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Shell Ditches Wind, Solar, and Hydro

thefickler writes "Shell has decided to end its investment in wind, solar and hydro projects because the company does not believe they are financially sound investments. Instead Shell is going to focus on carbon sequestration technologies and biofuels. Not surprisingly, and perhaps unfairly, bloggers have been quick to savage the company: 'Between Shell's decisions to stop its clean energy investments and to increase its debt load to pay for dividends, the company is solidifying an image of corporate greed over corporate responsibility.' Is Shell short sighted, or is it just a company trying to make its way in an uncertain world?"

57 of 883 comments (clear)

  1. Corporate culture by unlametheweak · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As a company, if they can make more money on oil than on wind, then clearly the shareholders will demand oil. Oil is there bread and butter. I wouldn't expect them to innovate on something that is outside of their corporate culture. Like with the movie and music and software industries; you get innovation and creativity from smaller independent entities, and conservativism from the established entities.

    1. Re:Corporate culture by theheadlessrabbit · · Score: 5, Insightful

      so the big question becomes: Is Shell an oil company, or an energy company?

      while oil is currently very cheep, it's supply is limited to hundreds of years. Renewable energy is expensive now, but it will not run out for a very long time. (billions of years)

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      --
      -I only code in BASIC.-
    2. Re:Corporate culture by unlametheweak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      while oil is currently very cheep, it's supply is limited to hundreds of years.

      I'm not too sure about that. Regardless however, the equation remains stable: when the supply diminishes then prices increase. It's the paradox of people hunting animals to extinction; the more rare the animal the more money hunters can demand for it until there is no more left.

      Oil company's need an excuse to change into generic energy companies. By hook or by crook they'll take the path of least resistance to the highest profit margin (whether it be with oil or solar panels).

    3. Re:Corporate culture by szundi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To be more precise, limited to some tens of years... The cheapest kind of oil will be depleted in 10-20 years, your lifetime! :)

    4. Re:Corporate culture by mike_slashing · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Problem is that in a couple of years they all get fired and governments have to bail them out.. because they have overcapacity and keep working on deprecated industries (c.f today's strike in France, very much motivated by the auto industry). This shareholding story is BS. Today's boss will want to have his money&bonus today and couldn't care less about the company; if they would, they'd be visionaries... and they're not. So following the (stock)market interests may well be the establishment, but it's not an excuse. We should know better by now and should stop tolerating the establishment's behavior.

    5. Re:Corporate culture by Zocalo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      That's not a very good analogy really. Right now, oil is probably more representative of a highway that comes to an abrupt end in a very dry and barren desert; you know that it's going to end at some point, but you are not 100% sure quite where that it is. Alternative energy is a maze of meandering side roads and dead ends that lie to either side of the high way that represent higher short-term running costs, research that leads to economically or environmentally nonviable solutions, or equally bad dead ends as oil. Some of those roads, however, do lead to the future express way and those are the ones we have to find, but the problem is we don't really have a good map yet.

      I'd say Shell has simply decided that, right now, they need to sit out The Recession with what to them at least is a safe and financially sound proposition in the form of biofuels, by getting back onto the dead-end highway for a while. This is really just the same basic strategy being taken by all those other business that have been focusing on their core operating markets recently. At least that way they're still moving and they know that the road remains good for a while yet, and it doesn't preclude them from doing a little more exploring of the side roads later on, and there might even be some better maps by then...

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    6. Re:Corporate culture by rtb61 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In this case, Shell simply decided that's it's marketing campaign of green energy investments was promoting threatening ideas and, generating insufficient advertising benefit. Bio-fuels (starving the third world) and burying pollution underground (at the tax payers expense) were far more profitable and in harsh economic times, knows that the public will be far to worried about keeping their home, feeding their family and panicking about possible medical emergencies, that they would largely ignore the end of the clean green PR=B$. Come on did anybody seriously believe shell was interested in alternative renewable energy beyond a cynical exercise in marketing.

      The only source for funds for the development of cheap renewable energy has to be the government, there is no profit in it and the real benefits are the free benefits of a cleaner healthier environment, lower medical costs from a healthier population and of course cheap 'free' energy(beyond initial capital outlay and maintenance).

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    7. Re:Corporate culture by EdIII · · Score: 5, Interesting

      so the big question becomes: Is Shell an oil company, or an energy company?

      Shell is an oil company. Hands down.

