Slashdot Mirror


Carnegie Researchers Say Geotech Can't Cure Ocean Acidification

CarnegieScience writes "Plans to stop global warming by 'geoengineering' the planet by putting aerosols in the atmosphere to block sunlight are controversial, to say the least. Scientists are now pointing out that even if it keeps the planet cool, it will do almost nothing to stop another major problem — ocean acidification. The ocean will keep on absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere (making carbonic acid) and the water's pH will get too low for corals and other marine life to secrete skeletons. So this is another strike against a quick fix of our climate problems."

49 of 248 comments (clear)

  1. What Climate Problem? by jayme0227 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm still using my will to suppress your evidence that global warming is a problem.

    --
    But then I realized the cable was blue, so I only gave it one star. I hate blue.
    1. Re:What Climate Problem? by blitziod · · Score: 2, Funny

      I only have one thing to say----------

      Giant ROLAIDS!

      --
      The only way to bust a doper--is when you yourself become a smoker!
    2. Re:What Climate Problem? by jayme0227 · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to my layman's understanding of climate change theory, the energy comes from the sun. What your car is doing is emitting CO2 which builds up in the atmosphere. Because of the extra buildup of CO2 and other so-called "greenhouse gases" the energy that would normally leave the earth into space does so at a much slower pace, thus the average temperature of the earth is slowly increasing.

      For more information: http://lmgtfy.com/?q=global+warming

      --
      But then I realized the cable was blue, so I only gave it one star. I hate blue.
    3. Re:What Climate Problem? by revjtanton · · Score: 2, Funny

      I've been in a coma for 12 years and i didn't even know there was a climate! Couldn't we just kill the climate and then it wouldnt be a problem?

    4. Re:What Climate Problem? by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      As I understand it, methane is a bigger problem them CO2

      You understand wrong. It is a large problem, but CO2 is larger by over threefold.

      They tell us to not fart anymore.

      Who, your roomate? Certainly not the scientific community. Most animal-based methane emissions come from ruminants. And not from "farting", but "belching" (the initial breakdown occurs in the rumen, and the bolus moves back and forth between the mouth and the rumen). "Farting" isn't even the second leading cause of ruminant methane emissions -- that goes to manure decomposition.

      Livestock-sourced methane is only one significant anthropogenic component. Others include rice agriculture, peatland/wetlands development, the oil and gas industry, landfills, and biomass burning. Other significant human-sourced methane emissions, including ruminant raising, are nearly double those of natural emissions. Ruminants may be the largest single anthropogenic component, but they're less than a sixth of total human-sourced methane emissions.

      And yet, when those monster Apatosaurus, including the popular, but obsolete synonym Brontosaurus roamed the earth. I dare say one herd/tribe/pod produced a much methane as all the cattle that currently populate the earth.

      Little is known that could lead one to draw any conclusions about the large sauropods in terms of methane emissions. They weren't ruminants, although they did eat large quantities of plant matter. We don't know their herd size, and haven't even conclusively shown that herding behavior was significant for them. And more importantly, we don't know their total worldwide population. However, as large herbivores, one thing can be certain: they didn't have a particularly high global population density. It just wouldn't support them.

      There are approximately 1 trillion cattle worldwide. This is just cattle -- not counting other ruminants. These average about 1.5 tons at adulthood. An adult apatosaurus is estimated to weigh about 30 tons. If we assume a weight equivalence, that's the equivalent of 50 billion apatosaurus. It is extremely unlikely that there were that many apatosaurus -- or even total sauropods. We support this much cattle mass cattle via modern intensive agriculture and research.

      Furthermore, your notion is based on a premise -- that either the atmosphere is static or it's always changing harmlessly. But that's not the reality. The atmosphere has changed dramatically over history. Generally these changes are very slow; that's not a problem. It's when changes are rapid that there are problems. The last atmospheric change similar to what we're forcing nowadays was the PETM (Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum). The causes are still unknown, but one thing is known: over the course of hundreds or thousands of years (the blink of an eye by geologic standards), there was a CO2 and heat spike. This triggered a methane spike, which amplified the heat spike. The total warming input was approximately what we'll have locked in to if we continue the "business as usual" scenario through 2100. The results were dramatic and catastrophic. Entire ocean currents shifted. The climates of regions across the planet dramatically altered. Forests became plains became deserts became forests. The ocean became acidic, and most of the world's corals and carbonate-shelled plankton died, causing a massive upheaval in the oceanic food chains. The planet was left such a changed place that we give it a different name -- the Eocene.

