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Obama Unveils New Nuclear Doctrine

Hugh Pickens writes "The Washington Post reports that under Obama's new 'Nuclear Posture Review,' released today, the US will foreswear the use of the nuclear weapons against nonnuclear countries, in contrast to previous administrations, which indicated they might use nuclear arms against nonnuclear states in retaliation for a biological or chemical attack. But the new policy included a major caveat: The countries must be in compliance with their nonproliferation obligations under international treaties. The problem for Iran and North Korea is that the pledge does not cover them because the US regards them as in non-compliance with the Non-Proliferation Treaty. The new policy will also describe the purpose of US weapons as being fundamentally for deterrence. Some Democratic legislators had urged Obama to go further and declare that the United States would not use nuclear weapons first in a conflict, but officials worried that such a change could unnerve allies protected by the US nuclear 'umbrella.' The president of the Ploughshares Fund said of the new stance, 'It orients US policy towards dramatically fewer weapons and greatly reduced roles.'"

91 of 526 comments (clear)

  1. Good publicity move by pwnies · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...but to be honest it really doesn't limit the options of available targets. If we want to nuke someone, you'd best be sure we'll find a way to show that they're in "non-compliance".

    1. Re:Good publicity move by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If we want to nuke someone, you'd best be sure we'll find a way to show that they're in "non-compliance".

      Nuclear weapons have turned into something of a penis waving contest.
      The people most likey to use a nuke (small states and non-state actors) are the least likely to have more than one nuclear weapon.
      For those people, a US nuclear arsenal of 2,500 is no more intimidating than an arsenal of 25.
      More importantly, the USA is easily capable of using amazingly overpowered "conventional" munitions to respond to such threats.

      Nowadays, about the only reason we need nuclear weapons is if someone says "Bin Laden is in those mountains" and we decide to level the mountains.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    2. Re:Good publicity move by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nuclear weapons have turned into something of a penis waving contest.

      Hence why we need more women in leadership. Just think what they'd wave.

    3. Re:Good publicity move by Lakitu · · Score: 4, Interesting

      North Korea withdrew from the NPT, and Iran has been found to be in non-compliance. They both are valid targets. I would agree with saying Iran is 'becoming' a valid target since it is currently in dispute as to what exactly is going on, but all signs point to a genuine nuclear weapons program or the pretense of having one.

      North Korea also already has a few neighbors that would strongly object. North Korea also has a southern neighbor which would strongly object to Seoul being turned into a parking lot with trucks full of soldiers waving juche propaganda leaflets.

      If North Korean troops start pouring through the DMZ, the US military is going to consider all of its contingency plans to keep its ~150,000+ soldiers from being killed or captured, and there is a 100% chance one of those contingency plans includes using nuclear weapons. In all likelihood it is one of the reasons why it hasn't happened yet.

    4. Re:Good publicity move by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Trench warfare? Very ugly...

    5. Re:Good publicity move by maeka · · Score: 4, Interesting

      More importantly, the USA is easily capable of using amazingly overpowered "conventional" munitions to respond to such threats.

      While I agree strongly with most of what you have said, I think you're a bit mistaken here.

      If North Korea were to start shelling Seoul, little in our arsenal short of nuclear weapons would be capable of taking out their heavily entrenched artillery before the south suffered horrific losses. (And I mean horrific. NK is believed to have 10,000 tubes aimed at Seoul. "Optimistic" losses start at numbers never seen before in history.)

      Conventional weapons have largely met their match against fixed fortified positions. Pouring another few feet of reinforced concrete is a very cheap countermeasure and will always be so. Many of Iraq's bunkers needed round after round of bunker-busters to penetrate - dropping N+1 down N's hole. This takes a significant amount of time. One needs to wait for the dust to clear, to assess exactly where the penetration took place, and then to attempt the second strike. Time is not on the US's side in most the standing nuclear scenarios.

    6. Re:Good publicity move by khallow · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's like a Mexican standoff with RPGs at point blank range. Nobody in their right mind is going to shoot so the only sane option is to put them fuck down, but mankind isn't mature enough for this, so everyone wants to keep pointing them and making threats because it makes them feel powerful, and again, because of stupidity, people take the threat seriously.

      Spoken like someone who doesn't have a clue about game theory. You know what's worse than a Mexican standoff with RPGs? One person with a RPG and no repercussions for its use.

      To be blunt, there's millennia of history where groups take what they want by force of arms. They don't invade a weaker country because it makes them feel powerful. They do it because they are more powerful. As long as you have groups with differ levels of power, you're going to have situations where in the absence of repercussions, it'll be convenient for the stronger group to take by force from the weaker group. Nuclear weapons provide consequences for a variety of really nasty and brutal nation-level actions.

      As long as you're dwelling on the psychology of force and reprisal, you're going to miss the fundamental thing, cost versus benefit. As long as war has a big payout for its cost (for the perpetrators, not the masses), it'll continue to occur, no matter how "mature" the involved parties are.

    7. Re:Good publicity move by ultranova · · Score: 2, Funny

      When you're talking about losing Seoul temporarily along with tens of thousands of US soldiers, you don't want to be playing what-ifs later on, especially if you could stop the flow of DPRK soldiers almost instantly with nuclear weapons.

      And since Seoul is "right next to the DMZ", you'd have to drop those nukes right next to the city and the troops you're trying to save.

      This plan appears to have a flaw that should be corrected before implementation.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    8. Re:Good publicity move by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Also, my point was that you are putting a psychological context on the problem that isn't relevant or accurate. The threats made with nukes are not empty, childish, or even unproductive. A typical example from the Cold War, is the almost complete cessation of military expansion by the USSR. Prior to the Second World War, the USSR had conquered a number of countries. This effectively ended with the conquest of the eastern part of the Nazi Germany empire and the formation of the Eastern Bloc. I can see no other force than the threat of nuclear weapons, that prevented the USSR from continuing this pattern of aggression.

      Instead, we had the Cold War with its wars by proxy, elaborate espionage struggle, and other indirect means of conflict.

