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Thorium, the Next Nuclear Fuel?

mrshermanoaks writes "When the choices for developing nuclear energy were being made, we went with uranium because it had the byproduct of producing plutonium that could be weaponized. But thorium is safer and easier to work with, and may cause a lot fewer headaches. 'It's abundant — the US has at least 175,000 tons of the stuff — and doesn't require costly processing. It is also extraordinarily efficient as a nuclear fuel. As it decays in a reactor core, its byproducts produce more neutrons per collision than conventional fuel. The more neutrons per collision, the more energy generated, the less total fuel consumed, and the less radioactive nastiness left behind. Even better, Weinberg realized that you could use thorium in an entirely new kind of reactor, one that would have zero risk of meltdown. The design is based on the lab's finding that thorium dissolves in hot liquid fluoride salts. This fission soup is poured into tubes in the core of the reactor, where the nuclear chain reaction — the billiard balls colliding — happens. The system makes the reactor self-regulating: When the soup gets too hot it expands and flows out of the tubes — slowing fission and eliminating the possibility of another Chernobyl. Any actinide can work in this method, but thorium is particularly well suited because it is so efficient at the high temperatures at which fission occurs in the soup.' So why are we not building these reactors?"

113 of 710 comments (clear)

  1. Why? by Broken+scope · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Because a number of groups with rather different goals have one thing in common.

    Sustainable nuclear power is a threat to their pocketbooks.

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    You mad
    1. Re:Why? by Ichijo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sustainable nuclear power is...

      ...an oxymoron. There's only so much Thorium in the world.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    2. Re:Why? by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hey! Guess what? Everything is finite. What do you think you build solar panels and wind turbines from, pot smoke?

    3. Re:Why? by Cwix · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmm 100 years.. give us time to make lotsa solar panels and wind turbines before we run out, not saying we as a collective will have the smarts to do that, but it will give us an opportunity to advance our technology to a less finite resource. Just cause it will eventually (potentially thousands of years) run out isn't a viable reason for not using it.

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      You are entitled to your own opinions, not your own facts.
    4. Re:Why? by cheesybagel · · Score: 2, Interesting
      There's only so much coal in the world as well. But we have been burning it for centuries and there is still more.

      There's only so much carbon fibre in the world to make windmills too.

    5. Re:Why? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sorry to break it to you, but there are only so many years that the sun will be burning and the wind will be blowing. So these aren't sustainable either, right? The truth is, there is a practical method for extracting Uranium and Thorium from sea water. Japanese research shows we could do this for about $120/kg of Uranium - which, if burned completely in a reactor produces a great deal of energy. Since Thorium is more abundant, it should be cheaper.

      And the nice thing is that even if we used seawater Uranium to provide 100% of the world's energy (inc. transportation), the rivers of the world would still be adding more Uranium to the oceans each year than we could ever remove. So nuclear fission is not indefinitely sustainable. It's only sustainable as long as rivers keep running to the sea, which is on the same order of magnitude as the life cycle of sun-type stars.

    6. Re:Why? by Vintermann · · Score: 3, Interesting

      > The carbon footprint of making one 60m high wind turbine is approximately the same as the carbon footprint said wind turbine will save in fossil fuel in its lifetime.

      No. Not even close. Orders of magnitude wrong.

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    7. Re:Why? by JetTredmont · · Score: 5, Informative

      The "uses more carbon to produce than it saves in its lifetime" charge is a persistent myth. It seems just "shocking" enough to be true, and happens to coincide with what many rich interests would like to be true. As a result, it comes up quite often in non-fact-centric talk shows and as a result is something that a lot of people just "know". Unfortunately, it's just not true.

      I have researched this and haven't been able to find a time when it was EVER true, but it certainly isn't true of either modern solar cells (even in small-scale deployments) or wind turbines. Moreover, as the general power supply becomes "greener", the carbon footprint for manufacturing (a huge portion of which comes from the energy needed to produce, not raw materials) also declines.

      Example calculation for mid-size (office building) solar deployment: http://greenestofthegreen.wordpress.com/2008/09/08/solar-panels-the-smallest-footprint/

      - Calculates a carbon break-even point of 15 months, for a product expected to last for 25 years on the inside.
      - Obviously comes from the company making these, so take it with a grain of salt, but it's not likely to be off by the order of magnitude or more needed to make your statement true.

      I can't find similar calculations for wind turbines fro a quick Google search, but the return on carbon "investment" there is shorter-term (assuming a windy area and fairly large-scale deployment of multiple wind turbines in a pass). If you have a citable reference stating otherwise, please share it with the class.

    8. Re:Why? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The carbon footprint of making one 60m high wind turbine is approximately the same as the carbon footprint said wind turbine will save in fossil fuel in its lifetime.

      Source?

  2. declining oil production by Colin+Smith · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Even Iran wants nuclear power for this reason.

    You sure it isn't because their oil production has peaked and is now declining alarmingly quickly?

     

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    1. Re:declining oil production by FooAtWFU · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's probably a point, but with the fervor of their anti-Israeli rhetoric, only a fool would ignore the possibility that they're after a nuclear weapon.

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    2. Re:declining oil production by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Lets assume that was the case. Then why worry about creating the fuel, even though it is easy to get, prior to building your first reactor? Seriously, their behavior is not one that is worried about energy, but about other issues. Even if their oil has peaked, it will be many decades before a real impact is made. Instead, they should be worried about building up other industries, than about building enriched uranium and plutonium.

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    3. Re:declining oil production by theguyfromsaturn · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And I think I remember a report from a few weeks back on BBC saying how we have been consuming more Uranium in existing nuclear plants than we have been producing... if it hadn't been for stockpiles we wouldn't have been able to run currently existing nuclear plants. It is very coincidental that we not speak of this "alternative fuel".

      It is also a very bad news when people talk about the "boom in tar sands" as a good thing. Tar sands are expensive (energy wise) to exploit, and wouldn't be put into production in any kind of massive scale if better sources of oil existed. It is a very bad indicator of the state of the energy supplies.

      I've noticed that ever since global oil production peaked in 2008, there has been a "flurry of green initiatives" in the news worldwide. Under the pretense of showing increased concern about the environment, I have no doubt that it reflects more a state of panic of the higher ups that the warnings so long ignored have come to be true.

      Sadly any alternative source of energy, requires time to develop and deploy, and will itself become an energy sink during that development/deployment phase. That is why those who first warned of peak oil, and general limits to growth, also mentioned that it was necessary to start preparing for the peak BEFORE it happened, one or even two decades before if possible. The current salvation is the slowed down economy, but it won't last forever, and demand will soon hit the ceiling again... which will likely cause further economic hardships, which in turn will have a direct influence on the development and deployment of alternatives.

      It's a catch 22 scenario. I just wish we'd had 40 years forewarning so we could prepare. Wait, we actually did. And we haven't even started talking about the population problem yet. Maybe if we keep ignoring it, that problem will also go away without any kind of hardship for anybody. (and yes both problems WILL take care of themselves even if we ignore them, just like global warming will too, in the same way that mother nature always uses to take care of such problems... the human species, along with many others, may not like how she does things, however, which is why maybe we could have tried to engineer our way out of it by alternate means).

      But who am I to talk? I'm sure that our government/corporate overlords, under the wise guidance of conventional economists know better. So no need to fear.

      --
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    4. Re:declining oil production by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Interesting

      hen why worry about creating the fuel, even though it is easy to get, prior to building your first reactor?

      National security? If you rely on someone else, you are left at their mercy. They can just turn off your economy. This is actually a problem which Europe is facing with respect to Russian gas.

      Even if their oil has peaked, it will be many decades before a real impact is made.

