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Seagate Announces First SSD, 2TB HDD

Lucas123 writes "Seagate CEO Bill Watkins said today that the company plans to put out its first solid state disk drive next year as well as a 2TB version of its Barracuda hard disk drive. Watkins also alluded to Seagate's inevitable move from spinning disk to solid state drives, but emphasized it will be years away, saying the storage market is driven by cost-per-gigabyte and though SSDs provide benefits such as power savings, they won't be in laptops in the next few years. A 128GB SSD costs $460, or $3.58 per gigabyte, compared to $60 for a 160GB hard drive, according to Krishna Chander, an analyst at iSuppli. 'It will take three to four years for SSDs to come to parity with hard drives,' on price and reliability."

229 comments

  1. Every news source by Gewalt · · Score: 5, Informative

    Every news source has merged those two statements together, and every time, my brain gets stuck on it.

    Seagate is announcing two seperate products. One is a SSD and the OTHER is a 2TB hdd.

    --
    Modding Trolls +1 inciteful since 1999
    1. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      I think Seagate wants you to buy both of them. You can use the SSD for the 2TB HDD's cache.

    2. Re:Every news source by bennomatic · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Yup, I'd love a 2TB SSD, man.

      Truthfully, I'm really looking forward to hybrid drives with, say 64-128 GB of flash, where all the "load-often, change rarely" data goes, like applications, OS, etc., and 2^N (N >= 8) GB of classic HD storage space for stuff that may need gazillions of writes (browser cache, working documents, SVN repositories, etc.).

      In fact, wouldn't it be great if the drive could be smart about it and--over time--identify files that were mostly read-only (iPhoto archives, MP3s) and migrate them to the flash storage area where fast, low-power reads would be a benefit.

      While we're dreaming, database engines could even be optimized to read only from the SSD-portion of a hybrid drive if a particular data point had not been written to in over N minutes, or since the last collation (explained later), but would write to the platters, and then during quiet cycles, it could do a collation. The collation would move data which was on the platters, but which did not have a pattern of large volumes of writes back to the SSD volume.

      And... I'd like a pony...

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    3. Re:Every news source by mrbluze · · Score: 5, Funny

      I think Seagate wants you to buy both of them. Oh shit, you mean this could be.. no.. impossible.. a.. SLASHVERTISEMENT?
      --
      Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    4. Re:Every news source by NMerriam · · Score: 5, Funny

      Seagate is announcing two seperate products. One is a SSD and the OTHER is a 2TB hdd.


      Wow, I saw the headline in my RSS feed and misread it the same way everyone else did. I expected the next story to be about the new finance company Seagate was opening to provide mortgages on 2TB SSDs.
      --
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    5. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This would be a good use of the proverbial semicolon

      First SSD; 2TB HDD

    6. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      It WAS pointed out to the on duty editor before it went "live" on the front page ...

    7. Re:Every news source by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 4, Informative

      What you describe is called wear-leveling. On pure flash drives, the data that rarely changes gets written to the most worn sections of the drive.

    8. Re:Every news source by v1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      basically using the SSD part of it as a giant buffer? Not a bad idea really. I could use that. I reboot my laptop maybe every three weeks, so a lot of my OS probably doesn't get reaccessed much after a restart. A lot of what's on my HDD is media - movies and other entertainment for when I'm stuck somewhere on the road. Again not stuff I need access to very frequently.

      My HD has 186gb usable, and I'm using 172 of it. (eek...) I bet I only access at most 20 gb of that most of the time. Even making a say, 32gb or 64gb buffer would work great for how I use the computer - I'd be running entirely off the SSD part most of the time.

      Most users could probably accommodate a dual drive anyway. One partition for the SSD and one for the HDD. Put your media and other things you don't need access to often but want to have on tap on the HDD.

      --
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    9. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait... so if you rarely change all your data... your flash drive will wear out much faster?

      How? How can this be?! *rips hair out*

    10. Re:Every news source by Anpheus · · Score: 1

      The good news is that the mortgages will be cheap and sub-prime rate.

      The bad news is that most of the people who get them will be left with only the SSD and not their home.

    11. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And... I'd like a pony...
      That part can be arranged...
    12. Re:Every news source by Gewalt · · Score: 1
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      Modding Trolls +1 inciteful since 1999
    13. Re:Every news source by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      What is the actual speed increase when using solid state drives. I've seen a couple benchmarks, and most of them point to the solid state being a little faster, but only mildly so. For the price difference, it just doesn't seem to make sense yet. Even if you don't need the extra space. Right now, you'd probably be better off stocking your computer with 3-4 GB of RAM, and just using a plain old hard drive.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    14. Re:Every news source by zeptobyte · · Score: 0

      You have it backward. Those areas don't wear out because they're written to less often; they're written to less often because they're more worn out. The healthier sections are used for more active data.

    15. Re:Every news source by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 3, Informative

      I really don't understand why everyone treats SSDs as being so fragile when writing to them. Yes, they have a limited write cycle. But so does your regular hard drive. The difference is that your SSD's cycle is guaranteed by the manufacturer, whereas your HD could blow up at any moment.

      With modern wear leveling algorithms, you can write to an SSD continuously at its maximum write rate for about fifty years before you wear it out. They are, if anything, much more suitable for rapidly changing data than a regular hard drive.

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    16. Re:Every news source by thatotherguy007 · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of programmers here. Could we at least get a flippin semicolon? We would get it, and my brain won't have to hurt. Furthermore, what happened to the ampersand?! Seriously this is comma abuse.

    17. Re:Every news source by Flamora · · Score: 1

      That's just it, all the semicolons are in use in their code; they can't spare any more towards the article because they're probably running short for their own purposes.

    18. Re:Every news source by bennomatic · · Score: 1

      It's not the fragility I was worried about; it's the latency. SSDs are slower than traditional platter drives for writing, if I understand correctly.

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    19. Re:Every news source by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      Well, that makes sense. I would have thought it would be the opposite, though, at least for common use patterns. Flash has no seek time, so for random access writes it should be significantly faster. If you do a lot of long linear streaming writes then it could end up being much worse, though. I don't really know the numbers.

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    20. Re:Every news source by bennomatic · · Score: 1

      True; to be sure, I'm talking off the cuff, or as many of my friends would say, out of a rear-facing orifice :) Have a great weekend.

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    21. Re:Every news source by CCFreak2K · · Score: 1

      A pink pony?

      --
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    22. Re:Every news source by kestasjk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      With modern wear leveling algorithms, you can write to an SSD continuously at its maximum write rate for about fifty years before you wear it out. They are, if anything, much more suitable for rapidly changing data than a regular hard drive. Is that the whole SSD drive being written to, or just one commonly used piece? How long would it take to constantly write to a single byte before you ran out?
      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    23. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup, though I imagine your math is off slightly.

      If you have a 100GB SSD using SLC that supports 100,000 erase cycles, then theoretically you could write 10,000,000GB worth of data to that device before it dies, given perfect wear-leveling.

      10 petabytes worth of changing, dynamic data to a single disk, is a LOT.

      Or figure it this way, with that same 100GB drive, assuming you could write at a bus-saturated 300MB/s (3Gbit/s SATA), the device should last 33 million seconds, or about 380 days, in a 100% write workload.

      For a normal user doing ~90% reads, on average, they'll get 11 years from their drive, even being used 24/7 in a media server fully saturated (20+ 1080p HD movies streaming simultaneously).

      For any normal user with a normal workload and normal sleep habits, a well-designed SLC SSD, theoretically, will outlive your next 6-7 computers.

    24. Re:Every news source by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I don't get it either. Do you really think your typical harddrive for your typical desktop is going to last for 100,000-1,000,000 writes? It'll be long dead before that. As far as I'm concerned, SSD's are ready for most applications, the only problem at the moment is cost.

    25. Re:Every news source by Chirs · · Score: 1

      Nope...latency is where SSD kicks the snot out of platter drives, as there is no seek time or rotational latency.

      As for throughput, it depends on the technology. There are multilayer and single layer based flash drives. The multilayer is slower and less reliable, but is cheaper per GB. The single layer-based drive has write bandwidth about 50% faster than a 15Krpm regular drive, and it can read about 66% faster than it can write.

    26. Re:Every news source by networkBoy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      NOR flash is blazing fast writes and reasonably fast reads (approx equal in reads to PC100 SDRAM).

      NAND has roughly the same read speeds, but it's write speeds (as a previous poster has also stated) are highly optimized for block writes in a very *very* linear manner. i.e. your digicam will sequentially write files, block by block, and it will write them fast. You will have only partilly filled blocks at the end of a file, but that's ok.

      The moment you want to modify something that's already written things slow down quickly.
      It's a bummer, but that's how it works. Where NAND would shine is a transaction server where it's writing a continuous (and possibly high speed) stream of data, that will be written once, but then read from multiple times, by different clients, with high contention rates.

      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    27. Re:Every news source by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      you can't do that.
      you have 16 blocks (0x0-0xF, address, 0z0-0zF absolute)
      each block is a byte.

      you erase the device: all blocks now hold 0xFF
      you write 0xAA to 0xF, it is written to 0zF
      you read 0xF you read 0xAA
      you erase 0xF, it is erased and now contains 0xFF
      you write 0x55 to 0xF, it is written to 0zD (or any other currently un-cycled cell).
      you read 0xF, you read 0x55.
      You enter testmode
      you read 0zF you read 0xFF
      you read 0zD you read 0x55

      That's how wear leveling works. So unless you can enter test mode (and I won't tell how on the particular manufacturer I know how to) you can not repeatably write to the same cell. Having done this, however, I can tell you that the devices I've seen can handle no less than 10K operations per cell, and that's while being hammered by Vcc excursions to min and max, and temp excursions to min and max.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    28. Re:Every news source by ChameleonDave · · Score: 1

      Ugh.

      The US media tendency to omit "and" strikes again. If you really think the word is soooo verrry loonngg, you can use an ampersand.

      A comma just doesn't make sense, and the saving you get from not having to put a space in front of it is really not significant.

      The fact that "first" wasn't abbreviated to "1st" shows that the comma thing is just a stupid habit, and not actually to save space.

    29. Re:Every news source by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      networkBoy already explained this, but I thought it would be useful to offer a really brief, to-the-point summary.

      You will always write to the whole drive. If you constantly overwrite a single logical byte, the wear leveler in the controller hardware will juggle things around so that this byte gets moved throughout the whole device so that your writes are evenly distributed.

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    30. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not looking forward to this at all. I'd rather have a separate SSD and mechanical harddrive and configure these the way I like it. Some OS level support for caching frequently used data to the SSD would be nice though.

    31. Re:Every news source by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      My math is only "off" because you're assuming a worst case in write cycle lifetime and a completely absurd optimal case in write speed.

      Write cycles on modern flash are more like one million rather than 100,000. It varies depending on the drive, though.

      No way will you ever even approach filling up a 3Gbit SATA connection talking to a flash drive. More realistically you may get one tenth that speed.

      Thus, ten times as many write cycles being hit at one tenth the speed you assumed gives us 100 times more lifetime, or around 100 years.

      This number is of course only an estimate, done with very approximate numbers. But the point remains that even with the most pessimistic possible workload you'll still outlive the rest of your equipment.

      --
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    32. Re:Every news source by xOneca · · Score: 1

      flash, where all the "load-often, change rarely" data goes, like applications, OS, etc. Maybe you want an i-RAM drive. It's very fast, but has limited capacity.

      Or, at least, you can use it as virtual memory.
    33. Re:Every news source by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Note that this depends a lot on your filesystem. Something like LFS (first appeared in 4.4BSD, now maintained in NetBSD) or ZFS (Solaris or OpenBSD) has a write strategy which is ideal for NAND flash. If you use LFS or ZFS, you should be able to get close to the theoretical maximum write speed for arbitrary loads, while something like UFS (including ext{2,3}) will be lucky to get more than about 10%.

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    34. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thats good, because that kind of drive and a pony will probably cost about the same.

    35. Re:Every news source by zdzichu · · Score: 1

      As noted below, you propose using SSD as a buffer. Well, this is done today with ZFS (available in Solaris, FreeBSD, Mac OS X). It's called L2ARC. Look here for details

      --
      :wq
    36. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd ask for a jet ski

    37. Re:Every news source by jacquesm · · Score: 3, Funny

      **whoosh**

    38. Re:Every news source by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      It's like car manufacturers.

      "We've got a $70K electric car, and a new $20K SUV with armchairs inside with extra size holders for your Big Mac XXXL and 50 oz soda that runs of the blood of endangered bunnies. You love it cheap and dirty don't you, you whore"

      --
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    39. Re:Every news source by agildehaus · · Score: 0, Redundant

      And... I'd like a pony...

