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Shell Ditches Wind, Solar, and Hydro

thefickler writes "Shell has decided to end its investment in wind, solar and hydro projects because the company does not believe they are financially sound investments. Instead Shell is going to focus on carbon sequestration technologies and biofuels. Not surprisingly, and perhaps unfairly, bloggers have been quick to savage the company: 'Between Shell's decisions to stop its clean energy investments and to increase its debt load to pay for dividends, the company is solidifying an image of corporate greed over corporate responsibility.' Is Shell short sighted, or is it just a company trying to make its way in an uncertain world?"

730 of 883 comments (clear)

  1. quick to savage the company... by SupremoMan · · Score: 1

    quick to savage the company logo is more like it.

    1. Re:quick to savage the company... by Skeptical1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Captalism IS Evolution. Some jumps cannot be made. Large jumps have lower probability of success. Species go extinct... deal with it.

    2. Re:quick to savage the company... by WaywardGeek · · Score: 5, Funny

      Agreed. Sun Micro is a perfect example. IMO, Sun is the best workstation provider in history, a truly outstanding company. It's not Sun's fault that workstations are no longer in demand. Most people say Sun should have had the foresight to switch to a new business. I say bunk. A company that owns the #1 spot in their market should simply fade with it, and let a new generation of companies exploit new markets. As we approach peak oil, Shell, Exxon, and their competitors should continue to compete in oil even as their revenues fade. Making the jump to alternative energies makes little sense for them.

      --
      Celebrate failure, and then learn from it - Nolan Bushnell
    3. Re:quick to savage the company... by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Captalism IS Evolution.

      No, capitalism prevents evolution by concentrating control of economic resources into the hands of a few. Perhaps you're thinking of markets -- they're not the same thing at all.

      If we had functioning markets that took all costs into account and didn't allow externalization, we'd never have developed a petroleum based economy.

      Some jumps cannot be made. Large jumps have lower probability of success.

      We started our "jump" about 200 years ago at the start of the industrial revolution. If we continue on our current course, we'll go *splat* when we land. The question is whether or not we can change course in time.

      Species go extinct... deal with it.

      "Yes, I brutally murdered twenty people, but people die...deal with it." See the flaw here?

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    4. Re:quick to savage the company... by Mab_Mass · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You're modded as funny, but I'm not sure if that was your intent or not.

      Companies evolve and survive. Nokia has been around since the 1800's, long before anyone ever heard of a cell phone.

    5. Re:quick to savage the company... by nsteinme · · Score: 1

      so has Nintendo (since 1889)

      --
      call me FOSS im the boss with the sauce and the source
    6. Re:quick to savage the company... by ionix5891 · · Score: 1

      yaha and then theres nintendo

    7. Re:quick to savage the company... by Burz · · Score: 1

      Captalism IS Evolution. Some jumps cannot be made. Large jumps have lower probability of success. Species go extinct... deal with it.

      That makes a great Social Darwinism quote!

    8. Re:quick to savage the company... by JohnnyKrisma · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The better point is *some* companies can evolve and survive, and some can't. The market is the best judge of this, not the government cherry picking who yells the loudest. Time will tell if Shell made the correct decision. Meanwhile their customers are perfectly within their rights to boycott etc.

    9. Re:quick to savage the company... by Gilmoure · · Score: 4, Funny

      Their early reception sucked.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    10. Re:quick to savage the company... by RyoShin · · Score: 1

      Another company that /. is familiar with, Nintendo, started in 1889 making Hanafuda cards. (Before getting into video games they tried doing cabs and 'love hotels', as well.)

    11. Re:quick to savage the company... by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Same thing with Nintendo - they've been around longer than a century.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    12. Re:quick to savage the company... by objekt · · Score: 1

      "Meanwhile their customers are perfectly within their rights to boycott etc."

      I like that idea.

      --
      -- Boycott Shell
    13. Re:quick to savage the company... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      There is one point of benefit to alternatives companies like shell have though. They already possess the distribution networks that will be required to supplant oil energies. It makes sense for them to move into the new market because of that.

      Perhaps companies like Exxon and shell will turn into distribution leasing companies instead of oil companies? Eventually, the need for that will-can fade too. But there is a lengthy and expensive transition stage ahead of us if we move away from oil. Take cars for instance, in the best of our US economies, the amount of new cars registered for private use never equaled more then 6% of the total registered new cars since before the 70's. It's much less when you consider that some of those new cars are replacing vehicles destroyed by accidents including new cars and another portion is going to new drivers. A guess could probably be made at just a little over 3-4% is actually replacing older cars on the road. It will be much less in down economies like we have today.

      Anyways, if we were replacing just half of our cars on the road with vehicles that don't use oil and if we could start today while not selling any more "new" oil burning cars, we would need roughly 13-16 years at least with a good economy. And that's assuming the number of cars on the road doesn't increase during that time. If it does, it would be likely that a lot of the older cars would stick around longer making it take even more time to replace just half of the total cars in use.

    14. Re:quick to savage the company... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Not to fed the trolls but, we are largely an atheist society. Why would someone care about the next world when science and economics is all that is true to them?

      Also, even if the people are religious, most all religions state that greedy rich fucks will goto hell or some sort of it. Even Buddhism has something along these lines in the rebirth or reincarnation. So why would a greedy rich fuck care about the next life, they probably already know it's going to suck if they are slightly religious and only car about the now.

      It really changes nothing.

    15. Re:quick to savage the company... by fugue · · Score: 1

      Not to fed the trolls but, we are largely an atheist society. Why would someone care about the next world when science and economics is all that is true to them?

      I'm rather surprised if anyone took the religious comment very seriously. It was meant as a joke, although the reasoning that led to it wasn't:

      Abrahamic and many other populist religions (most surviving popular ones, as you said) try to cater to the poor (Buddhism warns against focusing on money, but certainly does not prohibit wealth, and many Buddhists are quite wealthy). But historically there have been plenty of others--created by a slightly different demographic--that allowed taking wealth into the next world. Look at the ancient Egyptians!

      We know that fossil fuels have already caused enormous damage/illness/death and are going to cause vastly more. Anyone who values science knows this, and yet there are execs who, given the unavoidable choice between accruing huge personal fortunes and a clean, healthy, sustainable, safe world, choose the former. Given this emphasis on money over life, and I draw the obvious conclusion--the only alternative I see is that they don't believe in science (hence the joke). Perhaps William McDonough (?) explained it most concisely when he said "Republicans are afraid of dying poor."

      And no, we in the USA are not anywhere close to being an atheist society. The details depend on how you ask the questions, but well over half of USians really believe that the world is less than 6000 years old, 75% go to churches regularly and believe in some kind of Christian Jesus (ie. the magical zombie, not the historical figure who said some wise things and may or may not have existed), perhaps half believe weird doctrine like "homosexuality is a sin"...

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    16. Re:quick to savage the company... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Abrahamic and many other populist religions (most surviving popular ones, as you said) try to cater to the poor (Buddhism warns against focusing on money, but certainly does not prohibit wealth, and many Buddhists are quite wealthy). But historically there have been plenty of others--created by a slightly different demographic--that allowed taking wealth into the next world. Look at the ancient Egyptians!

      And if the comment was made in ancient times when those religions were more relevant, they would have more standing. But the point was that the people doing the greed thing today most likely aren't thinking of anything other then the world they live in now.

      We know that fossil fuels have already caused enormous damage/illness/death and are going to cause vastly more. Anyone who values science knows this, and yet there are execs who, given the unavoidable choice between accruing huge personal fortunes and a clean, healthy, sustainable, safe world, choose the former. Given this emphasis on money over life, and I draw the obvious conclusion--the only alternative I see is that they don't believe in science (hence the joke). Perhaps William McDonough (?) explained it most concisely when he said "Republicans are afraid of dying poor."

      I like the way you lump people who have drank gasoline and poisoned themselves or pored diesel fuel on themselves and lit it on fire to commit suicide in with the bunch. You have to be doing that because exhaust emissions from oil have not been shown to cause any direct damage unless you view them from unintended ways. Sure, stuff a hose from the tail pipe into your mouth and claim it caused another death/illness or whatever. But what shell is doing can't really be considered the same things can they? You should have said something more along the lines of anyone who values what they think is science knows this because there is quite a bit of scientific evidence that the global warming scare doesn't fit your description there.

      At one time, the best scientific knowledge out there proudly proclaimed that the sun moved across the sky instead of the earth revolving to create that illusion. At one time, the best of medical science refused to accept creditable works showing that some stomach ulcers were caused by bacteria colonies because they thought it was impossible for bacteria to live in the acidic conditions that break down about everything else. At one time, you made a statement that was more based on ignorance produced by an illusions of intellect which is why I didn't get your joke. Perhaps you and William McDonough should stop thinking you know it all and look around with the same scientific interest you base your claims on. It does appear that neither of you have figures oil company exec or republicans out. You certainly haven't figured democrats out, they say one thing and do another as current events are showing right now.

      And no, we in the USA are not anywhere close to being an atheist society. The details depend on how you ask the questions, but well over half of USians really believe that the world is less than 6000 years old, 75% go to churches regularly and believe in some kind of Christian Jesus (ie. the magical zombie, not the historical figure who said some wise things and may or may not have existed), perhaps half believe weird doctrine like "homosexuality is a sin"...

      Yawn.. Shell is an international company much like most oil companies are. Why would I want to limit my interpretation of society to just one part of their existence? That doesn't make sense. It would be like trash talking religious people and calling their savior a magical zombie because you aren't smart enough to understand what they are claiming. Here is the thing, I might sail in the same seas but I'm not sailing on your boat. Statistically speaking, you would most likely fall into the groups of people "who think you know more then you d

    17. Re:quick to savage the company... by fugue · · Score: 1

      And if the comment was made in ancient times when those religions were more relevant, they would have more standing.

      The penny has started to drop. Good. Comments that would have been true in other contexts are often called "jokes".

      I like the way you lump people who have drank gasoline and poisoned themselves or pored diesel fuel on themselves and lit it on fire to commit suicide in with the bunch.

      Say what? I didn't say anything about them.

      You have to be doing that because exhaust emissions from oil have not been shown to cause any direct damage

      Did I say "direct"? Define "direct". And then tell me why I should care. "Oh, the death was due to exhaust via a well-understood mechanism that does not meet sumdumass's definition of 'direct', so we're innocent!" Exhaust emissions have repeatedly and conclusively been shown to do damage of various sorts. Asthma, various cancers, poisoned ecosystems, smog, global warming, ... and that doesn't even consider the environmental costs of extraction, transportation, refining... And then there are the costs of making war on nations who control the oil that we need in order to prop up a crumbling economy that was based on the assumption that energy was essentially free...

      unless you view them from unintended ways.

      Are you saying that the Shell execs aren't intentionally killing people? I agree that they're not doing it with malicious intent, but they know that they're causing harm, they know how to stop it, and they're doing it anyway. I don't see why I, as an observer, should regard that as "unintentional".

      Sure, stuff a hose from the tail pipe into your mouth and claim it caused another death/illness or whatever.

      Because whatever you dump into the air goes... where? Yes, in high concentrations it's lethal very quickly. You are surprised that at low concentrations it's still harmful? Global warming is a completely different and unexpected mechanism--not even theorised until 1890 or so, and not shown to be actually happening until the 1960s (and even then shown very poorly), so I guess you're off the hook on that one (at least, if you haven't read a scientific journal in 50 years).

      At one time, the best scientific knowledge out there proudly proclaimed that the sun moved across the sky instead of the earth revolving to create that illusion. [munch]

      Your argument has turned into "Because science has been wrong before, it's always irrelevant." Could you maybe pull your head out of your arse for long enough to go (back?) to highschool? Of course science has been wrong before. But hauling out examples from hundreds of years ago, when religious dipshits still had a huge say in what was valid science, does not strengthen your case. In fact, we've gotten fairly good at bounding our errors, and saying "Here's what we think will happen, based on this. Here's what we don't know. Here's what we haven't quite pinned down. Here's independent verification of our results. So there's a 95% chance of something in this set of scenarios happening, and a 1% chance of something in this set..." Science isn't exactly right all of the time, but it's generally right most of the time. If you don't believe me, look around you at, you know, "civilisation".

      At one time, you made a statement that was more based on ignorance produced by an illusions of intellect which is why I didn't get your joke.

      Sorry. I'll try to keep the humour simpler.

      Yawn.. Shell is an international company much like most oil companies are. Why would I want to limit my interpretation of society to just one part of their existence?

      Good call. Sorry. I assumed wrongly that you were talking about the USA. Of course, the little data in the tip of my brain tells me that the more se

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    18. Re:quick to savage the company... by fugue · · Score: 1

      Joke usually have the distinguishing characteristics of being funny or noticeable as a joke.

      Sorry. I assumed intelligence on the part of the reader. My bad.

      There is no evidence that fossil fuels caused any of that when used correctly.

      "Correctly"? You'll have to define that a little more precisely.

      You said it caused X. That means it directly caused X.

      Ah. I see. I had failed to realise that you were the sole arbiter of correct English. So if I were to say "A failed transistor in the artificial horizon of this aircraft caused 160 people to die" you would deny that that made any sense? Hmmm. I'll have to think about that.

      If that wasn't what you meant, then you should have explained your thoughts better.

      I usually expect people to be able to put two and two together on their own. Saves the electrons, y'know.

      And no, they don't rise to the problem you are making them out to be.

      Geez, I thought that was common knowledge. But since you asked me instead of Google, I'll pass along the first few hits to a rather obvious query. Thanks! I didn't know the numbers--125 people per day? That's almost exactly as many as are killed by cars in the USA.

      http://www.mailmanschool.org/news/display.asp?ID=636

      http://www.7gen.com/book/fossil-fuel-health-risks/572

      http://www.cacefindiana.org/node/programs/cieep/global_warming/health

      http://knowledgecontext.org/Curriculum/Projects/pollution.html

      Take global warming for instance, it has become a religion on some parts of the world and non of the rituals surrounding it will do anything to cure it. They blindly accept the Kyoto accords, Carbon offsets, and all that shit without realizing that to date, it has done nothing but caused the pollution to be created elsewhere.

      True, people without a scientific background tend to get caught up in belief without understanding. Signs point to you being squarely in this category--blindly accepting on faith that global warming is false, with no understanding of the science. And then you somehow manage to get political "solutions" into the same paragraph. Your criticisms of those solutions are not unfounded, but you are somehow confusing them with science, or something. I'm confused.

      I was saying that you aren't mentally acute enough to understand the claims you chastise which was obvious with your statement. Normally, that isn't a problem until you attempt to share your disadvantage with others and then I have to spank you for it. Either learn something about what your bitching about or shut the fuck up like all the other ignorant asses out there.

      So teach me, master! So far all you've taught me is that all the other ignorant asses don't generally shut the fuck up.

      So: it is well-accepted doctrine of many religions that homosexuality is a sin. Why does that bother you? Could you maybe answer a question, rather than just shouting abuse? Here I'm trying to understand you!

      And no, I'm not a liar, although I appreciate the thought.

      Now coming close to a definition doesn't make it something defined by the term.

      Very good (although most definitions are a little fuzzy). But, as I said, if it comes close, ignoring subtle differences is a form of humour. I guess you'll have to trust me on this one until you grow up.

      You mom is a whore that I fucked last weekend and failed to pay is just as relevant as the comments you made.

      The significance of my comments was not lost on everyone. Apparently you just need to think a little harder about them.

      Many words have duel meanings and that sentence structure is the proper way to clearly convey the correct meaning.

      Ah, once again I'd like to express my elation at hav

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    19. Re:quick to savage the company... by fugue · · Score: 1

      1) Your English needs serious help. Your local community college may offer remedial classes to the community.

      2) Learn statistics, and why it was created. Correlation is not causation, but correlation in addition to a predictive model is pretty close.

      3) Learn rhetoric. Not because you're bad at it (I don't really care if your arguments are poor) but as a defense against those who are better at it than you.

      4) Learn science. Not fact, but method.

      5) What, then, causes the crash? The electromagnetic force created when two objects (like the plane and the ground) get close, apparently. Way to be trivially correct. Go you.

      6) Start evaluating truth based on what people say and what evidence they present rather than on whether you agree with it.

      7) Thanks very much for a fascinating discussion. I learned a great deal from you. I tend to associate with intellectuals, and you helped me to realise that I really need to spend more time studying the thought processes of the average joe.

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    20. Re:quick to savage the company... by fugue · · Score: 1

      Mentally retarded patients on the 6th floor does not equal intelectuals. You yourself couldn't even be considered an intellectual. [munch] Have you ever wondered why your mom thinks your the most hansom man around yet you have never had a date that you didn't have to product a credit card before hand?

      Holy Great Ganesh, Id completely ignored that fact. My bad. Your right on every point: Im not just stupid but ugly too--I will notify my girlfriends at once. I surrendr.

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    21. Re:quick to savage the company... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I was pretty confident of your ignorance. The ugly part was just a guess. Looks like a good one though. BTW, don't be too hard on your girlfriends, you don't want to poke a hole in them.

      Oh yea, when you get out of school, come back and talk. Hopefully you would have learned something by then.

  2. Corporate culture by unlametheweak · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As a company, if they can make more money on oil than on wind, then clearly the shareholders will demand oil. Oil is there bread and butter. I wouldn't expect them to innovate on something that is outside of their corporate culture. Like with the movie and music and software industries; you get innovation and creativity from smaller independent entities, and conservativism from the established entities.

    1. Re:Corporate culture by theheadlessrabbit · · Score: 5, Insightful

      so the big question becomes: Is Shell an oil company, or an energy company?

      while oil is currently very cheep, it's supply is limited to hundreds of years. Renewable energy is expensive now, but it will not run out for a very long time. (billions of years)

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      --
      -I only code in BASIC.-
    2. Re:Corporate culture by unlametheweak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      while oil is currently very cheep, it's supply is limited to hundreds of years.

      I'm not too sure about that. Regardless however, the equation remains stable: when the supply diminishes then prices increase. It's the paradox of people hunting animals to extinction; the more rare the animal the more money hunters can demand for it until there is no more left.

      Oil company's need an excuse to change into generic energy companies. By hook or by crook they'll take the path of least resistance to the highest profit margin (whether it be with oil or solar panels).

    3. Re:Corporate culture by szundi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To be more precise, limited to some tens of years... The cheapest kind of oil will be depleted in 10-20 years, your lifetime! :)

    4. Re:Corporate culture by Bored+Grammar+Nazi · · Score: 2

      Oil is there bread and butter.

      their

    5. Re:Corporate culture by Yvanhoe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Be careful Shell : investors are not family ! Once oil will not be profitable enough, they'll take their shares back and go see a company that spent 10 years building a good solar array network... Don't think that by obeying them, you buy their loyalty.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    6. Re:Corporate culture by mike_slashing · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Problem is that in a couple of years they all get fired and governments have to bail them out.. because they have overcapacity and keep working on deprecated industries (c.f today's strike in France, very much motivated by the auto industry). This shareholding story is BS. Today's boss will want to have his money&bonus today and couldn't care less about the company; if they would, they'd be visionaries... and they're not. So following the (stock)market interests may well be the establishment, but it's not an excuse. We should know better by now and should stop tolerating the establishment's behavior.

    7. Re:Corporate culture by Zocalo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      That's not a very good analogy really. Right now, oil is probably more representative of a highway that comes to an abrupt end in a very dry and barren desert; you know that it's going to end at some point, but you are not 100% sure quite where that it is. Alternative energy is a maze of meandering side roads and dead ends that lie to either side of the high way that represent higher short-term running costs, research that leads to economically or environmentally nonviable solutions, or equally bad dead ends as oil. Some of those roads, however, do lead to the future express way and those are the ones we have to find, but the problem is we don't really have a good map yet.

      I'd say Shell has simply decided that, right now, they need to sit out The Recession with what to them at least is a safe and financially sound proposition in the form of biofuels, by getting back onto the dead-end highway for a while. This is really just the same basic strategy being taken by all those other business that have been focusing on their core operating markets recently. At least that way they're still moving and they know that the road remains good for a while yet, and it doesn't preclude them from doing a little more exploring of the side roads later on, and there might even be some better maps by then...

      --
      UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    8. Re:Corporate culture by aliquis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But when the oil is out they can benefit from others investments in renewable energy and expand in that area at a lower cost.

    9. Re:Corporate culture by theheadlessrabbit · · Score: 1

      agreed. your analogy is MUCH better than mine.

      --
      -I only code in BASIC.-
    10. Re:Corporate culture by ColaMan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Once oil will not be profitable enough....

      Oil will *always* be profitable. Especially when you're sucking the last few barrels out of 100 year old wells and selling it to a captive market who either couldn't afford to switch to something renewable or have no real alternative.

      You damn well charge what you want.

      --

      You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
      There is a lot of hype here.
    11. Re:Corporate culture by rtb61 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In this case, Shell simply decided that's it's marketing campaign of green energy investments was promoting threatening ideas and, generating insufficient advertising benefit. Bio-fuels (starving the third world) and burying pollution underground (at the tax payers expense) were far more profitable and in harsh economic times, knows that the public will be far to worried about keeping their home, feeding their family and panicking about possible medical emergencies, that they would largely ignore the end of the clean green PR=B$. Come on did anybody seriously believe shell was interested in alternative renewable energy beyond a cynical exercise in marketing.

      The only source for funds for the development of cheap renewable energy has to be the government, there is no profit in it and the real benefits are the free benefits of a cleaner healthier environment, lower medical costs from a healthier population and of course cheap 'free' energy(beyond initial capital outlay and maintenance).

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    12. Re:Corporate culture by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      Why do you think the market will stay captive ?

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    13. Re:Corporate culture by UnixUnix · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Back when XEROX had the personal computer technology when nobody else did, their top brass decided not to go for it because it was outside their corporate culture. "We are a xerographic company"... The rest is history :(

    14. Re:Corporate culture by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Because people aren't, in general, all that bright. Do you see much evidence that people are moving away from cars & fossil fuel dependency?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    15. Re:Corporate culture by Letharion · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I beg to differ. That myth has been perpetuated "forever", and it's always "10 years into the future". It was 10 years left 10 years ago, and it will be 10 years still in "10-20 years, your lifetime". If oil prices hadn't been at the low they are, I'd say that the myth is even deliberately upheld by oil companies to increase oil price. "We will run out of oil soon!" is at best, a grave simplification, and at it's worst, a direct lie. Google it, and at the very least you will get a more nuanced picture than "10-20" years. Or read, "The Next Millionaires", and you will get a completely different picture. (Of economics in general, compared to what I was taught in school atleast)

    16. Re:Corporate culture by tyrione · · Score: 1

      True. For the life of me I can't figure out how come they've been so slow to the game with BioAlgae, other than the fact they don't own squat in patents on such solutions.

      This is where PetroSun Inc with it's innate lead in this area is gong to be the big winner.

    17. Re:Corporate culture by twotailakitsune · · Score: 1

      That worked out for them.

    18. Re:Corporate culture by oodaloop · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Agree with Letharion. The life expectancy of oil was 10-20 years back in the 1920s. Try reading The Age of Oil. We really don't know how much oil there is down there, but it's not running out anytime soon.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    19. Re:Corporate culture by couchslug · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Bio-fuels can be the form-and-fit replacement for petroleum products, thus a natural for Shell. Their failure to invest in other technology will allow the Slashdotters who obviously know better to fill the gap and grow rich.

      If the Third World wants food let it control its population to fit its resources. We technologically advanced people owe lesser cultures nothing. It is their duty to adapt to their circumstance instead of practicing the social policies of Robert Mugabe.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    20. Re:Corporate culture by feepness · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Back when XEROX had the personal computer technology when nobody else did, their top brass decided not to go for it because it was outside their corporate culture. "We are a xerographic company"... The rest is history :(

      And what history is that? An incredibly rich and vibrant personal computing field? Companies stick to core competencies precisely because it is what they are good at. Leave getting good at personal computers to someone else, which someone else did.

      When large corporations reach outside their core competency, danger looms. Microsoft is a software company. They attempted to build complicated hardware and got a two-thirds RROD rate. Examples like this abound.

    21. Re:Corporate culture by EdIII · · Score: 5, Interesting

      so the big question becomes: Is Shell an oil company, or an energy company?

      Shell is an oil company. Hands down.

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      Now, this is where I have a problem with the vast majority of the posts on this article, including yours. Everyone is quick to make Shell out as the big bad oil company and for being shortsighted. I certainly take your comment, "future express way" and "dead end street" to mean exactly that.

      Why?

      I don't believe in Hydro, Wind, or Solar either. Not on a large scale. I think those technologies are perfect supplements. Point source implementations on single houses and small communities. It will just never scale to the point it can provide power for industry or transportation.

      Hydro, Wind, and Solar are also being researched and developed by a heck of a lot of people. New technologies and patents are being developed at a rapid pace. There is a LOT of competition here.

      Once again, Shell is an Oil Company.

      They are sticking to what they know best. That is drilling and fuel. Carbon sequestration technologies are sorely needed. We have to put it somewhere. Why not a company that has a lot of experience drilling and fraccing? Sounds like a perfect match to me.

      Biofuels are the other area that Shell has decided to concentrate on. Every time I pass one of their gas stations (note I said pass) they are always more than the competition. They have patented technology for fuel. These are people that have expertise in creating fuel. Why not have them work on new biofuels? Seems reasonable to me.

      I am practical person and just as much a pro environment as anybody else. Let's just take a deep breath and be reasonable about it. I see no reason to make Shell out as the enemy here simply because they want to concentrate solely on two areas of environmental technology.

      What they are doing is helping. So why all the hate from all the posters?

    22. Re:Corporate culture by ArcherB · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because people aren't, in general, all that bright. Do you see much evidence that people are moving away from cars & fossil fuel dependency?

      To what? You give me an reasonably priced, safe car that can get me to work and back with the AC or heater on full every day that doesn't use fossil fuels, and I'll gladly drive it.

      As for now, don't call me stupid because I don't drive a car that does not exist.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    23. Re:Corporate culture by EsbenMoseHansen · · Score: 1

      I beg to differ. That myth has been perpetuated "forever", and it's always "10 years into the future". It was 10 years left 10 years ago, and it will be 10 years still in "10-20 years, your lifetime". If oil prices hadn't been at the low they are, I'd say that the myth is even deliberately upheld by oil companies to increase oil price. "We will run out of oil soon!" is at best, a grave simplification, and at it's worst, a direct lie. Google it, and at the very least you will get a more nuanced picture than "10-20" years. Or read, "The Next Millionaires", and you will get a completely different picture. (Of economics in general, compared to what I was taught in school atleast)

      Wikipedia says differently... that the total oil production peak is difficult to estimate exactly, that the "peak" will be hard to spot before after the fact, and that the estimates is more or less unchanged since the 1960's. And as you know, what is written on wikipedia is the truth ;)

      --
      Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.
    24. Re:Corporate culture by EsbenMoseHansen · · Score: 1

      Because people aren't, in general, all that bright. Do you see much evidence that people are moving away from cars & fossil fuel dependency?

      Actually... yes. Well, not cars, but fossil fuels, including the fuel used in cars. Not because oil is running out, though, but due to other concerns (environmentally, political and economic reasons, mainly).

      --
      Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.
    25. Re:Corporate culture by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      The Microsoft example doesn't seem like a very good one for why companies shouldn't go outside their core competencies. Their forays into hardware are profitable on the whole, and have served a useful role in expanding their software as well; the foray into gaming with the Xbox and Xbox360 in particular has turned out to be a pretty good idea.

    26. Re:Corporate culture by MrHanky · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And you base the assumption that it won't be 10-20 years this time on that it has been wrong in the past? Without realising this is fundamentally absurd?

    27. Re:Corporate culture by Threni · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > so the big question becomes: Is Shell an oil company, or an energy company?

      It's a company which makes most of its money from oil, but which is looking to make money from other energy sources when this makes economic sense.

      > to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      It IS a very long road, and as they approach the end they'll see where other drivers are going and follow them, only attempting to overtake if there's sufficient space on the road to do so.

      What they WON'T do is pull off the road and try and drive through a forest full of trees, holes and boulders, no matter how many people stand at the edge of the woods urging them to do so.

    28. Re:Corporate culture by Burnhard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Let me say that firstly, CO2 is not a pollutant, it's a plant fertiliser. Secondly, Shell are absolutely right. They can't make money on these so called "green" technologies; the market is once again working here to optimise resources. The cloud cuckoo land politics of the environmentalists are unrealistic and completely unworkable, unless, as I suspect, they want to see the lights go out on Technocracy as a whole (one of their early cheer leaders, Konrad Lorenz, said as much in the 1960's). To say that this energy is "free" is a load of bull. It's not free, it's extremely expensive if you consider all of the resources required to generate it are taken into account.

      I expect Shell will continue to research alternative energy but unless it makes a profit (and is therefore attractive to share-holders), it can't do this.

    29. Re:Corporate culture by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Right now, oil is probably more representative of a highway that comes to an abrupt end in a very dry and barren desert; you know that it's going to end at some point, but you are not 100% sure quite where that it is.

      The analogy works in another way: if you don't have the fuel to get you out of that desert back to the last town you left, what do you do?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    30. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      has to be the government, there is no profit in it ... and of course cheap 'free' energy(beyond initial capital outlay and maintenance).

      I agree, but the problem with the government "taking care" of is that ten years after the taxpayer drops B$'s or T$'s on the research and infrastructure, it will finally be profitable. Our green energy superhighway would subsequently become privatized in short order, with unfair tolls excised. At least if current utilities are any example. Gotta love "energy cooperatives," about as much as "credit unions."

    31. Re:Corporate culture by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Push.

    32. Re:Corporate culture by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Except they could have taken all that money spent on the XBox, BRIBED Sony to build a device to their specs, with their OS, and still been ahead of the game.

    33. Re:Corporate culture by Hognoxious · · Score: 2, Informative

      Pity there isn't a method of preventing your inventions from being stolen by freeloaders.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    34. Re:Corporate culture by jonaskoelker · · Score: 1

      "We are a xerographic company"

      I thought Slackware was the zero graphic company...

    35. Re:Corporate culture by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      If there's always ten years' supply left, who keeps refilling it?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    36. Re:Corporate culture by Ruliz+Galaxor · · Score: 1

      Once oil will not be profitable enough, Shell will just buy the company with 'the good solar array network' or some other nice green energy company.

    37. Re:Corporate culture by LehiNephi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You hit on the real reason in your post, even if you didn't realize it. The fact is that wind/solar power is not economically viable right now. It makes little sense for Shell to spend tons of money that it will never recover.

      Every project goes through a cost benefit analysis. Shell apparently did the analysis, and the conclusions were that investment in wind and solar are unlikely to pay for themselves, even in the long run. Or, more precisely, investments in wind and solar are unlikely to pay better than investments in oil and gas, even in the long run.

      Besides, there's nothing to prevent them from re-entering the market if the economics change.

      --
      Help find a cure for cancer. Join the [H]orde
    38. Re:Corporate culture by Ihmhi · · Score: 1

      There's plenty of companies and people working on the wind/solar/hydro aspect of green tech, but I'd bet that there aren't nearly as many companies and people working on equally important stuff such as carbon sequestering.

      The down-lo on carbon sequestering - those nasty greenhouse gases get contained... somehow. The lowest technological level of it is to basically jam it into a hole in the ground - sort of the opposite of natural gas. (Rather than pump it out, they pump it in.)

      The more complex version basically goes like: well, now we have all this carbon gas, what can we do to make it productive? From there it's integrating it into things like turbines and other forms of generation.

      This will allow them to keep their current infrastructure in place while adding onto it. They get to keep their coal/oil burning smog factories and they don't really release much in the way of smog into the air. That's about as win/win as you can get and one of the more realistic solutions for dealing with areas proliferated with oil and coal power plants (such as China).

      And before someone says it, no, I'm not a shill for Shell.

      .

      .

      .

      .

      (Damn, looks like I've used up my monthly quota of bad puns already.)

    39. Re:Corporate culture by hcdejong · · Score: 4, Informative

      We really don't know how much oil there is down there, but it's not running out anytime soon.

      We've a much better idea of how much oil is down there than in the 1920s. We've already found the easy/cheap-to-exploit stuff, any future finds will be more expensive than what we have now.

    40. Re:Corporate culture by walts2004 · · Score: 1

      Three cheers for Shell! Finally someone is taking a stand on the fictions perpetrated by Obama and company! Alternative energy sources will be developed when and if they are technologically realistic and financially profitable, and no politician can change that. All they (the government) will do is pout more taxpayer money down the environmental rat-hole. I live in Florida (the Sunshine state) and would love to have a solar powered electric car, and solar panels on my house supplementing the electricity I buy from FP&L. I will do so as soon as the cost becomes reasonable. Sadly, that probably won't be in my lifetime, but I don't blame Shell for it. We need to continue to use existing proven technologies while alternatives are developed.

    41. Re:Corporate culture by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      The Xbox360 is actually quite profitable though, so unless their console entries tank starting ASAP, they're ahead of the game being both in the market and owning the results. Last I saw xbox360 was pulling in about $200m/year in profits.

    42. Re:Corporate culture by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      Good luck buying a strategical Chinese company

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    43. Re:Corporate culture by danbert8 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's the problem, it hasn't all been discovered yet. We aren't refilling it, we are discovering more. I have no doubts that there is only 10 years left of oil in currently tapped wellfields, but is it really that hard to grasp that new technologies allow us to reach deeper (and sideways) for oil that was previously out of reach? Also, new alternatives open up as the price goes up, such as the tar sands in Canada (which have more oil reserves than the Middle East).

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    44. Re:Corporate culture by Smidge204 · · Score: 4, Informative

      *facepalm*

      Biofuels do not "starve the third world." Nobody credible on the subject of biofuels has seriously advocated using food crops for fuel ("credible" includes those who are not obviously shills for the corn growers here). The crops that, so far, have shown the best potential for fuel sources are not only not food/feed crops, but they can be grown on land that is otherwise unsuitable for food crops.

      And maybe if we spent just a portion of our food providing efforts reforming their lands and teaching them to grow and maintain their own food, not only would they be better off in the long run but you'd create jobs where they are desperately needed.

      So enough with the "starving the third world" nonsense. There is zero credibility in that argument.
      =Smidge=

    45. Re:Corporate culture by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Uhhh....

      everything is a pollutant when it is present in concentrations such that the current local environment can not deal with them.

    46. Re:Corporate culture by aurispector · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Demonizing their actions is stupid. Shell is a for profit corporation and it's clear they are predicting cheap oil for the foreseeable future. What they are doing is both reasonable and predictable. By their own admission the alt-energy projects weren't financially feasible. Their own stockholders can and will sue if they keep dumping money into non-starter projects.

      Stop expecting them to behave like philanthropists. The government can dump all the money it wants into economically questionable ventures - like ethanol fuel - but that doesn't mean it will ever make money or even work. The simple fact of the matter is that oil is too cheap. When companies like Shell can bank on profits from a proven alt-energy source you'll see an explosion of investment.

      --
      I have mod points. The reign of terror begins now.
    47. Re:Corporate culture by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      And don't call Shell stupid because they won't build renewable energy plants that have poor (if any) return on investment.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    48. Re:Corporate culture by gr8_phk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They are an oil company, and I bet they need to shut down all "energy company" activities in preparation for getting purchased by ExxonMobil. XOM is sitting on nearly enough cash (in stock) to buy Shell. I've been waiting to see who they're going to buy - I wonder if this is an indication.

    49. Re:Corporate culture by iris-n · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The problem is that most estimatives just use the "giving the current rate of expansion", without accounting for the rise in prices and consequent dimnishing consum. If you think it that way, there will be more a gradual transition, with the ones who can jumping to the newer energies, and those who can't spending every dime to run their oil-hungry business.

      It looks to me that we're already in this era. After all, we are exploring lower quality oil, and (save the current down due to reccession) the prices are steadily rising.

      --
      entropy happens
    50. Re:Corporate culture by BarryJacobsen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Uhhh....

      everything is a pollutant when it is present in concentrations such that the current local environment can not deal with them.

      Like Humans!

    51. Re:Corporate culture by rainsford · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What Shell is doing is reasonable and predictable...in the short term. Shell, like most modern for-profit corporations is proving to be exceedingly good at maximizing profits over the short term, and pretty bad at seeing past the end of their nose. Cheap oil isn't going to be around forever, and the technologies that will replace it aren't going to pop up overnight. Honestly the attitude that should really be demonized is the one you're displaying, that it's only philanthropists who should care about more than a few years into the future.

    52. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      A diesel running on cooking oil?

    53. Re:Corporate culture by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      True, but you're thinking of Shell in terms of a company only. That company is comprised by investors and directors and employees. The investors and directors (those with the money) are simply relying on small start-ups to make the innovations and break open new markets. When oil starts to die as an industry and the newcomers are starting to flower, the big money will simply abandon Shell and try to take over the newer industries. Now in practice they might do so using Shell rather than invest directly, but the principle is simply one of let others do the work, amass as much money as you can in the meantime and then use that money to take over the newcomers when the time is right.

      The employees of the dying industry will be the ones to lose out as always however as they are abandoned by the rich for more profitable avenues.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    54. Re:Corporate culture by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nobody credible on the subject of biofuels has seriously advocated using food crops for fuel

      Except the US Government. Oh wait, you said credible. I guess that's what we get when you put a political entity in charge of something. Something the people clamoring for Governmental intervention might want to consider....

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    55. Re:Corporate culture by Lord+Kano · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bio-fuels (starving the third world)

      Yeah, it's our fault that the third world is a toilet. We're not the ones who are running the regimes of their oppressive dictators. We're not the ones diverting international aid away from starving people. Yes, production of biofuels makes the cost of some food items increase. But if they'd grow their own fucking food, it wouldn't be an issue.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    56. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Given the history (or lack thereof) of oil companies getting bailed out by governments, I think you are rather off base.

      Second, big oil companies take good care of their employees, rarely lay people off, and have low turnover. Further, they offer great health care.

      So why is it that people think oil companies are bad? They take care of their employees, and the employees are among the most loyal you will find.

      And what "behavior" should we not be tolerating? Wise investments? And if the oil companies should be forced into solar, wind, etc. then why don't you also force Chevy to make planes (or Boeing to make cars)?

    57. Re:Corporate culture by azgard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is, the economic viability of biofuels is questionable, and carbon sequestration definitely isn't viable from physics.

      The problem isn't they chose to kill off technologies which are not promising, the problem is they chose to pursue those that are less energy efficient, if at all (and thus, unless they scam someone, less promising).

      They expect they will market them to government or something, rather than solve ecological problems. That's why its wrong.

    58. Re:Corporate culture by Tikkun · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As you've noted, what you'd like doesn't exist. Due to this you have a couple options (assuming that the goal is massive reduction in greenhouse emissions):

      1. Move somewhere that does not require you to drive a personal car to work.
      2. Ride a motorcycle to work.
      3. Carpool.

      The enemy of the perfect should not be the enemy of future generations. If you truly believe that your lifestyle is unsustainable you should take action accordingly.

    59. Re:Corporate culture by Qzukk · · Score: 4, Insightful

      but is it really that hard to grasp that new technologies allow us to reach deeper (and sideways) for oil that was previously out of reach?

      Not at all. After all, there MUST be pirate treasure buried in my backyard. The problem is that nobody's invented good enough metal detection technology to enable me to find it.

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    60. Re:Corporate culture by catbertscousin · · Score: 4, Funny

      Like Humans!

      Yes, but you can make Soylent Green out of them.

      --
      No good deed goes unpunished. - Avon, Blake's 7
    61. Re:Corporate culture by FatAlb3rt · · Score: 1

      So why all the hate from all the posters?

      Maybe it's easier to hate a big, bad oil company than worrying about how your morning commute contributes to the problem.

    62. Re:Corporate culture by Captain+Hook · · Score: 1

      Shell is a for profit corporation and it's clear they are predicting profitable oil for the foreseeable future

      Fixed that for you. Shell don't need cheap oil, only oil that they can sell at a health margin.

      --
      These comments are my personal opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the other voices in my head.
    63. Re:Corporate culture by nelsonal · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's not a matter of running out, I doubt we ever will (some oil products are worth many hundreds of dollars/barrel so the price will be very high and rare hydrocarbon based chemicals will still get made as we get close to the limit. Thats true of every non-renewable resources, and is very well established economics. As examples, even though it was one of the earliest exploited fields, there still sits quite a bit of oil in Pennsylvania, but it hasn't been cost effective to extract it (there was some interest when oil was rising to $140/barrel but I'd presume that has died back down).
      We're already running toward the end of cheap easy to extract oil. From the dawn of the oil age to the 1960s, new large oil fields were discovered close to the surface that were very inexpensive to extract (culminating in the Saudi Ghawar Field in 1948 which has production costs of well under $10/barrel). Here's the list from Wikipedia. I found discovery dates for the missing Mesopotamian field (1961). Since then discoveries have gotten smaller (only three top 10 fields discovered after 1961 and all were under water, two under deep water, which raises the costs of extraction considerably). There will likely be additional oil finds, probably even major field finds, but I believe it's safe to say that we will never find anything that will be large and cheap like the fields that are currently huge producers.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    64. Re:Corporate culture by tb3 · · Score: 1

      It's certainly not a given, but there is much more than 'zero credibility' behind the argument.

      From the first hit on Google:

      "The rush towards biofuels is theatening world food production and the lives of billions of people, the [British] Government's Chief Scientific Adviser said yesterday."

      --

      www.lucernesys.comHorizon: Calendar-based personal finance

    65. Re:Corporate culture by johnlcallaway · · Score: 1

      He probably means as they flock to those hybrid cars. You know, the ones that used to fly off the lot that are now taking 70-90 days to sell because gas isn't $4/gallon anymore cheap and no one wants to spend the premium anymore??

      Seems like normal people are just as finicky as corporations about where they spend their money and whether or not non-oil energy sources are worth the added expense.

      --
      I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
    66. Re:Corporate culture by Duradin · · Score: 3, Informative

      Sometime you should look up the break down of where corn goes.

      Here's a spoiler for you: the vast majority of corn produced goes into animal feed. Not 50%. Not 60% More like 80%+. Corn used for ethanol fuel is a sliver of the human use percentage.

      But yeah, we're totally starving third world countries to make ethanol. Totally.

    67. Re:Corporate culture by Stratocastr · · Score: 1

      Oil is there bread and butter.

      Oil is their bread and butter.

      --
      Slashdot - I went there to fix their grammar that they're so bad at.
    68. Re:Corporate culture by johnlcallaway · · Score: 1

      I'm a daily rider of a motorcycle and felt I should note that while a motorcycle with a single rider uses less gas than a single person riding in a car, they create more pollution.

      And my current broken leg is proof of their reduced ability to protect in the event of a crash (there are few accidents, the word accident suggests that the crash wasn't avoidable by any parties involved.) Better at avoiding, but not so good at protecting.

      --
      I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
    69. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Oxygen isn't a pollutant either, but in high enough concentrations can be fatal.

      Corporate profits are unfortunately something that is shortsighted. What is the *cost* of putting all the extra CO2 into the air? at this exact moment, probably fairly minimal, but over time as we continue the cost may very well be extreme.

      The gov't is the leveling factor, by pricing oil artificially higher to encourage a different direction for a better long term result.

      Some will say we don't need it, and while there is general scientific consensus that we do, factual evidence is scarce since we're making predictions about the future. By the time actual evidence exists it will be far to late to 'fix' the problem.

      Shell probably sees the writing on the wall, their industry is a monopoly on our transportation...switching to electric or other renewables means they will no longer be that monopoly. Its the govt's responsibility to look beyond short term profits and move us to something sustainable.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    70. Re:Corporate culture by Hatta · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let me say that firstly, CO2 is not a pollutant, it's a plant fertiliser.

      By that definition, cow manure isn't a pollutant either. Just because plants enjoy it doesn't mean it won't cause us problems if there's too much of it.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    71. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      you mean like hating *yourself* because you can now produce all your own power needs?

      Renewables free people from having to be part of such groups. (Personally I like non-profit concepts...and 'credit unions' invariably have better rates than 'for profit' banks...)

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    72. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Your totally wrong. I can cite Dupont's SOLAE corporation as an example. Using one of many bio-alternatives for their energy needs, SOLAE started using Recycled Landfill Gas (Methane) in place of Natural Gas. They've displaced trillons of barrels of natural gas use, reduced their overhead, and they've cleaned up the air in Memphis, TN in the process.

      Hydro and Geothermal (mostly Cali) are two technologies that we've not put enough effort in.

      Solar has a way to go, nanotubes pave the way to having electric lines we don't see running up into space to large solar arrays that DO harvest large amounts of power in a cost effective manner (this is at best 20 years from reality, on paper it looks quite sound).

      Wind is our best bet and there is no excuses as to why it can't work, look at Norway or Holland or Germany. They seem to be just fine with massive wind farms, minimal upkeep, and good returns.

      Keep making excuses to stick the oil filled needle into your arm.

      Biofuels are the answer when used with crops that, oddly, are illegal in this country (hemp being the best bet given it grows in any climate and has absolutely NO human consumption values that the general public is aware of -- despite being a very good Omega3 suppliment).

      I can put this these failed attempts of Shell and others into a far easier and better anology:

      Jeep made a diesel Liberty, 5000LB towing power, 29MPG highway. 22MPG around town in 4x4 mode. They sold double the expected number in two years of production. The vehicle seemed a smashing success, except that they eliminated the in-tank fuel pump which results in a less-than-perfect fuel filter, which when clogged to any degree, allows the truck to stall out... at lights, or worse, after flooring it to pass a SEMI on the highway. The result? Only those who are brave enough to install the $132 Cummins lift pump they omitted from the design back into it drive these little economical SUVs. Oh, and the tramission wasn't a Dodge unit that could hadnle the 300FT/LB at 1800RPM either, these vehicles shreaded torque converts apart by 10,000 miles. Chryler's all knowing response? Recall them, replace the TC and DETUNE the motor to 260ft/lb, effectively robbing the customer of the specs that they paid for (and STILL publicize to date).

      Yes, I think Shell is exceptionally short sighted in this. Perhaps they will find a way to turn Kudzu into biobutenol and beat BP at the "non-ethaol alternative biofuel that works in standard gas engines" but I doubt it.

    73. Re:Corporate culture by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yah that's right, whether something is a pollutant or not is not determined by if it has beneficial effects for some things, it's whether at it's present levels, whether it's harming humans, which CO2 is. If we had more oxygen in the atmosphere it would be a pollutant -- we'd all burst into flame where there's an open spark! That would be pretty toxic I would think and we would probably want to start regulating our oxygen emissions. Also, if we were spewing out massive amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere, I guess that would also be a pollutant because humidity would go up and we'd all get infected with fungi & molds, and viruses & bacteria would be harder to cure or take longer to go away -- ask anyone who smokes and lives in Portland, Oregon what that's like, it sucks.

      Flippant remarks aside, the grand-parent is incorrect, legally, CO2 is considered a pollutant. Here's a copy of the supreme court decision agreeing with the stance that CO2 is a pollutant. Also, in at least one case a Superior court judge in Georgia has used the Supreme court decision to block the construction of a coal-fire power plant because the plans contained no provision for limiting CO2 emissions. The "CO2 ain't a pollutant" excuse doesn't work any more. That dog won't hunt.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    74. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      except that its uphill...steep.

      You're pushing nature back into a bottle at that point, *much* harder than having mitigated the problem before you went off down the hill into the desert.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    75. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Let me say that firstly, CO2 is not a pollutant, it's a plant fertiliser.

      Fertilizers and pollutants are not mutually exclusive categories. There are several plant fertilizers that are also considered pollutants. Different forms of Nitrogen and Phosphorous are necessary for plant growth and are included in fertilizer but in to high of concentrations cause environmental damage especially in aquatic environments.

    76. Re:Corporate culture by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Also, new alternatives open up as the price goes up, such as the tar sands in Canada

      True, but by definition the new, more expensive alternatives can only provide us with more expensive gas. Eventually the cost of procuring new gas becomes high enough that it's not worth procuring it at all, since the alternatives are cheaper.

      And of course there is also the cost of global warming that has yet to be factored in. Even if gas can be somehow obtained cheaply in the future, the cost of burning that gasoline may be too high. (e.g. for every $1 of gas you put in your car, $10 of damage to coastal cities is incurred... etc)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    77. Re:Corporate culture by kcfoxie · · Score: 1

      VW has Diesel jettas, the 2009's are not what you want, but a 2006 or earlier model will return 42 to 49mpg, and run on vgetable oil -- either raw (your taking your life in your own hands) or via biodiesel (chemically modified vegetable oil or animal fats). There, problem solved. I filled my Jetta up at 589 miles and put in 14.0 gallons (42MPG). These cars have existed since 1977..... What is your excuse now?

    78. Re:Corporate culture by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      What Shell is doing is reasonable and predictable...in the short term. Shell, like most modern for-profit corporations is proving to be exceedingly good at maximizing profits over the short term, and pretty bad at seeing past the end of their nose. Cheap oil isn't going to be around forever, and the technologies that will replace it aren't going to pop up overnight. Honestly the attitude that should really be demonized is the one you're displaying, that it's only philanthropists who should care about more than a few years into the future.

      While I definitely agree with the general sentiment, it's not really fair to complain that Shell is only thinking about short term profits. Normally, you'd complain about such a company trying to maximize profits this quarter and not think about profits for next year. In this case, though, "short term" is 50 to 100 years, and long term is 200 years. Research in renewable energy sources is definitely important, but it's a bit unfair to group Shell together with other short term profit companies just because of this.

    79. Re:Corporate culture by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      I make no argument either way on whether we are starving third world countries. I was only pointing out how utterly wrong the GP was when he said "Nobody credible on the subject of biofuels has seriously advocated using food crops for fuel"

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    80. Re:Corporate culture by Smidge204 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      An interesting article, although my first impression was how they originally said the world population would grow so fast that by the 1970's or so we'd be out of food. This is on par with the peak oil argument, in that there is a genuine cause for concern but it's virtually impossible to pinpoint when and how bad the problem will be.