      Now, my question to you is this: do you really want to create the Anthropocene?

      --
      Present day. Present time.
    5. Re:What Climate Problem? by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wow. Your source is Bob Carter, one of about two dozen (out of the world's several thousand professional climatologists) who is a public skeptic. And actually, he's not really a climatologist; he's a paleonolotist -- but don't let that stop you.

      FYI: 1998 was one of the strongest El Nino events in modern history. El Nino raises the atmosphere's temperature by slowing the upwelling of deep, cold water in the eastern pacific. La Nina cools it by just the opposite. It doesn't change the long-term picture, of course; the rate at which water cycles in the ocean has no bearing on how much total heat input there is into the system; ocean waters aren't magically decoupled from the rest of our atmosphere. It's just a source of white noise on top of the blatantly obvious signal.

      But don't let that stop you deniers from picking it as your starting point.

      And, also FYI: only one of the three major global climate databases lists 1998 as the hottest. The other two list 2005 (they were close). But again, don't let that stop you.

      --
      Present day. Present time.
    6. Re:What Climate Problem? by Rei · · Score: 2

      Ack, sorry -- it's 2 billion cattle, not trillion. Either way, though -- cattle aren't the only ruminants, there weren't an equivalent number of sauropods, and the only reason we can support as many as we do is modern high-density agriculture.

      --
      Present day. Present time.
    7. Re:What Climate Problem? by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

      Why can't my car use it?

      Not a dumb question at all! :) You brought up one of the biggest misunderstandings of physics that is the basis for innumerable perpetual motion/free energy scams: the concept of heat as energy.

      Yes, heat *is* energy. But you can't harvest it directly; you can only harvest heat from differences in temperature. Why? Entropy. A hot material is more "disordered" than a cold material. Hence, you harvest energy from heat alone, sure, you wouldn't be violating enthalpy, but you would be violating entropy. Entropy must always increase. Now, if you have a hot reservoir and a cold reservoir, you can harvest some energy from heat, so long as you increase the entropy of the cold reservoir more than the hot reservoir lost.

      If this law of the universe didn't exist, perpetual motion would be possible. Picture a closed system where you have a "heat harvester" that produces electricity without a cold reservoir, surrounded by a working fluid. It then runs some electrical appliance. The waste heat from the electrical appliance goes back into the working fluid, where it's harnessed again to make more electricity by the "heat harvester". Ad infinitum. Perpetual motion. And entropy forbids it.

      --
      Present day. Present time.
    8. Re:What Climate Problem? by pluther · · Score: 2, Funny

      So you're telling us that yet another problem would be solved by nuking Florida?

      --
      If the masses can keep you down, you're not the Ubermensch.
    9. Re:What Climate Problem? by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Funny

      "And actually, he's not really a climatologist; he's a paleonolotist"

      Bob Carter claims to be all sorts of things, I belive his basic education was in geology. He is from the "Institute of Public Affairs" who are basically anti-science lobbyists for the coal and other industries here in Oz.

      Listening to his opinion on AGW is akin to listening to Ivan the Terrible's opinion on human rights.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    10. Re:What Climate Problem? by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A) There isn't, that is media driven.

      To be fair to the mas-media they just reprint the lobbyists press-releases because conflict makes a good story and the psuedo-skeptics keep inventing new names for their think tanks but most of them can be tracked back to the Heartland Institute. If you remeber the "tabacco scientists" from the 80's you will recognise some of the names (eg: Fred Singer). They are nothing more than proffesional lobbyists in lab coats. That is not to say there are no arguments about the finer details but the idea our emmission can warm the Earth is now over a century old and the National academies of science first warned the US government that it was happening in the 50's.

      Yes peer-review is imperfect but I challenge you to find one paper in a reputable journal such as Science or Nature that disputes the much maligned "consesus". As you can see there are nearly 40,000 papers in just those two prestigious journals alone. I realise that's an unfair challenge because it's a daunting task and since the IPCC have already done it I'm pretty sure you won't find anything. I would prefer genuine skeptics (and I think you may be one), read what the editors of (say) Nature think about the problem, talk to some IPCC scientists and look at thier reports.

      I also agree it's true that it's possible to be paid by a FF company and still do honest science, however I ask you to be skeptical of people such as Carter who disagree with mainstream science, can't get a paper published on the subject and are paid by think tanks because, those traits put the in the same boat as young earth creationists. I also ask genuine skeptics to do a bit of their own geeky mythbusting before posting psuedo-skeptical drivel to slashdot as anything other than an example of anti-science.