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      Now, this is where I have a problem with the vast majority of the posts on this article, including yours. Everyone is quick to make Shell out as the big bad oil company and for being shortsighted. I certainly take your comment, "future express way" and "dead end street" to mean exactly that.

      Why?

      I don't believe in Hydro, Wind, or Solar either. Not on a large scale. I think those technologies are perfect supplements. Point source implementations on single houses and small communities. It will just never scale to the point it can provide power for industry or transportation.

      Hydro, Wind, and Solar are also being researched and developed by a heck of a lot of people. New technologies and patents are being developed at a rapid pace. There is a LOT of competition here.

      Once again, Shell is an Oil Company.

      They are sticking to what they know best. That is drilling and fuel. Carbon sequestration technologies are sorely needed. We have to put it somewhere. Why not a company that has a lot of experience drilling and fraccing? Sounds like a perfect match to me.

      Biofuels are the other area that Shell has decided to concentrate on. Every time I pass one of their gas stations (note I said pass) they are always more than the competition. They have patented technology for fuel. These are people that have expertise in creating fuel. Why not have them work on new biofuels? Seems reasonable to me.

      I am practical person and just as much a pro environment as anybody else. Let's just take a deep breath and be reasonable about it. I see no reason to make Shell out as the enemy here simply because they want to concentrate solely on two areas of environmental technology.

      What they are doing is helping. So why all the hate from all the posters?

    8. Re:Corporate culture by LehiNephi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You hit on the real reason in your post, even if you didn't realize it. The fact is that wind/solar power is not economically viable right now. It makes little sense for Shell to spend tons of money that it will never recover.

      Every project goes through a cost benefit analysis. Shell apparently did the analysis, and the conclusions were that investment in wind and solar are unlikely to pay for themselves, even in the long run. Or, more precisely, investments in wind and solar are unlikely to pay better than investments in oil and gas, even in the long run.

      Besides, there's nothing to prevent them from re-entering the market if the economics change.

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    9. Re:Corporate culture by hcdejong · · Score: 4, Informative

      We really don't know how much oil there is down there, but it's not running out anytime soon.

      We've a much better idea of how much oil is down there than in the 1920s. We've already found the easy/cheap-to-exploit stuff, any future finds will be more expensive than what we have now.

    10. Re:Corporate culture by Smidge204 · · Score: 4, Informative

      *facepalm*

      Biofuels do not "starve the third world." Nobody credible on the subject of biofuels has seriously advocated using food crops for fuel ("credible" includes those who are not obviously shills for the corn growers here). The crops that, so far, have shown the best potential for fuel sources are not only not food/feed crops, but they can be grown on land that is otherwise unsuitable for food crops.

      And maybe if we spent just a portion of our food providing efforts reforming their lands and teaching them to grow and maintain their own food, not only would they be better off in the long run but you'd create jobs where they are desperately needed.

      So enough with the "starving the third world" nonsense. There is zero credibility in that argument.
      =Smidge=

    11. Re:Corporate culture by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Uhhh....

      everything is a pollutant when it is present in concentrations such that the current local environment can not deal with them.

    12. Re:Corporate culture by Lord+Kano · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bio-fuels (starving the third world)

      Yeah, it's our fault that the third world is a toilet. We're not the ones who are running the regimes of their oppressive dictators. We're not the ones diverting international aid away from starving people. Yes, production of biofuels makes the cost of some food items increase. But if they'd grow their own fucking food, it wouldn't be an issue.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    13. Re:Corporate culture by azgard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is, the economic viability of biofuels is questionable, and carbon sequestration definitely isn't viable from physics.

      The problem isn't they chose to kill off technologies which are not promising, the problem is they chose to pursue those that are less energy efficient, if at all (and thus, unless they scam someone, less promising).

      They expect they will market them to government or something, rather than solve ecological problems. That's why its wrong.

    14. Re:Corporate culture by Qzukk · · Score: 4, Insightful

      but is it really that hard to grasp that new technologies allow us to reach deeper (and sideways) for oil that was previously out of reach?

      Not at all. After all, there MUST be pirate treasure buried in my backyard. The problem is that nobody's invented good enough metal detection technology to enable me to find it.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    15. Re:Corporate culture by catbertscousin · · Score: 4, Funny

      Like Humans!

      Yes, but you can make Soylent Green out of them.