      One point I certainly do agree with, though, is the water issue. This is why I'd really like to see further developments in algae based biofuels, which do not require fresh water (and also promise an order of magnitude more fuel per acre).

      I'm not saying food production will never be an issue, but to say "Biofuel production is starving third world countries" is still a baseless argument to make.
      =Smidge=

    81. Re:Corporate culture by Skrynkelberg · · Score: 3, Informative

      That is true. Excessive CO2 can actually hurt plants.

    82. Re:Corporate culture by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Some of the general knowledge will probably be free anyway, and some of the technology would probably be bought from someone else already as it is I assume?

      But yes, points for more patent covered market in the future, that suck.

    83. Re:Corporate culture by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 2, Informative

      These guys make forecasts based on new projects coming on-line as well as past behavior and geopolitical concerns. According to them, oil production peaked in 2008. The former peak was 2005 but due to the energy crisis, oil producers manage to squeeze a little bit more production out. Based on the number of new projects coming on-line and their projected size, they won't balance out known rates of depletion of existing fields for the foreseeable future. We're in a lull right now in the energy market because the economy is ruined (which probably was helped by high oil prices), but energy prices will come back up.

      Incidentally, what we're seeing now is very similar to what happened with the price of the last portable fuel we used before petroleum oil: whale oil (which is renewable if harvested in low enough quantities). There were massive oscillations in price that started just after the production of whale oil production peaked in 1845 when the whales started being hunted faster than they could reproduce. The great-grand-parent is totally wrong about the peak being in the future, it's here now and we all have to deal with that. The real question now is how long production can be sustained at this level and how soon will it decline?

      By not trying to move onto new energy sources, Shell is resigning itself to becoming a two-bit company. You'd think they would have learned their lesson in 2004 when they had to downgrade their reserve estimates, but I guess not. I wouldn't buy stock in them.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    84. Re:Corporate culture by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Alternative energy sources will be developed when and if they are technologically realistic and financially profitable, and no politician can change that.

      Back in the 1970's, wide-scale computer networking was not technologically realistic or financially profitable. Despite that, the US government "poured more taxpayer money down the networking rat-hole", developed the technology to the point where it was realistic and financially profitable, then released the results for the rest of the country to use. The result was the Internet you are using right now. The model works, so your skepticism is unwarranted.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    85. Re:Corporate culture by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      Except we're finding cheaper ways to exploit everything else, so the supply of "cheap" oil keeps expanding.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    86. Re:Corporate culture by Tanktalus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      less energy efficient != less profitable. When solar, wind, etc., become more profitable than oil, Shell will be clamouring to get back in, don't worry.

      I've been saying for years that the only way to get the planet to switch to "green" technologies is to find a way to make the energy derived from them cheaper than the alternatives. Even now, the only reason we're still on coal and natural gas for generation of power is that they're cheaper politically (partially due to being the status quo) than nuclear power.

    87. Re:Corporate culture by phlinn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      After reading the article, it amounts to there being no evidence that CO2 actually hurts plants, but it does lead to extra starch, which they speculate may eventually be harmful even though the plants in question appeared unaffected. That's pretty weak, and the fact that it was even brought up would indicate that they were trying to prove that it is harmful, or that the reporter added his own interpretation, possibly both. The C02 emission from the soil of course has no bearing whatsoever on plant health, but the increase in fine root structure that the article mentions seems like it would good for the plant in some ways. Moreover, being alarmed that plants release more excess CO2 when they are exposed to more CO2 in the first place isn't exactly surprising.

      --
      "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
    88. Re:Corporate culture by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      The life expectancy of usable oil is at 34 years, meaning at our current rate of consumption we will use all the known amount of usable oil (about 1.2 trillion barrels) in 34 years. So we do know that we're not going to run out anytime soon. The life expectancy of oil has been steadily increasing over the last century, so that 34 years ago the life expectancy was only 24 years and so on. We've been discovering oil faster than we've been using it since its first discovery and there's nothing to indicate that's changing.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    89. Re:Corporate culture by MrFrank · · Score: 1

      Their own stockholders can and will sue if they keep dumping money into non-starter projects.

      Please, stockholders don't sue. Individual stockholders don't hold enough shares to make it worth their while to sue. And institutional stockholders don't care, they are not in it for profits to go up, they want reasons to make large numbers of trades to earn additional commissions.

      Look at what Meryl Lynch did. Give out $4B in bonuses, and had the balls to move the date of the payout up to get it done before the BoA acquisition. They lost $15B that quarter, and still paid out the bonuses. If stockholders have a reason to sue, that would be one.

      Shareholders don't sue.

    90. Re:Corporate culture by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      Demonizing their actions is stupid. Shell is a for profit corporation

      The second sentence renders the first null.

      Large for-profit corporations are demons, psychopathic monsters created by the state for the benefit of the owning class. They are incapable of compassion or long-term thinking, short-term profits are their only drive.

      The only way to control one is to rile people up -- "demonize" them -- into boycotts until public opinion hurts their bottom line.

      The simple fact of the matter is that oil is too cheap.

      If you paid the cost of oil wars, oil spills, and climate change at the pump, it would not be cheap. Our petroleum economy is heavily subsidized by externalizing costs.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    91. Re:Corporate culture by waveformwafflehouse · · Score: 1

      Basing a business model on profit (needs of the few) vs people benefit (needs of the many) is at the core of the current economic crisis.

      It not much different than the RIAA attacking it's customers, except here Shell is slowly killing us while still making obscene profits.

      .

    92. Re:Corporate culture by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      No, here's your car analogy: how many carriage manufacturers went on to build automobiles? Some probably did, but they're long forgotten.

      Companies generally stick with their niche and die with it when the paradigm changes (witness DEC for a good example). The oil companies' gig is drilling oil and selling it, and they do well at what they do. Other companies will come along and profit from these other industries, if there's a profit to be made.

    93. Re:Corporate culture by eth1 · · Score: 1

      and the option for the people like me that can't do 1-3:

      4. Keep my current (8 year old) car and pray fervently that a viable all-electric appears before I can't keep this one going any more.

    94. Re:Corporate culture by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 3, Informative

      We're not the ones who are running the regimes of their oppressive dictators. We're not the ones diverting international aid away from starving people. Yes, production of biofuels makes the cost of some food items increase. But if they'd grow their own fucking food, it wouldn't be an issue.

      The political and socioeconomic development of most third-world nations was ruined by Western powers dating back to the colonial era, carrying through neo-colonialism and the Cold War. Now World Bank / IMF policies turn third world nations quite capable of feeding themselves into grain importers.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    95. Re:Corporate culture by madcow_bg · · Score: 1

      I'm a daily rider of a motorcycle and felt I should note that while a motorcycle with a single rider uses less gas than a single person riding in a car, they create more pollution.

      Well, this article is extremely biased.

      First, it cites Athens as an example, where motorcycles reduced traffic, and still "let's ban them, there's better". Well, DOH, public transportation is better. Not to mention a proper way to fix the "motorcycle on a crossing" problem is by introducing additional space for motorcycles in front of cars, like in London. Or increase driver culture (which I hear in Greece is even worse than in USA).

      Secondly, it doesn't take into account secondary effects, those of congestion on pollution. Whilst the motorcycle pollutes more per mile, I presume that is when they are driving at the same speed. It doesn't point out that motorcycle average speed in a city (due to white lining or going round stopped cars), it doesn't point out that a decelerating car uses far much energy than a motorcycle, etc.

      The conclusions are equally biased, and whilst eliminating motorcycles is good IMHO, the fair way is by promoting public transport. The general impression I get is that the author basically says "let's tax the hell out of it" or just strait prohibit it.

    96. Re:Corporate culture by strong_epoxy · · Score: 1

      Telling indeed. You're advocating a reduction in lifestyle, logically leading to de-industrialization.

    97. Re:Corporate culture by Locklin · · Score: 1

      Theres nothing stopping the average person from driving a smaller car, one less family car, or riding the bike occasionally. A million people reducing oil consumption is better than a few people buying overpriced, 3-wheeled electric toys.

      --
      "Knowledge is the only instrument of production that is not subject to diminishing returns" -Journal of Political Econom
    98. Re:Corporate culture by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      Phosphates, nitrates and just plain shit are plant fertilizers too, but they pollute a lot. Being a pollutant or not depends on where you put it and how much of it.

    99. Re:Corporate culture by pherthyl · · Score: 1

      The pollution thing used to be true, but isn't really anymore.
      The article claims that only a negligible number of motorcycle have cats, which isn't true anymore. I don't know of any new motorcycles that don't. Even small 250cc bikes like the Kawi Ninja have two cats.

      That whole article you linked to is pretty silly. Just read about the space issue, where they seem to think that motorcycles would actually make congestion worse. Sure its way better to ride a bicycle, but modern motorcycles are a good less-polluting alterative to cars.

      There's other factors in pollution too. Much fewer materials go into motorcycles, and trips are made faster in them, so less time with the engine running (too lazy to find reference for this right now, but you can google it).

    100. Re:Corporate culture by Keith_Beef · · Score: 1

      Or is Shell a "digging in the ground and under the sea and moving fluids around in tubes" company?

      Oil extraction companies have a lot of technical expertise in drilling down through mud and rock, often starting at the seabed, to reach pockets of oil and gas bearing "sponges".

      What Shell is doing is recentering on the technical expertise it has, rather than adding a different technology in the same broad energy game.

      Adding a carbon sequestration business is using that technical expertise and simply reversing the flow and changing the fluid. From getting oil or gas out of the ground, Shell wants to put carbon dioxide into the ground.

      K.

    101. Re:Corporate culture by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      Starving the third world? By increasing the demand for food? I hate to break it to you, but the demand for food will continue to increase, biofuels or not. It's the third world parents who starve their children. If you can't reasonably expect to support your kids, don't breed! Break this rule and you're responsible for starving your own kids.

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    102. Re:Corporate culture by Keith_Beef · · Score: 1

      Look at maps of Europe at any time from around 1100AD to around 1800AD.

      Feudalism doesn't rely on territorial contiguity. An entity can hold scattered territories within other territories (enclaves) or have privileges within other sovereign territories.

      Big corporations are often called transnational for a good reason. Comparing them to feudal states is useful. The chaebol and keiretsu systems may be even closer to feudalism than American conglomerates.

      K.

    103. Re:Corporate culture by Taibhsear · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Check out some info on RuBisCO. It is the most abundant biochemical on the planet. The binding site has affinity for both oxygen and carbon dioxide. As the concentration of CO2 increases it favors CO2. However, there is evidence found that as CO2 concentrations increase beyond a certain concentration RuBisCO doesn't actually continue to compensate. Plants will actually release extra CO2 instead of uptake it more (yes that's release CO2 not O2). Last I checked the mechanism wasn't understood well as to why this happens. Perhaps some form of defense mechanism to a CO2 toxicity at high levels or something.

    104. Re:Corporate culture by Sir_Lewk · · Score: 1

      Shareholders sue all the time. Do some research before you make blanket statements like that without any backing facts besides your own preconcieved opinions.

      --
      "linux is just DOS with a UNIX like syntax" -- Galactic Dominator (944134)
    105. Re:Corporate culture by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 1

      You're advocating a reduction in lifestyle, logically leading to de-industrialization.

      He needn't bother. Peak Oil's doing that all by itself. Unless of course we manage to make some changes in our lifestyle to mitigate that de-industrialization.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    106. Re:Corporate culture by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      We really don't know how much oil there is down there, but it's not running out anytime soon.

      We've already run out of how much oil we can use as fuel. Even if there were trillions of barrels in magic reserves under the crust somewhere and we invented a technology to tap them for cheap, the limiting factor is the CO2 emissions produced by burning fossil fuels.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    107. Re:Corporate culture by electrosoccertux · · Score: 1

      Of course they've cut down on discoveries. They have no need to go search for more oil.

      Last year when it was $150 a barrel companies started searching (not Exxon, they knew it was a bubble and just kept their profits; very smart of them) and found new sources. Problem? Now that we're back at $40, there's no point in making the capital investment to extract the stuff; it's cheaper and they have plenty left where they have already built wells.

    108. Re:Corporate culture by Mab_Mass · · Score: 1

      A diesel running on cooking oil?

      Unfortunately, there isn't enough veggie oil to completely replace gas. It is a great idea (I'm even on the board of directors of a small bio-fuel co-op that sells veggie oil at a pump), but it will always be a niche market that is only part of a broader energy solution.

    109. Re:Corporate culture by Mab_Mass · · Score: 1

      1. Move somewhere that does not require you to drive a personal car to work.

      This is, in my mind, key for an energy solution. Increasing suburban sprawl is horrible for the environment in almost all ways.

    110. Re:Corporate culture by The+Slashdot+Guy · · Score: 1

      It IS a very long road, and as they approach the end they'll see where other drivers are going and follow them, only attempting to overtake if there's sufficient space on the road to do so.

      What they WON'T do is pull off the road and try and drive through a forest full of trees, holes and boulders, no matter how many people stand at the edge of the woods urging them to do so.

      You win. That was the best analogy in this discussion.

    111. Re:Corporate culture by oodaloop · · Score: 1

      I'm not advocating we keep burning all the oil we can find. In fact, I'd prefer we ran out so we can start using clean sustainable energy sources. But the sad fact is that there is at least another 1.2 trillion barrels of known recoverable oil, enough to last another 34 years at our current rate of consumption. There's another 5 or 6 trillion barrels of known oil that's deemed unrecoverable by current methods. Then there's all the oil that's estimated and totally undiscovered, or the known unknowns and unknown unknowns. If we don't make the deliberate shift to clean renewable energy, we'll just keep finding more oil and burning it.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    112. Re:Corporate culture by smoker2 · · Score: 1

      All plants release CO2. They take in CO2 in the daytime, and exhale CO2 at night. Oxygen is the reverse. They don't produce oxygen at night as they need it to survive. During the day they get their energy from photosynthesis which uses CO2 as an energy input and building material.

    113. Re:Corporate culture by unlametheweak · · Score: 1

      By that definition, cow manure isn't a pollutant either. Just because plants enjoy it doesn't mean it won't cause us problems if there's too much of it.

      You can never have too much of a good thing.

    114. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      except that the road out of the desert is uphill...steep

      You're trying to put nature back into a bottle at that point. That will *far* outstrip the costs of mitigation at an earlier point (i.e. now)

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    115. Re:Corporate culture by ultranova · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Legally != scientifically. We're preaching to a geek group, which insists on the most factual representation of its topics (most of the time). CO2 is a fertiliser, whether the Supreme Court has seen fit to accept it as such or not. It helps plants grow, thus it definitively is a fertiliser.

      As it happens, one of the biggest sources of pollution for waterways is fertilizer. It gets washed from the fields into the water, where it promotes the growth of algae, turning a lake into a stinking pit. And the same happens in coastal areas where ever the conditions don't disperse it fast enough.

      Your argument seems to be that something can't be both a fertilizer and a pollutant, which is wrong.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    116. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Shell is an Oil Company.

      Funny their own friggin website says *Responsible Energy*. www.shell.com.

      If all of the *Oil* companies would be honest and call themselves that when its not politically beneficially to do so I would have much less of a problem. But we've had almost a decade now of advertising telling us just how 'environmentally responsible' these companies are and that they AREN'T just 'oil' companies.

      So when one of them basically punts and goes back to being 'just oil', sorry they deserve to get slammed.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    117. Re:Corporate culture by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So, what you're saying is that interference from the outside cause the problem in the first place, and interference from outside is continuing the problems. And the people of the poor countries (who have ALWAYS been that way) have nothing to do with the situation.

      Yes, it is always evil white people's fault. Always!

      I'm kind of sick of the people who blame everything on Western Eurpopean culture. It is a fallacy. Japan was nearly wiped out after WWII, practically nuked into the stoneage. And yet they figured out how to crawl out of it in less than one generation. AND they have almost no natural resources.

      And yet, we leave places like Afgahnistan alone for twenty years, and the Taliban take over and take a relatively modern nation back to the Stone Age. Yes, that was all Colonialism's fault. Because the Taliban wouldn't have ever taken over if it wasn't for the Russian invasion ...

      The problem is, that you can always blame the current problems on something else. Obama is taking the problems of the Bush (who sucked royal eggs IMHO) Admin and REALLY is making them worse. But nobody seems to care because he speaks so eloquently (teleprompter mishaps not withstanding) and has a pretty smile.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    118. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Let me say that firstly, CO2 is not a pollutant

      Oxygen is not a pollutant either, but in high enough concentrations it can be fatal.

      Shell is doing the short-term profit strategy here, plain and simple. And its only viable because the true cost of CO2 producing fuels isn't factored into the equation yet. What is the financial cost of our increased CO2 production? The answer is, frankly, we don't know.

      The anti-renewable/pro-oil folks will assume its minimal and just proceed on our merry way. The pro-renewable/anti-oil crowd assumes its going to be a steep cost.

      Which seems more rational? build an infrastructure where the FUEL is FREE and significantly less polluting? or continue to spew out millions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere from a non-renewable resource?

      Will it cost some in the short term to implement? sure, but eventually we'll have to move off oil anyway, why not prevent a possible enivromental disaster in the process?

      As for oil being profitable...the gov't is the entity that is in charge of 'leveling' the playing field between technologies. Oil is entrenched and has no 'startup' costs. Renewables aren't and so are at a disadvantage, the gov't, assuming they want to encourage renewables can offer subsidies to make them more attractive than oil.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    119. Re:Corporate culture by unlametheweak · · Score: 1

      Telling indeed. You're advocating a reduction in lifestyle, logically leading to de-industrialization.

      He wasn't advocating anything. He was making an observation. Telling indeed that you are attempting to put words in the gp's mouth.

    120. Re:Corporate culture by FiloEleven · · Score: 1

      From Chris Martenson

      Let's review a few Key Facts. You have to find oil before you can produce it, and Key Fact #1 is that world oil discoveries peaked in 1964. US discoveries peaked in 1930, and 40 years later production peaked. We are now 44 years after the global discovery peak.

      Key Fact #2 is that world production of conventional crude has been flat for the past four years, even as prices have increased by 140%. Taken together, Key Facts #1 and #2 suggest the possibility that Peak Oil is already upon us. If true, then we are going to wish with all our hearts that we had begun preparing for this moment a decade or more ago.

      Key Fact #3 is that the US oil imports are the energy equivalent of more than 750 nuclear power plants, which is seven times as many nuclear plants as currently exist here, and nearly twice the total number of nuclear plants in the entire world..

      Key Concept #9 of the Crash Course is that Peak Oil is a well defined process that is nothing more than a physical description of how oil fields age. We have literally thousands of studied examples under our belts and this is not open to debate. Only when the peak might arrive is up for discussion.

      Mostly hidden from us in plain sight is Key Concept #10: The amount of work that oil performs for you is equivalent to having hundreds of slaves. It is this work that makes our lives what they are - staggeringly comfortable by historical standards. The average middle class life in western society would be the envy of kings in times past.

      Key Concept #11 is that Oil is a magical substance of finite supply but of unlimited importance. This cannot be overstated.
      [...]
      And finally, what we need to keep a careful eye out for is the supply of oil being exceeded by demand, and this raises Key Concept # 12: Oil exports are being hit two ways - by rising demand and declining production. This raises the prospect that the moment when the world's nations finally realize that there is not enough oil to supply everybody may come much sooner than most suspect. Exponential functions are hard for most humans to grasp, and oil exports are being doubly squeezed, subjecting them to a surprisingly high rate of decline.

      The charts he's referring to are in the video on the linked page, of which all the quoted text above is a transcript.

      That quote is the summarization of the topic of peak oil. The video is worth watching (or at least the rest of the transcript worth reading) because the details are sordid and hard to argue with. One of them is that we tend to fail to account for the oil-producing countries' increased use of oil internally, another curve that tends toward the exponential, and the effects that will have on their oil exports. If Mexico, #3 supplier to the US, continues on its current path of production and usage, their exports will stop by 2012. That's a big void to fill.

      Other chapters there discuss alternative energy and how, even if we can do more than break even, the energy returns (what we get out minus what we put in) are much, much smaller than with oil. I don't think we're 10 years away from peak; I think it's happening now and we'll have big problems less than 5 years down the road as prices skyrocket due to increasing scarcity and demand.

    121. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      criminy, why don't my posts show up now? neither of my previous posts show up when viewing the article normally, I have to click on your message specifically (#id) link in order to see my posts.

      ugh

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    122. Re:Corporate culture by dodobh · · Score: 1

      Hey, you could lobby for easier immigration policies, so that the poor people of the third world countries could easily move to developed nations who ruled them and live a better life as well.

      --
      I can throw myself at the ground, and miss.
    123. Re:Corporate culture by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Um, the most efficient biomass for biofuels is algae. I didn't know people in the third world ate algae. Solar will NEVER be large scale unless we implement space collectors, which have problems of their own. Hydro impacts the environment more than it helps and is extremely geographically limited. That leaves wind, which has the same storage problems as solar and added NIMBY issues. So basically, the three alternative sources Shell is dumping were never very likely to actually b used in the long run anyway.

    124. Re:Corporate culture by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 1

      everything is a pollutant when it is present in concentrations such that the current local environment can not deal with them[sic].

      And therefore, C0(sub)2 is not a pollutant. So what's your point?

      --
      In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll
    125. Re:Corporate culture by ultranova · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The political and socioeconomic development of most third-world nations was ruined by Western powers dating back to the colonial era, carrying through neo-colonialism and the Cold War.

      You know, I live in Finland, which was first Sweden's and then Russia's colony until 1917, underwent a devastating civil war right after gaining independence, and was attacked by the Soviet Union twice in World War II, and had to resettle 400,000 people and pay $300,000,000 in war preparations. And yet, after all this, we're somehow overproducing relative to our needs, despite the fact that the country sits on the Arctic Circle rather than at the equator.

      At some point blaming some long-ago event for your problems becomes ridiculous. African countries have been independent for decades now, and even the Cold War ended over a decade ago; if they remain hellholes incapable of feeding their own population, the blame now rests on said population.

      "Our forefathers were oppressed so we must keep on killing our farmers or at least stealing their land." Victim complex at its finest. Besides, Africa seems to be the only former colony to be having this problem...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    126. Re:Corporate culture by Hordeking · · Score: 1

      so the big question becomes: Is Shell an oil company, or an energy company?

      It's a Shell company! [insert rimshot]

      While they call themselves an "energy company", they specialize in oil processing. Really, they're a fuel company. They don't create energy (conservation of energy), or oil.

      --
      Disclaimer: The opinions and actions of the US Gov't are in no way representative of those held by this author or its ci
    127. Re:Corporate culture by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Actually, a large part of the still high prices is because China is currently stockpiling. Something we should be doing, but that requires foresight, something our type of government isn't good at even with rational actors in play, which is far from the current situation.

    128. Re:Corporate culture by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Yes and no, while it will be more expensive to extract, OPEC won't have control over it, which will reduce prices by a good amount.

    129. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      You hit on the real reason in your post, even if you didn't realize it. The fact is that wind/solar power is not economically viable right now.

      First note that *no* technology can be called "economically viable" without qualification under any and all conditions.

      But, oddly enough, wind power has been economically viable for at least fifteen years (the industrial expansion of wind power worldwide kicked off in the 1990s), and so too is solar power in sunny high cost electricity markets. Tax incentives sweeten the deal for sure, and are playing an important role in accelerating the deployment, but they aren't essential to making the technologies economically viable in the appropriate situations.

      What is especially interesting are the technologies that Shell claims to prefer - biofuels and carbon sequestration. Although sugar cane-ethanol has proven cost effective in Brazil, biofuels have yet to be proven economically viable under the conditions prevailing anywhere else, and carbon sequestration has so far not been demonstrated anywhere at all.

      Two possible interpretations:

      1. Shell is deciding it is an oil company, for better or worse, not an energy company and the claim that it is pursuing biofuels and carbon sequestration are simply white wash for bailing out of alternative energy entirely.

      2. Shell has decided that it cannot compete in these two established industries (wind and solar) and thinks that it would be better to tackle the harder problems that so far have not proven their promise.

      I leave it to you. Are they stay-at-homes ('we only want to do what we already do') or courageous pioneers?

    130. Re:Corporate culture by smashin234 · · Score: 1

      This is how the peak in any non-renewable commodity is tracked at the time it happens. Prices
      first rise to a huge number, then they drop as demand is quickly squished. Look at it this way,
      for the first time ever demand in the US for oil actually went down. All peak oil means is highly
      fluactuating prices at first followed by a gradual decrease in demand. Its not a world or even society ending event.

      Oil is also special from other resources in that there are more supplies of it to be found. If a few giant new
      sources of oil are found, then we could very easily see peak oil being pushed back a couple years from now.
      This is why everyone who has predicted peak oil in the past has been wrong, in that new sources are discovered which push the date of peak oil back further and further. Although economics generally tell us when the peak happens for any commodity, with oil it is more difficult and actualy production values will end up being the only way we know whether or not we are currently at that peak oil state. But the worst thing anyone can say is that it will never happen. It happens with every commodity that is not infinite, so do not kid yourself.

    131. Re:Corporate culture by gizmo_mathboy · · Score: 1

      When large corporations reach outside their core competency, danger looms.

      How's it working for GM now that they only have their core competency? They shed their finance division, satellite, etc.

      Their core competence said to make cars that everyone wanted...until the fuel prices went way up.

      Hell, they've had at least 2 electric car designs in my lifetime, both tossed aside.

      Core competency doesn't help when no one wants it or you can't be visionary in it.

    132. Re:Corporate culture by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Telling indeed. You're advocating a reduction in lifestyle, logically leading to de-industrialization.

      Yeah. It's like telling someone who weights 200kg to cut down on the chips, logically leading to them starving to death.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    133. Re:Corporate culture by gizmo_mathboy · · Score: 1

      No, he is saying that in a climate that has a winter and a summer where a heater or AC is needed most electrics that I've seen don't fit the bill.

      Hybrids probably do but those aren't intended for gas mileage but emission reduction.

      Driving a vehicle in sub-freezing temperatures is no fun when the heater doesn't work. At least in above 80F temperatures you can roll down the window and get some convective cooling going.

    134. Re:Corporate culture by AliasMarlowe · · Score: 1

      everything is a pollutant when it is present in concentrations such that the current local environment can not deal with them.

      Like Humans!

      Overpopulation by humans is the root of our planet's problems (pollution, habitat loss, resource exhaustion, etc.). Unfortunately, no sane person is keen to tackle that particular issue.

      --
      Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. - Voltaire
    135. Re:Corporate culture by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Of the three options you gave, two of them fail the condition given by the post you are responding to. Both 2 and 3 use fossil fuels, when the parent post asked not to use them.

      I work in a small town. I use less than one tank of gas per month on my van (22 gals) going to and from work. I cannot "walk" to work as I work on multiple sites within this town. While it is true that I can do MOST of my work from anywhere, there are some things that require my presence.

      And if you mention public transportation I'll shoot you. It sucks, and I don't feel like commuting for 45 mins to travel 5 miles. I can walk to most of the places faster than public transportation can get me there, and my employer doesn't pay me to ride the bus for 45 mins to get from site to site.

      I just love it when people use a one size fits all approach to solutions to problems. They almost never work.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    136. Re:Corporate culture by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      In this case, Shell simply decided that's it's marketing campaign of green energy investments was promoting threatening ideas and, generating insufficient advertising benefit.

      Shell wouldn't care if their "green energies" took off, they would have a piece of the pie. Their decision was made because of a cash flow shortage in this economy and decided that the investments made would not see a return for 10-20 years, IF the technologies panned out. Large companies do not take risks on innovation especially in turbulent economic times, it has always been the small guy who innovates because they are able to take the risk and can adapt. It's easy to say that Shell should risk their money but I'm sure you wouldn't be upset if you lost money investing in green tech because it didn't pan out.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    137. Re:Corporate culture by pieisgood · · Score: 1

      It depends, C4 plants could thrive (as they already do) under high CO2 conditions. The mesophyl cells will give them a certain advantage in high CO2 low 02 environments. So, Corn production might increase as well as sugar cane. C3 plants might have a harder time as 02 competes with the excess CO2 (when they are acting as enzyme cofactors). The guy who wrote the article probably doesn't understand why CO2 and O2 are important and it just seems like some baseless insert to make the article seem more credible. Given that the argument that Shell is doing a bad thing in dropping "renewable" energy is weak to begin with. When it takes more energy to produce solar cells, wind farms, and other renewables at this time... it seems logical for Shell to drop it and work with what has a net output rather than waste money on technology that is merely a cultural desire rather than a logical alternative at this time.

      --
      Eat sleep die
    138. Re:Corporate culture by billcopc · · Score: 1

      Does it really matter what happens in 100+ years ? Nobody who is currently at Shell will be around by then.

      Or, if you prefer my Star Trek post-futuristic interpretation: in 100+ years, Shell will not be around anymore. We will either have evolved past capitalism into a wealth-free society, or fallen prey to hyper-capitalism, in which case Shell will have been crushed/absorbed by far greater cartels. Either way, the long-long-term picture is not relevant to today's Shell.

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    139. Re:Corporate culture by HiThere · · Score: 1

      That "myth" has already come true. E.g., off-shore oil wells are tremendously more expensive than the old fashioned shallow wells on land. And the price of oil has, indeed, risen.

      The claim is that the currently most accessible resources will run out within a few decades. This is probably true. It's limitations are basically political. (If you don't dare go there to drill, it's inaccessible in a temporary fashion.)

      After that there will be a need to switch to a less accessible form. Who knows what that will be, or what the enabling technology will be. Oil shales at our current level of technology are massively expensive...and not just in money. This doesn't guarantee that they will be so in a decade or two. Maybe someone will come up with something, like, say, a microorganism that cracks shale oil into something that flows more readily. Or something that can eat coal and excrete something like a petroleum fraction. More likely it will be something totally else...or we'll just have to put up with the higher prices. (This might be better, as it will push us in the direction of CO2 neutral energy sources, but we won't go there if it's not cheaper for some reason [if only taxes].)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    140. Re:Corporate culture by HexaByte · · Score: 1

      to use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the future express way and is driving down a dead end street. it may be a very long road, but it will come to an end.

      To use a car analogy, Shell has gotten off the unfinished road of future energy production methods and returned to the paved express way of the present, knowing that there will be exits going to that road when it is completed.

      There, fixed it for you.

      --
      HexaByte - he's a square and a half!
    141. Re:Corporate culture by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Yes, but those "new technologies" come at increased costs. Which makes the oil less desirable. And currently shale oil is both expensive to extract and tremendously destructive to the environment.

      N.B.: Not just Canada, but also the U.S. have large amounts of shale oil and tar sands. But it's not economic to extract it. (I think Canada is currently extracting in a small way...so perhaps oil prices have risen enough to make it slightly profitable.) Current technologies for extracting oil from shale or sand require lots of energy and water, and leave huge mounds of waste. It's worse than coal.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    142. Re:Corporate culture by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      The only source for funds for the development of cheap renewable energy has to be the government, there is no profit in it and the real benefits are the free benefits of a cleaner healthier environment, lower medical costs from a healthier population and of course cheap 'free' energy(beyond initial capital outlay and maintenance).

      You speak as if it costs society (us) nothing as long as the government produces it instead of the private sector. Remember that the government does not create wealth, it taxes wealth and then spends it on other things. If I am going to spend your money on someone else then I first have to take it away from you (with taxes). There is no free lunch, somebody is going to pay for that healthier environment, lower medical costs, and "cheap" energy; just because it may not be you doesn't mean that it costs the rest of us nothing. Finally, if you believe that the government can efficiently produce these goods and services by directly entering the market as a producer of these goods and services then let me just tell you: you've got another thing coming if you believe that will actually work. If central planning and government control of the economy actually worked, then the Soviet Union would not have collapsed. Socialism, central planning, government control...it didn't work last century and it won't work this time around either, but the young people seem determined to learn this lesson the hard way, ignoring the advice and experience of their parents who lived through the Cold War and saw first hand the results of collectivism. Why do people always have to learn economics the hard way?

    143. Re:Corporate culture by diablovision · · Score: 1

      It's the paradox of people hunting animals to extinction; the more rare the animal the more money hunters can demand for it until there is no more left.

      It's worthwhile to note that approximately 0 species have been literally hunted to extinction in the past 200 years. There are counter-balancing forces. In the case of whales, they were hunted for their spermacetti and blubber, providing oil. Then crude was discovered. Whale hunting fell out of fashion. While a close call, whale numbers have recovered. Similarly for buffalo, although in that case most of the buffalo were not hunted for their meat or hides, but killed off in mass numbers for essentially no good reason other than to undercut American Indians' way of life. One certainly couldn't argue that market forces were at work there.

      The thing you seem to have left out of your summary is that as the price skyrockets due to scarcity, people naturally develop alternatives and the system corrects. Demand decreases. Supply increases. In fact, in almost every case of skyrocketing prices for animal parts, said animals have been successfully domesticated and bred.

      Your scenario only occurs if demand is both inelastic and the consumers have infinite money to keep consuming and push prices higher.

      --
      120 characters isn't enough to explain it.
    144. Re:Corporate culture by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      How do biofuels starve the third world when we are currently paying landowners not to farm in order to prop up the prices of agricultural products? We are intentionally under-producing.

    145. Re:Corporate culture by paitre · · Score: 1

      That's because there are no 'sane' solutions to it.

      Overpopulation really only has one solution. And we're too moral to actually consider it.

      And I find that that's a good thing.

    146. Re:Corporate culture by ckaminski · · Score: 1

      Sorry man, it's like pushing a car uphill. Lol. :-)

    147. Re:Corporate culture by Entropy2016 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's also worth considering which ones get subsidies. To me, giving subsidies to companies which deal with fossil-fuel energy sources (or even taxing it less than you would tax other things) seems ridiculous, as it just entrenches their place in our economy rather than giving us the flexibility we need to feasibly switch energy technologies.

      Also, people need to ditch the idea of "technology will save us". We aren't entitled to fusion power or any other source of energy that will magically save us any more than we were entitled to flying cars 40 years ago. Everyone needs to simply accept that 1) fossil fuel prices will need to rise, or 2) they have to invest a lot of money now in the technology investment. Either way, you have to pay more money. It's just a matter of when and where you pay it. We can't expect anyone (much less everyone) to transition to these technologies while we're in our "comfort zone" (i.e., cheap gasoline prices). The masses take the path of least resistance, and hopefully the current path gets more resistance sooner than later, or we may not have time to establish the infrastructure for whatever our future energy source(s) requires. It would really suck if oil shortages happened again just as we were to launch a massive campaign to build a lot of new hydrogen/solar/fission/whatever facilities to make ends meet. Having the technology isn't enough. You have to know that you have enough of your old "dirty" resources left at feasible prices to build enough of the technology for everyone.

    148. Re:Corporate culture by phooky · · Score: 1

      There is such a car. It's totally electric, has heat and AC, and I ride it to work every day. It's called, fancifully enough, a "subway car". The best part is, I don't even need to drive it! I get chauffeured!

      (I'm being a bit snarky here, but "moving away from cars" does not have to mean "moving into a different car". Public transit scales very well, even in places without insane population densities.)

    149. Re:Corporate culture by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      I say we fire our government, and stop bailing out people who screw themselves over!

      The government's job isn't to rescue anyone from their own incompetence.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    150. Re:Corporate culture by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      Microsoft is a software company.

      I like to think of MS as more of a platform company. Software is of course an essential part of their business but what they do best is build a platform that makes it easy to whatever developers want and then go out and evangelise it.

      That's what they did with Windows and Office (as well as being an application suite in itself it's also an environment for easily making terrible office automation apps. Business loves it) and it's what they continue to do with Xbox. They build something that makes it easy for other people to create compelling applications.

      Given how well they're doing with the 360 you can bet they'll drag this generation out as long as possible. That'll give them time to properly test their next-gen console meaning no repeat of the RROD fiasco.

      --
      Nick
    151. Re:Corporate culture by josecanuc · · Score: 1

      Oxygen isn't a pollutant either, but in high enough concentrations can be fatal.

      Fatal to what? Spacecraft with human occupants often have a 100% oxygen atmosphere.

      (And in the Apollo I accident, it wasn't the 100% oxygen atmosphere that killed the astronauts; it was the fire.) Human life is sustainable in a 100% oxygen environment.

    152. Re:Corporate culture by L337Wulf · · Score: 1

      I work in energy management at a facility that is the largest of its type in the world, and our monthly power consumption is always well over one million dollars and that's after paying nearly half the rate per Kwh as a residential consumer in the area. As you can imagine, we often invite people in to pitch the latest and greatest in solar technology. At the moment, there is no such thing as "return on investment" on installing such a system. Just last week we heard a pitch from a group that wants to build a 40 acre solar-array that we could use to offset our load during peak hours. While they were being cagey with providing any numbers as to what sort of output we could expect from this system, they did tell us that the peak output would be 11Mw of power. This would be the output at high noon on a clear day. Even if we were to figure eight continuous hours of peak output from this system 365 days a year (not even possible)and figuring energy costs increases every few years, it would take 91 years for this system to generate the amount of power that we could have bought outright for the price to install this system. Given that such output numbers are impossible and that the life of the product is only 25 years, it will never pay for itself. Would you want us to use taxpayer (via the Stimulus Bill) to build a 120 Million Dollar solar-array that will only produce 12 Million Dollars worth of electricity over it's life time?

    153. Re:Corporate culture by DuckDodgers · · Score: 1

      I agree.

      Use of fossil fuels puts toxic emissions in the environment. Use of fossil fuels may contribute to global climate change. (I won't open that can of worms any further.) Use of fossil fuels puts our energy needs at the mercy of market manipulation and the state of international politics. Use of fossil fuels places our energy dependence on a resource that is not renewable - well, it does renew, but not in acceptable time frame for human needs. Use of fossil fuels puts a lot of the jobs and money in energy production outside the US borders.

      I think it's clear we need something on the order of the Apollo Program, the massive undertaking that developed the technology to put humanity on the moon. Something similar should be put into place for energy. I'd prefer nuclear fission, from what I know of usable energy sources that still seems to be the most cost effective and resource efficient. But I am sure the cost and technology roadblocks to massive use of solar power, wind, tidal, solar space arrays, or even fusion energy would fall in short order if enough resources were directed at the problem.

    154. Re:Corporate culture by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "Let me say that firstly, CO2 is not a pollutant, it's a plant fertiliser."

      Incorrect. The reason a plant absorbs CO2 is for building carbon-bonds (like cellulose) and using the oxygen for energy.

      It is not a nutrient, it is a building block. The nutrients (food/fertilizer) for plants are Nitrogen, Potassium, Phosphorous, Boron, Magnesium, Manganese, Iron, Copper, Zinc, Molybdenum, Sulfur, and a few other trace elements.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    155. Re:Corporate culture by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      *facepalm*
      Biofuels do not "starve the third world." Nobody credible on the subject of biofuels has seriously advocated using food crops for fuel ("credible" includes those who are not obviously shills for the corn growers here).

      We aren't discussing what biofuel advocates advocate. We are discussing what is actually happening in the real world, today.
       
       

      The crops that, so far, have shown the best potential for fuel sources are not only not food/feed crops, but they can be grown on land that is otherwise unsuitable for food crops.

      However, those crops are having a hard time taking off in the real world because of the investment required to open up that marginal land, versus the government subsidies and current (and probably short lived) public giddiness over biofuels.
       
       

      So enough with the "starving the third world" nonsense. There is zero credibility in that argument.

      The one with zero credibility in his argument is the one who insists what is actually happening in the real world can't possibly happen because it doesn't happen in his fantasy world.

    156. Re:Corporate culture by L337Wulf · · Score: 1

      One more perspective: The going rate to build and install large solar power systems is about $10,000 per Kwh. Commercial customers in this region typically pay (annual average) $0.075 dollars per Kwh to purchase power from the power company. A few months ago I asked someone what the return on investment would be for their system (wind turbines this time) and the guy actually got mad at me, and told me that I couldn't think of it that way, and that we just needed to do the "right thing." I then asked him if he were willing to help us do the "right thing" and install the system for 10% of his proposed price (which we would still end up paying twice as much for that power, but at least it would be a manageable budget increase) and of course he just didn't have a response for that, and the meeting was over at that point.

    157. Re:Corporate culture by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      There is such a method. But what Shell will be doing (in that future time) isn't freeloading, but pumping cash into energy investments that are risky now (which is why they are getting out) but will have by then been shown to be viable.

    158. Re:Corporate culture by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Too much CO2 hurts plants just like too much light hurts plants.

      Any pot grower could tell you this. Eventually there is so much CO2 that aerobic bacteria in the soil can't do their job of fixing nitrogen into the soil (too much CO2 in the air) and a plant's health declines.

      The roots and bacteria around the roots need oxygen and nitrogen. Too much CO2 will eventually cause damage to your roots through other means, just not directly. The elevated CO2 levels would displace oxygen and nitrogen, and create an unfavorable environment for your plants, which would eventually damage or kill them.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    159. Re:Corporate culture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The potential problem with bio fuels isn't concerns that wheat and corn and the like are going to be turned into fuel instead of food (well, with corn that has happened, boosting up corn prices). but biggest concern is that farmers, when looking at the market seeing that they could make $1/acre profit raising food, or $2/acre raising switch grass (or whatever the bio-fuel crop of choice is) will opt to grow the fuel crops instead. Eventually, the shortage of food crops will drive up prices (and food prices) until they match the price for fuel crops of course. Good for farmers (large commercial agribusiness at least). But not-so-good on the general population who face expensive food prices and a shortage of available food. For much of the 3rd world, its likely that a large portion of their lands will switch over to raising more profitable fuel crops for rich 1st world nations rather then raising cheap food crops for the local population...

      It's all down to economics. the local poor populations can't afford to pay as much for the products of the local farms than the rich foreign nations, and so the local populations will lose out.

    160. Re:Corporate culture by azgard · · Score: 1

      Yes, but this is skewed market. If government subsidizes biofuels or carbon sequestration, they can be more profitable, even if they don't make any sense at all.

      That's what I criticize - they will rely on marketing campaign to convince government they need these subsidies, and not decide on basis of rationality.

    161. Re:Corporate culture by phlinn · · Score: 1

      I meant the article linked by the parent comment, not the original article. I should have said 'your link' to make it clearer though. He chose a very poor article to back up his assertion that CO2 can in fact hurt plants. Guess it was a little offtopic though.

      --
      "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
    162. Re:Corporate culture by dryeo · · Score: 1

      I guess the same can be said about shit. Since it is a fertilizer I'm sure you wouldn't mind lots of shit added to your drinking water. Just remember that it is a fertilizer so it is obviously good

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    163. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Oxygen Toxicity

      O2 bad link

      Apollo 1 didn't have this situation since it was a short test. The *actual* missions had much lower partial pressures Apollo 1 details

      "...Since the CM was designed to endure outward pressure in the vacuum of space, the plugs-out test had been run with the cabin pressure at over 16 psi, almost 2 psi above the ambient sea level pressure at Launch Complex 34 and near the upper limits of measuring devices in the spacecraft. This represented over 5 times the oxygen density carried within the Mercury and Gemini capsules while in spaceflight (which was only 3 psi but equal to the partial pressure of oxygen at sea level and thus very breathable). ..."

      just because it doesn't kill you in 2 minutes, doesn't mean its not dangerous.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    164. Re:Corporate culture by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I'm afraid I can't believe in the sequestration proposals that I've seen. Most of them look like they would "sort of" work. Probably long enough for the people running the company doing it to get themselves retired. But I don't have any faith in it over the near-long term. Say a century. (Some of them *do* look like it would be impossible to trace a failure back to the source, though.)

      E.g.: pumping CO2 into wells that used to hold oil. What proof is there that when the oil was pumped out no cracks developed in the dome due to the increased pressure (really new lack of support)? Large cracks could be detected with fancy seismographic maps...but such things are expensive to make, and they wouldn't detect small fractures anyway. And the mere fact of drilling a hole into the dome would rupture it's structural integrity. This is quite difficult to model when all you have to go on are seismographic maps made years ago (before the oil and gas were extracted).

      And the real sticking point is that the people making the decision don't have any significant liability for failure. And they've got lots to gain by pushing this notion. And they've lied in the past. So why should they be trusted now?

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    165. Re:Corporate culture by ajs · · Score: 1

      I don't think it's really a matter of the relative financials. Shell employs more energy-production engineers and pure-research scientists than just about any other organization on Earth. They're uniquely qualified to come to the determination that these alternative technologies simply won't become practical in the near-term.

      Keep in mind that wind, solar and other "clean" power sources work very well on a small scale, but when you get to the level of a city, there's nothing that can come within an order of magnitude of the power-output of current carbon-based fuels. The best we can do is currently geothermal, and that's very location-specific (though a huge leap in semiconductor materials might make exporting power from such areas practical in the not-too-distant future).

      The only place that spending large amounts of money really looks like it might get us a new power source is a space elevator, but we're not talking about a tiny amount of money there. This is the kind of expenditure which would really require the G8 rather than any one member to do the materials research, testing and construction. There's no way that Shell could build such a thing on their own, much less build the solar infrastructure in space to feed power back down.

    166. Re:Corporate culture by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      The articles I read did not suggest using food crops for biofuels.

      Rather, the starvation would be a result of previously food producing land being used to produce switchgrass or other biofuel crops, thereby driving the cost of food up.

    167. Re:Corporate culture by acid06 · · Score: 1

      You're completely right.

      Here in Brazil, sugar-cane ethanol usage has recently surpassed gasoline usage. This happened exclusively because it's cheaper than gas. Not because of any government subsidies or less taxes. It's just cheaper than oil. Brazil has been growing sugar cane for a ridiculous amount of time and the process is very efficient.

      Most new cars here are bi-fuel (ethanol and gas) because people will actually pay more for a bi-fuel car (the savings are worth it). If the US didn't have ridiculous taxes on foreign ethanol (so that its own, inefficient, corn ethanol industry won't go bankrupt) you would also have cheaper-than-gas ethanol over there.

    168. Re:Corporate culture by winwar · · Score: 1

      "2. Ride a motorcycle to work."

      Aside from being a motorized bicylce (with all the positives and negatives), many don't get very good mileage compared to fuel efficient vehicles.

      Unfortunately there probably won't be a good single solution. Which will bother many, if not most.

    169. Re:Corporate culture by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      Peak conventional oil was almost certainly 2005. Enjoy your Soylent Green.

    170. Re:Corporate culture by Entropy2016 · · Score: 1

      I agree.

      Use of fossil fuels puts toxic emissions in the environment. Use of fossil fuels may contribute to global climate change. (I won't open that can of worms any further.)

      Well, I study environmental science so I'm always dismayed when people actually think there's even a reason to doubt GCC (climate change, not the gnu C compiler).

      I think it's clear we need something on the order of the Apollo Program, the massive undertaking that developed the technology to put humanity on the moon. Something similar should be put into place for energy.

      Unfortunately, this challenge is likely an order of magnitude (or two) greater than the Apollo Program's objectives were. They spent millions to put enough joules of energy a big chunk of metal with intelligent critters riding inside of it, and time it to successfully shoot toward the moon. The cost of the metal, fuel, training, and NASA facilities is a drop in the bucket compared to the kind of restructuring countries like America will have to endure to become sustainable. I live in Texas, and here, if you don't have a car, you're screwed for the most part. Public transportation (which people can and will use) is rarely an option. Even worse, the region had a lot of empty space, so the cities sprawled out, making them low-density. It's harder to make a public transportation system be even remotely cost effective when everything is so spread out. Yet replacement of gasoline cars and long commutes is most likely going to be a prerequisite for any solution we adopt.

      I'd prefer nuclear fission, from what I know of usable energy sources that still seems to be the most cost effective and resource efficient. But I am sure the cost and technology roadblocks to massive use of solar power, wind, tidal, solar space arrays, or even fusion energy would fall in short order if enough resources were directed at the problem.

      Agreed. Nuclear fission is better than coal is. The catch is what type of nuclear fission you use. France has done it. Most of their power is from nuclear, but they don't have a dire spent-fuel-storage problem. Why? We built our reactors to eat fuel, and shit out waste. France's reactors were designed to eat fuel, shit out waste, stick that waste back in the kitchen for refinement, and then they eat their shit again. Over and over. The non-recyclable fissile waste they produce takes up quite a small volume. America has had some nuclear reactors built lately (not many though), but they don't use the reactors France does. Why? Well, status quo keeps bad shit bad even when politicians know the public knows about it, but on this issue it's an even more difficult status quo because the public doesn't put any pressure on politicians for better nuclear reactor designs.

      Also keep in mind, it's very difficult politically to get conventional (american style) nuclear power plants built even when you've got some political willpower, as it involves a very large upfront cost with very little payback for many years. Of course, once you do get that cost (and wait for those many years), it can reduce your electric bill, but again, even with a few good politicians, if you can pull it off, it'll be by a slim margin.

      Now if you try doing that with a new type of nuclear facility, the contractors here can't copy/paste what they've done before. They need to design the a new facility. That's a huge upfront cost that probably would kill any collection of cities/states that wanted to use one. Even worse, (how can it get worse?!) is that doesn't even touch on the cost of building the infrastructure/facility for recycling of spent nuclear material (I was just talking about the reactor itself).

      The only way to get nuclear to where it should be would be to have the Federal Governmentâ step in and enact a plan to replace coal plants with nuclear ones. I promise that'll send the coal lobbyists marching. Coal companies will start

    171. Re:Corporate culture by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      The government doesn't need to artificially inflate oil. It just needs to present a bill for the military support. Oil is actually billions (trillions?) of dollars more expensive but that extra cost is hidden because we pay for the military through our taxes.

