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Mozilla Contemplates a Future Without Google

An anonymous reader points out a story at Business Week which begins: "Mozilla Chair Mitchell Baker says the Chrome browser is making the foundation behind Firefox rethink its reliance on revenues from Google. Since Google introduced its own Web browser, Chrome, the prospect that Google may not re-up the three-year contract set to expire in 2011 has Mozilla considering other search partnerships and ways to generate revenue, Baker said. 'There are probably other search engines that would pay us more money,' Baker says. Yahoo! and Microsoft's MSN, Google's two main search rivals, come to mind, but Baker says smaller search engines wouldn't be discounted should such a situation arise. One player Baker won't identify 'offered a blank check to replace Google,' she says. Set to launch on certain Nokia phones in late spring, Fennec is the first Mozilla browser optimized for mobile platforms. If it gains traction with enough handset makers and mobile users, Fennec could represent another way to draw revenue from a partnering search engine."

42 of 200 comments (clear)

  1. Not bloody likely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The most likely future for Mozilla is a continued partnership with Google. If Google ends its deal with Firefox, Google would be cutting itself off from the only viable challenger to IE. After all, Chrome only recently passed 1% in share of browser use.

    Google needs Mozilla to keep putting the bones to Redmond.

    1. Re:Not bloody likely by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "GMail will no longer be available for your browser after July 10, 2009. Download the latest Chrome browser for the best operating experience."

      I'd probably get Chrome for Gmail and Google Voice and keep FF/Safari for other stuff. But 90% of GMail's target audience wouldn't.

    2. Re:Not bloody likely by Chyeld · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And 50% of the folk out there would install Chrome long enough to switch their gmail to forward to a new address, and start work finding another free webmail site.

      And 100% of the corps using Google Apps for Domains would tie up the support lines to rip Google's techs a new one.

      And the next day we'd be crowning Bobco, a division of Algamated Inc., the new King of the Internet.

    3. Re:Not bloody likely by billcopc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or, you know, someone would create a 2-second Firefox add-on that spoofs Chrome, and Google would gain nothing.

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    4. Re:Not bloody likely by Patch86 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Software with a 25% market share isn't going to disappear over night just because their main sponsor backs out. That 25% who use Firefox now are going to keep doing so, until something actively changes their mind.

      Google can certainly do a good job of changing people's minds if it tries, though, and it's something Mozilla will need to be ready to fight against. While they won't disappear over night, they can still be beaten by the competition just as easily as anyone else.

    5. Re:Not bloody likely by whereiswaldo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What kind of cash burn are Mozilla going through anyway? Sounds like it must be high. Is there a way to significantly lower this figure? Is it mostly advertising?

      Maybe the default search engine should be randomly chosen when a new window is created. If you want to be on the list, throw in some amount of money. The percentage of times your search comes up depends on your percentage of cash donated.

      I also want to state that Mozilla should have user's best interests at heart and should be wary of Google's recent anti-privacy 'brow raising.

  2. Carte blanche? by Chabil+Ha' · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One player Baker won't identify 'offered a blank check to replace Google,' she says.

    Looking at the ocean of limping or necro-corps, there seemeth to be only one company that has the pocket to stomach carte blanche...

    Could you imagine Live! Search being the default search engine of Firefox? Hiss! The thought near gives me the willies.

    --
    We're all hypocrites. We all have hidden parts, it's the contrast between them that make us more a hypocrite than others
    1. Re:Carte blanche? by BlackSnake112 · · Score: 4, Funny

      If you use windows and have updated java did you notice that is asks you if you want to install the msn toolbar?

      I actually took a screen shot of it. Then went to a window to see if the apocalypse was happening. Sun working with microsoft?!

       

    2. Re:Carte blanche? by despisethesun · · Score: 2, Informative

      Must be recent, because I updated Java on a machine earlier this week and it still asked about the Yahoo toolbar.

      --
      This poo is cold.
    3. Re:Carte blanche? by Chabil+Ha' · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If by 'us' you mean /.ers, no I'm not worried, but it's the teaming, mindless masses that accept as default whatever is placed before them. That's what Opera's (and now Mozilla's) hissyfit in the EU is all about with IE. Because people are not *presented* a choice they stick with the Big Blue E.

