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The Upside of the NASA Budget

teeks99 writes "There are a lot of articles circulating about the new changes to the NASA budget, but this one goes into some of the details. From what I'm seeing, it looks great — cutting off the big, expensive, over-budget stuff and allowing a whole bunch of important and revolutionary programs to get going: commercial space transportation; keeping the ISS going (now that we've finally got it up and running); working on orbital propellant storage (so someday we can go off to the far flung places); automated rendezvous and docking (allowing multiple, smaller launches, which then form into one large spacecraft in orbit). Quoting: 'NASA is out of the business of putting people into low-earth orbit, and doesn't see getting back in to it. The Agency now sees its role as doing interesting things with people once they get there, hence its emphasis on in-orbit construction, heavy lift capabilities, and resource harvesting hardware. Given budgetary constraints and the real issues with the Constellation program, none of that is necessarily unreasonable.'"

283 comments

  1. Economy of Scale by teeks99 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There's also a pretty good article from space.com that talks about a couple of the different points

    They go into some more detail about the commercial space transportation part paving the way for more "space tourist" like stuff. Obviously this will still be extremely expensive, but I hope that it could increase the total number of launches, and help bring some economies of scale.

    This is also the reason I'm excited about the orbital propellant storage and automated rendezvous technology. These items will allow us to launch big (weight wise) missions by using a bunch of smaller launch vehicles, instead of one really huge (and really expensive) one.

    1. Re:Economy of Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These items will allow us to launch big (weight wise) missions by using a bunch of smaller launch vehicles

      So, a slashdot trip to moon will actually be possible in future? That's good news!

    2. Re:Economy of Scale by icebike · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This is also the reason I'm excited about the orbital propellant storage and automated rendezvous technology.

      We are never going to get out of sight with our current propellant technology. The money spent on this is a waste, like building yet another pony express station. Its time to focus in another direction.

      As for automated rendezvous, the Russians have been doing this for years. Just buy it from them.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    3. Re:Economy of Scale by happy_place · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No matter how you look at this issue, it's really just putting rosed-colored glasses on a tough situation. Sure, scientists and such are clever and will try to figure out how to continue to expand the sciences, even without financial support systems of the past, but the demand in aeronautics will continue to diminish, fewer experts will get involved, and any incentives to stay will simply go away.

      Of course I might be wrong, but honestly, if this philosophy really worked in governing bodies (the idea that you slash the budget to marginally operating ability, and suddenly you get better "products") then you should not expect record spending, but instead we should expect to see record budget slashing.

      The truth is, there's no great plan, instead these cuts are politically motivated due to the demographics of states affected by this change. Of course that's a president's prerogative and presidents do political things. I just won't pretend it's good news for NASA or US space tech.
         

      --
      http://www.beanleafpress.com
    4. Re:Economy of Scale by coolmoose25 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So what they are proposing is that we will do lots with relatively small rockets, and anything BIG that is needed can be built piecemeal. That is an approach - the one followed by ISS. The other approach is Skylab. We had a Saturn IVb knocking around, so we built a space station and lofted it up in one shot. Skylab was still probably bigger in total volume than the ISS is today, as it nears completion.

      Maybe this new approach will work, and I hope it will. But I believe that it won't. The Mercury astronauts said it best. No Buck Rogers, No Bucks. Without manned spaceflight, we'll mostly turn our attention to unmanned spaceflight, which is cool, and cheap, and makes great discoveries. The public will tire of this too. Robots are good and they can be used successfully, but "boots on the ground" or in this case "boots in space" are also required.

      The US has now essentially ceded manned spaceflight to the Russians and the Chinese... just as Spain and Portugal ceded the new world to the English and French. Unless there is a national commitment to a GOAL in manned spaceflight, not much of it will make sense, other than going back and forth to the ISS.

      By all means, we should look on the bright side... but the bright side is considerably dimmer now

      --
      Brawndo: It's what plants crave!
    5. Re:Economy of Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These items will allow us to launch big (weight wise) missions by using a bunch of smaller launch vehicles, instead of one really huge (and really expensive) one.

      And the savings of which would be precisely amount to what? The payload to absolute mass ratio tends to be smaller when using small launchers. So, without actual numbers it remains debatable whether small launchers are indeed more efficient.

    6. Re:Economy of Scale by Cally · · Score: 1, Interesting

      With Constellation getting knifed, =anything= else is gravy as far as I'm concerned. Good riddance to an empty rhetorical gesture by Dubya in a pathetic attempt to be the 21st Century JFK. There was NEVER any funding for it, and the only positive result was the finally force the retirement of the ludicrous, dangerous, and ridiculously expensive STS. Sure, it makes awesome eye candy, but you got that in '81. Going back to the moon would be an empty gesture that would also burn through huge sums of money. I'm glad the charade is finally over. The only useful thing it would have provided would have been a heavy-lift booster capable of pushing 50 tons to Mars. For NASA to actually get a $6B /INCREASE/ -- on the previous year's budget of only /$13B/-- is absolutely fantastic, far better than I dared hope for. (Yes yes, the $6B is spread over 5 years. So it's only an annual increase of 9% over the 2009-10 budget, every year for the next five years.) My own interest is Mars; this budget raises the possibility that the next decade need not be a re-run of the data drought we suffered in the 80s and much of the 90s. (At the moment, there are only two Mars landers: Mars Science Laboratory, the gigantic nuclear-powered laser-armed beast, of which there is only one, and which is supposed to land with one of the most bizarre EDL systems I've heard of. Search for it on YouTube and prepare to shit yourself as you realised that there's just the one shot for it to work, or the $3B MSL gets lithobraked. Anyway, after that there's a vague plan to land TWO rovers in 2016: one by JPL and one by ESA, on the same vehicle. As the ESA rover, aka ExoMars, has been in development for well over a decade and has repeatedly slipped - in fact it's slipped further than it's been in development, I believe - I put the chances of that coming off at no better than 20%. AND THAT IS ALL. Ridiculous when you remember that the two MERs that are still running today, in the sixth year after landing for a planned 90 Sol prime mission, cost less than two Shuttle launches. I know what kind of footage and images *I* would like to see on the TV news in 5 years time, and it's doesn't include fleshy ones floating around clogging up the view. Anyone in the "space community" (meaning the non-professional interested people, e.g. those posting on this thread) who's moaning about the NASA budget at this point either hasn't been paying attention, is a whacked out 60s reject suffering an acid flashback, or has been watching too much Star Trek.

      --
      "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    7. Re:Economy of Scale by timeOday · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Of course I might be wrong, but honestly, if this philosophy really worked in governing bodies (the idea that you slash the budget to marginally operating ability, and suddenly you get better "products") then you should not expect record spending, but instead we should expect to see record budget slashing.

      Nobody is claiming the new prioritization is better because the budget was reduced, only that the good done by the new prioritization offsets the damage from the reduction. Letting the Shuttle die certainly saved a boatload of money for other things.

      Could you clarify your point about demographics? Do you mean Medicare is crowding out NASA? Certainly there's truth to that; medical expenses are approaching 18% of US GDP. That means for every work week, almost one full day is spent paying the healthcare system (either through taxes, premiums, reduced wages to employers who pay premiums, or copays - it's all just different means of feeding the same hungry beast). After witnessing the failure of healthcare reform (starting with the public's receptiveness to scaremongering about unplugging granny) I've realized that's just an albatross we'll have to carry. Americans do not want fundamental reforms.

    8. Re:Economy of Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Orbital assembly was an option during Apollo. It would have taken multiple Saturn V launches to get the components up there. Direct ascent could have been done by the "Nova" rocket on Von Braun's drawing board. It was also hideously expensive. Orbit re-configuration from a single stack actually was actively fought against for some time. Turned out to be the best and most economical option available.

    9. Re:Economy of Scale by dintlu · · Score: 4, Interesting

      NASA's constellation program was ill-conceived waste of taxpayer money. Florida's been a "purple" state for the past three elections, and NASA has a tremendous presence down here. To argue that cutting NASA's budget is politically motivated is to say that Obama's administrations *wants to lose votes* in the state of Florida, which is patently absurd.

      What's happening to NASA is like an alcoholic stopping the sauce. Not only do they save a bunch of money, but they also free up a bunch of time and brainpower to pursue better things.

    10. Re:Economy of Scale by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      We are never going to get out of sight with our current propellant technology. The money spent on this is a waste, like building yet another pony express station. Its time to focus in another direction.

      Ack, not this again. When it comes to getting out of LEO, prices can still easily drop one or two orders of magnitude with propellant-based rockets. After all, fuel is just 1% of the cost of launching a rocket. By decreasing costs you'll grow the market, which will provide the future demand necessary for the various non-propellant technologies (space elevators, beam propulsion, whatever) to be successful.

      Also, it's worth noting that when Constellation started going overbudget NASA ended up finding money by canceling most of its technology development efforts, including things like non-propellant propulsion. The idea is to bring research into those technologies back with the expanded funding of R&D.

    11. Re:Economy of Scale by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      As for automated rendezvous, the Russians have been doing this for years. Just buy it from them.

      The ESA too, with their ATV programme.

    12. Re:Economy of Scale by cmowire · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, the ISS is bigger than Skylab at this point.

      The problem with the shuttle building the ISS is that it's really the worst of both worlds. You spend billions of dollars a year on the shuttle and build the American part of the ISS on that set of constraints and then wonder why it cost so much. Whereas, If you were to have lofted the American part of the ISS on commercially available boosters, even after the additional hardware to make each module contain a tug, you'd have built it for a lot less.

      Especially if you also consider that most everything gets cheaper in bulk and, if you were to place a guaranteed order for a hundred medium lift boosters, you'd get them at a much more reasonable price than the equivalent upmass in ten heavy lift boosters. Especially given that medium lift boosters are the right size for commercial missions and heavy lift boosters are not yet.

      The problem is the sunk costs fallacy. NASA had the design and hardware for Freedom and modified it instead of taking a giant step back when they had a chance. The shuttle was there and it worked, even though we might have done much better to have sent it to the museums after the first time we lost one.

    13. Re:Economy of Scale by srollyson · · Score: 1

      No Buck Rogers, No Bucks. [...] Robots are good and they can be used successfully, but "boots on the ground" or in this case "boots in space" are also required.

      Robots can do a pretty good job of immersing everyone in the discovery, rather than just the astronauts.

      Have a look at this awesome panorama that Mars Rover Opportunity took. JAXA also strapped some HD cameras to their lunar orbiter, Kaguya. Kaguya's cameras benefited science greatly by stitching footage together to create a complete lunar topographical map. The side benefit was some brilliant footage of the lunar landscape to placate the taxpayers.

      I don't know about you, but I'd love to see some footage of a nuclear-powered robot drilling into Europa's subsurface ocean.

    14. Re:Economy of Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Mercury astronauts said it best. No Buck Rogers, No Bucks.

      The Mercury astronauts didn't say that at all. Tom Wolfe made that line up for The Right Stuff. And it's "No bucks, no Buck Rogers".

    15. Re:Economy of Scale by osu-neko · · Score: 2, Funny

      I was trying to figure out how that post got modded "insightful".

      Of course I might be wrong, ...

      Ah, there we go...

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    16. Re:Economy of Scale by osu-neko · · Score: 0

      Robots are good and they can be used successfully, but "boots on the ground" or in this case "boots in space" are also required.

      Er, wake up and smell the 21st century? News flash: "boots on the ground" is a concept that's on the way out, even in the military where the phrase originates from. "Boots on the ground" is old and busted, the new hotness is robots fighting your wars for you. If you think they're going to stop with unmanned aircraft, think again.

      Certainly they can't do everything, but the number of actual, human-filled boots required for any task is going to decrease dramatically, and as much as is possible, the "boots on the ground" that remain are going to remain on the ground of whatever base they start from, regardless of where in the world their robots are operating.

      The fact of the matter is, you can do a lot more with robots than with people. One of the things holding back our progress is the stubborn insistence on sending men to do a machine's job, consuming huge amounts of resources and money that could have been spent actually accomplishing things rather than making "Buck Rogers" PR out of serious business. We're are so far less advanced now than we could be, if only we'd spent the money doing useful things instead.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    17. Re:Economy of Scale by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 1

      Skylab was still probably bigger in total volume than the ISS is today, as it nears completion.

      Skylab was 77,000 kg; the ISS is 344,000 kg. I don't even have volume figures, but it's probably not even close unless the ISS is extremely dense compared to Skylab.

      The US has now essentially ceded manned spaceflight to the Russians and the Chinese

      No, NASA has ceded LEO light lift capability to private entities, which are already quite capable in this role.

    18. Re:Economy of Scale by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      We are never going to get out of sight with our current propellant technology. The money spent on this is a waste, like building yet another pony express station. Its time to focus in another direction.

      I notice that the people who keep saying this are the same people who pour ridicule on NASAs funding of the initial development of technologies needed for a space elevator, and decry nuclear rockets as too unsafe and environmentally unfriendly.

      Throw us a bone here: what the heck do you think NASA should be developing w.r.t. launch technology?

    19. Re:Economy of Scale by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I don't mind the analogy. "No Buck Rogers, No bucks" makes sense too, so far as if NASA doesn't do anything spectacular that nobody will care what happens to the agency.

      For NASA's part, they put on a pretty good show. For almost any agency of the Federal government, NASA has one of the best public relations office of anybody I've ever seen or met. They also know how to leverage media coverage on the cheap and get it to go far and wide.

    20. Re:Economy of Scale by Teancum · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The fact of the matter is, you can do a lot more with robots than with people. One of the things holding back our progress is the stubborn insistence on sending men to do a machine's job, consuming huge amounts of resources and money that could have been spent actually accomplishing things rather than making "Buck Rogers" PR out of serious business.

      Every time I see this kind of sentiment, I just cringe. On multiple levels, I think this is simple flat out wrong. There is a role for both manned and unmanned exploration of the Solar System and space in general. The two kinds of exploration fill complimentary roles, not competitive roles.

      Frankly, it really annoys me that Dr. Sagan brought up this idea in the first place and popularized the notion that we could kill the Astronaut Corps and somehow have more money left over for the Jet Propulsion Lab. He is the origin of the notion, together with highly jealous oceanographers who thought their pet science projects should get priority on science funding as well.

      Yes, there is a kernel of truth to the notion that some forms of exploration are better left to robots. Certainly the initial reconnaissance should be done remotely, and the use of robotic probes can certainly leverage a manpower shortage that is always going to be the case in space exploration anyway for the next couple thousand years or more.

      Still, there is nothing like having somebody actually there, feeling the dirt, smelling the dust, responding to the physical environment and doing something that no other human has ever done before in the history of mankind. The benefits of a manned space exploration program have already paid off many, many times in terms of opening up horizons that never existed before, and introduced new ways of thinking and even whole new concepts and memes that are still going through society today.

      If it wasn't for manned spaceflight, the modern environmental movement simply wouldn't exist. Seriously, prove me wrong here. And it took people, real folks doing stuff up there, to really kick those ideas into mainstream culture. Previously, environmental concern was for very fringe activists that were mostly ignored.

      I use environmentalism just as but one of many examples of ideas and concepts that came from space and the experiences of people. No, I don't think that would have ever been developed from robotic exploration where every view is managed by committee.

    21. Re:Economy of Scale by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The advantage of Skylab is that it was one huge piece of equipment, and the ISS is a whole bunch of small pieces. While the ISS does have more components and much more mass, Skylab certainly is very comparable in terms of raw physical volume.

      And yes, the "density" in terms of the amount of metal per m^3 is much more for the ISS.

      Habitable volume of Skylab: 361 m^3
      Habitable volume of the ISS: 373 m^3
      Habitable volume of Mir: 350 m^3

      All three stations were of comparable size, interestingly enough. Yes the ISS is slightly larger, but not by a whole lot. And Skylab was quite a bit more open with fewer structural issues in the way.... it was built inside the fuel tanks of the 3rd stage of a Saturn V rocket.

    22. Re:Economy of Scale by holmstar · · Score: 1

      Robots can do, at best, what they are designed to do plus maybe a bit more. Humans can do vastly more than that, but require things like oxygen and food and heat. Until we have truly intelligent machines there will be a place for both.

    23. Re:Economy of Scale by Teancum · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While I agree with the notion that it was long, long overdue to cancel the Ares I rocket design and with it the Constellation program (for the most part... it is still limping along even now), it wasn't really George W. Bush's vision at all. Instead it was the vision of Michael Griffin who was the agency head and sort of his own personal vision for the future of NASA.