      And as a bonus, we fund our enemies thru oil so we pay additional costs there too.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    172. Re:Corporate culture by DuckDodgers · · Score: 1

      The program should not be geared towards creating a new energy infrastructure. As you say, that would be prohibitively expensive.

      The program should be geared towards finding ways to make non-fossil fuel energy sources more cost effective than fossil fuels. If we can do that, converting becomes a matter of boosting profits, and companies will pay for it out of their own pockets.

    173. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure military budgets are inflated for black-ops type stuff, but that they go to reduce oil costs as well?

      Do you have evidence for your assertion?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    174. Re:Corporate culture by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      The R&D money is the issue, not the development (per se) of the renewable power plants. Renewable energy is largely an R&D endeavour, but the oil companies prefer to consider it a project cost with poor payback.

    175. Re:Corporate culture by mog007 · · Score: 1

      Don't forget that Microsoft made, and later discontinued, the BEST trackball money can buy: The Trackman Explorer.

    176. Re:Corporate culture by aurispector · · Score: 1

      Warren Buffett threatened to sue Yahoo over the Microsoft merger fiasco. The only reason he didn't was because they gave him a seat on the board of directors. Lawsuits like that happen all the time.

      --
      I have mod points. The reign of terror begins now.
    177. Re:Corporate culture by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Noone forced them into getting an IMF loan anyway. Is it surprising the people loaning them the money ask certain terms?

    178. Re:Corporate culture by objekt · · Score: 1

      "The only way to control one is to rile people up -- "demonize" them -- into boycotts until public opinion hurts their bottom line."

      Works for me.

      --
      -- Boycott Shell
    179. Re:Corporate culture by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      So you think it's OK that company X spends money on research and company Y (OK, Shell) can come along and use it without contributing?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    180. Re:Corporate culture by rwa2 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, screw carbon sequestration. What we really need is oxygen sequestration. Oxygen is a toxic, corrosive, highly reactive reagent that can make just about anything burst into flame. It is also highly addictive, getting people hooked for life after their first breath.

      I say we harvest it from the atmosphere and put it where it can't hurt anyone. Then we can charge the addicts extortionate fees for a few whiffs to help let them down easy from their high.

    181. Re:Corporate culture by Vancorps · · Score: 1

      Most people have to learn the hard way because they recognize that the environment is different now than it was then and that we have very different capabilities now than we did even 20 years ago.

      Communism usually fails due to corruption of controlling entities, the old saying absolute power corrupts absolutely will always remain true so it becomes a question of when human nature has evolved enough to make a system of government that will actually work. Of course this will always be a contradiction since nothing works for everybody so there will always be people that wish things to be different.

      You're right though, repeating the mistakes of the past without understanding how things have changed causes even more problems like encouraging people defaulting on debt to take on more debt to get the economy going again. When there isn't enough capital adding credit will never fix the problem.

      All that said, Shell is pretty foolish and I'm annoyed because of the all the subsidies they get. The problem is that they get these tax breaks and nothing is ever stated as to what we get in return.

    182. Re:Corporate culture by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      There's no reason Shell couldn't jump back on the alternate energy bandwagon at a later time. I didn't read this announcement as "We are totally and exclusively committed to oil until the end of time". I read it as "The economy is down, and we can't afford to invest in less-mature technologies right now."

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    183. Re:Corporate culture by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      > Come on did anybody seriously believe shell was interested in alternative renewable energy beyond a cynical exercise in marketing.

      You say that like you don't expect alternative renewable energy to ever be economically viable.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    184. Re:Corporate culture by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      Given that, wouldn't it make more sense to drill our own oil, rather than manipulate an unstable region so we can buy it from them?

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    185. Re:Corporate culture by aliquis · · Score: 1

      All knowledge develops from prior knowledge somehow so, yes?

      Replace companies with universities or something such if you want to move the research part.

    186. Re:Corporate culture by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      > The problem is, the economic viability of biofuels is questionable, and carbon sequestration definitely isn't viable from physics.

      Agreed! But they're on the government's "green" list, so involvement serves to keep up appearances. If the government stood up and said (for instance) "we were wrong; burning our food for fuel [1] doesn't make a lick o' sense", Shell would have to find something else, perhaps more legitimate, to do.

      [1] Mind you, we should encourage turning waste into fuel where ever practical, but there isn't enough to go around.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    187. Re:Corporate culture by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      > Bio-fuels can be the form-and-fit replacement for petroleum products, thus a natural for Shell. Their failure to invest in other technology will allow the Slashdotters who obviously know better to fill the gap and grow rich.

      And if that's the way it happens, great. That's the way the market is supposed to work.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    188. Re:Corporate culture by Tubal-Cain · · Score: 1

      by getting back onto the dead-end highway for a while.

      ...while they wait for others to fill in the map a little better.

    189. Re:Corporate culture by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      By what stretch of the imagination can you call countries broken down by debts to the West*, who are having their natural resources funneled to the multinationals at pennies on the dollar, whose governments have to take marching orders from the IMF in order to remain solvent, INDEPENDENT?

      Colonialism didn't die. It just metastasized.

      * No, they didn't get much benefit from the loans. The dollars that didn't go straight to some despot's Cayman bank account went to first world corporations in exchange for stuff that usually didn't do anyone much good.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    190. Re:Corporate culture by mark-t · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter how much money they increase the cost of gasoline by... motorists will pay it and continue to drive their cars. Although granted, each person may drive less, the biggest factor here is that the number of cars is continuing to rise, and at a rate that far outweighs the rate at which they increase the price of gasoline. All that happens to gas consumption is that it takes a dip as prices rise, and in almost no time at all, consumption rises well above where it was, and at a rate that is even faster than it was before. Raising prices only slightly slows down the inevitable, and even then it doesn't seem do a particularly job at it. The only long term energy solution is one or more energy sources that don't actually get depleted by our using them. Solar energy is just one example of this... even if you could soak up every 100% of the solar energy hitting an area, no matter how many such solar panels you had, whether it was ten thousand, ten million, or even ten billion, it would not affect the actual availability of solar energy.

    191. Re:Corporate culture by feepness · · Score: 1

      It's irrelevant what happens to GM. Electric cars have already reached the market and their numbers continue to expand. I could care less whether GM makes them or some other company does.

      Core competencies, of course, will eventually fail for everyone. New companies rise up and take their place. Expecting the same companies to exist decade after decade, century after century, seems somewhat eerie to me.

    192. Re:Corporate culture by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

      Truly. Human overpopulation is a self correcting problem if it gets bad enough.

      --
      Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
    193. Re:Corporate culture by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I guarantee that the moment the economy takes a good upswing, gas will be back up to $3/gallon. Buying a gas-guzzler based on this temporary dip is stupid, unless you honestly expect demand to stay depressed for the life of the vehicle (and how can it, with everyone buying gas guzzlers?)

      Re: your sig.

      1) Kool-aid has a hyphen in it.

      2) The comparison between the Jonestown cult and the Obama cult is facile.

      3) Explaining the reference really takes all the fun out of it, and makes it sound like you think said reference is far more clever and obscure than it really is.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    194. Re:Corporate culture by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I am in awe of the awesomeness of your reply.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    195. Re:Corporate culture by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the previous poster is loony. Even if we happened to have enough oil in this country to even make a *dent* in our demand, then yes drilling our own might make sense. Unfortunately we don't have such reserves.

      of course, saving our reserves for a day when oil really is in short supply might make even more sense...

      Getting off of oil for transportation is the only viable solution long term.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    196. Re:Corporate culture by martinX · · Score: 1

      I ride a motorcycle every day to work. it has a 750 cc 4 stroke engine.

      It cost me a little less than a small car. Its rego is a little less than a small car. Its tyres cost twice as much per tyre than a car, so it works out the same. It (or me) isn't particularly fuel efficient.

      I ride a bike because I like riding bikes. Fast.

      --
      When they came for the communists, I said "He's next door. Take him away. Goddam commies."
    197. Re:Corporate culture by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      It you really want to be an asshat CO2 is part of the photo synthesis process and not a 'fertilizer', C02 must combine with other elements to be a fertiliser, second of course, any I repeat any element that is in the environment in an excess, outside of the usable range is a pollutant to that environment.

      If when you burnt stuff, you only produced CO2, that wouldn't be all that bad, however the combustion process burns imperfect fuels using impure air and a range of toxic compounds are produced as a result. Even someone as fawningly blind has to admit for example that CO as in carbon monoxide is a very dangerous pollutant, ig not perhaps you would consider experimenting in a garage, with a running car.

      If any one really can accept the idea of Shell generating a profit from selling polluting fuels and then charging to remove the pollutants from the atmosphere (basically, a tax on the air you breath, we all knew the corporations would get there one day), is foolish. Far more sensible solutions need to be found, even nuclear is preferable to burning anything except of course maybe 'pure' oxygen and 'pure' hydrogen.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    198. Re:Corporate culture by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      No you missed the point due to Shell business sector it would never be profitable. However manufacturers, not fuel suppliers, if given the proper incentives can develop products which people would purchase and use to generate their own energy, hence no fuel to be sold and, of course as far as 'Shell' is concerned it would have oil wells, drilling rigs, exploration ships, refineries, tanker ships, tanker trucks and service stations to dump into the market at an enormous loss.

      You really have to extend you ideas on what creates profits for companies and what creates losses. Shell could create the ultimate solar panel, flexible, cheap and with high efficiency, it would lose hundreds billions of dollars no matter how profitable the solar panel was, it simply could never release it too market and as per the rules of capitalist system where greed is everything, it would do everything in it's power to keep that solar panel off the market, else it's shareholders would lose money.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    199. Re:Corporate culture by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Don't confuse countries. In some countries government funding services function well and when privatised proved to turn into shit, providing less services and charging more. In other countries cronies are inserted in government funded services to bleed off as much money as possible and then run the service into the ground, forcing the belief that the service needs to be privatised due to their own incompetence (WTF) often on a non bid basis, can you recognise your country? I have even heard that for example when government provides rescue services and private industry provides rescue at a profit service, it is the difference between surviving and drowning, you of course drown in private as 'er' history as proven.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    200. Re:Corporate culture by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Dude... estimates are $3 trillion and 4,000 lives for the Iraqi war (so far).

      Do you think we would have anything to do with the region if it were not important because of oil?

      For example- consider the number of troops we have in many african countries numbers in dozens to zero.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    201. Re:Corporate culture by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      On rereading your post, perhaps you are missing my point and assuming that I mean that we take money allocated to the military budget and give it to the oil companies.

      No of course not.

      We just protect Kuwait, the Saudi's, and other countries with our military, including multiple air craft carriers, stealth bombers, and of course millions of dollars of grants. The *only* reason we do this is that they are oil countries.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    202. Re:Corporate culture by bluecoat · · Score: 1

      In this case, Shell simply decided that's it's marketing campaign of green energy investments was promoting threatening ideas and, generating insufficient advertising benefit. Bio-fuels (starving the third world) and burying pollution underground (at the tax payers expense) were far more profitable and in harsh economic times, knows that the public will be far to worried about keeping their home, feeding their family and panicking about possible medical emergencies, that they would largely ignore the end of the clean green PR=B$. Come on did anybody seriously believe shell was interested in alternative renewable energy beyond a cynical exercise in marketing.

      The only source for funds for the development of cheap renewable energy has to be the government, there is no profit in it and the real benefits are the free benefits of a cleaner healthier environment, lower medical costs from a healthier population and of course cheap 'free' energy(beyond initial capital outlay and maintenance).

      There is no such thing as "cheap" renewable energy in the wind-solar area. If the government were to subsidize this, it would be at the expense of current energy. In other words our energy prices would double or triple. The government needs to stay out of this arena. Allow people to innovate. Gainsayers have been saying forever that oil is about to run out. Oil and natural gas, are abundant and cheap. Let's use it. Possibly in a few years or decades technology will be better for newer alternative sources. The environment is just fine with current controls. And I don't see people dropping dead from filling their cars up with gas, or from powering their homes with natural gas and oil. You need to come back to reality and stop reading articles from nut jobs. Better remember, the "sun doesn't always shine, and the wind doesn't always blow.

    203. Re:Corporate culture by moosesocks · · Score: 1

      I'm kind of sick of the people who blame everything on Western Eurpopean culture. It is a fallacy. Japan was nearly wiped out after WWII, practically nuked into the stoneage. And yet they figured out how to crawl out of it in less than one generation. AND they have almost no natural resources.

      Two cities were destroyed due to nuclear weapons in Japan during WWII. Although these were indeed strategically-important industrial cities, one could argue that the net damage to the nation was less than if there had been a conventional war.

      Historians generally agree that the Pacific theatre would have turned into a protracted, bloody mess if the bomb hadn't been dropped.

      Similarly, massive amounts of US loans and aid money were responsible for rebuilding Japan and Europe after the war. Japan didn't exactly "crawl out" on their own. This 'assistance' also had the effect of jump-starting the US economy after the war.

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    204. Re:Corporate culture by Binestar · · Score: 1

      Two cities were destroyed due to nuclear weapons in Japan during WWII. Although these were indeed strategically-important industrial cities, one could argue that the net damage to the nation was less than if there had been a conventional war.

      Pfft. That's what I say to that. Hiroshima was chosen because the US hadn't bombed that city yet with conventional warfare specifically because they wanted to see what kind of damage would be done. Japan was in ruins prior to the bomb being dropped. Most of Tokyo was burned to the ground from the firebombing, most other Japanese cities were the same.

      There was conventional war in Japan for multiple years prior to the bombs dropping. You know those bombers which dropped the Nukes? They could carry normal bombs too.

      --
      Do you Gentoo!?
    205. Re:Corporate culture by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      All knowledge develops from prior knowledge somehow so, yes?

      Shoulders tired from all that handwaving?

      Get half a clue how business operates, and then come back.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    206. Re:Corporate culture by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      you of course drown in private as 'er' history as proven.

      It is important not to draw the wrong conclusions from history...

      Cronies are not unique to government (of course), but the difference between the public and the private sector is that private businesses that screw up go bankrupt (or at least they should, but governments seem to be in a bailout mood these days) whereas governments never go bankrupt per se, but rather they sometimes don't pay or pay back with money that is worth less than the original amounts borrowed (which is what the US is going to end up doing). The present crisis is, IMHO, being proclaimed (wrongly) as a "failure of capitalism" because of "greedy bankers", but very few people move beyond the usual suspects and ask, "How was the greed facilitated, who made the money available to do these things"? The answer to that question is the real kicker because ultimately it gets to the heart of the matter which is government mandated fiat currency AND fractional reserve banking. Of course, the powers that be (fearing the collapse of the monetary system as we know it) are doing everything they can to conceal this truth from the general population (they are happy to let the bankers and their clients take the blame) so that people continue to believe in the political "funny money" that has been passed around by everyone since at least 1972 when Nixon closed the gold window.

      The nasty secret about our present system is that banks, through fractional reserve banking and fiat money, can continue to create MORE money as long as they can find someone who is willing to borrow (the Fed can create money out of thin air too, but in the past they have generally left most of the direct money creation to the private banks). Now, you can try to centrally plan and regulate who gets loans for how much and what they get used for, but I think that in practice this type of regulatory system (i.e. the one proposed by Obama) will fail because central planning of markets has always in the past proven to be a fiendishly difficult task (well neigh impossible) in the same way that predicting and timing the global financial markets has been a fiendishly difficult task, even for the "smartest guys in the room"...the big hedge funds and their super-genius PhD mathematician quants.

      I do not propose to offer a full solution here (because frankly I don't have one) but I think that either continuation of the present monetary systems or their attempted regulation is bound to fail us again in the long run. The only course that seems to make logical sense is for us to abandon this experiment that we have been conducting since the 1970s with fiat money backed by nothing and return to some form of money which requires both real work to produce or is tied to some commodities which require real work to produce and can serve as mediums of exchange (i.e. commodity money). Some people might acknowledge the shortcomings of our present system while still believing that it is the least bad, but for my own part I am beginning to lose faith in the ability of fallible humans to manage a monetary system which, while excellent in theory, inevitably falls prey to abuse by greedy and imperfect people in the real world.

    207. Re:Corporate culture by GWBasic · · Score: 1

      You hit on the real reason in your post, even if you didn't realize it. The fact is that wind/solar power is not economically viable right now. It makes little sense for Shell to spend tons of money that it will never recover.

      However, once it becomes viable, energy becomes a commodity that keeps getting cheaper and cheaper and cheaper. This isn't the case today where energy really doesn't get cheaper.

      I think Shell just doesn't want to play that game.

    208. Re:Corporate culture by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

      Have you ever seen that episode of South Park with the Goobacks?

      Same thing here. If the place where the come from sucks, maybe they should try doing something about it.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    209. Re:Corporate culture by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

      Do the World Bank/IMF policies prevent people from taking plows, rocks or sharpened sticks, plowing the ground amd putting seeds in the furrows?

      World economics can prevent you from farming for a profit, but no matter what happens internationally you can grow food for your own use.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    210. Re:Corporate culture by johnlcallaway · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, I felt I had to put the reference in because it was explained to me by a very polite gentleman that comparing Obama and Kool-aid could be taken as racist, something I was not aware of until I did a search on it. Now it sounds like I need to add 'not trying to be clever, just don't want anyone to accuse me of being a racist because their President happens to be 50% African'. I think people think about some things waaaayyyyy to much.

      And using the more correct Flavor Aid reference just doesn't seem to have the right feel to it.

      --
      I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
    211. Re:Corporate culture by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      but no matter what happens internationally you can grow food for your own use.

      Not when you don't own the land free and clear, you can't.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
  3. Two contradictory theories... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    1. They shreaded Lord Oxburgh's employment record.

    2. They are maintaining their position that they can't keep building renewable infrastructure forever. They, along with many other multi-nationals have asked for and do need certainty about what constitutes a ton of GHG, how many tons are available, and how they can go about buying and selling it.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    1. Re:Two contradictory theories... by jabithew · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly. Consider their Energy Scenarios study. Essentially, after this study, they asked governments to take the necessary decisions. If you look at what they're doing, they clearly believe that 'scramble' is the scenario we face, and are preparing the company for it.

      Shell are a far-sighted company. As with all chemical engineering companies, they need to plan now to build in 5 years, and their plants need to operate at a profit for 20-odd years. The point I'm making is that over time they've become very good at predicting the future.

      --
      All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
    2. Re:Two contradictory theories... by jackd · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up. This is one of the most dead-on insightful replies to this Shell change.

    3. Re:Two contradictory theories... by Zumbs · · Score: 1

      Yes, but they also need to survive and expand in the here and now. And in the here and now, oil and coal is much more profitable than renewable energy sources. So, energy corporations investing in renewable energy might get higher profits in 10-20 years time, but if they go bust in 5 years, it's all been for nothing (from their point of view).

      On the other hand, it might just be a sudden rash of honesty. Unless something changed recently, the size of Shells investment in renewable energy has been underwelming. Their "we're a green company" adds had a higher budget!

      --
      The truth may be out there, but lies are inside your head
    4. Re:Two contradictory theories... by rammer · · Score: 1

      That is just not true.
      New renewable energy power plants are on par with coal energy. With coal becoming more expensive in the future. Easily extractable and good quality coal is being used up fast.
      It is true that that existing power generation is cheaper with coal. But building new power plants is not.

    5. Re:Two contradictory theories... by squoozer · · Score: 1

      The Shell study is interesting but it smells like research that was done after the conclusions had already been set. The scramble scenario is a worst case where we almost deliberately walk into problems, the blueprints scenario trumpets carbon capture as the almighty saviour.

      In the UK we have a number of coal and nuclear plants that are due to close in the near future that are critical to our energy supply. The coal plants have to close due to agreements on emissions and the nuclear plants due to them reaching the end of their life. In the scramble scenario they would just be left to close, in real life I suspect they will be forced to run on for longer because no government wants to be the one running the show where there are rolling blackouts. I think when push comes to shove and people are given the choice between no heating and lighting and nuclear power opposition to nuclear will vanish faster than your can blink. I wouldn't be at all surprised if with a decent push a nuclear plant could also be built and operational in less than ten years.

      The real problem of course is that the bulk of our energy usage isn't in the form of electricity at the moment. Moving to all electric space heating and transport is going to be very very hard.

      --
      I used to have a better sig but it broke.
    6. Re:Two contradictory theories... by JAlexoi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When you are making the future, it's hard not to predict something that is in you own plans.

    7. Re:Two contradictory theories... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Personally I'm skeptical of carbon capture but I think the question "is it practical" needs to be investigated to death because:

      1. If it's impractical quackary then we can shut up about it and move on.

      2. If it is practical it will be a "game changer".

      Nothing they could find in wind or solar would be as valuable as practical capture technology.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    8. Re:Two contradictory theories... by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      That is just not true.
      New renewable energy power plants are on par with coal energy. With coal becoming more expensive in the future. Easily extractable and good quality coal is being used up fast.
      It is true that that existing power generation is cheaper with coal. But building new power plants is not.

      Until I see some sort of reputable citation for this, I'm going to label it "not true". First, renewables are expensive, especially when consider how cheap coal is. Next is the fact that we have enough domestic coal in the US to supply 100% of our current energy needs for hundreds of years.

      --
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    9. Re:Two contradictory theories... by squoozer · · Score: 1

      I agree, if we can make carbon capture work then it's a short, possibly even medium term solution to our problems but, personally, I can't see it even nearly working.

      Perhaps it would be possible to capture some but the volume of gas produced by coal fired power stations must be many orders of magnitude greater than the volume of natural gas we pump out of the ground (assuming they are going to use old gas fields for storage). That doesn't even begin to address the energy required for compression and transportation or the possibility that the CO2 won't stay underground.

      It's a straw clutching solution to a problem that needs real working solutions soon.

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    10. Re:Two contradictory theories... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Thus far, the extra expenses for 'clean coal', without even carbon sequestriation, looks to push the BUILD expense up higher than building a nuclear plant. Fuel and operating costs are lower for a nuke plant, thus once a coal plant is more expensive than the nuke, there's no reason to build coal.

      From my reading, adding carbon capture costs the power plant something like 10% efficiency, on top of extra expenses for the carbon capture technology.

      Unless they can figure out some cheaper, more efficient, methods to capture carbon, or have a sideline benefit like using the CO2 to get more oil/gas out of a well, then a nuke plant is a serious contender against 'clean coal'.

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    11. Re:Two contradictory theories... by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't be at all surprised if with a decent push a nuclear plant could also be built and operational in less than ten years.

      Rushed nuclear development is what lead to Three Mile Island and Chernobyl. Nuclear power can be safe but I think we've all learnt that we have to treat it with the utmost respect.

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      Nick
    12. Re:Two contradictory theories... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      I think building more nukes and developing commercial pebble-bed reactors is a no-brainer but they won't help with existing coal plants that have still got decades of use left in them. I also don't think carbon capture will work as advertised, IIRC there is one pilot plant somewhere in the EU that is not looking promising. All I'm saying is some people in the industry (with $$$) think carbon capture is a good long shot right now and are placing their bets. However like I said in my OP what they really want is some certainty in the form of an international carbon market, if the price of carbon is $0 as it is now then any single company is put at a financial disadvantage for capturing it. Their wind farms are in the same boat now, if someone else down the road can burn coal without paying to dispose of their waste properly then in effect they are getting a subsidy from the commons to compete against the wind farm.

      In other words I think Shell are being financially realistic in that they don't expect governments to get their shit together anytime soon, I hope they are wrong about that and right about carbon capture.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    13. Re:Two contradictory theories... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      but they won't help with existing coal plants that have still got decades of use left in them.

      Honestly enough, a existing power plant, no matter the fuel, has a powerful incentive in the form of sunk capital to keep operating. Indeed, most coal plants in the USA will have to be almost entirely rebuilt to even have the hope of carbon capture.

      Still, in the USA demand for electricity is still rising, and many power plants are reaching end of life. If I was evil overlord* of the USA, one of the many things I'd be doing would be an almost crash project to get new nuke plants up and operational. I'd outright build them to render the most polluting(per kwh) plants offline first. The idea would be to build a nuclear plant(preferably a GenIV), in the best spot, with the associated infrastructure to shut down one or more dirty power plants. In many cases I'd replace a megawatt sized station with a gigawatt one - this would allow more expensive peak plants like the NG ones to operate less often, saving lots of money. I'd make them cogeneration to help with payoff. When demand is low, use the spare heat to produce some other product, such as desalinated water. When it's high, concentrate on electricity.

      Nuclear plants would benefit just as much as the other non-hydrocarbon power producers with carbon credits in most scenarios. Still, I don't trust the politicians to not screw that up. Personally, I'd do carbon credits as a complicated dutch auction each year.

      *President doesn't have enough power. ;)

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    14. Re:Two contradictory theories... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      It took 50yrs to plan and build all the existing coal plants, I don't see why we can't replace them with something cleaner over the next 50yrs as they reach their end of life, but it will only happen if the market has an incentive to do so. If they don't get that incentive we will still be talking about it in 2060, by that time the flat-earth army will have their "proof".

      My personal preference is cap and trade as espoused by the Brazilian proposal since it addresses the inequities of GH gasses released since 1960. If you want a credit then I think you should be able to point to a one ton block of carbon that you have taken out of the system long term (eg: biochar). This would put coal on an equal footing with renewables and nukes, ie: you buy credits/permits to burn coal but you get reimbursed with credits for whatever you capture in the chimney. And yeah, a dutch auction is a good way to maximise the return to state coffers and they can then use that cash to offset the cost to consumers with tax breaks....well...I can dream can't I?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    15. Re:Two contradictory theories... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      On the power plants - that's why I specified the most polluting plants first; they're also normally the closest to end of life, most uneconomical plants anyways. Basically you replace coal with nuclear via attrition. Growth is through a combination of green and nuclear technologies.

      And yes, they need incentives.

      My personal preference is cap and trade as espoused by the Brazilian proposal since it addresses the inequities of GH gasses released since 1960.

      Seems to be another proposal designed to penalize the USA/Europe. You have to realize that the more painful you make the process, the less likely the country is to adopt it. Yes, I know it sucks, but we're all in this together and it'll be easier for countries that didn't emit much in the past to keep their emissions down than to get the USA to stop emitting; especially if you're going to penalize it more for it's past.

      If you want a credit then I think you should be able to point to a one ton block of carbon that you have taken out of the system long term (eg: biochar).

      It's more complicated than that, but could indeed be part of any 'trading' program.

      This would put coal on an equal footing with renewables and nukes, ie: you buy credits/permits to burn coal but you get reimbursed with credits for whatever you capture in the chimney. And yeah, a dutch auction is a good way to maximise the return to state coffers and they can then use that cash to offset the cost to consumers with tax breaks....well...I can dream can't I?

      The whole idea is to penalize carbon emissions, isn't it? If you capture the CO2 or carbon out of the chimney in some fashion, you don't need the credit in the first place.

      For miscellaneous sequestration projects, otherwise known as 'offsets', those would have to be regulated in some way to avoid fraud.

      The dutch auction is to maximize income while being fair and allowing the most economical use of allowable carbon emissions in the first place. IE everybody estimates how many carbon credits they'll need, how much they can afford to pay and still make a profit, etc... One thing complicating things would be that I'd allow multiple bids - they can bid for 2k credits at $1, but only 1k at $4.

      Nuke plants and other green power sources wouldn't get any money(directly) from carbon credits, and I certainly wouldn't issue them to power plants(or other companies), but it'd be one expense they wouldn't have to worry about, giving them a couple feet up on coal, and a foot up on NG.

      Start the carbon auctions at a minimal cost at first - maybe not even an auction, just $1 per X tons of CO2. Then take the amount sold, drop by 1-10% a year. Credits are only good for a year.

      --
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    16. Re:Two contradictory theories... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "it'll be easier for countries that didn't emit much in the past to keep their emissions down than to get the USA to stop emitting"

      China is no pushover - you can barter with, but can't ignore the history that got us here and still keep the newbie coal burners at the table.

      "Start the carbon auctions at a minimal cost at first - maybe not even an auction, just $1 per X tons of CO2. Then take the amount sold, drop by 1-10% a year. Credits are only good for a year."

      That's the basic idea, best estimates are the Earth can cope with 3Gt/yr, we currently emit 10Gt/yr. The negotiations are now about which governments get how many permits and why, the Brazilian proposal is only one formulation where each nation has the same number of permits issued on a per capita basis when looked at from 1960-2060, in 2060 the permits are permanently set at 3Gt/yr + transferable credits for blocks of carbon extracted from the system. (IIRC 1958 was when NAS first warned policy makers about CO2 emmisions).

      "It's more complicated than that, but could indeed be part of any 'trading' program."

      Complicated means corruptable, I like rain-forest as much as the next guy but they don't belong in this market because of the complexity of measuring the cost/benifit in term of tons of carbon.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    17. Re:Two contradictory theories... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      China is no pushover - you can barter with, but can't ignore the history that got us here and still keep the newbie coal burners at the table.

      And thus far, most of our 'savings' in CO2 have actually been exports in manufacturing and production to China. Frequently with WORSE pollution and CO2 emissions than the production was in the USA.

      I mean, just look at the Kyoto protocol - universally said to not be enough, yet the US turned it down, and a majority of the signers aren't going to meet the requirements. Oops.

      Complicated means corruptable, I like rain-forest as much as the next guy but they don't belong in this market because of the complexity of measuring the cost/benifit in term of tons of carbon.

      There are various methods of capturing CO2, thing is, stuff like rain forest deforestation aversion is indeed marginal, iffy causes.

      I'm all for saving the environment, but I want to be practical about it.

      As for the coal industry, there'll still be plenty of coal power plants for years, and even after that we'll have uses for the coal - nuclear power isn't going to be efficient for steel production anytime soon. 900C is the top end even for GenIV reactors, and you need ~1500C for steel.

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      I don't read AC A human right
  4. I can see their logic by ILuvRamen · · Score: 2, Funny

    I mean when you really think about it, getting unlimited energy from basically nowhere for next to free over the long run is awfully risky. I mean where's the profit model there? I just can't see it. And how can they calculate a profit margin when the energy is free? Their calculators just keep saying error when they try and divide it out. I can see why they gave up.

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    1. Re:I can see their logic by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      fail. it's not free, it's bloody expensive. if a filthy rich oil company can't afford it who can?

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    2. Re:I can see their logic by Quothz · · Score: 1

      I mean when you really think about it, getting unlimited energy from basically nowhere for next to free over the long run is awfully risky. I mean where's the profit model there? I just can't see it. And how can they calculate a profit margin when the energy is free? Their calculators just keep saying error when they try and divide it out. I can see why they gave up.

      If it's almost free, then why don't you do it? Surely you can afford to implement an almost free energy generation system.

      I'll tell you why: Land, infrastructure, maintenance, delivery, and research are not cheap. You can't afford to do it. Shell has decided it can't, either.

      Somewhat offtopic: Personally, I think relying too heavily on air/wind/solar farms to power our future is unwise, for a variety of reasons. Moderate usage of these technologies is prolly a Good Idea, tho'. Nuclear power and extraplanetary solar collection are the power sources I'd advocate, although those ain't cheap, either.

    3. Re:I can see their logic by neomunk · · Score: 1

      Well, what you say is only true for "nudge nudge wink wink" values of "can't afford it".

    4. Re:I can see their logic by anonymousmeatbag · · Score: 1

      If it's almost free, then why don't you do it? Surely you can afford to implement an almost free energy generation system.

      I'll tell you why: Land, infrastructure, maintenance, delivery, and research are not cheap. You can't afford to do it. Shell has decided it can't, either.

      Wrong. Here is how capitalism works:

      A) You made it. You can use it, but if you sell it You'll have the money.
      B) You made it. If you sell it today, you'll have money today, but not tomorrow. You need to make another one to sell it tomorrow to have money tomorrow too.
      C) You made it. You can sell it, but if you rent it you'll have money today and tomorrow and day after tomorrow and so on... so why selling it?

      I think Shell is moving From B to C as much modern production model with their biofuel / carbon sequestration. Also staying with biofuel means no surge investment in infrastructure, only gradual investing in carbon sequestration / biofuel production.

    5. Re:I can see their logic by Quothz · · Score: 1

      I think Shell is moving From B to C as much modern production model with their biofuel / carbon sequestration. Also staying with biofuel means no surge investment in infrastructure, only gradual investing in carbon sequestration / biofuel production.

      I think you might need to clarify. You appear to be claiming they plan to rent biofuel.

      And yes, the up front infrastructure cost of wind/solar/hydro is expensive and Shell thinks it will not be profitable (enough) as an investment. That was sort of my point: It is not free energy. Perhaps you're unclear on the definition of "afford" I was using (hint: it's the first one in Merriam-Webster).

    6. Re:I can see their logic by anonymousmeatbag · · Score: 1

      Your point is OK. Making money out of PV solar energy and wind power is too expensive and not profitable enough, and it costs allot upfront.

      I claim that making biofuel is renting CO2, well sort of.

  5. Thats ok by Raven737 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    i think it would be bad anyway if the companies whose primary business is selling fossil fuel also controlled a large chunk of the renewable energy market.
    I mean can you say 'conflict of interests'?

    Leave it to the little guys that are better (specialized/core business) at it anyway.
    And at least now we truly know where they stand.

    1. Re:Thats ok by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      >>Leave it to the little guys that are better (specialized/core business) at it anyway.

      but protect their inventions from the oil sharks.

      How many times every year you hear of "new revolutionary engine", "New cheap great source of renewable energy" and so on. And then it appears to be vaporware, the invention never reaches the market. What happens to them?

      Well, the patents get purchased by oil companies. And they take a good care the device is never manufactured.

      They allow only sources that are not able to compete with them on equal terms. And their "wind and solar" research is a PR stunt they decided is too expensive.

      If they just released their "alternative energy" patents portfolios to the public, they would do more to the environment than anyone on the planet, ever. Of course, three years later they would be out of business.

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    2. Re:Thats ok by mobby_6kl · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Oh yeah, the good old big oil conspiracy. I'm sure Shell et al. are sitting on patens for super efficient fuel injection and combustion technology, 90% efficient solar panels which have no toxic byproducts during manufacturing, and wind generators that break even within a year.

      That, or most of the magical technologies you keep hearing about are vaporware, and in fact the startups have no product. Instead, they are just looking for some easy VC money in a popular industry. The rest end up either infeasible, or require more research, while a small portion actually has some impact.

      They might be exiting the business for now, but I seriously doubt they'll just burn the solar panel plant down to the ground together with all related assets and IP. It's probably going to be sold off, and continue to operate independently from the evil Big Oil company.

  6. It's fusion or bust by sakdoctor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Controlled fusion is the next step for our species. We won't know how hard it is except for retrospectively, but we haven't got much time left.

    Nobody wants to save energy. There are billions of people on this planet that would like to use half as much energy as an average American, and no amount of wind or solar is going to deliver that.

    1. Re:It's fusion or bust by polar+red · · Score: 1

      no amount of wind or solar is going to deliver that.

      BS. Wind is currently the cheapest source of energy there is(oil can compete when it stays well below 100$ a barrel), and wind continues to get cheaper. The only problem is, that it's not available all the time, or so they want us to believe.

      And fusion ? I have to see if it will ever be viable. How are they going to control the plasma ? I think it will cost more energy to keep the plasma in check than they will ever get energy out of it.

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    2. Re:It's fusion or bust by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yes. Controlled fusion has been around the corner for the last 40 years. NP mate. In the mean time, we need to focus on cutting CO2/pollution/etc.

      --
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    3. Re:It's fusion or bust by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Controlled fusion is the next step for our species. We won't know how hard it is except for retrospectively...

      So... we don't know how hard fusion is... but we do know it's DEFINITELY the next step?

      Here's hoping it doesn't turn out to be impossible. That'd really suck if our next step was impossible.

    4. Re:It's fusion or bust by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      So...do you have any data to support that idea? Because I see tons of government subsidies that make wind energy viable, but I didn't see any investment without those subsidies. Facts to back up your claim of wind energy? Zero.

      Solar panels are JUST NOW starting to break their 1$/watt barrier. If we DOUBLED solar power usage every year for the next 20 years we would end up getting something like 10% of our power from solar sources. Think about that. AND that assumes having enough silicon for all those solar cells (there isn't enough. It's incredibly resource intensive to acquire silicon).

      Wind: More effective than it used to be. Not yet effective without gov't support. And only viable in certain parts of the country, because wind isn't everywhere. Not at the speeds needed. There are also the consistency issues, since wind power does not have a steady output. This causes problems with electric grids dealing with intermittent power supply. So yeah, it probably isn't a good idea. Shell will be much better off waiting for ten years and then jumping into the solar market. Maybe.

    5. Re:It's fusion or bust by Rogerborg · · Score: 4, Funny

      the only problem is, that [wind is] not available all the time, or so they want us to believe.

      I used to wonder if environmentalists were crazy conspiracy theorist whackjobs, but you've gone ahead and removed all of the uncertainty from that question.

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    6. Re:It's fusion or bust by polar+red · · Score: 1

      find ANY wind map. look for the largest area without wind. you only have to spread your mills over an area that's much larger.

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    7. Re:It's fusion or bust by szundi · · Score: 1

      Who cares they don't. I don't think that we can completely kill our planet with waste and other craps. The oil and natural gas is so rare, it's simply not enough the provide all the energy to finish ourselves by waste. When it will be damn expensive to get some energy (and wind and solar panels are more expensive now, and will be when palladium becomes rare too) then people starts to look for saving energy. All problems solved.

    8. Re:It's fusion or bust by szundi · · Score: 1

      There are test reactors that produce the same amount of energy that it eats for controlling the plasma. See the ITER project for example (i hope it gets built, some usual childish problems around the place and etc hinders the project somewhat) http://www.iter.org/a/index_nav_1.htm

    9. Re:It's fusion or bust by polar+red · · Score: 1

      crazy conspiracy theorist whackjobs,

      I have reason to believe windpower(and solar) is being held back. It is in the best interest of large energy corporations to hold it back, because solar and wind releases the grip of big energy corporations on governments and citizens, because it is MUCH easier to produce locally, and on a smaller scale.

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    10. Re:It's fusion or bust by BikeHelmet · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wind is abundant all over the place. Areas where solar may be restricted due to space (such as densely packed cities with tons of skyscrapers) are the perfect locations for wind power.

      It's a well known fact that city streets act like wind tunnels. It may take a shift in construction architecture, to position wind turbines in the right spots(between buildings, up high, where the wind likes to go), but it is doable, and it'd reduce the burden on the power grid a bit.

      I'm sure someone will come and say it isn't feasible - but up here in Vancouver, BC (Canada), many tall buildings are being replaced with earthquake-immune ones. They aren't tall like New York - most are just ~30 stories or less - but many actually dangle off central pillars, which is pretty neat.

      If they can be rebuilt for a purpose like that, they could also design them to support wind turbines at the top. :P We just have to start planning now, so it can be done in 15 years.

    11. Re:It's fusion or bust by evilviper · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's fusion or bust ... but we haven't got much time left

      That's just plain idiotic nonsense.

      Solar power can EASILY... TRIVIALLY, provide all the power we could ever want, very inexpensively, covering a tiny amount of land area, and could be in-place very soon. There just hasn't been nearly ANY investment in it, because coal and natural gas continues to provide a quicker return on the investment.

      In fact, I suggest everyone look to west. In California, electric utilities are required to produce a large minority of their power from renewable energy, without loopholes. The ramping up to this rule has been over a decade in coming, and all attempts to overturn it have failed. Neither the people nor the politicians are blinking, this time around, unlike CARB with the electric vehicle mandate in the '90s.

      California is either going to be getting ~ 10% of their electricity from solar in the next ten years, at grid prices, or the lights across the state will go out, and stay out. The grand experiment is in place, and the stage is set. It's simply time to sink or swim. This will either prove that power companies can make solar power increasingly profitable, at grid rates (once they have no way to get out of it) or else the 7th largest economy in the world is going to stop, for lack of energy.

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    12. Re:It's fusion or bust by KeNickety · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Except for the minor issue that a reliable, stable power grid can not be formed from Wind Energy due to frequency instabilities caused by having too many wind turbines. Details in this paper http://eprints.iisc.ernet.in/15202/

    13. Re:It's fusion or bust by master_p · · Score: 1

      We should reconsider our desires. It's not realistic to have 6 billion people now (or 10 billion people tomorrow) to spend so much energy on themselves.

    14. Re:It's fusion or bust by NerveGas · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You're forgetting that the oil industries receive MASSIVE subsidies from the government. Not necessarily in outright funds, but in other ways. For example, look at how much we spend on the military to protect the oil company's interests in the Middle East.

      When we invade Iraq to "stabilize the region" (code for "keep surrounding countries producing oil"), look at how much it costs. Even without including the Iraq war, look at the cost of keeping the "regular" military bases in the region.

      If you add up all of the money that is spent on protecting oil interests in the Middle East, you'll find that for the cost of about 5-10 years worth of oil protection, we could have bought wind, solar, geo, and/or hydro to entirely replace our need for oil.

      Besides... let's look at the economy. Everybody is worried about it. Instead of paying truly obscene amounts of money to those in power in the Middle East for oil, giving that money to American companies to produce energy in our own country would be such a massive boost to the economy that it would make the government's bailouts pale in comparison.

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    15. Re:It's fusion or bust by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      He said producing silicon is expensive, no that it is scarce in nature. Those are different things.

      Hydrogen is the most abundant element in the universe, though it is very expensive to produce.

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    16. Re:It's fusion or bust by Richard_at_work · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Can you guarantee that the area you have to spread your generators over to ensure a steady, certain minimum generating capacity (or the base load for the system) is within acceptable transmission loss levels?

      You cant, and thats the problem with generation systems where you don't control the minute to minute generating capacity yourself. Wind and solar also cannot handle the increase in peak production required during certain events.

    17. Re:It's fusion or bust by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      CSIRO has maintained for well over a decade that wind alone could power Australia. Pickens interest in wind in the US would seem to indicate oil people are keen to become energy people.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    18. Re:It's fusion or bust by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Please allow me to make a mashup from both of your replies:

      you only have to spread your mills over an area that's much larger. [...pause to skip your meds...] windpower [is] MUCH easier to produce locally, and on a smaller scale.

      Look, I like a conspiracy theory as much as the next AFDB aficionado, but you're really going to have to come up with a better solution to the baseload and transmission problems than "The Man is stopping it! The Man!""

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    19. Re:It's fusion or bust by polar+red · · Score: 1

      1/conspiracy has nothing to do with it. energy corporations are interested in maximizing profit, and one of the mechanisms is externalising costs. that's how the system works and you know it.
      2/ "baseload and transmission problems" don't crop up until we have at least 25% wind. We're nowhere close to that. When we hit that 25%, wind will have reduced so far in cost that we can use batteries, hydrogen, or something else to cope with it cost-effectively.

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    20. Re:It's fusion or bust by Socguy · · Score: 1

      You cant, and thats the problem with generation systems where you don't control the minute to minute generating capacity yourself. Wind and solar also cannot handle the increase in peak production required during certain events.

      Geothermal. Solar Thermal.

    21. Re:It's fusion or bust by fprintf · · Score: 1

      Wind is not abundant everywhere. Sure, it gets windy almost everywhere on the globe at some point during the year, but it doesn't blow hard enough, frequently enough, in most places to make wind installations viable.

      http://www.windpoweringamerica.gov/wind_maps.asp

      If you take the state of Connecticut, for example. The wind blows hardest in the Spring and Fall with frontal storms and you can have days when it blows 15 - 25 knots or more. But the coastline is protected by Long Island, New York, which means the wind blows 50 miles away, hits land and then gets deflected upward. So even though we have lots of coastline, it is rarely windy enough to turn a turbine. 100 miles away on Cape Cod, they have all the wind they need (excluding Ted Kennedy) to build a huge wind farm.

      Florida is another great example. It is rarely windy there except in the winter time. This is due to the temperature of the water being very close to the temperature on land, so it is usually windy there when storms roll through. They do, of course, have the advantage of having lots of sun, so solar is more viable.

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    22. Re:It's fusion or bust by maxume · · Score: 1

      Anecdotally, NIMBY is holding wind back far more than powerful interests. The existence of government subsidies and the fact that there are lots of wind towers going up are both pretty good indicators that there isn't a great deal of powerful resistance, but find a wind project going on anywhere near a few people and you will find an agitator screaming that the towers will ruin everything.

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    23. Re:It's fusion or bust by Inda · · Score: 2, Informative

      You cannot place windmills near office or residential buildings. The shadow created by the rotating blades makes people sick.

      I work for a power generator. We wanted to place a windmill on our site but couldn't. One reason was the shadow, the other was lack of wind on the hill where we're based.

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    24. Re:It's fusion or bust by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Geothermal is location specific, you can't just dig into the ground and expect heat. Solar thermal is time and weather dependent, so it can't be relied on.

    25. Re:It's fusion or bust by chill · · Score: 1

      The efficiency of solar PV cells is poor, unless you start using rarified elements that are increasingly in short supply.

      Using solar thermal, where focused sunlight is used to create steam and turn a turbine could be a good solution for electricity production. Used along with local solar water heating and we might have something, but it isn't by any means trivial. And we'd still face the issue of fuel for transportation. I'm not sure how many electric plants you'd have to build if we converted all the vehicles to pure electric. Probably somewhere between "a lot" and "a metric assload".

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    26. Re:It's fusion or bust by Brimmith · · Score: 1

      In fact, I suggest everyone look to west. In California[...]

      Your saying we should look at California for our energy problems!!? I'm sure they have enough problems of their own (not all Enron's fault). The only way anything will get done is a solid leadership up top of a corporate company. Obviously that's very hard to come by with all the greed that comes with the position. Eventually it will happen if the voters/stockholders change it.

    27. Re:It's fusion or bust by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      There are billions of people on this planet that would like to use half as much energy as an average American, and no amount of wind or solar is going to deliver that.

      That's a silly thing to say. Clearly there is an amount of wind or solar production that would deliver that. It might be more than you think is practical to build, but that doesn't mean that the amount needed is infinite.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    28. Re:It's fusion or bust by phlinn · · Score: 1

      Please define "easily", "All the power we could ever want", "Inexpensively", and "tiny". Because all of those terms are subjective, and when most people try to put numbers in their place they don't appear to be accurate.

      As far as California goes, that looks like a false dichotomy to me. There is no way California's economy will stop. It may slow down due to brownouts, or extra taxes to take over and run utilities non-profitably, or higher prices on energy. It could also be that solar will work out better than expected, or that when faced with the consequences of heavy handed regulation the government will back off. I'm betting on state run utilities, since California seems to be one of the states that's really big on ever growing government control.

      --
      "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
    29. Re:It's fusion or bust by Game_Ender · · Score: 1

      I am sure there energy experiments will be just as successful and well thought out as there recent fiscal ones...

    30. Re:It's fusion or bust by electrosoccertux · · Score: 1

      But look at the environmental impact of solar power. You need an area the size of Texas in the southern US to replace the power needs of just California.

      Remember all those pictures the greenies showed us of the caribou or whatever grazing by the oil pipelines in Alaska? Side note: whatever animal it was, they found that animals population has been exploding-- they all stay next to the oil pipelines because they're warm. Anyways, which do you think is better-- a pipeline through Alaska, or 700,000km^2 of land where ABSOLUTELY NOTHING can grow? If the greenies were trying to market this new technology to the greenies (and weren't telling them the name of it [solar]), they would say no way, for the same reason they say "no way" to oil pipelines through Alaska. It only works because they're trying to market it to a more rational group.

    31. Re:It's fusion or bust by Shrike82 · · Score: 1

      "Reason to believe" implies that you've been following clues and you're on the verge of unearthing solid evidence. Is this the case, or are you simply repeating things you've read elsewhere, or possibly been told by an over-entusiastic college Professor?

      Facts and figures my friend, they'll speak volumes for the point that you're trying to get across.

      --
      You can advertise in this sig from as little as £99.99 a month!
    32. Re:It's fusion or bust by Amigori · · Score: 1

      You know there's 49 states other than California, right? Not all of them are quite so sunny year-round, or as windy, or have rivers flowing from mountain to ocean, or vast govt-owned deserts. For example, I'm from Michigan. Its cloudy, alot, especially in the winter. There are solar panels around, but not enough to power 10% of the state. And feel free to visit in the winter, I'll give you the broom and you can sweep the snow off the panels. Our rivers aren't exactly roaring, but there is hydro around.

      I also lived in Alaska for a few years. Solar would work for, oh 4-5 months. Its pretty dark there in the winter. Forget hydro, its too cold and most of the state freezes. The Aleutians are pretty windy, but you'd have to build the entire transmission infrastructure to get it to the mainland. Easier said than done in some of the most hostile territory on earth. Besides, you hippies from the Lower 48 would complain about some environmental fad in one of the many regions of AK and try to block development.

      It might be grid prices eventually, but I would bet rates will go up to market price after all the subsidies end in 2017, link or link or link. Besides, don't you Californian's have enough taxes on everything already? And the 7th largest economy is broke? Thanks but I prefer the +/- of the midwest, we don't need to import your bad habits.

      --
      "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
    33. Re:It's fusion or bust by polar+red · · Score: 1

      It is SIMPLE LOGIC. The only facts you need are the way the market works.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    34. Re:It's fusion or bust by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Solar panels are JUST NOW starting to break their 1$/watt barrier. If we DOUBLED solar power usage every year for the next 20 years we would end up getting something like 10% of our power from solar sources. Think about that. AND that assumes having enough silicon for all those solar cells (there isn't enough. It's incredibly resource intensive to acquire silicon).

      Solar panels are for small-scale power production. For large-scale power station, you use thermal solar: use mirrors to concentrate sunlight into a tank of water, it begins to boil, you use it to drive a turbine. Other forms of heat engine can also be used; since you can get the temperature very high (theoretical maximum is Sun's surface temperature, around 5000K), they will be very efficient.

