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Future of Space Elevator Looks Shaky

lurking_giant writes "In a report on NewScientist.com, researchers working on development of a space elevator (an idea we have discussed numerous times) have determined that the concept is not stable. Coriolis force on the moving climbers would cause side loading that would make stability extremely difficult, while solar wind would cause shifting loads on the geostationary midpoint. All of this would likely make it necessary to add thrusters, which would consume fuel and negate the benefits of the concept. Alternatively, careful choreography of multiple loads might ease the instability, again with unknown but negative economic impacts."

46 of 486 comments (clear)

  1. Told you so by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 5, Funny

    I told everyone it wouldn't work. But would they laugh at me? No!

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    1. Re:Told you so by pitchpipe · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Seems Charles Stross has it about right, from his book "Saturns Children" p. 113:

      Most of the inner planets have no space elevator at all; Venus and Mercury because their days are unfeasibly long, Earth because its gravity well and debris belts challenge the limits of engineering.

      --
      Look where all this talking got us, baby.
    2. Re:Told you so by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Very amusing indeed.

      Especially since Kim Stanley Robinson wrote his "Red Mars" series & specifically addressed these issues. He correctly identified the problems, and came up with very realistic solutions.

      Yes, the orbital section had to have thrusters to combat what is mentioned in the article.

      He also determined that the 'elevator' portion would require significant advances in materials, and require a futuristic substance that could withstand the sheer loads & twisting due to wind, atmosphere, etc.

      He even took it to the point of examining what happens when the terrorists from Earth blow up the link cable that connected the orbital portion, resulting in the elevator 'crashing' down to Mars. He even correctly showed how it would actually wrap around the planet (as opposed to falling straight) and when the final piece impacted it caused a huge crater from the sheer kinetic energy. (like a whip-lash).

      Good stuff. Maybe these 'scientists' should bother to read once in a while, they might save themselves quite a bit of time. Of course, that would mean budget reductions, so they probably wouldn't have bothered anyhow.

    3. Re:Told you so by nicklott · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well with an infinite number of monkeys, sorry, science fiction writers, at least one of them's bound to get the correct answer to everything..

    4. Re:Told you so by causality · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I told everyone it wouldn't work. But would they laugh at me? No!

      I know you were joking, but I really think it won't work for reasons not specified in the article. It's such a simple reason that I can't believe it's so rarely mentioned or addressed.

      The earth is built very much like a capacitor. The ground has a fairly strong positive charge and the ionosphere has a fairly strong negative charge, with an insulating layer of air in-between. Carbon nanotubes can conduct electricity; so can most other materials I have heard of that would be used for a space elevator. I imagine that any conductor (and possibly dielectrics also when you consider electrical breakdown and the sheer current involved) would vaporize as soon as this circuit is closed. Coriolis forces and weight distribution and whether thrusters would be necessary seems trivial by comparison.

      --
      It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education. - Einstein
    5. Re:Told you so by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If the reason for coming with such a thing as a space elevator(which I agree is pretty impossible with any material currently known) is to cut down on the cost of getting things into space then why hasn't anyone been looking to build a "supergun" like Gerald Bull had experimented with ages ago? It just seems logical that if you built it at the equator you could cut down on fuel required by using a gun style launch and then having the thrusters kick in at the top of the arc and use the momentum to assist getting the vehicle into space. And if we could build it as a magnetic coil or rail gun we could save even more by using electricity, which is easier to produce, than chemical engines.

      So is there anyone looking at the "supergun" concept? or did the idea die out with Bull?

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    6. Re:Told you so by Nefarious+Wheel · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The earth is built very much like a capacitor...

      So use the current flow. You're breaking the earth's magnetic field lines with the cable. Not a lot of field strength, but it's a lot of field, sounds like a generator to me. Ship up the necessary kilograms of (i don't know, zinc perhaps) sacrificial anode and dump the potential via ions accelerated as lateral thrusters running continuously, and vary the flow in any particular direction to adjust the position of the cable terminus. The spare current could run the elevator cars.