      On the flip side, I do congratulate Microsoft (heresy!) on the post-installation launch of IE 7 where it *asks* you if you want Live Search to be the default or choose from an extensive list of providers.

      --
      We're all hypocrites. We all have hidden parts, it's the contrast between them that make us more a hypocrite than others
  3. Google Won't Let this Happen by rel4x · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I can't believe Google will let the contract expire. If for no other reason because it would take one of their competitors and probably at least double their market share. And that's not even counting the loss of the incredible branding they get from Mozilla.

    --

    Before you mod me funny, think, perhaps I was insightfully funny?
    1. Re:Google Won't Let this Happen by AresTheImpaler · · Score: 3, Insightful
      can't believe Google will let the contract expire. If for no other reason because it would take one of their competitors and probably at least double their market share.

      I agree.. Google has a strong iphone (and ipod touch) connection while still having android. Apparently they also pay apple to be the search engine of choice for safari. So, I'm pretty sure they will gladly pay Mozilla while continue working on Chrome.

    2. Re:Google Won't Let this Happen by whyloginwhysubscribe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes - that is what I originally thought. But Mozilla would rather be prepared for the situation happening rather than it taking them by surprise!

    3. Re:Google Won't Let this Happen by rel4x · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You do give them too much credit.
      Google doesn't give a flying rats hindquarters about making the internet better.
      They want informational sites to rise to the top of the results because informational sites often run adsense as a monetization method. Also, they know companies not ranking well will spend money on adwords to promote their site. As for their other services, they're all aimed around being able to collect more personal data on you, and (eventually) to try and connect online identities to real life ones.

      They're a business, not a benevolent carebear spreading love and sunshine.

      --

      Before you mod me funny, think, perhaps I was insightfully funny?
    4. Re:Google Won't Let this Happen by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If Google makes money on searches done through Firefox and on search done through Chrome, they aren't going to do things that alienate Firefox users. I guess if they make 10x on Chrome searches they might, but I bet the ratio is much smaller.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    5. Re:Google Won't Let this Happen by tobiasly · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I can't believe Google will let the contract expire.

      They won't. This is how CEOs of companies communicate with each other: through the media. These statements are for Google's benefit only. She is telling them: don't think about trying to use Chrome as leverage in our search agreements, because we have plenty of other options. Why the hell else would she make that "blank check" comment? It serves absolutely no other purpose than sending a message to Google.

      Another example of this was Steve Jobs' "offhanded" remark that iPhones would never run Flash. He was sending Adobe a message: we don't need you, so don't even think of trying to charge us to put your "ubiquitous" runtime on our phones. We'll take it for free though, thank you very much.

    6. Re:Google Won't Let this Happen by bluesatin · · Score: 2, Funny

      You're nuts

      No, I'm an advertiser [..]

      Definitely nuts.

  4. Yahoo? by MrCrassic · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Could this be a good way for Yahoo to gain some ground in the search engine market again? Or is it more likely that Mozilla will find a smaller party to latch on to?

    Either way, I think Google was a significant player in making Mozilla much more successful, especially with Firefox. They did promote it initially after all.

  5. MSN? Not bloody likely by rxmd · · Score: 3, Informative

    'There are probably other search engines that would pay us more money,' Baker says. Yahoo! and Microsoft's MSN, Google's two main search rivals, come to mind

    Well, MSN doesn't really come at least to my mind when I think of a search engine that could sponsor Firefox development.

    --
    As a state gets corrupt, its laws multiply; the most corrupt states have the most numerous laws. (Tacitus, Annales 3:27)
    1. Re:MSN? Not bloody likely by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, MSN doesn't really come at least to my mind when I think of a search engine that could sponsor Firefox development...

      Really?

      *Embrace* , extend, extinguish? Stranger things have happened, and the IE engine dies with IE8.

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
  6. my take is Chrome pushes the technology by Dan667 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would be surprised if Google would not want to stick with Mozilla. I have always viewed Chrome as Google's attempt to push browser technology. More ways to get to Google Search makes them more money. Dumping Mozilla and replacing them with a fledgling browser does not.

    1. Re:my take is Chrome pushes the technology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You forget, firefox has adblock, chrome does not. Google used to be good, or at the very least, did no evil, until they released an IPO, now they're like microsoft, but with a better pr department.