      --
      No good deed goes unpunished. - Avon, Blake's 7
    16. Re:Corporate culture by nelsonal · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's not a matter of running out, I doubt we ever will (some oil products are worth many hundreds of dollars/barrel so the price will be very high and rare hydrocarbon based chemicals will still get made as we get close to the limit. Thats true of every non-renewable resources, and is very well established economics. As examples, even though it was one of the earliest exploited fields, there still sits quite a bit of oil in Pennsylvania, but it hasn't been cost effective to extract it (there was some interest when oil was rising to $140/barrel but I'd presume that has died back down).
      We're already running toward the end of cheap easy to extract oil. From the dawn of the oil age to the 1960s, new large oil fields were discovered close to the surface that were very inexpensive to extract (culminating in the Saudi Ghawar Field in 1948 which has production costs of well under $10/barrel). Here's the list from Wikipedia. I found discovery dates for the missing Mesopotamian field (1961). Since then discoveries have gotten smaller (only three top 10 fields discovered after 1961 and all were under water, two under deep water, which raises the costs of extraction considerably). There will likely be additional oil finds, probably even major field finds, but I believe it's safe to say that we will never find anything that will be large and cheap like the fields that are currently huge producers.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    17. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Oxygen isn't a pollutant either, but in high enough concentrations can be fatal.

      Corporate profits are unfortunately something that is shortsighted. What is the *cost* of putting all the extra CO2 into the air? at this exact moment, probably fairly minimal, but over time as we continue the cost may very well be extreme.

      The gov't is the leveling factor, by pricing oil artificially higher to encourage a different direction for a better long term result.

      Some will say we don't need it, and while there is general scientific consensus that we do, factual evidence is scarce since we're making predictions about the future. By the time actual evidence exists it will be far to late to 'fix' the problem.

      Shell probably sees the writing on the wall, their industry is a monopoly on our transportation...switching to electric or other renewables means they will no longer be that monopoly. Its the govt's responsibility to look beyond short term profits and move us to something sustainable.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    18. Re:Corporate culture by Hatta · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let me say that firstly, CO2 is not a pollutant, it's a plant fertiliser.

      By that definition, cow manure isn't a pollutant either. Just because plants enjoy it doesn't mean it won't cause us problems if there's too much of it.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    19. Re:Corporate culture by Tanktalus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      less energy efficient != less profitable. When solar, wind, etc., become more profitable than oil, Shell will be clamouring to get back in, don't worry.

      I've been saying for years that the only way to get the planet to switch to "green" technologies is to find a way to make the energy derived from them cheaper than the alternatives. Even now, the only reason we're still on coal and natural gas for generation of power is that they're cheaper politically (partially due to being the status quo) than nuclear power.

    20. Re:Corporate culture by ultranova · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Legally != scientifically. We're preaching to a geek group, which insists on the most factual representation of its topics (most of the time). CO2 is a fertiliser, whether the Supreme Court has seen fit to accept it as such or not. It helps plants grow, thus it definitively is a fertiliser.

      As it happens, one of the biggest sources of pollution for waterways is fertilizer. It gets washed from the fields into the water, where it promotes the growth of algae, turning a lake into a stinking pit. And the same happens in coastal areas where ever the conditions don't disperse it fast enough.

      Your argument seems to be that something can't be both a fertilizer and a pollutant, which is wrong.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    21. Re:Corporate culture by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So, what you're saying is that interference from the outside cause the problem in the first place, and interference from outside is continuing the problems. And the people of the poor countries (who have ALWAYS been that way) have nothing to do with the situation.

      Yes, it is always evil white people's fault. Always!

      I'm kind of sick of the people who blame everything on Western Eurpopean culture. It is a fallacy. Japan was nearly wiped out after WWII, practically nuked into the stoneage. And yet they figured out how to crawl out of it in less than one generation. AND they have almost no natural resources.

      And yet, we leave places like Afgahnistan alone for twenty years, and the Taliban take over and take a relatively modern nation back to the Stone Age. Yes, that was all Colonialism's fault. Because the Taliban wouldn't have ever taken over if it wasn't for the Russian invasion ...

      The problem is, that you can always blame the current problems on something else. Obama is taking the problems of the Bush (who sucked royal eggs IMHO) Admin and REALLY is making them worse. But nobody seems to care because he speaks so eloquently (teleprompter mishaps not withstanding) and has a pretty smile.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    22. Re:Corporate culture by ultranova · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The political and socioeconomic development of most third-world nations was ruined by Western powers dating back to the colonial era, carrying through neo-colonialism and the Cold War.