      The main problem with thermal solar (and all solar) is that it only produces power during the day (duh!); however, if you store the heat - in, say, a huge slab of rock - you could theoretically keep producing during the night.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    35. Re:It's fusion or bust by gonzonista · · Score: 1

      Can you guarantee that the area you have to spread your generators over to ensure a steady, certain minimum generating capacity (or the base load for the system) is within acceptable transmission loss levels?

      You cant, and thats the problem with generation systems where you don't control the minute to minute generating capacity yourself. Wind and solar also cannot handle the increase in peak production required during certain events.

      Nor can you do it with coal or nuclear. Both types of generation are must run and cannot follow the load fluctuations. During non-peak hours, must-run facilities will sometimes pay to deliver energy because it is more cost effective than shutting down the facility short term.

      Windmills are easy to shut down. While I agree that distributed wind is not likely to be an effective substitute for base load, building surplus capacity will allow for load following much better than trying to do it solely with coal and/or nuclear.

      Which brings me to my point. I'm tired of people arguing about whether nuclear is better than wind or whatever. The energy system is like the ecosystem in that it is better when there are different types of generation. Each type of generation has a place. An effective electricity grid operates with base load generation to cover the minimum load requirements. Cheap intermittent generation like wind are used to fill above baseload requirements, while more expensive dispatchable generation like hydro or natural gas turbines are used to fill in the gaps. The amount of each depends on what the load curve is and the availability of transmission.

      --
      If absolute power corrupts absolutely, what does this say about renewable power?
    36. Re:It's fusion or bust by wurp · · Score: 1

      Um, I don't know about you, but I *live* in the environment. It's in everyone's interest to be an environmentalist, particularly if you have children.

      And just because one person who holds a belief uses a bit of conspiratorial hyperbole doesn't invalidate the belief.

      I could go into all kinds of discussions of human psychology, non-conspiracy theory ways in which one can profit or avoid criminal penalties by manipulating people's beliefs, etc. but I wouldn't want to paint myself as a nutjob.

      (I should say that I generally don't give much credence to people who talk about what "they" want us to believe. But there's a difference between not giving credence and treating a crazy argument as evidence against its point.)

    37. Re:It's fusion or bust by NerveGas · · Score: 1

      Lewis is so short-sighted in so many ways that it's pathetic.

      For starters, as I mentioned, he completely ignores the cost of the military protection for the Middle-East oil. Americans pay more in tax for the military to "stabilize the region" (to keep oil prices reasonable) than they do for the actual oil. Take his costs, and at least double them.

      Then, his consideration that the world is "awash" in oil doesn't really coincide with the reality that the easy oil is gone or nearly so, and that every decade, oil prices are going to continue to go up. Indications are fairly good that we're at peak oil right now, so from here on out, it's only going to get worse.

      And I dunno where you get the idea that solar and wind are much more expensive than oil or coal. Oil and coal have costs on a continual basis, solar, wind, and others have upfront investments, then very low ongoing costs. It's not a matter of expense, it's a matter of ROI. Decent projects used to have ROIs around 30 years, now they're getting closer to 10 years. Please stop spouting random junk.

      Oil keeps getting more expensive. renewable keeps getting cheaper. Oil costs billions of dollars every year (and the lives of US soldiers) for protection, renewable doesn't. Oil creates pollution and greenhouse gases, renewable doesn't. Oil ships the wealth of our nation to royal families of other countries, renewable doesn't.

      Oil is like leasing a car: The monthly payments are cheaper upfront, but you have to make that payment every month for the rest of your life. Renewable is like buying: The payments are more expensive for a few years, but then you go for quite a long time without ANY payments. Sure, eventually, you'll have to buy a new car, but if you make a smart choice going in, your expenditures over the long term are far lower.

      --
      Oh, you're not stuck, you're just unable to let go of the onion rings.
    38. Re:It's fusion or bust by Shrike82 · · Score: 1

      No. The facts people need to believe accusation like this are memos to Shell executives specifically stating their intention and methodology, evidence of them "holding back" solar and wind technology by restricting research in the area, specifically at the university and independent industry levels where making a breakthrough in technology/efficiency would make people EXTREMELY rich.

      Sadly until you can come up with something like that you're just another guy with a conspiracy theory. Putting "SIMPLE LOGIC" in caps doesn't make you right. Let me demonstrate. It's SIMPLE LOGIC that you're claims are false and you're a nut job. Do you believe me now? Didn't think so...

      --
      You can advertise in this sig from as little as £99.99 a month!
    39. Re:It's fusion or bust by BikeHelmet · · Score: 1

      Neat! Didn't know that.

      Well, I don't know any uninhabited cities requiring lots of power, so I suppose that rules that out!

    40. Re:It's fusion or bust by HiThere · · Score: 1

      It may be a true statement. Mind you, this doesn't mean I think it may be true at ground level, but I've heard assertions that if you use kite driven generators, there's always a height at which the wind is blowing sufficiently hard. The example I read about that was based around this assertion transmitted the force to earth via tension on the line. It *did* require multiple kites to avoid interrupting the generation.

      I haven't seen it in person. It could be all hype. But it ain't necessarily so.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    41. Re:It's fusion or bust by evilviper · · Score: 1

      You need an area the size of Texas in the southern US to replace the power needs of just California.

      You've clearly pulled that number out of your ass, because it's orders of magnitude off the mark.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  7. What the? by GrpA · · Score: 5, Insightful

    FTA: Since biofuels frequently lead to greater emissions than either diesel or gas,

    That's not really true... Using Biodiesel can result in 75% less CO2 emissions, at the exhaust pipe.

    Some Biodiesels, eg, based on Coconut oil, are incredibly low on emissions.

    People who claim biodiesel releases more CO2 are making an argument industry wide, including the converting of existing land not used for agriculture to produce biofuels.

    Which is a little dishonest, because there are other technologies being developed that make use of badly salt-affected land to produce Biofuel. (Algae based production)

    These technologies actually improve the situation and make use of land that otherwise cannot be used at all.

    GrpA

    --
    Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
    1. Re:What the? by kendoran · · Score: 3, Informative

      It is important to take the entire lifecycle into account when measuring CO2 emissions.

      While it may be true that biofuels can [potentially] result in 75% less emissions at the exhaust pipe, it's important to factor in the emissions from the process of producing, harvesting, refining, etc when making a comparison to fossil fuels. Excluding emissions from the product lifecycle when making an argument for biofuels is very misleading.

    2. Re:What the? by Pugwash69 · · Score: 2, Funny

      *halts crystal ball production

      --
      Pro Coffee Drinker
    3. Re:What the? by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      They didn't specify CO2. They said emissions. Look up the hazardous byproducts of burning ethanol, if you feel so inclined. You can not grow coconut trees throughout the whole world, or even in a significant part of it. Last I checked, coconut oil was expensive (largely due to its scarcity).

      Most biofuels have so far been derived from corn, soy, and other commercial grains/food, because that's what's available. Consider what could be done with that food if you weren't burning it in your environmentally friendly vehicle. People could eat it, surprisingly. (Remember that semi-famine the world had the years following US adoption of ethanol?)

      What's dishonest is saying "there are alternatives!" then naming half a dozen "alternatives" which aren't viable in volume, price, or logistics to any significant degree, and never will be for those very same reasons. Pursue the current trends in biofuels to their logical conclusion, and we'll have no grains left to eat.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    4. Re:What the? by rwiggers · · Score: 1

      I would count it as misleading if it was being compared with the full cycle of oil. Since it's compared with the exhaust emission of oil, the exhaust emission of biofuel should be used. Now, if you count the emission from harvesting, transporting, refining and so on from oil, the whole emission from producing and refining biofuel should be added. I don't have data to back, but I guess it's much lower either way.

    5. Re:What the? by GrpA · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ethanol isn't ideal... Getting rid of Petrol/Ethanol engines would be better.

      And lumping in problem biofuels because of the market for them isn't being honest either...

      Biodiesel is a useful fuel, and it does a lot less damage to the environment than batteries, although I'm a big fan of batteries too.

      As for food?

      I get very angry when I hear comments like people starving so we can drive cars.

      People have starved for the past century while there's plenty of food wasted. There's only as much food grown as is economically viable. People convert vast swathes of land to support GM seeds that IMO are only fit for Biofuel, not for human consumption.

      And as for alternatives? People are seriously looking at Algae based biofuels right now. Is it economical? Not while we're still destroying the worlds oil reserves... But we're probably going to run out of those fairly soon and fusion's not an option (yet or in the near foreseeable future).

      There's enough capacity to make huge salty-algae fuel farms without losing any farming land.

      Anyway, if you don't like conventional biofuels, you can always run your car on peanuts...

      That was, afterall, the original idea.

      GrpA

      --
      Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
    6. Re:What the? by kick6 · · Score: 1

      That's not really true... Using Biodiesel can result in 75% less CO2 emissions, at the exhaust pipe.

      Bolded for emphasis. Creating biofuels, especially enathol from corn, requires burning lots of something. In the US this something is, in large part, natural gas. This burning releases CO2. Also, the distillation process releases CO2 as a bypdoduct. Its insanely pure C02. So pure that some ethanol plants are actually able to sell it in large enough volumes that oil companies are buying it to use in tertiary recovery processes (they inject CO2 into oil wells, and oil bubbles back to the surface with the CO2....kind of like opening a shook up can of coke). So sure each car going down the road releases less CO2, but the plants that make the biofuels are MORE than making up for it.

    7. Re:What the? by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      Coconut oil? For fuck's sake, please stop advocating food sources as energy sources. Do not mention anything based on foodstuff as even being an option for energy production. The stupidity of creating ethanol from corn is already costing us millions. Why? Because corn prices spiked so heavily that pig farmers, who used feed their pigs corn, had to switch at some point to trail mix.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    8. Re:What the? by stdarg · · Score: 1

      Blaming ethanol and biodiesel for that food crisis is ridiculous. The biggest factors were the oil prices, food commodities speculation, and most importantly the banning of exports by several countries.

    9. Re:What the? by GrpA · · Score: 1

      These technologies actually improve the situation and make use of land that otherwise cannot be used at all.

      GrpA

      This is a mystery. It's not about land that is not being used otherwise. There's no such thing like land not being used otherwise. There is land that is not _commercially_ used by man, but that does not mean it's not being used _at all_, and it does not mean it is useless waste land.

      It's a mystery how so many replies seem to not know that such land does in fact exist.

      Yes it is useless waste land, unless you count using it to produce biofuel or pumping in billions to repair the damage of salinity.

      A thin layer of salt covers everything and underneath is thick mud, waiting to trap unwary animals who venture into it.

      No animals live there. There is no plant life there. Only organisms like algae can live there.

      When your land is saltier than the sea, it's pretty lifeless. Anything you do to improve things is a good thing. Grow biofuel, plant salt-tolerant species to absorb the salt, anything.

      I'm talking about millions of hectares where I live. (Just in my own state) that cannot be used for agriculture.

      But they can use it to produce Biofuel...

      Look up Algae based fuels, and be careful running on SVO (Straight Veggie Oil) - it tends to carbon up your engine which will eventually cause you serious compression related issues.

      Even fewer diesel cars can use SVO than Diesel...

      But you can get some Biodiesels that ALL cars can use and you can mix it with normal Diesel too...

      GrpA

      --
      Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
    10. Re:What the? by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      My apologies; lumping in 'problem biofuels' was accidental/not my intent. What we really need to do is focus on the key technologies, and not lump everything under "biofuel" or "petrofuel". The more efficient technologies get a bad rap due to the association with the poor technologies within each group.

      As far as "viable alternatives", you can't make an alternative viable by crippling the thing you're trying to make an alternative to. That's just crippling the original and replacing it. It's also not exactly possible, because no alternative (or combination of alternatives) could actually come place to replacing petroleum - now, or in the foreseeable future.

      What you're basically proposing is to cease petrol production and allow biofuels to fill the void - as I understand it. It's not physically possible to accomplish, or ethical to attempt, without utterly destroying global industry and dumping people down to 3rd world status overnight.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
  8. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by dgatwood · · Score: 5, Funny

    Just because they're being shellfish doesn't mean you have to be crabby. :-)

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  9. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let's strap all oil company executives to bicycles instead, it would be a good learning experience for somebody that's never done any real work before~

  10. Devil's advocate by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While it is unpleasant that they are cutting back on other options, putting money into carbon sequestration actually makes a lot of sense for an oil company. Apparently something similar has been done for at least a couple of decades to use injected gas to extract extra oil from wells.

    1. Re:Devil's advocate by dank+zappingly · · Score: 1

      Everything I've read about carbon sequestration says that we have all the technology required for it, but that it is obscenely expensive and is just a trick to make us think that fossil fuels are going to be greener some time in the near future.

    2. Re:Devil's advocate by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Yes. But I think the trick is still going to happen because we are addicted to the cheap energy of oil and coal. They might as well do something useful with it if it's going to happen anyway.

  11. Nuclear.... by PhantomHarlock · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Compared to anything mentioned, the cleanest form of energy is nuclear power, all factors considered. It's the only thing we should be looking at in the long run as a primary source of power for the grid. Wind and solar are great for local uses but not on a large scale. They are incredibly land intensive for a very small output. A nuclear power plant's physical footprint for the power it generates is practically nil.

    People just have to stop equating nuclear power with nuclear weapons, and realizing that modern reactors are far, far safer than reactors from half a century ago. Unfortunately, the United States has lost 30 or 40 years of reactor development time compared to other countries.

    As usual, radical environmentalists are their own worst enemy. They advocate alternative energy, and then jump up and down when a new solar installation is built on a fictionally endangered habitat or a wind farm causes migratory bird strikes. You can't have it all ways.

    You must find a viable replacement for fossil fuels before eliminating them or taxing them to death. Solar and wind alone are not a viable replacement at that scale.

    1. Re:Nuclear.... by tgrasl · · Score: 1

      You must find a viable replacement for fossil fuels before eliminating them or taxing them to death. Solar and wind alone are not a viable replacement at that scale.

      But how are they going to be developed?

      We need to create economic incentives to encourage investment in the development of alternatives, and the only efficient way to do that is through higher taxes on carbon emissions. The people who think fusion is going to save us are mostly the same ones who don't want the government to distort markets, yet somehow expect the government to magically produce viable. It's laughable.

    2. Re:Nuclear.... by Hoski · · Score: 1

      What the hell kind of view of environmentalists is that?! Also, the bird loving people are more conservationist. Srsly. Have a better opinion.

    3. Re:Nuclear.... by Shag · · Score: 1

      Um... Solar is nuclear. :)

      --
      Village idiot in some extremely smart villages.
    4. Re:Nuclear.... by BikeHelmet · · Score: 1

      I agree that Nuclear is one of the cleanest. If you contain the waste properly, it's almost perfectly clean.

      But wind really isn't that bad, and compared to solar, it's very economically viable.

      I was looking into wind power a while ago, and found some interesting documentaries. Apparently Denmark has turned it into a national industry. They can produce wind turbines so affordably that they pay for themselves in just ~4 years! (well positioned, obviously. Denmark has quite a bit of coast)

      Wind power has a lot of myths surrounding it, which may or may not be true in North America, but are certainly not true in Denmark.

      1) Wind turbines are noisy.
      Only when they're malfunctioning. They don't increase ambient noise all that much. Having a busy 2 lane road next to you is probably more disruptive. (subjective)

      If the wind is blowing too hard, they can get noisy - but if the wind is blowing "too hard", you have other problems.

      2) Wind turbines are high maintainance.
      In Denmark it has been reported that most last a decade or more with no maintainance. If you maintain them well, they could potentially last a very long time. The industry is somewhat new, so nobody really knows lifespans yet to any statistical certainty.

      I imagine in North America, the land where contracts go to the cheapest bidder, we may have more issues.

      3) Wind turbines kill birds.
      Yeah, maybe. Less than Window panes and other glass objects, though.

      Bird sees fast moving object -> bird feels strange wind turbulence -> bird heads away from fast moving object.

      Bird sees nothing -> bird breaks neak on glass pane.

      Killing birds didn't stop windows from becoming very popular. Killing bugs didn't stop windshields from becoming standard on every car.

      Clearly it doesn't matter that much to most of us. Even if I'm wrong, natural selection dictates that only the smart birds are going to pass on their genetics thanks to our wind turbines.

      I can see not advocating solar, because of the chemicals used to create photovoltaic cells, and the relatively low power output compared to alternatives - but Wind really is quite good at generating electricity. A single turbine in the right location could easily produce 4kw, 24/7.

    5. Re:Nuclear.... by iminplaya · · Score: 2, Funny

      Lots of sulfur stuff coming out of those holes. Open up a bunch of them and you might have a problem. Besides the earth will collapse if you let all the air out. It will shrivel up like a rotten orange.

      --
      What?
    6. Re:Nuclear.... by NerveGas · · Score: 1

      The fact that wind is local is, actually, not such a bad thing.

      Most areas already have a lot of small power plants scattered around all over the place. As an example, in my state, power plants are scattered all around the state, through nearly all counties.

      So... if those were all magically converted to wind, there would always be enough wind blowing somewhere, between some combination of the plants.

      You may have to beef up transmission somewhat, but let's look at nuclear: One or two nuke plants in the state would probably require just as big of a transmission investment.

      And the awesome part about wind? You send the few dead birds to the landfill, you don't get into intranational and international debates over who is willing to accept the waste, and who is willing to let it be transported THROUGH them to get to the destination, like you do with nuclear.

      Hydro is pretty awesome... but if you think that the environmentalists freak out over putting solar panels on some ground, just try and get a big hydro dam built...

      --
      Oh, you're not stuck, you're just unable to let go of the onion rings.
    7. Re:Nuclear.... by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      Wind turbines kill birds.

      Seriously, this one is grasping at straws. Cats kill millions of birds every year. Okay, cats tend to be more discriminatory, but power transmission lines kill a few million too. So do cars.

    8. Re:Nuclear.... by Jedi+Alec · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But how are they going to be developed?

      We need to create economic incentives to encourage investment in the development of alternatives, and the only efficient way to do that is through higher taxes on carbon emissions. The people who think fusion is going to save us are mostly the same ones who don't want the government to distort markets, yet somehow expect the government to magically produce viable. It's laughable.

      Dontcha worry, there's plenty of countries on this planet where the subject of taxation can be discussed without a bunch of talking heads screaming about communism, and I'm sure they'll be more than happy to license the resulting tech to the US power companies...for a small fee. Ironically enough India is way ahead of the game when it comes to solar, giving Asia yet another edge for when they replace the West as the dominant empire on this planet.

      --

      People replying to my sig annoy me. That's why I change it all the time.
    9. Re:Nuclear.... by meson2439 · · Score: 1

      To summarize your point:

      Evil destroys itself and so does environmentalism.

    10. Re:Nuclear.... by syzygysm · · Score: 1

      ...all factors considered
      Except that you haven't come close to considering all factors. Once again, another advocate for nuclear power conveniently disregards the pesky problem of long-term storage of nuclear waste in making the claim that nuclear is 'the cleanest form of energy'. This a huge problem that has yet to be solved, and until it is, there will remain many tons of highly radioactive nuclear waste in the form of spent fuel rods littering our landscape for thousands of years to come. This one issue pretty much shoots down every one of your arguments for 'clean' nuclear power, including your 'small footprint' claim. How many acres of land are we now using to store this stuff, and how many more acres will we need?

    11. Re:Nuclear.... by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

      And where pray tell do you dump all the nuclear waste? Your back yard???

      As usual people who do not have a clue love to tell others what to do. You need to read up on Solar energy and the advances they have made with little funding they receive. It's a credit to that field that they have been able to make such advances. If they ever got real funding you could see solar power an entire city!

      But as always people want to stick their head in the sand and say it's too hard.

      FYI environmentalists are not the problem.

      Nice red herring.

      The problem is with the government and the lack of incentives to promote solar industry. Mean while oil companies get tax break after tax break to do business in an incredibly lucrative industry.

      Jackass

    12. Re:Nuclear.... by smackmywhammy · · Score: 1

      Nuclear, or for that matter any power source that requires a steam driven turbine, has a major issue that is now starting to show itself: the availability of fresh water. Water vapor is considered to be a greenhouse gas, just in case anyone forgot.

    13. Re:Nuclear.... by maxume · · Score: 1

      Long term storage isn't too bad, it is medium term that is tough (because the spent fuel is a lot hotter in the medium term). Having the used rods sitting on site at reactors is a great way to have them be available when the political will to use them as fuel eventually turns up, so it still isn't that big a deal. It does sort of hinge on viable breeder reactors though:

      http://www.spectrum.ieee.org/print/4891

      (but still, millions of pounds of solid waste is probably better than trillions of pounds emissions)

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    14. Re:Nuclear.... by Mad+Leper · · Score: 1

      You still use nuclear reactors that generate waste ? Any modern reactor can re-process the so-called waste and make more fuel.

      Funny how the greenies are in love with technology when it's attached to solar/wind/etc and revile it when it's associated with nuclear.

    15. Re:Nuclear.... by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      Virtually all the waste produced to date in the US is being stored on site. That's how small it is.

  12. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    GP says fuck the hippies and gets and Insightful. Parent says fuck the executives and gets a Troll.

    Now, I'm down with the hippie hate, but I guess moderators really do like sucking corporate cock.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  13. Re:Neither. They're responsible by kestasjk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The problem is there's a conflict of interest; if they invest in solar/wind and managed to improve efficiency enough to reduce demand for oil then they lose money. They will promote whichever energy source gives them the largest profits, and don't have an incentive to invest in new energy sources when there are hugely profitable oil fields to look for.

    Don't get me wrong I'm not a crackpot who thinks you can power the world with solar/wind, but I do think oil companies need a bit of government coercion to invest in research.

    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
  14. flamebait by metalcup · · Score: 4, Informative

    The post header is a flamebait - and the mods have really screwed up for not having caught it. If you read the TFA (yes yes, I know this is /.), the article headline says "Shell dumps wind, solar and hydro power in favour of biofuels" They are saying that compared to investing in wind, solar and hydro, they want to invest in biofuel reseach, since they think it will be profitable (duh! they are a company - they exist to make a reasonable profit). The impression I got from reading the slashdot post header was that shell has decided to go completely out of alternative energy (/non fossil fuels) entirely. Posting sensationalist headlines is o.k. for mags - why do that here on /.?

    --
    "Laziness is an optimisation protocol"
    1. Re:flamebait by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      The post header is a flamebait - and the mods have really screwed up for not having caught it. If you read the TFA (yes yes, I know this is /.), the article headline says "Shell dumps wind, solar and hydro power in favour of biofuels" They are saying that compared to investing in wind, solar and hydro, they want to invest in biofuel reseach, since they think it will be profitable (duh! they are a company - they exist to make a reasonable profit). The impression I got from reading the slashdot post header was that shell has decided to go completely out of alternative energy (/non fossil fuels) entirely. Posting sensationalist headlines is o.k. for mags - why do that here on /.?

      Slashdot is a company - they exist to make a reasonable profit. Posting sensationalist headlines is a way to get you to open a page, make an ad impression, and maybe get disgusted enough to want to leave. Where are you going to go? Well, that colourful ad looks interesting!

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
  15. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
    1. Lets strap all of the environmental whack jobs to bicycles and have them the pedal generators to a cleaner tomorrow.

      Stupidest idea ever. Funny. But not insightful.

    2. If those alternative energy sources were even remotely feasible you can be sure they would be all over them.

      Why do you think this? Large companies are conservative and short-sighted. Even "long term" planning is at most 10-15 years. The markets are even more short-sighted and especially stupid. "Shareholders" comprise two groups: long-term investors (e.g., 401k's) that want slow, consistent growth. And then there are the short-term traders. They are either idiots or the scum of the earth. Nobody here is willing to take on a good risk on the 20-30 year horizon.

    You shouldn't have such blind faith in the free market. It is darn good at solving short-term problems. But, boom-bust cycles are a counterexample to long-term efficacy of "market value."

  16. Re:Neither. They're responsible by kestasjk · · Score: 2, Interesting

    if they invest in solar/wind and managed to improve efficiency enough to reduce demand for oil then they lose money

    Before someone comments that they'd be selling panels/turbines instead of oil; remember oil is a commodity, panels/turbines are a technology. They would much rather deal with selling energy rather than selling energy generators.

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    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
  17. You're retarded by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    the land that "otherwise can't be used at all" is the naturally brackish wetlands that protect the oceans from our retarded corporate farming policies. "Biofuels" require the raping of nature. Nuclear is, unfortunately, the only plausible short term solution; solar and wind are nice eye candy but have failed miserably to scale or become financially viable. Long term, fusion is the only one that looks good now, but crystal balls are notoriously bad. The brutal reality is that any alternative energy must be cost effective to work. That's just all there is to it.

  18. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by derGoldstein · · Score: 5, Funny

    With shells like these who needs anemones?...

    --
    Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
  19. Some of you need to get over it by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Personally, I am happy that they are doing this. First, Solar PV IS CURRENTLY THE MOST EXPENSIVE generator going. Solar THERMAL is a different thing. It is cheaper than coal is currently, if you do not include salt storage. They are looking at co2 sequestering. Ok. My guess is that shortly, somebody else will create a plant that uses Solar thermal for daytimes and then switches to Natural gas for cloudy/night. Mostly clean, EXCEPT for CO2. Sequester it, and things are good. The nice thing about such an approach is that it WILL lead to more AE.

    Likewise, there are MANY other companies doing hydro and wind. Their pulling out will do nothing to harm them. IOW, they will continue.

    That brings up the issue of bio-fuels. Far too many of you are thinking in terms of ethanol via corn, sugar cane, etc. That is a red herring (just like hydrogen production is). Skip that garbage and instead focus on converting crap (literally) to gas; ALGAE. There are several companies that are scaling up right now; Solix and Sapphire. Sapphire is doing gas production directly and they currently have it at less than 100/bl oil equivelence. BOTH of these companies need the price of oil to go up to around 80-85/bl and we are approaching that. These companies will likely get money from US and scale quickly. US MAY be a gas exporter within 4 years because of bio-fuels, combined with American cars moving towards electrical powering.

    Even now, I look at the dependency that EU has on Russia for Natural Gas, and how Russia has used it. Shell can help break that. Ppl just need to think big and long term.

    With that said, I am amazed that Shell, is walking away from things like hydro, and even wind. Foolish on their part. BUT, it still works out.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Some of you need to get over it by szundi · · Score: 1

      I think wind and solar NOW is not making money. It is too expensive and others are developing it. When it becomes cheaper, the biggest companies start to mass-produce it and kill the smalls that developed them. Not fair. Maybe i could say who cares. People get the tech and clean energy some day. That's what Shell wants.

    2. Re:Some of you need to get over it by jafac · · Score: 1

      When oil goes up to 80-100 dollars per barrel, the production costs of the Algae will go up as well. How do the plant-workers drive to work in the morning? How do they heat their homes? What happens when oil hits $80/bbl, and the economy crashes (as it is doing now, after last years oil price spike) - and the price of oil goes back down as a result?

      Energy is the input to our economy. Right now, the bulk of that is oil. Instability in oil prices might make alternatives look more attractive, short-term. But it requires a very long-term increase, and large-scale structural changes in how our economy operates to make energy alternatives attractive. (unfortunately).

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    3. Re:Some of you need to get over it by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      According to a friend of mine working at one of these companies, at 80/bl, they are profitable. The other company has claimed that the break-even is below 100. In the mean time, both are working on their algae trying to make it more efficient, which would only lower the price point. At 80/bl, our economies will not crash. In fact, far from it. Roughly 80-100/bl is an interesting break point in that it is much cheaper to move over not just to algae derived fuel, but also moves us heavily into efficiency mode. The problem is that when the price is VERY high, or very low, it kills companies. In addition, the real problem is when the price moves up or down very fast. But make no mistake about it. If algae derived fuel (either gas directly, or a bio-diesel) can be come profitable, then costs will be lowered over time for it and we will see 40/bl and lower for man made oil, while in the ground will only be extracted for the very large chains (those are not made easily with algae).

      It is for that very reason why I believe that the west should put in a time incremental vat on all goods. Basically, over a period of time, it should increase on all goods based on the emissions of pollution (including CO2) from the region where product was made. If country is open about pollution (and not having been found cheating), then it can be made regional. If country is caught lying/cheating, then vat rate is applied against all items from that country.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  20. Re:Neither. They're responsible by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Informative

    If those alternative energy sources were even remotely feasible you can be sure they would be all over them.

    Why? Because they are in a rush to make their existing oil lines, distribution networks, and stations obsolete, and want to shake up the system that is making them money? Not to say they have no interest, but they'd be all over them ONLY if they thought they could make even more money doing so, which they might not.

  21. Re:Neither. They're responsible by unlametheweak · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If those alternative energy sources were even remotely feasible you can be sure they would be all over them.

    "Alternative" energy sources are feasible, but they just don't make as much money as oil. In the long run "alternative" energy sources (like wind for example) are much more economically feasible (to ordinary citizens at least) because they don't cause global warming, smog, lung cancer, asthma, etc.

    Lets strap all of the environmental whack jobs to bicycles and have them the pedal generators to a cleaner tomorrow.

    Generally people use ad hominems when they don't have a valid argument. Emotional appeals and rants often do satisfy the lowest common denominator in society however. It's one of the reasons why people like you often get Moderated Insightful.

  22. CSR by oldhack · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Corporate Social Responsibility is another one of those dishonest and fraudulent business fads, flaunting secondary goal that often contradict with the primary goal of making money. When push comes to shove, guess which one would prevail. Shell is an oil company, set up to make money in oil business. Criticizing it for not being "socially responsible" (however you define it) is like berating a snake for not acting like a cow.

    You want renewable energy, set up monetary incentive for it, and be prepared to pay for it.

    --
    Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
    1. Re:CSR by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, a snake, or a person can be punished with death. As such, the vast majority of snakes will not go after a cow. Companies are not. In fact, because we do not hold most execs responsible, it allows them to act in ways that are contrary to even their long term good. In fact, I would say the push over the last 30 years to have American companies pursue profit at all else is what has left these companies in massive debt. Basically, we have amorals running amoral companies.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:CSR by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Indeed. It's foolish to think a publicly owned company can care about anything. What Adam Smith described is not an ideology but a description of fundamental, inherent mechanisms of economy. Companies are all about profit, nothing can be done to change it, it's up to governments to take care of the sticks and carrots.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    3. Re:CSR by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      Absolutely. One thing that these people don't realise is that a lot of "CSR" activity is actually carefully calculated in terms of image and profit.

      Someone recently explained to me about breast cancer charity. Companies absolutely love sponsoring breast cancer charities. It targets female consumers, and isn't too icky (unlike say, bowel cancer). You can also see things like the various programs that help the farmers who grow products for you. They're basically charging a large premium for your social conscience.

    4. Re:CSR by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      That is odd. Firestone is still making tires. How are they dead? The ceo of that time is still the CEO. Bidgestone has changed nothing, but cost them a very little bit of pocket change. Less money was paid out then a 1 year PROFIT (not revenue) over the ford/Wilderness debacle. How is that they are dead?

      A company who is not jailed or executed; whose top execs are immune from prosecution; will never have a sense of responsibility. That is exactly why we are in todays debacle.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:CSR by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Very true. You can see companies as more or less far competent pragmatic machines that will seek to maximise profits in all ways, even the less obvious and more indirect ways.

      I guess that's something that people don't yet understand very well, that everything is interest driven. Not like it's a bad thing, but people need to understand that to figure out how people and groups of people work. Even when you do something apparently altruistic and selfless deep down it all comes down to a choice between two outcomes (i.e. helping someone vs. not helping someone) and the implications (feeling more or less good about it vs. feeling more or less bad). Same thing for companies, except it's even simpler, because they only care about only one single thing.

      Slightly off-topic : that's actually the same for governments, if you think about it : if the government wants to maximise its profits on the long term, it's in its interest that everybody has a job so that people produce wealth instead of being a financial burden, that all people get a good education and good opportunities so that they produce the most wealth, and so on..

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    6. Re:CSR by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      About time someone stated the obvious. A corporation
      exists for one purpose only - to make money for its
      owners. It does not exist to provide a wonderful
      experience for its employees (though that may help the
      bottom line) nor does it exist to engage in any socially
      noble causes.

      It would be nice if the people complaining about shell,
      exxon, etc all took THEIR MONEY and started THEIR FIRM to
      make THEIR PRODUCT that OTHER PEOPLE WANTED TO BUY. Go
      right ahead, nobody is stopping you. Compete. Invest in

      these alternative energy sources and bring a profitable
      product to market.

      Though somehow I suspect these same people would rather
      tax anyone making above $XYZ to finance a government
      project to figure this all out. After all, we know how
      good they are at managing large projects, minimizing waste
      and turning a profit. Surely its worth taking some of
      that rich guys money to pay for it right?

      And thats what all this whining amounts to: THEFT. Whether
      it is from the shareholder through reduced dividends and
      shareholder equity or directly through your 1040. Enviroguy
      wants your money.

    7. Re:CSR by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
      The thing with companies is more complex.

      Sometimes, quite genuinely, there are owners with a personal belief system. I run a consultancy firm, and if certain types of organization approached me, I wouldn't be prepared to work with them. That's not from the perspective of reputation or PR, but just that I have a moral opposition to them personally, and as the owner of the company, I can do that.

      There's also the staff issue: certain types of staff like to work with companies that do certain things. I know a web design company that's very green (which is part of the owner's beliefs) and many of the staff like working for them because of things like the fact that they're carbon neutral.

      I guess that's something that people don't yet understand very well, that everything is interest driven

      The weird thing is that Adam Smith pretty much figured it out 200 years ago, and we're only getting it now. The Wealth of Nations pretty much says that people are out for themselves, while The Theory of Moral Sentiments says that within this, we are naturally sympathetic. So we put our hand in our pocket to help the blind or the deaf, either through a system of benefits or charity.

    8. Re:CSR by khallow · · Score: 1

      I'd have to say that I don't know whether this is a problem or not. A lot of the acts for which companies are blamed, aren't things I would make illegal, if I were in charge of law, for example, price fixing, insider trading, monopolies, grandfathered acts of pollution, etc. I get the impression that most of these acts have token penalties so that law givers have a chance to showboat without hurting business much. When real crimes occur, like murder or theft, then the law works as expected.

  23. Terrible PR investment by syousef · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If they hadn't gotten into renewable energy, sure there would have been some good PR lost, but take a look at the backlash they're going to get now pulling out of it. The mistake was to get in if they had no staying power.

    --
    These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
    1. Re:Terrible PR investment by MightyDrunken · · Score: 1

      I generally agree, but I also think they are making a very bad money investment as well.
      While I don't mind whether Shell fund renewable energy projects or not. I would expect them to invest relatively wisely in the short term.

      Carbon capture seems a difficult way of making coal expensive. I can't see how it will ever be a wise move. It is not easy separating the CO2 nor transporting and storing it. How do you make money with it without massive government tax or subsidy? At least with wind and possibly solar power it is possible to make a profit without government involvement.

      Bio-fuels are OK but seem a stop-gap. Once oil reaches high prices then cars will go electric.
      While oil is not at a high price then bio-fuels will be too expensive. Therefore it may have a relatively short period of large profits.

      Even with using algae I can't see how it can scale-up to provide anywhere close to the current world demand for petrol/diesel (over 1800 million tonnes per year).

  24. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Put all objectivists into prisons and lock them into gigantic hamster wheels while collecting the hot air they generate while screaming about purestrain gold. This plan is guaranteed to generate enough power to launch five space shuttles per day for ten years, plus we would be removing all objectivists from society. There is no downside to this plan, if you disagree, you are wrong.

  25. No Conflict. by Inominate · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In fact, it's logical for the oil companies to be behind any future fuels. They already have much of the infrastructure required for it, there is no way any start up can build up to that level in a reasonable amount of time.

    This isn't BIG OIL(ever notice how you can put "big" in front of any industry to make them sound evil?) killing renewable fuels, it's a business accepting that these technologies are unfeasible for them. Wind and solar are dicey at best as energy sources. Hydro is made impossible by the very same environmentalists trashing shell.

    The issues with biofuel come about from the realities of BIG AGRICULTURE. In the US for example, corn is a staple crop. Why? Because of massive government subsidies, ethanol being one of them. Corn is a terrible way to produce it, but it's kept alive to keep money going to farms.

    Biofuel is the here and now, it could be implemented on wide scales quickly and at reasonable cost. But to do so requires farmers to grow something more efficient than corn, and for oil companies to buy into it. BIG OIL isn't retarded, they know they're going to run out of oil and are poised to jump on whatever is next.

    Of course, this is all moot because biofuel and solar/hydro solve two different problems. The problem of generating electricity is very different from that of powering cars. The main issue at hand is finding a way to store energy in a sufficiently dense, low cost package to power a car. Today's batteries are awful at this. All the clean power in the world doesn't mean dick if you can't store and harness it.

  26. Bah by Cervantes · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Bah, humbug.
    Does this mean we can PLEASE break up/ditch/ignore the Corn Cartel... sorry, lobbying group... which is probably the single biggest reason that biofuel is expensive and inefficient and such a bad idea?
    Although I'm unhappy to see Shells move, I can't blame them... they aren't really a R&D outfit, and other startups are taking over the role of expanding wind/hydro/solar and making it profitable. Now, if they would just dump all that money into deciding that algae (or, gasp, hemp!) is a much more efficient biofuel, and help get rid of Big Corn, then everyone could win...

    --
    If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
    1. Re:Bah by Cervantes · · Score: 1

      The surface of the earth could very well feed everyone, if it wasn't for profit hungry empires trying to prop up their inefficient business models along with their inefficient farming methods.

      And I hope your troll mod wasn't for pointing out that the ethanol regulations drove up food prices, because you're right, it did. The problem with ethanol is it's based on corn, which is just about the most inefficient source of it. But a profit hungry empire is trying to prop up their inefficient business model, so here we are, suddenly having rising food prices because all the corn is going into ethanol. Base it on something better (hemp/algae/prairie grass), all of which can be grown on less desirable land, and watch prices fall while still maintaining the biofuel component.

      Oh, wait, can't have that, those products don't have an empire yet...

      --
      If I knew the wedgies I gave you back in 6th grade would have resulted in this . . . I might have taken a moments pause.
  27. No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "[New energy source] or bust" is a very irresponsible thing to say; we need to learn to compromise. But I'll just focus on your particular suggestion of fusion:

    • We don't know when it'll be ready: I went to a talk by one of the guys behind the JET reactor and he said 30-40 years before the first commercial reactor
    • We don't know how much it'll cost: What use will fusion be if it costs more than current power sources?
    • It isn't radiation free: The huge neutron flux it outputs makes the reactor walls highly radioactive, it produces high-level nuclear waste just like any fission plant
    • It needs tritium: Yes fusion plants can produce tritium, but this is a long process and means that even once the technology is ready it'll still be a couple of decades before we have enough tritium being generated to start up large numbers of new power plants

    Fusion is very promising, if only because it has no proliferation worries, but other than that all of the advantages that count are already available in fission reactors.

    • The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it
    • We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead.
      Think solar is renewable? Not as renewable as nuclear.
    • It's safe: If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great
    • It's available now: We cannot wait for the perfect power supply. We need to change over now. We've got the fuel, the tech, the experience.
      All we need is for the public to get their heads out of their asses and learn to accept compromise.
    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    1. Re:No, no, no by szundi · · Score: 1

      I think that accident didn't happen because of the infancy of the technology but because of chains human mistakes operating the facility including turning off the protection mechanism etc.

      I think it strengthens and weakens your point at the same time. The technology is already foolproof and we are dumb not to use it. The humans operating the technology are idiots or some of them are idiots. The more plants you have the more chance you'll get some idiot melting it down.

      Maybe some regulations can decrease this probability by orders of magnitude though.

    2. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your comments on fusion are basically spot on --more or less ;)

      But your comments on Fission are out by quite a bit. First it is *not* cheap. The new reactors are costing upwards of 5billion and can be higher than 10B. That totally ignores waste management costs that are heavily controlled and fixed by government regulation. There is plenty of nuclear fuel if we reprocess and use Thorium fuel cycles. The US does not reprocess and hence on a pure U based cycle you are looking at a few 100s of years IIRC (so a few 1000s with reprocessing). Even with reprocessing 5 billion years of U fuel is not here- but thats long term planing in the extreme.

      Now the "its available now" comes with a caveat. What to do with the waste? Lets at least plan a head a little. We could develop fast reactors and/or accelerators driven reactors to reduce the waste to something quite manageable. But this kind of R&D reactor will come in the 20B+ price bracket with a 10+ year program. Quite similar to Fusion. After than you only know it can work, we still need to build the reactors.

      Personally I think we should invest R&D into both. We don't know if they will be economical. But it would be nice to have the option.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    3. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Yes Chernobyl occurred because of human stupidity, but it also occurred because of new undeveloped technology because in a modern reactor you can't make the sorts of mistakes they made. Also an accident became a disaster because the moderator was explosive, it isn't any more.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    4. Re:No, no, no by hab136 · · Score: 1

      We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead.

      Reprocessing has nuclear proliferation treaty problems. Technically it's sound.

      We could also switch to thorium: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium#Thorium_as_a_nuclear_fuel
      We have about 4x as much thorium as uranium.

    5. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Now the "its available now" comes with a caveat. What to do with the waste?

      Bury it. It's a relatively small problem which we can solve when we have better tech (assuming the waste won't become a commodity), we have bigger things to worry about now.

      First it is *not* cheap.

      "Cheap" is relative, and hard to work out. Should we include a portion of the potential cost of dealing with global warming into the price of a coal plant? Nuclear power, as you said, includes the cost of decommissioning and clean-up.

      Also we don't know how long these plants last. Our current generations of reactors have been able to run long past their original estimated expiry dates; when the cost of the fuel is so cheap and plants last a very long time the cost of the plant has to be taken in context.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    6. Re:No, no, no by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You say that 'regulations could decrease this probability (of another accident) by orders of magnitude(...)'. Regulations?! Like SEC regulators that caught Madoff before he could do any real damage with his fraudulent operation? Oh, wait...

      People don't create the fail-safe reactor by following guidelines and rules written by politicians who know shit about nuclear physics. They do it because the incentive of being the safest and most marketable reactor will make them a truckload of money!

      The only thing regulation does is remove a characteristic of a product from the sphere of market competition and turn it into a standard throughout the industry.

      I guess the corporations must like it, its one less thing to be concerned about, but for the rest of us? I don't know. If that's well thought of, great, no harm done, if not, tough luck people, we all blow up at the same time. Did we forget the old adage of 'having all eggs in one basket'?

      I don't know where comes this blind faith in 'regulation'. Does _God_ write them?

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    7. Re:No, no, no by squoozer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From what I've read about fusion power I mostly agree with your summary. The only part I would question is the comment on high-level nuclear waste. It's certainly true that the neutron flux will cause the containment vessel to become highly radioactive but by selecting the correct materials for it that radioactivity will be very short lived. I believe that they are talking about half lives of a few years at most. In other words the plant would only need to sit there for maybe 100 years before it could be decommissioned and recycled. We already build structures that are designed to be maintained for over 100 years so this is well within our current capabilities.

      As for tritium production we can always run a couple of nuclear plants to produce it. I think the problem for fusion power will continue to be waste helium removal and a severe lack of funding.

      I agree completely though that nuclear power is our only viable alternative at the moment. We have discovered that uranium is a lot more abundant than we first thought (and we haven't even looked that hard yet) but on it's own it's not enough to power the world for a billion years. If you include reprocessing and thorium breeding then yes we can get power for a very long time but both of those technologies are in their infancy. What we need is for governments to bite the bullet and run a PR campaign for nuclear power. The whole proliferation reason for not reprocessing is starting evaporate as more and more countries get nuclear weapons.

      --
      I used to have a better sig but it broke.
    8. Re:No, no, no by js_sebastian · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Fusion is very promising, if only because it has no proliferation worries, but other than that all of the advantages that count are already available in fission reactors.

      • The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it
      • We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead. Think solar is renewable? Not as renewable as nuclear.
      • It's safe: If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great
      • It's available now: We cannot wait for the perfect power supply. We need to change over now. We've got the fuel, the tech, the experience. All we need is for the public to get their heads out of their asses and learn to accept compromise.

      I think you are a bit over-optimistic about fission.

      The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it

      I don't think it is cheap... at least if coal is your benchmark of cheap (which seems to be the benchmark renewables are subjected to). It is only cheap when it is a by-product of military nuclear proliferation (as in france). But pure-civilian nuclear energy is probably more expensive than, say, current wind technology (although perhaps more scalable).

      We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead. Think solar is renewable? Not as renewable as nuclear.

      I may be wrong, but I don't think breeder reactors have been tested yet on a large scale. The current uranium-based nuclear economy has in fact an extremely limited supply of fuel. Don't have the citation, but I think I saw a report that put uranium supply for current plants to run out in some 35 year.

      It's safe: If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great

      Well.. chernobyl was the biggest accident, but there were quite a few smaller ones or near misses. The technology from 30 years ago is not so different from the current one, in the sense that chernobyl was a second generation reactor, which is what most of the installed base still is. But true, we now have a few 3rd generation, passive safety reactors already in operation that are supposed to be better.

      That being said, I don't necessarily disagree with you that nuclear may be one path out of the shithole we are driving ourselves into.

    9. Re:No, no, no by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      Honestly $5b-$10b per reactor doesn't seem terrible to me, really. The federal government has been consistently spending $5-10b per year on renewable-energy subsidies, so if that money would buy us one fission plant per year, that seems like a better use of it.

    10. Re:No, no, no by johannesg · · Score: 1

      We don't know when it'll be ready: I went to a talk by one of the guys behind the JET reactor and he said 30-40 years before the first commercial reactor

      Well, all the more reason to get started right away then!

      We don't know how much it'll cost: What use will fusion be if it costs more than current power sources?

      Are you looking at cost including all development of the technology or cost once the technology is mature? Have you included costs that are not directly related to running the fusion plant, such as environmental cost of alternatives?

      It isn't radiation free: The huge neutron flux it outputs makes the reactor walls highly radioactive, it produces high-level nuclear waste just like any fission plant

      It is not at all "like any fission plant". The volumes and halflife of the waste are much smaller, and therefore much more managable. Think "hundreds of years" instead of hundreds of thousands.

      It needs tritium: Yes fusion plants can produce tritium, but this is a long process and means that even once the technology is ready it'll still be a couple of decades before we have enough tritium being generated to start up large numbers of new power plants

      Tritium is helpful but not required.

      Fusion is very promising, if only because it has no proliferation worries, but other than that all of the advantages that count are already available in fission reactors.

      The fuel for fusion reactors is effectively unlimited while uranium is a finite resource just like oil. The amount of radioactive waste is far more managable with fusion. And there is no risk of a meltdown. Other than that, they are completely the same...

      The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it

      That's only true for France.

      We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead.

      I'm not sure about breeder reactors so you _could_ be right on that score, but given the bullshit you spew elsewhere it is hard to believe...

      Think solar is renewable? Not as renewable as nuclear.

      ???

      It's safe: If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great

      It has had plenty of accidents so far, and that "one" accident you refer to (probably meant to be Chernobyl, but possibly Three Mile Island or Windscale) laid waste to a significant part of a country. I'm not opposed to fission power at all, but don't bullshit us about safety. There is a clear risk and the potential damage done if something goes wrong is immense.

      It's available now: We cannot wait for the perfect power supply. We need to change over now. We've got the fuel, the tech, the experience.

      Uhm... Are you selling these things by any chance? And what exactly is your problem with the development of nuclear fusion?

      All we need is for the public to get their heads out of their asses and learn to accept compromise.

      All we really need is a commitment from the people running the plant that they will never compromise on safety, never lie about accidents, and be the first people on the spot to clean up after it all goes south. As long as they have a healthy attitude of fear about their job I'm fine with nuclear fission.

      I'm not fine with some commercial company running a plant at lowest possible cost, far away from corporate HQ, compromising on safety factors and ignoring best practices. Unfortunately, that is reality for many plants today.

      I'd also like an answer to the question of what the people in Iran, North Korea, and Afghanistan (to name just three) are supposed to do for their energy generation needs. Because I'm actually more comfortable with fission right next door than fission in countries with weak oversight or malicious intentions...

    11. Re:No, no, no by internettoughguy · · Score: 1

      yea i agree, fission seems to be the best option to replace all the fossil fuels currently used, ie prop up the power grid alongside hydro and wind, and hopefully produce hydrogen fuel via electrolysis. it seems we have the tech now to do these things, it just requires the want.

    12. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would agree. Yet so many complain about the money invested in fusion. For ITER thats about 20B for 10+ years of R&D. Not bad really.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    13. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Bury it.

      What could possibly go wrong. After all CO2 is not a pollutant so just worry about the S compounds. How did that turn out? Oh thats right it is a pollutant. Now lets look at the containers that should last at least 100 years with waste. Many have not even lasted 20 years before leaking. If you want a real ecological disaster try heavy metal poisoning with radiation.

      Also those prices don't include decommissioning cost. That gets even more interesting and one of the prime reasons for extending a plants life beyond its original design parameters. Its cheaper to let it be the next board of directors problem.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    14. Re:No, no, no by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      > After all CO2 is not a pollutant ...

      How the fuck is CO2 a pollutant when plants _breathe_ it in???

    15. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Two words. Climate change. It is now considered a pollutant and has been for a few years now.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    16. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Well, all the more reason to get started right away then!

      We have started, we're building Iter at the moment, and by the time Iter is in full swing we'll be working on the next one. They're going just about as fast as they can, but it'll still take too long.

      Are you looking at cost including all development of the technology or cost once the technology is mature? Have you included costs that are not directly related to running the fusion plant, such as environmental cost of alternatives?

      Look at it whichever way you like; how much will the research cost before it becomes commercial, or how much will the reactors cost, how much will the power cost at your house, how long will the reactors last for.

      Except for the fuel we just don't know how much it'll cost, and what will we do if the perfect power supply that we're all waiting for turns out to cost too much to be economical?