      Declining revenues happen immediately, how would you fancy a 30 year recession? How long would it take to build a Nuclear based infrastructure? It'll take decades.

      Instead, they should be worried about building up other industries

      Without energy, how would they run these other industries? Everything is based on energy, our primary energy source just now is oil.

      Iran may well be after the bomb, but I haven't seen any evidence that they're doing anything more than planning a move away from oil. i.e. more foresight than most western governments.
       

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    5. Re:declining oil production by mweather · · Score: 2, Interesting

      National security? If you rely on someone else, you are left at their mercy. They can just turn off your economy.

      Bingo. Iran doesn't want another country to do to them what they did to the West in the 70s.

    6. Re:declining oil production by CdBee · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well given that they're just down the street from a state with a serious racial prejudice problem and nuclear weapons, I can hardly blame them for that. As far as I''m concerned either both Israel and Iran should have nukes, or neither should. Imbalances in that part of the world usually lead to genocide

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    7. Re:declining oil production by FooAtWFU · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oil is the primary energy source, mostly due to cars and trucks and such, but coal and natural gas (combined) power just as much, and the US has lots of both. In a bad enough oil crisis, the US could ramp up coal production and convert cars (and furnaces) to run off of compressed natural gas (which is common enough in niche markets, mostly big fleets).

      --
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    8. Re:declining oil production by Nutria · · Score: 4, Insightful

      North Korea has nukes, and we leave them alone.

      Nah. It's because Seoul (with 25% of ROK's population) is 30km from the DMZ, which means that it's within reach of large artillery and MLRS/Katyusha rockets.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    9. Re:declining oil production by Darkness404 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      You have to also see it from the side of everyone else who isn't Iran. You have an unstable country, a country where protesters are routinely shot. A president that many disagree with both his policies and question if he was really elected. And who in the world would trust a leader who says these quotes...

      They have invented a myth that Jews were massacred and place this above God, religions and the prophets. The West has given more significance to the myth of the genocide of the Jews, even more significant than God, religion, and the prophets, (it) deals very severely with those who deny this myth but does not do anything to those who deny God, religion, and the prophet.

      Basically, he denies that the holocaust happened. And attacks those who have tolerance of religion or the lack of.

      Is it possible for us to witness a world without America and Zionism? You should know that this slogan, this goal, can certainly be achieved.

      Basically, not only does he think Israel doesn't have the right to exist, but apparently neither does America.

      In Iran we don't have homosexuals like in your country. [...] In Iran we do not have this phenomenon. I don't know who's told you that we have this.

      And he not only denies gay rights, but denies that there were even homosexuals in Iran. Even America didn't deny the fact there were black people who were being oppressed. Some might have said that they weren't being oppressed but no one would be as stupid as to say that there is no such thing as black people.

      So in light of a politically unstable region, a leader who has made stupid and dangerous comments, how can we say letting them have nuclear power/weapons is a good thing? If Iran wants nuclear power, how about they let the developed nations build and supervise the infrastructure until Iran becomes stable?

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    10. Re:declining oil production by Nexus7 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How exactly did Israel suffer and how exactly are they accountable, any more than Iran? They weren't accountable when they got nukes, and once they did, they became even less so. They ensure Palestine is essentially a ghetto without real blowback. Nukes gave them the same non-accountability and irresponsibility than Pakistan got with their nukes.

      I'm no fan of the Iranian govt, but neither am I of the Israeli one. Instead of teetering on edge all the time about when Israel is going to attack Iran's wannabe nuke facilities with rockets, I'd rather they have MAD. Actually I'd rather there were a regulated peace, but no one (and I mean the US govt here) wants that, apparently.

      By the way, it's irrelevant how many allies it has "in that part" of the world. They have the only ally that counts.

    11. Re:declining oil production by Tellarin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      While I can see the validity of your main point about Iran being "unstable" and not democratic, the way you present your argument has at least two deep flaws.

      You have to also see it from the side of everyone else who isn't Iran.

      Like every other country in the region that is not Israel? Are they as concerned as the west about Iran's nuclear program? What about their opinion on the fact that Israel secretly produced nuclear weapons and still has them?

      And he not only denies gay rights, but denies that there were even homosexuals in Iran. Even America didn't deny the fact there were black people who were being oppressed. Some might have said that they weren't being oppressed but no one would be as stupid as to say that there is no such thing as black people.

      Denying human rights to anyone is unacceptable. And of course denying the existence of people with different sexual orientations, when it is a well know fact of life, is stupid. But your analogy is simply wrong. One of the reasons why no one who practiced slavery (or oppressed black people) would deny their existence was simply because they treated black people as less than people. In their view, they were not equals.

      Ah, BTW, a country leader making stupid and dangerous comments is in no way an Iranian privilege.

    12. Re:declining oil production by Cheech+Wizard · · Score: 2, Informative

      "You sure it isn't because their oil production has peaked and is now declining alarmingly quickly?"

      Yes. I'm pretty sure... I've seen the actual raw data on oil reserves for that region while consulting in the Middle East. They're not peaking for another 200 years or so at the projected outputs.

      They've all read the peak oil books and are laughing all the way to the bank.

      (posting anonymously for obvious reasons)

      Posting anonymously because it's bull. 200 years to peak oil there? Maybe if they don't sell any.

    13. Re:declining oil production by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You are under the misguided impression Iran's biggest enemy in the region is israel. It is not. It has yankee troops on two borders, and has the Saudi's to contend with for leadership as the per-eminent Muslim state. The rhetoric against israel is just that, rhetoric with some token proxies causing a fuss to make it look like they're doing something. The real prize is to destabilize saudi, who regularly publicly toy with the idea of being nuclear armed.

      Who do you think the saudi's are buying all the F15's to protect themselves against exactly? Not Israel. And until the yanks are out of Iraq it's an arms race between Saudi and Iran to see who gets to seize control of the place the moment the last yankee boot is out of there. The iranians and saudi's have been and will perpetually be at each others throats. Iran is too relatively powerful (compared to Saudi) to be ignored, but too small compared to the Sunni world to risk ticking them off too much - and they need a strong defence to prevent the Sunni's from trying to wipe the idol worshipers out to deal with this problem once and for all.

      Complaining about israel is the middle east equivalent of westerners complaining taxes are too high, every now and then someone comes along and makes some token changes to policy to win political support, but basically everyone knows the game and is not out to rock the boat too much. Admittedly there is a real danger than you'll get some idiot in charge who actually believes all of the rhetoric, but that is not presently the case with Iran.

    14. Re:declining oil production by AigariusDebian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      US will veto anything that tries to punish Israel on the world stage, so no - Israel has no accountability. Most countries would have been taken over by NATO Peace keeper forces decades ago for all the crap that Israel does.

    15. Re:declining oil production by rhakka · · Score: 2, Insightful

      and nobody who wants to die rises through a power structure to lead a nation.

      Only people who like, and want, power get there. they do not want their power base to evaporate, nor do they want to die.

      You are never going to have to worry about a national suicide bombing.

    16. Re:declining oil production by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      based on information that has been brought forward by a few different sources, it's safe to assume that Israel has had possession of nukes as far back as the 70s.

      yet... you haven't heard anything about israel testing them, or threatening anyone with using them.

      You should listen more closly to Iran leader rehetoric. They see israel as an offshoot of the US, NOT THE OTHER WAY ARROUND. they publicly refare to the US is "the big Satan" while Israeli is only the "The Little Satan".

      If you think that Iran, with it's current regime, is a threat to Israel alone. I have a few bridges to sell you.

    17. Re:declining oil production by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They ensure Palestine is essentially a ghetto without real blowback.

      You're confusing the matter. The Arab States ensure that the Palestinians remain in ghettos. Little holding camps within the Arab States that the refugees cannot escape from. They do this because they view the Palestinian refugees as a weapon to use against the West.

      It's an appalling situation, and the Arab States are responsible for it. 'Palestine' didn't even exist as a nation. Just a bunch of arabs who lived in that area.

    18. Re:declining oil production by ThePhilips · · Score: 2, Informative

      Posting anonymously because it's bull. 200 years to peak oil there? Maybe if they don't sell any.

      IIRC, there is an embargo on Iran selling oil. In other words: yes, they do not sell any.

      --
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    19. Re:declining oil production by dheltzel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While you have a good point, the situation now is that one country has an established capability and the other is building that capability and engaging in hostile rhetoric at the same time. That seems suicidal to me. I fully expect that one day, Israel will get scared and make a first strike on Iran, and since they will only get one shot (due to the public outcry from the rest of the world), it will be a definitive attack. It would be hard for any thinking person to say that Iran didn't bring that on themselves, but I would grieve for the many in Iran who are made to suffer because of the stupidity of their leaders.

      It seems almost a certainty to me that the Middle East will erupt in a nuclear war at some point. No one there is willing to compromise and they all think that they have the moral high ground, a very dangerous opinion for political leaders to have.

    20. Re:declining oil production by Nutria · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Iranians are not suicidal virgin seekers.

      You don't become the leader of a theocracy by being moderate.

      The real reason is that Israel is at odds with middle east

      Being a tiny sliver of a nation, surrounded by enemies (do you not remember how many times Israel has been invaded?) who vastly outnumber you and hate your guts does tend to generate well-justified paranoia.

      and cannot see another rising power.

      Sure they see another rising power. With missile to reach Israel and "soon" nukes to attach to them.

      From what I've read (not on FNC), most Iranians are not anti-US, but they are firmly anti-Israel.

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      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    21. Re:declining oil production by sycodon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I believe that Hamas and their buddies have much more responsibility for civilian deaths than does Israel.

      When you launch attacks from occupied civilian dwellings, you have to expect to be hit back. They deliberately put their civilian population in jeopardy and then whine about civilian casualties.

      --
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    22. Re:declining oil production by Buelldozer · · Score: 3, Informative

      How can you say these things with a clear conscience? You're either misinformed or attempting to pull off one helluva a bald faced lie!

      "Last I checked Iranians weren't training terrorists."

      http://www.iranfocus.com/en/terrorism/exclusive-terrorist-training-camps-in-iran-05956.html - London, Feb. 27 – Iran Focus has obtained a list of 20 terrorist camps and centres run by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).

      "And it is well known that Iran has actually not supported Hezbollah, contrary to popular American rhetoric."

      Oh really? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hezbollah_of_Iran - "The Hezbollah, or Party of God, (also HizbAllah or Hizbullah) is an Iranian movement formed at the time of the Iranian Revolution to assist the Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and his forces in consolidating power."

      Or

      http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/18/world/africa/18iht-iran.2232363.html - "On Tuesday, Iran's rhetorical threats against Israel and its unswerving embrace of Hezbollah continued."

      I'm trying to not be offensive but your viewpoint has left me incredulous! How do you say the things you do, which are in direct contradiction to well known and cited information, WITHOUT CITATION and then get modded to +5 insightful?

      Help me out here.

    23. Re:declining oil production by c6gunner · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm trying to not be offensive but your viewpoint has left me incredulous! How do you say the things you do, which are in direct contradiction to well known and cited information, WITHOUT CITATION and then get modded to +5 insightful?

      Because on slashdot, anything critical of Israel automatically gets modded up. It doesn't matter if it's sourced, or if it's accurate, or even if it's internally consistent. As long as you complain about Israel, you're guaranteed mod points.

    24. Re:declining oil production by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's overwhelmingly Israel that's doing the killing. It's over 100:1.

      It's a very well known technique of dealing with casualties in Arab-Israeli conflicts: do not differentiate them into military and civilians. Because if you do, turns out that vast majority of Arab casualties are armed militants.

      At that point, the proportion actually makes sense: you have a ragtag, badly armed and badly trained army with virtually no strategic command going against one of the best-trained and best-equipped armies in the world. Of course the casualty rate is going to be insane!

      But guess what? If you don't pick a fight with a well-armed guy who minds his own business, you don't get to be beaten into bloody pulp as an outcome.

    25. Re:declining oil production by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Funny

      . And it is well known that Iran has actually not supported Hezbollah, contrary to popular American rhetoric.

      Absolutely. For some reason, however, some local Lebanese paramilitary groups were so pissed off about this non-existent Iranian presence in Lebanon (and their support for Hezbollah), that they've declared war on the Iranian Revolutionary Guards - specifically, Kataeb (Falange) did so. Weird people...

      Also, Hezbollah are armed with such products of Iranian military complex as Fajr-3 and Fajr-5 rocket artillery, and Ra'ad and Toophan AT missiles. Clearly those must be gifted to them by Allah's divine intervention, since we know that Hezbollah is not supported by Iran at all.

      Iranians are not suicidal virgin seekers.

      Indeed, and using volunteer militia to create passages through mine fields by means of human waves is a very good testament to that!

    26. Re:declining oil production by quanticle · · Score: 2, Insightful

      War is not a game. You can't launch attacks from civilian buildings and then complain about "fairness" or "proportionality" when those buildings get bombed.

      In my opinion, the methods the Palestinians are employing are all wrong. As long as they continue armed struggle, they cannot win against the overwhelming military advantage that Israel enjoys. However, if they leverage their advantage in birthrate, and simply stage lots of sit-ins, eventually they will break the Israeli civilian population's will. After all, no democracy has successfully crushed a non-violent protest movement. As long as there is even a token level of violence from the opposition, the leadership can use it as a fig leaf to justify a response (no matter how severe - look at Haditha). However, if the opposition is completely non-violent, there isn't anything that the leadership can use to hide the depravity of their actions.

      Just as with the Indian independence struggle, the Palestinians will only succeed when they renounce violence.

      --
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  3. Why not? by Enry · · Score: 5, Insightful

    - 1/2 the country doesn't believe what scientists tell them: evolution, global warming, birth control/STDs. Why believe them now?

    - No new nuclear plants have been built in 30-ish years.

    - uranium was thought to be pretty much endless, so why do more research into thorium? (yes, U is getting in short supply now)

    - nuclear power still has the stigma of 3 Mile Island and Chernobyl attached to it. It'll be tough to get public opinion on that changed, especially with advances in fuel cell and solar technologies

    1. Re:Why not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      This is good news especially now that the unobtainium supplies have been cut off from Pandora.

    2. Re:Why not? by plover · · Score: 4, Funny

      This is good news especially now that the unobtainium supplies have been cut off from Pandora.

      We should have just nuked that planet from orbit, then swooped down and picked up the unobtainium from their hot, smurfy ashes.

      But no, they had to send in some hot-shot Colonel who had to prove how tough he was by taking them on in hand-to-hand combat, and in the process showing all the greenies just how cute and cuddly the smurfs were. Idiot. Now we can't touch their planet at all because of the outcries from the eco-nuts.

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      John
    3. Re:Why not? by QuoteMstr · · Score: 5, Informative

      yes, U is getting in short supply now

      Not true.

    4. Re:Why not? by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nice selective reading.

      Thus the world's present measured resources of uranium (5.5 Mt) in the cost category somewhat below present spot prices and used only in conventional reactors, are enough to last for over 80 years

      That's actually amazingly good. Consider 1) we're likely to explore for more reserves as we deplete current ones (and that we've done very little exploration so far), 2) nuclear fuel is such a small part of a reactor's operating budget that its price can increase tenfold with no impact on price of electricity at the meter, we're in good shape.