      You know, I live in Finland, which was first Sweden's and then Russia's colony until 1917, underwent a devastating civil war right after gaining independence, and was attacked by the Soviet Union twice in World War II, and had to resettle 400,000 people and pay $300,000,000 in war preparations. And yet, after all this, we're somehow overproducing relative to our needs, despite the fact that the country sits on the Arctic Circle rather than at the equator.

      At some point blaming some long-ago event for your problems becomes ridiculous. African countries have been independent for decades now, and even the Cold War ended over a decade ago; if they remain hellholes incapable of feeding their own population, the blame now rests on said population.

      "Our forefathers were oppressed so we must keep on killing our farmers or at least stealing their land." Victim complex at its finest. Besides, Africa seems to be the only former colony to be having this problem...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  2. Thats ok by Raven737 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    i think it would be bad anyway if the companies whose primary business is selling fossil fuel also controlled a large chunk of the renewable energy market.
    I mean can you say 'conflict of interests'?

    Leave it to the little guys that are better (specialized/core business) at it anyway.
    And at least now we truly know where they stand.

  3. It's fusion or bust by sakdoctor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Controlled fusion is the next step for our species. We won't know how hard it is except for retrospectively, but we haven't got much time left.

    Nobody wants to save energy. There are billions of people on this planet that would like to use half as much energy as an average American, and no amount of wind or solar is going to deliver that.

    1. Re:It's fusion or bust by Rogerborg · · Score: 4, Funny

      the only problem is, that [wind is] not available all the time, or so they want us to believe.

      I used to wonder if environmentalists were crazy conspiracy theorist whackjobs, but you've gone ahead and removed all of the uncertainty from that question.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  4. What the? by GrpA · · Score: 5, Insightful

    FTA: Since biofuels frequently lead to greater emissions than either diesel or gas,

    That's not really true... Using Biodiesel can result in 75% less CO2 emissions, at the exhaust pipe.

    Some Biodiesels, eg, based on Coconut oil, are incredibly low on emissions.

    People who claim biodiesel releases more CO2 are making an argument industry wide, including the converting of existing land not used for agriculture to produce biofuels.

    Which is a little dishonest, because there are other technologies being developed that make use of badly salt-affected land to produce Biofuel. (Algae based production)

    These technologies actually improve the situation and make use of land that otherwise cannot be used at all.

    GrpA

    --
    Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
  5. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by dgatwood · · Score: 5, Funny

    Just because they're being shellfish doesn't mean you have to be crabby. :-)

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  6. Nuclear.... by PhantomHarlock · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Compared to anything mentioned, the cleanest form of energy is nuclear power, all factors considered. It's the only thing we should be looking at in the long run as a primary source of power for the grid. Wind and solar are great for local uses but not on a large scale. They are incredibly land intensive for a very small output. A nuclear power plant's physical footprint for the power it generates is practically nil.

    People just have to stop equating nuclear power with nuclear weapons, and realizing that modern reactors are far, far safer than reactors from half a century ago. Unfortunately, the United States has lost 30 or 40 years of reactor development time compared to other countries.

    As usual, radical environmentalists are their own worst enemy. They advocate alternative energy, and then jump up and down when a new solar installation is built on a fictionally endangered habitat or a wind farm causes migratory bird strikes. You can't have it all ways.

    You must find a viable replacement for fossil fuels before eliminating them or taxing them to death. Solar and wind alone are not a viable replacement at that scale.

  7. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    GP says fuck the hippies and gets and Insightful. Parent says fuck the executives and gets a Troll.

    Now, I'm down with the hippie hate, but I guess moderators really do like sucking corporate cock.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  8. flamebait by metalcup · · Score: 4, Informative

    The post header is a flamebait - and the mods have really screwed up for not having caught it. If you read the TFA (yes yes, I know this is /.), the article headline says "Shell dumps wind, solar and hydro power in favour of biofuels" They are saying that compared to investing in wind, solar and hydro, they want to invest in biofuel reseach, since they think it will be profitable (duh! they are a company - they exist to make a reasonable profit). The impression I got from reading the slashdot post header was that shell has decided to go completely out of alternative energy (/non fossil fuels) entirely. Posting sensationalist headlines is o.k. for mags - why do that here on /.?

    --
    "Laziness is an optimisation protocol"
  9. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
    1. Lets strap all of the environmental whack jobs to bicycles and have them the pedal generators to a cleaner tomorrow.

      Stupidest idea ever. Funny. But not insightful.