      B) The "gap" in opinions exists because one side is driven by lobbyists, the other by science. I agree it's a complex subject and I admit that without some background it can appear to be a simple case of experts who can't agree on basic answers. However that's exactly what the psuedo-skeptics want you to think in order to delay any action that would upset their sponsers. They are a cynical bunch of pricks who know they have lost the science argument, they just want to drag it out as long as it's possible to be paid to do so.

      Here is just one example of that kind of political dishonesty.

      "We're all going to look back 50 years from now and probably laugh at BOTH sides as more or less equally flawed."

      In 50yrs I will either by getting a telegram from the Queen or be dead but I think in the next decade the coal industry are in for the same treatment the tabacoo companies recieved in the 90's. What this proponent of emmission control is saying is let's slow down this uncontrolled experiment on our biosphere and carefully examine how we can replace (or clean up) coal and let's do it with a free market based approach such as cap and trade rather than just another useless tax that allows the rich to pump out as much pollution as they can pay for while the rest of us suffer.

      Disclaimer: Politically I describe myself as a "fiscally conservative, science based greenie" but I have not been interested enough to vote since 1978. OTOH I have followed the scientific and political arguments over AGW for almost three decades now and became convinced we have a serious problem when the IPCC released their 1997 resports, I have never seen Gore's movie simply because I knew

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  2. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  3. Idea by jimbobborg · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why don't they use something to up the alkalinity of the ocean, like, crushed coral? Oh, wait...

    1. Re:Idea by TnkMkr · · Score: 4, Funny

      Wait... I have a better idea, lets engineer some sort of biological creature that will live off collecting the
      carbon from our atmosphere and sequesting it into some sort of solid state. We should engineer it to be solar powered and
      should be deployable over the entire surface of the earth.

      Don't worry, I'm sure technology will save us by developing this totaly new and radical solution.

  4. straw man argument by Captain+Kirk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Geo-engineering may make people think that we can carry on as now with no sacrifices. This article tries to re-inject a sense of fear. Its like saying "OK so the vacuum cleaner is good at cleaning the floor. But does it paint the garage? No? Well back to cleaning the floor with a mop then"

    Surely we deserve a more rational debate? Sacrifices are needed but sophistry will not persuade anyone.

    1. Re:straw man argument by Yvanhoe · · Score: 4, Interesting

      In the climate change debate, there are no places for sanity anymore. For years scientists have tried to warn politicians that *maybe* we ought to be *careful* about some *possible* consequences of our wastes and pollution. Every one dismissed them. Then, for right or wrong (I think for right but who knows), comes the IPCC and Al Gore. They put the scientific argument in the closet, took a deep breath and shouted PAAAAAANIIIIIICC ! And finally got some politicians to take actions. In the 70s you were a irresponsible hippy if you studied sea level rises or the downfall of biodiversity, now you are a irresponsible lackey of oil interest if you examine the various cataclysmic claims and propose to refine a model in the way that seems to minimize the IPCC conclusions.

      Big financial and political interests have now come into play, rational public debate is out.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
  5. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 5, Insightful

    the ocean is a sort of buffer solution

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffer_solution

    what is major component of this buffer? us. living critters and how they react to an increase in CO2

    http://oceancolor.gsfc.nasa.gov/SeaWiFS/TEACHERS/CHEMISTRY/

    which means the oceans will maintain their pH over a wide range of abuse and this notion of ocean acidification is hysteria

    You're probably right. I'm sure what you remember from high school is a good reason to dismiss the Carnegie Melon research team's results.

  6. Re:Volcanoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Good thing you thought of that - you should probably send them an email right away! You discovered the missing forcing that will keep our planet cool and our oceans pH balanced! Turns out that in all this freaking out about climate change, nobody who was even somewhat competent got involved at all.

  7. Re:Volcanoes by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

    Do these climate models take into account the fact that Volcanoes erupt from time to time, spewings tons of ash into the atmosphere, which reflects sunlight, and thereby cools the earth?

    Yes. And it's not the ash that primarily reflects the sunlight; it's the SOx. And the cooling is only temporary. And volcanoes also emit CO2. But a small fraction as much as humans release.

    And yes, volcanic ash is acidic.

    --
    Present day. Present time.
  8. It's a pity... by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... a few hundred billion metric tons of calcium hydroxide would be a really nice thing to have right about now.