  2. Re:Heres the thing... by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 5, Funny

    The US is crazy dynamite monkey.

  3. Re:Good and Bad by MozeeToby · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The problem with putting conventional warheads on an ICBM is that no one would know for sure that it isn't a nuke until much too late. Technologically, it's possible to launch a missile from the continental US and have it hit a specific house halfway around the world within 3 hours. But if the Russians/Chinese/North Koreans/Iranians think you've just launched a nuke against someone, things could get very dicey, very fast.

  4. Cold war is over! by LostCluster · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The Mutually Assured Destruction plans of the Cold War are outdated... we're no longer fighting states with a homeland, we're fighting a mobile group that will go wherever lawlessness is tolerated and don't care what happens to innocents around them. Scorched Earth isn't the idea, it's really just a question of law enforcement. Gotta use different tactics for a different enemy.

    1. Re:Cold war is over! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Did you seriously just put North Korea in the same category as Russia and China?

      Russia and China are major world powers; NK is a poverty-stricken shithole. If it wasn't within firing distance of Seoul, nobody in the world would even know who the hell they were. North Korea is the worlds largest municipal disturbance.

    2. Re:Cold war is over! by Hatta · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I am getting sick and tired of the "war between nations is obsolete" rhetoric. It makes no fucking sense,

      It makes perfect sense. It moves war into the territory of police, giving you a reason to militarize the police. You can then use military equipment and tactics against your own people more easily. As a ruler you would want to do this because the greatest threat any government faces is its own people. (and vice versa)

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    3. Re:Cold war is over! by wisnoskij · · Score: 2, Insightful

      but when you talk about retaliation with nukes you are not saying lets destroy their armies or their military bases.
      Nukes are for indiscriminate killing, destroying hole cities of civilians or entire nations or complete genocide.

      What the POTUS is saying is, even you indiscriminately kill our civilians we may not wipe out your entire race or country.
      That does not mean that the US could not retaliate by destroying the opposing country's ability to ware war on the US and neutralize the government that ordered the attack.

      But as any civilized government should do, they plan not to attack their civilians.

      So my question is, do you not understand results of using a nuke or do you actually believe the the destruction of large groups of a enemy's civilian population is justified when alternatives exist.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    4. Re:Cold war is over! by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Please count the number of countries China has invaded in the last 3000 years

      .

      Hmm, that's tough. Japan, Vietnam, Korea, Tibet, for sure. Possibly Mongolia and the USSR.

      And since China hasn't been unified for 3000 years, do we count all the invasions of one country in the area now called China of another country in the area now called China? If so, it would run into the thousands.

      Please count the number of countries Russia has invaded in the past 40 years.

      I like they way you carefully picked a time period here that you think that Russia has been "peaceful". If you stretch your time period out a bit farther (say, to 80 years), we have pretty much all of Eastern Europe, plus duplicates (Some of Eastern Europe was invaded more than once by the USSR - Poland is a good example), possibly China and Mongolia.

      Note that the "possiblies" on both sides include the other. I'm not sure which of these countries invaded the other during that little squabble they had last century. Note that "little squabble" in this case was the largest war since WW2.

      Please count the number of countries where we have troops and military bases right now.

      And here we get to the "oranges", as in "comparing apples and oranges".

      Instead of considering places we were invited to build bases (even if we bribed people to invite us) as exactly the same as places we've invaded, let's just look at the places we've invaded.

      In the last 40 years, that would be Iraq, twice, and Afghanistan

      If we stretch the time period back the same 80 years we used for the USSR, we get the three listed above, plus North Korea (arguable, since we were driving them back as a result of their invasion of South Korea at the time), French North Africa (whatever that area was called back in WW2 when we did it), Italy (WW2), France (in the process of kicking the Germans out of same), Holland (ditto), Germany (WW2), Japan (WW2).

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:Cold war is over! by LostCluster · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The terrorist threats are not just lives lost, but also WHICH lives they went after. 9/11 knocked a few stock trading firms out of existence by killing all of their staff. The physical Wall Street was hard to access knocking NYSE offline for days, and NASDAQ went offline despite having their physical trading computer in Connecticut just because they didn't want to be swamped with their stocks trading while nobody could trade NYSE stocks. CNBC also was a simulcast of NBC's coverage for days... and the markets have proven that if there is ever a disruption in CNBC's availability they'll ring the bell early because that's a too-big-to-be-without source of market news to the average person who wants it.

      Then there's the act-of-war hit on the Pentagon, which wasn't as effective as it could have been... and also the unknown presumably Washington area target of Flight 93.

      They're not just killing people... but trying to kill the people who make the American economy and American government run.

    6. Re:Cold war is over! by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Informative

      Besides if you use a nuke, you can't occupy the area you just de-populated.

      Yes, that's why Hiroshima and Nagasaki were never rebuilt...Oh, wait....

      Note that neither city was depopulated by the atomic bombing, and both were rebuilt at about the same rate as the rest of Japan.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    7. Re:Cold war is over! by khallow · · Score: 2, Informative

      Those people - insurgents, terrorists, whatever you would call them - pose absolutely no existential threat to the United States.

      Their threat directly corresponds to their capabilities. If they just have explosives or guns, then they're very limited in what damage they can do. If they have highly lethal versions of the flu, then well, they're more dangerous. If you say terrorists can't be existential threats because they only kill a few thousand people a year, I agree, as long as those conditions remain that way. If if they can kill a few billion people a year, then that's a different level of threat.

  5. No by Infonaut · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you (my next door neighbor) kill my family by purposefully spreading rat poison in our fresh vegetable garden, I promise to only shoot back at you with my pellet gun. But only if you don't own a gun.

    We're talking about nuclear weapons. We're talking about whether we encourage or discourage the proliferation and use of weapons that can kill tens of thousands of people in an instant. I don't think it requires a cute analogy for the average person to understand.

