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SpaceX Launch Failure Due To Timing Problem

FleaPlus writes "Private orbital spaceflight company SpaceX recently announced that last weekend's Falcon 1 rocket launch failure was caused by a collision between the first and second stage of their rocket. This was due to a timing problem, when their brand-new engine design produced residual thrust for 1.5 seconds longer than expected; they're currently working to fix the problem and launch again, perhaps as early as next month. In a recent interview with Wired, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk remarked on their efforts: "Optimism, pessimism, f-ck that; we're going to make it happen. As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work.""

68 of 244 comments (clear)

  1. ooohhhh by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 5, Funny

    Silly me. And here I was thinking it was due to a crashing problem...

    --
    This guy's the limit!
    1. Re:ooohhhh by Wiseazz · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, there was the blowing up problem, followed by the gravity problem. Then, I suppose the crashing problem might have come into play at some point.

      --
      My sig sucks.
    2. Re:ooohhhh by Wiseazz · · Score: 4, Funny

      "Neither stage exploded," Musk said. "They just got a little bit cooked."

      Sorry - didn't rtfm. It was a cooking problem.
       

      --
      My sig sucks.
    3. Re:ooohhhh by Loibisch · · Score: 4, Funny

      race conditions often can lead to crashes

    4. Re:ooohhhh by Red+Flayer · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sounds like a recipe for disaster.

      Perhaps they need a new Chef Engineer.

      That's what they get for launching in the dessert.

      I could go on... but it's probably best if I don't.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    5. Re:ooohhhh by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 5, Funny

      I could go on... but it's probably best if I don't.

      Yes, I think we can all agree that your jokes were pretty tasteless.

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    6. Re:ooohhhh by vyruss000 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, I can't stomach that guy!

    7. Re:ooohhhh by UncleTogie · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, I think we can all agree that your jokes were pretty tasteless.

      The odds that anyone would find that funny are gastronomical...

      --
      Don't tell me to get a life. I'm a gamer; I have LOTS of lives!
  2. Hell-bent by adpsimpson · · Score: 4, Funny

    As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work.

    Something tells me that perhaps he doesn't genuinely, really believe that God is his witness... :)

    --
    Is crushing a suspect's child's testicles illegal?
    John Yoo: "No, [if] the President thinks he needs to do that."
    1. Re:Hell-bent by rodney+dill · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...and Mr. Carlson thought turkeys could fly.

      --

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      You're on earth, there's no cure for that
      - S. Beckett
    2. Re:Hell-bent by rodney+dill · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, I know they do, my reference was to the drop of domestic birds in the TV show WKRP in Cincinnati. Someone didn't get the joke.

      --

      Use your head, can't you, use your head,
      You're on earth, there's no cure for that
      - S. Beckett
    3. Re:Hell-bent by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      On a side note, nothing says "We're a serious business venture" quite like a CEO who rants and uses phrases like "fuck that" in interviews. Perhaps the rocket stages aren't the only thing that can't hold back when it counts.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    4. Re:Hell-bent by MightyYar · · Score: 2, Funny

      Maybe it's just God's time of month, ever think of that?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    5. Re:Hell-bent by Chris+Pimlott · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This isn't your average widget company. People don't invest in companies like SpaceX just because of the profit potential, they do it because they desperately and fervently want to see us get our bald monkey asses off this rock. Having a CEO that unabashedly shares this passion is heartening to investors like those. If anything, I expect this "outburst" will help SpaceX more than harm them.

    6. Re:Hell-bent by MightyYar · · Score: 2, Funny

      I don't even WANT to think about that. I mean, if it were true that God is Satan... all my worshiping, all of my praying, all of my sacrifice to the Dark Lord would be in vain! My last sacrifice was a whole sack of puppies! Did they die for no reason?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    7. Re:Hell-bent by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      People don't invest in companies like SpaceX just because of the profit potential, they do it because they desperately and fervently want to see us get our bald monkey asses off this rock. Having a CEO that unabashedly shares this passion is heartening to investors like those.

      The problem being that the sets 'folks who share that passion' and 'folks who have significant money to invest' have essentially zero overlap. Serious investors invest to make a profit, not to scratch some philosophical itch. Those that do are extraordinarily rare. That's one of the reasons cheaper spaceflight has had such a problem getting off the ground - the upfront capital costs are huge, the risks are enormous, and the probability getting your capital back (let alone covering the time value of your investment and then making a profit) is extraordinarily low.
       