    5. Re:Why not? by definate · · Score: 4, Informative

      "It is clear from this Figure that known uranium resources have increased threefold since 1975, in line with expenditure on uranium exploration. (The decrease in the decade 1983-93 is due to some countries tightening their criteria for reporting. If this were carried back two decades, the lines would fit even more closely.) Increased exploration expenditure in the future is likely to result in a corresponding increase in known resources."

      "Widespread use of the fast breeder reactor could increase the utilisation of uranium 50-fold or more. This type of reactor can be started up on plutonium derived from conventional reactors and operated in closed circuit with its reprocessing plant. Such a reactor, supplied with natural or depleted uranium for its "fertile blanket", can be operated so that each tonne of ore yields 60 times more energy than in a conventional reactor."

      Read more, type less.

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  4. Re:Cost by RichMan · · Score: 2, Informative

    Nope the thorium reaction path produces weapons grade fissibles.
    So still no explanation as to why no common use of Thorium reactors.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium

    The thorium fuel cycle mainly creates Uranium-233 which can be used for making nuclear weapons, and since there are no neutrons from spontaneous fission of U-233, U-233 can be used easily in a gun-type nuclear bomb. ... some weapons proliferation risk due to production of 233U; ....

  5. Re:Cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    India's Kakrapar-1 reactor is the world's first reactor which uses thorium rather than depleted uranium to achieve power flattening across the reactor core.[21] India, which has about 25% of the world's thorium reserves, is developing a 300 MW prototype of a thorium-based Advanced Heavy Water Reactor (AHWR). The prototype is expected to be fully operational by 2011, following which five more reactors will be constructed.[22] Considered to be a global leader in thorium-based fuel, India's new thorium reactor is a fast-breeder reactor and uses a plutonium core rather than an accelerator to produce neutrons. As accelerator-based systems can operate at sub-criticality they could be developed too, but that would require more research.[23] India currently envisages meeting 30% of its electricity demand through thorium-based reactors by 2050.[24]

  6. Gimmick by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    On the one hand, modern uranium reactors (pebble bed, or even well-made light water reactors) are perfectly safe. Using thorium instead is at best a minor improvement.

    On the other hand, if using a different fuel convinces members of the general public that nuclear power is safe, and allows the construction of new facilities in less than a decade, that's great, and worth it even if thorium is slightly inferior as a fuel. In short, it can be a PR win.

    1. Re:Gimmick by Rehnberg · · Score: 5, Insightful

      and worth it even if thorium is slightly inferior as a fuel. In short, it can be a PR win.

      Based on the article, I'm not sure that thorium is an inferior fuel. At the very least, it seems more efficient and more abundant, as well as less dangerous than uranium. To me, that's more important than raw power output, especially given that thorium cannot be weaponized.

    2. Re:Gimmick by naasking · · Score: 4, Informative

      Thorium is a significant efficiency improvement over Uranium or Plutonium reactors, and this is disregarding the safety improvements inherent to a salt-based reactor. I'm not sure how you could possibly conclude it's a minor improvement.

    3. Re:Gimmick by JetTredmont · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think the main argument against Thorium is that it isn't Uranium. While that may seem specious, the argument has some merit: we have a large body of knowledge in dealing with Uranium. We'll end up finding issues with large-scale Thorium reactors, just as we did when going from Uranium prototypes to large-scale Gen-2 reactors in the 1950s.

      Of course, the other potential problem is the geographic dispersion of the mineral. Australia and India are the big winners there, although with the US coming in fourth (after Norway) so far as we know today, it's a bit better distribution than we have with oil (Uranium leaves the US as #8 in the world, but Canada is #1 by a long shot, and I think the US is more comfortable with that than with India in a similar position). Of course, the problem with this is that it's really a big unknown because we haven't really been looking for it.

      Not to say we shouldn't do it, given all the benefits. But let's not fool ourselves into believing that it's a so-obvious-we-should-have-done-it-yesterday solution.

  7. Problems by SteveAstro · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I am working on the very periphery of the problem, designing equipment to measure the properties of hot radioactive molten fluorides - in the region between 900-1700 C, for European nuclear researchers. Clearly one of the problems which should be obvious is that we are looking at cutting edge material technology to work at these temperatures and neutron fluxes !

    1. Re:Problems by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 4, Funny

      Clearly one of the problems which should be obvious is that we are looking at cutting edge material technology to work at these temperatures and neutron fluxes !

      Well, duh. We didn't mention it because it was so obvious! Most slashdotters have known that crap from, like, CS 201.

  8. Re:zero-risk? by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And how many genuinely foolproof and fail-safe machines do you use every day without noticing, because they work so well?

    We can build nuclear reactors that are safe, and we don't need thorium to do it. We can build inherently safe nuclear reactors today using a variety of techniques. (See "void coefficient".)

    But like I said above, if using thorium leads to new public acceptance of nuclear power, it's a win regardless of its technical merits.

  9. Re:Cost by sznupi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Japan, Canada, South Korea

    Those certainly use their own tech in nuclear reactors, they actually build them instead of contracting out. But don't have any bombs.

    Ukraine is also an interesting example. Not sure how much of a nuclear power plant they can build domestically, but certainly quite a bit...and they had 5000 warheads when the USSR dissolved. Got rid of all of them.

    --
    One that hath name thou can not otter
  10. Why move to Thorium? by kestasjk · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Uranium is also abundant and safe, but it's a lot better known than thorium. Thorium is promising, but there's no need for an alternative nuclear fuel at the moment (and probably won't be for a very long time). The nuclear fuel isn't what caused the Chernobyl disaster, it was the reactor, and huge amounts of research has been invested into new uranium based reactors with all sorts of properties making them safer and cheaper.

    Thorium looks good and should be researched, but with nuclear fuel we're spoiled for choice. The idea that we need to find a new nuclear fuel for safety or cost reasons only damages the chance of people getting behind the fine technology we have/are-developing now.

    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    1. Re:Why move to Thorium? by naasking · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Because we're scheduled to run out of easily mined Uranium within the next 10 years, unless the US's military stockpiles are released. Thorium is far more abundant, is safer since it can't be weaponized and it's meltdown-proof in liquid salt reactors, and more importantly, is much, much more efficient as a nuclear fuel. So I disagree with all of your points, save one: Uranium is not abundant or safe, but I grant you that Uranium is more well known; it's infamy can also be considered a problem however.

  11. Only a bridge ore by wembley+fraggle · · Score: 5, Funny

    These days, people only mine Thorium while they're working on getting their skill up to the Fel Iron and outlands level. One thing worth noting is that somewhere in the past few patches, they've made it so you can mine Fel Iron at 275, which is pretty nice. No more running around the Eastern Plaguelands looking for Rich Thorium Nodes for those last few points when you'd rather be in Hellfire Peninsula.

  12. Because nuclear is still "scary" by Rehnberg · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I brought this article up in my government class a few weeks ago (we spend more time discussing what the government is doing than how it's set up), and I couldn't convince a single person that this new kind of reactor was safe. Let's face it: years of not building reactors combined with years of scare tactics from our government about other countries building reactors can't be undone with science. Propaganda > Science

    1. Re:Because nuclear is still "scary" by nadaou · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Propaganda > Science

      yeah, but science has a much longer half-life.