      OMG!! PONIES!!

    40. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I bet I only access at most 20 gb of that most of the time. Even making a say, 32gb or 64gb buffer would work great for how I use the computer - I'd be running entirely off the SSD part most of the time."

      Actually you'd be surprised how far just a 10gb buffer would go, and ram is getting cheap enough that it's possible to do that now. You can buy 4gb DDR2 ram for $70. That's 12gb for about $200. With 12gb of ram most people could store nearly every application within RAM (or just Vista by itself), that is if the OS will recognize 12gb (32-bit XP & Vista doesn't).

    41. Re:Every news source by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      With modern wear leveling algorithms, you can write to an SSD continuously at its maximum write rate for about fifty years before you wear it out Really? Because that sounds suspiciously like saying "MTBF of my HD is a million hours, so it'll live for 114 years, give or take". MTBF values I've seen for SSD's certainly don't seem especially far removed from that of normal HD's.
    42. Re:Every news source by uid8472 · · Score: 1

      Also done 35 years ago by Multics, where it was called "page multilevel". Somewhat different storage technologies in that case, but with similar characteristics.

    43. Re:Every news source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So where is the power savings? which I thought was half the point of SSDs

      especially with laptops...sounds like this idea would use way MORE power but ymmv

    44. Re:Every news source by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      This is not an MTBF measurement. Flash memory write cycles are limited by design. Writing to a flash cell involves high voltage and is inherently destructive to the material. A typical flash memory cell can only be written between 100,000 and 1,000,000 times before it breaks. This is not a mean time between failure but a total lifetime limit. Unlike a hard drive, you won't have a small percentage of flash drives which fail after only 10,000 writes, or a small percentage which survive 10,000,000 writes.

      As there is basically no other mechanism which will cause failure (unless you abuse it, anyway) then stating that you can write to it continuously for 50 years seems pretty reasonable to me.

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    45. Re:Every news source by Fweeky · · Score: 1

      So why do SSD's get sold with MTBF's roughly the same as enterprisey HD's? Why have I heard reports of early failures on flash, and poorer than expected lifespan in certain applications? Just because it's solid state doesn't mean every part of every chip is homogenous, and just because you can take the specs, do a bit of maths and say "hey, look, 50-150 years lifespan!" doesn't mean that's actually what's going to happen.

      Extremely long lifespans are big claims, and need big evidence backing them up, not just "64GB * 1000000 cycles / 50MB/s = 41.5 years".

    46. Re:Every news source by Free+the+Cowards · · Score: 1

      The idea that solid state electronics work for a long time is not a big claim in any way. This is their default state. The only reason flash drives wear out at all is because of the high voltage nature of the rewrite cycle. Meanwhile the idea that a clunky mechanical device with a bunch of moving parts will work for years with no maintenance is a big claim.

      MTBF only tells you half the story. It gives you the average. It does not give you the distribution. Many hard drive failures are essentially random. This means that the actual failure of an individual device can happen much earlier, or much later, than the average. Meanwhile SSDs fail almost exclusively by wearing out, on a schedule which is determined by their design, so that the actual failure will happen almost exactly as predicted.

      But the real reason that SSDs and enterprise HDs have similar MTBFs is, apparently, because the HD manufacturers lie out their asses. See for example http://www.neowin.net/index.php?act=view&id=38693. Meanwhile there's no reason to believe the same of SSD manufacturers because the failure modes are well known and their claims are actually reasonable.

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  2. Eee PC not a laptop ? by Mornedhel · · Score: 2, Insightful

    SSDs [...] won't be in laptops in the next few years Huh. I guess the Eee PC isn't a laptop anymore. (It wasn't a 128GB drive, but it was SSD all the same...)
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    1. Re:Eee PC not a laptop ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The EeePC is always referred to as either an ultra-portable, an ultra mobile PC (UMPC), or a subnotebook. I've never seen it referred to as a laptop.

    2. Re:Eee PC not a laptop ? by mrbluze · · Score: 2, Funny

      I've never seen it referred to as a laptop. It's only a laptop if it's heavy enough not to fall off your lap while you're watching porn.
      --
      Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    3. Re:Eee PC not a laptop ? by dal20402 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Or the MacBook Air, or the Lenovo x300.

    4. Re:Eee PC not a laptop ? by petermgreen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      maybe it's a regional thing, most people I talk to seem to use the term laptop very generally covering everything from the tiny "subnotebooks" all the way up to the 17 inch "desktop replacement" monsters.

      manufacturers avoid the term laptop nowadays because of the fact that using them on your lap is strongly discouraged due to heat related issues (both the possibility of a hot laptop burning you and the fact that being on a soft uneven surface can interfere with ventilation on some models)

      imo most laptops fit into one of a few categories

      * craptops: built with price and headline specs (cpu mainly) as the main design consideration theese are popular with first time laptop buyers. They come to regret it when they run into the reliability and build quality issues. I don't see theese going solid state any time soon.
      * ordinary decent laptops: (lattitudes, thinkpads macbooks) etc. Theese cost more than the craptops and that money mainly buys you better build quality. I see solid state being a build time option on theese in the near future but I don't see it being the default for cost reasons.
      * desktop replacements, high performance and big screens but heavy and bulky,
      * ultraportables: (smaller vaios, librettos, EEEPCs, OLPCs etc) many of theese are already using solid state drives.

      --
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  3. Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by jcr · · Score: 5, Funny

    I can't help it. I remember buying my first two gig drive for $780, back when the dollar was worth squat. Now of course, the value of the dollar is rapidly approaching diddly-squat.

    -jcr

    --
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    1. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Detritus · · Score: 5, Informative

      Ha! I can remember having to order the installation of a new 220V electrical circuit to support the installation of a rack-mount winchester 450 MB hard disk drive. You needed at least two people to lift the drive enclosure off the floor. The new electrical circuit was needed to supply enough current for the drive to spin up. We used 10 MB removable hard disk cartridges that were about the size of a large pizza to store the operating system and user programs.

      --
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    2. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Bluesman · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I remember getting the expensive 52Mb Supra hard drive for my Amiga 500, and being amazed at how much faster than floppies it was.

      An extra 2Mb of RAM came with that drive, for a system-wide total of 2.5Mb. Of course, with such a limited system, all I could do was run office and desktop publishing software, paint programs, 3-d modeling and ray-tracing software, and the latest games like Turrican, Lemmings, and the Indiana Jones adventure game.

      It's amazing to see how far we've come these past 18 years.

      --
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    3. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Gat0r30y · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ray Tracing software? 3-D Modeling? The latest games? I can't even afford to think what a system like that would cost nowadays.

      --
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    4. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seizes to amaze me that there is no +1 Nostalgia mod :-(

    5. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Miseph · · Score: 3, Funny

      It *nghflgthurnaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhh* seizes me too!

      --
      Try not to take me more seriously than I take myself.
    6. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by oldenuf2knowbetter · · Score: 2, Informative

      That the best you got? I remember having a line of 10Mb drives connected to our Burroughs B5500. Each drive cabinet was the height and depth and about half the width of a washing machine. They had platters over two feet in diameter spinning on a horizontal axle. Every day or two we had to put them back into line as they precessed as the earth rotated. Great fun. Oh, we also had one of those IBM 1401 with a model 1405 drive which provided 10Mb in a cabinet about the size of a new side-by-side refrigerator/freezer. Good times.

    7. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by nbert · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's amazing to see how far we've come these past 18 years.
      It's also incredible how little we archived during this period. It really amazes me that it takes more than 20 seconds to change your IP address (on windows) or 30 seconds to load the system preferences (in vista on hardware wich comes with it). It also applies to other platforms: Word 6.0 for DOS was snappier than Office 2008 on the Mac (comparing a 25 MHz 486 without a mathematical co-processor and a C2D running at 2GHz with a very advanced instruction set).

      Of course the benefits* are way higher than the downsides - I don't make coffee anymore after starting a complex task. Especially disk space and read/write times have improved significantly. But I'm still waiting way to much time for trivial tasks and compared to hardware achievements most new software performs pretty bad.

      *If it wasn't for the fact that MS changes the doc format every product cycle I'd stick to Office 97 - I don't see any innovation in newer versions - they just cause more trouble.
    8. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You kids and your fancy Winchester drives. Why, in my day, all we had was tape! Giant reel-to-reel drives and huge spools, spinning all day! If someone wanted data, we had to go the cabinet and locate the tape for it. Why, I had to carry those tapes through 6 feet of snow, uphill both ways.

      Now you kids get off of my lawn!

    9. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

      comparing a 25 MHz 486 without a mathematical co-processor and a C2D running at 2GHz with a very advanced instruction set


      Uh, maybe that was a typo, maybe not, but only the 486SX had no math co-processor (or, really, the FPU was disabled in the SX). The 486DX (or simply '486') had an integrated FPU.
    10. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The latest games, eh?

      Yeah, times sure haven't changed indeed. In fact, nothing in the world has ever changed - we've always had, still have and always will have the latest in technology, nothing more and nothing less.

      (Seriously, the amount of memory, CPU power etc. today's OSes and programs need is ridiculous indeed, but "the latest games" is a rather malleable concept.)

    11. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by jaminJay · · Score: 1

      I know, I know. Your lawn. Me. Getting off.

      No wait! I didn't mean...

      --
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    12. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by WK2 · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah? Well I remember using rocks. Each rock represented a bit, oriented up/down for 0, or left/right for 1. A hard drive was as big as a medium-sized country and took 15 years to gather. Then it took another 15 years to install an OS based on the papyrus plans. It took 7 generations to boot Windows. It was called Windows 5, because that was the year.

      --
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    13. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by Freultwah · · Score: 1

      I no longer remember any of this stuff. Young whippersnappers, walking around, remembering stuff...

    14. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by nbert · · Score: 1

      Yes, it was quite late yesterday and I left it out because I simply didn't remember. Anyways, mine was a SX. I still remember the mainboard had some slot or socket for an additional co-processor (which in turn was a fully functional DX). I guess this concept was mostly developed by marketing...

    15. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by jacquesm · · Score: 2, Funny

      that's the best you can do ? Tape... hah, if only we had tape.

      All we had was chisels and hammers, and stone tablets, lots of stone tablets.

      Sequential writes were bad enough, but random ones, my back still hurts remembering.

      When punch cards came it was a great relief!

      tape... young whippersnappers...

    16. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by tricorn · · Score: 1

      The most amazing advances have really been in storage; my first computer was a Lisa with 1MB RAM and a 10MB hard drive; I can copy a 10MB chunk off my 1TB hard drive into what is now a relatively small 10MB buffer (out of 4GB of RAM) in about a second, and search that buffer for an arbitrary string in about .1 second. It used to take a long time to format that 10MB drive, and even longer to copy a directory hierarchy or search through a bunch of files. I can't think of many programs you can even buy that fit into 10MB now, much less run in 1MB of RAM, but that 10MB used to hold three different operating systems (the Lisa office suite with 7 different applications; the programming environment; and the Mac OS environment); and it booted into any one of them in a relative jiffy, running on a 68010 processor (at 6MHz I think it was).

    17. Re:Oh, no.. Here comes the nostalgia again.. by jcr · · Score: 1

      Stone tablets? You had stone tablets? Luxury!

      We had to chew the bits into tree limbs with our teeth!

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  4. Me Too! by Gewalt · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The SSD from Seagate is a total "Me Too!" product. Seagate thinks they are in the "Mass storage" market, but they are not. They never have been. Their market is the one that includes "rotating magnetic platters". The only reason they are trying to break into this market (that they continuously decry as useless, futile, and too expensive) is because they are afraid of what "might" happen ten years down the road.

    It's so nice to see a company that fought this at every step pretend to embrace it.

    --
    Modding Trolls +1 inciteful since 1999
    1. Re:Me Too! by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "that they continuously decry as useless, futile, and too expensive)"

      Could it be that's because it has been? It's just now really becoming practical to the average user.
      And until it gets a lot closer to the current Spinning Disk Cost per Gig, it's not going to be mainstream.
      It will be, and they know it.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Me Too! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      So you're saying what? You think they lack artistic integrity? Are you some kind of indy storage manufacture that focused on SSDs before it was the cool thing to do?

    3. Re:Me Too! by bennomatic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's one thing to say, "the market's not ready, but we'll get into it when our customers are likely to be interested, cost-wise." It's another to try to undermine the market by saying it's just a bad idea and changing positions when you realize it's become a good enough idea that if you don't embrace it, it'll kill you.