      And before anyone else brings it up, thinking themselves wise by believing (and karma whoring by repeating) a comforting mantra: No, this isn't a modern attitude. Investments as far out on the bell curve as SpaceX have always had a hard time finding capital.

    8. Re:Hell-bent by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

      The problem being that the sets 'folks who share that passion' and 'folks who have significant money to invest' have essentially zero overlap.

      There's pretty much a whole class of dotcom-wealthy geeks in Silicon Valley who are a living contradiction to that statement. Let me tell you, for the most part, it's not movie stars who are plopping $100k down for Tesla Roadsters.

      Investments as far out on the bell curve as SpaceX have always had a hard time finding capital.

      SpaceX's third failure in a row just occurred and they just got a brand new influx of investment capital.

      --
      FSB hits! FSB hits! Your democracy dies. Do you want your possessions identified?
    9. Re:Hell-bent by Daimanta · · Score: 2, Funny

      "n flight they can reach a speed of 50 miles per hour (80 km/h)."

      Seriously, WTF.

      Can you imagine that?

      It's a bird, no it's a plane. No, it's a frikking wild turkey and he's coming after me, HEEEEELP!

      --
      Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power lost.
    10. Re:Hell-bent by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hmmm. I am guessing that you do not know too many CEOs of medium companies, let along major companies. Most have little scruples and cuss like a sailor or dick cheney.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  3. Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Optimism, pessimism, f-ck that; we're going to make it happen. As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work

    Now that sounds like a man who gets things done.

    1. Re:Wow by BigDaddyOttawa · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or a man who can drive your company in to the ground faster than a failed Falcon 1.

      --
      Sig? SIG? We don't need no stinkin' sig!!!
    2. Re:Wow by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Actually, it sounds like a man who is altogether too comfortable with profanity and who cares little for the problems faced by his team. Would you like to work for such a man?

      Hint: when he says "I'm hell-bent on making it work", he actually means "I will not be doing any of the actual work myself, but I'm hell-bent on pushing my workers". Been there, done that, got the T-shirt.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    3. Re:Wow by kipman725 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      yeah but he uses the profanity so well, why can't all press releases be like this.

    4. Re:Wow by e2d2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And what the fuck is wrong with profanity?

      They are trying to shoot people into space for God's sake and that takes passion. This sometimes manifests itself in profanity.

      Personally I like this attitude much more than the life-less suit who can't relate to the passionate. I prefer Larry Ellison's "I'm gonna kick the fucking door down and take that shit!" to Bill Gates "well, we better see if we can sneak in the back and steal everything". It's much more honest. Both have the same goal, but one isn't delusional about it.

    5. Re:Wow by oliderid · · Score: 4, Informative
      if you invest into spaceX Obviously:
      • You are aware of the risk
      • You don't expect any return on investment in a short/medium term...Or better you don't expect anykind of return at all.
      • You know it will waste large sum of money.
      • You are looking for fun.

      What you need are fanatics investing all their energy in the project and leading the team. Like him. And then it could be a success IMHO. Cold blood/rationnal manager would have left this project already.

    6. Re:Wow by deshkanna · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This was the thing I liked the most in the article...

      Wired.com: Your whole mantra is "cheaper and more reliable." But so far you're zero for three, which is anything but cheap and reliable, and guys like GlobalSecurity.org's John Pike say the reason it has taken billions of dollars and tens of thousands of people to successfully launch rockets is physics, not some new design or economic model.

      Musk: Guys like John Pike have existed since the dawn of time, and if you listen to people like that then things will never get better, never change. It's a false point of view. Yes, we need to put some rockets into orbit. But the first order of business is to get rid of design errors, which we're doing, and once those are eliminated then you're dealing with repeatability, and people should judge what we're doing from the point of view of all the design issues we've ironed out through these F1 test flights.

    7. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They are trying to shoot people into space for God's sake and that takes passion. This sometimes manifests itself in profanity.

      Personally I like this attitude much more than the life-less suit who can't relate to the passionate. I prefer Larry Ellison's "I'm gonna kick the fucking door down and take that shit!" to Bill Gates "well, we better see if we can sneak in the back and steal everything". It's much more honest. Both have the same goal, but one isn't delusional about it.

      Hell, I'll even settle for Gates' "sneak in the back and steal everything". Even that would be honest.

