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Gravitational Waves May Have Been Detected In 1987

KentuckyFC writes "In 1987, a physicist called Joe Weber claimed to have detected gravitational waves at the same time that other scientists spotted a supernova called SN1987A. His claims were largely ignored because of calculations showing that gravitational waves could not be strong enough to be picked up by Weber's equipment, a set of giant aluminium cylinders designed to vibrate as the waves passed by. But these calculations were based on first order effects in the way spacetime can be distorted. Now a new analysis shows that second order effects can enhance gravitational waves by four orders of magnitude, but only when certain asymmetries are present. It turns out that SN1987A possesses just the right kind of asymmetries to make this enhancement possible because the supernova wasn't entirely spherical. Which means that Weber, who died in 2000, may have been the first to see gravitational waves after all."

41 of 221 comments (clear)

  1. Honor by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Funny

    Gravity waves? I thought they'd never be observed! Impeller Drive, here we come! Now all we need is to prove hyperspace as a viable means of travel and invent Warshawski sails. :-P

    (Joking aside, this is great news! Gravity waves have been one of the most difficult aspects of relativistic physics to pin down.)

    1. Re:Honor by dk90406 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is not great news. This is (great) speculative news. It is interesting and inspires hope, but I seriously doubt that the scientific community will accept this as proof.
      We are talking '87 and there are too many unknowns in the experimental setup, that no-one can clarify now. Did a truck drive by here in '87?

    2. Re:Honor by Brian+Gordon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is that you can't exactly reproduce a supernova..

    3. Re:Honor by _Hellfire_ · · Score: 4, Funny

      Well there *is* this star close by...

      --
      "And then I visited Wikipedia ...and the next 8 hours are a blur..."
    4. Re:Honor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and at what speed do you presume the light emmited from this supernova made its way to earth, if they arrive at the same time, they are both going at a speed they should be going

    5. Re:Honor by Goaway · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, that is exactly how science is supposed to work.

    6. Re:Honor by Animaether · · Score: 4, Funny

      [10:01:14] This is the sun that Earth is orbiting. It's a regular main sequence star with a core temperature of about sixteen million degrees and enough hydrogen to burn for another five billion years.
      [10:01:27] Yeah?
      [10:01:30] We wanna blow it up.
      [10:01:38] Wow.
      [10:01:42] That's, uh...
      [10:01:47] Ambitious.
      [10:01:47] Ambitious.

    7. Re:Honor by Anonymous+Monkey · · Score: 3, Funny

      So, all we need is a black hole, some alien technology, and a friendly snake in my head?

      --
      We are the Borg...
    8. Re:Honor by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, science is supposed to be a process of observe, hypothesise, test, repeat. You can discard theories that don't fit hypotheses, but discarding observations because they don't fit theories is the exact opposite of science. This is the kind of behaviour I would expect from people preaching intelligent design, not from anyone who deserves the title of scientist.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    9. Re:Honor by Brian+Gordon · · Score: 3, Funny

      And to think at one time people naively thought 128 terabits of addressing space was enough.

    10. Re:Honor by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Of course, discarding observations because the error margin was then considered too big makes a lot of sense. That is what happened.

      The theory that was used to reject the observations was the same one being tested. That's circular. God forbid anyone actually inject reality into that feedback loop of the purely theoretical.

      I can't tell you how many times truly new knowledge about the universe was ignored because the scientific orthodoxy claimed "that *can't* be right" based on nothing but assertion.

    11. Re:Honor by PatrickThomson · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If I release a ball and it goes up, the first thing I check for is the helium balloon attached with string. Then, I check to see if the ball itself is full of helium. Then, after a few more checks, I get people in to go "oh yeah, huh, it does go up.", but not before discounting the obvious boring explanations . Failure to do otherwise isn't science.

      This is a bit of real science that fell through the cracks because it wasn't exactly repeatable.

      --
      I am one of many. My idea is not unique, nor do I expect my voice alone to sway you. I speak in a chorus of opinion.
    12. Re:Honor by jamesswift · · Score: 3, Insightful
      To quote Richard Feynman....

      We have learned a lot from experience about how to handle some of the ways we fool ourselves. One example: Millikan measured the charge on an electron by an experiment with falling oil drops, and got an answer which we now know not to be quite right. It's a little bit off because he had the incorrect value for the viscosity of air. It's interesting to look at the history of measurements of the charge of an electron, after Millikan. If you plot them as a function of time, you find that one is a little bit bigger than Millikan's, and the next one's a little bit bigger than that, and the next one's a little bit bigger than that, until finally they settle down to a number which is higher. Why didn't they discover the new number was higher right away? It's a thing that scientists are ashamed of - this history - because it's apparent that people did things like this: When they got a number that was too high above Millikan's, they thought something must be wrong - and they would look for and find a reason why something might be wrong. When they got a number close to Millikan's value they didn't look so hard. And so they eliminated the numbers that were too far off, and did other things like that. We've learned those tricks nowadays, and now we don't have that kind of a disease.