    2. If those alternative energy sources were even remotely feasible you can be sure they would be all over them.

      Why do you think this? Large companies are conservative and short-sighted. Even "long term" planning is at most 10-15 years. The markets are even more short-sighted and especially stupid. "Shareholders" comprise two groups: long-term investors (e.g., 401k's) that want slow, consistent growth. And then there are the short-term traders. They are either idiots or the scum of the earth. Nobody here is willing to take on a good risk on the 20-30 year horizon.

    You shouldn't have such blind faith in the free market. It is darn good at solving short-term problems. But, boom-bust cycles are a counterexample to long-term efficacy of "market value."

  10. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by derGoldstein · · Score: 5, Funny

    With shells like these who needs anemones?...

    --
    Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
  11. Some of you need to get over it by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Personally, I am happy that they are doing this. First, Solar PV IS CURRENTLY THE MOST EXPENSIVE generator going. Solar THERMAL is a different thing. It is cheaper than coal is currently, if you do not include salt storage. They are looking at co2 sequestering. Ok. My guess is that shortly, somebody else will create a plant that uses Solar thermal for daytimes and then switches to Natural gas for cloudy/night. Mostly clean, EXCEPT for CO2. Sequester it, and things are good. The nice thing about such an approach is that it WILL lead to more AE.

    Likewise, there are MANY other companies doing hydro and wind. Their pulling out will do nothing to harm them. IOW, they will continue.

    That brings up the issue of bio-fuels. Far too many of you are thinking in terms of ethanol via corn, sugar cane, etc. That is a red herring (just like hydrogen production is). Skip that garbage and instead focus on converting crap (literally) to gas; ALGAE. There are several companies that are scaling up right now; Solix and Sapphire. Sapphire is doing gas production directly and they currently have it at less than 100/bl oil equivelence. BOTH of these companies need the price of oil to go up to around 80-85/bl and we are approaching that. These companies will likely get money from US and scale quickly. US MAY be a gas exporter within 4 years because of bio-fuels, combined with American cars moving towards electrical powering.

    Even now, I look at the dependency that EU has on Russia for Natural Gas, and how Russia has used it. Shell can help break that. Ppl just need to think big and long term.

    With that said, I am amazed that Shell, is walking away from things like hydro, and even wind. Foolish on their part. BUT, it still works out.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  12. CSR by oldhack · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Corporate Social Responsibility is another one of those dishonest and fraudulent business fads, flaunting secondary goal that often contradict with the primary goal of making money. When push comes to shove, guess which one would prevail. Shell is an oil company, set up to make money in oil business. Criticizing it for not being "socially responsible" (however you define it) is like berating a snake for not acting like a cow.

    You want renewable energy, set up monetary incentive for it, and be prepared to pay for it.

    --
    Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
  13. No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "[New energy source] or bust" is a very irresponsible thing to say; we need to learn to compromise. But I'll just focus on your particular suggestion of fusion:

    • We don't know when it'll be ready: I went to a talk by one of the guys behind the JET reactor and he said 30-40 years before the first commercial reactor
    • We don't know how much it'll cost: What use will fusion be if it costs more than current power sources?
    • It isn't radiation free: The huge neutron flux it outputs makes the reactor walls highly radioactive, it produces high-level nuclear waste just like any fission plant
    • It needs tritium: Yes fusion plants can produce tritium, but this is a long process and means that even once the technology is ready it'll still be a couple of decades before we have enough tritium being generated to start up large numbers of new power plants

    Fusion is very promising, if only because it has no proliferation worries, but other than that all of the advantages that count are already available in fission reactors.

    • The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it
    • We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead.
      Think solar is renewable? Not as renewable as nuclear.
    • It's safe: If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great
    • It's available now: We cannot wait for the perfect power supply. We need to change over now. We've got the fuel, the tech, the experience.
      All we need is for the public to get their heads out of their asses and learn to accept compromise.
    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    1. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your comments on fusion are basically spot on --more or less ;)

      But your comments on Fission are out by quite a bit. First it is *not* cheap. The new reactors are costing upwards of 5billion and can be higher than 10B. That totally ignores waste management costs that are heavily controlled and fixed by government regulation. There is plenty of nuclear fuel if we reprocess and use Thorium fuel cycles. The US does not reprocess and hence on a pure U based cycle you are looking at a few 100s of years IIRC (so a few 1000s with reprocessing). Even with reprocessing 5 billion years of U fuel is not here- but thats long term planing in the extreme.