      But back to the matter at hand. I'll take a "Fuck that. We're going to make it work" in a press release any day, over the mealy-mouthed "We have faith that our current challenge can be overcome" corporatespeak that currently plagues press releases.

      The second stage didn't encounter a challenge, it encountered the first stage, and then blew the fuck up. That's not a surmountable challenge, or even an issue, it's a fixable bug or solvable problem.

      If people said what they meant, and meant what they said, there'd be a lot less failure in the business world.

      Management needs someone who can do for businesspeak what Edward Tufte did for the visual presentation of information. It's not just the PowerPoint that kills astronauts, it's the use of phrases like "the stresses imposed by the frozen deposit upon the RCC were in excess of design parameters" as opposed to "Are you fucking nuts? We never tested for that shit, so none of us has any fucking clue how bad the damage is until someone gets the fuck out there and actually looks at it!" (Challenger), and "The performance of the O-ring under this thermal profile is not guaranteed, but is likely to be adequate" over "Well, I'd bet $50 that nobody dies this time, but I sure as fuck wouldn't want to be flying on it. If you really wanna get the teacher in space in time for the State of the Union speech, it's your call, boss. Don't fuckin' blame me if you kill 7 people." (Columbia).

    8. Re:Wow by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Its not that there's not the potential for big returns. Quite to the contrary, if they actually get the bugs ironed out and hit their price target, they're going to make an utter mint. The problem is the risk. The private rocketry landscape is littered with the graves of equally ambitious companies. What makes SpaceX interesting is how much capital they have behind them and how far along they are. They actually stand a chance of pulling it off, and I think that's what makes them so interesting. But it's still a very risky investment, because rocketry is a very tough business in comparison to other investments people might throw their money into.

      --
      FSB hits! FSB hits! Your democracy dies. Do you want your possessions identified?
    9. Re:Wow by PeterBrett · · Score: 2, Informative

      Management needs someone who can do for businesspeak what Edward Tufte did for the visual presentation of information. It's not just the PowerPoint that kills astronauts, it's the use of phrases like "the stresses imposed by the frozen deposit upon the RCC were in excess of design parameters" as opposed to "Are you fucking nuts? We never tested for that shit, so none of us has any fucking clue how bad the damage is until someone gets the fuck out there and actually looks at it!" (Challenger), and "The performance of the O-ring under this thermal profile is not guaranteed, but is likely to be adequate" over "Well, I'd bet $50 that nobody dies this time, but I sure as fuck wouldn't want to be flying on it. If you really wanna get the teacher in space in time for the State of the Union speech, it's your call, boss. Don't fuckin' blame me if you kill 7 people." (Columbia).

      You got those shuttles wrong way round. Just sayin'.

    10. Re:Wow by Chris+Burke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes. Having an actual craft that works enough to get high enough into the air to fail in its second stage is far along.

      This. Is. Rocket. Science.

      I don't know why it's so hard for people to understand this.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  4. Rockets falling to earth? by Alzheimers · · Score: 4, Funny

    Personally, I blame Newton.

    1. Re:Rockets falling to earth? by AliasTheRoot · · Score: 2, Funny

      You cannae break the laws of Physics

  5. Literature by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Optimism, pessimism, f-ck that; we're going to make it happen. As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work."

    Wow, it's like listening to Ahab rant about getting Moby-Dick. Hopefully this will have a better outcome.

  6. Less Viagra? by SanderDJ · · Score: 2, Funny

    "produced residual thrust for 1.5 seconds longer than expected" Cut back on the Viagra next time?

  7. did he really say that? by Seraph787 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Optimism, pessimism, f-ck that; we're going to make it happen. As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work." I can't find a reference to that quote in the wired article or on google.

    1. Re:did he really say that? by th1nk · · Score: 5, Informative
      I think it's the part in the wired article that goes like this:

      Musk: Do I sound optimistic?

      Wired.com: Yeah, you always do.

      Musk: Optimism, pessimism, fuck that; we're going to make it happen. As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work.

    2. Re:did he really say that? by Darfeld · · Score: 2, Funny

      I think he like to play hangman.

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  8. SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by jacquesm · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And I fully expect them to be a major player in the future of commercial space travel.

    They've done some absolutely amazing things in the last couple of years on a budget that makes all the governments combined look pretty silly. They remind me of Reid Malenfant and his outfit (only a bit more realistic), and I don't think any issues that crop up during this test stage are going to slow them down for long.