      --
      i wish i could stop
  2. Dude, by OneSmartFellow · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...where's my surfboard ? I'm totally stoked, I want to be the first to ride a gravity wave, that'd be, like really heavy, man !

    1. Re:Dude, by boarder8925 · · Score: 3, Funny

      There's that word again. "Heavy." Why are things so heavy in the future? Is there a problem with the earth's gravitational pull?

    2. Re:Dude, by linzeal · · Score: 4, Funny

      Americans importing half of the solar systems foodstuffs have grown so large that the average city block in the 20th century barely contains the girth of one 5000 ton Homo Americanus Gigantus. This displacement of mass has caused a localized gravitational disturbance in the curvature of spacetime large enough that places like the former state of Texas are now 200 feet below the 2000 BCE sea level. If it wasn't for the mile high tall walls with lasers on them surrounding the US to keep out aliens it would be completely underwater except for parts of Colorado.

  3. Nobel prize by Alain+Williams · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Can this be awarded posthumously ?

    1. Re:Nobel prize by Bwian_of_Nazareth · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, I am afraid you are not right. It specifically says that you cannot be awarded the prize posthumously... Effective from 1974, the prize may only go to a deceased person to whom it was already awarded (usually in October) but who had died before he/she could receive the Prize on December 10.

    2. Re:Nobel prize by doconnor · · Score: 4, Informative

      No Nobel Peace Prize was awarded in 1948 because, "there was no suitable living candidate". It's generally believed that Mahatma Gandhi would have got it if he had not been assassinated on January 30, 1948.

  4. Waves? by imajinarie · · Score: 5, Funny

    And here I was always convinced they were Gravity Particles.

    1. Re:Waves? by girlintraining · · Score: 5, Funny

      And here I was always convinced they were Gravity Particles.

      The lawyers for the Standard Model called. They mentioned something about a Cease and Desist Order: You're not allowed to discuss gravity around anyone schooled in quantum mechanics-- It apparently causes emotional duress.

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    2. Re:Waves? by Plutonite · · Score: 3, Funny

      You're not allowed to discuss ANYTHING near folks who have dabbled around with Quantum Mechanics. Most statements not formulated as probabilities cause them to cry, or at least fart loudly.

  5. How much by MyLongNickName · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How much does it have to suck to die, with your observations being discredited, and your claims laughed at? Then a decade later, the scientific community goes "oops, you were right".

    And now, in Slashdot's infinite wisdom, I am required to wait five minutes between posts.

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    1. Re:How much by paiute · · Score: 3, Informative

      How much does it have to suck to die, with your observations being discredited, and your claims laughed at? Then a decade later, the scientific community goes "oops, you were right".

      This guy had a carrier shot out from under him. I don't think the naysaying of a bunch of geek theorists bothered him much.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    2. Re:How much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm sure glad you didn't die during those five minutes. I mean, how much does it have to suck to die, with your post being discredited, and your claims laughed at? Then a decade later, the Slashdot community goes "Oops, you were right" with a +5 Insightful.

    3. Re:How much by MyLongNickName · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I would argue it might upset him more. I mean, this is his work. You do not get to this level without putting a lot of your heart and soul into it. To be convinced that you are on the edge of a major discovery only to have it rejected has to be disheartening.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    4. Re:How much by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Informative

      This guy had a carrier shot out from under him.

      For those wondering, he was a crew member of the USS Lexington, which was lost at the Battle of the Coral Sea.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    5. Re:How much by JustinOpinion · · Score: 5, Informative

      Then a decade later, the scientific community goes "oops, you were right".

      Hm. But this raises an interesting question. Was he actually right?

      Let's assume for the moment that TFA is correct, that higher-order terms can enhance gravity waves and that this is the case for SN1987A. So Weber's measurements in 1987 contained a valid signature of a gravity wave.

      In a sense, then, he did detect gravity waves. And so he was right in saying "I detected gravity waves". However, he may have been right for the wrong reasons. Science works by interpreting data, and convincing others that your interpretation is correct. Weber was not able to do so. He was not able to convince others because he couldn't provide a way to connect the magnitude of the signal in his measurements to the available theory.

      Now, if he had done what the present scientists have done, and demonstrate that the higher-order terms make gravity waves detectable in his apparatus, then he might have been able to convince his colleagues. Then he would really have been right (and for the right reasons). But he didn't (as far as I can tell). He incorrectly said "gravity waves, as described by these theories/equations, have been measured on my instrument"... which is wrong.