      --
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    7. Re:Told you so by Graff · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The space gun concept would really only be good for a very narrow range of payloads that can withstand the extreme g-forces produced by such a device. You can reduce the g-forces by using a longer barrel but it's still a concept that really isn't feasible.

      What we should be looking at is a Space Fountain. Yes, it seems like a very odd idea but it's backed by a lot of very good science and a lot of people are saying that it can be done with present materials and technologies. At the very least we should be experimenting with them on a smaller scale, using them to erect temporary masts and towers.

  2. Alterantives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    If an elevator won't work what about a space escalator?

    1. Re:Alterantives by JCSoRocks · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why take the escalator when I can take the stairs? *steps down behind couch*

      --
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    2. Re:Alterantives by gardyloo · · Score: 5, Funny

      But when you get there the shops are all closed. Bollocks to that.

    3. Re:Alterantives by pushing-robot · · Score: 4, Funny

      /me runs off to patent the "Space Canoe".

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
  3. Don't forget the ninjas by brian0918 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's also the problem that any ninja can come along and cut the cord, and suddenly you have a $500M paperweight wrapping around the earth tearing a path of destruction.

    1. Re:Don't forget the ninjas by genner · · Score: 4, Funny

      Wait till it 30.. it'll stabilize around then.

      Unless she's still single. Then she'll start collecting cats.

    2. Re:Don't forget the ninjas by steveo777 · · Score: 3, Funny

      First, GP:

      There's also the problem that any ninja can come along and cut the cord

      I think it'll survive a katana if it can survive the other stresses being placed on it.

      It's a ninja. A ninja can use any weapon he likes and will be able to cut the thing if he pleases

      Well, the base would be mobile too -- in the ocean. But I see your point.

      AHA! Ninja problem is solved. Surround the base with pirates!

      --
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    3. Re:Don't forget the ninjas by CODiNE · · Score: 4, Funny

      There is no corresponding example of super-luminal travel. It is not possible given the current knowledge of physics, and that knowledge has been stable for a century. You are as likely to see violations of conservation of energy, or momentum, or baryon number (this is the one that nixes star-trek transporters) as you are a violation of the speed of light in vacuum.

      Maybe we just can't SEE the hyper-dimensional space whales.

      --
      Cwm, fjord-bank glyphs vext quiz
    4. Re:Don't forget the ninjas by d3ac0n · · Score: 3, Funny

      Unless she's still single. Then she'll start collecting cats.

      And since she's Physics, she'll name them all Schroedinger.

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
  4. Scary stuff by glaswegian · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The engineering required for this elevator is mind boggling. After witnessing the amount of time and effort that went into a small suspension bridge spanning the river Thames in London (The Millenium Bridge), the mere idea of this elevator scares the shit out of me.

    1. Re:Scary stuff by IceCreamGuy · · Score: 5, Funny

      you will be... you... will... be...

    2. Re:Scary stuff by glaswegian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm not saying it shouldn't be done. I guess my point is that the Millenium Bridge is so simple by comparison, yet it needed ~2 years of repairs after opening because of a wobble. People could have been thrown into the Thames, but no big deal, I guess. The space elevator, however, seems so much more prone to failure and with much bigger consequences.

    3. Re:Scary stuff by MeanMF · · Score: 4, Informative

      The families of Ed White, Gus Grissom, and Roger Chaffee will no doubt be thrilled to learn that their loved ones are still alive!

    4. Re:Scary stuff by genner · · Score: 4, Funny

      Take a ball of paper and throw it at 100,000 miles an hour. Tell me that's not going to cause some damage.

      For starters it's really going to strain your arm.

  5. ACC already covered this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    ...,kind of, sort of, in Fountains of Paradise.

    In that novel he proposed timing the departures of loads for a space elevator on Mars. Not to damp oscillations, in this case, but to cause them. By timing the oscillations correctly, the elevator would oscillate out of the way of the moon Phobos, which orbits lower than the Martian geosynchronous orbit.

