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Obama Budget To Triple Nuclear Power Loan Guarantees

Hugh Pickens writes "When President Obama said in his State of the Union address on Wednesday that the country should build 'a new generation of safe, clean nuclear power plants,' it was one of the few times he got bipartisan applause. Now the NY Times reports that administration officials have confirmed their 2011 federal budget request next week will raise potential loan guarantees for nuclear projects to more than $54 billion, from $18.5 billion, and a new Energy Department panel will examine a vastly expanded list of options for nuclear waste, including a new kind of nuclear reactor that would use some of it. The Energy Department appears to be getting close to offering its first nuclear loan guarantee. Earlier this week, Southern Co. Chief Executive David Ratcliffe said the company expects to finalize an application for a loan guarantee 'within the next couple months,' while Scana Corp., which has also applied, is 'a couple months behind Southern' and is hopeful of receiving a conditional award 'sometime in the next months.'"

46 of 373 comments (clear)

  1. what about by ionix5891 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    research funding for nuclear research such as thorium reactors or pebble bed reactors?

    to increase safety and/or move onto other nuclear fuels

    1. Re:what about by tazanator · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think the are talking breeder reators (they refine the next fuel rods from their own waste making them a renewable/ low waste system)

      --
      I'm told you are what you eat, does that mean I can be you by tomorrow with some A1?
    2. Re:what about by MJMullinII · · Score: 5, Insightful

      research funding for nuclear research such as thorium reactors or pebble bed reactors?

      to increase safety and/or move onto other nuclear fuels

      How about funding geothermal, solar, tidal, wind and other energy sources just as much? Give each one $54 Billion? Doesn't sound so good does it? How about not picking winners and losers at all? Instead let the market pick them.

      Because as CATO, Forbes, and others say nuclear power is Hooked on Subsidies. The market would not support nuclear power without them.

      Falcon

      The problem is that none of those things can right now, today be used to replace Coal-fired Power Plants.

      Coal-fired plants are principally where we get our power from because they can function economically for base load, 24 hour a day, 7 days a week continuous operation. None of the things you listed in your comment can replace Coal for that type of operation. With more R&D, that may not always be the case, but we can't continue pumping garbage into the air waiting for the magic bullet "someday" (I'm thinking of Geothermal, I'm not convinced Wind or ground based Solar will ever be reliable enough for baseload with all the research and money in the World). Nuclear can replace coal right now.

      At the end of the day, who gets what subsidy doesn't matter. At some point, everything we currently depend upon for our way of life is subsidized to some degree or another.

      People are making fun of the Administrations (not saying you personally, but some of the public in general) push for high-speed rail. They point out that AMTRAK couldn't exist without tax-payer dollars to fill in its funding gaps. What none of them realize is that the exact same thing can be said of the roads they drive on. People think that gasoline taxes pay for road maintenance, in reality those taxes barely make a dent in the total cost of maintaining our highway system (and even at that, it is in terrible shape for many parts of the Nation).

      The problem I have with studies that proclaim "Nuclear couldn't exist without subsidies" is that they never make clear exactly what they are counting as a subsidy.

      Loan Guarantees, for example, are NOT a subsidy as far as I'm concerned, not unless the utility actually defaults on the loan and the Government has to make it up. We've (speaking of the Government) been giving loan subsidies for dozens of years for Nuclear Power Plant construction and not once has the Government ever had to make good on the promise (meaning actually spend any money because a utility defaulted).

      People try to make hay with the eventual cost of disposing of ever how much waste ultimately will need disposing of (I'm allowing for the fact that no matter how efficient secondary recovery efforts become for spent fuel, there will always be some small part that we do indeed have to worry about disposing of). The problem with that is that it ignores that fact that since the very first Nuclear Plant came online, utilities have been paying a tax per unit of electricity generated that specifically goes into a fund to pay for the ultimate disposal of nuclear waste.

      With these facts in mind, I think the positives (no Coal pollution -- Heavy metals being spewed into the air, people dieing to mine the coal, pollution from the coal mining itself, etc.) far outweigh the negatives.