      Some of you may think I'm just splitting hairs or something. But it's important because in science being right is not about randomly guessing the right answer... it's about providing a robust argument based on repeatable measurements. In science, happening upon the right answer using the wrong logic isn't really considered a good thing. As an extreme analogy, imagine that I am trying to predict when the next volcanic eruption will be, and I come up with a complicated theory based on tides. Then I correctly predict an eruption. A few years later some smarter guys come along and create a really great theory that predicts volcanic eruptions, and show that it is really based on magma flow... and that I was just lucky to have predicted the eruption. Was I "right" in my prediction?

  6. Gravity model by cyberchondriac · · Score: 3, Interesting

    One thing I've never liked about the current popular gravity model, you know, the one they discuss on discovery channel, usually for a cosmology special, where they discuss how gravity distorts space-time, and then you get to see a CGI animation of a large ball on a rubber like grid -drawn as a 2 dimensional analogy- and the ball is pushing down on the grid, making an indentation in it, and another, smaller, ball starts circling the bigger ball, eventually falling in towards the larger ball..
    Isn't that like using gravity to explain the effect of gravity?

    --

    Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
    1. Re:Gravity model by tylersoze · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's only a very crude analogy. In reality, it's both space *and* time that are being distorted. Gravity causes all the "straight lines" (geodesics) in space-time to become curved. So the Earth orbits around the Sun and a thrown ball follows a parabolic arc because it's actually a "straight line" in space-time that gravity has curved just like a Great Circle on the Earth is a "straight line" (i.e. the shortest distance between two points) with respect to the surface of the Earth.

    2. Re:Gravity model by inertialFrame · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's only a very crude analogy.

      That's a good point, and it should be elaborated as the proper response
      to cyberchondriac.

      cyberchondriac identifies the grid-bent-by-balls as "the current popular
      gravity model". It is in fact a popular model, which I remember from
      watching PBS even as far back as the 1970s. The good thing about this
      model is that it allows one to visualize how a mass both distorts space
      and moves in response to the distortion caused by another object. But
      its goodness as a model of gravity ends there, in part due to
      cyberchondriac's astute observation that it makes use of gravity to
      explain gravity. Still, the model is not bad because it uses one aspect
      of gravity (that it is nearly uniform near the surface of the Earth) to
      explain a *different* aspect of gravity (that distortions caused by
      multiple objects can interfere with each other and lead to motion).

      In reality, it's both space *and* time that are being
      distorted.

      Not quite. In reality, the best model that we have is general
      relativity, according to which both space and time are being distorted.
      But this is not to say that space and time are being distorted in
      reality, because we will never know for sure what's going on in reality.
      That is, a scientific theory (like general relativity) can never be
      proved true, though it can be proved false. Who knows? General
      relativity might be ruled out by some future experiments and replaced
      with a fundamentally different view of gravity.

    3. Re:Gravity model by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Isn't that like using gravity to explain the effect of gravity?

      Sure, but it's just an analogy. It's not supposed to explain why masses warp space-time, only to show how a mass causing space-time to warp gives rise to effect we call gravity. In the analogy, the curvature of the space-time sheet is caused by gravity pulling downward on a ball to create the curve. In the reality the analogy is supposed to represent, the curvature of space-time is gravity. The analogy just gives you an easy way to ignore the "why" that theory can't answer, so you can focus on understanding the effect.

      If it makes you feel better, you can just ignore the gravity-pulling-the-balls-down part of the analogy, and replace it with a simple assumption that a ball on the sheet causes the sheet to bend, and that other balls tend to move towards "low" spots in the sheet, with no explanation for why this happens.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  7. those weren't gravity waves by stoolpigeon · · Score: 3, Funny

    it was the pure amazement of my high school teachers that I was graduating. I was pretty shocked too.

    --
    It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
  8. Some more info by photonic · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I don't know the fine details of Weber's experiments, but I believe his 2 meter metal bar was operating at room temperature, so he was severely limited by thermal noise. His claimed strain sensitivity (delta L / L) was on the order of 1e-16. There are currently a small number of resonant bars operational which are kept at just a few Kelvin. They reach a sensitivity around 1e-21 in a narrow band and have not measured anything during the last ~5 years, so Weber's claim is highly unlikely. I am involved with one of the big interferometric detectors, which use vacuum tubes of several kilometers and reach sensitivities at the 1e-22 level over a broad bandwidth. If the astrophysical models are right we should be able to detect something within the next 5 years.

    As already mentioned in a previous comment, the article is somewhat speculative and it is a little bit late to verify the experiment. The standard accepted practice for claiming the detection of a GW is to observe the event with at least 2 detectors which are separated far enough to not measure the same external disturbances (but preferably 3 or more spread around the world so that you can do proper triangulation of the source). One single glitch might be a cosmic ray, lightning, dust falling before your detector, an earthquake, an instrumental error, anything. We see more of those than we like. One glitch measured at different observatories within the time it takes to travel at lightspeed (a few ms) at different observatories around the world might give you a nobel prize.