      I'm all for adjusting to your environment, but there's a difference between being a leader and innovator, and a gadfly-turned-also-ran. Not saying I wouldn't buy their products, but even when they were saying, "never never never" (wish I could cite a source), I know it was BS BS BS.

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
    4. Re:Me Too! by code4fun · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or, it could be they lost business deals from customers like Google who are switching to faster SDD drives. It would also explain the recent grumbles they had about suing flash companies on trying to get in their enterprise business.

    5. Re:Me Too! by skelly33 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Agreed - waiting for the price to come down is something consumers do. Driving the price down is something competitors do. Waiting around for it to happen on the part of the mfr. is silly.

    6. Re:Me Too! by lupis42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I hate to say this, but that's horse dung. There are tons of places where SSD flash drives are in fact the norm. It's just that in all of those places things like Watts, BTUs, and Ounces are more important that Gigs. Thing is, the faster networks get, and the easier having a home fileserver becomes, the more that laptops become one of those places. Seagate can prognosticate that far in the future. They just want the changeover to come as slowly as possible, so that they can get every last dollar out of their existing investments in platter-based magnetic storage devices. Are you shocked? I for one, am not shocked.

    7. Re:Me Too! by matt21811 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Spot on. Making a hard disk for a competitive price is hard. Thats why there are only a handful of hard disk manufacturers. Making a circuit board with some chips on it can be done by hundreds of companies all over the world. I cant think of any reason to buy a Seagate SSD over any one of the other hundreds of competitors, especially when they all have the same electronics inside.

      Separately, it's nice to know that analysts agree with research I've done that it's only 4 years before SSD surpasses HD, at least in 2.5 inch drives. I've been comparing the relative price improvement of hard disk prices to flash and its pretty easy to estimate a crossover point.

      You can have a look at my data (charts) and conclusions here. http://www.mattscomputertrends.com/flashdiskcomparo.html

    8. Re:Me Too! by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      Not horse dung, you're talking about something different. The person you replied to talked about mainstream uses of flash as large mass storage. Most of the uses you refer to are still niche.

    9. Re:Me Too! by rrohbeck · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The SSD from Seagate is a total "Me Too!" product. So? They have lots of experience with the interface, firmware, low cost production, the market etc. Replacing rotating platters with Flash is easy.
      I wouldn't be surprised if they'd be shopping for a Flash supplier or at least a cooperation right now.
    10. Re:Me Too! by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      I really don't pay attention to the PR of drive companies, so I've not seen anyone say "never". But so far, the SSD market is so small that a typical drive maker like Seagate really didn't need to bother with them.Even now, it's not a big market, but it may be time for a traditional drive manufacturer to get into it.

    11. Re:Me Too! by lupis42 · · Score: 1

      Digital Cameras aren't mainstream?

    12. Re:Me Too! by Jeff+DeMaagd · · Score: 1

      I don't consider that to be the same thing.

    13. Re:Me Too! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I like how you use a 3-d graph to display 2-d data. But wouldn't a Flash animation be better suited to this case?

    14. Re:Me Too! by guruevi · · Score: 1

      Making a good, reliable large flash drive (as in >128GB) is also hard. The same issue as hard drives, they have to be very precision and the chips so small, only a few can afford them. Sure, making a 512MB or 1GB flash drive, everybody can do these days, but making a 200G SSD for a decent price seems to be a bigger problem. Next to that, even those relatively 'simple' flashdrives go for about $5-10/gigabyte but of course they have the profit margins so a 200G would cost easily more than $200 retail. I buy a 1TB hard drive with the same relative reliability (hard drives in enterprise environments which are driving large capacity are usually replaced after 3 years anyway way before they break) for less than that.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    15. Re:Me Too! by Courageous · · Score: 1

      Well. You're right about that.

      TOH:

      I might be impelled to buy a 2TB SATA drive if, in the drive, there was a few GB of SSD circuitry that itself ran at the full speed of the SATAII bus. You know, a persistent cache

      Anyway, I plotted a similar set of intersection curves, coming to about the same conclusions. Your data is much more specific than mine, though, so I was wondering where you got the exact figures?

      C//

    16. Re:Me Too! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who would partner with Seagate?

      Every current flash manufacturer already has an internal team doing SSDs. There's no obvious value-add for a flash manufacturer to partner with Seagate, because then they'd be selling raw flash chips at spot prices and near-zero margin, instead of selling a bunch at a time in their own self-branded high-margin SSDs.

      While people recognize Seagate as one of the leaders in, say, enterprise rotating storage, I don't think that name value translates as obviously into SSD space as some think.

    17. Re:Me Too! by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The only reason they are trying to break into this market (that they continuously decry as useless, futile, and too expensive) is because they are afraid of what "might" happen ten years down the road.

      I'd say they're being smart. Right now Seagate DOES have market recognition for storage. A proper, forward thinking CEO(I know, rare), should always be thinking on how to adapt to evolving markets.

      Much like how, when IBM started, they were a tabulating machine company. If they had tried to stay that, they wouldn't be around today.

      Much like how, if you start digging into them, you'll find many oil companies are busily attempting to become 'energy' companies, diversifying into solar, wind, biological fuel production, etc...

      Sure, right now SSD doesn't make financial sense in most applications. But it's out there, it's selling. It doesn't take much work to look at a graph comparing SSD vs HD cost per gig for various form factor hard drives. It doesn't take much to look at computer usage and realize that the majority of laptop users aren't filling up their existing hard drives. It doesn't take much to look at the dropping cost of a usefully large SSD vs the more or less constant 'minimum cost' low capacity HD. Just looking at these factors a competent CEO will realize that Seagate could be relegated to special purpose needs, and maybe even bankrupt from the loss of the mass market.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    18. Re:Me Too! by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      As a consumer, I've been running the math each year, at least, on various options like heat pump systems, hybrid cars, solar panels, etc...

      I can afford to wait until it makes sense for me.

      As a business though, I should always be aware of trends and actively engage in at least setting myself up for new markets or opportunities.

      The death of hard drives isn't necessarily close, but it isn't necessarily far anymore. True contenders are rising. For many years, the cost of flash per GB has been dropping faster, percentage wise, than hard drives. It's already made a couple of the smallest form factors economically noncompetitive. Remember the little drives that you could put into PCMCIA slots? They're no longer competitive against a usb thumb drive.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    19. Re:Me Too! by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Digital cameras, MP3 players, cell phones, game stations, PDAs, etc...

      A 'in the future' quote can easily refer to 10-20 years in the future. Unless something strange happens, at the current rate most laptops and many desktops would be using solid state memory for permanent storage.

      They may not be the 'same thing', but I remember when you had a number of digital cameras that would use a 3.5" disk, or a CD, but today you'd have to go on ebay to find one.

      In a sense, it's like a relentless march. SSDs are making inroads now, both on the expensive end(the Macbook), and the cheap(the EEE PC). To a hard drive company, that should be scary.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    20. Re:Me Too! by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Looking at your charts, I'm thinking now that it's more a question of why seagate waited so long, more than 'why are they getting in early?'.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    21. Re:Me Too! by lupis42 · · Score: 1

      Couldn't have said it better myself.

    22. Re:Me Too! by matt21811 · · Score: 1

      The data comes from reading the advertisements from a popular and long running computer magazine. I recorded the lowest price of each different sized disk advertised in the magazine in the same months issue every year. The disk with the best bang for buck is the data point used in the charts.

  5. Price / Performance isn't always king by wolf12886 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Technically speaking, if it were always about price vs performance, we'd all be running last generation AMD's, using CD-R's and the like. In reality, you don't pay proportionally more for extra performance, you pay EXPONENTIALLY more.

    For the average consumer, SSD's aren't yet the way to go, but for what I'd bet is a good proportion of the /. readership, a 20% boost in performance is worth a 200% increase in price, especially considering how cheap computing equipment is these days, compared to the utility it offers.

    1. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by alexhard · · Score: 0

      The core 2 duo has a much better QPR than any AMD processor out there right now, and I really don't understand what you would use CD-Rs for..maybe you meant CD-RWs instead of HDDs? They are extremely expensive.

      --
      Infinite time means everything that can happen, will. You being you is absolutely incidental. You do not exist.
    2. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by c_forq · · Score: 1

      CD-R's are dirt cheap in my area. I think it is clear the poster meant we would be using CD-Rs instead of the different DVD-R standards or recordable Bluray, holographic drives, DAT drives, and the like.

      --
      Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
    3. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by Enderandrew · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Last year when I built my budget rig, I bought a dual core X2 3600+ for 35$ and the cheapest comparable offering Intel has was $150, and benchmarks showed basically the same performance between the two.

      Intel has better performance at the top-end right now, but that doesn't mean they win performance-per-dollar.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    4. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by wolf12886 · · Score: 1
    5. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by XMode · · Score: 1

      Fairly sure he meant CD-R instead of DVD-R (rather than CD-RW instead of HDD).. I still don't get it though as the drive price is almost the same these days (if you can still find any CD-R only drives anymore) and the media is almost the same price too (at least 2 shops around here have CD-Rs at more than DVD-Rs.. )

      I think this just proves that price/performance is actually still king, but obviously WHAT has the best price/performance changes, and some times rapidly..

    6. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by lupis42 · · Score: 1

      Price / Performance is always king, but performance is measured by many different metrics, and there are cutoff points. My car costs 25k and has 250hp Your car costs 25k and has 150hp You feel you got a better deal on your car than I did. How? Because your car handles better, or gets better gas mileage, or carries more people, or can drive through rivers, or the top folds down, or it's just more comfortable inside, and you care more about whatever those features are. I clearly cared more about horsepower. Different metrics of performance. Beyond that, there are cutoff points: A car that costs 1$, but has 5hp clearly has a better performance/dollar than a car that costs 25 thousand times as many dollars, and only has 50 times as much horsepower. Thing is, if 5hp isn't enough for what I want, I don't care. At all. In laptops, and other machines where battery life and weight are concerns, SSDs are becoming popular relatively rapidly. In desktops, where more gigs for less dollars is usually the cry, SSDs are useless. In servers requiring extremely high random access and transfer rates, RAM drives are popular, despite being hideously expensive per gig and requiring constant electricity. SSDs don't even come close to what those machines need in terms of drive performance. It's always about choosing between the options that meet your needs, and that choice is always made in terms of best performance in relevant areas for least dollars. (One final thought: Consumer expectation is still a metric of performance. Some people have good or bad expectations of a brand, and that dives the price they are willing to pay up or down.)

    7. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by Jorophose · · Score: 1

      And yet 1 CDR 'round here is the same price as two DVDRs.

      GP was really just saying let's all use cheap/"old" tech from years earlier to save money (assuming he isn't living in Canada, in which case I have no idea what he's on).

    8. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by c_forq · · Score: 1

      Really? In my area it is possible to buy CD-Rs for more than two DVD-Rs, but if you buy it by the spindle (50-100 packs) and buy it on sale you can get CD-Rs for less than a quarter a piece.

      --
      Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
    9. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Funny thing, in Canada, DVD+-*/%^R's are cheaper than CD-Rs because there is no Levy on DVDs. DVDRs cost around $20 for 50, while blank CDs cost about $40 for 50 (base on same brand from same store, cheaper of both are available).

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    10. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by WhoBeDaPlaya · · Score: 1

      Overclock that C2D and watch it utterly trounce the X2 ;)

    11. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by Enderandrew · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or conversely, overclock the X2 as well. I've got about a 15% overclock on mine, on air, without really pushing it, and that is on a cheap motherboard that doesn't offer my much in the way of options.

      I've seen the 2.0 Ghz X2 go up to 3.0 Ghz on air cooling alone. If you're giving the benefit of overclocking to one, you have to give it to the other.

      And one only costs five times as much as the other.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    12. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by Auntie+Virus · · Score: 2, Informative

      while blank CDs cost about $40 for 50 WTF? Where are you buying these? Staples??? 50 Good quality White printable 700MB CDRs are $9.99 CDN where I shop.
      --
      Why yes, I *AM* new here. Why?
    13. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

      Technically speaking, if it were always about price vs performance, we'd all be running last generation AMD's, using CD-R's and the like. In reality, you don't pay proportionally more for extra performance, you pay EXPONENTIALLY more.
      Almost right. Price/performance ratio is king -- up until you need the extra performance. Also note that when talking about price/performance ratio, we need to include ALL performance factors in that ratio, not just speed. Capacity is part of the PPR of storage devices.