    Maybe the 21st century will see some serious space exploration after all, instead of all those 'feel good' missions. $/kg to orbit is the only significant number for the next two decades or so, once there is enough construction capability up there to start hauling stuff inbound it should get interesting indeed.

    1. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by samkass · · Score: 5, Funny

      While I share your enthusiasm, maybe we should wait until they have at least one successful launch before holding them up as the template for success and the future of space flight. So far they're just a really, really expensive fireworks company.

      --
      E pluribus unum
    2. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by jacquesm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In spaceflight you're on a very long trajectory (pun intended) where lots of stuff has to be tested, alone and in combination. The only way to be 100% sure that everything works is to do an all-or-nothing launch, which due to its very nature is a public event. Trouble is to be expected when you combine that large a number of components. ALL space programs have had their failures, there is absolutely no reason to expect commercial space flight to be an exception.

      What you can expect is a slow decrease of these failures as more and more of the failure modes of the equipment are revealing themselves under different circumstances. This is even true for regular commercial aircraft today, and it is one of the major reasons for accident investigations.

      SpaceX has just had a mishap that would have been hard to test for on the pad (I'm not knowledgeable enough in the field to comment on the exact differences between testing on the pad and a launch, but I suspect there are still numerous differences, caused by atmospheric pressure, the effects of acceleration etc). This failure, when dealt with is not going to cause another launch to go bad, the real question is how many more such issues are lurking under the grass. It would be nice to know if this failure would have been preventable, 1.5 seconds doesn't sound like much but during the critical period of separation it's like an eternity.

    3. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by Teancum · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not quite the pessimistic attitude you are showing here.

      SpaceX is building real hardware and "getting it up there". I would call that a bit better than a typical fireworks company.

      Besides, the problem with this last launch was more of things bumping into each other when they shouldn't have. It is also a situation where they made several changes to their rocket and were testing them all out at the same time. While the $10 million or so that it costs for them to send up a Falcon 1 rocket is expensive enough to not want to do repeated testing, it does make it more complicated to call something like this an "operational flight" when not all components have been tested in actual flight conditions.

      If they can get another rocket shipped to Kwajalein and launched in less than a month, that will speak far more about SpaceX's capabilities than can possibly be said about snarky remarks like being a fireworks company.

      They are certainly a whole lot closer to bringing down the cost of rocketry than companies like Rocketplane Kistler who haven't even really launched any hardware or even tested it in things like wind tunnels or a launch stand.

      All this said, SpaceX does need to deliver something to orbit real soon. It looks like the Malasyian government is getting quite nervous about being the next customer to send something up, given the track record for SpaceX to put things into orbit. They simply must get this next launch if they are to keep some of their customers.

    4. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by drooling-dog · · Score: 4, Funny

      They've done some absolutely amazing things in the last couple of years on a budget that makes all the governments combined look pretty silly.

      I, for one, don't mind not coming back alive as long as the tickets are cheap...

    5. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by damburger · · Score: 2, Interesting

      To be blunt, a serious outfit would know how long their damn engine burns for.

      The reason they've done everything on such a small budget is because they cut through the red tape that holds government agencies back. Unfortunately, some of that red tape was obviously important for quality control.

      In any case, they aren't doing that well at reducing cost - Falcon 9 for instance is 5 million dollars per flight more expensive than Proton (albeit it with a slightly bigger capacity) and Proton has the longest and best record of any currently operating heavy lifter. People with 20+ tonne satellites will be designing them for current heavy launchers like Proton so the extra payload capacity won't be an issue for quite a while, leaving Falcon 9 looking a bit mediocre even if it does ever fly.

      So, for all Musk's bluster, your lean mean private enterprise doesn't seem to have much of an edge over decades old Soviet engineering.

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    6. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by jacquesm · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm sure all your multi-stage rocket designs flew picture perfect the first time out :)

      there is a reason why soviet tech is cheap, it's old and it's development has been paid for in the past (no comment on how it was paid for).

      So, any new development will be 'more costly' at face than old tech, but over time those costs should come down significantly. What is more surprising is that the difference between the old tech and the new one is as small as it is.

    7. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by damburger · · Score: 4, Interesting

      My first multi-stage was a lawn dart (coincidentally, it failed to stage too, but I damn well knew how long the first stage would burn for. It said so on the engine packet...) my second one flew perfectly. Sure, Musks are bigger but he has a lot more money than me.