      All Bush said was that getting back to the Moon ought to be a long term priority as should moving on to the rest of the Solar System. I think that is indeed a proper vision of the future, and Bush knew full well that it was his successor who was going to be in a position to really set the vision for the future of American spaceflight. What was Bush's decision that I can applaud him for is that he made the choice to shut down the Shuttle program. That, too, is a decision that is long, long overdue but at least it is happening. Before Bush, the question was if the Shuttle should be retired. After Bush, the decision was when.

    24. Re:Economy of Scale by mrfrostee · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sure, scientists and such are clever and will try to figure out how to continue to expand the sciences, even without financial support systems of the past, but the demand in aeronautics will continue to diminish, fewer experts will get involved, and any incentives to stay will simply go away.

      This budget restores funding to the science and technology development programs that Constellation cannibalized when it was under-funded. Aeronautics gets a 15% increase, for instance.

      The truth is, there's no great plan, instead these cuts are politically motivated...

      NASA's budget was increased, not cut.

      Constellation was a huge unfunded mandate. It sucked all the funds from everything else NASA did. The Augustine report that studied future options for NASA said it would take 3 billion additional dollars per year to implement the program, and it gave several better options for NASA in the unlikely case that the $3 billion was available (but it isn't).

      I see these changes as being common sense, not politically motivated. No politician of any party would want to borrow the money required to see Constellation through.

    25. Re:Economy of Scale by BigPappa · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As for automated rendezvous, the Russians have been doing this for years. Just buy it from them.

      Problem is the Russian one sucks bad. Seems like 8/10 times the ISS crew has to bring the Progress ships in manually anyway.

    26. Re:Economy of Scale by icebike · · Score: 1

      I notice that the people who keep saying this are the same people who pour ridicule on NASAs funding of the initial development of technologies needed for a space elevator, and decry nuclear rockets as too unsafe and environmentally unfriendly.

      Where did I ever post on either of those subjects? Or did you make that up?

      For any extended mission where we try to "get out of sight" chemical is clearly not the way to go.

      Throw us a bone here: what the heck do you think NASA should be developing w.r.t. launch technology?

      This portion of the thread is not about launch technology. Its about in-space refueling of vehicles with propellants that are hard to lift, tricky to handle, and exceedingly dangerous.

      --
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    27. Re:Economy of Scale by fm6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You spend billions of dollars a year on the shuttle and build the American part of the ISS on that set of constraints and then wonder why it cost so much.

      Everyone seems to have forgotten that the whole point of the shuttle program was to bring launch costs down. Easy to overlook, since it ended up being a total money pit. But it didn't have to be that way.

      If memory serves, this is how it went wrong: NASA couldn't get the startup budget that was deemed the minimum necessary to develop the thing. They decided to build it anyway, and hope that once the program was started, Congress would be afraid to kill it.

      That indeed was what happened, but the result was a disaster. Once the el cheapo design got locked in (why does Seattle DOS come to mind?), the only way to move the program forward was to kludge in fix after fix. The result was the most complicated vehicle in the history of transportation. (NASA's clueless PR flacks actually boast about this!) Complexity like that can only result in cost overruns and repeated malfunctions — how many launches have been delayed by technical problems?

      The obvious thing to do is start from scratch, and this time fund the program properly, so you don't have to fix it later. And while you're at it, you might as well build something that can achieve a proper orbit. Unfortunately, that's even more a political non-starter in 2010 than it was in 1970.

    28. Re:Economy of Scale by 4181 · · Score: 1

      To gain a sense of the openness of Skylab, check out some of the old video of astronauts "jogging" inside around its circumference, such as this. Then compare it to a tour of the ISS.

    29. Re:Economy of Scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Skylab 283 cubic meters, International Space Station as it is now is over 1000 cubic meters, with more modules due to be installed still

    30. Re:Economy of Scale by Eskarel · · Score: 1

      True, humans can do things robots can't, and manned space exploration is important.

      The problem is that for them to be able to do any of those things, they have to be there long enough to have a chance. If we stick a couple of people insane enough to want to spend a minimum of 10 years away from all other humans into a ship and blast them out there and back. Presuming that at present we can actually manage it, what are they actually going to do when they get there? Wander around for a few hours, plant a flag, bring back some rocks? A robot can do all that stuff.

      What you need is to build a place on Mars that they can spend some time in, perform experiments in, etc. Ideally somewhere you could spend a few years in without going totally insane since it's a 10 year trip. You need robots for that, and you need them to go first.

      Certainly sticking people into LEO to see the earth from a different perspective has helped(though arguably a camera could have accomplished the same thing), but sending men to the moon was just a PR stunt. We didn't do anything there, or accomplish anything there that we couldn't have done with a robot today. A couple of hours on the surface for a few billion of today's dollars was a collosal waste of time and money.

    31. Re:Economy of Scale by reboot246 · · Score: 1

      I heard Michael D. Griffin (former head of NASA) interviewed on the radio this morning, and he was very pessimistic about this budget. He hoped that Congress would make some changes and fund NASA the way it should be funded.

      You have to remember that NASA's budget was cut severely during the Clinton administration, and was basically kept at the lower level of funding throughout the Bush administration.

      Personally I don't see the private sector being able to do in the foreseeable future what NASA does now. We're talking about a VERY tiny part of the nation's overall budget, and government wastes more than that just about every day.

    32. Re:Economy of Scale by trout007 · · Score: 1

      I hope to offset some of the costs to the government the private companies are allowed to run launch ticket lotteries. 50 million tickets at $1 each could help.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    33. Re:Economy of Scale by Risen888 · · Score: 2, Funny

      One of the things holding back our progress is the stubborn insistence on sending men to do a machine's job

      Um. We're actually not sending men anywhere. That's the problem.

      We're are so far less advanced now than we could be, if only we'd spent the money doing useful things instead.

      Ah yes, like sending a robot to Mars to get stuck in the fucking sand. Not to discount the great work that NASA has done with the Mars rovers, but they've spent a year trying to get Spirit out of about six inches of sand. A man and perhaps a small shovel would have done the job in half an hour.

      --
      Hey, I finally got my first freak! Took you long enough!
    34. Re:Economy of Scale by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      Throw us a bone here: what the heck do you think NASA should be developing w.r.t. launch technology?

      This portion of the thread is not about launch technology. Its about in-space refueling of vehicles with propellants that are hard to lift, tricky to handle, and exceedingly dangerous.

      Dammit, reading comprehension let me down again!. I thought you were complaining about current launch technology. In my defence, I do notice that the set of people complaining that rockets are so last century does substantially intersect with the people who hate space elevators, and this observation inspired my comment.

      Some of my colleagues here at Surrey Space Centre are working on helicon double-layer thrusters (a type of electric propulsion) which has a lot of promise, but to make them suitable for manned interplanetary flight there's a really important question to be answered: how, if the environmental nuts won't let us put fission piles in space, do we power these things? You're probably also aware of the VASIMR project, which IIRC NASA are continuing to fund.

      Re in orbit refueling: LH2 and LO2 are actually pretty good. You lift a tank full of distilled water (contains hydrogen and oxygen in exactly the correct proportions, dense, easy to store, non-toxic, environmentally friendly), and when it arrives at your in-orbit refueling centre, you electrolyse it and liquefy the products using abundant solar energy. Since most of space has a temperature of ~ 4 K, you can store the propellants easily as long as you keep the storage tanks in the shade. What's the big deal?

    35. Re:Economy of Scale by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      It may have been cheaper to have astronauts do the Apollo missions and come back, but nowadays, a one-way robotic probe could do the same and probably more. However, the gain was political as it could be seen as a first step toward colonization. For this political goal, a human was clearly needed.

      The ISS is primary a lab where microgravity experiments can be made, analyzed, improved and even saved, when there is a problem, by a clever hack on site. Is this cheaper than carefully plan an automated experiment in a non-habitable satellite and have it occasionally fail ? The answer is not really clear. However, I am willing to bet than when we will have a tele-operated humanoid robot to send in orbit, the need for humans on board will be negated. Here again, the only purpose of human presence in LEO will become political.

      The moon has a one second lag so telepresence is workable there. For further destination, it is possible to imagine robots with embedded intelligence and the ability to react to data, design experiments and interpret them. It is surely easier to design than an habitable spacecraft to do the earth-mars trip.

      Nowadays, I believe that there is no need to put humans in a spacecraft if it is not in order to go inhabit a robot-built colony.

      Robots are perceived as clumsy, slow and not very adptative. These problems are being worked on and every day progress is made. Today we are far from what a human can do in earth conditions, but a human with a spacesuit in microgravity is something modern robotics can challenge.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    36. Re:Economy of Scale by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      What's happening to NASA is like an alcoholic stopping the sauce. Not only do they save a bunch of money, but they also free up a bunch of time and brainpower to pursue better things.

      And they'll be pretty irritable for a while.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    37. Re:Economy of Scale by khallow · · Score: 1

      ut nowadays, a one-way robotic probe could do the same and probably more.

      A one way probe can't return 380 kg of lunar material. It also can't determine how humans move in a low gravity environment or the other human-oriented discoveries made by Apollo.

      The moon has a one second lag so telepresence is workable there. For further destination, it is possible to imagine robots with embedded intelligence and the ability to react to data, design experiments and interpret them.

      We already have pretty advanced robots that do these things. We call them "humans".

    38. Re:Economy of Scale by khallow · · Score: 1

      The problem is that for them to be able to do any of those things, they have to be there long enough to have a chance. If we stick a couple of people insane enough to want to spend a minimum of 10 years away from all other humans into a ship and blast them out there and back. Presuming that at present we can actually manage it, what are they actually going to do when they get there? Wander around for a few hours, plant a flag, bring back some rocks? A robot can do all that stuff.

      The problem here is that you don't understand the problem. If we sent two people to Mars for ten years, they first would not just walk around for a few hours and plant a flag. What are they going to do with the rest of the nine or so years that they'd be on Mars? Send along a serious vehicle with a travel range of hundreds if not thousands of kilometers so that they can thoroughly explore the surrounding area. Send along a serious science lab so they can run on site experiments.

      Hell, even if your astronauts don't do any science or travel for ten years, they can still make their own machine shop from scratch. A little in situ resource utilization (ISRU)experimentation helps keep the crazy astronauts busy.

      Further, you don't seem to understand what humans can do. A good geologist would in a few weeks exceed the scientific output of all unmanned surface exploration to this point (and perhaps a few decades into the future as well). It'd be a serious kick in the pants for space science just as the Apollo missions were.

    39. Re:Economy of Scale by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      "The US has now essentially ceded manned spaceflight to the Russians and the Chinese."

      Really? Ceded is a pretty strong word.

      Lots of Russian and Chinese manned missions going up, are there?
      (I mean Chinese missions that don't show floating BUBBLES, of course...)

      Is the US space program in remission? Yep.
      Is NASA floundering? Yes, it's overbureacratized but occasionally puts out some really astonishingly good science and engineering - witness the Martian rovers, Cassini - so I suspect the talent is there, hiding under an increasing crust of politicized nonsense.

      The space shuttle was a horrible design, made by committee.
      The ISS is a stupid setpiece project - too low, too small, & too incremental to really advance the concepts of long-term space habitation or construction.

      Face it, we have an ever-increasing population here in the US that is less and less technologically oriented in real terms - sure, there are LOTS of 12 yr olds that can run Facebook or whip through the hardest PS3 game without breaking a sweat, but fewer engineers and astronomers. These people are electing representatives that choose to continue to spend a massive % of the Federal purse on:
      - medical care for elderly and poor
      - taking care of the seniors that didn't save enough for themselves (far longer than the originally-planned what, 6-8 years that were originally envisaged?)
      - caring for the unemployed/able

      If you were to look at the economics of it rationally, are ANY of those things (representing about 52% of the FY2009 spend) really ever going to benefit the country in general in the longest term?

      Basically, having an aggressive space program takes leadership with balls, people willing to accept that astronauts die in a terrifically dangerous job, people willing to accept the guns vs. butter choices economically that will hurt in the short term for a benefit in the longest terms. We tend not to elect them because they aren't willing to pander to US.

      --
      -Styopa
    40. Re:Economy of Scale by Eskarel · · Score: 1

      It's 10 years just travel time to get there. 5 years there, 5 years back. The problem with putting them there in the first place is that, while they can build a machine shop, and everything else, they might not be able to do it within the confines of the shuttle which takes them there.

      If you build them a nice base with food, and shelter, and oxygen, a nice machine shop, a few things like that, then they can stay there for quite some time and actually accomplish something.

    41. Re:Economy of Scale by khallow · · Score: 1

      It's 10 years just travel time to get there. 5 years there, 5 years back.

      Not for any destination that we can conceive of visiting in the near future. Even with current chemical rockets, Mars is about six months away. The "Mars Direct" plan (originally proposed by Robert Zubrin) proposes a two year stay on Mars in addition to the travel time. Near Earth asteroids would be somewhat shorter than that, though they'll most likely be short stays at the asteroid. The Moon would be a few days away. Space travel does take too long currently, but it's not that bad.

      If you build them a nice base with food, and shelter, and oxygen, a nice machine shop, a few things like that, then they can stay there for quite some time and actually accomplish something.

      Ok, I think we're on the same page then. Obviously, it'll be a lot more money than sending a few probes every couple of years. My impression is that if you can drop the cost of putting mass into space by a bunch, then humans become competitive with large unmanned efforts.

    42. Re:Economy of Scale by Eskarel · · Score: 1

      I must have been off, I remember at one point mars was a few years away, must have my brain stuck in the 90's(it happens).

      I think overall we agree though. Manned space flight is important, but it's sort of a final phase type of thing, you send em when there's a real reason for them to go, and you send them in something better than the shuttle.

    43. Re:Economy of Scale by khallow · · Score: 1

      I stand corrected on travel time for the Hoffman transfer orbit I was using. It's apparently 260 days plus or minus 10 days (Mars sometimes has a closer approach than at other times). That's 8-9 months travel time. Some propulsion/power systems can cut significant time off of that too. There are claims that a very effective (high power per kg of reactor and heat radiators) fission power plant combined with VASIMR (a variety of electric propulsion) could cut travel time down to as little as 39 days.

    44. Re:Economy of Scale by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      If it wasn't for manned spaceflight, the modern environmental movement simply wouldn't exist. Seriously, prove me wrong here.

      The burden of proof lies with you since you are making the assertion. Provide evidence that the modern environmental movement was a product of manned spaceflight, and the unmanned robotic flights could not have achieved the required results.

    45. Re:Economy of Scale by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Until the 1968 spaceflight of Apollo 8, the thought to take a high resolution image of the Earth at a distance simply never was conceived. The particularly image of the Earth from the Moon, as captured by the Apollo 8 crew, is even now the #1 most requested photo in the NASA archive ever. Period.

      It was this particular image that became the poster image of the Earth as a "big blue marble" and as something precious and unique into the consciousness of western nations. Looking at the vastness of space, comprehending just how little life there is in the Solar System much less the entire universe really brought environmental issues to a focus and gave the movement legitimacy to convince members of Congress and ordinary voters that something needed to be done with the environment. All of that happened in the 1970's, and it was going to the Moon which made that happen.

      No, robotic flights couldn't and didn't achieve those results. Those running the robots that went to the Moon never looked back at the Earth, because they weren't instructed to do so. Those robots never ran out of energy, and didn't have "free time" to kick back and ponder just where in fact they were at.

      There is simply no way that a robotic probe could have possibly achieved anything near the experience and insight (not necessarily knowledge) about what space really means without having a person up there to experience it.

      While there was an environmental movement before 1968, it was anemic and mostly oriented toward things like building national parks and modest protection of some parts of the country. Broad environmental concerns didn't happen until afterward.

      There, that is some evidence. Try to refute me.

  2. A breath of fresh air by Larson2042 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This new program is far better than the old one. It is so very heartening to see in a NASA program a stated goal to reduce the cost of human spaceflight, along with R&D of enabling technologies (orbital refueling, etc). NASA is finally shifting its human spaceflight focus in the right direction. As I've heard said before, it's not NASA's job to put a man on Mars (or the moon). It's NASA's job to make it possible for National Geographic to put a man on Mars.

    Now congress just has to not be a bunch of idiots and ruin it (possibly the greatest challenge to human spaceflight yet).

    1. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I couldn't disagree more. The private sector has yet to put a man on the moon after 40 years of the government having done so, and they also have shown no interest for mars. This is the absolute wrong direction for the government to be going. We need to go back, and to boldly go, while we still can.