      Now the "its available now" comes with a caveat. What to do with the waste? Lets at least plan a head a little. We could develop fast reactors and/or accelerators driven reactors to reduce the waste to something quite manageable. But this kind of R&D reactor will come in the 20B+ price bracket with a 10+ year program. Quite similar to Fusion. After than you only know it can work, we still need to build the reactors.

      Personally I think we should invest R&D into both. We don't know if they will be economical. But it would be nice to have the option.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    2. Re:No, no, no by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You say that 'regulations could decrease this probability (of another accident) by orders of magnitude(...)'. Regulations?! Like SEC regulators that caught Madoff before he could do any real damage with his fraudulent operation? Oh, wait...

      People don't create the fail-safe reactor by following guidelines and rules written by politicians who know shit about nuclear physics. They do it because the incentive of being the safest and most marketable reactor will make them a truckload of money!

      The only thing regulation does is remove a characteristic of a product from the sphere of market competition and turn it into a standard throughout the industry.

      I guess the corporations must like it, its one less thing to be concerned about, but for the rest of us? I don't know. If that's well thought of, great, no harm done, if not, tough luck people, we all blow up at the same time. Did we forget the old adage of 'having all eggs in one basket'?

      I don't know where comes this blind faith in 'regulation'. Does _God_ write them?

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
  14. Re:Two contradictory theories... by jabithew · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Exactly. Consider their Energy Scenarios study. Essentially, after this study, they asked governments to take the necessary decisions. If you look at what they're doing, they clearly believe that 'scramble' is the scenario we face, and are preparing the company for it.

    Shell are a far-sighted company. As with all chemical engineering companies, they need to plan now to build in 5 years, and their plants need to operate at a profit for 20-odd years. The point I'm making is that over time they've become very good at predicting the future.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  15. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Theoretically, television may be feasible, but I consider it an impossibility--a development which we should waste little time dreaming about.
    - Lee de Forest, 1926, inventor of the cathode ray tube

    I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
    - Thomas J. Watson, 1943, Chairman of the Board of IBM

    It doesn't matter what he does, he will never amount to anything.
    - Albert Einstein's teacher to his father, 1895

    It will be years - not in my time - before a woman will become Prime Minister.
    - Margaret Thatcher, 1974

    This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.
    - Western Union internal memo, 1876

    We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.
    - Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962

    Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?
    - H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927

    640K ought to be enough for anybody.
    - Bill Gates, 1981

    Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction.
    - Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872

    Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.
    - Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949

    We don't need you. You haven't got through college yet.
    - Hewlett-Packard's rejection of Steve Jobs, who went on to found Apple Computers

    King George II said in 1773 that the American colonies had little stomach for revolution.

    An official of the White Star Line, speaking of the firm's newly built flagship, the Titanic, launched in 1912, declared that the ship was unsinkable.

    In 1939 The New York Times said the problem of TV was that people had to glue their eyes to a screen, and that the average American wouldn't have time for it.

    An English astronomy professor said in the early 19th century that air travel at high speed would be impossible because passengers would suffocate.

    Airplanes are interesting toys, but they have no military value.
    - Marshal Ferdinand Foch in 1911

    With over 50 foreign cars already on sale here, the Japanese auto industry isn't likely to carve out a big slice of the U.S. market.
    - Business Week, 1958

    Whatever happens, the U.S. Navy is not going to be caught napping.
    - Frank Knox, U.S. Secretary of the Navy, on December 4, 1941

    Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.
    - Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, October 16, 1929.

  16. Only if you ignore the rest of the world by hax0r_this · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sure, if Shell were the only company in the world, they wouldn't have any incentive to invest in alternative energy. But if they don't, someone else will. So while a solar panel sold may be a lost oil sale, Shell would sure as hell rather be the ones profiting on the solar panel.

    The problem here is that there is no profit in the alternative energy business, at least not on the scale Shell operates on. One day that will change, but there is still too much oil in the world for that to happen yet.

    Another issue at play is the tragedy of the commons. The free market model relies on every transaction reflecting the true value of the good changing hands. Thats the idea behind a subsidy; one party is selling a good or service to another party, but the public as a whole also benefits from the service, so the public helps pay for it.

    Thats also the idea behind the failed-as-implemented idea of carbon credits. When I buy a gallon of gasoline and burn it, I just paid a company to pump the oil out of the ground, refine it, ship it to me, etc. I even paid taxes for the roads I drive on. But I went and blew all those toxic fumes into the atmosphere, a public resource, without paying for that resource.