    --
    Read the EFF's Fair Use FAQ
    1. Re:No by royallthefourth · · Score: 2, Informative

      1. Retribution is a good way to do things
      2. Retribution against non-military is acceptable
      3. The acts of states can be trivially compared to the acts of individuals
      4. The reader is too dumb to understand the situation without an analogy

  6. Re:Good and Bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    and what about India, Pakistan, Israel and N. Korea?

  7. Re:Weak on National Defense by david_thornley · · Score: 3, Informative

    If Venezuela launches a biological attack (remember that chemical and biological attacks are a whole lot harder than they sound), they're in a world of hurt by conventional means. We wouldn't have nuked them under any President since, maybe, Eisenhower, more likely Truman, but have you looked at what the US spends on its military compared to any other country (or, for that matter, all other countries)?

    Obama's promising the US won't do something that almost everybody was confident the US wouldn't do anyway. It's good PR but that's about it.

    The cat has been out of the bag since at least 1982, when Britain did not nuke Argentina in the Falklands/Malvinas war. No nuclear power will nuke a non-nuclear power except out of dire necessity.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  8. Re:Weak on National Defense by AuMatar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, because Venezuela is the country we need to worry about. Riiiiiiight.

    First off, these pronouncements aren't worth the paper they're written on- they can be changed at a whim.

    Secondly, this is just an announcement to the world of the administration's view of nuclear weapons. Which is unchanged in reality from our stance since the Russians got the bomb. We aren't going to start a nuclear war because someone could retaliate, and noone would win that fight. Not to mention the morality of indisciminately slaughtering tens of thousands of innocent non-combatants.

    So don't worry- you're no safer or less safe than you were 12 hours ago. If you feel differently I suggest you consult the nearest psychiatrist about your paranoia.

    --
    I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
  9. Re:Translation for your average homeowner... by ducomputergeek · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There is no justice system in international relations.

    --
    "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
  10. Re:Heres the thing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Russia and possibly China are the only countries that could blow America to oblivion and it wouldn't do them much good. Apart from anything else, the US could comfortably scrap 1000 nuclear weapons and still have enough to reduce any and all aggressors to dust. Obama's moves on weapons reduction just take America on it's first steps away from Strangelove country. There's still a hell of a long way to go before you need to start worrying about what the other monkeys are doing*.

    *(but, FYI, it rhymes with plaster slating)

  11. Re:HAMs by Locke2005 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Why go all the way to Haiti? Catrina did a great number on the US, and there is always a minor sizemic activity, flood, forest fire, or lost persons... yes, HAM are the ones that go out there in those situations and run communications, often with their own equipment and on their own time. Even that parade you watch, the car race, space flight, or other local event may have been fully or in part orchistrated with the aid of HAM Radio operators. There is also significant technology brought out by HAM Radio experiementers--do you like the idea of Lo-Jack? APRS was the pattern for it.

    Been writing in English long?

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  12. Re:Good and Bad by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 3, Interesting

    More like 15 minutes. Well thats what Open Skies is for

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_Open_Skies

    So the US puts all its nukes on B-52s/B-1Bs/B-2/Next Gen Bomber and the signatories like Russia, Ukraine, UK, France, PRC can verify that the nukes are there. So when the SSBN fires an SLBM with 12 convention MIRVs from the middle of the Indian Ocean the Russians don't get too freaked out about it.

  13. Re:Translation for your average homeowner... by LostCluster · · Score: 2, Funny

    Yes there is, The Hague, The UN, and NATO. When 9/11 happened, we had the whole world willing to help us clean up Afghanistan. When Bush 2.0 said "Now let's go after Iraq!" without a sufficient case, they started looking at him funny.

  14. Re:Good and Bad by Mr+44 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ICMBs are not accurate enough to deliver a conventional explosive payload. (if you are off by half a mile, it doesn't matter if you're delivering a nuke). Thats why we have cruise missiles.

  15. Re:Weak on National Defense by ground.zero.612 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    (remember that chemical and biological attacks are a whole lot harder than they sound)

    Really? See, most people have heard the name Haile Selassie I. Let your post serve as a reminder that most people don't know why they know his name.

    Allow me to enlighten you: He was Emperor of Ethiopia when Italy invaded and attacked with chemical weapons. He made an passionate speech at the League of Nations condemning the use of chemical weapons.

    If Italy, using 1930's technology, was capable of developing, delivering, and deploying chemical weapons in Ethiopia, I will go on record and make the claim that Venezuela could do the same to the US, using 2010's technology.

    --
    "Be prepared, son. That's my motto. Be prepared." --Joe Hallenbeck
  16. Re:Heres the thing... by Onymous+Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The world really isn't as evil a place as some think it is. And it's not really the "evil" monkeys we need to be afraid of, it's the fearful ones.

    The world would be a less dangerous place if folks could stop being such hair-trigger fearmonkeys.

  17. Pledge does cover Iran... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    since Iran is in fact fully in compliance with both the letter and the spirit of the NPT, regardless of what the US tries to say. NPT signatories have full right to develop and implement the complete nuclear fuel cycle for the purposes of generating power. NPT signatories are not obligated to submit to inspection of their nuclear facilities at the whim of anyone else. The fact that Iran has repeatedly done so demonstrates a remarkable tolerance on their part.

    1. Re:Pledge does cover Iran... by Trepidity · · Score: 5, Informative

      Signatories to the NPT are required to sign a "safeguards agreement" with the IAEA, which lays out how the IAEA will monitor the country's compliance with the NPT. Iran did so, and then in 2005 the IAEA, after several warnings, concluded that Iran was not in compliance with its safeguards agreement.

      According to the Chairman of IAEA Standing Advisory Group on Safeguards Implementation, this is in effect a declaration of NPT violation:

      Formally IAEA Board of Governors (BOG) decisions concern compliance with safeguards agreements, rather than the NPT as such, but in practical terms non-compliance with a safeguards agreement constitutes non-compliance with the NPT.