      I for one would like to welcome our new Nuclear Power overlords. :)

      --
      "Don't be a martyr -- BE THE ONE WHO GOT AWAY!"
  2. And yet the public... by Oxford_Comma_Lover · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The public's support for that particular snippet of the state of the union was rather low, as CNN reported--so kindly point out to your non-tech friends that nuclear is the best alternative right now and we can't go entirely renewable for a long time.

    --
    -- IANAL, this isn't legal advice, and definitely isn't legal advice for you. Also, Squee!
    1. Re:And yet the public... by data2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I like the prospect of nuclear energy being clean and everything, but at least we in Germany have, in the 35 years we have been running nuclear power plants, not figured out a place where to put the waste. So how can we put this burden on future generations? There is no plan on how to go on with this. Although there are a few projects and ideas, like old salt mines, none have proven viable so far.
      Nuclear waste just radiates for way too long. I personally hope for transmutation, but as it looks now, nuclear will lose it's attractiveness with the energy that is needed for that.

    2. Re:And yet the public... by Moryath · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We don't have more of a nuclear program for two reasons right now:

      #1 - Every time someone starts trying to get the permits together to build a new reactor, the environmental wack-job crowd start staging protests and throwing lawyers at the situation.
      #2 - Ever since Jimmy Carter's dunderheaded executive order (in which he said the US will not reprocess spent nuclear fuel back into usable fuel, because it would set an "example" to other nations not to reprocess anything that could be weapons grade... nincompoop), we haven't refined our spent fuel. As a result, we have a "nuclear waste problem", despite the fact that with proper recycling methods, greater than 95% of our stock of "nuclear waste" could be turned back into usable fuel.

      Probably the only thing I agree with Obama on is that we need a serious conversion of our energy supply to use as much Nuclear as possible (solar/wind/geothermal too but they have severe limitations and can't meet our needs by themselves... solar, for instance, produces immense amounts of toxic waste and currently requires polysilicon substrates as a base for the panels, plus the most common silica sources are currently strip-mined). That being said, his bit about loans is only a half measure, if he was really serious he'd rescind Carter's dumbass executive order and get us down the path of recycling to deal with the "nuclear waste" issue.

    3. Re:And yet the public... by the_lesser_gatsby · · Score: 4, Informative

      You put the waste into a fast-breeder reactor. BTW, do you know how much coal (and therefore radioactive emissions) Germany uses to generate electricity?

    4. Re:And yet the public... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      That being said, his bit about loans is only a half measure, if he was really serious he'd rescind Carter's dumbass executive order and get us down the path of recycling to deal with the "nuclear waste" issue.

      Minor correction, President Reagan lifted the ban in 1981.

    5. Re:And yet the public... by Halo1 · · Score: 3, Informative

      You put the waste into a fast-breeder reactor.

      And after that, you have to enrich the output from the fast-breeder reactor in a reprocessing plant before it is usable again in a regular nuclear power plant. Unfortunately, these reprocessing plants dump large amounts of low-radioactive waste in the environment both via water and air. As a result the childhood leukaemia cases around La Hague and Sellafield are much higher than in other places in Europe.

      --
      Donate free food here
    6. Re:And yet the public... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'll wager what credibility I have on it.

      You do realize your nick is drinkypoo, right?

    7. Re:And yet the public... by LaughingCoder · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I don't know where CNN gets its information. How about this March 2009 Gallop poll http://www.gallup.com/poll/117025/support-nuclear-energy-inches-new-high.aspx that indicates new high levels of U.S. public support for nuclear energy at 59%, with 27% indicating strong support?

      --
      The more you regulate a company, the worse its products become.
    8. Re:And yet the public... by Sir_Lewk · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is where breeder reactors come into play. If you burn the nasty stuff as fuel again you: 1) get a lot more energy from the material you already have at your disposal. 2) reduce the radioactivity of the byproducts. The more you burn your waste as full, the longer the average halflife of the waste becomes.

      Longer halflife == safer to handle, contray to popular belief.