      It is not at all "like any fission plant". The volumes and halflife of the waste are much smaller, and therefore much more managable. Think "hundreds of years" instead of hundreds of thousands.

      We're worried about the high-level waste. The stuff that is radioactive for hundreds of thousands of years isn't a concern (except for its toxicity) because obviously to have a huge half-life it has to be very inactive.
      Also the method they'll use to contain the fusion radiation is still being developed. Liquid sodium is an option, but they don't know and you're comparing the best-case future scenario for fusion with existing fission technology (and not even comparing with fission waste reprocessing)

      Tritium is helpful but not required.

      My understanding was tritium is the T in "D-T" fuel that Iter will be using. Unless you're talking about some different type of fusion that'll take even longer to develop I think there'll be a long waiting period for commercial reactors to ramp up because they have to wait for tritium.

      That's only true for France.

      Fair enough, but supposing you need a carbon-free fuel source now. A good way to do it would be to look at the world's power generators by %, because actual usage is the best test of viability.
      You'll see nuclear up at the top, and limited availability hydro-electric power, followed a long ways off by solar/wind.

      The fuel for fusion reactors is effectively unlimited while uranium is a finite resource just like oil.

      Fissile fuels are abundant. We have about as much thorium as we have lead. Just like fusion the cost of the power is the cost of the plant.

      The amount of radioactive waste is far more managable with fusion. And there is no risk of a meltdown. Other than that, they are completely the same...

      Talk to me about the pros and cons of fusion waste when it's ready. Until then we just don't know.
      Regarding meltdown new reactors are critically safe; meaning that there is no risk of a meltdown. Instead of the fusion research which has gone into making it work the last decades of fission research have gone into making it safer, output less waste, use different kinds of fuel.
      Why accept that fusion can advance but dismiss fission; surely if it was dangerous then it must be now right?

      It has had plenty of accidents so far, and that "one" accident you refer to (probably meant to be Chernobyl, but possibly Three Mile Island or Windscale) laid waste to a significant part of a country. I'm not opposed to fission power at all, but don't bullshit us about safety. There is a clear risk and the potential damage done if something goes wrong is immense.

      Three Mile Island was handled fine and nothing came of it, and Windscale was about generating plutonium for a nuclear device and bears no resemblance to a nuclear plant (and although it's not nuclear power so I'm not interested in d

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    17. Re:No, no, no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      People don't create the fail-safe reactor by following guidelines and rules written by politicians who know shit about nuclear physics. They do it because the incentive of being the safest and most marketable reactor will make them a truckload of money!

      Yeah right - up to the point where running a shoddy plant will make them more short term profit.

      I don't know where comes this blind faith in 'regulation'. Does _God_ write them?

      I don't know where comes this blind faith in 'the market'. As history has shown us over and over again, if you leave a market entirely to itself, someone will figure out how to game it and screw everyone else over.

    18. Re:No, no, no by Socguy · · Score: 1

      The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it

      Many countries have had no choice but to attempt the nuclear route and would rather go another way. Many countries still face massive cost overruns building Nuclear plants. Additionally, where's the accounting for the expense of keeping the growing piles of waste potentially for a million years? Where's the accounting of the CO2 and other environmental damage from the mining and enrichment phase?

      We have plenty of nuclear fuel: There won't ever be a nuclear fuel crisis because before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead.

      If you say so.

      It's safe: If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great

      the threat of Human error/stupidity/wilful sabotage is alway there. FYI, there are accidents of varying degrees of severity all the time. Besides, the longer we go without a Chernobyl type event the more lulled everybody becomes. Already Alberta is floating the idea of 12 never-built-before reactors to supply the energy to extract Oil from the Tar sands without the sarcophagus because these new plants theoretically can't melt down and darn it if building all those pesky safety features takes time and money.

      It's available now: We cannot wait for the perfect power supply. We need to change over now. We've got the fuel, the tech, the experience. All we need is for the public to get their heads out of their asses and learn to accept compromise.

      Wind, Solar, Solar Thermal, Geothermal ect. are also ready to go now. Nuclear still carries great risks whether you want to admit it or not.

    19. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 3, Informative

      chernobyl was a second generation reactor

      It was in fact a -1 generation reactor. Really. It didn't have even no brainier safety built in and no containment vessel. It had a negative void coefficient no documentation almost no training for the staff. Finally they did the evils of evils, they tried to restart a pile from a shutdown in under 24 hours. Due to Xe poisoning this is a really really bad idea.

      Chernobyl is not an example of how unsafe nuclear is. Its a example of how unsafe we can build stuff to save a buck.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    20. Re:No, no, no by Qzukk · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They do it because the incentive of being the safest and most marketable reactor

      And since when has marketing been anything but a boatload of lies?

      They'll market their reactor as the safest, and when it blows up, they'll have pulled their cash out of the corporation and run for the hills, leaving behind a husk of a limited liability corp and the taxpayers holding the bag of a really, really expensive Superfund site.

      Not to say that the current regulations have done that great of a job. America is now decades behind modern reactor technology thanks to them. I'd love to be able to trust corporations without government interference, but when they barely manage to clear the hurdles of regulation what makes people think they're going to bother to jump when the hurdles are removed?

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    21. Re:No, no, no by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Two words. Climate change. It is now considered a pollutant and has been for a few years now.

      Then you are a polluter every time you exhale.

      That is, unless you are a plant, which I'm not wholly unconvinced.

      Shame on you otherwise.

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    22. Re:No, no, no by flickwipe · · Score: 1

      Now the "its available now" comes with a caveat. What to do with the waste?

      dig a whole and bury it

    23. Re:No, no, no by Guysmiley777 · · Score: 1

      Ozone is a good thing right? Protects us from the Sun's UV radiation, right? How'd you like your house to be filled with ozone?

      --
      Coding with assembly is like playing with Legos. Coding an application in assembly is like building a car with Legos.
    24. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      If you want a real ecological disaster try heavy metal poisoning with radiation.

      Another example of the double standards fission faces when it comes to safety.
      We dump our electronics full of toxic chemicals in land fills, factories all over the world have filled rivers with all sorts of industrial waste, we used to (and in many places still do) discharge cities worth of sewage directly into rivers, but when it comes to nuclear waste secure burial in a radiation absorbing medium in an underground concrete bunker isn't enough.

      Yet this goes even further than the usual double-standard because you actually don't have a problem with nuclear waste from a fusion plant, just from fission plants. But that's green nuclear waste of course; high-tech nuclear waste, powered by water and magnetic coils.

      Also those prices don't include decommissioning cost.

      Really? They do where I come from, because how else is the company that built it going to decommission it?
      I thought the lifetimes of the reactors had increased because the safety margins were large, designs were sound, and estimates were conservative.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    25. Re:No, no, no by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      what makes people think they're going to bother to jump when the hurdles are removed?

      Competitors.

      They'll market their reactor as the safest, (...)

      Lets compare a 'heavy regulation' with a 'lower regulation' example.

      Do you dig in various banks balance sheets before you create a checking account? Can you imagine how pissed off Madoff's 'customers' are at the SEC right now? I'm guessing mighty pissed.

      Now, how much research do you do when you're buying a five grand flat screen TV? Do you just buy the first hunk of crap with the fancy ad?

      So, if average consumers are so careful to buy an appliance, what makes you think that purchasers of 500 million dollar reactors would suddenly act like brain-dead retards?

      They won't, unless all US made reactors are exactly the same - except for the brand name, since they all used the corresponding volumes of the Federal Register as their blueprints, which leads to my previous point about regulations being simply an anti-competition gimmick.

      Marketing is more useful the more the product you make is regulated, since an increasing number of product characteristics are simply standardized by law. Do you find it a coincidence that it has been one of the fastest growing careers in the past century?

      (...) and when it blows up, they'll have pulled their cash out of the corporation and run for the hills, leaving behind a husk of a limited liability corp and the taxpayers holding the bag of a really, really expensive Superfund site.

      Limited liability laws are shit, I wholeheartedly agree. But they are what they are: laws. Remember who makes them?

      In a truly free market, corporations might declare limited liability or they might take unlimited liability, but in such a scenario I'm guessing a limited liability corporation building a 1.21 gigawatt nuclear reactor in downtown Manhattan is gonna have a little difficulty getting capital. :-)

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    26. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Boron fusion solves the second two issues. The Bussard polywell design is looking promising, and the navy's still funding it after testing some prototypes, so...

      A good response to this information: Sounds interesting, I'd be interested in reading a report on it to decide if it's worth funding some R&D

      A bad, but all too common response: Fission isn't the answer to solving global warming, I heard about this boron thing and it sounds really good; once that comes along we'll be set, so let's not be hasty and start building fission plants. The researchers said just a few more years, by the time we've built a new generation of plants they'll be done

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    27. Re:No, no, no by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it

      False. One European country gets a majority of their power from nuclear -- France. And the only reason France does is that they have no other feasible options (little coal, oil, or other domestic energy source).

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    28. Re:No, no, no by MightyDrunken · · Score: 1

      Regarding your points on fusion, they are correct but are they really that important?
      The problem with fusion is that not much money is being spend on it. For instance ITER, by far the biggest project, has an estimated cost of 5 billion Euros in total. This is divided by over 30 countries over 30 years, this is not very much money considering.

      In fact it is laughable, as anyone with an ounce of thought can see that over the coming decades power generation is going to become a large and very expensive problem. Will ITER work? Who knows, but it's worth finding out soon.

      P.S. In December 2007, the United States zeroed funding for ITER in fiscal year 2008. </cry>

    29. Re:No, no, no by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      Do you dig in various banks balance sheets before you create a checking account?

      If FDIC and the SEC did not exist, do you think that the banks would allow me to see their real balance sheets, or would they just tell me "The company expects its capital ratios at quarter-end to remain significantly above the levels for well-capitalized institutions and continues to be confident that it has sufficient liquidity and capital to support its operations while it returns to profitability"? (...wait, that's what they said WITH the regulators breathing down their necks. Another regulatory hurdle... would they have even bothered to try without them?)

      a limited liability corporation building a 1.21 gigawatt nuclear reactor in downtown Manhattan is gonna have a little difficulty getting capital. :-)

      Why? If the members' liabilities are actually limited, what does some guy in California (or China) care what happens to Manhattan, as long as he gets his money back before it does?

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    30. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the currently planed small PWR and BWR have climb dramatically. Estimates over the 1B mark even for the smallest ones. Also any water based coolant means a slow neutron spectrum which mean that you can't "burn" your waste. So you still have the waste problem. But yes there uptime have been fixed more or less and they are proven and cheaper than R&D. But that doesn't mean we should avoid the R&D.

      Really is it so hard to see that trading CO2 for nuclear waste that has no long term plaining solutions is not a net gain?

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    31. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      growing piles of waste potentially for a million years?

      If waste is radioactive for a million years it doesn't emit enough radiation to be dangerous (It's called "physics"). The concern is the mid/high-level waste, which lasts a few thousand years.

      In breeder reactors nuclear waste is a fissile fuel, that waste will end up as a commodity once enrichable uranium becomes more expensive. And who knows what future tech might also be able to deal with radioactive waste?
      Maybe once fusion is available to provide a powerful source of neutrons we can use it to break the waste down, maybe nanotech advances will allow us to build far better containers, maybe we'll figure out the material to make a space elevator so getting rid of it is cheap.
      We have bigger problems facing us now which we don't have until the end of civilization to solve.

      the threat of Human error/stupidity/wilful sabotage is alway there.

      Modern reactors have physical limitations which prevent meltdowns/explosions. e.g. Chernobyl happened because of stupidity + an explosive moderator. An explosive moderator for a nuclear plant was decided to be a bad design choice, so now they're inert; Chernobyl can't happen with other reactors.
      Other physical limitations in even newer reactors make meltdowns physically impossible.

      As for stupidity and terrorism; those are sad, sad reasons to halt progress..

      FYI, there are accidents of varying degrees of severity all the time.

      Accidents varying from what to what? I haven't heard of any serious injury at a nuclear plant except at Chernobyl (did Three Mile Island even have any?), so I'm guessing they varying from stubbing a toe to spilling some hot coffee.

      Homer Simpson isn't really a nuclear safety technician; nuclear power has a great safety record compared to other power sources (except for wind, solar, and hamster-wheel power of course).

      Already Alberta is floating the idea of 12 never-built-before reactors to supply the energy to extract Oil from the Tar sands without the sarcophagus because these new plants theoretically can't melt down and darn it if building all those pesky safety features takes time and money.

      Maybe it can't melt down? Maybe we've learned a thing or two since Chernobyl? I don't know why some people can't get their head around the idea that fission reactor designs can improve

      By the way oil companies deciding to use nuclear power, so that the public can generate their power with oil, is a really bizarre scenario of the sort which only seems to happen when the public is being superstitious.

      Wind, Solar, Solar Thermal, Geothermal ect. are also ready to go now.

      Then why does no country get a significant portion of its power from them? The ultimate test of whether a power source is viable is "does anyone use it?"
      (Please no examples of icelandic towns on a volcano using geothermal, villages in scotland using wind or saharan communities using solar, no stats about new/future technology or conspiracy theories about power companies).

      Renewables are expensive, can be environmentally damaging (solar panels are dirty to make, hydro-electric has huge impacts of course), may not be available everywhere, and can't scale.
      If this wasn't true we'd be using it already. If research into these technologies makes them viable then great, but we need solutions now.

      You can ask for the government switch to renewables all you want, but they'll never do it and nothing will change. What you'll get are token gestures like a solar plant that powers a few thousand homes and a useless carbon capture plant. Perhaps instead of building a coal/nuclear plant they'll import coal/nuclear power from your neighboring country, which has stronger leadership or a more reasonable populace.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    32. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1
      We get fined if we dump electronics. In the EU lead free solders have to be used. Sewage is *not* dump into rivers. Really what part of the developed nations are still doing this?

      And even if they are, how the hell does that make dumpping more dangerous waste valid?

      Yet this goes even further than the usual double-standard because you actually don't have a problem with nuclear waste from a fusion plant

      I don't? where did i say that? And as others have noted its LOW level waste from a fusion plant. And we can even tune how low. This is what ITER is about.

      They do where I come from, because how else is the company that built it going to decommission it?

      Simple. You get that part of the cost *when* they start to decommission it. There is not that much data on civilian plants getting decommission at this stage, so the cost are hard to estimate. Really there has been very little true commercial nuclear plants build. They have been tied up with a lot of military interests and subsidies. Its not clear nuclear is cost effective.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    33. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Yep. It seems we have plenty of money for all the wrong things.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    34. Re:No, no, no by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It's certainly true that the neutron flux will cause the containment vessel to become highly radioactive but by selecting the correct materials for it that radioactivity will be very short lived.

      Assuming of course that the materials that will have short half lives are materials compatible with the core of a fusion reactor. That's not a given.
       
       

      I believe that they are talking about half lives of a few years at most. In other words the plant would only need to sit there for maybe 100 years before it could be decommissioned and recycled.

      IIRC, for the ITER reactor they are planning on a 20 year period between decommissioning and dismantlement, followed by burial. Not recycling.

    35. Re:No, no, no by ultranova · · Score: 1

      what makes people think they're going to bother to jump when the hurdles are removed?

      Competitors.

      Competition means that they'll cut safety features out of the design to make it cheaper. And quality workmanship also costs.

      Do you dig in various banks balance sheets before you create a checking account?

      No. But then again I live in a country where banks are heavily regulated.

      Now, how much research do you do when you're buying a five grand flat screen TV? Do you just buy the first hunk of crap with the fancy ad?

      I would never put five thousand dollars into a television. I wouldn't put that much into any entertainment.

      So, if average consumers are so careful to buy an appliance, what makes you think that purchasers of 500 million dollar reactors would suddenly act like brain-dead retards?

      Modern applicances are crap. They are crap because cheap crap sells over more expensive quality stuff. Crap breaks down quickly, and likely costs more in the long run, but it's cheaper at the moment of purchase, so it oversells non-crap.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    36. Re:No, no, no by ultranova · · Score: 1

      In other words the plant would only need to sit there for maybe 100 years before it could be decommissioned and recycled. We already build structures that are designed to be maintained for over 100 years so this is well within our current capabilities.

      Build the reactors underground and when it is time to decommission them, just pour concrete down the chute.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    37. Re:No, no, no by sac13 · · Score: 1

      I don't know where comes this blind faith in 'regulation'. Does _God_ write them?

      +10 Insightful...

      These people are so down on the evil people running the evil corporations, but there's MANY of them, each with relatively little influence on your life (AND you generally have a choice unless the government has granted someone a monopoly... i.e. cable & power companies). But, then, they want to give the one corporation (government is nothing more than a special artificial entity) that can use deadly force AND has a PURE monopoly than can't be challenged even more power over their lives?

      That's not "out of the frying pan into the fire." It's "out of the heating lamp into the sun."

      Corporations suck. But, who the hell can take an honest look at government and think it's even remotely as good. You've got corrupt, power-hungry jerk-offs running both. At least with the corporations, I can buy someone else's product or choose to do without. When it's the government, they shove it down your throat like it or not.

      And don't give me any b.s. about democracy and "of the people." If you believe that, enjoy your cocktails with Santa and the Easter Bunny... and I really want to see your pics of Jesus doing keg-stands, too.

    38. Re:No, no, no by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      before we've used the enrichable uranium ore, and then reprocessed and reused all of the nuclear waste in our breeder reactors, the sun will be dead. ...If the only reason for not going for it is an accident 30 years ago when the technology was in its infancy that's great. ...All we need is for the public to get their heads out of their asses and learn to accept compromise.

      That totally ignores waste management costs that are heavily controlled and fixed by government regulation. There is plenty of nuclear fuel if we reprocess and use Thorium fuel cycles. The US does not reprocess and hence on a pure U based cycle you are looking at a few 100s of years IIRC (so a few 1000s with reprocessing). Even with reprocessing 5 billion years of U fuel is not here- but thats long term planing in the extreme.

      Or you could read the post before replying.
      Heavily controlled and regulated? Well, a good part of that is because of regulations and a political lack of desire to reprocess or use breeders, which would make the waste safer and less quantity. When U gets low (if we don't find a better solution first), I'm sure that problem would go away.
      And why do you keep talking about only using uranium and reprocessing it? He clearly mentions breeders, reprocessing, etc.
      I think what it's ultimately going to take for the US to change the rules about nuclear is peak oil to hit and Americans to look north or over the pond, and realize that stupid and outdated legislation is hitting them in the pocketbook. That day is not today.

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    39. Re:No, no, no by szundi · · Score: 1

      You're right, but the reason is not the modernity of the technology but some if-else branches were eradicated.

    40. Re:No, no, no by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      If FDIC and the SEC did not exist, do you think that the banks would allow me to see their real balance sheets, or would they just tell me "The company expects its capital ratios at quarter-end to remain significantly above the levels for well-capitalized institutions and continues to be confident that it has sufficient liquidity and capital to support its operations while it returns to profitability [www.cbc.ca]"? (...wait, that's what they said WITH the regulators breathing down their necks. Another regulatory hurdle... would they have even bothered to try without them?)

      I think I didn't get my 'regulation as a form of collusion' point across... Lemme try to restate it in a makeshift example.

      We live on a society with free banking, no central bank, no depositor insurance, no securities or financial regulators. Suppose we got 10 banks to pick from. People care deeply where they deposit their money, since these are fractional reserve banks that will loan their monies out tenfold and if they fuck it up, people might lose their savings. The thing is, if just ONE of the ten banks decides to put out a monthly balance sheet that's accurate, the other nine have NO CHOICE but to do the same thing, or lose out their customers i.e. profits.

      Now, these ten banks might collude and agree not to reveal financial information to the public. But that's the tricky part of forming a cartel without the government to discipline 'deal breakers': the benefit to screwing the other guys over by being the first to market with that advantage is too good for any greedy businessman to pass up.

      Another thing, these 'capital ratings' expected for 'capitalized institutions' are defined by the regulatory agencies! The Fed itself sets the reserve ratio for all banks, so there goes another 'perk' consumers can base their 'where to deposit' decision on.

      Not to mention that while that bank representative was lying his teeth out, their stock kept falling. In a world where movies hit file sharing sites before theaters you can't keep this kind of stuff buried. People will just keep shorting your stock while you assure them you're doing just fine.

      Why? If the members' liabilities are actually limited, what does some guy in California (or China) care what happens to Manhattan, as long as he gets his money back before it does?

      Opportunity cost. Just breaking even means you lost a profitable use of that capital somewhere else. Its even worse if the thing blows up before he gets his money back. Being a limited corp, their people will just shrug and say tough.

      I suppose without limited liability laws limited corps would have have a tougher time getting financing while unlimited companies would enjoy a higher degree of investor confidence. Anyways, better than what we have now.

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    41. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      The power is cheap and will scale: Many European countries get the majority of their power from it

      False. One European country gets a majority of their power from nuclear -- France. And the only reason France does is that they have no other feasible options (little coal, oil, or other domestic energy source).

      France sells 18% of its nuclear power to neighboring countries (like Germany) which like to claim they have anti-nuclear pro-renewable policies. Lithuania is also powered by 70% nuclear, and are looking to replace their old Soviet reactor with a new EU one. Sweden gets 52% of its energy from nuclear, Ukraine gets 51%.

      That counts as "a few" right? And most of the rest are at ~20-30% and looking to increase it ( The Italian energy minister has said that ditching nuclear in the early 90's was "a huge mistake", and they started back on the road to nuclear in 2008).
      I think my point that "the power is cheap and will scale" is supported here.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    42. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Well from what I gathered from the guy giving the JET talk funding wasn't an issue. They're already planning for the next reactor now based on technology they're expecting to learn with the Iter reactor; they've staggered the research so that one reactor follows the previous one as fast as possible, and I don't think there's much room to speed things up.

      This will take time, we just can't wait for it or throw money at it and hope a miracle happens; if we can't work with what we have now we're just giving ourselves an excuse to leave it to the next generation (when it'll be even harder to deal with, and they'll have to make an even harder decision to wait or act now)

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    43. Re:No, no, no by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Man, the US isn't a free market. The government interferes every sector of the economy, Federal regulations, taxes and governmental spending are ever increasing not decreasing, the government makes the money and people are forced to use it in all contracts by LAW for heaven's sake. I could go on.

      I really understand and respect your opinion based on thinking that capitalism needs to be meddled with not to be 'bad', your opinion, fine.

      But when using the word 'tail', please do not point at a 'leg'. :-)

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    44. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      In fact the Americans commissioned a report asking "what can we learn from Chernobyl?", the answer was "nothing". When the Three Mile Island incident occurred, and was contained successfully, they actually build containment at Chernobyl. But they only build full containment around one side, and only half protected the other side.

      If one of the contained reactors had blown the sarcophagus would have already been built, and it wouldn't have been so serious.

      It's worth remembering that Chernobyl was a military reactor re-tooled to generate power. As you said it was never an example of a good civilian reactor. They say it's obsolete now, but it was always obsolete.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    45. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Well from what I gathered from the the JET talk funding wasn't an issue. They're already planning for the next reactor now based on technology they're expecting to learn with the Iter reactor; they've staggered the research so that one reactor follows the previous one as fast as possible, and I don't think there's much room to speed things up. This will take time, we just can't wait for it or throw money at it and hope a miracle happens; if we can't work with what we have now we're just giving ourselves an excuse to leave it to the next generation (when it'll be even harder to deal with, and they'll have to make an even harder decision to wait or act now)

      Remember that for fission it's already viable; the R&D goes into making it safer, more efficient, burn cheaper fuels, last longer, etc. The hard part is done, now it's just about improving a viable design. An odd time to decide to only devote research to a new technology

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    46. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      But yes there uptime have been fixed more or less and they are proven and cheaper than R&D. But that doesn't mean we should avoid the R&D.

      Agreed

      Really is it so hard to see that trading CO2 for nuclear waste that has no long term plaining solutions is not a net gain?

      Surely trading a potential future problem, which can be solved at any point up until the end of civilization, for a currently occurring problem that is starting to change world right now is a no brainer?

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    47. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Definitely not bad, but why not add another 20B to move 20-40GW of power production over to a carbon-free alternative in the meantime? (Which won't be a huge amount more than new carbon sources which we would need anyway.)

      "Hope for the best, plan for the worst." "Don't put your eggs in one basket." All that stuff.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    48. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      We get fined if we dump electronics. In the EU lead free solders have to be used. Sewage is *not* dump into rivers. Really what part of the developed nations are still doing this?

      And even if they are, how the hell does that make dumpping more dangerous waste valid?

      It doesn't, it makes it hypocritical to have such high standards for nuclear waste while no-one seems to care about any other sort of waste.

      People dump fridges in sink-holes, don't properly dispose of their electronics and batteries, countries blew up islands to test nuclear weapons, we line our childrens' lungs with smoke ash, pump tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere, fertilizer from farms leaks out, suffocates fish and destroys ecosystems, etc, etc..
      But for nuclear waste secure, responsible disposal in a radiation absorbing medium in sealed casks in a dedicated underground concrete bunker isn't good enough: We have to be able to eradicate it somehow, or transform it into something which you could inject directly into your veins, and we have to be able to do it now, not store it now and do it later.

      When "environmentalists" block a world-class waste storage facility built into a mountain, insisting the waste is cached at power plants across the US rather than buried, it seems more like a bizarre religion than environmentalism

      I don't? where did i say that? And as others have noted its LOW level waste from a fusion plant. And we can even tune how low. This is what ITER is about.

      As I understand Iter is about finding out what medium should be used to capture the neutron flux for conversion into energy. A pretty major question which a lot will ride on; how much radiation will it produce when irradiated, how much heat will it generate, how long will it last, etc?
      Hopefully Iter will give some answers, but at the moment there is definitely nothing to say that it'll be low-level waste. (In fact I usually hear advocates claim it'd be high-level waste with a low half-life.)

      Simple. You get that part of the cost *when* they start to decommission it. There is not that much data on civilian plants getting decommission at this stage, so the cost are hard to estimate. Really there has been very little true commercial nuclear plants build. They have been tied up with a lot of military interests and subsidies.

      France exports 18% of the energy it produces in its reactors (ironically to anti-nuclear pro-renewable neighbors like Germany), plus it exports plenty of reactors too, makes billions, and factors the decommissioning and waste storage costs in (even taking them to be 15% and 10% of the cost of construction respectively).
      It is difficult to say how much they cost, the French power company only became partly public recently. But they made a push for nuclear during the 70's oil crisis, at the same time just about everyone did, so it does seem unlikely that it was uneconomical.

      Same goes for US plants, which were bought by private companies and are also seeing huge profits, upgrading&refitting plants and getting licenses renewed, making money and pushing forward with the next generation of reactors.
      Again calculating the costs is hard, and the next generation will require subsidies to compete with coal, but it has gone from a government business to a government sponsored business. If you take the subsidies in the context of the costs of global warming, and the conservative estimates usually given for the lifetime of a plant, the economics look good.

      Most of all the shares are up and governments around the world are making U-turns on nuclear policy. If it's not economical then what are they all doing?

      Why do you have a "let's try and see" attitude to the economic viability of a power source decades away, but a dismissive attitude towards testing the viability of a power source has had far more development time and R&D?

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    49. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Remember that for fission it's already viable

      I would hold that thought until ITER works as expected (or better).

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    50. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Why do you have a "let's try and see" attitude to the economic viability of a power source decades away, but a dismissive attitude towards testing the viability of a power source has had far more development time and R&D?

      Where are you getting this? Where did I say this?

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    51. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      You might want to check up on the success of the storage of nuclear waste. Just last year both France and Germany discovered leaks of varying degrees of seriousness. This is in containers that are suppose to be good for over 100 years.

      Once you have the waste, you can't just "wait" for a solution. And there are good solutions on the drawing board. Lets work on them rather than repeat the same pattern and never learning a dam thing.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    52. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      You've stated elsewhere that you'd rather see CO2 producing power than fission waste, because we don't know how to eliminate fission waste or that it's expensive etc. I'd say this is a dismissive attitude.

      But you're willing to build fusion reactors when we're not sure what sort of waste it'll produce and how it'll have to be handled, or many of the other outcomes that the research will determine. This seems to be a try-and-see attitude; maybe it'll be the perfect power source and it's worth a thorough investigation, which is my view also.

      The fission waste problem, and the cost problem, are key areas of research into fission reactors, but you seem to put far less faith in R&D into fission than R&D into fusion. (Even though fission produces commercial power)

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    53. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      There you go with the "varying degrees" thing again. It's the language of someone who wants to make something sound serious without knowing or committing to whether or not it actually was.

      I've become very skeptical of stories of nuclear leaks because of stuff like this. It always turns out to be extremely low level stuff, or it leaked into a larger container.
      Yesterday I found a nuclear power controversy sub-section which said "millions of gallons of tritium were leaked, but nothing was said about it for years", but millions of gallons of tritium doesn't exist, and it turned out that the water leak contained so little tritium that it was hundreds of times below background radiation levels.

      Then you have absurdities like Yucca; a functional waste dump in the side of a mountain which environmentalists won't use, requiring the waste to be kept at plants. If the power company detects a waste leak (of any severity) the environmentalists won't consider that the waste could have been securely buried in a specialized facility; it'll be an example of why we should abandon nuclear power.

      This isn't ignoring stuff on the drawing board, this is snubbing actual implemented projects; insanity!

      However I don't know of any spilled waste incident that would have had serious environmental effects. I'm pretty sure there wouldn't be any which go beyond other sorts of dumps and wastes, or the huge numbers of nuclear tests we conducted.

      Also there are good solutions "on the drawing board" for dealing with fission waste products. Why discount these? Why wait and hope fusion's drawing board ideas bear fruit? Why is waiting for a waste disposal technology unacceptable, while waiting for the development of an entire power source is perfectly acceptable? Can't you see the double-standard here??

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    54. Re:No, no, no by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      I think you're doing far too much holding of thought. In 30-40 years (best case, from a scientist who ran JET, who also supported fission as a worthwhile intermediate power supply) when the first fusion plants are rolling out we'll be half way down the IPCC's disastrous "business-as-usual" scenario, and we'll have to hope there's still enough political stability to get fusion technology to everyone.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    55. Re:No, no, no by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      I'm not debating that nuclear is cheap and will scale... my point is that we're not as close to where we should be (even in Europe) as you state.

      Your data is incorrect, not sure where you got it from. There's been a lot of confusion (and politicking) over different ways to calculate percentage of energy consumption by source, there's even confusion over whether we're talking about energy consumption or electricity consumption.

      Here's some more info on : the France situation.

      One note... it's disingenuous to state that 100% of France's energy exports are nuclear, which you seem to claim. It's also important to note that mild winters (such as 06-07 and 07-08) will increase the nuclear percentage -- nuclear is used for baseload supply in France -- while a harsh winter (like 08-09) will result in a lower percentage from nuclear.

      If you get National Geographic, I suggest you read the Feb 09 issue, it explains very well the nuances of calculating where various nation's energy/electricity consumption is coming from.

      Also please note that Sweden, as of 2008, didn't even produce 50% of its energy from nuclear, and imports over 35% of its energy (which is not over half nuclear). As for Lithuania, I don;t want to amrginalize them, but their energy consumption is so small as to barely affect European consumption on the whole.

      In short, I think the figures you refer to assume that whenever mathematically possible, energy exports/imports are calculated as 100% nuclear. This is simply not the case.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    56. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      There you go with the "varying degrees" thing again. It's the language of someone who wants to make something sound serious without knowing or committing to whether or not it actually was.

      You can look up the official story yourself. Its been in and out of the papers here in the EU for the last year. I'm on a NDA.

      Also there are good solutions "on the drawing board" for dealing with fission waste products. Why discount these?

      Did you read my posts? Where did i say that? Because *I* am not discounting them. I'm saying we should do the ground work on them *NOW* not later when we have even more waste to deal with.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    57. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      I said lets do the *R&D* on both!

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    58. Re:No, no, no by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1
      I see whats happened. I read the above as

      Remember that for fusion it's already viable

      My bad.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    59. Re:No, no, no by johannesg · · Score: 1

      Hmm, arguing in a very old post is not likely to be read by anyone but I'll try anyway:

      We have started, we're building Iter at the moment, and by the time Iter is in full swing we'll be working on the next one. They're going just about as fast as they can, but it'll still take too long.

      Just to be clear: I was not arguing that fusion is the only possible future, or that we should exclude alternatives, I was arguing not to discard it just because it is not ready right now.

      Your statement that "we" are building Iter at the moment intrigues me: are you actually working for Iter?

      Why accept that fusion can advance but dismiss fission; surely if it was dangerous then it must be now right?

      I'm not dismissing fission at all! I was under the impression that you were dismissing fusion simply because it is still very much under development. My argument is that this development is necessary - even if we don't know _right now_ if the power plants will ever be economically viable.

      Three Mile Island was handled fine and nothing came of it, and Windscale was about generating plutonium for a nuclear device and bears no resemblance to a nuclear plant (and although it's not nuclear power so I'm not interested in defending Windscale; it wasn't a big deal; some short-lived radiation was leaked through the scrubbers, but we don't even know if it caused any health problems to anyone).

      How about this? Sure, it is not the accident we were talking about, but it is the same plant (more or less), and it is very much part of the fission industry.

      It also demonstrates my main concern with fission: no accountability, and the people in charge care only about the bottom line. And I will maintain that fission is too dangerous as long as that attitude of "nothing wrong here, not our problem" persists.

      Besides reactors developed since those early ones are far safer, we have come a long way technologically since the cold war. ...

      I have no problem with it, it's very promising. My problem is with people who say "lets not work our problems out; once [new technology] arrives that'll be taken care of".

      And how many of those new reactor designs have actually been built? To my knowledge, none. So your "safe" reactors are in fact just as hypothetical as fusion plants.

      In terms of deaths per gigawatt nuclear will be one of the safest records of all power sources (unless you consider everyone who got cancer in Europe or Russia for the last few decades to be a direct cause of Chernobyl).

      So you would say it was a minor incident, in the end?

      Just as a thought experiment, what is this were to happen, not in thinly-populated Ukraine, but somewhere in overcrowded western Europe or Japan?

      The people and wildlife which are killed (or displaced) when hydro-electric plants get built, disasters like the Piper Alpha platform fire, coal mine collapses and slag heap landslides, mining accidents, these are seen as an unfortunate industrial accidents which we have to accept.

      All of those are, in the end, minor and localized problems. The problem with nuclear is that it is _not_ a localized problem when things go wrong.

      With fission though a single accident can hold back progress and research and result in policy changes and hysterical opposition for decades to come.

      Without such opposition, fission would never become any safer. And I'm not convinced that the people running the plants care more about safety than about the bottom line, even today.

  28. Re:Neither. They're responsible by int69h · · Score: 1

    Please learn the correct usage of ad hominem before you ever type it again on the internet. Here's one form of ad hominem to get you started.

    Oil companies can't be trusted when they say that some alternative energy sources are financially sound investments, because they're just propping up their multi billion dollar fossil fuel industry

  29. Re:Really, all three? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Capitalism is the enshrinement of the profit motive. Not only do you worship it, but you're using unfair trade rules, corporate strongarming and even military action to "liberate" the rest of the world from all other methods of social organization.

    When you stop thinking that you have the best country in the world, then you can start whining about things like this. Until then, however, bend over and take it like good little consumers.

  30. Re:Neither. They're responsible by szundi · · Score: 1

    That means 'they are NOT financially sound investments'... :)

  31. Re:Now with MOAR POAST Tsarkon Reports Yoda by MrNaz · · Score: 1

    I cannot fathom the kind of person who would actually spend the time to write that. Truly, I'm astonished.

    --
    I hate printers.
  32. This leaves them alone by iamacat · · Score: 3, Insightful

    With BP, Arco and other companies at least acknowledging in TV ads that the current 100% reliance on fossil fuels is unsustainable and other solutions, along with simply using less, are a must. Shell is an awfully wealthy company and investing 1% of the money they spend on locating new oil sources would finance an awful lot of school/university projects to come up with financially viable forms of alternative energy. This investment would have more than paid for itself just on PR value.

    I have never been particularly loyal to any brand of gas, but I think I will start using the BP station 3 blocks down the road that I drive to get home anyway rather than Shell which is just at the highway exit.

    1. Re:This leaves them alone by CubeDude213 · · Score: 1

      Just because a BP station has a BP sign doesn't many there is *any* guarantee you're pumping BP gas. Most stations in the US are franchises, not owned by the oil companies.

      Most of these franchises are free to pump *whomevers gas is cheapest.* They buy on the wholesale market.

      What you *are* guaranteed is that the gas you pump will include that companies add-pack. The most famous of these is Chevron's Techron add-pack.

      IOW, that BP station could have BP, Shell, ConocoPhilips, Exxon or even Citgo gas coming out of its pumps.

      (Also, the gas stations don't care about this. They don't make their money here, they make it selling you a $3 soda)

    2. Re:This leaves them alone by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>would finance an awful lot of school/university projects

      You didn't see the bit about them diverting research money instead into carbon sequestration technologies? IMO, these ideas have a lot more potential for stopping climate change (however much of a threat it actually is) than alternative energies.

      Or to put it another way, we're nowhere close to having a viable solar-powered car, but we are reasonably close to a zero CO2 gas-powered car.

  33. Re:Neither. They're responsible by F34nor · · Score: 1

    People like to vilify Shell because they are total assholes. Do some research on what they did to the women of a Nigerian village who objected to having oil tar poured on their fields. Shell is one of the most evil companies on the planet bar none. You can be an oil company without having people murdered.

  34. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 1

    No, the executive-hating parent made no point and clearly has no understanding of the oil industry, if they sincerely believe that oil executives do no work. Nor have they seen people cycling to work at the Shell Centre on the south bank.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  35. stunt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "end its investment in wind, solar and hydro projects":
    twas just a PR stunt so they, as oil company, could
    make TV adds for themselves that for once didn't
    involve a car.
    *VVRRRRROOOOoomm*
    -
    side note: whats more free then water dropping from
    the sky, light shinning from the sun and wind?
    not a sound investment? lol

  36. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Theoretically, television may be feasible, but I consider it an impossibility--a development which we should waste little time dreaming about.
    - Lee de Forest, 1926, inventor of the cathode ray tube

    I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
    - Thomas J. Watson, 1943, Chairman of the Board of IBM

    It doesn't matter what he does, he will never amount to anything.
    - Albert Einstein's teacher to his father, 1895

    It will be years - not in my time - before a woman will become Prime Minister.
    - Margaret Thatcher, 1974

    This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.
    - Western Union internal memo, 1876

    We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.
    - Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962

    Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?
    - H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927

    640K ought to be enough for anybody.
    - Bill Gates, 1981

    Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction.
    - Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872

    Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.
    - Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949

    We don't need you. You haven't got through college yet.
    - Hewlett-Packard's rejection of Steve Jobs, who went on to found Apple Computers

    King George II said in 1773 that the American colonies had little stomach for revolution.

    An official of the White Star Line, speaking of the firm's newly built flagship, the Titanic, launched in 1912, declared that the ship was unsinkable.

    In 1939 The New York Times said the problem of TV was that people had to glue their eyes to a screen, and that the average American wouldn't have time for it.

    An English astronomy professor said in the early 19th century that air travel at high speed would be impossible because passengers would suffocate.

    Airplanes are interesting toys, but they have no military value.
    - Marshal Ferdinand Foch in 1911

    With over 50 foreign cars already on sale here, the Japanese auto industry isn't likely to carve out a big slice of the U.S. market.
    - Business Week, 1958

    Whatever happens, the U.S. Navy is not going to be caught napping.
    - Frank Knox, U.S. Secretary of the Navy, on December 4, 1941

    Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.
    - Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, October 16, 1929.

  37. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Alternative" energy sources are feasible, but they just don't make as much money as oil. In the long run "alternative" energy sources (like wind for example) are much more economically feasible (to ordinary citizens at least) because they don't cause global warming, smog, lung cancer, asthma, etc.

    So you need to get your government to legislate for these externalities, because at the moment these have no effects on the economics at all. Shell is inherently a long-run enterprise, you can't just pull a chemical plant out of your backside and start making money. Shell are looking at the long-run and saying that governments will not have the courage to make difficult decisions and so they will scramble towards biofuels as an eco-sop and a way of subsidising farmers.

    See here, these have been published for some time, and give insight to what Shell are doing today.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  38. Only if you ignore the rest of the world by hax0r_this · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sure, if Shell were the only company in the world, they wouldn't have any incentive to invest in alternative energy. But if they don't, someone else will. So while a solar panel sold may be a lost oil sale, Shell would sure as hell rather be the ones profiting on the solar panel.

    The problem here is that there is no profit in the alternative energy business, at least not on the scale Shell operates on. One day that will change, but there is still too much oil in the world for that to happen yet.

    Another issue at play is the tragedy of the commons. The free market model relies on every transaction reflecting the true value of the good changing hands. Thats the idea behind a subsidy; one party is selling a good or service to another party, but the public as a whole also benefits from the service, so the public helps pay for it.

    Thats also the idea behind the failed-as-implemented idea of carbon credits. When I buy a gallon of gasoline and burn it, I just paid a company to pump the oil out of the ground, refine it, ship it to me, etc. I even paid taxes for the roads I drive on. But I went and blew all those toxic fumes into the atmosphere, a public resource, without paying for that resource.

    The only viable solution to this is to impose a tax on every gallon of gasoline equivalent to the cost of removing a gasoline-gallon's worth of exhaust from the atmosphere. By forcing consumers to pay the true cost of gasoline we will allow the free market system to eventually correct the situation and make renewable energy a viable business model that much sooner. Of course some subsidies won't hurt either, but you can't just subsidize "good" without penalizing "bad".

    1. Re:Only if you ignore the rest of the world by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Spot on. The full costs of polluting technologies like coal or oil are not reflected in their price. If it were, the economic proposition for solar would look substantially better. For nuke supporters: If nuclear is so safe and cheap, why is it that every country that produces a substantial amount of power from nuclear has massive government subsidies? Answer: because it really isn't cheap. Kw/hr prices rarely reflect the myriad government subsidies involved.

    2. Re:Only if you ignore the rest of the world by Hatta · · Score: 1

      The only viable solution to this is to impose a tax on every gallon of gasoline equivalent to the cost of removing a gasoline-gallon's worth of exhaust from the atmosphere. By forcing consumers to pay the true cost of gasoline we will allow the free market system to eventually correct the situation and make renewable energy a viable business model that much sooner.

      This would work, but only if implemented worldwide. Otherwise those in countries that do not have the tax will have a competitive advantage against those who do.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    3. Re:Only if you ignore the rest of the world by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      This is so true. We should get right on that as soon as we have one world government.

      But today, if one country imposes such a tax on its own citizens, it amounts to simply shipping that country's jobs and wealth overseas to a country which does not have such a tax.

      Government can be a solution to the tragedy of the commons only when that government has complete authority over the commons in question.

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
  39. Separating silicon and oxygen is expensive. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    Yes, there is a lot of silicon. There is a lot of oxygen. But the silicon is combined with oxygen in sand. The problem is separating the silicon from the oxygen.

    1. Re:Separating silicon and oxygen is expensive. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      for solar cells its growing the high purity crystal thats expensive and very slow.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  40. Re:Neither. They're responsible by F34nor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Oh yeah and another thing. Oil companies are not 'energy companies' they are 'resource extraction companies' there's a difference.

    This relates to an argument about making furnaces better. The furnace company has very little incentive to make a more efficient furnace because they do not have to pay for the consumables and they make a profit off of parts and service. One idea to make HVAC more efficient is to make vertical monopolies within the industry that provide the server of heating or cooling. If the manufacturer has to pay capital costs and variable reoccurring costs then they will make a machine that lasts forever and uses as little resources per unit of heating or cooling as possible. This is why GM killed the EV because they want you to consume parts and service for the (short) life of the car. If GM gave you the service of having a car and had to pay for gas, parts and service you would have 100mpg cars in 10 years that would last a million miles without service. Don't think a million mile per engine car is possible? Look at the Volvo PS-1800, 2 million miles on single engine made in the 1960s.

    Oil companies have generated more super wealthy people on this planet than any other human activity; don't underestimate people's ability to do evil when it comes to trillions of dollars.

  41. Biofuel is pretty unethical by Jeppe+Salvesen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We don't have enough arable land on planet earth to fully convert from oil to biofuel.

    Furthermore, it's a physical fuel that must be grown (on land, using fertilizers, pesticides and farm machinery), processed (expending energy) and then transported (expending energy).

    Biofuel is only cheap because of gullible (or corrupt) politicians.

    --

    Stop the brainwash

    1. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by Samschnooks · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We don't have enough arable land on planet earth to fully convert from oil to biofuel.

      Who said anything about fully converting from oil to bio? Shell just wants to concentrate their investments on biofuel.

      We all know it's going to take a portfolio of energy sources to get away from oil and coal and we're going to eventually need some sort of replacement fuels for all of those legacy motor vehicles that will be on the road. And you just know that folks will bitch about oil based fuel disappearing off of the market over night.

    2. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry... what? Why in the world would anyone bitch if a better fuel came along as an alternative to gasoline? Are people bitching about the smartphones replacing their older phones? Or did people bitch too hard when cars replaced the horse? ... oh. We're talking about (industrially produced) biofuels, though, aren't we? The ones that cost more to produce and consume more energy to make than they output? Well, then it's really not all too surprising people would bitch! There's absolutely no incentive, to the consumer, to switch.

      (And no, biofuels will never be cheaper than petrolium fuels unless they stop making them out of things that need to be harvested and augmented by petroleum fuels. So saying "gas just needs to get expensive enough" doesn't really cut it.)

      If you want biofuel of any value, you will have to grow it in a vat with bacteria, quickly.

      (Meanwhile, there's nuclear energy, which is clean, cheap, and potentially plentiful - if we were to utilize it - and we've had the tech for that for over 50 years. Even France uses it (buying US 'waste' to do so, actually). Why isn't nuclear a viable option to any 'greens'?)

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    3. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by u38cg · · Score: 1

      Do you know for a fact we don't have the farming capacity globally or are you just presuming that? There is hardly anywhere on earth that is farmed as intensively as parts of Western Europe and North America. If the rest of the world caught up we'd have a massive amount of capacity; for the reason why we don't, see Doha trade talks passim. That said, I agree biofuels are unlikely to be a panacea, but they are going to be an important component of the energy mix as oil recedes in importance.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
    4. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by rwiggers · · Score: 1

      Do you realize that:
      -> it doesn't need to be grown on land (algae is very productive)
      -> it doesn't need to be on land usable for food
      -> It doesn't need to be made with subsidized food crops (corn alcohol is really dumb)
      -> The use of alcohol as fuel in Brazil is market controlled and not subsidized (although initially it was)

      right?

    5. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by perp · · Score: 1

      We don't have enough arable land on planet earth to fully convert from oil to biofuel.

      Can you provide a link to something that shows that?

      Furthermore, [biofuel]'s a physical fuel that must be grown (on land, using fertilizers, pesticides and farm machinery), processed (expending energy) and then transported (expending energy)

      Yes, of course gasoline pumps, refines and transports itself with no expenditre of energy, duh.

      --
      There are two kinds of sysadmins: paranoids and losers. I'm both kinds.
    6. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by DwySteve · · Score: 1

      We don't have enough arable land on planet earth to fully convert from oil to biofuel.

      Furthermore, it's a physical fuel that must be grown (on land, using fertilizers, pesticides and farm machinery), processed (expending energy) and then transported (expending energy).

      Biofuel is only cheap because of gullible (or corrupt) politicians.

      It is undesirable to convert all of our usage of oil for gasoline to biofuels and anyone who thinks that is the purpose of biofuels should pay attention to your points. They are 100% correct.

      However, biofuels have one major advantage over solar, wind and hydro: you can run your car. YOUR car off of them. TODAY - or more accurately, tomorrow after you upgrade your gaskets and seals so they won't be dissolved. But that's cheap compared to buying a new electric car. There are millions of cars on the road today that will run on specifically two types of fuel: oil-derived fuels or biofuels. And, while there should be better options such as mass-transit we need to realize that right now those options don't exist for millions of people. If oil was gone tomorrow and you needed to get to work, you would use biofuels, not solar panels.

      In short - wind, hydro, solar - yes! But for your HOUSE, not your car.

      --
      http://angryee.blogspot.com
    7. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by MilesAttacca · · Score: 1

      Hooray for me, I live in one of those countries! :/ Very few people in the Midwest, including my family, are ready to listen to the idea that corn ethanol is unfeasible and bad in the long term. When corn prices go up, the farmers are happy, and there are a lot of farmers out here, so the politicians try to keep them happy by keeping corn prices up.

      --
      98% of America's teens drink alcohol, smoke, and have sex. Put this in your sig if you like bagels.
    8. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by JamesP · · Score: 1

      We don't have enough arable land on planet earth to fully convert from oil to biofuel.

      BULLSHIT. You don't need arable land

      You go at Algae and similar stuff.

      Furthermore, it's a physical fuel that must be grown (on land, using fertilizers, pesticides and farm machinery), processed (expending energy) and then transported (expending energy).

      Biofuel is only cheap because of gullible (or corrupt) politicians.

      Yeah, because oil comes fully processes from the well and magically transports itself to gas stations.

      No, biofuel is only expensive when people do the math wrong. My car runs on biofuel and it's much cheaper than gas, _no_subsidies_. Of course it's not people-starving, energy-inefficient corn ethanol.

      --
      how long until /. fixes commenting on Chrome?
    9. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by powerlord · · Score: 1

      That's only true if you assume biofuel = corn. Think about algae however.

      Algae can be grown in vats using only the Earth's deserts as farmland, taking up zero arable land. The lipids from this algae could likely keep all our cars running a very long time.

      Biofuel research is not a bad thing at all, it's just been handled badly thus far.