    The only viable solution to this is to impose a tax on every gallon of gasoline equivalent to the cost of removing a gasoline-gallon's worth of exhaust from the atmosphere. By forcing consumers to pay the true cost of gasoline we will allow the free market system to eventually correct the situation and make renewable energy a viable business model that much sooner. Of course some subsidies won't hurt either, but you can't just subsidize "good" without penalizing "bad".

  17. Re:Neither. They're responsible by F34nor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Oh yeah and another thing. Oil companies are not 'energy companies' they are 'resource extraction companies' there's a difference.

    This relates to an argument about making furnaces better. The furnace company has very little incentive to make a more efficient furnace because they do not have to pay for the consumables and they make a profit off of parts and service. One idea to make HVAC more efficient is to make vertical monopolies within the industry that provide the server of heating or cooling. If the manufacturer has to pay capital costs and variable reoccurring costs then they will make a machine that lasts forever and uses as little resources per unit of heating or cooling as possible. This is why GM killed the EV because they want you to consume parts and service for the (short) life of the car. If GM gave you the service of having a car and had to pay for gas, parts and service you would have 100mpg cars in 10 years that would last a million miles without service. Don't think a million mile per engine car is possible? Look at the Volvo PS-1800, 2 million miles on single engine made in the 1960s.

    Oil companies have generated more super wealthy people on this planet than any other human activity; don't underestimate people's ability to do evil when it comes to trillions of dollars.

  18. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    See, troll. Ad hominem and emotive attacks with little or no factual content.

    If the evil oil companies are the ones raping the American people, I'm sure glad no American ever bought any oil related products, or voted for some kind of anti-environment President, otherwise they might be considered partly responsible themselves...oh, wait.

    The chemical/energy industries are full of scientists, chemists and engineers. There is more of a green attitude in Shell than there is in Parliament/Congress/any government I can think of.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  19. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not defending that philosophy at all. I don't know where you got that from.

    You're defending the head-in-the-sand philosophy, where people blame 'big oil' because it's easier than taking personal responsibility for the impact one's actions have on the environment.

    Oil companies don't destroy the environment and pump oil for shits and giggles, they do it because people are paying them hand-over-fist to do it. People are also willing to forgo legislation to protect the environment to save themselves a few bucks, and then bitch about how the environment is being wrecked.

    Yeah, it sucks that Big Oil is ruining the planet man, I wish I could do something about it. What car? This car? No, I need that to drive to my air-conditioned gym.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  20. Geothermal is where we are headed by Dan+B. · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There is more free, clean energy in hot rocks 3-5km below the surface than all coal, oil and nuclear fuel combined. It cost nothing to extract other than the initial capital investment, and produces no harmful by-products other than the electricity that you an I take for granted in this modern age.

    A bit more research money toward the economic construction of geothermal plants would see us free of fossil and nuclear fuel for the foreseeable future, and that is many, many generations of our species.

    --
    Dan. -- So what if it's spelt wrong, nobody's perfect
  21. Energy Return On Energy Input by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Interesting

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EROEI

    Oil was 100:1

    As the quality of the oil declines (e.g. to tar sands), so does the energy return (e.g. 5:1 or 3:1) and we have to spend more of our time simply trying to generate energy.

    And if 30% of our time and energy are going into producing more energy... There isn't much time and energy available to do other things, like run a civilization.

    Wind seems to average approximately 20:1 over the lifetime of a turbine.

    What is interesting is that in the short term because of our sunk investment in oil, it is more profitable for companies to produce bio-oil at 8:1 EROEI than it is to produce wind turbines or solar panels.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Informative

      And if 30% of our time and energy are going into producing more energy... There isn't much time and energy available to do other things, like run a civilization.

      If only we had the technology to produce energy with a favorable EROEI. Maybe one day we'll be able to split the atom or something.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by LordKazan · · Score: 4, Informative

      As much as I like to bash megacorps for their misbehavior... that is completely unfair. I grew up less than 20 minutes from the Duane Arnold Energy Center (a nuclear powerplant outside Cedar Rapids, IA). They've never had an accident.

      In fact the WORST accident in the History of nuclear power in the United States was Three Mile - and it was only a disaster because of the misinformation is spread about nuclear energy. The TOTAL dose of radiation that managed to escape Three Mile was less than the dose you'd get from the radioisotopes in the granite making up the halls of congress in a day.