      --
      "linux is just DOS with a UNIX like syntax" -- Galactic Dominator (944134)
    9. Re:And yet the public... by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 4, Insightful

      yes, I understand the deep desire of Germans to kill off the planet with CO2 rather than accepting that a) you need too much energy for renewables in the short and medium term to get rid of coal (new plants are coming on-line, which should be considered anathema to anyone wishing to minimise actual damage to humans) and that b) you will never get enough energy through renewables unless solar platforms in orbit start working -- they will, but I would not count on them this century.

      The future is solar/wind/hydro and nuclear. Invent/create/perfect breeders to process the waste. Eventually fusion will be there (about when solar platforms will be).

      That is, if we survive the consequences of the anti-nuclear movement.

      And you know, this notion that nuclear is only a small percentage of humanity's energy usage? It doesn't make sense. Because the future is electric cars, which will increase massively the need for electricity. And the future is also much better insulation, which accounts for 40% of energy used for heating.

    10. Re:And yet the public... by Hatta · · Score: 4, Funny

      "Creating a government-administered public health insurance option to compete with private health insurance plans" has the exact same level of support. (pdf, p. 11) So needless to say, neither of these things will ever happen.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    11. Re:And yet the public... by Cyberax · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, scientists are not yet sure that leukemia clusters are caused by radiation exposure:

      http://www.independent.co.uk/news/raw-sewage-may-be-to-blame-for-sellafield-leukaemia-cases-1344410.html And we can build safer reprocessing plants now.

      And frankly, a slight increase in leukemia cases near some reprocessing plants is a smaller price to pay than leukemia increases from coal ash. We don't have 'perfect' technologies which can solve energy problems.

    12. Re:And yet the public... by dizzydogg · · Score: 3, Insightful

      First you say that background radiation is 3 times higher at coal plants than nuclear and then you say that nuclear has a harder time containing the radioactivity. Personally i would rather see nuclear where there is a slim chance of leakage than coal where it is guaranteed to be pumped into the atmosphere. That combined with the fact that half life is related to radioactivity, so that the materials that are radioactive for 100,000 are much less dangerous than the materials that are radioactive for 100 years, which kind of takes some of the wind out of the sails of the people who scare-monger with worse case storage scenarios. Its still dangerous but with proper precautions is safer than the dangers most other sources of power based on burning fossils, with easier storage of the waste product (rather than literally going up in smoke, dumping the radiation on a wide area). The short half life materials are quickly spent in the reactor, leaving less radioactive material on earth overall, although concentrating the radioactivity into a few pockets of spent refined material.

    13. Re:And yet the public... by etymxris · · Score: 3, Informative

      Just researching La Hague, looks like a non-issue. They found an increase, but it was not statistically significant.

      http://www.iop.org/EJ/abstract/0952-4746/21/3/603

    14. Re:And yet the public... by Danse · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That being said, his bit about loans is only a half measure, if he was really serious he'd rescind Carter's dumbass executive order and get us down the path of recycling to deal with the "nuclear waste" issue.

      Minor correction, President Reagan lifted the ban in 1981.

      Apparently the ban is part of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Act, so it couldn't have been overturned by an executive order. There's a very interesting discussion of it here. According to this article from 2008, there is still a ban in place.

      --
      It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
    15. Re:And yet the public... by budgenator · · Score: 4, Informative

      That is where breeder reactors come into play. If you burn the nasty stuff as fuel again you: 1) get a lot more energy from the material you already have at your disposal. 2) reduce the radioactivity of the byproducts. The more you burn your waste as full, the longer the average halflife of the waste becomes.

      Longer halflife == safer to handle, contray to popular belief.

      Actually you have point 2 backwards, the longer you "burn" the fuel/waste the shorter the average half-life becomes, the more intense and hazardous the radiation from it become, but it returns to safe levels much more quickly.

      The Canadian CANDU design is a very elegant design has a good safety record, can use natural uranium, spent LWR fuel rods, plutonium such as MOX made from decommissioned nuclear weapons and even thorium.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    16. Re:And yet the public... by h4rm0ny · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ok, then one more point the environmental movement has:

      I can understand this comment, but there are many of us who consider ourselves environmentalists who are very pro-Nuclear. And we are pro-Nuclear because we care about the environment. Believe me, Greenpeace loudly shouting on behalf of "environmentalists" irritates people like me far more than it irritates the Nuclear industry (probably). If they want to protect whales from being hunted, I'm fine with that - I'll even support them. But they should shut the fuck up about things they know nothing about. Even their founder has long since disowned them.

