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Sunspot Activity Continues To Drop

slreboy writes "The sunspot cycle is behaving a little like the stock market. Just when you think it has hit bottom, it goes even lower. The year 2008 was a bear. There were no sunspots observed on 266 of the year's 366 days (73 percent). To find a year with more blank suns, you have to go all the way back to 1913, which had 311 spotless days. Prompted by these numbers, some observers suggested that the solar cycle had hit bottom in 2008. Maybe not. Sunspot counts for 2009 have dropped even lower. As of March 31st, there were no sunspots on 78 of the year's 90 days (87 percent)..."

435 comments

  1. fun with statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    there was no sunspot activity yesterday. that's 1 out of 1 day or 100% !!

    idiots.

    1. Re:fun with statistics by Big+Nothing · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Trolling aside, the sun doesn't follow the Gregorian calendar. Making statistics using the Gregorian calendar is therefore irrelevant at best.

      --
      SIG: TAKE OFF EVERY 'CAPTAIN'!!
    2. Re:fun with statistics by the_lesser_gatsby · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The material world doesn't understand seconds either. Should we drop the whole of physics? A year is just a sampling period which can be compared to previous periods. Any natural cycles will be apparent regardless of the period chosen (nyquist notwithstanding).

    3. Re:fun with statistics by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Wrong.

      We use the Calendar, and we use it together measurements, look for trends, make predictions, etc...
      By your 'logic' Atomic vibrations don't follow our time keeping methods therefore any clock using them would be irrelevant.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:fun with statistics by Aladrin · · Score: 5, Informative

      I think his point was that you should not compare a year's worth of data to 3 months' worth. They could simply take the last 365 days and compare it to the 365 before that and it would make a lot more sense.

      The problem, of course, is all the -other- people already using calendar years with their data like it means something.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    5. Re:fun with statistics by The+Mysterious+Dr.+X · · Score: 1

      Although I know very little about the causes of sunspots (aside from cooler surface temperatures, of course), it seems to me there may be something more to our calendar than one would think. We base it on the planet's revolution. Since the Earth exerts a pull on the Sun (albeit a small one) as it revolves, maybe the calendar isn't completely unrelated. If the pull of a planet on a star is enough to locate one many light-years away, perhaps it could have an effect on something like sunspots.

    6. Re:fun with statistics by Nutria · · Score: 1

      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM

      That's probably the most profound thought I've read this year. Who is DM?

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    7. Re:fun with statistics by Jodka · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM

      That's probably the most profound thought I've read this year...

      You must not have thought about it.

      --
      Ceci n'est pas une signature.
    8. Re:fun with statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't make me hate you

    9. Re:fun with statistics by Aladrin · · Score: 1

      Don Marquis. Unfortunately, the sig blank isn't long enough to put that info in.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    10. Re:fun with statistics by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The point of a quality calendar is to coordinate the counting of the days (usually sunrises or sunsets historically) and the changes of the seasons... principally to predict with a modest margin of error when to plant seasonal agricultural products. That is the whole point of leap days and irregular lengths of months (the time scale tied loosely to lunar cycles).

      As to if the orbital positions of the various planets, with emphasis on the Earth and perhaps Jupiter (a much, much stronger influence on the Sun gravitationally speaking) have on the sunspot cycles.... I have not heard of any particular correlation suggested. The typical 11 year sunspot cycle is less than the period of Jupiter's orbit, although other factors certainly can be pointed out as well.

    11. Re:fun with statistics by rcamans · · Score: 1

      The material world understands seconds just fine. They get them at discount alls and sales all the time.
      Heh heh.

      --
      wake up and hold your nose
    12. Re:fun with statistics by AliasMarlowe · · Score: 1

      Although I know very little about the causes of sunspots (aside from cooler surface temperatures, of course), it seems to me there may be something more to our calendar than one would think. We base it on the planet's revolution. Since the Earth exerts a pull on the Sun (albeit a small one) as it revolves, maybe the calendar isn't completely unrelated. If the pull of a planet on a star is enough to locate one many light-years away, perhaps it could have an effect on something like sunspots.

      Q1: which planet exerts the greatest gravitational force on the Sun?
      Q2: which planet exerts the greatest tidal force on the Sun?
      If you search for the answers to these two questions, you'll probably learn a lot besides. I won't tell you what the right answers are, but the Earth is the wrong answer in both cases, and by a good factor. Our calendar year is essentially irrelevant to sunspots.

      --
      Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. - Voltaire
    13. Re:fun with statistics by ConanG · · Score: 1

      I thought it was Demetri Martin. Sounds like something he might say...

    14. Re:fun with statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Furthermore, the sun is approximately 1,676,700,000,000 days old. How significant is a sample of less than %0.00000000025?

    15. Re:fun with statistics by StackedCrooked · · Score: 1

      3 degrees of separation from Vladimir Putin!

      That's probably the most .. Ah never mind.

    16. Re:fun with statistics by The+Mysterious+Dr.+X · · Score: 1

      There are obviously stronger forces than the Earth. I never said we were the cause of sunspot cycles. I merely hinted that planets rotating the Sun, one of which is ours, may contribute.

  2. An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Funny

    The Zeroth Law of Thermodynamics states that bodies in a system must remain in equilibrium. So if we're experiencing global warming where are we getting that energy from? It must be coming from somewhere?

    The answer, fellow scientists, is that we are stealing that energy from the Sun.

    Yes, my charts and ramblings reveal that our greenhouse gases are trapping sunlight ... sunlight that would return to the Sun and heat it back up causing sunspots. I am currently drafting a bill that will move sunspots to the endangered phenomena list. That same bill will introduce that list and hopefully this will be reason enough to form it unlike Senator Kerry's attempt to create the list when he saw Rosie O'Donnell exercising (or so he thought).

    Gentlemen, we must act now. There is no more time for debating and arguing. The sunspots are going away and without that, we may lose our natural magnetic storms and maybe even the precious Aurora Borealis. Our Northern Lights are in danger while you sit back here comfortably in your chairs. Today we are polluters in the hands of an angry environment tomorrow we may be dead. We have angered the environment and now we must face the wrath of the environment. Including, but not limited to, the loss of sunspots.

    I don't know about you but when I was a kid, we celebrated sunspots with our parents. Upwards we gazed directly into the sun, fueling the optometry industry. Yes, sunspots create jobs and foster growth. Do you want to share sunspot gazing with your children and their children? I know I do.

    But all is not lost. The environment is injured and may be weak enough for us to stop it before it kills us all. I propose a preemptive strike now while we still have time. We could sneak in special units disguised in ponchos and Birkenstock's with thermonuclear weapons that would devastate the environment and save us from certain death at its hands. China has already rendered the environment obsolete and it is our turn to follow suit. Gentlemen, the question today is not if we should deal a final blow to the environment but when.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh you whacky right-wingnuts!

      We all know that reports of greenhouse heat trapping on Venus are all a commie conspiracy too.

    2. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by rackserverdeals · · Score: 4, Funny

      We're not stealing the sun's energy.

      They sun spots have realized we were watching them and it turns out they are shy. They are just on the other side of the sun now.

      --
      Dual Opteron < $600
    3. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by digitig · · Score: 1

      We're not stealing the sun's energy.

      Surely it deserves rewarding for the work it does? Even more evidence that IP laws need reform -- er, that it's Microsoft's fault -- er, that it's those damn lawyers (except for the ones on our side).

      --
      Quidnam Latine loqui modo coepi?
    4. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      They are just on the other side of the sun now.

      Since sunspots produce massive magnetic fields they're influence can be detected without visual observation, allowing sunspots on the opposite side of the sun to be imaged.
      http://spaceweather.com/glossary/farside.html

    5. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bitchin'! You have managed to give the looney left the final piece of the chain to link reduced sunspot activity to George W. Bush.

    6. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by djtachyon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      They sun spots have realized we were watching them and it turns out they are shy. They are just on the other side of the sun now.

      Nope, we can monitor the other side of the sun, they are not there either.

      This is done with Helioseismic Holography. Though there is apparently a new method being developed.

      --
      "What's the use of a good quotation if you can't change it?" - Doctor Who
    7. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We must call for "Change" ladies and gentlemen, that is what we need. CHANGE!

    8. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They sun spots have realized we were watching them and it turns out they are shy.

      Another quantum phenomenon? Reminds me of the double slit experiments in which the electrons behaved differently when they were being watched.

    9. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Poopyface partypooper! :(

    10. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      Makes as much sense as anything else I've heard in the news lately.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    11. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Locke2005 · · Score: 2, Funny

      No, the sun has just discovered industrial-strength clearasil.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    12. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by spiralx · · Score: 1

      70% is that you? Either way, your post seriously reminds me of "The Moon: A Ridiculous Liberal Myth" lol :)

    13. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Woosh.

    14. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by ArsonSmith · · Score: 4, Funny

      I think it's called clear-a-sol

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    15. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by frogzilla · · Score: 1

      The problem is your definition of the system. You are standing inside the system, on the surface of the Earth. The system is the Earth on the whole. You need to be standing outside the atmosphere looking down on the Earth as a whole. When you do that you see that the system is in balance with the external forcing. Now back to the surface you need to ask why we see warming there? The reason is that the internal structure of the system is very complex and riddled with sub-systems connected by feedback loops. The external forcing is not constant, it changes on various (long) timescales. At any particular point on the surface we have forcing that varies from seconds to days to months to a year to thousands of years(rotation of Earth, seasonal variations due to the orbital inclination and distance to the sun, changes in orbital parameters). All of this shortwave (the part that isn't reflected due to albedo affects at the surface and in the atmosphere) forcing is integrated by the components of the system, passed through the feedback loops and eventually passed out of the top of the atmosphere as longwave radiation. Meanwhile, internally, the subcomponents adjust to each other causing the different phenomena we observe, such as increased temperatures at high latitudes, changes in large scale patterns of rainfall, daily weather etc etc. Some of these subcomponents respond quickly to the external and internal forcing some respond slowly. For example skin temperature is strongly affected by what the surface is made from, sand responds quickly, soil and rock more slowly, water slowest of all. In fact the ocean is very important at long timescales since it takes thousands of years, on the whole, to respond to the external forcing.

      _Additional_ carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere affect the system by changing the internal, column radiation balance in the atmosphere. From the point of view of the surface the greenhouse gases provide an additional source of downward energy flux, resulting, in the broadest terms, in increased surface temperatures.

      The natural greenhouse is what causes our toasty (compared, for example, to the moon) surface temperatures in the first place. The additional gases are changing that pre-existing balance.

      Some basic thermodynamic concepts, coupled with observations of what the actual external forcing is go a long way to explaining most of the basic observations of gross climate effects on the surface and in the atmosphere. The details get more and more complex as you look at finer resolution in time and space. No we don't no everything, but this basic stuff has been clear for a long time (Fourier described a lot of this in 1824!). Really it's high school math and any introductory climate course would clear up most of the nonsense that appears in other comments here.

    16. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by frogzilla · · Score: 1

      Well in proper slashdot fashion I only read the intro to your comment. I'll go back to lurking again now.

    17. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do not deny, I follow the Creationists' creedo of question and exam all theories. You can't have it both ways

    18. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

      Oh and Venus has far morse dense atmosphere than earth made up or nearly 100% CO2 gas compared to earth's .003%. And it is also closer to the sun by 30 some million miles.

      You can start screaming about CO2 when it gets to 1% of our atmospheric concentration.

      --
      Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    19. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by wazoo666 · · Score: 1

      so when will I be able to look at the sun with my last remaining eye?

    20. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sun's surface features have an apparent rotation
      period of 27 or so days. More on wikipedia.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_rotation

    21. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Trails · · Score: 1

      What's that you say? Chain George W. to the sun?

      That's so crazy, it just might work...

    22. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by lgw · · Score: 1

      Mostly, Venus doesn't rotate (which is completely inexplicable), or at least it's surface doesn't, and the entire crust apparantly melted sometime in the past billion years. The CO2 levels there would seem to be the consequence of some disaster, not the cause.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    23. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by budgenator · · Score: 1

      at 1% CO2, few will be able to scream and anybody with asthma will be already dead.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    24. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by jabster · · Score: 1

      So...are you calling for a Cap and Shade tax?

      --
      Slashdot: you'll not find a more wretched collection of villainy and disreputable types...
    25. Re:An Inconvenient Preemptive Strike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ah, you say that we are stealing something that will newer go BACK to the sun? The sun is throwing that heat off regardles of some planets in his orbit...

  3. Oh noes! Our star is dying by damburger · · Score: 5, Funny

    Better send a huge mushroom shaped spaceship to fire a bomb into it!

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    1. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by janeuner · · Score: 1

      From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunshine_(2007_film):
      "The Sun has instead been "infected" with a Q-ball - a supersymmetric nucleus, left over from the Big Bang - that is disrupting the normal matter. The situation compells humanity to send a spacecraft to the Sun in 2050, the Icarus I, which carries a massive payload, an experimental nuclear bomb, intended to reignite the Sun."

      The part that makes the story completely unbelievable??? Humanity working together to fix something.

    2. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by somersault · · Score: 1

      I advise that the astronauts be restricted to plastic cutlery, otherwise it could seriously ruin the potential for turning this whole idea into a decent sci-fi movie.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    3. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I always thought the whole "SPACE IS COLD" scene ruined it, but this takes it even further.

      I hate when they later "work-in" these CRAZEH stories for the specials.

    4. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by BobisOnlyBob · · Score: 1

      That story was always there, I remember in the poster descriptions are my local cinema. The scene explaining the pseudoscience was cut, as it didn't add anything to the actual meat of the story: the human interaction in a confined environment under extreme conditions. Everything else was just window dressing; beautiful, fiery window dressing.

      (I loved that movie, even if the science does fall down in a number of places. It was still sci-fi, just more about human nature than the sun, or space, or physics.)

    5. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by BobisOnlyBob · · Score: 1

      I need to actually use preview. "I remember it from the poster descriptions at my local cinema."

    6. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by AtomicDevice · · Score: 1

      HOLY COW! I just watched that star trek episode this morning, where they try to revive a sun with photon torpedoes. BUT IT EXPLODES!!! We must prevent our lawmakers from attempting this. Our sun will explode.

      --
      Ze Atomic Device! It iz Ztolen!
    7. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by Darby · · Score: 1

      (I loved that movie,

      Really?!? I'm just glad I didn't hate it so much it kept me from falling alseep ;-)

    8. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      Uhhhh - actually, the "science" part is the real "meat" of any "science fiction" story. The people are peripheral, and expendable. Reversing those roles results in "space opera", which is far inferior to genuine science fiction. To put that into perspective, all of the apocalypse movies labeled as science fiction offer no science at all - instead, they are studies in man's inhumanity to man, and how sick and perverse men can really be. A real sci-fi movie, like 2010, is about WHAT IS OUT THERE. Any person could have played the roles, from a child to an ancient old philosopher, to an engineer, to some thrill seeking teen. The STORY was about the universe, more than how we fit into it. God, I hate it when they write stories and make movies that have nothing to do with science, then label it sci-fi. Worse, I hate when they strip the science, and leave a bunch of looney tunes who make eyes, and participate in a tremendous ego stroking circle jerk. "Days of our lives" has as much science as most of those space opera abortions.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    9. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by idontgno · · Score: 1

      Uhhhh - actually, the "science" part is the real "meat" of any "science fiction" story. The people are peripheral, and expendable.

      Lol, spoken like a true slashbot. (Although I admit to great impatience (and disappointment) when purported SF flies right past "Space Opera" into "Soap Opera." Battlestar Galactica, I'm looking at you....)

      I'm curious, then; how do you classify (fer example) Poul Andersen? Many of his best stories are character-driven, although the science is as hard as hard SF can get.

      I think you, like many Hard SF fans, are over-emphasizing that aspect, to the detriment of other critical factors (like characterization... the expendable people you speak of), but that's a pretty common criticism.

      FWIW, I prefer hard SF, mostly, but just science-and-technology will never carry a story.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    10. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      Maybe I overstressed the importance of science - but not a great deal. The story can be populated by almost anyone. Yes, there have to be people, or there would be no story. (If a tree falls in a forest, and no one is around to hear it, does it make a noise?) Developing a character may be important to get the story, but the soaps don't develop a character any more than the most mindless action movies do. I mean, the wife plays her soaps every day, and I can't even BEGIN to relate to ANY of those -uhh- "characters".

      Try this - visualise 2001 with some punk kid who stowed away on the ship as the hero, instead of Dave. Dave was just an expendable tech who helped get the ship going in the right direction, so he can die off any time. The punk stowaway can finish the story quite well for us. In fact, he has potential that Dave didn't, if you think about it.

      Whatever, if half the movie focuses on people making eyes at each other, it certainly IS NOT sci-fi. One or more of those people may have gorgeous eyes, but damn, I can look at the wife for gorgeous eyes. ;)

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    11. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by spartacus_prime · · Score: 1

      Or we could accelerate the process with a well-aimed resonance torpedo, which would crush the Sun.

      --
      If you can read this, it means that I bothered to log in.
    12. Re:Oh noes! Our star is dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, and make sure that the mission disintegrates into a lame monster/slasher scenario with semi-mystical tie-ins at the end, so I can stop paying attention to it.

  4. it's stuff like this by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's stuff like this that makes me ask when will those neo-republicons take global warming seriously??? There's carbon filling up everywhere, so much the sun is losing her spots, and we just sit here and do nothing about it!!!! We need more diamonds!!!! That will get rid of the carbon!! Obama will fix it. He'll give a cadillacic converter to every car, we'll be converting carbon to diamonds every day as we drive. Diamonds are the solution!!!

    --
    Qxe4
    1. Re:it's stuff like this by tgatliff · · Score: 4, Funny

      I am old fashion kind of guy myself. Meaning, I want my air just like it the dinosaurs had it.. Thick and chocked full of that CO2....

    2. Re:it's stuff like this by oodaloop · · Score: 4, Funny

      Call me old-fashioned, but I believe in one god. And his name is Zorgo. And he lives in that lake.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    3. Re:it's stuff like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Call me old-fashioned, but I believe in one entity. And his name is Zalgo. HE WAITS BEHIND THE WALL!

    4. Re:it's stuff like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Catalytic, even....

    5. Re:it's stuff like this by jameskojiro · · Score: 1

      Yeah and when you increase CO2 levels you increase plant levels and when you do that the O2 levels go up as well, and when you do that arthropods can grow larger, do you really want mosquitoes the size of ducks????

      --
      Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
    6. Re:it's stuff like this by MaxwellEdison · · Score: 1

      I traded in my Chevy for a Cadillac-ac-ac-ac-ac-ac...you oughta know by now...

      --
      -=Bang Bang=-
    7. Re:it's stuff like this by Cougar_ · · Score: 1

      He'll give a cadillacic converter to every car...

      Sorry cadillacic converters only work on Cadillacs, you'll need to get catalytic converters for all the other cars.

    8. Re:it's stuff like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As soon as I saw this article I knew someone would try to link it to global warming. Don't they teach the meaning of "global" in school anymore?

    9. Re:it's stuff like this by PachmanP · · Score: 1

      Yeah and when you increase CO2 levels you increase plant levels and when you do that the O2 levels go up as well, and when you do that arthropods can grow larger, do you really want mosquitoes the size of ducks????

      Well bugs are full of protein, so it might help put off the whole more people that foodstuffs problem. Also, it would be totally bad ass to ride a cockroach like a horse.

      --
      You're thinking small. Why miniaturize the laser, when we could instead enlarge the sharks? -John Searle
    10. Re:it's stuff like this by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Actually, synthetic diamonds are quite cheap these days, if only we could make semiconductor tech with them instead.
      Anybody willing to dig up a price comparison between processor grade silicon and synthetic diamonds of similar quality? There may be some money in the idea.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
  5. more fun with statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    There's a direct correlation between sunspot activity and the stock market and the economy.

    Therefore once sunspots start again the economy will be okay and the stock market will rebound.

    1. Re:more fun with statistics by eln · · Score: 4, Funny

      The boom-bust cycle that has plagued the economy for so long is clearly due to the Sun's influence. Our only hope of a stable economy is to destroy the Sun once and for all.

      For too long we've been at the mercy of the whims of the Sun. Sure, we built that fancy iron core and produced a magnetic field to protect us from the harshest of the Sun's radiation, but the Sun still has almost total control over our precious climate. This situation is simply untenable. Millenia of effort and animal sacrifice have shown that the Sun simply cannot be negotiated with...our only chance is a massive nuclear strike.

    2. Re:more fun with statistics by oodaloop · · Score: 4, Funny

      That's ridiculous. It's obviously the other way around. Once the economy rebounds, the sun will return to its previous level of sunspot activity.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    3. Re:more fun with statistics by howdoesth · · Score: 1

      http://www.cxoadvisory.com/blog/internal/blog4-07-09/
      There's a lot of words there, but I think the R^2 of 0.00 kind of speaks for itself.

    4. Re:more fun with statistics by mdarksbane · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You know, I've been wondering - doesn't Sun worship really make the most sense of pretty much any religion?

      Unlike Jehova, I can actually prove that the sun is the source of all life on this planet, that it nourishes and sustains me and other living things, and that the world will end because of its actions.

      We like to make fun of prehistoric religions, but sometimes I think they're actually pretty rational.

    5. Re:more fun with statistics by Missing_dc · · Score: 4, Funny

      our only chance is a massive nuclear strike.

      I'd say we are currently in the perfect position to nuke it from orbit!!

      --
      How amazed would you be to suddenly find that you just forgot what I wrote and you needed to reread my post.... again.
    6. Re:more fun with statistics by idontgno · · Score: 3, Insightful

      the sun is the source of all life on this planet

      All life on this planet?

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    7. Re:more fun with statistics by IronMagnus · · Score: 1

      Yes. Without the gravity from our Sun, the Earth would never have coalesced into a planet. No Sun, no Earth, no hydrothermal vents.

    8. Re:more fun with statistics by Bigby · · Score: 1

      Where do you think the vent gets its energy? Where do you think the core gets its energy?

    9. Re:more fun with statistics by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 1

      All life on this planet?