      Iran was then referred to the UN Security Council for the violation, as provided for in the NPT. Incidentally, as a signatory of the UN Charter, Iran also agrees to abide by all decisions of the UN Security Council. Security Council resolution 1696 demanded that Iran halt its uranium enrichment program; resolutions 1737 and 1747 have followed up and imposed sanctions for noncompliance (the two follow-up resolutions passed unanimously). Iran has so far violated all three resolutions.

  18. Re:Weak on National Defense by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yes, because Venezuela is the country we need to worry about.

    Indeed. One wonders why some people are still so irrationally afraid of communists, real or imagined. I don't think much of Chavez, but he's not stupid or comic-book evil, the threat of being nuked was probably never on his top ten reasons not to attack the US.

  19. Re:Good and Bad by Xoltri · · Score: 3, Funny

    So when the SSBN fires an SLBM with 12 convention MIRVs

    I think you should use more acronyms next time.

    --
    -Xoltri
  20. Re:Weak on National Defense by AuMatar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Rule #1 of tyrannical dictators (which Chavez qualifies for these days, although I didn't think so 5 or so years ago)- tyrannical dictators want power. They want to maintain or increase their power. So they may do some sabre rattling, but they aren't going to seriously fuck with anyone who can really hurt them. If they have a small weak neighbor without defensive alliances they may attack their neighbor, but they won't do jack shit against a country many times their size, wealth, and military might. So let them rattle to their heart's content and otherwise ignore them. Just don't let them start snatching small countries, or you risk them thinking they can beat you.

    This rule applies to all 3 big crazies at the moment- Venezuela, Iran, and N Korea. None of them are doing more than appealing to their support base. Think of it as the foreign equivalent of a Sarah Palin rally. Of the three Iran is the biggest threat because their is the religious fundamentalism aspect, but the drive for power far outweighs that.

    Nations to be worried about are places like China. But its quite obvious the current rule of China is taking a long term view and is more interested in ruling through finance than arms- the fact they haven't invaded Taiwan is proof of that. We should be very concerned about the amount of money we borrow from them, but I don't see war in the next decade. Russia's another worry, but Putin for all his evil falls under rule #1- he likes ruling Russia and is more interested in holding power than anything else.

    --
    I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
  21. Re:Good and Bad by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 3, Funny

    We are talking about nuclear weapons. Acronyms are part of the business, its like computers and networking with RAM, CPU, NIC, Eth0, SATA, IDE, RAID-0...

    OK. So, when the Nuclear Powered Strategic Missile Submarine fires a Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile with 12 conventional Multiple Independently targetable Reentry Vehicles...

  22. It's a false "news" by rarel · · Score: 2, Informative
    Unless I'm mistaken, this is a handwave. The US already took that same engagement in April 1995. It was a condition posed by non-nuclear states for their approval of nonproliferation treaty.

    So what's new here?

  23. Re:Weak on National Defense by goodmanj · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Secondly, this is just an announcement to the world of the administration's view of nuclear weapons. Which is unchanged in reality from our stance since the Russians got the bomb. We aren't going to start a nuclear war because someone could retaliate, and noone would win that fight. Not to mention the morality of indisciminately slaughtering tens of thousands of innocent non-combatants.

    Yes, it matches U.S. policy going back to the 1950s... with the exception of an 8-year gap from 2002 to 2010.

    The Bush administration's version of this document specifically declared that the U.S. should be prepared to use nuclear weapons on a first-strike basis, and even against non-nuclear states.

    You're right, a pronouncement that "we're not gonna nuke ya" isn't worth the paper that it's printed on. But it's a big concrete improvement over a previous pronouncement that "we might nuke ya."

    http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/nwgs/npr_review.pdf

  24. Re:Translation for your average homeowner... by corbettw · · Score: 2, Insightful

    More accurately, if you poison my family I promise to only shoot you yourself. I won't blow up your house, rape your wife, and burn your children alive. Unless it looks like there's plutonium in the cupboard, then all bets are off.

    --
    God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  25. Re:Good and Bad by AmigaMMC · · Score: 3, Informative

    Israel, as per their usual policy, has never admitted nor denied to have nuclear weapons.

  26. Re:So, that's why! by causality · · Score: 4, Funny

    I work for an extended warranty company

    How do you sleep at night?

    --
    It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education. - Einstein
  27. Re:Heres the thing... by Nadaka · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You are dramatically overestimating the power of nuclear weapons.

    Mt St Helens blew with 24 megatons of power. That is close to 2000 times the power of the Hiroshima bomb or about 1.8 times more powerful than the biggest bomb the US ever detonated.

    Krakatoa blew with close to 200 megatons of power. That is 4 times more than the largest nuke ever blown and about 13000 times more than Hiroshima.

    With 100 large nuclear weapons we can devastate 100 major cities or utterly destroy a couple dozen major cities.

  28. Re:Weak on National Defense by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, the Venezuelans are so brilliant that they leave him in charge of the country. Obviously it's Americans who are dumb.

  29. Re:Translation for your average homeowner... by royallthefourth · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...and when he actually did invade Iraq, the exact same crime that the Nazis were hanged for at Nuremberg, they did jack shit.

    The US is impervious to international law because it is the strongest.

  30. Re:Good and Bad by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No. You couldn't take the chance. An ICBM/SLBM currently has but one payload - a nuke warhead. You simply could not risk that this is not a conv weapon.

    And its called a "Nuclear Triad" for a reason. Aircraft, sub, missile. Rendering any one leg inoperative still leaves two viable launch platforms. Each delivery mode has its own strengths and weaknesses. Aircraft can be recalled. ICBM's can't be stopped. Subs can't be found.
    Don't put all your eggs in one basket.

  31. First NASA and now Defense... by KharmaWidow · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There are long term costs to these weapons: r&d, tooling, production, periodical testing and calibration, and future maintenance. They are a significant investment and vital industry.

    A small amount of weapons could do the *offensive* job but the smaller the cache, the more vulnerable they are to detection and interception. The defense concept is mutual assured destruction - and it requires a staggering overwhelming abundance of ready-to-use weapons. What really screwed the USA was the Carter admin agreeing not to further nuclear weapon r&d. We were on the way to a half-life of a matter of days in which the impact site could be habitual again...

    Regardless of the morals and ethics, the bottom line is its good skilled and technical jobs for America that include retirement packages and healthcare. Get rid of the nukes and we put 10s of thousands of people out of work. (This is definitely putting my dad out of work.)

    Plus the USA has the right to amass any sort of defense we feel necessary. We are a sovereign nation - no other entity has legal domain over us. Time and time again other nations break their promises to the US. To trust them at their word is foolhardy.

    1. Re:First NASA and now Defense... by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      defense is vital to any country,

      Defense is, yes. Maintaining a military on the scale that the USA does isn't defense.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    2. Re:First NASA and now Defense... by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Keeping troops deployed in 130 countries around the world is NOT a defensive operation. Spending more than all the other countries on earth combined is absurd. China and Russia together spend about 1/6 of what we do.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    3. Re:First NASA and now Defense... by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's reasonable when you're expected to defend a whole range of nations

      Who says we're "expected" to do any such thing? Even if we were morally or legally obligated to do such a thing, maybe it could be accomplished without spending 55% of all the military appropriations in the whole world, don't you think?

      I'd prefer crushing military superiority to losing, personally.

      Do you enjoy swatting mosquitos with SAM missiles?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  32. Re:It's a good sign by lwsimon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "Nucular" is the vernacular in half the country. I'm sorry you don't understand the concept of dialects, and you can go to hell if you want to judge me based on my accent.

    --
    Learn about Photography Basics.
  33. Re:Good and Bad by amicusNYCL · · Score: 4, Funny

    OK. So, when the Strategic Submersible Booming Nuker fires a Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile with 12 conventional Multiple Independently targetable Reentry Vehicles...

    Fixed that for you.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  34. Re:Good and Bad by causality · · Score: 2, Informative

    Israel, as per their usual policy, has never admitted nor denied to have nuclear weapons.

    They certainly have the technology, so it would be foolish to assume that they don't have them. The USA didn't talk about the Manhatten Project until much later on as well.

    --
    It is a miracle that curiosity survives formal education. - Einstein
  35. Re:So, India + N Korea, but not Israel.. by ratnerstar · · Score: 3, Informative

    I'll tell you what doesn't go down well in America: lack of reading comprehension. Israel is not "exempted" -- they are a nuclear state. Iraq is not exempted either, as, having no nuclear weapons, they don't need an exemption. The "exemptions" you are worried about are for non-nuclear states that are considered (by the US) to be in non-compliance with NPT requirements. You're free to disagree with the policy, but at this point it doesn't seem as if you have any idea what you're disagreeing with.

    --
    Just because you sold your soul to the devil that needn't make you a teetotaler. --The Devil and Daniel Webster
  36. Re:Weak on National Defense by AuMatar · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Because if we default the economy will make the Great Depression look like the good old days.

    *The dollar would immediately crash to record lows as no foreign investors would trust US assets.
    *The US would be unable to borrow additional money, probably at any rate. Who would trust us? Even if we offered up the white house as collateral we could just reneg again
    *Banks, companies, and individual investors hold billions in US savings bonds as long term safe investments. They're considered as good as cash- you can bring one to a bank and they'll pay you on the spot for it with only a service fee. Those would become worth pennies on the dollar. Banks would go bankrupt and be unable to loan, companies would be unable to make payroll. You would be looking at 30-40% unemplyment within a year.

    The US has never defaulted on a national debt in its 230+ year history. It won't start now. We'd be better off jumping back to Eisenhower tax rates to pay interest than in defaulting.

    --
    I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
  37. let me get this straight by jessejay356 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Some rouge nation meeting their nonproliferation obligations hits the US with a chemical attack in a major city. Say, one million dead... and we won't nuke them back?

    1. Re:let me get this straight by robot256 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Some rouge nation meeting their nonproliferation obligations hits the US with a chemical attack in a major city. Say, one million dead... and we won't nuke them back?

      No. We tickle them mercilessly until they mess up their makeup.

      But more seriously, no. If they truly are a rogue state, killing their civilians won't do any good against the leadership, and more than likely would give them propaganda fodder for continuing to fight against the "enemy of the people." The only way to deal with a serious attack is to use overwhelming conventional force to take out their military in the most precise way possible. We know how to do that, right?

  38. Re:So, India + N Korea, but not Israel.. by nedlohs · · Score: 2, Informative

    We send more money to Israel every year than we spend on our own domestic affairs.

    Citation please, since that is obviously not true.

    The US sends about $3 billion Israel's way. Which is clearly not larger than the $1.4 trillion the US spends on just Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.

    So are you an idiot? Or are you really claiming that the US spends three as much money on the Israeli military than it spends on its own military?

  39. Actual reasons by TiggertheMad · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If North Korean troops start pouring through the DMZ, the US military is going to consider all of its contingency plans to keep its ~150,000+ soldiers from being killed or captured, and there is a 100% chance one of those contingency plans includes using nuclear weapons. In all likelihood it is one of the reasons why it hasn't happened yet.

    NK is not even remotely a conventional match for US troops. They cannot keep the lights on at night, let alone maintain air superiority against stealth fighters. Nukes would not be considered if NK attempted a land grab.

    They are being held in reserve, to make sure NK knows good and well the consequences of building and employing a few fission weapons. This is a carrot/stick move that might encourage them into non-proliferation compliance. We have all the reason in the world to want this, because we would completely steamroll them in a conventional war, and we wouldn't suffer the negative publicity of a nuclear war.

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
    1. Re:Actual reasons by Verteiron · · Score: 2, Insightful

      NK knows it can't deliver whatever nukes it may have. If they came under (counter-)attack, their most effective strategy would be to threaten to blow up Pyongyang rather than let it fall to a foreign nation. That's a whole lot of hostages to negotiate with.

      --
      End of lesson. You may press the button.
    2. Re:Actual reasons by maeka · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Every aircraft we have, every cruise missile, launched at once, loaded with conventional bunker busters, would not make a dent in the north's 10,000 artillery tubes which are heavily fortified into the hills.

      They don't need to "keep the lights on at night" to rain unimaginable hell down on the south.

      Artillery is cheap, effective, and when behind three meters of reinforced concrete damn hard to kill.

    3. Re:Actual reasons by Stickerboy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >Every aircraft we have, every cruise missile, launched at once, loaded with conventional bunker busters, would not make a dent in the north's 10,000 artillery tubes which are heavily fortified into the hills.

      >They don't need to "keep the lights on at night" to rain unimaginable hell down on the south.

      >Artillery is cheap, effective, and when behind three meters of reinforced concrete damn hard to kill.

      While you have an effective point, nothing you said contradicts what the parent poster said. The US would most likely steamroll the DPRK in a conventional war. The DPRK trains in massed infantry and outdated armor formations, exactly the type of target-rich environment a precision airpower military like the US would dismantle in a hearbeat.

      Those 10,000 artillery tubes of the DPRK in the mountains are meant to cause mass civilian casualties in Seoul which, while horrific, would have little to no effect on the final outcome of a conventional war.

      Imagine an armed robber with the police surrounding him, holding a hostage at gunpoint. That hostage is the civilian population of Seoul. Perhaps the only reason the US has not conducted airstrikes at this point against known nuclear facilities of the DPRK is the threat of the DPRK shelling Seoul. Not, as conventional pundit wisdom believes, the fact that they probably have one or two crude nuclear devices.

      --
      Light a fire for a man and he'll be warm for a day. Light a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
    4. Re:Actual reasons by Rich0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The artillery would only be effective against civilian targets. In order to fire them on military targets you'd need accurate near-realtime targeting data - which they can't obtain.

      Sure, they could turn the South's cities into rubble, but that wouldn't have much of a military impact - only a political one. If they tried it chances are that both the US and China would step in to straighten things out. If anything the powers that be in NK would try desperately to surrender to the US rather than the alternative.

      I'm sure China likes the squirming the US has to do around NK, but it isn't like they want an all-out war right on their borders. The last time that happened the US army almost ended up on their doorstep (with MacArthur calling for attacks on China), and at the time the US didn't have nearly the advantage it has today. It really isn't in anybody's interests to let things go that far again.

    5. Re:Actual reasons by jeff4747 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Every aircraft we have, every cruise missile, launched at once, loaded with conventional bunker busters, would not make a dent in the north's 10,000 artillery tubes which are heavily fortified into the hills.

      Artillery is surprisingly ineffective when it remains behind heavy fortifications. The gun tubes have to exit the bunker somewhere.

      You don't have to destroy the gun, only it's ability to fire.

    6. Re:Actual reasons by Marcika · · Score: 4, Informative

      I've read that NK has somewhere on the order of 1,000,000 troops - how true is that? What's the combined number of S.Korean stationed US troops + S. Korean troops? It would appear to me that they have the advantage in a ground war, assuming they have the bullet supplies to maintain a sustained offensive. 100 bullets a month x a million soldiers is a lot of bullets for a country like NK.

      North Korea is the most militarized country in the world today, with about 20% of men ages 17–54 in the regular armed forces (at nearly 1.2 million armed personnel), plus about 3 million reserve troops (i.e. past conscripts). Most of the divisions are infantry, mech inf or antiquated artillery, but it's only half a day's marching to Seoul...

      South Korea tries to keep step with this: they have about 650k (much better-equipped) active troops due to two years' conscription for all males, and have 3 million reserves as well -- which would make a Northern attack without the support/assistance of China suicidal.

  40. Absolutely incorrect. by maillemaker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    >Nuclear weapons have turned into something of a penis waving contest.

    It would seem to me that you are completely incorrect. Having nuclear weapons is basically your best way to keep the US from interfering overtly with your country.

    --
    A work that expires before its copyright never enters the public domain and thus enjoys eternal copyright protection.
  41. Re:Heres the thing... by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Interesting

    China's arsenal isn't large enough to blow the US to oblivion. Only Russia really has that. China has enough to act as an effective deterrent (that happens somewhere between five and 25 warheads, depending on delivery capability and ease of defense of those warheads), as do India, France, Britain, and Israel.

    North Korea is moving in that direction, but because of its significant conventional forces (1.2 million active plus 3.5 million to 4.7 million reserves out of 24 million population), it has a deterrence factor even without nuclear arms. North Korea is in effect one giant military base.

    --
    You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  42. Re:Good and Bad by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 2, Funny
    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  43. Re:Good and Bad by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Interesting

      True, perhaps - who knows how accurate ICBMs really are nowadays, with modern electronics and guidance? The ones in the know aren't telling, and for good reason. I'd bet a nice sum that modern ICBMs are a lot more accurate than the data anyone in the public has, given the advances in electronics and guidance. I wouldn't be surprised if modern tech has given the ability for 10m accuracy. After all, if we could guide a Apollo capsule returning from the moon to within 10km or so of it's recovery fleet 30+ years ago...

      Cruise missiles are also a lot harder to find - but ICBMs are a LOT harder to destroy before they reach their target.

        Also, if you manage to detect a cruise missile and shoot it down, it's probably going to crash well short of it's target, but even if you manage to destroy an ICBM after it's entered the atmosphere it's almost certainly still going to land on or near it's target. Given that cruise missiles can't deploy submunitions until they are on top of their target, while ICBMs can deploy submunitions after they enter the atmosphere, ICBMs are a lot more likely to hit their target with at least one of their submunitions. Which considering those submunitions can include nuclear warheads kind of makes the point moot if you're not shooting at a hardened target, doesn't it?

      I suspect that the only thing preventing the US military from deploying orbital kinetic kill vehicles right now is launch costs. R&D would be cheap next to the cost of deploying a system that could hit any target in the world on a couple hours notice.

      SB

    --
    It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  44. Re:Heres the thing... by Nadaka · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I never said they couldn't devastate cities, just that the fear of nuclear winter, or the idea that "Even with 100 we could completely wipe China off the Earth" is utterly false for a largely rural nation like china. You could barely wipe Delaware off the map with a hundred such bombs.

  45. Re:Good and Bad by amicusNYCL · · Score: 2, Funny

    I read the wiki article before I posted, Mr. No Sense Of Humor. I even called it a Boomer, sheesh. I'm not the one who shit in your cereal this morning, I promise.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  46. Re:Translation for your average homeowner... by Obfuscant · · Score: 2, Insightful
    ...and when he actually did invade Iraq, the exact same crime that the Nazis were hanged for at Nuremberg,

    The Nazis in 1939 were enforcing UN sanctions against the German-Jewish nuclear weapons program? The ever-wily Jews were hiding said nuclear development programs in squalid concentration camps with funny names like "Auschwitz"?

    Interesting. How much is your newsletter, I'd like to subscribe.

  47. Re:Good and Bad by Runaway1956 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So - how exactly are Russia and all the rest going to verify that all our nukes are in one place or another? Seems to me the whole thing is based on trust, right? And, if you trust the other parties, you have no need to verify. Little catch 22 here, don't you think? Or, is it just propaganda, playing on people's naivete?

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  48. Re:What we need more of is brinkmanship by Alex+Belits · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...and THIS is average American's understanding of international conflict -- an equivalent of schoolyard brawl.

    This is why everyone treats you like a bunch of retards with bombs.

    --
    Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  49. Irrelevant words by guspasho · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The US won't nuke you unless you aren't in compliance with nuclear agreements. How many of our enemies *are* in compliance? Is the US in compliance? Who gets to determine who is in non-compliance anyway? Why should anyone believe the US wouldn't nuke someone it that it really wanted to anyway?

    These are meaningless words from a belligerent rogue state.

  50. Re:Good and Bad by Xaositecte · · Score: 2, Informative

    While I was Stationed at Ramstein AFB, Germany - Once a year a Russian Nuclear inspection team came by to verify that there were no Nukes on base. It was something of a big deal because we had to open up all our facilities to the inspectors if they wanted to come in and snoop around.

    Dudes always seemed to just do a once-over with what I assume was a radiation detector in a van driving around base, and then break for vodka around noon.

  51. Re:Good and Bad by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Thats what Google, FAS.org, Wikipedia or the dictionary are for.

    Many /.ers are also into science fiction, gaming or were military and those abbreviations have been common in those genres and sectors of society for decades.

    The abbreviations MIRV, SSBN, SLBM are not obscure and have not been obscure for at least 35 years. One doesn't have to be a "nuclear weapon fetishists" to be literate in the terminology of the devices that have been waiting to kill us for the last 50 years.

  52. Re:Good and Bad by Runaway1956 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Alright - I hate pedantic clods - but, where did you get "submersible ship"? Subs aren't ships, they are boats. No one in the US Navy has ever referred to a sub as a ship, that I'm aware of. I've done a few googles now, and I can't find any reference to "submersible ship". I find no readily available definition of "SS" as used by the Navy, and most other sources say that a ship designated as "SS" is a steam ship. Obviously, that doesn't apply to the Navy. DD's and FF's were almost exclusively steam powered, today many are powered by gas turbines. Most larger warships are nuclear powered. As for power, SS's were traditionally diesel powered, today they are exclusively nuclear powered.

    Anyway - I'm curious where you got that term, and how credible the source is. Military terms and acronyms aren't always obvious, after all. :^)

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  53. Re:It's a good sign by knarf · · Score: 3, Informative

    "Nucular" is the vernacular in half the country. I'm sorry you don't understand the concept of dialects, and you can go to hell if you want to judge me based on my accent.

    All I can say is that this fits in with that rightwing extremist shop ad you have in your sig. It reinforces the stereotype. Would you walk around in a t-shirt reading something along the lines you just uttered?

    " Nucular or go to hell "?

    "Praise the lord and pass the nucular bombs"?

    "Nucular Choctaw Bingo"?

    Of course nucular is just plain wrong no matter which dialect you speak or accent you have. At least that is what I learned at school...

    --
    --frank[at]unternet.org
  54. Re:Good and Bad by Alphathon · · Score: 2, Funny

    Strategic Submersible Booming Nuker

    I even called it a Boomer, sheesh.

    No you didn't - you fail again sir.
    Seriously though, it was just really unfunny.

  55. Re:Good and Bad by Alphathon · · Score: 2, Funny

    where did you get "submersible ship"?

    ...(from wikipedia)

    I think I was fairly clear.

    Subs aren't ships, they are boats

    Apart from the fact that that is how the US Navy designates them, how are you defining ship and boat? As far as I'm aware the only distinction that you can make with any certainty is that ships are bigger than boats. By that definition, I would personally say that military subs classify as ships (I think they're big enough).

    Also, see Q-Hack!s reply.

  56. Re:Good and Bad by amicusNYCL · · Score: 2

    Well then it's a good thing you're here to let us know what is and isn't funny. The world is a better place because of people like you.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  57. Try harder by copponex · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In the last 40 years, that would be Iraq, twice, and Afghanistan

    Not counting airlifts and small skirmishes:

    1970s
    operations in Cambodia
    the Vietnam War

    1980s
    El Salvador
    Columbia
    Nicaragua
    Panama
    Lebanon
    Grenada
    Honduras

    1990s
    Persian Gulf War
    Yogoslav Wars
    Haiti

    2000s
    Afghanistan
    Iraq

    This list does not include foreign intervention by way of arms sales, CIA coups, or trade embargoes. And does not including the permanent deployment of 250,000 troops around the globe in over 130 countries with over 700 military bases.

    The point being, you can stop and start the dates any time you like. The United States now has the most vast system of military bases in human history, and has invaded other nations at a higher rate than any other, except perhaps for Nazi Germany. We account for over half of all arms sales, and equal the rest of the world combined in military expenditures, despite having 3% of the population and under 3% of the landmass.