  9. I have the answer. by yttrstein · · Score: 4, Funny

    http://image52.webshots.com/152/1/14/3/518111403JQgFmi_ph.jpg

  10. you must be new here by circletimessquare · · Score: 2, Insightful

    random trolls on slashdot always trump learned academics ;-)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  11. Re:Stop driving or die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    I don't see anyone, even the ones hollering about global warming, ceasing transportation activities that involve burning stuff and releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere

    Well, the ones that DO get dismissed as dirty hippies, and then you stop looking at them.

  12. Global experiments with us as guinea pigs by RichMan · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Ok, the whole solution of Geo-engineering is a WTF moment.

    We did not understand the global bio-sphere to begin with so we are in the Global-Environment change state. Now we propose attacking the symptoms without a full understanding of the dynamics.

    It is like we have are playing russian roulette here and we don't know how many chambers are loaded.

    Look at most attempts to "fix" environmental problems by introducing others. The bio-sphere is just way more interconnected than we can account for.

    The best solution is to reduce our foot-print as rapidly as we can. And make sure it stays that way.

  13. Re:Volcanoes by geekoid · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The amount of material eject by volcanoes is minuscule compared to what we put in the air, year after year.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  14. Re:Volcanoes by cthulu_mt · · Score: 2, Funny

    Prior to the agricultural revolution asteriods were the leading cause of mass extinction.

    Humans! The leader in every field of industry!

    --
    Virginia is for lovers. EVE is for griefers.
  15. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

    what is major component of this buffer? us. living critters and how they react to an increase in CO2

    Wow! Amazing that all of those egghead boffins living in their ivory towers with their hoity-toity "science" missed that one! Thank you so much for pointing it out!

    Except for the fact that most ocean life is not primarily constrained by CO2, but nutrients, especially iron. Whoops.

    I never ceased to be amazed at people who insist that something must be wrong with the science on a subject when they haven't done even the most rudimentary amount to educate themselves on what the science of the subject actually is. You could at least start by reading the relevant sections of the IPCC technical reports to see what actually has been studied and how. I guarantee you, it's way, way more than you ever expected.

    There's a reason why people go to college for years to get a degree in these fields. This isn't high school baking-soda-and-vinegar-volcanoes here. It's an incredibly complex science that you need a solid background in. At least spend a week reading peer-reviewed papers on the subject before you put fingers to keyboard. You're coming across like if someone who had never used a computer started talking about how programmers should make every piece of software be run by voice commands in spoken English sentences like "Could you open up the letter to my grandmother and edit out the part where I told her about my chihuahua?", and have the software figure out what you want it to do. You're broadcasting ignorance on the topic like a beacon.

    --
    Present day. Present time.
  16. Here's An Idea by spoonboy42 · · Score: 2, Funny

    We could dump a bunch of sodium bicarbonate (baking soda) into the ocean. It'll neutralize the acid and release... carbon dioxide. Crap! We're doomed.

    --
    Anonymous Luddite: "What do you think of the dehumanizing effects of the Internet?"
    Andy Grove: "Not Much."
  17. Noone is enthustiastic about geoengineering by amorsen · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Aerosols at best delay the rising temperatures. Perhaps we can come up with a temporary fix for the oceans, to tide us over until we can come up with a solution.

    If this report is correct, we'll need some quick hacks, because sustainable energy production has no chance to solve the problem on time.

    --
    Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  18. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Pardon me sir/madam, your facts are not welcome here. You must take your hysteria-free reasoning and go call a right-wing talk show or something.

  19. Pffft! Who are you going to believe? by StefanJ · · Score: 4, Funny

    Micheal Crichton, whose best-selling techno-thriller disproved global warming hysteria with copious footnotes . . . or so called "scientists" working for a "university" producing "peer reviewed research?"

    I tell you, these "facts" and "evidence" are trouble.

  20. academic research is cliquish by circletimessquare · · Score: 3, Insightful

    it often follows dire preconceptions and focuses on hysterical predictions in spite of obvious mitigating factors, most notably time scale, that dull real implications. if you sound the alarm bell, you get press and you get funding. if you say something like "more CO2 will increase the pH of the ocean, but at such a tiny amount over such a giant span of time, it doesn't make any sense to worry about it right now" then you won't make the slashdot front page. its "the emperor's new clothes" writ large. good science and good education is being done by climate researchers all over the globe... and also a pretty heavy dose of indoctrination and mythology making

    i believe global warming is a real force and we need to do something about it. but i'm hard pressed to worry about corals disappearing in an acid ocean on any time scale that is supposed to mean something

    if we are going to mitigate mankind's effects, we need to lose the hysteria

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:academic research is cliquish by Rei · · Score: 3, Informative

      if you sound the alarm bell, you get press and you get funding.