      All life that a paleolithic society would have the means to even know about.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    10. Re:more fun with statistics by idontgno · · Score: 1

      I never thought I'd have to use this in an astrophysics discussion, but "Correlation is not causation".

      No aspect, characteristic, or behavior of the proto-Sun caused the Earth to form. Gravitational coalescence of a protoplanetary disk causes both planets and stars to form, starting at approximately the same time, although the star usually fires up before the planets are done.

      No gravity, no protoplanetary disk, no Earth, no hydrothermal vents

      In the immortal words of /., I've corrected that for you.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    11. Re:more fun with statistics by idontgno · · Score: 1

      Where do you think the vent gets its energy? Where do you think the core gets its energy?

      Radioisotopic decay.

      Where do you think most radioactives in any forming protoplanet wind up settling? (Hint: they're pretty dense.)

      So, if you're trying to imply that Earth's core heat has something to do with the Sun, no, sorry, completely wrong. If you want to argue that it has something to do with an earlier generation star that bequeathed heavy radioactive elements into the Sun's nursery gas cloud, you'd be right but off-topic.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    12. Re:more fun with statistics by idontgno · · Score: 1

      Very good point, and probably the best answer to my admittedly pedantic POV. Probably the exact proviso GP poster should have made, since "all life" is pretty broad.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    13. Re:more fun with statistics by DRJlaw · · Score: 1

      All life on this planet? [wikipedia.org]

      Where do you think the vent gets its energy? Where do you think the core gets its energy?

      The Big Bang; then a few precursor stars, which exploded; then the collapse of a portion of a nebula containing radioactive elements from those precursor stars, and heating caused by the conversion of kinetic/potential energy in the incoming matter; plus the radioactive decay of the radioactive elements in the collected matter. All of which are more or less independent of the existence of our current sun.

      If Sol was responsible, then Earth would not get warmer as you went deeper toward the core, but cooler. At best, the Sun slows down the rate of cooling by messing with the thermal gradient between the planet's interior and the cosmic background radiation, but that means little to organisms living 2 miles underground.

      mdarksbane may be right concerning prehistoric societies, but there's organisms which, metaphorically, are thinking "That squatter? Good thing the last one isn't around to smite thee."

    14. Re:more fun with statistics by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      You know, I've been wondering - doesn't Sun worship really make the most sense of pretty much any religion?

      Unlike Jehova, I can actually prove that the sun is the source of all life on this planet, that it nourishes and sustains me and other living things, and that the world will end because of its actions.

      We like to make fun of prehistoric religions, but sometimes I think they're actually pretty rational.

      However, do you ascribe any intelligence to the sun? You say the world will end because of its actions, but does the sun actually choose what those actions will be, or is the sun just another player in the grand scheme of things? If the sun has no intelligence or will, it may still deserve our respect, but it does not merit our worship.

      You can't prove that Jehovah is the source of all life on this planet, but you also can't prove the sun has intelligence or will. Either belief must be held on faith, therefore, and faith in the sun makes no more sense than faith in Jehovah.

      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    15. Re:more fun with statistics by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Either belief must be held on faith, therefore, and faith in the sun makes no more sense than faith in Jehovah.

      No it does not.

      Sun has two GREAT BIG advantages compared to Jehova.
      It's right up there in the sky (you can point your hand at it most of the day) and it is REAL. Unlike Jehova. Or Superman. Or elves. Or unicorns.

      And you don't need faith when you have cold, hard, truth.
      Or in this case, warm, immaterial, can't_really_grab_it_with_my_hand_but_it_can_sure_as_hell_burn_me truth.

      You only need faith for the stuff that you CAN NOT PROVE.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    16. Re:more fun with statistics by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      Asteroid impacts.

    17. Re:more fun with statistics by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      You seem to have misread my comment. Yes, of course you can prove that the sun exists, but existence alone is not reason for worship. You cannot prove that the sun has intelligence or will; THAT belief must be held on faith, and without that, the sun is clearly not worthy of worship, even though we all know it exists.

      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    18. Re:more fun with statistics by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Appearance of intelligence or will in the object of worship are not prerequisites of worship itself. Haven't you ever been in love?

      If the intelligence was the prerequisite - it would be a lot simpler to prove the non-existence of god of Abrahamic religions AS AN ALMIGHTY SUPREME BEING - as he is obviously not very intelligent.
      Right there, in the "holy" scripture. Errors and goof-ups a 9-year-old would not do.

      Again... faith is not based on logic. Faith is based on absence of logic.
      The same as with the gambler that keeps losing hand after hand KNOWING that his "luck" is about to turn around.
      Now THAT is a man with faith in a higher power.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    19. Re:more fun with statistics by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      Right there, in the "holy" scripture. Errors and goof-ups a 9-year-old would not do.

      You've been listening to people who don't know what they're talking about. The Bible is thousands of years old, and understanding all the details is non-trivial; you have to look at the historical context in which it was written, and consider that the very languages it was written in have evolved over time (as all languages do). Yes, the Bible says a lot of things that might look like errors at first glance (pi equals three, bats are birds, insects have four legs!) but the explanations for these are fairly obvious.

      Try talking to somebody who has actually studied the Bible in an academic setting, and ask them about your supposed "errors and goof-ups". There are degrees for that sort of thing, you know.

      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
    20. Re:more fun with statistics by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Religion demands the absence of proof, so that you can have faith. So no, the Sun would not make sense to worship for a religion.

      You can worship it all you want, but without the need for faith, you don't have much of a religion.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    21. Re:more fun with statistics by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      The material that makes up the Earth has gravity on its own, the Sun would not have been 'required' to do so.

      Its now believed by some that our solar system formed because of a nearby super nova. The blast wave from that event condensed the dust cloud we were in enough that gravity could start pulling things together. The Sun was one of those things, but even had Sol not formed, gravity would have still pulled other things together and resulted in the formation of large chunks of matter.

      Sol's gravity certainly affected the way things formed, but it was part of a larger system of events and not the source.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    22. Re:more fun with statistics by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Funny... Despite their "degrees" and knowledge of those "details" - that didn't stop past and present "biblical scholars" to promote war, genocide and racism.
      Or to meddle in the works of the state as they regularly do - while demanding that they are a separate entity that pays no taxes, has its own laws and lives off of the society like a parasite promoting ignorance at best and inter-cultural/inter-racial hate at worst.

      All things which are supposed to be bad according to "the book".

      Also... Gays are evil, just as contraceptives, abortion, people of other religion (ask Palestinians and Israelis what are those "others") and depending on the flavor of the crazy - certain foods and common customs.

      And while we are on the topic of imaginary degrees - you can get one in Esperanto. Probably in Klingon and Elvish too.
      They at least get to answer that they actually do something when asked what is their profession - instead of like "biblical scholars" who have a degree in "reading 1 book - a lot".

      But, I fear that we are digressing far from the original topic - which was that one CAN have a solar-based faith system without the proof of intelligence or will.
      Because the act of faith itself does not require ANY proof. Period.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    23. Re:more fun with statistics by Phroggy · · Score: 1

      You seem to have confused "Biblical scholars" with "corrupt politicians". Jesus didn't like them either.

      Churches are tax-exempt for the same reason that other non-profit organizations are tax-exempt, and they're bound by the same laws. Among the restrictions are that a church can't tell its members who to vote for (although they can make publications available that do endorse particular candidates). If you catch a church breaking that rule, report it to the IRS. They'll lose their tax-exempt status.

      Gays and people of other religions aren't any more evil than the rest of us, and shouldn't be treated as though they are. They're sinners, but so are the rest of us. In Jesus' day, everybody thought tax collectors were evil, and how did Jesus treat them? He didn't stir up an angry mob, he came over for lunch. People hated the Samaritans; Jesus told a story in which a Samaritan behaved better than a priest.

      A Masters in Biblical Studies isn't an imaginary degree; it requires two years of post-graduate study. Here's a list of 81 accredited colleges around the United States that offer that degree.

      --
      $x='S24;r)>63/* h@<5+oZ)32"5cz';$me='phroggy'x$];
      $x=~y+ -xz+\0-Tx+;print$_^chop$me for split'',$x;
  6. Another rubbish summer then. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Great.

    1. Re:Another rubbish summer then. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must live in the British Isles.

      Every summer is a "rubbish summer" in the British Isles.

      Signed,

      A Floridian

  7. 2012 by mc1138 · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    The sun just needs to build up its reserve power before catastrophically attack the Earth in a fury of solar activity in 2012!

    1. Re:2012 by furby076 · · Score: 1

      If Bush was around we would have started a pre-emptive strike against this foreign nation with WMDs.

      --

      I do not support "The Man". I also do not support your irrational stupidity
    2. Re:2012 by sexconker · · Score: 1

      I prefer an attack with YTMNDs.

    3. Re:2012 by idontgno · · Score: 1

      So we're in serious trouble if the Sun's power level gets over 9,000(!).

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
  8. Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    We can't know how many sunspots there really are if we're only seeing only half the surface of our star, right?

    1. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by mea37 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The sun rotates. In the course of a month, we see it from all sides.

    2. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    3. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by eln · · Score: 2, Funny

      Good point...after decades of studying sunspot activity, it's only natural for the Sun to get self-conscious about everyone staring at its blemishes all the time. It's only natural it would try and hide them by turning the other way.

    4. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

      The sun is very "spinny" and "swirly." And spots last long enough to come into view eventually.

    5. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by mmontour · · Score: 1

      We can't know how many sunspots there really are if we're only seeing only half the surface of our star, right?

      We see more than half of the surface.

      A technique called "helioseismic holography" can detect sunspots on the far side of the sun. There is also a pair of spacecraft called STEREO which are in a solar orbit that lets them see parts of the sun that are not visible from earth.

    6. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      How can there be sunspots on the dark side of the sun?

    7. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moreover, it is possible to discern the sunspots on the non-earth-facing side using helioseismology. Soon, we will be able to use the Stereo satellites to observe that side, too.

    8. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1

      Hmm.. Being rather sun ignorant, I can't rule out some of the following possibility:

      What if the sun periodically shifts between being spotty on one side and then the other, where 'side' precesses approximately 12'th the way around the sun each month? Could the longer solar cycles really be the manifestation of the earth's orbit not quite being in sync with this almost monthly precession?

      --
      ...
    9. Re:Maybe we're on the wrong side of the sun? by mea37 · · Score: 1

      I assume the "1/12 of the way each month" number is based on the fact that we travel 1/12 of the way through an orbit each month... but again, the Sun itself makes a full rotation under us every month. So we'd actually have to suppose that the sunspot activity was moving quite rapidly around the Sun (relative to the Sun's surface) to keep out of our view.

      But the expected (and historically observed) behavior is, sunspot activity moves with the Sun's surface. If there were activity on the far side one day, then about two weeks later that activity would have rotated into our view. That sort of observation is one of the ways solar rotation was first noticed.

      Could a series of short-lived sunspots just happen to be forming out of our view and dying out before rotating into our view? Seems unlikely, but I don't guess I can disprove it. The thing is, that would still indicate that either (1) the dynamics of the Sun have substantially changed so that sunspots now tend to do that more than they used to, or (2) sunspot activity has decreased to the point that nearly the only ones left are the ones that behave that way. If I had to bet on one of those two, I'd bet on the latter; but again, I think it's reasonable that we assume sunspots aren't "hiding" from us as it were.

  9. Like for like. by onion2k · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Comparing a 90 day period to a 365 day period isn't a like for like comparison (obviously). Statistically it's meaningless. Why not pick a 1 day period when there wasn't a spot in 2008 and there wasn't a spot in 2009 and say "Sun spot activity is unchanged!". It's silly.

    1. Re:Like for like. by fictionpuss · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One day doesn't form a statistically significant sample, 365 days do.

    2. Re:Like for like. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If any meaningful information can be gathered from sunspots at all, I'd guess that you would need at least several thousand years worth of data. Maybe we extrapolate this from the effect on lunar dust, who knows? But 365 days in the life of the sun is a blip, and sunspot activity is just as likely to double in the next 100 hours/days/years as it is to halve.

    3. Re:Like for like. by Red+Flayer · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Comparing a 90 day period to a 365 day period isn't a like for like comparison (obviously). Statistically it's meaningless.

      Not so. We have two statistical samplings, one with n=90, one with n=365. Based on the sample sizes and some other info, we can establish a confidence interval. Yes, the interval will be larger for the 90-day sample... but just because we can't be 100% confident of the exact results doesn't mean it's statistically meaningless.

      One other note -- historical data must be used to establish that there are not periodic cycles with a frequency of less than one year, which would make the 90-day sample set inaccurate.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    4. Re:Like for like. by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's simply an early trend, which may point towards further decreasing sunspot activity. I hope you're not seriously trying to tell us you believe there's no difference between a 90-day sample period and a 1-day sample period.

      Also, from the article, please note that scientists are not completely brain-dead:

      Pesnell believes sunspot counts should pick up again soon, "possibly by the end of the year," to be followed by a solar maximum of below-average intensity in 2012 or 2013. But like other forecasters, he knows he could be wrong. Bull or bear? Stay tuned for updates.

      In other words, they're not simply extrapolating the entire year based on a 90-day cycle. Rather, they're looking at how this period fits into a larger trend.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    5. Re:Like for like. by fictionpuss · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There are several hundred years worth of data, showing a regular 11 year cycle. Even measurements plotted monthly map to that graph.

      You seem to be displaying a form of anthropomorphism towards the sun. You can't just map the lifespan of a human to the lifespan of the sun and conclude that from your perceived frame of reference, a year is the equivalent of a fraction of a second or 'blip'.

      Old != Static

    6. Re:Like for like. by furby076 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That is not true at all. A 90 day sample out of 365 is a great grouping, not as good as a 365 sample, but still good enough. 1 day is not 90 days...in fact it is 90 times less accurate.

      --

      I do not support "The Man". I also do not support your irrational stupidity
    7. Re:Like for like. by thedonger · · Score: 1

      How about the period of 2 trillion days before they ever started sampling? I bet that would shed light on things.

      --
      Help fight poverty: Punch a poor person.
    8. Re:Like for like. by cowscows · · Score: 1

      I think a confusing aspect about this whole thing is the idea of applying our basically arbitrary start and end dates for the year to what the sun is doing. Even if the sun operates on a cycle that basically does just happen to match up with a whole number of our earth years, the fact that we decided to start calling the present 2009 instead of 2008 doesn't mean much to the sun.

      The sort of time cycles that we experience on a regular basis (day, week, month, year) aren't particularly relevant to the sun, and they're generally only useful in a science like astronomy in that they create a common system of measurement to compare data. They don't have much inherent meaning for the sun (beyond the effects of earth orbiting around it in a periodic fashion.

      The idea that 2008 had really low sunspot activity, but now it's 2009 and so we should see the sun changing doesn't really make any sense.

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

    9. Re:Like for like. by alta · · Score: 1

      I prefer to compare 1 day with spots and 1 day now, without and say "The sun has lots it's spots." I'll then go on to say that the sun will never again have any spots.

      --
      Do not meddle in the affairs of sysadmins, for they are subtle, and quick to anger.
    10. Re:Like for like. by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > One day doesn't form a statistically significant sample, 365 days do.

      Actually, in terms of the total history of the sun, they're both too short to tell us much about the sun's future.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    11. Re:Like for like. by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Compare it to all possible 90 day periods from last year then, then get the average change in % of days without spots.
      (Protip: Answer will be the same!)

      Or try it this way:
      2008: 266 / 366
      2009: 78 / 90

      Let's make it easier and drop off the extra day for last year. We'll assume it was a spotted day, thus dropping the percent of spotted days for 2008 down (this is in favor of saying there's been no change).

      2008: 265 / 365
      2009: 78 / 90

      There are 275 days left for 2009's measurement period. To meet or beat (in the sense of claiming there is no reduction in sunspot activity) 2008's readings, we need 187 spotless days or less.

      The rest of 2009 will need to yield 187 (out of 275) spotless days or fewer, or 68% at most.

      2008 (adjusted to remove the extra day) gave us 72.6% spotless days. 2009 has thus far given us 86.666...% spotless days.

      All signs point to fewer sunspots.

    12. Re:Like for like. by sexconker · · Score: 1

      The idea is that we had low sunspot activity, and now it's getting lower.

      2008 and 2009 are the periods over which this trend occurs.

      The trend is still occurring, regardless of the dates. There is no "because it's 2009" or "we should see". There is "what we see" and "when it's happening".

    13. Re:Like for like. by fictionpuss · · Score: 1

      If you're talking about astrological timescales, then yes, but that's also a strawman.

    14. Re:Like for like. by mokus000 · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The lifespan of the sun is irrelevant to the time scale of events in its life.

      If I don't sleep for 100 hours, that's a statistically interesting fact. If my heart doesn't beat for 100 minutes, that's a pretty serious deviation from the norm.
      If every neuron in my body fails to fire for 100 milliseconds, I don't know but I'm guessing that's just as bad, if not worse (statistically speaking of course - dead is dead).

      --
      Additive identity, multiplicative cancellation, distributive multiplication over addition: pick any two (unless 1 = 0)
  10. I wonder.. by Pvt_Ryan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Is this caused by global warming?

    Should we implement a green tax in order to help the sun get its spots back?

    On the other hand maybe the sun has discoved clearasil..

    1. Re:I wonder.. by somersault · · Score: 2, Funny

      Actually, no it's discovered clearasol.

      Thankyou, I'll be here all week!

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:I wonder.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh you joker you! But on further analysis your comparison sucks, if it global warming had been the cause the sunspots would be more frequent.

    3. Re:I wonder.. by Pvt_Ryan · · Score: 1

      Actually, no it's discovered clearasol.

      Thankyou, I'll be here all week!

      Are you sure?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clearasil , http://www.clearasil.com/

      I too will be here all week.

    4. Re:I wonder.. by Pvt_Ryan · · Score: 1

      OMG I just got that

      *Leaves room*

    5. Re:I wonder.. by somersault · · Score: 1

      Aha, you spotted zit! I mean it. Glad we got that one cleared up.

      --
      which is totally what she said
  11. Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The sunspot cycle is behaving a little like the stock market."

    First the pirates, then the stockmarket, then sunspots. Is there anything that global warming doesn't affect?!

    1. Re:Global Warming by The+name+is+Dave.+Ja · · Score: 1

      Heat piracy!

      We've been stealing the unique output of this "star", and now the cows are coming home to roost. We've been warned about this by our friendly RIAA (Radiating Industry Association of All) - if we keep illegally taking this stuff and not supporting the stars, eventually they will stop producing.

    2. Re:Global Warming by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 1

      First the pirates, then the stockmarket, then sunspots. Is there anything that global warming doesn't affect?!

      Uh, in the case of pirates, you have the relationship backwards. Global warming does not cause pirates; it's a lack of pirates that causes global warming.

      --
      In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll
  12. Right on schedule? by cashman73 · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Jupiter's Great Red Spot is shrinking, the number of sunspots on our sun is dwindling, and it's getting closer and closer to December 21, 2012. Anyway, it's been nice knowing you guys, but "So long, and thanks for all the fish"!

    1. Re:Right on schedule? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you like to put fish sticks in your mouth?

    2. Re:Right on schedule? by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1

      Potatoes are deadly poisonous. Proof: almost everyone who has eaten a potato is dead.

      --
      ...
    3. Re:Right on schedule? by The+name+is+Dave.+Ja · · Score: 1

      I like shark porn.

    4. Re:Right on schedule? by cashman73 · · Score: 1

      Redundant?! Are you effing kidding me?! How is that redundant?! It was one of the first things posted! Maybe we should stop giving out mod points to Stevie Wonder?!

  13. Here we go... by geekoid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1) The Sun does effect global temperature
    2) It's effects are pretty immediate
    3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.
    4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

    5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

    6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

    7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    1. Re:Here we go... by Hoi+Polloi · · Score: 2, Funny

      But how can I tie this to a poticial ideology? I hate fact based science.

      --
      It is by the juice of the coffee bean that thoughts acquire speed, the teeth acquire stains. The stains become a warning
    2. Re:Here we go... by jav1231 · · Score: 1

      Okay, there's one theory.

    3. Re:Here we go... by geekoid · · Score: 4, Funny

      Facts do have a liberal bias.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:Here we go... by Pharmboy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I thought the earth has actually been getting cooler since 2004. I also thought the earth constantly went through cycles of heating and cooling. What we do does affect the planet, by all means. How MUCH it is affecting is still very much up for debate.

      Me, I like better fuel economy standards and tighter restrictions on discharges into lakes and streams, mainly because I breathe air and drink water. Unfortunately, the environment is now a tool for getting funding and to get that funding, you must agree with "conventional wisdom". THAT is why so many scientists agree. I'm sure that back in the 1600s, you had to agree that the earth was flat to get funding as well.

      The best science that money can buy isn't always the best science.

      --
      Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
    5. Re:Here we go... by oodaloop · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Right. Like the fact that as rates of legal gun ownership go up, gun violence goes down. Talk about in inconvenient truth.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    6. Re:Here we go... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      I have read many hypothesis presented for other causes, but I haven't read any that got through the peer review process with out being found false.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    7. Re:Here we go... by geoffrobinson · · Score: 5, Insightful

      2) Oceans operate on different time scales, no? So is "pretty immediate" geological time or something or a day or so?

      3) Could be problems with this point based on 2. And by "trend" what are we talking about. There doesn't seem to be much of an upward trend lately. So if you are thinking the last couple of years have been on an upward trend, that's wrong. If you expand that timeline, we may still be on an upward trend.

      4) "The only thing we know"

      Given the lack of ability to put past weather information in a predictive model and get accurate results, I would say we don't know much at all.

      My climate scientist friend I once spoke to almost 10 years ago now was more skeptical. Even if C02 does what you say, are there feedback loops that mitigate the warming? Cloud cover, stuff like that. We don't know.

      6) You don't know 6 is true at all.

      7) While I remain skeptical of global warming, I want to get off foreign oil in general. So may I propose a workable solution that many environmentalists don't like: nuclear power. Cut the red tape and streamline the process.

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    8. Re:Here we go... by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You should pay more for your history.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    9. Re:Here we go... by geekboy642 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes. Now either disprove it, as GP did with the "sun causes global warming" theory, or provide another that also fits the evidence. You don't get to ignore a scientific theory just because you don't like the conclusion.

