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Mars Asteroid Impact More Likely Than Before

sheldie writes "The probability of asteroid 2007 WD5 impacting Mars has been revised following further observations. The chance of impact has increased from 1.3% to 3.9%" This is a follow-up to earlier coverage of this asteroid from last week.

33 of 207 comments (clear)

  1. Taking All Bets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Ok people, the likelihood has tripled!

    Taking all bets at 1:25 odds now! Hurry before it becomes even more likely to hit! Lock in your bets early before the odds increase even more! I'll bet you wish you had jumped on those lucky bastards who will be paid out 1:75! Don't wait any longer!

    Hey, who says nerds can't gamble?

  2. This is going to decimate all life on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    Decimate is the word of the day. See how many stories you can incorrectly apply it.

    1. Re:This is going to decimate all life on Mars by jombeewoof · · Score: 3, Funny

      I would imagine 1/10 of the stories it will be used incorrectly on today.

      --
      Linux Zealots: Smarter than Mac Zealots, but still zealots.
  3. Wow by snowraver1 · · Score: 3, Funny

    That would truly be an amazing event. The science that could be learned in the event of a collision would be massive! I, for one, welcome our planet smashing overlord!

    --
    Copyright 2010. All rights reserved. This comment may not be copied in any way including, but not limited to caching.
    1. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      I've experiments to be run. There is research to be done. On the planets who are still alive...

    2. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      On Soviet Mars, planet smashes planet smashing overlord!

    3. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      You must be new here.

    4. Re:Wow by sm62704 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Wow, the slashdot crowd gets younger every year (and I'm so old I was a beta tester for dirt. We never did get all the bugs out).

      Does nobody remember Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 hitting Jupiter in 1994? Hell I even remember that and there was a catastrophe in my home town... oh wait, no that was 1993. The comet hitting Jupiter was a year later.

      But at any rate, we had a extinction-causing (if it would have happened on Earth) impact in less than the last fifteen years!

      How many collisions do you guys need, anyway? Jees! Leave poor little Mars alone!

      -mcgrew
      A letter from Linda

      --
      mcgrew's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be explained by greedy self-interest
  4. Preview of news media coverage by bwintx · · Score: 5, Funny

    "BREAKING NEWS! [SFX: Ridiculously melodramatic sounder]

    "NASA now says an asteroid impact on Mars is now three times more likely than previously thought.

    "At this rate, the impact's likelihood will exceed 150% in just a few days."

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    1. Re:Preview of news media coverage by calebt3 · · Score: 2, Funny

      They said the rovers would only last a few months, too. We all see how badly they botched that timeline up.

    2. Re:Preview of news media coverage by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 4, Funny

      I doubt NASA would tell the rovers if there was a chance anyways.

      Better to just allow the rover to see a shadow, look up, and emit:
      0x68 0x6f 0x6c 0x79 0x20 0x63 0x72 0x61 0x70 0x21

    3. Re:Preview of news media coverage by SleptThroughClass · · Score: 2, Funny

      One difference is that the atmospheric shock wave on Mars is expected to knock down many fewer trees than an impact on Earth would.

  5. Do your duty, people by plover · · Score: 4, Funny
    C'mon, people, it's our duty as annoying geeks to raise paranoia amongst our friends and family.

    Tell them that if the asteroid just barely misses Mars that its gravitational pull could actually slingshot the rock straight towards earth! You just don't have to tell them what the chances of that are (astronomical would be an accurate value.)

    Lets see how many people who failed math we can get to go hide in caves till it passes. :-)

    --
    John
  6. Re:Versus Jupiter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    They're waiting to see whether or not John McEnroe will volley it back. If he whiffs it we'll still be in for one helluva show, so it's win/win as far as I'm concerned.

  7. General Buck Turgeson Is On It, Sir! by eldavojohn · · Score: 3, Funny

    we can get to go hide in caves till it passes ... My God! The rooskies could be working on the very same thing right now!

    Mr. President, we must not allow a gravitationally slingshotted asteroid cave society gap!
    --
    My work here is dung.
  8. Is that asteroid by WormholeFiend · · Score: 4, Funny

    from Klendathu? /Service guarantees citizenship //Would you like to know more?

  9. Re:That's no astroid! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    I find your lack of original conversation disturbing.

  10. Re:Versus Jupiter by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Funny

    The more it moves, however, the higher the precision of the measurements can be. So as time progresses, the astronomers will be able to reduce the circle of uncertainty.

    "The data's in. Let's see, it's going to miss Mars, and on Dec. 31 hit the 3rd pla[NO CARRIER]

  11. Re:Large Object Also Heading For Earth by AbsoluteXyro · · Score: 5, Funny

    If 357,000 miles is "VERY VERY close" then I am practically inside Angelina Jolie's vagina, considering my proximity to her and what I assume you propose for varying degrees of closeness.