    We are the empire. Any whining to the contrary is evidence of a painful amount of historical ignorance.

    1. Re:Try harder by copponex · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Balance of power" during the Cold War consisted of the Soviet Union arming and funding communist insurgencies, coups and outright invasions, and the US desperately trying to contain the spread, until around 1980.

      Oooh! Scarrry communists! They're teaching children to read in Nicaragua and kicking out our corporations in El Salvador! Quick, someone rape and kill some nuns! For freedom!

      By the way, if you're afraid of the Nicaraguan Army, you're a coward.

      Negotiation with a sovereign nation with an elected government is quite different from dictating to a puppet regime that came to power in a coup.

      Is it different from overthrowing a democracy in Iran in 1953 and installing the Shah? Or funding coups throughout central and south America and in fact, all over the world? Is it different from hand-picking Saddam Hussein to rule the Ba'ath Party, support his rise to power, removing him from the State Sponsors of Terror in order to arm him with chemical weapons, and then claim America had nothing to do with it when he stops following orders?

      Your best evidence is that the Ford administration and subsequent administrations are guilty of not caring enough about East Timor. Not caring enough does not equal support.

      You're a fucking liar. Again.

      Here's the source document: http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB62/doc4.pdf

      Here's the important text:

      SUHARTO: I would like to speak to you, Mr. President, about another problem, Timor... in the latest Rome Agreement the Portuguese government wanted to invite all parties to negotiate... Fretelin has declared it's independence unilaterally... if this continues it will prolong the suffering of the refugees and increase the instability in the area... We want your understanding if we deem it necessary to take rapid or drastic action.

      FORD: We will understand and will not press you on the issue. We understand the problem you have and the intentions you have.

      KISSINGER: You appreciate that the use of US made arms could create problems... It depends on how we construe it, whether it is in self interest or is a foreign operation. It is important that whatever you do succeeds quickly, we would be able to influence the reaction in America if whatever happens happens after we return. This may be there would be less chance of people talking in an unauthorized way... We understand your problem and the need to move quickly but I am only saying that it would be better if it were done after we returned.

      FORD: It would be more authoritative if we can do it in person...

      KISSINGER: If you have made plans, we will do our best to keep everyone quiet until the president returns home.

      There's a cable called "Plans for Indonesian Invasion of East Timor" that is still classified which Kissinger received before this conversation occurred.

      A more appropriate spectrum would be 'totalitarianism' and 'freedom', with people like me coming down on the side of 'freedom', and "leftists" like Chomsky coming down on the side of totalitarianism.

      You're an apologist for depraved violence as long as the person holding the gun is wrapped in an American flag and saying some nice words that you don't really comprehend. The only difference between you and a sovi

  58. Re:Heres the thing... by roystgnr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The world really isn't as evil a place as some think it is.

    For the most part, no, but surely you admit there's a few big exceptions? But on the bright side, maybe the last genocide ended this spring, knock on wood, in which case the greatest evil around is a measly few million women and children enslaved and forced to work as prostitutes. Things are definitely looking up now that only a third of the world is ruled by totalitarianism, but perhaps it's not time to beat all the swords into plowshares yet?

  59. Re:Translation for your average homeowner... by Lunzo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The UN weapons inspectors didn't find anything in Iraq. The USA kicked them out before they were finished inspecting. Then the UK and USA "sexed up" their intelligence dossiers to make it look like Saddam was a threat when he was not.

    The comparison the GP made to the Nazis is wrong - they were hanged for war crimes. However the Iraq war was still unjustified and illegal and based on a lie. These are the facts and they were at the time for those who didn't get swept up in the jingoism, drum beating and "Baghdad in 2 weeks" nonsense.

  60. Re:What we need more of is brinkmanship by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The only place in Europe that still acts like this after WWII is former Yugoslavia+Albania.
    And only when Americans are helping.

    Everyone else grew up.

    --
    Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
  61. Re:Heres the thing... by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 2

    Conversely: If we only had 100, Soviet-Era Russia would have had no problem going all out against us if they could take out 99 of them before they hit.

    Contrary to popular belief, Soviet Russia was not populated, nor led, by lunatics who were just waiting for an opportunity to blow up the USA.

    (On the other hand, the U.S. was the only nation to ever use nuclear weapons, and had once sent 13,000 troops to participate in an anti-Communist invasion of Russia, and was, during the 1980s, led by a lunatic who believed the Soviets were the "Evil Empire" and that a Biblical Armageddon was nigh. Can't blame the Russkies if they thought the U.S. might really launch an unprovoked attack.)

    --
    Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
    You cannot wash away blood with blood
  62. being afraid is not the same as being prepared by Onymous+Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We can't let ourselves fear. When we do, it exacerbates our tendency towards dividing. Fear causes us to think of people as "other" and to care less for them. When that happens "big exceptions" are more likely. This is the crux -- those big exceptions, those instances of people being evil, they were fostered by the fearfulness of the perpetrators.

    There are other factors that promote dividing, but fear is perhaps the biggest.

    Sure, I carry a knife, though I expect not to need it. The difference between my attitude and the attitude of the fearful is that I'm not motivated to push others away. I don't look for excuses to condemn or devalue. I'm ready to incapacitate you if you mean serious harm, but my primary goal is your health and well-being. Regardless of who you are.

  63. Re:Heres the thing... by icebrain · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Actually, it would probably be better to assume a good portion of your warheads will not make it to the target. Whether they're get destroyed before use, fail to launch, get shot down before use (on an aircraft), get intercepted by defenses (yes, missile defense systems are real, and contrary to popular "knowledge", they do work and have worked since the 70's), fail to initiate, etc. Remember, many of the latest warheads have never been actually tested, and neither they nor their delivery systems (in the case of ballistic missiles) have been tested under realistic conditions. It's entirely possible that a significant fraction will simply not make it to their targets or work as intended.

    --
    The meek may inherit the earth, but the strong shall take the stars.