      Furthermore there are more modern reactor designs in which they're design to be IMPOSSIBLE to have criticality excursions (aka melt downs) - things such as PBRs where the nuclear moderator used in it is designed to become more efficient at capturing neutrons at higher temperatures. Literally if the coolant system fails the reactor, just by nuclear physics, ramps itself down. They've tried to make a PBR melt down, you cannot do it - their design was a success.

      There are also other designs that cannot have criticality excursions.

      Then there is also research into fusion reactors - again something that cannot have criticality excursions.

      --
      If you cannot keep politics out of your moderation remove yourself from the Mod Lottery.. NOW!
    3. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Informative

      And that still haven't figured out what to do with the waste?

      Amazingly enough France doesn't have this problem because they recycle the waste.

      Waste, safety, weapons proliferation, and fuel sarcity make uranium/plutonium fission a dead end

      The French have solved the waste problem, the "safety" issue is FUD, weapons proliferation can be dealt with through the existing channels (and seems to be happening anyway without much help from the civilian power industry) and I have yet to see any proof that we are running out of fissionable material.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  22. How to shove 1000 train cars of carbon under a rug by An+dochasac · · Score: 5, Informative

    A typical 1000 Megawatt coal powerplant such as the behemoth ERGs boondoggle just being completed in SE Wisconsin requires 1215 train carloads of Coal (Carbon) every day. Once burned, each carbon molocule (Atomic Weight 12) will have two Oxygen Molecules (Atomic Weight 16) attached to it and this 'refuse' to be sequestured will weigh 3.67 times as much. All else being equal, this means you would need 4459 boxcars full of carbon junk leaving the power plant. But CO2 can't easily be compressed into boxcars so it is likely the carbon will be sequestered with calcium or silicon (in rock), and weigh much more. And Shell thinks this is cheaper than solar, wind and hydropower? Have I missed April fools day or is someone playing a shell game?

  23. At Least Shell Is Honest About It by some+old+guy · · Score: 5, Informative

    I worked for BP's orphan photo-voltaics lab in Toano, Virginia long enough for us to be featured in their big "Beyond Petroleum" advertising blitz...and then poof! they pulled the plug. Although we were doing first-rate science and pilot production of amorphous silicon PV cells, we were left with the impression that we were merely a "green" marketing asset left over from the Amoco merger.

    We supplied the green paint, then they threw away the brush. So goes the oil business.

    --
    Scruting the inscrutable for over 50 years.
  24. New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I would say that 70,000 homes is pretty large scale, and the energy is completely free.

    http://www.inhabitat.com/2008/02/25/world%E2%80%99s-largest-solar-power-plant-coming-to-arizona-in-2011/

    The entire midwest is ideal for Solar. Death Valley? Thousands of acres sitting empty. Who'd want to live there? Solar...

    Just because something hasn't been done doesn't mean that it can't be or shouldn't be.

    1. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Thousands of acres sitting empty. Who'd want to live there? Solar...

      Or we could build a single nuclear power plant that doesn't need thousands of acres as a footprint and would generate more power to boot. Just saying.....

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 5, Informative

      Your arguing for something that I actually think is a good idea. Clean nuclear fuel would be ideal (see the link I posted above), but the technology isn't quite ready yet.

      We already have cleaner nuclear fuel through the ability to reprocess the waste. The problem is that we have antiquated laws from the 1970s prevents us from being able to do so. Hell, we have to import our medicinal isotopes from Canada because we are not allowed to refine them here. Good read here.

  25. Re:quick to savage the company... by WaywardGeek · · Score: 5, Funny

    Agreed. Sun Micro is a perfect example. IMO, Sun is the best workstation provider in history, a truly outstanding company. It's not Sun's fault that workstations are no longer in demand. Most people say Sun should have had the foresight to switch to a new business. I say bunk. A company that owns the #1 spot in their market should simply fade with it, and let a new generation of companies exploit new markets. As we approach peak oil, Shell, Exxon, and their competitors should continue to compete in oil even as their revenues fade. Making the jump to alternative energies makes little sense for them.

    --
    Celebrate failure, and then learn from it - Nolan Bushnell
  26. Re:quick to savage the company... by Mab_Mass · · Score: 5, Interesting

    You're modded as funny, but I'm not sure if that was your intent or not.

    Companies evolve and survive. Nokia has been around since the 1800's, long before anyone ever heard of a cell phone.

  27. Re:quick to savage the company... by Gilmoure · · Score: 4, Funny

    Their early reception sucked.

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates