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New Scientific Evidence Emerges In Anthrax Case

sciencehabit writes "A Science Magazine investigation uses clues from a key document unveiled last week to reconstruct the trail that led the FBI to Bruce Ivins. Among the revelations: Anthrax fingerprinting was not critical to the investigation, as many reports have suggested. Rather, brute-force genetic sequencing, with the help of the J. Craig Venter Institute, helped crack the case. New potential motivations by Ivins are also revealed."

216 comments

  1. Weak Talking Points? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This was a really well done article. One quote reminded me of something odd about this case:

    FTA:

    which Ivins had created in 1997 and of which he was the "sole custodian."

    I keep hearing this when they interview government types. It's weird, it seems like they're trying to sow doubt about their case, because:

    Ivins's lawyer (from NPR):

    But Kemp said more than a hundred people had access to the flask and, more important, actually used that exact strain of anthrax. He says the anthrax in the flask was sent to two other labs and was used in dozens of experiments by other scientists

    Response:

    "No one received material from that flask without going through Dr. Ivins," said Jeff Taylor, U.S. attorney for Washington, D.C.

    Weak...

    "We thoroughly investigated every other person who could have had access to the flask and we were able to rule out all but Dr. Ivins."

    OK, now you're getting somewhere! Why is it they only go to the relevant part when pressed?

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    1. Re:Weak Talking Points? by topham · · Score: 4, Funny

      What you mean a case is put to rest 7 years later, recent/main suspect is dead and no questions remain.

      And something looks fishy? You're just obsessive, these things are never covered up, or evidence is never made to match to current theory.
      Doesn't happen.

    2. Re:Weak Talking Points? by QRDeNameland · · Score: 5, Informative

      Well, from the evidence I've seen, whatever may tie Ivins to this crime, I've seen nothing to indicate that Ivins acted alone. The fact that they can't place him in the Princeton, NJ area at the time the letters were mailed is a huge problem in that regard, as is the question of who fed false information suggesting Iraqi involvement to ABC's Brian Ross. These facts are not consistent with the FBI's seeming desire to close this case based upon Ivins being the sole culprit.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
    3. Re:Weak Talking Points? by LaskoVortex · · Score: 5, Informative

      But Kemp said more than a hundred people had access to the flask

      The flask? What is up with this? How in the hell can you chase the wrong guy for five years and then go back and get "The flask". WTF do they mean by this? I don't know anyone who has a single "flask" to maintain a culture. "The flask". I've been in this business for 15 years. I know of frozen culture stocks kept in cryo vials, or transferring a culture from several flasks to another several flasks (you'd be an idiot to have just one flask for a stable culture) indefinitely, etc. Also, it looks like you could keep a stable stock in an envelop if you really think about it (or else you couldn't have the anthrax attacks themselves). But "The Flask", like there is only one--this is pure ignorance or just made up for drama. I'm not saying anything about this case except that the language used to talk about it in the media and by the FBI is sophomoric. I wonder if the language is any indication of their understanding of the science behind this case?

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    4. Re:Weak Talking Points? by c_forq · · Score: 0

      I don't think placing him in NJ would be a problem in trial. Seriously, without a credit/check transaction it is almost impossible to place someone at a location several years ago - and if your mailing anthrax and a competent scientist I think you would be smart enough not to write checks or use your plastic when you go on your mailing trip. This would be like the body of Nina Rieser, a weakness but not a showstopper for the prosicution.

      --
      Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
    5. Re:Weak Talking Points? by HangingChad · · Score: 4, Informative

      I wonder if the language is any indication of their understanding of the science behind this case?

      The anthrax attacks are what the administration used to make the Iraq connection. John McCain himself was one of the people shopping that idea around the news media. You think this bunch would worry about a few post office employees or mail room people dying? So, yeah, the flask is as convenient as it is inexplicable. Dude committing suicide before the feds had a chance to question him, equally convenient. That the politicized Justice Dept. spent so much time stubbornly pursuing the wrong suspect, convenient. Now all this evidence that looks so obvious in one convenient package. That all the agents working this case in the last seven years either didn't see or didn't put together? Talk about straining credibility.

      Incompetence raised to a high enough level is indistinguishable from malice. We know they're incompetent and it certainly isn't straining credibility to think this bunch would be capable of doing it deliberately.

      --
      That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    6. Re:Weak Talking Points? by zappepcs · · Score: 3, Informative

      I was thinking this same thing: the wording seems odd. After reading several other posted stories (such as http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=93381622) I think that the phrase "The Flask" seems to be casual lab term that was used to relay the information from the investigators on the ground to those that report the story to the news and courts etc. In the same way that a mechanic might casually refer to a window regulator that was replaced on a car. It's not common terminology, but specific to those who work on those systems, and despite our vocabularies, it's a very handy way to refer to the motor and stuff that makes your window go up and down.

      These sites:
      http://www.bellcoglass.com/searchcategoryresult.aspx?keyword=culture%20flask
      and
      http://iai.asm.org/cgi/reprint/58/2/303.pdf would support my statements to some extent. I can't yet find anything noteworthy about there being only a single flask of this culture. It seems like a single flask is identified because of the four markers found in all the attack samples and the flask Ivins had control of. There were probably many flasks of the spores but only this one matched to the spores used in the attacks. At least that is how I read all this, despite the questions that remain unanswered.

    7. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Incompetence raised to a high enough level is indistinguishable from malice. We know they're incompetent and it certainly isn't straining credibility to think this bunch would be capable of doing it deliberately.

      The real mystery here is why you think they are so incompetent, when -- also according to you -- just about everything worked out exactly as they wanted it to, and they are almost certainly going to get away from this free and clear.

    8. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Moleculo · · Score: 3, Informative

      Glenn Greenwald reports that the alleged timeline of Ivins' activities on the day the anthrax was mailed seems to rule him out as the one who sent the letter from Princeton. He attended a meeting he couldn't have made it back for in time if he had driven to Princeton and mailed it late enough that the letter was postmarked for the following day.

    9. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Glenn Greenwald reports that the alleged timeline of Ivins' activities on the day the anthrax was mailed seems to rule him out as the one who sent the letter from Princeton. He attended a meeting he couldn't have made it back for in time if he had driven to Princeton and mailed it late enough that the letter was postmarked for the following day.

      Um, that's not really a problem. I've seen this very situation on Matlock in an episode where he broke a murderous cosmetic surgeon's alibi.

      You see, this doctor claimed he was at a major medical conference, with witnesses to prove it, but in fact it was just his hitherto unknown identical twin. Quite simple, really.

    10. Re:Weak Talking Points? by ScentCone · · Score: 0, Troll

      You think this bunch would worry about a few post office employees or mail room people dying?

      No, of course not. They, personally, like it when the little guy dies horribly. They want children to starve, endangered species to become extinct, and senior citizens to have to eat dog food. They actually want those tings, as you know. It's good of you to point that out, though, just in case someone who hadn't made up their mind yet can safely settle on them as cartoon villains. Certainly they're worse, of course, than the previous "bunch," who were perfectly happy to see someone like Vince Foster "commit suicide" while their history of crooked dealings was on parade. What? That's crazy talk? Oh.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    11. Re:Weak Talking Points? by sgt_doom · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Sorry, dood, but I call complete and utter BS on the FBI's fairy tale. Try perusing this outstanding site by a most knowledgeable individual and also read this excellent article.

      Once upon a time, way back when I worked in Seattle, there was this clown of a police chief named Fitzsimons. Everytime someone was murdered, without any investigation whatsoever, Fitzsimons would proclaim the murder to be drug-related.

      Of course, it turned out in 9 out of 10 times to be an unrelated homicide of some sort - but the damage had already been done to the hapless victim's reputation.

      FYI: That sorry ass police chief left Seattle to join the faculty of the FBI Academy at Quantico.....wonder what lessons he taught the feebs (bet it had something to do with pinning unsolved murders on unfortunate suicides......)

    12. Re:Weak Talking Points? by sgt_doom · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Outstanding points, good citizen LaskoVortex.

      I've been following this on an excellent site of Dr. Meryl Nass - highly recommended. Also, might suggest anyone to read this article.

      Thanks for your excellent post.

    13. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "I was thinking this same thing: the wording seems odd."

      "The Flask" is just the same kind of code word as "Slump" used in the Kennedy assassination.

      "The Flask" is the "Official Lie".

      See 25:00 minute point in the following video:

      http://video.google.ca/videoplay?docid=4330031689287456187&ei=dVuiSNiJG4zYqwPI2Ywr

    14. Re:Weak Talking Points? by smaddox · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That was the worst straw-man argument I have ever read.

      The parent post simply stated that the people in power wouldn't mind a few innocent people dieing if it served The Greater Good.

      Obviously, this is the truth considering the US has been killing innocent people in Iraq for years now - all in the name of The Greater Good.

    15. Re:Weak Talking Points? by rve · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Funny that.

      American culture has a dull and relatively uneventful history of conspiracies, but a long and rich history of angry loners trying to kill public figures.

      Oddly enough, people always suspect conspiracies whenever something bad happens and rarely seem to find the angry loner theory plausible.

    16. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Glenn Greenwald reports that the alleged timeline of Ivins' activities on the day the anthrax was mailed seems to rule him out as the one who sent the letter from Princeton. He attended a meeting he couldn't have made it back for in time if he had driven to Princeton and mailed it late enough that the letter was postmarked for the following day.

      Tell Glenn Greenwald that Ivins used a sockpuppet. He'll understand that even as he denies it.

    17. Re:Weak Talking Points? by QRDeNameland · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think placing him in NJ would be a problem in trial.

      I'm not talking about what evidence would be needed to convict Ivins. I'm talking about the evidence needed to rule out the possibility of other guilty parties, of which the fact that they can't place him in Princeton is just one rather relevant piece.

      And, of course, since Ivins is dead, there will be no trial; assuming, of course, that they don't find any evidence of other complicit parties in their zeal to avoid that very thing.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
    18. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      Oddly enough, people always suspect conspiracies whenever something bad happens and rarely seem to find the angry loner theory plausible.

      Not so odd if you consider it for a moment. People like predictability and control in their lives. Conspiracy theories are a natural expression of that. The idea that there are wild cards out there that are largely unstoppable makes them uncomfortable. It's simply more reassuring to believe that there's a cabal of conspirators behind the evil deeds. Even if the conspiracy is beyond their personal power to stop, the notion that it's possible to stop it satisfies the desire for control.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    19. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, I grew up in Maryland, not too far from Frederick actually, and something about what people say in this thread about him driving from there to New Jersey seemed a bit suspect to me. Yes, it's a day trip, but it's not a trivial drive for something so simple as mailing a letter to conceal its source. Yeah, he could have used someone else to send it, but (1) if that's true, the cops should go after that person, and (2) they're really painting the picture of a loner here, that is someone who probably wouldn't have an accomplice.

      But that article pretty much nails it. There's no way he could have taken off work in the afternoon, made it to Princeton, and back to Frederick again for a 5PM meeting. Simply driving would mean that if he left Frederick at noon he'd make it back at 7 at the very earliest.

      And someone in this thread said that he probably bought the exact amount of gas before hand. I know my Honda Civic couldn't do that in a single tank.

    20. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and if your mailing anthrax and a competent scientist

      And if you're mailing your own anthrax you should be careful.

      a showstopper for the prosicution.

      This is a public service reminder from your friends the spelling and grammar nazis of Slashdot. Friends don't let friends post without spelling checking and proofreading.

      Thanks.

    21. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      You're just obsessive, these things are never covered up, or evidence is never made to match to current theory.

      I'm glad that dude killed himself and they are pinning it on him. You know why? Because I did it. I'll tell you how. See anthracis is easy enough to culture (especially if you are a world expert like me), but getting it to atomize is the tough part. What I did was to add triton x100 as a surfactant and wash the cells a couple of times in a 0.5% solution of triton x100 and pure h2o. You have to pellet the cells between washes and then resuspend. Anthracis is gram positive, so I didn't have to worry too much about lysis, but I didn't spend a lot of time washing. 30 sec spins, 30 sec to pull off the super. You want them clean but for the surfactant (that gram positive peptidoglycan outer membrane is a real bitch). Then you snap freeze them at about 250,000 cfu/ml in 100 ul aliquots in thin-walled pcr tubes. Now here's the part where I pulled it off, and mystified (pun intended) my co-workers (even that poor bastard Ivins), AND showed my evil genious--you fucking lyophilize the aliquots under an ultra vacuum to get rid of the water! Then CAREFU-fucking-LY put the open tube in an envelope and shake. Then, again CAREFU-fucking-LY, remove the tube. Here's another hint I learned the hard way: don't lick the envelopes, you'll be sorry.

    22. Re:Weak Talking Points? by jbeach · · Score: 1

      Let me solve one of those questions for you: whoever fed false info of Iraqi involvement to Brian Ross is probably currently at 1600 Pennsylvania avenue. Or, alternately, at a residence they had blurred by Google.

      --
      The Invisible Hand of the Free Market is what punches workers in the nuts.
    23. Re:Weak Talking Points? by LaskoVortex · · Score: 1

      In the Ivins, et. al., paper you point to, the word "flask" is only used to refer to temporary cultures. Moreover, the volumes mentioned in the paper are unreasonable for long term storage. The smallest is 500 ml. Stable cultures or stable stock would not be kept in a 500 ml flask, much less a 2 L flask. Its a practical consideration that has to do with the price of real estate, the cost of maintaining a controlled environment, and the ease of accessing your inventory. I have stocks that I have had for 10 years and they are kept in 2 ml vials at -70 C. No practical person would attempt to have the type of flasks mentioned in this paper for long term storage. After a couple of years they would not be able to manage the logistics of handling dozens or perhaps hundreds of flasks. And no, you wouldn't know that a particular stock is going to be special before you have used it for a while, so you would store it the same as all of the rest--in *several* (for backup) reasonably sized containers which would probably be most accurately described as a "vial" or "tube".

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    24. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you present one of the best straw-man arguments I've seen in a while.

    25. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      These facts are not consistent with the FBI's seeming desire to close this case based upon Ivins being the sole culprit.

      From all I've read, all they had was a *very* weak circumstantial case. They're damn eager to close it, and the MSM isn't mentioning all the red flags that went up.

      I'm not prone to conspiracy theories, but I was suspicious the minute the news broke -- the first article I read mentioned that he didn't get an autopsy. WTF??? A suspect in an extremely high profile and politically embarassing terrorism case commits suicide, and no one wants an autopsy to make sure there wasn't foul play involved?

      And the more I read, the worse it looks. The "psychiatrist" who declared him unstable is actually a counsellor without even a bachelor's degree, and her request for a restraining order against him looks like it's packed with inside information from the FBI.

      I smell a rotten fish. Even over the stench that surrounds Washington these days.

    26. Re:Weak Talking Points? by JohnSearle · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      What is really best for the innocent people in Iraq?

      Perhaps that's up to the people of Iraq to decide, not a foreign occupier.

      I may be wrong here, but from what I understand there has been delays setting up a proper government, constitution, etc. in Iraq due to US 'pressure' (read demands). It seems they wish to make Iraq a free market with less regulation than most any other sovereign nation would allow... in other words, a corporate haven (or heaven).

      - John

    27. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "the FBI's seeming desire to close this case based upon Ivins being the sole culprit."

      it is not a desire, but the only organizationally and culturally viable outcome - our systems of justice and punishment are subordinate to and eons less evolved, less cunning than the corruption and evil of our largest institutions. In the modern era there has been no other conclusion, America cannot process larger, hypocritical evil; it needs a single mind and body to punish, a small man, a troubled man - someone who we can point to and say he is not like us, he is broken, his small evil can be contained, crushed, killed by lethal injection. Then we can live in hope and fear, hope that another like him won't come back around for a long time and fear of when and where and how and who that will be.

      And it came to pass that all of humanity; its accomplishments, monuments and emanations were destroyed by a lone gunman.

    28. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps that's up to the people of Iraq to decide, not a foreign occupier.

      I agree of course. But it's hard for them to decide when there's so much violence aimed at cowing them.

      Violence is down now... is the surge working? Or are the fanatics just biding their time until the US troops are gone? Maybe the fanatics are preparing a REALLY horrible wave of violence for later.

      I think I am glad I can just armchair quarterback this. So many lives at stake.

      It seems they wish to make Iraq a free market

      I'm a libertarian, and I doubt they really are trying for what I would call a free market.

      in other words, a corporate haven (or heaven).

      I haven't heard anything about this... where do you get it?

      I'm dubious about conspiracy theories on why the USA is "really" doing whatever it is doing. Why didn't the USA just take a bunch of oil fields, and say it's to repay the cost of the war?

    29. Re:Weak Talking Points? by JohnSearle · · Score: 1

      I haven't heard anything about this... where do you get it?

      Well, I've heard similar things from a number of articles, but here's one from Naomi Klein in Harpers Magazine: http://harpers.org/archive/2004/09/0080197

      When Paul Bremer shredded Iraq's Baathist constitution and replaced it with what The Economist greeted approvingly as "the wish list of foreign investors," there was one small detail he failed to mention: It was all completely illegal

      Even the U.S.-appointed Iraqi politicians, up to now so obedient, were getting nervous about their own political futures if they went along with the privatization plans. Communications Minister Haider al-Abadi told me about his first meeting with Bremer. I said, Look, we don't have the mandate to sell any of this. Privatization is a big thing. We have to wait until there is an Iraqi government. Minister of Industry Mohamad Tofiq was even more direct: I am not going to do something that is not legal, so that's it.

      Those were quickly pulled quotes, so you'll have to read it for yourself to get the full picture.

      - John

    30. Re:Weak Talking Points? by rpillala · · Score: 2, Insightful

      One of my friends has a theory that Dick Cheney is just a nihilist who wants to take as many people as he can with him when he dies. It's a pretty harsh thing to say about someone, but my friend was a philosophy major and doesn't assign the word "nihilist" on a whim.

      Personally I think he's of the school that says "life's not fair" and then acts to enforce and increase the disparity.

      --
      When the axe came to the forest, the trees said, "Look out - the handle was once one of us."
    31. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Iraq connection? Please remind me of this since I had no idea US media and/or administration (same thing?) made some kind of connection and therefore decided that Iraq develops nuclear weapons thereby directly implicating former US ally as dealing with Al-Qaeda. I feel confused now and take my flameproof coat, Thank You.

    32. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know what I noticed? Nobody panics when things go according to plan. Even if the plan is horrifying. If tomorrow I tell the press that like a gang banger, will get shot, or a truckload of soldiers will be blown up, nobody panics, because it's all, part of the plan. But when I say that one, little old mayor will die, well then everyone loses their minds!

    33. Re:Weak Talking Points? by cinnamon+colbert · · Score: 1

      good point. As someone else who grows bacteria (but not anthrax) i agree that the use of the term "flask" is wierd - it is basic microbiology 101 that bacteria are not stable in flasks; you keep them as either frozen stocks in a special freezer (-80oC !) or, sometimes, as dried filter papers or on sealed agar slants - The ATCC is a good authority here.

      maybe as suggested by another poster, "flask" is just a word that they used to keep from confusing people iwth a tech term like "cryovial" or "agar slant"

      The science, as described in the original article, has a hole: the spores with the "4 mutations" seem to be a minority of the spores in the sample. Depending on some esoteric science things (differential growth rate, differential pcr, etc) these spores might be present at low, undetectable levels in most samples of anthrax (I know, pcr snp typing is sensitive, but untill they show some sort of spike and recovery, adding x genomes of 4mutant DNA to y genomes of regular, you don't really know....)

    34. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Kingrames · · Score: 1

      I caught the Hot Fuzz reference, if nobody else did.

      --
      If you can read this, I forgot to post anonymously.
    35. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Weezul · · Score: 1

      Ivins wasn't the guy. The FBI claims he mailed the letters before 5pm on the day before the letters were postmarked. Any court would throw out their case based upon this one fact for even one letter, but multiple letters means there is almost no chance that he mailed them before 5pm. So the FBIs story is flat wrong.

      Of course he could still have done it, but he'd need an accomplice. It's very hard for the FBI to invent such an accomplice since Ivins doesn't fit the right wing nut profile and Irvins financial records don't indicate a paid accomplice.

      To me, it seems that he is just the guy who was fragile and cracked. So the FBI decided to blame him. I think the only way we'll know who did it is if his wife sues the FBI and wins. It seems the FBI just wants to quite investigating the case.

      --
      The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
    36. Re:Weak Talking Points? by AndersOSU · · Score: 1

      Let me add that Glenn links to an interview with am immunologist and editor of Biosecurity and Bioterrorism and a WSJ oped with the former head of the biological-weapons section of Unscom and former member of the Iraq Survey Group (who also provided strongly misleading Congressional testimonial about the WMD capabilities of Iraq).

      They both provide some technical details about why they question the Ivins and only Ivins theory.

    37. Re:Weak Talking Points? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      Of course he could still have done it, but he'd need an accomplice.

      Or some scotch tape. How heavy were the envelopes?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    38. Re:Weak Talking Points? by spoonist · · Score: 1

      this idea seems to give credibility to the idea that they don't care if a few innocent people die.

    39. Re:Weak Talking Points? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The flask". WTF do they mean by this? I don't know anyone who has a single "flask" to maintain a culture. "The flask".

      Flask. Flask, flask, flask, flask, flask.

      Flask.

      Is that even a word?

  2. Critical Analysis of Ivins investigation by bughunter · · Score: 4, Informative

    For those who aren't yet aware of it, Glen Greenwald at Salon.com has been making a rather thorough analysis of the holes in the DOJ's case against Ivins, and is not sparing the media coverage, either.

    Read and judge for yourself.

    --
    I can see the fnords!
    1. Re:Critical Analysis of Ivins investigation by 3waygeek · · Score: 1

      FYI, Greenwald is on vacation this week, so he probably won't be adding much to the discussion.

  3. tracking the envelopes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does anybody know how the feds know where a specific envelope was purchased? I've been looking at the ones I own, and there doesn't seem to be anything identifiable about them.

    1. Re:tracking the envelopes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Printing errors. Just to blow your mind, it's possible to tell who printed something off their desktop too--small codes are hidden in printed images, etc.

    2. Re:tracking the envelopes by Vectronic · · Score: 1

      No I don't, but I can guess...

      Things such as:

      1) The glue and/or paper used
        - May change area/store to store, and depend on when the envelope was manufactured.
      (X + Y chems, means 12:00am on X day, which means transport X would have sent it to X store, etc)
      2) If its one of those ones with the pattern on the inside to prevent reading, that pattern.
        - which may also have some sort of serial number in it (like money)
      3) If you go really far into it, things like the chemicals on the envelope left behind by the store, transport, etc.
      4) receipts.
      5) surveillance cameras.

      Plus less substantial things such as
      1) "they" bought envelopes there before.
      2) Proximity to residence/area they were in.

      And im sure there is more, it all depends on how much time + money you are willing to spend to find out.

    3. Re:tracking the envelopes by clarkkent09 · · Score: 1

      Well, first they take a DNA sample of the saliva used to seal the envelope with the anthrax and they match it to a specific person. Then they follow that person around and find out where they usually do their shopping and check which of those stores carry envelopes. From then on it's a simple matter of.... oh, wait...

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    4. Re:tracking the envelopes by snemarch · · Score: 2, Informative

      If the envelopes were pre-paid, they contain watermarks that has information about the post-office they were sold from etc. No reason to do fancy glue chemical analysis :)

      --
      Coffee-driven development.
  4. I think Hans Reiser did it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Dr Bruce Ivins was just a patsy. Hans Reiser actually did it.

  5. Was Ivins in Princeton? by vrmlguy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A glaring omission, meanwhile, is any evidence placing Ivins in Princeton, New Jersey, on any of the days the envelopes could have been mailed from there.

    Personally, I don't see that as such a big deal. I'll assume that there's no evidence that he wasn't in Princeton on those days. Lots of criminals have been caught by credit card receipts from gas stations, but those stories have gotten lots of press over the years. Ivins was at least as smart as Lisa Nowak, who planned her crime attempt meticulously. Sure, people laughed about her using adult diapers, but I'll bet there weren't any photos taken of her at rest stops. I'd bet he not only paid cash for his gasoline, he probably checked the driving distance and his car's MPG, and bought exactly the amount used on the trip.

    --
    Nothing for 6-digit uids?
    1. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Ivins was at least as smart as Lisa Nowak, who planned her crime attempt meticulously. Sure, people laughed about her using adult diapers,

      Yet another case of the media hyping a false report.
      The diapers were BABY diapers, in a box in the backseat of her car left over from a hurricane evacuation a few years prior. No way they would fit an adult woman, even one who was air force fit.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    2. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Moleculo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Your assumption that there is no evidence that he wasn't in Princeton might be false (see Glenn Greenwald's reporting). In addition, the fed are painting contradictory pictures of Ivins when it suits them: was he a sorority-obsessed homicidal madman in the middle of a psychiatric breakdown or a meticulous criminal mastermind leaving no detail to chance?

    3. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems that it's impossible to have been Ivins himself at least:

      http://letters.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/radio/2008/08/08/anthrax/permalink/be7ec4d7d071dc887bc4e2ecf50360ff.html

      FBI's Mailbox Schedule Exonerates Ivins...

    4. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A glaring omission, meanwhile, is any evidence placing Ivins in Princeton, New Jersey, on any of the days the envelopes could have been mailed from there.

      Personally, I don't see that as such a big deal. I'll assume that there's no evidence that he wasn't in Princeton on those days.

      Bad assumption. See Glen Greenwald, linked above.

    5. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by volpe · · Score: 1

      he probably checked the driving distance and his car's MPG, and bought exactly the amount used on the trip.

      Why? In case somebody happened to look at his fuel gauge right before his trip and immediately after, so that they wouldn't suspect he had gone anywhere, despite the odometer change?

    6. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He does have somewhat of an alibi that arises from inconsistencies in info provided by FBI (Greenwald):

      "A commenter here on Friday noted what appears to be a rather glaring contradiction in the case against Bruce Ivins. In response to criticisms that the FBI's case contains no evidence placing Ivins in New Jersey, where the anthrax letters were sent, The Washington Post published an article -- headlined "New Details Show Anthrax Suspect Away On Key Day" -- which, based on leaks from "government sources briefed on the case," purported to describe evidence about Bruce Ivins' whereabouts on September 17 -- the day the FBI says the first batch of anthrax letters were mailed from a Princeton, New Jersey mailbox. The Post reported:

              "'A partial log of Ivins's work hours shows that he worked late in the lab on the evening of Sunday, Sept. 16, signing out at 9:52 p.m. after two hours and 15 minutes. The next morning, the sources said, he showed up as usual but stayed only briefly before taking leave hours. Authorities assume that he drove to Princeton immediately after that, dropping the letters in a mailbox on a well-traveled street across from the university campus. Ivins would have had to have left quickly to return for an appointment in the early evening, about 4 or 5 p.m.'

      "The fastest one can drive from Frederick, Maryland to Princeton, New Jersey is 3 hours, which would mean that Ivins would have had to have dropped the anthrax letters in the New Jersey mailbox on September 17 by 1 p.m. or -- at the latest -- 2 p.m. in order to be able to attend a 4:00 or 5:00 p.m. meeting back at Ft. Detrick. But had he dropped the letters in the mailbox before 5:00 p.m. on September 17, the letters would have borne a September 17 postmark, rather than the September 18 postmark they bore (letters picked up from that Princeton mailbox before 5 p.m. bear the postmark from that day; letters picked up after 5 p.m. bear the postmark of the next day). That's why the Search Warrant Affidavit (.pdf) released by the FBI on Friday said this (page 8):

      "If the Post's reporting about Ivins' September 17 activities is accurate -- that he "return[ed to Fort Detrick] for an appointment in the early evening, about 4 or 5 p.m." -- then that would constitute an alibi, not, as the Post breathlessly described it, "a key clue into how he could have pulled off an elaborate crime," since any letter he mailed that way would have a September 17 -- not a September 18 -- postmark. Just compare the FBI's own definition of "window of opportunity" to its September 17 timeline for Ivins to see how glaring that contradiction is."

    7. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by AaronPSU777 · · Score: 1

      She wouldn't have to wear them to use them, she could have simply used them to urinate in without making a mess. She herself stated that this is exactly what she did, at least according to the police report. And this would still fit perfectly well with her lawyers statements; all he said was that it was a lie that she drove to orlando wearing a diaper, he never said she didn't use them to collect urine. So the basic gist of the story is likely still accurate (could you drive 950 miles without peeing SOMEWHERE?). Yes some late night comedians exaggerated events for comedic effect, but what do you expect from them?

      The parents point is still valid; an intelligent person with foresight can probably travel far distances in the US without leaving any sort of paper trail.

    8. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by vrmlguy · · Score: 1

      he probably checked the driving distance and his car's MPG, and bought exactly the amount used on the trip.

      Why? In case somebody happened to look at his fuel gauge right before his trip and immediately after, so that they wouldn't suspect he had gone anywhere, despite the odometer change?

      No, because the police can and will look at your driving habits. I have a short commute to work, and tend to buy the same amount of gas every week-end. If I filled my tank (paying cash) at the end of a crime spree, I'd actually buy less gas with my credit card that week, which they'd want me to explain.

      Your odometer readings, OTOH, are generally only recorded when service is done, mostly oil changes. An extra 600 miles would mean your next oil change would be done 10% earlier than expected, which is easier to explain than a 100% spike in the amount of gas bought in a given week.

      --
      Nothing for 6-digit uids?
    9. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by vrmlguy · · Score: 1

      In addition, the fed are painting contradictory pictures of Ivins when it suits them: was he a sorority-obsessed homicidal madman in the middle of a psychiatric breakdown or a meticulous criminal mastermind leaving no detail to chance?

      What? There's some reason he couldn't be both?

      Seriously, though, it's possible that he was an accomplice to the real bad guy. I'm usually the first to quote Hanlon's razor, but Dick Cheney seems to think that he's a character in a Tom Clancy novel and I can see this sort of scenario happening:

      Ivey worked late to get the anthrax, took off from work to give it to a "plumber" the next day, and went to his early evening appointment to give himself an alibi. After realizing that he'd been lied to about the real purpose of the anthrax, he spent the next seven years acting quirky. When the FBI finally figured out that he was somehow connected, he decided that telling the truth would be as bad as, if not worse than, the accusations and killed himself.

      --
      Nothing for 6-digit uids?
    10. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Yes some late night comedians exaggerated events for comedic effect, but what do you expect from them?

      My point was not that just "some late night comedians" exaggerated it -- every single person reporting the story 'exaggerated' it.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    11. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by spoonist · · Score: 1

      cameras... hmmm.... aren't there a load of turnpikes in PA and NJ? wouldn't one of the toll booth have taken his picture? granted they probably don't keep pictures for 7 years...

    12. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by Cl1mh4224rd · · Score: 1

      [...] was he a sorority-obsessed homicidal madman in the middle of a psychiatric breakdown or a meticulous criminal mastermind leaving no detail to chance?

      Those aren't really mutually exclusive...

      --
      People will pass up steak once a week, for crap every day.
    13. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by fm6 · · Score: 1

      I'll bet there weren't any photos taken of her at rest stops.

      No, just the ones that would have been taken when she stopped for gas. Stations on the interstate usually have a lot of security cameras, for obvious reasons.

      Nowak was a classic stalker, obsessed with somebody who had no interest in her. She called Oefelein 22 times in one day shortly before setting out to kill his girlfriend. Not exactly Professor Moriarity. More like John Hinckley. Though really, it was just a sordid, ordinary episode, no big master plan. I'm not even going to try to parse the diaper thing.

    14. Re:Was Ivins in Princeton? by vrmlguy · · Score: 1

      I'll bet there weren't any photos taken of her at rest stops.

      No, just the ones that would have been taken when she stopped for gas. Stations on the interstate usually have a lot of security cameras, for obvious reasons.

      Yeah, that would explain why she wore the wig. Thanks, I'd always wondered about that.

      --
      Nothing for 6-digit uids?
  6. Re:How about..... by ShadowRangerRIT · · Score: 5, Insightful
    One flaw with your theory:

    It assumes competence. I could see something on the level of say, an anthrax attack being possible to arrange with a minimum amount of people involved. Most of the other events you mention would require too many participants to enforce secrecy. I've worked in classified settings for the government, and not to denigrate my coworkers in the least, but secrecy within an organization is a joke. While external secrecy is fairly good, the secrets aren't morally outrageous. I somehow doubt people would take their oaths particularly seriously if they discovered the U.S. government organized any of the above events.

    Now if you want to argue that it was a sin of inaction, that someone high up knew an attack was coming and chose to do nothing, that might be plausible, since less people would need to be involved. I wouldn't rule it out completely, though my faith in humanity would be shattered if it were the case. I'm not inclined to believe even that much.

    Personally, I think the attacks were unexpected. The people you accuse of conspiracy did not aid them in any way, they just took obscene advantage of the situation.

    --
    $_ = "wftedskaebjgdpjgidbsmnjgcdwatb"; tr/a-z/oh, turtleneck Phrase Jar!/; print
  7. "Revealed", that's a good one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    -1 submitter. Speculation is not "revealed", facts are.

  8. How much of it is a CYA op? by ericferris · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So if we base a clever article on a leaked document, shouldn't we first assume that the document is truthful?

    When a high-profile person commits suicide because of the pressure of an investigation, the authorities will always try to justify their action. This was observed many times. I do remember a big scandal where a perfectly honest corner shop owner was investigated by the IRS and harassed in the worst possible ways. He turned out that his books were perfectly clean, but there was nevertheless an attempt at a smear campaign against the poor guy after his death.

    I am sure that this suicide is embarrassing some higher-ups at the FBI and that they will do their best to avoid being blamed.

    So I'd take these revelations with a grain of salt.

    --
    Fantasy: http://ferrisfantasy.blogspot.com/
    1. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by Fierlo · · Score: 1
      I don't remember seeing the real life version of this, but I do remember seeing something similar in a movie.

      In Mumford, the IRS agents made sure to get their target. They planted evidence, harassed accountants (because every accountant has something to hide). And, at the end of the day, a small business owner offed himself because the scrutiny got to him.

      Good movie, except for the entire 'romantic' portion.

    2. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, I don't know if his family/estate can sue the FBI for harassment, but if they can then the higher-ups will end up being blamed anyway, or at least forced to donate cold, hard cash. If the FBI is immune from any such action, it is possible that skeptics and pressure groups interested in manipulating the elections will play the public sympathy card. People have largely forgotten the attacks, but the suicide is fresh enough to be useful trollbait. (Personally, I think the guy was either innocent entirely OR innocent by reason of insanity, depending on what version of his personality you see.)

    3. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by ericferris · · Score: 3, Informative

      Five seconds of Googling find some juicy cases of suicide by IRS. The first link: here.

      So unfortunately, it's not just in movies.

      Now, remember, I am not saying that the evidences cited in TFA are fake or incorrect. I am just citing precedent to show what is at stake here.

      --
      Fantasy: http://ferrisfantasy.blogspot.com/
    4. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by Moleculo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Remember Rudy Guiliani telling the press that an innocent guy shot by NYC cops "was no altar boy" when, in fact, he was literally an altar boy at the same Catholic school Guiliani attended.

    5. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by KGIII · · Score: 1

      For those that haven't, I'd suggest "41 Shots."

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    6. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by ericferris · · Score: 1

      Or just see how Massachusetts authorities persecuted a guy who had done nothing illegal, then are desperately trying to come up with some trumped up charges to avoid the lawsuit they so richly deserve.

      --
      Fantasy: http://ferrisfantasy.blogspot.com/
    7. Re:How much of it is a CYA op? by flitty · · Score: 1

      Or Steve Kurtz, who was initially threatened with bioterrorism charges, which was then dropped to Mail fraud by the grand jury, and eventually all charges were dropped. All of this because he had art installations that used Bacteria he was sending through the mail.

      --
      Whether or not there is some sort of god, I'm not supposed to say/god is a word and the argument ends there-Smog
  9. Re:How about..... by tftp · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You say: Personally, I think the attacks were unexpected.

    But just below your post another /.ter mentions another article which says:

    "The attacks were not entirely unexpected. I had been told soon after Sept. 11 to secure Cipro, the antidote to anthrax. The tip had come in a roundabout way from a high government official, and I immediately acted on it. I was carrying Cipro way before most people had ever heard of it.

    I hear this claim not the first time, and there should be plenty of physical evidence to support this claim if it's true (such as receipts for Cipro retained at pharmacies.) And if this is true then the attacks were expected, and the "right people" were advised to act ahead of time.

  10. Always the dead guy by Swampash · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Call me paranoid, but I'm instinctively suspicious when the guy who unexpectedly ends up dead and thus isn't around to defend himself is revealed by the government to be TEH GENIUS CRIMINAL MASTERMIND!!!1.

  11. Re:I like their music. by rubberglove · · Score: 1

    I thought they were 'Basket Full of Puppies' now.

  12. Re:I like their music. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Anthrax rocks are bigger than Alan Cox.

    Thanks to Scott Ian it hurts when I go peein'...

  13. to consider by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 0, Redundant

    "The impression that they're not good may just come from their style. They never tell you anything.

    Yeah, or, it might be that I (and the rest of America) had to make Steve Hatfill and Richard Jewell millionaires because these guys thought it would be great to make their lives hell by "leaking" to the press that they were being "investigated" when, in fact, they were being set up to take the fall. Given the record of these high-profile cases, there is *no* reason to believe that Ivins is the guy. His death was very convenient for the wrap-up that we're seeing now - "oh well, he's dead but we think he did it so we'll close this case. Say, anybody see the big game last night? is that Madonna over there?"

    1. Re:to consider by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      One other note - this stuff ends when the people responsible have to pay the judgements rather than their employers.

  14. Case not cracked by MSTCrow5429 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Contrary to the triumphalist tone of the uber-parent, the case has not been cracked, chipped, broken apart, or otherwise solved.

    --
    Slashdot: Playing Favorites Since 1997
  15. Re:How about..... by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's likely. And even makes sense. What happens when there isn't enough of an antidote for everyone and you warn the public of a possible attack? So who do you warn? Those that you need to keep the country afloat in case it really happens, for which you do have enough antidote.

    The problem is that you can't even justify it later without risking an outrage. It is, from a purely intellectual point of view, the most sensible thing to do. But you can't justify it "morally" that you play god and decide who may live and who will die should it really happen.

    And this is how conspiracies are born.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  16. Forgive me if I don't believe it by Fear+the+Clam · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Considering the avalanche of bullshit the Justice Department has been spewing out (and/or failing to remember) during this administration, I honestly don't know why they're bothering to make a case. I'm not going to bother reading anything about this story because I'm pretty sure its just going to be more of the same.

    I was cynical before, but at this point I don't even bother reading the news.

    1. Re:Forgive me if I don't believe it by sgt_doom · · Score: 2, Funny

      Blessings onto you, oh thinking human. Should anyone ever discover Mueller ever telling the truth about ANYTHING, please be sure to wake me up.....

    2. Re:Forgive me if I don't believe it by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Arlo Guthrie /Reuben Clamzo:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uo9TxeqeDCE

      Go watch that... If, of course, you haven't already. Watch all of it - no giving up three days into it. ;)

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  17. Re:How about..... by ShadowRangerRIT · · Score: 1

    I was referring to the other events he listed (9/11, WTC bombing). Sorry if I wasn't clear. The anthrax mailings I know too little about to give much of an opinion on.

    That said, anthrax paranoia does not imply awareness of a specific threat. Remember, at one point a substantial portion of the country thought Saddam:

    1. Had weapons of mass destruction
    2. Was providing them to terrorists

    If that was believed, it would be logical (or at least, movie logical as Bruce Schneier might put it) to take precautionary measures, even without a known imminent threat.

    --
    $_ = "wftedskaebjgdpjgidbsmnjgcdwatb"; tr/a-z/oh, turtleneck Phrase Jar!/; print
  18. Re:How about..... by Rakishi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not really, it only implies someone thought an attack using anthrax was possible. In other it means nothing except someone was intelligent enough to realize anthrax was a plausible biological weapon. Conspiracy theories exist because human brains are pattern matching machines and if you look enough at something you'll find some form of pattern by pure chance. Science and statistics exist because someone realized that without rigorous standards the conclusion we draw are often less than worthless.

  19. It's the gadolinium level by Latent+Heat · · Score: 2

    The gadolinium level was off the chart, I tell you. That is what tipped them off.

  20. you know a man is a ranking public enemy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    when people keep coming up with different spellings of his name (Qaddafi/Gaddafi, Osama/Usama, Ivins/Ivans).

  21. Not Convinced by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'll admit that I am a *little bit* into conspiracy theories, but I'm not at all convinced that Ivins is guilty. When he was around to defend himself, the evidence was really weak and inconclusive, but as soon as he died, heaps of damning evidence suddenly appeared and all the holes in the story were filled in.

  22. not comparable by Crispy+Critters · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I don't think you can compare the two cases in this way. There was a lot of circumstantial evidence against Hans specifically (e.g. hidden car with a missing seat, etc.) rather than, say, the next door neighbor.

    In this case, the question to be answered is what makes us think it was Ivans rather than someone else in the lab. This part of the case is weak. It seems that many people had access. Other people likely had as strong a motive. Why him specifically?

    Evidence that he went to NJ is not strictly necessary, except that so many other areas are weak. Holes don't matter if the rest of the case is very strong, but they can sink a weak case.

    1. Re:not comparable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Did Ivins check out books from the library on terrorism a few days after the anthrax started arriving?

  23. Re:How about..... by replicant108 · · Score: 1

    Now if you want to argue that it was a sin of inaction, that someone high up knew an attack was coming and chose to do nothing, that might be plausible, since less people would need to be involved. I wouldn't rule it out completely, though my faith in humanity would be shattered if it were the case. I'm not inclined to believe even that much.

    Well, if it's going to upset you, then you probably shouldn't think about it at all.

    Some questions:

    Do you think there are Freddie Scappaticcis-type informers in Al Qaeda?

    How do you think US intelligence agencies maintain high-level assets within terrorist organisations?

    Do you think American intelligence services ever allow terrorist attacks to go ahead?

  24. occam's razor by circletimessquare · · Score: 1, Insightful

    suggests the actions of a loan deranged scientist as more likely than some sort of conspiracy

    it always amazes me how the same people that talk of the federal government in terms of utter incompetence in one sentence, the next sentence they are suggesting a multiorganizational airtight conspiracy has been meticulously arranged

    motive? right! warhawks hellbent on invading iraq... zzz

    warhawks DO exist. but most everything that happens in the realm of tricky manipulation is usually due to the individual initiative of individual warhawks. not some sort of grand poobah conspiracy of warhawk cabals, or whatever. this is called paranoid schizophrenia, not intelligent insight

    i think some people have been watching too many steven seagal movies. real life is far more mundane than your fantasy life suggests, i'm sorry about that

    but don't mind me, i'm obviously an agent of the illuminati, come to cast aspersions on armchair intelligence anaylsts and their cutting insights

    oops! gotta go, someone's chatting about the vince foster suicide cover up on an obscure message board... gotta cover that up... brb

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:occam's razor by Sleepy · · Score: 1

      Who says the war hasn't gone according to plan?? It'll take Iraq 3 decades to rebuild, and we're not leaving till that's DONE (or long term contracts are signed).

      Every time I see the news reporting lost weapons, corruption, forged intelligence, and dead middle class idealistic kids I'm thinking of Bush and the neocons, "Bring em on".

    2. Re:occam's razor by stephanruby · · Score: 1

      it always amazes me how the same people that talk of the federal government in terms of utter incompetence in one sentence, the next sentence they are suggesting a multiorganizational airtight conspiracy has been meticulously arranged

      And what about a conspiracy to hide incompetence? Also, there is no reason those conspiracies have to be related to each other either. Some government officials had their own reasons for linking Anthrax to Iraq. While some other different government officials, not even connected to the previous officials, may have had their own different reasons for pinning this on a dead man.

      If you ask me, the American system makes it so freakingly difficult to get a criminal conviction, when law enforcement has no great lead, it has no choice but to select the most deranged individuals and the most approval-seeking individuals to put undue pressure on them. Those types of people are everywhere, so it's easy enough to find them among your pool of suspects. And once you apply enough pressure, it's just a matter of time before you get a confession (even if it's not admissible in court, studies have shown that juries would convict anyway), or a suicide, either way -- as a law enforcement official -- it closes the case neatly for you.

    3. Re:occam's razor by dangitman · · Score: 1

      suggests the actions of a loan deranged scientist...

      He tried to murder people with anthrax, because he was upset that his student loans hadn't been repaid??

      --
      ... and then they built the supercollider.
    4. Re:occam's razor by volpe · · Score: 1

      suggests the actions of a loan deranged scientist [...]

      Sometimes makes me think we should've never borrowed that guy in the first place.

    5. Re:occam's razor by hiryuu · · Score: 1

      it always amazes me how the same people that talk of the federal government in terms of utter incompetence in one sentence, the next sentence they are suggesting a multiorganizational airtight conspiracy has been meticulously arranged...

      warhawks DO exist. but most everything that happens in the realm of tricky manipulation is usually due to the individual initiative of individual warhawks. not some sort of grand poobah conspiracy of warhawk cabals, or whatever.

      I've made similar points on other forums when this type of discussion occurs. A lot of what people point to as conspiratorial or even deliberately planned for nefarious purposes is nothing of the sort - rather, it's simply what happens when self-serving, selfish, and opportunistic behavior is practiced by people who are in a position to influence things on a scale larger than their immediate circle of acquaintances. If it seems like there's some kind of movement in concert, it's simply that people in similar positions and with similar individual goals will often behave similarly. Large groups of powerful people, each doing things that provide immediate benefit to themselves regardless of how many other people it screws over, is not conpsiracy - it's coincidence.

      --
      Karma: Excellent, but still won't get you laid.
  25. New potential motivations ... are also revealed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of the weak points in the affidavit is Ivins's motive, says Gregory Koblentz, a biodefense specialist at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia. The FBI suggests that Ivins was afraid of losing his job if the government ended a project he was working on that was trying to solve regulatory issues around the so-called AVA anthrax vaccine. It "seems a bit of a stretch" that Ivins would have thought his job hinged on that project, says Koblentz. His group "would have had plenty of other anthrax vaccine-related work to keep them busy."

    Sounds, to me, like the same line trotted out before. So, what new potential motives are revealed?

  26. Idiots who run Slashdot at it again by briancarnell · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I realize I'm expecting a lot, but couldn't a Slashdot summary be accurate, just once.

    First, its Bruce IVINS. Not IVANS. The Russians had nothing to do with this.

    Second, the linked article doesn't provide any new information at all regarding IVINS' alleged motivations. It just repeats what's been reported already. And those don't make a lot of sense (the claims that he was psychologically unstable make much more sense, if those are reliable).

    Third, yes anthrax fingeprinting was crucial to this case. Yes they brute forced the DNA sequencing (duh!) but the main evidence against Ivins is a statistical fingerprint based on four specific mutations in the anthrax that the FBI claims was present in the anthrax mailed to Congress critters, etc. and the anthrax in a vial that only Ivins controlled. But as the linked article points out, without knowing more you can't really conclude much from that. For example, the similarities could occur in portions of the anthrax DNA that are hypervariable which would significantly reduce their value.

    So, so far it looks like the FBI case is based largely on two facts: a) Ivins began working late nights in the weeks prior to the anthrax mailings -- he apparently claimed he had trouble at home and found solace in his work which the FBI apparently found absurd; b) a statistical similarity in certain unspecified mutations among the anthrax mailed out and the anthrax in a vial that only Ivins had access to.

    The Science article also suggests that the FBI assumed that because the envelopes used to mail the anthrax were purchased in Maryland or Virginia that the anthrax *had* to be produced there, so they then used as a basis for their investigation that the anthrax *had* to come from USAMRIID . . . which is why they focused on Hatfill so intensely.

    Maybe Ivins was the killer, but the Science article seems to raise more questions about how solid the FBI's case really is. Maybe future, more detailed information releases will bring this more into focus, but so far this doesn't appear to be the slam dunk that the FBI has so far made it seem.

    1. Re:Idiots who run Slashdot at it again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Yup, whoever posted this /. summary was in a hurry. There is absolutely no news about any breakthroughs in discerning Ivins' possible motivations.

      As far as I'm concerned, the single most convincing piece of evidence against Ivins was that he committed suicide as the Feds were moving in (after they settled with Hatfill). Was he being harassed? Sure, but he was apparently a prickly fellow who wouldn't have shrunk from a confrontation that he felt he could or should win. After all, he just saw Steven Hatfill vindicated and becoming wealthy after undergoing more than a year of similar harassment.

      Some other convincing arguments, other than that he had the means and opportunity, and that the analysis showed that he *could* have done it:

      1) He sought mental health counseling several years back, and at least one shrink thought he was psychotic

      2) He was uncooperative with the early investigation, providing unuseable samples

      3) He had a history of weird, vengeful behavior, especially the sorority bit.

      4) His brother did not think it was implausible that he could have done it

  27. Re:How about..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess you've never heard of Sibel Edmonds who's been trying to make noise on this exact case, yet is consistently not allowed to. Government knew well in advance of 9-11.

  28. Re:How about..... by ben2umbc · · Score: 1

    George Carlin had a comedy sketch about terrorists hijacking planes which was remarkably similar to 9/11 years before it happened.

  29. Paranoia or logic? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    How does an anti-terrorist bioweapons expert in the service of US military turn to a domestic terrorist right after terrorists attacked USA, and decide to launch a terrorist attack of his own?

    All within one week, creating his own strain of anthrax, getting the stuff needed for manufacturing it and mailing it, all without leaving any evidence? Or was Ivins prepared to carry out the anthrax attacks even before 9-11 took place?

    It is apparent that people with GOP connections received warnings and went on Cipro before any of the anthrax letters were even mailed.

    Ivins was also a part of the investigation team, which would be standard CIA procedure, if this was a CIA op. (This is why FBI agents and coroners are used for assassinations inside USA, because they can be used to coverup the crimes.) Ivins would also likely have been easy to talk into the op since he was a rabid arab hater and neocon, as well as easy to blackmail later to take the blame, since he had a wife and 2 kids.

    A lone person just doesn't spontaneously feel motivated to join al-Qaeda terrorist attacks against their own nation, especially if they work for the US military anti-terrorim team, even if their invention were to get more use.

    This Salon guy has lots more discrepancies in the official story:
    http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/01/anthrax/index.html

    It is clear to me that FBI is covering up one of the GOP's illegal Casus Belli operations for Iraq war. You can keep your head in the sand, while calling others paranoid, but it won't make you any more secure.

  30. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Where to start?

    Well for one, it's spelled "thermite" not "thermate." And while it does indeed burn quite hot, it doesn't even remotely approach the temperature at the core of the sun. Not by a factor of more than a thousand. Also, it takes an enormous amount of heat to initiate the thermite reaction - burning jet fuel won't cut it.

    The buildings coming down at freefall speed? Well duh, they're 90% air. Once the tops, which weighed half a million tons, got moving, nothing was going to stop them due to intertia.

    People coming out with injuries due to explosives? Not suprising, since the planes impacting the buildings caused GIANT EXPLOSIONS that set multiple entire floors on fire.

    Seriously, Bushco is guilty of plenty enough crimes that they actually committed to deserve the deaths of traitors - no need to make shit up.

  31. something else... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There were a number of mysterious deaths involving more than 12 microbiologists around the world in the year or so after 9/11. Wonder if any of this is related!

  32. Cutting yourself with Occam's razor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    These days it's more usual that people cut themselves when shaving too much with that Occam's razor. Namely, they usually insist on believing the absolute minimal and ignore all inconsistencies and contradictions. They never go against the authority and parrot it's message, calling others lunatics and paranoid. God created the Earth. End of story. No explanations necessary. The Authority has spoken.

  33. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Ortega-Starfire · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'd take the time to refute you, but someone else has:
    www.lolloosechange.co.nr

    Also, my personal favorite:
    www.thebestpageintheuniverse.net/c.cgi?u=911_morons

    Oh, but your comment about thermate is hilarious. I'll give you points for that one.

    --
    ---- Liquid was a patriot ----
  34. FBI destroyed anthrax evidence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems incredible that FBI has seen fit to destroy the original antrax evidence in the case.

    1. Re:FBI destroyed anthrax evidence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems incredible that FBI has seen fit to destroy the original antrax evidence in the case.

      I agree. They could have just kept all that shit laying around in an envelope or something.

  35. paranoia is not a replacement for intelligence by circletimessquare · · Score: 2, Insightful

    let me be perfectly clear: distrust of government is the mark of a healthy society

    i repeat: distrust of government is the mark of a healthy society

    have i made myself crystal clear?

    meanwhile, rabid kneejerk hobbling distrust is the mark of someone with a personality disorder

    you can distrust TOO MUCH just as much as you can trust too much. got that?

    you are correct, it is 100% possible to trust too much. but it is also possible to distrust too much. it's a balance

    so when you see someone who is trying to balance trust and distrust, you are not allowed to accuse them of trusting to much, simply because they do not share with you your impoverished level of distrust. your distrust is on the far end of the specturm. it is not healthy. of course, there are those on the far end of too much trust too. they are unhealthy too. i view them, and you, with incredulity

    but don't mind me, right? i'm obviously a blind fooled sheeple. you've got it all figured out from your basement and your vast collection of intartube links. i should trust your fantasy life based on b-grade hollywood movies as superior to dem evil gubmints

    baaaaah

    baaaaah

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:paranoia is not a replacement for intelligence by KGIII · · Score: 1

      There are sheeple on both sides of most any major argument. It is an unfortunate truth - people who claim to think for themselves generally don't, they just listen to what someone told them to think. I'm a zealot in my desire for moderation.