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    17. Re:And yet the public... by Korin43 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Radiation has to come from somewhere, like when an atom breaks apart. Elements with the shortest half lives are breaking apart fastest, so they give off the most radiation.

      For a simple analogy, think of a battery. If you use more electricity from it, it will run out faster. Conversely, if you barely use any, it will last for a long time.

  3. Re:Loan guarantees? by zippthorne · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It is apparently not cheaper than coal, which is the fuel we fall back to every time a nuclear, or renewable project doesn't happen (which are also apparently not cheaper than coal.) If you're ok with coal then you should oppose all subsidies including "loan guarantee" subsidies.

    If you're not ok with coal, though, and your goal is to move US energy infrastructure away from an economic minimax position to another position with non-economic benefits, then you have to pay for the move somehow.

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  4. Re:Subsidies? by tazanator · · Score: 3, Interesting

    the Navy has proven that nuclear energy works much better in a renewable / conservation standing than any fossil fuel based system can (look at all the ships they use, most are nuclear fueled)

    --
    I'm told you are what you eat, does that mean I can be you by tomorrow with some A1?
  5. Re:Subsidies? by Chris+Lawrence · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well, naval vessels are something different, but I wasn't ruling nuclear out. But if we massively reduce our consumption and energy use, not only will this help the environment and climate change, it could reduce the need for nuclear in the first place. The US still produces a third of the oil it uses, after all, that should be more than enough if we scale back, improve efficiency and put in place a better transportation system such as rail.

  6. Re:Loan guarantees? by Greg+Hullender · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Note that even China doesn't build many nuclear reactors. The Chinese aren't exactly ecowarriors, so it can't have anything to do with considerations of safety or waste disposal. Nuclear power is a very cool, very complex technology. It's just very expensive to build.

    --Greg

  7. Re:Loan guarantees? by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It is easy to determine whether nuclear power on a watt for watt basis is cheaper to produce than a similar coal plant, but the total cost must take into account factors such as total pollution, cost and risk of mining unrenewable resources, as well as the geopolitical problems in relaying on such resources.

    If you take only the CO2 output as a single factor, the cost of nuclear energy is far lower than any coal plant could ever be. So yes, it is more expensive to produce the energy, but it is far lower in total cost overall when all factors are taken into account.

    Oil power plants are even worse. They rely on importation of resources from the Middle East, a region far from stable due to the influence of extremist religions and backwards cultures of nomadic races. Nuclear power will break us free of that (to some extent, we still have longstanding obligations to Israel which ought to be rethought, IMO) and will make us instead beholden to Australia and its uranium mines. But I feel much more comfortable dealing with the Aussies as a culture which is similar to our own and a people much like us.

  8. Old Skool by JustNiz · · Score: 3, Funny

    Nuclear reactors are old school since Steorn had their live working demo of Orbo, an overunity engine just this weekend.

  9. Re:Open Yucca Mountain! by sycodon · · Score: 4, Informative

    It is mostly completed, perfectly safe repository (assuming they stay with the stupid and illogical position that the fuel shouldn't be reprocessed) and according the the president, "we're done with Yucca and we need to be about looking for alternatives".

    Then he sets up a "commission" to figure it out and out of 15 members, only one has any academic background in nuclear energy and another has a physics background. The rest are political hacks. A particularly stupid appointment is Mark Ayers: president of the Building and Construction Trades Department at AFL-CIO.

    It's all a load of crap.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  10. Re:Loan guarantees? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is incorrect. Nuclear is actually cheaper than coal. The problem is that NO ONE will loan billions upon billions to build said nuclear power plant and mortgage that power plant on a *Fixed* 4% amortization for 50 years.

    Secondly, banks cannot really foreclose on a nuclear power plant. Where do they sell it? Flea-market?

    This is exactly the point of the loan guarantees. And I'm certain you all realize "loan guarantee" is not the same as a "subsidy"?