      The launch market won't care for novelty though - 20 tonne satellites are Serious Business and people sending them up are likely to be quite cautious about embracing a potty-mouthed newcomer in favour of the old Russian stalwart. If nobody is buying his launcher how can he bring the price down?

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    8. Re:SpaceX is a pretty serious outfit by Chris+Burke · · Score: 2, Informative

      To be blunt, a serious outfit would know how long their damn engine burns for.

      Yeah, maybe. Maybe not. Everything you would call a serious outfit had many more failures than Space X has had so far.

      Yes they need to pull it together. Yes they need a successful launch or it will call into question their whole business plan.

      No having three failures, and miscalculating an engine parameter, does not prove they aren't a serious outfit. Because no serious outfit has entirely avoided these mistakes.

      So, for all Musk's bluster, your lean mean private enterprise doesn't seem to have much of an edge over decades old Soviet engineering.

      You say "decades old" as if it's supposed to mean that lowers the bar for Space X, as if it's the same as saying "your new microprocessor doesn't seem to have much of an edge over decades old Intel parts". They're nothing alike. "Decades old" in this case means that the Soviets just got all their on-the-pad and mid-air explosions out of the way decades ago. If you assume that having such accidents means an outfit is non-serious, then what you're really saying is that there can never be a new serious outfit again.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  9. Oblig. quote: by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Would you consider that a launch problem or a design problem?"

    - Chris Knight

    --
    ____

    ~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey

    1. Re:Oblig. quote: by xalorous · · Score: 2, Insightful

      :)

      Real Genius shows us the kind of ingenuity that this country has all but lost. It's all about first to market, business plans and IPO's now.

      Anyway, Elon Musk and Richard Branson remind me of D. D. Harriman in R. A. Heinlein's Future History short stories, especially, "The Man Who Sold the Moon."

      --
      TANSTAAFL GIGO Acronyms to live by!
  10. Re:I must ask by rugatero · · Score: 3, Funny

    Actually it's got a million and one uses. Torgo's Thespian Powder!

    --
    This comment is for entertainment purposes only. Any similarity to real insight or information is purely coincidental.
  11. More people need to say that. by Stoutlimb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If NASA had that attitude, we never would have had a decade of stagnation after the first Shuttle accident. We'd have a moon colony by now. The problem is that the people at top too often see these kind of events as a signal to stop, where it really should be a sign that they're almost there. Remember when the Delta rocket flew and then fell over and burst into flames because of failed landing gear? LANDING GEAR! Something trivial to engineer (compared to the rest), and the project is shelved because of that failure. They should have kept going.

    Argh. Enough of my ranting, you people get the idea. I just wish the pointy haired bosses did.

    1. Re:More people need to say that. by Guysmiley777 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It was the Delta Clipper or DC-X. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DC-XA

      I remember seeing video of one of the test flights and being absolutely pole-axed. "It just fucking took off vertically, hovered cross-range and LANDED again!?!"

      Apparently it wasn't really the crash that ended the program, it had already had funding pulled before that flight. Still, it was a very Buck Rogers kind of vehicle.

      --
      Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
  12. Wrong attitude for rocket science? by Hozza · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I hate to say this, but the CEO has an attitude problem.

    He needs to do some reading up on the reviews of NASA after the two shuttle disasters. In both cases overconfidence, and management overruling/ignoring the views of engineers were found to be major factors.

    If he keeps running "hell-bent" towards his goal he's never going to reach it.

    1. Re:Wrong attitude for rocket science? by Splab · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also the GP clearly haven't read the interview.

      The guy is smart, he listen to his engineers - in fact he refuses to elaborate on the problem until they are absolutely sure its what caused it. He might come off as someone a bit eager to get his product flying (and staying airborne), but comparing him to the fucktards that killed people in NASA launches where they where advised against it is just not right.

      From the interview:
      Musk: Patience is a virtue, and I'm learning patience. It's a tough lesson.

    2. Re:Wrong attitude for rocket science? by luzr · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Have you actually read the article?

      They have found the problem and they know how to fix it. It has nothing to do with previous failures.

      Sure, there might be another anomaly in the next launch. And then another. You never know, this is a rocket science after all...

      Anyway, what I really like about Spacex is exactly what you dislike. They are not aiming at single shot, they know this is hard. They have full assembly line of rockets, producing one after another.

      If they blow something, they just call "next" and try again until all quirks are resolved.

      This is the only possible and *right* attitude!

    3. Re:Wrong attitude for rocket science? by cmat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think you confuse "deadline" with "goal".

      --
      -- Humans, because the hardware IS the software.
  13. Risk. by BitterOldGUy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If NASA had that attitude, we never would have had a decade of stagnation after the first Shuttle accident. We'd have a moon colony by now. The problem is that the people at top too often see these kind of events as a signal to stop, where it really should be a sign that they're almost there. Remember when the Delta rocket flew and then fell over and burst into flames because of failed landing gear? LANDING GEAR! Something trivial to engineer (compared to the rest), and the project is shelved because of that failure. They should have kept going.

    Argh. Enough of my ranting, you people get the idea. I just wish the pointy haired bosses did.

    if Musk et al. has an accident where someone dies, I bet the FAA and others will be introducing some delays in his schedule. And I'm sure they'll some public outcry that he's flying over people and putting them in jeopardy - whether or not it's true.

    We've lost our sense of adventure, the acceptance of risk and, well, we've become a society that's so bent on being safe that we're afraid to take any warranted risks: we've become a society of pansies.

  14. Re:I must ask by dontPanik · · Score: 2, Informative

    Did it have the mortal remains of any famous actors onboard?

    From TFA

    the ashes of 208 people, including astronaut Gordon Cooper and James Doohan, the actor who played Scotty in the original Star Trek television show

    --
    "Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." - Pablo Picasso
  15. Re:Do they have payloads lined up to be blown up? by dontPanik · · Score: 3, Informative

    There was a DoD satellite and a NASA thingie on board when it failed.
    Also there's plans to make deliveries to ISS once the shuttles are through.

    --
    "Computers are useless. They can only give you answers." - Pablo Picasso
  16. Father Ted, Is That You? by segedunum · · Score: 4, Funny

    Optimism, pessimism, f-ck that; we're going to make it happen. As God is my bloody witness, I'm hell-bent on making it work.

    I take it he's also going to kick Bishop Brennan up the arse as well for good measure?

  17. Re:Timing? WTF? by X0563511 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Bottom stage detached, continued burning. Less mass against the thrust, it accelerated and pushed on the top stage (but not perfectly centered as it would when still attached).

    I'm sure they do communicate, but after detaching that's gone.

    Basically the thruster(s) dieseled - continued running for a moment after fuel/whatever was cut.

    --
    For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
  18. It's called passion. by JonTurner · · Score: 2, Informative

    General Patton would have disagreed. He understood the problems faced by his "team" and inspired them to overcome incredible odds. Sometimes a little profanity can be inspiring, if not used gratuitously.

    >>Would you like to work for such a man?
    Yes, actually I would. Because that sort of man, and the people who work for him, are going to do great things! That's real passion, which is sadly lacking from most corporations. He's not just your average CEO coasting toward a golden parachute and a retirement filled with golf and tea parties -- he's trying to overcome incredible odds to get a vehicle into space.

  19. Re:Timing? WTF? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    I AM a Rocket Scientist.

    Traditionally, no, they wouldn't be timed individually. That's kind of a silly thing if you asked me.

    Typically you should wait until the first stage stop accelerating the rocket before dropping it. A sensor typically detects that condition and initiates seperation. To be safe, it may wait a beat or two before taking action to make sure the booster isn't just "chuffing". Or the sensor could have just been faulty, initiating seperation too soon.

    If the booster begins accelerating again (as in blows up) or gives a last burst of unexpected glory, that's just bad design or manufacturing issue. If it's a solid-fuel booster, that could happen from time to time, but if the motor is liquid fueled it should just cut off fuel and be done with it.

    Now, you could put the stages on their own timers, but there are risks. Usually the problem is a failed booster, and the timer on the upper stage fires with the rocket pointing the wrong way.

  20. Re:Death by Ksempac · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Good objection, but airlines are a little different from space travel for several reasons :
    - First, even though there have been a lot of airlines accidents, the numbers are pretty low compared to the number of flights per day. Notice also that the first accident was on 1922, 8 years after the first commercial flight. I think that space travel has a much higher accident/flight ratio. (I admit i don't have numbers to prove it : Wikipedia says that about 4% of people who went to space died inflight, but that includes early flights so it's not exactly the same thing.)
    - Second, plane flights were useful to people from the beginning : you could get from point A to point B in much less time than train or boat. Space travel has no such thing : it's a leisure activity. You won't miss a business opportunity if you don't try it.

  21. Incredible resolve by caywen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think it shows the kind of incredible resolve it takes to do rocket science. I think it's the same resolve the Apollo program had, and I think it's infectious. It's one thing to be balls to the wall but have no demonstrative ability to execute, but remember that Flight 2 actually did make it up there. And that NASA and the US Government have enough confidence in their ability to give them major contracts. For those invoking the Ahab thing, I just don't see that. 5-1 odds they nail it in Flight 4.

  22. Re:Do they have payloads lined up to be blown up? by Seraph787 · · Score: 2, Informative

    according to the interview they have "12 flights ahead of us"

  23. So close... by ClayJar · · Score: 5, Informative

    Actually, that's basically what happened. The Kestrel engine on the second stage ignited, and the exhaust from it pushed the first stage away. The problem is that the second stage is designed to have the exhaust expanding into the vacuum of space, and having the first stage right there meant that the exhaust was contained within (or perhaps I should say, was redirected by) the interstage. Normally, the first stage and second stage are pneumatically pushed apart just before the second stage fires.

    The exhaust was only in contact with the second stage for a very short period of time, but that was sufficient to "roast" the second stage enough to cause failure, either due to direct thermal effects or the forces created by the expanding exhaust (or to a combination of those factors).

    By the way, the nozzle of the Kestrel engine is radiatively cooled. Before the sloshing doomed flight two, it was cool (figuratively only!) to see the bell glowing brightly. Some people watching with me thought it was failing until I explained that it's supposed to look like that. ;)

  24. Fanatics considered harmful by quanticle · · Score: 2, Interesting

    While I agree that a certain amount of enthusiasm is necessary for a grand undertaking such as this, it is entirely too easy for a manager to be too enthusiastic, ignoring or minimizing serious issues for the sake of maintaining forward progress.

    James R. Chiles, in his book Inviting Disaster spends an entire chapter ("Doubtless") on this. He shows time and again how overconfident managers willingly blinded themselves to serious flaws in their programs, and were then surprised when those same flaws came to endanger human life and property.

    If I was an investor in SpaceX, I would be asking some very hard questions right now. I would certainly not be accepting Musk's characterization of this issue as a "quirk" or "small problem". SpaceX has had three real launches, in addition to innumerable hours of simulator and modeling time. Why was a serious issue like this not caught earlier? What other mission ending issues are there with the rocket? How confident are the working engineers' answers to the above two questions?

    SpaceX is not NASA. They don't have the luxury of an unlimited budget and governmental mandate. As such, their margin for error is correspondingly slimmer, and the board's tolerance for daredevilry should be correspondingly lower.

    --
    We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
  25. New Engine by iamlucky13 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yes, the events are synchronized. Main engine cut-off occurs 1.5 seconds before the stage separation pyros fire.

    When engine cut-off occurs, valves close to shut off fuel from the pumps. However, there is still fuel left in the lines that finishes burning resulting in a little residual thrust. In their previous test flight, this finished within that 1.5 seconds. However, this launch used a new engine design.

    The previous engine design was ablatively cooled. This means the engine nozzle is kept from melting by small amounts of material continuously burning off and carrying heat away. It's pretty analogous to sweating. The newer Merlin 1C is regeneratively cooled, which increases the performance and efficiency of the engine by running the cold fuel through small pipes that surround the engine nozzle for cooling.

    These cooling channels means there's more volume of fuel left in the system at cut-off, and the burn ends up being slightly longer. Musk has stated that this didn't show up as a problem on the test stand because of the pressure difference at sea level versus the near vaccuum where staging occured. 14.7 psi across a half-meter or so rocket nozzle amounts to a few thousand pounds of thrust. However, if you watch the test videos they've published, there's noticeably more flame after cutoff in the regenerative version, so I'm frankly kind of surprised they didn't increase their timing margin.

    The end result was that the 1st stage bumped back into the 2nd stage after separation, and then got toasted by and deflected flame back at the 2nd stage, apparently seriously damaging it.

    I have to nitpick one of Musk's other statements. He claimed that the performance of the first stage was picture perfect. However, while the engine appeared to perform great, it seems the avionics could have done at least slightly better. The video shows a back and forth rolling motion that is probably due to the torque created as the fuel swirls through those cooling channels. Ideally the control system would have been able to account for that smoothly.