      Just the opposite. Any scientist willing to deny global warming has an automatic lucrative job lined up for them in the oil, gas, and coal industries. Period. And extensive press coverage to boot. There are about two dozen (out of the world's several thousand professional climatologists) who deny global warming. They get almost as much coverage as the rest of them combined.

      You don't make a name for yourself in the scientific community by simply repeating what others have said; you make a name for yourself by saying the opposite. And frankly, I'm sick and tired of every scientist in the world being accused of caring more about grants than funding, and the notion that the world's peer-review processes are a giant conspiracy.

      i believe global warming is a real force and we need to do something about it. but i'm hard pressed to worry about corals disappearing in an acid ocean on any time scale that is supposed to mean something

      Read about the PETM. It's happened before. We're doing it again.

      And again, it doesn't matter what you *believe*; it matters what peer-reviewed science says. It's not a matter of belief. It's a matter of empirical data. We have models, field data, lab data, and historical data all saying the exact same thing about ocean acidification. You can deny it until you're blue in the face, but that won't change the facts.

      --
      Present day. Present time.
  21. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by ArcherB · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm sure what you remember from high school is a good reason to dismiss the Carnegie Melon research team's results.

    I think the important thing to ask is, "Who paid for the study?"

    --
    There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
  22. Re:Volcanoes by blueg3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The average quantity of material ejected by volcanoes is small compared to human production, particularly when talking about greenhouse gases, which are long-term agents. Ash is a short-term agent, and volcanoes are well-known to produce their materials in short bursts. They can certainly cause dramatic short-term problems. In terms of greenhouse gas production, though, they are not a large force.

  23. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by Red+Flayer · · Score: 4, Informative

    Hey, why not go back and re-examine your textbooks from high school chemistry? It seems you slept through the second part of that lecture.

    Remember the lab where you had to determine the concentration of a buffer in solution that had pH-sensitive dyes in it?

    And how you could pipette huge amounts of an acid (or base) into the solution without a notable change in pH? But then you add one more drop and *presto* your solution was now purple (or orange, etc)? And with each drop added after that, there was no buffering effect?

    Buffer systems in the ocean are like that, though more complex.

    --
    "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  24. absolutely by circletimessquare · · Score: 2, Informative

    eutrophication seems to be a much more worrisome human-created force than rising CO2 levels, at least when it comes to the health of ocean ecosystems

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eutrophication

    but since its been known about for awhile, you can't generate headlines and hysteria and funding with dire predictions. the effects are real and sobering with eutrophication, and deserve far more study and mitigation than the notion of rising CO2 levels in the oceans on the timescales involved, that's for sure

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  25. Re:Simple solutions are possible by eean · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Dumping fertilizer into the sea would also work to absorb CO2 by promoting the growth of sea plant life.

    But any of these more biological solutions aren't really as easy as they first appear. Some forests produce large amounts of methane due to rotting plant material. In otherwords, some forests might actually just be greenhouse gas neutral (which makes sense, ecosystems work because they don't mess stuff up).

    So yea. Capping emissions is a good idea.

  26. Re:Volcanoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's volcanoes fault is a classic rationalize. There have been far worse volcanic episodes in the last flew million years without causing the spike we have seen in CO2. The increase in CO2 mirrors the onset of industrialization. Deal with it. In the short term acidification is probably a far worse problem than actual warming and ironically in the long run it's the most frightening. Also simply blocking sunlight seems like an extreme solution when we depend on the sun for food. The extreme end of that scale is called night. Which is easier in the end, behaving responsibly or spending trillions of dollars on unproven techniques for undoing the damage we are doing? If we'd simply spend the money spent on avoiding the issues on actual solutions we could fix the problem. I recently heard that it will likely cost an additional trillion dollars for carbon sequestering so we can keep burning coal, a trillion dollars! And that's just an estimate since it's also unproven technology. Is it smarter to keep spending trillions of dollars on the status quo or to fix the problem once and for all?

  27. Re:Simple solutions are possible by LuvlyOvipositor · · Score: 2, Informative

    Dumping fertilizer into the sea would also work to absorb CO2 by promoting the growth of sea plant life.

    Which leads to algal blooms, which prevent sunlight from reaching submerged aquatic vegetation, which leads to plant die-off which leads to lack of oxygen production, which leads to fish kills. Look up submerged aquatic vegetation (SAVs) in the chesapeake bay for examples of this happening (and excessive oyster dredging).