      Interesting ideas, if only some company with experience in the Petrochemical Industry would decide to spend the time and money pursuing this Biofuel idea. Of course, to really FOCUS on it they might have cut expenditures researching other alternative fuels like Wind, Solar and Hydro. ~

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    10. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by jgtg32a · · Score: 1

      Lets not forget Ohio, is where every presidential election starts.

    11. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by mog007 · · Score: 1

      Given current farmable land, we can't even FEED the entire population, let alone feed AND power the planet. Granted, that's using non-genetically modified crops. With GE crops we can feed the whole planet, but I don't know if current GE crops can allow increased production of biofuel, or if it's in the works.

    12. Re:Biofuel is pretty unethical by magus_melchior · · Score: 1

      Hogwash. You're cherry-picking the least efficient biofuel (corn ethanol) and using that as a description of the entire industry.

      If you raised that argument with our own Secretary of Energy, he would call you either misinformed or an idiot, and he would be right. Does Brazil use tons of fertilizer to grow their own ethanol? Rum distillers would laugh you out of the building.

      If we get cellulosic off the drawing board, your argument sounds even more ridiculous, as it opens up things like wood scraps and agricultural waste.

      If we get a viable, engineered process for algal fuels, we don't even need land or fresh water-- grow the damned fuels offshore for nigh-free.

      --
      "We are Microsoft. You shall be assimilated. Competition is futile."
  42. I understand this. by F34nor · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Wind and solar are a load of shit. They require huge upfront costs, have low reliability, and are hard to transport. Bio fuels, esp. cellulose, TDP, and algaculture are efficient, require low or lower upfront cost and can use existing infrastructure owned by the company.

    PGE, Marlborough New Zeland, and some companies in Texas are working with algae. What is algae but the product of billions of years of technical development to be the most efficient solar power device on the planet. It is self replicating and can turn our shit into oil. It can also be used for carbon sequestration (if you burn the oil on site you can vent the exhust through the growing algea to speed up production and capture CO2.) Algae in a best case scenario can create 20,000 gallons of bio fuel per acre of land vs. 18 gallon per acre by corn. It doesn't use up the soil resources, it doesn't need chemical fertilizers created with fossil fuels, and it can per pumped around in pipelines that we already own. When combined with TDP you don't even need to worry about having the most efficient producer of oil or getting contaminated with other strains or bacteria. You can just run the system on whatever green goo grows and then render it down into shorter carbon chains. If another better strain that is more efficient comes along later just inoculate with that one. Don't fucking wait for perfection, just get going.

    Thinking you can produce a cost efficient solar system that completes with a primary biological producer shows a painful level of hubris. Want nano-tech power? Wow mother nature already does that.

    1. Re:I understand this. by OneSmartFellow · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Wind and solar are a load of shit. They require huge upfront costs, have low reliability, and are hard to transport

      You obviously haven't learned that facts like this don't matter to the greenies. They prefer to show their ignorance of basic science by accusing you of raping the land.

      They're the same people who essentially killed the most promising form of green energy production known to man, nuclear, simply because they preferred to believe that f&%£ing traitor Jane Fonda in "The China Syndrome", instead of the scientifically provable facts.

      The fight against ignoramuses is a never ending struggle; keep up the good work.

    2. Re:I understand this. by khallow · · Score: 1

      What is algae but the product of billions of years of technical development to be the most efficient solar power device on the planet.

      Solar thermal and to a lesser extent solar cells are more efficient than algae at turning solar energy into electricity. If you want to convert that solar energy to organic fuel, then algae is superior.

      Wind and solar are a load of shit. They require huge upfront costs, have low reliability, and are hard to transport.

      Upfront costs aren't "huge", reliability varies by location, and generation can be done at the point of demand.

    3. Re:I understand this. by loshwomp · · Score: 1

      Wind and solar [...] require huge upfront costs, have low reliability

      Oh good grief. In many parts of the world, wind energy is profitable without subsidies at $0.05/kWh. Wind and particularly solar are fantastically reliable. A PV install typically has either 0 or 1 moving parts (a fan for active cooling).

    4. Re:I understand this. by F34nor · · Score: 1

      This AC had no idea what I was saying, but I support your rage oh nameless zombie of the intertubes! Rage rage against the logic of the night!

    5. Re:I understand this. by winwar · · Score: 1

      "Bio fuels, esp. cellulose, TDP, and algaculture are efficient, require low or lower upfront cost and can use existing infrastructure owned by the company."

      Then why don't I see any significant production of biofuels?

      Probably because you are incorrect.

    6. Re:I understand this. by F34nor · · Score: 1

      Oh... you mean like when shell stole all of Changing World Technologies tax credits?

      http://www.shell.com/home/content/aboutshell/our_business/oil_products/fuels/biofuels/biofuels.html

  43. Cellulose BioFuel by gnieboer · · Score: 1

    The biofuel tech I see with the most promise is Celloluse biofuel plants.
    Several are being built now in varying sizes, and they can use nearly any type of plant refuse to produce fuel.
    Think about the acres of land in highway strips and airports sitting unused but required to be mowed? What if all our lawn clippings
    turned into Ethanol? Sure, the fuel/acre is nothing compared to corn, but the organic material is already being created and wasted!
    To me, that is as close to 'free energy' as solar and wind (yep, still costs $$$ to build the plants, maintain them, run them, and distribute the product, just like solar/wind)

    Shell didn't say they'd "never" invest in solar/wind. As oil prices rise, their interest in solar/wind/etc will rise as well, because the delta profit will be more in it's favor. The only way that's going to happen real soon is if governments make oil power so expensive (taxes or greenhouse regulations) that they change the profit curve. And the hit to the economy isn't something any country seems willing to go through right now.

  44. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    See, troll. Ad hominem and emotive attacks with little or no factual content.

    If the evil oil companies are the ones raping the American people, I'm sure glad no American ever bought any oil related products, or voted for some kind of anti-environment President, otherwise they might be considered partly responsible themselves...oh, wait.

    The chemical/energy industries are full of scientists, chemists and engineers. There is more of a green attitude in Shell than there is in Parliament/Congress/any government I can think of.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  45. Clean Coal is rubbish by irober02 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Scrubbing a few percent of sulfur or nitrogen oxides from flue gas is one thing but let's suppose they develop technology to scrub all the carbon dioxide -that is, the vast bulk of waste gas from combustion -aside from the (presumably) environmentally benign water. Just how much of the stuff are they going to have to deal with? Stoichiometry and Periodic Table data help here. Ideally, one tonne of carbon (Atomic Weight 12) will generate 3.7 tonnes of carbon dioxide (Molecular Weight 44). So, roughly speaking, every semi-trailer (or train) full of the back dirty stuff brought into the power plant will require four trucks or trains to carry the waste away! Probably more due to the difficulties of bulk-handling compressed gases. Since we need to store the stuff safely for geological time-spans we also need to consider the volume of the waste collected. One cubic metre of coal will generate perhaps 5000 cubic metres of carbon dioxide at room temperature and pressure. (There's some uncertainty about just how much coal is in a cubic metre. It's not likely to be a solid lump but if it was, there would be 3.6 tonnes. Powdered coal would be somewhat less dense but you get the idea.) That's a lot of champagne bubbles! Obviously the waste gas, once collected, is going to need to be compressed and refrigerated to make the handling challenge more manageable but more energy will be needed for that. The Lake Nyos burp disaster killed 1700 Cameroonians in 1986, so large depositories of carbon dioxide are not to be trifled with. Carbon sequestration is just camouflage for corporate dinosaurs.

    1. Re:Clean Coal is rubbish by electrosoccertux · · Score: 1

      If you want a way to ensure China replaces the US as the next world superpower, you can be assured legislating crazy stuff like "removing all CO2 released into the atmosphere" is one of them. The environmental impact of CO2 hasn't even been proven. Nobody has stood up and said "um, if the environment is as stagnant and unchanging as you're saying, please explain the existence of the medieval grape and wine industries, or why we have archeological evidence of the Vikings producing wine in south Greenland, something is nowhere near possible given the current climate." Clearly, we're missing something about the environment.

      The global warming group is a religous cult interested in legislating away the success of America. They did it to California and New York. Next up is America, if you let them.

  46. That which is subsidized prospers by Dasher42 · · Score: 1

    The USA currently subsidizes the oil trade directly, and indirectly through foreign policies centered around oil. This includes military spending, a lot of it. If the free market were sane, and the costs were built in to the products that incur them, what do you suppose would happen? What if all spending for military intervention in the Middle East had to be paid for through gas taxes? The effects would be seismic.

    We in the US only just now got $80 billion in subsidies for alternative energies in the last stimulus bill from Obama. That's a good start, but had we spent all the money we've spent on the bloody misadventure in Iraq on putting up solar panels, solar chimneys, and wind turbines or more innovative forms of wind power, the world would be a different place, and Shell would be singing a different tune.

    Corporations go after the easiest money, quite reflexively. They have no other ethic. They're just not built for it. If you want a world where companies do what's right, change the rules, whether from the capitol or the grassroots.

    1. Re:That which is subsidized prospers by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While I agree that subsidies are bad, I don't understand how you then proceed to say that the 80 billion subsidies for alternative energies are 'good'.

      How can stealing MORE resources from the US economy be better than simply ending all subsidies to whatever technology, ceasing government intervention in the energy market, actually using property rights laws to allow for the pollution externals to be correctly priced and internalized, and let the market, i.e. we the people, sort out which work better.

      I sincerely don't think that trying to 'over-subsidize' Green energy over Oil is a sensible solution.

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
  47. Re:Neither. They're responsible by hcdejong · · Score: 2, Informative

    According to TFA, Shell have been investing in production facilities (wind farms), in that case they'd be selling energy, not technology.
    I seem to remember they used to be one of the biggest investors in PV plants, for which your comment would be true.

  48. They can no longer afford faking not to be evil by bestalexguy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Clean energy is just PR bullbyproduct for oil companies. As long as going clean isn't enforced, they are willing to spend a tiny % of their budget to look nicer to the public. But the USA will change their attitude towards the Kyoto protocol, this is going to cost money, so the PR party is over.

  49. Which shell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Be more specific please, is it bash? Korn? ash? zsh? Jebus!

    1. Re:Which shell? by jgtg32a · · Score: 1

      I think its SH

  50. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm not defending that philosophy at all. I don't know where you got that from.

    You're defending the head-in-the-sand philosophy, where people blame 'big oil' because it's easier than taking personal responsibility for the impact one's actions have on the environment.

    Oil companies don't destroy the environment and pump oil for shits and giggles, they do it because people are paying them hand-over-fist to do it. People are also willing to forgo legislation to protect the environment to save themselves a few bucks, and then bitch about how the environment is being wrecked.

    Yeah, it sucks that Big Oil is ruining the planet man, I wish I could do something about it. What car? This car? No, I need that to drive to my air-conditioned gym.

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  51. Geothermal is where we are headed by Dan+B. · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There is more free, clean energy in hot rocks 3-5km below the surface than all coal, oil and nuclear fuel combined. It cost nothing to extract other than the initial capital investment, and produces no harmful by-products other than the electricity that you an I take for granted in this modern age.

    A bit more research money toward the economic construction of geothermal plants would see us free of fossil and nuclear fuel for the foreseeable future, and that is many, many generations of our species.

    --
    Dan. -- So what if it's spelt wrong, nobody's perfect
    1. Re:Geothermal is where we are headed by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Dan, this simple thing of 'the initial capital investment' isn't quite that simple.

      There's R&D, the actual cost of hardware, some of which may not even exist, requiring more R&D funding and time, personnel expenses. All of that must add up in the end with a healthy profit, otherwise nobody will do it.

      As if these weren't enough of a hurdle, there are also regulations with a compliance cost. Environmental legislation may outright ban or make such a project a net loss.

      Oh, and they need to pay taxes too, a bigger chunk in proportion to how successful they are. There's a great quote by Hazlitt that goes:

      When a corporation loses a hundred cents of every dollar it loses, and is permitted to keep only fifty-two cents of every dollar it gains, and when it cannot adequately offset its years of losses against its years of gains, its policies are affected. It does not expand its operations, or it expands only those attended with a minimum of risk.

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    2. Re:Geothermal is where we are headed by somepunk · · Score: 1

      Geothermal is only practical when the hot rocks are a lot closer to the surface, like in Iceland. Sure, drilling wells that deep isn't impossible, but it is expensive, and you can only get so much power out of a single well.

      --
      Those people who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do. (Isaac Asimov)
    3. Re:Geothermal is where we are headed by jrvz · · Score: 1

      Geothermal power requires wells that don't yield oil. Shell and the other oil companies should know a lot about that - including wells they have already drilled (where they didn't find oil, or where the oil has run out), and technology for geological exploration. As someone else posted, the yield from a given well will fall over time. I could see a geothermal power plant planning ahead for this effect: Drill one or two wells, assess the conditions, and build the power plant. Every few months (years?), drill another well a little further away, to compensate for the reduced yield from early wells. You could adjust the rate of drilling and the amount of water you pump down each well to match the demand for baseline power. The drilling rig workers might even be able to work at a steady pace, instead of having to pick up and move every few years. Even if the oil companies don't want to fund all the effort as IR&D, I'd expect them to be actively promoting the research.

    4. Re:Geothermal is where we are headed by Dan+B. · · Score: 1

      Maybe you missed the bit where I talked about funding research. And I don't know were you got your taxation quote from but 'accumulated losses' are 100% deductible from any future profits before you pay any tax.

      --
      Dan. -- So what if it's spelt wrong, nobody's perfect
    5. Re:Geothermal is where we are headed by Dan+B. · · Score: 1

      How do you propose to power transportation?

      without major advances in battery tech

      snip

      Actually, we have plenty of battery tech, it's just that the patents protecting it are spread amongst too many competing companies.

      --
      Dan. -- So what if it's spelt wrong, nobody's perfect
  52. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jabithew · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The other consideration here is that it's not the oil executives job to weigh energy cost and the damage to the environment; that's a moral choice that has to be made by society as a whole, via government. Do you really want oil companies to start taking moral stands? What if an oil company executive decides that homosexuality is a sin, and stops selling petrol to gays? Is that really the kind of world you want to live in?

    --
    All intents and purposes. Not intensive purposes.
  53. Re:Neither. They're responsible by evilviper · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If those alternative energy sources were even remotely feasible you can be sure they would be all over them.

    That's a bit like saying bottled drinking-water companies would be all-over home water delivery and filtration, if it were remotely feasible...

    Even if there are signs that the oil industry is slowly dying, an entrenched field, where you've got no competition is MUCH more profitable than jumping into new markets which ANYONE can compete in on an equal footing.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  54. Re:Neither. They're responsible by NerveGas · · Score: 1

    Not feasable... then you have to feed the "whack jobs" more energy than you get out. Even the lowly, inefficient photovoltaic cells are many times more efficient than that scheme...

    --
    Oh, you're not stuck, you're just unable to let go of the onion rings.
  55. Re:Neither. They're responsible by unlametheweak · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You said:

    If they really are thinking in the long term perhaps they should get started on a corporate army while they are at it. I wonder what they will base the bonuses on in that department? Body counts?

    And then there is reality:

    What is a human life worth to a foreign oil company in Nigeria? Apparently just $143.00, the amount Agip originally offered each of the families of the murdered men to compensate for their loss.

    - Ref: a href ="http://acas.prairienet.org/alerts/nigeria/blood&oil.htm">http://acas.prairienet.org/alerts/nigeria/blood&oil.htm

  56. Re:Neither. They're responsible by tpgp · · Score: 1

    Nor have they seen people cycling to work at the Shell Centre on the south bank.

    What? You think 2% of Shell employees cycling to work balances out the fact that shell is one of the most polluting companies in the world?

    --
    My pics.
  57. Re:Now with MOAR POAST Tsarkon Reports Yoda by ElectricTurtle · · Score: 1

    I believe Jonathan Swift, if he lived in this era and understood Slashdot moderation, would just as soon moderate that Troll as anybody else. Swift's satire was coherent and relevant, which this is not.

    --
    I support the Slashcott and will not be reading or commenting from 2/10/14 to 2/17/14. Beta is steaming pile of dog shit
  58. Carbon sequestering? Really? by dangitman · · Score: 1

    I don't see how carbon sequestering can be more economically viable than wind or solar, unless there are laws passed or subsidies levied that make it economically viable. That's a technology that doesn't actually produce anything. It's more of a garbage collection service than an energy technology.

    --
    ... and then they built the supercollider.
  59. Re:Now with MOAR POAST Tsarkon Reports Yoda by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    I cannot fathom the kind of person who would actually spend the time to read that. Truly, I'm astonished.

    Fixed :o)

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  60. Careful what you wish for by Hao+Wu · · Score: 1

    Today, oil companies dominate.... oil. (Look how people scream about it!)

    Do you really want them to dominate sun, wind, and water technologies instead?

    They would get all of the same grief they get now, and more.

    --
    I suggest you read Slashdot
  61. Why Not. End of world between 3mths and 5 years. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Why not when siberia is going to explode with 50gt of methane soon anyway.

  62. Re:Neither. They're responsible by adolf · · Score: 1

    As someone who has previously had to choose between a 60% efficient natural gas furnace, and a 95% efficient gas furnace, I call bullshit on at least one of your claims. The 95% model was priced cheaply enough to place it firmly into no-brainer territory. Meanwhile, reaping the remaining 5% of waste energy out of the system is deep into the realm of diminishing returns.

    Furthermore, parts and service profits don't have any direct correlation to efficiency gains: As an HVAC manufacturer, would you rather service a 60% efficient unit, or a 95% efficient unit? I'd wager it really doesn't matter...

  63. Re:Neither. They're responsible by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    People who suggest cycling as a commute should just bite themselves. Typical car commute in the metro areas is 30 min without traffic slowdowns.

    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  64. Responsibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Why ask large corporates to be responsible? I say take personal responsibility and don't buy their products. Ride a bike!

    1. Re:Responsibility by chord.wav · · Score: 1

      Well said. Personal responsibility is a rare thing these days. "Evil" companies have made great job at taking the personal guilt and personal responsibility off their employees and providers to get away with it.
      Like beign a Smith and Wesson employee and be able to sleep well every night cause you just make steel alloys, not weapons. The other guy says: Hey, I just make triggers, I don not make weapons! Then another: I just assemble product parts! And then another: I'm just a salesman! And so on. Then they worry because a kid died in a school shooting.

      The guilt is dissolved among many parts so every part can think he's not building a weapon. So they can perform better at their duties without internal conflicts. This is just an example (I'm not an anti-NRA fan), it applies to evey industry: Military, healthcare, farmaceutical labs, banks (specially banks these days), you name it.

      I'd be good to see more personal responsibility.

  65. Buy the start-ups by jbatista · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I wouldn't be suprised if Shell (or other oil companies) would opt to do this. They gather the money now so they can buy those renewable-energy start-up companies AFTER they've proven SUCCESSFUL (i.e. let the weaklings die, then invite the survival-tried to join the gang).

    --
    My sig is better than your sig.
  66. You forgot one major thing though. by Chas · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well. Two.

    NIMBY
    BANANA

    And the fact that if you say "nuclear" to some people, they do a GREAT imitation of a cat, arching their spines, hissing and spitting.

    Whoops! Sorry! That was three wasn't it?

    They'll KEEP pointing to archaic monstrosities like TMI and Chernobyl and go "BUT WHAT IF IT HAPPENS AGAIN!" until the end of time.

    Yeah, and what if it started suddenly raining knives from the sky! Think of the children!

    You simply CANNOT convince these people that it's safe and you cannot decouple "nuclear" from "weapon of destruction".

    And while I'm disappointed in Shell for taking this step backwards, a part of me would MUCH rather a new, vigorous economic juggernaut create itself than having to deal with the back-monkey of a previous, someday-obsoleted industry.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:You forgot one major thing though. by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and what if it started suddenly raining knives from the sky! Think of the children!

      To be fair, in the wake of AIG, Madoff, etc, it's not surprising that people don't place large amount of trust in the private sector's ability to not screw things up royally. And the public has seen what can happen when nuclear power gets screwed up.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  67. Hopelessly blinkered. by Chas · · Score: 1

    1: CO2 isn't the only greenhouse gas produced. Notice how they don't mention any of the other things.
    2: There's an environmental impact in GENERATING the biofuel as well.
    3: Fuel consumption vs emissions. Sure, you produce 75% less of a single greenhouse gas. But if you're spending (and burning) 50% more in fuel because you're getting lower MPG, it tends to balance out.

    Oh wait. Inconvenient little factoids?

    OH NOEZ!

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:Hopelessly blinkered. by GrpA · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm always surprised to see comments like this...

      You've clearly never used Biodiesel in your life and have no idea what you're talking about.

      1. ALL Biodiesel I've heard of has significantly lower emissions and also less harmful emissions that diesel. It doesn't take much of a search to confirm that, so please tell me which biodiesel you think produces more greenhouse gases than regular diesel.

      2. There doesn't have to be a negative impact of biodiesel on the environment. In fact, a lot of commercial biodiesel is made from used vegetable oil that's recycled. ... That's actually a useful thing.

      If everyone started using it, then you need to make lots which means using some agricultural land to make it... but it's still better than using crude oil to make the stuff.

      3. What? What a lot of rubbish. Most biodiesel (commercial) is 98% as much energy as Diesel... I used it for three months and had almost no change of fuel economy.. 27mpg in a 1980's JEEP. That's better than twice the economy you get from a Petrol Jeep.

      2% is NOT 50%... I've never heard of Biodiesel being 50% worse... Are you thinking of a petrol substitute? Even Ethanol isn't nearly that bad.

      Also, some biodiesel, notably Palm/Coconut based not only has 1/100th the emissions of normal diesel, it also has 20% more energy...

      That means for the same tankful, you get 20% more range, 20% more power or 20% more torque...

      Do some research before you go talking about facts...

      I've used the stuff, bought commercially, in an unmodified Jeep. (Same diesel engine it came out of the US factory with in 1982)... The only drawback is that it's a little harder to start in the cold.

      On the positive side, it provided better lubrication and smelt better too.

      But I got sligtly improved fuel economy so the stuff I was buying was probably slightly better than normal diesel.

      GrpA.

      --
      Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
    2. Re:Hopelessly blinkered. by Chas · · Score: 1

      Thanks for your limited anecdotal "evidence".

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    3. Re:Hopelessly blinkered. by FooAtWFU · · Score: 1

      What about comments on the sustainability of the ongoing depletion of Midwestern aquifers?

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  68. radical environmentalists = own worst enemy by Chas · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You forget. Such people would have the majority of us (as long as it didn't include THEM) die off "for the greater good", and have the remainder living in caves, starving to death because anything you do has an environmental impact.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:radical environmentalists = own worst enemy by JAlexoi · · Score: 1

      Radical anything is BAD!

  69. That's not very informative... by GrpA · · Score: 1

    Actually, most salt-affected land is inland and it's completely dead... No plant life exists there at all...

    Salinity kills the plants... All of them... It's all just salt-encrusted mud with dead tree branches sticking out of it...

    And they already use dead salt-lakes to produce algae-based biodiesel for about half of the current price of diesel.

    GrpA.

    --
    Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
  70. Nuclear NEEDS to be done right by jonwil · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We NEED to build the latest designs of reactors out of Europe and Asia and not the 1950s style Pressurized Water Reactors.
    We NEED to get past the fear of nuclear proliferation and allow spent nuclear fuel to be reprocessed
    If both of these things are done, it solves a lot of the current problems with nuclear power.
    Newer reactor designs (pebble bed etc) are a lot safer.
    Breeder Reactors and Reprocessing help solve the nuclear waste problem by taking all the waste currently sitting in cooling ponds and storage sites around the US and extract more energy from it. The result after waste has been reprocessed and run again and again and there is no more reprocessing that can be done to it is (IIRC) easier to store and takes less time to become totally inert than the current waste comming from existing reactors.
    New reactor designs and other modern technology can use nuclear fuel (not just Uranium) that PWRs cannot.

  71. What good is being responsible to your investors by SharpFang · · Score: 1

    if they are dead?

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  72. religion by CAIMLAS · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Its simple: eco-friendly is the new god to many. They see it as heresy to even suggest 'green' fuels aren't green, or aren't a better-than-break-even venture. Like most religious zealots, facts or reality mean nothing if those facts interfere with their faith or first beliefs. Simply put, logic be damned. (This is why we've got 'green terrorists' burning down SUV dealerships.)

    Oh, also, it's plainly obvious why Shell is doing what they're doing. Large companies are not well suited for persuing emerging trends, or for that matter, quick-and-dirty R&D. This is particularly true during a recession/depression, when they've got to be careful to not be capsized utterly. On the flip side of things, this is why small R&D, and 'start ups' in general, tend to flourish during hard economic times (as Apple, MS, etc. did during the late-70s/early-80s): the big dogs are slow to maneuver due to a tightening belt, and are more risk/challenge averse.

    If history can be any indication, some small start-ups will invent/discover the "next big thing" in terms of 'renewable' energy.

    --
    ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
  73. World oil production has peaked already by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Non OPEC production has certainly peaked, the only question really is Saudi and it looks like their production peaked in 2005 as well. So oil is going to keep running up against demand, hitting 150 dollars plus per barrel. Producing bio-oil is likely to be very profitable in the short to medium term.

    Of course businesses can't really function at 150 per barrel so you get this massive demand destruction and a following recession. Think of it like a hammer knocking oil dependent economies back down just as soon as it gets going.

     

    --
    Deleted
  74. WWKSWD? by migla · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What would Ken Saro-Wiwa do?

    --
    Some of my favourite people are from th US; Vonnegut, Chomsky, Bill Hicks.
  75. Re:Neither. They're responsible by ciderVisor · · Score: 1

    Do some research on what they did to the women of a Nigerian village who objected to having oil tar poured on their fields.

    Every time I try to Google it, it keeps coming back to your posting. Put me out of my misery - what DID they do (With citation, please) ?

    --
    Squirrel!
  76. As an added bonus - earthquakes... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    http://www.energy-daily.com/reports/Swiss_Geothermal_Drilling_Upsets_Neighbours_999.html
    FTA:

    Switzerland's seismological institute said the new tremor was caused by the soundings for the country's first geothermal power plant, which involve injecting pressurised water more than 5,000 metres (three miles) underground.
    The local parliamentarian and mayor of neighbouring Saint Louis in France, Jean Ueberschlag, wrote to Swiss authorities recently demanding that the project be halted.
    "You don't have the right to play around with the safety of our populations," he complained.
    Geopower, the company heading the "Deep Heat Mining" pilot project in Basel, stopped work last month after it acknowledged that its soundings were causing the earth to move.

    Geothermal is nice and easy when you have geysers or volcanoes that pump that power to the surface for you (like in Iceland) - almost all you need to do to harvest it is lay down the pipes.
    But when you try to "dig it up" yourself... that is a whole new ballgame.

    As the example above shows - pumping cold water three miles into earth beneath your feet MAY not be such a smart idea.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:As an added bonus - earthquakes... by kimvette · · Score: 1

      Geothermal would not involve filling underground caverns with high-pressure water. It would involve drilling, driving a coil down the well, and letting the fluid flow through a closed loop.

      --
      The Christian Right is Neither (Christian nor right). See: Matthew 23, Matthew 25, Ezekiel 16:48-50
    2. Re:As an added bonus - earthquakes... by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Right... You know, there are reasons it is not done by putting 3 miles of coil vertically into the earth.

      First of all... when you are drilling to the depth of several miles we are talking holes whose diameter is measured in centimeters.

      So, that coil you would dump down such a hole must be:
      - hollow - so water can flow through it,
      - bendable enough to be a coil in the first place,
      - strong enough to support its own weight (all 3 miles length of it)
      - strong enough not to explode when you pump pressurized cold water through it that will be rapidly heated deep down,
      - hermetically closed - unless you want to deal with calcium deposits inside the coil after couple of days.

      And all that packed in a coil of about MAYBE 30 centimeters loop-diameter.

       
      Plus, after maybe 30 years of use - you have to give it a rest for a decade or so - for the ground to recoup the lost heat.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    3. Re:As an added bonus - earthquakes... by Dan+B. · · Score: 1

      Stable hot rock 'relatively' close to the surface is hugely abundant where I live, Australia, and we don't get that much movement in the Earth.

      Have a read on Geodynamics website for more info

      --
      Dan. -- So what if it's spelt wrong, nobody's perfect
  77. Oil versus Electricity Infrastructure by Amigori · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Seriously, they are an oil company in the business of producing and refining crude oil, for a profit. That's what their entire infrastructure is built around. Thousands of miles of pipe, thousands of service stations, thousands of by-products and oil-derivatives, sea and land tanker fleets, claims to reserves, geological surveys, exploration, oil derricks, off-shore platforms, thousands of scientists, geeks, tradesmen, and explorers, and so on. None of which correlate well to Wind, Solar, or Hydro. Yes, you can use oil products to generate electricity, but Shell wants to deliver the fuel, not run the power plant.

    Now that the price of crude oil has settled back to where the market dictates, instead of speculators, Shell is making far less money (along with every company/country in that sector). This isn't much more than a belt tightening and cutting projects that are not contributing to the core business.

    Again, they're an oil company trying to profit. The world doesn't run on good intentions, well wishes, and fairy dust. It does run on money and oil though.

    I think the other technologies show lots of promise, especially solar, but let someone who specializes in it do it. I am a realist and understand that its going to take a combination of everything to get us to whatever is next.

    --
    "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
    1. Re:Oil versus Electricity Infrastructure by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1
      Again, they're an oil company trying to profit. The world doesn't run on good intentions, well wishes, and fairy dust. It does run on money and oil though.

      Until when? And then what?

      Actually the world DOES run on well wishes - otherwise there wouldn't be any "good faith" and contracts would never be negotiated. It does run on good intentions - without it there would be no Trust and money would collapse. It DOES run on fairy dust- we just call it OIL and it's production seems to have had an initial peak on May 2005, and then a second peak in June 2008, and has been in decline ever since.

      So - to all the "realists" out there: reality is demanding tyhat we look beyond immediate "reality" and look at the longer term and invest in THAT. It will create jobs (pulling us out of the recession) and help propel civilisation along to a sustainable state.

      RS

      --
      Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    2. Re:Oil versus Electricity Infrastructure by Amigori · · Score: 1

      Then what? As I said, whatever's next. I'm not a fortune teller or a captain of the New World Order, so I have no idea what exactly is next nor when. I'd like to buy a fully electric car when I replace my current gasoline one, but it won't happen for many reasons, price, practicality, range, design, availability, etc. I'm hopeful for the car after that though.

      "Good faith" is broken all the time. Contract law and its enforcement is why contracts can safely be entered into. Guess you've never been apart of a verbal agreement gone bad. "I'll buy the beer next time," can often be heard by moocher friends.

      "Good Intentions" drove up the stock and commodities markets last year to unsustainable levels. You can think of "Good Intentions" several ways in this case: 1)Your 401k or similar market investment was going up, way up. Easy money for you. 2)The quick and high runup in oil and base materials was considered best-case-scenario by many environmentalists. This made alternatives cost competitive and spurred investment in their development. 3)Due to high commuting costs, people started looking at housing closer to work/city centers, helping to reduce urban sprawl (well, theoretically anyways). Also for more efficient cars.

      In case you've been living under a rock, money has basically collapsed. Over 40% of the worlds wealth has vanished over the past 8 months. The paper backing the USD is practially worthless, 25bp. The only reason that the dollar is as strong as it is, is because of the economies and currencies of the world, the US is the best of the worst. Once other markets recover, look for an exodus from the USD. Then you'll really see some economic fireworks.

      Well, I guess you could say that oil was once dinosaur dust, but not fairy dust, fairies are mythological. Peak oil is certainly an accepted concept, but as to when the peak has/will occur is debatable. There are still too many unknowns, variables, and estimates to determine a reliable answer. Peak Oil. Lots of charts and data open for interpretation. Keep in mind, I agree with the concept, but I'm not drinking the eco-religion Kool-Aid.

      As to "look beyond" there's many, many companies investing in and researching alternative energies. In this case, Shell is no longer one of them. Shell is an oil company. The only priority of a company is to make a profit. Without that, there can be no R&D, no investments, no hiring employees, no philanthropy, etc. If they run out of oil, they go out of business or adapt to the market and sell something else. A study of the dot com bubble will show many companies that ignored reality for best-case, long-term ideas. But they forgot to make money now too. They lasted as long as the VC could afford them.

      Based on your logic, I should start investing in horses and drawn-carriages. Both are renewable and sustainable, minimal emissions during use and construction, and minimal nasty chemicals used during manufacturing, much of the world does not have current access to them, and they can travel places other transportation cannot. Think of the demand for veterinarians and blacksmiths, plus tack and riding gear, and carpenters and farmers too. Horses are natural, so we can have as many of them as we need without consequence, right?

      --
      "The quality of life is determined by its activites."--Aristotle
    3. Re:Oil versus Electricity Infrastructure by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1
      Amigori wrote:

      Based on your logic, I should start investing in horses and drawn-carriages. Both are renewable and sustainable, minimal emissions during use and construction, and minimal nasty chemicals used during manufacturing, much of the world does not have current access to them, and they can travel places other transportation cannot. Think of the demand for veterinarians and blacksmiths, plus tack and riding gear, and carpenters and farmers too. Horses are natural, so we can have as many of them as we need without consequence, right?

      It's actually worse than that, IMHO. Hint: the ONLY technology that has been PROVEN by countless cultures all over the world to be sustainable over countless millennia is NEOLITHIC.

      As far as peak in oil goes, here is the data from the EIA and the IEA and CAPP. If those organisations are outside what you consider expert, we have nothing to discuss. Read THIS.

      I am well aware of the economic clusterfuck that surrounds us. I am not certain that other currencies will *immediately* supplant the dollar. I do think that over the next decade we could see the formation of a "currency basket" where a variety of important currencies trade or value as a control group, say, the USD, EUR, RMB, JPY, and if the Russians can sit still long enough, maybe the RUB.

      I've been researching this a great deal since 1998, and I urge you to do the following:

      super-insulate your house.
      get your heating off fossil fuel.
      live close to work where you can walk to it, or ride a bike or take a bus or subway.
      learn to grow high calorie value food in your backyard (i.e., beets, beans, carrots, peppers, potatoes, parsnips, etc. Yes. Wheat? No.)
      Learn to deal with greater temp variation NOW, so it's not such a shock later.
      Use electric assist solar hot water.
      See if you can live with a small or no refrigerator. if you MUST have one, get a small SunFrost.
      Learn to can food.
      Compost your food scraps.

      I can guarantee you, the next 20 years will look nothing like the past 20 years. This is well explained here in this Crash Course.

      good luck compadre...

      RS

      --
      Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
  78. I suppose... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Do you really want them to dominate sun, wind, and water technologies instead?

    ...you mean that they would do that by building a Dyson sphere around the Sun and painting a huge Shell logo on it?

    That would be AWESOME!
    Hell... even a Dyson ring would be like "Check it out Milky Way! Type II CIV in the making here! YOU are next baby, you ARE next! We're coming for ya!".

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  79. Reality Therapy by Lokinator · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Folks, we're *in an economic depression* and don't know when we're going to get out - and neither does Shell. It is not surprising that Shell (and other companies) are re-trenching and focusing on "profitable RIGHT NOW" business segments as they bunker down to weather the economic storm. Right now, Wind/Solar are at best marginal investments dependent more on customers need to "feel good" than on any net benefit. The average joe is hunkering down (as is Shell) and more interested in a $500 cast iron wood stove that lets him heat his house with darned near anything flammable than in a 30k investment in solar panels with a minimum 5 years to break-even. Catch a clue. The moment the economy went into the deep end, most anything speculative (so-called renewable energy certainly qualifies) went into the tank right alongside for the duration...

    --
    "It is morally wrong to initiate the aggressive use of force.." Of course, defensive force is fair game...
  80. Bio-Greed is still Greed. by geekmux · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...Producing bio-oil is likely to be very profitable in the short to medium term.

    Yeah, that's the problem. Not only is it shortsighted and greedy, but bio-oil is still oil. Dressing on a pig.

    Of course businesses can't really function at 150 per barrel so you get this massive demand destruction and a following recession. Think of it like a hammer knocking oil dependent economies back down just as soon as it gets going.

    I saw nothing but innovation take off like a rocket with people coming up with all sorts of alternatives to get from point A to point B when oil was well over $100/barrel. In fact, it's likely the reason that oil is well below the $150 line right now because Big Oil actually saw it as a risk. A sedated price makes a compliant (and lazy) customer.

    1. Re:Bio-Greed is still Greed. by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's the problem. Not only is it shortsighted and greedy, but bio-oil is still oil. Dressing on a pig.

      So what? If you believe that man is causing climate change, then it isn't oil itself that's the problem. It's releasing carbon that's been sequestered for a long time that's the problem. Bio-fuels have the potential of being carbon neutral. They aren't currently but that's the idea behind them.

      Personally I think nuclear would be a better way to go but the NIMBY and environmentalist crowds will see to it that never happens. Actually both crowds have a stunning track record of keeping us in the status quo. I'm not real optimistic that this will change anytime soon.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:Bio-Greed is still Greed. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Not only is it shortsighted and greedy, but bio-oil is still oil. Dressing on a pig.

      I'd hardly call bio-oil dressing on a pig. Bio-oil, oil from recent organic sources, is a renewable resource. More expensive than dino-oil, but renewable.

      We can't really tell yet; but gasoline from bio-oils might well prove to be superior to ethanol. Higher energy density, no problems with hydroscopy having water contaminate the fuel at the slightest excuse.

      If nothing else, biooil is also useful for all the OTHER things we do with oil - making lubricants, plastics, various other chemicals, etc...

      Now, this isn't something I see happening with conventional farming - more algae farms in the desert. But bio-oil, bio-fuel DOES have a place in the future; Solar and wind aren't really a replacement unless we have some SERIOUS breakthroughs in battery/electric energy storage methods.

      In fact, it's likely the reason that oil is well below the $150 line right now because Big Oil actually saw it as a risk.

      Actually, it was discovered that oil @$150 is currently the price point to actually drop demand and have people seek replacements seriously.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    3. Re:Bio-Greed is still Greed. by tchuladdiass · · Score: 1

      I can personally vouch for that. I started cycling to work last summer, mostly because of the high gas prices. Of course, come winter I had to go back to driving, and with lower gas prices I'm not sure that I'll get back in shape to do the cycling thing again (only 15 miles each way, but then there's getting up early, having to shower at the fitness center at work, not able to haul many books / laptop, etc).

      But if gas was pushing $5.00 a (US) gallon again, I'd be investing in cold-weather cycling gear, additional saddle bags, a better cycle, etc.

  81. Fusion or bust? by Bayoudegradeable · · Score: 1

    "no amount of... solar is going to deliver that." Why work on fusion here on earth? The Sun already does that... FOR FREE. Harnessing solar, harnessing the power of our star, seems the way to go. Expensive only for the moment. Hell, catching solar power is like standing with a bucket in a downpour... just SHOW UP. Course, we are talking about a really, really fancy bucket... with gold trim and extra bling on the handle...

    --
    Sig Registration Form 34c_766(a) submitted to Ministry of Signature Management. Approval pending.
  82. Energy Return On Energy Input by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Interesting

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EROEI

    Oil was 100:1

    As the quality of the oil declines (e.g. to tar sands), so does the energy return (e.g. 5:1 or 3:1) and we have to spend more of our time simply trying to generate energy.

    And if 30% of our time and energy are going into producing more energy... There isn't much time and energy available to do other things, like run a civilization.

    Wind seems to average approximately 20:1 over the lifetime of a turbine.

    What is interesting is that in the short term because of our sunk investment in oil, it is more profitable for companies to produce bio-oil at 8:1 EROEI than it is to produce wind turbines or solar panels.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Informative

      And if 30% of our time and energy are going into producing more energy... There isn't much time and energy available to do other things, like run a civilization.

      If only we had the technology to produce energy with a favorable EROEI. Maybe one day we'll be able to split the atom or something.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by BVis · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Maybe one day we'll be able to split the atom or something.

      Maybe one day there will be an entity that I trust to run a nuclear power plant safely and efficiently. Private industry is too focused on profit over safety, the government is too incompetent to do so. That, and the problem of waste that's hazardous for 10,000 years....

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    3. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by LordKazan · · Score: 4, Informative

      As much as I like to bash megacorps for their misbehavior... that is completely unfair. I grew up less than 20 minutes from the Duane Arnold Energy Center (a nuclear powerplant outside Cedar Rapids, IA). They've never had an accident.

      In fact the WORST accident in the History of nuclear power in the United States was Three Mile - and it was only a disaster because of the misinformation is spread about nuclear energy. The TOTAL dose of radiation that managed to escape Three Mile was less than the dose you'd get from the radioisotopes in the granite making up the halls of congress in a day.

      Furthermore there are more modern reactor designs in which they're design to be IMPOSSIBLE to have criticality excursions (aka melt downs) - things such as PBRs where the nuclear moderator used in it is designed to become more efficient at capturing neutrons at higher temperatures. Literally if the coolant system fails the reactor, just by nuclear physics, ramps itself down. They've tried to make a PBR melt down, you cannot do it - their design was a success.

      There are also other designs that cannot have criticality excursions.

      Then there is also research into fusion reactors - again something that cannot have criticality excursions.

      --
      If you cannot keep politics out of your moderation remove yourself from the Mod Lottery.. NOW!
    4. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Maybe one day there will be an entity that I trust to run a nuclear power plant safely and efficiently

      You mean like all those entities currently running it that haven't had accidents? This guy said it better than I can.

      That, and the problem of waste that's hazardous for 10,000 years....

      Well, A) There's reprocessing, B) How long is all that CO2 going to remain hazardous? Is nuclear waste going to melt the polar icecaps? Is nuclear waste going to decimate our grain growing regions? Is nuclear waste going to upset the global balance of power and led to starvation/warfare/misery on a huge scale?

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    5. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 2, Informative

      That, and the problem of waste that's hazardous for 10,000 years....

      You mean waste that is mostly because of stupid regulations from the late 1970s?

      From the article:

      France, which completely reprocesses its recyclable material, stores all the unused remains -- from 30 years of generating 75% of its electricity from nuclear energy -- beneath the floor of a single room at La Hague.

      If we could actually reprocess the spent nuclear material we would end up with very little real waste.

    6. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      You mean like all those entities currently running it that haven't had accidents?

      And that still haven't figured out what to do with the waste?

      Waste, safety, weapons proliferation, and fuel sarcity make uranium/plutonium fission a dead end. We should abandon them and put the resources for nuclear into developing fusion and accelerator-driven "energy amplifier" systems, as well as making better use of that large fusion reactor conveniently located 93 million miles away.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    7. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by cthulu_mt · · Score: 1

      Please report to your local Green Peace headquarters; we need to burn you for heresy.

      --
      Virginia is for lovers. EVE is for griefers.
    8. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Shakrai · · Score: 5, Informative

      And that still haven't figured out what to do with the waste?

      Amazingly enough France doesn't have this problem because they recycle the waste.

      Waste, safety, weapons proliferation, and fuel sarcity make uranium/plutonium fission a dead end

      The French have solved the waste problem, the "safety" issue is FUD, weapons proliferation can be dealt with through the existing channels (and seems to be happening anyway without much help from the civilian power industry) and I have yet to see any proof that we are running out of fissionable material.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    9. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by HiThere · · Score: 1

      A part of the problem is that it's difficult and expensive to store electricity to move a vehicle. This hasn't been solved yet, though there have been some improvements.

      To me the solution that looks best is some development of the super-capacitor. It might not work, but it looks very promising. And if it does it would allow an essentially unlimited number of fast charge-discharge cycles.

      Remember, electric car batteries are only good for around 5 years (are they saying 7 years now?). And they use expensive materials that are dangerous to extract and to re-cycle. The super-capacitors don't have that problem. They've got others, but the other problems may be easier ones.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    10. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      Amazingly enough France doesn't have this problem because they recycle the waste.

      Sorry, but reprocessing plants don't get rid of all waste. And they are plutonium factories. Prime terrorist targets. Do you think we'd let Iran have one?

      Concerns have been raised about contamination both from processing, and from transporting waste to France's reprocessing center.

      In point of fact, France has large problems with nuclear waste. The people in the region slated to be the waste dump are fighting it, oddly enough.

      They have attempted to sweep the problem under the rug by shipping waste to Russia.

      And we haven't even touched on the reactor safety issues of having a bunch of nuclear plants built by developing nations.

      I know that many technophiles have a romantic attachment to nuclear power, to the idea of Mighty Science Harnessing the Power of the Atom. But its time to get over it.

      I have yet to see any proof that we are running out of fissionable material.

      You're unaware that the planet's supply of uranium is limited? Odd gap in your education, that.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    11. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      And they are plutonium factories. Prime terrorist targets.

      There goes that FUD again. OMG, the terrorists! Quick, take off your shoes or something!

      You're unaware that the planet's supply of uranium is limited?

      You're unaware that uranium isn't the only source of fuel for nuclear fission?

      Odd gap in your education, that.

      Also, fuck you.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    12. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by HiThere · · Score: 1

      OK. But I'm still paying for a couple of reactors that were stupidly built right on an earthquake fault. After those stupid mistakes I'm quite hesitant to trust ANY company to run a reactor.

      Now it's true that the particular faults haven't moved much recently (i.e., during the last century), but this doesn't mean they won't move tomorrow. They've moved within the past 3 centuries.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    13. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by HiThere · · Score: 1

      There are solutions to the waste and fuel scarcity problems. Breeder reactors. Unfortunately, the other problems you listed are harder.

      I'm not sure I trust fusion...other than solar. The current versions of fusion reactors seem to say "large, centralized, expensive". Those characteristics are each separately bad, and their bad characteristics reinforce each other when you combine them. We'll probably need to go there eventually, so research should continue, but more emphasis should be placed on alternatives and on fast-breeders. Waste, safety, and fuel scarcity can be handled. I'm not as certain about weapons proliferation.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    14. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by LordKazan · · Score: 1

      the current fusion reactors are all experimental.. we haven't succesfully built one that gives more power out than it takes to initiate fusion YET.

      --
      If you cannot keep politics out of your moderation remove yourself from the Mod Lottery.. NOW!
    15. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by loshwomp · · Score: 1

      Maybe one day there will be an entity that I trust to run a nuclear power plant safely and efficiently.

      Do you trust them to run coal plants instead? Because that's what you're getting, whether you realize it or not. The trade-off isn't "nuclear vs. wind and solar", it's "nuclear vs. coal".

      More radiation is released from coal-fired generation plants every day than will EVER be released from nuclear plants, and don't even get me started on coal's mercury contamination of fresh water, the environmental effects of coal mining, etc., etc.

      It will be decades before wind, solar, and other clean generation technologies begin to make a dent in our generation. Nuclear has the ability to offset coal generation TODAY.

      That, and the problem of waste that's hazardous for 10,000 years....

      As with the monsters under the bed, those fears aren't rational, they're emotional.

    16. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by LordKazan · · Score: 1

      I would like to reiterate what Ioshwamp said.

      It is NOT a choice between Nuclear and Other clean sources.

      It is a choice between Nuclear and Coal.

      CO2 is not the only potentially harmful thing released by burning coal.
      Uranium, Thorium and other heavy metals and radioisotopes.
      and that's just mining!

      onto combustion:
      How about that fly ash pit that burst in Tennesse a few months ago?
      How about the Hydrogen Cyanide and Sulfur Nitrate released from combustion? (since we're in a mixed composition atmosphere sometimes the "wrong" things bond)
      How about acid rain from other Sulfur compounds produced?
      How about acid rain due to the formation of Carbonic Acid?

      Coal and coal waste products, including fly ash, bottom ash, and boiler slag, contain many heavy metals, including arsenic, lead, mercury, nickel, vanadium, beryllium, cadmium, barium, chromium, copper, molybdenum, zinc, selenium and radium, which are dangerous if released into the environment. Coal also contains low levels of uranium, thorium, and other naturally-occurring radioactive isotopes whose release into the environment may lead to radioactive contamination.[8][9] While these substances are trace impurities, enough coal is burned that significant amounts of these substances are released, resulting in more radioactive waste than nuclear power plants.[8]

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_effects_of_coal

      --
      If you cannot keep politics out of your moderation remove yourself from the Mod Lottery.. NOW!
    17. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by LordKazan · · Score: 1

      Solar and wind, when used properly, have a lot of promise.

      Large floating wind farms at sea are a great option.. large solar farms in the desert are as well as panels on top of every building - especially with the newer better panels.

      The problems with this have more to do with intermitten supply than total inability to produce enough.. we can only hope EEStor is being honest with their claims.

      in the short term you're right though - nuclear, hydro and geothermal are currently winners in clean energy.

      --
      If you cannot keep politics out of your moderation remove yourself from the Mod Lottery.. NOW!
    18. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by winwar · · Score: 1

      "Furthermore there are more modern reactor designs in which they're design to be IMPOSSIBLE to have criticality excursions (aka melt downs)..."

      But I have great faith that the builders/designers of actual plants will give it their best shot :)

      I don't mind nuclear energy. I just don't think any company in the US is capable of building a well designed, safe, and cost-effective one. Reactors have not been built because the are expensive.

      Finally, while uranium is not a "fossil" fuel, it is limited. Which might be helped by reprocessing (but see comments about US ability above)

      "Then there is also research into fusion reactors - again something that cannot have criticality excursions."

      Ah, yes, the energy of the future. And always will be :)

    19. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by fredklein · · Score: 1

      A part of the problem is that it's difficult and expensive to store electricity to move a vehicle. This hasn't been solved yet, though there have been some improvements.

      To me the solution that looks best is some development of the super-capacitor. It might not work, but it looks very promising. And if it does it would allow an essentially unlimited number of fast charge-discharge cycles.

      I say use a liquid. Use nuclear/wind/solar/hydro-power to make a sort of 'artificial gasoline'. If possible, make this liquid be compatible with regular gas- that way you can mix them together as needed (kinda like ethanol).