      I don't agree about the CD-Rs, though. Price/performance, DVD-Rs are much, much better than CD-Rs and not even in the same league as HDDs or other media.
    14. Re:Price / Performance isn't always king by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      They are likely selling those at a loss to get you into the store. It's 21 cent levy on a blank,non-audio, CD. Just the levy on those disks would cost $10.50. I've seen deals like that myself, and often wonder if they are illegal or something, because they cost less than the actual levy. Anyway, like I said, cheaper disks are available, I just had those names easily accesible from a major retailer on disks from the same manufacturer.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  6. I simply see market for a hybrid drive by poeidon1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    which utilizes both SSD and a mechanical disk to get the best of both worlds in a way similar to processor caches L3 >> L2 >> L1. Ofcourse, current drives already use buffering but the buffer data gets lost when the drive is switched off.

    --
    They called me mad, and I called them mad, and damn them, they outvoted me. -Nathaniel Lee
    1. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by poeidon1 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Just found out that hybrid drives are already in the market. http://www.engadget.com/2007/03/07/samsungs-hybrid-hard-drive-hhd-released-to-oems/

      --
      They called me mad, and I called them mad, and damn them, they outvoted me. -Nathaniel Lee
    2. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by bennomatic · · Score: 1

      This appears to be just a flash cache. See my post above about a real hybrid. Gigs, not MBs of flash, smart storage of read-only vs. high-volume read-write data. That would be cool.

      The one you linked to is really just about reliability, as the cache doesn't go away if there's a sudden power loss. It's definitely got its niche, but with only 256MB, it's not a groundbreaking SSD device.

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
    3. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is an example of a MEMS based hybrid drive: http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/rd/443/vettiger.html

    4. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by poeidon1 · · Score: 1

      yes 256 MB is small but this drive is in market since 2007.......and its not a falsh cache. The data stays there and visa uses it for fast boot up.

      --
      They called me mad, and I called them mad, and damn them, they outvoted me. -Nathaniel Lee
    5. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by mlts · · Score: 3, Informative

      Vista offers a spec to drive makers called the ReadyDrive, or a hybrid hard disk which combined some flash memory with a mechanical hard disk, to allow the drive to immediately write contents somewhere permanent, which boosts performance and allows the drive to schedule the optimum way to write out data as opposed to writing one chunk, waiting for the platter to spin around for another segment, then back to the first.

      The only hybrid drive I see is an 80 gig seagate though, although there are likely more offerings.

    6. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by irc.goatse.cx+troll · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Someone else posted something similar and to both of you I say: Why does this have to be a single drive? Why can't you do this today with 1 high storage drive(or raid) and 1 ssd?

      Obviously you'd need to write some good software to get full use of it, but the same is true for an all in one with any intellligence (i.e logfiles are low-use but deserve to be on solid state since it means not spinning up the disk for idle activity)

      It's not too different from the old scene setup of /archive on a multi-tb slow IDE raid and /incoming on a superfast scsi disk of only 100gb or so.

      New release comes out, it hits /incoming as fast as it can and everyone else rushes to grab it, all getting use of the fast disk. After a week demand drops dramatically as most people that want it already have it so it hits the slow but large storage.

      No reason you couldn't do similar on a desktop with one "fast&small" and one "slow&large". It's all about being able to define what goes where, and preferably having software take care of that for you.

      --
      Pain lasts, kid. Its how you know you're alive. Sometimes I think this growing up thing is just pain management-TheMaxx
    7. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by edalytical · · Score: 1

      Seagate also makes a hybrid hard drive.

      ps why would you link to engadget?

      --
      Win a signed Stephen Carpenter ESP Guitar from the Deftones: http://def-tag.com/?r=0008781
    8. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by IKnwThePiecesFt · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure on the details, but I know the Asus U6S was sold with a 160gb hybrid hard drive that was supposedly half SSD and half magnetic platter. I can't find any details confirming or denying if that's what they meant or not.

    9. Re:I simply see market for a hybrid drive by Znork · · Score: 1

      It's all about being able to define what goes where, and preferably having software take care of that for you.

      Yep. Like RAM caches.

      Personally, at home, my current need for fast, low latency disk is in the range of maybe 4-8 GB; the commonly used os and swap areas for 3 systems. The rest is bulk storage; latency doesn't really matter and the speed of any disk made in the last decade is good enough.

      As I've stuck my physical disks in a couple of servers and share them out over gigabit iSCSI, increasing performance is as simple as dumping more RAM in the servers and/or striping the performance demanding parts. I find the SSD's available today completely uninteresting as they offer neither the performance of RAM or the price/performance of disk.

  7. Re:2TB Hard Drive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I've told you a million times not to exaggerate...

  8. Summary and article fail at simple comparisons.... by NewbieProgrammerMan · · Score: 2, Informative

    A 128GB SSD costs $460, or $3.58 per gigabyte, compared to $60 for a 160GB hard drive...

    Is it that fucking hard to include the cost per gigabyte of the current hard drives ($0.375/GB for the example given)? Why quote one $/GB figure if you can't be bothered to include the other?
    --
    [b.belong('us') for b in bases if b.owner() == 'you']
  9. Analysts are dumb by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 3, Interesting

    SSD will never reach parity with hard disks because of the economics of spinning disk storage. Yes folks, a 160GB drive costs $60.

    SAMSUNG Spinpoint F1 HD103UJ 1TB 7200 RPM SATA 3.0Gb/s Hard Drive - OEM. Cache: 32MB. Form Factor: 3.5". $184.99

    Seagate Barracuda 7200.11 ST31000340AS 1TB 7200 RPM SATA 3.0Gb/s Hard Drive - OEM. Cache: 32MB. Form Factor: 3.5". $209.99

    Next year these will be 4TB, 8TB, 16TB? $100-$200 range. Call me on it; by December 2009 (i.e. in 2009, next year) it'll happen. Where will we see the SSD price point?

    1. Re:Analysts are dumb by Detritus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What happens when the engineers run out of bright ideas to increase the storage density on magnetic media? Magnetic domains can only get so small before they become unstable.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    2. Re:Analysts are dumb by Serge_Tomiko · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Assuming past performance is indicative of future performance is a classic FAIL of analysts of all types.

      You have no idea what the future will hold. With the rising costs of metal, disk technology may one day become as expensive and obsolete as 4,000 pound solid steel cars are today.

      Economics can and do change every day. Keep an open mind.

    3. Re:Analysts are dumb by Enderandrew · · Score: 1

      People said CDs would never come down in price significantly to be as disposable as floppies. Blank DVDs would never come as close in price as blank CDs.

      SSDs launched in the $2000 price mark from what I saw, and now can be had for less than $500. The price will likely decrease faster on SSDs than HDDs since SSDs are newer. The price gap will shrink enough that people will migrate for the benefits of SSDs.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    4. Re:Analysts are dumb by maxume · · Score: 1

      Never say never. Capacity/dollar is increasing faster for flash than it is for spinning disk. If the trends stay where they are, somewhere in the future, the lines cross. Not next year, probably not the year after that, or the year after that, but somewhere out there.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    5. Re:Analysts are dumb by rrohbeck · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually there are reasons why SSDs may catch up to rotating disks:

      1. Rotating disks get closer to physical limits and designers are planning for some big technology changes that will have an effect on cost. Check out Mark Kryder's video presentation on future disk technologies at CMU (I don't have the URL handy.)

      2. SSD technology can go up with Moore's law for the foreseeable future.

      3. We're getting to the point where SSDs reach practical sizes. I don't need 1TB in my laptop - I could live with 64GB quite well (I only have 120GB right now.) So, in a year or two I can probably get an SSD for my typical usage pattern at a decent price. At that point the volume for SSDs will grow dramatically and rotating disks will be used mostly for very large capacity and/or very low $/GB. Less profitable => fewer engineering dollars => slower density growth. Just what happened to tape a decade ago.

    6. Re:Analysts are dumb by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The same can be said of NAND. A single DRAM chip might hold 1/8GiB, or 128MiB. A single NAND chip of the same area can hold more, with a MicroSD holding some 4GiB. Hitachi's perpendicular storage might increase density by 4 or 8 times, or more; imagine a 2TiB disk and then you have 8 or 16TiB.

    7. Re:Analysts are dumb by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      With SSD being slower too, right? 0mS seek, 32MB/s transfer; versus 8mS seek, 280MB/s transfer (and we're expecting 600MB/s transfer in SATA3).

    8. Re:Analysts are dumb by amyhughes · · Score: 3, Insightful

      For the majority of people 4TB, 8TB and 16TB are no more useful than 128GB. So, cost/capacity improvements in spinning discs will be relevant to a smaller and smaller number of people.

    9. Re:Analysts are dumb by DeathCarrot · · Score: 1

      Hitachi's perpendicular storage might increase density by 4 or 8 times, or more; imagine a 2TiB disk and then you have 8 or 16TiB. Hasn't perpendicular recording been the norm for the past couple of generations already? I remember the first ones came soon after the kerrazy Hitachi flash anim (with the singing and dancing and all that), and nowadays pretty much all of the large capacity drives are "getting perpendicular".

      Here's the anim btw. I'd forgotten how incredibly cheesy it was =D
    10. Re:Analysts are dumb by rrohbeck · · Score: 2, Informative

      There are several SSDs with >100MB/s transfer rate available today, the transfer rate will go up with Moore's law too (as opposed to hard drive transfer rates) and there are architectural possibilities too (running more chips in parallel.) And those hard drive transfer rates are only applicable when you do linear transfers, as everybody with a fragmented drive found out the hard way. As opposed to SSDs, where it doesn't matter because of zero seek time.
      Finally, the interface has nothing to do with the recording technology. SSDs and HDs use the same interfaces.

    11. Re:Analysts are dumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could live with 64GB quite well (I only have 120GB right now.) So, in a year or two I can probably get an SSD for my typical usage pattern at a decent price.
      Probably sooner than that...you can get a 60GB SSD today for just over $400 and a 120GB SSD can currently be had for just over $600. Last year, a 64GB drive cost $2000 and that was the largest capacity available. At the rate things are changing, it's a pretty safe bet that we'll see the 60GB-ish range fall below $300 less than 1 year from now.
    12. Re:Analysts are dumb by the+brown+guy · · Score: 1

      We're getting to the point where SSDs reach practical sizes. I disagree, because as storage capacity rises, so does the amount of data stored. When I upgraded from a 20 gb hard drive to a 500 gb one, I started leaving downloaded movies/music on the hard drive instead of always transferring to DVD-Rs, hooked up a security camera that records the video to my hard drive, and I can finally download HD movies and have them fit on my HD :). Plus, there is so much porn unwatched....
      --
      Orbis terrarum est non altus satis
    13. Re:Analysts are dumb by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Next year these will be 4TB, 8TB, 16TB? $100-$200 range. Call me on it; by December 2009 (i.e. in 2009, next year) it'll happen. Where will we see the SSD price point? I'm pretty sure I can call bullshit already. 1TB drives were introduced mid 2007, and nobody has even gotten past that yet. Seagate is issuing a 2TB press release about "next year", which I assume will be some kind of five-platter juggernaut since we're at 320-350MB/platter now, and 5*400MB (or 4*500MB if lucky in late 2009) doesn't sound entirely unlikely next year. in reality though platter density is increasing very, very slowly compared to SSD development, which is rapidly increasing in capacity, performance and production volume while declining sharply in price. 4-16TB by end of next year? 1TB+ platter density? Man, whatever you're smoking must be good...
      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    14. Re:Analysts are dumb by grumbel · · Score: 1

      SSD will never reach parity with hard disks It doesn't have to. Most uses don't need 1TB, even less 4TB or 16TB, storage is quickly reaching the point where you simply don't need more. Simple example would be MP3 players, 1TB gives you a full year of non-stop audio in good quality, who is ever going to listen to all of that or even collecting that much music in the first place? Most people just don't have a use for that much storage in an MP3 player, they are more then happy with 10GB and if size is becoming a non-issue other things get much more important like robustness, power usage and stuff like that. Another thing to keep in mind is that spinning disks seem to have a upper pricecap. I can get 1TB for $200, but I can't get 1GB for $0.20 or 10GB for $2. The cheapest spinning disk always seems to be around $50, size might increase, but the price will not go down. For some applications however $50 is just to much and SSD seems to have much less issue with scaling down into much lower price regions, which is why you don't see a spinning disk in the OLPC, the Eee or Apples cheaper iPod variants.

      A few years down the road I fully expect to have a SSD in my computer, for larger storage and archival I might still have an additional spinning disk attached, but for daily use (OS, /home) even something small like 100GB would be plenty.
    15. Re:Analysts are dumb by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I worked with the OLPC people a while, they really wanted an unbreakable machine so went with raw NAND.

      EeePC with a 20GB hard disk is cheaper than with a 4GB solid state.

      Apple's iPod Nano 4GB outpriced the 30GB of its time, while the 30GB used a spinning disk.

    16. Re:Analysts are dumb by xehonk · · Score: 1

      280MB/s transfer speed? Sounds like the link speed, not the actual read performance. Consumer level harddrives reach maybe 80MB/s. And speeding up SSD transfer speeds is just a matter of striping, thanks to the non existing seek time.

    17. Re:Analysts are dumb by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Yes, but you're unusual. Pretty much by definition, most slashdotters are.

      Consider the spread of wireless access points and such. Online storage systems allowing you to rent terabytes of storage on the cheap.

      When I last worked on my family machines, they were all sitting at least 80% empty.

      64GB is still a number of movies, lots and lots of music, etc... For the more 'normal' user.

      If you consider the way flash has been getting cheaper and capacities increasing, in a couple years you'd be looking not at a 64GB SSD for $500 , but a 256GB SSD for $125. Going by the same trends, we might have 1TB 2.5" drives, running the same price. The SSD drive will be faster(on average), more shock resistant, and use less power. Much like the 10k RPM drives people were putting in their alienware machines. Less capacity, more cost, but they sell.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    18. Re:Analysts are dumb by WuphonsReach · · Score: 1

      Hitachi's perpendicular storage might increase density by 4 or 8 times, or more; imagine a 2TiB disk and then you have 8 or 16TiB.

      Um... those 750GB and 1TB drives that have been selling for the last 12-18 months? Those are already using Perpendicular Recording. All of the Barracudas since 7200.10 are PR drives.

      The expectation is that PR only gets you about a 4-5x increase in density over the older longitudinal recording. So if you could get a 500GB drive in the old days, that puts the upper limit at between 2-4TB down the road for a 3.5" form factor hard drive. Probably closer to 4TB theoretical if Seagate is able to finally ship a 2TB production drive.

      And I'm betting, that like the OLD 500GB drives which had 4-6 platters in them, those 3-4TB drives will also end up with 4-6 platters inside. Which is a bad thing, because it means lots of energy required to spin them up along with increased heat generation.

      (I'm not sure if there is anything past perpendicular recording in the pipeline. The old GMR technology never achieved its theoretical maximum either, or else we would have seen 1-2TB drives without the need to shift over to PR drives.)

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    19. Re:Analysts are dumb by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      P.S. I found the Mark Kryder video about magnetic recording technology (1 hour 22 minutes):
      http://www.ece.cmu.edu/news/seminar/2007/fall/kryder_11_29_07.asx

    20. Re:Analysts are dumb by Znork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I see you're not fighting with the wife and kids over whose material gets to stay on the PVR...

    21. Re:Analysts are dumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I could live with 64GB quite well (I only have 120GB right now.)

      My N800 has had 16GB in it since last year. It's just a SDHC card in the internal slot :-) I wish someone would make a SATA device that has multiple SDHC slots....
    22. Re:Analysts are dumb by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You think it's so easy to time hundreds of traces on 12MB/s write 19MB/s read chips so that you can parallel read say 10 of them into a high-speed I/O buffer for 200MB/s ....

  10. $460 for 128G SSD? Hell Yeah! by StCredZero · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'd buy a $460 128 gigabyte SSD in a laptop. Not to long ago these options were about $1000. If you do this right (and often it's been done wrong) you get better performance, much longer battery life, and enhanced reliability. With the right software monitoring of repeated writes, you could also know about hard drive failures coming in advance. That's fantastic, in my book. $460 is still a tad high, but I'd bite.

  11. 3 to 4 years to match reliability? by Xest · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Christ, as if existing standard hard drives aren't unreliable enough already.

    It's not unrealistic to see 1 out of every 10 to 20 (well, 1 in every 3 if you use Maxtors :p) modern IDE/SATA drives fail within 3 years as is, they already have a pretty high failure rate.

    I thought one of the major advantages of SSDs was their reliability or is that simply not the case? are they really so unreliable currently?

    One of my biggest dislikes of hard drives in general is reliability, I want to be sure my hard drive wont just not work one day leaving me without my files and backing up is one of those necessary evils as is. I build RAID in to all my machines nowadays with redundancy but I still feel like I'm getting screwed having to buy multiple disks and only get a portion of the total storage.

    Would it be nice to be able to save files one day on a standard consumer system and be guaranteed they'll always be there the next without ever needing to back them up and without having to buy at least twice as many drives for redundancy.

    1. Re:3 to 4 years to match reliability? by afidel · · Score: 1

      I don't know about SATA drives as I only have a few in my datacenter but our Seagate SCSI/SAS drives have a failure rate of about .5% per year, that's pretty damn low.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    2. Re:3 to 4 years to match reliability? by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Reliability isn't driven by technology, it's driven by cost and customer expectations. I worked with disk drives for years, and the main reason why drives would fail were cheap components (motors, bearings, heads...) and short time-to-market. It would be easy to make more reliable disk drives at slightly higher cost and slightly reduced performance, but if it will be totally obsolete in 3 years, why bother to make it last longer? And 1 to 3% AFR are accepted in the industry so nobody wants to pay more for a more reliable drive.
      What I like about SSDs is that you have multiple chips and only the interface is a single point of failure. So, it shouldn't be cost prohibitive to do RAID 5 inside the drive between multiple banks of Flash.

    3. Re:3 to 4 years to match reliability? by WuphonsReach · · Score: 1

      What I like about SSDs is that you have multiple chips and only the interface is a single point of failure. So, it shouldn't be cost prohibitive to do RAID 5 inside the drive between multiple banks of Flash.

      Still better to do RAID outside of the individual drives. It's a lot easier to replace whole drives when they fail rather then individual chips inside a drive.

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    4. Re:3 to 4 years to match reliability? by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Yup, but then you'll have N-1 times the capacity and N times the cost, space and power consumption of one SSD. That's more than I want in my laptop.
      Current SSDs have (wild guess) between 8 and 32 Flash chips, so adding one wouldn't drive the cost up much and you'd have a much more reliable drive.
      And as long as the RAID stays intact you can do data recovery if the drive breaks.

  12. Re:2TB Hard Drive by Penguinisto · · Score: 2, Informative
    Heh - I remember when Micropolis (yeah, I'm old, deal with it) sold 9 Gigabyte HDD's that were twice as tall to (IIRC) hold one hell of a tall stack of platters in it. It ran somewhat warm-ish if you really beat the crap out of it, but otherwise it wasn't much noisier or hotter than the 360MB (not "G", "M") disks that were out around the same time. The only real PITA was getting it to play nice with the other hardware.



    I remember my long-former managers happily paying nearly $10k each, for the damned things...

    /P

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  13. We would disagree by postbigbang · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Spinning hard disks will go the way of tubes in ten years, more likely faster than that. Scaling the manufacturing up will drive SSD drive costs down. There are long-life reasons why:

    - SSDs aren't as vibration sensitive (both will not take a bullet, but only SSD can likely survive a normal drop of 2M on to concrete)
    - SSDs don't have the temperature/altitude constraints
    - SSDs don't have latency and no rise/shutdown time for green needs, in fact, they use hardly any power at all
    - SSDs are generally faster, although there are algorithms needed in flash to prevent bucket overuse because reads are almost infinite, but writes are not
    - SSDs take less in terms of precious metals and present fewer QA problems
    - No electromechanicals to wear out.

    The price point? Going down. It's an obvious solution to a long time problem. Magnetic versus flash storage will tend to favor flash, as magnetism decays sooner than flash will-- when flash is written to correctly.

    --
    ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    1. Re:We would disagree by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2, Informative

      Tubes are in the expensive high-end hi-fi stuff (as well as some interesting transformer stuff-- because a 1:1.14 transformer winding can transfer a crisp clear square wave while a 1:3 will round and distort it), and are extremely important for building a good guitar amp. Classic rock versus modern day stuff, listen to something like ZZTop or Hendrix and you'll hear tubes. When they play soft it's clean or a little fuzzed; hard and loud and it becomes dirty. That essential sensitivity of a blues amp is something that can't be accurately modeled either (even variations in tube plate structure drastically change the type of overdrive).

      The price point of spinning disks goes down way faster than SSDs. Not to mentions SSDs can't keep up with long, sequential reads versus a good spinning disk (caveat: a good 8-channel SSD can do 128MB/s; you will have severe trouble implementing this).

    2. Re:We would disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Are you sure? Hard drives have had a tremendous amount of money invested to make them tough and effecient.

      - SSDs aren't as vibration sensitive (both will not take a bullet, but only SSD can likely survive a normal drop of 2M on to concrete)

      My new Seagate drive is rated for 300G (non-operating) maximum shock versus 1500G for a Samsung SSD I have. Either will survive much better than the laptop surrounding it so the fact that a SSD may survive a larger drop is a moot point. The drive in my last laptop survived a 12' drop onto concrete so I don't buy the argument that that is a selling point for a SSD.

      - SSDs don't have the temperature/altitude constraints

      My new Seagate laptop drive advertises that it is capable of operation from 0 to 60 degrees Celsius. That's better than the specs on the Corsair USB key I have in my pocket.

      - SSDs don't have latency and no rise/shutdown time for green needs, in fact, they use hardly any power at all

      My old Seagate used 0.6W at idle versus 0.32W at idle for the Samsung SSD I replaced it with. It didn't make a measureable difference to the battery life and using 50% of the power doesn't cound as "hardly any." It was not worth the money especially considering the loss of capacity and speed.

      - No electromechanicals to wear out.

      One laptop Seagate drive I found specs for had a 1 million hour MTBF versus the 2 million hour MTBF for my Samsung SSD. It's not that big of a difference in practical usage. Wearing-out a harddrive just isn't a concern unless you manage a lot of drives or keep computers for a long time.

      While for some people the reduced physical size of SSD's will make them successful, for most people the desire for more space will ensure that magnetic drives won't go the way of tubes for a long time.

    3. Re:We would disagree by postbigbang · · Score: 1

      Uh, no. Tubes were once used in almost every radio and TV set before transistors, and then integrated circuits. I'm not talking about audio-frequency rise-time characteristics to transformers in push-pull circuits.

      We're talking about spindles balancing platters at 15Krpm and slower, attempting to over a long life cycle, correctly position a head over a platter using the Bernoulli Effect to prevent skinning the magnetic substrate of the platter.

      Tubes aren't electro-mechanical, while drives are.

      And I have a couple of old RCA 6L6GC matched pairs sitting on my shelf next to the 1-bit IBM-pull ring tubes. Then there's the 16GB flash drive in my computer, dangling like some sort of pack of chewing gum. Spinning disk drives had their place, and now SSD designs will supplant them. Digital is digital, and so analog references aren't much use here.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    4. Re:We would disagree by Jorophose · · Score: 1

      But the internet is a series of tubes and it's doing just fine. :)

    5. Re:We would disagree by Generic+Guy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      SSDs don't have latency and no rise/shutdown time for green needs, in fact, they use hardly any power at all

      While it's true, on average, they may use marginally less power, I think you'd be surprised at how much juice these SSDs can use up. Typical hard drives use most of their power spinning up the platter, and then momentum helps keep them going at a lower draw. SSDs also have a tendency to get rather warm, along with the CPU and RAM chips inside the machine. Overall, I still think SSDs are preferable, considering I'm currently filling out an RMA for my second dead HDD in a month.

      Personally, for me I find the biggest selling feature for SSD to be the beautious lack of noise, the lack of seek whine or odd ticking you often get with HDDs. I'd happily pay a bit of premium just because of that! (MMmmmm - a dead silent Home Theater PC or perhaps an incredibly quiet replacement TiVo drive.)

      --
      { - Generic Guy - }
    6. Re:We would disagree by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Yes, solid state replaced tubes in low-end, cheap and compact devices. Tubes are the highest land of hi-fi however, followed by MOSFET/JFET (which operates like a tube) and then by BJT transistor op-amps (which suck). (Technically any amplifier is an op-amp, even a complete preamp/power amp vacuum tube circuit).

      You're right that tubes are orders of magnitude simpler than hard drives. My point is you can't just discount an "old" technology for something new; the new stuff has its own problems.

    7. Re:We would disagree by postbigbang · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Were it new.... but flash has been around for a while. Write-cycle fatigue is well known, as are the work-arounds. As ROM, it's unmatched. As RAM, it's defeatable, but the defeats are the crux of many patents, and it's a patent war that will ensue, for a while.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    8. Re:We would disagree by Chirs · · Score: 1

      Some points to ponder...

      1) The SSD can take the G forces while operating.

      2) Good quality SSD drives are rated for 0-85C, you can also get industrial ones rated for -40-85C

      3) Power usage under load is much less, and bandwidth is higher. Good for a high performance server that doesn't need a lot of space.

    9. Re:We would disagree by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      The key point you missed is that solid state always goes down, and always faster than mechanical devices. Combined with the way economies of scale are easier to take advantage of in solid state, it's only a matter of time before the prices are negligible for any reasonable size of drive.

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    10. Re:We would disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      - SSDs aren't as vibration sensitive (both will not take a bullet, but only SSD can likely survive a normal drop of 2M on to concrete) Ha. I've dropped a 3,5" HD to the floor from over 2 meters and it's working fine. (I was a bit surprised though..)
    11. Re:We would disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2M? 2 megas of what? If you mean meters, it's 2 m

    12. Re:We would disagree by postbigbang · · Score: 1

      Think meters.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    13. Re:We would disagree by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      Spinning hard disks will go the way of tubes in ten years You mean MP3s will 'sound warmer' if you play them from hard disks?
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    14. Re:We would disagree by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Yes, solid state replaced tubes in low-end, cheap and compact devices.


      And, you know, computers, regardless of whether they are "low-end, cheap, and compact" or high-end supercomputers.

    15. Re:We would disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Magnetic versus flash storage will tend to favor flash, as magnetism decays sooner than flash will-- when flash is written to correctly."

      This depends on many factors having to due with the physics of the storage and is not a simple one way or the other statement. In order to get capacity up for both mediums, the energy stored in a bit of information needs to go down. This means they both become more vulnerable to thermal noise (aka the random electrical and magnetic fields generated due to the temperature of the substance).

      However, your basic premise is correct. Everyone in the industry can see the writing on the wall with respect to flash. I've seen a lot of people leaving HDD for flash startups.

    16. Re:We would disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you sure? Hard drives have had a tremendous amount of money invested to make them tough and effecient.

      - SSDs aren't as vibration sensitive (both will not take a bullet, but only SSD can likely survive a normal drop of 2M on to concrete)

      My new Seagate drive is rated for 300G (non-operating) maximum shock versus 1500G for a Samsung SSD I have. Either will survive much better than the laptop surrounding it so the fact that a SSD may survive a larger drop is a moot point. The drive in my last laptop survived a 12' drop onto concrete so I don't buy the argument that that is a selling point for a SSD. Pop quiz: what's more valuable, your laptop or your data? (My vote is on the data, yours should be too!)

      - SSDs don't have the temperature/altitude constraints

      My new Seagate laptop drive advertises that it is capable of operation from 0 to 60 degrees Celsius. That's better than the specs on the Corsair USB key I have in my pocket. Reliability of spinning drives varies with temperature, significantly. I don't think you'll like what happens if you consistently run that drive at 1C for 5 years.

      - SSDs don't have latency and no rise/shutdown time for green needs, in fact, they use hardly any power at all

      My old Seagate used 0.6W at idle versus 0.32W at idle for the Samsung SSD I replaced it with. It didn't make a measureable difference to the battery life and using 50% of the power doesn't cound as "hardly any." It was not worth the money especially considering the loss of capacity and speed. Power usage when the system is doing nothing isn't meaningful. You should investigate the watts per operation, which is really where SSDs shine, and in turn, that should significantly increase battery life when you're doing things with your laptop, as opposed to pondering how long it'll stay in sleep mode before the battery dies.
    17. Re:We would disagree by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Computers aren't hi-fi audio devices; and they only have a pre-amp. You can power amp a computer through tubes (hell, there's a motherboard that uses a pair of 12AX7 tubes for two-channel preamping)

    18. Re:We would disagree by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Computers aren't hi-fi audio devices


      Correct. The statement upthread that this relates to was that spinning hard disks are heading the way of tubes. You've gotten all caught up in the fact that tubes are still used in a narrow range of specialist applications rather than the wide array of applications for which they have been displaced by solid-state electonics as if that showed that the statement upthread were incorrect or at least not significant. It doesn't: in fact, its perfectly consistent with the message it was making, that spinning hard disks are likely to be displaced from general use by SSDs.

    19. Re:We would disagree by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Right, but I believe for mass storage (colloquial, not technical; 512M is mass storage technically...), you can't approach the price of a hard disk. Your 2TB porn collection or 80 gigs of music or 500 gigs of ripped DVDs won't go on solid state in a reasonable price range. Eventually it'll be like, why rip CDs at less than -q10? We have 50TiB of disk! 572kbit/s! :D

    20. Re:We would disagree by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Right, but I believe for mass storage (colloquial, not technical; 512M is mass storage technically...), you can't approach the price of a hard disk.


      Well, sure, you can't today; if you could, SSDs would already have displaced HDDs. Over the long-term, though, SSDs are improving (capacity:cost) faster than HDDs, and are likely to continue to do so for some time.
  14. SSDs will probably take over in the consumr market by m.dillon · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For two reasons. First and foremost, low power consumption. Secondly, we have already passed the sweet spot in the storage capacity needed for the applications most people run, particularly on laptops. Add to that the fact that current HD form factors are an extremely good fit for SSD units, and the writing is on the wall.

    So what will happen is pretty obvious. Laptops are going to push SSD storage into the mainstream, giving it the critical mass needed to start the research bandwagon rolling, and 5-10 years after that happens hard drives will become the 'new' tape storage and most production systems will be using SSDs.

    Even more pointedly, with power costs being the premium concern for data centers these days, and the hard drive being the only thing left in the computer that can't be engineered down to near 0 power consumption when idle (short of spinning it down, which has its own problems), my expectation is that large commercial concerns will see a huge cost benefit to using SSD storage despite the higher front-end cost of purchasing it.

    -Matt

  15. Tricky miss by symbolset · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The false dichotomy is that it's an either/or thing.

    There will be SSD components with high speed and low power and their price/GB will decrease very quickly. Largest capacities will always be expensive. For a long time they will cost more than magnetic media, but it probably won't always be so. Their speed and reliability will improve as vendors build out the drive intelligence that abstracts the physical media from the logical media and parallelize atomic access with internal RAID to compensate for the slowness of individual cells. These products will sell to users who are interested in their benefits and the manufacturers will make lots of money. Ultimately the speed of random reads and writes of SSD media will be limited only by the interface as solid state components are "always on" and each block of data is as accessible as any other.

    Magnetic media will continue to drop in price as well. As storage increases today's hard drives will find their way to the recycling center in record time. The optimal price/performance will continue to improve as will maximum capacity. Speed will not increase as much, particularly with random reads and writes, because the data is still stored on a rotating physical object and a physical read/write head must move to the correct track and wait for the data block to fly under the head before data can be read or written. These products will continue to sell well for a long time to users interested in their benefits and the manufacturers will continue to make lots of money.

    Both will be popular for a long time. There are other technologies in the works also.

    Ultimately at 60MB/s it takes 1,000,000 seconds (11.5 days) to write 60tB to a (currently theoretical) rotating platter drive. At 6tB/second (interface TBA) it takes 10 seconds to write the same data to a solid state device. The ultimate winner in this one is clear, but it will be a long time.

    Let me be the first to say: "that's a lot of porn."

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  16. Price sure, reliability?!?!!?!? by ziah · · Score: 1

    Hello, Can someone please explain to me how spinning drives are "more reliable" than SSDs? I mean the ONLY explanation I could give just that regular HDs have been used for so long, so we "know what to expect".... 'It will take three to four years for SSDs to come to parity with hard drives,' on price and reliability."

    1. Re:Price sure, reliability?!?!!?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It has to do with the SSD technology. You can only write so many times to a given area of the media before it becomes unusable. HDDs with temp files and such get written to quite a bit. A little usb pen drive could last a long time, but as a system drive they may fail much sooner. I imagine as they get more popular and improve over the years, any limitations will be engineered out.

  17. Oblig Simpsons by nxtr · · Score: 3, Funny

    Hutz: All right gentleman. I will take your case. But I will require a thousand dollar retainer.
    Bart: A thousand dollars. But your ad says "no money down".
    Hutz: Oh, they got this all screwed up. [corrects ad with felt-marker]
    Bart: So you don't work on a contingency basis?
    Hutz: No, money down. Oops, I shouldn't have the Bar Association logo here either.

  18. $460 for 128G SSD? Tell us where. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since when does any 128GB SSD cost only $460?! Taking a look at newegg, the cheapest 64GB SSD is 900 DOLLARS. Newegg only sells one 128GB SSD right now, and it is three grand.

        The analyst mentioned in the story apparently does not have her facts straight, or he/she was misquoted. The figure is off at least by a factor of four.

    1. Re:$460 for 128G SSD? Tell us where. by thogard · · Score: 1

      What I want is a RAID card that I can plug in a bunch of SD cards in 2.5 or 3.5 drive format. I don't think it would be a problem to build a board that would hold 8 and be in the same form factor as a 2.5" disk. Since you can pick up 8 16 gig cards for about $500 now, I think the $900 for a 64 gig ssd is way out of line.

    2. Re:$460 for 128G SSD? Tell us where. by jacquesm · · Score: 1

      very nice idea! Make it talk SDHC and you can 'upgrade' your drive as well when the next generation of SD cards comes out (say a 32 G card)

      Make it a 3.5" form factor and stick in 32 slots, just use the ones that you populate. At a slight angle like the ram on some older motherboards so you can slide them partially over each other would allow you to cram in even more of them.

  19. Hang on a second... by Xaroth · · Score: 1

    Where are they finding 128 GB SSD's for $460? The lowest price I've seen on these is around $3k ($3,049 at NewEgg, $2980 at eWiz). That puts the cost/GB at around $23.50/GB, give or take.

    I'd jump at the opportunity to buy one of those at that price, if only to turn around and sell it on eBay. :P

    1. Re:Hang on a second... by wxjones · · Score: 0

      I'm with you. I've been watching these prices for a while and my thought is when 8GB SSD is ~$100 the optimum Linux desktop will have an 8GB SSD for everything but /home, and two magnetic HDs at the optimum GB/$ for a RAID1 /home. This gives 60GB/s read speeds for /usr and swap and whatever capacity you need for user data (pr0n). I'm betting 12-18 months as an 8GB SSD is currently ~$200.

      --
      My SIG is a P226
    2. Re:Hang on a second... by jacquesm · · Score: 1

      I bought a 8G SD for about 45 euros yesterday (that's about 60 bucks or something like that).

  20. Re:2TB Hard Drive by WhoBeDaPlaya · · Score: 1

    Don't worry, I'm just getting out of grad school and I still have a couple of Micropolis drives running here :)

  21. I'd tap that. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'd buy a 10gig solid state drive, if you're looking for the performance gains then that's big enough for either one of these: XP install, vista install (maybe), Oblivion, Crysis, etc.

    I'd pay for a 30 gig SSD, I'm sure alot of other people would too.

  22. strange. I'd very much consider.... by CFD339 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...paying $400+ for a 128gb SSD to replace the standard sata drive in my laptop as long as the performance was truly better and the battery life was that much better.

    --
    The problem with quotes on the internet, is that nobody bothers to check their veracity. -- Abraham Lincoln
  23. Dashing the dreams of /.ers since 1999 by marxmarv · · Score: 2, Informative

    In fact, wouldn't it be great if the drive could be smart about it and--over time--identify files that were mostly read-only (iPhoto archives, MP3s) and migrate them to the flash storage area where fast, low-power reads would be a benefit. No. Actually, it'd be awful. The drive has absolutely no business knowing anything about filesystems. That's the OS's job, specifically delegated to the filesystem driver.

    It's not impossible to implement that functionality with a dumb SSD and HDD. The easy part is unionfs -- done. The hard part is determining with sufficient accuracy what files are unlikely to be written again -- a first cut could just consider some directories, MIME types and/or file extensions more or less likely to be rewritten than others. The ugly part: file metadata has to be present for both file sets at all times (or at least all directories which are split across both devices), metadata might be changed frequently, the HDD must be on for as little time as possible, and writing to flash must be avoided as much as possible. The only way to satisfy all those constraints is by reading and maintaining a complete write-back cache of the HDD's inodes and dirents in RAM at mount time, flushing dirty entries whenever the HDD spins up and writing through whenever the HDD is on. At 144 bytes apiece a cache for a typical homedir/archive disk could eat up a sizable chunk of RAM.

    While we're dreaming, database engines could even be optimized to read only from the SSD-portion of a hybrid drive if a particular data point had not been written to in over N minutes, or since the last collation (explained later), but would write to the platters, and then during quiet cycles, it could do a collation. The collation would move data which was on the platters, but which did not have a pattern of large volumes of writes back to the SSD volume. An equal amount of battery-powered RAM as cache and journal for a traditional HDD would under most real workloads beat RAM+SSD or HDD+SSD. If you really wanted to identify (manually or otherwise) cold tables and load them into flash SSDs, the database engine will probably still load and cache them in main memory anyway (costing all of a few extra milliseconds), and any RAM not used to cache those tables can be used to speed up temporary tables or for dynamic caching. (compare Amdahl's Law)

    And... I'd like a pony... NOT YOURS

    The usual structure of a storage hierarchy is that each level contains a fast, small subset of the next level. A consequence of this is that at the steady state the final level contains a complete copy of everything. Poor write endurance makes flash SSDs poor participators in this sort of hierarchy.
    --
    /. -- the Free Republic of technology.
    1. Re:Dashing the dreams of /.ers since 1999 by bennomatic · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your detailed response to my meanderings. But I still want a pony!

      --
      The CB App. What's your 20?
    2. Re:Dashing the dreams of /.ers since 1999 by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      The disk doesn't have to be aware of filesystems, it just has to be aware of blocks. For each block (or 128KB flash cell), keep a read count and reset it on every write to the block. When the read count exceeds a threshold, copy it to flash and update the controller to read from the flash instead of the disk. You would probably also use some of the flash as a write cache / journal - turn every sequence of writes into a linear write in flash and then play this back later to write to the disk.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  24. Re:2TB Hard Drive by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

    Yeah, well, we know that college students are poor and thus work with old, outdated, often donated equipment.

  25. Re:SSDs will probably take over in the consumr mar by Flamora · · Score: 1

    Working at a data center myself, I'd say that heat might be more of a concern than power, but SSD trumps existing platter-based media in that regard as well. Something that doesn't move is much cooler than a few platters spinning at 15,000 RPM, after all.

  26. Cost/IOs/s by treat · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For many applications, what matters is price per IO operations per second. Sometimes price per IO operations per second per U of rack space or per watt is what matters.

    Flash will beat hard drives there much sooner than it will beat hard drives in simple $/GB.

    Flash has fast reads and slow writes. Sun is promising flash drives with 25% of the space reserved for bad block remapping, and a huge amount of supercapacitor-backed write cache. They are promising to release this in SFF HD form factor with a SAS interface, and SO-DIMM form factor with a presumably proprietary interface.

    Even if Sun breaks its promise, as is typical for them, someone else will come out with the product.

  27. SSD Performance by DDumitru · · Score: 5, Informative

    is very dependent on the application. In particular it depends on the mix of linear vs random operations and the mix of reads and writes.

    For 100% read applications SSDs tend to be similar in performance to hard disks when reading linearly, and a lot faster than hard disks when reading randomly. This shows up in linear read speeds of 100 MB/sec for a typical Flash SSD which is "close" to a hard disk. For random 4K reads, Flash SSDs can stomp any hard disk. Most disks are in the 10,000 4K read IOPS range where 15K SAS drives are in the 250 range or 40x slower. So for applications that are 100% read SSDs can be as much as 40x faster, although the average is usually in the range of 15x to 20x.

    When you start writing to Flash things get interesting. Flash is really designed for large, linear, aligned, writes. With most drives, you can get maximum write throughput only if you write exactly aligned with the drives internal erase blocks. Thus you can write exactly 2 megabytes on exact 2 megabyte drive boundaries and get 100% of the theoretical write throughput of the drive. Unfortunately, no application acts like this, so you are at the mercy of the file system and Flash controller to turn your smaller, probably random, and probably mis-aligned writes into what the drive can handle. The net impact of this is that good Flash SSDs have 4K random write IOPS in the 120s which is 1/2 the speed of a 15K SAS drive. I have measured Flash SSD with 4K write IOPS with values like 135, 120, 64, 43, 24, 13, 4.0, and 3.3.

    This is why Flash SSD performance is so hard to judge. The random write performance can suck up the available "drive time" and dig a system deep into dirty buffer flushing. We talked with one Dell laptop user that described their system becoming "unusable" while an Outlook indexing operations was randomly updating a big file. Unusable in this case was 2+ minutes for to bring up task manager.

    These random writes also have a real impact on the wear of the drive. Every time you seek a write, you basically chew up a write/erase cycle, even if the write is only 4K long. If you look at a drive that claims 50 GB/day for 10 years, this is 50 GB of linear writes on exact erase block boundaries. If you write 4K randomly, the 50 GB really means 25,000 4K writes or 100 Megabytes of random writes.

    The solution to this is to not write randomly to the drive. There are file systems designed for Flash that address these issues. These are typically called "Log File Systems". Unfortunately, there is no generally available file system really designed for performance. In Linux the LogFS options are really tuned for small memory small storage systems and for hardware where the flash chips are directly accessible. They do help drive wear a lot, but they are just not tuned for Gigabytes of space or database crunching performance.

    Another solution is my companies product called MFT (Managed Flash Technology) which is a software block mapping layer that runs on the host. It gives you the random write performance benefits and wear benefits of a LogFS while allowing you to use whatever file system you wish. MFT was developed on 2.6 Linux and has been ported to Windows. With MFT, the same drives that do 25 4K random write IOPS usually measure over 10,000. The linear speed of the drive is still equal to a hard disk, but the random speed is now closer to symmetric with reads and writes. Thus jobs like updating databases can literally run 20x faster than the fastest hard disks.

    In the end, Flash SSDs will find specific markets initially. I can say with certainty that they won't get used for off-line backups or storing/edit large quantities of HD video. But give them databases or file systems with lots of small files, and they can really smoke a hard drive.

    1. Re:SSD Performance by JeffAMcGee · · Score: 1

      Flash is really designed for large, linear, aligned, writes.... Unfortunately, no application acts like this. I can think of one, but it is a bit of a stretch to call it an application:
      sudo dd if=sdb1 of=/dev/sdb1

      I currently have my /usr partition on a flash drive. I installed Ubuntu on the hard disk, and got everything working like I wanted. Then, I made an ext3 filesystem the size of the flash drive in a file named sdb1, and mounted it with -o loop. Next, I copied all the files in /usr to the flash drive and unmounted the file. Finally, I copied the image onto the flash drive.

      Starting programs is much faster now. It used to take around 30 seconds from when I logged in until Firefox opened, and now it takes around 17 seconds. Apt-get is the only program that should ever write to /usr, and it is of course quite a bit slower.
      --
      This sig cannot be proven true.
    2. Re:SSD Performance by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      Sounds good. Can't you open this tech up to 'casual' home users by making it cheaper? Maybe license it out to the bigger SSD producers like Samsung.

      Everyone would really gain that way.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    3. Re:SSD Performance by DDumitru · · Score: 2, Interesting

      We are constantly adjusting market positioning. There should be a "laptop" version for single drive usage at around $150 list. Check back with our website in about a week to see new stuff.

      Our pricing goals are to "follow the drives down", so as drives get cheaper we want our layer to follow them.

      And we have talked with Samsung and others (and will continue those conversations). Then again, you know how "really big companies" work.

  28. Re:SSDs will probably take over in the consumr mar by turing_m · · Score: 1

    SSDs will probably take over in the consumer market... For two reasons. First and foremost, low power consumption.
    I don't think there's that much difference. Laptop HDD are pretty efficient already - I have one for my NSLU2 and it uses approximately 2W at idle, tested. When writing or reading, it uses another 2W, but that's momentarily. Compare that with 0.4 Watts or so for SSD. And for something like the EEEPC, that uses 17Watts. So we are talking about 9% here. Of course, the more you can shrink the rest of the components, the more important this factor becomes.

    The most attractive features to my mind are the fast application/OS loading times, and shock survivability, at least for the portable market segment.

    --
    If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
  29. Get OFF my lawn! by HockeyPuck · · Score: 1

    Rack mountable storage? HAH...

    Unless you refer to it as DASD, you're just a kid. I cut my teeth on IBM 3370. http://www-03.ibm.com/ibm/history/exhibits/storage/storage_3370.html

    1. Re:Get OFF my lawn! by Detritus · · Score: 1

      I learned how to program on a RCA Spectra 70, which was a half-assed attempt by RCA to clone the IBM 360. Your choice in operating systems was DOS (disk operating system ) or TOS (tape operating system). With enough tape drives, and a large dose of masochism, you can get by without disk drives.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
  30. Time to stop treating them as disks. by Animats · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The next step is to stop treating them as "disks". We tolerate the library and OS overhead of getting to a block on a disk drive because access times on disks are so long. But solid state memory devices can be accessed in microseconds. We need a different model for these devices.

  31. Reliability? by Pinchiukas · · Score: 1

    Does this mean reliability will go down?

  32. Re:2TB Hard Drive by networkBoy · · Score: 1

    Somewhere I still have three Wren III *dual head* drives and a Micropolis...
    I still use the case that those four monsters were in (for those who should get off my lawn: Each was 1 5.25" full height drive (same as 2 cd-rom drives)). Difference is rather than storing an amazing 160*3+720MB (1.2GB Baby!), I now have 4 3 drive enclosures for a total capacity of 12TB (currently at 6), and if I wanted to do away with trays I could fit 20TB in the same space (but cooling would be a bitch).
    -nB

    --
    whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
  33. Re:SSDs will probably take over in the consumr mar by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

    The EeePC is a fairly high-power device by mobile standards. The CPU takes around 5W, while a 1GHz ARM chip takes under 250mW. The difference between an Intel CPU with a mechanical disk and an ARM CPU with a solid state disk is almost 1000%, which translates to a big difference in battery life for a portable device.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  34. Mac OS X already does that... by mario_grgic · · Score: 3, Informative

    With hot file adaptive clustering ( http://developer.apple.com/technotes/tn/tn1150.html#HotFile )

    Basically, read only often accessed files are moved to the zone on hard drive where the access to files is fastest.

    It would not be hard to adapt this behaviour to move the files onto SSD portion of the disk at all.

    --
    As the island of our knowledge grows, so does the shore of our ignorance.
  35. From the, excess comma, department by thegnu · · Score: 1

    GAAAAAAHHHHH!!! Please, if you're not going to use any articles, leave out the fucking commas. In fact, proof-read the titles.

    And, might, I add, SSD, 2TB HDDs make, my dick hard.

    --
    Please stop stalking me, bro.
  36. Read Write cycle limit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How come we never hear the fact that SSD is limited to 100k write cycles. Which makes it great for data retrieval but use it for something like swap space or browser cache and its going to die quick. I like thumb drives and all but all the hype that ssd's are the magic bullet confuses me or is this really just not a problem?

  37. Re:Summary and article fail at simple comparisons. by billcopc · · Score: 1

    Probably because the 160gb drive's $/GB figure doesn't look so great.

    Heck, I've bought 500gb drives for that price. Only problem was, they weren't Seagates.

    --
    -Billco, Fnarg.com
  38. toughbooks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US Army is already buying a bunch of toughbooks, from panasonic, for various field applications. I was surprised to find out the the toughbooks use solid state drives. Take that for what it's worth. As Robin Williams, in "Good Morning Vietnam," said, "If it's being done right, it's probably not being done by the US Army."

  39. Re:SSDs will probably take over in the consumr mar by geschild · · Score: 1

    I work as a sysadmin at an ICT department for several broadcasting organisations.

    We're seeing what media-storage needs we have right now and our department is making predictions on future storage needs based on the plans of these broadcasters. For this, admittedly niche, application SSD's won't do for many years to come. We're talking about 200TB+ of storage right now and expanding at an alarming rate.

    This becomes relevant at the consumer level as HDTV is gaining acceptance and consumers everywhere are embracing audio/video applications. Unless the network scales up, people will want to store those movies and whatnot on their home computers.

    Given the current problems ISP's seem to have with coping with the amounts of data streaming television is causing, (and we see this first hand in difficulties over interconnects and peering, being able to deliver over 25% of the total available interconnect bandwidth in concurrent video-streams :) it is very unlikely that local storage needs will wane the coming years. I see multi-TB at home becoming the norm and unike laptop-drives, these will be full to the brim with:
    - home videos (HD)
    - bluray movie rips
    - HD audio registrations
    - HD television recordings
    - etc.

    Google will make a killing in offering software to do meaningfull indexing on those amounts of home storage :)

    --
    Karma? What's that again?
  40. not mainstream by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) The SSD can take the G forces while operating. This is a stupid "advantage" that only the paranoid and ultra cautious care about. All this does is tell people they can be "rough" with the computer versus treating it carefully. Is that something manufacturers will want to support? Why would you want to encourage people to treat your product, that is under warranty, rougher than usual?