  11. Re:Subsidies? by barzok · · Score: 4, Informative

    Actually, most US Navy vessels are not nuclear-powered. The carriers & submarines are, but almost none of the remaining fleet are. They experimented with nuclear cruisers in the 60s but retired those ships & didn't venture back into that area.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_navy#Other_nuclear-powered_vessels

  12. Re:Loan guarantees? by selven · · Score: 5, Informative

    Because a nuclear plant has high initial costs. You need an investment of billions of dollars and then you need to wait years for construction before the thing can power itself on and start generating energy. That doesn't mean that nuclear is nonviable - it's very cheap once the plant is built - but it does provide a very high barrier to entry that, without loans, only the rich oil companies (who really don't care for competition) are capable of crossing.

  13. Re:Loan guarantees? by Software+Geek · · Score: 3, Informative

    Nuclear power is almost the same price as coal, under optimal conditions.
    But, the cost of nuclear power all occurs up-front in the form of a multi-billion dollar construction project, and the return is gradual, over 40+ years of low cost operation.
    If the construction project is delayed, canceled, or has cost overruns, the investors will lose their multi-billion dollar initial investment. A two year construction delay makes the difference between huge profits and a huge boondoggle.
    And there are many things that can cause construction to be delayed, canceled, or overrun: Bad design, changing standards, inability to get approvals, pitchfork wielding mobs, etc.

    The modern nuclear power industry claims they have worked out the many snags that troubled 70s-era projects. But the only way to find out is to build one and see.

  14. Sodium Cooled Fast Breeder Reactors by GrantRobertson · · Score: 5, Informative

    Google it before you assume it is just like the nuclear reactors that have caused all the nuclear waste problems.

    They are a "new" technology that has been proven for decades. They are smaller, safer, and tons more efficient than the currently used technology. They don't produce nuclear waste, they consume it. We could take all of what we currently consider "waste" and use it as fuel for hundreds of years. The current technology only uses less than 5% of the energy that is actually in the fuel. Fast Breeder Reactors use almost all of it. They keep recycling the fuel until there is almost no radioactivity left. They can also use plutonium as fuel so the can be used to actually reduce the weapons stockpiles.

    I also think the thorium reactors might be cool too. However there are some concerns as to what extracting all that thorium out of seawater might do to the environment. Not that the oceans need the thorium, but the processing might not be so kind to everything living in the seawater. On the other hand, the processing could also be done in a way that cleans up the garbage patch at the same time.

    Bottom line. Don't assume everything you think you know about nuclear power is everything there is to know.

  15. Re:Loan guarantees? by selven · · Score: 3, Informative

    My point is that nuclear is cheap in the long run. It's still fairly cheap in the long run if you add the costs of the plant. I'll cite a source. It's environmentally friendly too (scroll down to the External Costs section).

  16. Re:Loan guarantees? by Aranykai · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While that is true, a nuclear power plant provides an energy density many orders of magnitude higher. I for one would prefer to see a single nuclear plant on the horizon than 8000 turbines in every direction.

    --
    If sharing a song makes you a pirate, what do I have to share to be a ninja?
  17. We need more by Groggnrath · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I live in Vermont. The reactor here (and the biggest source of power we have other than HydoQuebec) is dead. It's outlived it's lifespan by 10 years, running at 110% original capacity , it's had a cooling tower collapse, and now it's leaking radioactive materials from pipes nobody knew were there.

    We need a new plant. Desperately. My hope is that this will help push more companies (like Entergy) to build rather than to shut down, cut there losses, and run away.

  18. What does France do with their waste? by Overzeetop · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sure, I could google it, but it's more of a talking point than a question. France has a large number of reactors, yet I've never heard of them having problems with their radioactive waste products (then again, I don't read the French press, either).

    Sure, we could build reactors which reuse more of their own waste, but presuming we will have some waste - what are other countries doing about it?