    2. Re:A breath of fresh air by Larson2042 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Constellation was just "Apollo on steroids", as described by Griffin. How does sending a few government employees to the moon help open access to space for everyone? That should be the point, not just going to the moon for the sake of planting flags and making footprints (or "boldly going").

      And perhaps the private sector would have gone to the moon, had they been given 150 billion dollars (apollo cost) and a mandate to go there ASAP. But it was NASA that was given the money and the mandate, so they went. And where did it get us, ultimately? There hasn't been a single person past LEO since. Sounds to me like a different approach is needed. Perhaps one that builds and refines basic technologies, opening access to space and making it cheaper and easier to operate there. That way, when we do go back, we go back to stay.

    3. Re:A breath of fresh air by Minimum_Wage · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The manned spaceflight program has always been the most popular element of NASA, both to the general public and to Congress. If the planned cuts to the manned program are successfully enacted, I'm not sure the how long the rest of this stuff will survive in the current bugetary climate. Note that I'm not necessarily saying the Constellation program is on the right track, but there is an element of the old proverb about a rising tide lifting all the boats that I think applies here.

    4. Re:A breath of fresh air by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      I couldn't disagree more. The private sector has yet to put a man on the moon after 40 years of the government having done so, and they also have shown no interest for mars.

      The private sector will be quite happy to put you on the Moon if you're willing to give them $100,000,000,000 to do so.

      Otherwise, what exactly would be the point of a company spending all that money just to send someone there to plant a flag and bring back some rocks?

    5. Re:A breath of fresh air by bananaquackmoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well I guess you and I will have to agree to disagree. Let me rephrase what I said earlier. What is the private sector's motivation for going into space? Rich people's tourism. What is NASA's? Science. I chose the latter over the former.

    6. Re:A breath of fresh air by trickyD1ck · · Score: 1

      Isn't it good that as space exploration moves towards private sector, it will focus more on pragmatic goals instead of sticking it up to russkies?

    7. Re:A breath of fresh air by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 1

      Prestige. If you had a choice of LEO capable companies, wouldn't you be more apt to choose one that's gone to the moon? Sure, LEO and the moon are wildly different, but that's the point: To stick out and say "Hey, look what we can do!" There's no way that wouldn't impress potential clients.

      But, then that's beside the point either of you are trying to make...

      --
      Demented But Determined.
    8. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      You simply can't make the arguement that's NASA's fault we havn't been back to the moon since the early 70s and have never been to Mars. NASA had plans for a third round of Apollo missions and had mission plans to bel anding us on Mars by 1985. 1985! Thats 25 years ago!

      Why didn't they do it? Not for any lack of know-how, willingness, or determination. It was for lack of funds. Congress cut the hell out of NASA's budget. Perhaps it was NASA's fault for expecting that Apollo era funding would continue, but you can't say they didn't WANT to do all the things you're saying they didn't accomplish.

    9. Re:A breath of fresh air by tjstork · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As I've heard said before, it's not NASA's job to put a man on Mars (or the moon). It's NASA's job to make it possible for National Geographic to put a man on Mars.

      That's insane. National Geographic's great expeditions followed in the footsteps of many gov't funded expeditions, particularly, all these expeditions were descended from the British sending out the likes of Cook, and geez, Darwin.

      --
      This is my sig.
    10. Re:A breath of fresh air by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      Prestige. If you had a choice of LEO capable companies, wouldn't you be more apt to choose one that's gone to the moon? Sure, LEO and the moon are wildly different, but that's the point: To stick out and say "Hey, look what we can do!" There's no way that wouldn't impress potential clients.

      Impress them enough to cover the cost ? Doubtful.

    11. Re:A breath of fresh air by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well I guess you and I will have to agree to disagree. Let me rephrase what I said earlier. What is the private sector's motivation for going into space? Rich people's tourism.

      Wrong answer. The correct answer is: To make money.

      Now, space tourism will likely make them the most money, and therefore they'll probably focus on that part. But then, as soon as they have a reliable space vehicle, they will just bring up anyone who pays for it, be it some tourist who just wants to experience weightlessness and view our planet from space, or a scientist who wants to perform some experiment. The only question will be: "What do you pay?"

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    12. Re:A breath of fresh air by Dr.+Eggman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, it won't cover the costs. But, to be the company behind the first (even second or third) private moon landing? That's the sort of reputation that sticks with a company for a long time. Not everything in business is about profit. Or atleast it didn't use to be...

      --
      Demented But Determined.
    13. Re:A breath of fresh air by mweather · · Score: 2, Informative

      If you had a choice of LEO capable companies, wouldn't you be more apt to choose one that's gone to the moon?

      That's a pretty big if. There are no LEO capable companies.

    14. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Well I guess you and I will have to agree to disagree. Let me rephrase what I said earlier. What is the private sector's motivation for going into space? Rich people's tourism.

      You got that wrong. The only private sector motivation is money. Doesn't matter what the money is for.

      You need to look at it as a time line. NASA did the science to get people into space. Now there is demand for space tourism. The private sector can begin by improving NASA's initial science with the goal of decreasing the overall cost of getting to space. While the private sector handles that portion, NASA will be developing additional science and technology related to doing things while in space. Building, constructing, lifting, mining, moving, growing things, etc. As the cost for space tourism decreases, and NASA improves the tech for doing other things in space, the private sector will naturally follow the potential profits and expand further into space.

      Baby steps. Eventually we will reach a critical mass of science, technology, and potential profit and the private sector will unleash a ton of investment into space.

    15. Re:A breath of fresh air by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      That is false.

    16. Re:A breath of fresh air by bananaquackmoo · · Score: 1

      +1, couldn't agree more.

    17. Re:A breath of fresh air by Sperbels · · Score: 1

      Now, space tourism will likely make them the most money, and therefore they'll probably focus on that part.

      You're kidding right? You think a company can make more money on a handful of very rich vacationers than it can on government contracts? Manned commercial space (orbital) transport will likely have one kind of customer....rich governments. They are the only ones who can afford it.

    18. Re:A breath of fresh air by toastar · · Score: 1

      How much for me and 5 of my friends to go to mars one way with 2 years of food/air/water

    19. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While we still can? What do you mean? While your still alive? It sounds to me all this new tech and research will eventually make it possible to travel to far away places.

    20. Re:A breath of fresh air by bananaquackmoo · · Score: 1

      Exactly, you said it, not me. To make money. My argument is for science, yours is for penny pinching accountants.

    21. Re:A breath of fresh air by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Darwin has a posse. Just sayin'.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    22. Re:A breath of fresh air by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      It's not their job to make science. It's their job to get the people up, including the people who make science up there. Including NASA scientists.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    23. Re:A breath of fresh air by Unequivocal · · Score: 1

      I think GP was saying "no companies capable of putting humans in LEO." I still don't know if that's true or false, but I haven't heard of any commercial enterprise that has done it - only gov'ts? XPrize was the closest I've heard and that was not LEO of course.

    24. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The private sector has yet to put a man on the moon after 40 years of the government having done so, and they also have shown no interest for mars

      If nobody has shown any interest in putting a man on the moon, why should NASA? The People don't want it, or at least have loudly spoken that they don't want to pay for it.

    25. Re:A breath of fresh air by cmowire · · Score: 1

      Hindsight is 20/20. NASA was figuring that, if the shuttle was a booming success and drove down the cost of upmass, procuring the necessary bits for a new set of moon missions would be easier. NASA had planned for reduced budgets, it's just that their creative plan to work around that didn't work out.

    26. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We used to have the moon. Now we have "Diversity". Great trade-off, eh?

    27. Re:A breath of fresh air by Doomdark · · Score: 1
      Now, space tourism will likely make them the most money...

      Yeah, the fabulously lucrative business opportunity of space tourism... (insert sarcasm tags in there if that's not obvious enough)

      If this is where the most money is to be found, it is no wonder private corporations have rather little interest in "space business", save for corporations where individuals (sir Richard, and other smaller ones, funded by Jeff B et al) can spend money on their own interests.

      No, I do not believe that private corporations can be the driving force in this segment of human enterprise. I think it is good to harness their power in appropriate areas (mass-producing rockets, say; as sub-contractors), but as helpers, not drivers.

      --
      I like paying taxes. With them I buy civilization -- Oliver Wendell Holmes
    28. Re:A breath of fresh air by Original+Replica · · Score: 1

      The manned missions are popular because the embody a "Buck Rodgers" dream. I for one, would like to see NASA persueing a new dream. Call it a "DS9" dream. Make the ISS a real space station instead of a repository of shoebox experiments. Put a (large) greenhouse on the ISS and see how much air and waste can be recycled. Put some housing sections on 1000' tethers and spin up some artificial gravity. This is basic stuff that was obvious to people two generations ago. Man-on-the-Moon is an old challenge (that was accomplished more then once), it's time to sell a new dream.

      --
      We are all just people.
    29. Re:A breath of fresh air by T+Murphy · · Score: 1

      Not everything in business is about short term profit. Or atleast it didn't use to be...

    30. Re:A breath of fresh air by sconeu · · Score: 1

      SpaceX is probably the closest. Virgin/Scaled is suborbital.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    31. Re:A breath of fresh air by centuren · · Score: 1

      The manned spaceflight program has always been the most popular element of NASA, both to the general public and to Congress. If the planned cuts to the manned program are successfully enacted, I'm not sure the how long the rest of this stuff will survive in the current bugetary climate. Note that I'm not necessarily saying the Constellation program is on the right track, but there is an element of the old proverb about a rising tide lifting all the boats that I think applies here.

      The budget cut was going to happen, period. It's my impression that the new priorities that came with the budget cuts weren't meant to make NASA seem more interesting, but rather for NASA to focus on developing new technologies that are thought to be most helpful to creating jobs and inspiring development of related technologies in the private sector. This plan is designed specifically to survive in the current budgetary climate, as one defends against it's detractors not by pointing to symbolic and inspirational goals, but by pointing to fiscal ones. It's the "boots on the ground" concept that's more vulnerable with this level of deficit. That doesn't mean the end to manned space flight, of course, more like it's being shelved in favour of less expensive projects that are still valuable to developing the space program.

    32. Re:A breath of fresh air by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Right now the motivation is tourism, but the real future is in mining. The estimated worth of a 1 mile diameter asteroid is around $20 trillion dollars. More if the asteroid contains water and volatiles that can be used to continue exploration and exploitation of the asteroid belt. The key there is 'exploitation'. When explorers wandered the wilderness of the America's don't forget that they also brought miners, traders, and settlers with them. That is where the future is, and I can only hope that an NEO is the unofficial new target for NASA.

    33. Re:A breath of fresh air by lennier · · Score: 1

      it's not NASA's job to put a man on Mars (or the moon). It's NASA's job to make it possible for National Geographic to put a man on Mars.

      Enabling third-party space development is a nice goal... you do realise, though, that making it possible for National Geographic to go privately into orbit also means making it possible for Al Quaeda to go privately into orbit and drop rocks on our heads?

      At least, I assume this is why NASA has been reluctant to let go of the LEO monopoly. 'Launch vehicle' is just a pretty name for ICBM without a warhead.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    34. Re:A breath of fresh air by natehoy · · Score: 1

      LEO and the moon are, as you say, wildly different. I don't think you appreciate just HOW wildly different, however.

      If I were a potential customer looking to place something on the moon, I'd choose someone who had past Lunar experience. LEO, on the other hand, is child's play compared to going to the moon, and I probably wouldn't consider lunar experience relevant to a decision about an LEO vendor.

      Low Earth Orbit means getting something to anywhere between 200 and 2000 kilometers up. The moon is 384,000 kilometers away. Even for the highest values of "Low Earth Orbit", you're still two orders of magnitude short of a one-way Lunar trip, much less a round trip. The launch from the moon, alone, will be more complex than the entire LEO mission.

      It would be on the order of me asking who can build a play house for my daughter, and someone trying to impress me by saying they had just finished building the replacement for the World Trade Center for free so they could impress me with their building prowess. The experience of building a massive steel structure isn't relevant to the building of a small wooden structure. Likewise, for the most part the technology involved in a Lunar roundtrip is going to be almost completely dissimilar to LEO technology. Yeah, they're all rockets, but the similarity pretty much ends there.

      --
      "This post contains words, known to the State of California to cause thought. Wash brain thoroughly after reading."
    35. Re:A breath of fresh air by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      SpaceX launches its falcon 9 in the next few months. And it will hold the dragon spacecraft. The 1st few missions will be unmanned but the dragon is fully capable of doing manned missions (with minor reconfiguration). Expect to see it happen in the next ~2 years.

    36. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you're insane. NASA is still blazing the trail, just in a way that controls costs and expenditure of life within government constraints. Blazing the trail by collecting data with relatively cheap robots and expanding the technology base upon which private industry can draw from is precisely what a science-based space administration should do. Data collection should be automated, anyway. Reduction in potential human error is good. I can't believe someone on slashdot is effectively arguing against optimization through automation.

      So stop being insane.

    37. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How does sending a human into space impact a science mission? Look at the huge amount of science that's been done with robots on Mars, science without human error in data collection. The majority of natural science data is routinely gathered by automated devices and remote sensors (ie, satelites) already. Take a look at most of the USGS streamflow data. You can watch your closest streamflow gauge in real time, during a storm from the USGS website. This includes basic geochemical surface water parameters, too. This is a huge boon, as anyone can review and analyze the data and submit an article to a peer-reviewed journal based on their analysis (in science circles, which I assume you're on the outside of based on your stupidity, these are called "citizen scientists" and are crucial to basic research - especially in the geosciences, the American Geophysical Union is especially supportive of people outside academia having access to data to bring new points of view to the table). The fact that we can take soil and rock samples on mars and get detailed breakdown of the chemical components without risking a single human life is a HUGE step forward in space science, and should be applied elsewhere as much as possible. Manned exploration should only be used when absolutely necessary for basic research and maintenance, and otherwise should be minimized.

    38. Re:A breath of fresh air by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      What is the private sector's motivation for going into space? Rich people's tourism. What is NASA's? Science. I chose the latter over the former.

      If NASA's science requires a person go into space (most of it does not), then they'll pay the private sector to do it. What's the problem?

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    39. Re:A breath of fresh air by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Now, space tourism will likely make them the most money, and therefore they'll probably focus on that part.

      You're kidding right? You think a company can make more money on a handful of very rich vacationers than it can on government contracts? Manned commercial space (orbital) transport will likely have one kind of customer....rich governments. They are the only ones who can afford it.

      No, I'm not kidding here either. Yes, I do think that there are wealthy customers who would be willing to take a trip into space... if the price is reasonable.

      One thing that space tourism has that government contracts don't is that space tourism has price elasticity where a modest drop in price will result in significantly increased sales.

      On the other hand, if you drop the price of a launcher to land a government contract, all you've done is screwed over yourself and your competitors. That, more than anything else, is the reason why the cost for access to space has not dropped at all over the past 30 years... because there is no incentive to do so. The point of the spaceflight industries was to keep skilled technicians employed rather than letting that talent go to waste. It was also to keep several key senators in their office.

      Until now, space tourism was mostly a dream because government regulations were such that even asking and begging for a trip into space couldn't happen no matter how much money you threw on the table. About the only way you could buy your way into space was to buy your way into political office and fly into space as a political junket. Even that wasn't a sure thing.

      In the long run, it will be the "space tourism" that will generate far more money, even though it will eventually be cut-throat competition and driving down costs. It should be telling that of the various considerations for going into space right now, the cost of fuel is dead last in terms of cost considerations. Heck, the budget for the catering services of the ground lanuch control is more than the cost of the fuel to get up into space.

    40. Re:A breath of fresh air by El+Gigante+de+Justic · · Score: 1

      Actually, if we should blame anyone or anything its the Russians (indirectly) and the end of the Cold War. Once we got to the moon and the race was over, the Russians didn't see any point in trying for it, and without a need to "beat the communists", Congress just wasn't going to fund it anymore.

          I think we will ultimately have to go back to the moon as a practice area for building colonies elsewhere in space, but as profit takes a higher priority over knowledge and adventure, it will probably be many decades before we do so; unless we find a gold mine or something up there.

    41. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No LEO capable companies? Where do Arianes, Pegasuses, Deltas, Atlases, and all those other private company boosters come from?

    42. Re:A breath of fresh air by SpazmodeusG · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Royal Society that funded both Cook and Darwin was a privately established organisation.

      It receives some funding from government grants but i think National Geographic does too. So essentially both organisations historically fill the same niche for different countries.

    43. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason nobody's been past LEO is 1) we got on the Moon before the Soviets, 2) once we beat them nobody else was even close, 3) the Cold War ended and we had no reason to politically.

      This country loves technology, but hates science. When being 'scientific' was a tool to one-up the world, people were behind it. Once it started eroding their superstitions and challenging their status quo, they revolted.

    44. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is the private sector's motivation for going into space? Rich people's tourism.

      Who pays for it? Rich people, voluntarily.

      What is NASA's? Science.

      Who pays for it? Taxpayers, by force.

      I chose the latter over the former.

      I choose unforced over forced.

    45. Re:A breath of fresh air by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is NASA's mission "science" while Scaled Composites' is "rich people's tourism"? Why isn't NASA's mission "providing justification to continue sucking on the taxpayer teat" while Scaled Composites' is to achieve Burt Rutan's vision of furthering space exploration? Because NASA says that it's mission is "science" and you believe it? Even if it were the thought (motive) that counted, you'd have to accept the reality of the fact that the motives you project onto these organizations have no basis in reality. But it is not only the thought (motive) that matters.

    46. Re:A breath of fresh air by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      Wow! Where to start?

      How about if it gets cheaper then MUCH more science can be done.
      How about if it becomes profitable to be in space we'll see the next gold rush and then good luck trying to keep people out of space, oh and then it's much easier to do science.
      How about economics is unfortunately what makes the world turn, I would argue half/most the point of science and engineering is to serve the people through continued quality of life improvements and this is reflected in previously high cost activities being driven to lower costs.

      Yes we do need some budget targeted for pure science projects because that enhances all our quality of life, not just the research satellites, but also things like I love seeing the photos from the latest rover/telescope. Likewise though we need to enhance the economics of space use because we have the technology to do pretty much anything we want in space, we just can't afford it. Make it cheap enough and we'll have thousands/millions of people up there and the only way to achieve that is by targeting effort at bringing the cost down.
      As other posters have pointed out, the current cist structures do not encourage businesses to bring their prices down because there is very little competition. As soon as building a significantly cheaper vehicle makes you significantly more money (as opposed to the current position where a government contract sets your allowed profit as a percentage of the vehicle cost) then we should see access costs to space fall, and the smaller they get the more we'll be able to do up there.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    47. Re:A breath of fresh air by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      And perhaps the private sector would have gone to the moon, had they been given 150 billion dollars (apollo cost) and a mandate to go there ASAP.

      Ironically, the USA gave the mandate to a single administration while the USSR put two different one in competition. That split resources and prevented the sharing of technical informations. I am not sure it was the main cause of their loss (I think the death of the head manager of their program was) but it is noteworthy. Note as well that NASA subcontracted many things to private entities. The LEM was made by a private company for instance.

      I think that the regular economics theory can not really be applied on the Apollo program because it was something unique in history. It was the best possible thing to motivate engineers and scientists working together efficiently : no one knew if it was possible, it they would manage it and knew it was part of History. I think most people here will acknowledge that when it comes to such a program, this kind of motivation really trumps economical incentives.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    48. Re:A breath of fresh air by khallow · · Score: 1

      Look at the huge amount of science that's been done with robots on Mars, science without human error in data collection.

      Oh yes, a minor problems with humans is a bigger problem than a mind-bogglingly slow process (you often have decades before a follow-on experiment is done) using extremely limited machines. The best example of this is the famous labeled release experiment on Viking 1 and 2. It finally will be duplicated early this decade. That's a delay of about 35 years. Also, space probes traditionally have a delay of about ten years from design to launch.

      The fact that we can take soil and rock samples on mars and get detailed breakdown of the chemical components without risking a single human life is a HUGE step forward in space science

      It's also a step that hasn't happened yet. The Phoenix Mars lander was state of the art yet it couldn't do that.

      It puzzles me how people who advocate the use of space probes don't seem to understand the current limitations of these space probes. Just compare the work done by Apollo astronauts on the Moon (you can even watch various videos of them in action) to similar activities of robots on Mars. When it comes to surface work involving geology, sample taking, on site measurements, etc, I'll take humans over the current breed of robot any day.

      Now future robots will be far better. But so will future humans. And launch costs will drop, making the overhead of humans less significant. I think there will continue to be a place for humans in space exploration.

    49. Re:A breath of fresh air by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well I guess you and I will have to agree to disagree. Let me rephrase what I said earlier. What is the private sector's motivation for going into space? Rich people's tourism. What is NASA's? Science. I chose the latter over the former.

      NASA specializes in the appearance of science. The last time science really mattered to NASA was in the 60's when they needed to know what the Moon was like for Apollo (a program driven by national prestige). So what did they do then? Did they launch a billion dollar probe every few years? No. They launched a series of 21 probes in three groups (over the span of seven years). The first group was designed to impact the Moon, providing pictures just prior to impact; the second group orbited the Moon; and the third group actually landed on the Moon. They had a lot of failures, eight of them, mostly from the impact probe group.

      The point here is that when science was important to NASA, they exploited simple economies of scale by making groups of space probes. I believe there was some reuse of technologies between the groups of probes as well, but I don't know for sure. In comparison, NASA probes currently are built either singly or in a pair. They didn't send seven landers to Mars at once, they sent two.

      NASA didn't build a variety of space stations. They built two. Each is one of a kind.

      In comparison, the private sector, well the part that will specialize in space tourism, will send up anyone who is willing to pay. That obviously includes rich people seeking thrills. It also includes scientists who need to attend their experiments. It also includes astronauts from countries and businesses that won't be able to afford their own launch systems. The private sector will figure out all sorts of ways to cut costs and to improve the economics of their systems. They will figure out how to launch frequently and safely. They'll figure out how to do that and still make a profit. This sort of work will do more to advance humanity's presence in space than NASA's science will.

    50. Re:A breath of fresh air by khallow · · Score: 1

      Exactly, you said it, not me. To make money. My argument is for science, yours is for penny pinching accountants.

      I address most of your issues in this post. But there's one additional issue. There is in my view a great danger in science for science's sake. It is that we lose track of the reason that science is important and the ability to discern between scientific research and unproductive white elephants. We don't do science because it is important in itself. We do it because it improves and enriches our lives, and b) to get an edge on rivals in some competitive situation (war, business, academic status, etc).

      The second concern of mine is particularly relevant in this age of massive scientific projects. So many people are ignorant of even basic economic principles (what you term "penny pinching accountants"). For example, the classic failure of people to understand opportunity costs. For example, NASA blew more than $100 billion on the International Space Station (both the cost of the station and a number of years of Space Shuttle flights that wouldn't otherwise fly). The justification was science. Even if we just consider space science, that money could have been spent a lot better. For example, discontinuing the Space Shuttle in 1990 and using Delta IV Heavy and Atlas V Heavy (you'd have to spend some money to get those programs developed). You probably could have had a station up in 2000 at a cost of maybe $40 billion including development costs for both rocket lines and a manned space capsule. Or that money could have been spent on a hell of a lot of universities and businesses research units for space related research and technology development. Instead it was spent on a token space station that will be completed sometime next year.

      To be blunt, the people making money in space will be doing the lion's share of development of space. I feel it has already happened. NASA contracts most of its work to the outside. Private industry already make the space probes, the rockets, virtually everything that NASA owns in space. And they do it for profit.

    51. Re:A breath of fresh air by mweather · · Score: 1

      You wouldn't claim Pratt & Whitney is capable of flying someone across the country, would you? Then why claim they are capable of launching someone into low earth orbit? An engine is just propulsion.

    52. Re:A breath of fresh air by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Agreed. If cars had only been manufactured for scientific research, we would be riding in horses and buggies. You must expand something beyond pure science to have it scale. It must become profitable.

  3. Stupid, really by cdrguru · · Score: 1, Informative

    You can change the NASA budget all you want, but the major impediments to commercial space launches are still the FAA and the EPA. If you can't get a license for a launch, you aren't going anywhere. And between the FAA and EPA it is almost impossible to get a license in the US.

    Maybe Mexico would be open to allowing their skies to be used and for the remote possibility of some kind of pollution. Unfortunately, it is pretty clear they have not been open in the past - or we would be doing it.

    1. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Citation needed

    2. Re:Stupid, really by skine · · Score: 4, Funny

      Well, Mexico did once send a killer whale to the moon for $200.

    3. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In 2005 there were 18 orbital commercial launches worldwide, of which 5 were licensed by the FAA. Those 18 launches represent 33 percent of the 55 total launches conducted in 2005 for government and commercial customers worldwide. This marked an increase over 2004, which saw 15 commercial orbital launches worldwide.

      How many commercial launches take place each year? in the FAA FAQ

      This means that the FAA licensed 1/11th (about 9%) of the total launches in 2005. That's not that bad, is it?

    4. Re:Stupid, really by idontgno · · Score: 4, Funny

      OMG brilliant!

      Build a cylindrical wall surrounding the launch complex and the outbound trajectory. Put a hefty airlock at the bottom, at ground level. Make the wall tall enough to poke out of the atmosphere. Install really big vacuum pumps.

      Move the spacecraft into the wall through the airlock. Get everyone out of the walled area. Close the airlock and evacuate all the atmosphere from the walled region. (Pump it into the surrounding open air.)

      When the walled in area is a hard vacuum, from ground to space, launch! The FAA has no say, because there's no atmosphere! The EPA has no say because there's no air!

      The spacecraft never undergoes aerodynamic stress during launch and can be any dang shape you want! Spherical ship? No problem!

      Note to all slashbots: I am joking. Maybe.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    5. Re:Stupid, really by swanzilla · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ...but the major impediments to commercial space launches are still the FAA and the EPA.

      Perhaps the most attractive point of the commercial swing is that it makes the FAA/EPA factor moot. A launch provider is a launch provider...if the payload sports an American flag on the delivery vehicle, so be it. If it is economically more feasible to hitch a ride into orbit on a Cold War R-7 out of Kazakhstan, that will be the commercial solution.

    6. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's that defeatist attitude that will have you stuck on this planet when it finally goes belly-up.

      The FAA and EPA are social obstacles, and like all others they'll crumble given enough time, pressure, and opportunity. Furthermore, where's it written that the technology NASA develops has to be launched from within US borders?

      Figure out the whole space travel thing first, then start worrying about convincing your neighbors. By that point it probably won't even be an issue anymore.

    7. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      That's weird, looks like SpaceX easily obtained permission to launch from Cape Canaveral. http://news.google.com/news/search?aq=f&um=1&cf=all&ned=us&hl=en&q=spacex+canaveral+launch+falcon+9

    8. Re:Stupid, really by georgewilliamherbert · · Score: 5, Informative

      Please stop the FUD. Approximately nothing of what you have said is true, cdrguru.

      The FAA's office of Space Transportation (AST) has a mandate written in its authorizing law to both regulate and promote commercial space activities. They take both parts of that quite seriously.
      Please do not spread FUD.

      I am not aware of any commercial space activity which was denied an AST license or permit. There have been a few "Can't fly from this airport" snafu's from the aviation side, who are alternately happy and sad about rockets, but the AST crew are doing the "promote" thing quite seriously.

      Is it always a completely smooth relationship? No. Is any of the startup companies spending most of their time (more than 10-20%) on paperwork? No. People are getting licenses and permits, they're flying.

      From a reasonable standpoint, someone does need to be an external review to make sure we don't kill someone on the ground. If the industry neglected that, we'd eventually *really* get shut down when we did something neglegent. The reviews and regulation are appropriate to avoid dropping rockets on some poor family some day, which would be a tragedy both for the victims and for the industry.

      EPA has no authority, the FAA has a standing environmental finding that there's no significant impact from the reusable rocket industry.

      Am I personally flying rockets? No. Have I had to talk to AST about some proposed activities? Some. Do I know the people flying stuff now (Xcor, Armadillo, Masten, Unreasonable)? Yes, in most cases for decade-plus and personally. When we all get together, most of the griping is about operational lessons, and learning new things about rocket design, and high-fives for new successes. Only a small fraction of it is regulatory. It's there, but we know how to deal with it.

    9. Re:Stupid, really by mcgrew · · Score: 4, Informative

      And between the FAA and EPA it is almost impossible to get a license in the US.

      Don't forget OSHA. And that's a GOOD thing IMO. Note that it didn't stop Space Ship One from reaching space. What it will stop is unscrupulous corporations from using a poisonous propellant because it's cheaper than a nontoxic one, and having pieces of the blown-up rocket land on somebody's house. Let alone shortcuts that endanger workers.

      When they made the Blues Brothers movie they had to do tests to get FAA approval to drop the Nazi's Pinto from a helicopter in Chicago in that one scene; they wanted to make sure it would drop straight down instead of sailing into a residential neighborhood. After dropping three pintos in the Salt Flats in Utah, the FAA granted permission.

      The EPA, FAA, and OSHA protects YOU from corporations who don't care whether you live or die, whether you realize it or not. They're not protecting you from yourself, they're protecting you from ME. Any corporation rich enough to put people in space are rich enough to get EPA, FAA and OSHA approval.

      If government went away tomorrow, you'd be wishing it was back the day after.

    10. Re:Stupid, really by Daniel_Staal · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Better yet: Not any shape. Place it on a disk, that fits semi-loosely in your cylinder. (Tighter will get more wear, but be more efficient. There'll be a range of 'good' values here.)

      Then you let the air back in from vents under the disk. It'll launch most of the way from air pressure alone.

      --
      'Sensible' is a curse word.
    11. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The FAA will want you to put lights on your extremely tall 'smokestack', but other than that you are fine from a regulatory perspective.

    12. Re:Stupid, really by Wolvenhaven · · Score: 1

      We're whalers on the moon, we carry a harpoon, but there ain't no whales so we tell tall tales and sing our whaling tune.

      --
      Orwell was an optimist.
    13. Re:Stupid, really by rijrunner · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Depends on the type of license. The manned reusable license is actually pretty well thought out. (Scaled was easily able to get such a license). The FAA is more than reasonable about that. You might want to actually research that.

          Mexico is not really an option as American companies - or companies with primary American ownership/staff - are still subject to US laws. Space and associated technologies are too close to arms proliferation and the laws are written with that in mind.

          The reality is that US companies can, and do, get all the necessary licenses.

            What is difficult is the reverse engineering of existing technologies. Almost everything NASA paid for in X programs the last 30 years is still owned exclusively by the company whom they contracted the work. The Linear Aerospike engines that were tested for X-33 has been sitting on shelf at LockMart for almost 10 years, so other companies wanting to explore the concept have to rebuild the design. The only real design in the last decade to come out of NASA itself without outside contracts has been TransHab. (Which they promptly signed a sole-source distribution contract with Bigelow to handle).

          And therein lies the problem with NASA. Their R&D programs are not like the old NACA development programs. The technology is not moving to off-the-shelf. They are on-the-shelf technologies because that is primarily where they stay. Any company that wants to build a small orbital vehicle will have to do that from scratch or with whatever they can leverage.

    14. Re:Stupid, really by idontgno · · Score: 3, Funny

      Even more brilliant... collect atmospheric C02 and use it to pump the platform up. When the platform clears, keep pumping that evil C02 into space.

      It's the pneumatic space elevator of global warming stopping!

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    15. Re:Stupid, really by billcopc · · Score: 1

      For the mentally-challenged: Instead of blasting your ship into space, bring space down to your ship :)

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    16. Re:Stupid, really by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      Umm, the maximum air pressure you could get (at sea level would be 14.7 psi, so you can only lift 14.7 pounds for every square inch of cylinder. The amount of weight that the space shuttle can lift to LEO is 53,600lbs, so you'd need an area of 3650 square inches to lift it. Which is less than 6' in diameter. Unfortunately, the amount of air pressure rapidly drops as you ascend, and getting a vacuum seal around that payload slug will be hard as hell. Not to mention making a 6' diameter pipe that is air-tight and structurally sound enough to reach all the way out of the atmosphere and resist imploding.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    17. Re:Stupid, really by iso-cop · · Score: 1

      Because NASA has be largely encouraged to "get stuff from industry" for so long--shrink its workforce and farm out all of the details as much as possible, most everything paid for by the taxpayers is proprietary to the companies to which NASA contracts. Nobody else can use it and we get 30 years of stagnation of space travel. Will we get more of the same with the new proposal?

    18. Re:Stupid, really by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      When they made the Blues Brothers movie they had to do tests to get FAA approval to drop the Nazi's Pinto from a helicopter in Chicago in that one scene; they wanted to make sure it would drop straight down instead of sailing into a residential neighborhood. After dropping three pintos in the Salt Flats in Utah, the FAA granted permission.

      Your assumption appears to be that the Blues Brothers fx team never thought about wind or aerodynamic effects, rather than they were competent and confident and the FAA just made them jump through a bunch of bureaucratic hoops to arrive at what people in the industry already knew. So, they didn't actually protect anybody in that case (either way).

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    19. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gah, not again.

    20. Re:Stupid, really by Luyseyal · · Score: 1

      Well, Toyota's design team didn't find anything wrong with the accelerator. Surely they don't need to actually test things in the real world?! I mean, we install all our code immediately into production! I can only assume our local hospital does likewise...

      -l

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      Help cure AIDS, cancer, and more. Donate your unused computer time to worldcommunitygrid.org. Join Team Slashdot!
    21. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The original poster said "almost impossible", not "impossible". It's like the difference between "almost dead" and "completely dead".

      If it weren't for years of lobbying, the efforts of space activists to get regulations changed, and a number of companies that went before SpaceX (some of whom are no longer around, having beaten themselves to death against the stonewall), SpaceX wouldn't have had such an "easy" time of it.

    22. Re:Stupid, really by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Yup. New Mexico's building a space port just for this sorta' thing.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    23. Re:Stupid, really by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      Don't worry. In space, no one can hear you sing.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    24. Re:Stupid, really by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      Note that the Toyota cars you are referring to did pass regulatory muster. . .

    25. Re:Stupid, really by idontgno · · Score: 1

      And I bet if you held a parade within the enclosure, no one could rain on it.

      I just hope everyone is wearing space suits. And the cartoon-character baloons are very strong. And have antigravity, since buoyance won't work.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    26. Re:Stupid, really by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      You misunderstand me; my point was that indeed, the FAA tests are necessary, contrary to the anti-government rant I was responding to. It clearly could have sailed off and hit an occupied building, and they were correct in insisting on tests. The same with the fledgling civilian aerospace industry -- I don't want any rocket parts raining down on MY house.

    27. Re:Stupid, really by Luyseyal · · Score: 1

      Do you think there would be a recall if there weren't a NHTSA?

      -l

      --
      Help cure AIDS, cancer, and more. Donate your unused computer time to worldcommunitygrid.org. Join Team Slashdot!
    28. Re:Stupid, really by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      You can change the NASA budget all you want, but the major impediments to commercial space launches are still the FAA and the EPA. If you can't get a license for a launch, you aren't going anywhere. And between the FAA and EPA it is almost impossible to get a license in the US.

      This may have been true in the past, but in the last few years, largely thanks to the efforts of many in the space community, the regulations are much less insane than they were before. Even smaller rocketry companies like Armadillo Aerospace and Masten Space Systems get along with the FAA reasonably well.

    29. Re:Stupid, really by Thud457 · · Score: 1
      even more smarterer,
      1. biogenetically engineer bean plants to convert atmospheric CO2 into Fullerene .
      2. ????
      3. profit!!!
      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    30. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny? If you're sure... Sounds like it might be pretty practical compared with e.g. a Space Elevator that would have to extend beyond _Geosynchronous Orbit_

    31. Re:Stupid, really by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      Yes, because Toyota has built a name in quality. Rumors of people going runaway off bridges in their Highlanders would have the same result.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    32. Re:Stupid, really by osu-neko · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Your assumption appears to be that the Blues Brothers fx team never thought about wind or aerodynamic effects, rather than they were competent and confident and the FAA just made them jump through a bunch of bureaucratic hoops to arrive at what people in the industry already knew.

      Actually, I think the premise here is that it would be really fucking stupid to assume one way or the other. The FAA needs proof, or are you going to argue that because one group of people might have done right without the FAA requiring proof, the FAA should just let anyone do it whether they've put any thought into these effects or not? Or are they just supposed to psychically divine which people will do it responsibly and which won't? Or, even less plausibly, simply take their word for it, since people are basically both competent and honest?

      Can I come live in your fantasy world? I'm more than happy to grant that government could be a lot less intrusive and expensive in it, and it would be a great place to live, if it were real...

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    33. Re:Stupid, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, but I breathe the air as well as you, and I personally appreciate the fact that people can't just throw whatever bullshit they want into it without a permit. Some control is better than no control. You should blame the companies that fucked up the air, water, and soil for profit prior to a republican administration feeling an imperative to propose the EPA, rather than blaming the EPA's controls (which HAVE measurably improved air quality since its inception). Seriously, fuck you for wanting to fuck up MY air without anyone checking on you. Fuck you for thinking that business profitability comes before MY health. Just because you don't give a shit about it doesn't mean that I should have to suffer. It is a COMMON good that is NECESSARY for survival and SHOULD BE REGULATED.

    34. Re:Stupid, really by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      The FAA needs proof, or are you going to argue that because one group of people might have done right without the FAA requiring proof, the FAA should just let anyone do it whether they've put any thought into these effects or not?

      Nobody said 'just anyone'. What makes you think this crew didn't have any experience dropping cars - you've seen the movie, right?

      Stunt people play everything by the book. They don't take chances - that's a good way to get dead in their field. They check, double check, and then check a few more times for good measure if something potentially dangerous is in play. If they said they could drop a car, odds are very high they knew what they were talking about. And the experiment proved them right.

      The FAA has no experience here, and they were asking experts to prove that they weren't wrong. Not that they probably didn't enjoy dropping 4 cars, but doing it at the salt flats was a stupid experiment - Chicago is far more windy and has upcurrents you won't find in the middle of a salt flat.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    35. Re:Stupid, really by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      It clearly could have sailed off and hit an occupied building

      Didn't the test they required clearly show that this wasn't possible?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    36. Re:Stupid, really by lennier · · Score: 1

      Because NASA has be largely encouraged to "get stuff from industry" for so long--shrink its workforce and farm out all of the details as much as possible, most everything paid for by the taxpayers is proprietary to the companies to which NASA contracts. Nobody else can use it and we get 30 years of stagnation of space travel. Will we get more of the same with the new proposal?

      So - we're already living in the glorious privatised space future? Except that the megacorporations aren't actually doing anything with their neat technologies because there's no money in it?

      Hooray for private industry, I guess.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    37. Re:Stupid, really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Aim it at Mars. They need it.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    38. Re:Stupid, really by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Yes, that's why they demanded a test, to make sure it had no aerodynamic properties. After they dropped three of them in the desert they knew it was safe.

  4. Whilst america is pissing about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China will build lunar factories, and India will have orbital call centers.

    1. Re:Whilst america is pissing about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the Dutch will license low orbit cat houses.

  5. Survival of mankind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Personally I feel NASA's ongoing mission should be the distribution of people into outer space for permanent relocation. We should focus on saving humanity from the off chance we kill each other with nukes or get hit by an asteroid.

    1. Re:Survival of mankind by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1, Funny

      So NASA's job should be the colonization and terraforming of Mars?

      No, thats not what NASA should be focused on, it should be focused on what it used to do best, develop and test aviation systems. Including space

    2. Re:Survival of mankind by bananaquackmoo · · Score: 1

      some of us would disagree

    3. Re:Survival of mankind by joe_frisch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think this illustrates one of NASA's biggest problems. Different people have different and incompatible ideas of what its mission should be. They work on projects that take more than a decade, so changing missions with changing administrations can result in nothing getting done. Should they do manned space? Environmental monitoring? Aerospace R+D? Deep space science? These all require very different infrastructure.

      My personal vote is for manned space and deep space science because I don't think any other (US) organization is likely to do these, but there are many other reasonable options. As a country we need to decide, and stick with that decision.

    4. Re:Survival of mankind by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      Personally I feel NASA's ongoing mission should be the distribution of people into outer space for permanent relocation.

      There, fixed that for you. There was some humorous nonsense about *saving* humanity obviously tacked on by a hacker.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    5. Re:Survival of mankind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL.
      If such a disaster made the Earth inhospitable and difficult to live in, how is that any different from a barren planet with no running water, vegetation or other means of sustenance?

      The idea to me is ridiculous. Seems to me that by the time we can actually terraform another planet, we'll also be completely capable of "terra re-forming" Earth.

    6. Re:Survival of mankind by Gravatron · · Score: 1

      they should be doing the pure science missions, both manned and robotic. I expect private companies to do the economic missions: comm satellites, mining/energy operations, space tourism, etc. I expect the military to do the well, defense/intelligence ops. Is there overlap at times? Of course, and there should be. Each side should be free to exchange what technologies they feel proper.

    7. Re:Survival of mankind by billcopc · · Score: 1

      Personally, I feel that if we're going to colonize the moon (or Mars), that responsibility should not be put in the hands of NASA, the USA, or any other hypercapitalist nation for that matter. What these bean counters love to ignore is that, once we hit space, money/wealth will quickly become irrelevant. I don't know about you, but I can't picture debt collectors chasing me through the galaxy so some dirty banker can buy a diamond-encrusted iPad.

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
    8. Re:Survival of mankind by bananaquackmoo · · Score: 1

      "And stick with this decision." EXACTLY. It was decided already, but someone had to go and change their minds.

    9. Re:Survival of mankind by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Should they do manned space? Environmental monitoring? Aerospace R+D? Deep space science? These all require very different infrastructure.

      However, lowering launch costs, one of the main goals of the new R&D program, facilitates all of those things.

    10. Re:Survival of mankind by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Its the name.

      National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

      Before they had the Space part, they were National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics. They developed wings, air foils, etc.

      They should the guys that design the wings, air foils, new materials that the Boeings and Lockheeds and Cessnas use so that American aviation is better.

    11. Re:Survival of mankind by toastar · · Score: 1

      What would it cost to terraform mars?

      All it would really take is a small boaster rocket to crash phobos into the surface, Then just follow up with some bacteria that can convert the soil to O2.

    12. Re:Survival of mankind by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      And how many hundreds of thousands or millions of years to do that?

      I forget, how long did it take to form a nitrogen/oxygen atmo on Earth? A billion?

    13. Re:Survival of mankind by assemblyronin · · Score: 1

      For this to work, we'd need RNA Shots and a knowledge that the state has use for an empty man.

    14. Re:Survival of mankind by KlomDark · · Score: 1

      Money/Wealth will become irrelevant? Just wait till you need to refuel your fuel tank. What do you use if money is irrelevant? I guess it could be straight barter, but it's so time-consuming to do so.

      Off-Earth loans might become irrelevant, as it's pretty expensive to go repo a space cruiser.

    15. Re:Survival of mankind by centuren · · Score: 1

      Personally, I feel that if we're going to colonize the moon (or Mars), that responsibility should not be put in the hands of NASA, the USA, or any other hypercapitalist nation for that matter. What these bean counters love to ignore is that, once we hit space, money/wealth will quickly become irrelevant. I don't know about you, but I can't picture debt collectors chasing me through the galaxy so some dirty banker can buy a diamond-encrusted iPad.

      That's funny, when I was younger I often pictured myself as a sort of debt collector chasing some lowlife through the galaxy, bankrolled by some dirty banker.

      See you Space Cowboy...

  6. News Analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    An another article summarizing some of the proposed changes for NASA and their implications.

  7. Fantasy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    None of this is going to happen. Hanson owns NASA now. If they do continue launching stuff it will be more atmospheric monitoring satellites. The last astronomical observatory of significance launched by NASA will be the JWST. After that there is nothing. The deep space network will wither.

    China owns space now.

    1. Re:Fantasy by megamerican · · Score: 1

      Wrong. There is plenty of money for black budget projects and the militarization of space that'll be launched out of Air Force Space Command, just not enough for peaceful purposes.

      --
      If you have something that you dont want anyone to know, maybe you shouldnt be doing it in the first place -Eric Schmidt
    2. Re:Fantasy by Rei · · Score: 1

      Hanson owns NASA now.

      Has he been appointed Grand Poobah of the Illuminati yet? What is he going to have the Trilateral Commission do next?

      --
      I'll BUILD someone to replace you. Some kind of gamma-powered monster, with a heart as black as coal!
  8. So by jimbobborg · · Score: 5, Funny

    From the article:

    allowing multiple, smaller launches, which then form into one large spacecraft in orbit

    So NASA's building a version of Voltron?

    1. Re:So by xleeko · · Score: 4, Funny

      From the article:

      allowing multiple, smaller launches, which then form into one large spacecraft in orbit

      So NASA's building a version of Voltron?

      They don't say so explicitly ... you have to read between the lions.

    2. Re:So by ivogan · · Score: 1

      I sure hope it's Voltron and not power rangers...

      --
      Who was that pointy-eared bastard?
  9. NASA's budget is nothing more than a by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Interesting

    rounding error with what the President proposed for FY2010. Considering they are spending an unheard of 40% over their income I guess we should feel damn lucky NASA got anything.

    Being a geek I want NASA to receive funding an put people into space and on the moon. The space station comes off to me as a camper, someone looking for excitement and adventure but not wanting to commit to the log cabin in the mountains.

    Being a cynic, this unabashed spending has got to stop. If it means shutting down the manned space program then please do so. Just cut everything else you can to get a budget down where my children dream of space and not how to pay off the debt of my generation. The cynic in me also says, we canceled all of this because Bush pushed for it and therefor it has to be wrong, and if not wrong, well damnit WE WON.

    So NASA will become what? Beholden to corporate interest who may or may not sell services to it because of regulation? Is that the future? We no longer get to dream about going to the stars?

    The ultimate cynic in me says, going to the moon and playing in space make for less votes than swimming pools named after Congressmen and schools named after Presidents.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    1. Re:NASA's budget is nothing more than a by Danathar · · Score: 1

      I agree. Siphoning off just 20B from the Military Budget would take care of this.....

  10. It's not rocket science by dpilot · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Getting to LEO isn't rocket science, any more. We've been doing that for over 50 years, now.

    By now it's rocket engineering, and appropriate for the private sector.

    Keep NASA in the rocket science business - deep space, new technologies, etc. The goal here is for the private sector to do it faster and cheaper, enabling other things to piggyback on top - like even further out rocket science. Too much of NASA's attention is spent on that first 100-200 miles.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    1. Re:It's not rocket science by BitZtream · · Score: 0

      Considering it involves rockets and some scientific method, it most certainly IS rocket science.

      They still have launch issues every once in a while. Far more often than Toyota has 'floor mats causing the gas pedal to stick'.

      Guess when the most problems occur ... first 100 miles.

      Contrary to what you might think, NASA has more experience and knowledge about the subject than you do.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    2. Re:It's not rocket science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Considering it involves rockets and some scientific method, it most certainly IS rocket science.

      Nope. At this point, it's rocket engineering. It's less experimentation than issues of design, operation, and maintenance.

      Small difference, perhaps, but it's there.

    3. Re:It's not rocket science by Jesus_666 · · Score: 1

      Rocket science experts have greater expertise on rocket science than a random person from the internet? Preposterous, I say!

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    4. Re:It's not rocket science by evdubs · · Score: 1

      They do still have launch issues; the GP and I would argue that the issues are engineering related; orbital mechanics and fluid dynamics, for instance, are not being revised after these issues occur. In other words, the science is solid and the engineering is evolving to avoid future issues.

      IMO, it is not entirely inappropriate to let private industry discover new sciences and engineering philosophies, even as it would pertain to space travel. It's great to see competitions like X-Prize, but it's easy to feel that private sector approaches have been hamstrung with respect to NASA development.

      The GP would likely agree with your assessment of NASA's experience and knowledge, and [s]he even explicitly suggests that they should use that knowledge for the "rocket science business - deep space, new technologies, etc."

    5. Re:It's not rocket science by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      You're right, but I'm sensing a contradiction in the article:

      keeping the ISS going

      NASA is out of the business of putting people into low-earth orbit

      So what, an automated ISS?

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    6. Re:It's not rocket science by khallow · · Score: 1

      Guess when the most problems occur ... first 100 miles.

      Keep in mind that NASA hasn't left LEO in 35 years. If they send people beyond Earth orbit, then the launch will no longer bear the lion's share of problems. For example, the risk of losing a crew in a Constellation-style lunar mission was thought to be 1 in 60 (according to the Exploration Space Architectures Study). That's far larger than than the 1 in 600 to 1 in 2000 risk of loss of crew from the assorted launch options studied by the ESAS.

      All that remaining risk isn't bundled into reentry (which incidentally isn't part of launch for an expendable rocket).

    7. Re:It's not rocket science by ascari · · Score: 1

      Getting to LEO isn't rocket science, any more.

      Leo? You're nuts. I can see a Virgo round trip being a trivial engineering project, maybe even Aquarius. But Leo is still very challenging.

    8. Re:It's not rocket science by dpilot · · Score: 1

      No, I still believe the ISS is still interesting - we may all want a Von Braun wheel, but the ISS is a necessary step to getting there.

      But you hire a vehicle to get there.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    9. Re:It's not rocket science by khallow · · Score: 1

      Just because something is challenging doesn't mean it's not engineering. Space launch passed the stage of "rocket science" some point back in the 50's when the emphasis changed from figuring out the science of rocket propulsion to building something that could reach orbit.

  11. Just wanted to say by postmortem · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Doomed is country that is paying a lot for unemployment benefits and welfare and little for space research.

    1. Re:Just wanted to say by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      You really have no sense of where government money goes, do you? TANF (federally-funded welfare) is $16.5B. By contrast, the latest Pentagon budget request is $768.2B.

      Welfare is a really tiny portion of our total expenses.

      --
      I'll BUILD someone to replace you. Some kind of gamma-powered monster, with a heart as black as coal!
    2. Re:Just wanted to say by mitchell_pgh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The current budget is a far cry from a "little for space research." The United States of America leads the world in raw spending for space exploration. I would argue that we are spending about as much as the rest of the world combined. I am in NO way saying we are the best, or we haven't had our fair share of failures, but to say that NASA's budget is a "little" amount is simply wrong.

      $17.2 billion - National Aeronautics and Space Administration (United States of America GDP: $14.25 trillion (2009 est.)
      $5.4 billion - European Space Agency (European Union GDP: $14.52 trillion [2009 est.])
      $2.4 billion - Russian Federal Space Agency (Russian GDP: $2.103 trillion [2009 est.])
      $2.15 billion - Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (Japan's GDP: $4.141 trillion [2009 est.])
      $2.0 billion - China (Chinese GDP: $8.767 trillion [2009 est.])
      $1.01 billion - Indian Space Research Organization (Indian GDP: $3.548 trillion [2009 est.])

      We can care about space AND make sure people aren't being kicked out of their homes because of a recession. I would hate to lose our edge on space, but at the same time... I would rather live with less poverty.

    3. Re:Just wanted to say by AndersOSU · · Score: 1

      Space budgets world wide:
        United States NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) $17,600 million[42]
        EU ESA (European Space Agency) $5,350 million [43]
        France CNES (French Space Agency) $2,590 million [44]
        Russia RKA (Russian Federal Space Agency) $2,400 million
        Japan JAXA (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency) $2,100 million
        Germany DLR (German Aerospace Center) $1,821 million
        Italy ASI (Italian Space Agency) $1,550 million
        China CNSA (China National Space Administration) $1,300 million[45]
        India ISRO (Indian Space Research Organization) $1,010 million[46]

      So I think we've got a bit of room.

    4. Re:Just wanted to say by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Doomed is country that is paying a lot for unemployment benefits and welfare and little for space research.

      You do realize that the new budget has an additional $6 billion for NASA than it previously had, much of it dedicated to reviving research & development at NASA, right?

    5. Re:Just wanted to say by Thud457 · · Score: 1

      it's not so much the $$$, but what we're accomplishing (or not) with them

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    6. Re:Just wanted to say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In contrast NASA's proposed budget of $19B is relatively tiny as well.

    7. Re:Just wanted to say by Rei · · Score: 1

      It is. Contrary to common perception, both NASA and welfare are very small parts of our federal budget. They're just very visible things.

      --
      I'll BUILD someone to replace you. Some kind of gamma-powered monster, with a heart as black as coal!
    8. Re:Just wanted to say by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      Someone has their facts wrong, or has deliberately redefined "welfare" to include only one small sliver. Lets take a look at 2009, shall we?

      $644 billion - Social Security
      $408 billion - Medicare
      $224 billion - Medicaid and the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)
      $360 billion - Unemployment/Welfare/Other mandatory spending
      $260 billion - Interest on National Debt

      $1,896 billion - Total mandatory spending

      Compared to that, the entire rest of the budget is "only" $1,210 billion - and over half of *that* is either Dept. of Defense, or piecemeal appropriations for the "Global War on Terror".

      Well over 75% of the 2009 budget was welfare, defense spending, and interest on the national debt.

      NASA's 2009 appropriation was $17.6b, or just shy of 6/10th of 1 percent of the total.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    9. Re:Just wanted to say by ShagratTheTitleless · · Score: 1

      Welfare is a really tiny portion of our total expenses.

      Let me demonstrate how wrong you are. A reasonable definition of Welfare is the government giving you money that you did not earn to ensure you fare well in life. Social Security had an unfunded obligation of $13.6 trillion in 2008. That is the shortfall between how much Social Security has agreed to pay people and how much money they have on hand plus are planning to take in from taxes. That means that without economy crushing increases in payroll taxes Social Security plans to give people $13.6 trillion more than people pay in to ensure their welfare. The US gov is going to have to pick up that tab otherwise people won't be getting "their" retirement. That makes a large chunk of Social Security meet my reasonable definition of Welfare. And that leaves aside the subtle wealth transfer (Welfare) inherent in SS due to pay-out not being proportional to pay-in. While that 13.6 trillion is over many years I have no doubt that the yearly Social Security Welfare is quite a large number. No wonder Social Security is kept "off budget". It makes sure defense is that scary big chunk of the budget pie.

      While Social Security is a behemoth, it is just one program I decided to pick on. Any government program that helps select people by giving them something they did not earn is in essence Welfare.

      --
      Sometimes at night I imagine the darkness is filled with horrible things with too many teeth, like Julia Roberts.
    10. Re:Just wanted to say by lennier · · Score: 1

      One thing I've always wondered: who is the US national debt owed to?

      Who is it who receives a $260 billion/year paycheck?

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    11. Re:Just wanted to say by lennier · · Score: 1

      "A reasonable definition of Welfare is the government giving you money that you did not earn to ensure you fare well in life. "

      As opposed to investment banking, which is the people giving you money to ensure you fare well in life.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    12. Re:Just wanted to say by lennier · · Score: 1

      (that you did not earn)

      A key point is the definition of "earn".

      What does it mean to say that a CEO or investment fund manager has "earned" a multi-million-dollar annual salary? Is their life really worth, as a human being, hundreds of thousands times more than a child worker in India? By most moral calculi, no.

      It means that someone has agreed to pay them that much money - that's all.

      If the money comes from rental or investment, then it's not even a matter of choice on the part of the payee, nor is it any kind of "earning" of the receiver. They did no work to receive interest on money. It was a tax on the work of others, scooped out handed to them.

      If the people via their elected representatives keep choosing to pay their parents money (and after all, the older generations got us here - we owe them our very lives and wellbeing - surely that counts for something?) - they isn't that a much more valid definition of "earn" than the "earnings" of someone who lives off investments?

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    13. Re:Just wanted to say by NemoinSpace · · Score: 1

      First i came to mod you down. Then i was about to answer you. But i was overcome by a desire to call you names. So now i am logging off, walking away and shaking my head.

    14. Re:Just wanted to say by Rei · · Score: 1

      If someone says, "I'm on welfare", do most people assume that they're talking about social security? No.
      If someone says, "I'm on welfare", do most people assume that they're talking about medicare? No.
      If someone says, "I'm on welfare", do most people assume that they're talking about medicaid? No.
      If someone says, "I'm on welfare", do most people assume that they're talking about unemployment? No.
      If someone says, "I'm on welfare", do most people assume that they're talking about interest on national debt? No.

      Nice try. "Welfare" as 99% of people in this country recognize the word is TANF (Temporary Assistance to Needy Families) at the federal level.

      --
      I'll BUILD someone to replace you. Some kind of gamma-powered monster, with a heart as black as coal!
    15. Re:Just wanted to say by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      The person complaining about benefits and welfare certainly do mean those programs. Sampling bias - the people complaining about welfare are the ones that identify the above as part of it.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    16. Re:Just wanted to say by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Treasury_security

      Debt instruments are a liquid asset, and heavily traded.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    17. Re:Just wanted to say by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      Better to educate than to ridicule.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
  12. FUD by llZENll · · Score: 3, Informative

    Any company that has the resources to make a manned space flight will have no problem either pulling the correct strings to get licensing, or simply finding their own island to do so.

  13. NASA-National Aeronautic and Space Administration. by mmell · · Score: 1
    Shouldn't their whole mission be getting people and stuff into the air and/or into space? For bonus points, getting those people/things back would be kinda cool (where applicable - frankly, they can leave satellites in orbit if that's what's required).

    Science? That sounds like a job for some other organization. NASA should strictly be in the business of managing air/spacecraft (although with the FAA existing to handle atmospheric flight, I suppose we could change the acronym to NSA - National Space Administration :^).

    We're gonna need a whole body of laws to deal with space travel - how much junk you're allowed to leave in orbital space, precisely what orbit you're allowed to leave that junk at, what orbits you can have, how long, who pays when stuff goes wrong, et cetera. We're also gonna need a whole body of technology to get there. Let someone else (National Weather Service, Universities, etc.) do the science. The new NSA will be there to make sure that they can put stuff in space to do the science, and it would divorce pure and commercial research from direct government control. NSA should see to it that space travel is available, affordable (as possible) and safe (as possible). Leave science to scientists (lets face it, the current NASA is a quasi-military organization). Leave profit to corporations. Let the new NSA give us a path to the stars, and let that be their only mandate. The government doesn't need to decide what to do in space, only how best to get us there.

  14. Who the hell modded this comment 'Troll'? by mmell · · Score: 1
    Moron.

    I generally don't touch posts by A/C, but in this case . . . WTF? The man has a valid point, he put it succinctly and clearly. Whoever modded the post 'troll' needs to re-read the moderator guidelines.

  15. Socialist! by hardburn · · Score: 1

    Turning over a government-run system to private business? How socialist can you get!

    --
    Not a typewriter
    1. Re:Socialist! by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      Four hours, and not even a "Funny" moderation.

      Even on a nerd site, I suspect most people simply didn't know this was irony.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
  16. Interesting split... by Eric+Smith · · Score: 4, Insightful
    ...of having NASA do unmanned stuff and private industry do manned. Manned is far more challenging, and less likely to be profitable, so I would have expected it to make sense for NASA to do manned and private industry to do unmanned.

    That's just an observation. It's not intended to be criticism of the plan. I have plenty of criticism of the old plan, but I don't yet know enough about the new one.

    1. Re:Interesting split... by hlee · · Score: 1

      Still a lot of exploration to do in our solar system - probes and robots are the best way to go about it right now.

      I don't see what incentive private enterprise would have in landing rovers on Mars, whereas this is something that NASA is very good at doing, and is able to conduct experiments for the sake of science and discovery.

    2. Re:Interesting split... by Dawn+Keyhotie · · Score: 1

      Actually that was the old paradigm. Since the Space Shuttle Challenger's last ill-fated flight, all government payloads, except manned missions, are required by law to procure launch services from commercial providers.

      This new approach proposed by President Obama would remove NASA even from the manned launch business, and outsource all vehicle design, development, and operations to the private sector.

      I'm a child of the sixties and grew up with Apollo, and have followed the Space Shuttle program avidly since 4/12/1981. I don't know how all of this is going to turn out, right now I feel like I've been sucker-punched by my best friend.

      One thing's for sure, it's the end of an era. After the last Space Shuttle is launched, we will never see another American space launch. We might see a Boeing space launch, or a Lockheed-Martin space launch, or even a SpaceX launch. But those will be for the enrichment of the their stockholders, not the advancement of American technology and interests.

      Say goodbye to American advancement in space, say Hello to our new space-faring corporate overlords.

      Mark S.

      --
      "The only good windmill is a tilted windmill."
    3. Re:Interesting split... by khallow · · Score: 1

      But those will be for the enrichment of the their stockholders, not the advancement of American technology and interests.

      What an odd thing to say since US commercial space flight is more fully the advancement of American technology and interests than a NASA-only rocket. Keep in mind that the US more than anything else is an economic power, based on trade, industry, and the sweat of its citizens. I think going to commercial space flight is more in keeping with the traditions and strengths of the US.

    4. Re:Interesting split... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The split is that commercial side does the launches and NASA does the missions. NASA does all the manned and unmanned missions. The commercial side is just provide some infrastructure support.

    5. Re:Interesting split... by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1

      There may eventually be private launches for NASA manned missions to ISS, but it looks pretty unlikely that there will be any NASA manned missions to anywhere else.

    6. Re:Interesting split... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I honestly don't know. The Delta IV Heavy is a decent size for modest manned space activity. You should be able to do Apollo style sortie missions to the Moon with them. Three launches will deliver all the hardware and most of the propellant to LEO. You might need a fourth launch to deliver some more propellant. Some of the components might be able to go up on smaller vehicles (namely the Atlas V). If you have a viable propellant depot, then that would ease the difficulty of any mission that requires a lot of propellant in orbit.

  17. Big Risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's a big risk relying on commercial transport for transporting crew into orbit, since no private company has done this so far. A number of commercial ventures say that they will do this in the near future, but it's all just marketing until it is accomplished the first time. And, to boot, there is no guarantee that they will be in it for the long haul...what happens if they discover that it isn't sufficiently profitable?

    1. Re:Big Risk by Rei · · Score: 1

      Then they charge more. Any more questions?

      --
      I'll BUILD someone to replace you. Some kind of gamma-powered monster, with a heart as black as coal!
  18. Heavy lift capabilities? by ravenspear · · Score: 1

    How is NASA supporting that now that Ares V has been cancelled.

    No private firm is going to build a rocket of that capability anytime in the near future.

    1. Re:Heavy lift capabilities? by cohensh · · Score: 1

      I believe that NASA will develop a heavy lift vehicle that is meant just for LEO, not for the moon. This says so, so it must be true. Obviously this will not be in the near future, but it looks like NASA will try to do it themselves instead of just giving up and saying "Someone else will do it".

    2. Re:Heavy lift capabilities? by Rei · · Score: 1

      The reports I've seen say it'll probably be similar to the Jupiter Direct proposal that a number of NASA engineers had been proposing as an alternative to the problem-plagued Ares rocket development. So still based on shuttle hardware, but probably a better design.

      --
      I'll BUILD someone to replace you. Some kind of gamma-powered monster, with a heart as black as coal!
    3. Re:Heavy lift capabilities? by MozeeToby · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There's $3 billion in the budget starting immediately to develope a heavy lift capability, considering that Ares V developement wasn't suposed to start for several years yet. Whatever solution they come up with should be delivered earlier than the Ares V would have been.

    4. Re:Heavy lift capabilities? by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      The falcon 9 heavy configuration lifts 30Mg to LEO. It will probably be up and running in next year or two. (The Falcon 9 regular's maiden flight will be in the next month or two). The ares 5 lifts 150Mg to LEO. Problem is that it wouldn't be ready for 2018~2020. That is quite a big difference! That and the cost will be many times as much. (I did notice the size difference, but I still think SpaceX will be working towards a heavy lift vehicle by the time ares would be completed)

  19. Re:NASA-National Aeronautic and Space Administrati by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Funny

    Shouldn't their whole mission be getting people and stuff into the air and/or into space?

    No, that's the job of NAPSA, the National Aeronautic and People in Space Administration. I can see how you would get confused, though.

    NASA's job is to look out for the USA's space-based interests. It's not clear what having people in space does for us at this point. Putting people in space was useful once, because it was the alternative to cold war: a space race is much better for development of technology than throwing the nation's money at arms manufacturers. Right now we would be better off developing better launch technologies, whether that's vehicles or stationary machines.

    We're gonna need a whole body of laws to deal with space travel

    ...the development of which is a job for some group of nations, e.g. the U.N., not for NASA; NASA's job there is to advise the policy-makers, the people who actually sign treaties.

    Leave science to scientists (lets face it, the current NASA is a quasi-military organization). Leave profit to corporations.

    Wait, who's going to put stuff in space, again? Universities don't have that kind of money after paying all the administrative salaries.

    Let the new NSA give us a path to the stars,

    Oh, the space elevator? Why didn't you say so? Regulations are the opposite of a path, they're obstacles, however justified.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  20. Re:NASA-National Aeronautic and Space Administrati by BitZtream · · Score: 1

    You realize that NASA works with lots of people to do what it does. It works with lots of universities and contractors at private companies ...

    They basically do what you say they should do already. They manage things for the most part, and do some stuff in house because they are the center point to it all and farming it out wouldn't be nearly as cost effective.

    The current NASA is a government organization, not military. They work closely with the military, sure, but they do more civilian work than military.

    Putting it all in one big pot allows for all the knowledge and experience to be shared rather than counting on a bunch of competing companies or individual universities fighting with each other to be the first. They help organize the effort and keep things from being tucked away at only one organization so everyone benefits from everyone elses work as much as possible.

