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Future of Space Elevator Looks Shaky

lurking_giant writes "In a report on NewScientist.com, researchers working on development of a space elevator (an idea we have discussed numerous times) have determined that the concept is not stable. Coriolis force on the moving climbers would cause side loading that would make stability extremely difficult, while solar wind would cause shifting loads on the geostationary midpoint. All of this would likely make it necessary to add thrusters, which would consume fuel and negate the benefits of the concept. Alternatively, careful choreography of multiple loads might ease the instability, again with unknown but negative economic impacts."

32 of 486 comments (clear)

  1. Told you so by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 5, Funny

    I told everyone it wouldn't work. But would they laugh at me? No!

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
    1. Re:Told you so by pitchpipe · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Seems Charles Stross has it about right, from his book "Saturns Children" p. 113:

      Most of the inner planets have no space elevator at all; Venus and Mercury because their days are unfeasibly long, Earth because its gravity well and debris belts challenge the limits of engineering.

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      Look where all this talking got us, baby.
    2. Re:Told you so by nicklott · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well with an infinite number of monkeys, sorry, science fiction writers, at least one of them's bound to get the correct answer to everything..

    3. Re:Told you so by causality · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I told everyone it wouldn't work. But would they laugh at me? No!

      I know you were joking, but I really think it won't work for reasons not specified in the article. It's such a simple reason that I can't believe it's so rarely mentioned or addressed.

      The earth is built very much like a capacitor. The ground has a fairly strong positive charge and the ionosphere has a fairly strong negative charge, with an insulating layer of air in-between. Carbon nanotubes can conduct electricity; so can most other materials I have heard of that would be used for a space elevator. I imagine that any conductor (and possibly dielectrics also when you consider electrical breakdown and the sheer current involved) would vaporize as soon as this circuit is closed. Coriolis forces and weight distribution and whether thrusters would be necessary seems trivial by comparison.

      --
      It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education. - Einstein
    4. Re:Told you so by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If the reason for coming with such a thing as a space elevator(which I agree is pretty impossible with any material currently known) is to cut down on the cost of getting things into space then why hasn't anyone been looking to build a "supergun" like Gerald Bull had experimented with ages ago? It just seems logical that if you built it at the equator you could cut down on fuel required by using a gun style launch and then having the thrusters kick in at the top of the arc and use the momentum to assist getting the vehicle into space. And if we could build it as a magnetic coil or rail gun we could save even more by using electricity, which is easier to produce, than chemical engines.

      So is there anyone looking at the "supergun" concept? or did the idea die out with Bull?

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    5. Re:Told you so by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The earth is built very much like a capacitor...

      So use the current flow. You're breaking the earth's magnetic field lines with the cable. Not a lot of field strength, but it's a lot of field, sounds like a generator to me. Ship up the necessary kilograms of (i don't know, zinc perhaps) sacrificial anode and dump the potential via ions accelerated as lateral thrusters running continuously, and vary the flow in any particular direction to adjust the position of the cable terminus. The spare current could run the elevator cars.

      --
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    6. Re:Told you so by Graff · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The space gun concept would really only be good for a very narrow range of payloads that can withstand the extreme g-forces produced by such a device. You can reduce the g-forces by using a longer barrel but it's still a concept that really isn't feasible.

      What we should be looking at is a Space Fountain. Yes, it seems like a very odd idea but it's backed by a lot of very good science and a lot of people are saying that it can be done with present materials and technologies. At the very least we should be experimenting with them on a smaller scale, using them to erect temporary masts and towers.

  2. Alterantives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    If an elevator won't work what about a space escalator?

    1. Re:Alterantives by JCSoRocks · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why take the escalator when I can take the stairs? *steps down behind couch*

      --
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    2. Re:Alterantives by gardyloo · · Score: 5, Funny

      But when you get there the shops are all closed. Bollocks to that.

    3. Re:Alterantives by pushing-robot · · Score: 4, Funny

      /me runs off to patent the "Space Canoe".

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
  3. Scary stuff by glaswegian · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The engineering required for this elevator is mind boggling. After witnessing the amount of time and effort that went into a small suspension bridge spanning the river Thames in London (The Millenium Bridge), the mere idea of this elevator scares the shit out of me.

    1. Re:Scary stuff by IceCreamGuy · · Score: 5, Funny

      you will be... you... will... be...