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    1. Re:What does France do with their waste? by kevinNCSU · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is a great argument that clearly has a lot of value for getting things done, lets apply it to everything we do as a country:

      • You have no credibility wanting hospitals built unless you agree to their construction in your backyard
      • You have no credibility supporting immigration unless you agree to the immigrants living in your backyard.
      • You have no credibility supporting the right to abortion unless you agree to the abortions happening and the fetuses disposed in your backyard.
      • You have no credibility supporting protecting the freedom of speech by letting the KKK meet unless you agree to them meeting in your backyard
      • You have no credibility supporting the idea of prisons unless you agree to the prisons being built in your backyard.

      I don't know what type of backyard you have that you're worried about someone building an entire nuclear waste storage facility in it but you must be one rich motherfucker. Unless of course by backyard you mean some sort of arbitrary distance and if that's the case what exactly is this arbitrary distance and does everyone who has a learned opinion on the storage and handling of nuclear materials have to move within this distance?

    2. Re:What does France do with their waste? by CyberDragon777 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well according to Wikipedia they reprocess it, and the waste of several other countries too.
      The not reusable stuff gets sent back to the originating countries, the domestic stuff will go to underground storage when it is completed.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COGEMA_La_Hague_site
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_France#Fuel_cycle

      (Or if you believe some crazy solar energy maniacs, all the waste is shipped to the US and stored in South Carolina...)

      --
      We both said a lot of things that you are going to regret.
  19. Nuclear waste? We know the solution for decades! by silverdr · · Score: 3, Funny

    Nuclear waste to the moon! We give both space a chance and Earth the energy! And while you are at building the waste storage, please give it a proper name. Since it is going to be the first such base, name it after the first letter of the greek alphabet. Signed, John K.

    --
    Now, mod me down freely. My karma can't get any worse...
  20. Re:Loan guarantees? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 3, Informative
    The cooling tower exhaust plume is not nuclear related - it simply cools the turbine exhaust in the condenser - something any steam plant needs. Cooling towers exist at all types of power plants where no flowing source of water (generally river or lake) exists that can be used for cooling. The towers became a symbol because they look sinister; another example of what happens to an uniformed public.

    As for wind, it's nice but wind farms are ugly and have environmental impacts of their own; such as bird strikes.

    The real issue is how do we produce energy to run a modern economy? There is no one solution.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  21. Re:Loan guarantees? by nbauman · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Why does coal get a free pass on pollution? Isn't energy generation profitable enough for private ventures to contain all the mercury, thorium, lead, uranium and other heavy metals from escaping and polluting? Why aren't coal power plants financially responsible for all the mercury warnings in majority of the lakes?

    Those are good questions. Several years ago, I wrote some stories for an environmental magazine trying to answer them.

    It seemed to me that if I was breathing clean air, then a power company should have to restore their emissions to be clean enough that my air would stay just as clean.

    Apparently that was technically impossible. The engineers can clean a coal plant's emissions as much as you want, but you can only get asymptotically clean. The more you clean, the more it costs, and it's increasingly expensive to get those last remaining pollutants. At a sufficiently low level of pollutants, the cost of removing pollutants equals or exceeds the value of electricity produced.

    The coal companies used to run their emissions through these big bags which removed a lot of particles. They reduced the power output by 10%. There were different technologies but they were all expensive and reduced efficiency.

    (This assumes that you remove the mercury, thorium, lead, etc. in the form of sludge, and you find someone who doesn't mind if you bury it in a clay-capped hole in the ground, er, waste disposal site, and monitor it forever.)

    But we need some electricity from somewhere. I believe that, in principle, we should be able to generate all the electricity we need from non-polluting non-nuclear sources, which ultimately means solar power. But when I read even the optimistic projections in Science magazine by people who are actually trying to do it, it doesn't look like we'll be able to do more than (I'd guess) 20% or 30% in the next 20 years.

    Or perhaps you'd prefer hydropower, like the Three Gorges Dam.

    I went without an air conditioner for several years. Then one summer during a heat wave, I gave up. My local Sierra Club, I noticed, had an air conditioner.

    From the perspective of single-minded engineering and business efficiency, if you need electricity as soon as possible, coal power plants are great, as the Chinese government has decided. The less pollution control, the more efficient. From the perspective of lungs, they're not so great. The pollution in Beijing is so bad that some people can't live there. Even in the U.S., the pollution from traffic by the side of a busy road is so great that it increases the incidence of asthma and lung disease dramatically.