    --
    Where do we go from here?
  28. You're just a dick by royallthefourth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Don't be a fool. There are obvious things that everyone can do to reduce pollution at a personal level.

    40% of all car trips go less than 2 miles. Get a bike and use it when it makes sense.
    Turn up your AC a few degrees. You'll use less energy.
    Get a reusable shopping bag and stop using plastic ones.

    It's not perfect, but it's much better than doing nothing. If I can do it, so can nearly everyone. If everyone did, we'd be in less trouble than we are now.

  29. Re:By all means. You first! by Yvanhoe · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Most important option missing : Stop making more than 1 baby per couple !

    --
    The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
  30. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 2, Informative

    No, that's an Ad Hominem. The important thing to ask is, "Is the research scientifically sound?"

    You're right, my reply was kind of ad hominem-ish.

    But I think the notion of ad hominem is overly simplistic. I agree that the correctness of an argument is generally independent of who advances it. But most of us have limited time to consider a given issue, and we need to use our best judgment to decide whose arguments to consider, simply due to time constraints.

    When given two arguments, one presented by a research team from a respected univeristy, and another from a guy who admits that he might be mis-remembering his high school chemistry, I'm going to invest much more time in the latter, because it's more likely to be a good use of my time.

  31. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by Rycross · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I was actually replying to the following idea:

    I think the important thing to ask is, "Who paid for the study?"

    This sort of reasoning is typically used to throw away useful results without properly analyzing the research. If the source of funding is affecting the results, then a peer-review of that research should turn up discrepancies.

    On the other hand, believing an argument based on the authority of the person giving the argument isn't valid logic per se, but for everyday life, and general cases, its usually an effective short-cut. There are not enough hours in the day to properly validate every single claim we come across in every-day lives. However, these sorts of logical short-cuts should not be applied by scientists and policy-makers. These are the exact same people that are often asked to ignore the scientific evidence and give weight to emotional arguments.

    For instance, it is one thing for you and I to disregard an oil company's research as "probably invalid." It is altogether entirely different for the scientific community and politicians to do so. They should not disregard the research because of the source.

  32. Re:By all means. You first! by mr_mischief · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Also, wait until you're older to have that one child.

    A big part of the problem is also that when you live 80 years and have kids at 20, you have your kids, yourself, your parents at 40, your grandparents at 60, and your great-grandparents at 80 all alive at once.

    If you're living to 80 and having kids at 15 each generation, that's your kids, you, your parents at 30, grandparents at 45, great-grandparents at 60, and great-great-grandparents at 75. Maybe even some great-great grandparents.

    If, OTOH, you dial that back some and have kids at 30, you have you, your kids, and your parents at 60 and maybe some of your grandparents.

    Three to four living generations are a lot more sustainable than six or seven. It's not all about the kids per generation, but also the time between generations.

  33. Re:in for a penny in for a pound by mr_mischief · · Score: 2, Funny

    "North America"

    Hey, they said the oceans were gonna rise, right? So all that limestone sediment in the Mississippi drainage basin goes back into the sea, and the corals are fine. The humans get kinda screwed, though.

  34. Re:Al Gore's manbearpig got another one. by dgatwood · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In the southern hemisphere, a great many. Why do you ask?

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  35. Re:if i remember well from high school chemistry by c6gunner · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They've shown that increased temperatures causes a release of CO2, but they have NOT shown that CO2 increases temperatures

    Nonsense. Kids in grade 5 are performing experiments which confirm this effect. Here, you can try this one at home:

    1. Obtain 2 glass jars, 2 thermometers, and a lamp.
    2. Place thermometers inside jars, and place jars under the lamp (either with lid on, or upside-down).
    3. After 20 minutes, check the temperature. Both readings should be identical.
    4. Fill one jar with C02. After 20 minutes, check the temperature. Compare to initial readings.

    I'm sure your children could have shown this to you if you had asked them, but, just on the off-chance that they haven't seen it, you might want to talk to them about it. It could be a fun science-based activity for the whole family!

  36. Re:Volcanoes by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "Do these climate models take into account the fact that Volcanoes erupt from time to time"

    YES. Look carefully and you will find that models usually assume one large eruption per decade. The predicted cooling from the models assumptions was remarkably acurate in the case of observations from Mt Pinatubo, furthermore those predictions came from a model created 20yrs ago!

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.