    2. Re:Scary stuff by glaswegian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm not saying it shouldn't be done. I guess my point is that the Millenium Bridge is so simple by comparison, yet it needed ~2 years of repairs after opening because of a wobble. People could have been thrown into the Thames, but no big deal, I guess. The space elevator, however, seems so much more prone to failure and with much bigger consequences.

    3. Re:Scary stuff by MeanMF · · Score: 4, Informative

      The families of Ed White, Gus Grissom, and Roger Chaffee will no doubt be thrilled to learn that their loved ones are still alive!

    4. Re:Scary stuff by genner · · Score: 4, Funny

      Take a ball of paper and throw it at 100,000 miles an hour. Tell me that's not going to cause some damage.

      For starters it's really going to strain your arm.

  4. Just jump. by skgrey · · Score: 5, Funny

    If all goes to hell, just jump in the elevator right before it hits the ground. Problem solved.

  5. Re:I call bullshit! by Yetihehe · · Score: 5, Funny

    The coriolis effect is not a real force. It's an illusionary effect that happens when you have a moving point of reference.

    Obligatory xkcd reference: http://xkcd.org/123/

    --
    Extreme Programming - Redundant Array of Inexpensive Developers
  6. there goes another dumb jet pack idea by magsk · · Score: 5, Interesting

    When it came down to it the space elevator though nice, is a dumb idea. Like the jet pack. Think if the resources needed to defend it from terrorists, or maintenance costs. Seemed also like a put all your eggs in one basket as well I mean we would be much better off to just improve our propulsion ability. Personally i like a rocket powered mag-lev launch vehicle, that would travel down a rail that ends up pointing to the sky.

  7. Re:Fixed thrusters rockets by MadCow42 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Ion drives need physical fuel as well as power... they just are a lot more efficient than traditional chemical-reaction drives. This is because they accelereate the fuel to near-lightspeed, maximizing the reactionary force per kg of fuel. (force is a combination of the mass expelled and the speed of which it is expelled... the faster the exhaust, the higher energy per kg of exhaust).

    So, you'd still have to haul up fuel, just not as much as with chemical rockets.

    MadCow.

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    I used to have a sig, but I set it free and it never came back.
  8. Having read the article... by ceoyoyo · · Score: 5, Informative

    Their big objection seems to be not that the forces on the elevator are unmanageable but that oscillation could lead to payloads being released into orbits that are "10 km" too high or too low, or that the oscillation could put the elevator in the path of a satellite. Correcting that would require thrusters.

    For the first, surely you could simply time your release with the oscillation, to get into the orbit you want. Even if you couldn't, the space elevator would be good for putting things in geosynchronous or interplanetary transfer orbits. The cost of a bit of propellant to correct a +- 10 km error is pretty minor compared to getting into one of those orbits in the first place.

    For the second, thrusters to purposely oscillate the cable to allow it to dodge out of harms way are a pretty standard part of any space elevator proposal. That is, the ability to move the cable a little is a desired, even necessary part of its design.

  9. Re:I call bullshit! by khendron · · Score: 4, Informative

    You are right, but you are wrong. The Coriolis effect is very real, but it is not force in the strict sense.

    The gist of the point in the article is that as a payload is moved up the elevator, it must be accelerated to the side, since the upper portions of the elevator are moving circumferentially faster than the lower portions. The force required to accelerate the payload must come from the elevator itself, causing small displacement of the elevator. The use of the term "Coriolis effect" is not strictly wrong, though it is somewhat sloppy.

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  10. The internet makes playing "telephone" boring by roystgnr · · Score: 5, Informative

    The "Space Elevators are unstable! The concept is doomed!" Slashdot summary would have been much more thrilling if there wasn't a link to the "Space Elevators are tricky! There might still need to be tiny final orbital adjustments!" New Scientist article, and even that would have been more exciting than the "Space Elevator dynamics is modeled by these stable but undamped equations! Sending multiple payloads up in the right phase causes the minor Coriolis-induced wobbles to cancel out!" Acta Astronautica article.

    You people with your damn hyperlinks are ruining journalism. It's getting so a guy can't even wait breathlessly for the News At 11 anymore to find out what common household product might be Killing Our Children.

  11. You think the engineering is mind boggling? by zmollusc · · Score: 4, Funny

    Your mind will be hyperboggled by the amount of paperwork, business trips and expense account lunches the project will generate. The engineering will look like chump change.

    --
    They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
  12. Serious Alterantives by MozeeToby · · Score: 5, Informative

    In all seriousness, the space elevator gets a lot of press because it's the concept that is easiest for the average person to understand, that doesn't mean it is the only option (or even the best option) to efficiently get stuff into orbit without rockets. I always thought the launch loop made more sense (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Launch_loop/).

    The idea is that the moving parts are what keeps the structure stable, rather than tension or compression. In theory it could be built with today's materials and technologies and could be cabable of launching more into orbit in its first month than has been launched to date with conventional rocket launches.

    Then of course, there are the non-traditional rockets such as laser propulsion, where a laser is shined up from the ground to superheat the air in the rockets cone, which, in turn, produces thrust. And of course, my personal favorite, there's always Project Orion. Not the wimpy one NASA is using to get to the moon, I'm talking about the original Project Orion. As in, using thermonuclear bombs to launch a city sized spaceship into orbit.

  13. Re:You forgot Apollo 1 by Rayban · · Score: 5, Funny

    Apollo 1 doesn't count, as NASA declared a mulligan.

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    æeee!
  14. Re:Don't forget the ninjas by genner · · Score: 4, Funny

    Wait till it 30.. it'll stabilize around then.

    Unless she's still single. Then she'll start collecting cats.

  15. Re:No energy saved by WhiplashII · · Score: 5, Informative

    So much wrong, so little time...

    Sorry, most of your post is factually challenged.

    1) Space elevators do not lower the energy required - they just use the energy differently.
    2) They do not take you to where the gravity is weak - they take you to the point where the force of gravity (which is essentially unchanged) is balanced by centripetal force (which, being linked to w^2r goes up linearly with distance).
    3) Rockets typically take you to about 7.7 km/s (orbit), not 11.2km/s (escape).
    4) The energy given to the satellite (assuming the same final orbit) is identical regardless of the launch vehicle/elevator used. What is different is the energy efficiency of the system in putting energy into the satellite:

    A rocket sends lightweight propellant in the opposite direction very fast in order to transfer the energy. An elevator sends a huge mass (essentially the entire earth) very slowly in the opposite direction. Since momentum is conserved, the mass x velocity of both systems is the same - but since the Earth masses a lot more than most rockets, the Earth's relative velocity is far lower. This is where the e=0.5*m*v^2 comes in - the "wasted" energy is the energy provided to the Earth or propellant. Earth has a small v, big m - which works better than the rockets big v little m.

    So you always have to give the satellite the same energy - there are just different efficiencies of giving it that energy. Space cannons have the problem of needing to give that energy extremely quickly... very difficult indeed.

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  16. The best part is.. by tmosley · · Score: 4, Funny

    ..a space escalator can never break, it can only become space stairs.

  17. What could go wrong? by JonTurner · · Score: 4, Funny

    I am confident there will be no problems. Ship it.

    Signed,
    Bill "Shakey" Bradson
    Lead Engineer, Tacoma Narrows project

  18. Re:Don't forget the ninjas by CODiNE · · Score: 4, Funny

    There is no corresponding example of super-luminal travel. It is not possible given the current knowledge of physics, and that knowledge has been stable for a century. You are as likely to see violations of conservation of energy, or momentum, or baryon number (this is the one that nixes star-trek transporters) as you are a violation of the speed of light in vacuum.

    Maybe we just can't SEE the hyper-dimensional space whales.

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    Cwm, fjord-bank glyphs vext quiz
  19. Re:No energy saved by evanbd · · Score: 4, Informative

    Earth's gravity is substantially weaker at GSO. GSO altitude is large compared to the Earth's radius.

    Space elevators *do* lower the energy that is supplied by the launch system.In a space elevator, the energy for the sideways motion comes from the rotation of the Earth (hence the Coriolis forces on the elevator mentioned in the summary). For GSO, that's less than the energy spent climbing up the gravity well, but it's still not trivial.

    For escape trajectories, the elevator looks even more attractive -- once you pass GSO, the ride becomes free, and you gain energy from the dynamics of the system without spending any propellant / electricity / whatever. Time it carefully, and you just "fall" off the end of the cable on the right trajectory.

    All of that said, rockets aren't *that* inefficient. For LEO, they can be 10% efficient or better (slightly worse for GSO). That's not great, but there are no proposed methods of getting energy to the elevator car that are all that efficient either, especially when you count electricity generation losses. Given the disparity in capital costs, and the fact that in neither case is the energy cost a noticeable fraction of the budget, I suspect rockets will win out for some time to come...