      This takes advantage of the currently existing infrastructure such as Gas stations (with their underground tanks, pumps, and hoses/nozzles, etc), tanker trucks, pipelines, etc. AND it lets people who are already aware of the proper handling and care of liquid fuel continue to use and handle a familiar substance.

      No capacitors, no batteries, no pressurized gas canisters needed.

    20. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      A few counterpoints:

      1) Reprocessing is more expensive, and greatly raises the per-kilowatt costs pro-nuclear peeps sling about.

      2) Is it ethical to rely on reprocessing, when we start talking invasion when our geopolitical enemies try to do it?

      3) Regarding stupid regulations: since most of the pro-nuclear crowd is drawn from the Right, why are they so eager to demand reliance on a source of energy that basically requires huge amounts of government meddling? I would think that solar and wind -- which can be harnessed by anyone -- would tickle their fancy more.

      4) Or is the goal to get nuclear power in a big way, then deregulate the hell out of it? Be honest, do you think Americans would be eager to see that come to pass?

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    21. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 1

      1) Reprocessing is more expensive, and greatly raises the per-kilowatt costs pro-nuclear peeps sling about.

      Reprocessing does add cost. Some of that cost would be offset by the byproducts of the reprocessing that you could sell. Canada sells us our medicinal isotopes now and I doubt they are selling them us at a loss. Reprocessing also lowers the amount of long-term storage space needed since we would end up with less overall waste. I don't know exact numbers, but that would also offset the cost. Also, what do you mean by 'greatly'? Is it more than coal? Maybe. More than wind/solar? I seriously doubt it. Per-kilowatt cost is always a relative measure.

      2) Is it ethical to rely on reprocessing, when we start talking invasion when our geopolitical enemies try to do it?

      Huh? We generally don't want any of our enemies to have any sort of nuclear technology. Besides, if you read the article, reprocessing to weapons grade nuclear material is an entirely different ball game.

      3) Regarding stupid regulations: since most of the pro-nuclear crowd is drawn from the Right, why are they so eager to demand reliance on a source of energy that basically requires huge amounts of government meddling? I would think that solar and wind -- which can be harnessed by anyone -- would tickle their fancy more.

      A few points. It's not the Right, but more of the pragmatic people who think nuclear is a direction we should be exploring. France isn't exactly Right and they generate much of their energy from nuclear power.

      All power creation (not brokering a la Enron) has been and always will be highly regulated because of national security and potential for pollution. Even if we could move to all wind today it would remain highly regulated because the power grid is so important to national security. The government will never get its hands out of the power creation. Additionally the only way we will ever get to wind/solar/other alternative is through government regulation. They are so expensive that the government will have to make them more attractive either through incentives or taxes.

      Also, what you're proposing is a false dichotomy. No where has anyone said alternative fuels are dead and that they shouldn't be explored. It's not one or the other. You can do nuclear while continuing to research everything else.

      4) Or is the goal to get nuclear power in a big way, then deregulate the hell out of it? Be honest, do you think Americans would be eager to see that come to pass?

      Nice strawman. Power creation will always be heavily regulated regardless of the technology used.

      The goal is to switch the US to a cleaner more efficient fuel without destroying the economy cap and trade style. Wind and solar is great, but if you sat down and did the math about how much power they can actually provide you'd see that they will always be secondary sources. They just can't produce enough KW to be viable as a complete replacement. At that point you're left with a fossil fuel or nuclear.

    22. Re:Energy Return On Energy Input by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      France is exactly my point. Nuclear power is the epitome of Big Government solutions. France's nuclear industry is wholly government owned and operated, and for good reason.

      You say "All power creation (not brokering a la Enron) has been and always will be highly regulated because of national security and potential for pollution." If you're implying some sort of equivalency, then you're pushing hornswoggle. Look at the regulations involved in the mining, refining, transporting, burning, and disposing of nuclear material, and the meticulous safety measures and triple redundancies and physical security required for a nuclear power plant. Hell, there are even international treaties in play.

      Then compare all that to their involvement in, say, a few million rooftop solar installations. The government doesn't even need to know who has them or where they're installed. Your local utility probably has more say over an installation than the Feds do. If there was a big enough move towards small-scale solar, the national power grid would be far less of a national security issue than it is now, since the bulk of energy would be created locally.

      In short, you really didn't think this through.

      Finally, before you get all indignant over alternative energy subsidies,* remember that the nuclear industry also gets hefty government subsidies, including guarantees limiting a plant's liabilities in the event of accident. Not only is this subsidy worth billions to the industry every year, but without it it's very unlikely that any nuclear power plant could get insured. No insurance, no construction.

      * which are only a couple of pennies per kWh anyways.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  83. What concerns me more... by sensei+moreh · · Score: 1
    Shell is an oil/petrochemical company, so I can understand the "return to core competencies." What bothers me is the following (taken from the summary):

    ...and to increase its debt load to pay for dividends...

    That sounds fiscally irresponsible

    --
    Geology - it's not rocket science; it's rock science
  84. Let's put another spin on it. by lwriemen · · Score: 1

    "They're responsible. To their investors...People like to vilify oil companies as monsters, but...in fact", the investors are the monsters.

    The "environmental whack jobs" of today are the "I told you so"s of tomorrow.

  85. Patent troll? by MrKaos · · Score: 3, Insightful
    It seems appropriate that Shell could make a significant achievements in the area of carbon sequestration with their existing industrial experience.

    The only thing that concerns me is if they will use patents collected through their body of research into solar, wind and hydro to block technology developments and deployments creating the same sort of patent mess that is interfering with innovation in the information technology industry.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  86. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by JeffSpudrinski · · Score: 1

    "Is Shell short sighted...?"

    Say that five times fast.

  87. How to shove 1000 train cars of carbon under a rug by An+dochasac · · Score: 5, Informative

    A typical 1000 Megawatt coal powerplant such as the behemoth ERGs boondoggle just being completed in SE Wisconsin requires 1215 train carloads of Coal (Carbon) every day. Once burned, each carbon molocule (Atomic Weight 12) will have two Oxygen Molecules (Atomic Weight 16) attached to it and this 'refuse' to be sequestured will weigh 3.67 times as much. All else being equal, this means you would need 4459 boxcars full of carbon junk leaving the power plant. But CO2 can't easily be compressed into boxcars so it is likely the carbon will be sequestered with calcium or silicon (in rock), and weigh much more. And Shell thinks this is cheaper than solar, wind and hydropower? Have I missed April fools day or is someone playing a shell game?

  88. Re:Neither. They're responsible by rhakka · · Score: 1

    HVAC *already* has this: most oil and gas companies have installation and service techs that can sell you a heating/cooling system, maintain it, and sell you the fuel. Sure, it's not a fixed rate. But it is nearly a fully vertical business model, they just don't build the stuff they sell you.

    Thing is, they have no incentive whatsoever to save you fuel. Knowing how much fuel you *should* be using is way beyond most people and fuzzy at best even to professionals without serious monitoring equipment. So who would know? And they sell fuel. If you tried to flip this so they just promised you X dollars a year for heating/cooling, then you're in a whole new game: they have to guess, and guess high in case you like to leave your bedroom windows open while you sleep. So everyone would have to pay more and no one would actually be penalized for consumption: exactly the opposite of what we really want to see happen.

    The furnace company has lots of incentive to make more efficient units when energy is expensive, because that is what the homeowners demand. We've seen the rise of modulating/condensing equipment in the last ten years at a meteoric rate for gas users; conventional gas equipment is dying. However, the installing company has no reason to make sure that such equipment is installed well to actually perform as rated... and never would in a vertically integrated environment, unless it becomes much easier for people to determine what they *should* be using for fuel. That means realistic energy modelling (not title 24) for homes, or home inspection with specialized equipment/energy audits... and that's more expense and complexity in building (though one as a heating professional I would say is a good thing!).

    This country is chock-full of furnaces and boilers running south of 50% efficiency, regardless of the rating on the energy star tag, assuming of course the boiler/furnace is new enough to have one. No one knows what they should be using, so they have no way of knowing how bad their current usage is.

  89. Incredibly Naive by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Between Shell's decisions to stop its clean energy investments and to increase its debt load to pay for dividends, the company is solidifying an image of corporate greed over corporate responsibility."

    Now, some companies are run by people with a streak of "corporate responsibility". Sometimes, the staff want some "corporate responsibility". But mostly "corporate responsibility" is about profit. It's about looking nice to your more naive customers. In the end, companies will work this stuff out as a trade-off. Amount of income lost to treehuggers who boycott you vs amount of income lost on green projects.

    If green projects > treehugger income, you'll get rid of the projects.

  90. At Least Shell Is Honest About It by some+old+guy · · Score: 5, Informative

    I worked for BP's orphan photo-voltaics lab in Toano, Virginia long enough for us to be featured in their big "Beyond Petroleum" advertising blitz...and then poof! they pulled the plug. Although we were doing first-rate science and pilot production of amorphous silicon PV cells, we were left with the impression that we were merely a "green" marketing asset left over from the Amoco merger.

    We supplied the green paint, then they threw away the brush. So goes the oil business.

    --
    Scruting the inscrutable for over 50 years.
  91. Re:Really, all three? by gtall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah, that's it. We MADE China manufacture all that stuff to sell to the U.S. And before that, we absolutely threatened Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines into producing all the stuff the U.S. no longer could produce cheaply enough. Come to think of it, we threatened to invade India if they didn't help the U.S. offshore those American jobs.

    And look what the U.S. did for Kuwait, the U.S. invaded the damn country just so it could give it back to the Kuwaitis; maybe the Kuwaitis were threatening to go into textiles instead of pumping oil, it being such a lucrative market.

    And what's with the Free Trade Act, imagine opening up American markets just so those evil, money grubbing S. and L. American countries could sell their stuff here. Why, even Mexico is threatening tariffs if the U.S. Congress doesn't take back the restriction they recently put on Mexican trucks. I'll be the U.S. threatened Mexico to threaten the U.S. with tariffs just to keep trade free and open.

    Those naughty Americans, the nerve of such people thinking other people in the world might want a better standard of living. Maybe socialism would work, its been so successful in the past.

    Gerry

  92. What the fuck are they planning to do? by damburger · · Score: 1

    Oil IS running out. Without investment in renewables, what is the future of their business? Nuclear? They are an oil company, they have no way to enter that market. They may as well be starting from scratch.

    If they think they can be a multinational corporation making biofuels they are deluded. Its curious to watch such a large company willingly fall on its sword like this.

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    1. Re:What the fuck are they planning to do? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "Its curious to watch such a large company willingly fall on its sword like this."

      You seem to think a corporation is a cogent entity. It is not. People running the corporation want to make bonuses, and since they will retire with million even if the company fails why would they care?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:What the fuck are they planning to do? by damburger · · Score: 1

      No, I agree. Who'd have thought that paying huge bonuses regardless of success would lead to bad outcomes?

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
  93. that's OK by jipn4 · · Score: 1

    Shell's "investment" in non-oil energy sources seems to have been miniscule anyway; this is merely bringing marketing in line with reality.

    Does this no.make business sense? If they operate with a view on quarterly or annual stock performance, probably yes. Long term? Probably not.

  94. Shell Game by transami · · Score: 1

    That real convenient. They've been sucking up all the government research funds for renewable energy research and now that the gov has not more money for them they are all done with it.

    The problem with the Oil companies is they constitute a cartel. They control Energy. There is no free market here and the plan to keep it that way.

    --
    :T:R:A:N:S:
  95. New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I would say that 70,000 homes is pretty large scale, and the energy is completely free.

    http://www.inhabitat.com/2008/02/25/world%E2%80%99s-largest-solar-power-plant-coming-to-arizona-in-2011/

    The entire midwest is ideal for Solar. Death Valley? Thousands of acres sitting empty. Who'd want to live there? Solar...

    Just because something hasn't been done doesn't mean that it can't be or shouldn't be.

    1. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Shakrai · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Thousands of acres sitting empty. Who'd want to live there? Solar...

      Or we could build a single nuclear power plant that doesn't need thousands of acres as a footprint and would generate more power to boot. Just saying.....

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    2. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by rho · · Score: 1

      Nothing is free. It's foolish to say so and demonstrates you haven't thought sufficiently about the problem.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    3. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by repvik · · Score: 1

      Completely free energy? TINSTAAFL.
      How do they plan on handling the energy consumtion at night?

    4. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      Yes, but they generate tons of nuclear waste that doesn't go away for thousands of years.

      If/when they build a nuclear plant that is more efficient (less waste), then I would think that's a good option. They are already working on fusion methods to 'burn' excess waste but it's not production ready yet.

      http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/01/090127131654.htm

      Check out the link above if you haven't seen it. Very cool stuff. Until then, we should be more responsible as a race and utilize cleaner fuels until we get where we need to be.

    5. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      Are you referring to the costs of building and maintaining it? The plant will pay for itself. All solar has a return on investment, although some are longer than others. Are you referring to the heat/light energy lost to the desert?

      Off the cuff arguments that nothing is free with no real substantive arguments behind them don't really add to a discussion. Can you be more specific?

    6. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes, but they generate tons of nuclear waste that doesn't go away for thousands of years.

      Waste that could largely be reprocessed into usable fuel if we hadn't abandoned the technology for political reasons back in the 70s. Of course we did and now we get to play catch up with France of all places. And why are tons of nuclear waste a worse thing to deal with than millions of tons of CO2? If we had a real nuclear program back in the 70s/80s we'd be typing this on electricity generated without releasing a single molecule of CO2 into the atmosphere.

      Instead the environmentalist lobby keeps saying no to everything because renewables are right around the corner. They've been saying that for decades yet it hasn't materialized. Hmm, I wonder why?

      Until then, we should be more responsible as a race and utilize cleaner fuels

      What cleaner fuels? Every "cleaner" fuel that can be deployed on a large enough scale to sustain civilization is carbon based. If you believe that man is impacting climate change then this should be the last thing you want.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    7. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by catbertscousin · · Score: 1

      Yeah. Sometimes I wonder why the most cost-effective and efficient fuels (oil, coal, nuclear) are the most demonized. Coal is evil and bad for the environment, use something else! Ok, how about oil? Oil is evil and limited, use something else! Ok, how about nuclear? Nuclear is evil and horribly dangerous, use something else!

      Ok, how about solar or wind? Great! BUT - it's going to be expensive up front and not very efficient on a nationwide scale for some time yet. I want my cheap power! * sigh *

      --
      No good deed goes unpunished. - Avon, Blake's 7
    8. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      Your arguing for something that I actually think is a good idea. Clean nuclear fuel would be ideal (see the link I posted above), but the technology isn't quite ready yet. Until then, I don't think it's responsible to abandon solar, wind, and other 'clean' alternatives simply because the immediate return on investment isn't high enough.

    9. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Ok, how about solar or wind? Great! BUT - it's going to be expensive up front and not very efficient on a nationwide scale for some time yet. I want my cheap power! * sigh *

      Don't worry, the enviro-nazis will shoot those down too, once they realize the scale that we'll need to deploy either of those technologies on to sustain modern civilization. You really think that Greenpeace is going to lay down and let us cover thousands of acres of the Southwest with solar panels? Do you think the NIMBY crowd will stand for having to look at thousands of wind turbines and the transmission lines to get the power to someplace useful? Hell, wind turbines are already causing an uproar and they haven't even been deployed on a meaningful scale yet.

      Sometimes I think the more extreme parts of the environmentalist movement won't be happy unless humanity decides to stop reproducing and dies off. And don't even get me started on the NIMBY/BANANA jackasses. I want good cell-phone service but I don't wanna look at cell phone towers. I want electricity but don't you dare place a transmission line where I might have to look at it.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    10. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Shakrai · · Score: 1

      Clean nuclear fuel would be ideal (see the link I posted above), but the technology isn't quite ready yet. Until then, I don't think it's responsible to abandon solar, wind, and other 'clean' alternatives simply because the immediate return on investment isn't high enough.

      Where did I advocate for abandoning them? My only point is that nuclear power, even with it's current downsides, is way better for the environment than carbon based fuels. We could virtually eliminate carbon from electrical production. That would be a huge step in the right direction and would provide for other possibilities -- plug-in hybrids that recharge from a carbon-free energy source for example.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    11. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Midwest? Are you sure you don't mean Southwest? http://rredc.nrel.gov/solar/old_data/nsrdb/redbook/atlas/ Arizona and New Mexico are the only two continential states consistently different from the national average in almost all solar data. 70,000 homes is very small scale in the world of energy, and they admit they can't compete with oil/coal unless Congress hands them money. If Solar were a good energy source, these would be springing up without subsidies from congress.

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    12. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      If the plant generates 100 million a year in revenue, and it costs 1 billion, it will pay for itself and return a profit in 10 years (small change for employee and maintenance aside). Does that mean there would be no costs associated with it? No. Does that mean that it would constantly lose money? No, as it would receive money for the power it sells which offset the costs to maintain it. Once the return on investment is paid, the plant would produce surplus profit.

    13. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by rho · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What are our energy needs? How much of that can be provided by wind/solar? What is the environmental impact of massive solar and wind installations? What is the long-term cost of maintenance? What about expanding capacity? Energy storage?

      Nothing is free. There are trade-offs for everything. I'm fairly convinced that wind/solar, where feasible, can replace a lot of energy needs and their trade-offs are, long term, less harmful. But it's not magic and shouldn't be sold as such.

      I approach the issue from the standpoint of one planning a solar installation on a sailboat. When complete it would completely eliminate the need for an engine to recharge the battery. But even then it's not free. No pressurized water (other than gravity), no electric appliances more powerful than maybe a hand blender, and constant awareness of power usage. It's an acceptable trade-off for me, but it is a trade-off.

      --
      Potato chips are a by-yourself food.
    14. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      It is expensive because it's not large scale. At least not on the scale of adoption that fossil fuels have.

      Oil has had a VERY large head start. All technology becomes cheaper as it is adopted by a larger audience. Solar too is also becoming cheaper. So much so that even adoption in the home is becoming a reality.

    15. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by nelsonal · · Score: 1

      Scale doesn't help much, because most of the difference in costs relate to energy to manufacture vs energy output. Oil's cheap because the cost of storing that energy was paid by innumerable plants years ago. Our current cells are far more efficient than those plants' collectors but I can't grab them out of a hole in the desert. It's sort of foolish to burn a bunch of oil or natural gas to make something that in the case of PV might return only that amount of energy over the next 30 years. Your plant has a better EROEI, but it's still not competitive with an oilfield (or they'd be building it rather than marketing it for a congressional subsidy).

      --
      Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
    16. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 5, Informative

      Your arguing for something that I actually think is a good idea. Clean nuclear fuel would be ideal (see the link I posted above), but the technology isn't quite ready yet.

      We already have cleaner nuclear fuel through the ability to reprocess the waste. The problem is that we have antiquated laws from the 1970s prevents us from being able to do so. Hell, we have to import our medicinal isotopes from Canada because we are not allowed to refine them here. Good read here.

    17. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      I said it was not responsible to abandon solar, wind, etc. Remember the topic of this discussion (Shell)? ;)

    18. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by inviolet · · Score: 2, Informative

      If the plant generates 100 million a year in revenue, and it costs 1 billion, it will pay for itself and return a profit in 10 years (small change for employee and maintenance aside).

      No it will not.

      The TVM on $1b capital is at least $50m a year, but for a moderately risky investment it will be more like $75m. That means that your example plant only generates $25-50m profit a year. That's a 20-30 year payback, which is close to the design lifetime of the panels (20-25 years) and certainly less than the design lifetime of all the other components in the plant (rotators, inverters, storage devices).

      Plus real-estate taxes (which you may get a pass on, which means your state gets poorer) plus insurance (against, say, hail damage) plus lots of maintenance on a quantity of panels and infrastructure large enough to supply $100m of electricity. You handwave these things away but they are dealbreakers when the plant can already barely pay for itself by the time it wears out.

      I'm not saying that actual solar plants have financials along these lines (though they are still underwater, which is the reason nobody is building them). I'm just using this to show that you don't know your economic fundamentals.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    19. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

      Yes, but they generate tons of nuclear waste that doesn't go away for thousands of years.

      Q: What you call radioactive waste with a half-life in the tens of thousands of years?
      A: Inert.

      --
      Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    20. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Jorophose · · Score: 1

      Deserts are not completely empty.

      How long until we discover our solar panels covered up the native environment of some desert bug, which has been the sole reason we're protected from X disease?

      Or that we've destroyed some endagered cacti/desert critter, and all the "free-the-animals" nuts jump on us?

    21. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      Completely free you say? I didn't realise we had self replicating, self repairing solar panels now. I thought we still had those old fashioned panels that took years to balance out the energy required to make them.

      --
      Nick
    22. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Bitch-Face+Jones · · Score: 1

      Yes, but new nuclear reactors could use thorium as a fuel source, which is much easier to extract and is far more abundant than uranium. Also, the by-product from a thorium fuel-cycle is difficult to produce nuclear weapons from.

    23. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      This isn't some small scale local building installation we're talking about here. These are bought in bulk in a billion dollar installation. Your also assuming that panels are still prohibitively expensive due to the technology being relatively new, and the shortage of silicon.

      Both are becoming non-issues.

      http://www.technologyreview.com/Biztech/20702/
      http://earth2tech.com/2009/02/23/solar-prices-drop-deeper-discounts-expected/
      http://www.worldchanging.com/archives/009478.html

      Any new technology is expensive when it's new. As adoption increases, production costs go down as does the time it takes for return on investment.

      Latest estimates show panel prices dropping by 40-50%. What was not cost effective in 2000 is easily becoming so in 2009.

    24. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Death Valley? Thousands of acres sitting empty.

      Death Valley? A very sensitive desert ecosystem.

      Bet on someone strongly opposing covering it with solar panels or solar thermal generators. And the associated access roads, repair sheds, power lines, whatnot.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    25. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      But what about the energy and environmental impact of those panels? My point was that one of the traditional problems with solar power is that it wasn't that green when you factor in all the energy and hazardous chemicals used to make them. Is that still true?

      --
      Nick
    26. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      Death Valley? A very sensitive desert ecosystem.

      It also has fascinating geology. As it's already a national park, I think it's a poor example of unused land ripe for being covered in solar collectors.

      There are vast areas where much less will be lost by converting them to solar farms, but there will always be a loss. Every way to generate energy has its downsides, some more than others. While I think nuclear probably has the least long term negative environmental effect, wind, solar and geothermal also look acceptable. I'll be happy with whatever ends up being cheapest.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    27. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by inviolet · · Score: 1

      Just wondering, who exactly is paying the state the property taxes on acres and acres and acres of unused desert?

      You are not understanding what real estate taxes are for.

      A hundred acres of very valuable assets (solar panels + hardware) are now sitting in the middle of nowhere. This creates a burden for law-enforcement and also for the fire department, who must both now protect them. It is expensive to protect a target that is simultaneously distant and valuable.

      Normally that burden would be underwritten by the solar farm's real-estate taxes. If the farm demanded preferential tax treatment, then its burden is simply transferred to the rest of the community.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    28. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      Do you consider oil a cleaner alternative? There is always a negative factor when it comes to manufacturing technology.

    29. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by winwar · · Score: 1

      And the fact that we are still cleaning up the mess from the last time we reprocessed material has nothing to do with it?

      Reprocessing is a great idea. Just like nuclear. Except that it is/was done badly. Hence the restrictive laws...

      I don't trust any company to build reactors/reprocess fuel that isn't regulated/overseen to the hilt. But then it isn't very economic...

    30. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Solar panels are probably cheaper and require less maintenance. A nuclear power plant is only one mistake away from destroying an entire region, and requires a volatile fuel shipped from across the world.

      And at the end of a life cycle, I think that taking down solar panels is easier than spending billions decommissioning nuclear power plants.

    31. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      Compared to other renewables, obviously. Nobody would claim wind or geothermal power are "completely free", they're just preferable compared to oil.

      So?

      --
      Nick
    32. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 1

      The law went into place in 1977, so what happened prior to then (that was caused by reprocessing) that we are still cleaning up? Even if something did happen over 30 years ago the rest of the world seems to have figured out the reprocessing issue just fine. The US likes to call itself leaders in technology so lets lead. In that timeframe the rest of the world has also come up even more efficient nuclear reactors that are designed in such a way that you can't have a meltdown.

    33. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      "Enviro-nazis?" Could you be a little more dismissive of the people who gave you national parks, renewable energy, clean air, the people who sounded the alarm about global warming in the first place?

      I ask you: do you really think Greenpeace is as stupid as you claim? Think hard now. Greenpeace has been pushing renewables hard. Do you think that they simply don't realize how much acreage it will take? It seems to me that they must believe that renewables can be deployed on a huge scale without terrible environmental repercussions.

      Either you think they are incredibly stupid or incredibly craven. Maybe you think both, but if you can't even envision that they might actually believe renewables to be our best hope, then you're clearly committed to the proposition that those who disagree with you are evil.

      You also seem to have a very specific thing in mind when you invoke "sustaining modern civilization." But our lifestyles, and the amount of energy needed to sustain them, are both malleable. If we pushed hard for a 100% increase in energy efficiency across the board, suddenly we'd need about half as much energy infrastructure to support our needs. If society moved towards simpler lifestyles,* we'd again find that we needed to deploy fewer acres of solar panels.

      I see you're pushing nuclear pretty hard. Perhaps that's because it's the only technology that will let us continue using energy so wastefully. Perhaps you like that it gets under the skin of us environmentalists. I'm okay with that, and it doesn't mean you're not sincere. But my firm belief is that the solution to our energy needs lies in energy efficiency. Once we start mining negawatts with abandon, it really doesn't matter how we produce the power.

      * If you read that phrase and assumed that I was calling for a return to the stone age, you really need to spend some time listening to some actual environmentalists, instead of what Rush O'Hannity says we say.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    34. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      How much does it cost to install a few miles of barbed wire fence and a dozen man-eating rotweilers?

      The things are in the middle of the desert, and aren't likely to be subject to random acts of vandalism. As for theft, how the hell are you going to load up a semi full of solar panels without attracting notice from the aforementioned man-eating rotweilers?

      Seriously, security costs should be minimal, and will most likely be paid by the plant. It's not like they have quantities of highly dangerous material to guard. To say that a solar plant should pay taxes as though A) those acres were displacing other useful economic activity, and B) they were putting a proportional burden on law enforcement, is a bit absurd.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    35. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by B4D+BE4T · · Score: 1

      I didn't realise we had self replicating, self repairing solar panels now.

      We do. They're called plants.

    36. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Economic hand-waving does no good when the physical world doesn't cooperate.

      You say that after 25 years, the panels "wear out". This isn't true. Since you're assuming that the entire $1B initial investment disappears after 25 years, this blows your analysis all to hell.

      Most solar panels are warrantied to still be producing 80% of their initial rating at the end of 25 years. So you're assuming about five times the actual rate of depreciation on a billion dollar investment.

      Thin film panels wear out much faster, but given their low cost, it's a good trade-off.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    37. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by EdIII · · Score: 1

      Where did I advocate for abandoning them? My only point is that nuclear power, even with it's current downsides, is way better for the environment than carbon based fuels. We could virtually eliminate carbon from electrical production. That would be a huge step in the right direction and would provide for other possibilities -- plug-in hybrids that recharge from a carbon-free energy source for example.

      You can't say that though. It's 100% ineffective on most of the rabid jackass environmentalists. There are quite a number of very intelligent, well informed, and practical environmentalists. We just don't hear from them as much. In fact, it seems that both you and I are in that group. The difference is, we *support* the idea of being intelligent and understanding our impact on the environment in both the long term and short term and then figuring out just what is in our best interests. It only makes sense to not commit ourselves to a journey on a dead-end road where the entire ecosystem on the planet is hostile and unable to support life. That's the practical side of it. If we have to clear some land, mine some uranium, and take some risks to achieve a ultimately positive result for the environment, we are willing to consider it and then act upon it.

      I think environmentalists you hate are the "NIMBY/BANANA" jackasses you refer to in your other post. I think those people are shortsighted as well and will ultimately end up killing more "yellow spotted owls" through ignorance and inaction than what they are so loudly protesting.

      So it's not environmentalists that we are opposed to, it's the rabid ignorance and obstinate attitudes that we find so many people share when they write their vitriol laced diatribes about how we cannot even consider nuclear or anything that might remotely be dangerous or ugly to their backyards. They want all the warm fuzzy feelings of being associated with the word environmentalist, while taking none of the risk and suffering no consequences.

      Note, I don't feel every so-called environmentalist is like that. Just a depressingly large and vocal amount. They really do perform quite an injustice to the rest of us when they speak too. That's why when you mention that you are an environmentalist people look at you like you are a Moonie/Scientologist/Jehova's Witness/Generic WhackJob. It's associated with people that are unreasonable, uneducated, fanatical, etc. Which is a problem, and a severe one. The perceived lack of rationality.

      On the nuclear note, it is really really REALLY sad how much ignorance and fear there is out there:

      1) It might blow up and take out an entire region.

      Really? Well the U.S is not the end-all-be-all of nuclear technology. The rest of world moved on. The way we can build and operate nuclear reactors today is SO MUCH MORE SAFER than it was 20-30 years ago. We don't have to take the same sort of risks and the overall process *could* be so much safer and more efficient.

      Those concerns are based on a complete ignorance of all the progress the world has made since Chernobyl. That and most people don't know the true story. That accident was man-made and we don't have to make the same sort of mistakes.

      I wonder how those same people would have felt about the automobile, or the airplane. Anything with the smallest chance of causing death must be avoided. The only acceptable risk is zero percent.

      2) Toxic Nuclear Waste that will shrivel our naughty parts and affect our children for thousands and thousands of years.

      We now know about new methods of reprocessing that will reduce waste and increase efficiency. In fact, a new material was developed that can generate electricity from radiation. It's similar to the thermoelectric generation of energy from heat (Seebeck effect?). We can construct underground reservoirs lined with feet of this material, and then many more feet of concrete and be reasonably sure that nothing will leak and it will continue to provide s

    38. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by EdIII · · Score: 1

      "Enviro-nazis?" Could you be a little more dismissive of the people who gave you national parks, renewable energy, clean air, the people who sounded the alarm about global warming in the first place?

      I agree with him to an extent. He did not do a good job of differentiating between the problem environmentalists and the ones that are more reasoned and willing to learn and discuss our alternatives to further the goal of protecting our environment in a *practical way*.

      Most of the people you mention that provided us those things are not the same "NIMBY/BANANA JACKASSES" that he mentioned. In fact, I don't think environmentalists as a whole are better off with those people. We don't need them and they need to STFU.

      I ask you: do you really think Greenpeace is as stupid as you claim? Think hard now. Greenpeace has been pushing renewables hard. Do you think that they simply don't realize how much acreage it will take? It seems to me that they must believe that renewables can be deployed on a huge scale without terrible environmental repercussions.

      Either you think they are incredibly stupid or incredibly craven. Maybe you think both, but if you can't even envision that they might actually believe renewables to be our best hope, then you're clearly committed to the proposition that those who disagree with you are evil.

      I see a lot of people attack Greenpeace for exactly the same reasons. Personally, I don't know if Greenpeace is truly deserving of such character assassinations. If they are unwilling to discuss alternatives and weigh the risks vs. the rewards while purely pursuing the position of protecting the environment and the animals at all costs... then they really are a problem and need to be marginalized.

      I myself am willing to sacrifice some animals if it means increasing the efficiency of some process and ultimately providing a more positive impact on the environment. I want all the data to make an informed decision. I don't agree with people that are completely unwilling to accept a short term impact to a species or an ecosystem to obtain a larger and more positive impact on the environment in the long term. That's shortsighted and stubborn and more than likely what people don't like about Greenpeace. Even if that is only an incorrect perception.

      You also seem to have a very specific thing in mind when you invoke "sustaining modern civilization." But our lifestyles, and the amount of energy needed to sustain them, are both malleable. If we pushed hard for a 100% increase in energy efficiency across the board, suddenly we'd need about half as much energy infrastructure to support our needs. If society moved towards simpler lifestyles,* we'd again find that we needed to deploy fewer acres of solar panels.

      Asking for a reduction of lifestyle, or lowered standard of living is not reasonable. I don't even see many environmentalists (so-called ones) that are willing to sacrifice anything to accomplish that. Aside from limited recycling, purchasing a Prius, and maybe purchasing green technology (like OMG reusable hemp grocery bags) they are completely unwilling to make any real sacrifices.

      Also, energy efficiency will only get us so far. All of the technologies we are creating will use ever increasing amounts of power regardless of efficiency. Efficiency will help the most in residential and "end-user" types of applications. It will only get you so far in industrial and transportation requirements. Can solar really be used to supply both residential and industrial/transportation usage requirements? I doubt it.

      I could be wrong, but my feelings are that efficiency will get us part of the way there, but we will still have to create a new form of energy production and transportation to offset our inevitably increased usage.

      Also, what do you mean by "simpler"? It obviously implies sacrifice of some kind. So how much? I find any to be im

    39. Re:New large scale solar plant in Arizona by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your interesting, respectful, and -- above all -- long response.

      I agree that, given the choice between nuclear power and runaway global warming, we have to choose nuclear power, and lots of it. But I don't believe that those are the only two choices. We disagree over the potential of alternative energy, energy efficiency, and lifestyle changes. I think all three have good potential, and between the three, I think that we can achieve our most important environmental goals without giving nuclear power a large role.

      First, the potential of alternative energy:

      Wind power is currently in the lead, at around 4-8 cents per kWh. But solar is starting to show huge potential. The big bottleneck lately has been silicon, and a whole bunch of new silicon refining capacity is coming on line this year. The cost of panels should drop hard and soon. But I actually have more hope for concentrating solar, which requires only reflectors and tubing, and can keep generating electricity long after the sun goes down. Currently, it's at 12c/kWh, and expected to drop to 6 as economies of scale kick in. The costs are getting down to where the phrase "cheaper than coal" gets thrown about. If

      Lots of people talk about how renewables simply cannot scale, because they're "intermittent". But if you hook enough geographically dispersed facilities together -- which is going to require some upgrades to the grid -- then you can eliminate most of the need for overcapacity. Concentrating solar is relatively well-buffered, but can do very poorly on cloudy days. Wind is somewhat unpredictable, though it's getting better now that turbines are getting more out of low winds. Photovoltaics only work when the sun is up, but do relatively well when it's cloudy. Geothermal is relatively expensive, but highly reliable. All of them can be used to make hydrogen, charge electric cars, cool down freezers, pump water uphill, or whatever else we can think of to store or time-shift energy.

      But it's still a helluva lot of infrastructure to build. Which brings us to energy efficiency.

      Actually, energy efficiency is too narrow a term. Energy efficacy is more relevant. Driving a Prius is wasteful if you don't need to make the trip. But when you start making value judgments, you start moving into discussions of lifestyle, so I'll defer that to part three.

      There are billions of incandescent bulbs that need to be replaced right now. An incandescent bulb burns off about 60kWH over the course of its life, while a similar CFL would burn about 17. If you assume that the CFL costs as much as the seven incandescent bulbs that would have given you those same hours of light, you've just removed about 300kWH of demand, for free.

      Some energy efficiency projects actually make money. Others are a bit of a loss. But across the board, my understanding is that reducing demand can usually be done for about 2-3 cents per kWh. That's cheaper than coal, and cheaper than nuclear.

      To see just how much potential there is to be gained from energy efficiency, just look at the efficiency of a normal car. The engine is about 10% efficient, the car probably outweighs the driver by 5 times, and drag and friction probably suck away another 20%. So how much of the embodied energy in the gasoline is doing actual work? That is to say, moving your body from point A to point B? Less than 2%. Look at it another way: If you could get a 14% efficient car, it would get well over a hundred miles to the gallon.

      Not that there would be any particular reason to run it on gasoline. Hydrogen or batteries would probably make more sense.

      I've got my own hyperefficient vehicle: an electric bicycle. It's rare that I let the motor do all the work, but for the sake of argument, let's assume that I do. Figuring that the coal gets burnt at 40% efficiency, that you lose another 20% charging the battery, and that only 75% of the work being done is actually useful (the bike weighs 60 pounds, while I weigh

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  96. They arent short sighted. they are total idiots by unity100 · · Score: 1

    wind and solar energy unprofitable. unprofitable as in WHAT ? the maintenance of wind farms are pathetically low compared to any other energy forms as far as i know. solar energy will go as far as the sun continues to exist.

    wind energy is readily sufficiently efficient, without humongous investment on any companys' part. solar energy WILL become efficient soon, since the methods to capture sunlight is rapidly developing, since there is some investment flowing in recently.

    so, how's that ?

    cant spare a little investment for developing better solar energy ? despite it would be a pathetic sum compared to what you invested in oil extraction and distribution ?

    i dont get when did the 'investment' part of capitalist system go to trash. today companies want to profit without investing anything.

    i want to let you know i will evade anything with 'shell' logo or subsidiary logos on it from now on. and i will urge my close circle to do the same. enjoy your new public image.

    1. Re:They arent short sighted. they are total idiots by OneSmartFellow · · Score: 1

      Here, let me help

      wind and solar energy unprofitable. unprofitable as in WHAT ?

      Unprofitable as in they don't make a profit.

      the maintenance of wind farms are pathetically low compared to any other energy forms as far as i know. solar energy will go as far as the sun continues to exist.

      The fact you tagged this on the the previous statement about profit indicates you think they have a positive correlation coefficient. One does not imply the other though.

      wind energy is readily sufficiently efficient, without humongous investment on any companys' part. solar energy WILL become efficient soon, since the methods to capture sunlight is rapidly developing, since there is some investment flowing in recently

      wind energy is inherently unreliable, solar has been under rapid development for decades, and it's still nowhere near as efficient as it need to be.

      today companies want to profit without investing anything

      Congratulations, you understand the purpose of incorporation, to make the most possible profit with the least possible risk. In fact, it's not only what they want, it's a legal requirement for their existence. Think of it as their feduciary duty to their shareholders, that might help make it more palatable.

      i want to let you know i will evade anything with 'shell' logo or subsidiary logos on it

      No more clam chowder for you then !

    2. Re:They arent short sighted. they are total idiots by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Solar panels aren't, but solar thermal is ready to go, right now.

      "...it's a legal requirement for their existence."
      In the broad sense, no it is not.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:They arent short sighted. they are total idiots by unity100 · · Score: 1

      'they dont make a profit' as in if told in 1903 about cars, or as 'i dont see any reason why someone would want a computer in their home' about computers ?

      yea. vision. you dont have it.

    4. Re:They arent short sighted. they are total idiots by geekoid · · Score: 1

      The bet wibd farms only produce 2MW for fan.
      They do need maintenance, they don't solve the storage issue, you can't rely on it to produce more during peak hours, is difficult to maintain, and will explode or disintegrate if it gets too windy.

      Frankly, I don't see a future in wind power on a wide scale. I do see farmers possible having one for there own use. I would love to see electric farming equipment charged from a wind fan on the farmers property.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    5. Re:They arent short sighted. they are total idiots by unity100 · · Score: 1

      "can break your arm if you dont pull back at the right moment, can explode if heats up too much, constantly requires water, too shaky, too loud and noisy, uncomfortable, dirty"

      these were the words to describe a car circa 1890.

  97. Practical vs. Visionary. by geekmux · · Score: 1

    ...I see no reason to make Shell out as the enemy here simply because they want to concentrate solely on two areas of environmental technology.

    What they are doing is helping. So why all the hate from all the posters?

    Ah, the question is not whether they are helping or not, but who they are helping more. The problem the very millisecond a company goes public is the almighty dollar becomes the number 1 priority. So, that being said, what exactly is doing "what they know best"? Long-term Innovation, or short-term profit-building?

    I'm sure AIG thought they were helping each and every one of those young kids find a way to "afford" their $400K dream home at the whopping age of 22 as well. I'm sorry if the actions of other public companies has soured the general public and made us all skeptics.

    1. Re:Practical vs. Visionary. by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      I agree with your point about AIG, but you have to realize that Shell is taking the smaller risk option here, which is more stable. They have operated an oil business for quite a while, and I'm pretty sure they can survive for quite a while on the oil business model.

      Jumping out of the renewable energy business just shows that they don't have the capital to invest in new sources of energy right now (could be related to the AIG thing maybe?).

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
  98. Ummm, it's the Law? by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Corporations are not required by law to be responsible. They are required by law to be greedy.

    It is the Law that corporate officers must act to maximize shareholder value, not to gallivant around the world pouring investor dollars into impractical investments that cannot hope to ever pay a return.

  99. Shell Ditches Wind, Solar and Hydro by tsjaikdus · · Score: 1

    I don't care. As long as the TV commercials keep showing chimneys with colorful flowers coming out and lovely bunnies next to it and all to keep my conscious from nagging me.

  100. Re:Neither. They're responsible by jonaskoelker · · Score: 1

    This relates to an argument about making furnaces better. The furnace company has very little incentive to make a more efficient furnace because they do not have to pay for the consumables [...]

    They can tell their customers "our furnaces are more efficient and will help you save money (and help the environment too)".

    I want cheap rather than expensive (all else equal). I'm going to be profitable to them rather than their competitors.

    Saving the customer money makes you more competitive, even if the money saved isn't the money that you would have gotten. See also "Total Cost of Ownership".

  101. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1
    Sure - but where's your quotes from the people who turned down bad ideas? I remember hearing how News Corp nearly bought out one of the "push" internet companies, and bailed out at the last minute, saving themselves hundreds of millions of dollars. They were quite correct in not backing it.

    What made those quotes interesting was a lack of vision. The scientist saying that passengers would suffocate hadn't considered that there would be a way to pressuring a tube for people to sit in. Foch maybe hadn't thought about the speed of development of planes. Thatcher hadn't thought about the personality of Sir Keith Joseph.

    So, here's my challenge to you: explain a vision of how solar or wind makes sense to Shell beyond what their people have thought. Explain how it's a good bet for them over the next, say, 20 years, despite the fact that the efficiency is, right now, way off the cost of oil.

    Now, at some point, the cost of solar/wind is going to meet the cost of oil, I have no doubt. Maybe that will be in 20 years, I don't know. As you seem to think Shell have got it wrong, perhaps you can produce some figures to back up your assertion.

  102. missing tag: by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1
    idiots.

    idiots.
    idiots.

    RS

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
  103. Re:Neither. They're responsible by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1

    " This is why GM killed the EV because they want you to consume parts and service for the (short) life of the car."

    OK. So, why doesn't one of the other car makers make an electric car? There's dozens of them out there. Presumably they would clean up, selling to people. Or why don't a bunch of non-car guys like Apple, Google or Microsoft do it? Or you?

    An electric vehicle that can seat 1 adult, 2 children and some shopping would absolutely clean up in the 2nd car market in Europe. So, if people can make a profit from it, and are capable of doing it, why aren't they?

  104. That's all niceplatitudes, but: by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1, Interesting

    TECHNOLOGY IS NOT ENERGY.

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
  105. Either Way by b4upoo · · Score: 1

    Whether Shell is being prudent and going in the safest economic way they can or whether they are fiends, oozing greed is meaningless. Their ideas are killing us all and the reasons behind those ideas enable this oil horror story to continue.

  106. Does anyone remember by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    The old calculator joke
    I think it was 142 arabs and 154 israelis fighting over 69 barrels of oil for 5 years - who wins
    (14215469 x 5 )

  107. I dont agree... by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    They did say we are taking our money and placing it elsewhere, and they did place it in another type of energy research, but not the ones you and I would profit from in the end...more for the industrial sector. I say, that's ok, we could use a few different sources of funding for ALL technologies. Technology is like many parallel lines, as soon as one strays too far behind, we get jammed waiting for it to catch up.

    If they do research in how to clean up nuclear waste (as Madonna is doing of all people, and of all the research you could invest in...!?!) we could have more nuclear power plants going up.
    If we had a few BIG companies investing in separate quarters of research...we could gain leap and bounds instead of baby steps.....my 2 cents.

  108. Pulling Muscles from a Shell by Big_Monkey_Bird · · Score: 1

    I'm not saying they're cheap, but when Shell asked me out for dinner, they wanted to go dutch.

    1. Re:Pulling Muscles from a Shell by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      HAR HAR....

      Royal Dutch Shell... everyone get it now?

  109. You can't lose a green conscience you never had. by ctromley · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It may be a mistake to lump the entire oil industry together, but let's look at the big picture. Putting on a green face is a PR benefit. Actually hastening the obsolescence of HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS of dollars of infrastructure (tankers, offshore platforms, refineries, pipelines, etc., etc.) is simply stupid from a business perspective. They never cared about being green. They cared about appearing green. In these trying economic times they are cutting back where they can. Lose the apperances? OK. Don't lose the core. The people running these companies are doing what they are legally required to do - maximize profit for the shareholders. Actually going green is a threat to profits. Won't happen.

  110. I want to believe by Tragek · · Score: 1

    I really really want to believe in Carbon Sequestration, but it just screams bullshit to me. Can anyone point me to analyses of it? Maybe even one or two where it's not bullshit?

    1. Re:I want to believe by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I rad a couple of studies, it doesn't really seem practicle.
      All will be for not anyways without strong enforced federal regulations. As it stands right now, there is always excuse to get a waiver to delay or put off regulations.

      Personally, I thing the feds should build an IFR to replace a coal power plant that hasn't complied to regulation and force the coal plant to shut down. THAT would get the coal industry to focus on actually implementing these technologies.

      It does not solve the problem of what to do with the CO2. While IFR waste becomes background radiation in 500 years, CO2 stays CO2.

      Don't get me wrong, I would love to see truly clean coal implemented. IT would certianly help us on the way to become 100% solar; which is the only real long term solution...barring some workable fission/fusion system, or the ability to manipulate strings and create electrons on the fly.
      I am not saying wither one of those are even feasible, I am just using them as an example of the level of technology we would need to push beyond solar for a long term solution.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  111. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

    Ouch, that Irving Fisher quip at the end probably pissed the Friedman fanbois. ;-)

    --
    Send your spendthrift head of state this
  112. Re:Really, all three? by catbertscousin · · Score: 1

    In soviet Russia . . . oh.

    --
    No good deed goes unpunished. - Avon, Blake's 7
  113. Re:Neither. They're responsible by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

    That still would emit too much CO2. Unless you could get them to do it without breathing... hmmm.

    --
    Send your spendthrift head of state this
  114. Carbon sequestration cannot work by azgard · · Score: 1

    And here's why:

    Say you use energy source like oil. The reason why you do it is because you are spending energy faster than what Sun (i.e. renewable resources - biomass, wind, solar) can currently provide.

    How do you get energy for carbon sequestration then? If you get it from oil, you will need more energy to put carbon in the ground than you got from in the first place. If you get it from renewable resources, then you don't have enough energy to recover all the CO2 back, because if you had, you could just skip the oil entirely and use renewable resources directly.

    Carbon sequestration is a fantasy. It fails the law of conservation of energy. Think about it.

    1. Re:Carbon sequestration cannot work by Tweenk · · Score: 1

      Carbon sequestration is a fantasy. It fails the law of conservation of energy.

      It isn't, because you are storing something else than you extracted, and you have obtained a large amount of energy from that transformation. You fail at elementary chemistry.

      Unless you're just speaking from authority without any research to support your statements that sequestering 1 mole of CO2 takes more energy than burning 1 mole of carbon in the form of hydrocarbons, but then it's just a troll.

      --
      Those who would give up liberty to obtain working drivers, deserve neither liberty nor working drivers.
    2. Re:Carbon sequestration cannot work by azgard · · Score: 1

      I don't see any viable way to sequester CO2. The proponents of CO2 sequestration should prove their viability, not me.

      I can't imagine storing it as a gas or compressed liquid on large scale. That's unrealistic. It's just too much of CO2. The storage tanks would have to be an order of magnitude larger than are oil reserves you are going to deplete. And you could have leaks, corrosion, you would have to support all these tanks infinitely. I don't have a proof, but it's just common sense. Instead of building all these large tanks, we could just pave a desert with solar cells, and be done, don't you think?

      If you store it in some other form, for example, in CaCO3, you will need more energy to do that (in this particular case, you will need to obtain CaO from somewhere). Just like coral reefs that do this process in nature do.

      Maybe Shell is going to built some plant to sequester CO2 as a demo and they get nice government paycheck for that. But it doesn't going to make dent into global warming, and that's the point.

    3. Re:Carbon sequestration cannot work by EdIII · · Score: 1

      I have no idea what you are talking about when you say it takes more energy to "sequester" carbon than what you received from the oil. However, "large tanks"?

      The whole point about Shell being an oil company is that they drill 10,000 ft under ground and pump the carbon down there. Those same formations that gave us the oil can store the carbon. That is where their expertise lies.

      Carbon sequestration is not about storing it above ground in tanks. That's crazy.

  115. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by AioKits · · Score: 2, Informative

    640K ought to be enough for anybody. - Bill Gates, 1981

    As much as I would just LOVE to defend ole Bill, no one can prove that he actually said this at any one point in time. Is just a nerd urban legend. Unless someone has proof?

    Check out the 'misattributed' section for him here:
    http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Bill_Gates

    *sigh* Something tells me I'm gonna be modded to hell.

    --
    "Quote me as saying I was mis-quoted." -Groucho Marx
  116. Quite logical actually... by Delgul · · Score: 1

    Actually, it all makes sense when you look at what companies like Shell depend upon:

    1) Oil. Contrary to what many people think, it will never run out. At least not in our lifetime. We may run out of 'easily accessible' oil but as technology progresses, we will be able to extract more at difficult places.
    2) Refining: Refineries are large and expensive apparatuses. Shell has invested heavily in them. It has the knowledge, the sites, the infrastructure. It would be very convenient for Shell if alternative energy sources would need big refinery-like installations since they are already good at that. It would give them a huge advantage.
    3) Distribution: Shell is owner of a large distribution network, as do other oil producing companies. It is this distribution network that allows them to ultimately dictate the consumer price.

