not much private, materialistic, "greedy" and "selfish" motivation for people to risk their fortunes, lives and honor getting into space. If such a thing were to emerge, then humans would naturally get off the planet, not only without any need for massive government programs, but probably in spite of government efforts to stop them. (It would be like MP3 file sharing. Notice no government program was required to get that going? Because it's intrinsically easy? Or because people really want to do it? I'm guessing the latter.)

    But until that kind of broad interest emerges, I don't think any amount of government exploration is going to be anything more than expensive entertainment. (Mind you, I don't object to the entertainment, but that's because I personally would, weirdly, rather watch a manned Moon or Mars landing than every first-class gee-whiz movie that will be made from now to the end of time.)

    It's worth asking whether government can prime the pump, so to speak, and make it easier for private enterprise and individual ambitions to get into space, so that people can start to get turned on to the whole business, and a broad and deep urge to go can emerge. Maybe it can. Unfortunately, probably step #1 is to back off the goofy noble selfless we came in peace for all mankind aura that clings to the endeavour nowadays, which merely serves to cut it off from the range of activities normal, non-selfless, non-noble people do everyday and think about doing tomorrow.

  26. great lakes by ragtoplvr · · Score: 2, Interesting

    if the accuracy can be improved they could land in the great lakes. That at least stops the salt water corrosion. The capsule can be designed for crew survival on land, and capsule survival in fresh water, if you miss you just lose the capsule and some of the internal systems, if you hit the lake all of it gets used. If problem is detected early, just aim for the ocean. in every case crew should survive.

    Rod