      --
      ~.~
      I'm a peripheral visionary.
  13. Re:zero-risk? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    yeah true but so what who cares. I live relatively close Chernobyl the effects of that meltdown has been way overestimated. New research on the matter shows that we where of by 10-100 times in our estimations on the effects of Chernobyl. Nuclear is not nice to humans but it's not such a big deal to our environment. Animal in Chernobyl shows to be at good health, they are in-fact more immune against cancer than animals living in less radiated areas. If we humans want a clean environment and still have the energy there is not many other choices to go with.

  14. Re:zero-risk? by sznupi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I prefer small chance of it leaking out (which happened only once) more than the routine of "leaking" it out into biosphere on a daily basis, in the amounts no nuclear power plant will match. As do coal-fired plants.

    --
    One that hath name thou can not otter
  15. Because... by perrin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The debate has been ranging here in Norway lately, since we hold a lot of the world's known reserves of the stuff (as opposed to many wild guesswork assumptions about possible reserves around the world). The reason why not more reactors are built is quite simply because the technology is not there yet. By most accounts, a functional prototype reactor is 20 years away. It is a very complicated technology, and more difficult to engineer safely than uranium reactors that we currently know a lot about. Several studies, for instance from MIT, cast doubt on whether thorium reactors will even be cost effective. Extracting thorium from the ground is harder than for uranium, and the enrichment process is more difficult and costly. Thorium will also produce dangerous, radioactive by products, and if you have enrichment capabilities for thorium, it is not a far step further to produce weaponized plutonium.

    So it may be the future, but apparently no silver bullet.

    All this is IANANP (I Am Not a Nuclear Physicist) so I guess someone reading ./ can answer this better than me.

    1. Re:Because... by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's a lot of claims. Do you have any cites for any of them?

      The article say thorium does NOT have to be enriched. A quick look at the the isotopes of thorium wikipedia article confirms that Th-232 is the only isotope of any real abundance. That's a bit of a major error on your part, and casts doubt on the reliability of the rest of your post.

      --
      AccountKiller
    2. Re:Because... by naasking · · Score: 5, Informative

      By most accounts, a functional prototype reactor is 20 years away.

      The designer of the molten salt Thorium reactors ran his reactor non-stop for over 10 years IIRC. This was in the 1960s. What is unproven exactly?

      Extracting thorium from the ground is harder than for uranium,

      Which we will run out of in 10 years.

      Thorium will also produce dangerous, radioactive by products,

      And Uranium produces candy canes and puppies? If Thorium really is harder to refine or weaponize than Uranium, we'd be better off switching to Thorium, so you contradict yourself.

      Also, Thorium reactions do not produce plutonium. The fact that Thorium reactions do not produce weaponized by products is one of its huge advantages, above and beyond its abundance and higher efficiency as nuclear fuel when compared to Uranium.

    3. Re:Because... by naasking · · Score: 4, Informative

      The U-233 generated in a Thorium reactor is consumed in the Thorium reaction itself to sustain the reaction. It would take significant effort to extract it in a usable form. The proliferation danger is significantly lower when compared to our existing nuclear infrastructure.

    4. Re:Because... by ee2go · · Score: 3, Informative
      Not quite. The current Indian reactors use Thorium instead of depleted Uranium to even the core temperature. Even the next generation AHWR reactor will only use Thorium as part of the fuel (from here: http://www.iaea.org/NuclearPower/SMR/smr-status.html):

      In India, construction is expected to start early in the next decade on the first 300 MW(e) advanced heavy water reactor, which has been developed for co-generation applications. The reactor is designed to operate with 233U-Pu-Th fuel; it uses boiling light water as a coolant and heavy water as the moderator.

    5. Re:Because... by cheesybagel · · Score: 2, Interesting
      India has low uranium reserves, but plenty of thorium reserves. That is why they are researching the stuff. Norway is spoiled by having petroleum reserves, so it is hardly surprising they do not give the matter much consideration.

      AFAIK the problem is not that thorium energy production is unfeasible, rather that it is poorly researched.

  16. Surprise! Business model problems... by dfay · · Score: 4, Insightful

    According to this (see the section called "Fuel cycle concerns"), because there is no need to refine the Thorium fuel, which is the stage where the nuclear power companies currently make their money, they would need to change their business model to cope. We all know how much companies like to do that.

    So, you combine the politicians' lack of desire to risk being associated with nuclear power, and the entrenched industry's lack of interest in the business model, and it's suddenly easy to explain.

  17. Thorium's Better But Also Harder To Work With by Greg+Hullender · · Score: 5, Informative
    There's no question that Thorium has lots of advantages over Uranium, but it's much harder to make it work at all. Check out the list of disadvantages in the Wikipedia article "Thorium fuel cycle." It adds all kinds of engineering challenges that Uranium doesn't have.

    Of course, if we're going to tackle the problems of the 21st Century, we have to be willing to solve hard engineering problems, but it makes perfect sense to tackle the easier ones first. Especially when it takes years to build and test a reactor, so developing anything really new is apt to take a decade or two before it can actually make money. So far, it has always seemed easier to tweak the existing, mature Uranium technology to deal with its remaining problems.

    Personally, I'd love to see a sustained government effort to develop commercially viable Thorium power plants. (I have thought this since the 1970s.) But the reason that hasn't happened yet is Thorium just has too many unsolved problems -- it's not because of some industry conspiracy.

    --Greg

    1. Re:Thorium's Better But Also Harder To Work With by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      India seems to have come to the complete opposite conclusion with their thorium reactor.

      It makes sense too, given that thorium requires no pre-processing and produces reactor-grade Uranium as its primary byproduct. By using the Uranium as well (which they have found difficult to import) they extend the life of the cores out to two years, which is practically unheard of.

      --
      Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
  18. Re:20+ years by Bigjeff5 · · Score: 2, Informative

    India has Thorium reactors today.

    --
    Security is mostly a superstition... Avoiding danger is no safer in the long run than outright exposure. - Helen Keller
  19. Re:zero-risk? by Dun+Malg · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How many times have we designed things that are supposed to be unsinkable or infallible and then had them sink or fail? If there is a radioactive material being used in the plant, then there is a chance that some of it will leak out.

    See, it's fucking dimwits like you that talk about 7-sigma events as if they're 3-sigma events that keep us using fucking coal, with its 100% probability of continuously releasing radioactive materials into the atmosphere. Get a fucking education, or failing that, go die in a fucking fire, you goddamn Luddite.

    --
    If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
  20. Canadian CANDU reactors can use Thorium by ameline · · Score: 3, Informative

    As the subject says, there is already a proven and safe reactor design that can use the thorium fuel cycle.

     

    --
    Ian Ameline
    1. Re:Canadian CANDU reactors can use Thorium by andy1307 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Thank god for the Canadians and their CAN-DU attitude.

  21. Re:nuclear waste, anyone? by jjohnson · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Reduced waste is one of the reasons for using Thorium: Not as much, and it decays to safe levels in decades, not centuries.

    --
    Anyone who loves or hates any language, platform, or manufacturer, doesn't know what they're talking about.
  22. Re:zero-risk? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Um, I'm no mathematician, but there have been several hundred reactors built (maybe even a few thousand), and at least 2 have failed to some extent (TMI & Chernoble), which seems to put it right around 3 sigma... a 7-sigma event would only happen once for every 390,600,000,000 reactors.

    I'm with you on the problems of coal, and I think nuclear is much better, but let's get real here - it's nowhere near 7 sigma.

  23. Why not build a "not that bad"-technology? by prefec2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Such reactors may be less dangerous and the may produce less radioactive waste. But even though. They still produce radioactive waste, which we cannot handle. And it uses still a extremely limited resource. We will eat up the reserves in no time. And it would be again a centralized energy production. We want a decentralized energy production to become independent from big energy companies and to produce the energy more safely. And a large number of small generators are much less vulnerable to a total loss than one big one. Big technology is bad technology.
       

    1. Re:Why not build a "not that bad"-technology? by QuoteMstr · · Score: 5, Interesting

      We want a decentralized energy production to become independent from big energy companies and to produce the energy more safely

      Without realizing it, you've stuck upon the real psychological motivation behind the "decentralized everything" movement: it's political. It's a reflective reaction against the complexity of modern society, and against globalization.

      Every honest intellectual person knows that sometimes centralization is desirable. Centralization is cheaper, more efficient, and often cleaner and safer as well. It's a lot cheaper for one building on campus to generate steam than for shack to have its own heater. It's easier to scrub the output of 100 coal plants than that of 10,000 automobiles.

      Yet there are otherwise-intelligent people arguing for community-run, small, decentralized infrastructure even where it's batshit insane, like for nuclear power plants. This is not the product of honest reasoning, but an expression to live out the fantasy of living in a commune in the woods.

      You want to stem the power of large corporations? I'm with you. Regulate them. But sometimes scaling up an operation is a no-brainer.

      The attitude that small is always beautiful is the product of a small mind.

    2. Re:Why not build a "not that bad"-technology? by OrangeCatholic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Who exactly is arguing for community-run nuclear power plants, anyway? People want fuel cells, solar and wind so they can get off the grid, and get over the guilt of contributing to the pollution problem. Distributed power generation is potentially the biggest game changer since gasoline (which, ultimately, was also a massively distributed power generation scheme - see the automobile). Gasoline enabled the suburbs and the settlement of vast interiors of the US.

      Distributed electricity generation will probably result in another renaissance of rural development, and ultimately the telecommuting society that was envisioned 10-15 years ago.

      Oh, and a "commune in the woods" is also known as a "town." I'm pretty sure that before this plot of land had a desk and a computer, it was full of, you know, trees.

  24. Re:nuclear fusion anyone? by mudetroit · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There are tons of reasons why "fuel based technologies", which is really an odd statement as even most of renewable energy sources are fuel based on some level, primary among them is we still have a fairly large shortfall between the world energy demands and its energy producing capacity. A situation that will only get worse as we increase our capacity for creating energy ironically enough. It would be irresponsible to not work the problem from every angle possible. This means working on solar, wind, nuclear fission and fusion, and even better fossil fuel facilities, for now. As well as on working on increasing our efficiency in consuming and delivering energy.

    Neither side of the great energy debate wants to hear it, but we are decades away, at best, from a real solution to the problem. And attacking the solutions you don't like don't gain anyone a thing. If you think one solution is the best one then do what you can to support it. Technology wars are won by one side winning via whatever merits, not attacking opposing technologies.

  25. Why? by arthurpaliden · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Because 'Big-Uranium' bought up all the patents and made them secret. ...... Just like 'Big-Oil" bought up the super-dooper battery patents.

  26. Re:Cost by _KiTA_ · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So still no explanation as to why no common use of Thorium reactors.

    Same reason we don't use hemp paper, and why anyone thinking we'll move away from oil based cars before the famine starts is fooling themselves.

    The existing corporate status quo makes money doing it this way, and they won't change unless made to (by, say, running out of uranium or oil or what have you).

  27. Re:zero-risk? by QuoteMstr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sure, there's a chance of failure in every system, but good design can reduce it to an acceptable level. There's chance in everything: you could walk outside and be struck dead my a freak meteor.

    As for the Titantic: how many passenger liner disasters have there been since her sinking?

  28. Re:Cost by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Plutonium fears from breeder reactors and the green movement in the 60/70's with their irrational fear of "OMG NUCLAEAR!!!111"(yes I spelled that wrong on purpose). Accidents with things like the sodium reactor in Japan, and so on just give them more fearmongering tools. Instead of "we need to make sure this doesn't happen again, what went wrong and how do we make sure it doesn't happen again." That's why we're 30 years behind the times, and why the US has no functional breeders, and why you're just starting to use MOX again, and why you ship plutonium to Canada, Japan and S.Korea for us to make the fuel for our own reactors.

    I realize that people are going to get pissy as I've now blamed the entire environmentalist green movement, reality is that's why there haven't been any new reactors built in the US. You need oh 100 easy, you needed 50 new ones to be under construction 20yrs ago. Even Japan and Canada have a projected timelines for new reactors into 2065 and where/when they'll be built to deal with electrical generation.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  29. Re:Cost by naasking · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A heavy water reactor is the anti-thesis of the salt-based Thorium reactors.

  30. India's thorium reactors. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 2, Interesting

    India has Thorium reactors today.

    Really? Can you show me a photo of a commercially operating (today) Thorium reactor?

    There are certainly designs and plans and prototypes and test reactors.
     

    --
    Deleted
  31. Wired Article Errors and Omissions by careysub · · Score: 5, Informative
    The Wired Magazine article presents a false picture of the development of nuclear power and leaves out some crucial facts about thorium reactors. A key fact about thorium reactors mentioned no where in the article: you can't build a reactor, load it with thorium alone, and have it work. It will sit there producing no power forever. This because thorium is only the breeding material and is not fissile. To get the reactor to produce power the thorium has to be mixed with plutonium or U-233 bred in some uranium fueled reactor somewhere, or with highly enriched U-235. In other words - the reactor has to be loaded with bomb-usable material and there has to be a lot of it, enough for hundreds of weapons.

    This is part of why the whole quasi-conspiratorial story of "why we didn't go with thorium in the first place" is utter nonsense. It was not because "we wanted bombs instead" and were prejudiced against "superior thorium", it is because only if you have an established nuclear industry cranking out materials usable in bombs by the thousands can you build these reactors in the first place. Either you must have natural/low enriched uranium reactors to produce plutonium, or you need large amounts of highly enriched uranium (prime bomb material) to load into thorium breeders.

    Also unacknowledged is that the particular type of reactor being promoted, the molten fluoride salt reactor, was and is a complex technology that requires substantial additional development. Only one single reactor of this kind was ever built, and it was an 8 megawatt (thermal) materials test reactor, not a power reactor. We are looking at many years of additional development before construction can start on a prototype full scale power reactor. I agree that this technology should be further pursued, and it may turn out more successful that plutonium breeders (no successful power plants have been built, just several failures) but it is by no means guaranteed.

    Hyman Rickover, by the way, was interested in light water uranium fueled reactors because they are a good technology for powering submarines, not because they produce plutonium (they are lousy plutonium producers, the yield is low and the material produced has terrible properties for bombs).

    Check out the 2005 IAEA survey document (http://www.energyfromthorium.com/pdf/IAEA-TECDOC-1450.pdf) for a good summary of the thorium technology options and prospects.

    --
    Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    1. Re:Wired Article Errors and Omissions by AigariusDebian · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well, just load it up with some waste from the current reactors. Poison it with U-238 so that it is too noisy to use in any nuclear weapon and off you go, it is self-sustainable from that point and does not need any more Uranium.

  32. Re:Cost by Mikkeles · · Score: 2, Insightful

    'Because everyone that has nuclear reactors also builds bombs...'

    In this case, one can't blame Canada!

    --
    Great minds think alike; fools seldom differ.
  33. Re:zero-risk? by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What the Chernobyl exclusion zone demonstrates is that from the animals POV, humans are worse than a nuclear disaster.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  34. Re:Cost by _KiTA_ · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What type of nuclear reactor to use it completely unrelated to what fuel to use to power cars.

    You aren't going to stick a nuclear reactor in the trunk, and how the grid gets its electricity has no impact on electric cars either.

    My point is there is an existing system that involves large amounts of profit in doing it the old way, and the people making said profit have no reason to foster change just because science said so. In fact, given the dismal state of the US education and patent systems, companies often can actively push back by simply hiring, destroying, or buying out people with new ideas.

    Look at digital music, for example -- we had to drag the music industry kicking and screaming into the 21st century, and they only came along after they had time to get their lawyers and executives to put down their clay tablets and abacuses long enough to think up some admittedly pretty innovative ways of screwing the rest of us over.

    I guess a more succinct way to put it is that corporations have used profit to make science and progress their bitch this past century, and I see no reason why this won't continue going forward.

  35. Re:Cost by cheesybagel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Because everyone that has nuclear reactors also builds bombs, so they go hand in hand, and cost less in the short run.

    No. South Korea, Japan, Belgium, Germany, Switzerland, Spain, Sweden, have nuclear reactors and do not have nuclear weapons. This is not by any means an exhaustive list either.

    You do not need nuclear reactors to make nuclear weapons. You can make nuclear fission weapons by using U-235 or Plutonium. If you have a centrifuge cascade like Iran does, or some other means to separate fuel, you can make U-235 weapons without owning a single nuclear reactor. The bomb dropped on Hiroshima (Little Boy) was of this type.

  36. 'heat'? by FatSean · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What 'heat' other than strongly worded letters did the State of Isreal take in response to their Gaza attacks?

    They're not even part of the Non-proliferation treaty. Your assertations need citations.

    --
    Blar.
  37. Re:why bother by DamonHD · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm hugely in favour of solar and wind power, but evidently you need to understand "intermittency" and "storage" a little better. Like what keeps the lights on after 5 cold still cloudy mid-winter days...

    Rgds

    Damon

    --
    http://m.earth.org.uk/
  38. Re:Perhaps the industry doesn't want a new process by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Buffoonery. It's business, pure and simple.

    We have an established process and no one wants to buy that system. There is no reason to build a new system, which will still generate wastes which no one wants in their back yard, and small amounts of weapons grade material which no one wants, and basically no energy producer is willing to fund for fear that they will be betting their entire company on a system that will be hindered.

    Progress-energy and others have spent a ton of money only to be held up by regulators (NRC) for 24 months! Figure the vig on a 5 Billion dollar loan for 24 months! This hold-up is PARTIALLY because of the political fear that nuclear is BAD. These power producers are borrowing BILLIONS of dollars and paying INTEREST every day on these dollars to build a very long term system, only to be held up by all manner of interests (Federal, State, and local).

    You want nuclear of any kind? You need to guarantee some loans. Nuclear simply isn't politically correct. Period.

    Simply put, it MAY BE the safest power system that the planet has to offer, and no one wants it because it is "nuclear". NIMBY. Average Joe doesn't want it. Period.

    It won't matter if it is plutonium, uranium, thorium, pebble bed, liquid fuel, gaseous fuel, or run by fairy dust! People are scared of nuclear, and it will take a ton of long term education the change that. "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it. "

    And by the way, I know a couple of aspiring nuclear engineers who would love to work on thorium reactors, but there are no jobs in nuclear right this second. Hiring freezes abound. Also, you can build a perfectly good bomb from Thorium by-products. U-233 Teapot MET 1957 20+kt bomb anyone? And you can build a perfectly safe reactor from highly enriched U-235. Or plutonium. Finally, you can build a suitable explosive device from your water heater! Go watch Mythbusters and scale up according to need.

    Pedal your conspiracies elsewhere.

    Your humble senior reactor operator.

  39. But... by malign · · Score: 2, Funny

    thorium? are we not on to saronite yet?

    --
    Life is what you make of it.
  40. Re:zero-risk? by Kymermosst · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And how many genuinely foolproof and fail-safe machines do you use every day without noticing, because they work so well?

    0. None. Zip. Zilch. There's no such thing as something that's genuinely foolproof and can't fail.

    "Fail-safe" does not mean "free from failure". Fail-safe means that when said machine fails, it always fails in such a way that minimizes harm to equipment and operators.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  41. Peak Oil is Not a Troll by tjstork · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Posting anonymously because it's bull. 200 years to peak oil there? Maybe if they don't sell any.

    This isn't flamebait at all. None other than Dick Cheney was running around telling everyone who would listen that there was a huge production problem in the middle east. He had a great quote to sum it, something like, "If the Saudi's have so much more oil, they would have to be finding other fields like Gawar, and they haven't been". In fact, he calculated out how many Gawar size mega fields anybody would have to find, simply to meet existing demand, and they aren't out there.

    Suddenly we find the USA sitting in Iraq, for what reason? The whole Bush administration's energy policy was essentially to get the dibs on the last remaining oil taps in the world, its own coastlines, interior, and in Iraq, essentially to buy time for its other plan of shoveling money at alternative energy projects would kick in.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by Just+Another+Perl+Ha · · Score: 2, Funny

      Strangely enough... your statement seems to prove the "war for oil" argument rather than to disprove it... given the men who executed the plan.

    2. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by sentientbeing · · Score: 2, Informative

      You dont seriously believe we spent billions invading Iraq to bring democracy to the Middle East?

      Go and watch The History of Oil - Robert Newman. Its both hilarious and informative.

      http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-5267640865741878159#

      --

      ------
      beware he who would deny you access to information, for in his mind he dreams himself your master
    3. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by tjstork · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ah, yes, the old "war for oil" idiocy again. Only in the mind of a blithering moron would it make more sense to spend trillions invading a foreign nation instead

      It's not just about getting oil for ourselves, its being able to control it for everyone else. It's also about using up someone else's oil before taking desperation measures for our own.

      --
      This is my sig.
    4. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by quanticle · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, if we didn't invade Iraq for its oil, what, exactly, did we invade it for? I mean, if you scoff at the "war for oil", argument, surely you'll scoff at the "they had Weapons of Mass Destruction", argument, which is even more patently false than the first one.

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    5. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by c6gunner · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's not just about getting oil for ourselves, its being able to control it for everyone else. It's also about using up someone else's oil before taking desperation measures for our own.

      Ah, yes, invading other nations "to take their oil" isn't a "desperation measure", but investing in domestic industry is. What world are you living in?

      I think the expectation was that everyone was surprised about the apparent "ease" of Afghanistan, and assumed that it would translate to Iraq

      Nobody with any understanding of the situation was at all surprised about the ease with which the US took Afghanistan. We were a bit surprised by how quickly Iraq folded, though, and were quite surprised that they didn't use any gas or chemical warfare.

      That's all irrelevant, though. By the time of the Iraq invasion, the US had already been involved in the Afghanistan effort for almost 2 years. Therefore the people planning the invasion - even if they were completely incompetent - would have had to know that their military commitment to Iraq would be 2 years at a minimum. Given the projected figures for Afghanistan at that point, they would more likely have been planning for a 6+ year effort, although they would have underestimated the force levels required. Therefore it would still have been MUCH cheaper to invest in domestic industry, instead of going overseas to steal other peoples resources. Your argument makes absolutely no sense.

      If you think that first world nations fight wars over resources, then you really don't understand globalization. We fight over ideology, we fight to project power, and we fight to maintain our dominance and increase our security. If we want resources, we fucking buy them because it's a hell of a lot cheaper. Of course, some countries that we're interested in will also happen to have natural resources. In such cases it makes sense to try and secure some of those for our own use. However, that doesn't mean that the natural resources were the reason for the invasion - they may simply turn out to be a fringe benefit.

      I say "may be" because, if you look at the Oil deals that Iraq has been making, you'll notice that the US is getting the short end of the stick.