    One book that is high on my 'to read' list is Gravity's shadow, which supposedly describes not only Weber's experiments, but also its reception by the scientific community and the eventual downfall of Weber's reputation.

    --
    karma police: arrest this man, he talks in maths; he buzzes like a fridge, he's like a detuned radio. [radiohead]
  9. Re:Not really. by Neon+Aardvark · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Er, no, you don't "truly" see anything. Your brain forms a representation of reality based on sensory input. In the visual side of that, the spatial representation is 3D.

    Furthermore, you don't "see" in 2 dimensions, in your understanding of the word (which is kinda meaningless, cf visual illusions, hallucinations etc), because of the parallax effect afforded by having two eyes.

    Also, the complete internal representation of a thrown ball is fundamentally 4 dimensional (3 spatial + 1 temporal). But it's hard to visualize curvature of 4 dimensional spacetime.

    --
    Azural - instrumentals
  10. I have the solution! by default+luser · · Score: 3, Funny

    All we need to do is hire Malcom McDowell to destroy the Sun! Just tell him that it will get him into the Nexus, he'll do it for free!

    --

    Man is the animal that laughs.
    And occasionally whores for Karma.

  11. Too early to celebrate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Since I work in gravitational wave physics, I read this article with great interest when I saw it. I'm afraid, the arguments are far from compelling. Some of the many problems:
    1) The proposal for the calculation of the energy content of the gravitational wave is speculative at best. There is no agreed upon quantity for the energy of spacetime curvature, as the author himself points out.
    2) The only calculation of the claimed non-linear enhancement seems to be in a paper which is cited by title and author only - there is no way to find and read the paper which this calculation was supposed to be in.
    3) There seems to be some confusion between cylindrical gravitational waves and cylindrical gravitational wave sources. His method using approximate lie symmetries would correspond to the symmetry of the spacetime - ie the matter. I don't believe there is any way to produce cylindrical (or spherical) gravitational waves since you need a time-varying mass quadrupole to create them. Axisymmetric sources do not produce such waves. In short, there are exact (non-linear) solutions to the Einstein equations with no sources that have a gravitational wave-like nature, but they are not the solutions you get for (linear) gravitational waves from sources, and it is misleading to confuse them.
    4) His supposition that 10% asphericity of the source is somehow related to a gravitational wave which is 90% spherical and 10% cylindrical is just bizarre. The gravitational waves from a rotating ellipsoid which has a 0.1 asphericity (assuming it is rotating about one of it's minor axes, since if it was rotating about the major axis it would be axisymmetric and give of no gravitational waves) is not really like an exact spherical wave or an exact cylindrical wave solution.

    So, all told, this is still very early and very speculative. The safe money at this point is still that Weber (who had other irreproducable "detections") did not see a gravitational wave. While the non-linear nature of gravity would in principle allow for some sort of self-amplification, there has been to my knowledge no paper that claims to show this kind of amplification by four orders of magnitude available to view, let alone verified by other calculations or observations. Until something like that is available, this is at best speculation and hype, not science.

  12. He was right, you know. by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 3, Funny

    I remember because I was alive in 1987 and I felt it too when it happened. It was just as that star was exploding as a matter of fact. But it was hard to notice and you had to be paying really close attention. I take a lot of mind-altering drugs so I was able to sit still and concentrate on the physics.

    Basically gravitational waves have a quadrupole moment so you feel your ears move apart slightly and your face contracting vertically. Then your face expands vertically as your ears move together. This happens a bunch of times and the effect is very slight- just a few femtometers- so you might not notice. But once you feel that cool wind of neutrinos flowing up from the floor and blowing through your hair, that should be a fairly obvious hint that a star is exploding somewhere and deserving of your attention.

  13. I don't think so. by mbone · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I don't like to speak ill of the dead, so I will leave it at that.

  14. I saw the setup by io333 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I saw the setup in the winter of late 1986. It was deep (many levels) under the physics department's machine shop, deep underground, at the University of Maryland & you had to go down several ladders to get there. It was hanging from the ceiling, big giant (I thought hollow, but apparently solid) cylinders of what looked like aluminum, hanging from thin wires. Does anyone know if it is still there?

  15. Joe Weber by rotenberry · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In 1980 I met with Joe Weber at the Jet Propulsion Lab.

    He had been reducing the noise in his experiment over the decades was still confident that the disturbances he was recording were gravitational waves.

    Rather that being bitter about the 20 years of skepticism concerning his experiment, he was upbeat and optimistic. He understood that the theorists claimed that he could not possibly being seeing gravitational waves, but, as he told me, "You are not going to see them if you don't look!"

    The reason he was at JPL was that John Anderson, Frank Estabrook, and Hugo Walquist conducted searches for gravitational waves using high precision spacecraft tracking during the 1970s and continue to search to this day.