    Too bad everybody laughed at Jimmy Carter. He saw this coming.

  22. Fusion? by Scarumanga · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Does this include funding for nuclear fusion projects in the US? Or just the current fission reactor based technology? One scientist said there's a 50% chance of fusion becoming a reality 20 years after it gets serious funding. I agree with him

  23. Re:Loan guarantees? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Funny

    The strength of your argument is overwhelming...

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  24. Re:Loan guarantees? by GooberToo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    As for wind, it's nice but wind farms are ugly and have environmental impacts of their own; such as bird strikes.

    Its my understanding that the bird strike issue NEVER existed and that it was completely fabricated by environmentalist. The simply fact is, the blades on the majority of windmills are large and turn at low RPMs. In fact, if they turn too fast, they'll destroy themselves. The old windmills used for centuries on farms and ranches are a much greater threat and yet I've never heard a peep about their use.

    Remember, tip speed is everything to a windmill. That many sound ominous but let's think about that for a second. For a windmill to be efficient, it must be fairly large in size. That means large and lengthy blades. With large blades come extremely large forces. Most windmills target 30 (very large) - 100 (smaller "home" unit)RPM. At those speeds, you can actually watch the tip spinning. But because the blade is so long, the tip speed is still very high. Since the primary complaint from environmentalists is directed at commercial wind farms, for this discussion we can generally ignore the ones running faster 60 RPM or so.

    The reality is, most (all that I've seen; two) studies on the subject indicate that windmills are a natural scarecrow and tend to keep birds at a distance. Furthermore, because of their relatively low RPMs, its relatively easy for even the most hapless of birds to stay clear of the rotating blades. In fact, its these rotating blades, combined with the generated noise, which does wonders to drive them away.

    At the end of the day, unless you want to be eating grass and nuts out of your fecal/grass adobe hut, just ignore the crackpots and those who would ignorantly repeat their crack-pottery.

    Example, this windmill is completely out of control because of a failed braking system.

    Here's a properly functioning wind mill farm - likely operating near peak. Notice an airplane could almost fly between the blades, let alone a tiny bird.

  25. Re:Loan guarantees? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 4, Informative

    Its my understanding that the bird strike issue NEVER existed and that it was completely fabricated by environmentalist.

    No, there were legitimate issues with older windmill designs. They used scaffolding-style towers which encouraged birds to nest, and had much smaller blades with commensurately higher RPMs. Also, they didn't used to do any kind of research into bird migration paths to see if they were putting the farm right in the middle of one.

    These issue all came together in Altamont Pass, which you may have heard of since it's pretty much the deadliest windfarm for birds ever (though often the person bringing it up often neglects to mention that fact). Though lets be clear: this deadliest of wind farms killed fewer birds in a year than the office building that would accompany any such power plant, though the deaths were concentrated in raptors so the effect was probably a little greater than an office building.

    Now these issues have all been resolved. They now use single-pole towers with rounded tops that make nesting impossible. As you note, the economics themselves dictate using the largest blades possible. And now as a basic step in preparing to build a farm they check ornithological records to see if migrations are a problem.

    So yes, there were actual issues that were subsequently resolved.

    On a different note, the impression I always got was that the magnitude of the issue was played up by NIMBYs and anti-environmentalists who were finding their previous arguments of "but they're ugly" and "but I'm invested in the status quo" to be unpersuasive. They used the bird thing to try to drag environmentalists along with them, and it worked to an extent, but not for very long.

    At the end of the day, unless you want to be eating grass and nuts out of your fecal/grass adobe hut, just ignore the crackpots and those who would ignorantly repeat their crack-pottery.

    Well there are crackpots who want us to end up there, and there are crackpots who would have us end up there regardless as an unintentional consequence of trying to avoid it.

    And yes, I do tend to ignore them, at least when I can't inform them. For example on the bird issue -- so far I've met very few environmentalists who continue to be anti-wind once they're informed that bird deaths were played up by focusing on one worst-case scenario and that everything has been fixed.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are