      In this particular case I'd like more factual evidence to be able to make a reasoned judgment on my own. At this point I acknowledge that I don't know enough but, in this case, I know enough to distrust my government to want more information before opting to believe them.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    2. Re:paranoia is not a replacement for intelligence by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      i repeat: distrust of government is the mark of a healthy society

      This is such bullshit.

      If our government distrusts us or we distrust the government, and we have a government of, for and by the people, what does it say when people ... CAN'T TRUST THEMSELVES?!

      Why is it such a horrible idea that we have an optimistic outlook that MAYBE. JUST MAYBE. Government isn't this horrible ogre trying to run around and break shit? The major breakthrough with civilization is that people trust each other, and to have this outlook is really devolution, not evolution.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    3. Re:paranoia is not a replacement for intelligence by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I suppose you would have said that too much distrust of Mortgage lenders was a personality disorder, just a few short months ago.

      You think like a first-rate Stalinist. You will go far, in this new and very dark time.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
  36. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where to start?

    And while I appreciate your taking the time to debunk the loon...

    The loon in question (and all of his looney friends, and the hundreds of man-years that sane people have wasted in attempts to debunk them) is the perfect example of Thomas Pynchon's Proverbs for Paranoids in action.

    "3. If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about answers."
    - Thomas Pynchon, (Proverbs for Paranoids), in Gravity's Rainbow

    If there were a 9/11 conspiracy, it'd be necessary for the conspirators to invent something as insane as the thermite "theory", if for no other reason than to keep everyone busy debunking the bogus claims of the loons, rather than asking the right questions. And of course, if there weren't a 9/11 conspiracy, some idiot would have come up with something as insane as the thermite "theory" anyway.

    So you can't even use the existence of the truther loons as evidence that there is, or isn't, a conspiracy. Catch-22. Best catch there is.

  37. good for you by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    what does that have to do with a dead anthrax scientist?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  38. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The buildings coming down at freefall speed? Well duh, they're 90% air. Once the tops, which weighed half a million tons, got moving, nothing was going to stop them due to intertia.

    Yeah true, but demolitions are not done with just one explosion 75% of the way up the building. There IS a lot of air inside, but there are also supports running all the way up.

    I'm NOT saying that it was a controlled demolition, only that I'm not sure it wasn't. I am not an expert (or even a knowledgeable layman) and I'm not taking my seat-of-the-pants feeling as a real analysis. I don't consider us (to include myself) capable of really addressing the question here, partly because one of the options leads us off into a never-never land where we have to ask who did the demolition.

    I'm not a 9-11 truther, and despite my misanthropy and cynicism I just can't believe that any group of any size could have the buildings professionally demolished and then successfully cover it up. But it looked weird as hell, and I don't believe that the official version is all that credible. I just don't see that running planes into the buildings that far up would make the entire buildings collapse into their own footprints. But the alternative is too weird to contemplate as well, so...

  39. Disturbingly coincidental related event by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Back in 2001, there was a rumor that some locations in a foreign country, a country considered as a potential Al-Qaeda training grounds, are being used as anthrax testing grounds. One of the top leaders (Al-Qaeda was quite structured at that time) had a large bank account in that country financial institution. That institution was incidentally also a reservoir of a grant from a related US department.

    2 weeks before 911, there was an urgent request from the said financial institution to a huge US based IT company, to take over it's IT system by force. The reason of the hostile take over is because the old IT department blackmail the financial institution.

    The take over was a success. And then a total rewrite of their core banking application was executed. Relevant data were migrated..

    A couple of months after 911, US declared that the institution was misusing the grant.

    Conspiracy theory start, 3, 2, 1. :-)

    1. Re:Disturbingly coincidental related event by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish I were a conspiracy theorist. Then I don't have to make sense when I orange the parakeets about conspiracy theories.

  40. No one questioning death by Tylenol? by FrenchSilk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    One of the oddest aspects of this case is the way that Ivins supposedly chose to commit suicide. Tylenol typically causes a horrible, drawn-out death that takes two to three weeks. The impression given by the media is that he tossed down a bottle of Tylenol, grabbed his throat and keeled over. But that just isn't the way it happens, and Ivins would have known that.

    This article provides an excellent discussion of the time line of deterioration and eventual death that results comes from Tylenol poisoning.

    1. Re:No one questioning death by Tylenol? by winwar · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "Tylenol typically causes a horrible, drawn-out death that takes two to three weeks. The impression given by the media is that he tossed down a bottle of Tylenol, grabbed his throat and keeled over."

      Dying from liver toxicity sucks. But he took tylenol with codeine. Enough codeine tends to suppress breathing (Codeine: toxic dose about 240 mg). Typical doses of codeine are 15 to 60mg with a maximum of 360mg per 24 hours. Not breathing for a period, say over 10 minutes, will tend to result in death.

      If you have tylenol with codeine, you probably have enough to overdose.

    2. Re:No one questioning death by Tylenol? by budcub · · Score: 1

      It wasn't just OTC Tylenol, it was a prescription pain killer, some kind of opiate mixed with Tylenol.

    3. Re:No one questioning death by Tylenol? by FrenchSilk · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the clarification! I guess it makes sense after all.

    4. Re:No one questioning death by Tylenol? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Enough codeine tends to suppress breathing (Codeine: toxic dose about 240 mg).

      LD50 for codeine is 800mg

  41. Re:How about..... by MSTCrow5429 · · Score: 1
    Some slight errors:

    1) On the Federal level, you can either have the Constitution OR democracy, not both.

    2) The Constitution ended a long, long time ago, and almost no current politicians make any pretense of having any loyalty to it.

    3) Fascism is system of government and economics. It is also known as Corporatism (a point of some confusion among the less educated, it has zero to do with the corporation as presently understood). Even if your first paragraph's contentions where true in their entirety, it would not necessarily indicate a fascist system of government and society.

    --
    Slashdot: Playing Favorites Since 1997
  42. They can't place him there because he wasn't there by MarkusQ · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well, from the evidence I've seen, whatever may tie Ivins to this crime, I've seen nothing to indicate that Ivins acted alone. The fact that they can't place him in the Princeton, NJ area at the time the letters were mailed is a huge problem in that regard, as is the question of who fed false information suggesting Iraqi involvement to ABC's Brian Ross. These facts are not consistent with the FBI's seeming desire to close this case based upon Ivins being the sole culprit.

    They can't place him there because he couldn't have been there. According to the FBI's warrants, etc. the letters were mailed from a specific box in Princeton, NJ after 5 pm on September 17, 2001. Ivins was out of the office in Frederick VA earlier in the day (after coming in briefly in the morning), but was back before 5 pm for a meeting. There is no indication that they have cracked his alibi from 5 on sufficiently to allow him to make the round trip during the time window.

    Unless they have a real whopper saved up (he hired his secret twin brother to sleep with his wife that night?) Bruce Ivins could not have done it alone. Which (right on the tail of the Hatfill fiasco and the Siegelman fiasco and all the rest) might lead a reasonable person to wonder if he was involved at all.

    --MarkusQ

    P.S. The best way I've heard of salvaging their case would be if Ivins drove up in the daytime (he might just barely have had time) and asked someone to mail the letters for him. If they had this (presumably innocent foil) in witness protection or something they might actually have a better case than they've shown. But in any case he would have needed an accomplice of some sort.

  43. Re:How about history? by Rakishi · · Score: 1

    History books also omit the 50 billion other coincidences that didn't have any backing for them. If you're working in hindsight you can even make things look like coincidences by reinterpreting them (see prophecies of a certain dead guy).

  44. Not enough evidence is public by LwPhD · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It is certainly possible that enough evidence has been collected to nail Ivins. However, the evidence so far produced is far, far from convincing, especially the explanation of the TIGR data. It does seem like they've used a relatively small number of markers to identify the strain. If these markers are SNPs, then there is a fairly non-trivial chance that parallel mutations could cause false positives and that further mutations on the original strain could cause false negatives. And by what criteria did they choose only 4 of the mutations they successfully found? Even if they are less common mutations, there is abundant evidence that mutations of all kinds (duplications, deletions, even inversions) can happen rather frequently. But with no information, we're left wondering.

    The interpretation of polymorphism data through ad hoc statistics compounded with arbitrary ascertainment bias could potentially allow the FBI to implicate anyone. If they were malicious (or trying to perform some CYA) they could even choose which markers to use and whatever hand-wavy analyses they wanted to implicate particular strains. Perhaps the research is completely above-board and is rigorous and implicates Ivins beyond a reasonable doubt. I'm very much open to that possibility. However, two things give me pause. First, the sketchy details we have concerning the data render them highly suspect. Specifically, if I'm to take literally everything I've read as being the essence of the most convincing evidence the FBI has, then I'd have to say they don't have a scientific case. (Convincing a credulous jury is another issue. See Simpson, O.J.) Secondly, the way they present the evidence is highly suspect. As one commenter suggested, what does the shoddy description of the details of the case tell us about the FBI's understanding of the relevant issues? As a scientist, I can say that I'm underwhelmed by their ability to communicate basic ideas.

    Whether this is the FBI being secretive and leaving out key details or this is just incompetence, I can't tell. In either event, the cloudy picture currently painted in the public sphere is so suspect as to make anyone who knows anything about population variation to hear loud alarm bells regarding this case.

    1. Re:Not enough evidence is public by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of this article is watered down for public consumption. The TIGR data seems to be public and if you really want to go take a look at it in the referenced paper. However, since you don't know what kind of markers they were talking about, then I have to assume you didn't read TFA. They found SNPs and tandem repeats and found direct matches.

      This isn't like the OJ trial where someone did a test with 20 PCR markers and had a statistician work out probabilities. This was whole genome sequencing and analysis with conclusions being made by geneticists who work with anthrax for a living. The results are repeatable, published, and reviewed by numerous specialists in the field.

      To suggest this is sloppy work is insulting to genetics as a field, implying that it's all just dice rolling and we can't know anything. I mean, if we can't say that two bacteria which can be shown to have the very same functional genome with matching, unique mutations are the same strain, then we might as well give up on genetics right now.

    2. Re:Not enough evidence is public by LwPhD · · Score: 1

      Did we read the same article? Because my reading of it was very different than yours. And you even suggest I didn't read it. Anyway, I'll try to be constructive to the rest of the /. readers while schooling you in your credulous reading of science journalism and hollow admonishment of my comments.

      TFA is a ScienceNOW Daily news brief summarizing information from the investigation, relying heavily on what can be implied from the content of an affidavit released in late 2007 and just recently unsealed. What followed was a bunch of speculation by a professional scientific journalist, Martin Enserink, who did a rather good job lining everything up for us with good old fashioned journalism. His well-informed speculation is based on interviews and 4 paragraphs of the affidavit.

      Your criticisms don't even make sense or are completely false. What were the 4 markers? Were they SNPs? Tandem repeats? Where? Tell me where I can download that data you talked about? If you know, I think you could really break this story open. As a matter of fact, the work referenced in TFA is not published nor was it peer reviewed. Perhaps you can start here and get back to me when you've found anything informative: http://pathema.jcvi.org/pathema/anthrax_resources.shtml

      For your information, genomics is my field, and I'm published in the area of studying genetic markers in populations. I stand by my suggestion that there is something sloppy here. If you'd read either TFA or MFC (my comment) then you'd know a major issue discussed was the opaqueness of what little we know. Either the FBI's organizing of the work was sloppy (perhaps due to it being "highly compartmentalized" according to TFA) or their release of the information was sloppy. No, I don't believe my suggestion that this was sloppy work is insulting to my field, nor do I think that what I do as a career is just dice throwing without hope for knowledge.

      Before casting aspersions on others who have read TFA, you might actually try R-ing TFA yourself. And hiding behind anonymity? Classy.

  45. Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 4, Interesting

    http://xymphora.blogspot.com/2008/08/is-there-anything-you-wouldnt-believe.html

    I'm sorry, but I can't help mulling over the preposterousness of the FBI's case against Bruce Ivins. The anthrax attack was made with state-of-the-art - let me correct myself, beyond-state-of-the-art - weaponized anthrax. The Russians couldn't have made it, the Chinese couldn't have made it, hell, even the Iraqis (ha!) couldn't have made it. Only one tiny group of people in the world could have made it, a handful of scientists at . . . Fort Detrick. I hate to even bring it up, but developing this expertise is completely illegal under treaties signed and ratified by the American government. The main point is that the manufacturing process needed to make this stuff was beyond the ability of anyone other than a tiny number of American scientists, and Bruce Ivins wasn't one of them.

    The case against Ivins is based entirely on (questionable) DNA analysis which is said to prove that he had custody of a flask of the base anthrax material from which the weaponized powder was made. How do we get from anthrax spores to weaponized powder? According to the FBI, Ivins made it all by himself in his spare time at night.

    Ivins was an immunologist. He worked on vaccines. He had neither the expertise - remember, it is beyond-state-of-the-art - nor the equipment to turn the spores into weaponized anthrax. It is as if he was trained as an accountant and the FBI told us his night-time hobby was brain surgery. Or better, manufacturing gasoline out of crude oil in the oil refinery he built in his lab, without anybody noticing. Or better, manufacturing gasoline out of crude oil in the oil refinery he built in his lab, using beyond-state-of-the-art refining techniques developed over years of experimentation, without anybody noticing.

    And yet, we're told he must have done it, as he had custody of the flask. Others, some of whom were part of a team that actually had made beyond-state-of-the-art weaponized anthrax based on years of (illegal) experiments using the most sophisticated equipment and techniques, also had access to the contents of the flask, but they have been 'ruled out'. Somehow Ivins, without training in the right field, the proper equipment, years of (illegal) experiments, and a team of scientists, turned the contents of his flask into beyond-state-of-the-art weaponized anthrax in his spare time at night without anybody noticing. On top of this, he did it without getting any of the notoriously hard-to-contain spores on himself or his car or his home. If you believe this, is there anything you wouldn't believe? I have a bridge in Brooklyn I'd like to sell you.

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
    1. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      If there was one person whose opinion on this subject I didn't listen to, it would be you. There's something fishy about this case, but your government conspiracy theories are of no help on the issue.

    2. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by AndersOSU · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm not a biologist so I can't comment directly on the necessary skill sets.

      What makes me question this story is that neither the US whose bioweapons program shut down in the 72 nor Russians who had an active bio-weapons program through the '90s with dozens, if not hundreds, of scientists working full time, with virtually unlimited funding, were able to produce a weapon of this quality.

      The way I see it either a lone researcher on his own, working in a government lab, has enough time to figure out how to create a bio-weapon - without anyone asking questions (remember the best evidence they have is that it was our anthrax,) or we have an active bio-weapons program (in violation of international treaties) that people can surreptitiously remove material from, or Ivins didn't work alone.

      It MAY be possible that the state of the art has evolved sufficiently since overt weapons programs were disbanded that a single scientist can now create a bioweapon. This, however doesn't bring much comfort once you consider the consequences.

      All three possible scenarios are alarming, especially since the FBI seems content to close the case.

    3. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2, Informative

      Weaponizing anthrax involves having is maintain its infectious properties, while also being dispersable as an aerosol. Ideally, this means casual contact with the spores should result in having them billow into a ultra-fine cloud. Inhalation is required for infection.

      Now, pledge allegiance to your PATRIOT act.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    4. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Remus+Shepherd · · Score: 2, Informative

      'Weaponizing' anthrax means taking the spores from the mold and making them into uniform bits that are small enough to get into the alveoli in human lungs. This generally involves culturing the anthrax, then freezing it with an adulturant (such as bentonite), then shaving particles off carefully -- 'carefully' so that they are very small particles with no clumps, and also because you're creating a spray of fine particles that will kill you.

      This is a very different process from creating a vaccine, but none of it is very difficult if you know the process. An immunologist would know how to culture the anthrax, and he could figure out the adulturation and grinding process without too much trouble.

      --
      Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
    5. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      I see no reason why someone who is capable of making a vaccine, could not "weaponize" the anthrax (WTF does that even mean anyway?)

      Why did you even post this vitriol if you don't know what the topic is?

      If you're a biologist working with deadly agents and can explain why it would not be possible for someone who makes vaccines to figure out how to make anthrax more deadly, then post it.

      One only needs to have listened to the news when the attacks were made. 'Weaponizing' is a special method of preparation that involves drying and milling operations which requires purpose-built high-precision machinery and aerosolizing agents and coatings.

      Otherwise, sit down, shut up, stop linking to blogspot as "proof" and come back when you have something other than conspiracy theories.

      Do a bit of research before excoriating the gp. We're being told several kinds of contradictory evidence so at least some of the parties are incompetent or malicious. There is no "truth" to be known at this point.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    6. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With "weaponize" you usually both mean adding additives that enhance the spores capability to spread (in this case, nanosilicates that turned the otherwise quite sticky powder into a fine mist that would almost lift by itself from the letters), and the process of turning the spores more "hot", i.e immune to common antibiotics (like the russians did) and/or more deadly (for example by insertion of foreign genes, see the australian mousepox experiments for an example. Simple insertion of the mouse IL4 gene into mousepox turned it almost 100% deadly, even in immunized mice). Weaponizing a disease, however, is not trivial, and usually more surface physics than biology.

      And yes, a big part of bioweapons research is producing and enhancing the delivery system, something a typical immunologist would not easily know how to do. On the other hand, ready-made "recipies" of weaponized anthrax are stored at Fort Detrick, and availible to security classified personel, so... it's not unthinkable he could have gotten his hands on a recipy. Nanosilica is quite cheap in bulk, and breeding anthrax spores is not that hard, I've done it myself.

      ~The anonymous microbiologist

    7. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see no reason why someone who is capable of making a vaccine, could not "weaponize" the anthrax (WTF does that even mean anyway?).

      By your own admission, you're not well enough informed to hold an opinion on the topic.

    8. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by smellsofbikes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      >could not "weaponize" the anthrax (WTF does that even mean anyway?)

      In this context, what it means is managing to take Bacillus anthracis growing in culture, getting it to form spores, extracting those spores in a way that they're still viable, drying them, physically separating them into a homogenous fine powder (called 'milling') and in this particular case, apparently then uniformly coating the powdered bits with a hydrophilic silica that had an associated surface electric charge.
      Above taken from this wall street journal article (which says these weren't physically milled but were particularized in some other way.)

      There's a *lot* of work involved in making these samples, and it requires access to large amounts of very high-tech equipment, stuff that a microbiologist who is making vaccines doesn't have. The equipment doesn't exist anywhere outside of the old US bioweapons labs at Fort Dettrick, according to multiple other people.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    9. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Getting anthrax to powderized form so that the spores do not cling to each other, but allowes them to remain free and individual and "float freely" in the air, is the key to anthrax weaponization. USA is the only country who has broken the international bioweapons treaty and has weaponized the anthrax to this extent. All the while claiming to respect the treaty, none the less.

      Shame on you, americans!

    10. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Goaway · · Score: 1

      However, in congressional briefings and in a paper published in the August 2006 issue of Applied and Environmental Microbiology, FBI officials described the powder as a simple spore preparation without additives.

    11. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Goaway · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, but I can't help mulling over the preposterousness of the FBI's case against Bruce Ivins.

      Oh, so you have the actual, as-yet unreleased evidence to judge?

    12. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to admit that I am not that concerned with whether or not Ivins was involved. I am, however, gravely concerned with a number of points brought up in these two blog posts on salon.com:

      http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/03/journalism/
      http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/01/anthrax/index.html

      Namely, the following open questions were brought up:
          - How come ABC hasn't released their source(s) for the bogus information that the Anthrax samples contained bentonite and silica, a technique which was supposedly employed only by the Iraqis? It seems to be the only datum used to implicate Iraq into this conspiracy. Yes, as a journalist, you have to protect your sources, but not if they are using you to pass along bogus information. In that case, the journalist is just puppet of the administration.
          - How come The Washington Post's columnist, Richard Cohen, was told to start taking Cipro, an antidote to Anthrax, before the Anthrax scare even started?

      I want answers to both of those questions!

    13. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by pkphilip · · Score: 4, Informative

      A weaponized anthrax spores have the following features which will aid its effectiveness as a weapon:

      a) Normally the spores will clump together like dough. However, to allow easy dispersal of the spores, the spores will be ground down into very small particles and covered in a special chemical which will prevent the clumps from forming.

      b) The each such spore will be given a weak electrical charge so that the spores repel each other. Again, this is to prevent the clumping together of the spores.

      c) The strain used will be far more agressive and virulent to maximize the damage it does.

      d) The strain will also be made resistant to many available vaccines.

      None of these can be done without very specialized equipment which is not available on order. These are custom designed equipment developed specifically for the bioweapons program. It is very unlikely that Ivins could have done any of these things himself.

    14. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 1

      Liars and damned liars. After Hanssen, they'll say anything to avoid looking 'at fault'.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    15. Re:Is there anything you wouldn't believe? by Goaway · · Score: 1

      And your evidence for this is...

  46. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by The+Master+Control+P · · Score: 1

    Eh, it wasn't much of my time. And leaving it unanswered opens up the possibility of someone else reading it and believing it's correct. I view troofers and other conspiracy loons as one of a. the kind who blame the someone else for everything because they refuse to face up to their failures, b. the kind who are there to scam you into buying their troofer book, or c. people who have schizophrenia or other some other disorder that impairs one's ability to correctly discern reality.

    Outside "I Exist," nothing else can be absolutely proven and we have to accept certain axioms to function - troofers either refuse to accept them or they use "wrong" axioms, in which case anything can be proven, since all statements can be proven true given contadictory axioms.

    And while we're on troofer theories, here's mine: the neocons knowingly let it happen because pnac wanted their new Pearl Harbor. Half of bushco are sociopaths IMO... If not sociopaths, severely delusional.

  47. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

    But it looked weird as hell, and I don't believe that the official version is all that credible. I just don't see that running planes into the buildings that far up would make the entire buildings collapse into their own footprints.

    "Looked weird as hell"? Of course it did. We've never seen anything on that scale before or since. Unless you have one or more other examples of 100+ story truss-stabilized tubular frame supported structures that were hit by aircraft and then collapsed, you have no grounds to claim that's not what happens. Really, if you have doubts, read the Popular Mechanics debunking. It logically lays the whole thing out. Seriously, the "truthers" theories are completely insane. It's not too to entertain the notion that perhaps the building was wired for demolition, but when you view that assertion in light of all the other things that would have to be true--- the various degrees of complicity in the hijacking that'd be necessary--- it's just complete and utter nonsense. Some fucktard jihadis found a loophole in the system and exploited it. Shit happens.

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  48. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just don't see that running planes into the buildings that far up would make the entire buildings collapse into their own footprints.

    As I understand it, the plane impacts dumped a bunch of jet fuel all over the buildings; this fuel didn't explode instantly, but burned for quite a while. The heat of burning weakened the buildings more and more until catastrophic failure.

    Bin Ladin, on one of his infamous tapes, said that they hadn't been sure if the planes could really bring the whole towers down or not, but that he had hopes. (So, if there was a conspiracy to destroy the buildings, I guess he was in on it! Bin Ladin working with Bush, to help Bush accomplish his nefarious plan... no, THAT's not a stretch is it.)

  49. Re:How about..... by KGIII · · Score: 1

    I look at our government's inability to keep a secret and, from that, I speculate that it is highly unlikely that this (or the 9/11) attacks were sponsored, ordained, ordered, or even remotely believed to be plausible to our government. It is actually the constant reminders of the abysmal state of the American government that makes me inclined to think that some NYT reporter wouldn't have heard of it and posted it on the front page a long time ago.

    --
    "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  50. Re:How about..... by Kagura · · Score: 1

    Such a policy wouldn't be secret. In case of a biological epidemic of some kind, the US military will receive the antidote/vaccine before their own families and before the general population of the US. I'm sure the civilian government of the US also receives such privilege. And really, it makes sense in such a wide-scale panic case.

  51. Re:How about..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm pretty sure this recipe is vaguely familiar.

    Yeah I think I saw it in a movie.

  52. 911 Synthetic Terror by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "911 Synthetic Terror" the greatest book on 911, by Webster Griffin Tarpley. Not to be confused with David Ray Griffin, another historian who wrote the most detailed accounts about 911 in a series of 3 books, all available on amazon.com
    Do your duty, buy a copy of these books written by these exceptional US citizens.

    For those of you who still believe in the Disneyworld pancaking version of the twin towers fall, here is a start: http://www.mondialisation.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=9781
    And on this blog are referenced a few Google video documentaries http://mittiprovence.blog.fr

  53. Re:How about..... by karmatic · · Score: 1

    It's likely. And even makes sense. What happens when there isn't enough of an antidote for everyone and you warn the public of a possible attack? So who do you warn?

    Ah, but here's the problem with that scenario. We largely went to war because of Anthrax. Remember the so-called "mobile bioweapons lab", etc.? The official explanation is that he worked alone. So, if there was intelligence information warning of an anthrax attack, where did it come from?

  54. Common cause behind 9/11 and anthrax case? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Religion.

    It was originally assumed that 9/11 and the anthrax mailings are related to each other. And indeed: both were committed by religious zealots. Ivins was a conservative Catholic crank (as you can see e.g. from his letters to the editors of The Frederick News) who sent the anthrax letters to pro-choice senators. These horrendous acts were not only committed by religious zealots, but were also committed due to their stupid factual beliefs and unacceptable morals.

    It's time that people of minimal intelligence open upen up their eyes to the facts and stop maintaining silence whenever they hear people of faith spill their speeches.

  55. Re:How about..... by volpe · · Score: 1

    But you can't justify it "morally" that you play god and decide who may live and who will die should it really happen.

    We can't? Don't we already have underground bunkers for such people in the event of a nuclear attack?

  56. Re:How about..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And how does Richard Cohen, a Washington Post columnist, qualify as one of the "right people"? You need bloggers and columnists to keep the country afloat? (In case magazine sales start to flag, for instance?) Right ...

  57. And what have we learned here? ;) by Moraelin · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ivins began working late nights in the weeks prior to the anthrax mailings -- he apparently claimed he had trouble at home and found solace in his work which the FBI apparently found absurd;

    Absurd, eh? And what have we learned here? Never do overtime.

    If you'd rather stare into a flask than see your wife again, do yourself a favour and go get wasted at the pub. Sure, it ruins your liver, but so does Tylenol. Or get a mistress. Get a divorce. But for the love of Bast, don't be the last guy at the office.

    Sure, you may think you're an IT dude, no way someone would link anthrax to your servers. Right? We'll see who laughs last when some idiot script kiddie defaces a DOD web server, and people go "OMG, it was in the same county as a computer which controls the nukes! The hacker mastermind must have planned to reprogram the computer to load itself into a truck, drive there and plug itself into the secure network! It's teh Al Qaeda! Terrorism! Jihad! Concerted attack on our freedoms! It's those dastardly... umm... hey, Jack, which country has oil and we didn't bomb already? Right, it was those dastardly Canadians and their false prophet!"

    So leave Slashdot, close that SSH window, turn off the computer (is the uptime willy-waving worth someone inferring that you must have been there if the computer was up and doing stuff on the servers?), tell a bunch of co-workers "good bye" and walk out that door. Yes, you can do it. For the love of all that's good and holy, walk out that door.

    And if your boss doesn't like it, tell him you're doing your patriotic duty. When that arab genius mastermind hacks a computer to load itself into a truck and drive to a nuke base, the CIA can chase him instead of wasting valuable time and resources on chasing you. It would be unpatriotic to interfere with their investigation by setting yourself up as a decoy. The future of democracy and freedom may depend on it. If you don't do it, the terrorists win!

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  58. yeah... by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    and when that lawyer dropped dead during the Clinton years we spent how many years of amateur sleuths telling us what a grand conspiracy it was?

    Just consider this "what goes around, comes around"

    There is a conspiracy anywhere you have a crackpot

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  59. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by crhylove · · Score: 0, Troll

    Actually, it's not a stretch at all. The Bush family and the Bin Laden family have been close friends and business partners for decades. That is half the point of this whole line of inquiry. Or have you not seen the footage of Bush Sr. kissing the arab dude? I'd love to be a loon and making the whole thing up, or frightened for no good reason, and the bill of rights is still safe, JFK was shot from behind, and that Diebold counts our votes. I'd like very much for all of that to be true, but unfortunately the facts surrounding the case DO NOT provide evidence for that hypothesis. Quite the contrary.

    Thermate was not a mis-spell. Thermate is different than Thermite, though very similar, it has additional sulfer to speed up and increase the reaction.

    It is the way buildings are currently demolished by professionals, and lends itself strongly to Occam's Razor.

    Those buildings WERE NOT AIR, and they WERE NOT EMPTY. They had GIANT solid steel beams throughout their entire core. Just do the minimal of research on destruction of sky scrapers. Do even a small comparison of a few demolitions, watch those tapes, review the evidence at hand and tell me how planes melted those central steel columns when jet fuel does not burn hot enough to melt steel that quickly or thoroughly.

    Please stop parroting your idiotic philosophical ideas and re-hashed Popular Mechanics references. Read all the various reports, including the scientific peer-reviewed ones, and then draw your own fresh conclusions.

    It was painfully evident and obvious that very few of the haters who are also apparently modding me down have done any research, AT ALL.

    --
    I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  60. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by crhylove · · Score: 0, Troll

    How about you read some. And try to give us scientific references, as that pop culture you threw at me I've read already, and was not at all impressed, though sometimes Maddox is funnier than others, and sometimes his Conservative-Colbertism is on the money. That article however is not one of them, in my opinion. I like his reviews of children's art, however. Top rate.

    Now go and read, and debate this on scientific points, or STFU.

    http://wtc.nist.gov/media/JonesWTC911SciMethod.pdf

    --
    I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  61. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  62. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by tinkerghost · · Score: 1

    I agree with one exception ... you can set thermite off with a match. The reaction's been used as far back as the 1900's to weld train rails together.

  63. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by tinkerghost · · Score: 1

    Those buildings WERE NOT AIR, and they WERE NOT EMPTY. They had GIANT solid steel beams throughout their entire core. Just do the minimal of research on destruction of sky scrapers. Do even a small comparison of a few demolitions, watch those tapes, review the evidence at hand and tell me how planes melted those central steel columns when jet fuel does not burn hot enough to melt steel that quickly or thoroughly.

    First off, yes they were about 90% air, that's what makes them useful as an office building. Next the beams are hardly 'GIANT', they seem to be fairly standard construction I-beams. You want giant go look in a steel mill, shipyard, or suspension bridge.

    You don't need to melt steel to make it useless as a structural element. Depending on the type of steel & it's treatment, it can loose up to 80% of it's structural strength prior to even starting to glow. Specifically, heat treated types of steel - such as used in high strength bolts & nuts - turn to shit very quickly. I don't recall if the Twin Towers were built with rivet or bolt joints, but either would fail long before the beams themselves would begin to melt - the bolts being heat treated & the rivets being a mild steel.

    Take it as you will, but this part of your argument isn't sound.

  64. Oh please !! by Weezul · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Bruce Ivans wasn't the anthrax mailer. He wasn't even a right wing nut job. He was just who the FBI got the "crack". FBI agents aren't that bright, they just assume anyone who cracks is guilty.

    Anyway, read the FBIs story about how he mailed the letters. They claim he drove to Princeton, mailed the letters, and returned to work. He was seen at work that same day at 5pm. However, this story blatantly contradicts the fact that the letters were post marked the following day! How can he have mailed them well before 5pm but have the letters postmarked the following day?

    In fact they have given no evidence pointing to Bruce Ivins except for the fact that he committed suicide. Btw, the FBI is also classifying the letter blaming that egyptian guy as a mere coincidence, despite the fact that this letter was mailed first. I'm not sure if the FBI knows who the anthrax mailer was, but it's crystal clear that they don't want to know who blamed the egyptian guy.

    --
    The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
  65. The whole anthrax case is ridiculous by Ludo.Sanders · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There have been so much lies and ridiculous claims about this case. That its hard to judge what you can believe. It al started with blaming Al Qaida for sending anthrax letters to politicians that where opposed to Bush and his war(!!). And it just went downhill from there.

    --
    "It is not because no one sees the truth that it becomes a mistake" (Mahatma Gandhi)
  66. trail of evidence .. by rs232 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Bruce Edwards Ivins (the Anthrax suspect) aka Jimmy Flathead aka
    jimmyflathead@yahoo.com

    From: jimmyflathead@yahoo.com (jimmyflathead)
    NNTP-Posting-Host: p-903.newsdawg.com

    http://groups.google.co.uk/group/alt.literature/msg/d305ab96c3af13b9?hl=en

    p-903.newsdawg.com = 64.209.5.103
    -------
    OrgName: Global Crossing
    OrgID: GBLX
    Address: 14605 South 50th Street
    City: Phoenix
    StateProv: AZ
    PostalCode: 85044-6471
    Country: US

    NetRange: 64.208.0.0 - 64.209.127.255
    -------

    Global Crossing [NSA-affiliated IP ranges]
    Phoenix AZ US

    64.208.0.0 - 64.209.127.255
    64.210.0.0 - 64.210.127.255
    64.211.0.0 - 64.211.223.255
    64.212.0.0 - 64.215.255.255

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
  67. flawed logic .. by rs232 · · Score: 1

    "I've seen nothing to indicate that Ivins acted alone"

    That's because you seen nothing at all, and how by any rules of logic, can you infer the absence of any 'evidence' that he actied alone, as being evidence that he didn't act alone.

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
    1. Re:flawed logic .. by QRDeNameland · · Score: 1

      That's because you seen nothing at all, and how by any rules of logic, can you infer the absence of any 'evidence' that he actied alone, as being evidence that he didn't act alone.

      You mean, I've seen nothing other than the information I've cited that contraindicates a lone culprit. It's easy to point out another's logical flaws if you ignore half of their point, I guess.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
    2. Re:flawed logic .. by rs232 · · Score: 1

      "You mean, I've seen nothing other than the information I've cited that contraindicates a lone culprit. It's easy to point out another's logical flaws if you ignore half of their point, I guess"

      I'm sorry, but what information have I cited here, I asked the other poster to provide evidence that a) Irvins was the anthrax culprit and b) he did not act alone.

      I'm sorry again, but could you help me out here, how does the fact that Ivins couldn't have posted the letters, progress to, there was more than one cuplrit and Ivins was in conspiracy with them. I mean by the same logic, why not the rest of the US population, not present at the letter posting, being also in cahoots.

      --
      davecb5620@gmail.com
    3. Re:flawed logic .. by QRDeNameland · · Score: 1

      Are you being intentionally obtuse?

      You responded to me (not some "other poster") that I was using "flawed logic" because I was supposedly only considering the fact that there is an absence of any evidence that he acted alone. However, as I clearly pointed out, there *is* compelling evidence that suggests that others were involved, as well as that parts of the crime that it is highly unlikely that he could have done himself.

      Oh, and by the way, you seem to imply that I am stating with certainty that there were co-conspirators, which I have not. All I have stated is that there is no evidence that he acted alone, and countering evidence that strongly suggest that he didn't ask alone, and that without clearing that up they should not be closing the investigation.

      I'm sorry again, but could you help me out here, how does the fact that Ivins couldn't have posted the letters, progress to, there was more than one cuplrit and Ivins was in conspiracy with them.

      Hmmmm...let's see....you just proffer as a "fact that Ivins couldn't have posted the letters", which was clearly part of the crime in question, and then ask how that could progress to a suspicion that someone else was involved? How would you submit, O great detector of "flawed logic", that the letters got mailed if he acted alone yet couldn't have mailed them? Telekinesis?

      Then again, your utterly ridiculous non-sequitur that a suspicion that someone else could have been involved could somehow be extrapolated to a suggestion that the entire national population was involved speaks volumes about your self-proclaimed grasp of logic.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
    4. Re:flawed logic .. by rs232 · · Score: 1

      "there *is* compelling evidence that suggests that others were involved"

      Then, for the third time, produce the 'evidence' ..

      --
      davecb5620@gmail.com
    5. Re:flawed logic .. by QRDeNameland · · Score: 1

      Where did you ever say to me to produce any evidence? You were simply babbling about "flawed logic" based upon selective reading.

      I'd point you to the evidence if it wasn't perfectly clear at this point that you are trolling.

      --
      Momentarily, the need for the construction of new light will no longer exist.
  68. yet more flawed logic .. by rs232 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Bruce Ivins could not have done it alone"

    What 'evidence' is ther that Irvins was involved, traces of that particular strain was found near by, well they would find it, as he initially helped with the analysis of the anthrax-tainted envelopes. They only turned on Irvins, when the other 'suspect' (Steven Hatfill) refused to roll over ..

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
  69. Jesus H. tapdancing Christ .. by rs232 · · Score: 1

    "Well, first they take a DNA sample of the saliva used to seal the envelope with the anthrax"

    What alleged bio-terrorist, would lick his own anthrax envelopes shut, especially considering he ws a highly trained microbiologist and vaccinologist, go back to your 'John and Jane' books ...

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
  70. he had the equipment by jbeaupre · · Score: 1
    --
    The world is made by those who show up for the job.
  71. facts please to squelch the rumors by cinnamon+colbert · · Score: 1

    Like the JFK murder, or the downing of flight KAL007, rumors are starting to change into facts, and we are arguing about what someone said about what someone said about...
    Can we get some data and squelch the silly rumors that waste time ?
    were the spores weaponized or not ? I see a lot of people with strong statements, but no evidence or data.
    Can we get an answer at this point, and move on ?

    were the envelopes used really only available in the Va area ?

    What are the 8 other labs that the FBI says had the supposed strain of anthrax

    how good was record keeping at ivens lab - was it really so good that they can say no one else had access to the "flask" ?

    etc

  72. relevent question .. by rs232 · · Score: 1

    Of the recipients of the letters, how many of them were opposed to the Patriot act and/or the invasion of Iraq?

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
  73. more relevent questions .. by rs232 · · Score: 1

    What was his motivation, why did he include anti-Israeli statements in the letters? What effects would such statements have on Americas willingness to prosecute the 'War on Terrorism'?

    09-11-01, THIS IS NEXT, TAKE PENACILIN NOW, DEATH TO AMERICA, DEATH TO ISRAEL, ALLAH IS GREAT, 09-11-01, YOU CAN NOT STOP US., WE HAVE THIS ANTHRAX., YOU DIE NOW., ARE YOU AFRAID?, DEATH TO AMERICA. , DEATH TO ISRAEL. ALLAH IS GREAT.

    --
    davecb5620@gmail.com
  74. let's try occum's razor... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe the Post Office F'd it up. What's the more likely scenario? Some big conspiracy, or some Post Office official not picking up the mail until the morning?

    I don't know. I have no idea how reliable the Post Office is at picking up mail, but this seems to make more sense to me.

    HOWEVER, there have been a lot of convenient suicides lately!

  75. Re:They can't place him there because he wasn't th by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    If they had this (presumably innocent foil) in witness protection or something they might actually have a better case than they've shown.

    Oh, wow, that actually makes some sense. If all of this is true, he could have used a KKG sister as the friendly bystander to bring the sisterhood notoriety.

    Just speculation based on weak evidence, of course.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  76. Re:How about..... by flitty · · Score: 1

    I can see this from an Incompetence point of view, however, if the FBI was smart enough to warn Journalists about an anthrax attack and to get vaccines, why the HELL wouldn't they increase the monitoring/surveilance of one of the top biological research labs in the United states? Wow, we're so smart we can predict anthrax attacks to specifically tell people to get a specific vaccine, but so dumb not to actually WATCH trouble areas for the attack.

    --
    Whether or not there is some sort of god, I'm not supposed to say/god is a word and the argument ends there-Smog
  77. I agree by motep · · Score: 1

    That's been my experience

  78. ONE WEEK! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He also was apparently either prepeared in advance, or managed to do this in under one week, right after the 9-11 attacks.

  79. Re:How about..... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Umm... left hand not knowing what the right one does? The FBI is big enough for that.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  80. He screwed himself by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1

    So they found the flask, and he had access to it, but he'd given samples from that flask to hundreds of people over the years. The FBI could not have proven anything.
    But when the FBI asked for a sample from the flask they suspected as the origin of the spores, but Dr Ivins gave them some other anthrax in an attempt to confuse the issue, the FBI wanted to know how it was that the sample they were given did not have the properties such as having silicon that they expected to find. So they siezed the flask, tested it, and sure enough, the contents of the flask were as they expected them to be.
    But that raises the question of why did Dr Ivins send them the wrong samples? Why indeed, unless he was the one who sent out the letters in the first place. Confronted with this, Dr. Ivins knew they had him, and he killed himself.
    He really should have just given them the samples they asked for, but he decided to get cute. This one falls under the dumbass category.
    As for motivation, I don't get it. He did take the trouble of half-weaponizing the spores. He made them so that they would be dispersed in air well. But if he really wanted to weaponize them, then he would have first fed his anthrax brew low levels of various antibiotics until they became resistent before making spores. The result would then be a truely weaponized and far more deadly anthrax.
    No doubt, Dr Ivins' primary motivation was not to kill, but to strike fear. Although he could easily have made resistent anthrax, he knew that those in the know would be more impressed by someone making easily airborne spores without getting themselves infected. This meant that whoever was sending the letters had the equivalent of an atom bomb within easy reach.
    It would be comparatively simple to make the anthrax resistent to all treatment, and brew up 50 pounds or so of dispersable spores to let blow over a major metropolitan area killing possibly millions.
    Maybe that person already had such a backpack full of death in their closet.
    Maybe the motivation was to feel the rush, of having such power . By sending the letters, he showed the world what he could do, and invited the full resources of the US to come and TRY to find him out. While he remained anonymous, he could feel quite clever indeed. He didn't need to actually have the backpack of death in his closet. It was enough to have the FBI looking for him and failing to find him to prove to himself that he was clever.
    Too bad for him that he wasn't all that clever. For one thing, having succeeded in creating such nice spores meant that whoever made the spores had a lab designed to contain them. It would take alot of money and some smarts to create such a lab. And this was Ames strain anthrax. This was no Hillbilly Joe who happened to find some anthrax on a dead cow.
    And the FBI knows all about serial killers who like to think they are clever. They were dealing with a technical someone with access to government anthrax who worked in real labs and knew how to deal with the anthrax. That the person didn't fully weaponize the anthrax and made no demands gave him away as a serial killer, not a terrorist. A terrorist would have made demands or just cast his bio spell on some city. And they would have fully weaponized their anthrax since it would be so easy to do so if they could already make airborne spores. Likely they would just destroy the city and then take credit since giving away a sample of their spores would give scientists a chance to find it's achilles heel in terms of treatment if it indeed had any that the terrorists hadn't thought of.
    Terrorists' goal being to stir up the US into inflicting collective punishment on innocent ( of terrorism at least ) individuals and nations so as to stir up more resentment of the US and thereby increase the terrorist's numbers, would want the US as pissed off as they could get it. Why pussyfoot around?
    It may be that would be terrorists have come into possesion of nukes or anthrax, but have chosen not to use it because it is also necc

    --
    ...
  81. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1)
    thermate and thermite both exist, and
    thermate is the more likely candidate
    to have brought down the buildings.
    Your understanding of thermAte initiation
    is both incorrect, and irrelevant.
    2)
    > The buildings coming down at freefall
    > speed? Well duh, they're 90% air.
    The other 10% including masses of vertically
    continuous interconnected structural steel.
    It is, in fact, beyond puzzling that the
    distruction of these
    steel columns apparently presented no
    significant retardation effect on the speed
    of fall, which was pegged, by the way, by
    the official reports, at around 10 seconds:
    barely slower than freefall.

  82. Impossible for Ivans to be Responsible by SailorBob · · Score: 2, Insightful
    An article in the Wall Street Journal argues that it was impossible for Ivans to have been responsible.
    URL for this article:
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121789293570011775.html

    Bruce Ivins Wasn't the Anthrax Culprit

    By RICHARD SPERTZEL
    August 5, 2008
    PageA17

    Over the past week the media was gripped by the news that the FBI was about to charge Bruce Ivins, a leading anthrax expert, as the man responsible for the anthrax letter attacks in September/October 2001.

    But despite the seemingly powerful narrative that Ivins committed suicide because investigators were closing in, this is still far from a shut case. The FBI needs to explain why it zeroed in on Ivins, how he could have made the anthrax mailed to lawmakers and the media, and how he (or anyone else) could have pulled off the attacks, acting alone.

    I believe this is another mistake in the investigation.

    Let's start with the anthrax in the letters to Sens. Tom Daschle and Patrick Leahy. The spores could not have been produced at the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases, where Ivins worked, without many other people being aware of it. Furthermore, the equipment to make such a product does not exist at the institute.

    Information released by the FBI over the past seven years indicates a product of exceptional quality. The product contained essentially pure spores. The particle size was 1.5 to 3 microns in diameter. There are several methods used to produce anthrax that small. But most of them require milling the spores to a size small enough that it can be inhaled into the lower reaches of the lungs. In this case, however, the anthrax spores were not milled.

    What's more, they were also tailored to make them potentially more dangerous. According to a FBI news release from November 2001, the particles were coated by a "product not seen previously to be used in this fashion before." Apparently, the spores were coated with a polyglass which tightly bound hydrophilic silica to each particle. That's what was briefed (according to one of my former weapons inspectors at the United Nations Special Commission) by the FBI to the German Foreign Ministry at the time.

    Another FBI leak indicated that each particle was given a weak electric charge, thereby causing the particles to repel each other at the molecular level. This made it easier for the spores to float in the air, and increased their retention in the lungs.

    In short, the potential lethality of anthrax in this case far exceeds that of any powdered product found in the now extinct U.S. Biological Warfare Program. In meetings held on the cleanup of the anthrax spores in Washington, the product was described by an official at the Department of Homeland Security as "according to the Russian recipes" -- apparently referring to the use of the weak electric charge.

    The latest line of speculation asserts that the anthrax's DNA, obtained from some of the victims, initially led investigators to the laboratory where Ivins worked. But the FBI stated a few years ago that a complete DNA analysis was not helpful in identifying what laboratory might have made the product.

    Furthermore, the anthrax in this case, the "Ames strain," is one of the most common strains in the world. Early in the investigations, the FBI said it was similar to strains found in Haiti and Sri Lanka. The strain at the institute was isolated originally from an animal in west Texas and can be found from Texas to Montana following the old cattle trails. Samples of the strain were also supplied to at least eight laboratories including three foreign laboratories. Four French government laboratories reported on studies with the Ames strain, citing the Pasteur Institute in Paris as the source of the strain they used. Organism DNA is not a very reliable way to make a case against a scientist.

    The FBI has not officially released information on why it focused on I

    --

    Woopty Doo Basil, what does it all mean?!

  83. Re:WTF is Weaponized by colinnwn · · Score: 2, Informative

    I can't find the link to the article I read now, but it has been claimed the FBI found the preparation made it more deadly, not anything done genetically to the anthrax. The preparation powder was perfectly milled as opposed to random flakes. The anthrax was also coated with silicate and slightly negatively charged. The end result is this would suspend the anthrax in the air longer, encourage it to disperse further, and it would more readily attach to lung tissue.

  84. Re:occam's razor-thin-defense by gosand · · Score: 1

    suggests the actions of a loan deranged scientist as more likely than some sort of conspiracy

    it always amazes me how the same people that talk of the federal government in terms of utter incompetence in one sentence, the next sentence they are suggesting a multiorganizational airtight conspiracy has been meticulously arranged

    The Federal goverment as a whole is incompetent. That doesn't mean that every piece of it is, or every person involved in it is.

    motive? right! warhawks hellbent on invading iraq... zzz

    warhawks DO exist. but most everything that happens in the realm of tricky manipulation is usually due to the individual initiative of individual warhawks. not some sort of grand poobah conspiracy of warhawk cabals, or whatever. this is called paranoid schizophrenia, not intelligent insight

    You don't need a grand conspiracy. Individuals, or groups of individuals, can certainly carry out actions without the rest of the government knowing. And you are deluding yourself if you think there aren't highly secretive groups within our government, whether they are "official" groups or just a like-minded group of individuals.

    i think some people have been watching too many steven seagal movies. real life is far more mundane than your fantasy life suggests, i'm sorry about that

    Steven Seagal? Dang, is it the early 90's again? woo-hoo, I'm gonna go start an internet company. ;)

    but don't mind me, i'm obviously an agent of the illuminati, come to cast aspersions on armchair intelligence anaylsts and their cutting insights

    oops! gotta go, someone's chatting about the vince foster suicide cover up on an obscure message board... gotta cover that up... brb

    Well, we don't get the real intelligence on this stuff, we get whatever is leaked or given to media outlets. And that is USED by those in power as a tool to manipulate common opinion. There's no conspiracy there, that is just fact. But it works both ways - we get faked nu-ku-lar purchace agreements and statements of imminent threat from Iraq, and we get nut-case-ufo-conspiracy theories.

    --

    My beliefs do not require that you agree with them.

  85. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by asdfghjklqwertyuiop · · Score: 1

    you can set thermite off with a match.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermite:

    Thermite reactions require very high temperatures for initiation. These temperatures cannot be reached with conventional black powder fuses, nitrocellulose rods, detonators, a suitable pyrotechnic initiator, or other common igniting substances. Even when the thermite is hot enough to glow bright red, it will not ignite as it must be at or near white-hot to initiate the reaction.

  86. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > GIANT EXPLOSIONS that set
    > multiple entire floors on fire.

    eh? I saw a big flameoff from fuel
    spewed in the air--I didn't see a
    massive decompression event on impact.

    As far as I can tell, you are zero for
    four in your analysis of this situation.
    Might I suggest you actually look at the
    argument you are trying to refute?

  87. Re:They can't place him there because he wasn't th by MarkusQ · · Score: 1

    If all of this is true, he could have used a KKG sister as the friendly bystander to bring the sisterhood notoriety.

    No, if everything in the linked article is true it couldn't be a KKG sister from that location. From the article:

    The mailbox just off the campus of Princeton University where the letters were mailed sits about 100 yards away from where the college's Kappa Kappa Gamma chapter stores its rush materials, initiation robes and other property. Sorority members do not live there, and the Kappa chapter at Princeton does not provide a house for the women.

    ...

    However, Graham said there was nothing to indicate that any of the sorority members had anything to do with Ivins.

    The building is apparently a warehouse, normally unoccupied, apparently unlabeled, in which various fraternities, sororities, and other campus organizations store stuff. There's no indication that any of the sisters were involved. So unless he had an empty uniform mail it for him, the KKG connection is a dud. The big problem with their case is it's strung together like a badly written made for TV movie; hard to swallow even in the middle of the chase scene, and falling apart more and more the closer you examine it.

    --MarkusQ

    P.S. I love your sig.

  88. Re:How about..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While the poor ability for more than two people to keep secrets, especially morally outrageous ones, undermines the credibility of most conspiracy theories, the very existence of weaponized anthrax suggests the presence of an illegal covert program. Given the abysmal record of this administration with respect to international law, the idea that a covert bioweapons program was initiated by the US gov. Within this context it would be difficult for involved parties to blow the whistle on the "misuse" of their products.

  89. Re:They can't place him there because he wasn't th by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    The building is apparently a warehouse

    I had read a news story describing it as an office and that they don't have a house. I have no first-hand knowledge and a cursory web search was unrewarding. It's possible that shortly before rush it'd be occupied, but I have no idea. I suggested on another thread that Scotch tape would have been a sufficient accomplice too, and that takes much less coincidence.

    P.S. I love your sig.

    Thanks. I have a new server sitting on my bench to do something interesting there... just gotta get it installed.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  90. Philip Zack by MacCumhail · · Score: 0

    Google Philip Zack http://www.ph.ucla.edu/EPI/bioter/anthraxmissingarmylab.html "Documents from the inquiry show that one unauthorized person who was observed entering the lab building at night was Langford's predecessor, Lt. Col. Philip Zack, who at the time no longer worked at Fort Detrick. A surveillance camera recorded Zack being let in at 8:40 p.m. on Jan. 23, 1992, apparently by Dr. Marian Rippy, a lab pathologist and close friend of Zack's, according to a report filed by a security guard."

  91. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by John+Bayko · · Score: 1

    Yeah true, but demolitions are not done with just one explosion 75% of the way up the building. There IS a lot of air inside, but there are also supports running all the way up.

    Not those buildings - they were rather unusual in that they were mostly empty inside, with all support provided by the core and the outer walls, and long trusses between them supporting the floors. Very strong when everything's together, but with nothing providing secondary support if it fails.

  92. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by another_twilight · · Score: 1

    If we are going to start throwing 'facts' about ...
    Thermate is correct, it is a variant of Thermite used by the military and pyrotechnics types for its larger area of effect with significantly more flame, a higher burning temperature than thermite and ... it's lower ignition temperature (a quick google did not enlighten me as to what this might be nor how it would compare to burning fuel - but surely a conspiracy that can arrange the coincidence of a pair of jets and towers can shell out for a remote detonator?)

    To address the GP, however, Thermate differs from Thermite by the addition of sulfur and barium compounds - no barium oxide has been found.

  93. Then What Happened? by Darklady · · Score: 1

    Ok. Let's assume that the FBI is right and that Ivans engineered all of this... to test his vaccine... that he never tested. Sure, that makes a lot of sense. And maybe he just happened to kill himself as they were about to seal the deal, cuz he was so guilty... and not because he'd been hounded to death after helping the government from the beginning. Bush is still president and Polosi says he didn't commit any crimes, so anything is possible... How did the anthrax get from its liquid state into the fine and specially formulated powder that went out in the USPS? Did Ivans do that? All by himself? With what and when? An EasyBake Anthrax Oven while pretending to make a beer run during church bingo?

  94. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, are you refuting a MORMON?

  95. Re:Do you want to discuss SCIENCE? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cut the guy some slack. He just misspelled TERMITES.

  96. Dead men can't sue - libel proof CYA? by xtronics · · Score: 1

    Remember these are government workers - don't expect any of this was competent. I don't know if he was innocent or not, and I doubt we will ever know - in the mean time, this takes the heat off the law men.

    I just don't think I trust the government anymore -- they are all telling too many lies:

    Here are some government lies