    We have rules governing the things you talk about ... and NASA is the division with the knowledge to understand, implement and guide those rules.

    --
    Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  21. Why not the logical? by ZonkerWilliam · · Score: 1

    I believe there should be different agency, one devoted to exploitation of space resources,including transportation and habitability, which is more suited to private industry as compared to NASA who does exploration and science. The two would be interdependent, but it would focus NASA at what it supposed to do.

  22. Not a retreat, attacking in different direction by Yergle143 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Much needed overhaul of a partially moribund manned program.
    Putting science first will create a much more meaningful space
    program in the long run, one in which a manned presence is
    essential.

  23. Sounds like Aries V may still happen. by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

    I know! But from reading the article, it is not entirely clear that the Aries V has been canceled. What they are saying is that the Aries V wasn't scheduled to receive any funding until 2016, so this is not necessarily a shift away from developing that vehicle, but other heavy lift options will be considered as well and once they get to that point they will decide what to do. In the mean time the Aries I has definitely been canceled.

  24. Spending by tjstork · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Being a cynic, this unabashed spending has got to stop

    The spending is going crazy because entitlements are out of control. The feds promise that everyone who is this or that is entitled to a federal zennie, and now there's more of them as baby boomers get old. What was supposed to happen was that entitlements would be pretty cheap and there would be lots of kids to share the costs of the old people. Now, neither has happened.

    Bottom line is, if you want the spending to stop, you have to withhold care for the elderly and handicapped on some level and let them die. If you don't want to do that, then you to pay more in taxes to stem the budget bleeding. In all reality, the only political thing that could happen is that some old people will get cut out and some people will pay more in taxes. But all of the discretionary spending doesn't matter one whit, compared to the mandatory entitlement spending.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:Spending by eln · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The biggest spending areas are Medicare, Social Security, and Defense. Fiddling with any of these is a sure way to lose the next election, not only for yourself but for your party. So, no one will touch them except to add more to them and make the problem worse. Meanwhile, trying to even get taxes back up to where they were 10 years ago is political suicide. So, we're stuck with politicians doing the will of the people to stay in office, and the will of the people is more benefits, more defense, less taxes. This is obviously unsustainable, but no one seems to care. Oh sure, people go on TV screaming about it, and people grumble about it amongst themselves, but then what? Back in the late 1990s/early 2000s, we had a budget surplus. At that time, the few people suggesting we use it to pay down the debt were drowned out by those demanding it be "given back" in the form of a tax cut. Bush came into office and gave the people what they want, and we ended up back in the red again.

      We need to raise taxes, cut benefits, and slash defense spending. We now spend more than every other country in the world combined on defense, at some point we have to say we're spending too much on it. Of course, if anyone even suggests cutting defense spending they're labeled as an unpatriotic terrorist sympathizer, and their political career goes down the toilet. Similarly, if anyone suggests cutting social security or Medicare, they're accused of wanting to kill old people, and old people vote more than anyone else. Talk about raising taxes, and you're a big government socialist. The whole system has gone off the rails, and everyone is too busy trying to tear everyone else down and look good for the voters to actually fix any of it. All we can accomplish is bickering about discretionary spending, which is such a small part of the budget that even taking it all the way down to zero wouldn't solve the problem.

      End of rant.

    2. Re:Spending by tjstork · · Score: 1

      We need to raise taxes, cut benefits, and slash defense spending

      I agree completely.

      --
      This is my sig.
    3. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Entitlement spending is typically PAID FOR by clearly marked taxes, such as Social Security and Medicare tax. Unlike other American income taxes, they stop witholding near 100k of income. Quit whining about the few programs we have that actually reflect that we care about the elderly and the disabled.

      The entitlement spending that I care about is the kind that has pushed us to give a shit about the sandbox half-way around the world. Our federal budget, on a percentage basis, looks like most developing countries. Why the government has to waste my hard earned money on aggressive actions (at all) is beyond me. If it were up to me, I'd be busy trying to pull the motives for people to join the terrorists before trying to fan the flames by waging war.

    4. Re:Spending by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      How about if we just do the last two. I already pay about $25,000 a year in taxes. My living expenses are only $10,000. What do they do with all that money I give them? I can hardly imagine that giving them even more would solve the problem, whatever it is. You shouldn't enable an addict.

    5. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Note to everyone who keeps repeating the Conservative/Republican "Big Government! Uncontrolled spending. OMFGWTFBBQ!!!! Cut entitlements!!!" mantra: stop drinking the koolaid. Looking at the fiscal outlook, the primary causes of the budget deficits are (in order of their importance and magnitude) :

      1. Decreased tax revenues due to massive unemployment caused by the Great Recession
      2. Bush tax cuts, which were entirely financed by the deficits
      3. Wars. Again, a by-product of the Bush regime.

      Notice how no one ever got riled up when Bush used the deficit to finance tax cuts for the rich and wars to support Cheney and his Haliburton buddies. And now, no one even wants to touch the defense spending (which, is a major part of the budget, btw. We spend more on defense than the rest of the world combined). But hey, lets cut entitlements and unemployment checks. So what if we're in a recession and unemployment is 10%. Fuck the poor.

      Get off your high horse already.

    6. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Being a cynic, this unabashed spending has got to stop

      The spending is going crazy because entitlements are out of control. The feds promise that everyone who is this or that is entitled to a federal zennie, and now there's more of them as baby boomers get old. What was supposed to happen was that entitlements would be pretty cheap and there would be lots of kids to share the costs of the old people. Now, neither has happened.

      Bottom line is, if you want the spending to stop, you have to withhold care for the elderly and handicapped on some level and let them die. If you don't want to do that, then you to pay more in taxes to stem the budget bleeding. In all reality, the only political thing that could happen is that some old people will get cut out and some people will pay more in taxes. But all of the discretionary spending doesn't matter one whit, compared to the mandatory entitlement spending.

      Well the baby boomers have grown up working hard and paying taxes. Perhaps they weren't paying enough, but it's not like the elderly just suddenly existed.

      This is bad planing.

    7. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget: NASA is part of the Department of Defense

    8. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those few programs require half the federal budget...and they don't reflect that you care about the elderly and disabled. They reflect that you want the government to take care of them so you don't have to deal with it.

    9. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/2010/02/01/five-decades-of-federal-spending/

      http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2009/03/21/GR2009032100104.html

    10. Re:Spending by tjstork · · Score: 1

      What do they do with all that money I give them?

      Pay for old people to get medical care.

      I can hardly imagine that giving them even more would solve the problem, whatever it is. You shouldn't enable an addict.

      It's not a function of addiction. It's a function of the number of people who are old. At issue is the failure of the baby boomer generation to have enough children to pay for their old age, and honestly, the same as ours. It's really that simple.

      Your living expenses are maybe 10k a year, for sure, but, if you've got two parents on the gov't dole, paying the exact same as you, that's 20k, and that's pretty much where the country is it right now.

      --
      This is my sig.
    11. Re:Spending by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      if you've got two parents on the gov't dole, paying the exact same as you, that's 20k

      The money money I give them should cover that with $5,000 to spare. How is it reasonable to say that they need more? Where will it end if we keep giving them more? It most certainly is an addiction.

    12. Re:Spending by tjstork · · Score: 1

      The money money I give them should cover that with $5,000 to spare. How is it reasonable to say that they need more? Where will it end if we keep giving them more? It most certainly is an addiction.

      How should it? Seriously? How should it? I mean, we've already had the Republicans essentially say that they were against the government offering Medicare to all citizens because, ahem, private insurers would not be able to compete because Medicare's costs are so low.

      Like, you keep saying you give up all this money, but, I mean, how does 20k pay for a nursing home visit. It's not even close.

      Like, should all the elderly be in concentration camps?

      --
      This is my sig.
    13. Re:Spending by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      I don't think elderly people even want to go to nursing homes. I'm planning to take my mother in once she is too old to live on her own.

    14. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to raise taxes, cut benefits, and slash defense spending.

      It is a false assumption that raising tax rates will raise net taxes collected. It can go either way. Also, we need to slash benefits AND defense spending ASAFP. The ponzi scheme is over. Arrangements can be made for angry citizens to piss on FDR's grave. Benefits are the bigger piece of the pie and should be means tested. The medical(AMA)/insurance/drug industry needs to be bent over a barrel and anally raped. Then we need to take their monies away.

    15. Re:Spending by lennier · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What do they do with all that money I give them?

      Invade Afghanistan and Iraq and make a lot of new terrorists.

      Some of us complained a bit at the time. Probably didn't make the news.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    16. Re:Spending by tjstork · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think elderly people even want to go to nursing homes. I'm planning to take my mother in once she is too old to live on her own.

      There's some bills in that scenario still, and they are all related by not having enough children. First, and most obvious, the elderly person might have outlived their kid. Granted, it was this sort of scenario that social security was originally for, but now everyone claims it. No matter where your mother lives, she'll be getting a social security check and really, it will probably be for more and for longer than what she paid into it.

      Medicare is its own disaster. Dying of old age really means a mountain of medical bills for all the little things that go wrong. I can't even begin to calculate the tens of thousands of dollars that were spent on even silly things for my grandmother in law in the last year of her life. It's easy to say, just let her go, but when it is ultimately your grandmother or mother in front of you, its actually easier to do what it reasonably takes to give her a chance.

      Bottom line is, the population is old, there's not enough kids to care for them, there's a ton of medical and other bills with them, and so both the absolute and the per capita costs of keeping old people alive is going to skyrocket, and it has. WE can either pay sufficiently to keep grandmother alive in increased taxes, or, we can instead bankrupt our children before they even get started, through massive debt, and I'd rather have the former.

      --
      This is my sig.
    17. Re:Spending by tjstork · · Score: 1

      This is bad planing.

      It is, but it would be stupid to throw out the whole USA to spite the stupdity of one dumb generation. Boomers smoked too much pot and wrecked the country, and now we have to put it back together. But, at least they made a lot of cool movies and music.

      --
      This is my sig.
    18. Re:Spending by hey! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But carefully. Get to where you want to be overnight, and a lot of people are out of work and the panic starts all over again.

      The best time to tighten your budgetary belt, unfortunately, is the time it is least likely to be done: when times are good. When times are good every dollar taxed is coming out of smoothly operating machine for turning dollars into wealth.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    19. Re:Spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It probably wouldn't hurt to make your healthcare a little more efficient either...

    20. Re:Spending by Risen888 · · Score: 1

      I already pay about $25,000 a year in taxes. My living expenses are only $10,000.

      I'm sorry, but I've got to call bullshit.

      --
      Hey, I finally got my first freak! Took you long enough!
    21. Re:Spending by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      Which claim are you calling bullshit on? It's easy to live on $10,000 (as long as you don't have a car and you live with roommates) and it is certainly easy to pay $25,000 in taxes, as long as you make about $75,000 a year.

    22. Re:Spending by Risen888 · · Score: 1

      Ah, I mis-parsed your original statement completely. My apologies.

      --
      Hey, I finally got my first freak! Took you long enough!
    23. Re:Spending by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      No worries.

  25. So... by zerospeaks · · Score: 2

    Somebody explain to me how this helps them go to mars in my lifetime. I may have 50 years left on the planet. I would like to see us go to mars.

    --
    http://wwww.zerospeaks.com
    1. Re:So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Somebody explain to me how this helps them go to mars in my lifetime."

      It doesn't. They never were seriously planning to go there.

      Hell, we only went to the moon to beat the Soviet Union.

    2. Re:So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a bit selfish don't you think?

      Would you rather we ruin the country just so you can see it?

      Or would you rather that we build the foundation so that future generations can get there?

    3. Re:So... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      NASA isn't out of the exploration business. In fact, once crew launch to LEO is something you can buy off the shelf, NASA can focus its budget on doing beyond LEO exploration. The plan for that exploration is called The Flexible Path To Mars. It calls for development of the technologies needed to get there and demonstration missions to interesting intermediate destinations.

      The people saying Obama has canceled human exploration of space are equating Constellation with human exploration for political gain.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    4. Re:So... by zerospeaks · · Score: 0

      "That's a bit selfish don't you think?" Yep. "Would you rather we ruin the country just so you can see it?" Please provide some evidence that going to mars, today or ten years from now would ruin the country.

      --
      http://wwww.zerospeaks.com
  26. This won't end well. by mweather · · Score: 1

    I can't wait for the first space war, when the other countries have armoured battleshuttles and we have to hitch a ride on a tourist boat.

  27. anon1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If this was an actual cut to the budget i would be all for it.

    Obama is actually increasing NASA's budget and re-purposing NASA to study global warming.

    http://opinion.latimes.com/opinionla/2010/02/poll-president-obamas-cancellation-of-nasas-constellation-program.html

  28. The obvious fraud... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    Is that this whole space privatization thing is anything more than a kill NASA move. Like, come on, we're supposed to believe that a political party that seems to think people should not be allowed to own rifles should be allowed to develop ICBMs? Would Democrats really ever let me own my own rocketship, when, the mere possession of the energy required to get into myself orbit makes for a hugely powerful weapon?

    Come on, Democrats banned mercury and lead, and they are going to let us have our own rockets?

    What a joke.

    --
    This is my sig.
    1. Re:The obvious fraud... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a political party that seems to think people should not be allowed to own rifles

      Lots of Democrats own rifles. They just object to you bringing them to school, airports, political rallies, etc.

      should be allowed to develop ICBMs?

      Yeah, leave ICBM development to the Intelligent Design crowd. They know how to design things intelligently! (Hint: let Jesus do it!)

      Would Democrats really ever let me own my own rocketship, when, the mere possession of the energy required to get into myself orbit makes for a hugely powerful weapon?

      You're right. The Department of Homeland Security (that Democrat-created bureaucratic nightmare) would never allow decent, God-fearing people to own their own rockets. Assholes.

      Come on, Democrats banned mercury and lead

      Damn that famous Democrat Richard Nixon who created the EPA.

      and they are going to let us have our own rockets?

      If by "us" you mean "the unhinged and ill-informed", then I'd say probably not.

    2. Re:The obvious fraud... by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Come on, Democrats banned mercury and lead, and they are going to let us have our own rockets?

      If you cant understand why mercury and lead were banned you aren't smart or responsible enough to have your own rocket.

      In fact you aren't responsible enough to have your own vegetable peeler.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  29. Honestly guys by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Look, I don't normally post to Slashdot, so you're welcome to ignore this, but replacing a bunch of years-old over budget project with a bunch of new un-started ones is just a great way to clear the balance sheet for future years-old over budget projects. Going to space, especially with the safety we expect (I don't think explorers to America were as stringent on survival rates), is both unexpectedly difficult and unexpectedly expensive. Much like Joel Spolsky rails against throwing everything out and starting "fresh," because it's a waste of time, this too is just a further waste of time. Imagine if in the middle of the Apollo program we were over budget and behind. If we decided to throw all that initial work out then and start anew, we'd never have gone to the moon. It is time to finish this.

    On an unrelated note, please stop worrying about the debt you've left your future generations. It doesn't work like that. If we don't spend the money now to fix what ails us and to escape the recession, your children will be born into a place the same debt and no job prospects. Instead we should be spending everything we can to get the economy humming and inflate away our debts.

  30. New Technology needed, money needs to be in R& by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I really think it's time to focus on developing a technology to put the conventional rocket in the history books where it belongs. The most promising new technologies in propulsion have required large amounts of electricity. Ion and Plasma rockets can produce a faster more efficient thrust (such as Nasa's Vlasmir) but need to be scaled up in power to launch from Earth. One big limit has been electricity for these systems we need a fusion reactor or some other break through technology to change the rules of the game. Fusion seems to be really close there was a very promising breakthrough reported a few days ago.

  31. Ok...But... by Danathar · · Score: 1

    I understand why it was done (Cancellation of Constellation) but I have some concerns about not having ANY capability to get people into space until some commercial contractor has the equipment to do so. Also, saying "TBD" when it comes to when we will be back exploring space is the equivalent to "never" in terms of washington priorities.

    Also, what is to inspire the youth of tomorrow?

  32. Outsourcing manned space flight? by ErichTheRed · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So, NASA's jumping on the same bandwagon as private companies now - outsourcing everything they can get away with. I'm not totally anti-outsourcing, but I do think it goes way too far. Executives love the idea of having as few things in-house as possible, especially when a business partner can do it cheaper. The problem is that they don't care how the partner manages to do it cheaper! This happens in every field. Outsource manufacturing, and you get poor product quality. Outsource software development, and you get crappy code that has to be rewritten anyway. Outsource IT, and satisfaction levels go down as the people who knew what was happening get replaced by the cheapest people they can find. How would this apply to space travel?