    6. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2, Funny

      At the time, we had some reason to believe that Iraq was developing nuclear weapons. Iraq was deliberately and obviously preventing the inspections that they had agreed to in their surrender in the Kuwait war. All Iraq had to do to prevent the new war was allow inspections. I even remember hearing claims that some Iraqi scientists were feeding Hussein stories that they were developing nuclear weapons, even when they weren't. They feared for their lives if they didn't tell him they were developing weapons. So even the Iraqis didn't know if they were making nukes, yet people call the US liars for using nukes as a reason for attacking. Also remember that there was a period of many months during which the US was massing troops to invade Iraq. Nobody who was paying attention doubted we were going to do it. Iraq could have buried or shipped out of the country anything they wanted to hide in maybe two days, and they had MONTHS to do it.

      Was it the right choice? Would we be better off now if Hussein and his tribe were still in power? Could we have done something else to displace Hussein or make him impotent? Beats me.

      Oil was a consideration. A dangerous dictatorship was another consideration. Perform for yourself this thought experiment: would we attack Canada if Canada declared it would no longer export oil to the US? How long would the US president remain in office if he tried a fool stunt like that? That should answer the claim that it's all about oil.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    7. Re:Peak Oil is Not a Troll by dave87656 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You dont seriously believe we spent billions invading Iraq to bring democracy to the Middle East?

      Especially since the other countries who are our "friends" in the region aren't exactly democracies (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, etc). Of course, when they are our friends, we call them Monarchies and when they are our enemies we call them dictatorships.

  42. Re:Why not building them? by thsths · · Score: 2, Interesting

    > Especially when there is no spare money to procure a wholly new reactor type.

    Well that is the problem - and it is mainly because of safety regulations - which are a political area. We all know that the conventional nuclear reactor has a lot of safety issues, but it is certified! Getting a Thorium reactor to the same level of documentation and acceptance would be an expensive and lengthy process. As long as most countries have a de facto moratorium on nuclear reactor construction, there is no money in pushing new technology.

    And man - on a technical level Thorium is so much superior that there is really no contest at all.

  43. Re:zero-risk? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Gee, if you're so easy to scare, try this out: Building industrial-scale photovoltaic installations might raise the albedo of the Earth so much that it will disrupt climate patterns and kill you with lightning. That's totally possible. I'm sure you can come up with your own nightmare scenarios for any reasonable technology.

    But you know what scares me? The fossil-fuel-burning status quo, which is what your dumb fears are (perhaps unintentionally) perpetuating.

  44. Re:zero-risk? by electrosoccertux · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's called a pebble-bed reactor, and the reaction is automatically limited in the mixture of uranium as the reactor heats up through a mechanism called neutron cross section broadening.
    It is failproof.

  45. Re:No US commercial reactor with thorium I found by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yeah, which brings up another important point: The Thorium does not need to be enriched - you just throw natural Thorium into the reactor and it works. This means fewer dual-use enrichment plants (the kind we want to bomb in Iran) so a much lower proliferation risk. But also: Much lower fuel cycle costs.

  46. More like the next Nuclear Fail by SD-Arcadia · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I suggest anyone seriously interested in our energy future to take the time to go through this report called "Technofixes" by CorporateWatch UK
    http://www.corporatewatch.org.uk/?lid=3126
    According to this report, only wind and solar come out as having the potential to be both socially desirable and effective in combatting climate change. Hypothetical 4th generation nuclear reactors, even if decided upon, would be too little too late because it takes long to deploy at great up-front cost, and the waste problems remain unsolved (despite what you may hear about the magic of breeder reactors etc.)

    --
    https://dalgamotor.wordpress.com/ - Elektronik beyinlere ozgurluk asisi (Turkish)
  47. Re:zero-risk? by Mitchell314 · · Score: 5, Funny

    No. What if a giant picks the reactor up and uses it to hammer pedestrians? Didn't think of that, did they? Failproof, my foot.

    --
    I read TFA and all I got was this lousy cookie
  48. Re:Safety by naasking · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Molten fluoride salts are not known for safe handling.

    Experience suggests otherwise. Any dangers due to fluoride salts are more than compensated by the fact that the reactor does not suffer from steam explosions or regulation complexities of a light water reactor. Furthermore, several molten salt reactors have been built and run for extended periods of time. This technology is proven.

    And fusion is at least 30 years out, I guarantee you. The only promising fusion possibility is Brussard's Polywell, and if that pans out, we're talking about a whole new untested technology that will take decades to refine.

    Thorium is tried and proven right now.

  49. Re:Cost by SirWinston · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But that would take large capital investment of hundreds of millions if not billions in R&D, production of new facilities, etc., which would decrease short-term profit statements--and executives want to avoid decreases in profit statements at all costs so they can keep stock prices as inflated as possible, and milk their yearly bonuses. The current corporate structure punishes good long-term planning and rewards short-term profitability, so it's not surprising that no one's interested in innovating if it costs too much in the here-and-now to build increased profitability in the distant tomorrow.

    Hell, one of the first things "forward-looking" executives do when they get into power is cut short-term costs by any means necessary, even if it means crippling the entire company's future by, for example, spinning-off the expensive R&D operations which have kept the company innovating into new companies so their budget gets off your books. Cf. "Agilent" and "Lucent"--after being spun off, their parent companies stagnated grossly, with the venerated HP a shell of its old self and the "original" AT&T imploding through corporate greed and stupidity with SBC buying up a relatively-empty husk. Oh, and in the process AT&T bought Olivetti Research Laboratory, "Europe's leading communications engineering research laboratory," only to shutter it 3 years later to save money. Corporate asshats at work.

    Remember all those financial wizards who melted down the whole economy by discovering new ways to make a quick buck, at the expense of--well, the whole country? How many of them are in the unemployment line now, and how many are still making millions? Yep, thought so. Those car-maker execs who failed to innovate and took the whole American auto industry from best-in-the-world to also-rans--how many of them are collecting unemployment alongside the factory workers they put out of work? Yep, thought so. A few of the top execs lose their jobs whenever big corporations get run into the ground, but they always [golden-] parachute into a new company right quickly.

    The whole corporate system is FUBAR, and I have to blame it on globalization--which pushes governments to deregulate lest multinationals scale back in-country operations for laxer overseas venues. So no, no one will willingly invest hundreds of millions to billions to get "4x more product from the same ammount of raw material" and "re[duce] production cost per product unit, increase margin and make a step ahead from competitors" if they can make more short-term profit by business as usual.

    --
    "It's a damn poor mind that can only think of one way to spell a word."--Andrew Jackson
  50. Specialization leads to centralization by snowwrestler · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Centralization is to some extent the direct result of specialization within society. Nuclear power is extremely complex and to work in it, one needs highly specialized training. The direct result is that only a small subset of the population will ever be able to build and operate nuclear power plants, and thus nuclear power generation will always be highly centralized. The same is true of coal power or natural gas power generation, or, for that matter, food and clothing production. The less time I spend managing these things myself, the more time available to me to improve in my own chosen area of specialization.

    --
    Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
  51. Re:zero-risk? by Rising+Ape · · Score: 2, Informative

    Radioactivity is a concentration problem. Radioactivity, just like chemical pollution, is dangerous only beyond a certain threshold: we are right now exposed to cosmic rays, but that is not a cause of cancer, because our bodies can handle that level of radioactivity: they evolved for millions of years in this environment.

    That's not the generally accepted view, which is that any dose of radiation could cause cancer, with probability proportional to dose (up to a point). Your "dangerous beyond a threshold" argument is only true for the acute effects of radiation, not its carcinogenic characteristics. If the standard model is correct, the radiation from coal plants certainly does cause cancer (as do cosmic rays), it's just hard to detect because cancer is so common anyway.