  12. Vegas lines? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    I wonder what odds the bookies are offering for the meteor hitting one of the rovers.

  13. Re:Versus Jupiter by slashname3 · · Score: 3, Funny

    And you don't even mention Mars' version of Bruce Willis taking off in a flying saucer with a team of wild cat water drillers to plant nuclear weapons in the asteroid in an attempt to divert it from a direct strike on Mars. They have to factor in the possibility of that happening too.

  14. But what about... by martyb · · Score: 4, Funny

    "The probability of asteroid 2007 WD5 impacting Mars has been revised [CC] following further observations. The chance of impact has increased from 1.3% to 3.9%"

    But what about 2007 WD40? My bet is that one WILL slip past us! <grin>

  15. Re:Look at it this way... by cplusplus · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hey, I'm a "My glass is 3.9% full" kind of guy.

    --
    "False hope is why we'll never run out of natural resources!" - Lewis Black
  16. i know what will happen. by xENoLocO · · Score: 3, Funny

    The asteroid will bust through the surface crust, exposting Mars' nougatty, caramel-filled center.

    Yummy.

    --
    "The need to build the internet comes from something inside us, something programmed... something we can't resist."
  17. Re:Helping the Asteroid... by railman99 · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Of course this would probably cause an interstellar war with the Martians, but still..."

    Nah, that war with the Martians ended 65 million years ago, when they blew up the home (5th) planet with their worm hole doomsday device, and both camps of survivors in space settled the only viable candidate planet in this Solar System, Earth. Yes, we are their descendants. LETS TRY REAL HARD NOT TO REPEAT THE SAME MISTAKE TWICE IN A ROW, PEOPLE!

  18. Re:Large Object Also Heading For Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Well, close is a relative term. You see, the Earth is very, very big, so a distance of "only" 357,000 miles is very, very close when compared to the size of the Earth. Angelina Jolie, however, probably several hundred miles away from you, so when we calculate the relative distance, factoring in the size of your penis ... ;-)

  19. Re:Large Object Also Heading For Earth by ekgringo · · Score: 1, Funny
    The best I get is that I can stare enviously at those biology jocks with all their hot undergrab lab assistants.

    Freudian slip much?

  20. Odds of astroid impact by WalletBoy · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Never tell me the odds!"

  21. Re:The rovers by Ardipithecus · · Score: 2, Funny

    A calculation using Murphy's law suggests direct impact on Spirit with a sub-orbital bounce to Opportunity.

  22. Re:Versus Jupiter by sm62704 · · Score: 2, Funny

    A sig I saw here a few days ago fits that comment (im)perfectly: "I have measured my velcity with such exquisit perfection that I have no idea where I am".

    Ok, so that applies to particles and not astronomy. Fuck up a perfectly good joke...

    --
    mcgrew's razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which can be explained by greedy self-interest
  23. Re:Versus Jupiter by AgentPaper · · Score: 3, Funny

    Wrong unit of measure - the school bus is the accepted unit for items longer than a Beetle but smaller than a football field. 1/3 field = 1 bus = 3 Beetles. Alternately, 30 meters equals about 60% of the height of the Library of Congress' dome.

    Figures aren't available on how many light bulbs it will power, though.

    --
    First rule of trauma: Bleeding always stops.
  24. Murphy's Law Re:Taking All Bets by Alien54 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Actually, Murphy's law says that not only will the asteroid miss Mars, it says that the asteroid miss will be precisely enough to whip the rock around to a new orbit. One precisely timed and angled to aim it towards Earth where it will impact on some particularly inconvenient location. Like the 2008 Olympics, the city of Jerusalem, or something else of political import.

    --
    "It is a greater offense to steal men's labor, than their clothes"
  25. A non-event of an event by celtic_hackr · · Score: 2, Funny

    Unfortunately, they don't tell you everything. Sure there's now a 1:25 chance of it striking Mars, but what they don't tell you is that there is 4:1 chance it'll strike somewhere on Mars' darkside. Only those lucky Saturnian Overlords will get a view of it, and we'll have to pay hefty fees for the copyrighted DRMed videos of the impact. And then only on low-def capable viewers. :'(

    We should send some of our ELO defense missiles up there and shove a few more 'roids toward Mars. Hey, if we shoot enough at them maybe we can bust up the planet. Be some great fireworks then.

    Oh sure, you say, well maybe one of those 'roids will get shoved the wrong way and wind up wiping out Washington state, but hey, there's no great loss there is there?