    Also, here's another thought. In not too many years, China, India or one of the other developing economies is going to be the dominant country on Earth. It's just a fact - they have governments who pursue growth at all costs, and we've decided to stop trying to stay ahead. One of the things that kept the US and the Soviet Union on their toes during the Cold War was the run-up in their space programs. The US push to be first on the moon was basically a government mandate, along with the massive amount of funding that it took. Let's say we wanted to do something like that again - maybe to prove a point to China or something. Now, instead of using unlimited money and power to make things happen, NASA has to go beg/bribe 500 subcontractors to do the job instead of hiring the scientists and engineering staff themselves.

    1. Re:Outsourcing manned space flight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, NASA's jumping on the same bandwagon as private companies now - outsourcing everything they can get away with.

      Don't know how to break this to you, but virtually all of NASA's hardware is and has been built by private or publically-traded companies. Boeing, Morton-Thiokol, Rockwell, TRW, Grumman, and dozens of others going all the way back to Mercury and the NACA era.

      The difference is that now a company, say Boeing, can decide how and where to build things (to NASA's specifications!) based on efficiency (read: profitablility) rather than on whose congressional district gets the jobs.

  33. Um, yeah... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    "NASA is out of the business of putting people into low-earth orbit, and doesn't see getting back in to it."

    That's like GM saying "You know what? We've been producing cars for a long time now. People should have a pretty good idea of how to figure it out. We are getting out of the car business, let people build their own cars from scratch now." (All GM sucks at building cars aside)

    Only building a shuttle capable of carrying humans to LEO and docking with a space station MIGHT be a bit more complicated.

    Perhaps say the difference between smoke signals and my iPhone.

    What this REALLY means is that for a Very Long time, if you want to go to the ISS, you are going to be flying the Russian Rocket.

    I can't wait to see what happens when they figure out that they are the only game in town...

    I for one welcome my new comrade overlords. :)

    I am from Soviet Canuckistan anyway, with my communist health care, so I won't notice much differance anyway... I might drink more Vodka, but I think I can deal with that.

    1. Re:Um, yeah... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What this REALLY means is that for a Very Long time, if you want to go to the ISS, you are going to be flying the Russian Rocket.

      This was going to be the case anyway. Ares I wasn't going to be operational until 2017 at the earliest. The Bush "vision" had NASA deorbiting the ISS before then to free up money to go back to the moon and leave more footprints.

  34. Why do those who like capitalism... by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    Many (not all, of course) of the posters here are in favor of capitalism. Just a guess.

    So, why is it that there are so many her in favor of socialized space exploration? What happened to "The free market can do it better?"

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    1. Re:Why do those who like capitalism... by mjwx · · Score: 1

      So, why is it that there are so many her in favor of socialized space exploration? What happened to "The free market can do it better?"

      Because that's a fantasy of naive libertarians. Not all /.ers lack an attachment to reality.

      Don't confuse the free market with capitalism, capitalism is about increasing corporate control over the market, the free market is about reducing controls over the market.

      The simple fact is there are nor have been no impediments to the "market" going into space, its just that getting there is difficult, the market likes to take the easy road and space travel doesn't have an easy road.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  35. FAA and the EPA stopping commercial launches by tlambert · · Score: 1

    FAA and the EPA stopping commercial launches

    You can change the NASA budget all you want, but the major impediments to commercial space launches are still the FAA and the EPA. If you can't get a license for a launch, you aren't going anywhere.

    Fine.

    After I launch, they can come up and arrest me.

    -- Terry

    1. Re:FAA and the EPA stopping commercial launches by KlomDark · · Score: 1

      That's always been my stance on it to - arrest me once I've proven that I can get there! :)

  36. It doesn't work that way. by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

    To put it simply, we import half the oil we consume. The oil drives our entire economy, so in order to maintain our current standard of living (and that includes all those entitlement programs) we have to maintain a strong international presence. So it is not like you can pick one, you need to do both for the whole scheme to work at all.

    This situation is not agreeable to me at all, and I think we should dramatically cut back our defense spending. But I also know that that's going to mean scaling back my lifestyle and taking more personal responsibility for caring for the elderly and infirm. I am prepared to do that, but you need to understand that once the defense spending is gone, the government is no longer going to be able to afford these entitlement programs, no matter how much they raise taxes.

  37. Notes from press conference on commercial crew by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Informative

    This morning NASA Administrator Charles Bolden had a press conference where he gave more details on NASA's plans and announced the initial contracts for the $50 million commercial crew development contracts (was supposed to be $200 million, but most funding was diverted by Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Al) towards Constellation). Mind that this is just for the first year, as the budget hasn't passed yet -- once the budget passes, future contracts will award a total of a few billion spread over a number of years. The video link is here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9YvIESqDUk

    Here's my notes on the press conference:

    (sorry about the heinous formatting)

    Charles Bolden takes a moment to thank the Constellation team for their years of dedicated service
    "We want to explore new worlds, we want to develop more innovative technologies, we want to foster new industries, and we want to increase our understanding of Earth, the solar system, and the universe."
    "each awardee also proposed significant investment from other sources to leverage taxpayer investment"
    Blue Origin
    o $3.7 million award to fund "risk mitigation activities related to its development of pusher launch escape system, and to develop a composite crew module for structural testing."
    Boeing
    o $18 million for space transportation system which includes a 7-person capsule to launch on medium-lift expendable launch systems
    Paragon
    o small business
    o has directly supported more than 70 spaceflight missions
    o $1.4 million for a development unit of environmental control and lift support air revitalization system
    Sierra Nevada
    o $20 million for Dream Chaser, 7-person spacecraft to be launched on Atlas V-402 vehicle
    ULA
    o $6.7 million for emergency detection system to monitor vehicle health of Atlas V and Delta IV rockets
    they are the vanguard; certainly adding to this group in the near future
    comments from presidents/reps
    o ULA
    EDS work for commercial crew and making sure products are more reliable for all customers
    o Blue Origin
    pusher escape system, at back of capsule to avoid jettison event, not consumed on nominal launch so it lowers operating costs
    composite capsule will improve durability over conventional technology and lower weight
    o Boeing
    principal teammate Bigelow Aerospace
    Bigelow represents most probable near-term market for crew transportation to LEO other than NASA
    want to satisfy both Bigelow's needs and NASA's
    parallel with Bill Boeing's young company and airmail to delivering cargo and crew to ISS
    o Paragon
    developing air revitalization system
    first of its kind: a turn-key system, usable on pretty much any spacecraft
    had very first commercial experiment on ISS
    o Sierra Nevada
    developed under unfunded Space Act agreement for past two years
    based on NASA's HL-20 from 20 years ago
    o Orbital Sciences (ongoing COTS contract)
    um, talked for quite a while
    o SpaceX (ongoing COTS contract)
    spoke about collaborations with NASA
    Q&A
    o Do you have a destination and timetable?
    tiger teams working on destinations and putting together timetables now
    o in-orbit refueling?

  38. ICBMs on Mars by hackjackal · · Score: 1

    Manned space missions, but intentionally one way to add drama to the trip, and drastically reduce costs. "Marooned on Mars, the team sent farewell messages today to..." ------ And if there will be orbiting "gas stations" they could add entertainment value by having built in lethal security systems and pay for the whole thing by selling live video to the various TV networks around the world. "If they don't manage to dodge the automatic gunfire from the docking assembly, and then refuel, they won't have enought fuel for the de-orbit burn. Isn't that right Julie?" "That's right Don. Look! They are trying to shine a laser pointer at one of the tracking devices. Let's see what happens. But first a word from our sponsor. We'll be right back." ------ Change NASA to a purely military agency so that they can pursue getting out in space with all the right funding and really scary reasons. Mars won't be truly under human control until there are opposing sides camped out there, armed to the teeth. ICBMs on Mars would require a lot less fuel than here on Earth. This would help offset the other high costs of waging nuclear war on an alien planet. Cold War II: Mars

  39. Nothing good about this. by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1

    The government cutting funding to NASA is like an alcoholic telling a social drinker he's had too much to drink.

    The Constellation program might have had issues, but then this administration could have instead demanding a thorough review of the program to better focus it. Instead we get a bunch of half-measures in its place with no clear long term commitment.

    People can argue until they're blue in the face that robots can do a very good job of space exploration, and indeed they can, but they will never be an suitable replacement for manned space travel. The thing here, is that we should be thinking simply of exploration, but rather long-term human presence in space. In the myopic view of too many people there is no long-term benefit in that. But if we applied the same lack of imagination to most human advances we'd still barely be beyond subsistence farming. Although, I suppose there are some who would love to see just that. The point is these are the sorts of things that require a long-term commitment.

    It's a bit ridiculous to suggest that the private sector will take over what NASA has been forced to abandoned. This implies that companies haven't been involved all along. The private sector has been closely tied to space exploration since day one, however it's just a fact that they're driven by profit. It's far harder to commit to long term programs when they've got property, equipment and employees to pay for, nevermind the investors. The long term is what the government is perfect for and why it was important that they remained focused on programs like Constellation.

    Instead we have the US government stupidly investing $8 billion in high speed rail without a proper conventional rail and public transit infrastructure. And where are we going to get the trains? The US doesn't make them, and they have no experience building rail lines. Hell, they can't even keep conventional trains running in my area, every couple of months a train pulls down power cables. So this means we have to go to either Europe or Japan; billions in stimulus spending will automatically go to help foreign companies. Japanese rail lines, including conventional rail are more efficiently run and fares are far more reasonable than they are in the US for a comparable trip. And again, there's an extensive rail network in Japan so that once I get off that high speed train I can get on a regular train and get right where I need to go. How will I accomplish this in the US? I get to my destination and am now completely dependent on someone with an automobile to pick me up. And worst of all, high speed rail lines are seeing stiff competition from air travel and Japan has been seeing some declines in ridership.

    Someone people seem overly eager to defend what this administration is doing. There may be a couple of positives here and there, but overall it's poorly conceived crap, intended more to pander to special interests than it is to do anything that actually helps this nation. China and India obviously see the value in pushing space travel and manned space exploration.

  40. NOT environmental monitoring by tlambert · · Score: 1

    NOT environmental monitoring; that's NOAA's job.

    Environmental monitoring?

    http://www.noaa.gov/about-noaa.html

    -- Terry

  41. Terraforming a post-apocalyptic Earth... by tlambert · · Score: 1

    Terraforming a post-apocalyptic Earth...

    The idea to me is ridiculous. Seems to me that by the time we can actually terraform another planet, we'll also be completely capable of "terra re-forming" Earth.

    I'd be more comfortable with the idea if we had some practice beforehand...

    -- Terry

  42. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA actually died in 1972, LEO is a waste of money, perhaps we will get on with private exploration.....I hope.

  43. Yet another industry to bailout by sp3d2orbit · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The US government is putting its manned access to space in the hands of private entities. When those entities go broke, will they be deemed "to important to fail"?

  44. Yeah right..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...if Bush would have made the same NASA cuts, you would be up in arms and cryin' about how anti-science he was. Even space is political.

  45. The scent of long term decay by Araes · · Score: 1

    Why didn't they do it? Not for any lack of know-how, willingness, or determination. It was for lack of funds. Congress cut the hell out of NASA's budget.

    Classic NASA joke:

    "How do you know your project's about to be canceled?"
    "They send out the coffee mugs"

    Its not so much that its cut, as that targets keep shifting. Constant project cancellation within NASA has become such a way of life that dropping Constellation ends up being little surprise for the optimists, and expected by the pessimists. Hard to maintain drive, when five or ten similar goals have died.

    Without a strong competitor, national fear, and/or a martyr's vision leading the way, there's just not much hope for big ticket items. In that environment, piecemeal subsidization of privatized spaceflight seems like a reasonable way to go. Although without actual hardware, you're going to lose all the clever folks to contractors, and be left with a shell organization full of farm subsidy style bureaucrats without the knowledge to supervise what they're paying for.

    Guess we'll just need to wait for a Chinese moon landing to get us going again, at which point it will probably be too late.

  46. I Love NASA by rebelscience · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Regardless of all the money they have supposedly wasted, NASA has enriched our lives in more ways than its critics can imagine. The moon and Mars missions were priceless. Those Hubble images alone are worth every penny. And they did it all with one of the most primitive, dangerous and expensive transportation technologies known to mankind, rocket propulsion. And that there is NASA's biggest problem. No other country is going to surpass the US in space exploration because they are all struggling against the same brick wall.

    Rest assured that we are not going to colonize the Moon, let alone the solar system and the star systems beyond with a bunch of clunky rockets. Rocket science may look cool but it’s way overrated. Fortunately for space fans, a breakthrough in our understanding of motion is about to change all that.

    A new analysis of the causality of motion leads to the conclusion that we are immersed in energy, lots and lots of it. Normal matter moves in an immense, crystal-like lattice of energetic particles without which neither gravity, nor electromagnetism, nor even motion would be possible. Soon we’ll use this knowledge to build vehicles that can move at enormous speeds and negotiate right angle turns without slowing down and without incurring damage due to inertial effects. Floating sky cities impervious to earthquakes, tsunamis and bad weather, New York to Beijing in minutes, Earth to Mars in hours; that’s the future of energy and travel.

    Physics: The Problem With Motion

    We all love Asimov’s dream of a galactic empire. We want to colonize the entire solar system and many other star systems beyond. Going back to the Moon using our current rocket propulsion technology is not the way to do it. What would be the point of that? Is the moon made of unobtainium? No it's not. What NASA should be doing is spending a boatload of money on developing new and revolutionary space propulsion technologies. Even the space station is a complete waste of time and money from humanity’s point of view, the few who are benefiting from it notwithstanding.

    We need a new foundational science of motion and propulsion. The current Newtonian paradigm is just not cutting it. It’s time for you rocket scientists to retire and give new brains with revolutionary ideas a turn at the wheel.

    PS. Don't say nobody told you because I just did. :-)

  47. What about the liability? by ZonkerWilliam · · Score: 1

    Private companies will only survive until the first major crash of a manned space launch. Thinking there will be years of failed companies coming.

  48. Rebuttal, with citation. by tjstork · · Score: 1

    Your facts are all wrong.

    Historic Tax Revenues

    1. Decreased tax revenues due to massive unemployment caused by the Great Recession

    The biggest reason that tax revenues fell off is because the US Tax Code is actually way too progressive. Wage earners essentially pay little taxes, leaving the bulk to taxes on investments and taxes on corporate profits. When the bottom fell out of the stock market, those revenues evaporated and you can see a drop off of about 300 billion from that.

    Bush tax cuts, which were entirely financed by the deficits

    Quite clearly, Bush's income tax revenues were HIGHER in 2007 than they were pre-tax cut. At the end of Bush's economic runup, federal tax revenues where 25pc higher than they were at the beginning.
    Indeed, the increase from 2T to 2.5T was easily enough to actually finance both wars with change. The question is, what else actually went up?

    Well, have a look at Medicare alone. Medicare went from 150B to nearly 450B during that time frame. And, we have enormous SSI payouts kicking in. Entitlements are like 5 wars, every year.
    And, having the DoD go from 300B to 750B is a kick in the rear as well.

    --
    This is my sig.
  49. ISS and Web Telescope by physburn · · Score: 1
    I'm very please that the ISS will get its extension, and that the Webb Telescope is likely to launch now. Space Science looks well funded. This will also be good news for SpaceX as they will now get there chance to make manned launchers. Still is now likely that China will land on the moon before america does again. Which will be only thing likely to kickstart manned exporilation in america again.

    ---

    Space Colonization Feed @ Feed Distiller

  50. The country that walked on the Moon... by PinchDuck · · Score: 1

    is now out of the business of manned spaceflight. Yeah, that's just fucking great.

  51. Robots: It is real simple by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    If we have DEVOTED TASKS with known parameters, then robots will excel. Of course, throw in a unexpected change, and then it is anybodies guess. OTH, Humans do a good job of adapting to various conditions. Who knows, maybe down the road, we will send Wild Wendy to do the job and she will do JUST fine.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  52. Gold on platinum on gold plated NASA systems by rlglende · · Score: 1

    We just visited Kennedy over XMAS. The 3D iMax film showed a Russian launch, described the facilities. By comparison, NASA's programs are wildly extravagant.

    As Russia has accomplished a substantial fraction of what the US has accomplished with a very much smaller budget, and with a similar failure rate, it is clear that NASA has been an incredible waste of our space development dollars.

    --
    "The Constitution, the WHOLE Constitution, and nothing but the CONSTITUTION."