      --
      Just another "DOJ fascist authoritarian totalitarian bootlicker" -- Zeio
    10. Re:Here we go... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm sure that back in the 1600s, you had to agree that the earth was flat to get funding as well.

      The best science that money can buy isn't always the best science.

      Actually, no. If at any point in recorded history, you proposed that the earth was flat, the overwhelming majority of people thought you were a nutjob.
      The idea that Columbus' opponents thought the earth was flat was made up by supporters' of Darwin in the 1800's to belittle their opposition (not all of which was religious).
      Columbus' opposition said that if the diameter of the earth was what they calculated it to be (which it turns out was a reasonable approximation of the actual diameter of the earth), Columbus and his crewmen would run out of fresh water before they reached East Asia. Columbus, using his own calculations, said the earth isn't that big. It turns out that Columbus got lucky, because neither side was aware that there was another land mass between Europe and Asia (there is reason to believe that there were Europeans who did know, but that is speculation).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    11. Re:Here we go... by squoozer · · Score: 1

      I think you were correct right up to 7. Most of the alternatives aren't as good as what we have right now. There is no realistic alternative to the car and all the alternatives to electricity generation are very expensive or unreliable. Space heating is also a serious problem.

      Converting to a very low or zero carbon world would involve rebuilding just about every home, office block and factory as well as throwing away and remaking every car. That isn't going to happen any time soon. The expense would make the current financial system bailout look like pocket change.

      I fully intend to build a zero carbon home in the not to distant future but the reality of the matter is we took 200 years to make our built environment, it will take 200 years to re-make it carbon neutral.

      --
      I used to have a better sig but it broke.
    12. Re:Here we go... by ArcherB · · Score: 3, Funny

      You are missing a whole bunch of ~'s

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    13. Re:Here we go... by PPH · · Score: 1

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      So, problem solved. Nobody left to burn fossil fuels. The planet's ecosystem recovers and the cockroaches, the proper inheritors of the planet continue on. Just like they did prior to the human infestation.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    14. Re:Here we go... by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      How MUCH it is affecting is still very much up for debate.

      Only for quacks like you. Scientists pretty much all agree at this point.

    15. Re:Here we go... by hoooocheymomma · · Score: 1

      I haven't read any that got through the peer review process with out being found false.

      http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=2674E64F-802A-23AD-490B-BD9FAF4DCDB7

      As long as gobs of scientists are saying global warming hysteria is, at present, unfounded, I have to assume that you are full of crap. Well, unless "peer review" means pulled out of your own personal ass.

    16. Re:Here we go... by plague3106 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      7) While I remain skeptical of global warming, I want to get off foreign oil in general. So may I propose a workable solution that many environmentalists don't like: nuclear power. Cut the red tape and streamline the process.

      Which is ironic, because it's one of the most environmentally friendly means to generate power we have. The waste is well contained, and if we built newer reactors we wouldn't have to worry about waste at all.

    17. Re:Here we go... by Troed · · Score: 1

      1) correct

      2) some, and some are delayed (trade winds, ocean currents, heat redistribution)

      3) see 2 - then the correlation is incredibly high ( http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/01/25/warming-trend-pdo-and-solar-correlate-better-than-co2/ )

      4) absolutely no. on the contrary, the correlation for CO2 models and observed climate over the last decade are next to nil

      5) Percentages of percentages

      6) absolutely no

      7) absolutely no

    18. Re:Here we go... by khallow · · Score: 1

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      Even if we don't, the planet will become uninhabitable. And it will take about the same length of time on the order of hundreds of millions to a billion years. I wonder where hysterical crap like this comes from? It's like the "Iraq caused 911" nonsense that ran through the US a few years ago. Nobody said it or even seriously implied it. Yet somehow there was a bunch of people believing it.

    19. Re:Here we go... by hoooocheymomma · · Score: 1

      You and your bias. You need to keep your whole, "air breathing, water drinking" agenda out of this.

      I'm sick of you liberals bashing pollution just because you want to drink clean water and breath clean air.

      Try not being so selfish.

    20. Re:Here we go... by The_Quinn · · Score: 1

      4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      I am not a climatologist, (you don't sound like one either), but I've read that CO2 levels tend to lag, not lead, warming cycles.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      Your language is the Environmentalist equivalent of the Christian Armageddon. What is obvious about your statement is the irrational fear you convey to try and scare people into agreeing with your point of view.

      What you are completely ignoring is the incredible life-enhancing and life-extending benefits that comes from altering the environment. The vast increase in quality and quantity of life that humans have over that of 150 years ago is scarcely mentioned in this ongoing debate.

    21. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

      MYTH 1: Global temperatures are rising at a rapid, unprecedented rate.

      FACT: Accurate satellite, balloon and mountain top observations made over the last three decades have not shown any significant change in the long term rate of increase in global temperatures. Average ground station readings do show a mild warming of 0.6 to 0.8C over the last 100 years, which is well within the natural variations recorded in the last millennium. The ground station network suffers from an uneven distribution across the globe; the stations are preferentially located in growing urban and industrial areas ("heat islands"), which show substantially higher readings than adjacent rural areas ("land use effects").

      There has been no catastrophic warming recorded.

      MYTH 2: The "hockey stick" graph proves that the earth has experienced a steady, very gradual temperature decrease for 1000 years, then recently began a sudden increase.

      FACT: Significant changes in climate have continually occurred throughout geologic time. For instance, the Medieval Warm Period, from around 1000 to 1200 AD (when the Vikings farmed on Greenland) was followed by a period known as the Little Ice Age. Since the end of the 17th Century the "average global temperature" has been rising at the low steady rate mentioned above; although from 1940 Ãff" 1970 temperatures actually dropped, leading to a Global Cooling scare.

      The "hockey stick", a poster boy of both the UN's IPCC and Canada's Environment Department, ignores historical recorded climatic swings, and has now also been proven to be flawed and statistically unreliable as well. It is a computer construct and a faulty one at that.

      MYTH 3: Human produced carbon dioxide has increased over the last 100 years, adding to the Greenhouse effect, thus warming the earth.

      FACT: Carbon dioxide levels have indeed changed for various reasons, human and otherwise, just as they have throughout geologic time. Since the beginning of the industrial revolution, the CO2 content of the atmosphere has increased. The RATE of growth during this period has also increased from about 0.2% per year to the present rate of about 0.4% per year,which growth rate has now been constant for the past 25 years. However, there is no proof that CO2 is the main driver of global warming. As measured in ice cores dated over many thousands of years, CO2 levels move up and down AFTER the temperature has done so, and thus are the RESULT OF, NOT THE CAUSE of warming. Geological field work in recent sediments confirms this causal relationship. There is solid evidence that, as temperatures move up and down naturally and cyclically through solar radiation, orbital and galactic influences, the warming surface layers of the earth's oceans expel more CO2 as a result.

      MYTH 4: CO2 is the most common greenhouse gas.

      FACT: Greenhouse gases form about 3% of the atmosphere by volume. They consist of varying amounts, (about 97%) of water vapour and clouds, with the remainder being gases like CO2, CH4, Ozone and N2O, of which carbon dioxide is the largest amount. Hence, CO2 constitutes about 0.037% of the atmosphere. While the minor gases are more effective as "greenhouse agents" than water vapor and clouds, the latter are overwhelming the effect by their sheer volume and Ãff" in the end Ãff" are thought to be responsible for 60% of the "Greenhouse effect".

      Those attributing climate change to CO2 rarely mention this important fact.

      MYTH 5: Computer models verify that CO2 increases will cause significant global warming.

      FACT: The computer models assume that CO2 is the primary climate driver, and that the Sun has an insignificant effect on climate. You cannot use the output of a model to verify or prove its initial assumption - that is circular reasoning and is illogical. Computer models can be made to roughly match the 20th century temperature rise by adjusting many input parameters and using strong positive feedbacks. They

    22. Re:Here we go... by saforrest · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I thought the earth has actually been getting cooler since 2004. I also thought the earth constantly went through cycles of heating and cooling. What we do does affect the planet, by all means. How MUCH it is affecting is still very much up for debate.

      Don't confuse speed with position. While 2008 was the coldest year since 2000, it is still the ninth warmest year since 1880. Global warming theories do not require a strictly increasing average global temperature over time.

    23. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, not insightful at all.

      1) CO2 is not the most abundant green house cause in the atmosphere. H2O is.
      2) CO2 is plant food. C02 fixation is based on a faulty premise that Venus is the victim of a run away green house effect. There is no evidence that Venus ever had a less hostile atmosphere.
      3) If the sun is the largest part of the equation of energy on this planet, changes in amt of energy from the sun will trump any trends that CO2 may be contributing to.
      4) How can we properly estimate solar radiation that was happening 200 years ago with any degree of accuracy?

    24. Re:Here we go... by Cynonamous+Anoward · · Score: 1

      Pulled out of own ass.....

      Interesting....I think you have stumbled upon the long lost "infallible peer review" method....

      --
      "The GPL is viral by design, like any good religion."
    25. Re:Here we go... by tugboat0902 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's strange, but I was recently looking at some ice core CO2 data and noticed that CO2 levels have been so much higher in the past during periods when global temperature was lower than it is now.

      "The Carboniferous Period and the Ordovician Period were the only geological periods during the Paleozoic Era when global temperatures were as low as they are today. To the consternation of global warming proponents, the Late Ordovician Period was also an Ice Age while at the same time CO2 concentrations then were nearly 12 times higher than today-- 4400 ppm. According to greenhouse theory, Earth should have been exceedingly hot. Instead, global temperatures were no warmer than today. Clearly, other factors besides atmospheric carbon influence earth temperatures and global warming."

      I agree with getting off the oil habit, but those worshiping in the church of global warming are going about it all wrong. President hopeychange is planning to "spread the warmth" around to the less fortunate planets in our solar system. A new 167% income tax on those filthy rich making over $13,000 per year will be used to load our excess heat into large gas-bags shaped like Rush Limbaugh and delivered to our unfortunate neighbors that are only cold because of our oppression.



      --I have no sig

    26. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1998 is *still* the hottest year on record....

    27. Re:Here we go... by howdoesth · · Score: 1

      Gun ownership is a liberty. You seem to have confused Liberalism with liberalism.

    28. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Wow I didn't know that the US has less gun violence than Japan......

      Talk about statistical cherry-picking.

    29. Re:Here we go... by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      That's just criminals being eliminated from the system.

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    30. Re:Here we go... by marco.antonio.costa · · Score: 1

      Yeaaa! NUCULAR! I love it! =D

      --
      Send your spendthrift head of state this
    31. Re:Here we go... by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      Right. Like the fact that as rates of legal gun ownership go up, gun violence goes down. Talk about in inconvenient truth.

      That's not an inconvenient truth, unless you believe that correlation equals causation.

      Perhaps your little factoid is only true because guns are easier and cheaper to acquire illegally (than legally) in areas with higher gun violence?

      Or perhaps it is because people who acquire guns legally are less likely to commit gun violence than people who acquire them illegally -- and legal or illegal, those people will still commit gun violence?

      Here's an inconvenient truth for you: As rates of legal gun ownership go up, so do rates of gun accidents resulting in injury or death.

      The truth is, your fact is useless unless we can rule out other reasons why gun violence is more prevalent in areas with lower legal gun ownership rates -- and you'd be hard pressed to do so, unless you're able to do what the huge resources of the NRA have been unable to do for decades.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    32. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, the environment is now a tool for getting funding and to get that funding, you must agree with "conventional wisdom". THAT is why so many scientists agree.

      Of course. If you are funding science, do you really want to fund guys who believe that the earth is 6000 years ago, or that vaccination causes autism? "Conventional wisdom" among scientists are conventional for a reason.

      Or... you could beat the "conventional wisdom" by creating a better theory that explains (almost) everything the conventional wisdom explains, and then some more. Every scientist's dream. That is how science progresses.

      I'm sure that back in the 1600s, you had to agree that the earth was flat to get funding as well.

      Listen, if you go back to the 1600s and claim atomic theory of matter, special relativity, and theory of semiconductors, nobody will take you seriously. It doesn't matter that they are true; it is completely unverifiable with 1600s' technology and thus cannot be science. It stays in the same realm as "how many angels can dance on a pinpoint?" until technology advances and we have better tools for doing science.

      So, the best science that *modern technology* can buy isn't always the best science, but that's the best we're stuck with now. With 30th century's tech, we could all have flying cars that eat CO2 from the atmosphere and cure cancer while you drive. Well, we don't have 'em. Deal with that.

    33. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're saying conservatives don't like facts, and therefore the truth? Sounds about right to me.

    34. Re:Here we go... by kabocox · · Score: 1

      Facts do have a liberal bias.

      Nah, facts have a true old school reactionary conservative bias. We just don't have many of those now a days.
      The truth is everyone understands that they want to take our our stuff to give to others. Conservatives just want enough power to defend themselves from that they, and to be truly sustainable so that they can ignore everyone else.

    35. Re:Here we go... by Choad+Namath · · Score: 1

      discharges into lakes and streams

      You might want to get that checked out...

    36. Re:Here we go... by T+Murphy · · Score: 1

      8)???
      9)Profit!

    37. Re:Here we go... by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 1

      I have read many hypothesis presented for other causes, but I haven't read any that got through the peer review process with out being found false.

      Then you might want to expand your reading beyond the Left-wing monoculture (hint: Henrik Svensmark). And RealClimate.org and other CAGW cheerleaders do not qualify as "peer review".

      --
      In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll
    38. Re:Here we go... by H0p313ss · · Score: 1

      Even if C02 does what you say, are there feedback loops that mitigate the warming? Cloud cover, stuff like that. We don't know.

      Exactly... we don't know. We're modifying our atmosphere and we don't know what it will do. All the reputable science indicates it's either a little bad or VERY VERY bad.

      Of course those who are making money from this will tell you it's all hokum... but the problem is that by the time we actually understand what all this CO2 (and others) is doing we will be about 50 years too late to do anything about it.

      --
      XML is a known as a key material required to create SMD: Software of Mass Destruction
    39. Re:Here we go... by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

      Please provide reputable, verifiable evidence of the information in your post, preferably from multiple sources.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    40. Re:Here we go... by scorp1us · · Score: 1

      1) The Sun does effect global temperature
      2) It's effects are pretty immediate
      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.
      4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

      3. is incorrect. While we may get the light in terms of minutes from its departure from our heavenly body, the energy released when it gets here is distributed and absorbed. Then it is up to a whole other set of processes to get it back out. It may go into heating the atmosphere. it may heat the oceans, it may provide energy to a plant for photosynthesis. So that energy may be radiated back out immediately, or may be deferred until night time, where it is released again. Or it can be part of a plant for millions of years only to be placed when it finds itself in an internal combustion engine.

      Given that the focus of the whole global warming debate is centered on temperatures are measured here on the surface of the earth (and not life the upper atmosphere) I have to look around at the surface of the earth and see that 3/4 is water. It is far more likely that the oceans are driving weather (as we are seeing now, with La Nina cooling still in effect) and that since 3/4 of what these photons hit is water, that far more solar radiation is absorbed by the oceans than by the clouds. Given the very large specific heat of water, it only makes sense that it is a super massive capacitor of heat slowing the release of the sun's energy. And in fact, we now know that ocean temperatures account for over 2/3 of sea level rise.

      4. is wholly incorrect. We know that water vapor is the strongest green house gas. However legislating clouds is not possible. So it falls to things we can legislate, which are byproducts of production - methane (far worse than CO2, but quantitatively less), CO2, etc.

      5. Despite the "trillions of tons", CO2 remains a trace gas. 320 parts per MILLION. That's 0.32% of ONE percent (0.00032).

      --
      Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
    41. Re:Here we go... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Wow I didn't know that the US has less gun violence than Japan......

      Talk about statistical cherry-picking.

      Indeed. The violence rates in Japan and the US are not comparable. Culture has a much greater effect on violence (of any sort) than availability of tools, so cross-culture comparisons -- especially cultures as radically different as the US and Japan -- are meaningless.

      If you want to analyze the effect of gun ownership on a particular culture, it must be done within that culture.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    42. Re:Here we go... by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      ...How MUCH it is affecting is still very much up for debate...

      Only for quacks like you. Scientists pretty much all agree at this point.


      Really? Scientists pretty much all agree on how much, specifically, human acivity is impacting global climate cycles? Because you get guys like Al Gore saying that man is the (not "part of the") climate change picture. I hear this constantly: that man is the cause of climate change. Which is absurd on the face of it. So, you're obviously not in that camp, which sets you apart from the loudest, most vocal, most commonly quoted people on this subject. Please, though, do mention some numbers - specifically how much the climate would be changing (say, since the last ice age) without human activity. That way we'll have some percentages to work with.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    43. Re:Here we go... by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      Yep, that's right. 2004 was the highest temperature yet. Before that it was 1997 and yet before 1989. I suggest everyone to look at the graph and make your own conclusion. Some people will want to see that we have reached a peak and began a downward movement, others will see this as a normal part toward our regular rise.

      After 4 years of decrease in temperature, we are still at a higher level than the 1880-1980 maximum. I'll seriously consider the global warming theory to be wrong when we will go below a +0.2 anomaly so still color me CO2-hostile

      But still, the mass hysteria is really unsettling. People, it is less than a degree increase in a century, it will be a few meters of sea rise max. Yes it has far-reaching consequences, but sheesh, don't make life plans based on Al Gore's movie... I suppose that indifference or mass hysteria are the two only possible reaction for public opinion when confronted with a science subject.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    44. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is parent modded as troll? If the information is wrong than the correct mod would be inaccurate. If you disagree then post and say why.

      I at least found it interesting even if it sounds a little like a conspiracy theory post. There is some solid information in there.

    45. Re:Here we go... by cwiegmann24 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So if our CO2 has caused global warming, we should see an increase in temperature that coincides with the expanding industry that began around the 1940's. Data does not support this. In fact, in the 1970's, global cooling was the scare http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling#1970s_awareness

    46. Re:Here we go... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Here's an inconvenient truth for you: As rates of legal gun ownership go up, so do rates of gun accidents resulting in injury or death.

      This is untrue. Firearms accidents have been on a steady, and steep, decline for decades both per capita and in absolute numbers, while legal gun ownership has held relatively steady per capita, and climbed significantly in absolute terms. The reason for this is improved gun safety education.

      In any case, if your argument is that guns should be banned because of the risk of accidents, then you should focus first on private swimming pools, since they're orders of magnitude more deadly. Personally, I'd rather focus on requiring them to be fenced and covered when not in use, just as I'd rather gun owners had to receive safety training.

      Perhaps your little factoid is only true because guns are easier and cheaper to acquire illegally (than legally) in areas with higher gun violence?

      Reputable studies are very careful with making comparisons across different areas. The better approach is longitudinal studies that watch regions over time as regulations change. The primary source of information relating lawful gun access with lower crime is derived from observing the effects of liberalization of concealed carry permits. Over the last 40 years most of the states in the US have adopted "shall issue" permit laws, meaning they'll give a permit to anyone who doesn't have any contraindicating factors in their record.

      During that same period of time, there has been a nationwide decline in violence, even in areas where permits have not been widely issued, but numerous studies have shown that areas that issued many permits had a greater decrease in violence (of all sorts, including gun violence) than areas that did not, even after all other apparently-relevant factors (economics, racial diversity and makeup, age diversity and makeup, non-violent crime rates, etc.) are controlled for. Those studies are the main source of the "more guns == less crime" notion.

      I should point out that not all studies on this topic agree. Differences in methodology yield somewhat different results. However, the range of results is between "no effect on violence" and "substantial decrease in violence"; there are no findings of increased violence with increased lawful carry.

      To me, that fact is sufficient to demonstrate that responsible citizens should be allowed to own and carry firearms. The right of self-defense is an important human right, and it should not be limited without compelling reason.

      The truth is, your fact is useless unless we can rule out other reasons why gun violence is more prevalent in areas with lower legal gun ownership rates -- and you'd be hard pressed to do so, unless you're able to do what the huge resources of the NRA have been unable to do for decades.

      Actually, the NRA hasn't addressed this question at all until very recently, and then only when pushed hard by other organizations, such as Jews for the Preservation of Firearms Ownership (JPFO). The NRA's concern has been focused on firearms used for hunting, and they've been very willing to compromise on the sorts of weapons used for self defense. Most of the real studies in this area are from university researchers, without NRA support, and from organizations like the Centers for Disease Control.

      I fully expect that if the District of Columbia is ever actually forced by the Supreme Court to make legal gun ownership widely accessible, violence in the district will decrease significantly. There will probably be a short, sharp spike in accidental and self-defense shootings, but then the violence will decline, perhaps even to levels as low as those that existed before the DC handgun ban was implemented 30 years ago.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    47. Re:Here we go... by darkstar949 · · Score: 1

      In regards to Columbus thinking the world was smaller, it is mentioned in the About.com article about him. You can find much more on Columbus that says more or less the same thing as it is something that is generally not contested by historians.

      In regards to Europeans suspecting there might might be a landmass before Asia, it isn't much of a stretch that they might have heard about the Norse colonies; however, I would have to do some searching around for better information in that regards. However, even if someone in Europe did know, the point would still be moot as you would have to have evidence that Spain was also aware of the colonies. This is an area that there is some soft evidence for, but you really need to dig and it's not that conclusive.

    48. Re:Here we go... by FrankSchwab · · Score: 1

      OK, you lost me at step 6. Citation?
      And, by the way, at step 7. Citation?

      --
      And the worms ate into his brain.
    49. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given that Leifur Eiríksson *did* reach north america, it's not just speculation - people really did know, and Leifur wasn't THAT much earlier from Columbus's POV.

    50. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) The Sun does effect global temperature
      Yes!

      2) It's effects are pretty immediate
      Probably

      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.

      Um, no. Temperature follows Solar Activity precisely. What Global Warming Trend does NOT follow is CO2 release.

      4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      Again no. the Earth has been much warmer (and colder) than current times in the not too distant past. Research the "Medieval Optimum" and "Little Ice Age". Greenland Used to be Green and was colonized by Vikings until the Little Ice Age hit. As the Earth warms a little again, remnants old growth deciduous forests are starting to be discovered in Northern Canada and Norway - forests that can only grow in temperatures that exist today in much lower latitudes. This means that the Earth was much warmer for hundreds (or thousands) or years just a few thousand years ago. The Sahara desert used to be a Savannah plain with rivers just a few thousand years ago when the earth was warmer, etc, etc, etc.

      5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

      Yea, it is probable that as the Earth naturally warms up (we are still recovering from the Little Ice age ya know) more CO2 will be released, and the natural cyclical heating/cooling of the planet will continue.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.
      Short of all-out nuclear war, there is little if anything we can do to that would cause this. It is much more likely that an eruption of the Yellowstone caldera and another major eruption or two in a short time frame could to the job pretty quick though.

      We should clean our act up though. This is the right thing to do. Not because of some unfounded fear mongering unscientific global warming crap, but because it is our responsibility to be good stewards to our planet and leave it in better condition than we found it for our progeny.

      7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

      And they should be logically implemented and further research done. Incentives should be enacted to promote cleaner living.

    51. Re:Here we go... by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > Actually, no. If at any point in recorded history, you
      > proposed that the earth was flat, the overwhelming
      > majority of people thought you were a nutjob.

      The overwhelming majority of _educated_ people. But yeah.

      > Columbus' opposition said that if the diameter of the earth
      > was what they calculated it to be

      More what Eratosthenes calculated it to be...

      > Columbus and his crewmen would run out of fresh water

      Or all die of scurvy, or any number of other problems...

      > before they reached East Asia.

      But yeah. To fund Columbus, you either had to be crazy or desperate, OR...

      > there is reason to believe that there were Europeans who did know,

      There probably were a few, but they didn't really publicize the matter, and in any case their knowledge was based on the (much shorter) northern route across the Atlantic, so they presumably didn't know anything much about the latitudes Columbus was aiming for.

      The thing about Columbus is that he was an insufferable loudmouth, in a way that worked out pretty well for European history. First thing he did when he got back to Europe (after finding Haiti or Cuba or wherever it was exactly that he landed) was to talk about it, as often as possible, to anyone who would listen, and I don't mean just within his own community. The Spanish, the Portuguese, the Italians, the French, the English, they all heard about Columbus' voyage and that there was, indeed, land within reach across the Atlantic. Not only did they here that it was there, but they heard plenty too about how big a deal it was and what a fabulous financial opportunity and how important Columbus was for finding it and so on and so forth. Columbus was a braggart.

      And, actually, in hindsight, it kind of *was* that important.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    52. Re:Here we go... by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      You get funding by proposing to tramp across a glacier and drill holes. Then you report what you actually find.

      US climate scientists largely agree about anthropogenic climate change, and for the last eight years they've been funded by the Bush administration.

    53. Re:Here we go... by Starker_Kull · · Score: 1

      Please provide reputable, verifiable evidence of the information in your post, preferably from multiple sources.

      You can do your own googling for that. But to give you some confidence that the parent is not making things up, consider what the casual name for Native Americans is - 'Indians'.

      That's because Columbus believed, until his dying day, that he had landed in a group of islands off of Asia/India, not discovered a new continent - hence, the term 'Indians' for Native Americans. Columbus was not a fool, and he knew how far he had sailed on his journeys. His interpertation though, was that he had sailed across a much smaller ocean, on a much smaller planet (I think he estimated a circumference of 18,000 miles vs. the true figure of 25,000 miles), and hit the other side of Eurasia.

    54. Re:Here we go... by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Dig your head in the sand as much as you want. Yes, climate change happens anyway... but you really think pumping tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere doesn't have any affect at all? Especially when we're talking about almost a 25% increase?

      http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn11638

    55. Re:Here we go... by sexconker · · Score: 1

      1) It sure does.

      2) Nope. Many of the effects are determined much more by duration and planetary alignment and solar winds and such. Thus, many of the effects don't correlate nicely to a single indicator (sunspots), and therefore don't appear to align with those indicators. The effects can appear to be quite delayed because several conditions have to line up nicely (and to make this more likely, the conditions need to be longer in duration) for the "full effect" to be felt.

      3) Again, see 2). The Global Warming Trend (I thought it was Global Climate Change now) DOES follow solar activity, much better than any other metric we can throw at it. It doesn't necessarily follow sunspot activity, because sunspots are just an indicator of one type of solar activity, while there are tons of other things going on out in space that effect how much energy from the sun enters our atmosphere.

      4) Nope. CO2 is the nice hot button now. Before then people said it was the hole in the ozone layer from CFCs.

      5) And what of it? Do you have any idea of the scale we're talking about? Do you know how large the atmosphere is? You're complaining about spitting in the ocean. It makes more sense to complain about the AIG "bonuses".

      6) Why would it be uninhabitable? The planet has gone through far worse heating and cooling cycles. We survived. We thrived. So did other species. Will shit potentially change? Yup. So what? Deal with it. There is no indication that the change will be anything but extremely gradual. We'll have plenty of time to adapt. There is no indication that the change will be permanent, or more extreme than what has happened before. If we're assuming that the change is caused by CO2 (it's NOT), then we have to remember that there is also no indication that completely stopping all CO2 release by humans will do anything to prevent the change.

      7) It's hard to have solutions to a problem that doesn't exist. But if you insist, we sure do. It's called nuclear power, and the environmentalists won't let anyone use it.

    56. Re:Here we go... by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

      I was hoping for something refuting the "everyone thought the world was flat" thing, but thanks anyway.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    57. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      URL:http://www.google.com/> You're welcome.

    58. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I assume you don't do your own research into global warming?
      1) Yes, the Sun does affect global temperature. The ice record shows 11 year cycles of warming and cooling that matches the solar cycle.
      2) The effect of the solar cycle has a time constant of several years.
      3) This is only partly true. With 100 year averaging, the solar cycles seem to match global temperatures for the last 1000 years.
      4) There is new research that shows that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation have very strong effects on global temperatures. When both are negative, global temperatures drop by about a degree, When both are positive (like 1980 to 2003) global temperatures rise by about a degree. This effect has lead climatologists to suggest gflobal warming will slow or stop for about 30 years.
      5) Yes we are looking at the release of billions of tons of C02. That said man made CO2 accounts for only 3% of the total world wide release of CO2.
      6) Uninhitable based on what? Global warming will make billions of acres of fertile crop land available for food production. Global cooling will do the opposite. With global cooling billions will starve. With just the global warming that has happened so far, the biosphere has grown by 12%
      7) What workable solutions? Solar? Wind? How do we transport this energy? How do we sotore this energy? What percent of our enviromentally sensitive deserts will we have to pave over to provide this energy? How many people will we starve so we can burn corn as ethanol? The people claiming workable solutions are marketing fools, environmental scare mongers and politicians who have vested interests in ignoring the practical dificulties and limitations in renewable energy technologies.

      It is not yet clear how much warming can be blamed on human energy consumption, but the science is starting to suggest is much less than the models give it credit for.

    59. Re:Here we go... by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      Parent is entirely offtopic, but since it's in support of AGW it is modded insightful. Yay Slashdot.

    60. Re:Here we go... by DarkOx · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's right I am sick of their agenda, which has nothing do to with clean water and air. I want clean air, and clean water. Not water filled with heavy metals and PCBs from their stupid soon to be mandated CFL lamps, or LED lamps. I want air that is not filled with all sorts of nasty acids from manufacturing all these stupid solar panels, LED lamps, batteries for retarded hybrid cars, etc, etc.

      I will take a little extra of the HARMLESS C02, that you, I, and the rest of the air breathing creatures of this planet are exhaling every instant. Slightly larger fruit and some small risk of rising temperature, for which there is no compelling evidence are all things I can live with.

      We should be ensuring that our burring of focile fuels coal, oil, etc, is being do cleanly and producing only CO2 + H20. That would be the most "Green" thing we could be doing. Most of this "Green" tech is just lower C02 tech and comes at the expense of being "Green" not in support of it. C02 has become everyones sole focus, and its completely wrong. It might not even pose any sort of threat! Yet we are doing all sorts of things to reduce it that have very well known negative side effects.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    61. Re:Here we go... by Starker_Kull · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Actually, I realized you probably were questioning the first part of parents' assertions more than the last:

      If at any point in recorded history, you proposed that the earth was flat, the overwhelming majority of people thought you were a nutjob.

      Yeah, that's a bit more questionable, isn't it? There has been casually observable evidence for the Earth's roundness in certain places (shorelines, where one has an opportunity to see a ship vanish over the horizion hull first, rather than just get too small to see), and if one knows the mechanism causing a lunar eclipse, the always circular shadow of the earth strongly suggests it's spherical.

      OTOH, the geometry of the lunar eclipses was not well understood by most 'ordinary' people (even today), many didn't live on seashores, and historically, most people were illiterate and unable to read descriptions about these things. So, it is pretty unlikely 'the overwhelming majority of people' would think you were a nutter for proposing the earth was flat.

      Perhaps the parent exaggerated a bit, and meant that throughout recorded history, the idea that the earth was round instead of flat was known by educated people of the times, and accepted as true by a significant proportion.

    62. Re:Here we go... by DaveV1.0 · · Score: 1

      Yeah. That time in history is not my strong suit, so the OP may have been right and I just not know it, but what he said goes against what I remember. And, of course, things may have changed in the *mrfrsm* years since I got out of school.

      --
      There is no "-1 offended" or "-1 you don't agree with me" mod options for a reason.
    63. Re:Here we go... by hackus · · Score: 1

      1) The Sun does effect global temperature

      Yep.

      2) It's effects are pretty immediate

      Yep.

      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.

      Errr...WHAT activities are you talking about. The problem is we do not measure ALL energy from the Sun to the Earth at the moment. I am not just talking about Electromagnetic, I am also talking about Solar Wind as well, Alpha particles...etc.

      I do not know of a comprehensive study on ALL energy received from the Sun. Primarily because it probably is more lucrative to say it is CO2, and it is harder to get grant money if you are a nah sayer and really want hard facts about solar energy input.

      4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      Inconclusive. Might be man made, but highly unlikely. Ice cores demonstrate a trend of CO2 increase and decrease long before man made activities at MUCH high concentrations than we have right now might I add.

      Due to the really crappy sensors we currently have in place my personal bet is under sea volcanism. Why? We do not have any ideas, guesses really on CO2 output due to the enourmous amount of active ridges on the oceans.

      5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

      So? There was tons of CO2 in the air more so historically and the planet was a lush and green place as a result. Sounds like a good thing too me.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      I think we will make the planet uninhabitable when a bunch of fruit cake "scientists" get together and start to build machines on a scale that actively modify the atmosphere of the planet.

      Thats when you can kiss it all goodbye.

      7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

      Yeah, I am sure. Tell me, how much money as a world tax are you proposing to pay for C02 sequestering? Tell me, by the way who is going to get paid to build it?

      Just my hunch, but I bet if we followed your money it would probably lead to a multinational corporation in a western country, with ties to Goldman Sach's to do the financing and well...

      I bet you can see where THIS IS LEADING.

      -Hack

      --
      Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    64. Re:Here we go... by Bigby · · Score: 1

      Yes, but it is only natural for the warmest year in the last 130 years to be surrounded by other years that are among the warmest. Whether looking at the last 130 years, 1000 years, or 100,000 years, we are due for a few decades of cooling. The CO2 theory just supposes that the next minimum will be higher than it "should" be. Some extremists say that the minimum will actually be higher than the previous maximum (we likely just passed it).

    65. Re:Here we go... by AJWM · · Score: 1

      4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      That turns out not to be the case.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      Nope. Parts of it, maybe, but the high latitudes will become much more habitable.

      7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

      For some disagreed-upon values of "workable". For that matter, it's not even certain that they are "solutions".

      --
      -- Alastair
    66. Re:Here we go... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      In the 60's (and early 70's), conventional thinking among scientists was that the Big Bang was wrong because it lent too much support to Creationists. At that time a lot of people viewed the Big Bang the same way that people today view ID (I'm not trying to imply any more similarity between the two than that simple fact).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    67. Re:Here we go... by AJWM · · Score: 1

      As rates of legal gun ownership go up, so do rates of gun accidents resulting in injury or death.

      "Think of it as evolution in action."

      Although your statement actually turns out not to be the case, as a sibling posting points out: Firearms accidents have been on a steady, and steep, decline for decades both per capita and in absolute numbers, while legal gun ownership has held relatively steady per capita, and climbed significantly in absolute terms.

      --
      -- Alastair
    68. Re:Here we go... by smellsofbikes · · Score: 1

      As an anonymous poster said, there's extensive evidence that Europeans had spent a fair bit of time in North America before Columbus sailed.
      There are well-characterized Viking ruins in Newfoundland at L'Anse Aux Meadows, as well as Icelandic minerals and metals and even Norwegian currency found in various Native American settlements across eastern Canada and even Maine. Icelandic and Basque fishing fleets regularly fished between Greenland and Newfoundland, leaving archaeological evidence of whaling activity in Newfoundland, prior to Columbus. I've read but haven't verified that in the year before Columbus set sail he sailed to Iceland, and the people who have written about this assume he did so to talk to the sailors and captains about how to miss the big chunk of land they knew was up there so he could hit Asia.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    69. Re:Here we go... by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      but you really think pumping tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere doesn't have any affect at all?

      Did I say that?

      I'm talking about the huge number of true believers who, when asked, will assert that the only reason there is any climate change is because of human activity. And the big entities - the UN, for example - and high-exposure naggers - like Al Gore - trot out, repeatedly, that man is the cause of climate change. Period.

      You want a lucid, rational discussion about the issue? Make the people who own the discussion in the public eye stop lying like that. Especially when any casual observer can directly connect their rhetoric to other craven political agendas.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    70. Re:Here we go... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      The truth is, your fact is useless unless we can rule out other reasons why gun violence is more prevalent in areas with lower legal gun ownership rates -- and you'd be hard pressed to do so, unless you're able to do what the huge resources of the NRA have been unable to do for decades.

      Except that there have been studies that show that gun violence in specific areas declines after laws restricting gun ownership have been removed. So, why is that?

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    71. Re:Here we go... by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Funny, because you seem to be the only one framing climate change as something only humans are doing. For a rational discussion, please stop trying to setup a strawman.

    72. Re:Here we go... by spartacus_prime · · Score: 1

      It's stale copypasta that I saw for the first time on Digg several months ago. That's why he's modded as troll.

      --
      If you can read this, it means that I bothered to log in.
    73. Re:Here we go... by Quothz · · Score: 1

      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.

      While I agree with you, that statement is bad science. We're dealing with complex systems here we don't fully understand, and a lack of obvious correlation does not mean there's none. We should of course work with the best information we have - that CO2 is the major cause of climate change, but that doesn't mean we should ignore other potential factors.

    74. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The natural course was supposed to be that we hit an ice age in a few thousand years. Naturally, that's not a good thing, so to that extent, global warming is a good thing. But the temperature keeps going up and up, which indicates that we're doing something wrong, considering we've overcome the natural cycle and reversed it.

    75. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2)sun's effects are immediate
      Well the infra-red generated by so-called greenhouse gases penetrates to 1 mm in seawater, but visible light penetrates many many meters, so in fact the effects of variation of solar radiation are not necessarily more immediate than other effects
      3,4) global warming trend does not follow the sun, only co2 is left..
      The earth's temperature variations, as measured by satellites, is not well correlated with CO2 levels. Temperature has gone south for the last decade. Temperature has varied at all times in history, from the ice ages to the dark ages to the medieval warm period to the little ice age. So whatever causes these variations is still functioning.
      5) trillions of tons of co2 = about 3 percent of natural co2 flux.
      6) planet will become uninhabitable
      unsubstantiated garbage, requiring the existence of an implausible positive feedback effect.
      7) we have workable solutions.
      The only practical solution to emitting less co2 is one you would oppose: nuclear energy.

    76. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But then we have to go through this whole thing again when we start maxing out our supply of nuclear materials (it is finite).

      Build a large, distributed network of solar, tidal, and wind and you're set. You never have to worry about where your power is coming from ever again. (and it's clean to boot...)

    77. Re:Here we go... by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      you seem to be the only one framing climate change as something only humans are doing

      Oh. I see. I'm imagining the reporting on the subject .

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    78. Re:Here we go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) The Sun does effect global temperature

      Ok.

      2) It's effects are pretty immediate

      Could probably have put this with point 1, but still fine I guess.

      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.

      This assumption doesn't follow from your previous points.

      4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      Who knows? We? I never said that..

      5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

      I'm not talking about that at all.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      You should cite a source from the future to verify this.

      7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

      Workable is a little vague. Try 'effortless to implement and free'

    79. Re:Here we go... by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      We don't worry about water vapor because it's not really something that we can fuck up. Y'see, there's these huge deposits of water vapor pretty much all over the place, and we don't really have the ability to introduce much more of that stuff into the environment than would be there normally. The amount of C02 in the atmosphere is possible to change by human processes. All other things being equal, water is not.

      Labelling C02 as a trace gas is completely irrelevant to its effects on our climate. Nitrogen, oxygen, and argon do not absorb radiation in the infrared range. That leaves us with the aforementioned water vapor as the most impactful greenhouse gas, and second in line---gee, Carbon Dioxide.

      You're sort of missing the point with your talk about oceans acting as heat sinks. What determines temperature on this rock is really pretty simple. There's energy input from the sun, which is the biggest factor, and energy radiating from decay processes in the core at a fairly constant rate. The Earth outputs energy by radiating it to space. So, in order to change the temperature on a large scale, you need to either a) change the energy we receive from the sun, or b) change how the rate we radiate heat into space.

      We have data on how much energy we receive from the sun. It does not match the observed climate changes very well. On the other hand, we're noticing some big changes in the composition of the atmosphere that seem to line up with the observed climate data pretty well.

      The details of this whole system are debatable, the basic concept is pretty solidly grounded.

      The way you talk about the oceans' heat capacity is odd. Like you think that people are factoring that out of the equation somehow. Perhaps you should explain yourself further, or reexamine what exactly it is you believe.

      As an aside, the reason we measure temperatures at the earth's surface is because temperature is a fairly meaningless concept in the upper atmosphere. It is still measured, but it's entirely irrelevant to global warming discussions. The action is going on downstairs, as it were.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    80. Re:Here we go... by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      2) is correct. Or perhaps you think that the air gets warm during the daytime due to the moon setting?

      Your response to 3) is totally uninformed. We're not measuring sunspots, we're measuring solar irradiance and the amount of heat reflected into space, and no, there aren't a whole lot of things outside the Earth that affect that---unless you're arguing that asteroid impacts are a larger factor than e.g. carbon dioxide in the long-term climate cycle.

      The rest of your post is similar nonsense, argument from flawed premises. The only other thing worth commenting on would be that nuclear power is finite, i.e. it can be exhausted relatively quickly, far sooner than other energy sources. If we're going to use nuclear power, it should be in the form of solar or hydrothermal energy.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    81. Re:Here we go... by Flying+Over+Trout · · Score: 1

      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend. 4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

      5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

      6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

      Actually the "Global Warming Trend" follows Sun activities quite closely and CO2 levels not at all (at least when looking at recent variations in CO2 rather than over longer periods where CO2 levels at times were hundreds of times higher than their current levels).

      Here's a graph of the correlations: http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/assets_c/2009/03/Don_Easterbrook1.017.php

      Certainly given that there have been periods where, as I said, the level of CO2 was hundreds of times its current level, it's hard to take your "If we keep increasing will (sic) will make the planet uninhabitable by us." seriously.

      Do you have evidence to back up your claim?

      Finally, note that since the end of the last ice age we have seen two periods of higher temperatures than we have now and three periods of comparable temperatures.

      http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/assets_c/2009/03/Dennis_Avery4.012.php

      The above links were taken from this post:

      http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2009/03/023144.php

    82. Re:Here we go... by jav1231 · · Score: 1

      I made a simple statement that neither indicates I'm ignoring anything nor requires I disprove anything. Do I know you? Bob? Is that you? Dude, you're ALWAYS heckling me, Man! You! Hey, where's my $50?

    83. Re:Here we go... by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      *sigh* Its really ashame everything must be spoon-fed to you. The CURRENT warming period is caused by human activity.. that's what your link said. In other words, climate CAN change for other reasons, but the reason it's changing (get warmer) RIGHT NOW is from our activity.

      And a bunch of much smarter people than you figured this out, yet for some reason you want to screem "no, they're wrong b/c I don't like the implications." Again, the overwhelming majority of people smarter than you (ie. scientists studying the problem) agree.

    84. Re:Here we go... by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.

      Nope, but it follows the variations in our orbit around the sun pretty well. The sun doesn't revolve around us, we revolve around it.

      I thought this was common knowledge for the last few centuries. I can't understand how the 'more educated' we get, the less intelligent we appear.

      What global warming and the ice ages DO follow pretty closely is our distance from the sun, which changes rather a lot over the course of thousands of years ... in a cycle ...

      This has all happened before, and it will all happen again, with or without us and our insane need to think we are far more important in the grand scheme of things than we actually are.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    85. Re:Here we go... by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      LED lamps live two orders of magnitude longer than incandescents, and you are implying that tungsten filament lighting bodies don't cause pollution during manufacture. Also, I fail to see where in the process of manufacturing semiconductors large amounts of acid have to be involved, so all I can say is - nice strawman.
      Same goes for batteries.
      Disclaimer: I 'm not a global warming alarmist, quite the opposite, but pollution alarmists like you annoy me just as much. Please justify your claims next time.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    86. Re:Here we go... by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      <AOL> Completely agree. </AOL>

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
  14. why by esocid · · Score: 2, Informative
    is it taking editors the 2nd time around to post these stories.
    /rant

    While it may not be time to panic, there are some other startling signs
    1. Measurements by the Ulysses spacecraft reveal a 20 percent drop in solar wind pressure since the mid-1990sâ"the lowest point since such measurements began in the 1960s.
    2. Careful measurements by several NASA spacecraft have also shown that the sun's brightness has dimmed by 0.02 percent at visible wavelengths and a whopping 6 percent at extreme UV wavelengths since the solar minimum of 1996.
    3. Finally, radio telescopes are recording the dimmest "radio sun" since 1955.

    At this point there's nothing really we can do, but it may need an explanation as to why it has hit such a low, and when the below-average maximum will occur (supposedly in 2012).

    --
    Absolute power corrupts absolutely. indymedia
    1. Re:why by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Links?
      The only study I am aware related to this has to do with light hitting the planet. In that study the light hitting the earth wasn't unchanged, just the light hitting the ground. This lead to the conclusion that both particulate matter and contrails were causing more light to be reflected. Actually slowing the effects of global warming, but not stopping it.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He is quoting the article.

    3. Re:why by esocid · · Score: 1

      linky to what I quoted.

      --
      Absolute power corrupts absolutely. indymedia
    4. Re:why by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Nova on PBS had an episode describing how the amount of sunlight hitting the earth has decreased roughly 3-5% or so due to all of the pollution put into the air from countries like China and India with poor emission controls. They said that all of this pollution is actually cutting the effect of global warming in half.

      Wikipedia also has an article on it.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
  15. This has happened before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_minimum

  16. Great timing by Mr_Perl · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I picked a good year to get licensed for ham radio. I sure get sick of hearing about how you can work Australia on a wet noodle during high Sunspot years. At least the low bands are reliable, but then again those bands require ginormous antennas. So as a consequence my house looks like some sort of martian communications test zone. I think my neighbors fear me enough not to seriously ask what's going on.

    --

    My poetry site welcomes the unusual.
    1. Re:Great timing by j0se_p0inter0 · · Score: 1

      Hah, I came in here to make this same post. I got licensed January '08. HF propagation has been absolutely miserable for the most part. We've had a few brief flurries of prop where I got a small taste of things to come, and I want more. I look back at the previous peak around 2001 and I'm kicking myself for not getting licensed sooner...come on, Sun! Oh well, more time to get better equipment and improve my antennas I suppose. If one can get a good enough setup to work in these conditions, just imagine how well it will work once the cycle picks up!

    2. Re:Great timing by rkfig · · Score: 1

      No kidding. I finally stepped up to a real HF rig after getting sick of my dad talking about how he worked Christmas Island with a quarter wave dipole on ten meters. At least now I get some good DXing on 20 and 40. One can only hope that we have now hit rock bottom.

    3. Re:Great timing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahh stop your whining... :) Hit 30M, and below. Even 20M is hopping during the day. Last week I worked a QRP /MM station in West Angola using an IC-7000 @50W using PSK31 on 20M with a Comet H-422 dipole. Got the QSL to prove it. Once the flux index goes through the ceiling everyone will be coming out of the woodwork, and complaining about the LID's. hi hi..

    4. Re:Great timing by j0se_p0inter0 · · Score: 1

      My current dipole won't tune very well on 30 meter. I have mostly been operating on 40 and 20. But soon, next week actually, I'll have a much better antenna put up. I've dabbled in PSK and enjoy it, and plan on using it more after I improve my station a little bit.

    5. Re:Great timing by Nethead · · Score: 1

      I tried a trick I found on AE7Q.com with the ATAS-120 screwdriver (ground mounted with wire radials) and thought it wasn't working. Then the last contest weekend came and I had over 30 contacts on 20 and 40 from Japan to NY (I'm in WA State.) Then after the contest... all bands seem dead. I can only guess that the no one is working the bands much because they're so lame... unless there are contest points to be made :)

      Now playing with D-Star to keep active. Fun stuff!

      73 de w7com at CN88ub

      --
      -- I have a private email server in my basement.
    6. Re:Great timing by NetGearSucks · · Score: 1

      While 10 meters may be in rough shape, the low solar activity has had no effect on my 20 and 40 meter DX capability. Hell, just recently I made 2 40 meter (7MHz) DX SSB contacts with 5-10 watts and a wire antenna. One was in the UK and the other in Italy. I had my drive turned all the way down and didn't notice until after the Italian QSO. So while you may not be 5-9+20 all the time, the dismal solar performance will NOT prevent you from enjoying the hobby.

    7. Re:Great timing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      fyi - all the flashing adverts on your site gave me a headache & made me stop reading.. : /

  17. I know your being funny, but for are other readers by geekoid · · Score: 3, Informative

    I would like to point out that this law states:

    "If A and B are each in thermal equilibrium with C, A is also in thermal equilibrium with B."
    Important links:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeroth_law_of_thermodynamics

    and this:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  18. Laws of energy conservation? by TheHawke · · Score: 1

    The pendulum swings both ways, and I think that Sol may swing back with a fury from this sub solar minimum to an above level solar maximum. We may wind up with the predicted power problems and possibly airline flights having to fly lower than usual to reduce dosages to their pax.

    Then again, we don't really know our star very well and it is an older one, in the scope of things.

    --
    First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
  19. Re:I want to drop a load on your face by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cool! you'll fit right into our LUG! We prefer scat and ubuntu, though occasionally we try fisting and debian.

  20. Plagiarism by momerath2003 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Not only is the summary ripped from the linked article without quoting it, but the article is plagiarized in whole from ScienceDaily! I knew I'd seen it before this article, and this explains why. The blogger even hotlinked the image from science daily, wasting their bandwidth.

    The linked article in the summary should be adjusted to the original ScienceDaily article and the entire summary should be quoted from it rather than attributed to slreboy.

    --
    I had but a simple dream, to destroy all humans.
    1. Re:Plagiarism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      MOD PARENT UP!

    2. Re:Plagiarism by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      And furthermore, everyone should blacklist the blog in question (not that it would prevent the plagiarist from setting up another site).

      I'd even say that the submitter should be banned from submitting links.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    3. Re:Plagiarism by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      Also, I suggest we all tag the article "plagiarized". I have.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    4. Re:Plagiarism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      tag article plagiarism

    5. Re:Plagiarism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For what its worth, the ScienceDaily article is linked at the bottom of the blog post.

    6. Re:Plagiarism by kindbud · · Score: 1

      Your post advocates a

      (x) technical ( ) legislative ( ) market-based ( ) vigilante

      approach to moderating Slashdot editors. Your idea will not work. Here is why it won't work. ...

      --
      Edith Keeler Must Die
    7. Re:Plagiarism by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

      Also, the plagiarist should be locked in a basement room, we should throw away the key, then brick up the doorway, then throw away the bricklayer.

      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  21. The day after tomorrow? by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

    Another plot to "The day after tomorrow"? THE END IS NEAR!! RUN FOR THE... ops... run for... where? nevermind.

    --
    Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
  22. Global electrical grid failure to come by RichMan · · Score: 1

    Not now the sun is quiet.

    What this quiet time is doing is failing to pressure us into hardening the electrical grid against electromagnetic storm events. So in 5 or 10 years when we pull up out of this point we will all have electrical cars pulling power from desert and off shore wind farms over long lines. Then the electromagnetic storm will take out the continental electrical grid.

    http://www.niburu.nl/index.php?articleID=20577
    http://richarddawkins.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=76911

    Fun times.

    1. Re:Global electrical grid failure to come by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      So in 5 or 10 years when we pull up out of this point we will all have electrical cars pulling power from desert and off shore wind farms over long lines.

      In 5 or 10 years, _maybe_ 10% of the population will have hybrids. Less than 5% will have electric. People are still buying gas cars, some of them with 10 year warranties. In 10 years, I plan on still driving my brilliant red barchetta, from a better, vanished time.

  23. I've been a Ham radio operator for 51 years.. by the_rajah · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The conditions on the shortwave bands seriously suck right now! I miss those "wet noodle" days that AI1P, Mr_Perl mentioned where you could work Australia with 4 watts into a mobile antenna on 20 meters and get a 589 report.

    --


    "Do the Right Thing. It will gratify some people and astound the rest." - Mark Twain
    1. Re:I've been a Ham radio operator for 51 years.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe there's simply a correlation between sunspots and people pretending to be in Australia.

    2. Re:I've been a Ham radio operator for 51 years.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can make a radio out of a HAM? Wonders never cease...

    3. Re:I've been a Ham radio operator for 51 years.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I miss those "wet noodle" days.... 20 meters and get a 589 report.

      that's what she said!

    4. Re:I've been a Ham radio operator for 51 years.. by Nethead · · Score: 1

      Try running during a contest, take 5 tries to get your callsign across, and THEN get your 59 report!

      "No. W7COM mike mike mexico!" "Charlie Oscar Nancy?" "No mike mexico mary" "ok, W7CON you're 59 and number 1443." "Arrrgh!"

      --
      -- I have a private email server in my basement.
  24. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by blackfrancis75 · · Score: 5, Funny

    As MC Hawking clearly states:

    "You can't win, you can't break even, you can't leave the game,
    'cause entropy will take it all 'though it seems a shame.
    The second law, as we now know, is quite clear to state,
    that entropy must increase and not dissipate.

    Creationists always try to use the second law, to disprove evolution, but their theory has a flaw.
    The second law is quite precise about where it applies,
    only in a closed system must the entropy count rise.
    The earth's not a closed system' it's powered by the sun,
    so fuck the damn creationists, Doomsday get my gun!"

  25. 6- by manonthemoon · · Score: 1

    Don't overstate the case. It would make the planet less live-able in certain areas (principally by being underwater) and make other areas much more live-able for humans. The problem is the dislocation (which would likely happen over multiple generations) not any threat to the species.

  26. Bad news for Amateur Radio by sdaemon · · Score: 5, Informative

    I realize that HAM radio is a bit of an anachronism in the eyes of most slashdot readers, but it's still the most viable medium for emergency communications. Unfortunately, with sunspot activity being so low, HF communications become very limited. Whole bands of RF spectrum are almost unusable, because the E-layer of the ionosphere can no longer bounce higher frequencies of radio waves. 40m wavelength and lower tend to still be usable, 20m is come-and-go, and 17m and higher become sporadic or completely unusable.

    I'm 31, I've been a HAM for 6 years. My cell phone often doesn't get coverage where I roam, and my power and internet and landline phone have been knocked out by storms and provider mistakes. Radio works when all else fails... ...but sometimes it works better than others!

    1. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't this only impact long-range communications? I would tend to think that the ground wave would be transmitted just fine - that has to be good for what, 50-100 miles?

      Unless we're talking about VERY large-scale disasters I'd tend to think that this would be enough. It isn't like you need to be able to talk to China to coordinate disaster efforts for a hurricane in South Carolina.

    2. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by ortholattice · · Score: 1

      If you've been one for 6 years, hopefully by now you know that "ham" is not an acronym but is a nickname for "amateur". :) (I was a ham in high school and early college, if that makes any difference to anyone... I still think in Morse code in my head when I see CQ in print.)

    3. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by Velaki · · Score: 1

      My biggest worry for ham radio is when people say they no longer need Morse Code. What's next? Giving up our bandwidth, since we don't practice CW as much as we should? I'm sorry, but I might not be able to hear speech, but I can make out CW a substantially less than 559, and even with a QRI of 1, -.-. --.- is still CQ. Think of the low sunspot activity as a chance to brush up on QRP, and try getting back to CW. Let's not lose any more bandwidth, because as long as we can work CW, we're useful for emergency communications, continued radio experimentation, and our bandwidth.

      73s,
      -v.

    4. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by Nethead · · Score: 1

      V, you're on slashdot, not eham. I come here to get away from that! :)

      73 de w7com

      --
      -- I have a private email server in my basement.
    5. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by sdaemon · · Score: 1

      You are correct, bouncing radio waves off the ionosphere is primarily for longer-range HF communications. However, when you're in a hurricane zone trying to communicate with NOAA, or at least with relay stations (many of whom are in FL or TX), being limited to 50-100 miles hurts. This was an issue during Hurricane Katrina, when sunspots were low, band conditions were terrible, and communications in and out were sporadic. I was manning the Georgia Tech radio room for a good bit during that time. The phone kept ringing off the hook with people trying to use us to get word about their loved ones in the disaster zone. Conditions were so limited, however, that most radio nets working the area were restricted to immediate lifesaving traffic only. Health and welfare traffic had to go through normal channels, like the red cross, which meant days or weeks of waiting.

      Sunspots being low impacts radio communication within the US, not just across the globe.

    6. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by sdaemon · · Score: 1

      There's plenty of theories about where the HAM moniker comes from. I've never really been terribly concerned with the true origins of the name. I still type it as HAM, though, because "Ham" and "ham" just look wrong to me.

    7. Re:Bad news for Amateur Radio by sdaemon · · Score: 1

      I agree :) My morse skills aren't much past the 5wpm I needed to get my extra a few years ago, but I'm pretty darn proud of my 5wpm. If it really hits the fan, morse works through a radio, through an intercom, through a car horn, through a flashlight, through just about anything...

  27. the answer is obvious by Darth · · Score: 2, Funny

    The sun is outsourcing its sun spot activity to another star in a less economically developed solar system.

    --
    Darth --
    Nil Mortifi, Sine Lucre
  28. Less sunspots, snow in Oklahoma in April... by kannibul · · Score: 1

    Sunspot activity obviously has a lot to do with "global warming"...

  29. Little Ice/Maunder Minimum not AGW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course, that would be science instead of fascist politics.

    Or maybe they were right in the 70s when they warned of the next ice age.

    "El Nino is climate change, La Nina is weather"

  30. More Politically Correct BS - The SUN is the prblm by lrohrer · · Score: 1

    Extremely simple explanation for global warming is *sunspots*:

    http://www.321gold.com/editorials/hoye/hoye040909.pdf

    NASA s latest report (March 2009) on sunspots is that there will be a massive ramp up of activity in 2010. It does not look that way to me nor the above author. Still another year or so is required to truly show the statistical trend.

    Real science will prevail.

  31. they also go down when gun ownership goes down by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    whodathunkit

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:they also go down when gun ownership goes down by Colonel+Korn · · Score: 2, Funny

      whodathunkit

      So basically we need to change the extent of gun ownership in either direction every day.

      --
      "I zero-index my hamsters" - Willtor (147206)
    2. Re:they also go down when gun ownership goes down by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Please provide a link to a study demonstrating that.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    3. Re:they also go down when gun ownership goes down by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, illegal gun ownership. I love how people like to be blind to the nuance.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    4. Re:they also go down when gun ownership goes down by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      No, GUN violence goes down a bit when gun ownership declines but violent crime rates are actually shown to INCREASE when guns are banned.

      Look at the UK trying ban knives with points after their gun ban had little effect on overall violent crime.

      When Australia all but banned guns (they might as well have) violent crime went up 44% overall.

      Gun bans don't work, they just turn honest, hardworking people into prey. And the honest, hardworking people that keep their guns become criminals and if caught, their lives are destroyed.

      Leave my guns alone because I'm not giving them up. Ever. Not to you, this government or the government that gets started after a gun ban successfully gets put into place.

    5. Re:they also go down when gun ownership goes down by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is easy to show an increase when they go from 2 to 4. Look, they doubled! Per capita is all that matters and USA, home of the gun worshipper, is #1!

      Notice how the recent killing sprees in the US have been by LEGAL gun owners. Good thing they had easy access to guns. The guy who killed those 3 police officers talked just like you. So called "hardworking, honest" types like you are a bigger threat to safety than the gubbament.

      I hope someone steals your guns and makes you cry. Better yet, the stats show you'll probably use it on yourself before you use it on some big ol' nasty boogy man.

    6. Re:they also go down when gun ownership goes down by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      And you don't think a gun-toting cop or military man in your country has the potential for reckless homicide? And hell, I'd rather be shot than gutted by a street thug.

      Evil is everywhere but I'm willing to accept 3 cops getting killed by a psycho for my wife to be able to defend herself and my children against a mugger or rapist in a dark Walmart parking lot at 2AM. Last I checked, said psycho was convicted.

      People will commit evil acts. It's a fact. Doesn't matter if it's a knife, a gun, a fist or an atomic bomb, someone will eventually lose their head.

      We already have laws against those sorts of crimes. They're called murder statutes. Attempting to protect people from themselves via mass amounts of legislation is the worst form of tyranny imaginable. My weapons HAVE indeed saved my life. Thankfully I didn't actually have to shoot the guy.

      You may like a nanny state but the fact is, when seconds count, cops are minutes away. I'd much rather be judged by 12 than carried by 6.

      Now, would I be against requiring a basic firearms course for first-time handgun purchases? Hell no, I think it's a great idea. Would I be against an IQ test to make sure they aren't retarded? That's stretching it but I kind of agree.

      Banning guns is stupid however and is proven to hardly make a dent in overall violent crime. I've lived in a state that banned carrying guns and it was a shithole. Baltimore, MD to be precise.

      Unless you ban open sections of pipe, ball bearings, charcoal, sulfur and bird shit, you will never eliminate firearms crime. Criminals by nature, break the law and they will ALWAYS have relatively easy access to firearms or they will simply make them. Guns are not marvels of modern science or chemistry.

      I don't get up in the morning hoping I get a chance to legally shoot someone. Having the option in case I need it IS my right however. You might not like guns and you're perfectly free to never own one. I however take that right VERY seriously.

  32. Pimple cream by furby076 · · Score: 1

    It used some Proactiv. Hope it doesn't experience any side effects

    --

    I do not support "The Man". I also do not support your irrational stupidity
  33. grammar police by mathamagician · · Score: 1

    Sorry for picking but I believe you mean "for our other readers" not "for are other readers" in the title. Those phonetic word swaps are a pet peeve of mine. Anyway carry on.

    1. Re:grammar police by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Sum of my best friends are homophones, you insensitive clod!

    2. Re:grammar police by onkelonkel · · Score: 1

      Yes, but would you want your sister to marry one?

      --
      None of them can see the clouds; The polished wings don't care.
    3. Re:grammar police by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eye Shirley wood knot wont my sister two merry won. She's already merried.

  34. We could make our own sunspots. by ChrisAugh · · Score: 1

    All we need to do is generate solar fusion eruptions by directing highly energetic particle beams (see article) onto the sun's surface thereby causing a superfluid gas eruption.

  35. Cutbacks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With the way the economy is now even the Sun has been forced to do some rightsizing while they explore new synergies and refocus on their core competencies.

  36. Shenanigans by emocomputerjock · · Score: 1

    I checked, and there's a little black spot on the sun today, the same old thing as yesterday.

    1. Re:Shenanigans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that was your cornea turning into charcoal

    2. Re:Shenanigans by tekrat · · Score: 1

      I guess it was your destiny to be the King of Pain.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
  37. Spaceweather has real-time "far side" images by Goldenhawk · · Score: 1

    Visit http://www.spaceweather.com/ for a real time holographic view of the far side of the sun. They've been able to detect far-side sunspots for several years now. Full details and images are available, as well as a primer about the process; look on the left sidebar beneath the front-side daily photograph.

    --
    --Brandon / Split Infinity Music

  38. First spot! by MadKeithV · · Score: 1

    This is the first spot! ;-)

  39. Solar angular momentum? by arcticinfantry · · Score: 1

    Solar Angular Momentum seems to describe solar activity much better than NASA's latest predictions/models. The next few years should be telling. I've seen no refutation of this possible explanation. Maybe someone can help me find one?

    1. Re:Solar angular momentum? by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

      Seriously? That link leads to something that appears to be Solar astrology... the alignment of the planets controls the sun?

    2. Re:Solar angular momentum? by arcticinfantry · · Score: 1

      Seriously. I'm wondering where you got the reference to astrology? Maybe you can provide me a quote. Or maybe you can't tell the difference between physics and astrology? :)

  40. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Diss+Champ · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Actually, the (less strawman) classic argument from the second law of thermo is to apply the second law to the universe. Is the universe a closed system? If so, then second law implies eventual heat death. Therefore, we should select at least 1 choice of these options:
    1. Universe is not a closed system (religious types would argue this to be true, with God as the external thing affecting it)
    2. Universe is of finite age (creationist types tend to go this way, which physics eventually caught up with as big bang beat out steady state theory. When steady state theory was popular, then option 1 was argued as the reason for option 2).
    3. The second law is not universally true, it is simply a localized phenomena.

    That's the basic form of the second law argument as I encountered it in casual conversation with actual engineers and science folks back when I was in college.

  41. Re:Here we go... with more propaganda by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 1

    1) The Sun does effect global temperature

    True.

    2) It's effects are pretty immediate

    False. The effects take dozens to hundreds of years.

    3) The Global Warming Trend does not follow the Sun activities close enough for it to be the cause of the trend.

    False. Sunspot activities correlate to Earth's temperatures much more closely than any other known factor.

    4) The only thing we know of at this time that could be causing this global warming trend is CO2

    False. We already know enough about carbon dioxide to know that it impossible for it to be causing the recent warming.

    5)We are talking about the release of trillions of tons of CO2 that has been buried for millions of years.

    FACT: It will take thousands of years to emit that much CO2.

    6) If we keep increasing will will make the planet uninhabitable by us.

    Absolutely, demonstrably, irresponsibly FALSE. This isn't just false; it's a deliberate lie. There is no science -- absolutely none -- that supports it, and plenty of science that refutes it.

    7) We have workable solutions to this right now.

    Partially true. In fact, we have only ONE workable solution: kill off 90% of the human race and condemn those who remain to a pre-industrial-age existence of poverty, disease and starvation.

    --
    In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll
  42. we need common sense gun laws by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    gun ownership is a right AND a responsibility

    as such, it must be strictly limited and licensed and monitored

    people understand this about car ownership, why they don't understand this about gun ownership is beyond me

    its some sort of fucking quasireligious fanaticism with guns in this fucking country

    its the second amendment, not the goddamn ten commandments

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:we need common sense gun laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what percentage of lawful gun owners today would be denied gun onwership under your "common sense" laws? How exactly are these "common sense" laws going to do anything about gun crime? The last police shooting was by a wanted felon, who had no legal right to own a gun. Tighter gun laws just keep guns out of the hands of people willing to follow the law. Criminals will still obtain guns, just like there are more acts of gun violence in the UK today than when the gun bans went into place.

    2. Re:we need common sense gun laws by AJWM · · Score: 1

      it must be strictly limited and licensed and monitored
      people understand this about car ownership, why they don't understand this about gun ownership is beyond me

      You have a defective understanding of car ownership. Car ownership is not "strictly limited and licensed and monitored". Anyone who can afford one can own a car. Operating said car in public is limited and licensed and monitored -- same as with firearms.

      And what the hell any of this has to do with sunspots I'm not sure. I think I've been trolled.

      --
      -- Alastair
    3. Re:we need common sense gun laws by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't mind a gun licensing program. I would like to see you license other rights first though. Just to be fair.

      1st amendment, freedom of speech. Journalists need to be carefully monitored by the government to make sure they're qualified.
      14th amendment, Can't have people abusing their freedom. Otherwise, lets take away their "Not a slave!" license.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  43. Venus by Molochi · · Score: 1

    Do we have the ability to measure and the records to compare Venus' annual temperature? Wouldn't it provide a stable base line to compare our own planet's temperature against? It's just a thought and I'm sure someone has tried it, but I've never heard it mentioned. Venus seems like it would be a great indicator of planetary warming due to solar variance.

    --
    "The Adobe Updater must update itself before it can check for updates. Would you like to update the Adobe Updater now?"
    1. Re:Venus by RemoWilliams84 · · Score: 1

      Why would you want to measure Venus' anal temp... OH, annual temperature.

      What does that word mean? Are you sure you didn't misspell it?

      --
      "I don't have to think. I only have to do it. The results are always perfect, but that's old news." - Meat Puppets
    2. Re:Venus by Snocone · · Score: 1, Insightful

      There isn't any current history of temperature trends on Venus.

      However, there are of Mars, Jupiter, Triton, Neptune, and Pluto.

      As the most mind-boggling coincidence EVAR, all five show global warming over the last 30 years that correlate with the rising temperature trends on Earth in that period.

      Since that's too much to give any credit to as being purely a mind-boggling coincidence, the ONLY POSSIBLE EXPLANATION is that our evil CO2-emitting ways are completely 100% responsible not only for our own planet warming a smidgen (until 1998, anyhow) but EVERY OTHER MEASURED PLANET IN THE SOLAR SYSTEM AS WELL.

      It's just amazing how trivial human actions are the only allowable explanation for universal phenomena, isn't it? Why, we should have a name for that. We could call it 'religion', perhaps.

    3. Re:Venus by mcvos · · Score: 1

      Venus is also a great example of the greenhouse effect. Venus is hotter than Mercury, which is much closer to the sun, but has no atmosphere. Venus' atmosphere traps the heat.

    4. Re:Venus by Abcd1234 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There isn't any current history of temperature trends on Venus.

      However, there are of Mars, Jupiter, Triton, Neptune, and Pluto.

      As the most mind-boggling coincidence EVAR, all five show global warming over the last 30 years that correlate with the rising temperature trends on Earth in that period.

      And I suppose you have sources for this data you claim exists? You know, so we can all examine it?

    5. Re:Venus by Kamokazi · · Score: 1

      I'm no fan of the anthropological theory of Global Warming myself, but I know those zealots will be around here soon enough, and they will most certainly want sources for your claims. If you could post some it would be appreciated-I would personally like to read over them myself, if what you say is true, it is a very interesting piece of the puzzle indeed.

      --
      As our way of thanking you for your positive contributions to Slashdot, you are eligible to disable Slashdot 2.0.
    6. Re:Venus by CowboyRobot · · Score: 3, Interesting

      National Geographic had a piece about this in 2007: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/02/070228-mars-warming.html It does seem to be compelling evidence that the global warming trend is outside the scope of human activity

      --
      every stain tells a story
    7. Re:Venus by operagost · · Score: 2, Informative
      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    8. Re:Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Citation needed. I see this claim made all the time, but noone give a citation. I'm guessing it's from Ron Paul's ass.

    9. Re:Venus by JLDohm · · Score: 1

      There isn't any current history of temperature trends on Venus.

      However, there are of Mars, Jupiter, Triton, Neptune, and Pluto.

      As the most mind-boggling coincidence EVAR, all five show global warming over the last 30 years that correlate with the rising temperature trends on Earth in that period.

      [citation needed]

      --
      Sig intentionaly left blank
    10. Re:Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Could you link to the records so we can all look?

    11. Re:Venus by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 4, Informative

      The article about Jupiter mentions nothing about a planet-wide increase in temperature. The Mars article mentions an increase in dust storm reducing albedo and therefore increasing light absorption. Still a far cry from the ggp's claim that 5 planets are all experiencing the same increase in temperature.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    12. Re:Venus by lexDysic · · Score: 1

      Correct. Other bodies in the solar system are warming as well. Climate scientists know this. In fact they know there are a number of factors which can influence the temperature here on Earth. That's why they've performed many experiments and collected enormous amounts of data to determine to what extent each factor could possibly be responsible for the warming we've seen. Greenhouse gasses unquestionably contribute far more to recent warming than solar activity, although solar activity is definitely a factor. This is all summarized on the Wikipedia entry for Global Warming (with appropriate sources).

      As a broader point, science is hard. Blogs, news reports and movies will never accurately convey it, and often intentionally mislead. The only thing that makes sense to me is to trust the scientists. The (US) National Academy of Science in particular is filled with very, very smart people and has a historical record of speaking purely from scientific considerations (ie, it's objective). They believe that anthropogenic climate change is real and significant. No scientific body of remotely comparable credibility disagrees; virtually all similar institutions from other countries have reached the same conclusion.

      I'm not a climate scientist, so I don't know with firsthand certainty the truth of the matter. But, forced to choose (for example, as a factor when deciding whom to vote for) I listen to the most trustworthy organization I can find. And their conclusions are clear.

      --
      Think! It ain't illegal yet!
      George Clinton
    13. Re:Venus by slo · · Score: 1

      According to the National Geographic piece, most climate scientists are skeptical about extraterrestrial warming. http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-warming-other-planets-solar-system.htm Most of the the zealotism seems to be among the global warming deniers. They'll jump on anything that appears to refute anthropogenic warming without doing any investigation. Seems like more an excuse to further their own beliefs and behaviours than true skepticism.

    14. Re:Venus by Abcd1234 · · Score: 3, Informative

      ROFL, and how, pray tell, do those articles qualify as "30 years" of temperature data that "correlate with the rising temperature trends on Earth in that period." Oh, wait, they don't.

      Hell, the Jupiter article isn't about planetary warming at all. And as for Mars, "Martian climate is primarily driven by dust and albedo and there is little empirical evidence that Mars is showing long term warming." (source).

      See how I provided a citation for my quote? And how the article linked contains references for its claims? Neat, eh?

    15. Re:Venus by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      The ONLY POSSIBLE EXPLANATION is that our evil CO2-emitting ways are completely 100% responsible
      No, that is YOUR only possible explanation. Thank God that Science works logically, rather than succumbs to politicians like yourself.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    16. Re:Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice, a couple of non technical magazines that don't even describe the evidence you claim they do. GTFO.

    17. Re:Venus by AJWM · · Score: 1

      Greenhouse gasses unquestionably contribute far more to recent warming than solar activity, although solar activity is definitely a factor.

      I question it. NASA also questions it. Quote: "Indeed, the model suggests aerosols likely account for 45 percent or more of the warming that has occurred in the Arctic during the last three decades." The interesting thing is that it looks at two kinds of aerosols: sulphates, which tend to reflect sunlight and cause cooling; and black carbon (soot), which absorbs sunlight and causes warming. Because of regulations on sulphur levels, the former has been dropping, but the latter has been rising in particular with the growing industrialization of Asia.

      And sure, that's all (well, mostly) anthropogenic, but it's not the dreaded carbon dioxide (which actually has a much lower greenhouse effect than the water vapor in the atmosphere).

      --
      -- Alastair
    18. Re:Venus by Teancum · · Score: 1

      One aspect of sunspot counts that makes it an invaluable tool for climate study is the significant historical data that goes back centuries. Counting sunspots pre-dates photography and nearly goes back to the time of Gutenberg's printing press. From this we can also compare some of the earliest accurate temperature measurements and certainly other historical records measuring ice thickness in various European and American rivers and lakes and other significant climatological trends.

      While clearly solar activity cycles are not the only possible influence on the Earth's climate, it does indeed seem to be a major driver of several long-term trends that have been seen in the past. Again, because sunspot cycles have been measured for such a long period of time and the data about their measurement has been so widely and consistently disseminated, it is harder to fabricate false data.

      Fabrication of scientific data has certainly been found in other fields besides climatology, and unfortunately it is much easier to hide and cover up such fabrication in this field as well. There are also some biases to the data collection methods that also are out of hand dismissed, such as monitoring locations that have the local environment change over time due to changes in the immediate plant community near the monitoring station.

      One other known bias of scientific reports is that climate change, particularly "global warming", has seen significant bias in terms of funding. If the overwhelming number of scientific studies which are funded have a political bias to them (something which does not have a scientific basis or objective rationale), it is hard to counter that the data produced by these studies has objectivity as well. While I don't doubt the intelligence of the climatologists at the National Academy of Science, I do question their political and scientific neutrality. They are human and biases can naturally be found with nearly any organization... particularly ones that are funded by overtly political bodies like the United States Congress.

    19. Re:Venus by lexDysic · · Score: 1

      Greenhouse gasses unquestionably contribute far more to recent warming than solar activity, although solar activity is definitely a factor.

      I question it. NASA also questions it. Quote: "Indeed, the model suggests aerosols likely account for 45 percent or more of the warming that has occurred in the Arctic during the last three decades."

      Agreed. The aerosol question is interesting. I was only commenting on the relationship between greenhouse gases and solar output. I agree that these are not the only factors. I don't know of any serious (ie peer-reviewed) model which attributes nearly as much recent warming to solar output as ggs.

      And sure, that's all (well, mostly) anthropogenic, but it's not the dreaded carbon dioxide (which actually has a much lower greenhouse effect than the water vapor in the atmosphere).

      Well, yes, but the amount of H2O in the air is relatively stable.

      --
      Think! It ain't illegal yet!
      George Clinton
    20. Re:Venus by AmonTheMetalhead · · Score: 1

      Assuming this is all true, this does not change the fact that us (as in humanity) getting our act together & actively reduce pollution is a good thing.

      Having low (or none) CO2 emissions is not something that will inversely affect the planet or the ecology, it's been doing fine without our 'help' in that regard, but the opposite of this, us dumping huge amounts of previously trapped CO2 into the atmosphere might very well be messing up our own planet, and in case you haven't noticed, we don't have a backup of that one.

      There is no argument to do nothing, except greed, but there are a lot of valid arguments for us starting to live 'greener' lives, if you don't believe global warming is a reality, well then do it for one of the other reasons, and if you truly believe there are no reasons, go sit in a pool of oil mixed with your own excrements and enjoy it.

    21. Re:Venus by dzurn · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Thank God that Science works logically

      Re-read that sentence a couple of times.

    22. Re:Venus by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Are those peer-reviewed newspapers you're reading?

      Oh, wait, you said "newspaper" ... a place where somebody called an 'editor' gets to pick stories which fit his agenda.

      --
      No sig today...
    23. Re:Venus by Ceiynt · · Score: 1

      Right, they like the bandwagons that bring them money, and avoid anything that goes against that bandwagon, as it may result in them getting less or no money.

    24. Re:Venus by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Oh, so you DO recognize irony when you see, eh? Just can not see the humour in such?

      With that aside, many scientists DO believe that there is a "God" out there.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    25. Re:Venus by slo · · Score: 1

      I assume you are referring to climate scientists. I still have quite a bit of respect for academic science. I think the peer review process has a strong track record of sorting out fraudulent science. Scientists have a much cleaner record than business leaders and politicians, so I'm more inclined to trust them than naysayers which are often from the latter two groups.

    26. Re:Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plant some trees. They breath c02.

    27. Re:Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really, there was a story a few weeks ago about Japan's top scientists coming to the conclusion that global warming due to CO2 was an incorrect assumption.

    28. Re:Venus by ksheff · · Score: 1

      The scientists that I've worked with spend more time begging for money (ie writing grant proposals) than they do real work (mainly done by low level staff/interns - me), so they're more like politicians. They will chase anything that promises funding, which is why the head of the facility I worked at told everyone in 1989 to find a way to link their projects to global climate change whether the projects had anything to with it or not. I respect some individuals, but IMHO, as a group they are just as tainted as politicians or business leaders.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    29. Re:Venus by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Why would you want to measure Venus' anal temp...

      Because she's got one seriously hot planetary body, dude!

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    30. Re:Venus by KanSer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Listen, I'm not going to argue the science but what drives me bonkers about both sides of the Global Warming debate is that it completely misses the point that affects us and our surroundings the most: pollution.

      Heavy metals in the water, shitty particles in the air, poison in our food. I don't understand why we bicker about the temperature when it's undeniable how much trash we have injected in to our surroundings.

      Is clean air, water, and food too much to ask? I'm not even talking about deforestation, over-fishing, and the deleterious affects of industrial agriculture.

      We have a footprint, and a great big ugly one at that. We don't live responsibly. Global Warming is a big red herring and I sometimes wonder who benefits from us focusing on it.

      --
      • MOD PARENT UP by Anonymous Coward Wednesday April 20, @4:20
    31. Re:Venus by arminw · · Score: 1

      ....We could call it 'religion', perhaps....

      There may be more reality to religion in some cases than most modern skeptical persons, especially on /. would ever want to admit to.

      There is a prophecy in the Bible concerning the end of human history, during a specific seven-year period of time, where the sun will be seven times hotter: Isaiah 30:26

      In the book of Revelation, which is also about that period of Earth history, we also read about a very much hotter sun: Rev 16:8-9

      Each of these prophets, writing centuries apart from each other, is writing about the time when the Creator God will punish the overwhelming wickedness of humanity, before sending Jesus Christ back to this planet to establish true peace and prosperity for all of mankind.

      Maybe scientists are beginning to measure the start of these dramatic prophecies already. If this is really to come true, eliminating greenhouse gases won't do squat. We humans might as well face it. We are definitely not in control of our destiny, but that there is a Creator God who made and controls this universe and everything in it.

      --
      All theory is gray
    32. Re:Venus by arminw · · Score: 1, Insightful

      ....They believe that anthropogenic climate change is real....

        That is exactly right, they BELIEVE, but do not know this for a fact. Prestigious bodies of scientists have in the past believed certain things to be true and later turned out to be false.

      There are many cycles in nature, climate being just one. There is indeed evidence that long ago the average temperature of the Earth was significantly warmer than it is today. Greenland is called that for a reason. It was within human history once a green land. Ice cores drilled to the bottom of the ice contain molds, pollen and other microscopic evidence of plant life now still in existence on the East Coast of the United States.

      Even if we are in a warming cycle at this time, this does not mean we cannot enter a cooling cycle at a later time. Besides, even if it does get warm enough to melt all the ice in Greenland, so what? Would it be so bad to be able to grow food in places now covered with ice? I am quite certain that there are many Canadians who would not mind a milder climate. There is also evidence that the world's ocean where once much lower than they are today.

      --
      All theory is gray
    33. Re:Venus by Lloyd_Bryant · · Score: 1

      Wish I had mod points - you deserve some...

      Pollution of all sorts is a growing problem. And it's a problem that we need to address. With so much attention focused on Global Warming, how many other (more immediate) issues are being ignored?

      --
      Don't tell me to get a life. I had one once. It sucked.
    34. Re:Venus by dzurn · · Score: 1

      I wrote "re-read" (re-RED), not "re-read" (re-READ) But yeah, it brings teh lolz.

    35. Re:Venus by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "Wouldn't [Venus] provide a stable base line to compare our own planet's temperature against?"

      No, Earth's climate is unique due to the influence of life apon it for the last ~4 billion years. But even ignoring the fact life is largely responsible for the composition of Earth's atmosphere, Venus has a day longer than it's year, has a more circular orbit than Earth, does not posses an ocean, has an atmosphere 100X more dense,... Possibly it serves as a nearby example of the runaway greenhouse effect, but that's about it.

      "Venus seems like it would be a great indicator of planetary warming due to solar variance."

      Even if it was, why use indirect techniques that will take years of observation to give an outdated result when we already have direct monitoring of the sun's output?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    36. Re:Venus by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Great stuff. That reminds me of what you were saying the other week about your Electric Universe theories. Do you have biblical citations for that, too?

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    37. Re:Venus by green1 · · Score: 1

      One of my biggest problems with "global warming" is that it has become such a religion that we're no longer able to reduce emissions for any other reason.

      If you decide you want a car that uses less fuel it must be to "reduce your carbon footprint" it can't possibly be because you're tired of paying so much for gas.

      If you decide to insulate your house better it is to "help stop climate change", not because you're tired of feeling the draft when you sit beside your windows and doors, or don't enjoy the constant drone of your furnace running 24/7.

      If you support "green" products, it must be to "prevent the ice caps from melting" it can't be because you want to be able to breathe outside without smelling pollution...

      And worst of all, if you don't believe in global warming you MUST be an oil company shill who wants to encourage consumption and pollution!

      Why can't we disagree with global warming without getting told how evil we are? Why can't we "save the planet" for our own reasons? What is wrong with looking at real and current problems and addressing them, without having to bow down to the Global Warming Gods?

    38. Re:Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody wants to point the finger at over population. This is the real tradgety. Too many people = certain death. Too many stupid people = certain death sooner.

      Who wins? Simply the politicians. No one else.

      Until consumption is reduced to a sustainable level we will face nothing more than fear of the end. Enjoy your last days.

    39. Re:Venus by Rue+C+Koegel · · Score: 1

      the people who benefit most now are the ones:

      'phasing' in new technologies so they can leech a good amount of profit every step on the way...

      the media who can't seem to write enough controversial articles about GW despite the fact that the scientific majority say it's happening and that it's our fault...

      and all the greedy for-profits companies that keeping popping up with new ways to supposedly 'recycle' our waste... but of course making glass--which is nearly infinitely recyclable--into long term use counter tops, and turning plastic bottles--that can be reused and recycled for years--into park benches so they can degrade slowly and their particles can contaminate our parks even more thoroughly isn't really what they meant by reduce, reuse, and then :recycle.

      --
      DON'T CAPITALIZE! CO-OPERATE! AND FREE EVERYTHING!
    40. Re:Venus by arminw · · Score: 1

      ....about your Electric Universe theories....

      Whenever a theory makes a prediction which is then verified by experiment, that theory ought to be seriously looked at rather than to be dismissed at the wave of the hand. In July 2005 a NASA experiment named "deep impact" fired a 300 kg copper slug at a comet named Tempel I to help test the currently accepted ice ball model of comets. Scientists who include the electric interaction in order to explain what we observe in the universe, made an accurate prediction months in advance of the impact. They predicted that as a projectile approached the comet, there would be TWO flashes of light. The first one would be caused by an electric discharge, a lightning bolt to the comet from the projectile and the second one from the impact itself. This is EXACTLY what was observed. Like so often, scientists hidebound by the accepted, majority explanation of things, are often surprised and baffled, as they were by this double flash. Scientists who hold only to of the conventional, currently accepted theory, where the electric force is ruled out, have no explanation for this double flash.

      Because the electric forces is 39 orders of magnitude more powerful than gravity, it can also make things happen much faster than the slow uniformitarian models of current cosmology and the slow gradual evolutionary viewpoint.

      So indeed yes, there is a scripture applicable to this found in II Peter 3:3-9 where we are told that God intervened catastrophically in the natural world and will do so again.

      --
      All theory is gray
    41. Re:Venus by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Mount St Helens introduced more pollution into the atmosphere in 1980 than the entire history of the human race.

      Forgive me if this makes me believe we have far less of an impact on the environment than we'd like to think we do. As far as our planet is concerned, we really aren't that important to anyone but ourselves. The rest of the species on the planet will adapt or die out, just like life has done for millions of years.

      I'm not saying we shouldn't be concerned, but I'm saying there really isn't a whole lot we can do about it, nor do we actually have a clue about what we are discussing. EVERYTHING we think about global warming is based on short term observations we've made and guesses based on historical data from things we observe in rocks, the sea and ice cores, none of which do we know for sure we are interpreting correctly since we've never been there to actually say '10,000 years ago, when this event happened, it caused the ice to do X.' We of course know that 10k years ago something happened because around that same time, the ice changed, and this is good evidence, but correlation IS NOT in ANY WAY causation, and any good scientist should respect that. For all we know something else could have happened 10k years ago that we have not yet discovered. Only the ignorant assume we're right. The rest of us just take the data into consideration and look for more proof.

      With all that said, I agree 100% with your last line, and feel that we should most certainly be more considerate to our environment before good old mother Earth smites us.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    42. Re:Venus by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Well, yes, but the amount of H2O in the air is relatively stable.

      [Citation Needed]

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    43. Re:Venus by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Because the people behind the scare are probably interested in causing an energy crisis, giving them more control. JMHO

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    44. Re:Venus by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Forget about Pluto. It recently passed perihelion and because of its highly eccentric orbit (varying from 29.6 AU to 49.3 AU from the Sun) you would expect it to warm up regardless of other factors. It will probably continue to warm up for a while still until it gets a bit further from the Sun. From February 1979 to February 1999 Pluto was closer to the Sun than Neptune. Pluto's year is 248+ Earth years long.

  44. Re:More Politically Correct BS - The SUN is the pr by RightSaidFred99 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You should hope you're wrong. The good thing about the global warming scare, true or false, is it gives the masses of dumb people some kind of tangible cost in the near future for their use of an unsustainable and unhealthy energy policy.

    The backlash against "global warming" hype will have the opposite effect, it will make people say 'fuck it, I'm gonna drive an SUV and leave my AC at 68 degrees all day'.

    Global warming is not the only (potential, if you buy into it) problem with our energy policy. Another is just plain old air quality. Our air quality is shit, and one big reason is our use of hydrocarbons.

    Another flaw is that, holy shit! Guess what?! There's only so much oil and coal in the ground and it's going to get more and more expensive to pull out of the ground!

    Then of course there's the US (and other country) blood spilled in pointless middle east wars, etc...

    The people most scared and scary about global warming may or may not be dumbasses. But at least the actions it makes them drive towards are the right actions.

  45. Clearly it's IBM's doing. by bugeaterr · · Score: 2, Funny

    They are acting like a jilted lover after being turned down by Sun.
    http://www.pcworld.com/article/162748/sun_blundered_by_turning_down_ibm.html

  46. So look at the data ... by oneiros27 · · Score: 1

    after all, there's over 300 years worth of data on sunspot counts:

    http://sidc.oma.be/sunspot-data/

    Pick your own interval for analysis.

    --
    Build it, and they will come^Hplain.
  47. Common sense doesn't work well in some cases by swillden · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... like guns, or global warming.

    In general, our common sense fails us badly whenever we're looking at rare events -- and in spite of what the evening news may make you believe, shootings are rare events. The solution is to look to science and statistics rather than common sense.

    The correct approach to gun regulation is to examine the numbers and look at what kinds of gun control actually have beneficial effects on crime rates. Also, we need to analyze the incidence of crimes prevented by gun ownership. Even the Brady Campaign acknowledges about 100,000 such per year in the US; pro-gun organizations estimate much larger numbers.

    These numbers can provide a truly rational basis for making decisions about gun control, which we can then balance appropriately against the limitation of human rights imposed by gun control, which is where common sense comes in.

    If common sense alone were sufficient, we wouldn't need science and math.

    Getting back to (or at least closer to) the topic, science is the right way to approach questions about global warming and man's impact on it as well. In both cases, our approach may change the more we learn, but the RIGHT way to handle it is to make policy supported by our best scientific understanding... with an appropriate appreciation for the limits of that understanding, and balancing the policy changes against impacts on people and their way of life.

    "Balancing", BTW, doesn't mean "ignore the science if it would upset the economy", but it does mean that pragmatic concerns must be considered and weighed against the risks predicted by the science... and those risks must be evaluated not only in terms of likely severity, but also in terms of degree of certainty.

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    1. Re:Common sense doesn't work well in some cases by jmorris42 · · Score: 1

      > The solution is to look to science and statistics rather than common sense.

      Not in matters of basic political philosophy. Because the notion that 300 million people can peacefully govern themselves is irrational, at least to our current understanding[1]. It requires a leap of faith and science is useless in matters of faith. And part of the set of beliefs that our system of government is (ok, was pre Bush/Obama) built on is a fear of government balanced out by the RTKBA.

      You can't put numbers to that. If you try to ignore the pig picture and frade a basic freedom for safety you might (but to date haven't, Dodge City was safer than D.C.) reduce crime in the short term but how do you put a number on a loss of the basis for civilization itself?

      > The correct approach to gun regulation is to examine the numbers and look at what kinds of gun
      > control actually have beneficial effects on crime rates.

      Wrong. The correct approach to gun control is learning to hit what you are aiming at and nothing else. Gun control is instilling self reliance, confidence and discipline back into our people so they don't do stupid things like shoot up the town or elect people who think like you. So that they become a people capable of and worthy of governing themselves in both senses of the phrase.

      In case you morons haven't noticed, the same thinking that can handwave away "shall not be infringed" is exactly the same 'thought' that can ignore "Congress shall make no law." As the Constituition is reduced to toilet paper we really need to be pushing back. Time is running out, soon it will take a revolution to reverse the damage and the odds of success on those are pretty low and the price of winning high.

      > Getting back to (or at least closer to) the topic, science is the right way to approach questions
      > about global warming and man's impact on it as well.

      Agreed. But the science has been so politicized as to be useless. For every brand name scientist Al Gore can trot out the other side can now bring out one of their own. And by continuing to give credibility to obvious frauds like Hansen the pro AGW side loses what advantage they would otherwise get by having slightly more bodies in their camp. The notion that Hansen is a scientist anstead of a policy wonk at best or a anarchist activist at worst is laughable. And then there is the issue of Al Gore. Scientist? Not. Social Democrat Politician? Yup. And would Al Gore be pushing most of the same agenda in the absence of AGW or GW in general? Probability so close to 100% as to not matter.

      [1] The libertarians are closest to a rational basis for a civilized society but they haven't developed their theories nearly enough to deploy them. Pick at any self professed libertarian's notions a bit and they fall apart. But I do believe that Freedom is the answer, just like I believe in a unified field theory even though a working one doesn't yet exist. And yes at this point belief in either is just another act of faith. So someday we might have a totally rational basis for a civilization. But not today.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
    2. Re:Common sense doesn't work well in some cases by swillden · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      You can't put numbers to that. If you try to ignore the pig picture and frade a basic freedom for safety you might (but to date haven't, Dodge City was safer than D.C.) reduce crime in the short term but how do you put a number on a loss of the basis for civilization itself?

      I agree, actually.

      But, as it turns out, the numbers favor gun deregulation, and that's an easier argument to make with hoplophobes. Not that its necessarily a successful argument, since many of them leave rationality at the door (e.g. circletimessquare). Some of them, though, are willing to actually think, and with those the numbers argument is the doorway to getting them to re-evaluate their knee-jerk "common sense" reactions.

      After they've come to accept the notion that guns aren't inherently evil, then you can start talking about the need of a populace to be able to defend itself against its own government -- so that it never has to.

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    3. Re:Common sense doesn't work well in some cases by jmorris42 · · Score: 1

      > Some of them, though, are willing to actually think,

      Ok, glad to have ya on the side of sanity.

      Not many though. Because for them it is also a matter of faith. They just believe in a different thing, namely fascism. Yes it is time to call it by it's right name. Every stinking one of em is a totalatarian, even the ones who won't admit it even to themselves. And even worse, over the years I have seen enough of em in action to realize guys like Tom Sowell are right: liberals feel, they don't think much. Thus logical arguments aren't the right way to go after them. They BELIEVE in the power of the State and their own Goodness so hard no logic will ever move them. Some will snap out of the mental illness on their own though, many notable leftists came around on 9/12/01 but a few wake up every year... not enough though.

      In the end there probably isn't much point in converting the hard core left, we just need to defeat them and drive their ideas out of the public sphere. Because you really can't compromise with guys that are so close to attaining their dream of One Man, One Vote, One Last Time. Compromise just a little more with their kind and classical liberals will be in reeducation camps.

      To defeat the left we need arguments that will sway the public educated masses and again, numbers aren't their forte either. Perhaps I'm just too cynical. I really don't see how we win the masses away from their Bread and Circuses and back to self reliance and individual liberty. But doing exactly that is our only remaining hope so I keep pondering on the problem.

      --
      Democrat delenda est
    4. Re:Common sense doesn't work well in some cases by swillden · · Score: 1

      I don't think the picture is quite as bleak as you paint it, at least on gun rights. For example, a recent Gallup poll shows that the populace has little to no interest in new gun control legislation. Obama would like to push a new AWB, but even the Democratic leadership in Congress has more or less told him to stuff it.

      Meanwhile, the Students for Concealed Carry on Campus movement is rolling forward, giving the young people in the country a look at a different idea about the purpose and value of firearms, and Wisconsin and Illinois are seriously debating issuing CCW permits. They're the only two states that don't, presently.

      After Heller's new lawsuit forces DC to really allow self defense, I expect we'll see a significant decline in violence there which will further fuel the argument that armed citizens make us safer.

      On the legal front, Heller has established that the 2A enshrines an individual right, and the lawsuits in Chicago and SF will almost certainly get the 2A incorporated against the states (meaning that the 14th amendment says that the states have to obey the 2nd), at which point there will be huge numbers of lawsuits to roll back bad laws all over the country. After most of those have run their course (in a decade or so), then we can start to get the machine gun ban knocked down, though if Obama gets a second term the makeup of the Court may have changed enough that we need to wait for a more favorable court.

      Beyond RKBA, I agree about the larger "bread and circuses" problem. IMO, our best option there is to push for states' rights. It's not a very good option, but I think it's the only one we've got. If we could get the federal government out of the bread and circuses business (or at least the bread business) by getting the states to pick it up, then we could choose to live in states that honor individual freedom, leaving the likes of the hardcore blue states to drive themselves into bankruptcy.

      Like I said, it's a long shot, but I think it's the only option we have.

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  48. just look at the number of gun deaths by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    compared between the usa and say the uk

    i'd say just one of those deaths is worth more than 1,000 prevented muggings

    and i can't imagine anyone with any grasp on reason or logic thinking that the number of deaths prevented by guns is anywhere near, by orders of magnitude, the number of pointless deaths commited with guns

    and this is laughable:

    "we can then balance appropriately against the limitation of human rights imposed by gun control"

    i think a valid human right is the right to life

    i think that right pretty much trumps any other right you are alluding to

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:just look at the number of gun deaths by swillden · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      compared between the usa and say the uk

      In the first case, you can't compare the US and the UK. Different cultures, different levels of violence -- even if you ignore guns.

      It's also worth noting that the UK's level of violence -- both with and without guns -- has increased significantly since the UK's handgun ban. Do you have any evidence that it would have increased more without the ban?

      i'd say just one of those deaths is worth more than 1,000 prevented muggings

      Only if muggings never resulted in death, which isn't true as I'm sure you're well aware. If you need I can find numerous news articles about muggings gone bad. I'm not sure where to find statistics on that, though. Do you know? I'd like to see them.

      and i can't imagine anyone with any grasp on reason or logic thinking that the number of deaths prevented by guns is anywhere near, by orders of magnitude, the number of pointless deaths committed with guns

      A person with a "grasp on reason or logical thinking" would want to see actual numbers from studies, rather than just guessing.

      Do you know how many deaths are "committed" with guns? If you remove from the statistics the people who were killed while engaging in criminal activities, it's around 7,000 per year in the US. That number includes accidental deaths, which are less than 400 per year.

      and this is laughable:

      "we can then balance appropriately against the limitation of human rights imposed by gun control"

      i think a valid human right is the right to life

      i think that right pretty much trumps any other right you are alluding to

      The right of self-defense is a crucial part of the right to life. The 80 year-old man whose door is broken down by multiple 18 year-old assailants can preserve his right to life with a gun. Without it, he has no chance. (Not a hypothetical, BTW, I'm referring to an actual incident, and there are many similar).

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    2. Re:just look at the number of gun deaths by sexconker · · Score: 1

      And as such, when someone threatens my life, I have the right to defend myself, and "I think that right pretty much trumps any other right".

      I'll defend myself with a gun if I so choose.

    3. Re:just look at the number of gun deaths by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      "you can't compare the US and the UK. Different cultures, different levels of violence"

      i can talk about human behavior. cultural differences do not override basic truths of all human behavior. rape is rape. murder is murder. a sword is a sword. a gun is a gun. about which simple facts can be understood, in any time period, in any culture

      "It's also worth noting that the UK's level of violence -- both with and without guns -- has increased significantly since the UK's handgun ban"

      how many broken bones is worth one death?

      "Do you have any evidence that it would have increased more without the ban?"

      simple human violence is a constant. its when you attach force multipliers (guns), that you get senseless deaths. that's the whole point. stay on topic

      "Only if muggings never resulted in death, which isn't true as I'm sure you're well aware"

      absolutely. and when there are less guns involved, there is less death. a strict control on guns means both victims and perps will have less guns. thats the whole point. some criminals will still have guns, some victims will too. but apart from the rare sociopaths, the criminal just wants your money, not your life. so let us have 10,000 more muggings if it means 10 less deaths. works for me. why not you?

      "A person with a "grasp on reason or logical thinking" would want to see actual numbers from studies, rather than just guessing."

      a person who has ever spent any time aruging about gun control realizes that any fact or figure can be skewed in the most bullshit of propagandistic ways, both for or against gun control. come to me with logic and reason, and leave the battle of the propaganda-addled "studies" out of it. lies, damn lies, and statistics. i have ten links to bullshit "studies" and you have nine links to bullshit "studies"! i win! zzz

      "The right of self-defense is a crucial part of the right to life. The 80 year-old man whose door is broken down by multiple 18 year-old assailants can preserve his right to life with a gun. Without it, he has no chance."

      thats a wonderful story. now tell me the ten other stories in which guns were used to kill innocents

      the whole point is: guns are a force multiplier. make stricter laws, less random yahoos will have guns, less senseless deaths occur. all of the heroic usaes of guns are outwieghed by the senseless uses. so yes, by controlling guns, you decrease historic usage, but you also decrease a much larger amount of senseless usage. so you result in much less senseless death int he world. thats ther whole point, and it overrides all of the ancillary arguments your mind seems to be stuck on

      the committed assholes will always get guns, but we're talking about the logical correlation: stricter laws on material xyz means less xyz in general circulation, regardless of validity of the control of xyz. if guns=xyz, then we have simply less senseless deaths. the logic is so brilliant and obvious, i don't know why or how the propaganda works in your mind that you can't see the blindingly obvious on the subject matter

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    4. Re:just look at the number of gun deaths by swillden · · Score: 1

      Whooossshhhh

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    5. Re:just look at the number of gun deaths by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      The UK traded deaths by guns for deaths by knife, other than that, nothing else changed. The deaths moved to a new column on the balance sheet, they didn't disappear.

      Killers are still going to kill.

      We killed each other with rocks before we had clubs.

      We killed each other with clubs before we had spears.

      We killed each other by spears before we had more advanced weapons and gun powder.

      Taking away the tool isn't going to stop the action, just like we figured out how to use the tool in the first place, we'll figure out a replacement tool for the one you take away.

      The right to life is there, but as the old saying goes, guns don't kill people, people do, which is why there were murders and wars long before recorded history. Its not like we as a species waited for gun powder to start killing each other.

      Do they even teach history anymore?

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  49. Cycle on track by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    The sun spot cycle appears to be on track: http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml

  50. this is an old specious argument by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    anyone committed to getting a gun will get one, no matter what the law is

    duh

    the simple and obvious truth is that when you make it harder to get guns, less people get guns. its really as simple as that

    the goal is not to reduce gun ownership to zero, or to prevent a massacre by a committed zealot (by the way, the moron in pittsburgh was acting on the fear obama's administration was going to take away his guns... if that irony doesn't speak volumes to you about what the real issue is here, i don't know what will)

    the goal is simply get less guns in less hands, for any reason, or by any means. then you simply cut down on senseless casual deaths

    easy access to guns: senseless gun deaths

    hard access to guns: much less gun deaths

    i don't know why this simple obvious logic escapes you

    this whole "outlaw guns and only outlaws will have guns" is a nice piece of propagandistic turn of phrase, but it completely ignores the reality of limiting access: less senseless death

    i think the human right to life trumps any right you can allude to being trampled on by stricter laws

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:this is an old specious argument by Low+Ranked+Craig · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, because Prohibition worked so well with alcohol, and works so well with drugs. The majority of gun crime in the US is committed by people who have illegally obtained the weapons in the first place, in violation of existing gun laws. Stricter laws will not do anything to reduce that level of crime.

      Here's where maybe we can agree. In Arizona, anyone can obtain a CCW with the appropriate training. I have no problem making people get training to carry a gun, but that right needs to be open to everyone. Also, a factoid. In any given year you can count on one hand the number of gun crimes committed by CCW holders (of which there are many ten-thousands) The city in which I live has gun ownership rate in excess of 50% of the households. There has been one gun related murder in the last 5 years, and that was an illegal alien Mexican drug dealer that ended up dead in a retail parking lot. He brought his problems with him. 1 person in five years with a population of more than 20K with more than 10K guns present tells me that guns are not the problem. If free access to guns was the primary cause, then the murder rate in my city would be off the chart. it is not.

      Just because something seems obvious does not mean it is true. As my statistics teacher taught me (or maybe is was my chemistry teacher), correlation does not imply causality.

      Yes, it's obvious that if there were no guns they would be no gun crime. There would be other types of violent crime though, human nature being what is is. There would be 40k less deaths a year from cars if there were no cars, so we should make it really hard to get those too.

      My proposal is proper training as a requirement to have either. There is a reason that speed limits in Germany are higher than the US, yet the per-capata death rate for drivers in Germany is markedly lower, and that is proper training.

      Also, I'd like to direct your attention to the fact that the recent spate of shootings in the US occurred in states that have some of the strictest gun laws. Ironic, no?

      --
      I still cannot find the droids I am looking for...
  51. What happened to Self Reliance? by proc_tarry · · Score: 0, Troll

    Any rational, moral, self-made man knows dependence on the Sun is entirely ludicrous. A man may seek out and enjoy the riches of his own efforts without regard of the Sun, Moon, weather, other men, or little furry animals. This is why we should cut taxes.

  52. Japan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Japan is a much more homogenous society, all of which tend to be more stable and have a lower crime rate. Just is, is all. This may be politically incorrect to point out, but it is the raw data. In addition, they are extremely intolerant of millions of illegal or barely quasi illegal aliens running around their nation, whereas the US has tens of millions who have been for the most part unchecked. And several hundred thousand (figures vary but it is quite high) of whom are pretty nasty and violent criminals, and they constitute a rather high level of the violent crimes committed, a lot higher than just looking at random population versus crime stats. It is simply off the chart there. You can look that up, incarceration rates and what for. Very politically incorrect, but the numbers are there.

    And lastly, the US is different from all other nations *by design*. we are a society based on personal sovereignty, which allows more freedoms, and byu desiogn we also made a point of having the people always mistrustful of too powerful government, noting in the past they always de evolved into dictatorships. the time scale may differ, but not the outcome.. We aren't into that allegiance to some king or emperor or whatever. A long time ago we decided that "more freedoms" was a better idea than less freedoms, even if it introduced other problems.

    And if you want to go way back, before we had any gun laws and we had a *true* second amendment, even the "wild wild west" days, the crime rates were lower then. And state by state and area by area you can see the differences. For instance our state with the least amount of gun laws, vermont, pretty consistently ranks at the top for lowest crime rate nationally. Inside that state itself, crime rates are higher in both the more urban areas and in areas with less of a homogenous population, so that is a more accurate comparison with japan, both highly urban areas and rugged rural areas with a lower population structure, plus by and large more homogenous in cultural makeup. the only difference is gun ownership. You could take that "guns equal a lot more crime" and conclude vermont would have the highest rate of violent crime..yet it doesn't. You have to ask yourself then, why not? compare that another way to areas of the US with the most strict gun laws, they usually score pretty high in violent crime rate, plus have a less-homogenous local society. don't know about you, but I am starting to see a pattern here. If you want to look at europe, the two nations with the most gun ownership freedoms, switzerland and the czech republic, have some of the lowest crime rates. Looking closer there, you see the same pattern, more homogenous areas have less crime, whereas the urban areas with a more diverse cultural scene and higher density have higher crime rates.

    Make of that what you will. The bottom line is the US is not anyplace else, we (used to anyway) had a better handle on things with regards personal gun ownership before they started disarming the regular honest folks.(and gunlaws, restrictions on the second amendment, were a direct racist "jim crow" law effort, along with the poll tax and anti miscegnation laws and so forth. This kept going all the way to the 1968 gun control act, which most anyone who is aware of and speaking honestly about, will admit it was an anti black law because of the riots between 65 and 68).

    Criminals will always get weapons, a firearm or a knife or what have you. A nation with only the bad guys and the government armed is known as a criminal police state. Now that doesn't negate the fact that a criminal police state might be "civilized" as to internal crime rates, but a slave society with just rulers and serfs can still be "civilized". We prefer here a bit more freedom, even with the consequences, and we really *don't care* what your outside nation thinks about it, because that is your business.

    And looking at the real mega statistics, and I will return to your idea of japan being less crimina

  53. i'm having trouble here by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    could you tell me how to fit the country known as the uk into an internet link?

    k thx

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:i'm having trouble here by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      In 1997-98 (the year that the UK implemented a new more draconian hand gun ban) their were 609 homicides in the UK. In 2006-7, there were 734 homicides in the UK. That is going from a murder rate of about 10 per million of population to a murder rate of about 12 per million of population. So, care to try again?

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  54. There are no "climate scientists" by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There are only weather forecasters. Climate science is not science, that would require testability and we don't have anything to test with. When weather forecasters start chucking millions of tonnes of sulphate aerosols (or whatever) into the atmosphere, then it will be science.

     

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:There are no "climate scientists" by Starker_Kull · · Score: 1

      There are only weather forecasters. Climate science is not science, that would require testability and we don't have anything to test with. When weather forecasters start chucking millions of tonnes of sulphate aerosols (or whatever) into the atmosphere, then it will be science.

      That implies that any methodology that can not perform artifical experiments is not a science. That would exclude large swaths of biology, specifically those involving evolution, from the title 'science'. That's a bit extreme, don't you think? As long as a methodology makes testable predictions that can and will be used to evaluate the usefulness of the model that made those predictions, it seems like it deserves the title 'science'.

      For instance, the first verification of General Relativity was done by measuring the bending of distant starlight when it skimmed the surface of the sun. This could only be done during a solar eclipse. We knew of no way to arrange circumstances into a 'test' that could be done in a lab, at will, (at the time) so we had to wait for nature to provide one (a solar eclipse) in 1922. Does the fact that nature arranged the circumstances detract from the validity of the test?

      If a climate model makes specific predictions, that 20 years later become true, it increases the probability that the model is an accurate predictor. Because we can't manipulate the atmosphere as you suggest, unfortunately, we have to do it the slow way - it will take decades before we really know whether our models are accurate. But to suggest that climatology is not science because it can't be experimentally verified in a lab is a bit extreme.

    2. Re:There are no "climate scientists" by ral8158 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Um, studies, the creators of correlation, are a hugely important part of science. They can't show causation like experiments, but they can still be used to make predictions, just like theories resulting from experiments. Climate science is just as much a science as psychology, sociology, biology, and astronomy. (I'd like to see you do an experiment to figure out planetary motion)

    3. Re:There are no "climate scientists" by db32 · · Score: 1

      You mean like communicating with distant objects on the surface and in orbit around another planet using radio waves? Given that we built the transmitters on both ends we could arguably perform quite a few planetary motion experiments. How many planets in our solar system have man made transmitters orbiting? I imagine sorting out all of the relative movement would be a bit of a pain in the ass, but with so many out there there will only be so many motion paths that would line up with all of the measurements.

      I do agree with your point though. :) Ultimately that is EXACTLY the line of thinking that the far right clings to. The same exact argument is used against almost every scientific thing they oppose. Climate - You can't test it, it isn't science! Evolution - You can't test it, it isn't science! Embryonic Stem Cells - All the tests have failed, so no test will ever succeed!

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    4. Re:There are no "climate scientists" by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

      They can't show causation like experiments,

      It's crystal ball gazing, not science.