  6. Shaky? by Gr8Apes · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yep, anything 24K+ miles long and thin as a wire and zipping through the upper reaches of the atmosphere would probably be "shaky"....

    --
    The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  7. Just jump. by skgrey · · Score: 5, Funny

    If all goes to hell, just jump in the elevator right before it hits the ground. Problem solved.

  8. Re:I call bullshit! by Yetihehe · · Score: 5, Funny

    The coriolis effect is not a real force. It's an illusionary effect that happens when you have a moving point of reference.

    Obligatory xkcd reference: http://xkcd.org/123/

    --
    Extreme Programming - Redundant Array of Inexpensive Developers
  9. there goes another dumb jet pack idea by magsk · · Score: 5, Interesting

    When it came down to it the space elevator though nice, is a dumb idea. Like the jet pack. Think if the resources needed to defend it from terrorists, or maintenance costs. Seemed also like a put all your eggs in one basket as well I mean we would be much better off to just improve our propulsion ability. Personally i like a rocket powered mag-lev launch vehicle, that would travel down a rail that ends up pointing to the sky.

    1. Re:there goes another dumb jet pack idea by TheMeuge · · Score: 3, Informative

      At 2G the entire way, that rail would have to be 1600km long, and would have to rise >20km into the atmosphere to prevent annihilation by friction.

      Even at 4G, the track would have to be 400km long.

      Frankly, I am not sure that this project would be any more realistic.

  10. Re:Fixed thrusters rockets by MadCow42 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Ion drives need physical fuel as well as power... they just are a lot more efficient than traditional chemical-reaction drives. This is because they accelereate the fuel to near-lightspeed, maximizing the reactionary force per kg of fuel. (force is a combination of the mass expelled and the speed of which it is expelled... the faster the exhaust, the higher energy per kg of exhaust).

    So, you'd still have to haul up fuel, just not as much as with chemical rockets.

    MadCow.

    --
    I used to have a sig, but I set it free and it never came back.
  11. Re:A solution to coriolis force by hidden · · Score: 3, Informative

    if the top of the elevator isn't in geo-synchronous orbit, the elevator has to be a free-standing structure. You can only put stuff in geo-synch on the equator...

    Good luck with that!

  12. Having read the article... by ceoyoyo · · Score: 5, Informative

    Their big objection seems to be not that the forces on the elevator are unmanageable but that oscillation could lead to payloads being released into orbits that are "10 km" too high or too low, or that the oscillation could put the elevator in the path of a satellite. Correcting that would require thrusters.

    For the first, surely you could simply time your release with the oscillation, to get into the orbit you want. Even if you couldn't, the space elevator would be good for putting things in geosynchronous or interplanetary transfer orbits. The cost of a bit of propellant to correct a +- 10 km error is pretty minor compared to getting into one of those orbits in the first place.

    For the second, thrusters to purposely oscillate the cable to allow it to dodge out of harms way are a pretty standard part of any space elevator proposal. That is, the ability to move the cable a little is a desired, even necessary part of its design.

  13. Re:I call bullshit! by khendron · · Score: 4, Informative

    You are right, but you are wrong. The Coriolis effect is very real, but it is not force in the strict sense.

    The gist of the point in the article is that as a payload is moved up the elevator, it must be accelerated to the side, since the upper portions of the elevator are moving circumferentially faster than the lower portions. The force required to accelerate the payload must come from the elevator itself, causing small displacement of the elevator. The use of the term "Coriolis effect" is not strictly wrong, though it is somewhat sloppy.

    --
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  14. The internet makes playing "telephone" boring by roystgnr · · Score: 5, Informative

    The "Space Elevators are unstable! The concept is doomed!" Slashdot summary would have been much more thrilling if there wasn't a link to the "Space Elevators are tricky! There might still need to be tiny final orbital adjustments!" New Scientist article, and even that would have been more exciting than the "Space Elevator dynamics is modeled by these stable but undamped equations! Sending multiple payloads up in the right phase causes the minor Coriolis-induced wobbles to cancel out!" Acta Astronautica article.