    So, what happens when you take 1) away from them. Say everyone "wants" alternative energy although there is still oil aplenty? The current craziness around the carbondioxide-hoax may actually initiate this, at least for some time to come.

    With biofuels they get to keep 2) and 3). And this is what it is all about; Shell probably realizes by now that most other alternative energy sources are quite viable without a distribution network or large centralized refinement. People will just generate the energy in the same place where they need it. Solar panels on the roof would give you free energy and a battery or hydrogen powered car could be fueled on your front lawn, with your self-generated electricity or hydrogen.

    So by pushing the bio-fuel option they keep themselves in business. And any smart company does just that of course ;-)

    1. Re:Quite logical actually... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "...carbondioxide-hoax ..."

      So you ahve another explanation for all the evidence? I'd love to hear it.

      However, please bear in mind that Sun activity, normal cycles and pirates have all bee ruled out scientifically.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  117. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  118. Re:Neither. They're responsible by nelsonal · · Score: 1

    Hold up, sometimes the 401(k)s have to rebalance and when they do, I'll bet they're pretty darn happy that all those traders make the cost exceedingly low. Without traders you'd be near permanantly stuck with your investments once you purchased them, if they were available at all (go try to invest in just Geico sometime).

    --
    Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
  119. Good Business by rlp · · Score: 1

    Shell is a business - the management has a fiduciary responsibility to shareholders to manage their investments carefully. The price of oil dropped from $140 / barrel to around $40. This represents a large drop in the value of Shell assets. Demand for petroleum is way down due to the global recession. Cutting back on marginal projects with little prospect of short to medium term profit is the right move in this economic environment.

    --
    [Insert pithy quote here]
    1. Re:Good Business by Dr.+Donuts · · Score: 1

      I agree in this instance that Shell is probably doing the smart thing. I did want to comment though about fiduciary responsibility, since this often comes up in subject matter like this.

      Fiduciary responsibility is one of the responsibilities of a corporation, but not the *only* responsibility. Other responsibilities may be externally imposed (e.g., not break the law), or may be internally imposed (e.g., codes of conduct). These have intertwining impacts on one another, and may be at odds. For example, a Code of Conduct may negatively impact profitability, thus putting it at odds with a fiduciary responsibility to increase profit.

      The combinations of these responsibilities provides the framework in which corporations can pursue their goals. One of the goals of corporations is to profit, but there can be other goals in addition.

      Often times I see folks say that the fiduciary responsibility of a corporation is solely to maximize profit, but thats an oversimplification. Profit is a goal of for-profit corporations, but often not the sole goal. As such, those goals must be balanced against one another. Depending on circumstance, some goals will be scaled back so resources can be channeled to other goals.

      The fiduciary responsibility of the corporation is to manage fiscal operations to further the goals of the corporation.

  120. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

    I'm down with the hippie hate

    Stop hating on the hippies, they make good brownies :)

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  121. How dare they! by sheepofblue · · Score: 1

    How dare a company actually attempt to be profitable. Don't they know you make bad decisions for years they get billions from the taxpayer ????

  122. What if... by HikingStick · · Score: 1

    What if Shell had a breakthrough tomorrow that allowed them to create only new green energy production facilities? Sure, they'd hire thousands of new employees for their new green growth areas, but would people still applaud them when they lay off all of their oil production, refinery, and distribution employees that are no longer needed? They might offer to retrain some, but job cuts would be unavoidable.

    Corporations exist to conduct business for the benefit of the shareholders. Therefore, Shell makes business decisions based on what they believe should be best for the company's health and the shareholder profits. If you want Shell to change, your best bet would be to get together with your friends and start buying Shell stock. Until you have a major block of shareholders who share your vision for a greener Shell, don't expect the giant to change course.

    --
    I use irony whenever I can, but my shirts are still wrinkled...
  123. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by kcfoxie · · Score: 1

    Best comment ever.

  124. Libs will have a field day by p51d007 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Good for Shell! They made a BUSINESS decision! It is NOT GOOD BUSINESS practice to "invest" in something that DOES NOT WORK. Wind & solar are (at this time) cost prohibitive! If/when the day comes where it is more efficient to produce wind/solar power, you will see the energy companies jump on it. Same thing with these stupid "hybrid" cars. They are more expensive, use "more energy" to produce than a regular car.

    1. Re:Libs will have a field day by electrosoccertux · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, no field day here. They'll say "SEE??? This is why we need the government to subsidize it! It's cost prohibitive up front, and you can't make a profit on it, until the government subsidizes the first part (say, research into more efficient panels), THEN it becomes worth spending the money on".

      I haven't come up with a good reply to that...I say it's not worth the taxpayer's money, he says it is.
      If they support it I don't see why they can't just fund it with their own money then.

    2. Re:Libs will have a field day by b0bby · · Score: 2, Informative

      Without judging the merits of Shell's business decision, wind is getting pretty competitive. I just switched to a 100% wind provider with a 1 year price lock of 11.2 cents/kwh. That's the same as what Pepco charges me now. PV still is too expensive, but wind is getting there or in my case, is already here.

    3. Re:Libs will have a field day by Glendale2x · · Score: 1

      What does 11.2 cents/kwh compare to in your area? That's what natural gas and coal power from the grid costs where I live.

      --
      this is my sig
    4. Re:Libs will have a field day by rpillala · · Score: 1

      How are wind and solar ever going to come down from being cost prohibitive if people discontinue their investment?

      I think the answer is that someone else will come along and do the innovations necessary. There's no reason that Shell has to be involved, but likewise there's no reason they shouldn't be party to that process.

      --
      When the axe came to the forest, the trees said, "Look out - the handle was once one of us."
    5. Re:Libs will have a field day by michrech · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Good for Shell! They made a BUSINESS decision! It is NOT GOOD BUSINESS practice to "invest" in something that DOES NOT WORK. Wind & solar are (at this time) cost prohibitive!

      Ummmmm... Did you happen to forget how your computer was created? Your cell phone? How about your car? Your TV? They were created because someone "invested" in something that didn't exist, through all the steps of the things that didn't work, until they reached a product that *did* work.

      If/when the day comes where it is more efficient to produce wind/solar power, you will see the energy companies jump on it.
      Same thing with these stupid "hybrid" cars. They are more expensive, use "more energy" to produce than a regular car.

      Just how, pray-tell, are wind, solar, and "hybrid" cars ever supposed to get to a point where "they work" unless companies with MORE than enough money (like.. I dunno... Shell, perhaps?) invest in such technologies?

      I happen to believe that Shell is shooting themselves in the foot. If they paid for the research, they'd be able to own many (if not all ) of the patents that go along with the tech, which means not only that they could have made money on selling the items, but they could make MORE in licensing their patents to other companies.

      They, along with a small group of other companies, pretty much "own" the oil industry. Tell me, again, how it's NOT smart for them to "own" solar or wind technology in the same way?

      Don't get me wrong. As a company, they can decide where to spend their money, no matter how stupid I think their decision might be. I just don't see how it's *not* a completely batshit-insane choice to exit some very potentially profitable markets knowing that your entire company profit center is based upon an item that is quite finite.

      --
      bork bork bork!
    6. Re:Libs will have a field day by Khyber · · Score: 2, Informative

      "Wind & solar are (at this time) cost prohibitive"

      No, they're not. In fact, with a hybrid wind and solar design I'm working on, you can have both energy systems in one package and for a fairly cheap price. We have spray-on PV, and PV that can be printed out like newspaper, just check out Nanosolar.

      I wish I had some extra funding for this idea, because just using the current tech I could theoretically generate enough power for the entire USA with about a quarter of Arizona's land using what I'm designing. Total cost *MIGHT* run about twenty to thirty million dollars.

      That's not too much to power an entire country.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    7. Re:Libs will have a field day by Oswald · · Score: 1

      Wow. Must have been a pretty late night, or something. Might want to re-read your parent post.

    8. Re:Libs will have a field day by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I like solar optimism as much as the next guy, but c'mon. You couldn't coat a quarter of Arizona in quarter-inch deep gravel for $20-30M.

      Start talking tens of billions, and I'll stop wondering how to get some of what you're smoking.

      --

      You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

    9. Re:Libs will have a field day by NateTech · · Score: 1

      They may have shot themselves in the foot, but that's THEIR decision to make, is the guy's point.

      If they want profit today over what their customers MIGHT want tomorrow... that's their call.

      --
      +++OK ATH
    10. Re:Libs will have a field day by Khyber · · Score: 1

      It's only that much to build the equipment. Installation is a totally different thing, and maintenance is another, but the design I'm making is simple enough to be easy to maintain and not require so much maintenance to begin with.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    11. Re:Libs will have a field day by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      A good reply to that is that we have been fucking with wind and solar for 130 some years already and it has produced nothing better yet. Solar has been around since the 1800's and wind was once highly popular in the 1920's though the 50's in the mid west until our current grid system replaced it as cheaper. We are actually attempting to replace the current tech with the stuff it replaced nearly a century ago. No wonder why it's proving to be so hard.

      Currently the governments subsidizes a large portion of the wind and solar development and deployment. Laws in most states force power generators to implement solar or wind or some sort of alternative energy generation or require them to purchase a percentage of the energy they resell from one of those alternative sources which is paid for by increases in your electric bills. Just because the money doesn't get diluted by going to the government first doesn't mean that government isn't behind it. And that doesn't even start to touch the millions of dollars directly invested by the government currently in research with universities and private sources for development of more efficient processes. This entire "we havn't spent enough" argument is usually only made by people who are wow'd by smooth talkers and havn't investigated the real situation.

      They can't fund it with their own money because the entire process is a scam. The people pushing won't risk their own money unless it's a small amount for bragging rights in order to trick more people out of their money. Take Al Gore for instance, last I heard his mansion in TN used enough energy to supply 25 normal homes with energy. And that's after he had solar installed and put CFLs in every where. So he plays the part and then claims he can make you guilt free by allowing you to purchase carbon offsets from his company just like he did. He's getting a "pass" by paying himself for Christ's sake. And the smooth talking has caused the ignorant masses to eat it up.

      In case the video link doesn't work, just look for "P&T BullShit! Being Green" in your favorite search engine.

    12. Re:Libs will have a field day by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      How are wind and solar ever going to come down from being cost prohibitive if people discontinue their investment?

      While I will agree that shell doesn't have to be the company investing in the tech to make it cheaper, you have to at least acknowledge that solar has had over a century of investment in it and nothing fruitful has come about and wind was actually replaces by coal and oil at one point in time because it was cheaper.

      It isn't like this stuff was born yesterday, a lot of the advancements were but it's been around for nearly a century or more in some cases. Currently, it seems that it becomes affordable only when the alternatives become too expensive.

    13. Re:Libs will have a field day by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      In my area, I'm paying 8.1 cents per kqh. It's likely that the GP's 11.2c/kwj is subsidized by the other tech. That's normal in states that mandate a certain percentage of the electricity/energy produced or used to be from "green sources". Some of these states are Texas, California, Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, Michigan and 27 some other states. There are more but those are the ones that stand out in my mind.

      Many of those states with those mandates end up paying more for energy. Here is some dated previously held electric rates.

      Now some of those rates are high because of the use of Nuclear power. But almost everyone one with a mandate has more checks to do before making accurate statements.

    14. Re:Libs will have a field day by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I think a problem is the wording. The op said they are cost prohibited and you said no they aren
      't.

      You then bring up some system you are working on but you failed to mention that it isn't ready for delivery. We are flooded/flooding with promises of Tomorrow.

      Finally, as your production has yet to deliver the promised product, it can't really be compared to something on the market currently and even though your discussing it, it won't be registered or in production soon. We then have to consider the costs of your efforts compared to the existing utilities.

    15. Re:Libs will have a field day by michrech · · Score: 1

      Errr.. Wasn't that the point I took the time to type out, which you responded to?

      Yes, I had an opinion in my post, but your reply to it only makes sense if you didn't read my entire post.

      They may have shot themselves in the foot, but that's THEIR decision to make, is the guy's point.

      If they want profit today over what their customers MIGHT want tomorrow... that's their call.

      --
      bork bork bork!
  125. Mod Parent Up by Shakrai · · Score: 1

    That's a pretty interesting link. Thanks for sharing :) Wish I had some mod points to throw at you.

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  126. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1

    I don't see the AC's plea to boycott shell as Flamebait. I think he's correct. A number of other posters have written that "shell is a corporation, so it only responds to profit points" then FINE: manipulate the corporation where it pays attention: at its bottom line. Therefore, boycotting shell is a perfectly logical and REASONABLE response to Shell's profoundly stupid move.

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
  127. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by TeknoHog · · Score: 3, Funny

    She sells C shells from the C source.

    --
    Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
  128. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 1

    Stop hating on the hippies

    To be clear, I'm not hating hippies, especially as I consider myself one. However, I do understand the current narrative, and that's fine by me. Somebody's got to be the bogeyman, especially so if they don't actually have any power.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  129. Refining silicon requires energy. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    "... its growing the high purity [silicon] crystal that's expensive and very slow."

    It's expensive partly because it takes lots of energy to keep the crystal hot for long periods.

    The shortage of silicon crystal, if there is a shortage, is due to there not being enough producers and large enough producers. Previously silicon was used for semiconductors, which require far less silicon than large areas of photocells.

    1. Re:Refining silicon requires energy. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      bingo. In fact normal silicon solar cells have mostly used the waste crystal from the microchip industry. Solar subsidies have driven the demand above what the producers can produce primarily because solar cells was not the focus. This is however changing.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  130. Easy. by EvilStein · · Score: 1

    Bloggers are talking trash about Shell because that's popular to do among eco-bloggers. It's popular and gets more blogroll visits and page views when they talk down about the big evil anti-environment, big evil oil corporations.

    Pharmaceutical companies are also up on the 'easy target' list. So is Apple. Look how much crap Greenpeace gives Apple, and they're almost always way off base. It's because Apple is an easy target.

    I do agree with the other posts - wind & solar doesn't generate enough electricity. Listen to Dr Bill Wattenburg from KGO - he discusses this at length, and has said the same things for many many years. It just doesn't scale. Nuclear power combined with per-home solar panels and wind turbines would help out significantly, IMO.

    1. Re:Easy. by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I ahve never listened to Dr. Bill Wattenburg, but he is off base if he doesn't think Solar scales.

      Not panels, but Industrial solar thermal can scale.
        a total of about 100 Sq. Miles would power the US 24/7.

      100 Sq. Miles is a big area, but we have a lot of empty land, and it doesn't have to be 100 Sq. Miles all on one place.

      No I am not Anti-Nuclear, and I am a big fan of IFRs. I did some research into Solar thermal, so I am not just spouting off about somethign I don't understand.
      In fact, the more I looked into it the better it seemed, AND there is no missing piece of technology that's '5 years away'. They can be built NOW.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Easy. by EvilStein · · Score: 1

      I was being vague. He was referring to solar panels. The cost and size of using even 100 square miles of land for solar panels wouldn't produce nearly enough energy. It's not enough to rely on solely, as even in California the sun doesn't shine all of the time.

      I see your point, though, and that seems to be "adding them all together would help." I agree with that.

  131. Re:Company motto is "Make sure to be evil" by Adriax · · Score: 1

    IsShellsho
    Waitwaitwait, this isn't a trick is it, like that bloody mary thing is it? Trying to make me repeat the name of some unspeakable horror a couple times and summon misfortune upon myself?
    Like those guys who want me to say Hastur Hastur Hastur keep attemp&^557647%$uy... NO CARRIER

    --
    I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!
  132. Put your money where your mouth is by camg188 · · Score: 1

    Quit complaining about Shell and don't invest with them. Invest in alternative energy yourself. You have the power.

  133. damn it by geekoid · · Score: 1

    Industrial Solar Thermal.

    Yes, it takes room, but we have a lot of empty space. It's 24 / 7 , easy to maintain relative to other electricity productions.
    This is proven technology.

    Shell, and others, are really missing the boat here.

    Sadly, when people here the word 'solar' they think panels, and day time use only. Frankly, I don't see panels being a viable alternative for a while. They need a bigger breakthrough.

    Ironically, even if Solar thermal was day time only (which it isn't) it would still be worth while because it would cut are petroleum usage in half.

    Also, IFRs would be a good alternative while we transform the electrical system.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  134. Moving the needle by apagogical8888 · · Score: 1

    RDS is a $multibillion a quarter in earnings company. In the end, if they decide to gear towards a new product they need to be able to actually produce results.

    Right now alt energy is an intriguing possibility that is largely dependent on public opinion and legislative action to make it financially viable. I.E. if the government does not attempt to quantify the externalities associated with brown power (pollution) and either tax the cost of the power to reflect the social cost of the pollution, or subsidize the creation of non-polluting generating resources, well then the economics aren't there. Should people in the future decide that they are, for instance, in a depression and paying 30% to 50% more for electricity than they "used to" before the pollution cost was realized, well maybe they wont care about global warming as much as they care about the "tax"... BOOM goes the renewable space.

    So what is a huge company going to do? Spend their scarce resources to make it happen, or focus on the core, and things that will actually generate revenue that shows up in the annual report. The critic sites that they are pulling out of a 1000MW wind farm? Who cares? That may be the largest wind farm on the planet, but it is a tiny tiny project for a multination corporation. China alone brings on line a coal generating facility that produces more power than that every week. For the last two years.

    This play is about scale, and cost effective carbon sequestration 1)is potentially has more environmental impact than all the wind and solar farms in the world put together, and 2) Is a huge potential market.

    There is no simple solution to the complicated problem of global warming.

    1. Re:Moving the needle by shentino · · Score: 1

      Carbon sequestration is a farce unless they can manage to take it completely out of circulation, the way plants do when they suck the carbon off and spit the oxygen back out.

      Pumping billions of gallons of CO2 into the ground in a cave? Puh leeeze. It's a GAS! It will, I dunno, leak?

      Gas, especially gas under pressure, has a way of escaping, and if a sequestration cavern springs one, all the hard work done in pumping it underground will be wasted. Besides, the earth is far too porous to trust to that sorta thing.

      What needs to be done is to find a way to turn that CO2 into a stable form. Using clean energy to turn CO2 back into gasoline (ala NASA's mars mission anyone?) would be a good start, and it would, quite literally, reverse the damage.

      Cars are like animals that drink gas, move, and belch out CO2. It's the same chemical reaction that makes rover gulp down a can of Alpo, and use that can to frolic about or run like crazy when going out for a walk, then spew CO2 out his mouth. At least rover doesn't fart out CO or sulfur dioxide in the process.

      We need to think green, not just in reducing the carbon we produce, but also increasing the carbon we recycle.

      Sadly, if economics is the deciding factor, the present generation will throw a big fat party and leave the next one to pay the bill.

  135. Actually by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wind is VERY viable and growing. Shells exit will have no impact. Solar PV IS expensive and really is not viable at this time. BUT Solar Thermal is actually cheaper than Coal. Sadly, far too many idiots push the PV side because it is unobtrusive and ppl have delusions of being unhooked from the big bad electric company. Until storage is cheap, it will not happen. If shell and other companies are smart, they would push into geo-thermal as well as solar thermal. In Solar Thermal, back up the operation with natural gas. In this fashion, it allows for converting to AE at a very low costs (less capital), while helping to buffer against price increases. Once the price of Natural gas goes up, then start adding thermal storage to these.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  136. Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    LONG before we hit that, we will have switched our economy to using oil from algae. After all, what is oil? Simply the membranes from algae, plants, and animals from eons passed. We will shortly grow most of that cheaper than it takes to recover it (sapphire energy, solix to name but two).

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  137. Forest meet trees! by yoshi_mon · · Score: 1

    Many comments here miss the point. Energy systems besides oil are now actually in the discussion of the mainstream. If nothing else the slimy derivative traders did society a favor in jacking up the price of oil beyond what supply and demand dictated.

    They forced a, mostly, lazy world to take a hard look at our current and future energy systems. Moved a lot of things that had been only very obscure topics of regular discussion to things that those 'normal' people talked about.

    Of course now that the bubble burst most people are not having those discussions anymore. But they do remember them. They, for the most part I hope, understand that something(tm) needs to happen.

    For some that something should happen now/have already happened/can't happen soon enough...whatever. I'm personally resigned to the idea that it could very well take a long time to sort it all out. But I know that now when I bring up a discussion about energy with 'normal' people they actually can have it rather than getting that deer in the headlights look.

    --

    Really, I know what I'm doing...Ohhhh, look at the shiny buttons!
  138. Why were you modded up by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    bio-fuel taking up space is only true if you consider plants (basically a 2d process). OTH, if you move to algae, a simple organism that grows 3D in water, it takes no resources from food, and can actually help the environment. For example one study showed that algae grown in Salton sea would provide ALL OF THE US POWER AND allow for exports. How to feed it? From LAs waste. It loves the crap.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  139. Re:Whoops by LordKazan · · Score: 1

    how is that a whoops.. it's accurate information. A nuclear moderator's job is the absorb neutrons - that is how it controls the rate of the reaction. The more neutrons absorbed the less new atoms get split by neutron impacts, and the slower the reactor "burns" fuel. So by the nuclear moderator becoming more efficient at capturing neutrons at higher temperatures means that higher temperatures force the reactor to slow down burning, thereby brining the reaction temperature back down.

    --
    If you cannot keep politics out of your moderation remove yourself from the Mod Lottery.. NOW!
  140. Wise investments by wgkylep · · Score: 1

    The commercials bragging about their alternative energy projects were too expensive, so they had to cancel the alternative energy projects .....

  141. Re:quick to savage the company... Obligatory: by davidsyes · · Score: 1

    "Will you join US?" (No, not Chevron, but USSSSSS...)

    --
    Previously: "Linux... Toward the Sunrise..." Now: "Linux... Toward the-- No, now, part of Every Sunrise"
  142. Shell and business decisions by evann · · Score: 1
    http://royaldutchshellplc.com/2008/03/15/the-truth-about-shell-in-nigeria/

    believe whatever you want, but in my gut i know that this is more than just tragedy of the commons.

    oil companies, cigarette companies, drug cartels, corrupt governments. most threads here talk about business decisions, and this may be the most profitable one for shell. more like rape vs a long term relationship. everyday people are getting it from every angle. only future generations will feel the pain more than us.

  143. Sorry, but it is a little late by cdrguru · · Score: 1

    Electric power in the US is perhaps a year or two from being rationed.

    When was the last time a large-scale generating plant was constructed? Oh, maybe 1978. I don't believe there has been anything other than small "peaker plants" built. Why? Becuase of the environmental regulations.

    Unfortunately, the US has not gosten the message that electric power growth must stop. So we are now on the edge of running out of capacity. In a year or two you can expect to see major changes in electrical power pricing, distribution and controls. And probably some new laws. Things like it being illegal to use a home air conditioner outside of specific hours.

    If we started today to build a nuclear power plant it would take 10 years to bring on line. If we started today to build a coal fired power plant it would take five years. In five years the cities will likely be dark at night and most people on the East Coast will have manditory shut-offs so California can turn on air conditioners in the evening hours.

  144. oil shale. by Organic+Brain+Damage · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The fact is that wind/solar power is not economically viable right now. It makes little sense for Shell to spend tons of money that it will never recover.

    Then why is Shell spening large piles of cash on oil shale projects in the US? Oil shale is not economically viable right now.

    Shell is the dumbest of the big oil companies. And as such, it will be the next one to disappear.

  145. Re:Neither. They're responsible by stdarg · · Score: 1

    What proof is there that the men were murdered and not legitimately killed in self defense? The article doesn't go into that at all so it's rather suspicious.

    The communities that are protesting don't want "substantive dialogue with the oil producing communities" (from the article), they just want a big cut of the oil money. They're pissed that their own government (which makes big bucks off royalties) doesn't take care of them, but the soft target is the oil company itself so they attack that rather than work for true change.

  146. functioning markets by shmlco · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "If we had functioning markets that took all costs into account and didn't allow externalization, we'd never have developed a petroleum based economy."

    Please. You make it sound like the first guy to develop an gasoline-powered automobile back in the turn of the 19th century actually knew all of those costs and externalizations and their cumulative effects. He didn't. He just wanted to get from point A to point B without stepping in horse manure.

    They made their decisions based on the knowledge and technology and resources available to them at the time. We, on the other hand, have more knowledge and technology and resources available to us than they did.

    As such, we can now do better.

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    1. Re:functioning markets by BlackSabbath · · Score: 1

      > As such, we can now do better.

      (Yes!) We can. More often than not however, we don't.

  147. They are scamming people by selling ... by MrJerryNormandinSir · · Score: 1

    hey.. have your driven by your local shell station?
    WTF is with the Nitrogen enriched fuel they are selling? Big deal.. they are blowing air bubbles into fuel, this means you are buying less gasoline because the air bubble are taking up some volume.

    When I buy gasoline I will but it minus the nitrogen enrichment. I'll let my engine aspirate on it's own. ... if I want more I'll add a cold air induction system.. hmm. that might be a cool summer project :)

    It would be interesting to compare the MPG of Shell vs. Mobil

    nevermind citgo or gulf.. I get terrible mpg with that.. 26mpg, with Mobil I get 30mpg.

  148. One thing is being left out of the discussion... by NCP · · Score: 1

    Solar, wind, and geothermal energy cannot supply enough energy for today's huge global society- true enough. However; if we can't learn to get along any better- all we'll have in 10-20 years is small villages so it will do just fine. :)

  149. The first of many by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    We are going to see more of this in the next year or two. With money tight, funding for investments that promote good will and mindshare, but don't make money, will be cut or throttled back. Regardless of what we might think of that, it's an inescapable part of staying in business. Good will is important, but it doesn't help if you're bankrupt.

    I suspect that the economy tanking is going to be the worst thing that could happen to the green movement. Immediate physiological needs trump self-actualization. It's difficult to be concerned about the weather 50 years from now when you're facing eviction in six months.

    This, plus people observing with their own senses the weather getting colder (we've had more snow this year than any year since I moved to the PNW in 1989), global warming is becoming a very hard sell. It's going to be interesting to see how this progresses.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  150. Carbon sequestration is inherently inefficient by bradbury · · Score: 1

    If you take carbon out of the ground and put it into the atmosphere you have problems (increase in atmospheric CO2, global warming, etc.) If you put it back into the ground (sequestration) that is inherently less efficient than a sustainable cycle. One should take the CO2 out of the atmosphere at precisely the same rate as one puts it back. That requires either a growth in ocean plankton (through fertilization of the oceans with iron and/or phosphorus) or land based solar ponds producing biofuels.

    You will be unlikely to get a productive answer from a company operating from an "old school" mindset.

  151. price per unit energy by zorkerz · · Score: 1

    The economic efficiency of using wind, solar, geothermal and hydro the main renewable energy sources is not a clear cut issue. It depends highly on your particular situation. With oil prices so cheap they are clearly not as good of an option in terms of price per unit of energy output as they were 6 months ago. However there is a lot to consider here.

    Hydro is wonderful it has a large onetime ecosystem rearrangement including displacing people but after this point it provides cheap reliable energy when you need it and a reservoir is essentially one of the best batteries we have today. Unfortunately most of the possible large hydro projects have already been built in developed countries.

    Wind power is highly dependent on your location. There are many places where it is already an economically competitive energy source and many were it is not or will never be. It does not produce reliable energy however so it must be paired with some energy storage method or a more reliable source.

    There are many types of solar energy technologies but mostly I think we are focused on those aimed at producing electricity. If you took all of the solar energy landing on the united states and converted it to electricity at 100% efficiency there is enough energy to meet the entire energy needs of the US roughly 500 times over. Of course solar photovoltaic panels are not very efficient (10-20% in practical uses) and we want sun for other things like growing plants. People are building some large solar plants in places where land is cheap and more people are putting them on their roofs but it is an unreliable source of energy like wind and my understanding is that its usually not very economically practical yet.

    There are not very many places where it makes sense to use geothermal energy to create electrical energy. However it can serve as a great heater and cooler in most places.

    One of the biggest factors in what energy source is economically practical is government subsidies. There are many more renewable energy projects happening these days because of large government subsidies. Governments can think in the long run and this makes a lot of sense. But currently the largest subsidies go to nonrenewable fossil fuels. If for example all energies had to pay for their environmental impact (say co2 output) rather than being subsidized by public governments renewable energies would become much more economically practical.

    One nonrenewable energy source that is relatively friendly environmentally is nuclear. I see this as one of the few technologies that we can switch too quickly that has the potential to meet our energy needs. It won't last for ever especially if we try to do everything with it but there is also a lot of room for research. If we ever figure out how to gain energy from fission to there is a huge potential for energy there.

    Well thats the way I see it at least part of it. It might be in shells short term interest to ditch wind, solar, hydro but they may be limiting their lifespan.

  152. Shell seems to have other problems by istartedi · · Score: 1

    Shell seems to have other problems. I base this on observations of their prices: Always ridiculously higher here in California.

    I mean, a full dollar higher in some cases. I've joked with friends that the local Shell stations must be mob fronts, because nobody would actually stop there. Either that, or people at snooty parties pull out their Shell cards as status symbols. Actually, a Shell card might be the answer. Perhaps card holders get a discount off the marked prices. At any rate, It's even more silly to bother with a Shell card to get a discount than it is to bother with grocery cards. When you're competing with stations where anybody can pull up and get a low price... well... That, and their fuel is ethanol blended at our local Shell!

    The Chevron station has fair prices, and solar paneles on the roof (to power the station, obviously, not cars; but it's a nice touch). The Arco stations are cheapest if you don't mind the debit card fee or paying cash up front. If I fill up my tank (usually 10 gallons), the debit card fee adds $0.045/gal. Filling up a large SUV would add even less per gallon since they have bigger tanks. The Shell station could easily be charging $0.30-$0.50/gal more!

    Shell must be having some kind of distribution problem, or they don't know how to hedge the cost of oil sent to their refineries, or they must have a really inefficient distribution system in California. Honestly, I don't know how they stay in business out here, so it doesn't surprise me they are cutting costs.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  153. Wind, Solar has long way to go, Hydro has politics by Calyth · · Score: 1

    I'm a cynic, and although I'm not a tree-hugger, I much prefer not dumping at where we eat.

    But really, wind and solar has scale problems, and highly dependent of the weather for a stable output. Hydro is a bit more stable, but like the first two, they're not immune from politics.

    You'd think outdoor enthusiasts like hikers and such would be for renewable energy (and they are), but they won't like it too much if you stick a bunch of windmills at their favourite hiking spots, with good reason. Access roads need to be built, and the natural setting would be devalued because we're trying to be green.

    Hydro's even worse in terms of the politics - them hippie tree huggers wants green power without any alteration of the natural environment. All of these renewable energy sources requires some level of it, and for the nuclear plants, no one's a fan of the waste.

    Even if Shell isn't an oil company, I can see why someone would want to pull out of the business. There's just way too much crap to put up with even get some kind of consensus out there about what's good for us and good for where we live.

  154. Oh, now I remember... by istartedi · · Score: 1

    ...the high prices may be a form of protest on the part of independant station owners.

    In other words, Shell is Walmarting people. Even if the prices come back down, I'm already biased against stopping at Shell when other alternatives are available.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  155. Pay Attention To The Money Statement by mpapet · · Score: 1

    increase its debt load to pay for dividends

    In layman's terms this means Executive Management cannot find/do not have Shell projects that generate profit.

    Even simpler, instead of using the money to grow the company, they are giving it all to the shareholders PLUS passing debt through to the shareholders as dividends.

    Shell is in the process of being robbed by the Board of Directors and Executive Management. Moreover, the organization is totally ineffectual at the executive level.

    Forget the greenwashing. This is theft.

    --
    http://www.maxineudall.com/2010/02/should-economists-be-sued-for-malpractice.html
  156. Re:How to shove 1000 train cars of carbon under a by TheSync · · Score: 2, Informative

    A typical 1000 Megawatt coal powerplant such as the behemoth ERGs boondoggle just being completed in SE Wisconsin requires 1215 train carloads of Coal (Carbon) every day. Once burned, each carbon molocule (Atomic Weight 12) will have two Oxygen Molecules (Atomic Weight 16) attached to it and this 'refuse' to be sequestured will weigh 3.67 times as much. All else being equal, this means you would need 4459 boxcars full of carbon junk leaving the power plant. But CO2 can't easily be compressed into boxcars so it is likely the carbon will be sequestered with calcium or silicon (in rock), and weigh much more. And Shell thinks this is cheaper than solar, wind and hydropower? Have I missed April fools day or is someone playing a shell game?

    All the wind power generation in Germany (the world leader) in 2007 was 38.5 TWH, or an average of 4.4 GWe (of course, it wasn't a continuous 4.4 GWe, but up and down with wind speed). That is 4.4 GWe average on 22.2 GW rated of turbines, or about 20% of installed capacity. There are 19,460 turbines in Germany for their 22 GW rated capacity.

    4.4 GWe continuous could come from 3 Gen. III ABWR nuclear reactors. 3 versus 19,460. An ABWR needs to be refueled once every two years, or an average of 76 tons of fuel per year (one train car worth) per reactor.

  157. Regardless... by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    There's no question that US oil production peaked decades ago, so we're shipping dollars overseas with every gallon we burn. So we either have to trade for something we produce (what do we produce these days?), take on more and more debt--which has worked so far, but that house of cards is coming down--or watch our currency tank, which has already begun. Even if the world supply of oil is fairly stable, we can't afford to keep importing it. Sorry Sarah, Drill Here Drill Now isn't going to get us off foreign oil, even if we somehow managed to double domestic production.

    But that's not Shell's problem, and they'll keep buying our politicians to to make sure they don't do anything about it.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  158. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    While you do have a point, the oil lobby certainly has a hand in fighting legislation to protect the environment and promote energy efficiency.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  159. Re:Neither. They're responsible by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    Pretty simple. The car guys don't because they would be cannibalizing their own profits. Nobody wants to sell a car that's cheaper and will require fewer replacement parts than the cars they're already selling, and that has a huge investment up front in new technologies. It's a lose-lose proposition.

    As for Apple, etc, they're not car companies. The ipod wasn't much of a reach for Apple, they already sold software, hard drives, and processors. It was just a new form factor. Automobiles, on the other hand, are several orders of magnitude removed from their core business.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  160. The 12 Families and What they want. by hackus · · Score: 1, Interesting

    It is no secret that the energy companies (owned by approximately 12 families around the world with secret majority proxy stakes) have locked up complete control of all energy on this planet.

    They are now going to control our food production.

    How are they going to do that?

    Not happy to topple whole banking systems on a mere whim, Shell and other puppets of these families now are turning to the worlds food supply to control and eliminate unwanted populations on this planet, control the value of currencies traded in fuel and ultimately control ANYTHING that is plugged into the wall or you put in your mouth.

    The first step in this process is to use the enourmous profits from the oil industries to buy out industrialized farming so that more of it can be converted to extremely inefficient methods of producing more energy (such as using corn for methanol etc.).

    After they acquire enough industrial companies, they will also acquire THE PATENTS FOR THE SEEDS.

    Imagine that?

    Not only do you control the food production, it becomes an IP PROBLEM JUST TO PRODUCE FUEL.

    If you think the problem with GAS and OIL is bad, imagine a world with PATENTED FUEL & FOOD PRODUCTION.

    What do you think the prices will be like for a simple bowl of corn oil?

    This has all been planned for decades now, and it is finally comming to fruition.

    Only a few more years to go and countries won't matter because a few people will control all of the currencies on the planet, the food and the energy.

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  161. Re:Neither. They're responsible by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 1

    Pretty simple. The car guys don't because they would be cannibalizing their own profits. Nobody wants to sell a car that's cheaper and will require fewer replacement parts than the cars they're already selling, and that has a huge investment up front in new technologies. It's a lose-lose proposition.

    But that's precisely what happened when Japanese car makers came on the scene. They had to outclass the US automakers and so made more robust cars with longer life/less spare parts.

    There are companies making electric cars right now (the G-Whiz for instance). Why can't they make a larger family model if they can make a tiny model?

  162. Re:Neither. They're responsible by nelsonal · · Score: 1

    That's not the fault of traders! That's the fault of take your pick from:

    A) Easy money policy at the fed from a chairman who had too little questioning of his decisions
    B) Paying much too high a price when they acquired said assets
    C) Not being long term investors except in their own mind
    D) Previous bailouts encouraging too much risk taking or too much retention of poor management
    E) Too little regulation of businesses being promised a bailout
    F) Too much leverage
    G) Not paying attention to the above
    Take your pick from the list. The traders are the messenger not the makers prices. Most of the changes come from other similar people liquidating and/or changing allocations. Investors seem to want an unregulated free for all in the good times but can't seem to tolerate that that means no one will be standing by to mop up the mess you made on the way back down. You can't have it both ways.

    --
    Degaussing scares the bad magnetism out of the monitor and fills it with good karma.
  163. Re:Neither. They're responsible by valkenar · · Score: 1

    People who suggest cycling as a commute should just bite themselves. Typical car commute in the metro areas is 30 min without traffic slowdowns.

    And with traffic slowdowns, biking is often barely slower and occasionally even faster than driving. While biking isn't a good choice for everyone, there are quite a lot of people who probably should bike to work.

  164. Yes, it is always evil white people's fault. by jwhitener · · Score: 1

    Reminds me of an NPR radio show I listened to a week or so ago.

    It was about all the aid that western countries have given to Africa. The basic gist was that the aid has hurt the countries, by not providing incentive to innovate and create infrastructure on their own.....

    Apparently there are many/some/vocal (not sure) leaders/writers etc.. that are native Africans, asking for the aid to please stop.

    I don't know enough about the history of aid in Africa to comment in detail on it, but I found it an interesting twist: that even our pure food aid is beginning to be viewed as a mistake by some.

    1. Re:Yes, it is always evil white people's fault. by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      I guess it is Damned if you do, Damned if you don't.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  165. Solar is viable right now by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

    At least in the US ... it just takes a decade or so to earn back the necessary investments.

    These are not interesting investment for the oil giants, for one thing they want short term profits and for another a swift increase in alternative energy decreases the value of the remaining oil they have the rights to. There is a sweet spot for them to really get behind alternative energy ... that sweet spot hasn't been reached yet. The commercial sweet spot is very unlikely to be the same as the social sweet spot though.

    The US is in a very good position Solar wise, it could at present technological levels construct enough solar energy plants at a couple 100 billion to generate it's electricity needs. So basically put the stimulus toward solar power and you have free electricity ...

  166. Bird strikes by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    The bird killing issue stems from one of the early wind farms in California that was installed in a specie's migration path. We learned from that and now that's one of the criteria when evaluating prospective wind farm sites. There is no blanket condemnation of windmills by major environmental groups. We're now learning that windmills may be a hazard to bats. Given the significant role that bats play in controlling insect populations, there is good reason to be concerned and study the matter appropriately.

    Most of the opposition to windfarms has been NIMBY's who don't want anything spoiling their pristine views, although they're quick to come up with other excuses, like the bird meme.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  167. I am shocked, shocked I say! by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    Thanks for posting, it's always gratifying to learn that my cynicism is not misplaced.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  168. Re:Neither. They're responsible by HiThere · · Score: 1

    ...People are also willing to forgo legislation to protect the environment to save themselves a few bucks, and then bitch about how the environment is being wrecked.

    I'm afraid I don't agree with this point. People don't have very much control over how their representatives choose to represent them. Certainly not at any fine degree. You choose either Republican, Democrat, or other. It doesn't matter what other is, and often both the Democrat and the Republican candidate have the same stand on a particular issue of interest to a particular voter. Even where they differ, other differences may be controlling. One benefit of the "two party system" is that if a company is big enough, it can buy off BOTH candidates.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  169. Re: Firehose:Shell ditches wind, solar and hydro by sac13 · · Score: 1

    One more for your list...

    We no longer have much time left to change.

    - Al Gore, 2005

  170. Re:Neither. They're responsible by winwar · · Score: 1

    "If GM gave you the service of having a car and had to pay for gas, parts and service you would have 100mpg cars in 10 years that would last a million miles without service."

    No. We don't have such a car because we don't have the technology to produce such a car that a large group of people would want or afford. The million mile part is pretty easy (many cars could do it now with enough maintenance and repair).

    The 100 mpg part is very hard.

  171. Re:Neither. They're responsible by F34nor · · Score: 1

    But... they just improved the model. Toyota is a profit machine for a few reasons. They took Deming's statistical process control ideas and were able to get error rates into the parts per billion. Then they took lean manufacturing to eliminate waste and delay in their production. Then they went to target cost accounting where they fixed the price of the cost of the car before production ensuring that failures could not balloon in cost. But they still are following the same basic plan. Sell a car in order to sell financing, service, and parts. GMAC was the only profit center in GM for years. IT was no different than the Xbox sold at a loss to sell games.

    No MAJOR CAR MAKER makes an electric car. The hybrid was the height of brilliance by Toyota, an electric car that needs oil changes and all the other maintenance. Toyotas still don't go a MILLION miles on a single engine 250K sure easy with maintenance and you think you're getting a great deal. Toyota could make a car that would never ever die for a tiny fraction more in cost.

    I was told a story at one degree of separation (so take as much salt as you would like) about guy who worked for Merrill shoes as intern. He made a pair of shoe that would last twenty years by using different mid-sole and leather combinations. They were all recalled when his boss found out. Why wouldn't they be? People have to make a living.

    I am saying drop the bullshit. Just say as a company we want X dollars per year from you and in return you will always have a working car. The market for customization licensing would be the cream on top. GM's skateboard car design was perfect for this. They lease you the drive train and you go to the dealer to get a different body depending on what you want to do.

  172. It's not about green energy... by gillbates · · Score: 1

    It's about removing the threat of green energy from possible competitors.

    Large companies will fund research for the purpose of patenting every possible, useful implementation of whatever threatens their business model - whether it is alternative energy (oil companies) or VOIP (Verizon). This way, their business model is sound, and competition is eliminated.

    In the case of the oil companies, they know that alternative energy sources lack the infrastructure to become established, but that this could/will be overcome by changes in the political winds (no pun intended). As neither party, (or, as I should say, THE PARTY) is not interested in patent reform, patenting alternative energy puts them in the position of being able to profit from green technologies, without actually having to incur the risk of bringing them to market.

    You didn't think you could stick it to the man by going green, did you?

    --
    The society for a thought-free internet welcomes you.
  173. Space based solar by wurp · · Score: 1

    We have a convenient source of fusion already - the sun.

    I think molecular manufacturing (nanotech) is going to give us cheap, automated ways to make the materials for a space elevator and dirt-cheap solar cells. Once putting solar power satellites into orbit is cheap, it seems to me that beaming power to earth that would otherwise have dissipated out into the galaxy is the way to go.

    And I think this will come long before practical fusion.

  174. And the EROEI for nuclear is.... by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    If only we had the technology to produce energy with a favorable EROEI. Maybe one day we'll be able to split the atom or something.

    You still have to dig the atoms up, separate them from other atoms.

    around 10:1 for LWRs (most existing US reactors)

     

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    Deleted
  175. Thank Goodness by M0b1u5 · · Score: 1

    Oil companies have no business in that space anyway - so good riddance.

    However, Shell have developed a system of extracting high quality oil from shale, concentrated in the Green Hills area of Colorado, using a technique which is very environmentally friendly. That deposit alone contains several billions of barrels of oil, and is economic at $35 a barrel.

    http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/news_columnists/article/0,1299,DRMN_86_4051709,00.html

    We won't be running out of oil this century - that's for sure.

    --
    How many escape pods are there? "NONE,SIR!" You counted them? "TWICE, SIR!"
  176. TMI's failure risk was "nearly impossible" by bigtrike · · Score: 1

    TMI had lots of backup systems to give it a nearly impossible risk of meltdown, otherwise it never would have been brought online.

    The PBR designs do seem much safer, as do PWR designs where the reactor is inverted (high heat causes metals with a low melting point drop the fuel rods out). There are some things that are scary about them. What if the heat causes the beads to expand to the point where they can no longer be circulated? What if the graphite catches on fire causing the fissile material to pool together at the bottom and reach critical mass?

    Keep in mind that even today after many years of use there are a lot of things we don't understand about pressurized water reactors. We're still discovering new failure modes for critical systems.

    As dangerous as nuclear power is though, it's less dangerous to us long term than most current sources, so I think we should go ahead with licensing some PBR designs. Just keep them far away from people for a long time.

  177. You want to do what? by Bryansix · · Score: 1

    The gov't is the leveling factor, by pricing oil artificially higher to encourage a different direction for a better long term result.

    Holy fuck! How did you slip that shit in there and get modded insightful? First off the government doesn't not currently do this. However if they ever did it would be the end as we know it to all first world economies. It would literally create famine, war, disease outbreaks, collapse of first world governments, among other undesirable consequences.

    No, your idea is WAY the fuck off base. The Solution is not to make Oil more expensive. It is to make it cheaper by harvesting the oil we have RIGHT THE FUCK HERE in the USA! Then the government needs to simulfuckingtaneously (yes it's a word) provide subsidies for development of alternative fuel infrastructure and alternative energy sources. Paris Hilton actually had it right. DO BOTH!

    1. Re:You want to do what? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      It's funny, I can't tell whether you're being sarcastic or a complete idiot...

      We DO NOT HAVE anywhere near enough oil in this country in any form that we can currently extract. The 'oil shale' pipe dream needs oil prices higher than we've yet seen to be anywhere near economical. And thats assuming massive new tech discoveries to figure out *how* to do it.

      Canada's oil sands were becoming economical with the $3-4/gallon pricing. Are you saying we should go back to that?

      The point is, we can pay cheap gas for a while, then be screwed when oil really does start to run short globally. Or we can inflate the price of oil *a little* so that alternatives are more attractive and reap 700 BILLION in savings per year once we're off of oil. (hint, Europe has been doing this for years without any of the disasters you cite).

      Your idea is to pile on more debt for cheap oil while also investing in new alternatives? You realize that by subsidizing the oil industry, nobody wants to go into alternatives. The more you subsidize oil, the more you have to increase alternative subsidies. You're paying double and triple, or just robbing Peter to pay Paul, either way its just postponing the inevitable and increasing the total cost.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    2. Re:You want to do what? by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      Who said to subsidize oil? No NEVER subsidize oil! Never. But DO allow offshore drilling. DO allow the expansion of well thought out drilling in Alaska. DO allow the pipeline to function. That's all I'm asking. Don't subsidize; just get the fuck out of the way!

    3. Re:You want to do what? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Subsidies: the oil industry is already HEAVILY subsidized, much more than alternative fuels...but I'm glad to hear you support repealing those oil subsidies. Then there's the undocumented 'subsidy' of oil in that the true cost of its production and use isn't known yet. The environment, global warming, is by all credible accounts going to have very significant effects around the globe. How much cost is associated there that isn't reflected in oil's price?

      The reason we shouldn't offshore drill, or do much more in Alaska is twofold.

      1. it wouldn't lower oil prices much more than a NICKEL. $0.05/gallon. it's just not worth the environmental risk. From a Businessweek article, estimates are it *might* produce up to 1% of global production. Currently that's $0.02/gallon but I'll round up assuming increased prices when it comes online in TEN YEARS. The same article actually says it would be closer to 20 years but what's a decade amongst friends right?

      2. even if it were 'worth the risk' why not save our oil for when it's really expensive. Why use our reserves now when its relatively cheap? Save for a rainy day so to speak. Don't blow the bridge at the first sign of trouble, save it for when its really needed.

      Oil is simply a pipe dream that's going to end. We can throw money at it now by trying to squeeze every last cent out of the ground.

      Or we can take that money, and invest in something that will quite literally never run out (unless you're talking billions of years from now). you inflate the cost of the bad behavior (oil) through increased taxation on it, and redirect that money towards alternatives.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    4. Re:You want to do what? by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      I'll respond to point 2 as point 1 already makes my point.

      The reason you drill the oil now is because you control it now and it takes 20 years to see a drop (according to you). So you drill it now and save it in the REAL petroleum reserve. This reserve can be released in days not decades when needs arise. It's a matter of national security.

  178. Re:Neither. They're responsible by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    Solution for commute in metro is public transportation, not biking, unless you want to convert US to China.

    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  179. Re:Integral Fast Reactor by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    This is one of the technologies i was referring too. There is quite a lot you can do with a fast neutron spectrum.

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  180. After a careful review of their investments... by ibsteve2u · · Score: 1

    ...over the last two decades, Shell merely concluded - correctly - that renewable energy did not offer the ROI that buying an American Presidency does.

    --
    Orwell: "In a Time of Universal Deceit, telling the Truth is a Revolutionary Act"
  181. No Green Funding for Oil Companies by anotherslashfan · · Score: 1

    As you all are probably aware, the feds will be investing billions of dollars to upgrade the power grid and push for green technology. If anyone thinks that any of the oil companies are willing to make this level of committment (throw out their "cash cow" (oil) for green tech) they are fooling themselves. My suggestion is for the gov funding to only be directed to companies whose sole purpose (strategic direction) is green technology. At least Shell has been honest to state that they are dropping their committment. I'm concerned that the rest of the "energy companies" (oil companies in sheep's clothing)will vie for this funding for the purpose of stifling the development of the technology for their own "business reasons". (They will be involved only to protect their cash cow: oil) If they really want this technology to take off. Fund the companies who are soley-dedicated to the technology.

  182. BioFuels by nurb432 · · Score: 1

    Well, for them it makes sense to dump the radically different tech ( regardless of its future ) and stick to things they know. BioFuels are about the same as what they have now, so their engineers are already there, as is the infrastructure for distribution.

    Its about spending their R&D dollars efficiently.

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    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  183. SHELL can go to HELL - Here's a BETTER IDEA by obamateam · · Score: 1

    We are preparing to launch a new Freeway system in this country which will get us all OFF of our ADDICTION to oil and gasoline and instead will use Solar and Wind and other CLEAN and FREE RENEWABLE Energies. GO HERE to learn more. We need all the support we can get right now. DRIVE past the PUMPS and forget about the ARABS forever. Let them eat that shit. www.1stfamily.com/proposal.htm