       

      --
      Deleted
    5. Re:There are no "climate scientists" by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

      specifically those involving evolution, from the title 'science'

      Rubbish. Evolution is testable and has been tested.

      Does the fact that nature arranged the circumstances detract from the validity of the test?

      No, but until it was tested, it was religion, like "climate science".

      But to suggest that climatology is not science because it can't be experimentally verified

      No. It's not science until it can be tested. You say "climate science" is science? Prove it .

       

      --
      Deleted
  55. Blank sun by ferrgle · · Score: 1

    Now I have another weather based topic.
    In the UK all we really talk about is the weather.
    I will enjoy asking people "What do you think about this blank sun? Do you think it will last long?"

  56. Point to Data, with Error Bars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where's the data? Are the errors in the data small enough to support your claim? Are the warming trends really similar enough to point to a common origin? What are the odds of a coincidence (N = 5 is not a statistically large sample)?

    Keep in mind that it's only been pretty recently that we've been able to measure global temperatures here on Earth with sufficient accuracy to make such statements. Do you really think we have comparable capability to measure other planets?

    1. Re:Point to Data, with Error Bars by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Actually I'd assume that when your trying to measure the temperature of a whole planet, being too close would be a disadvantage, it's hard to see the forrest with all those damned trees in the way.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  57. Re:I want to drop a load on your face by sexconker · · Score: 1

    Fisting AND Debian?
    Isn't that redundant?

  58. Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry, Obama plans on blocking the sun!

    http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,513242,00.html

  59. prohibition DID work by circletimessquare · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    for the one metric we care about here in this analogy: less people drank

    if you strictly control guns, less people will get them. ie, less senseless deaths will occur. this logic is flawless, i don't see how or why you would contest this

    making something illegal or strictly controlly it doesn't stop anyone COMMITTED from getting that thing. but it does stop the casual yahoo. and that's the bulk of what we are talking about here

    strict laws most definitely reduces the prevalency of that illicit material. for good reason or not. with marijuana, the limitation is not very morally valid. but the whole idea behind limiting guns is to limit senseless deaths: morally valid

    you in fact understand this:

    "Yes, it's obvious that if there were no guns they would be no gun crime. There would be other types of violent crime though, human nature being what is is. There would be 40k less deaths a year from cars if there were no cars, so we should make it really hard to get those too."

    no one can pick up a knife and kill 13 people in a classroom in under a minute. the issue is that guns are a force multiplier. human violence will never go away, but we can easily reduce the number of force multiplies around. you wont stop all spree shootings, as germany with strict gun laws demonstrates. and you wont stop the truly evil committed criminals from getting guns. but you WILL stop the casual yahoos. you will stop the truly deranged who wouldn't pass review. you would remove the bulk of senseless deaths

    less guns means less senseless killings. i dont understand why you cant see that this observation trumps every other observation you make or think you can make on the topic. less guns=less senseless deaths is a valid and easily reachable goal, and it trumps all other topics in play here. is there any human right that you can point out to me that trumps the human right to life?

    in fact i believe that petty criminality will go up with less gun ownership. guns do deter petty crime. with less guns, there will be more muggings, for example

    so what's the going rate on equivalency rate of muggings to senseless deaths? 1,000 muggings a life? this is absurd moral equivalency, but it works for me temporarily to make this point: if the usa has 10x less senseless deaths due to guns every year, with strict gun control laws, then i can easily put up with a 10,000x increase in petty crimes. why can't you?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:prohibition DID work by floodo1 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      you almost completely miss the relevant fact. most gun crime is committed by people who have already illegally obtained a gun. Therefore the problem is "how do you stop people from ILLEGALLY getting guns?", as this will have the most impact.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
    2. Re:prohibition DID work by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      "for the one metric we care about here in this analogy: less people drank"

      Actually you are wrong.

      http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=1360

      An that was just one of hits you'd get if you took a moment & looked around instead of assuming something. You seem to be doing that an awful lot in this thread.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
  60. Pirates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's the lack of pirates, duh.

  61. Re:I want to drop a load on your face by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I want to drop a big fat load of shit on every fucking nerd's face.

    Fuck you, faggot tech fags.

    Sounds pretty gay.

  62. that's fine by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    if we have stricter laws, you'll still get one if your intent truly is as virtuous as you say

    meanwhile, all the casual yahoos with guns goes away

    so what's the problem?

    you can't imagine that the reasons people pick up guns aren't always virtuous?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:that's fine by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Of course I can.
      And as such, I wish to protect myself from those people.

      Those people will acquire, and use, guns with or without "stricter laws".

  63. please, dismantle the logic: by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    stricter control of guns=less guns in circulation

    true or false?

    less guns in circulation=less gun usage, in heroic situations, and in criminal situations

    true or false?

    less gun usage=less senseless deaths, regardless of the virtue or lack therof of the person using the gun

    true or false?

    therefore, guns should be strictly controlled, in the name of reducing senseless deaths

    please, dismantle the logic there. i welcome you to disproving anything above

    let petty crime climb if the crime is gunless and therefore means less deaths. a trade off i am 100% happy with. more swords? more knives? 100% fine: knives are force multiplier of a much smaller degree than a gun, therefore, a knife has a much smaller chance of resulting in death

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:please, dismantle the logic: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you missed one statistic.

      one criminal shot by a law abiding citizen == 0 future deaths caused by the criminal.

      one criminal who shots a unarmed law abiding citizen == more dead unarmed law abiding citizens.

      Which is better?

  64. Re:Previous Level of Sunspot Activity by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1
    Previously weren't sattelites being bombarded with X-class solar flares? It was pretty active....

    Now, either all that hyperactivity untwisted whatever muscles needed untwisting withing the sun's inner workings, leading to the present period of serene spinal well adjustment

    OR

    We are entering a period of wild swings in sunspot activity ( not mutually exclusive with the previous case since possibly order and calm can foster huge buildups of solar crampitude )

    --
    ...
  65. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Universe is a closed system.

  66. battling propaganda: by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    the recent spree shootings in the last week in the usa were almost all, if not completely all, committed with legally obtained guns

    "most gun crime is committed by people who have already illegally obtained a gun"

    i doubt that "fact", but for the sake of logical argument, lets assume for the moment that every single gun used in every single shooting spree and every single criminal act were obtained 100% illegally

    guess what: if legal guns were more strictly controlled, there would be even less illegal gun circulation in circulation as well. just because there are less guns in general, less legal guns to go illegal. you are never ever going to stop the illegal flow of guns, no matter what. but every inch you tighten the vise on gun trade, it makes it that much harder for someone to get a gun, via all legal and illegal channels. more tightly controlling guns will mean less legal and illegal yahoos will own guns. simple fact

    you tighten gun control, you get less sensless deaths. meanwhile, if your interest in owning a gun is truly virtuous, you will have to jump through more hoops to get your gun, but if you are a person who truly understands the connection between rights and responsibilities, you will have no problem with the increased red tape, in the interest of less guns on the street, and therefore less senselss deaths with such a potent force multiplier in easy reach

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:battling propaganda: by floodo1 · · Score: 1

      You also fail to take into account that they outright ban certain guns, so no amount of increased red tape will let you keep it.

      you also fail to take into account the size of the existing gun base.

      in any case gun control will effect things, but not nearly enough to act like it's some sort of solution. the problem is so much bigger than this.

      I have no foundation for this, but I'd still wager that providing adult male role models to socio-economically challenged youth would have more impact that tigtening gun control.

      --
      I KUT J00 M4NG!!!
  67. lies, damn lies, and statistics by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    anyone who has ever tried to debate gun control realizes there are a lot of "facts" out there that are nothing but skewed propaganda, both for and against gun control. come to me with logic and reason, or don't come to me at all. "i have ten bullshit links and you have nine bullshit links! i win!" zzz

    allow the battle bullshit propaganda "facts" to commence:

    "Live with it, gun owners say, and if our murder rate is three times that of the United Kingdom and Canada, five times that of Germany, that's the deal. The price. For consolation, I guess, there is the fact that the homicide rate has been flat for some time, down from the highs of the 1980s. Still, nearly 17,000 Americans are murdered each year -- about 70 percent by guns -- and 594,276 lost their lives betweens 1976 and 2005."

    http://egan.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/04/08/the-guns-of-spring/?ref=opinion

    ok, now its your turn

    the rules of the game are: you show me a link to some insurmountable "facts", and then i reply with a link to some insurmoutnable "facts", and we regurgitate "facts" until oblivion

    or: how about you approach we with some logic and reason?

    such as: if there are less force multipliers lying around in easy reach, less senseless deaths occur

    your move

    i await my "facts"

    zzz

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:lies, damn lies, and statistics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      You claim that the Uk is evidence for your claim that when gun ownership goes down, deaths go down. I gave you the numbers for homicides in the UK in 2006/2007 versus 1997/1998. Those numbers refute your argument that reducing gun ownership reduces senseless deaths, you respond with an article about a single nutjob in Pittsburgh.
      So, you claim that if there are fewer force multipliers lying around less senseless deaths occur. I claim that guns are a large reason why we see the steady expansion of freedom in recent history. When the best weapons out there required innate physical skills and years of training to master even the fundamentals, those with wealth will lord it over those without to a degree that we find hard to imagine in the industrialized world today.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    2. Re:lies, damn lies, and statistics by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      ok, now its your turn

      Fine. Fact: Your source is an article in an "Opinion" column that doesn't list his sources for his murder rates.

      Fact: Without listing where you get your numbers from, it's impossible to tell if they're legit, or if they're being pulled out of thin air.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  68. Candlesticks! by Amiralul · · Score: 1

    It will be really interesting to plot the sunspot activity as candlesticks and see if we can predict the next move, as we learned from FOREX markets, for instance. Plot some resistance and support lines, pivot points, EMA, RSI and MACD and try to guess what's next.

  69. cyclic patterns and solar flares by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to wikipedia sunspots go in a cycle. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunspot_cycle) So in the case we are be going into a low period of the cycle, honestly though, I don't think I want to be around when there is a high period in the sunspot cycle, it would appear that it would probably cause some massive solar flares (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_flares) which would probably douse the earth in a nice bath of solar radiation (yes i know there is currently solar radiation hitting the earth, but during a solar flare the radiation is more powerful and concentrated).

  70. EDITORS TAKE NOTE by steelfood · · Score: 1

    and please change the links in the summary to point to the proper author of the article.

    --
    "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
  71. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Mendoksou · · Score: 1

    That is because my dear Creationist friends try to take Entropy as a philosophical rather then a scientific idea. They are not the only ones who do this sort of thing though, so let us not single htem out. Far too many people try to base philosophy in science that they do not understand (Quantum Mechanics disproves/proves fate/determinism!).

    --
    DISCLAIMER: I am very rarely serious. If the above comment seems asinine makes no sense, it is most likely a bad joke.
  72. how can i argue with you by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    when you cite such ideologically neutral sources as the fucking CATO institute

    pffft

    propaganda anyone?

    here's something more neutral: fucking logic

    if something is harder to get, less people get it

    i know, i'm really a radical thinker here

    zzz

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:how can i argue with you by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      Ok, jerk. I said it was as single link out of many, here is some more reading for your hand-waving ass.

      7th paragraph
      http://www.geocities.com/Athens/troy/4399/

      5th paragraph
      http://www.123helpme.com/view.asp?id=23254

      1st paragraph
      http://cocktails.about.com/od/history/a/prohibition_3.htm

      4th paragraph
      http://www.jstor.org/pss/2006862

      7th paragraph (along with a chart)
      http://eh.net/encyclopedia/article/miron.prohibition.alcohol

      I can do this all day. There is that much proof that you are incorrect. If you would like to continue to look like an absolute fool, feel free.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
  73. firearms by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    are not limited and licensed and monitored enough

    thats the point

    and this has nothing to do with sunspots

    its slashdot, not an academic conference

    but we're all going to get the -1 offtopic boot anyways

    as if going to slashdot in the first place isn't offtopic ;-P

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  74. ok, sure: by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    thanks for the snake oil links form outright ideologically skewed sources and outright propaganda from random cranks

    how's this, an actual fucking scholarly article?:

    http://www.jstor.org/pss/2006862

    "It should come as no surprise that accurate data on alcohol consumption during Prohibition do not exist."

    so there's no data for you to depend on. no REAL data, as opposed to cranks and propaganda which you have linked me to so far

    so how about using some reason and logic with me instead? is that within the realm of your abilities?

    here, i'll try:

    if something is harder to get, less people will get it

    you'll forgive me, i'm really going way out on a limb with that assertion, i know

    (snicker)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:ok, sure: by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      "you'll forgive me, i'm really going way out on a limb with that assertion, i know"

      Nope, just another troll.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
  75. wow, that was quite the refutation by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    i'll take your avoidance of the topic and the personal attack as a tacit admission that you've lost the argument

    next time, be intellectually honest and admit when you are wrong

    have a better one

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:wow, that was quite the refutation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Troll, troll, troll.

    2. Re:wow, that was quite the refutation by Jaysyn · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of papers on the subject. You can't possibly read them with your head that far in the sand, though.

      --
      There is a war going on for your mind.
  76. Re:Here we go... with more propaganda by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    "Partially true. In fact, we have only ONE workable solution: kill off 90% of the human race and condemn those who remain to a pre-industrial-age existence of poverty, disease and starvation"

    Bingo!!! Anyone who does not support population reduction and claims to be 'environmentally conscious' is a hypocrite. I don't know if pre-industrial-age existence is absolutely necessary to clean up the environment, as there does come a point where the effects of human activity are cleared out by non-human environmental factors as fast as humans can create them. Of course, this equilibrium might require reducing the population by 98% or more.

  77. the space aliens took them! by L0G1X · · Score: 1

    " All your sunspots are belong to us! "

  78. Re:Here we go... with more propaganda by maxume · · Score: 1

    Changes in solar output may take a long time to effect global temperature, but the daily cycle of heating and cooling, and seasons, are effects of the sun. I suppose those things average out for the globe, but it would really suck to go without the sun for even a couple of days.

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  79. voltaire by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    jefferson

    hobbes

    etc.

    these are why we live with modern freedoms

    not the gun

    the gun is used in regimes right now today to keep down citizens agitating for more freedoms

    that the second amendment somehow keeps us free from fascism has to be the biggest lie there is. in fact, if we were to ever fall to fascism, it would be via those appealing to will to power through visceral force of the gun. our modern freedoms are crushed by mustering and agitating fools in the hinterlands with their guns, not depending on them for some sort of continuing protection. poppycock

    modern rights and freedoms only exist in the context of civil society. nothing civil ever happens at the end of a gun or a sword. you have some strange notions indeed if you think anything having to do with visceral force is anything but an enemy of modern rights and freedoms

    oh certainly guns are useful in keeping us free in outright war with competing ideologies from foreign geopolitical entities. but that's battlefield issues, not domestic policy

    a gun or a sword or any implement of visceral force is a replacement for your sense of reason and goodwill faith towards respecting the notion of freedom in domestic, civil exchanges. in fact, when a gun is used in any civil, domestic setting, any notion of freedom has long since expired in that context

    the gun protects you from nothing. it is a false vain crutch. use your mind alone, or fail utterly to perceive what the notion of freedom even is

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  80. Re:Rhinoceros by pwfffff · · Score: 1

    The third comma in the second sentence is unnecessary.
    Also, do you spend all day thinking about things like this, or do you only daydream about such things while on /.?

  81. simple logic: by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    if something is harder to acquire, less people will get it

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:simple logic: by sexconker · · Score: 1

      And those who do still acquire it are the more determined, and they now make up a much larger percentage of those who have it.

      Take away the guns and you have more violent crime.
      Give the people guns and you have less violent crime.

      Are you going to argue against what has actually fucking happened? Are you going to say that it's not true?

  82. it is you who have been propagandized so thoroughly that you can't tell simple obvious truth:

    if something is harder to acquire, less people get it

    i await your absurd refutation of this obvious logic

    i guess if 1+1=1 must be true in order to retain your opinion, so it will be

    its sad how otherwise rational men will retain a deathgrip on illogic out of stubbornness and a misplaced passion in a failed ideology

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  83. A correction by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 1

    In the parent post, I said

    Sunspot activities correlate to Earth's temperatures much more closely than any other known factor.

    I should have said, "Sunspot activities correlate to Earth's temperatures much more closely than any other known factor other than a lack of Pirates."

    I regret the error. May the FSM forgive me, and I hope you're all having a blessed Pasta-over.

    --
    In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll
  84. Does it hurt to be as stupid as you are? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I ask merely because I have some Advil here. I could give it to you.

  85. I have good news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For those interested in communicating with Australia, you can forget about radio. Courtesy of kdawson/timothy et al, Slashdot is now the world's primary Australia-promotional tool, and you can talk about that nation and its greatness to your heart's content.

  86. what happened in 1913? by panthroman · · Score: 1

    So 1913 had 311 sunspot-free days, and in the 95 years since then, we've never had more than 266?

    What happened in 1913?

  87. globalwarming by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Sunspots have practically nothing to do with "Global Warming", or rather, practically nothing to do with climate change. If humans stopped producing too much Greenhouse pollution, climate change could slow or reverse as we returned to our inherited equilibrium. Continuing to emit too much Greenhouse pollution, regardless of sunspots or other natural activity, ensures we're changing the climate too much for our civilization to survive the effects.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:globalwarming by Cr0vv · · Score: 1

      Global warming is a side effect of the same thing that is causing the "very deep solar minimum" This is the lowest sunspot activity since 1913. This is being caused by a large magnetic interloper planet in our solar system since about 2003 -- the stuff of great action movies - NASA isn't talking about it, they know, of course. They've known since 1983 about the approach of this planet, but like typical US government agencies, they stomped on the media reporting about it, but not before a story was published in (I believe) the Washington Post in '83. I would think that the data from 1913 would not be as accurate as today, of course; (For those who would question my assertion on the basis that we have had deep solar minimums before). Also, Clearly we have not had "Global Warming" in conjunction with deep solar minimums before as well. The Science: This planet is very large, (4 X the size and 29 X the mass of Earth) Being extremely magnetic it is quieting our Sun with it's powerful North Pole pointing directly at the sun. Also, since Earth's liquid magma is also very magnetic as well, it is interacting with the magnetic influence of this planet causing a roiling of the magma. It is this roiling that is generating the heat which is causing the "Global Warming" No, it's NOT carbon dioxide, our Earth is heating up from the core "outwards" to Earth's surface. Look to see this planet not in 2012, but 2010 summer/fall. Don't go near the water. Crow.

  88. Re:Rhinoceros by budgenator · · Score: 1

    He only reads /. for the goatse.cx links

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  89. Really now by j_w_d · · Score: 1

    Actually, you can argue quite readily that evolution - at least the genetic diversity aspect - is driven by entropy. When you run that diversity over a selective grid, you get an illusion of "progress" which is what creationists frequently confound with evolution. Since it isn't, the whole issue is and has always been a debate over a strawman.

    --
    ------ The only greater hazard to your liberty than n politicians is n+1 politicians.
  90. So... by bobbuck · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The entire state of North Dakota doesn't exist? With its lax gun laws it had TWO murders in 2008, both STABBINGS! Mexico does have strict gun laws and look where they're heading.

    P.S. the "shift" key down next to the "z" key makes big letters.

  91. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by SpazmodeusG · · Score: 1

    You could also argue that because this universe exists in a relatively low entropy state right now yet formed from a high entropy state, the second law simply can't be true when applied to the whole universe.

  92. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Errrrrrrrr... who said anything about equilibrium? Zeroth law of thermodynamics doesn't say shit on dynamic systems; nor time for that matter...

  93. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Errrrrrrrr... who said anything about equilibrium? Zeroth law of thermodynamics doesn't say $%£! on dynamic systems; nor time for that matter...

  94. Monitoring and explaining changes by TapeCutter · · Score: 0

    It always amazes me that people doubt the ability of climate scientsist to monitor and explain changes on Earth where there are hundreds of lines of evidence with literally millions of data sets. What's even more amazing is they base these doubts on evidence from the same climate scientists monitoring and explaining changes in other planets, planets where we have far fewer and much shorter lines of evidence.

    Do you really think that many scientists have somehow failed to notice the firey ball in the sky? Besides the output of the sun has gone down over the last decade and the RATE of temprature INCREASED has somewhat flattened over the last few. With a bit of luck it will go into a long quiet period and give us a bit more time to do something "down to earth" about our emmissions.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  95. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I may be mistaken but i think the general observation you speak of is that earth and sun collectively make a closed system. not that I'm a creationist but i don't think the argument is as simple as you put it.

  96. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by StackedCrooked · · Score: 1

    What do you mean with 'the second law implies heat death'? Who is going to die? Humanity, the universe, ... If you mean that in the end the universe will get very hot because of entropy, that would be wrong because the universe is continuously expanding. In the end it will be kind of lukewarm, or cold, because all warmth has spread out.

  97. Magnetic fields or wtf do i know about a star by Osmosis_Garett · · Score: 1

    Having the ability to see the sun from all sides at once would be an interesting way to see where sunspots go when they're not facing us. Perhaps they are running away from the visible face of the sun.

  98. Re:I know your being funny, but for are other read by Diss+Champ · · Score: 1

    Wikipedia has an entry on "heat death". It basically refers to the second law reaching the point that heat "dies", that is, everything gets down near absolute zero.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_death_of_the_universe

  99. Re:More Politically Correct BS - The SUN is the pr by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1

    You should hope you're wrong. The good thing about the global warming scare, true or false, is it gives the masses of dumb people some kind of tangible cost in the near future for their use of an unsustainable and unhealthy energy policy.

    Doing the right thing for the wrong reason is still a bad idea, particularly when the mechanism being employed is government regulation. Allowing that sort of behavior opens the door to all kinds of stupid crap. Next thing you know, we'll have rules restricting us to arbitrarily small quantities of liquid on airplanes, when the supposed danger from them was completely imaginary.

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  100. Sorry, but... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    ... if you WANT or need to base the religion on something - sun is in the advantage BECAUSE IT IS REAL.

    We digressed too far... XD

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  101. We can see through it by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

    Heres's how: SOHO

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.