    You people with your damn hyperlinks are ruining journalism. It's getting so a guy can't even wait breathlessly for the News At 11 anymore to find out what common household product might be Killing Our Children.

  15. You think the engineering is mind boggling? by zmollusc · · Score: 4, Funny

    Your mind will be hyperboggled by the amount of paperwork, business trips and expense account lunches the project will generate. The engineering will look like chump change.

    --
    They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
  16. Of course by Strange+Ranger · · Score: 3, Funny

    This idea has it's ups and downs.

    --

    Operator, give me the number for 911!
  17. Re:Bah by Cadallin · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Damn Straight! This kind of instability is something that has been found and defeated many times before, particularly in Aerospace.

    The Rocketdyne F-1 engines on the first stage of the Saturn V had a similar problem early in development. They had a nasty tendency to ring like a bell until they disintegrated (being very loose with this description for the sake of illustration). And they fixed it. The end design was incredibly stable and self damping. With little more than pluck, slide rules, and raw engineering talent. Hell, the entire computer facilities available to NASA at the time (late '50's to early '60's) were less than are available on any engineers desk today.

    Solving supersonic flight was another issue of instability. The planes had a tendency to shake themselves apart. We solved that one with essentially no computer help at all (late 1940's).

    I have confidence that this problem is solvable. It may not be easy, and may take some genius, but it is solvable.

  18. Serious Alterantives by MozeeToby · · Score: 5, Informative

    In all seriousness, the space elevator gets a lot of press because it's the concept that is easiest for the average person to understand, that doesn't mean it is the only option (or even the best option) to efficiently get stuff into orbit without rockets. I always thought the launch loop made more sense (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Launch_loop/).

    The idea is that the moving parts are what keeps the structure stable, rather than tension or compression. In theory it could be built with today's materials and technologies and could be cabable of launching more into orbit in its first month than has been launched to date with conventional rocket launches.

    Then of course, there are the non-traditional rockets such as laser propulsion, where a laser is shined up from the ground to superheat the air in the rockets cone, which, in turn, produces thrust. And of course, my personal favorite, there's always Project Orion. Not the wimpy one NASA is using to get to the moon, I'm talking about the original Project Orion. As in, using thermonuclear bombs to launch a city sized spaceship into orbit.

  19. Why hasn't this problem come up sooner...? by w0mprat · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Corrolis force problems were one of the first things I thought of when I first heard about the space elevator, but I'd never seen the issue brought up.

    It's a given that a elevator would be tethered at the equator, thus will be traveling at 1600kph, the velocity of geosynchronous orbit is what, 11000kph? Anything climbing from the bottom up will be accelerated to that as it ascends. So the question is how the hell do you mitigate this without literally bending the thing out of shape - burning fuel is silly It's not a trivial velocity, it's 40% of what would put you into LEO orbit anyway!

    Despite this, I don't think this is a showstopper, remember Arthur C Clarke told is it will be built...

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  20. Re:You forgot Apollo 1 by Rayban · · Score: 5, Funny

    Apollo 1 doesn't count, as NASA declared a mulligan.

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    æeee!
  21. A Rotating Skyhook doesn't have that problem. by monk · · Score: 3, Informative

    A rotating skyhook (a rotating line connected to a ballast on one end and a payload on the other) wouldn't have that problem.

    http://www.nss.org/settlement/L5news/1983-skyhook.htm

    But a rocket hook combination makes the most sense right now, it would reduce the launch weight by removing the need for the vehicle to accelerate itself all the way to orbital velocity.

    --
    [-- Trust the Monkey --]
  22. Re:No energy saved by WhiplashII · · Score: 5, Informative

    So much wrong, so little time...

    Sorry, most of your post is factually challenged.