    "Watch! I can drop it and it still works! .... umm, why is the screen black."

    If you take out the most fragile piece in the system, then the next most fragile piece becomes the problem, like the video connection to the motherboard, the flimsy plastic case it's in, or the LCD. If you're dropping your computer, you've got more problems than just losing some data.

    Besides, "while operating?" In what instances do NORMAL people need to be using a laptop while being subjected to G-forces? Riding motorcycles? Rollercoasters?

    The advantages are niche, and not mainstream. People are using more space and want it cheaper. They don't want less space and more expensive as a trade off for features they don't rely upon.
  41. Recent Linux filesystesms tuned for gigs of flash by Jamie+Lokier · · Score: 1

    In Linux the LogFS options are really tuned for small memory small storage systems and for hardware where the flash chips are directly accessible. They do help drive wear a lot, but they are just not tuned for Gigabytes of space or database crunching performance.

    Corrections: There are Linux log filesystems tuned for gigabytes of flash now. Look up UBIFS and logfs. There is also a variant, I think of YAFFS, used by some database engine.
  42. Re:Recent Linux filesystesms tuned for gigs of fla by DDumitru · · Score: 1

    Current Flash SSDs act like flash but present a block interface. UBIFS appears to require raw flash access thru UBI and YAFFS 1&2 also expect to drive the flash directly.

    LogFS can use block devices but does not appear to be "production ready".

    I am sure that people will start paying attention to the new flash drives, both from the software and the controllers point of view. MFT has the advantage of working with the hardware and software that we have now. It is also doing some very unique things in terms of free space management, migrating user blocks into usage zones, controlling wearout rates of drives, etc. These are all things that our patent writes and lawyers have been careful to state in our patent paperwork. In fact, the whole flash arena is a minefield of patent stuff, so new flash FS work could get "interesting".

    You should also realize that MFT is targeted for hardware configurations that just did not exist a couple of years ago. Specifically, MFT assumes you are willing to burn quite a bit of kernel memory to make the storage run fast. This works out to about 1.2 MB/GB of usable storage. While this is 100% practical for "big servers" with performance critical database, and even quite reasonable for workstation and laptop usage, it is a show stopper for many embedded device environments.

    So at this point if you want 1TB of fast Flash SSD storage with good random write performance, you can use STEC Zeus IOPS drives on a EMC array for some wild price (probably approaching $500K) or regular Flash SSDs with our software layer. 1TB using the new 1000 series drive from Mtron would be:

        20 64GB SSDs $ 9,560
              Chassis $ 1,000
              Raid Ctrls $ 900
              MFT License $ 8,250
                                            -----
                                          19,710

    This is 18 drives raid-5 w/ 1 hot-spare. Performance is about 60,000 read IOPS and 50,000 4K write IOPS. Linear speeds on reads top out at 700 MB/sec. Basically you hit Linux raid and controller latency limits long before you saturate the drives. Usable space is 1036 GB in the configuration. The 1000 series is not quite shipping yet, so the largest array like this actually built was assembled by one of our resellers with 22 32GB Mtron 3000 series for about 500 GB of usable space. When you run benchmarks of these against "normal" drives, you get jaded very quickly.

  43. Flash memory wears out eventually by marxmarv · · Score: 1

    Current "high endurance" flash memory blocks are rated for a few million erase/write cycles. Run vmstat for a typical 24-hour period in your own system, assume perfectly level write cycles (neglecting the reality that file system metadata blocks will probably be written far more often and thus wear out quicker), and solve FlashCapacity*WriteCycles/BlockWritesPerDay to find out how long that would last at most.

    Flash is not battery-backed RAM, and really, battery-backed RAM is only a few times more expensive. Oh, and it writes about an order of magnitude faster.

    --
    /. -- the Free Republic of technology.
  44. Re:Recent Linux filesystesms tuned for gigs of fla by Jamie+Lokier · · Score: 1

    It would have to be fast for that kind of money. $20,000 for 1TB? A 1TB hard disk costs $200.

    Granted, I'm sure you're right and it probably is that fast. There's certainly a niche for it.

    (I have some relevant curiosity as I'm developing a database engine.)

    Your license seems rather expensive, but I'm not one of your customers. Still, it's a motivator for other developers to undercut you.

    From your basic description, it seems likely that UBI + BLKUBI (block driver over UBI) may give similar functionality to what you described but without the performance, because BLKUBI doesn't group 4k writes consecutively. (There are people using that combination in some embedded products in development now.)

    However, UBIFS + loop mount, or LogFS + loop mount, might get close in performance. Both of those present a block device which can be used by any filesystem, but underneath translate to a logged tree-structured filesystem.

    UBI is too slow at mounting huge drives, but LogFS is good for that.

    Does your system offer a significant difference from UBIFS/LogFS (containing a single file) + loop mount?

    I suspect BTRFS (similar to ZFS) will start getting good at this eventually. It's not aimed at flash right now, but it's a natural direction for a log-tree-structured filesystem to go in when SSDs become more popular. And it has better RAID than drive-level RAID in many ways.

  45. Re:Recent Linux filesystesms tuned for gigs of fla by DDumitru · · Score: 1

    It would have to be fast for that kind of money. $20,000 for 1TB? A 1TB hard disk costs $200.

    Granted, I'm sure you're right and it probably is that fast. There's certainly a niche for it.

    (I have some relevant curiosity as I'm developing a database engine.) 1TB of raid protected SSD for 20K was un-imaginable just a few years ago and without MLC commodity drives plus MFT it still a ways off now. Remember that 50,000 IOPS is 200 15K SAS drives. By the times you raid-10 them, put in controllers etc., and even if you "do it on the cheap" (ie from a SAN vendors this will cost a lot more), you are talking $80K and you only get 3.6TB out of this (200 raid-10 36GB drives). Lot of GBs at 100 IOPS is easy. When you need 1000 IOPS it gets a lot harder.

    Your license seems rather expensive, but I'm not one of your customers. Still, it's a motivator for other developers to undercut you. This is what we are selling at. Our licenses have actually come down over the last 6 months. Our policy is to follow the drive prices down. We also work with good reseller discounts. I also suspect that you don't have a lot of contact with the enterprise storage space. Things like a "volume management option" on your SAN can cost $10K. Remember that regular FC drives for EMC servers are 3x the "stock" drives cost because of the special firmware.

    Other developers will probably come along, but they need to be very careful. The whole area of Flash is a minefield of patents. We have been very careful to keep the scope of what we are doing compartmentalized. We also pay our lawyers very good money. Even though some platforms like Linux have the attitude of "that looks good, I can write it to", the business world does not work that way.

    From your basic description, it seems likely that UBI + BLKUBI (block driver over UBI) may give similar functionality to what you described but without the performance, because BLKUBI doesn't group 4k writes consecutively. (There are people using that combination in some embedded products in development now.)

    However, UBIFS + loop mount, or LogFS + loop mount, might get close in performance. Both of those present a block device which can be used by any filesystem, but underneath translate to a logged tree-structured filesystem. The layers hurt a lot, especially if you loop mount back to user space. We see overhead in raid controllers that hurt performance 30%. Remember that we are dealing with drives that have 40 uS latency on reads and arrays of drives that can hit you with 100 operations a timer tick.

    UBI is too slow at mounting huge drives, but LogFS is good for that. My reading on LogFS is that it can be very slow with large volumes as well. We mount at around 5 - 20 GB/sec depending on the drive layout.

    Does your system offer a significant difference from UBIFS/LogFS (containing a single file) + loop mount? I have not seen performance numbers of UBIFS or LogFS published. Our layer on top of a single drive tends to yield ~8000 4K random reads (which is drive dependent) and 4K random writes of around 10,000. Plus you have the benefit of using any file system with any file system feature that you wish.

    I suspect BTRFS (similar to ZFS) will start getting good at this eventually. It's not aimed at flash right now, but it's a natural direction for a log-tree-structured filesystem to go in when SSDs become more popular. And it has better RAID than drive-level RAID in many ways. Flash is quite "special". If you are really going to exploit it, you have to target everything you do on the write leg for flash. This means designing your code for absolutely zero random writes with allowable exceptions on mount/unmount.
  46. Re:Used as energy binders in Star Wars by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    Those platters turned up again mounted on a pod racer. This time right out in the open and not enclosed in a dust resistant area.

  47. Re: Redundancy required for stone tablets (RAST1) by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    In a story so old that most people know about it, they had to use RAST1 (redundant array of stone tablets mode 1 = mirror) because the manager in charge destroyed the first set of tablets, and substantial trouble was gone to replacing the lost data. The data happened to be an ordered list with only ten items on it, so a linear access method was efficient enough for most people. Later the RAST media were stored in a famous enclosure to prevent further damage or unauthorized disclosure. Unfortunately the enclosure was lost, or so we believe, unless it was stored in a large warehouse by the CIA. Use of this data became so commonplace that the items were generally referred to by name and not by number. But this dataset was commonly referred to by the size of the database and the data type of its entries.

  48. Re: 3370 came after 3350 by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    At Western Bancorp in El Segundo, we had a vast room filled with 3350's as far as the eye could see. They were attached to the VM/CMS systems (2 195's as I recall). We ran the airline control protocol for use in banking. IBM finance industry stuff...

  49. Re OK I want the game... by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    There I was with the reps from IBM at Boca Raton. I was porting the first word processor for the IBM-PC. We had a spare moment and I looked up and spoke with the manager. I said, "OK I want the game" He said, "You know about the game?". I said, "Yes". He said, "OK ,here it is, and he removed a floppy disk from his jacket pocket and gave it to me. It contained the 8088 dos port of the Adventure game (you know, xyzzy, and plough). He finaly asked how I found out about the game. I said, "No machine reaches this state of development without at least one game." A little social engineering on my part got me an early copy.

  50. Re: Ah yes Microdrives by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    They were a must have for trendy nerds. Although they used more power than flash devices, the cute little IBM drives (mine was 1GB) were a triumph of miniaturization and if I hadn't owned one, I might be denying they existed. I bought one to put in my Pocket PC. Unfortunately HP and Microsoft dropped support for the product, but I still have the drive. The state of the art right now for compact flash seems to be 8GB (I just bought one for my Tascam Portastud) and this obsoletes the 1GB device. Unfortunately the device is Type 2 and won't fit in my camera. In contrast though, the Microdrive (1GB ) is substantially more dense than the IBM Hard drive that attached to the 1620 system. It had a capacity to store 100x20K characters. I guest that would be 2 megabytes.

  51. Re: RAID5 Drawer for PC by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    I tried in vain to get people interested in my product idea. A 5-1/4" drawer with zif sockets for three notebook hds. A raid solution for home computers. Kind of like the Drobo but much smaller. I couldn't get anyone excited about what I considered a killer app. All single spindle hard drive based home computers are just waiting to fail. I don't see why raid5 for home computing never took off.

  52. OK A Marshall Stack for my server by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    OK I want my mp3's to sound warmer. I am going to buy a Marshall stack for my server. I am committed to the high end. Musicians will prefer tube to solid state storage, I can see that.

  53. Re: Ah yes Microdrives by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    The state of the art for CF at the moment seems to be 32GB, not 8.

    And yes, the microdrives were triumphs of miniaturization, and they were produced for years. But, the smaller the form factor the drive, the more expensive it was per megabyte or gigabyte.

    Due to the cost and the fact that a 1" drive isn't that much smaller than a 1.5", and the spread of a common high speed external interface(USB & Firewire), they lost their niche, became rare enough to get the 'special purpose' price tag, and died against flash.

    Even the 1.5" has ceased production if I remember right - they were used in the Ipods, but now Apple(and others) can build their 40GB or so capacity with flash just as cheaply, and often cheaper(no returns due to shock failed HD).

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  54. Re:Recent Linux filesystesms tuned for gigs of fla by Jamie+Lokier · · Score: 1

    50 seconds per TB to mount? Tsk, you can do better than that... :-) What are you doing which is taking so much time?

    Logfs gets almost exactly the same mount rate, btw. Granted, Logfs is presently limited to 4GiB because linux-mtd is, and it doesn't do RAID etc. or a lot of other things that yours does.

  55. Re: Ah yes Microdrives by Douglas+Goodall · · Score: 1

    My mistake. I was thinking more about the size of CF that consumer devices have proven compatibility with. As I am sure you realize, just because a widget has a CF intereface doesn't mean it has the hardware support (address lines) to support arbitrary memory sizes). Recently I have purchased several memory devices that didn't end up being compatible with specific devices. My Tascam Portastudio will only support 8GB. My Phone will only support 2GB....