  7. Re:Objective to improve Firefox or promote Chrome? by rel4x · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Other search engines have similar user satisfaction ratings as Google.(Source).
    Yahoo is just too incompetent as a company to leverage it (try to advertise on Yahoo, and you'll see what I mean).

    --

    Before you mod me funny, think, perhaps I was insightfully funny?
  8. I call shenanigans by Rix · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For most of those search engines, most people would simply never have heard of them.

    Switching the default search could really hurt Mozilla if Chrome matures by 2011.

  9. Unlike Microsoft, Google doesn't have a record... by Chyeld · · Score: 5, Insightful

    of getting into bed with people simply to be in position to stab them in the back while they sleep.

    The only way I see Google dropping funding for Firefox is when Firefox starts fumbling to the point where they are no longer relevant.

    What would the purpose be? Just because Google has their own browser now, it has no where near the marketshare of even FireFox. And you know that any severing in ties between Mozilla and Google will result in a backlash, regardless of the reasons for the break.

    When the landscape is down to just FireFox and Chrome as the 'relevant' browsers, then I'd worry. But right now? Google isn't as short sighted as Microsoft, they don't pull that sort of petty shit.

  10. Some contrary statistics by Mostly+a+lurker · · Score: 2, Informative

    Your page was from 2007 (and highly suspicious anyway). Let's try a 2008 page and a couple of 2009 sites.

    1. Re:Some contrary statistics by pseudonomous · · Score: 2, Informative

      The GP wasn't talking about market-share, the GP was talking about reported user satisfaction, which isn't neccessarily linked to market-share.

  11. Re:Linux fork by jamesmcm · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, that's a good idea except for the loss in manpower might mean they can't keep up with developments.

    I could easily see it happening though, if MS sponsor Firefox and they change the search to Live Search.

  12. Silly For Both by somethinghollow · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Google would be silly not to renew.
    1. Firefox users make up a huge market of potential revenue.
    2. Chrome users + Firefox users make up an even bigger market.
    3. Chrome users make up a much smaller market than Firefox users.
    4. It may put hurt on the Mozilla foundation, which may effectively kill a great standards based browser. That doesn't mesh well with what I understand to be the goals of Google.

    If they do, I can't imagine the majority of Firefox users leaving the default search in place. Rather, they would set it to Google anyway. So, unless the new default is really compelling, Mozilla won't benefit much, anyway (unless they get paid JUST for having it as default, not based on how many queries are run).

  13. Re:Linux fork by Drakonik · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm not trying to be snippy or sarcastic here...um, what about Firefox has something to do specifically with Windows? As far as my experience goes, everything in Firefox is completely cross-platform.

  14. Re:Linux fork by bunratty · · Score: 3, Informative

    IceWeasel isn't a fork of Firefox. It's a version of Firefox that's been rebranded so that it doesn't have the trademark and copyright issues that Firefox has.

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  15. Re:Unlike Microsoft, Google doesn't have a record. by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Unlike Microsoft, Google doesn't have a record of getting into bed with people simply to be in position to stab them in the back while they sleep.

    Not renewing a contract isn't stabbing someone in the back. Google isn't bound to Mozilla permanently legally, ethically, or morally.
     
    Google does have a record however of doing things half ass and then leaving them adrift.

  16. Re:Unlike Microsoft, Google doesn't have a record. by rm999 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Exactly. Google will do the profitable thing, which is to stay with Mozilla. It doesn't matter that Chrome now exists; Firefox most likely generates more revenue for Google than Mozilla makes from all sources combined.

    There is nothing stopping Chrome and Google's deal with Mozilla from coexisting. As long as all web browsers lead to Google's search engine, Google will be happy. It is Internet Explorer they want to destroy. And they have been successful, Chrome apparently is stealing more users from IE (http://www.inquisitr.com/3031/chrome-internet-explorer/)

  17. Re:IBM FireFox? by Lemmy+Caution · · Score: 3, Interesting

    MS Firefox is more likely.

    MS has no inherent interest in propping up IE, which is a widely disliked, cruft-heavy bit of software that provides no revenue for them but batters their public image.

    I think it quite likely that the big check that was offered to Mozilla came from Microsoft - and that they're thinking of taking it. In some ways, Firefox is a better fit for Microsoft than for Google: Microsoft doesn't rely on ad revenues, so the fact that it is much easier to block ads on Firefox than on Chrome isn't an issue for them.