    1) Space elevators do not lower the energy required - they just use the energy differently.
    2) They do not take you to where the gravity is weak - they take you to the point where the force of gravity (which is essentially unchanged) is balanced by centripetal force (which, being linked to w^2r goes up linearly with distance).
    3) Rockets typically take you to about 7.7 km/s (orbit), not 11.2km/s (escape).
    4) The energy given to the satellite (assuming the same final orbit) is identical regardless of the launch vehicle/elevator used. What is different is the energy efficiency of the system in putting energy into the satellite:

    A rocket sends lightweight propellant in the opposite direction very fast in order to transfer the energy. An elevator sends a huge mass (essentially the entire earth) very slowly in the opposite direction. Since momentum is conserved, the mass x velocity of both systems is the same - but since the Earth masses a lot more than most rockets, the Earth's relative velocity is far lower. This is where the e=0.5*m*v^2 comes in - the "wasted" energy is the energy provided to the Earth or propellant. Earth has a small v, big m - which works better than the rockets big v little m.

    So you always have to give the satellite the same energy - there are just different efficiencies of giving it that energy. Space cannons have the problem of needing to give that energy extremely quickly... very difficult indeed.

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  23. Re:Perhaps a zepplin? by hey! · · Score: 3, Informative

    Speaking of which, there is an airship to orbit concept that was discussed here a few years ago.

    You have two airships, a ground ship and an orbital ship. You put your payload on the ground ship where it ferried to a high altitude rendezvous with the orbital airship. The orbital airship raises the payload farther, to the highest point it can on buoyancy. That point is far below orbit, but the atmosphere there would be thin enough to permit the use of ion thrusters. Ion engines take the airship to orbit: a two week process. To return payloads from orbit the process is reversed.

    Personally, I don't think this would ever prove to be practical, but it is possible to imagine it working.

    The outfit behind this concept (JP Aerospace seems to be a volunteer organization of high altitude balloon enthusiasts. They've done a number of spectacular balloon missions, in one case sending a balloon to over 19 miles, or 1/3 of the way to the official "space" line. They don't seem to have done anything in the last year though.

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  24. The best part is.. by tmosley · · Score: 4, Funny

    ..a space escalator can never break, it can only become space stairs.

  25. What could go wrong? by JonTurner · · Score: 4, Funny

    I am confident there will be no problems. Ship it.

    Signed,
    Bill "Shakey" Bradson
    Lead Engineer, Tacoma Narrows project

  26. Re:No energy saved by evanbd · · Score: 4, Informative

    Earth's gravity is substantially weaker at GSO. GSO altitude is large compared to the Earth's radius.

    Space elevators *do* lower the energy that is supplied by the launch system.In a space elevator, the energy for the sideways motion comes from the rotation of the Earth (hence the Coriolis forces on the elevator mentioned in the summary). For GSO, that's less than the energy spent climbing up the gravity well, but it's still not trivial.

    For escape trajectories, the elevator looks even more attractive -- once you pass GSO, the ride becomes free, and you gain energy from the dynamics of the system without spending any propellant / electricity / whatever. Time it carefully, and you just "fall" off the end of the cable on the right trajectory.

    All of that said, rockets aren't *that* inefficient. For LEO, they can be 10% efficient or better (slightly worse for GSO). That's not great, but there are no proposed methods of getting energy to the elevator car that are all that efficient either, especially when you count electricity generation losses. Given the disparity in capital costs, and the fact that in neither case is the energy cost a noticeable fraction of the budget, I suspect rockets will win out for some time to come...

  27. Most great breakthroughs start with 'crazy' ideas by Bearhouse · · Score: 3, Interesting

    People who don't know, or who refuse to accept that things are 'imposible'. They're the ones who drive progress. Think the Wright brothers, Einstein or better still Michelangelo, who imagined flying machines and submarines that were only inviable because the necessary technology (engineering & materials) were not available.

    After all, geosync orbits were thought up by first by a scifi writer...but to your point, Arthur C. Clarke did have a good grasp of Physics...