    If and when that happens, I look forward to watching a million heads explode.

  18. Re:IBM FireFox? by Knight2K · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The major Linux distributions, like Red Hat, would probably chip in. Part of the reason that Linux has any desktop market share at all is because Firefox runs on it, and many major sites support it. If people couldn't access their banking sites, YouTube, etc. with their Linux browser, they would replace their Linux desktop with Windows. Or, in the case of netbooks, buy the Windows version instead of the Linux one.

    --
    ======
    In X-Windows the client serves YOU!
  19. Re:Enemy of my enemy is my friend. by Lemmy+Caution · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If Microsoft gives up IE, is it still Mozilla's enemy?

  20. Re:Linux fork by just_another_sean · · Score: 2, Informative

    IceWeasel isn't a fork of Firefox. It's a version of Firefox that's been rebranded so that it doesn't have the trademark and copyright issues that Firefox has.

    And I thought the whole point of doing so was so Debian could make changes to the code (i.e. bug fixes) without waiting for the "go ahead" from the Mozilla Foundation. Sounds like a fork to me...

    Understanding that Wikipedia isn't always the best source I will still go ahead and quote:


    In 2006, a branding issue developed when Mike Connor, representing the Mozilla Corporation, requested that the Debian Project comply with Mozilla standards for use of the Thunderbird trademark when redistributing the Thunderbird software.[1][2] At issue were modifications not approved by the Mozilla Foundation, when the name for the software remained the same.
    from Wiki article on Iceweasel

    And, pointed out below, it's now called IceCat. Wikipedia says this about IceCat...

    GNU IceCat, formerly known as GNU IceWeasel,[2] is a web browser distributed by the GNU Project. IceCat, which is made entirely of free software, is a fork of Mozilla Firefox.

    emphasis mine

    --
    Creationist Textbook Stickers Declared Unconstitutional by CowboyNeal
  21. It's all about standards. by Keyper7 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'll stick to my original theory: Google wants to support Chrome and Firefox. They want the market evenly shared between WebKit, Gecko and Trident (or whatever replaces Trident in the future) because that would make standards support more important (no more of the "if it works in IE, it works for 90% of the public" argument).

    Not for altruism, not to make the Internet a better place. Simply because a major part of their business is web applications, which are much easier to develop with standards.

  22. so why doesn't any of this bother you by circletimessquare · · Score: 2, Insightful

    when microsoft's (rapidly disapearing) domination of the OS bother you so much?

    you know what, i'm perfectly fine with people who trust google implicitly when they record everything they possible can about you and your world

    but then i expect this blindly blissful person to also accept microsoft's domination of the os with similar peace and tranquility ...or, distrust google, AND distrust microsoft (as i do)

    but what i don't understand are people who freak out about microsoft... and are perfectly comfortable with google

    that makes ZERO sense to me, form the point of view of the principles involved

    so all i can conclude is that the average slashdot denizen has this huge blind bias

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  23. Google Doesn't Care About Chrome by qazwart · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Chrome makes Google no money. The purpose of Chrome is to spur on the other browsers to do a little innovation. As far as Google is concerned, it's perfectly okay if Chrome gets left behind in the dust just as long as other browsers render Google's pages correctly.

    So far, Apple got the message. The JavaScript handling in the new beta version of Safari is much improved with the new Nitro engine (previously called SquirrelFish Extreme) replacing the older SquirrelFish engine. According to some benchmarks, the new engine is faster than Google's V8 engine.

    Nor, is Google even contemplating ending its relationship with Mozilla. Firefox makes Google money. Chrome doesn't make Google money. Google will make a deal with any half decent browser that uses Google as its default page. Google also has deals with Safari, Opera, and OmniWeb.

    What Mozilla is really pissed about was Chrome's use of WebKit instead of Gecko for its page rendering. This is really where the true browser battle is taking place. WebKit is the main browser engine in the mobile market and other browsers are feeling the pressure to adopt it.

    If that happens, web developers will start writing pages that work best on WebKit and not Gecko.

  24. Not Microsoft by dakirw · · Score: 3, Informative
    According to the article:

    One player Baker won't identify "offered a blank check to replace Google," she says. She notes it wasn't Microsoft.